MLB Predictions — September 29, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BOS @ NYY	2 - 4	2 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ SD	4 - 5	4 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ HOU	6 - 5	6 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ ATL	2 - 3	2 - 3	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 3-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS 87-75 (4.25 RPG / 3.77 RA)

2 - 4

NYY 93-68 (4.59 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-2 TARGET: BOS 2 - 4 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	9
NYY	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	x	4	6

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.1

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BOS Season Quality

Record87-75

Win%0.537

Run Diff78

RD/Game0.481

NYY Season Quality

Record93-68

Win%0.578

Run Diff138

RD/Game0.857

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3398; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	DH	55	212	52	0.245	5	15	0.339	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.245	0.331	0.407	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	32	117	26	0.222	5	13	0.278	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.267	0.326	0.466	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	126	439	121	0.276	27	81	0.387	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.326	0.449	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	154	584	146	0.250	23	75	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.280	0.348	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	133	527	149	0.283	15	67	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.263	0.294	0.372	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	64	235	59	0.251	5	18	0.340	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.243	0.322	0.341	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	148	545	112	0.206	20	63	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.153	0.218	0.245	OK
Trevor Story	SS	64	251	59	0.235	5	29	0.271	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.192	0.230	0.335	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	147	497	120	0.241	13	61	0.324	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.210	0.282	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	2	2	2	12	0.250

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	97	344	87	0.253	18	51	0.306	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.294	0.410	OK
Ben Rice	DH	150	560	149	0.266	40	93	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.286	0.379	0.542	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	37	114	22	0.193	4	12	0.306	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.301	0.415	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	129	486	129	0.265	17	73	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.301	0.389	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	41	149	36	0.242	7	22	0.290	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.235	0.275	0.437	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	81	223	54	0.242	10	33	0.275	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.254	0.285	0.369	OK
Anthony Volpe	2B	67	217	53	0.244	2	26	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.312	0.332	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	82	258	63	0.244	11	40	0.310	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.277	0.379	OK
Austin Wells	C	119	333	62	0.186	14	32	0.291	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.192	0.314	0.398	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	6	4	4	4	8	0.200

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	26	145.4	3.09	1.121	10.6	171	5.2	4	2	2	3	7	103	5.2	7	2
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	52	51.2	1.41	1.055	12.5	71	2.0	2	2	2	1	0	35	2.0	0	2
Erik Miller	Setup Man	19	18.2	3.46	1.429	14.3	29	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	33	189.7	1.99	0.938	11.3	239	6.0	1	0	0	2	9	99	6.0	9	0
David Bednar	Closer	64	64.9	2.63	1.109	10.5	76	1.0	2	0	0	0	3	19	1.0	3	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	81	62.7	2.73	1.515	14.1	98	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	32	1.0	0	1
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	75.9	1.90	1.225	8.2	69	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-2

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres

CHC 89-73 (5.25 RPG / 4.34 RA)

4 - 5

SD 91-71 (4.46 RPG / 4.2 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: CHC 4 - 5 SD (SD) Confidence: 50.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	4	8
SD	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	x	5	9

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CHC Season Quality

Record89-73

Win%0.549

Run Diff147

RD/Game0.907

SD Season Quality

Record91-71

Win%0.562

Run Diff41

RD/Game0.253

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2355; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	160	618	174	0.282	45	107	0.374	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.295	0.378	0.523	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	154	604	161	0.267	28	93	0.357	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.270	0.354	0.504	OK
Michael Busch	1B	158	593	144	0.243	19	75	0.352	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.266	0.356	0.399	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	141	540	147	0.272	26	86	0.369	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.285	0.368	0.478	OK
Ian Happ	LF	150	539	118	0.219	24	68	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.275	0.359	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	157	622	164	0.264	8	72	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.287	0.314	OK
Pedro Ramirez	3B	76	238	63	0.265	6	32	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.311	0.379	OK
Carson Kelly	C	115	380	98	0.258	10	57	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.282	0.318	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	122	420	89	0.212	17	62	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.280	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	3	6	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	157	626	181	0.289	25	82	0.357	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.302	0.359	0.468	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	47	152	48	0.316	2	18	0.390	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.216	0.295	0.309	OK
Manny Machado	3B	158	589	128	0.217	30	91	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.224	0.297	0.440	OK
Ty France	1B	127	440	130	0.295	21	72	0.361	4	3	3	1	0	1	0	1.000	0.275	0.328	0.425	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	157	613	156	0.254	26	87	0.303	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.283	0.322	0.431	OK
Austin Hays	DH	24	57	18	0.316	2	7	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.347	0.366	0.465	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	153	520	120	0.231	13	57	0.332	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.370	0.424	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	108	377	85	0.225	7	41	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.295	0.336	OK
Luis Campusano	C	70	215	57	0.265	8	30	0.360	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.165	0.263	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	5	5	3	10	0.273

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	22	123.4	4.01	1.240	7.0	96	6.0	9	5	5	1	7	117	6.0	7	5
Jacob Webb	Closer	68	60.0	3.75	1.400	11.0	73	1.0	0	0	0	2	2	21	1.0	2	0
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	31	27.1	3.65	1.218	10.0	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	32	182.2	3.26	1.196	7.9	159	5.2	5	3	3	2	5	97	5.2	5	3
Mason Miller	Closer	66	66.5	1.76	0.947	17.5	129	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	76	76.2	3.19	1.220	12.6	107	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	64.9	1.94	1.109	11.2	81	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW 84-78 (4.79 RPG / 4.44 RA)

6 - 5

HOU 81-81 (4.53 RPG / 4.73 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-5 TARGET: CHW 6 - 5 HOU (CHW) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	6	8
HOU	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	4

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CHW Season Quality

Record84-78

Win%0.519

Run Diff56

RD/Game0.346

HOU Season Quality

Record81-81

Win%0.500

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.198

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4495; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	139	480	133	0.277	8	48	0.370	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.307	0.359	0.417	OK
Kyle Teel	C	38	119	25	0.210	5	26	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.258	0.348	0.412	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	158	588	147	0.250	33	93	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.368	0.439	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	127	454	94	0.207	35	77	0.347	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.344	0.520	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	141	421	101	0.240	15	78	0.302	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.168	0.248	0.346	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	147	437	116	0.265	12	56	0.334	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.148	0.209	0.262	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	92	323	73	0.226	6	38	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.328	0.381	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	153	566	156	0.276	16	63	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.306	0.406	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	153	568	112	0.197	31	87	0.282	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.155	0.218	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	6	6	1	7	0.229

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	110	447	124	0.277	22	56	0.325	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.303	0.470	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	157	563	179	0.318	42	106	0.435	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.321	0.416	0.570	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	154	558	144	0.258	25	94	0.357	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.255	0.335	0.508	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	134	524	131	0.250	16	50	0.305	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.282	0.340	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	92	340	97	0.285	14	44	0.314	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.296	0.313	0.466	OK
Christian Walker	1B	154	567	129	0.228	29	87	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.320	0.535	OK
Lucas Spence	CF	17	55	12	0.218	4	12	0.317	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.312	0.535	OK
Cam Smith	RF	148	510	107	0.210	21	55	0.278	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.203	0.278	0.380	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	90	255	49	0.192	8	22	0.280	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.133	0.227	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	5	5	2	9	0.129

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hagen Smith	Starter	17	25.2	1.07	1.032	14.6	41	5.0	3	1	1	1	6	76	5.0	6	1
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	3	3	1	2	19	1.1	2	3
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	53	73.6	3.18	1.277	9.5	78	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	57.4	2.98	1.324	9.3	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
AJ Blubaugh	Starter	64	89.7	3.91	1.315	9.4	94	5.0	2	0	0	0	4	79	5.0	4	0
Josh Hader	Closer	44	43.5	0.83	0.713	11.4	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Logan VanWey	Setup Man	10	12.2	1.48	0.984	6.6	9	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	55.9	4.19	1.485	12.9	80	1.0	6	6	6	1	1	35	1.0	1	6
Bennett Sousa	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	33	23.7	6.08	2.025	12.2	32	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-5

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

PHI 88-74 (4.4 RPG / 4.31 RA)

2 - 3

ATL 94-69 (4.56 RPG / 3.88 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 3-2 TARGET: PHI 2 - 3 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 50.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	8
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	x	3	15

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-16

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PHI Season Quality

Record88-74

Win%0.543

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.093

ATL Season Quality

Record94-68

Win%0.580

Run Diff116

RD/Game0.716

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.559; margin adjustment: 0.2348; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	154	641	156	0.243	19	58	0.297	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.241	0.285	0.336	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	154	579	134	0.231	44	96	0.351	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.245	0.358	0.419	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	160	573	154	0.269	29	87	0.380	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.259	0.366	0.456	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	152	567	141	0.249	15	87	0.315	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.225	0.291	0.338	OK
Derek Hill	CF	45	119	31	0.261	7	23	0.290	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.143	0.179	0.320	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	LF	30	75	21	0.280	2	12	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.323	0.377	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	154	532	136	0.256	10	66	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.322	0.400	0.483	OK
Edmundo Sosa	3B	82	231	57	0.247	9	44	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.260	0.278	0.487	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	121	414	85	0.205	11	51	0.281	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.162	0.230	0.265	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	2	2	4	9	0.229

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	137	541	154	0.285	25	79	0.359	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.295	0.343	0.468	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	106	405	104	0.257	20	55	0.346	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.224	0.294	0.382	OK
Matt Olson	1B	161	619	155	0.250	40	91	0.320	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.244	0.308	0.470	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	152	565	157	0.278	12	73	0.323	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.288	0.325	0.422	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	154	589	175	0.297	26	87	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.341	0.359	0.497	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	161	608	146	0.240	22	73	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.195	0.246	0.299	OK
Austin Riley	3B	158	559	123	0.220	19	72	0.292	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.200	0.263	0.383	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	DH	132	356	80	0.225	12	40	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.283	0.355	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	45	129	15	0.116	0	9	0.219	4	4	3	0	0	0	1	0.750	0.120	0.223	0.176	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	39	15	3	3	0	7	0.385

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	30	175.0	2.93	1.103	11.4	221	6.2	8	2	2	0	7	108	6.2	7	3
Jhoan Duran	Closer	60	58.4	1.54	0.959	12.9	84	1.1	7	1	1	0	0	24	1.1	0	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	27	160.8	2.18	0.995	11.2	200	6.1	5	2	2	3	8	119	6.1	8	2
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	59	57.9	2.64	1.123	9.9	64	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	70	58.6	3.23	1.041	11.8	77	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	22	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	67.3	2.67	1.189	12.2	91	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres

CHC Recent Form

SD Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

PHI Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

PHI Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary