MLB Predictions — September 8, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ KC	5 - 3	5 - 3	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 5-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ MIL	4 - 6	4 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ LAD	3 - 9	3 - 9	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 9-3	67%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ BAL	5 - 4	5 - 4	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ NYY	2 - 8	2 - 8	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 8-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ PHI	3 - 2	3 - 2	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 3-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ BOS	3 - 4	3 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ DET	5 - 6	5 - 6	DET	DET	DET wins 6-5	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ MIA	6 - 5	6 - 5	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ CHW	3 - 4	3 - 4	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ SF	6 - 5	6 - 5	STL	STL	STL wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ ATL	6 - 5	6 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 6-5	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ SEA	5 - 4	5 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ OAK	5 - 4	5 - 4	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ SD	4 - 5	4 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals

ARI 77-68 (4.42 RPG / 4.42 RA)

5 - 3

KC 64-81 (4.28 RPG / 4.9 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 5-3 TARGET: ARI 5 - 3 KC (ARI) Confidence: 57.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	5	8
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	4

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ARI Season Quality

Record77-68

Win%0.531

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

KC Season Quality

Record64-81

Win%0.441

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-0.614

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5788; margin adjustment: -0.2431; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	DH	25	74	17	0.230	3	12	0.345	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.188	0.302	0.357	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	123	491	123	0.251	22	68	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.312	0.440	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	114	412	124	0.301	12	70	0.379	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.276	0.342	0.451	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	140	501	126	0.251	9	49	0.359	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.365	0.358	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	135	472	111	0.235	22	68	0.309	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.290	0.395	OK
Tommy Troy	CF	23	75	18	0.240	3	5	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.320	0.428	OK
Tim Tawa	RF	81	258	62	0.240	9	35	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.303	0.377	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	119	419	105	0.251	9	66	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.242	0.297	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	74	237	63	0.266	3	22	0.330	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.265	0.325	0.370	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	5	5	1	8	0.229

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	132	469	108	0.230	22	68	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.320	0.517	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	125	489	138	0.282	17	50	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.311	0.408	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	97	359	87	0.242	11	46	0.333	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.327	0.435	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	134	518	120	0.232	19	71	0.275	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.293	0.315	0.459	OK
Michael Massey	2B	112	359	99	0.276	11	45	0.310	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.295	0.396	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	103	329	78	0.237	7	42	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.225	0.285	0.351	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	127	400	89	0.222	6	40	0.325	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.110	0.224	0.214	OK
Matthew Lugo	RF	4	7	2	0.286	0	0	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.283	0.306	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	82	252	56	0.222	6	24	0.272	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.245	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	3	3	2	10	0.129

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Corbin Burnes	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.1	2	1	1	0	4	23	1.1	4	1
Brandyn Garcia	Closer	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	5.0	1	1	1	0	3	69	5.0	3	1
Juan Morillo	Setup Man	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.1	1	1	1	2	1	28	1.1	1	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	28	174.1	3.41	1.120	7.4	143	6.1	7	3	3	1	6	110	6.1	6	3
Steven Cruz	Closer	51	49.0	4.59	1.367	10.7	58	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	13	1.0	0	1
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	18	18.3	0.49	0.820	8.9	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	9.3	3.87	1.290	6.8	7	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	7	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-3

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC 81-64 (5.32 RPG / 4.41 RA)

4 - 6

MIL 89-56 (5.03 RPG / 3.87 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-4 TARGET: CHC 4 - 6 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	9
MIL	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	x	6	12

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.8

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CHC Season Quality

Record81-64

Win%0.559

Run Diff131

RD/Game0.903

MIL Season Quality

Record89-56

Win%0.614

Run Diff169

RD/Game1.166

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1107; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	143	550	156	0.284	41	97	0.378	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.293	0.363	0.696	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	126	478	130	0.272	24	80	0.372	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.236	0.339	0.409	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	141	558	147	0.263	24	82	0.352	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.297	0.381	0.516	OK
Michael Busch	1B	141	536	127	0.237	17	68	0.343	5	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.148	0.246	0.290	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	140	557	148	0.266	8	64	0.316	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.279	0.321	0.365	OK
Ian Happ	LF	135	491	109	0.222	23	64	0.326	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.145	0.253	0.256	OK
Matt Shaw	2B	56	147	36	0.245	5	21	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.314	0.447	OK
Tyrone Taylor	DH	19	54	22	0.407	1	7	0.458	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.322	0.359	0.559	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	64	195	46	0.236	5	23	0.329	4	2	2	1	0	2	0	1.000	0.227	0.299	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	9	4	4	3	12	0.257

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	108	450	128	0.284	21	61	0.343	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.260	0.311	0.436	OK
Brice Turang	2B	131	511	134	0.262	17	86	0.355	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.349	0.413	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	92	267	84	0.315	6	42	0.393	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.301	0.373	0.464	OK
William Contreras	C	131	508	136	0.268	14	73	0.336	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.288	0.385	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	76	204	43	0.211	11	35	0.347	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.219	0.347	0.453	OK
Luis Lara	RF	43	142	37	0.261	1	21	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.325	0.343	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	103	313	79	0.252	8	41	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.329	0.417	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	121	395	102	0.258	8	50	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.284	0.357	0.438	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	55	173	47	0.272	3	28	0.338	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.336	0.367	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	12	6	6	3	11	0.333

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	12	56.2	4.80	1.530	8.0	50	4.0	7	2	2	1	8	87	4.0	8	2
Jacob Webb	Closer	62	54.6	3.46	1.374	10.9	66	2.0	0	0	0	1	1	41	2.0	1	0
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	44	39.6	3.86	1.389	6.4	28	1.0	3	4	4	1	2	26	1.0	2	4
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	10.2	7.94	1.961	11.5	13	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	26	154.3	1.98	0.797	13.2	227	6.0	4	3	3	3	10	112	6.0	10	3
Trevor Megill	Closer	55	54.4	1.65	0.809	10.3	62	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	53	47.7	2.08	1.048	9.8	52	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	73.0	3.58	1.507	13.4	109	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	31	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-4

Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers

CIN 69-75 (4.22 RPG / 4.97 RA)

3 - 9

LAD 87-57 (4.94 RPG / 3.86 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 9-3 TARGET: CIN 3 - 9 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 67.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	4
LAD	3	0	0	0	3	2	0	1	x	9	13

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed6.8

Run Diff-8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

CIN Season Quality

Record69-75

Win%0.479

Run Diff-108

RD/Game-0.750

LAD Season Quality

Record87-57

Win%0.604

Run Diff155

RD/Game1.076

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.393; margin adjustment: 0.5851; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	90	244	64	0.262	5	22	0.350	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.231	0.314	0.333	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	122	481	137	0.285	24	67	0.366	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.338	0.407	0.656	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	141	541	144	0.266	30	104	0.337	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.318	0.409	OK
Tyler Stephenson	DH	111	363	90	0.248	15	52	0.328	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.234	0.314	0.412	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	109	381	81	0.213	22	63	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.209	0.297	0.445	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	112	401	89	0.222	22	55	0.331	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.203	0.304	0.380	OK
Jose Trevino	C	40	130	30	0.231	5	17	0.235	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.228	0.357	OK
Matt McLain	2B	114	391	74	0.189	15	39	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.155	0.233	0.336	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	26	91	25	0.275	5	12	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.322	0.455	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	31	4	3	3	7	8	0.129

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Edman	CF	63	231	62	0.268	6	31	0.340	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.284	0.326	0.437	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	104	411	102	0.248	18	58	0.305	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.269	0.319	0.486	OK
Will Smith	C	56	190	45	0.237	6	26	0.324	5	5	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.139	0.244	0.247	OK
Freddie Freeman	DH	138	517	155	0.300	16	64	0.379	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.299	0.388	0.461	OK
Teoscar Hernández	RF	106	376	98	0.261	13	54	0.326	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.296	0.370	0.473	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	83	195	52	0.267	3	20	0.296	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.140	0.177	0.259	OK
Alex Call	LF	65	148	37	0.250	1	19	0.351	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.290	0.286	OK
Max Muncy	3B	130	423	105	0.248	26	68	0.348	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.249	0.361	0.439	OK
Enrique Hernández	1B	25	57	12	0.211	2	5	0.262	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.215	0.268	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	13	9	9	3	7	0.351

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	17	82.9	5.21	1.556	7.5	69	4.0	6	6	6	3	5	80	4.0	5	6
Emilio Pagán	Closer	38	35.5	4.06	1.099	9.4	37	1.2	2	2	2	0	0	15	1.2	0	2
Luis Mey	Setup Man	20	24.6	4.02	1.504	13.9	38	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	71	59.0	2.90	1.508	10.8	71	1.0	3	1	1	0	2	22	1.0	2	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	6	35.2	3.07	1.193	11.0	43	6.0	2	1	1	4	7	110	6.0	7	1
Tanner Scott	Closer	62	52.2	2.93	1.073	12.1	70	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	58	50.2	3.05	1.096	12.2	68	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	27	1.0	0	2
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	22	19.1	2.83	1.099	9.0	19	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 9-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles

CLE 74-72 (4.06 RPG / 4.14 RA)

5 - 4

BAL 70-76 (4.47 RPG / 4.68 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 5-4 TARGET: CLE 5 - 4 BAL (CLE) Confidence: 50.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	5	7
BAL	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	8

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Season Quality

Record73-72

Win%0.503

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.110

BAL Season Quality

Record70-75

Win%0.483

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.186

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0933; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	130	469	128	0.273	2	27	0.369	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.283	0.362	0.355	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	105	383	93	0.243	10	46	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.343	0.442	OK
José Ramírez	3B	107	401	95	0.237	11	48	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.288	0.325	OK
Jo Adell	DH	31	113	27	0.239	4	23	0.318	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.271	0.381	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	28	96	22	0.229	4	19	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.179	0.255	0.357	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	94	338	82	0.243	14	50	0.282	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.265	0.401	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	62	182	43	0.236	7	27	0.304	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.156	0.235	0.259	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	57	150	30	0.200	3	9	0.239	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.158	0.194	0.269	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	135	474	118	0.249	13	59	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.287	0.458	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	5	5	3	10	0.206

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	87	284	65	0.229	7	28	0.299	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.218	0.274	0.337	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	142	530	142	0.268	33	95	0.361	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.316	0.412	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	140	560	123	0.220	21	56	0.303	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.294	0.379	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	109	348	79	0.227	21	58	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.290	0.498	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	99	330	76	0.230	17	50	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.287	0.375	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	84	259	64	0.247	6	32	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.283	0.344	OK
Blaze Alexander	3B	80	253	77	0.304	4	31	0.359	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.263	0.314	0.365	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	112	295	64	0.217	12	34	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.134	0.221	0.231	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	119	390	84	0.215	8	52	0.286	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.187	0.262	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	7	0.229

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	29	163.3	4.13	1.206	7.3	132	5.2	5	3	3	2	5	103	5.2	5	3
Cade Smith	Closer	60	60.5	2.38	1.107	13.8	93	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	57	42.5	3.18	1.365	10.2	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	33.7	3.20	1.335	17.9	67	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	38.7	3.95	1.602	10.5	45	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	7	0.1	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	24	132.8	3.52	1.355	7.5	110	5.2	6	5	5	2	7	109	5.2	7	5
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	51	40.0	4.27	1.600	8.3	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Rico Garcia	Setup Man	67	52.5	2.91	1.029	10.6	62	1.2	1	0	0	1	1	28	1.2	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	35.8	3.02	1.117	10.3	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 5-4

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees

COL 55-89 (4.74 RPG / 5.72 RA)

2 - 8

NYY 82-62 (4.52 RPG / 3.69 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 8-2 TARGET: COL 2 - 8 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 64.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6
NYY	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	2	x	8	12

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

COL Season Quality

Record55-88

Win%0.385

Run Diff-140

RD/Game-0.979

NYY Season Quality

Record81-62

Win%0.566

Run Diff117

RD/Game0.818

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.5653; margin adjustment: 2.5045; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	122	471	138	0.293	15	74	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.324	0.488	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	71	257	69	0.268	7	39	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.324	0.453	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	136	486	146	0.300	15	66	0.390	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.340	0.419	0.541	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	123	458	114	0.249	36	76	0.316	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.133	0.202	0.271	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	100	356	89	0.250	22	64	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.231	0.264	0.454	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	110	342	91	0.266	10	44	0.363	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.223	0.309	0.380	OK
Adael Amador	2B	10	29	10	0.345	2	9	0.424	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.347	0.456	OK
Zac Veen	RF	20	38	10	0.263	2	10	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.261	0.331	0.509	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	127	416	89	0.214	10	41	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.272	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	2	2	3	9	0.182

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	134	504	131	0.260	35	84	0.356	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.319	0.392	0.531	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	114	425	113	0.266	12	62	0.346	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.283	0.344	0.393	OK
Aaron Judge	RF	59	214	53	0.248	17	38	0.375	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.250	0.361	0.455	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	29	104	30	0.288	5	12	0.330	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.282	0.312	0.472	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	67	199	49	0.246	9	31	0.317	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.287	0.353	0.508	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	129	449	104	0.232	19	55	0.309	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.275	0.353	0.447	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	26	89	21	0.236	2	7	0.293	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.217	0.268	0.337	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	99	282	61	0.216	10	32	0.282	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.211	0.282	0.325	OK
Austin Wells	C	106	298	55	0.185	10	28	0.277	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.199	0.291	0.325	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	12	8	8	5	8	0.333

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gabriel Hughes	Starter	11	51.4	6.30	1.459	7.4	42	4.1	7	5	5	2	6	96	4.1	6	5
Jordan Romano	Closer	21	18.5	2.92	1.189	9.2	19	1.0	2	1	1	2	1	32	1.0	1	1
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	67	46.6	3.09	1.373	7.9	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	45	38.6	6.99	1.788	9.3	40	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	8	0.1	1	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	39	26.2	6.18	1.908	12.0	35	1.2	3	2	2	0	0	42	1.2	0	2

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	29	167.7	2.09	0.960	11.3	210	6.1	2	1	1	3	7	100	6.1	7	1
David Bednar	Closer	57	57.6	2.81	1.094	10.8	69	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	72	57.8	2.34	1.436	13.9	89	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	69.7	1.94	1.162	8.4	65	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	14	0.2	0	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 8-2

Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

HOU 74-71 (4.5 RPG / 4.76 RA)

3 - 2

PHI 81-64 (4.46 RPG / 4.23 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 3-2 TARGET: HOU 3 - 2 PHI (HOU) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	5
PHI	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed2.2

Run Diff12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

HOU Season Quality

Record73-71

Win%0.507

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.264

PHI Season Quality

Record81-63

Win%0.562

Run Diff35

RD/Game0.243

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4439; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	93	373	101	0.271	17	46	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.221	0.258	0.365	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	141	505	160	0.317	38	95	0.435	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.285	0.392	0.575	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	136	493	125	0.254	18	79	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.318	0.372	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	116	450	111	0.247	15	44	0.308	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.242	0.294	0.395	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	29	110	19	0.173	3	12	0.242	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.186	0.247	0.289	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	74	272	72	0.265	11	33	0.294	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.190	0.218	0.341	OK
Christian Walker	1B	137	506	116	0.229	24	77	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.198	0.259	0.325	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	79	219	45	0.205	7	20	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.119	0.193	0.234	OK
Cam Smith	RF	131	451	96	0.213	17	49	0.277	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.190	0.247	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	5	3	3	3	6	0.161

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	136	513	124	0.242	42	86	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.363	0.601	OK
Trea Turner	SS	136	568	137	0.241	17	52	0.292	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.222	0.269	0.340	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	142	501	136	0.271	27	80	0.390	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.273	0.393	0.469	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	30	121	35	0.289	2	13	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.290	0.320	0.386	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	135	505	124	0.246	15	79	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.316	0.417	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	136	473	119	0.252	10	60	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.302	0.363	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	135	479	128	0.267	17	57	0.313	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	0.500	0.194	0.242	0.294	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	105	359	78	0.217	10	46	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.265	0.330	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	127	374	96	0.257	2	34	0.306	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.259	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	5	0.182

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hayden Wesneski	Starter	7	39.2	3.21	1.071	7.6	33	5.2	5	2	2	1	5	90	5.2	5	2
Josh Hader	Closer	39	38.4	0.47	0.573	12.4	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Setup Man	57	50.4	4.11	1.488	12.5	70	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	83.1	3.25	1.239	9.6	89	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	12	1.1	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	21	103.0	5.68	1.398	8.0	91	5.1	3	2	2	2	4	84	5.1	4	2
Jhoan Duran	Closer	53	51.4	1.40	1.012	12.6	72	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	55	48.8	3.32	1.066	12.4	67	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	47.9	4.70	1.482	10.7	57	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	16	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

HOU wins 3-2

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox

LAA 55-90 (4.03 RPG / 4.55 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 80-66 (4.44 RPG / 3.86 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	4	7

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5W

LAA Season Quality

Record54-90

Win%0.375

Run Diff-80

RD/Game-0.556

BOS Season Quality

Record80-65

Win%0.552

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.614

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.036; margin adjustment: 0.4351; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	139	554	131	0.236	23	67	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.273	0.367	OK
Mike Trout	CF	125	456	111	0.243	20	51	0.376	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	0.500	0.244	0.334	0.363	OK
Jose Siri	RF	72	178	39	0.219	7	23	0.271	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.178	0.220	0.311	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	98	357	87	0.244	10	58	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.273	0.362	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	30	113	22	0.195	2	8	0.242	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.312	0.445	OK
Christian Moore	2B	21	76	13	0.171	1	7	0.229	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.174	0.219	0.288	OK
Kyren Paris	LF	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.047	0.059	0.077
Denzer Guzman	3B	62	217	47	0.217	6	24	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.109	0.153	0.179	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	26	61	10	0.164	1	3	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.083	0.148	0.135	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	3	3	3	4	7	0.100

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	39	148	36	0.243	3	7	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.235	0.335	0.393	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	21	35	16	0.457	3	8	0.525	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.174	0.247	0.353	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	139	530	136	0.257	23	70	0.336	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.247	0.324	0.423	OK
Trevor Story	SS	49	198	46	0.232	3	23	0.263	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.277	0.353	OK
Nick Sogard	1B	48	176	46	0.261	4	15	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.361	0.416	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	132	450	109	0.242	12	59	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.320	0.347	OK
Andruw Monasterio	2B	94	291	71	0.244	6	40	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.280	0.359	OK
Eli White	CF	20	54	16	0.296	1	12	0.321	4	3	3	1	0	1	0	1.000	0.272	0.304	0.441	OK
Connor Wong	C	65	195	47	0.241	4	24	0.320	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.286	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	4	4	4	9	0.226

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	28	158.5	3.52	1.085	10.3	182	6.1	5	2	2	2	8	115	6.1	8	2
Ben Joyce	Closer	11	9.4	2.87	0.957	12.4	13	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	26	1.0	1	0
Tayler Saucedo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	11.7	4.62	1.453	13.8	18	0.2	2	2	2	0	0	14	0.2	0	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	10	47.6	4.54	1.786	9.5	50	5.0	3	3	3	4	4	88	5.0	4	3
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	49	48.2	1.49	1.058	12.1	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	9	1.0	2	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	13	13.1	0.69	0.992	16.5	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	47.3	1.90	0.846	10.3	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	44.7	4.23	1.432	10.9	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers

MIN 69-76 (4.64 RPG / 4.97 RA)

5 - 6

DET 66-79 (4.37 RPG / 4.03 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 6-5 TARGET: MIN 5 - 6 DET (DET) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	5	9
DET	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	x	6	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

MIN Season Quality

Record68-76

Win%0.472

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.340

DET Season Quality

Record66-78

Win%0.458

Run Diff51

RD/Game0.354

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3104; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	134	465	128	0.275	9	44	0.366	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.345	0.381	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	135	516	129	0.250	23	78	0.298	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.256	0.294	0.422	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	126	467	111	0.238	24	71	0.299	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.223	0.280	0.415	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	77	275	73	0.265	14	54	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.210	0.292	0.446	OK
Josh Bell	DH	138	508	130	0.256	18	84	0.320	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.271	0.329	0.426	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	109	401	94	0.234	14	51	0.301	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.274	0.358	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	115	373	99	0.265	12	46	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.316	0.440	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	26	95	29	0.305	3	10	0.356	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.312	0.385	OK
Walker Jenkins	CF	9	29	4	0.138	1	5	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.155	0.270	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	5	5	2	8	0.250

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	138	530	144	0.272	15	60	0.374	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.232	0.330	0.393	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	84	319	86	0.270	8	36	0.368	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.282	0.364	0.375	OK
Colt Keith	1B	128	362	93	0.257	9	32	0.313	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.297	0.373	OK
Riley Greene	DH	121	444	125	0.282	19	64	0.370	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.301	0.378	0.545	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	29	89	27	0.303	6	18	0.319	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.175	0.188	0.353	OK
Brett Callahan	LF	16	39	9	0.231	1	6	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.178	0.222	0.317	OK
Max Clark	CF	34	120	31	0.258	2	16	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.327	0.414	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	92	265	69	0.260	8	37	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.313	0.379	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	111	344	73	0.212	4	26	0.289	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.186	0.248	0.282	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	8	6	6	4	9	0.250

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	6	30.2	5.07	1.258	8.3	28	4.2	8	6	6	4	5	111	4.2	5	6
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	48	38.2	2.83	1.387	10.1	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	12	9.6	3.75	1.667	15.0	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	11.1	0.81	1.081	9.7	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	58.2	4.64	1.564	9.3	60	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Anderson	Starter	46	83.5	4.10	1.425	10.9	101	5.0	6	4	4	2	4	101	5.0	4	4
Kenley Jansen	Closer	43	36.4	3.46	1.209	10.9	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	62	56.5	3.35	1.504	8.4	53	1.0	2	1	1	0	3	19	1.0	3	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	50.4	3.75	1.687	8.2	46	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	32	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 6-5

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins

NYM 67-78 (4.22 RPG / 4.5 RA)

6 - 5

MIA 72-74 (4.38 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 6-5 TARGET: NYM 6 - 5 MIA (NYM) Confidence: 53.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	6	10
MIA	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	5	6

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

NYM Season Quality

Record66-78

Win%0.458

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.299

MIA Season Quality

Record72-73

Win%0.497

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.069

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1572; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	85	338	78	0.231	16	38	0.310	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.219	0.277	0.387	OK
Juan Soto	LF	91	323	90	0.279	23	56	0.396	5	5	4	1	4	0	0	0.800	0.257	0.359	0.466	OK
Bo Bichette	DH	138	550	147	0.267	16	72	0.314	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.328	0.436	OK
Carson Benge	RF	134	514	140	0.272	16	53	0.333	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.320	0.389	OK
Jared Young	1B	88	276	73	0.264	7	32	0.325	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.168	0.226	0.288	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	121	427	96	0.225	14	45	0.290	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.317	0.363	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	101	369	92	0.249	8	33	0.322	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.335	0.391	OK
Brett Baty	3B	119	376	86	0.229	9	47	0.295	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.324	0.458	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	96	320	72	0.225	14	35	0.310	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.269	0.405	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	10	6	6	3	8	0.278

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heriberto Hernández	LF	111	378	86	0.228	24	63	0.307	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.203	0.270	0.450	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	141	564	170	0.301	10	63	0.338	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.293	0.375	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	54	179	40	0.223	3	18	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.129	0.211	0.234	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	116	391	114	0.292	8	56	0.327	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.324	0.361	0.513	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	75	175	41	0.234	6	12	0.318	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.142	0.204	0.262	OK
Deyvison De Los Santos	1B	6	12	4	0.333	0	0	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.311	0.321	0.471	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	135	459	98	0.214	9	32	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.336	0.371	OK
Jared Serna	2B	3	5	1	0.200	0	1	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.325	0.244	OK
Brian Navarreto	C	20	44	5	0.114	1	2	0.184	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.072	0.113	0.141	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	5	5	0	5	0.182

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	29	123.9	4.87	1.404	8.9	122	6.1	6	4	4	0	2	98	6.1	2	4
Kodai Senga	Closer	26	54.2	7.47	1.679	11.0	66	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	12	1.0	1	1
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	22	24.2	2.23	0.826	9.7	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	3	1.0	2	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	9.5	0.00	0.842	14.2	15	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	30	193.8	3.58	1.197	6.6	142	6.1	4	1	1	3	6	116	6.1	6	2
Calvin Faucher	Closer	61	52.4	4.29	1.527	11.2	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.0	2	1
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	37	27.4	5.26	1.642	11.8	36	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	3
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	50.8	3.72	1.280	11.9	67	0.2	4	3	3	0	0	20	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 6-5

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox

PIT 71-73 (4.82 RPG / 4.64 RA)

3 - 4

CHW 75-68 (4.76 RPG / 4.41 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 3 - 4 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 51.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2
CHW	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	x	4	10

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

PIT Season Quality

Record71-73

Win%0.493

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.181

CHW Season Quality

Record75-68

Win%0.524

Run Diff49

RD/Game0.343

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.129; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	61	235	62	0.264	5	25	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.274	0.338	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	131	512	130	0.254	29	83	0.322	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.265	0.332	0.452	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	141	521	140	0.269	16	67	0.376	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.287	0.383	0.458	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	80	310	82	0.265	17	58	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.330	0.368	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	66	220	50	0.227	13	37	0.342	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.216	0.327	0.448	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	101	346	84	0.243	10	41	0.345	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.199	0.298	0.293	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	29	94	21	0.223	7	17	0.298	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.289	0.386	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	3B	38	96	18	0.188	2	9	0.210	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.271	0.349	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	108	378	109	0.288	4	30	0.342	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.278	0.320	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	2	3	3	2	6	0.069

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	122	422	113	0.268	8	43	0.367	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.343	0.399	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	140	523	132	0.252	30	79	0.362	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.268	0.355	0.459	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	108	389	82	0.211	30	62	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.331	0.444	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	126	383	92	0.240	14	70	0.304	4	4	3	1	3	0	1	0.750	0.177	0.259	0.321	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	135	510	108	0.212	31	82	0.292	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.193	0.258	0.446	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	74	269	59	0.219	6	36	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.303	0.348	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	131	390	111	0.285	12	53	0.345	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.312	0.355	0.475	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	136	507	137	0.270	12	51	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.302	0.330	OK
Kyle Teel	C	22	72	13	0.181	3	17	0.253	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.179	0.234	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	4	4	2	7	0.294

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	27	132.5	4.42	1.404	8.2	121	5.0	9	3	3	1	4	94	5.0	4	3
Mason Montgomery	Closer	60	52.2	2.93	1.169	15.9	92	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	10	8.4	6.43	1.667	11.8	11	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	19	1.0	0	1
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	55.2	2.93	1.105	11.2	69	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	28	150.7	3.28	1.175	10.0	167	5.2	2	3	3	1	5	81	5.2	5	3
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.1	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	52.8	2.90	1.307	9.4	55	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants

STL 72-73 (4.56 RPG / 4.63 RA)

6 - 5

SF 61-85 (4.21 RPG / 4.68 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 6-5 TARGET: STL 6 - 5 SF (STL) Confidence: 52.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	6	9
SF	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0	5	7

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff3

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

STL Season Quality

Record72-73

Win%0.497

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.069

SF Season Quality

Record60-85

Win%0.414

Run Diff-74

RD/Game-0.510

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3914; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bryan Torres	LF	54	131	34	0.260	3	16	0.327	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.265	0.338	0.361	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	141	536	133	0.248	15	62	0.356	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.316	0.378	0.469	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	140	540	152	0.281	22	101	0.342	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.242	0.292	0.430	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	138	540	153	0.283	26	95	0.341	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.247	0.298	0.406	OK
Leonardo Bernal	C	7	29	9	0.310	1	7	0.375	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.275	0.329	0.373	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	73	236	44	0.186	9	31	0.264	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.170	0.244	0.325	OK
Thomas Saggese	2B	35	105	29	0.276	4	12	0.333	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.305	0.369	0.502	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	117	424	101	0.238	5	51	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.159	0.238	0.273	OK
Nathan Church	CF	112	375	92	0.245	10	48	0.285	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.249	0.282	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	6	6	5	9	0.250

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	CF	35	87	25	0.287	4	10	0.326	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.292	0.332	0.450	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	144	539	141	0.262	34	91	0.344	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.296	0.380	0.635	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	99	352	93	0.264	15	48	0.359	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.282	0.374	0.454	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	32	109	23	0.211	5	12	0.256	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.247	0.369	OK
Turner Hill	LF	18	56	16	0.286	0	12	0.377	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.271	0.358	0.361	OK
Andrew Knizner	C	15	37	6	0.162	1	1	0.244	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.177	0.236	0.312	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	12	43	7	0.163	1	4	0.163	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.204	0.343	OK
Grant McCray	RF	22	59	8	0.136	2	3	0.239	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.153	0.246	0.310	OK
Christian Koss	SS	49	148	31	0.209	3	8	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.254	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	5	5	5	6	0.206

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Quinn Mathews	Starter	5	24.2	4.46	1.612	8.9	24	5.0	6	4	4	4	4	108	5.0	4	4
Riley O'Brien	Closer	60	55.2	4.24	1.341	9.3	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	65	53.5	4.88	1.551	10.4	62	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.2	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	48.6	5.00	1.605	11.1	60	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	58.8	4.29	1.616	7.2	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	27	140.0	4.31	1.336	8.8	137	5.2	5	2	2	3	6	110	5.2	6	2
Dylan Smith	Closer	35	29.6	3.65	1.588	12.5	41	1.0	3	2	2	1	2	26	1.0	2	2
Trent Harris	Setup Man	13	14.3	3.15	1.329	13.2	21	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	36	1.1	1	2
Carson Seymour	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	21.0	6.43	1.810	7.3	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 6-5

Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves

TB 86-58 (4.54 RPG / 4.17 RA)

6 - 5

ATL 85-61 (4.58 RPG / 3.84 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-5 TARGET: TB 6 - 5 ATL (TB) Confidence: 52.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1	6	10
ATL	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	5	9

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

TB Season Quality

Record85-58

Win%0.594

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.329

ATL Season Quality

Record85-59

Win%0.590

Run Diff119

RD/Game0.826

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3279; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	137	544	167	0.307	21	77	0.375	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.314	0.364	0.457	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	138	523	147	0.281	19	86	0.362	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.276	0.342	0.471	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	142	543	152	0.280	38	92	0.366	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.247	0.330	0.472	OK
Liam Hicks	C	26	80	25	0.312	3	14	0.398	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.189	0.259	0.276	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	131	509	157	0.308	0	31	0.335	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.289	0.314	0.335	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	87	290	77	0.266	9	43	0.299	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.249	0.290	0.392	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	55	181	41	0.227	10	24	0.284	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.221	0.272	0.360	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	104	304	69	0.227	8	43	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.157	0.238	0.362	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	13	39	5	0.128	1	5	0.186	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.163	0.213	0.253	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	6	6	1	3	0.270

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	137	520	153	0.294	24	80	0.319	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.250	0.272	0.411	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	90	341	87	0.255	16	45	0.351	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.300	0.377	0.543	OK
Matt Olson	1B	143	552	137	0.248	36	78	0.323	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.207	0.278	0.402	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	120	470	130	0.277	22	69	0.354	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.273	0.335	0.426	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	135	501	134	0.267	11	66	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.296	0.388	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	143	545	138	0.253	21	68	0.308	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.212	0.263	0.345	OK
Austin Riley	3B	141	500	112	0.224	16	66	0.296	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.272	0.401	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	116	309	70	0.227	9	33	0.307	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.184	0.257	0.300	OK
Sean Murphy	C	20	68	15	0.221	3	8	0.284	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.230	0.302	0.451	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	5	5	2	7	0.250

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	6	32.4	5.00	1.049	7.5	27	5.2	8	3	3	1	4	108	5.2	4	3
Bryan Baker	Closer	56	53.6	1.51	0.896	10.1	60	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	20	1.0	1	2
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	63	56.4	2.55	1.011	8.5	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	12	15.3	1.76	0.719	9.4	16	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
AJ Smith-Shawver	Starter	4	17.2	7.33	1.802	7.8	15	4.1	6	5	5	1	0	77	4.1	0	5
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	52	50.9	2.83	1.198	9.7	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	65	54.3	2.65	0.939	12.4	75	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	59.3	2.58	1.164	12.6	83	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.1	1	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	40.2	2.69	1.045	10.5	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Victor Mederos	Middle Reliever	23	26.8	3.02	1.194	9.4	28	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	13	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

TB wins 6-5

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners

TEX 71-73 (4.13 RPG / 4.44 RA)

5 - 4

SEA 67-77 (3.95 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-4 TARGET: TEX 5 - 4 SEA (TEX) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	R	H
TEX	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	5	6
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	4	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff3

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

TEX Season Quality

Record71-73

Win%0.493

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.306

SEA Season Quality

Record67-77

Win%0.465

Run Diff-71

RD/Game-0.493

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.303; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	128	361	85	0.235	25	50	0.324	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.190	0.266	0.409	OK
Corey Seager	SS	83	309	70	0.227	15	38	0.322	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.312	0.453	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	133	473	131	0.277	17	78	0.337	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.290	0.346	0.486	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	138	527	139	0.264	14	58	0.329	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.247	0.302	0.373	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	92	351	86	0.245	15	36	0.331	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.176	0.277	0.321	OK
Evan Carter	CF	122	350	68	0.194	9	35	0.287	5	5	2	1	2	0	3	0.400	0.140	0.224	0.288	OK
Jake Burger	1B	136	494	118	0.239	25	82	0.303	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.238	0.310	0.482	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	74	201	54	0.269	1	21	0.312	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.185	0.232	0.250	OK
Danny Jansen	C	50	153	26	0.170	5	16	0.262	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.109	0.179	0.231	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	42	6	5	5	3	13	0.143

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	136	505	138	0.273	22	66	0.372	6	6	1	1	0	0	1	0.167	0.266	0.340	0.430	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	126	405	103	0.254	21	64	0.324	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.246	0.312	0.451	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	132	528	127	0.241	20	61	0.299	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.196	0.242	0.296	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	108	387	71	0.183	21	59	0.296	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.359	0.480	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	98	342	77	0.225	10	33	0.348	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.267	0.387	0.362	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	134	524	140	0.267	10	49	0.325	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.226	0.274	0.299	OK
Cole Young	2B	142	519	127	0.245	16	58	0.309	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.142	0.204	0.249	OK
Lazaro Montes	DH	5	14	3	0.214	1	3	0.267	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.267	0.415	OK
Brock Rodden	3B	16	49	11	0.224	0	4	0.328	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.329	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									46	42	6	4	4	4	10	0.143

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	29	94.8	2.85	1.086	6.9	73	5.2	1	0	0	1	6	84	5.2	6	0
Jacob Latz	Closer	50	59.6	1.51	0.755	10.6	70	2.1	2	2	2	1	0	39	2.1	0	2
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	46	45.6	2.96	1.228	6.9	35	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	0.0	1	2
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	17	12.1	3.72	1.736	11.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Trevor Williams	Reliever	3	4.1	6.59	1.463	6.6	3	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0
Robert Garcia	Reliever	9	6.6	4.09	1.818	8.2	6	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	12	0.0	2	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	18	95.4	4.15	1.153	9.0	95	5.2	2	1	1	2	6	97	5.2	6	1
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	54	49.3	4.02	1.176	15.2	83	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	64	51.3	4.21	1.579	8.1	46	1.1	3	3	3	0	1	26	1.1	1	3
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	52.2	3.97	1.667	10.9	63	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	20	1.0	3	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	32.8	3.02	1.280	9.6	35	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	26	0.0	2	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	16	12.8	5.62	1.484	7.0	10	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	13	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ Oakland Athletics

TOR 72-73 (4.03 RPG / 4.3 RA)

5 - 4

OAK 58-87 (4.39 RPG / 5.68 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-4 TARGET: TOR 5 - 4 OAK (TOR) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	8
OAK	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Season Quality

Record72-73

Win%0.497

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.269

OAK Season Quality

Record58-87

Win%0.400

Run Diff-187

RD/Game-1.290

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9508; margin adjustment: -0.3993; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	26	105	35	0.333	0	7	0.403	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.308	0.372	0.393	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	106	360	98	0.272	10	36	0.321	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.301	0.330	0.402	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	129	490	127	0.259	8	54	0.325	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.303	0.329	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	64	232	64	0.276	9	35	0.340	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.266	0.314	0.417	OK
Josh Smith	LF	17	36	9	0.250	4	6	0.364	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.341	0.421	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	138	509	118	0.232	29	82	0.306	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.250	0.318	0.487	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	127	422	103	0.244	9	53	0.290	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.275	0.302	0.417	OK
Jesús Sánchez	DH	96	265	69	0.260	8	35	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.254	0.293	0.398	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	141	535	147	0.275	9	46	0.301	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.272	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	8	5	5	4	3	0.235

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	98	349	96	0.275	9	32	0.354	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.274	0.351	0.415	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	126	422	113	0.268	8	53	0.314	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.264	0.305	0.382	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	90	331	85	0.257	17	44	0.320	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.233	0.281	0.461	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	130	406	93	0.229	13	52	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.300	0.381	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	106	302	79	0.262	8	39	0.327	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.266	0.316	0.386	OK
Tommy White	DH	39	149	38	0.255	2	8	0.273	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.249	0.268	0.326	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	39	90	19	0.211	2	10	0.393	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.315	0.399	OK
Alika Williams	SS	64	180	48	0.267	4	15	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.258	0.288	0.426	OK
Jonah Heim	C	81	280	58	0.207	12	34	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.250	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	4	4	2	9	0.250

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	6	31.6	4.56	1.519	6.8	24	5.2	4	1	1	2	6	97	5.2	6	1
Louis Varland	Closer	65	66.2	1.36	1.103	11.8	87	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	67	60.0	1.95	1.267	5.4	36	1.0	5	3	3	0	0	28	1.0	0	3
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	78.9	3.08	1.166	8.9	78	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	33	93.2	6.86	1.620	11.2	116	4.0	7	5	5	4	1	95	4.0	1	5
Elvis Alvarado	Closer	47	40.7	4.86	1.450	12.2	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Hogan Harris	Setup Man	66	51.7	4.18	1.779	14.4	83	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	60.2	3.44	1.478	12.3	82	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	22.0	2.86	1.364	9.4	23	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-4

Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres

WAS 67-79 (5.14 RPG / 5.08 RA)

4 - 5

SD 76-68 (4.2 RPG / 4.14 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: WAS 4 - 5 SD (SD) Confidence: 52.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	4	7
SD	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	9

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

WAS Season Quality

Record67-79

Win%0.459

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.055

SD Season Quality

Record76-68

Win%0.528

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.062

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0414; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	119	456	122	0.268	30	74	0.394	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.272	0.386	0.483	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	DH	33	104	21	0.202	5	11	0.239	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.202	0.238	0.356	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	91	345	76	0.220	11	38	0.290	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.279	0.394	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	137	522	137	0.262	30	95	0.340	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.198	0.263	0.391	OK
Brady House	3B	78	280	68	0.243	10	41	0.300	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.294	0.386	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	144	546	139	0.255	20	82	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.302	0.446	OK
Yohandy Morales	1B	5	12	5	0.417	1	1	0.417	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.140	0.153	0.377	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	102	272	65	0.239	3	25	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.333	0.325	OK
Harry Ford	C	26	80	16	0.200	3	10	0.312	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.189	0.295	0.343	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	7	4	4	4	7	0.189

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	140	558	158	0.283	20	70	0.348	5	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.283	0.333	0.475	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	91	315	66	0.210	5	27	0.295	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.163	0.236	0.273	OK
Manny Machado	3B	140	519	116	0.224	26	78	0.312	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.349	0.493	OK
Ty France	1B	112	379	109	0.288	20	62	0.357	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.242	0.317	0.451	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	140	544	131	0.241	22	72	0.293	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.235	0.279	0.383	OK
Luis Campusano	DH	58	168	47	0.280	7	26	0.379	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.270	0.352	0.473	OK
Dustin Harris	LF	8	25	9	0.360	0	1	0.360	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.255	0.303	0.343	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	137	466	102	0.219	11	52	0.319	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.228	0.323	0.302	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	71	213	41	0.192	4	17	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.099	0.162	0.169	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	39	9	5	5	3	8	0.231

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Riley Cornelio	Starter	12	20.8	6.49	1.971	10.0	23	3.2	5	2	2	0	2	71	3.2	2	2
Clayton Beeter	Closer	47	41.1	4.60	1.509	9.9	45	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Erik Tolman	Setup Man	6	6.4	1.41	1.094	12.7	9	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Brad Lord	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	35	67.2	4.02	1.354	9.4	70	1.1	0	0	0	3	1	29	1.1	1	0
Luis Perales	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	3	5.0	14.40	2.600	9.0	5	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	0.0	2	1
Jack Sinclair	Reliever	3	2.3	0.00	1.304	11.7	3	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	0.0	1	2

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	6	26.3	6.84	1.559	5.1	15	5.0	2	0	0	3	4	86	5.0	4	0
Mason Miller	Closer	58	58.3	1.23	0.875	17.4	113	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	67	68.8	3.27	1.235	12.4	95	1.2	3	2	2	0	2	30	1.2	2	2
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	56.7	2.06	1.129	11.4	72	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	48.1	2.25	1.310	11.4	61	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals

ARI Recent Form

KC Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

CHC Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers

CIN Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles

CLE Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees

COL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

COL Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

HOU Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

PHI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox

LAA Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers