MLB Predictions — September 20, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ HOU	5 - 3	5 - 3	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ TB	4 - 5	4 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ CIN	8 - 4	8 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 8-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ CHW	5 - 4	5 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ PIT	2 - 3	2 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 3-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ SD	4 - 6	4 - 6	SD	SD	SD wins 6-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ BAL	7 - 1	7 - 1	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 7-1	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ LAA	4 - 5	4 - 5	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ ARI	6 - 4	6 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ CLE	4 - 7	4 - 7	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 7-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ NYM	4 - 5	4 - 5	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ COL	9 - 6	9 - 6	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 9-6	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ LAD	4 - 8	4 - 8	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 8-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ TEX	2 - 4	2 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ STL	6 - 5	6 - 5	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 6-5	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

ATL 92-65 (4.61 RPG / 3.88 RA)

5 - 3

HOU 77-79 (4.41 RPG / 4.79 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-3 TARGET: ATL 5 - 3 HOU (ATL) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	7
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	6

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff5

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-20

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

ATL Season Quality

Record91-64

Win%0.587

Run Diff118

RD/Game0.761

HOU Season Quality

Record77-78

Win%0.497

Run Diff-57

RD/Game-0.368

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0585; margin adjustment: -0.4446; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	131	516	146	0.283	24	77	0.358	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.307	0.358	0.473	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	DH	101	387	101	0.261	20	55	0.352	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.275	0.358	0.520	OK
Matt Olson	1B	154	595	151	0.254	39	87	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.298	0.356	0.515	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	148	566	166	0.293	26	85	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.289	0.446	OK
Mauricio Dubón	3B	146	542	149	0.275	11	70	0.321	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.304	0.349	0.434	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	154	583	143	0.245	22	71	0.302	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.215	0.270	0.358	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	126	337	77	0.228	11	36	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.312	0.467	OK
Brewer Hicklen	RF	9	27	9	0.333	0	3	0.438	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.324	0.425	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	40	114	14	0.123	0	9	0.219	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.119	0.217	0.147	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	5	5	1	13	0.206

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	104	417	115	0.276	20	51	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.306	0.507	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	150	535	168	0.314	40	99	0.432	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.302	0.415	0.601	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	147	532	137	0.258	22	90	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.264	0.336	0.483	OK
Jose Altuve	DH	127	494	122	0.247	15	44	0.304	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.294	0.379	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	85	308	85	0.276	12	38	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.293	0.421	OK
Christian Walker	1B	147	541	121	0.224	25	80	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.196	0.255	0.329	OK
Cam Smith	RF	141	485	102	0.210	20	53	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.165	0.219	0.337	OK
Nick Allen	2B	57	136	38	0.279	3	14	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.336	0.410	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	71	204	39	0.191	7	21	0.242	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.171	0.229	0.314	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	7	0.182

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	29	135.1	3.13	1.281	6.7	100	5.2	4	2	2	2	5	94	5.2	5	2
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	57	55.9	2.74	1.145	9.8	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	68	56.6	3.34	1.060	12.1	76	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	65.3	2.48	1.149	12.4	90	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	1	1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	18	94.2	3.54	1.327	10.5	110	5.2	6	4	4	1	5	105	5.2	5	4
Josh Hader	Closer	43	42.4	0.64	0.590	11.7	55	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	13	1.0	2	1
Bryan Abreu	Setup Man	63	53.8	4.35	1.487	13.2	79	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.2	2	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	86.5	3.95	1.329	9.6	92	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
Bennett Sousa	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	31	21.5	6.28	2.000	11.3	27	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	11	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-3

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS 84-72 (4.35 RPG / 3.83 RA)

4 - 5

TB 95-60 (4.56 RPG / 4.03 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: BOS 4 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 55.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
BOS	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	5
TB	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	6

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed2.2

Run Diff26

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

BOS Season Quality

Record84-71

Win%0.542

Run Diff84

RD/Game0.542

TB Season Quality

Record94-60

Win%0.610

Run Diff79

RD/Game0.513

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3433; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	49	191	45	0.236	5	15	0.333	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.296	0.385	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	60	181	47	0.260	9	23	0.360	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.215	0.298	0.379	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	26	95	18	0.189	4	10	0.252	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.266	0.360	OK
Trevor Story	SS	59	235	58	0.247	4	28	0.278	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.246	0.278	0.378	OK
Nick Sogard	1B	57	208	52	0.250	5	18	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.314	0.375	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	141	476	117	0.246	13	61	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.285	0.355	0.402	OK
Jarren Duran	CF	142	529	108	0.204	20	63	0.262	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.203	0.250	0.367	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	50	147	37	0.252	2	16	0.321	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.190	0.258	0.268	OK
Nate Eaton	RF	17	43	6	0.140	1	5	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.149	0.258	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	5	4	4	3	8	0.143

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	147	586	173	0.295	22	81	0.361	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.210	0.267	0.324	OK
Ryan Vilade	1B	82	220	57	0.259	11	39	0.329	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.329	0.432	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	153	584	162	0.277	41	97	0.365	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.257	0.343	0.472	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	95	316	83	0.263	9	44	0.294	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.284	0.390	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	142	553	171	0.309	0	36	0.336	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.327	0.351	0.380	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	79	244	61	0.250	3	25	0.309	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.174	0.226	0.277	OK
Nick Fortes	C	95	279	75	0.269	5	34	0.314	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.162	0.217	0.299	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	61	199	52	0.261	13	30	0.324	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.308	0.378	0.623	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	113	351	76	0.217	2	35	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.129	0.235	0.194	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	6	5	5	3	12	0.167

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	12	55.8	5.16	1.846	10.0	62	4.2	5	4	4	1	8	90	4.2	8	4
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	51	50.2	1.43	1.076	12.2	68	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	17	16.2	3.33	1.420	15.6	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	49.7	1.81	0.905	10.7	59	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	50.0	3.78	1.400	10.6	59	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	26	0.0	1	0
Raymond Burgos	Reliever	7	17.1	5.26	1.053	6.3	12	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	7	0.0	1	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	31	100.6	3.67	1.203	9.8	110	5.0	2	3	3	3	6	88	5.0	6	3
Bryan Baker	Closer	61	58.7	1.38	0.886	9.5	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	68	61.5	2.93	1.057	9.1	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Cam Booser	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	39	31.1	2.60	0.965	12.2	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	47.9	4.32	1.294	9.8	52	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Casey Legumina	Middle Reliever	44	50.2	3.94	1.394	8.1	45	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC 87-69 (5.35 RPG / 4.38 RA)

8 - 4

CIN 72-84 (4.12 RPG / 5.16 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 8-4 TARGET: CHC 8 - 4 CIN (CHC) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	3	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	2	8	10
CIN	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	6

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed7.7

Run Diff-46

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHC Season Quality

Record86-69

Win%0.555

Run Diff144

RD/Game0.929

CIN Season Quality

Record72-83

Win%0.465

Run Diff-155

RD/Game-1.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6933; margin adjustment: -2.7093; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	153	594	166	0.279	44	105	0.371	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.261	0.321	0.530	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	135	515	139	0.270	24	84	0.368	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.263	0.346	0.406	OK
Michael Busch	1B	151	567	136	0.240	19	75	0.350	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.254	0.369	0.471	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	151	595	156	0.262	26	88	0.352	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.219	0.297	0.419	OK
Ian Happ	LF	144	512	113	0.221	24	66	0.328	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.148	0.272	0.336	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	150	598	159	0.266	8	70	0.314	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.316	0.364	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	102	248	61	0.246	14	42	0.331	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.307	0.382	0.502	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	70	214	56	0.262	6	30	0.319	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.268	0.324	0.441	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	67	201	48	0.239	6	26	0.330	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.230	0.297	0.393	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	8	8	3	12	0.270

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	97	272	70	0.257	6	25	0.340	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.299	0.345	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	133	519	150	0.289	28	74	0.372	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.359	0.501	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	152	583	157	0.269	31	107	0.335	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.325	0.433	OK
Tyler Stephenson	DH	122	392	98	0.250	15	54	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.320	0.390	OK
JJ Bleday	RF	122	434	95	0.219	22	56	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.309	0.371	OK
Matt McLain	2B	122	414	76	0.184	15	39	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.148	0.220	0.265	OK
Oswaldo Cabrera	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.048	0.061	0.079
Will Banfield	C	6	12	2	0.167	0	0	0.167	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.115	0.128	0.231	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	71	216	32	0.148	5	9	0.203	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.135	0.182	0.211	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	2	6	0.182

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	14	66.3	4.34	1.523	8.3	61	5.0	6	4	4	1	3	96	5.0	3	4
Jacob Webb	Closer	66	57.9	3.89	1.416	10.9	70	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Setup Man	18	13.3	6.09	1.880	12.2	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	29	25.0	3.96	1.280	10.4	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	37.8	5.71	1.587	13.8	58	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	27	120.6	5.97	1.567	7.3	98	4.1	6	5	5	1	6	89	4.1	6	4
Emilio Pagán	Closer	42	39.5	3.65	1.063	9.8	43	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	21	1.1	2	1
Luis Mey	Setup Man	25	29.0	6.52	1.759	14.3	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	75	63.0	2.71	1.444	10.4	73	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	32	1.1	2	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	38.1	5.91	1.680	8.5	36	1.0	2	2	2	2	1	27	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

CHC wins 8-4

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET 73-82 (4.49 RPG / 4.01 RA)

5 - 4

CHW 79-76 (4.68 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-4 TARGET: DET 5 - 4 CHW (DET) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	5	9
CHW	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	5

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Season Quality

Record73-82

Win%0.471

Run Diff75

RD/Game0.484

CHW Season Quality

Record79-76

Win%0.510

Run Diff35

RD/Game0.226

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.396; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	DH	148	570	158	0.277	17	70	0.378	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.292	0.396	0.445	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	91	342	90	0.263	8	38	0.365	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.243	0.332	0.319	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	100	297	80	0.269	10	45	0.323	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.280	0.335	0.470	OK
Riley Greene	LF	132	486	140	0.288	21	75	0.374	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.309	0.383	0.518	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	34	105	34	0.324	6	18	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.235	0.399	OK
Max Clark	CF	44	154	41	0.266	3	20	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.276	0.338	0.417	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	150	503	113	0.225	23	70	0.321	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.181	0.293	0.346	OK
Brett Callahan	RF	24	59	13	0.220	1	8	0.277	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.220	0.271	0.349	OK
John Peck	SS	14	48	10	0.208	0	7	0.328	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.297	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	5	5	3	7	0.250

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	133	456	122	0.268	8	46	0.362	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.259	0.312	0.366	OK
Kyle Teel	C	32	99	18	0.182	4	20	0.289	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.169	0.264	0.299	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	152	568	142	0.250	33	88	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.363	0.553	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	120	428	87	0.203	32	69	0.344	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.192	0.326	0.443	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	135	407	99	0.243	14	71	0.303	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.235	0.290	0.375	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	146	543	111	0.204	31	87	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.175	0.243	0.330	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	148	548	147	0.268	14	56	0.344	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.246	0.318	0.371	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	85	298	62	0.208	6	37	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.186	0.276	0.307	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	26	69	17	0.246	2	7	0.246	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.292	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	4	4	4	6	0.156

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	19	107.4	2.60	1.136	7.5	90	6.0	4	3	3	4	4	107	6.0	4	3
Kenley Jansen	Closer	47	39.5	3.19	1.139	11.2	49	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	65	60.6	3.27	1.436	8.2	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Drew Sommers	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	40	29.6	3.34	1.385	17.6	58	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	27	137.5	4.06	1.331	7.5	115	5.0	7	3	3	0	7	95	5.0	7	3
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.2	1	0	0	1	0	28	1.2	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	53	73.6	3.18	1.277	9.5	78	1.1	1	2	2	2	0	28	1.1	0	2
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	52.8	2.90	1.307	9.4	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-4

Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

KC 67-89 (4.21 RPG / 4.86 RA)

2 - 3

PIT 79-77 (4.79 RPG / 4.61 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 3-2 TARGET: KC 2 - 3 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 57.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
KC	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	2
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	3	10

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

KC Season Quality

Record67-88

Win%0.432

Run Diff-101

RD/Game-0.652

PIT Season Quality

Record78-77

Win%0.503

Run Diff28

RD/Game0.181

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7614; margin adjustment: 0.3198; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	75	291	77	0.265	3	34	0.316	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.156	0.214	0.274	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	135	527	147	0.279	18	53	0.358	5	0	0	0	0	5	0	0.000	0.276	0.350	0.405	OK
Jac Caglianone	DH	136	484	134	0.277	23	71	0.329	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.307	0.435	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	144	551	125	0.227	19	72	0.271	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.204	0.235	0.328	OK
Michael Massey	2B	122	397	110	0.277	13	48	0.310	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.248	0.278	0.428	OK
Nick Loftin	RF	113	359	86	0.240	7	43	0.321	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.256	0.331	0.390	OK
John Rave	LF	42	123	28	0.228	6	13	0.307	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.307	0.447	OK
Luke Maile	C	14	37	6	0.162	1	5	0.244	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.169	0.250	0.259	OK
Tyler Tolbert	CF	52	123	36	0.293	3	8	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.331	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	32	2	2	2	7	14	0.062

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	72	283	76	0.269	5	31	0.324	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.271	0.319	0.382	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	141	549	143	0.260	33	93	0.331	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.308	0.368	0.665	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	152	566	149	0.263	17	71	0.367	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.249	0.324	0.407	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	91	353	99	0.280	19	66	0.368	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.321	0.385	0.510	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	138	522	157	0.301	4	58	0.363	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.298	0.342	0.387	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	98	373	101	0.271	18	72	0.333	5	3	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.260	0.320	0.425	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	39	130	36	0.277	9	20	0.338	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.318	0.372	0.530	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	108	367	91	0.248	10	46	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.276	0.367	0.368	OK
Jake Mangum	RF	116	408	116	0.284	5	32	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.282	0.319	0.394	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	40	10	3	3	3	11	0.250

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	30	186.1	3.39	1.112	7.2	149	6.1	4	1	1	3	5	115	6.1	5	2
Steven Cruz	Closer	55	53.0	4.75	1.377	10.7	63	1.1	3	1	1	0	2	26	0.2	2	1
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	23	23.3	2.70	1.159	9.3	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	53.7	6.54	1.676	9.6	57	1.1	3	1	1	0	2	26	0.0	2	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lake Bachar	Starter	12	22.5	2.80	1.244	10.0	25	5.0	1	0	0	5	8	98	5.0	8	0
Mason Montgomery	Closer	65	57.3	2.67	1.134	15.4	98	1.1	1	2	2	0	1	28	1.1	1	2
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	15	12.6	6.43	1.587	10.7	15	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	33	1.1	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	58.5	3.69	1.214	11.7	76	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	73.3	3.32	1.337	11.7	95	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	0.1	2	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 3-2

Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres

MIA 76-80 (4.44 RPG / 4.46 RA)

4 - 6

SD 87-69 (4.42 RPG / 4.16 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-4 TARGET: MIA 4 - 6 SD (SD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	8
SD	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	x	6	8

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs7.3

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff27

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

MIA Season Quality

Record76-79

Win%0.490

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.006

SD Season Quality

Record86-69

Win%0.555

Run Diff37

RD/Game0.239

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5667; margin adjustment: 0.238; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	DH	117	435	103	0.237	19	61	0.327	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.295	0.392	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	151	603	185	0.307	11	71	0.350	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.288	0.336	0.440	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	83	258	66	0.256	17	38	0.342	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.178	0.251	0.392	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	121	421	97	0.230	24	64	0.311	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.242	0.309	0.377	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	145	496	115	0.232	11	39	0.348	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.318	0.399	0.505	OK
Javier Sanoja	2B	126	433	126	0.291	9	64	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.280	0.315	0.451	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	49	133	28	0.211	4	25	0.259	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.138	0.193	0.325	OK
Joe Mack	C	97	292	67	0.229	13	47	0.278	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.211	0.255	0.337	OK
Deyvison De Los Santos	1B	10	22	5	0.227	0	0	0.227	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.225	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	8	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	151	603	172	0.285	24	79	0.354	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.287	0.354	0.495	OK
Dustin Harris	RF	18	64	23	0.359	0	13	0.382	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.316	0.364	0.425	OK
Manny Machado	DH	151	563	124	0.220	28	84	0.309	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.218	0.307	0.387	OK
Ty France	1B	120	414	126	0.304	21	70	0.368	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.351	0.391	0.547	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	151	591	151	0.255	26	86	0.305	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.302	0.338	0.535	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	147	504	115	0.228	12	56	0.326	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.283	0.372	0.437	OK
Jake Cronenworth	3B	101	354	79	0.223	5	31	0.306	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.322	0.333	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	41	134	44	0.328	2	17	0.405	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.353	0.427	0.487	OK
Ethan Salas	C	11	26	4	0.154	2	4	0.154	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.175	0.186	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	8	6	6	4	8	0.250

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	33	203.9	3.88	1.241	6.6	149	5.1	7	6	6	2	4	103	5.1	4	6
Calvin Faucher	Closer	66	57.4	3.92	1.498	10.8	69	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	55.9	3.54	1.252	12.6	78	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Josh Ekness	Middle Reliever	26	24.2	2.98	1.612	7.8	21	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.2	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	30	138.9	4.73	1.411	7.9	122	4.2	4	2	2	0	6	78	4.2	6	2
Mason Miller	Closer	62	62.5	1.30	0.896	17.7	123	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	73	73.1	3.20	1.218	12.7	103	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	59.9	2.10	1.119	11.4	76	1.1	2	2	2	2	0	31	1.1	0	2
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	53.5	2.19	1.308	11.1	66	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 6-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles

MIL 97-58 (5.15 RPG / 3.87 RA)

7 - 1

BAL 75-80 (4.47 RPG / 4.65 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 7-1 TARGET: MIL 7 - 1 BAL (MIL) Confidence: 62.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	7	11
BAL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.9

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff30

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIL Season Quality

Record97-58

Win%0.626

Run Diff199

RD/Game1.284

BAL Season Quality

Record75-80

Win%0.484

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.181

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.3577; margin adjustment: -0.5702; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	118	496	143	0.288	24	70	0.346	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.250	0.301	0.437	OK
Brice Turang	2B	140	542	148	0.273	19	94	0.371	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.254	0.378	0.428	OK
William Contreras	C	139	541	146	0.270	17	86	0.339	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.258	0.321	0.429	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	131	442	118	0.267	25	81	0.390	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.184	0.324	0.370	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	112	348	93	0.267	9	45	0.326	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.298	0.358	0.445	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	108	408	95	0.233	11	55	0.314	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.235	0.304	0.356	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	64	204	56	0.275	3	30	0.338	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.342	0.351	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	130	426	111	0.261	10	58	0.348	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.258	0.342	0.438	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	101	319	76	0.238	4	37	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.177	0.237	0.243	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	11	7	7	1	9	0.297

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Beavers	LF	93	297	71	0.239	7	38	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.211	0.273	0.326	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	152	569	152	0.267	38	105	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.320	0.516	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	149	594	133	0.224	22	57	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.243	0.308	0.396	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	119	386	89	0.231	24	63	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.474	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	107	354	80	0.226	18	54	0.290	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.264	0.385	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	82	254	56	0.220	8	36	0.245	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.227	0.384	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	120	319	71	0.223	12	36	0.307	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.243	0.321	0.349	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	127	415	90	0.217	8	54	0.285	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.268	0.312	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	26	67	7	0.104	0	0	0.200	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.102	0.160	0.146	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	29	2	1	1	3	10	0.069

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	28	165.4	1.90	0.816	13.2	243	6.0	1	1	1	3	8	101	6.0	8	1
Trevor Megill	Closer	59	57.5	2.19	0.904	10.3	66	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	59	52.9	2.21	1.115	10.2	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	73	78.1	3.57	1.498	12.9	112	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	26	141.0	3.77	1.418	7.5	118	5.2	6	3	3	1	7	105	5.2	7	3
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	54	42.2	4.05	1.540	8.3	39	1.0	4	3	3	0	0	25	1.0	0	2
Rico Garcia	Setup Man	72	55.2	3.10	1.105	10.8	66	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	38.2	2.83	1.152	10.1	43	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 7-1

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels

MIN 73-83 (4.56 RPG / 4.97 RA)

4 - 5

LAA 60-96 (4.01 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 5-4 TARGET: MIN 4 - 5 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 50.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	7
LAA	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	5	7

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-24

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Season Quality

Record72-83

Win%0.465

Run Diff-72

RD/Game-0.465

LAA Season Quality

Record60-95

Win%0.387

Run Diff-79

RD/Game-0.510

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0618; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Walker Jenkins	CF	17	57	12	0.211	3	8	0.308	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.256	0.321	0.436	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	146	557	139	0.250	23	80	0.297	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.264	0.300	0.384	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	136	505	121	0.240	26	76	0.301	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.153	0.217	0.318	OK
Josh Bell	DH	148	547	139	0.254	20	89	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.292	0.382	OK
Alan Roden	RF	27	67	17	0.254	0	10	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.279	0.359	0.392	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	119	439	100	0.228	14	54	0.291	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.213	0.262	0.339	OK
Victor Caratini	C	101	317	71	0.224	7	43	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.296	0.320	OK
Emmanuel Rodriguez	LF	8	29	5	0.172	1	4	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.178	0.211	0.364	OK
Ben Ross	SS	7	15	2	0.133	0	0	0.133	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.101	0.113	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	5	0.206

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	150	595	142	0.239	26	74	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.296	0.366	OK
Mike Trout	DH	136	493	119	0.241	21	53	0.380	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.373	0.394	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	85	273	80	0.293	3	27	0.365	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.288	0.352	0.364	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	109	393	93	0.237	12	65	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.278	0.383	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	39	140	30	0.214	3	12	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.240	0.299	0.364	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	73	260	59	0.227	7	29	0.269	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.267	0.331	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	101	294	62	0.211	12	29	0.273	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.276	0.396	OK
Jose Siri	CF	83	211	50	0.237	9	30	0.286	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.252	0.296	0.437	OK
Christian Moore	2B	31	110	19	0.173	1	11	0.227	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.140	0.189	0.206	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	7	5	5	3	7	0.212

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	8	40.4	4.46	1.163	8.0	36	4.2	2	2	2	2	3	85	4.2	3	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	54	40.7	4.42	1.671	10.8	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	19	14.9	2.42	1.275	15.7	26	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	21	16.5	2.18	1.273	10.9	20	2.0	2	1	1	0	2	26	1.1	2	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	20	88.7	4.97	1.364	7.1	70	5.2	2	1	1	1	5	81	5.2	5	1
Ben Joyce	Closer	16	14.4	4.38	1.181	11.2	18	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	17	13.0	2.77	1.385	13.8	20	1.0	3	3	3	2	0	26	1.0	0	3
Tayler Saucedo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	25	15.2	3.55	1.316	14.2	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 5-4

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks

NYY 89-66 (4.6 RPG / 3.72 RA)

6 - 4

ARI 82-74 (4.44 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-4 TARGET: NYY 6 - 4 ARI (NYY) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	0	6	7
ARI	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	4	8

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Season Quality

Record89-65

Win%0.578

Run Diff141

RD/Game0.916

ARI Season Quality

Record81-74

Win%0.523

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.032

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9081; margin adjustment: -0.3814; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	143	535	142	0.265	38	91	0.366	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.278	0.378	0.538	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	124	467	128	0.274	16	71	0.348	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.284	0.346	0.467	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	30	87	14	0.161	3	9	0.305	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.237	0.306	0.411	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	37	140	39	0.279	7	15	0.311	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.248	0.273	0.447	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	35	125	29	0.232	4	15	0.290	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.237	0.287	0.381	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	76	235	58	0.247	10	38	0.315	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.225	0.281	0.398	OK
Anthony Volpe	2B	62	199	49	0.246	2	24	0.327	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.329	0.360	OK
Austin Wells	C	115	324	60	0.185	13	31	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.310	0.454	OK
José Caballero	3B	119	393	93	0.237	14	50	0.293	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.304	0.397	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	6	6	6	9	0.206

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	LF	33	104	23	0.221	3	10	0.325	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.214	0.309	0.336	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	133	534	132	0.247	22	74	0.312	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.213	0.270	0.354	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	124	450	137	0.304	15	75	0.383	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.359	0.485	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	149	532	135	0.254	9	49	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.366	0.342	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	148	551	133	0.241	22	70	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.308	0.490	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	144	502	124	0.247	26	74	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.299	0.354	0.506	OK
Jesús Sánchez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.282	0.380
Pavin Smith	1B	33	93	16	0.172	3	10	0.243	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.162	0.226	0.324	OK
Tim Tawa	CF	88	284	67	0.236	10	38	0.290	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.213	0.269	0.359	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	4	5	0.229

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	30	142.4	4.04	1.412	9.3	147	5.1	4	2	2	4	4	107	5.1	4	2
David Bednar	Closer	61	61.9	2.76	1.115	10.8	74	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	78	61.4	2.35	1.450	13.9	95	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	24	1.0	0	2
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	73.9	1.83	1.204	8.3	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	45.6	5.33	1.316	4.9	25	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Corbin Burnes	Starter	2	7.2	6.25	1.250	7.5	6	4.0	3	2	2	5	5	91	4.0	5	2
Brandyn Garcia	Closer	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.1	2	2	2	0	1	23	1.1	1	2
Juan Morillo	Setup Man	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.2	2	2	2	1	1	36	1.2	1	2
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-4

Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians

OAK 61-95 (4.29 RPG / 5.72 RA)

4 - 7

CLE 81-75 (4.16 RPG / 4.15 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 7-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 7 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	6
CLE	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	1	x	7	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed6.8

Run Diff-35

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

OAK Season Quality

Record61-94

Win%0.394

Run Diff-222

RD/Game-1.432

CLE Season Quality

Record80-75

Win%0.516

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.006

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4565; margin adjustment: 0.6117; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	LF	108	385	105	0.273	11	35	0.355	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.320	0.385	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	99	396	105	0.265	23	55	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.318	0.450	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	140	444	102	0.230	17	59	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.302	0.410	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	100	369	92	0.249	19	50	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.251	0.379	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	49	121	28	0.231	5	17	0.376	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.322	0.457	OK
Tommy White	1B	48	173	43	0.249	3	9	0.268	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.261	0.331	OK
Alika Williams	SS	72	205	54	0.263	4	15	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.294	0.433	OK
Jonah Heim	C	87	301	60	0.199	12	34	0.252	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.170	0.217	0.286	OK
Denzel Clarke	CF	26	67	11	0.164	0	6	0.233	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.105	0.179	0.155	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	4	4	1	7	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	139	504	140	0.278	3	31	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.287	0.389	0.357	OK
José Ramírez	3B	115	436	102	0.234	12	51	0.323	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.261	0.330	0.410	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	122	459	133	0.290	15	64	0.362	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.277	0.348	0.457	OK
Jo Adell	DH	40	151	37	0.245	6	29	0.320	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.294	0.424	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	114	415	101	0.243	15	55	0.335	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.324	0.507	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	35	116	27	0.233	5	22	0.288	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.275	0.336	0.446	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	100	364	93	0.255	17	57	0.292	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.294	0.314	0.593	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	67	202	49	0.243	7	29	0.307	4	2	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.294	0.345	OK
Angel Genao	SS	32	114	24	0.211	2	6	0.268	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.265	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	11	7	7	0	8	0.324

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	35	104.4	6.47	1.561	10.9	127	4.2	8	6	6	0	4	92	4.2	4	5
Seth Johnson	Reliever	8	11.3	4.78	1.327	12.7	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Chris Roycroft	Reliever	7	10.5	1.71	1.524	6.0	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Hogan Harris	Reliever	71	55.9	4.03	1.717	13.7	85	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	30	170.5	3.85	1.126	12.4	235	5.1	4	3	3	0	7	79	5.1	7	3
Cade Smith	Closer	65	65.8	2.19	1.049	13.7	100	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	63	47.8	3.01	1.339	10.0	53	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	12	1.0	0	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	35.3	3.31	1.360	17.8	70	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

CLE wins 7-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

PHI 86-70 (4.47 RPG / 4.28 RA)

4 - 5

NYM 71-85 (4.28 RPG / 4.54 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 5-4 TARGET: PHI 4 - 5 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 51.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	4	8
NYM	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff5

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

PHI Season Quality

Record85-70

Win%0.548

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.155

NYM Season Quality

Record71-84

Win%0.458

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.232

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2613; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	147	556	130	0.234	44	94	0.348	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.190	0.305	0.427	OK
Trea Turner	SS	147	611	148	0.242	19	57	0.296	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.244	0.306	0.355	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	153	545	148	0.272	28	85	0.384	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.271	0.377	0.475	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	41	161	46	0.286	2	18	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.296	0.348	0.407	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	145	541	136	0.251	15	85	0.317	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.341	0.393	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	147	509	127	0.250	10	64	0.326	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.245	0.320	0.377	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	145	503	131	0.260	17	58	0.305	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.195	0.237	0.303	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	114	393	84	0.214	11	49	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.190	0.243	0.319	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	136	400	104	0.260	3	37	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.311	0.395	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	3	13	0.229

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	96	385	88	0.229	20	48	0.311	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.203	0.275	0.361	OK
Juan Soto	LF	102	370	102	0.276	26	65	0.389	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.258	0.351	0.475	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	149	598	158	0.264	16	75	0.312	5	4	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.258	0.302	0.343	OK
Mark Vientos	1B	80	256	56	0.219	13	39	0.263	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.221	0.280	0.380	OK
Carson Benge	RF	145	557	152	0.273	19	60	0.338	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.335	0.439	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	130	461	104	0.226	14	48	0.293	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.231	0.299	0.324	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	103	346	77	0.223	15	38	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.284	0.384	OK
Nick Morabito	CF	12	32	6	0.188	0	4	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.135	0.208	0.207	OK
Luis Torrens	C	80	241	59	0.245	9	40	0.303	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.248	0.288	0.423	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	6	5	5	7	7	0.182

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	31	191.1	2.97	1.240	10.1	215	6.1	3	3	3	5	6	121	6.1	6	4
Jhoan Duran	Closer	57	55.4	1.46	0.975	12.8	79	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	59	51.2	3.69	1.133	12.8	73	1.2	3	2	2	2	0	36	0.2	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jonah Tong	Starter	5	20.3	3.55	1.232	8.9	20	5.1	6	2	2	2	11	105	5.1	11	2
Kodai Senga	Closer	29	57.2	7.40	1.678	11.5	73	1.1	0	1	1	0	0	17	1.1	0	1
Nathan Lavender	Setup Man	18	14.0	2.57	1.143	14.8	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Jonathan Pintaro	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	21	28.0	4.82	1.393	9.6	30	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	38	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

NYM wins 5-4

Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies

SEA 73-83 (4.06 RPG / 4.42 RA)

9 - 6

COL 57-99 (4.66 RPG / 5.79 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 9-6 TARGET: SEA 9 - 6 COL (SEA) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	2	0	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	9	15
COL	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	6	15

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed7.2

Run Diff-29

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SEA Season Quality

Record72-83

Win%0.465

Run Diff-57

RD/Game-0.368

COL Season Quality

Record57-98

Win%0.368

Run Diff-176

RD/Game-1.135

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.921; margin adjustment: -0.3868; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	109	388	86	0.222	13	38	0.338	7	6	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.308	0.395	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	147	548	154	0.281	26	76	0.377	6	6	2	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.312	0.373	0.565	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	137	448	116	0.259	22	70	0.329	6	6	2	1	0	0	2	0.333	0.274	0.350	0.497	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	119	430	79	0.184	23	68	0.293	6	5	1	1	0	1	0	0.200	0.218	0.305	0.438	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	143	572	139	0.243	21	66	0.302	6	6	2	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.273	0.320	0.403	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	145	570	154	0.270	10	54	0.325	6	5	2	1	1	1	0	0.400	0.261	0.302	0.329	OK
Cole Young	2B	152	555	137	0.247	17	65	0.309	6	6	3	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.275	0.357	OK
Lazaro Montes	DH	13	36	8	0.222	4	9	0.243	6	6	1	1	2	0	0	0.167	0.232	0.256	0.573	OK
Brock Rodden	3B	22	58	12	0.207	0	4	0.309	6	5	2	1	0	1	1	0.400	0.212	0.313	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									55	51	15	9	9	3	6	0.294

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	134	521	155	0.298	15	82	0.339	7	7	2	1	0	0	1	0.286	0.291	0.317	0.437	OK
Connor Norby	3B	34	114	36	0.316	3	16	0.400	7	6	2	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.272	0.344	0.417	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	131	490	120	0.245	38	81	0.312	7	6	2	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.304	0.512	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	146	524	159	0.303	15	69	0.393	6	5	3	1	2	1	1	0.600	0.327	0.398	0.436	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	83	306	83	0.271	10	48	0.336	6	6	3	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.282	0.332	0.488	OK
Adael Amador	2B	20	64	18	0.281	4	13	0.352	6	6	2	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.192	0.256	0.327	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	70	208	49	0.236	7	32	0.274	6	6	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.272	0.365	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	56	152	30	0.197	1	11	0.259	6	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.194	0.264	0.277	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	135	440	96	0.218	11	42	0.265	6	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.269	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									57	51	15	6	6	3	10	0.294

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kade Anderson	Starter	5	24.4	5.53	1.475	7.7	21	5.0	7	2	2	2	4	104	5.0	4	2
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	59	53.5	4.04	1.234	15.0	89	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	69	52.1	4.66	1.708	8.6	50	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	53.3	4.56	1.707	10.8	64	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26	1.0	0	2
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	52	37.0	3.65	1.324	10.2	42	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.2	2	0
Carlos Vargas	Reliever	13	13.7	5.26	1.168	9.2	14	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	0.0	2	0
Hoby Milner	Reliever	4	3.1	8.71	1.935	8.7	3	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	29	0.0	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	27	139.4	5.62	1.392	5.6	86	4.2	5	2	2	2	1	91	4.2	1	2
Jordan Romano	Closer	25	22.5	3.60	1.244	9.6	24	1.1	4	2	2	1	1	33	0.0	1	2
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	71	51.6	2.97	1.318	8.4	48	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	1	1
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	43.7	6.59	1.693	8.9	43	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	27	1.0	0	1
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	30.2	5.36	1.755	11.0	37	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	62	58.6	5.99	1.928	9.8	64	1.0	2	3	3	0	2	19	0.0	2	2

Game Summary

SEA wins 9-6

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SF 65-92 (4.22 RPG / 4.73 RA)

4 - 8

LAD 96-60 (5.0 RPG / 3.76 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 8-4 TARGET: SF 4 - 8 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	4	10
LAD	0	3	2	0	0	3	0	0	x	8	7

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff35

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

SF Season Quality

Record64-91

Win%0.413

Run Diff-82

RD/Game-0.529

LAD Season Quality

Record95-60

Win%0.613

Run Diff191

RD/Game1.232

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.6478; margin adjustment: 2.6365; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	2B	44	124	36	0.290	4	15	0.328	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.276	0.314	0.397	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	138	527	145	0.275	9	54	0.316	5	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.234	0.263	0.375	OK
Victor Bericoto	DH	32	91	23	0.253	5	14	0.269	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.260	0.436	OK
Andrew Knizner	C	21	57	13	0.228	2	4	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.296	0.410	OK
Brett Harris	1B	7	18	4	0.222	0	0	0.263	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.176	0.211	0.274	OK
Scott Bandura	LF	6	13	3	0.231	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.120	0.176	0.231	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	21	73	15	0.205	2	6	0.205	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.194	0.199	0.330	OK
Grant McCray	CF	27	72	11	0.153	2	4	0.247	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.112	0.202	0.223	OK
Christian Koss	SS	58	178	42	0.236	4	12	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.258	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	10	4	4	2	6	0.278

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mookie Betts	SS	114	449	118	0.263	22	67	0.325	4	3	1	1	5	1	0	0.333	0.373	0.428	0.631	OK
Tommy Edman	CF	74	266	64	0.241	6	35	0.322	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.282	0.337	OK
Teoscar Hernández	RF	116	413	109	0.264	15	62	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.347	0.442	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	146	551	160	0.290	16	65	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.261	0.329	0.371	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	92	215	58	0.270	4	22	0.299	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.173	0.215	0.303	OK
Max Muncy	3B	141	464	117	0.252	29	75	0.348	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.289	0.358	0.564	OK
Josue De Paula	DH	8	24	6	0.250	1	7	0.455	4	2	1	1	0	2	1	0.500	0.259	0.439	0.447	OK
Enrique Hernández	LF	32	78	17	0.218	3	10	0.274	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.229	0.286	0.378	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	25	65	15	0.231	1	7	0.351	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.213	0.316	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	8	8	5	8	0.226

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matt Wilkinson	Starter	6	19.2	4.69	1.146	5.6	12	4.1	4	5	5	4	5	91	4.1	5	4
Dylan Smith	Closer	38	31.8	3.96	1.667	11.9	42	1.1	3	3	3	0	1	26	1.1	1	3
Trent Harris	Setup Man	17	18.4	2.45	1.141	12.2	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Carson Seymour	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	21	24.4	5.53	1.844	7.7	21	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Dreyer	Starter	63	50.0	3.78	1.340	12.2	68	5.0	5	2	2	2	4	86	5.0	4	2
Tanner Scott	Closer	66	55.3	3.09	1.103	12.5	77	1.2	3	2	2	0	0	24	1.2	0	2
Brock Stewart	Setup Man	24	21.1	2.56	1.090	9.0	21	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	69	44.5	3.44	1.371	14.0	69	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 8-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers

TOR 77-79 (4.03 RPG / 4.3 RA)

2 - 4

TEX 78-78 (4.19 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-2 TARGET: TOR 2 - 4 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 55.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	4
TEX	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	4

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

TOR Season Quality

Record76-79

Win%0.490

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.303

TEX Season Quality

Record78-77

Win%0.503

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.187

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2463; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	36	146	47	0.322	2	11	0.387	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.321	0.357	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	139	527	138	0.262	9	56	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.330	0.349	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	115	387	105	0.271	10	37	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.251	0.283	0.338	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	148	544	128	0.235	33	88	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.299	0.455	OK
Sean Keys	DH	17	46	9	0.196	2	7	0.213	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.227	0.359	OK
Josh Smith	LF	26	57	13	0.228	5	7	0.338	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.202	0.291	0.328	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	135	450	109	0.242	9	56	0.289	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.216	0.241	0.323	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	75	230	50	0.217	8	21	0.301	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.191	0.280	0.307	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	150	566	150	0.265	9	47	0.292	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.162	0.197	0.236	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	10	0.129

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	LF	103	386	94	0.244	17	42	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.367	0.414	OK
Corey Seager	DH	94	354	83	0.234	18	47	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.321	0.428	OK
Josh Jung	3B	99	383	114	0.298	11	39	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.286	0.335	0.486	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	144	515	137	0.266	17	83	0.325	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.239	0.286	0.360	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	149	570	148	0.260	14	61	0.325	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.232	0.291	0.354	OK
Jake Burger	1B	147	530	123	0.232	26	86	0.305	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.298	0.365	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	83	220	61	0.277	1	23	0.328	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.281	0.281	OK
Danny Jansen	C	58	175	36	0.206	6	23	0.298	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.267	0.329	0.424	OK
Evan Carter	CF	132	376	71	0.189	9	38	0.281	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.162	0.240	0.254	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	28	4	4	4	3	6	0.143

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Miles	Starter	47	84.9	2.86	1.178	9.2	87	6.0	2	2	2	1	3	98	6.0	3	3
Louis Varland	Closer	69	70.4	1.41	1.080	12.1	95	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	71	64.0	1.83	1.234	5.5	39	1.0	2	2	2	1	2	23	1.0	2	1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	29	152.0	3.85	1.086	11.5	194	5.2	4	2	2	2	7	100	5.2	7	2
Jacob Latz	Closer	55	64.9	1.80	0.801	10.8	78	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	49	47.7	3.21	1.258	7.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	21	14.5	4.97	1.862	13.0	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-2

Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals

WAS 73-83 (5.12 RPG / 5.04 RA)

6 - 5

STL 76-80 (4.51 RPG / 4.66 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 6-5 TARGET: WAS 6 - 5 STL (WAS) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	6	5
STL	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	5	7

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

WAS Season Quality

Record73-82

Win%0.471

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.090

STL Season Quality

Record75-80

Win%0.484

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.161

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3526; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	128	487	130	0.267	30	76	0.392	4	2	1	1	4	2	0	0.500	0.276	0.392	0.497	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	71	181	47	0.260	11	37	0.346	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.293	0.359	0.559	OK
Brady House	3B	86	301	72	0.239	10	45	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.167	0.230	0.302	OK
CJ Abrams	2B	145	555	145	0.261	30	97	0.337	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.266	0.328	0.483	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	100	379	85	0.224	12	43	0.289	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.277	0.407	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	153	578	144	0.249	22	88	0.302	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.249	0.292	0.499	OK
Harry Ford	C	31	92	17	0.185	3	10	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.110	0.227	0.215	OK
Jacob Young	CF	122	404	100	0.248	10	45	0.308	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.155	0.208	0.264	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	130	417	88	0.211	1	36	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.307	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	6	6	4	14	0.156

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	129	503	122	0.243	17	48	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.230	0.303	0.347	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	150	570	138	0.242	15	64	0.351	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.283	0.309	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	150	570	161	0.282	23	108	0.348	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.196	0.269	0.356	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	148	571	157	0.275	26	95	0.333	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.273	0.349	OK
Leonardo Bernal	C	17	71	22	0.310	3	15	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.271	0.299	0.398	OK
Thomas Saggese	SS	45	142	36	0.254	4	13	0.310	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.244	0.300	0.361	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	59	148	36	0.243	3	17	0.313	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.300	0.312	OK
José Fermín	3B	107	306	77	0.252	6	41	0.314	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.262	0.332	0.369	OK
Nathan Church	CF	122	409	105	0.257	10	49	0.301	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.279	0.321	0.385	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	5	5	3	6	0.226

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Irvin	Starter	20	94.7	5.61	1.436	9.1	96	5.0	3	2	2	2	6	80	5.0	6	2
Erik Tolman	Closer	11	10.5	3.43	1.524	10.3	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brad Lord	Setup Man	39	72.3	4.36	1.369	9.2	74	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Luis Perales	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	5	9.0	9.00	2.333	11.0	11	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	10	1.0	0	1
Jared Simpson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	3	4.1	4.39	1.220	8.8	4	0.1	2	2	2	0	0	14	0.2	0	2

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Quinn Mathews	Starter	7	36.4	3.71	1.429	8.9	36	5.2	4	4	4	3	9	107	5.2	9	4
Riley O'Brien	Closer	65	60.2	4.34	1.362	9.6	64	1.0	1	2	2	0	1	28	1.0	1	2
George Soriano	Setup Man	69	56.6	4.93	1.608	10.2	64	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	67	51.8	4.69	1.544	11.1	64	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	24	1.0	2	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	69	62.4	4.33	1.587	7.6	53	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 6-5

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

ATL Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS Recent Form

TB Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

KC Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

KC Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres

MIA Recent Form

SD Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles

MIL Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels