MLB Predictions — September 9, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ KC	5 - 7	5 - 7	KC	KC	KC wins 7-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ MIL	5 - 6	5 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-5	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ LAD	5 - 8	5 - 8	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 8-5	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ BAL	4 - 3	4 - 3	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ NYY	4 - 9	4 - 9	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 9-4	78%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ PHI	3 - 4	3 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ BOS	4 - 5	4 - 5	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ DET	4 - 5	4 - 5	DET	DET	DET wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ MIA	7 - 4	7 - 4	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 7-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ CHW	5 - 4	5 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ SF	5 - 4	5 - 4	STL	STL	STL wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ ATL	4 - 3	4 - 3	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ SEA	6 - 4	6 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 6-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ OAK	6 - 5	6 - 5	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 6-5	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ SD	4 - 5	4 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals

ARI 78-68 (4.42 RPG / 4.41 RA)

5 - 7

KC 64-82 (4.27 RPG / 4.9 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 7-5 TARGET: ARI 5 - 7 KC (KC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	5	11
KC	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	10

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-2

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

ARI Season Quality

Record78-68

Win%0.534

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.014

KC Season Quality

Record64-82

Win%0.438

Run Diff-91

RD/Game-0.623

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6405; margin adjustment: -0.269; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	121	428	107	0.250	9	66	0.287	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.247	0.278	0.356	OK
Ketel Marte	DH	124	494	124	0.251	22	69	0.318	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.261	0.336	0.452	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	141	503	126	0.250	9	50	0.358	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.243	0.354	0.329	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	136	475	111	0.234	22	68	0.310	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.224	0.294	0.384	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	82	263	65	0.247	10	37	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.289	0.344	0.469	OK
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	49	180	37	0.206	2	22	0.251	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.151	0.192	0.238	OK
James McCann	C	35	115	34	0.296	4	21	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.280	0.307	0.406	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	28	85	21	0.247	4	10	0.312	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.135	0.164	0.250	OK
Lars Nootbaar	RF	25	74	17	0.230	3	12	0.345	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.352	0.399	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	5	5	2	8	0.289

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	133	472	108	0.229	22	68	0.317	5	5	2	1	4	0	2	0.400	0.225	0.306	0.456	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	126	493	138	0.280	17	50	0.357	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.232	0.308	0.410	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	98	363	88	0.242	11	47	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.324	0.424	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	135	522	121	0.232	19	71	0.277	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.286	0.312	0.435	OK
Michael Massey	2B	113	363	101	0.278	11	45	0.314	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.268	0.308	0.395	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	104	334	79	0.237	7	42	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.288	0.360	OK
John Rave	RF	34	100	23	0.230	5	11	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.285	0.454	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	83	256	57	0.223	6	24	0.272	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.190	0.233	0.266	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	128	404	89	0.220	6	40	0.323	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.157	0.271	0.251	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	7	7	1	11	0.270

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Gallen	Starter	19	95.2	6.52	1.607	5.8	61	5.0	7	4	4	1	7	100	5.0	7	3
Brandyn Garcia	Closer	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Juan Morillo	Setup Man	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	2.0	3	3	3	0	1	22	1.0	1	3

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Daniel Lynch IV	Starter	52	60.6	3.86	1.205	6.8	46	5.0	4	1	1	1	7	91	5.0	7	1
Steven Cruz	Closer	52	50.0	4.50	1.380	10.4	58	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	18	18.3	0.49	0.820	8.9	18	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	27	1.1	0	1
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	9.3	3.87	1.290	6.8	7	1.2	3	1	1	0	0	30	1.2	0	1

Game Summary

KC wins 7-5

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC 81-65 (5.3 RPG / 4.41 RA)

5 - 6

MIL 90-56 (5.03 RPG / 3.86 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-5 TARGET: CHC 5 - 6 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 52.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	5	9
MIL	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	1	6	12

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

CHC Season Quality

Record81-65

Win%0.555

Run Diff130

RD/Game0.890

MIL Season Quality

Record90-56

Win%0.616

Run Diff170

RD/Game1.164

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2284; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	144	555	157	0.283	41	97	0.377	5	3	2	1	3	2	0	0.667	0.263	0.328	0.545	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	127	483	131	0.271	24	80	0.371	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.216	0.311	0.371	OK
Michael Busch	1B	142	539	128	0.237	17	69	0.345	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.222	0.319	0.389	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	142	563	147	0.261	24	82	0.350	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.247	0.326	0.421	OK
Ian Happ	DH	136	493	109	0.221	23	64	0.325	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.320	0.384	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	141	562	150	0.267	8	64	0.317	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.286	0.327	0.371	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	63	189	51	0.270	5	27	0.327	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.170	0.230	0.315	OK
Michael Conforto	LF	94	224	54	0.241	14	37	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.352	0.520	OK
Carson Kelly	C	102	344	89	0.259	10	53	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.160	0.234	0.267	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	5	5	5	4	0.250

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	109	455	132	0.290	22	63	0.347	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.313	0.356	0.517	OK
Brice Turang	2B	132	515	137	0.266	17	87	0.359	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.325	0.411	0.469	OK
William Contreras	C	132	512	137	0.268	14	73	0.337	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.245	0.305	0.395	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	93	269	84	0.312	6	42	0.391	5	5	3	1	0	0	2	0.600	0.269	0.345	0.435	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	101	379	89	0.235	10	48	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.187	0.274	0.303	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	95	303	72	0.238	4	35	0.299	5	2	1	1	1	3	0	0.500	0.179	0.237	0.257	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	104	317	80	0.252	8	41	0.314	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.263	0.323	0.395	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	122	399	102	0.256	8	50	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.267	0.337	0.414	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	56	176	47	0.267	3	28	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.312	0.339	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	12	6	6	5	7	0.324

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	6	34.3	4.46	1.166	10.0	38	5.2	7	4	4	4	5	120	5.2	5	5
Jacob Webb	Closer	63	55.6	3.72	1.385	10.8	67	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	45	39.8	3.84	1.407	6.6	29	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	23	1.0	2	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	10.2	7.94	1.961	11.5	13	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	10	0.1	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Henderson	Starter	15	82.4	2.51	0.801	10.2	93	6.1	7	3	3	4	4	117	6.1	4	3
Trevor Megill	Closer	56	54.5	1.98	0.881	10.4	63	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	11	1.0	0	1
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	53	47.7	2.08	1.048	9.8	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	69	73.1	3.57	1.505	13.4	109	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	11	0.2	0	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-5

Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers

CIN 69-76 (4.21 RPG / 4.96 RA)

5 - 8

LAD 88-57 (4.92 RPG / 3.85 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 8-5 TARGET: CIN 5 - 8 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	5	8
LAD	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	x	8	8

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak6W

CIN Season Quality

Record69-76

Win%0.476

Run Diff-109

RD/Game-0.752

LAD Season Quality

Record88-57

Win%0.607

Run Diff156

RD/Game1.076

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4599; margin adjustment: 0.6132; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Jorge	CF	3	9	2	0.222	0	0	0.222	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.136	0.147	0.195	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	123	485	139	0.287	25	69	0.367	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.329	0.398	0.712	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	142	545	144	0.264	30	104	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.234	0.303	0.392	OK
JJ Bleday	DH	113	405	89	0.220	22	55	0.328	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.195	0.297	0.372	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	27	94	25	0.266	5	12	0.324	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.261	0.309	0.430	OK
Juan Brito	2B	4	11	4	0.364	1	5	0.429	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.279	0.351	OK
Will Banfield	C	2	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	1	2	0	2	0.333	0.099	0.113	0.151
TJ Friedl	LF	75	230	38	0.165	4	12	0.249	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.169	0.234	0.270	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	65	197	30	0.152	5	8	0.212	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.153	0.216	0.245	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	8	5	5	0	11	0.235

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Edman	CF	64	234	62	0.265	6	32	0.338	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.267	0.309	0.416	OK
Will Smith	DH	57	193	46	0.238	7	27	0.327	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.328	0.389	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	105	413	102	0.247	18	58	0.307	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.314	0.434	OK
Max Muncy	3B	131	427	107	0.251	26	68	0.349	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.304	0.402	0.508	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	107	379	101	0.266	13	55	0.333	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.368	0.433	0.581	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	133	475	105	0.221	12	59	0.316	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.115	0.228	0.231	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	21	53	13	0.245	1	5	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.298	0.349	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	78	209	46	0.220	3	19	0.301	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.113	0.217	0.171	OK
Enrique Hernández	1B	26	59	12	0.203	2	5	0.266	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.275	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	8	8	8	4	7	0.250

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	25	112.5	5.60	1.538	7.2	90	4.2	6	5	5	2	3	97	4.2	3	4
Emilio Pagán	Closer	38	35.5	4.06	1.099	9.4	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Luis Mey	Setup Man	21	25.6	3.87	1.484	13.7	39	2.0	2	3	3	2	2	44	2.0	2	3

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	25	162.9	2.71	0.909	8.9	161	6.1	3	1	1	0	7	89	6.1	7	1
Tanner Scott	Closer	63	53.2	2.88	1.071	12.2	72	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	18	1.0	0	2
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	59	50.4	3.04	1.111	12.3	69	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	19	1.0	2	2
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	22	19.1	2.83	1.099	9.0	19	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 8-5

Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles

CLE 74-73 (4.07 RPG / 4.18 RA)

4 - 3

BAL 71-76 (4.5 RPG / 4.68 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-3 TARGET: CLE 4 - 3 BAL (CLE) Confidence: 55.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	5
BAL	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CLE Season Quality

Record74-72

Win%0.507

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.082

BAL Season Quality

Record70-76

Win%0.479

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.212

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2765; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	131	474	129	0.272	2	27	0.367	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.277	0.364	0.353	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	116	435	129	0.297	13	59	0.366	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.348	0.436	OK
José Ramírez	3B	108	406	96	0.236	11	48	0.328	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.214	0.285	0.320	OK
Jo Adell	LF	32	116	28	0.241	4	24	0.328	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.240	0.280	0.386	OK
Travis Bazzana	DH	106	387	94	0.243	11	49	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.268	0.343	0.449	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	29	99	22	0.222	4	19	0.283	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.325	0.452	OK
Angel Genao	2B	28	102	24	0.235	2	6	0.284	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.269	0.329	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	63	186	45	0.242	7	28	0.308	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.251	0.321	0.367	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	136	478	120	0.251	13	61	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.298	0.426	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	4	4	5	5	0.156

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	88	289	67	0.232	7	29	0.300	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.238	0.290	0.348	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	143	534	144	0.270	34	97	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.260	0.350	0.502	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	110	351	79	0.225	21	58	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.286	0.480	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	141	563	123	0.218	21	56	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.211	0.290	0.367	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	42	142	35	0.246	7	29	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.158	0.212	0.324	OK
Rece Hinds	LF	2	5	3	0.600	0	0	0.714	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.250	0.300	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	120	394	85	0.216	8	53	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.182	0.245	0.289	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	23	60	5	0.083	0	0	0.191	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.089	0.155	0.138	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	RF	75	230	51	0.222	6	32	0.249	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.188	0.215	0.289	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	7	0.206

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	6	31.0	4.06	1.419	7.5	26	5.2	6	3	3	2	5	98	5.2	5	3
Cade Smith	Closer	61	61.5	2.34	1.106	13.9	95	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	58	43.5	3.10	1.356	10.1	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	33.7	3.20	1.335	17.9	67	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	28	158.2	4.04	1.378	8.2	145	5.2	4	1	1	4	2	111	5.2	2	1
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	51	40.0	4.27	1.600	8.3	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	24	1.0	1	0
Rico Garcia	Setup Man	67	52.5	2.91	1.029	10.6	62	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	35.8	3.02	1.117	10.3	41	0.2	1	3	3	1	0	15	0.2	0	3
Josh Walker	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	23	17.2	2.62	1.686	12.0	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees

COL 55-90 (4.71 RPG / 5.72 RA)

4 - 9

NYY 83-62 (4.53 RPG / 3.68 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 9-4 TARGET: COL 4 - 9 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 78.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	3
NYY	0	0	0	3	1	3	1	1	x	9	12

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Season Quality

Record55-89

Win%0.382

Run Diff-142

RD/Game-0.986

NYY Season Quality

Record82-62

Win%0.569

Run Diff119

RD/Game0.826

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.5709; margin adjustment: 2.5134; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	123	475	139	0.293	15	74	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.333	0.485	OK
Cole Carrigg	SS	72	261	69	0.264	7	39	0.338	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.261	0.318	0.448	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	137	489	147	0.301	15	66	0.391	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.335	0.413	0.514	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	124	462	115	0.249	37	78	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.291	0.485	OK
Mickey Moniak	RF	101	360	89	0.247	22	64	0.284	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.257	0.446	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	111	345	91	0.264	10	44	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.301	0.367	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	65	192	46	0.240	7	31	0.280	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.288	0.384	OK
Connor Norby	2B	25	79	21	0.266	2	11	0.363	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.129	0.223	0.215	OK
Zac Veen	LF	21	40	10	0.250	2	10	0.318	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.245	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	4	4	4	5	0.100

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	135	506	131	0.259	35	84	0.357	5	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.307	0.395	0.525	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	115	429	114	0.266	12	62	0.345	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.278	0.339	0.394	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	60	217	53	0.244	17	38	0.370	5	3	2	1	2	2	1	0.667	0.231	0.342	0.433	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	30	108	32	0.296	5	12	0.336	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.307	0.336	0.500	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	68	202	49	0.243	9	31	0.316	4	4	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.333	0.453	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	27	92	22	0.239	2	7	0.301	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.220	0.280	0.324	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	100	285	62	0.218	10	33	0.282	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.233	0.299	0.352	OK
Austin Wells	C	107	301	55	0.183	10	28	0.275	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.275	0.301	OK
José Caballero	2B	115	379	89	0.235	13	47	0.290	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.246	0.295	0.384	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	12	9	9	3	9	0.333

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	25	128.4	5.33	1.386	5.5	79	4.2	3	4	4	2	7	87	4.2	7	3
Jordan Romano	Closer	21	18.5	2.92	1.189	9.2	19	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	22	1.0	1	3
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	67	46.6	3.09	1.373	7.9	41	1.2	2	1	1	1	0	31	1.2	0	1
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	45	38.6	6.99	1.788	9.3	40	0.2	4	1	1	0	1	20	0.2	1	1

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	28	131.2	4.32	1.433	9.1	133	5.0	3	4	4	2	5	84	5.0	5	4
David Bednar	Closer	58	57.7	2.81	1.092	10.9	70	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	73	58.8	2.30	1.412	13.9	91	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	69.7	1.94	1.162	8.4	65	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	43.6	4.75	1.284	5.0	24	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 9-4

Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

HOU 74-72 (4.52 RPG / 4.8 RA)

3 - 4

PHI 82-64 (4.51 RPG / 4.25 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-3 TARGET: HOU 3 - 4 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	8
PHI	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	x	4	2

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

HOU Season Quality

Record74-71

Win%0.510

Run Diff-37

RD/Game-0.255

PHI Season Quality

Record81-64

Win%0.559

Run Diff34

RD/Game0.234

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3779; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	94	378	102	0.270	17	47	0.324	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.221	0.255	0.357	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	142	510	160	0.314	38	95	0.431	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.243	0.344	0.473	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	137	496	126	0.254	18	79	0.357	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.249	0.332	0.381	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	117	455	111	0.244	15	44	0.305	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.275	0.368	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	75	277	74	0.267	11	33	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.295	0.315	0.462	OK
Christian Walker	1B	138	509	118	0.232	25	80	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.254	0.316	0.435	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	30	115	22	0.191	4	13	0.256	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.221	0.273	0.369	OK
Cam Smith	RF	132	454	97	0.214	18	50	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.201	0.260	0.416	OK
Jorge Barrosa	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.203	0.256	0.328
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	3	3	4	9	0.229

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	1B	137	518	125	0.241	42	87	0.353	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.247	0.354	0.542	OK
Trea Turner	SS	137	572	139	0.243	18	54	0.293	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.239	0.284	0.397	OK
Bryce Harper	DH	143	505	137	0.271	27	80	0.389	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.270	0.385	0.465	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	31	124	36	0.290	2	13	0.308	3	2	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.308	0.337	0.400	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	137	476	120	0.252	10	60	0.328	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.299	0.360	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	136	482	129	0.268	17	58	0.313	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.217	0.262	0.334	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	128	376	97	0.258	2	34	0.307	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.266	0.300	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	106	363	78	0.215	10	46	0.289	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.177	0.245	0.283	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	RF	21	53	17	0.321	2	11	0.356	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.180	0.210	0.292	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	26	2	4	4	4	8	0.077

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	16	84.2	3.42	1.342	9.9	93	5.2	2	4	4	3	7	99	5.2	7	4
Josh Hader	Closer	40	39.4	0.69	0.609	12.1	53	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Setup Man	58	51.4	4.03	1.479	12.6	72	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	29	179.0	2.61	1.212	10.4	207	6.1	4	2	2	2	7	112	6.1	7	2
Jhoan Duran	Closer	53	51.4	1.40	1.012	12.6	72	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	24	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	55	48.8	3.32	1.066	12.4	67	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	47.9	4.70	1.482	10.7	57	0.2	0	0	0	2	0	16	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox

LAA 56-90 (4.05 RPG / 4.55 RA)

4 - 5

BOS 80-67 (4.44 RPG / 3.88 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-4 TARGET: LAA 4 - 5 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 52.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	4	8
BOS	0	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	x	5	5

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff2

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

LAA Season Quality

Record55-90

Win%0.379

Run Diff-75

RD/Game-0.517

BOS Season Quality

Record80-66

Win%0.548

Run Diff84

RD/Game0.575

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9166; margin adjustment: 0.385; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	140	559	135	0.242	24	69	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.282	0.331	0.483	OK
Mike Trout	CF	126	460	112	0.243	20	51	0.376	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.249	0.339	0.374	OK
Jose Siri	RF	73	183	40	0.219	7	24	0.269	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.186	0.227	0.316	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	99	360	89	0.247	10	59	0.308	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.235	0.288	0.367	OK
Christian Moore	DH	22	80	15	0.188	1	7	0.241	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.187	0.230	0.273	OK
Kyren Paris	LF	2	6	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.047	0.060	0.078
Oswald Peraza	2B	101	320	71	0.222	7	24	0.275	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.197	0.236	0.291	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	63	221	48	0.217	6	24	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.179	0.218	0.268	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	29	81	15	0.185	0	3	0.233	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.145	0.169	0.209	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	8	4	4	1	10	0.235

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	DH	40	152	36	0.237	3	7	0.348	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.334	0.363	OK
Mickey Gasper	C	52	159	43	0.270	8	22	0.378	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.263	0.368	0.490	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	140	533	137	0.257	23	70	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.314	0.387	OK
Trevor Story	SS	50	202	47	0.233	3	23	0.263	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.244	0.267	0.340	OK
Nick Sogard	1B	49	180	48	0.267	4	16	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.368	0.422	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	133	452	109	0.241	12	59	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.201	0.289	0.299	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	134	509	103	0.202	20	63	0.259	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.196	0.245	0.372	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	45	130	36	0.277	2	16	0.352	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.345	0.375	OK
Nate Eaton	CF	12	32	4	0.125	1	4	0.263	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.144	0.249	0.296	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	29	5	5	5	4	8	0.172

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	18	76.7	5.28	1.421	6.8	58	5.1	4	4	4	3	7	103	5.1	7	4
Ben Joyce	Closer	11	9.4	2.87	0.957	12.4	13	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Tayler Saucedo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	11.9	4.54	1.513	14.4	19	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	17	97.1	3.43	1.050	7.5	81	5.2	7	3	3	1	6	104	5.2	6	3
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	49	48.2	1.49	1.058	12.1	65	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.1	3	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	13	13.1	0.69	0.992	16.5	24	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	47.3	1.90	0.846	10.3	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-4

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers

MIN 69-77 (4.62 RPG / 4.99 RA)

4 - 5

DET 67-79 (4.39 RPG / 4.01 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-4 TARGET: MIN 4 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 52.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	4
DET	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	1	5	7

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIN Season Quality

Record69-76

Win%0.476

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.331

DET Season Quality

Record66-79

Win%0.455

Run Diff50

RD/Game0.345

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1979; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	135	468	129	0.276	9	44	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.275	0.352	0.392	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	136	520	130	0.250	23	78	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.283	0.403	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	127	470	112	0.238	25	73	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.306	0.485	OK
Josh Bell	DH	139	511	130	0.254	18	85	0.318	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.246	0.305	0.400	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	27	98	29	0.296	3	10	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.302	0.375	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	116	376	99	0.263	12	46	0.340	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.294	0.402	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	110	405	94	0.232	14	51	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.267	0.353	OK
Victor Caratini	C	93	293	65	0.222	7	39	0.312	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.123	0.222	0.192	OK
Walker Jenkins	CF	10	32	4	0.125	1	5	0.263	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.150	0.255	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	4	4	3	10	0.129

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	139	534	146	0.273	16	62	0.374	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.371	0.443	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	85	322	87	0.270	8	36	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.357	0.352	OK
Colt Keith	1B	129	364	93	0.255	9	32	0.311	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.242	0.286	0.362	OK
Riley Greene	DH	122	448	125	0.279	19	64	0.367	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.293	0.371	0.533	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	132	502	124	0.247	26	83	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.239	0.344	OK
Brett Callahan	LF	17	41	9	0.220	1	6	0.267	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.156	0.195	0.275	OK
Max Clark	CF	35	123	31	0.252	2	16	0.319	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.295	0.368	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	38	94	23	0.245	3	14	0.333	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.245	0.332	0.368	OK
John Peck	SS	6	22	5	0.227	0	3	0.320	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.239	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	7	5	5	1	7	0.219

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	20	115.6	4.75	1.263	7.6	97	6.0	5	4	4	1	6	100	6.0	6	4
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	49	39.2	2.76	1.352	10.1	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	12.2	0.74	1.066	9.6	13	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	29	138.8	3.63	1.059	6.2	96	5.2	3	3	3	3	7	101	5.2	7	3
Kenley Jansen	Closer	43	36.4	3.46	1.209	10.9	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	62	56.5	3.35	1.504	8.4	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	50.4	3.75	1.687	8.2	46	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

DET wins 5-4

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins

NYM 67-78 (4.22 RPG / 4.5 RA)

7 - 4

MIA 72-74 (4.38 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 7-4 TARGET: NYM 7 - 4 MIA (NYM) Confidence: 54.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	0	7	7
MIA	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	5

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-3

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

NYM Season Quality

Record67-78

Win%0.462

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.283

MIA Season Quality

Record72-74

Win%0.493

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.055

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0677; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	86	342	79	0.231	17	39	0.312	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.225	0.285	0.454	OK
Juan Soto	LF	92	327	92	0.281	24	59	0.398	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.269	0.372	0.531	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	139	554	148	0.267	16	72	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.327	0.447	OK
Carson Benge	RF	135	517	140	0.271	16	53	0.333	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.320	0.378	OK
Jared Young	DH	89	280	74	0.264	7	33	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.316	0.400	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	122	431	96	0.223	14	45	0.288	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.277	0.314	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	102	373	93	0.249	8	33	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.268	0.337	0.404	OK
Brett Baty	1B	120	379	87	0.230	10	49	0.295	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.311	0.447	OK
Luis Torrens	C	76	225	53	0.236	8	33	0.298	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.208	0.259	0.370	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	7	7	4	5	0.206

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	DH	108	396	97	0.245	19	60	0.334	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.322	0.475	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	112	382	87	0.228	24	63	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.203	0.268	0.409	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	74	225	56	0.249	15	34	0.345	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.333	0.454	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	142	568	171	0.301	10	64	0.338	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.294	0.388	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	136	463	101	0.218	9	33	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.357	0.385	OK
Javier Sanoja	2B	117	395	115	0.291	8	57	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.300	0.336	0.470	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	102	286	62	0.217	13	55	0.278	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.126	0.189	0.236	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	46	123	24	0.195	3	21	0.248	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.191	0.249	0.453	OK
Joe Mack	C	89	268	62	0.231	12	42	0.282	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.149	0.193	0.239	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	4	4	2	6	0.156

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Stock	Starter	7	25.4	6.02	1.811	8.9	25	4.1	5	3	3	2	4	90	4.1	4	3
Kodai Senga	Closer	27	55.2	7.50	1.685	11.1	68	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	13	1.0	0	1
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	22	24.2	2.23	0.826	9.7	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	10.5	0.00	0.952	14.6	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Pintaro	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	17	24.9	3.98	1.245	9.4	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	22	105.2	4.11	1.312	6.3	74	5.0	4	3	3	2	3	91	5.0	3	3
Calvin Faucher	Closer	61	52.4	4.29	1.527	11.2	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	38	27.6	5.22	1.630	12.1	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	50.8	3.72	1.280	11.9	67	1.0	2	4	4	2	0	27	1.0	0	3
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	12	12.4	4.35	1.210	7.3	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 7-4

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox

PIT 72-73 (4.85 RPG / 4.63 RA)

5 - 4

CHW 75-69 (4.74 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: PIT 5 - 4 CHW (PIT) Confidence: 59.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0	5	6
CHW	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	8

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PIT Season Quality

Record72-73

Win%0.497

Run Diff32

RD/Game0.221

CHW Season Quality

Record75-69

Win%0.521

Run Diff43

RD/Game0.299

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0965; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	62	240	64	0.267	5	25	0.323	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.288	0.354	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	132	516	132	0.256	29	83	0.325	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.275	0.338	0.446	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	142	525	142	0.270	16	69	0.376	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.314	0.396	0.508	OK
Nick Gonzales	DH	130	493	149	0.302	4	57	0.365	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.295	0.349	0.371	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	81	315	85	0.270	17	60	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.344	0.403	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	67	224	51	0.228	13	38	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.330	0.440	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	102	351	86	0.245	10	44	0.345	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.227	0.314	0.316	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	30	99	24	0.242	8	18	0.312	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.252	0.307	0.469	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	3B	39	101	19	0.188	2	9	0.210	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.221	0.258	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	5	5	4	8	0.182

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	2B	123	426	114	0.268	8	43	0.366	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.271	0.341	0.400	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	127	387	94	0.243	14	70	0.305	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.230	0.305	0.410	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	109	393	82	0.209	30	62	0.347	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.189	0.318	0.427	OK
Randal Grichuk	LF	75	165	49	0.297	11	30	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.296	0.318	0.605	OK
Colson Montgomery	3B	136	514	108	0.210	31	83	0.290	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.197	0.265	0.434	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	75	272	60	0.221	6	37	0.313	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.212	0.302	0.347	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	132	393	111	0.282	12	53	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.310	0.424	OK
Chase Meidroth	SS	137	510	137	0.269	12	51	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.256	0.328	0.365	OK
Kyle Teel	C	23	75	15	0.200	4	18	0.268	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.282	0.480	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	4	9	0.229

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lake Bachar	Starter	9	18.3	2.95	1.093	9.3	19	5.0	5	2	2	2	6	98	5.0	6	2
Mason Montgomery	Closer	60	52.2	2.93	1.169	15.9	92	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	10	8.4	6.43	1.667	11.8	11	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	35	1.2	0	1
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	55.2	2.93	1.105	11.2	69	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	25	127.4	4.24	1.350	8.1	114	5.0	3	4	4	3	3	91	5.0	3	4
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	52.8	2.90	1.307	9.4	55	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	8	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants

STL 72-75 (4.54 RPG / 4.63 RA)

5 - 4

SF 63-85 (4.22 RPG / 4.67 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 5-4 TARGET: STL 5 - 4 SF (STL) Confidence: 52.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	9
SF	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	4

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

STL Season Quality

Record72-74

Win%0.493

Run Diff-11

RD/Game-0.075

SF Season Quality

Record61-85

Win%0.418

Run Diff-73

RD/Game-0.500

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2515; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bryan Torres	LF	55	135	35	0.259	3	17	0.329	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.267	0.346	0.361	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	142	541	134	0.248	15	62	0.355	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.290	0.349	0.434	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	141	541	153	0.283	22	101	0.347	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.264	0.330	0.433	OK
Leonardo Bernal	C	8	32	9	0.281	1	7	0.361	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.316	0.339	OK
Joshua Baez	RF	23	76	19	0.250	7	16	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.208	0.248	0.421	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	74	238	44	0.185	9	31	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.165	0.241	0.323	OK
Thomas Saggese	2B	36	109	30	0.275	4	12	0.331	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.299	0.359	0.486	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	118	428	101	0.236	5	51	0.308	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.215	0.284	0.342	OK
Nathan Church	CF	113	378	93	0.246	10	48	0.287	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.268	0.305	0.359	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	5	5	4	4	0.250

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	109	308	72	0.234	8	36	0.303	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.142	0.204	0.251	OK
Turner Hill	DH	19	60	17	0.283	0	12	0.370	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.271	0.353	0.373	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	100	355	94	0.265	16	49	0.361	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.279	0.380	0.483	OK
Jonah Cox	2B	36	90	25	0.278	4	10	0.316	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.275	0.313	0.451	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	130	494	139	0.281	8	51	0.325	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.164	0.212	0.256	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	13	47	8	0.170	1	4	0.170	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.215	0.337	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	45	119	29	0.244	0	9	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.137	0.215	0.180	OK
Grant McCray	LF	23	61	9	0.148	2	3	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.169	0.267	0.323	OK
Christian Koss	SS	50	151	33	0.219	4	9	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.273	0.391	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	4	4	5	5	0.129

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	25	138.2	3.58	1.266	6.4	98	5.2	2	2	2	3	2	96	5.2	2	2
Riley O'Brien	Closer	60	55.2	4.24	1.341	9.3	57	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	20	1.0	0	2
George Soriano	Setup Man	65	53.5	4.88	1.551	10.4	62	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	48.6	5.00	1.605	11.1	60	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	20	1.0	3	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	58.8	4.29	1.616	7.2	47	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Blade Tidwell	Starter	14	41.5	4.55	1.277	7.8	36	5.0	5	1	1	1	3	83	5.0	3	1
Dylan Smith	Closer	35	29.6	3.65	1.588	12.5	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Trent Harris	Setup Man	13	14.3	3.15	1.329	13.2	21	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Carson Seymour	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	17	21.2	6.37	1.887	7.6	18	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26	1.0	0	2
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	18	17.0	4.76	1.765	6.4	12	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	20	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

STL wins 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves

TB 87-58 (4.56 RPG / 4.16 RA)

4 - 3

ATL 85-62 (4.56 RPG / 3.86 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: TB 4 - 3 ATL (TB) Confidence: 57.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	4	7
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	4

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

TB Season Quality

Record86-58

Win%0.597

Run Diff53

RD/Game0.368

ATL Season Quality

Record85-60

Win%0.586

Run Diff113

RD/Game0.779

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.188; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	138	549	169	0.308	22	79	0.375	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.316	0.363	0.500	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	139	527	148	0.281	19	86	0.362	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.287	0.356	0.483	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	143	546	154	0.282	39	93	0.369	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.286	0.366	0.565	OK
Liam Hicks	C	27	83	26	0.313	4	16	0.408	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.338	0.425	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	56	186	43	0.231	10	25	0.287	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.292	0.390	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	132	514	158	0.307	0	31	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.275	0.300	0.318	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	120	404	83	0.205	14	44	0.289	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.192	0.272	0.295	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	105	308	70	0.227	9	44	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.315	0.520	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	14	44	6	0.136	1	5	0.188	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.179	0.224	0.267	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	4	4	5	3	0.206

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	121	474	131	0.276	22	70	0.353	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.333	0.425	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	91	345	88	0.255	16	45	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.354	0.495	OK
Matt Olson	1B	144	556	138	0.248	36	78	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.272	0.379	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	138	524	153	0.292	24	80	0.316	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.253	0.382	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	136	505	135	0.267	11	66	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.262	0.300	0.392	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	117	312	70	0.224	9	33	0.305	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.174	0.247	0.288	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	144	548	138	0.252	21	68	0.308	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.208	0.263	0.342	OK
Austin Riley	3B	142	503	113	0.225	16	66	0.296	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.279	0.394	OK
Sean Murphy	C	21	71	15	0.211	3	8	0.273	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.219	0.288	0.421	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	3	3	1	8	0.129

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	29	90.6	3.68	1.280	10.0	101	5.0	2	0	0	0	5	78	5.0	5	0
Bryan Baker	Closer	57	54.6	1.48	0.879	9.9	60	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	24	1.1	0	1
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	64	57.4	2.51	0.993	8.5	54	1.0	1	2	2	0	1	16	1.0	1	2
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	12	15.3	1.76	0.719	9.4	16	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reynaldo López	Starter	24	69.8	3.74	1.375	8.5	66	5.0	3	3	3	5	2	95	5.0	2	3
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	52	50.9	2.83	1.198	9.7	55	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	1	1
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	65	54.3	2.65	0.939	12.4	75	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	59.3	2.58	1.164	12.6	83	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	24	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners

TEX 72-74 (4.16 RPG / 4.43 RA)

6 - 4

SEA 68-78 (3.95 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 6-4 TARGET: TEX 6 - 4 SEA (TEX) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6	9
SEA	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TEX Season Quality

Record72-73

Win%0.497

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.269

SEA Season Quality

Record67-78

Win%0.462

Run Diff-76

RD/Game-0.524

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4291; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ezequiel Duran	CF	134	477	131	0.275	17	78	0.335	5	5	1	1	0	0	4	0.200	0.277	0.338	0.459	OK
Corey Seager	SS	84	313	71	0.227	16	39	0.323	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.242	0.322	0.506	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	81	199	54	0.271	11	33	0.318	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.304	0.338	0.517	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	139	532	139	0.261	14	58	0.326	5	3	2	1	3	2	0	0.667	0.219	0.270	0.341	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	93	355	87	0.245	16	38	0.332	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.189	0.283	0.363	OK
Jake Burger	1B	137	497	118	0.237	25	82	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.333	0.482	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	DH	8	14	5	0.357	0	1	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.253	0.295	0.340	OK
Elias Díaz	C	57	171	40	0.234	5	25	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.254	0.405	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	29	79	20	0.253	1	6	0.322	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.127	0.194	0.207	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	6	6	5	13	0.250

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	99	346	77	0.223	10	33	0.345	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.356	0.326	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	137	508	139	0.274	22	67	0.372	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.264	0.342	0.427	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	127	410	105	0.256	21	65	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.255	0.304	0.421	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	109	391	72	0.184	21	59	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.266	0.355	0.472	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	133	532	127	0.239	20	61	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.186	0.233	0.287	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	135	528	141	0.267	10	49	0.325	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.253	0.297	0.330	OK
Taylor Ward	RF	23	76	8	0.105	0	4	0.200	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.308	0.272	OK
Cole Young	2B	143	523	129	0.247	16	58	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.285	0.337	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	35	93	17	0.183	3	8	0.262	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.116	0.206	0.186	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	4	4	3	11	0.182

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cody Bradford	Starter	6	29.4	4.59	1.633	4.9	16	5.0	4	3	3	2	4	95	5.0	4	3
Jacob Latz	Closer	50	59.6	1.51	0.755	10.6	70	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	46	45.6	2.96	1.228	6.9	35	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	17	12.1	3.72	1.736	11.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	24	1.0	3	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	53.8	3.85	1.524	9.2	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kade Anderson	Starter	3	14.3	5.66	1.538	6.9	11	5.0	5	3	3	3	7	100	5.0	7	3
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	54	49.3	4.02	1.176	15.2	83	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	65	51.5	4.37	1.612	8.4	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	67	52.3	4.65	1.740	11.0	64	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.2	1	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	32.8	3.02	1.280	9.6	35	1.0	4	3	3	1	1	29	1.0	1	3

Game Summary

TEX wins 6-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ Oakland Athletics

TOR 73-74 (4.01 RPG / 4.27 RA)

6 - 5

OAK 59-88 (4.36 RPG / 5.63 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 6-5 TARGET: TOR 6 - 5 OAK (TOR) Confidence: 53.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	6	7
OAK	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	5	10

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record73-73

Win%0.500

Run Diff-37

RD/Game-0.253

OAK Season Quality

Record58-88

Win%0.397

Run Diff-189

RD/Game-1.295

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9449; margin adjustment: -0.3969; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	RF	27	109	36	0.330	0	7	0.398	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.332	0.398	0.390	OK
Charles McAdoo	LF	26	78	19	0.244	2	10	0.294	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.302	0.341	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	130	494	129	0.261	8	54	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.270	0.322	0.361	OK
Alejandro Kirk	DH	65	236	65	0.275	9	36	0.338	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.334	0.429	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	139	513	120	0.234	30	83	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.273	0.335	0.549	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	128	425	104	0.245	9	53	0.292	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.283	0.384	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	142	539	147	0.273	9	46	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.253	0.314	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	72	220	48	0.218	8	21	0.302	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.124	0.221	0.220	OK
Myles Straw	CF	110	261	62	0.238	3	23	0.295	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.184	0.260	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	6	6	2	5	0.206

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	99	353	98	0.278	9	32	0.356	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.276	0.350	0.414	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	131	410	93	0.227	13	52	0.314	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.204	0.271	0.348	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	91	334	85	0.254	17	44	0.320	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.213	0.266	0.416	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	107	306	80	0.261	9	40	0.326	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.263	0.313	0.405	OK
Tommy White	1B	40	153	38	0.248	2	8	0.266	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.252	0.309	OK
Max Muncy	DH	76	243	55	0.226	9	29	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.290	0.412	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	40	93	21	0.226	3	11	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.330	0.443	OK
Brian Serven	C	19	63	14	0.222	5	14	0.258	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.222	0.249	0.411	OK
Alika Williams	SS	65	183	48	0.262	4	15	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.278	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	10	5	5	2	6	0.270

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braydon Fisher	Starter	69	61.7	3.65	1.410	9.9	68	5.0	6	2	2	0	5	93	5.0	5	2
Louis Varland	Closer	65	66.2	1.36	1.103	11.8	87	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	22	1.2	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	67	60.0	1.95	1.267	5.4	36	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	1
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	45	80.9	3.00	1.137	9.0	81	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	27	1.1	0	2

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Basso	Starter	22	30.3	4.75	1.551	7.1	24	4.1	5	3	3	1	2	74	4.1	2	3
Elvis Alvarado	Closer	47	40.7	4.86	1.450	12.2	55	1.0	2	3	3	1	0	13	1.0	0	3
Hogan Harris	Setup Man	66	51.7	4.18	1.779	14.4	83	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	60.2	3.44	1.478	12.3	82	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	22.0	2.86	1.364	9.4	23	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 6-5

Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres

WAS 67-81 (5.11 RPG / 5.11 RA)

4 - 5

SD 78-68 (4.24 RPG / 4.12 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: WAS 4 - 5 SD (SD) Confidence: 52.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	4	8
SD	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	x	5	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

WAS Season Quality

Record67-80

Win%0.456

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.048

SD Season Quality

Record77-68

Win%0.531

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.069

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1936; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	120	460	122	0.265	30	74	0.391	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.259	0.381	0.496	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	92	349	78	0.223	11	38	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.241	0.283	0.413	OK
Andrés Chaparro	3B	65	162	42	0.259	10	35	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.334	0.513	OK
CJ Abrams	2B	138	525	137	0.261	30	95	0.339	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.234	0.308	0.445	OK
Yohandy Morales	1B	6	16	6	0.375	2	2	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.264	0.649	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	145	550	139	0.253	20	82	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.280	0.417	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	91	300	85	0.283	9	46	0.321	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.287	0.319	0.447	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	125	408	86	0.211	1	35	0.289	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.195	0.264	0.234	OK
Jacob Young	CF	116	386	96	0.249	10	43	0.309	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.157	0.214	0.248	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	13	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	141	561	158	0.282	20	70	0.347	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.277	0.339	0.451	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	138	468	102	0.218	11	52	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.315	0.288	OK
Manny Machado	3B	141	522	118	0.226	26	80	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.313	0.398	0.526	OK
Ty France	1B	113	383	111	0.290	20	62	0.359	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.281	0.346	0.460	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	141	547	131	0.239	22	73	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.213	0.257	0.336	OK
Luis Campusano	C	59	172	49	0.285	7	27	0.382	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.286	0.361	0.504	OK
Austin Hays	DH	15	38	8	0.211	1	3	0.211	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.237	0.327	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	32	105	32	0.305	1	11	0.387	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.141	0.228	0.215	OK
Jase Bowen	RF	39	84	14	0.167	2	7	0.205	4	3	2	1	4	1	0	0.667	0.179	0.199	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	8	5	5	4	9	0.250

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Kent	Starter	5	23.4	5.77	1.752	8.1	21	4.2	8	4	4	2	4	101	4.2	4	5
Clayton Beeter	Closer	48	42.1	4.70	1.520	9.8	46	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.1	0	0
Erik Tolman	Setup Man	7	7.4	2.43	1.351	10.9	9	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	35	67.2	4.02	1.354	9.4	70	1.1	0	0	0	2	3	25	1.1	3	0
Jared Simpson	Middle Reliever	2	4.0	0.00	0.000	9.0	4	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	28	132.6	4.68	1.380	7.9	117	5.1	2	1	1	2	9	93	5.1	9	1
Mason Miller	Closer	58	58.3	1.23	0.875	17.4	113	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	68	69.8	3.22	1.218	12.4	96	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	56.7	2.06	1.129	11.4	72	1.2	4	2	2	0	0	44	1.2	0	2

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals

ARI Recent Form

KC Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers

CIN Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles

CLE Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees

COL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

COL Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

HOU Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

PHI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox

LAA Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers