MLB Predictions — September 19, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ HOU	4 - 3	4 - 3	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ TB	4 - 5	4 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ CIN	7 - 4	7 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 7-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ CHW	6 - 4	6 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 6-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ PIT	4 - 5	4 - 5	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ SD	5 - 8	5 - 8	SD	SD	SD wins 8-5	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ BAL	4 - 5	4 - 5	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ LAA	3 - 4	3 - 4	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ ARI	5 - 2	5 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-2	71%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ CLE	4 - 6	4 - 6	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 6-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ NYM	5 - 6	5 - 6	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ COL	10 - 5	10 - 5	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 10-5	72%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ LAD	1 - 7	1 - 7	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 7-1	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ TEX	2 - 4	2 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-2	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ STL	5 - 4	5 - 4	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

ATL 91-65 (4.62 RPG / 3.89 RA)

4 - 3

HOU 77-78 (4.43 RPG / 4.79 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-3 TARGET: ATL 4 - 3 HOU (ATL) Confidence: 56.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	4	8
HOU	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	6

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ATL Season Quality

Record90-64

Win%0.584

Run Diff115

RD/Game0.747

HOU Season Quality

Record77-77

Win%0.500

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.351

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8964; margin adjustment: -0.3765; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	130	511	143	0.280	24	77	0.355	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.294	0.359	0.479	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	100	384	99	0.258	19	51	0.347	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.317	0.487	OK
Matt Olson	1B	153	591	149	0.252	39	86	0.324	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.295	0.353	0.550	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	147	562	166	0.295	26	85	0.319	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.293	0.310	0.475	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	145	538	148	0.275	11	70	0.321	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.310	0.357	0.441	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	153	579	143	0.247	22	71	0.303	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.217	0.275	0.367	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	125	333	75	0.225	10	35	0.305	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.203	0.278	0.366	OK
Austin Riley	3B	151	534	118	0.221	17	69	0.294	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.197	0.262	0.321	OK
Sean Murphy	C	27	93	17	0.183	3	10	0.240	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.160	0.212	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	41	8	4	4	3	10	0.195

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	103	413	114	0.276	20	51	0.327	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.273	0.305	0.493	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	149	531	167	0.315	40	99	0.433	5	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.292	0.415	0.614	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	146	529	135	0.255	21	88	0.354	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.245	0.319	0.421	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	126	490	119	0.243	15	44	0.301	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.257	0.315	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	84	304	84	0.276	12	37	0.308	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.171	0.206	0.281	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	39	148	26	0.176	5	14	0.228	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.188	0.232	0.338	OK
Christian Walker	1B	146	537	119	0.222	25	80	0.295	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.170	0.235	0.313	OK
Cam Smith	RF	140	481	102	0.212	20	53	0.277	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.166	0.220	0.345	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	48	121	26	0.215	4	19	0.307	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.204	0.282	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	38	6	3	3	6	4	0.158

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	30	140.4	3.72	1.360	7.2	112	5.0	4	2	2	4	1	92	5.0	1	2
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	56	54.9	2.79	1.166	9.8	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	67	55.6	3.24	1.025	12.1	75	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	65.3	2.48	1.149	12.4	90	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	45	40.3	2.68	1.042	10.5	47	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	0.1	0	1
Brent Suter	Reliever	11	22.5	2.00	1.333	7.6	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.0	1	0
Ray Kerr	Reliever	7	13.4	1.34	0.522	6.7	10	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.0	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hayden Wesneski	Starter	9	48.2	3.73	1.141	7.1	38	5.1	2	2	2	1	5	85	5.1	5	2
Josh Hader	Closer	43	42.4	0.64	0.590	11.7	55	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Bryan Abreu	Setup Man	62	53.6	4.20	1.455	13.1	78	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	86.4	3.65	1.296	9.6	92	1.1	2	1	1	0	2	23	1.1	2	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	61.3	5.58	1.452	9.8	67	2.0	1	0	0	2	1	36	0.0	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-3

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS 84-71 (4.37 RPG / 3.83 RA)

4 - 5

TB 94-60 (4.56 RPG / 4.05 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: BOS 4 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 52.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	4	8
TB	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	x	5	7

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed2.2

Run Diff31

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

BOS Season Quality

Record84-70

Win%0.545

Run Diff85

RD/Game0.552

TB Season Quality

Record93-60

Win%0.608

Run Diff78

RD/Game0.510

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2994; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	48	187	44	0.235	5	14	0.335	5	5	2	1	3	0	2	0.400	0.225	0.300	0.374	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	59	177	47	0.266	9	23	0.367	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.286	0.346	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	25	91	17	0.187	4	10	0.253	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.282	0.390	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	147	559	142	0.254	23	73	0.333	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.200	0.274	0.350	OK
Nick Sogard	1B	56	204	51	0.250	5	18	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.315	0.373	OK
Trevor Story	SS	58	231	57	0.247	4	28	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.290	0.388	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	140	472	115	0.244	13	61	0.328	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.349	0.414	OK
Jarren Duran	CF	141	526	106	0.202	20	63	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.181	0.230	0.319	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	49	144	37	0.257	2	16	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.294	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	5	0.229

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Fraley	DH	30	84	19	0.226	2	5	0.301	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.291	0.360	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	147	556	155	0.279	21	91	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.340	0.466	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	152	580	161	0.278	41	97	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.353	0.521	OK
Liam Hicks	C	35	102	30	0.294	4	19	0.392	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.176	0.274	0.282	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	141	549	169	0.308	0	36	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.288	0.313	0.343	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	61	199	52	0.261	13	30	0.324	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.325	0.393	0.645	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	112	325	76	0.234	10	52	0.331	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.180	0.281	0.355	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	126	418	84	0.201	14	45	0.282	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.090	0.168	0.159	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	21	62	9	0.145	1	7	0.194	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.120	0.159	0.195	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	7	5	5	1	8	0.226

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brayan Bello	Starter	24	100.6	4.92	1.481	7.1	79	4.1	3	2	2	0	6	73	4.1	6	2
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	51	50.2	1.43	1.076	12.2	68	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	17	16.2	3.33	1.420	15.6	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	52	49.5	1.82	0.848	10.5	58	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	26	1.0	0	3

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	8	43.4	3.94	0.991	6.8	33	5.2	5	3	3	1	4	102	5.2	4	3
Bryan Baker	Closer	60	57.7	1.40	0.867	9.7	62	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	67	60.5	2.98	1.058	9.1	61	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	28	1.1	0	0
Cam Booser	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	38	31.0	2.61	0.968	12.2	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC 86-69 (5.33 RPG / 4.4 RA)

7 - 4

CIN 72-83 (4.14 RPG / 5.14 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 7-4 TARGET: CHC 7 - 4 CIN (CHC) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	7	10
CIN	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	3

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed7.5

Run Diff-44

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CHC Season Quality

Record85-69

Win%0.552

Run Diff141

RD/Game0.916

CIN Season Quality

Record72-82

Win%0.468

Run Diff-152

RD/Game-0.987

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6074; margin adjustment: -2.5718; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	152	589	166	0.282	44	105	0.374	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.270	0.331	0.556	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	150	591	156	0.264	26	88	0.353	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.255	0.328	0.467	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	134	512	137	0.268	24	83	0.366	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.262	0.352	0.445	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	24	64	23	0.359	1	8	0.408	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.199	0.249	0.372	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	149	594	157	0.264	8	69	0.313	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.244	0.281	0.310	OK
Michael Busch	1B	150	564	134	0.238	18	74	0.348	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.230	0.347	0.371	OK
Carson Kelly	C	110	364	97	0.266	10	57	0.346	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.308	0.374	0.416	OK
Matt Shaw	RF	59	153	38	0.248	5	21	0.326	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.315	0.401	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	116	398	86	0.216	16	59	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.221	0.324	0.403	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	7	7	5	11	0.270

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	96	268	69	0.257	6	25	0.341	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.306	0.358	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	132	517	150	0.290	28	74	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.316	0.398	0.579	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	151	579	157	0.271	31	107	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.333	0.453	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	121	388	97	0.250	15	54	0.332	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.241	0.315	0.378	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	117	407	87	0.214	24	69	0.308	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.205	0.290	0.411	OK
Juan Brito	RF	11	36	13	0.361	2	10	0.385	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.260	0.304	0.399	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	121	430	94	0.219	22	56	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.302	0.321	OK
Matt McLain	2B	121	412	76	0.184	15	39	0.273	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.157	0.228	0.306	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	70	213	31	0.146	5	8	0.202	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.087	0.138	0.152	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	4	4	3	5	0.100

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	20	111.4	4.28	1.275	7.2	89	6.0	2	4	4	3	3	99	6.0	3	4
Jacob Webb	Closer	66	57.9	3.89	1.416	10.9	70	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Setup Man	17	12.3	6.59	1.951	11.7	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	28	23.0	4.30	1.391	10.2	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	19	94.1	5.26	1.530	7.6	79	4.2	8	5	5	3	7	107	4.2	7	4
Emilio Pagán	Closer	42	39.5	3.65	1.063	9.8	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Luis Mey	Setup Man	25	29.0	6.52	1.759	14.3	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	75	63.0	2.71	1.444	10.4	73	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	25	1.1	2	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	38.1	5.91	1.680	8.5	36	1.0	2	2	2	2	1	27	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

CHC wins 7-4

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET 73-82 (4.49 RPG / 4.01 RA)

6 - 4

CHW 79-76 (4.68 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 6-4 TARGET: DET 6 - 4 CHW (DET) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	6	10
CHW	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	7

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

DET Season Quality

Record73-81

Win%0.474

Run Diff77

RD/Game0.500

CHW Season Quality

Record78-76

Win%0.506

Run Diff33

RD/Game0.214

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4789; margin adjustment: -0.2011; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	147	566	157	0.277	17	69	0.380	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.298	0.401	0.459	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	99	292	78	0.267	10	45	0.322	5	3	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.271	0.325	0.507	OK
Colt Keith	1B	134	378	97	0.257	10	35	0.314	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.266	0.321	0.434	OK
Riley Greene	DH	131	483	138	0.286	21	75	0.372	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.295	0.376	0.494	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	138	524	128	0.244	27	89	0.303	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.191	0.229	0.337	OK
Max Clark	CF	43	151	40	0.265	3	20	0.347	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.270	0.326	0.412	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	42	98	23	0.235	3	13	0.327	5	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.231	0.321	0.346	OK
Brett Callahan	LF	23	56	12	0.214	1	8	0.274	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.139	0.202	0.276	OK
John Peck	SS	13	45	10	0.222	0	7	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.158	0.253	0.219	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	37	10	6	6	6	5	0.270

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	132	453	122	0.269	8	45	0.365	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.265	0.318	0.384	OK
Kyle Teel	C	31	95	18	0.189	4	20	0.300	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.176	0.282	0.332	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	151	566	141	0.249	32	87	0.356	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.254	0.344	0.504	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	119	424	86	0.203	32	68	0.344	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.187	0.326	0.449	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	134	404	99	0.245	14	71	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.165	0.225	0.288	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	145	540	111	0.206	31	87	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.174	0.245	0.327	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	147	546	147	0.269	14	56	0.344	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.255	0.324	0.381	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	84	295	61	0.207	6	37	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.179	0.271	0.289	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	26	69	17	0.246	2	7	0.246	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.235	0.275	0.335	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	7	4	4	4	8	0.212

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Jobe	Starter	7	33.5	4.03	1.313	9.1	34	5.0	3	1	1	2	6	92	5.0	6	1
Kenley Jansen	Closer	47	39.5	3.19	1.139	11.2	49	1.1	4	3	3	1	0	33	1.1	0	3
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	65	60.6	3.27	1.436	8.2	55	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Drew Sommers	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	40	29.6	3.34	1.385	17.6	58	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	30	156.8	3.56	1.231	9.9	173	5.0	2	1	1	4	5	97	5.0	5	1
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	32	1.1	0	1
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	53	73.6	3.18	1.277	9.5	78	1.1	1	1	1	2	0	31	1.1	0	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	52.8	2.90	1.307	9.4	55	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	0.1	3	2	2	0	0	13	0.1	0	2

Game Summary

DET wins 6-4

Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

KC 67-88 (4.21 RPG / 4.86 RA)

4 - 5

PIT 78-77 (4.8 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: KC 4 - 5 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 54.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	4	7
PIT	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	5

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

KC Season Quality

Record67-87

Win%0.435

Run Diff-100

RD/Game-0.649

PIT Season Quality

Record77-77

Win%0.500

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.175

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7772; margin adjustment: 0.3264; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	141	501	117	0.234	24	75	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.315	0.429	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	134	522	144	0.276	18	53	0.356	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.320	0.369	OK
Jac Caglianone	DH	135	481	132	0.274	23	70	0.324	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.238	0.277	0.417	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	105	387	93	0.240	13	51	0.328	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.321	0.470	OK
Michael Massey	2B	121	394	110	0.279	13	47	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.282	0.433	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	112	354	82	0.232	7	42	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.294	0.338	OK
John Rave	RF	41	119	27	0.227	6	13	0.308	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.300	0.439	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	90	274	60	0.219	6	24	0.265	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.201	0.237	0.276	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	136	421	92	0.219	6	40	0.325	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.106	0.236	0.187	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	4	4	1	9	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	71	280	76	0.271	5	31	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.294	0.333	0.404	OK
Oneil Cruz	DH	90	350	97	0.277	19	66	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.299	0.379	0.507	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	151	562	149	0.265	17	71	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.336	0.413	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	38	127	34	0.268	9	20	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.300	0.348	0.506	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	140	545	141	0.259	32	91	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.278	0.344	0.586	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	137	518	156	0.301	4	58	0.364	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.298	0.346	0.377	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	97	369	101	0.274	18	72	0.337	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.270	0.329	0.455	OK
Ronny Simon	RF	14	44	14	0.318	0	2	0.362	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.308	0.352	0.416	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	115	405	115	0.284	4	30	0.336	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.264	0.299	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	5	5	5	3	9	0.161

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	29	164.0	3.90	1.207	8.2	149	5.2	2	1	1	2	7	97	5.2	7	1
Steven Cruz	Closer	54	52.0	4.50	1.365	10.7	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	23	23.3	2.70	1.159	9.3	24	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	11.4	3.95	1.491	6.3	8	1.0	2	3	3	0	0	10	0.1	0	3

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	29	143.6	4.39	1.386	8.3	132	5.1	7	4	4	1	6	92	5.1	6	4
Mason Montgomery	Closer	64	56.3	2.72	1.137	15.5	97	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	14	11.6	6.98	1.724	10.9	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	58.5	3.69	1.214	11.7	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres

MIA 76-78 (4.44 RPG / 4.42 RA)

5 - 8

SD 85-69 (4.39 RPG / 4.16 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 8-5 TARGET: MIA 5 - 8 SD (SD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	7
SD	2	0	1	2	0	2	0	1	x	8	13

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs7.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff27

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

MIA Season Quality

Record76-78

Win%0.494

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.013

SD Season Quality

Record85-69

Win%0.552

Run Diff36

RD/Game0.234

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5701; margin adjustment: 0.2394; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	150	599	184	0.307	10	69	0.349	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.294	0.333	0.404	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	120	417	97	0.233	24	64	0.311	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.245	0.304	0.389	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	116	431	102	0.237	19	61	0.326	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.200	0.272	0.363	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	125	429	126	0.294	9	64	0.327	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.288	0.315	0.455	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	139	515	145	0.282	6	52	0.361	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.327	0.314	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	144	492	112	0.228	11	39	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.278	0.364	0.473	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	61	199	46	0.231	5	22	0.312	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.321	0.474	OK
Joe Mack	C	96	289	67	0.232	13	46	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.262	0.352	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	82	194	43	0.222	6	15	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.169	0.223	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	5	5	3	8	0.206

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	150	599	171	0.285	23	78	0.354	5	4	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.285	0.353	0.483	OK
Dustin Harris	RF	17	59	22	0.373	0	13	0.397	5	5	5	1	6	0	0	1.000	0.320	0.372	0.425	OK
Manny Machado	3B	150	558	122	0.219	28	84	0.308	5	5	2	1	2	0	3	0.400	0.207	0.294	0.374	OK
Ty France	1B	119	409	123	0.301	21	69	0.365	5	4	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.338	0.380	0.571	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	150	587	150	0.256	26	86	0.304	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.303	0.335	0.570	OK
Luis Campusano	DH	66	202	54	0.267	8	29	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.331	0.433	OK
Jake Cronenworth	SS	100	350	78	0.223	5	30	0.304	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.255	0.323	0.337	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	40	132	43	0.326	1	15	0.403	4	4	4	1	0	0	0	1.000	0.329	0.398	0.411	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	75	223	44	0.197	4	20	0.266	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.136	0.210	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	13	8	8	3	8	0.351

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	27	142.7	4.04	1.254	9.8	155	5.0	7	5	5	3	5	107	5.0	5	5
Calvin Faucher	Closer	65	56.4	3.99	1.507	10.9	68	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	54.8	3.45	1.241	12.2	74	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	15.8	6.27	1.709	7.4	13	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	2

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	8	36.5	6.16	1.534	5.4	22	5.0	5	3	3	2	2	98	5.0	2	3
Mason Miller	Closer	61	61.3	1.17	0.897	17.5	119	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	72	72.9	3.21	1.193	12.5	101	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	58.9	2.14	1.138	11.3	74	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	53.3	2.20	1.276	11.1	66	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

SD wins 8-5

Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles

MIL 97-58 (5.15 RPG / 3.87 RA)

4 - 5

BAL 75-80 (4.47 RPG / 4.65 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 5-4 TARGET: MIL 4 - 5 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	6
BAL	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	5	9

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs7.2

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff30

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Season Quality

Record96-58

Win%0.623

Run Diff198

RD/Game1.286

BAL Season Quality

Record75-79

Win%0.487

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.175

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2982; margin adjustment: -0.5452; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	117	492	143	0.291	24	70	0.349	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.321	0.466	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	129	423	111	0.262	10	58	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.354	0.494	OK
William Contreras	DH	138	537	145	0.270	17	86	0.340	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.279	0.353	0.468	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	98	283	88	0.311	6	43	0.388	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.296	0.366	0.435	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	111	345	92	0.267	9	45	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.295	0.355	0.439	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	79	212	44	0.208	11	35	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.351	0.389	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	63	201	56	0.279	3	30	0.342	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.300	0.364	0.378	OK
Luis Lara	RF	50	169	43	0.254	1	24	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.311	0.335	OK
David Hamilton	2B	106	320	77	0.241	4	26	0.304	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.298	0.330	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	2	10	0.182

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Rece Hinds	RF	8	17	4	0.235	0	1	0.300	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.104	0.153	0.200	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	151	566	152	0.269	38	105	0.362	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.338	0.579	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	118	383	89	0.232	24	63	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.302	0.500	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	50	172	45	0.262	9	34	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.286	0.498	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	148	590	132	0.224	22	57	0.308	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.324	0.404	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	LF	81	250	55	0.220	8	36	0.245	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.225	0.368	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	26	67	7	0.104	0	0	0.200	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.098	0.157	0.143	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	126	413	89	0.215	8	54	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.197	0.248	0.287	OK
José Barrero	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.240	0.301	0.376
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	9	5	5	3	9	0.265

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	19	92.6	4.47	1.317	8.9	92	5.0	6	2	2	2	7	101	5.0	7	3
Trevor Megill	Closer	59	57.5	2.19	0.904	10.3	66	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	2
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	58	51.9	2.25	1.118	10.2	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	72	77.1	3.62	1.518	13.0	111	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	35	1.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	28	153.7	4.33	1.249	8.4	143	6.0	5	3	3	2	9	101	6.0	9	3
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	54	42.2	4.05	1.540	8.3	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Rico Garcia	Setup Man	72	55.2	3.10	1.105	10.8	66	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	38.2	2.83	1.152	10.1	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-4

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels

MIN 72-82 (4.54 RPG / 5.0 RA)

3 - 4

LAA 59-95 (4.02 RPG / 4.54 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 4-3 TARGET: MIN 3 - 4 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
MIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	6
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	4	9

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-22

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIN Season Quality

Record72-82

Win%0.468

Run Diff-71

RD/Game-0.461

LAA Season Quality

Record59-95

Win%0.383

Run Diff-80

RD/Game-0.519

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0225; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	144	502	140	0.279	9	45	0.370	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.294	0.367	0.387	OK
Austin Martin	LF	97	295	69	0.234	3	23	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.305	0.320	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	83	297	77	0.259	14	55	0.353	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.303	0.394	OK
Josh Bell	DH	147	543	137	0.252	20	89	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.282	0.388	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	145	552	138	0.250	23	80	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.311	0.387	OK
Royce Lewis	2B	118	434	98	0.226	14	54	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.207	0.262	0.339	OK
Victor Caratini	1B	100	312	69	0.221	7	41	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.284	0.304	OK
Walker Jenkins	CF	16	53	10	0.189	3	8	0.283	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.300	0.430	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	83	230	50	0.217	7	27	0.271	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.139	0.197	0.293	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	6	3	3	1	12	0.167

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	149	591	142	0.240	26	74	0.324	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.239	0.322	0.427	OK
Mike Trout	DH	135	489	117	0.239	21	53	0.377	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.225	0.361	0.389	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	84	268	79	0.295	3	27	0.366	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.293	0.361	0.371	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	108	389	92	0.237	11	64	0.299	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.273	0.347	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	1B	38	134	30	0.224	3	12	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.320	0.401	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	72	256	58	0.227	7	29	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.264	0.335	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	100	289	61	0.211	12	29	0.274	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.277	0.403	OK
Jose Siri	CF	82	207	48	0.232	8	28	0.279	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.248	0.285	0.405	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	33	92	17	0.185	0	3	0.227	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.163	0.185	0.222	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	39	9	4	4	1	7	0.231

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joe Ryan	Starter	25	132.5	3.87	1.170	9.9	146	5.0	4	0	0	0	4	75	5.0	4	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	53	40.6	3.99	1.576	10.6	48	1.1	2	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	18	13.9	2.59	1.295	16.2	25	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	3
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	15.5	1.74	1.290	11.6	20	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	61.5	4.98	1.561	9.4	64	1.2	1	1	1	0	0	24	0.0	0	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	30	170.5	3.43	1.067	10.5	199	6.0	4	2	2	0	9	94	6.0	9	2
Ben Joyce	Closer	15	13.4	4.70	1.269	12.1	18	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	16	12.0	2.25	1.167	12.8	17	1.2	2	1	1	1	1	31	1.1	1	1
Tayler Saucedo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	24	14.2	3.80	1.408	13.9	22	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 4-3

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks

NYY 89-64 (4.61 RPG / 3.68 RA)

5 - 2

ARI 80-74 (4.42 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-2 TARGET: NYY 5 - 2 ARI (NYY) Confidence: 71.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	5	6
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	3

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

NYY Season Quality

Record89-64

Win%0.582

Run Diff143

RD/Game0.935

ARI Season Quality

Record80-74

Win%0.519

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.045

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9945; margin adjustment: -0.4177; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	142	532	142	0.267	38	90	0.368	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.317	0.419	0.620	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	123	463	128	0.276	16	71	0.351	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.314	0.373	0.494	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	36	136	39	0.287	7	15	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.287	0.460	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	29	83	13	0.157	2	8	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.315	0.398	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	34	121	29	0.240	4	15	0.299	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.258	0.310	0.414	OK
Austin Wells	C	114	321	58	0.181	12	30	0.278	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.274	0.361	OK
Anthony Volpe	2B	61	195	48	0.246	2	24	0.329	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.331	0.360	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	107	310	65	0.210	10	35	0.272	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.145	0.203	0.238	OK
José Caballero	CF	118	391	91	0.233	14	50	0.288	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.292	0.384	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	5	5	2	7	0.182

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	LF	32	101	23	0.228	3	10	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.226	0.323	0.353	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	132	531	132	0.249	22	74	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.272	0.362	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	123	447	136	0.304	15	75	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.277	0.344	0.498	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	148	528	134	0.254	9	49	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.285	0.390	0.365	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	147	549	133	0.242	22	69	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.227	0.297	0.496	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	143	498	122	0.245	26	74	0.322	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.292	0.351	0.544	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	87	281	67	0.238	10	38	0.293	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.274	0.364	OK
Jesús Sánchez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.243	0.281	0.379
Jordan Lawlar	CF	34	106	28	0.264	5	13	0.328	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.170	0.203	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	2	2	2	9	0.100

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	31	180.7	1.99	0.924	11.4	228	6.1	1	1	1	1	8	91	6.1	8	1
David Bednar	Closer	61	61.9	2.76	1.115	10.8	74	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	77	61.2	2.35	1.438	13.8	94	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	72.8	1.85	1.195	8.2	66	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Pfaadt	Starter	27	119.1	3.93	1.217	6.3	84	6.1	3	2	2	1	5	95	6.1	5	2
Brandyn Garcia	Closer	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	26	1.0	0	3
Juan Morillo	Setup Man	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-2

Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians

OAK 61-94 (4.32 RPG / 5.75 RA)

4 - 6

CLE 80-75 (4.18 RPG / 4.17 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 6-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 6 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	5
CLE	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	0	x	6	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-28

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

OAK Season Quality

Record61-93

Win%0.396

Run Diff-216

RD/Game-1.403

CLE Season Quality

Record79-75

Win%0.513

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.032

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2621; margin adjustment: 0.5301; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	107	380	104	0.274	11	34	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.331	0.399	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	134	452	121	0.268	8	54	0.312	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.256	0.292	0.349	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	98	392	103	0.263	23	55	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.310	0.452	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	139	440	101	0.230	17	59	0.317	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.299	0.463	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	99	364	90	0.247	19	49	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.264	0.417	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	48	118	25	0.212	4	13	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.135	0.218	0.278	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	113	325	82	0.252	9	40	0.319	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.292	0.349	OK
Brian Serven	C	22	72	14	0.194	5	14	0.237	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.182	0.218	0.336	OK
Alika Williams	SS	71	201	52	0.259	4	15	0.294	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.246	0.284	0.402	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	4	4	1	9	0.156

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	138	499	138	0.277	3	30	0.375	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.290	0.396	0.382	OK
José Ramírez	3B	114	432	100	0.231	12	51	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.293	0.376	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	121	454	131	0.289	14	61	0.361	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.276	0.360	0.426	OK
Jo Adell	RF	39	146	35	0.240	6	29	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.281	0.427	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	99	359	89	0.248	15	53	0.285	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.276	0.450	OK
David Fry	1B	76	163	31	0.190	7	15	0.290	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.193	0.282	0.364	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	113	411	101	0.246	15	55	0.338	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.351	0.579	OK
Austin Hedges	C	70	203	51	0.251	5	23	0.325	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.300	0.332	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	143	500	125	0.250	11	63	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.294	0.348	0.399	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	11	6	6	1	7	0.314

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Lopez	Starter	25	111.4	5.17	1.526	8.6	107	4.2	8	4	4	1	4	98	4.2	4	4
Seth Johnson	Reliever	8	11.3	4.78	1.327	12.7	16	2.1	2	1	1	0	1	35	2.1	1	1
Chris Roycroft	Reliever	6	8.4	1.07	1.548	6.4	6	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	31	173.6	4.25	1.210	7.3	140	5.2	2	1	1	0	5	79	5.2	5	1
Cade Smith	Closer	65	65.8	2.19	1.049	13.7	100	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	63	47.8	3.01	1.339	10.0	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	35.3	3.31	1.360	17.8	70	1.1	3	3	3	0	2	26	1.1	2	3

Game Summary

CLE wins 6-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

PHI 85-70 (4.45 RPG / 4.3 RA)

5 - 6

NYM 71-84 (4.3 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 6-5 TARGET: PHI 5 - 6 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 52.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
PHI	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	10
NYM	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	6	7

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

PHI Season Quality

Record85-69

Win%0.552

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.201

NYM Season Quality

Record70-84

Win%0.455

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.279

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3821; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	146	552	129	0.234	44	94	0.348	5	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.192	0.310	0.426	OK
Trea Turner	SS	146	608	146	0.240	19	57	0.292	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.292	0.353	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	152	541	147	0.272	28	84	0.386	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.274	0.381	0.480	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	40	156	44	0.282	2	18	0.320	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.330	0.387	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	144	538	134	0.249	15	83	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.328	0.390	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	146	505	126	0.250	10	64	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.329	0.391	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	144	501	131	0.261	17	58	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.128	0.173	0.215	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	113	389	84	0.216	11	49	0.288	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.213	0.265	0.342	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	135	396	104	0.263	3	37	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.286	0.336	0.426	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	40	10	5	5	0	6	0.250

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	95	381	88	0.231	20	47	0.312	5	5	1	1	3	0	2	0.200	0.227	0.293	0.396	OK
Juan Soto	LF	101	365	101	0.277	26	64	0.391	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.279	0.379	0.521	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	148	594	157	0.264	16	74	0.312	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.247	0.286	0.331	OK
Carson Benge	RF	144	553	149	0.269	18	58	0.334	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.264	0.321	0.404	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	111	406	104	0.256	10	40	0.326	5	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.262	0.329	0.395	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	129	458	103	0.225	14	48	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.281	0.319	OK
Brett Baty	1B	127	396	92	0.232	10	50	0.301	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.317	0.373	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	102	342	75	0.219	14	35	0.302	4	2	1	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.181	0.248	0.315	OK
Ronny Mauricio	DH	17	50	9	0.180	1	2	0.180	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.181	0.188	0.270	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	7	6	6	2	10	0.189

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	23	113.0	5.65	1.469	8.0	100	5.1	3	2	2	1	5	84	5.1	5	2
Jhoan Duran	Closer	57	55.4	1.46	0.975	12.8	79	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Chase Shugart	Setup Man	41	44.2	4.68	1.290	11.0	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	51.2	3.69	1.133	12.8	73	1.2	2	2	2	0	1	27	1.2	1	2
Tim Mayza	Reliever	57	59.4	3.79	1.212	9.5	63	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	0.0	1	2

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Christian Scott	Starter	22	100.2	3.95	1.327	11.4	127	5.0	5	3	3	0	5	82	5.0	5	3
Kodai Senga	Closer	29	57.2	7.40	1.678	11.5	73	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1
Nathan Lavender	Setup Man	18	14.0	2.57	1.143	14.8	23	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Jonathan Pintaro	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	27.9	4.84	1.362	9.7	30	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Dedniel Núñez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	15.3	4.12	1.111	8.2	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0
Austin Warren	Middle Reliever	37	42.6	3.59	1.408	11.2	53	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 6-5

Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies

SEA 72-82 (4.08 RPG / 4.44 RA)

10 - 5

COL 56-98 (4.68 RPG / 5.84 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 10-5 TARGET: SEA 10 - 5 COL (SEA) Confidence: 72.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	10	12
COL	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed7.5

Run Diff-36

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

SEA Season Quality

Record72-82

Win%0.468

Run Diff-55

RD/Game-0.357

COL Season Quality

Record56-98

Win%0.364

Run Diff-178

RD/Game-1.156

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0083; margin adjustment: -0.4235; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	108	384	86	0.224	13	38	0.341	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.239	0.326	0.417	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	146	544	153	0.281	25	75	0.378	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.344	0.403	0.555	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	136	446	115	0.258	22	70	0.325	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.270	0.334	0.497	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	118	426	77	0.181	22	66	0.291	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.190	0.283	0.363	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	142	568	137	0.241	21	66	0.301	5	5	2	2	6	0	0	0.400	0.247	0.296	0.368	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	144	566	154	0.272	10	54	0.327	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.277	0.320	0.351	OK
Michael Arroyo	2B	7	15	5	0.333	1	3	0.450	5	5	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.339	0.467	0.656	OK
Lazaro Montes	DH	12	32	8	0.250	4	9	0.273	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.282	0.634	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	41	112	24	0.214	3	10	0.285	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.168	0.246	0.244	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	39	12	10	10	4	5	0.308

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	133	516	154	0.298	15	81	0.341	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.308	0.336	0.467	OK
Connor Norby	2B	33	110	34	0.309	3	16	0.397	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.296	0.361	0.443	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	145	520	157	0.302	15	68	0.392	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.297	0.372	0.405	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	130	487	119	0.244	38	81	0.311	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.269	0.443	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	82	302	82	0.272	10	46	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.281	0.333	0.499	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	120	382	100	0.262	12	48	0.355	4	2	1	1	0	2	1	0.500	0.248	0.322	0.432	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	108	386	94	0.244	22	64	0.281	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.274	0.473	OK
Zac Veen	RF	27	56	13	0.232	2	12	0.306	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.292	0.379	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	134	438	96	0.219	11	42	0.266	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.276	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	6	5	5	7	8	0.182

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	20	103.6	4.34	1.197	9.2	106	5.0	5	5	5	6	6	110	5.0	6	5
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	59	53.5	4.04	1.234	15.0	89	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	68	52.0	4.33	1.673	8.7	50	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	53.3	4.56	1.707	10.8	64	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	36.0	3.75	1.361	10.0	40	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jose Quintana	Starter	9	38.9	5.55	1.594	4.6	20	4.1	6	5	5	2	3	93	4.1	3	5
Jordan Romano	Closer	25	22.5	3.60	1.244	9.6	24	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	70	50.6	3.02	1.324	8.2	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.0	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	43.7	6.59	1.693	8.9	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	30.2	5.36	1.755	11.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	61	56.6	6.20	1.979	9.9	62	0.2	4	5	5	1	0	24	0.2	0	4

Game Summary

SEA wins 10-5

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SF 65-90 (4.25 RPG / 4.7 RA)

1 - 7

LAD 94-60 (4.98 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 7-1 TARGET: SF 1 - 7 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 56.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
LAD	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	x	7	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff30

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

SF Season Quality

Record64-90

Win%0.416

Run Diff-76

RD/Game-0.494

LAD Season Quality

Record94-60

Win%0.610

Run Diff185

RD/Game1.201

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.503; margin adjustment: 2.4048; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	CF	43	121	36	0.298	4	14	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.298	0.334	0.398	OK
Turner Hill	LF	27	88	21	0.239	1	15	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.313	0.333	OK
Victor Bericoto	DH	31	87	21	0.241	4	12	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.230	0.363	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	137	523	143	0.273	9	53	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.244	0.371	OK
Brett Harris	1B	6	15	3	0.200	0	0	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.161	0.198	0.230	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	20	69	15	0.217	2	6	0.217	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.220	0.354	OK
Andrew Knizner	C	20	53	12	0.226	2	4	0.305	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.170	0.227	0.305	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	37	120	24	0.200	5	13	0.260	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.246	0.327	OK
Christian Koss	SS	57	175	42	0.240	4	12	0.281	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.283	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	1	1	3	9	0.100

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mookie Betts	SS	113	445	114	0.256	22	65	0.318	4	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.301	0.361	0.580	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	145	546	160	0.293	16	65	0.371	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.335	0.378	OK
Will Smith	C	64	216	52	0.241	8	30	0.335	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.257	0.346	0.457	OK
Max Muncy	3B	140	459	115	0.251	29	74	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.282	0.452	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	115	408	108	0.265	15	62	0.334	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.272	0.343	0.471	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	142	507	119	0.235	17	70	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.340	0.429	0.672	OK
Josue De Paula	DH	7	21	5	0.238	1	5	0.429	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.422	0.497	OK
Tommy Edman	CF	73	262	63	0.240	6	33	0.323	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.219	0.275	0.330	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	84	230	53	0.230	4	21	0.312	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.270	0.349	0.405	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	8	7	7	3	4	0.258

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yunior Marte	Starter	3	14.2	2.54	1.127	5.7	9	5.0	6	6	6	2	3	97	5.0	3	5
Dylan Smith	Closer	38	31.8	3.96	1.667	11.9	42	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Trent Harris	Setup Man	17	18.4	2.45	1.141	12.2	25	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	21	20.2	4.90	1.782	6.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	8	49.3	2.56	1.055	10.4	57	6.1	0	0	0	2	7	96	6.1	7	0
Tanner Scott	Closer	66	55.3	3.09	1.103	12.5	77	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brock Stewart	Setup Man	24	21.1	2.56	1.137	9.0	21	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	43.5	3.52	1.402	13.9	67	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 7-1

Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers

TOR 76-79 (4.01 RPG / 4.32 RA)

2 - 4

TEX 78-77 (4.2 RPG / 4.39 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-2 TARGET: TOR 2 - 4 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 61.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2
TEX	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	x	4	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Season Quality

Record76-78

Win%0.494

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.279

TEX Season Quality

Record77-77

Win%0.500

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.214

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1997; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	35	142	46	0.324	2	11	0.390	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.266	0.319	0.354	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	138	524	137	0.261	9	56	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.322	0.374	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	71	258	72	0.279	10	41	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.326	0.390	OK
George Springer	DH	117	442	111	0.251	15	52	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.239	0.311	0.381	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	114	385	105	0.273	10	37	0.319	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.289	0.343	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	147	540	127	0.235	33	88	0.311	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.234	0.308	0.494	OK
Josh Smith	2B	25	56	13	0.232	5	7	0.343	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.201	0.290	0.337	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	134	448	109	0.243	9	56	0.288	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.244	0.333	OK
Myles Straw	LF	116	276	66	0.239	3	25	0.296	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.303	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	29	2	2	2	4	12	0.069

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ezequiel Duran	SS	143	511	137	0.268	17	83	0.327	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.297	0.366	OK
Corey Seager	DH	93	350	82	0.234	18	47	0.326	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.329	0.454	OK
Josh Jung	3B	98	380	113	0.297	10	38	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.285	0.334	0.434	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	148	566	147	0.260	14	61	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.295	0.362	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	102	384	93	0.242	17	41	0.336	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.238	0.343	0.403	OK
Jake Burger	1B	146	526	123	0.234	26	86	0.307	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.208	0.303	0.367	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	82	219	61	0.279	1	23	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.307	0.326	OK
Danny Jansen	C	57	173	35	0.202	6	22	0.289	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.324	0.414	OK
Evan Carter	CF	131	373	71	0.190	9	37	0.284	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.184	0.261	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	7	4	4	2	6	0.226

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	8	44.7	4.43	1.365	6.4	32	6.0	7	4	4	2	5	109	6.0	5	4
Louis Varland	Closer	69	70.4	1.41	1.080	12.1	95	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Brendan Cellucci	Setup Man	2	2.3	0.00	0.000	15.7	4	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	31	106.8	2.95	1.067	6.8	81	6.0	0	1	1	0	9	88	6.0	9	1
Jacob Latz	Closer	54	63.9	1.83	0.814	10.8	77	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	31	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	49	47.7	3.21	1.258	7.0	37	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	24	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	13.5	5.33	1.852	13.3	20	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	11	0.2	2	1

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-2

Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals

WAS 72-82 (5.11 RPG / 5.04 RA)

5 - 4

STL 75-79 (4.51 RPG / 4.65 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-4 TARGET: WAS 5 - 4 STL (WAS) Confidence: 54.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	5	8
STL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	4	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

WAS Season Quality

Record72-82

Win%0.468

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.071

STL Season Quality

Record75-79

Win%0.487

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.143

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2547; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	127	482	128	0.266	30	76	0.392	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.259	0.375	0.437	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	152	572	143	0.250	21	86	0.303	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.261	0.309	0.464	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	DH	39	117	24	0.205	5	13	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.267	0.377	OK
CJ Abrams	2B	144	550	145	0.264	30	97	0.338	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.279	0.337	0.502	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	99	374	84	0.225	12	42	0.291	4	3	2	1	3	1	0	0.667	0.235	0.280	0.396	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	109	292	70	0.240	3	29	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.317	0.319	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	70	178	46	0.258	11	37	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.267	0.410	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	95	313	90	0.288	10	47	0.325	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.315	0.478	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	129	413	87	0.211	1	35	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.202	0.287	0.237	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	5	5	3	7	0.229

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
José Fermín	3B	106	301	74	0.246	6	40	0.308	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.310	0.354	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	149	565	135	0.239	15	64	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.194	0.275	0.290	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	147	565	157	0.278	26	95	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.304	0.384	OK
Leonardo Bernal	1B	16	65	21	0.323	3	15	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.316	0.353	0.493	OK
Thomas Saggese	2B	44	138	36	0.261	4	13	0.314	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.256	0.304	0.376	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	124	446	105	0.235	5	54	0.307	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.288	0.324	OK
Nathan Church	CF	121	404	103	0.255	10	49	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.316	0.379	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	62	180	38	0.211	4	11	0.262	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.179	0.230	0.254	OK
Victor Scott II	LF	61	156	28	0.179	2	9	0.259	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.188	0.259	0.249	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	10	0.229

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Alvarez	Starter	23	97.8	3.50	1.329	9.1	99	5.2	3	1	1	1	5	96	5.2	5	1
Erik Tolman	Closer	10	10.4	2.60	1.250	9.5	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brad Lord	Setup Man	39	72.3	4.36	1.369	9.2	74	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0
Luis Perales	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	5	9.0	9.00	2.333	11.0	11	1.0	5	3	3	0	2	28	1.0	2	3

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	29	156.5	3.91	1.272	6.4	112	5.2	3	2	2	3	7	92	5.2	7	2
Riley O'Brien	Closer	64	59.2	4.41	1.368	9.4	62	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.2	0	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	68	55.6	5.02	1.637	10.2	63	0.2	4	3	3	0	0	20	0.2	0	3
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	51.6	4.71	1.550	11.2	64	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

ATL Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS Recent Form

TB Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

KC Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

KC Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres

MIA Recent Form

SD Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles

MIL Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels