MLB Predictions — September 15, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ CHC	4 - 5	4 - 5	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ NYM	4 - 5	4 - 5	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ TEX	7 - 6	7 - 6	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 7-6	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ CLE	5 - 4	5 - 4	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ TOR	5 - 4	5 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ HOU	3 - 4	3 - 4	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ CIN	9 - 5	9 - 5	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 9-5	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ ARI	4 - 6	4 - 6	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 6-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ PIT	5 - 2	5 - 2	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ MIN	6 - 3	6 - 3	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ TB	4 - 8	4 - 8	TB	TB	TB wins 8-4	67%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ WAS	6 - 5	6 - 5	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ COL	9 - 5	9 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 9-5	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ LAA	5 - 4	5 - 4	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ STL	4 - 5	4 - 5	STL	STL	STL wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs

ATL 88-64 (4.59 RPG / 3.89 RA)

4 - 5

CHC 84-67 (5.34 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-4 TARGET: ATL 4 - 5 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 53.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	4	8
CHC	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	x	5	9

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ATL Season Quality

Record88-63

Win%0.583

Run Diff112

RD/Game0.742

CHC Season Quality

Record84-67

Win%0.556

Run Diff142

RD/Game0.940

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2349; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	127	498	139	0.279	23	75	0.355	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.289	0.343	0.426	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	DH	97	370	95	0.257	17	47	0.349	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.262	0.343	0.460	OK
Matt Olson	1B	150	578	143	0.247	38	83	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.248	0.315	0.495	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	144	549	162	0.295	25	83	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.300	0.317	0.456	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	142	526	143	0.272	11	69	0.318	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.285	0.329	0.386	OK
Austin Riley	3B	148	523	117	0.224	17	68	0.297	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.219	0.282	0.398	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	122	324	75	0.231	10	35	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.198	0.280	0.342	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	150	569	140	0.246	21	69	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.246	0.317	OK
Brewer Hicklen	RF	8	24	8	0.333	0	3	0.429	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.130	0.243	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	9	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	149	575	163	0.283	42	102	0.376	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.312	0.376	0.608	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	131	499	135	0.271	24	81	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.235	0.318	0.378	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	147	579	153	0.264	25	84	0.354	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.275	0.356	0.484	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	22	60	22	0.367	1	8	0.409	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.270	0.306	0.481	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	146	582	156	0.268	8	69	0.318	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.281	0.321	0.365	OK
Michael Busch	1B	147	555	133	0.240	18	74	0.347	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.240	0.342	0.418	OK
Matt Shaw	DH	58	151	36	0.238	5	21	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.299	0.402	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	68	206	54	0.262	6	29	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.293	0.428	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	66	200	48	0.240	6	25	0.333	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.246	0.314	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	9	5	5	1	6	0.281

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	28	129.1	3.14	1.270	6.8	98	5.2	7	3	3	1	4	108	5.2	4	3
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	54	52.9	2.89	1.210	9.7	57	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	61.3	2.50	1.175	12.5	85	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	25	1.1	1	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	7	38.3	5.40	1.305	10.3	44	5.1	6	3	3	1	6	101	5.1	6	3
Jacob Webb	Closer	64	56.7	3.65	1.376	10.8	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Setup Man	16	11.3	7.17	2.035	11.9	15	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	27	22.9	4.32	1.397	10.2	26	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	22	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-4

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets

BAL 73-78 (4.46 RPG / 4.69 RA)

4 - 5

NYM 69-81 (4.29 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 5-4 TARGET: BAL 4 - 5 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	4	9
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	1	5	3

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.7

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

BAL Season Quality

Record73-78

Win%0.483

Run Diff-34

RD/Game-0.225

NYM Season Quality

Record69-81

Win%0.460

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.233

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2056; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Rece Hinds	LF	5	9	3	0.333	0	1	0.417	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.179	0.238	0.279	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	148	553	149	0.269	35	100	0.364	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.258	0.353	0.462	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	115	371	84	0.226	23	60	0.291	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.287	0.481	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	47	160	40	0.250	7	30	0.301	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.238	0.281	0.400	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	145	576	128	0.222	22	57	0.309	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.246	0.333	0.459	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	78	237	53	0.224	6	33	0.250	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.122	0.145	0.201	OK
Yohel Pozo	C	10	17	5	0.294	1	2	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.134	0.162	0.201	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	124	404	88	0.218	8	54	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.277	0.334	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	117	309	68	0.220	12	36	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.318	0.359	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	39	9	4	4	3	10	0.231

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	91	364	84	0.231	20	47	0.312	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.209	0.274	0.437	OK
Juan Soto	LF	97	349	96	0.275	25	60	0.390	5	5	1	1	3	0	2	0.200	0.260	0.366	0.487	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	144	575	151	0.263	16	73	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.288	0.356	OK
Carson Benge	RF	140	537	145	0.270	17	56	0.334	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.324	0.400	OK
Jared Young	1B	94	297	79	0.266	8	35	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.330	0.434	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	126	446	100	0.224	14	46	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.292	0.323	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	107	390	99	0.254	10	38	0.325	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.274	0.344	0.438	OK
Brett Baty	DH	123	386	89	0.231	10	50	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.243	0.310	0.421	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	100	334	75	0.225	14	35	0.309	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.212	0.283	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	3	5	5	5	8	0.091

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	29	163.4	4.19	1.377	8.3	150	6.0	2	4	4	3	5	106	6.0	5	4
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	52	41.0	4.17	1.561	8.3	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	0.0	0	0
Rico Garcia	Setup Man	70	54.8	2.79	1.022	10.7	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	36.2	2.98	1.160	10.4	42	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	25	1.0	2	0
Codi Heuer	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	11	0.0	0	1

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	30	128.9	4.96	1.389	8.8	126	5.2	4	1	1	1	5	99	5.2	5	1
Kodai Senga	Closer	28	56.2	7.37	1.690	11.4	71	1.2	3	1	1	1	3	34	1.2	3	1
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	23	25.4	2.48	0.906	9.9	28	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	11.6	2.33	1.293	14.0	18	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	0.1	0	0
Jonathan Pintaro	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	26.9	4.35	1.301	9.4	28	0.1	1	2	2	0	1	7	0.0	1	2

Game Summary

NYM wins 5-4

Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers

BOS 82-68 (4.42 RPG / 3.83 RA)

7 - 6

TEX 74-76 (4.16 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 7-6 TARGET: BOS 7 - 6 TEX (BOS) Confidence: 51.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0	7	6
TEX	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	5

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff4

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

BOS Season Quality

Record82-68

Win%0.547

Run Diff88

RD/Game0.587

TEX Season Quality

Record74-76

Win%0.493

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.293

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.701; margin adjustment: -0.2944; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	44	170	41	0.241	4	10	0.342	5	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.239	0.316	0.392	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	55	170	45	0.265	9	23	0.367	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.176	0.278	0.354	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	22	79	16	0.203	4	10	0.276	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.320	0.449	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	122	428	119	0.278	26	79	0.388	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.288	0.375	0.507	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	143	543	141	0.260	23	73	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.256	0.330	0.448	OK
Trevor Story	SS	54	218	52	0.239	3	25	0.266	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.267	0.346	OK
Jarren Duran	CF	138	521	106	0.203	20	63	0.261	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.265	0.374	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	136	461	112	0.243	13	61	0.324	4	4	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.329	0.432	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	52	190	49	0.258	4	16	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.340	0.381	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	7	7	3	12	0.182

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Foscue	2B	85	208	56	0.269	11	33	0.317	4	4	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.313	0.453	OK
Corey Seager	SS	89	334	77	0.231	18	43	0.323	4	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.311	0.478	OK
Josh Jung	3B	94	363	108	0.298	9	37	0.363	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.329	0.386	OK
Jake Burger	1B	142	514	120	0.233	26	83	0.302	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.281	0.393	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	144	551	145	0.263	14	60	0.328	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.242	0.296	0.365	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	98	373	90	0.241	17	39	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.196	0.276	0.369	OK
Ezequiel Duran	CF	139	496	133	0.268	17	80	0.330	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.295	0.383	OK
Elias Díaz	DH	60	181	43	0.238	5	26	0.262	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.235	0.257	0.380	OK
Danny Jansen	C	54	165	31	0.188	6	21	0.276	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.274	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	6	6	1	11	0.156

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	11	53.6	4.70	1.810	9.6	57	5.0	5	6	6	0	6	91	5.0	6	6
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	51	50.2	1.43	1.076	12.2	68	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	15	14.2	1.27	1.197	15.8	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	48.5	1.86	0.845	10.8	58	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	28	147.0	3.86	1.095	11.4	186	5.2	3	3	3	2	8	100	5.2	8	3
Jacob Latz	Closer	52	61.7	1.75	0.794	10.6	73	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	28	1.2	1	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	47	46.6	2.90	1.266	6.8	35	1.0	2	3	3	1	2	23	1.0	2	2
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	18	12.3	5.85	1.870	11.0	15	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	11	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 7-6

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

CHW 77-74 (4.69 RPG / 4.44 RA)

5 - 4

CLE 77-75 (4.11 RPG / 4.18 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-4 TARGET: CHW 5 - 4 CLE (CHW) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	5	8
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	8

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHW Season Quality

Record77-73

Win%0.513

Run Diff38

RD/Game0.253

CLE Season Quality

Record76-75

Win%0.503

Run Diff-11

RD/Game-0.073

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1798; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	143	529	141	0.267	14	55	0.342	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.235	0.311	0.416	OK
Randal Grichuk	DH	90	198	60	0.303	13	36	0.333	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.284	0.312	0.567	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	147	551	137	0.249	31	81	0.356	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.255	0.339	0.478	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	115	411	84	0.204	31	65	0.345	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.186	0.320	0.416	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	23	58	12	0.207	2	7	0.207	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.128	0.177	0.203	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	128	443	119	0.269	8	44	0.366	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.273	0.329	0.398	OK
Jake Rogers	C	11	34	4	0.118	1	3	0.211	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.098	0.200	0.193	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	74	196	46	0.235	1	12	0.269	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.144	0.180	0.193	OK
Tristan Peters	RF	137	409	114	0.279	12	54	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.319	0.436	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	5	5	4	10	0.229

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	135	490	137	0.280	3	30	0.374	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.307	0.391	0.420	OK
José Ramírez	3B	111	419	96	0.229	11	48	0.320	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.193	0.270	0.285	OK
Jo Adell	RF	36	135	32	0.237	5	25	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.256	0.371	OK
Travis Bazzana	DH	110	400	98	0.245	12	52	0.338	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.262	0.353	0.429	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	33	109	24	0.220	5	22	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.296	0.427	OK
Angel Genao	2B	29	106	24	0.226	2	6	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.266	0.302	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	65	195	48	0.246	7	29	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.293	0.362	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	58	154	32	0.208	3	10	0.250	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.138	0.183	0.210	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	140	491	121	0.246	11	59	0.305	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.238	0.283	0.343	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	8	0.229

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Murphy	Starter	27	23.0	5.09	1.696	10.6	27	4.2	4	1	1	0	5	79	4.2	5	1
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	2.1	2	2	2	2	1	43	2.1	1	2
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	53	73.6	3.18	1.277	9.5	78	2.0	2	1	1	0	2	31	2.0	2	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	7	33.1	5.98	1.601	8.2	30	5.1	6	4	4	2	5	105	5.1	5	4
Cade Smith	Closer	62	62.5	2.30	1.104	13.7	95	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	25	1.0	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	60	44.8	3.01	1.362	10.2	51	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	34.1	3.43	1.320	17.9	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	40.2	4.03	1.642	11.0	49	0.2	2	1	1	1	1	18	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-4

Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays

DET 71-79 (4.48 RPG / 4.01 RA)

5 - 4

TOR 75-76 (4.06 RPG / 4.27 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-4 TARGET: DET 5 - 4 TOR (DET) Confidence: 56.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
DET	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	7
TOR	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	10

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak5W

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

DET Season Quality

Record71-79

Win%0.473

Run Diff71

RD/Game0.473

TOR Season Quality

Record75-76

Win%0.497

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.212

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5724; margin adjustment: -0.2404; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	DH	143	551	151	0.274	17	65	0.374	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.275	0.372	0.455	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	87	328	87	0.265	8	37	0.366	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.334	0.336	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	96	278	72	0.259	8	41	0.317	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.247	0.328	0.408	OK
Riley Greene	LF	127	468	134	0.286	20	71	0.372	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.328	0.394	0.558	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	31	97	31	0.320	6	18	0.340	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.307	0.324	0.505	OK
Max Clark	CF	39	135	35	0.259	3	18	0.342	5	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.268	0.335	0.436	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	145	488	107	0.219	22	67	0.312	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.236	0.323	0.458	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	115	354	74	0.209	4	26	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.280	0.294	OK
John Peck	SS	10	34	8	0.235	0	6	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.167	0.274	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	7	5	5	5	8	0.189

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	32	130	42	0.323	2	11	0.395	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.329	0.400	OK
George Springer	DH	114	431	109	0.253	15	51	0.328	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.261	0.334	0.416	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	135	514	135	0.263	9	56	0.330	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.240	0.305	0.368	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	69	250	70	0.280	10	40	0.349	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.268	0.335	0.394	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	111	377	103	0.273	10	36	0.320	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.276	0.305	0.366	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	144	530	125	0.236	33	88	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.321	0.598	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	133	445	109	0.245	9	56	0.290	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.253	0.337	OK
Josh Smith	LF	22	46	12	0.261	5	7	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.320	0.390	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	146	554	150	0.271	9	46	0.297	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.263	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	40	10	4	4	0	7	0.250

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Anderson	Starter	47	88.6	4.16	1.433	10.7	105	5.0	2	2	2	0	5	69	5.0	5	3
Kenley Jansen	Closer	46	38.5	3.27	1.169	11.2	48	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	64	59.6	3.17	1.426	8.3	55	1.1	3	1	1	0	0	26	1.1	0	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	52.4	4.12	1.698	8.1	47	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Drew Sommers	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	38	26.6	3.72	1.504	17.9	53	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	0.0	1	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braydon Fisher	Starter	72	63.8	3.67	1.395	10.2	72	5.0	4	2	2	3	5	99	5.0	5	3
Louis Varland	Closer	68	69.4	1.43	1.095	12.1	93	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	29	2.0	0	1
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	70	63.0	1.86	1.238	5.4	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.2	2	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	82.9	2.93	1.146	9.3	86	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	76	45.0	3.80	1.556	13.0	65	0.2	3	3	3	1	1	21	0.0	1	1

Game Summary

DET wins 5-4

Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros

KC 66-84 (4.23 RPG / 4.85 RA)

3 - 4

HOU 75-75 (4.46 RPG / 4.81 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-3 TARGET: KC 3 - 4 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
KC	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	3	5
HOU	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	4	9

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

KC Season Quality

Record66-84

Win%0.440

Run Diff-94

RD/Game-0.627

HOU Season Quality

Record75-75

Win%0.500

Run Diff-53

RD/Game-0.353

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2124; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	137	486	113	0.233	24	72	0.320	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.309	0.488	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	130	508	142	0.280	18	53	0.358	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.264	0.341	0.437	OK
Jac Caglianone	DH	132	474	132	0.278	23	70	0.327	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.274	0.311	0.464	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	71	279	76	0.272	3	32	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.323	0.417	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	102	376	90	0.239	11	48	0.328	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.150	0.241	0.275	OK
Michael Massey	2B	117	378	106	0.280	11	45	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.281	0.315	0.405	OK
John Rave	RF	37	108	24	0.222	5	11	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.155	0.245	0.348	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	86	265	59	0.223	6	24	0.270	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.251	0.292	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	132	412	91	0.221	6	40	0.326	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.176	0.294	0.282	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	5	3	3	3	9	0.143

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	99	396	106	0.268	17	47	0.321	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.219	0.261	0.347	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	145	519	162	0.312	38	96	0.430	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.230	0.351	0.441	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	142	515	132	0.256	21	85	0.357	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.258	0.328	0.539	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	122	474	116	0.245	15	44	0.304	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.234	0.286	0.364	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	80	293	81	0.276	11	36	0.307	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.306	0.336	0.431	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	35	133	24	0.180	4	13	0.238	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.197	0.247	0.317	OK
Christian Walker	1B	143	526	119	0.226	25	80	0.301	5	5	1	0	0	0	4	0.200	0.182	0.247	0.321	OK
Cam Smith	RF	137	473	102	0.216	20	53	0.280	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.280	0.454	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	45	112	23	0.205	3	18	0.305	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.141	0.233	0.230	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	39	9	4	4	6	10	0.231

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	29	180.1	3.30	1.122	7.3	147	6.1	5	1	1	5	9	127	6.1	9	2
Steven Cruz	Closer	53	51.0	4.41	1.353	10.4	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.1	1	0
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	21	21.3	1.27	0.986	9.3	22	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	27	1.1	0	0
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	52.7	6.49	1.689	9.6	56	1.0	4	3	3	0	0	25	0.0	0	2

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	17	89.2	3.63	1.345	10.1	100	5.2	3	1	1	1	4	92	5.2	4	1
Josh Hader	Closer	41	40.4	0.67	0.594	12.0	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Setup Man	60	52.5	4.29	1.486	13.0	76	1.0	1	2	2	1	2	20	1.0	2	2
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	84.4	3.52	1.303	9.6	90	2.1	1	0	0	1	2	36	2.1	2	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds

LAD 92-59 (4.96 RPG / 3.79 RA)

9 - 5

CIN 70-81 (4.14 RPG / 5.15 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 9-5 TARGET: LAD 9 - 5 CIN (LAD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	9	12
CIN	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	5	7

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed8.4

Run Diff-40

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

LAD Season Quality

Record91-59

Win%0.607

Run Diff173

RD/Game1.153

CIN Season Quality

Record70-80

Win%0.467

Run Diff-148

RD/Game-0.987

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9993; margin adjustment: -3.1989; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Josue De Paula	DH	4	9	2	0.222	1	3	0.500	5	5	1	1	3	0	0	0.200	0.241	0.481	0.641	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	141	529	155	0.293	16	64	0.373	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.239	0.319	0.371	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	110	433	108	0.249	20	62	0.311	5	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.324	0.482	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	138	493	112	0.227	15	66	0.321	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.274	0.362	0.559	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	111	392	104	0.265	14	59	0.333	5	4	3	1	2	1	0	0.750	0.309	0.381	0.523	OK
Max Muncy	3B	136	448	112	0.250	28	71	0.347	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.268	0.349	0.523	OK
Tommy Edman	CF	69	249	62	0.249	6	32	0.327	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.293	0.358	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	23	60	14	0.233	1	6	0.324	4	4	0	1	0	0	3	0.000	0.233	0.306	0.331	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	82	222	51	0.230	3	20	0.311	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.283	0.253	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	39	12	9	9	2	9	0.308

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Jorge	CF	6	17	2	0.118	0	0	0.118	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.110	0.122	0.168	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	128	505	145	0.287	27	72	0.365	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.336	0.591	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	147	564	151	0.268	30	104	0.336	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.258	0.321	0.388	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	118	420	92	0.219	22	56	0.329	4	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.186	0.296	0.332	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	114	397	86	0.217	24	68	0.310	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.305	0.461	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	32	113	26	0.230	5	12	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.248	0.339	OK
Matt McLain	2B	117	398	75	0.188	15	39	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.168	0.245	0.304	OK
Juan Brito	3B	8	26	9	0.346	2	8	0.379	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.290	0.401	OK
Will Banfield	C	4	9	1	0.111	0	0	0.111	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.088	0.101	0.138	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	5	5	1	8	0.206

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	26	169.9	2.65	0.895	9.1	171	7.0	3	2	2	1	8	106	7.0	8	2
Tanner Scott	Closer	64	53.3	3.21	1.107	12.3	73	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	11	0.2	0	0
Brock Stewart	Setup Man	23	20.1	2.69	1.144	9.0	20	1.0	3	3	3	0	0	22	1.0	0	3
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	67	43.3	3.53	1.386	13.9	67	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.1	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	26	115.6	5.99	1.574	7.3	94	4.2	6	4	4	1	5	93	4.2	5	3
Emilio Pagán	Closer	40	37.5	3.84	1.067	9.4	39	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Luis Mey	Setup Man	24	27.8	6.80	1.799	14.2	44	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	22	1.0	1	3
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	73	61.0	2.80	1.475	10.6	72	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	37.1	6.06	1.671	8.7	36	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 9-5

Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MIA 74-77 (4.46 RPG / 4.42 RA)

4 - 6

ARI 80-71 (4.46 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 6-4 TARGET: MIA 4 - 6 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	5
ARI	1	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	x	6	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed6.7

Run Diff-9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Season Quality

Record74-77

Win%0.490

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.033

ARI Season Quality

Record80-71

Win%0.530

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.020

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1715; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	DH	113	418	101	0.242	19	61	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.306	0.428	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	117	403	91	0.226	24	63	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.201	0.272	0.351	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	147	587	180	0.307	10	69	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.302	0.338	0.412	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	79	246	64	0.260	15	36	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.274	0.341	0.442	OK
Javier Sanoja	2B	122	416	122	0.293	9	63	0.328	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.295	0.330	0.490	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	141	483	109	0.226	10	37	0.341	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.306	0.380	0.463	OK
Agustín Ramírez	C	59	191	43	0.225	4	21	0.310	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.295	0.367	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	48	131	28	0.214	4	25	0.262	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.155	0.213	0.383	OK
Deyvison De Los Santos	1B	7	15	4	0.267	0	0	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.269	0.394	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	4	4	4	6	0.156

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	LF	29	88	23	0.261	3	10	0.363	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.364	0.414	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	129	517	129	0.250	22	73	0.315	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	0.500	0.240	0.294	0.387	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	120	435	131	0.301	13	73	0.379	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.293	0.357	0.454	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	145	518	130	0.251	9	49	0.358	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.259	0.365	0.355	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	144	537	130	0.242	21	67	0.334	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.226	0.291	0.478	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	140	487	117	0.240	25	73	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.275	0.346	0.553	OK
Jesús Sánchez	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.257	0.295	0.396
Pavin Smith	1B	17	46	8	0.174	1	5	0.264	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.206	0.287	0.299	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	33	101	27	0.267	5	13	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.278	0.307	0.463	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	7	6	6	5	8	0.226

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	23	108.2	4.66	1.359	6.2	74	4.2	5	3	3	2	8	94	4.2	8	3
Calvin Faucher	Closer	64	55.4	4.06	1.498	10.9	67	1.2	2	3	3	2	0	37	1.2	0	3
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	41	30.6	6.18	1.699	11.8	40	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Soroka	Starter	19	97.0	3.62	1.186	8.8	95	5.0	1	1	1	1	3	74	5.0	3	1
Brandyn Garcia	Closer	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Setup Man	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.0	2	3	3	3	1	31	1.0	1	3

Game Summary

ARI wins 6-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MIL 94-57 (5.19 RPG / 3.87 RA)

5 - 2

PIT 75-76 (4.76 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-2 TARGET: MIL 5 - 2 PIT (MIL) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	8
PIT	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs7.4

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

MIL Season Quality

Record93-57

Win%0.620

Run Diff195

RD/Game1.300

PIT Season Quality

Record75-75

Win%0.500

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.173

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9697; margin adjustment: -0.4073; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	126	414	109	0.263	10	58	0.349	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.270	0.342	0.479	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	113	473	140	0.296	23	67	0.353	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.307	0.357	0.509	OK
Brice Turang	2B	136	528	144	0.273	19	93	0.367	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.363	0.451	0.603	OK
William Contreras	C	135	523	142	0.272	17	85	0.342	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.274	0.345	0.559	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	128	433	116	0.268	25	81	0.389	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.391	0.569	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	105	395	93	0.235	11	52	0.317	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.252	0.323	0.411	OK
Luis Lara	RF	46	155	40	0.258	1	22	0.322	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.255	0.313	0.334	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	107	329	86	0.261	9	43	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.303	0.356	0.487	OK
David Hamilton	3B	103	313	75	0.240	4	25	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.172	0.235	0.263	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	5	5	4	7	0.229

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	67	261	68	0.261	5	27	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.281	0.355	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	136	530	136	0.257	29	85	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.298	0.349	OK
Bryan Reynolds	RF	147	545	146	0.268	17	71	0.373	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.356	0.431	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	86	332	91	0.274	18	63	0.366	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.271	0.365	0.449	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	134	508	153	0.301	4	58	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.315	0.348	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	94	359	98	0.273	18	71	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.304	0.436	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	35	116	29	0.250	8	19	0.310	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.264	0.312	0.427	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	105	361	89	0.247	10	44	0.346	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.326	0.320	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	113	397	114	0.287	4	30	0.340	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.278	0.318	0.370	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	2	2	4	8	0.156

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	27	160.4	1.96	0.804	13.2	236	6.0	5	2	2	4	7	117	6.0	7	2
Trevor Megill	Closer	56	54.5	1.98	0.881	10.4	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	56	49.9	2.34	1.122	10.1	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	70	74.1	3.52	1.511	13.2	109	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lake Bachar	Starter	10	19.5	2.77	1.179	10.2	22	5.0	4	2	2	4	4	103	5.0	4	2
Mason Montgomery	Closer	63	55.2	2.77	1.123	15.5	95	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	13	11.4	5.53	1.491	11.1	14	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	57.2	3.15	1.136	11.5	73	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	71.0	3.42	1.380	11.5	91	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-2

New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins

NYY 87-63 (4.57 RPG / 3.7 RA)

6 - 3

MIN 70-80 (4.57 RPG / 5.02 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-3 TARGET: NYY 6 - 3 MIN (NYY) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	9
MIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	3

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-29

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

NYY Season Quality

Record87-63

Win%0.580

Run Diff130

RD/Game0.867

MIN Season Quality

Record70-80

Win%0.467

Run Diff-67

RD/Game-0.447

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.3184; margin adjustment: -0.5537; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	139	520	138	0.265	37	88	0.364	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.314	0.398	0.584	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	120	449	121	0.269	15	69	0.344	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.287	0.344	0.494	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	26	73	11	0.151	2	7	0.287	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.248	0.308	0.426	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	34	127	38	0.299	7	15	0.333	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.283	0.309	0.530	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	73	220	57	0.259	9	34	0.331	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.286	0.344	0.424	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	31	107	24	0.224	3	11	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.211	0.268	0.352	OK
Anthony Volpe	2B	58	182	44	0.242	2	22	0.327	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.327	0.359	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	34	69	17	0.246	1	7	0.274	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.111	0.128	0.166	OK
José Caballero	3B	117	386	90	0.233	14	49	0.289	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.239	0.296	0.392	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	6	6	4	8	0.250

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	140	485	132	0.272	9	44	0.366	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.247	0.329	0.341	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	30	106	30	0.283	3	11	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.272	0.335	OK
Josh Bell	DH	143	525	134	0.255	20	87	0.320	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.297	0.447	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	132	490	118	0.241	26	76	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.218	0.267	0.401	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	114	417	96	0.230	14	53	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.202	0.264	0.332	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	141	539	133	0.247	23	78	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.223	0.265	0.361	OK
Victor Caratini	C	97	304	67	0.220	7	40	0.312	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.201	0.267	0.284	OK
Emmanuel Rodriguez	CF	3	12	3	0.250	1	3	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.238	0.471	OK
Austin Martin	LF	95	287	68	0.237	3	23	0.337	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.312	0.346	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	3	3	3	11	0.100

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Fried	Starter	18	96.2	2.81	1.019	8.8	94	6.0	1	1	1	3	6	103	6.0	6	1
David Bednar	Closer	60	59.9	2.85	1.102	10.8	72	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	76	60.1	2.40	1.464	13.8	92	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.0	2	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	71.8	1.88	1.198	8.3	66	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	19	1.0	2	2

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	22	115.8	4.35	1.269	6.6	85	5.0	5	4	4	2	6	98	5.0	6	4
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	50	39.3	3.44	1.450	10.1	44	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	16	12.8	2.81	1.328	15.5	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	18	14.3	1.89	1.119	10.1	16	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	59.5	4.99	1.580	9.4	62	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-3

Oakland Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays

OAK 61-90 (4.35 RPG / 5.7 RA)

4 - 8

TB 91-59 (4.56 RPG / 4.09 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 8-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 8 TB (TB) Confidence: 66.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
TB	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	x	8	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

OAK Season Quality

Record61-89

Win%0.407

Run Diff-203

RD/Game-1.353

TB Season Quality

Record90-59

Win%0.604

Run Diff69

RD/Game0.463

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4991; margin adjustment: 0.6296; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	103	367	101	0.275	10	33	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.337	0.399	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	130	438	117	0.267	8	54	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.299	0.358	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	95	380	101	0.266	23	54	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.275	0.334	0.511	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	135	426	98	0.230	16	58	0.317	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.306	0.520	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	95	349	88	0.252	18	46	0.319	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.230	0.287	0.438	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	44	108	25	0.231	4	13	0.390	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.263	0.342	0.488	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	111	319	82	0.257	9	40	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.306	0.379	OK
Jonah Heim	C	84	291	60	0.206	12	34	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.187	0.236	0.313	OK
Alika Williams	SS	68	193	50	0.259	4	15	0.292	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.239	0.273	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	2	9	0.182

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	143	570	173	0.304	22	81	0.368	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.274	0.319	0.396	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	144	543	152	0.280	21	89	0.363	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.291	0.360	0.584	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	148	566	158	0.279	40	95	0.365	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.333	0.497	OK
Liam Hicks	C	31	94	28	0.298	4	17	0.385	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.267	0.331	0.424	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	61	199	52	0.261	13	30	0.324	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.346	0.411	0.669	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	137	532	162	0.305	0	33	0.332	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.283	0.316	0.327	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	109	319	75	0.235	10	50	0.330	4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.283	0.368	0.529	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	18	55	7	0.127	1	7	0.183	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.183	0.222	0.282	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	124	415	84	0.202	14	45	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.181	0.252	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	11	8	8	1	3	0.314

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	34	98.2	6.87	1.609	10.9	119	4.0	5	5	5	1	2	69	4.0	2	4
Seth Johnson	Reliever	6	8.2	5.49	1.585	12.1	11	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	30	2.0	1	0
Chris Roycroft	Reliever	5	7.4	1.22	1.486	4.9	4	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Hogan Harris	Reliever	69	54.7	4.11	1.737	13.7	83	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	30	95.6	3.86	1.245	9.7	103	5.0	5	4	4	2	4	97	5.0	4	4
Bryan Baker	Closer	59	56.7	1.43	0.882	9.8	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	65	57.5	2.97	1.061	8.5	54	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	17.3	1.56	0.751	9.9	19	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Cam Booser	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	36	28.9	2.80	1.038	12.5	40	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 8-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals

PHI 83-68 (4.49 RPG / 4.3 RA)

6 - 5

WAS 71-81 (5.12 RPG / 5.08 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 6-5 TARGET: PHI 6 - 5 WAS (PHI) Confidence: 53.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	6	8
WAS	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	5	7

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3W

PHI Season Quality

Record83-67

Win%0.553

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.207

WAS Season Quality

Record70-81

Win%0.464

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.020

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3167; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	142	539	128	0.237	43	93	0.348	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.226	0.319	0.449	OK
Trea Turner	SS	142	593	144	0.243	19	57	0.293	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.251	0.292	0.400	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	148	525	143	0.272	28	83	0.387	5	2	0	1	0	3	1	0.000	0.276	0.380	0.508	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	36	145	41	0.283	2	15	0.303	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.284	0.314	0.367	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	140	525	130	0.248	15	81	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.261	0.314	0.414	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	LF	25	62	20	0.323	2	12	0.371	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.313	0.360	0.449	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	142	491	123	0.251	10	62	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.317	0.368	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	110	377	84	0.223	11	49	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.307	0.414	OK
Derek Hill	CF	40	109	30	0.275	6	22	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.229	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	6	6	5	8	0.229

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Crews	RF	96	363	81	0.223	11	40	0.291	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.166	0.222	0.289	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	69	175	44	0.251	10	36	0.338	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.251	0.317	0.477	OK
Brady House	3B	83	293	70	0.239	10	44	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.154	0.221	0.278	OK
Yohandy Morales	1B	9	27	8	0.296	2	3	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.280	0.289	0.475	OK
Jacob Young	CF	120	398	99	0.249	10	45	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.298	0.376	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	106	283	69	0.244	3	28	0.334	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.346	0.375	OK
Harry Ford	C	29	86	16	0.186	3	10	0.300	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.115	0.232	0.242	OK
Andrew Pinckney	LF	11	22	6	0.273	1	2	0.320	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.149	0.189	0.295	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	126	409	86	0.210	1	35	0.290	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.266	0.227	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	5	5	3	9	0.206

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	30	185.0	2.82	1.227	10.2	210	6.1	3	1	1	2	6	97	6.1	6	1
Jhoan Duran	Closer	55	53.4	1.52	0.993	12.6	75	1.0	4	4	4	1	1	27	1.0	1	4
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	57	50.8	3.54	1.102	12.2	69	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	49.0	4.59	1.531	10.8	59	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Kent	Starter	6	26.4	6.82	1.894	7.8	23	4.1	5	3	3	3	4	94	4.1	4	3
Erik Tolman	Closer	9	9.4	2.87	1.383	10.5	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brad Lord	Setup Man	37	70.2	4.49	1.396	9.1	71	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Luis Perales	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	4	7.0	11.57	2.286	11.6	9	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2
Jared Simpson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	2	4.0	0.00	0.000	9.0	4	1.1	1	1	1	1	2	24	1.1	2	1

Game Summary

PHI wins 6-5

San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies

SD 82-68 (4.31 RPG / 4.16 RA)

9 - 5

COL 55-95 (4.69 RPG / 5.82 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 9-5 TARGET: SD 9 - 5 COL (SD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	1	9	14
COL	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak8W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed7.8

Run Diff-30

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak8L

SD Season Quality

Record82-68

Win%0.547

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.153

COL Season Quality

Record55-95

Win%0.367

Run Diff-170

RD/Game-1.133

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.4794; margin adjustment: -0.6213; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	146	582	168	0.289	22	76	0.355	6	6	1	1	3	0	1	0.167	0.326	0.384	0.583	OK
Austin Hays	DH	17	43	12	0.279	1	3	0.279	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.322	0.332	0.420	OK
Manny Machado	3B	146	543	120	0.221	28	83	0.310	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.224	0.309	0.471	OK
Ty France	1B	115	393	117	0.298	20	64	0.364	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.346	0.394	0.516	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	146	570	143	0.251	25	83	0.301	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.332	0.366	0.586	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	143	489	109	0.223	11	54	0.322	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.255	0.344	0.341	OK
Luis Campusano	C	64	194	52	0.268	7	28	0.363	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.251	0.326	0.409	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	36	119	37	0.311	1	11	0.388	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.308	0.376	0.393	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	96	333	71	0.213	5	29	0.298	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.234	0.307	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									46	41	14	9	9	5	7	0.341

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	129	500	148	0.296	15	79	0.338	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.291	0.324	0.482	OK
Adael Amador	2B	16	50	16	0.320	4	12	0.404	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.320	0.451	OK
Cole Carrigg	SS	78	284	74	0.261	8	40	0.331	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.303	0.429	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	142	509	153	0.301	15	68	0.391	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.297	0.373	0.419	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	116	366	96	0.262	11	45	0.356	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.233	0.300	0.416	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	105	374	90	0.241	22	64	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.244	0.417	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	116	372	104	0.280	4	47	0.344	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.228	0.284	0.337	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	68	200	46	0.230	7	31	0.270	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.120	0.164	0.233	OK
Zac Veen	LF	25	48	12	0.250	2	11	0.333	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.142	0.235	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	5	5	4	6	0.250

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	29	134.7	4.74	1.396	8.1	121	5.1	3	3	3	2	3	96	5.1	3	3
Mason Miller	Closer	61	61.3	1.17	0.897	17.5	119	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	71	72.8	3.21	1.195	12.4	100	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	58.9	2.14	1.138	11.3	74	1.2	4	2	2	1	1	39	1.2	1	2

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	23	120.6	6.57	1.501	7.7	103	4.2	11	8	8	2	5	109	4.2	5	7
Jordan Romano	Closer	23	20.5	3.51	1.220	9.2	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	68	48.6	2.96	1.358	8.0	43	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	41.7	6.91	1.751	9.3	43	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	41	28.2	5.74	1.879	11.8	37	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

SD wins 9-5

Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels

SEA 70-81 (4.08 RPG / 4.48 RA)

5 - 4

LAA 57-93 (4.07 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 5-4 TARGET: SEA 5 - 4 LAA (SEA) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	5	7
LAA	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	8

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SEA Season Quality

Record70-81

Win%0.464

Run Diff-60

RD/Game-0.397

LAA Season Quality

Record57-93

Win%0.380

Run Diff-74

RD/Game-0.493

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1775; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	105	372	84	0.226	12	37	0.345	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.326	0.388	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	143	533	148	0.278	25	75	0.374	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.283	0.344	0.503	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	133	436	112	0.257	22	68	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.297	0.458	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	115	415	75	0.181	22	63	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.190	0.284	0.390	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	139	556	134	0.241	21	65	0.300	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.279	0.369	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	141	553	149	0.269	10	50	0.326	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.307	0.335	OK
Cole Young	2B	149	544	135	0.248	17	65	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.285	0.386	OK
Lazaro Montes	RF	10	26	6	0.231	3	8	0.259	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.153	0.187	0.391	OK
Brock Rodden	3B	20	55	12	0.218	0	4	0.312	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.316	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	5	5	2	8	0.206

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	145	579	140	0.242	26	74	0.321	5	5	2	1	4	0	2	0.400	0.261	0.315	0.476	OK
Mike Trout	CF	131	475	116	0.244	21	52	0.380	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.259	0.375	0.449	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	80	252	74	0.294	3	26	0.367	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.275	0.350	0.369	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	104	378	91	0.241	11	62	0.302	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.221	0.277	0.363	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	34	122	25	0.205	3	11	0.256	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.336	0.505	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	68	239	53	0.222	7	28	0.265	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.251	0.342	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	96	278	57	0.205	11	28	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.190	0.264	0.333	OK
Christian Moore	2B	27	99	17	0.172	1	10	0.231	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.166	0.220	0.257	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	31	86	17	0.198	0	3	0.242	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.166	0.189	0.226	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	10	0.229

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	29	167.8	3.81	1.079	10.0	187	5.2	5	1	1	2	8	106	5.2	8	1
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	57	51.5	4.19	1.223	15.0	86	2.0	3	3	3	0	0	34	2.0	0	3
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	66	51.6	4.36	1.647	8.4	48	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	53.3	4.56	1.707	10.8	64	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.2	2	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	19	82.7	5.22	1.391	6.9	63	5.1	7	5	5	2	6	99	5.1	6	5
Ben Joyce	Closer	14	12.4	3.63	1.210	10.9	15	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	15	11.0	2.45	1.182	13.9	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tayler Saucedo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	22	13.0	4.15	1.462	13.8	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-4

San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals

SF 63-89 (4.21 RPG / 4.69 RA)

4 - 5

STL 75-76 (4.54 RPG / 4.58 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 5-4 TARGET: SF 4 - 5 STL (STL) Confidence: 55.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	6
STL	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	x	5	3

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff3

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

SF Season Quality

Record62-89

Win%0.411

Run Diff-78

RD/Game-0.517

STL Season Quality

Record75-76

Win%0.497

Run Diff-6

RD/Game-0.040

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4695; margin adjustment: 0.1972; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	112	313	75	0.240	9	38	0.309	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.155	0.219	0.314	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	104	374	101	0.270	16	54	0.360	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.276	0.361	0.449	OK
Jonah Cox	2B	40	110	31	0.282	4	12	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.311	0.414	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	DH	134	510	141	0.276	8	52	0.317	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.291	0.369	OK
Osleivis Basabe	3B	35	116	23	0.198	5	12	0.254	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.189	0.238	0.328	OK
Turner Hill	LF	24	76	18	0.237	0	12	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.217	0.304	0.296	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	48	125	31	0.248	1	10	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.152	0.235	0.240	OK
Grant McCray	RF	25	68	10	0.147	2	3	0.247	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.166	0.255	0.324	OK
Christian Koss	SS	54	163	38	0.233	4	10	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.303	0.373	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	9	0.182

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bryan Torres	LF	57	141	36	0.255	3	17	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.264	0.333	0.353	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	147	559	134	0.240	15	62	0.350	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.201	0.282	0.315	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	146	557	158	0.284	22	107	0.350	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.291	0.364	0.456	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	144	556	156	0.281	26	95	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.311	0.407	OK
Leonardo Bernal	C	13	52	17	0.327	3	14	0.375	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.323	0.363	0.504	OK
Thomas Saggese	2B	41	127	34	0.268	4	12	0.321	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.272	0.328	0.409	OK
Nathan Church	CF	118	393	100	0.254	10	49	0.299	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.276	0.323	0.380	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	122	441	104	0.236	5	54	0.308	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.283	0.309	OK
José Fermín	3B	104	298	73	0.245	6	39	0.306	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.247	0.315	0.346	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	27	3	5	5	5	8	0.111

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Blade Tidwell	Starter	15	45.5	4.95	1.319	7.5	38	5.0	1	4	4	5	5	98	5.0	5	4
Dylan Smith	Closer	36	30.6	3.53	1.569	12.1	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	28	1.1	1	0
Trent Harris	Setup Man	16	17.3	2.60	1.156	12.0	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Carson Seymour	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	23.2	5.82	1.853	7.4	19	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	11	0.2	2	1

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	26	143.2	3.52	1.257	6.4	102	5.2	5	4	4	2	5	100	5.2	5	4
Riley O'Brien	Closer	63	58.2	4.33	1.340	9.6	62	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	68	55.6	5.02	1.637	10.2	63	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	51.6	4.71	1.550	11.2	64	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

STL wins 5-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs

ATL Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets

BAL Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers

BOS Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

CHW Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays

DET Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

DET Season Quality

TOR Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros

KC Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

KC Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds

LAD Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks