MLB Predictions — September 18, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ HOU	4 - 3	4 - 3	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ TB	4 - 5	4 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ CIN	6 - 4	6 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ CHW	6 - 4	6 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 6-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ PIT	3 - 4	3 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ SD	4 - 6	4 - 6	SD	SD	SD wins 6-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ BAL	7 - 4	7 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 7-4	67%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ LAA	4 - 5	4 - 5	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ ARI	5 - 4	5 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-4	50%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ CLE	3 - 7	3 - 7	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 7-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ NYM	5 - 4	5 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ COL	9 - 5	9 - 5	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 9-5	76%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ LAD	2 - 4	2 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ TEX	4 - 5	4 - 5	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-4	50%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ STL	3 - 4	3 - 4	STL	STL	STL wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

ATL 89-65 (4.6 RPG / 3.91 RA)

4 - 3

HOU 77-76 (4.45 RPG / 4.78 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-3 TARGET: ATL 4 - 3 HOU (ATL) Confidence: 56.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	4	8
HOU	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ATL Season Quality

Record89-64

Win%0.582

Run Diff111

RD/Game0.725

HOU Season Quality

Record77-76

Win%0.503

Run Diff-50

RD/Game-0.327

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7843; margin adjustment: -0.3294; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	129	507	141	0.278	24	77	0.353	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.282	0.343	0.463	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	99	379	98	0.259	18	49	0.349	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.274	0.342	0.482	OK
Matt Olson	1B	152	586	146	0.249	38	84	0.322	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.330	0.483	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	146	557	163	0.293	25	83	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.280	0.298	0.428	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	144	533	146	0.274	11	70	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.302	0.351	0.427	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	152	576	143	0.248	22	71	0.304	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.280	0.383	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	124	329	75	0.228	10	35	0.308	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.165	0.249	0.301	OK
Austin Riley	3B	150	530	118	0.223	17	69	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.273	0.335	OK
Sean Murphy	C	26	89	17	0.191	3	10	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.170	0.227	0.291	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	3	2	0.229

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	102	409	114	0.279	20	51	0.330	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.290	0.323	0.551	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	148	529	166	0.314	40	99	0.431	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.286	0.396	0.633	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	145	525	133	0.253	21	86	0.353	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.311	0.445	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	125	486	118	0.243	15	44	0.301	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.271	0.334	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	38	144	26	0.181	5	14	0.234	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.191	0.237	0.342	OK
Christian Walker	1B	145	533	119	0.223	25	80	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.175	0.240	0.324	OK
Taylor Trammell	RF	85	238	49	0.206	8	22	0.289	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.202	0.288	0.371	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	47	118	25	0.212	4	19	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.222	0.301	0.433	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	81	236	49	0.208	7	25	0.260	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.232	0.270	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	3	3	4	6	0.156

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	7	42.4	1.27	0.943	8.1	38	6.0	3	3	3	3	4	109	6.0	4	3
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	55	53.9	2.84	1.187	9.5	57	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	67	55.6	3.24	1.025	12.1	75	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	63.3	2.42	1.137	12.4	87	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	26	141.7	3.81	1.256	9.0	141	5.1	5	2	2	2	2	96	5.1	2	2
Josh Hader	Closer	43	42.4	0.64	0.590	11.7	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Setup Man	62	53.6	4.20	1.455	13.1	78	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	85.4	3.48	1.288	9.6	91	1.1	1	2	2	1	0	24	1.1	0	2

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-3

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS 84-70 (4.39 RPG / 3.84 RA)

4 - 5

TB 93-60 (4.58 RPG / 4.07 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: BOS 4 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 57.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	11
TB	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	5	9

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff31

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak6W

BOS Season Quality

Record83-70

Win%0.542

Run Diff83

RD/Game0.542

TB Season Quality

Record93-59

Win%0.612

Run Diff80

RD/Game0.526

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3301; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	47	182	42	0.231	4	11	0.333	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.291	0.319	OK
Nick Sogard	1B	55	199	51	0.256	5	18	0.352	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.250	0.336	0.408	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	26	46	17	0.370	3	8	0.431	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.148	0.213	0.270	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	146	554	142	0.256	23	73	0.336	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.292	0.377	OK
Trevor Story	SS	57	228	56	0.246	4	28	0.275	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.272	0.392	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	139	469	113	0.241	13	61	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.317	0.375	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	48	141	37	0.262	2	16	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.153	0.238	0.225	OK
Nate Eaton	CF	16	40	5	0.125	1	5	0.255	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.134	0.235	0.251	OK
Connor Wong	C	66	198	47	0.237	4	24	0.315	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.202	0.260	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	4	4	0	6	0.289

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	146	583	173	0.297	22	81	0.361	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.219	0.264	0.330	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	146	551	154	0.279	21	90	0.362	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.280	0.351	0.491	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	151	577	160	0.277	41	96	0.364	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.330	0.471	OK
Ryan Vilade	2B	81	216	56	0.259	11	39	0.328	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.327	0.432	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	140	544	169	0.311	0	36	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.334	0.358	0.388	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	93	311	83	0.267	9	44	0.298	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.273	0.302	0.410	OK
Nick Fortes	C	94	278	74	0.266	5	34	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.287	0.406	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	61	199	52	0.261	13	30	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.333	0.400	0.648	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	111	349	76	0.218	2	35	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.297	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	9	5	5	4	14	0.265

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	26	134.4	3.42	1.220	8.7	130	5.2	6	2	2	2	10	109	5.2	10	2
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	51	50.2	1.43	1.076	12.2	68	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	29	1.0	2	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	16	15.2	2.96	1.316	15.4	26	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	52	49.5	1.82	0.848	10.5	58	1.1	3	3	3	1	1	31	1.0	1	3

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ian Seymour	Starter	43	115.8	4.12	1.166	11.7	150	5.0	3	1	1	0	6	72	5.0	6	1
Bryan Baker	Closer	60	57.7	1.40	0.867	9.7	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	67	60.5	2.98	1.058	9.1	61	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Cam Booser	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	38	31.0	2.61	0.968	12.2	42	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Cole Sulser	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	45	46.9	4.41	1.301	9.6	50	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	10	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC 85-69 (5.33 RPG / 4.42 RA)

6 - 4

CIN 72-82 (4.15 RPG / 5.14 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-4 TARGET: CHC 6 - 4 CIN (CHC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	3	0	6	9
CIN	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	3

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff4

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed7.7

Run Diff-49

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHC Season Quality

Record85-68

Win%0.556

Run Diff143

RD/Game0.935

CIN Season Quality

Record71-82

Win%0.464

Run Diff-154

RD/Game-1.007

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6772; margin adjustment: -2.6835; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	151	584	166	0.284	44	105	0.377	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.320	0.379	0.765	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	133	507	136	0.268	24	81	0.367	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.321	0.381	OK
Michael Busch	1B	149	561	134	0.239	18	74	0.347	5	4	3	1	1	1	1	0.750	0.247	0.355	0.414	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	149	586	156	0.266	26	88	0.356	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.308	0.381	0.564	OK
Ian Happ	LF	143	508	112	0.220	23	65	0.328	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.202	0.327	0.355	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	148	590	156	0.264	8	69	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.282	0.307	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	101	244	58	0.238	14	42	0.325	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.248	0.334	0.445	OK
Carson Kelly	C	109	362	95	0.262	10	56	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.269	0.330	0.375	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	115	395	85	0.215	16	59	0.301	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.318	0.408	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	6	6	5	8	0.250

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Jorge	CF	8	20	2	0.100	0	0	0.143	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.088	0.137	0.142	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	131	515	148	0.287	28	74	0.366	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.260	0.334	0.548	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	150	576	156	0.271	31	106	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.286	0.341	0.485	OK
Tyler Stephenson	DH	120	385	96	0.249	15	53	0.330	4	3	1	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.239	0.316	0.392	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	120	427	93	0.218	22	56	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.297	0.333	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	116	403	86	0.213	24	68	0.309	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.303	0.447	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	34	119	27	0.227	5	12	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.251	0.366	OK
Jose Trevino	C	45	144	31	0.215	5	17	0.219	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.188	0.196	0.285	OK
Matt McLain	2B	120	409	76	0.186	15	39	0.275	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.161	0.232	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	3	4	4	3	5	0.103

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Clay Holmes	Starter	7	37.6	3.59	1.250	6.2	26	5.2	2	3	3	1	5	84	5.2	5	3
Jacob Webb	Closer	65	56.9	3.95	1.424	10.8	68	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Setup Man	17	12.3	6.59	1.951	11.7	16	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	28	23.0	4.30	1.391	10.2	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	28	149.0	2.84	1.168	10.9	181	5.0	5	3	3	2	6	98	5.0	6	3
Emilio Pagán	Closer	41	38.5	3.74	1.065	9.8	42	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Luis Mey	Setup Man	25	29.0	6.52	1.759	14.3	46	1.0	3	3	3	1	1	26	1.0	1	3
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	74	62.0	2.76	1.468	10.5	72	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	35	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-4

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET 72-81 (4.47 RPG / 3.99 RA)

6 - 4

CHW 78-75 (4.67 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 6-4 TARGET: DET 6 - 4 CHW (DET) Confidence: 54.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	8
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	5

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Season Quality

Record72-81

Win%0.471

Run Diff74

RD/Game0.484

CHW Season Quality

Record78-75

Win%0.510

Run Diff36

RD/Game0.235

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4508; margin adjustment: -0.1893; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	146	561	155	0.276	17	65	0.378	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.287	0.379	0.439	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	90	338	89	0.263	8	38	0.365	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.258	0.343	0.346	OK
Colt Keith	DH	133	376	96	0.255	10	35	0.313	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.263	0.317	0.436	OK
Riley Greene	LF	130	479	137	0.286	20	73	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.288	0.359	0.480	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	148	497	111	0.223	23	70	0.319	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.255	0.355	0.492	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	117	361	74	0.205	4	26	0.286	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.164	0.251	0.256	OK
Max Clark	CF	42	147	39	0.265	3	20	0.345	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.324	0.408	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	32	100	32	0.320	6	18	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.293	0.319	0.500	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	98	287	74	0.258	9	42	0.314	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.321	0.432	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	6	6	4	12	0.229

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Miguel Vargas	3B	150	561	139	0.248	31	84	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.324	0.405	OK
Tommy Pham	DH	3	7	1	0.143	1	3	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.089	0.137	0.246	OK
Randal Grichuk	LF	93	210	63	0.300	13	37	0.330	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.288	0.319	0.558	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	116	415	84	0.202	31	65	0.344	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.181	0.319	0.406	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	146	543	147	0.271	14	56	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.335	0.398	OK
Kyle Teel	C	28	85	17	0.200	4	18	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.199	0.300	0.368	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	26	69	17	0.246	2	7	0.246	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.243	0.283	0.344	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	144	536	109	0.203	31	84	0.290	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.123	0.214	0.261	OK
Tristan Peters	RF	140	418	114	0.273	12	54	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.245	0.306	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	4	4	4	9	0.156

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Sears	Starter	4	15.5	5.81	1.484	7.5	13	4.2	1	2	2	1	6	78	4.2	6	2
Kenley Jansen	Closer	46	38.5	3.27	1.169	11.2	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	65	60.6	3.27	1.436	8.2	55	1.1	4	2	2	1	1	37	1.1	1	2
Drew Sommers	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	39	27.6	3.59	1.486	17.3	53	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Jacob Waguespack	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	32	36.3	2.98	1.047	6.9	28	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Sandlin	Starter	6	29.4	5.82	1.224	8.9	29	5.1	4	3	3	3	6	103	5.1	6	3
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	29	1.1	2	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	53	73.6	3.18	1.277	9.5	78	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.1	2	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	52.8	2.90	1.307	9.4	55	1.0	4	3	3	1	2	29	1.0	2	3

Game Summary

DET wins 6-4

Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

KC 67-87 (4.21 RPG / 4.86 RA)

3 - 4

PIT 77-77 (4.79 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: KC 3 - 4 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 58.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	4
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	4	7

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

KC Season Quality

Record67-86

Win%0.438

Run Diff-97

RD/Game-0.634

PIT Season Quality

Record76-77

Win%0.497

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.157

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.661; margin adjustment: 0.2776; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	140	497	117	0.235	24	75	0.323	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.268	0.340	0.485	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	133	518	143	0.276	18	53	0.357	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.237	0.321	0.372	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	104	383	91	0.238	12	49	0.327	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.301	0.393	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	73	286	76	0.266	3	32	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.282	0.351	OK
Michael Massey	2B	120	390	109	0.279	12	46	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.284	0.393	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	142	546	125	0.229	19	72	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.208	0.240	0.331	OK
John Rave	LF	40	117	26	0.222	6	13	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.215	0.297	0.449	OK
Nick Loftin	RF	111	351	81	0.231	7	42	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.211	0.285	0.336	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	89	272	59	0.217	6	24	0.264	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.235	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	3	3	6	9	0.129

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	70	275	72	0.262	5	29	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.306	0.385	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	139	540	140	0.259	31	89	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.301	0.374	0.551	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	150	557	147	0.264	17	71	0.369	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.329	0.392	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	89	345	94	0.272	19	66	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.343	0.465	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	136	515	155	0.301	4	58	0.363	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.292	0.340	0.371	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	96	366	101	0.276	18	71	0.336	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.271	0.325	0.457	OK
Ronny Simon	RF	13	40	13	0.325	0	2	0.372	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.323	0.370	0.391	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	107	364	89	0.245	10	44	0.344	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.135	0.236	0.207	OK
Henry Davis	C	82	244	40	0.164	10	37	0.254	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.160	0.245	0.380	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	7	4	4	1	8	0.219

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Dobnak	Starter	13	67.7	2.79	1.300	6.2	47	6.0	2	2	2	0	7	94	6.0	7	3
Steven Cruz	Closer	54	52.0	4.50	1.365	10.7	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	22	22.3	1.61	1.031	8.9	22	1.2	5	2	2	1	0	32	1.0	0	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	30	159.2	3.84	1.149	10.5	185	5.1	3	2	2	2	5	96	5.1	5	2
Mason Montgomery	Closer	64	56.3	2.72	1.137	15.5	97	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	14	11.6	6.98	1.724	10.9	14	1.0	1	1	1	3	1	28	1.0	1	1
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	57.5	3.76	1.217	11.6	74	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres

MIA 76-77 (4.45 RPG / 4.4 RA)

4 - 6

SD 84-69 (4.37 RPG / 4.17 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-4 TARGET: MIA 4 - 6 SD (SD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	2
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	x	6	5

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIA Season Quality

Record76-77

Win%0.497

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.052

SD Season Quality

Record84-69

Win%0.549

Run Diff30

RD/Game0.196

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3852; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	1B	115	426	102	0.239	19	61	0.329	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.212	0.286	0.372	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	119	413	96	0.232	24	64	0.312	4	4	1	1	4	0	2	0.250	0.251	0.309	0.397	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	149	595	182	0.306	10	69	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.291	0.332	0.393	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	81	253	65	0.257	16	37	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.305	0.422	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	124	425	124	0.292	9	63	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.301	0.443	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	143	489	111	0.227	11	39	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.292	0.378	0.557	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	138	511	144	0.282	6	52	0.361	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.237	0.324	0.309	OK
Joe Mack	C	95	287	67	0.233	13	46	0.282	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.258	0.349	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	60	195	43	0.221	4	21	0.305	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.198	0.270	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	2	4	4	3	9	0.069

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	149	595	170	0.286	23	77	0.353	4	2	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.295	0.358	0.494	OK
Dustin Harris	RF	16	54	20	0.370	0	11	0.397	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.311	0.366	0.421	OK
Manny Machado	DH	149	554	122	0.220	28	84	0.309	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.312	0.423	OK
Ty France	1B	118	405	121	0.299	20	66	0.364	4	3	2	1	3	0	0	0.667	0.336	0.379	0.512	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	149	583	149	0.256	25	85	0.304	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.315	0.347	0.497	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	146	500	113	0.226	12	56	0.325	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.348	0.398	OK
Jake Cronenworth	3B	99	347	76	0.219	5	30	0.300	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.305	0.330	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	39	129	41	0.318	1	14	0.393	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.303	0.369	0.382	OK
Ethan Salas	C	9	21	3	0.143	2	3	0.143	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.278	0.836	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	29	5	6	6	2	9	0.172

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	35	114.8	3.68	1.376	7.5	96	5.0	0	0	0	0	6	75	5.0	6	0
Calvin Faucher	Closer	65	56.4	3.99	1.507	10.9	68	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	28	1.1	0	0
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	42	31.6	5.98	1.646	11.7	41	0.1	3	2	2	0	1	13	0.1	1	2
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	54.8	3.45	1.241	12.2	74	1.1	2	4	4	2	2	31	1.1	2	4

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Pivetta	Starter	6	25.0	3.60	1.000	11.2	31	5.0	1	3	3	3	6	85	5.0	6	3
Mason Miller	Closer	61	61.3	1.17	0.897	17.5	119	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	71	72.8	3.21	1.195	12.4	100	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	58.9	2.14	1.138	11.3	74	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	53.3	2.20	1.276	11.1	66	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 6-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles

MIL 95-58 (5.18 RPG / 3.89 RA)

7 - 4

BAL 75-78 (4.5 RPG / 4.67 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 7-4 TARGET: MIL 7 - 4 BAL (MIL) Confidence: 66.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	7	11
BAL	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	6

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs7.4

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

MIL Season Quality

Record95-58

Win%0.621

Run Diff197

RD/Game1.288

BAL Season Quality

Record75-78

Win%0.490

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.170

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.247; margin adjustment: -0.5237; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	116	487	141	0.290	23	67	0.347	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.243	0.297	0.400	OK
Brice Turang	2B	139	537	146	0.272	19	94	0.371	5	4	3	1	3	1	0	0.750	0.316	0.427	0.504	OK
William Contreras	C	137	533	144	0.270	17	85	0.339	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.316	0.462	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	97	281	88	0.313	6	43	0.391	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.300	0.370	0.439	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	107	403	94	0.233	11	54	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.299	0.350	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	110	341	91	0.267	9	45	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.306	0.361	0.451	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	128	419	111	0.265	10	58	0.352	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.238	0.320	0.448	OK
Luis Lara	RF	49	166	42	0.253	1	24	0.315	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.313	0.336	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	62	198	55	0.278	3	30	0.339	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.296	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	7	7	2	10	0.289

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Beavers	LF	92	292	70	0.240	7	38	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.201	0.261	0.321	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	150	562	151	0.269	37	102	0.362	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.355	0.571	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	147	585	129	0.221	22	57	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.295	0.374	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	117	379	86	0.227	24	63	0.292	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.278	0.465	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	105	347	79	0.228	18	53	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.221	0.274	0.414	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	DH	49	169	45	0.266	9	33	0.313	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.267	0.307	0.508	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	119	316	69	0.218	12	36	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.305	0.337	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	80	245	55	0.224	8	36	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.243	0.454	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	125	408	88	0.216	8	54	0.283	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.204	0.261	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	2	5	0.182

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	7	28.4	5.07	1.338	8.6	27	4.2	6	4	4	2	4	85	4.2	4	4
Trevor Megill	Closer	58	56.5	1.91	0.885	10.4	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	57	50.9	2.30	1.120	9.9	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	72	77.1	3.62	1.518	13.0	111	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1.1	1	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	14.3	7.55	1.888	7.6	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Povich	Starter	7	32.4	4.17	1.481	6.9	25	4.1	5	3	3	2	7	90	4.1	7	2
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	53	42.0	4.07	1.548	8.1	38	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Rico Garcia	Setup Man	71	55.0	2.78	1.055	10.6	65	1.2	2	1	1	0	1	33	1.2	1	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	37.2	2.90	1.156	10.2	42	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	11	0.2	1	1
Josh Walker	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	28	21.7	2.07	1.382	10.8	26	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 7-4

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels

MIN 71-82 (4.55 RPG / 5.03 RA)

4 - 5

LAA 59-94 (4.05 RPG / 4.55 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 5-4 TARGET: MIN 4 - 5 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 53.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
MIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	4
LAA	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	4

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-26

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Season Quality

Record71-82

Win%0.464

Run Diff-74

RD/Game-0.484

LAA Season Quality

Record59-94

Win%0.386

Run Diff-77

RD/Game-0.503

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1068; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	143	499	139	0.279	9	45	0.369	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.296	0.371	0.389	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	144	548	136	0.248	23	80	0.297	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.254	0.297	0.367	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	135	501	121	0.242	26	76	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.291	0.417	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	82	294	76	0.259	14	54	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.151	0.248	0.308	OK
Josh Bell	DH	146	539	136	0.252	20	88	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.272	0.376	OK
Emmanuel Rodriguez	LF	6	23	5	0.217	1	4	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.257	0.455	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	117	430	97	0.226	14	54	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.252	0.316	OK
Walker Jenkins	CF	15	49	7	0.143	2	7	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.215	0.291	0.381	OK
Ben Ross	SS	5	10	2	0.200	0	0	0.200	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.232	0.472	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	4	4	4	4	7	0.118

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	DH	148	589	142	0.241	26	74	0.323	5	4	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.249	0.323	0.462	OK
Mike Trout	CF	134	485	117	0.241	21	53	0.379	5	4	2	1	4	1	1	0.500	0.224	0.354	0.368	OK
Jose Siri	LF	81	204	46	0.225	8	28	0.274	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.225	0.264	0.386	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	107	386	92	0.238	11	64	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.278	0.365	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	71	252	58	0.230	7	29	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.277	0.350	OK
Oswald Peraza	SS	104	330	75	0.227	7	25	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.268	0.328	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	28	69	12	0.174	1	3	0.250	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.180	0.231	0.288	OK
Christian Moore	2B	29	106	17	0.160	1	10	0.217	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.152	0.202	0.231	OK
Wade Meckler	RF	83	265	78	0.294	3	27	0.366	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.290	0.364	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	4	5	5	4	7	0.118

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	22	111.7	5.32	1.361	9.4	117	5.0	2	4	4	3	6	93	5.0	6	4
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	53	40.6	3.99	1.576	10.6	48	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	0.1	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	18	13.9	2.59	1.295	16.2	25	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	15.5	1.74	1.290	11.6	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0
Tommy Nance	Reliever	23	22.1	4.89	1.674	13.0	32	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	0.0	0	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	18	84.2	6.31	1.615	8.4	79	5.0	3	3	3	2	4	88	5.0	4	3
Ben Joyce	Closer	15	13.4	4.70	1.269	12.1	18	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	29	2.1	1	0
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	16	12.0	2.25	1.167	12.8	17	1.1	1	1	1	2	0	28	1.1	0	1
Tayler Saucedo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	24	14.2	3.80	1.408	13.9	22	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	0.1	2	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 5-4

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks

NYY 88-64 (4.59 RPG / 3.69 RA)

5 - 4

ARI 80-73 (4.43 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-4 TARGET: NYY 5 - 4 ARI (NYY) Confidence: 50.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	11
ARI	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	6

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

NYY Season Quality

Record88-64

Win%0.579

Run Diff136

RD/Game0.895

ARI Season Quality

Record80-73

Win%0.523

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.786; margin adjustment: -0.3301; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	93	331	84	0.254	18	49	0.307	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.218	0.271	0.357	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	122	458	127	0.277	16	71	0.352	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.327	0.386	0.523	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	28	80	13	0.162	2	8	0.302	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.249	0.311	0.425	OK
Ben Rice	DH	141	529	140	0.265	37	88	0.365	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.297	0.393	0.532	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	77	210	50	0.238	10	31	0.274	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.251	0.286	0.386	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	75	231	58	0.251	10	37	0.320	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.249	0.304	0.424	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	33	117	27	0.231	3	12	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.286	0.340	OK
Austin Wells	C	113	318	57	0.179	12	30	0.275	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.147	0.243	0.328	OK
Anthony Volpe	2B	60	191	48	0.251	2	24	0.335	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.334	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	11	5	5	3	6	0.289

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	LF	31	97	23	0.237	3	10	0.345	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.333	0.364	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	131	527	132	0.250	22	74	0.315	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.292	0.387	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	122	443	136	0.307	15	75	0.385	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.321	0.384	0.553	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	147	525	132	0.251	9	49	0.359	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.262	0.368	0.347	OK
Pavin Smith	1B	31	90	15	0.167	2	8	0.240	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.276	0.352	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	142	494	120	0.243	26	74	0.321	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.280	0.343	0.548	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	146	545	131	0.240	21	67	0.332	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.213	0.288	0.432	OK
Jesús Sánchez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.284	0.382
Tim Tawa	CF	86	278	67	0.241	10	38	0.296	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.228	0.290	0.385	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	33	6	4	4	7	7	0.182

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	20	113.0	3.74	1.150	9.3	117	5.2	4	2	2	5	4	112	5.2	4	2
David Bednar	Closer	61	61.9	2.76	1.115	10.8	74	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	77	61.2	2.35	1.438	13.8	94	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	72.8	1.85	1.195	8.2	66	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	30	174.6	2.68	1.243	7.0	135	6.0	8	3	3	2	5	114	6.0	5	4
Brandyn Garcia	Closer	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	1
Juan Morillo	Setup Man	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-4

Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians

OAK 61-93 (4.31 RPG / 5.71 RA)

3 - 7

CLE 79-75 (4.13 RPG / 4.16 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 7-3 TARGET: OAK 3 - 7 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	6
CLE	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	0	x	7	10

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-28

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

OAK Season Quality

Record61-92

Win%0.399

Run Diff-214

RD/Game-1.399

CLE Season Quality

Record78-75

Win%0.510

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.046

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2425; margin adjustment: 0.5218; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	106	378	104	0.275	11	34	0.355	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.265	0.335	0.405	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	97	388	103	0.265	23	55	0.332	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.267	0.323	0.471	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	138	438	101	0.231	17	59	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.296	0.476	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	98	360	89	0.247	18	46	0.312	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.226	0.285	0.414	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	133	448	120	0.268	8	54	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.290	0.347	OK
Tommy White	3B	46	170	43	0.253	3	9	0.269	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.245	0.345	OK
Jonah Heim	C	86	298	60	0.201	12	34	0.255	4	4	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.170	0.215	0.295	OK
Michael Stefanic	2B	9	20	7	0.350	0	2	0.409	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.139	0.216	0.214	OK
Alika Williams	SS	70	199	51	0.256	4	15	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.278	0.400	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	11	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	137	496	138	0.278	3	30	0.374	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.301	0.393	0.410	OK
José Ramírez	3B	113	427	98	0.230	11	49	0.319	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.221	0.291	0.335	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	120	451	130	0.288	14	61	0.360	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.256	0.330	0.413	OK
Jo Adell	DH	38	142	34	0.239	6	29	0.319	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.252	0.289	0.439	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	112	408	100	0.245	14	54	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.273	0.347	0.518	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	34	113	26	0.230	5	22	0.281	4	3	2	1	3	1	0	0.667	0.191	0.260	0.333	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	66	198	48	0.242	7	29	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.294	0.364	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	60	162	34	0.210	4	13	0.250	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.227	0.261	0.371	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	142	497	123	0.247	11	61	0.308	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.302	0.354	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	10	7	7	5	5	0.294

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mason Barnett	Starter	18	38.8	7.42	1.701	8.8	38	3.2	6	4	4	3	4	79	3.2	4	3
Seth Johnson	Reliever	7	10.3	4.37	1.262	13.1	15	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	29	2.1	0	0
Chris Roycroft	Reliever	6	8.4	1.07	1.548	6.4	6	1.0	4	3	3	2	0	33	1.0	0	3
Hogan Harris	Reliever	71	55.9	4.03	1.717	13.7	85	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Daniel Espino	Starter	11	11.4	3.16	1.316	16.6	21	3.0	2	1	1	2	6	64	3.0	6	1
Cade Smith	Closer	64	64.8	2.22	1.065	13.6	98	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	62	46.8	3.08	1.368	10.2	53	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	35.3	3.31	1.360	17.8	70	2.0	4	2	2	1	2	47	2.0	2	2
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	41.2	3.93	1.626	11.1	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 7-3

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

PHI 85-69 (4.46 RPG / 4.26 RA)

5 - 4

NYM 70-84 (4.26 RPG / 4.54 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-4 TARGET: PHI 5 - 4 NYM (PHI) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	5	9
NYM	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	4	7

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

PHI Season Quality

Record85-68

Win%0.556

Run Diff34

RD/Game0.222

NYM Season Quality

Record69-84

Win%0.451

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.301

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.453; margin adjustment: -0.1903; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	145	550	129	0.235	44	94	0.347	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.194	0.298	0.437	OK
Trea Turner	SS	145	604	145	0.240	19	57	0.292	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.231	0.287	0.363	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	151	537	147	0.274	28	84	0.388	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.284	0.392	0.506	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	39	152	44	0.289	2	18	0.327	5	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.283	0.343	0.413	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	143	534	134	0.251	15	83	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.275	0.342	0.408	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	77	218	52	0.239	7	42	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.169	0.190	0.293	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	145	501	125	0.250	10	63	0.327	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.326	0.380	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	112	385	84	0.218	11	49	0.291	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.223	0.278	0.362	OK
Derek Hill	CF	41	112	30	0.268	6	22	0.299	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.182	0.221	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	5	5	3	6	0.257

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	94	376	86	0.229	20	47	0.311	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.200	0.278	0.378	OK
Juan Soto	LF	100	360	98	0.272	25	61	0.389	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.250	0.366	0.433	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	147	589	156	0.265	16	74	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.252	0.294	0.337	OK
Carson Benge	RF	143	550	147	0.267	18	57	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.309	0.389	OK
Mark Vientos	DH	79	253	55	0.217	13	39	0.259	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.223	0.272	0.428	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	110	402	103	0.256	10	38	0.327	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.261	0.329	0.397	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	128	454	102	0.225	14	48	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.298	0.330	OK
Brett Baty	1B	126	393	91	0.232	10	50	0.299	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.311	0.381	OK
Luis Torrens	C	79	237	58	0.245	9	40	0.304	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.283	0.441	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	4	4	4	12	0.206

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tim Mayza	Starter	56	59.3	3.34	1.147	9.6	63	5.0	2	2	2	2	10	89	5.0	10	2
Jhoan Duran	Closer	57	55.4	1.46	0.975	12.8	79	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	30	1.1	1	0
Chase Shugart	Setup Man	41	44.2	4.68	1.290	11.0	54	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	27	1.0	0	2
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	51.2	3.69	1.133	12.8	73	1.2	2	0	0	0	1	39	1.2	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Thornton	Starter	13	72.4	3.48	1.174	6.8	55	5.2	3	1	1	2	4	91	5.2	4	1
Kodai Senga	Closer	29	57.2	7.40	1.678	11.5	73	1.0	4	3	3	1	0	29	1.0	0	3
Nathan Lavender	Setup Man	17	12.8	2.11	1.172	15.5	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Pintaro	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	27.9	4.84	1.362	9.7	30	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-4

Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies

SEA 71-82 (4.08 RPG / 4.44 RA)

9 - 5

COL 56-97 (4.69 RPG / 5.84 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 9-5 TARGET: SEA 9 - 5 COL (SEA) Confidence: 76.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	9	10
COL	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	7

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed7.5

Run Diff-37

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

SEA Season Quality

Record71-82

Win%0.464

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.366

COL Season Quality

Record56-97

Win%0.366

Run Diff-177

RD/Game-1.157

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.003; margin adjustment: -0.4213; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	107	380	85	0.224	12	37	0.342	5	4	1	1	3	1	0	0.250	0.240	0.325	0.389	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	145	540	150	0.278	25	75	0.375	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.301	0.367	0.524	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	135	443	114	0.257	22	69	0.324	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.278	0.329	0.487	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	117	422	77	0.182	22	66	0.294	5	5	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.307	0.375	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	141	564	137	0.243	21	66	0.303	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.274	0.324	0.406	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	143	562	153	0.272	10	52	0.327	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.303	0.344	0.378	OK
Cole Young	2B	151	551	136	0.247	17	65	0.309	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.243	0.285	0.388	OK
Lazaro Montes	RF	11	28	7	0.250	3	8	0.276	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.233	0.262	0.442	OK
Brock Rodden	3B	21	57	12	0.211	0	4	0.303	4	2	1	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.221	0.308	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	10	9	9	5	6	0.270

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	132	511	151	0.295	15	79	0.338	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.286	0.317	0.447	OK
Connor Norby	DH	32	106	31	0.292	3	15	0.380	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.327	0.405	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	144	515	156	0.303	15	68	0.394	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.301	0.381	0.421	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	129	482	118	0.245	38	81	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.222	0.279	0.468	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	81	297	79	0.266	10	45	0.333	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.317	0.485	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	119	377	99	0.263	12	48	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.249	0.325	0.436	OK
Mickey Moniak	RF	107	381	93	0.244	22	64	0.282	4	4	1	1	4	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.274	0.461	OK
Adael Amador	2B	18	59	17	0.288	4	13	0.364	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.177	0.246	0.343	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	133	434	94	0.217	11	42	0.264	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.269	0.354	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	5	5	3	11	0.206

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	28	161.4	3.90	1.053	9.1	163	6.0	5	3	3	3	6	115	6.0	6	3
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	58	52.5	4.11	1.238	14.9	87	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	67	51.8	4.34	1.660	8.5	49	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	53.3	4.56	1.707	10.8	64	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	11	0.2	1	1
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	35.9	3.51	1.309	10.0	40	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.2	2	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gabriel Hughes	Starter	13	58.4	6.47	1.473	7.7	50	4.0	7	7	7	2	2	83	4.0	2	6
Jordan Romano	Closer	24	21.5	3.35	1.209	9.6	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	69	49.6	2.90	1.331	8.2	45	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	43.7	6.59	1.693	8.9	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	29.2	5.55	1.815	11.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	61	56.6	6.20	1.979	9.9	62	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0
Nick Frasso	Reliever	16	14.8	8.51	1.959	11.6	19	0.1	3	2	2	0	0	13	0.1	0	2

Game Summary

SEA wins 9-5

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

SF 65-89 (4.26 RPG / 4.68 RA)

2 - 4

LAD 93-60 (4.96 RPG / 3.79 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-2 TARGET: SF 2 - 4 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 53.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
LAD	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	x	4	3

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff27

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SF Season Quality

Record64-89

Win%0.418

Run Diff-70

RD/Game-0.458

LAD Season Quality

Record93-60

Win%0.608

Run Diff179

RD/Game1.170

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4218; margin adjustment: 0.5972; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	114	318	76	0.239	10	40	0.308	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.154	0.215	0.341	OK
Turner Hill	LF	26	85	21	0.247	1	15	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.311	0.340	OK
Jonah Cox	2B	42	118	35	0.297	4	13	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.322	0.410	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	136	519	142	0.274	8	52	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.245	0.300	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	19	66	15	0.227	2	6	0.227	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.249	0.407	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	49	129	31	0.240	1	10	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.202	0.282	0.298	OK
Brett Harris	1B	5	11	2	0.182	0	0	0.250	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.141	0.186	0.220	OK
Scott Bandura	DH	4	10	2	0.200	0	0	0.273	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.201	0.268	0.313	OK
Christian Koss	SS	56	172	42	0.244	4	12	0.286	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.267	0.302	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	11	0.129

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mookie Betts	SS	112	441	111	0.252	20	62	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.333	0.453	OK
Will Smith	C	63	212	51	0.241	7	29	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.265	0.348	0.404	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	114	403	106	0.263	15	61	0.333	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.248	0.329	0.461	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	144	542	160	0.295	16	65	0.373	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.283	0.353	0.404	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	90	211	57	0.270	4	21	0.300	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.254	0.293	0.414	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	141	504	117	0.232	16	69	0.326	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.291	0.379	0.566	OK
Enrique Hernández	3B	31	74	17	0.230	3	10	0.288	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.161	0.225	0.288	OK
Alex Call	CF	69	158	37	0.234	1	19	0.335	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.306	0.286	OK
Josue De Paula	DH	5	14	2	0.143	1	3	0.368	3	3	1	1	4	0	1	0.333	0.169	0.364	0.438	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	27	3	4	4	3	6	0.111

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cesar Perdomo	Starter	3	14.2	3.80	1.408	7.0	11	5.0	3	4	4	3	3	94	5.0	3	4
Dylan Smith	Closer	38	31.8	3.96	1.667	11.9	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Trent Harris	Setup Man	17	18.4	2.45	1.141	12.2	25	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Carson Seymour	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	23.4	5.77	1.923	7.3	19	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.2	2	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Glasnow	Starter	11	61.2	3.53	0.980	11.3	77	5.2	3	2	2	2	9	100	5.2	9	2
Tanner Scott	Closer	65	54.3	3.15	1.123	12.6	76	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brock Stewart	Setup Man	24	21.1	2.56	1.137	9.0	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	43.5	3.52	1.402	13.9	67	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers

TOR 76-77 (4.05 RPG / 4.29 RA)

4 - 5

TEX 76-77 (4.17 RPG / 4.42 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-4 TARGET: TOR 4 - 5 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 50.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	7
TEX	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	x	5	10

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record76-77

Win%0.497

Run Diff-37

RD/Game-0.242

TEX Season Quality

Record76-77

Win%0.497

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.255

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1231; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	34	138	46	0.333	2	11	0.400	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.292	0.347	0.398	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	113	383	105	0.274	10	37	0.320	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.273	0.302	0.358	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	137	520	136	0.262	9	56	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.322	0.380	OK
George Springer	DH	116	438	111	0.253	15	52	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.263	0.336	0.414	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	70	254	71	0.280	10	41	0.347	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.330	0.395	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	146	537	126	0.235	33	88	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.306	0.495	OK
Josh Smith	2B	24	53	13	0.245	5	7	0.349	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	0.000	0.200	0.285	0.346	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	148	560	150	0.268	9	47	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.271	0.337	OK
Myles Straw	LF	115	273	64	0.234	3	24	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.289	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	6	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ezequiel Duran	3B	142	507	136	0.268	17	82	0.329	5	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.262	0.316	0.400	OK
Corey Seager	SS	92	346	81	0.234	18	46	0.325	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.257	0.328	0.450	OK
Josh Jung	DH	97	376	112	0.298	10	38	0.361	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.301	0.350	0.456	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	147	563	147	0.261	14	61	0.325	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.242	0.290	0.371	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	101	382	91	0.238	17	40	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.304	0.397	OK
Jake Burger	1B	145	524	122	0.233	26	84	0.304	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.207	0.290	0.389	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	81	214	59	0.276	1	23	0.322	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.221	0.262	0.271	OK
Elias Díaz	C	62	187	45	0.241	5	28	0.264	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.241	0.260	0.387	OK
Evan Carter	CF	130	369	71	0.192	9	36	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.180	0.263	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	10	5	5	4	12	0.303

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	28	163.3	2.42	1.084	13.0	236	6.0	6	2	2	2	9	114	6.0	9	3
Louis Varland	Closer	69	70.4	1.41	1.080	12.1	95	1.0	2	2	2	1	2	34	1.0	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	70	63.0	1.86	1.238	5.4	38	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	2

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	28	134.7	4.68	1.470	8.8	132	5.0	4	1	1	2	3	92	5.0	3	1
Jacob Latz	Closer	54	63.9	1.83	0.814	10.8	77	1.1	3	3	3	1	1	30	1.1	1	3
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	49	47.7	3.21	1.258	7.0	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	13.5	5.33	1.852	13.3	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-4

Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals

WAS 71-82 (5.08 RPG / 5.07 RA)

3 - 4

STL 75-78 (4.53 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-3 TARGET: WAS 3 - 4 STL (STL) Confidence: 50.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	2
STL	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	x	4	6

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

WAS Season Quality

Record71-82

Win%0.464

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.020

STL Season Quality

Record75-78

Win%0.490

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.092

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0131; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	126	479	127	0.265	30	75	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.266	0.390	0.481	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	151	569	143	0.251	21	85	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.289	0.330	0.495	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	98	369	82	0.222	11	40	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.267	0.356	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	143	546	144	0.264	30	96	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.256	0.310	0.441	OK
Brady House	3B	85	297	71	0.239	10	44	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.154	0.227	0.274	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	108	290	70	0.241	3	29	0.330	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.248	0.329	0.348	OK
Yohandy Morales	1B	10	30	9	0.300	2	4	0.300	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.235	0.244	0.448	OK
Harry Ford	C	30	89	17	0.191	3	10	0.301	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.123	0.238	0.256	OK
Jacob Young	CF	121	401	99	0.247	10	45	0.307	3	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.269	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	29	2	3	3	3	10	0.069

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	127	498	120	0.241	17	47	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.309	0.352	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	148	561	134	0.239	15	63	0.348	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.132	0.228	0.232	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	148	565	160	0.283	23	108	0.349	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.291	0.356	0.503	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	146	562	156	0.278	26	95	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.291	0.363	OK
Leonardo Bernal	C	15	61	18	0.295	3	15	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.286	0.403	OK
Thomas Saggese	3B	43	135	36	0.267	4	13	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.317	0.394	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	58	144	36	0.250	3	17	0.321	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.246	0.324	0.334	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	123	444	105	0.236	5	54	0.308	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.153	0.225	0.239	OK
Nathan Church	CF	120	401	102	0.254	10	49	0.300	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.291	0.334	0.396	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	4	4	3	6	0.200

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	31	162.1	3.16	1.184	10.8	194	5.2	5	3	3	3	6	110	5.2	6	3
Erik Tolman	Closer	10	10.4	2.60	1.250	9.5	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brad Lord	Setup Man	38	70.3	4.48	1.394	9.1	71	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	22	1.1	0	1

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	28	133.6	3.37	1.325	8.6	128	5.0	2	1	1	2	6	83	5.0	6	1
Riley O'Brien	Closer	64	59.2	4.41	1.368	9.4	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	68	55.6	5.02	1.637	10.2	63	1.0	0	2	2	0	0	13	1.0	0	2
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	51.6	4.71	1.550	11.2	64	1.2	0	0	0	1	3	25	1.2	3	0

Game Summary

STL wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

ATL Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS Recent Form

TB Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

CHC Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

KC Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

KC Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres

MIA Recent Form

SD Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles

MIL Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels