MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

September 6, 2026 — Player-by-Player Deep Comparison (15 games)
Actual stats = real season stats prior to game date  |  Simulated = predicted game stats  |  Model = pre-game model predictions

All Games Overview

MatchupTarget ScoreSim ScoreTarget WinnerSim WinnerWinnerConfidenceMethod
ARI @ HOU4 - 34 - 3ARIARIARI wins 4-354%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ PHI3 - 43 - 4PHIPHIPHI wins 4-355%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ BAL4 - 34 - 3BOSBOSBOS wins 4-355%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ MIA6 - 46 - 4CHCCHCCHC wins 6-458%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ CLE3 - 43 - 4CLECLECLE wins 4-352%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ PIT3 - 53 - 5PITPITPIT wins 5-357%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ CIN7 - 57 - 5MILMILMIL wins 7-553%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ CHW4 - 64 - 6CHWCHWCHW wins 6-453%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ SD4 - 34 - 3NYYNYYNYY wins 4-354%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ SEA6 - 76 - 7SEASEASEA wins 7-654%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ NYM4 - 64 - 6NYMNYMNYM wins 6-452%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ COL5 - 45 - 4STLSTLSTL wins 5-456%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ TEX5 - 45 - 4TBTBTB wins 5-453%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ KC5 - 45 - 4TORTORTOR wins 5-454%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ LAD4 - 54 - 5LADLADLAD wins 5-453%enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
Actual Season Stats (green)
Simulated Game Stats (blue)
Model Predictions (purple)
LARGE deviation (>40%)
MODERATE deviation (20-40%)
OK deviation (<20%)

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros

ARI 76-68 (4.42 RPG / 4.42 RA)
4 - 3
HOU 73-71 (4.49 RPG / 4.76 RA)
WINNER: ARI wins 4-3 TARGET: ARI 4 - 3 HOU (ARI) Confidence: 53.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
12345678910RH
ARI002000101047
HOU0100000011310

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs3.0
Avg Allowed3.5
Run Diff-5
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.700
Avg Runs3.7
Avg Allowed2.6
Run Diff11
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendstrong
Streak1L

ARI Season Quality

Record75-68
Win%0.524
Run Diff-2
RD/Game-0.014

HOU Season Quality

Record73-70
Win%0.510
Run Diff-37
RD/Game-0.259

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0257; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Geraldo PerdomoSS 138496124 0.250 9480.357 55000 02 0.000 0.241 0.336 0.331 OK
Ketel Marte2B 121483121 0.251 22680.316 55112 01 0.200 0.243 0.301 0.471 OK
Gabriel MorenoDH 112403121 0.300 12690.380 55100 01 0.200 0.290 0.371 0.473 OK
Nolan Arenado3B 133464108 0.233 21650.307 43110 10 0.333 0.195 0.252 0.318 OK
Corbin CarrollRF 139520124 0.238 19610.334 44111 01 0.250 0.193 0.267 0.371 OK
Tommy TroyLF 237518 0.240 350.321 43000 12 0.000 0.240 0.315 0.421 OK
James McCannC 3511534 0.296 4210.325 44000 01 0.000 0.268 0.295 0.384 OK
Ildemaro Vargas1B 115407103 0.253 9660.292 44311 00 0.750 0.213 0.249 0.315 OK
Jordan LawlarCF 195916 0.271 270.348 44000 02 0.000 0.260 0.294 0.400 OK
TEAM TOTALS 39377 44 210 0.189

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Jeremy PeñaSS 92369101 0.274 17460.327 54200 10 0.500 0.213 0.253 0.352 OK
Yordan AlvarezDH 140500159 0.318 37940.436 55200 01 0.400 0.275 0.401 0.485 OK
Isaac Paredes3B 135490125 0.255 18790.355 55000 02 0.000 0.261 0.338 0.415 OK
Jose Altuve2B 115446108 0.242 15440.304 55100 00 0.200 0.204 0.263 0.353 OK
Christian Walker1B 136503115 0.229 24770.302 54111 00 0.250 0.211 0.266 0.358 OK
Nelson VelázquezLF 8172 0.118 140.167 54211 11 0.500 0.204 0.260 0.412 OK
Daulton VarshoCF 2810719 0.178 3120.241 55111 02 0.200 0.209 0.267 0.333 OK
Cam SmithRF 13044896 0.214 17490.279 44100 01 0.250 0.214 0.269 0.372 OK
Christian VázquezC 7822848 0.211 7250.264 44000 00 0.000 0.125 0.188 0.213 OK
TEAM TOTALS 434010 33 27 0.250

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Eduardo RodriguezStarter 28163.52.64 1.2426.7122 6.061115109 6.0 5 2
Brandyn GarciaCloser 3626.82.01 0.78412.136 2.00000025 2.0 0 0
Juan MorilloSetup Man 4840.42.90 1.11412.355 1.00000113 0.0 1 0
Jonathan LoáisigaMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 4840.83.09 1.2257.132 1.04221129 1.0 1 1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Peter LambertStarter 24128.73.78 1.2829.2131 5.12221689 5.1 6 2
Josh HaderCloser 3938.40.47 0.57312.453 1.22111037 1.1 0 1
Bryan AbreuSetup Man 5649.44.19 1.49812.669 1.01000216 1.0 2 0
AJ BlubaughMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 5583.13.25 1.2399.689 1.12110223 1.1 2 1
Enyel De Los SantosMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 6257.84.98 1.3679.561 0.2000008 0.0 0 0

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-3


Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL 85-59 (4.63 RPG / 3.83 RA)
3 - 4
PHI 80-63 (4.48 RPG / 4.24 RA)
WINNER: PHI wins 4-3 TARGET: ATL 3 - 4 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 55.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
ATL00300000036
PHI00100030049

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700
Avg Runs4.2
Avg Allowed3.4
Run Diff8
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendstrong
Streak1L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.700
Avg Runs3.6
Avg Allowed2.1
Run Diff15
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendstrong
Streak1W

ATL Season Quality

Record84-58
Win%0.592
Run Diff119
RD/Game0.838

PHI Season Quality

Record80-62
Win%0.563
Run Diff35
RD/Game0.246

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.391; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Drake BaldwinDH 118461128 0.278 22690.356 54000 11 0.000 0.284 0.348 0.450 OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF 8833585 0.254 15410.351 44100 00 0.250 0.284 0.352 0.482 OK
Matt Olson1B 141545136 0.250 36780.325 43000 10 0.000 0.196 0.271 0.399 OK
Michael Harris IICF 135513151 0.294 24800.319 43311 10 1.000 0.256 0.280 0.491 OK
Mauricio DubónSS 133494132 0.267 11660.312 44000 02 0.000 0.255 0.297 0.379 OK
Ozzie Albies2B 141537137 0.255 21680.311 44111 00 0.250 0.229 0.280 0.369 OK
Sean MurphyC 196415 0.234 380.300 44000 01 0.000 0.244 0.317 0.467 OK
Austin Riley3B 139494111 0.225 16650.296 43000 10 0.000 0.229 0.283 0.399 OK
Mike YastrzemskiLF 11530669 0.225 9330.305 44111 01 0.250 0.142 0.212 0.246 OK
TEAM TOTALS 37336 33 45 0.182

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Kyle SchwarberDH 134506121 0.239 40840.353 55211 01 0.400 0.238 0.345 0.505 OK
Trea TurnerSS 134560135 0.241 17520.293 54213 01 0.500 0.206 0.256 0.314 OK
Bryce HarperRF 140495136 0.275 27800.393 44210 01 0.500 0.300 0.413 0.506 OK
Luis Arraez2B 2811534 0.296 2120.311 44100 01 0.250 0.307 0.337 0.411 OK
Alec Bohm1B 133499123 0.246 15780.309 44000 00 0.000 0.239 0.305 0.390 OK
Bryson Stott3B 134466118 0.253 10600.329 43000 10 0.000 0.232 0.302 0.380 OK
Brandon MarshLF 133474127 0.268 17570.314 44210 01 0.500 0.130 0.182 0.219 OK
Justin CrawfordCF 12536996 0.260 2340.310 44000 02 0.000 0.151 0.211 0.226 OK
Garrett StubbsC 18518 0.157 030.214 44000 00 0.000 0.143 0.179 0.190 OK
TEAM TOTALS 38369 44 17 0.250

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Tyler MahleStarter 529.41.53 0.9869.832 5.294404110 5.2 4 2
Dylan LeeSetup Man 6453.32.70 0.95712.574 1.00001217 1.0 2 1
Didier FuentesMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 5057.32.51 1.18712.479 2.10000129 1.1 1 1

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Aaron NolaStarter 28144.55.04 1.4339.8157 5.15332190 5.1 1 3
Jhoan DuranCloser 5250.41.25 0.99212.570 1.00000113 1.0 1 0
Jonathan BowlanSetup Man 5548.83.32 1.06612.467 1.01001119 1.0 1 0
Orion KerkeringMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 5947.94.70 1.48210.757 1.00000213 1.0 2 0
Brooks RaleyMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 106.54.15 1.23111.18 0.20001012 0.2 0 0

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-3


Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

BOS 79-65 (4.46 RPG / 3.86 RA)
4 - 3
BAL 69-75 (4.45 RPG / 4.65 RA)
WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: BOS 4 - 3 BAL (BOS) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
BOS00003010046
BAL000000012310

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs3.9
Avg Allowed5.6
Run Diff-17
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendweak
Streak3W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400
Avg Runs3.6
Avg Allowed4.1
Run Diff-5
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak5L

BOS Season Quality

Record78-65
Win%0.545
Run Diff84
RD/Game0.587

BAL Season Quality

Record69-74
Win%0.483
Run Diff-27
RD/Game-0.189

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5547; margin adjustment: -0.233; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Roman AnthonyRF 3714035 0.250 370.360 43112 11 0.333 0.258 0.355 0.420 OK
Mickey Gasper1B 5015543 0.277 8220.372 44000 02 0.000 0.285 0.373 0.545 OK
Adley RutschmanC 176111 0.180 360.254 43000 10 0.000 0.234 0.288 0.428 OK
Trevor StorySS 4719045 0.237 3230.269 44000 00 0.000 0.288 0.311 0.395 OK
Nick Sogard2B 4717246 0.267 4150.368 44000 00 0.000 0.283 0.378 0.477 OK
Caleb Durbin3B 130444107 0.241 12590.317 44110 00 0.250 0.212 0.285 0.301 OK
Jarren DuranLF 132501101 0.202 19620.260 44211 00 0.500 0.178 0.230 0.297 OK
Andruw MonasterioDH 9328771 0.247 6400.306 44000 02 0.000 0.229 0.281 0.360 OK
Eli WhiteCF 184612 0.261 080.292 33211 00 0.667 0.247 0.282 0.399 OK
TEAM TOTALS 35336 44 25 0.182

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Blaze Alexander2B 7824677 0.313 4300.363 55111 00 0.200 0.313 0.351 0.412 OK
Pete Alonso1B 140524140 0.267 33940.358 44300 00 0.750 0.220 0.313 0.410 OK
Coby MayoDH 10733976 0.224 19550.288 44000 00 0.000 0.232 0.284 0.442 OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B 4013434 0.254 7280.299 44000 01 0.000 0.259 0.300 0.461 OK
Gunnar HendersonSS 138552122 0.221 21560.305 44100 02 0.250 0.219 0.298 0.377 OK
Rece HindsLF 000 0.000 000.000 44100 02 0.250 0.129 0.158 0.224
Leody TaverasRF 11838884 0.216 8520.287 44111 01 0.250 0.189 0.262 0.309 OK
Carlos NarváezC 22575 0.088 000.200 44211 00 0.500 0.128 0.195 0.183 OK
Colton CowserCF 11129264 0.219 12340.304 44100 02 0.250 0.226 0.304 0.369 OK
TEAM TOTALS 373710 33 08 0.270

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Payton TolleStarter 23128.23.30 1.12310.3147 6.04000788 6.0 7 0
Aroldis ChapmanCloser 4847.21.53 1.05912.063 1.00000013 1.0 0 0
Erik MillerSetup Man 1212.10.74 1.07416.422 1.03110012 1.0 0 1
Garrett WhitlockMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 4846.31.94 0.86410.152 1.03220122 1.0 1 2

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Kyle BradishStarter 27144.54.11 1.4538.5137 5.14332590 5.1 5 3
Andrew KittredgeCloser 5039.83.62 1.5338.437 2.12110035 2.1 0 1
Rico GarciaSetup Man 6652.32.93 1.03310.762 0.2000008 0.2 0 0
Yennier CanoMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 5935.83.02 1.11710.341 0.2000008 0.2 0 0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3


Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins

CHC 81-63 (5.33 RPG / 4.42 RA)
6 - 4
MIA 72-72 (4.38 RPG / 4.28 RA)
WINNER: CHC wins 6-4 TARGET: CHC 6 - 4 MIA (CHC) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
CHC20201001064
MIA00000300144

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs7.0
Avg Allowed5.2
Run Diff18
Off Trendhot
Def Trendweak
Streak3W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400
Avg Runs4.3
Avg Allowed5.0
Run Diff-7
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak3L

CHC Season Quality

Record81-62
Win%0.566
Run Diff139
RD/Game0.972

MIA Season Quality

Record71-72
Win%0.497
Run Diff8
RD/Game0.056

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8414; margin adjustment: -0.3534; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF 141543153 0.282 39940.377 55010 01 0.000 0.261 0.335 0.513 OK
Seiya SuzukiRF 124472129 0.273 24800.371 42112 21 0.500 0.235 0.339 0.403 OK
Michael Busch1B 139532127 0.239 17680.346 43213 11 0.667 0.218 0.305 0.398 OK
Alex Bregman3B 139553145 0.262 24810.350 42011 10 0.000 0.269 0.345 0.476 OK
Ian HappLF 134490109 0.222 23640.325 43010 11 0.000 0.238 0.324 0.397 OK
Nico HoernerSS 138550147 0.267 8640.318 44000 01 0.000 0.288 0.331 0.376 OK
Pedro Ramirez2B 6017949 0.274 4260.333 44000 03 0.000 0.226 0.291 0.382 OK
Michael ConfortoDH 9322153 0.240 14370.325 44000 01 0.000 0.304 0.383 0.640 OK
Carson KellyC 9933587 0.260 10510.339 43110 10 0.333 0.252 0.323 0.431 OK
TEAM TOTALS 37304 66 69 0.133

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Kyle StowersDH 10538897 0.250 19600.336 42000 21 0.000 0.264 0.334 0.519 OK
Griffin Conine1B 7121555 0.256 15330.352 44110 02 0.250 0.252 0.345 0.468 OK
Owen CaissieRF 9927761 0.220 13530.281 44113 01 0.250 0.189 0.242 0.331 OK
Jakob MarseeCF 13345194 0.208 9320.330 43000 11 0.000 0.206 0.304 0.347 OK
Heriberto HernándezLF 10937084 0.227 23610.307 44000 01 0.000 0.200 0.270 0.426 OK
Joe MackC 8626060 0.231 12400.283 44111 00 0.250 0.213 0.256 0.318 OK
Otto LopezSS 139556167 0.300 10620.338 44110 00 0.250 0.246 0.289 0.390 OK
Graham Pauley3B 4411823 0.195 2180.232 33000 01 0.000 0.171 0.212 0.381 OK
Javier Sanoja2B 114384110 0.286 7530.321 33000 00 0.000 0.299 0.335 0.443 OK
TEAM TOTALS 34314 44 37 0.129

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Clay HolmesStarter 528.31.59 1.0255.718 6.022237101 6.0 7 2
Jacob WebbCloser 6154.43.47 1.36010.865 1.00000013 1.0 0 0
Colin ReaSetup Man 29124.94.61 1.3937.097 1.11110020 1.1 0 1
Trent ThorntonMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 4439.63.86 1.3896.428 0.21110011 0.2 0 1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Tyler PhillipsStarter 33106.63.55 1.3797.690 5.034453102 5.0 3 4
Calvin FaucherCloser 6152.44.29 1.52711.265 1.00110213 1.0 2 1
Tyler ZuberSetup Man 3727.45.26 1.64211.836 1.00000213 1.0 2 0
Michael PetersenMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 5750.83.72 1.28011.967 1.01110016 1.0 0 1
Victor VodnikMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 1111.44.74 1.3167.910 1.00001217 1.0 2 0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-4


Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

DET 65-78 (4.38 RPG / 4.03 RA)
3 - 4
CLE 73-71 (4.03 RPG / 4.12 RA)
WINNER: CLE wins 4-3 TARGET: DET 3 - 4 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
DET00002001034
CLE01000003x45

DET Recent Form

Win%0.300
Avg Runs3.3
Avg Allowed5.5
Run Diff-22
Off Trendcold
Def Trendweak
Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs3.8
Avg Allowed4.8
Run Diff-10
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak1L

DET Season Quality

Record65-77
Win%0.458
Run Diff51
RD/Game0.359

CLE Season Quality

Record72-71
Win%0.503
Run Diff-15
RD/Game-0.105

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1296; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle3B 136524143 0.273 14590.374 44111 02 0.250 0.250 0.345 0.371 OK
Hao-Yu Lee2B 9126269 0.263 8370.311 44000 01 0.000 0.230 0.290 0.375 OK
Colt Keith1B 12635692 0.258 9310.313 44000 02 0.000 0.236 0.288 0.357 OK
Riley GreeneDH 119436120 0.275 18600.366 44100 01 0.250 0.265 0.347 0.475 OK
Dillon DinglerC 130494123 0.249 26830.311 43110 11 0.333 0.214 0.249 0.367 OK
Brett CallahanLF 15359 0.257 160.308 44000 04 0.000 0.146 0.196 0.286 OK
Ben MalgeriRF 358923 0.258 3140.337 32000 10 0.000 0.264 0.333 0.388 OK
Max ClarkCF 3211330 0.265 2160.331 33112 00 0.333 0.278 0.329 0.437 OK
John PeckSS 4154 0.267 030.353 33000 01 0.000 0.236 0.284 0.365 OK
TEAM TOTALS 33314 33 212 0.129

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Steven KwanDH 128461124 0.269 2270.367 44000 00 0.000 0.253 0.345 0.309 OK
Travis Bazzana2B 10437991 0.240 10450.330 44212 00 0.500 0.227 0.309 0.385 OK
Jo AdellRF 2910525 0.238 4220.322 44000 01 0.000 0.217 0.257 0.334 OK
Nathaniel Lowe1B 269321 0.226 3160.262 33111 00 0.333 0.164 0.237 0.299 OK
Angel MartínezLF 9233181 0.245 14500.283 32000 11 0.000 0.241 0.271 0.439 OK
Angel Genao3B 269424 0.255 260.307 33000 01 0.000 0.208 0.254 0.313 OK
Patrick BaileyC 6017742 0.237 7270.307 33110 01 0.333 0.178 0.258 0.317 OK
Petey HalpinCF 5514530 0.207 390.247 33100 00 0.333 0.192 0.227 0.309 OK
Brayan RocchioSS 133468116 0.248 12580.306 32011 00 0.000 0.226 0.271 0.410 OK
TEAM TOTALS 30285 44 14 0.179

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Jackson JobeStarter 522.44.82 1.5187.619 5.02111383 5.0 3 1
Kenley JansenCloser 4134.43.66 1.25011.544 1.20000121 1.2 1 0
Tyler HoltonSetup Man 6155.53.41 1.5328.653 1.13330026 1.1 0 3

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Gavin WilliamsStarter 28159.53.89 1.11612.2217 5.12221989 5.1 9 2
Cade SmithCloser 5958.52.46 1.14513.588 1.11000129 1.1 1 0
Hunter GaddisSetup Man 5641.53.25 1.37310.448 1.01110116 1.0 1 1
Erik SabrowskiMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 5032.73.30 1.37618.266 1.10001121 1.1 1 0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3


Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates

LAA 54-89 (4.03 RPG / 4.57 RA)
3 - 5
PIT 71-73 (4.82 RPG / 4.64 RA)
WINNER: PIT wins 5-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 5 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 57.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
LAA00000011136
PIT00000005x57

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200
Avg Runs3.8
Avg Allowed4.2
Run Diff-4
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600
Avg Runs3.7
Avg Allowed3.8
Run Diff-1
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak1L

LAA Season Quality

Record54-88
Win%0.380
Run Diff-76
RD/Game-0.535

PIT Season Quality

Record70-73
Win%0.490
Run Diff25
RD/Game0.175

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7192; margin adjustment: 0.3021; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Zach NetoSS 137547130 0.238 23670.317 54211 10 0.500 0.239 0.295 0.390 OK
Mike TroutDH 123448108 0.241 20510.376 54000 12 0.000 0.239 0.346 0.390 OK
Wade MecklerRF 7323570 0.298 3250.365 54000 02 0.000 0.298 0.363 0.393 OK
Vaughn Grissom3B 9635087 0.249 10580.307 43111 11 0.333 0.250 0.291 0.409 OK
Moisés Ballesteros1B 2810619 0.179 170.230 43000 10 0.000 0.204 0.263 0.319 OK
Christian Moore2B 196811 0.162 160.227 43000 11 0.000 0.166 0.218 0.307 OK
Josh LoweCF 9126756 0.210 11280.271 44111 00 0.250 0.201 0.274 0.355 OK
Adam FrazierLF 5011628 0.241 1100.307 44100 01 0.250 0.232 0.275 0.349 OK
Tyler HeinemanC 277415 0.203 030.253 44100 01 0.250 0.121 0.147 0.175 OK
TEAM TOTALS 39336 33 58 0.182

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Konnor GriffinSS 6023262 0.267 5250.323 54000 00 0.000 0.249 0.293 0.367 OK
Brandon Lowe2B 130509128 0.251 29830.320 44000 02 0.000 0.198 0.279 0.407 OK
Bryan ReynoldsLF 140519140 0.270 16670.376 44210 01 0.500 0.338 0.419 0.562 OK
Nick GonzalesDH 129490149 0.304 4570.367 44000 02 0.000 0.315 0.369 0.392 OK
Oneil CruzCF 7930782 0.267 17580.359 42000 21 0.000 0.287 0.374 0.436 OK
Esmerlyn ValdezRF 6521750 0.230 13370.346 43110 10 0.333 0.223 0.334 0.460 OK
Spencer Horwitz1B 10034384 0.245 10410.347 43112 12 0.333 0.138 0.244 0.213 OK
Jacob Gonzalez3B 379318 0.194 290.216 44211 00 0.500 0.243 0.285 0.366 OK
Henry DavisC 7723238 0.164 8340.249 43112 11 0.333 0.143 0.210 0.227 OK
TEAM TOTALS 37317 55 59 0.226

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Walbert UreñaStarter 25121.02.90 1.2818.9120 5.22221893 5.2 8 4
Ben JoyceCloser 108.43.21 0.95213.913 2.15334176 2.1 1 1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Paul SkenesStarter 28147.14.04 1.17611.0179 5.220032101 5.2 2 0
Mason MontgomeryCloser 5951.22.99 1.17216.091 1.01110216 1.0 2 1
Luke WeaverSetup Man 108.46.43 1.66711.811 1.12112235 1.1 2 1
Gregory SotoMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 5955.02.95 1.10911.369 1.01110216 1.0 2 1

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-3


Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

MIL 88-56 (5.04 RPG / 3.88 RA)
7 - 5
CIN 69-74 (4.23 RPG / 4.97 RA)
WINNER: MIL wins 7-5 TARGET: MIL 7 - 5 CIN (MIL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
MIL30002002079
CIN100010201510

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600
Avg Runs5.8
Avg Allowed5.3
Run Diff5
Off Trendhot
Def Trendweak
Streak1L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600
Avg Runs5.6
Avg Allowed6.6
Run Diff-10
Off Trendhot
Def Trendweak
Streak1W

MIL Season Quality

Record88-55
Win%0.615
Run Diff172
RD/Game1.203

CIN Season Quality

Record68-74
Win%0.479
Run Diff-109
RD/Game-0.768

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.4797; margin adjustment: -0.6215; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Sal FrelickRF 9329771 0.239 4350.302 54111 10 0.250 0.218 0.270 0.295 OK
Christian YelichDH 9837187 0.235 10470.318 55110 01 0.200 0.208 0.291 0.374 OK
Jackson ChourioLF 106442127 0.287 21590.345 55211 02 0.400 0.277 0.323 0.481 OK
Jake Bauers1B 123415111 0.267 22740.388 44211 01 0.500 0.179 0.339 0.322 OK
Garrett MitchellCF 11939099 0.254 8480.342 44112 00 0.250 0.255 0.325 0.391 OK
Brice Turang2B 129506132 0.261 17830.351 44000 03 0.000 0.180 0.274 0.333 OK
Cooper PrattSS 5316846 0.274 3270.338 43000 12 0.000 0.294 0.360 0.436 OK
Bo NaylorC 000 0.000 000.000 43112 10 0.333 0.211 0.254 0.358
David Hamilton3B 10030475 0.247 4250.310 44110 02 0.250 0.281 0.331 0.398 OK
TEAM TOTALS 39369 77 311 0.250

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Dane MyersCF 8823962 0.259 5210.344 54312 10 0.750 0.246 0.317 0.358 OK
Elly De La CruzDH 120473133 0.281 22620.361 54311 10 0.750 0.297 0.376 0.493 OK
Sal Stewart1B 139534143 0.268 301030.337 55000 02 0.000 0.270 0.334 0.453 OK
Tyler StephensonC 10935488 0.249 15500.328 54211 11 0.500 0.229 0.305 0.470 OK
Eugenio Suárez3B 10737480 0.214 21620.304 54110 12 0.250 0.220 0.306 0.450 OK
JJ BledayLF 11039389 0.226 22550.337 54111 01 0.250 0.210 0.319 0.392 OK
Matt McLainSS 11238373 0.191 15390.283 54000 11 0.000 0.181 0.257 0.355 OK
Juan Brito2B 371 0.143 140.222 44000 01 0.000 0.175 0.240 0.307 OK
Héctor RodríguezRF 248220 0.244 5110.311 44000 00 0.000 0.242 0.298 0.452 OK
TEAM TOTALS 433710 55 58 0.270

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Kyle HarrisonStarter 22104.23.54 1.22811.2130 5.03223596 5.0 5 2
Trevor MegillCloser 5453.41.52 0.80510.462 1.00001117 1.0 1 0
Abner UribeSetup Man 5146.62.12 1.0739.851 1.03221226 1.0 2 2
Aaron AshbyMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 6772.03.50 1.48613.6109 1.00000025 1.0 0 0
Antonio SenzatelaMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 1411.85.34 1.6956.18 1.04110025 1.0 0 1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Brady SingerStarter 27138.44.94 1.4817.6117 5.065525101 5.0 5 5
Emilio PagánCloser 3735.44.07 1.1029.437 1.00000213 1.0 2 0
Luis MeySetup Man 1923.64.19 1.56814.137 1.12000132 1.1 1 0
Brock BurkeMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 7058.02.95 1.51711.071 1.01221220 1.0 2 2
Tony SantillanMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 3934.16.07 1.6728.733 0.2000018 0.2 1 0

Game Summary

MIL wins 7-5


Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox

MIN 68-75 (4.66 RPG / 4.99 RA)
4 - 6
CHW 75-68 (4.76 RPG / 4.41 RA)
WINNER: CHW wins 6-4 TARGET: MIN 4 - 6 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
MIN00000030148
CHW30100000267

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400
Avg Runs5.6
Avg Allowed4.4
Run Diff12
Off Trendhot
Def Trendaverage
Streak1W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs3.9
Avg Allowed3.7
Run Diff2
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak1L

MIN Season Quality

Record68-74
Win%0.479
Run Diff-39
RD/Game-0.275

CHW Season Quality

Record74-68
Win%0.521
Run Diff40
RD/Game0.282

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.372; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Luke KeaschallRF 132460127 0.276 9440.364 44110 01 0.250 0.279 0.344 0.396 OK
Brooks Lee3B 133509126 0.248 22770.295 44110 01 0.250 0.235 0.269 0.365 OK
Ryan JeffersC 7526973 0.271 14530.365 44000 01 0.000 0.252 0.325 0.588 OK
Josh BellDH 136501130 0.259 18840.323 44100 02 0.250 0.289 0.343 0.447 OK
Kody Clemens2B 124460110 0.239 24710.300 43000 12 0.000 0.245 0.307 0.489 OK
Royce Lewis1B 10739493 0.236 14510.304 44100 02 0.250 0.240 0.304 0.417 OK
Trevor LarnachLF 11336797 0.264 11450.343 44211 00 0.500 0.169 0.246 0.297 OK
Kaelen CulpepperSS 248827 0.307 3100.361 44100 00 0.250 0.271 0.316 0.404 OK
Walker JenkinsCF 7233 0.130 130.286 44113 00 0.250 0.119 0.262 0.257 OK
TEAM TOTALS 36358 44 19 0.229

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Sam AntonacciLF 121418110 0.263 8410.364 44111 01 0.250 0.253 0.334 0.358 OK
Miguel Vargas3B 139518130 0.251 30780.361 44212 00 0.500 0.275 0.366 0.473 OK
Munetaka Murakami1B 10738481 0.211 30610.350 43000 10 0.000 0.199 0.332 0.449 OK
Andrew BenintendiDH 12538292 0.241 14700.303 44111 01 0.250 0.196 0.265 0.351 OK
Colson MontgomerySS 134506108 0.213 31820.293 44000 02 0.000 0.216 0.279 0.503 OK
Braden MontgomeryRF 7326659 0.222 6360.311 44110 02 0.250 0.214 0.295 0.352 OK
Tristan PetersCF 130385108 0.281 12520.342 44110 01 0.250 0.282 0.332 0.455 OK
Chase Meidroth2B 135505137 0.271 12510.342 43112 10 0.333 0.258 0.319 0.363 OK
Kyle TeelC 216712 0.179 2140.257 32000 10 0.000 0.108 0.176 0.188 OK
TEAM TOTALS 35327 66 37 0.219

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Bailey OberStarter 21111.74.43 1.2536.479 5.144434103 5.1 4 5
Yoendrys GómezCloser 4838.22.83 1.38710.143 1.00000113 1.0 1 0
Jeff HoffmanSetup Man 129.63.75 1.66715.016 0.21000011 0.2 0 0
A.J. MinterMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 1511.10.81 1.0819.712 1.12220221 1.0 2 1

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Bryan HudsonStarter 6052.82.90 1.3079.455 5.03001588 5.0 5 0
Grant TaylorCloser 4151.92.60 1.11813.276 1.24330245 1.2 2 3
Sean NewcombSetup Man 4660.22.84 1.2469.664 1.10000117 1.1 1 0
Jordan HicksMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 4233.74.54 1.78013.149 1.01110116 1.0 1 1

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-4


New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres

NYY 81-62 (4.52 RPG / 3.7 RA)
4 - 3
SD 75-68 (4.21 RPG / 4.15 RA)
WINNER: NYY wins 4-3 TARGET: NYY 4 - 3 SD (NYY) Confidence: 53.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
NYY10000100246
SD00003000036

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600
Avg Runs4.8
Avg Allowed3.4
Run Diff14
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendstrong
Streak1W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.300
Avg Runs3.2
Avg Allowed4.0
Run Diff-8
Off Trendcold
Def Trendaverage
Streak1L

NYY Season Quality

Record81-61
Win%0.570
Run Diff118
RD/Game0.831

SD Season Quality

Record74-68
Win%0.521
Run Diff7
RD/Game0.049

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.776; margin adjustment: -0.3259; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Ben RiceDH 133500131 0.262 35840.358 43111 12 0.333 0.375 0.443 0.598 OK
Cody BellingerLF 113421112 0.266 12620.346 44110 02 0.250 0.293 0.354 0.401 OK
Luis García Jr.1B 2810129 0.287 5120.330 44100 00 0.250 0.171 0.207 0.331 OK
Spencer JonesCF 6619648 0.245 9300.313 44100 01 0.250 0.280 0.337 0.497 OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B 128446103 0.231 19550.309 44111 01 0.250 0.264 0.350 0.436 OK
Jasson DomínguezRF 5119345 0.233 6140.271 44000 01 0.000 0.152 0.189 0.267 OK
George Lombard Jr.SS 258520 0.235 270.295 43000 10 0.000 0.190 0.250 0.271 OK
Ryan McMahon3B 9827861 0.219 10320.285 44112 00 0.250 0.149 0.233 0.234 OK
Austin WellsC 10529655 0.186 10280.275 43000 10 0.000 0.195 0.271 0.317 OK
TEAM TOTALS 36336 44 37 0.182

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF 138550154 0.280 19690.346 44000 00 0.000 0.237 0.293 0.426 OK
Jake Cronenworth2B 8930765 0.212 4260.299 44000 02 0.000 0.146 0.224 0.216 OK
Manny Machado3B 138512113 0.221 25760.309 43211 10 0.667 0.244 0.336 0.429 OK
Ty France1B 110373109 0.292 20620.361 44000 00 0.000 0.252 0.323 0.447 OK
Jackson MerrillCF 138537128 0.238 22700.291 44200 00 0.500 0.211 0.258 0.359 OK
Luis CampusanoC 5616245 0.278 6250.378 44111 01 0.250 0.221 0.306 0.393 OK
Dustin HarrisLF 6198 0.421 010.421 44000 01 0.000 0.204 0.259 0.303 OK
Xander BogaertsSS 135460101 0.220 11520.320 33111 00 0.333 0.218 0.314 0.299 OK
Ethan SalasDH 250 0.000 000.000 33000 01 0.000 0.054 0.069 0.089
TEAM TOTALS 34336 33 15 0.182

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Gerrit ColeStarter 18101.93.36 1.1299.7110 6.14331596 6.1 5 3
David BednarCloser 5757.62.81 1.09410.869 1.22000022 1.2 0 0
Brent HeadrickSetup Man 7257.82.34 1.43613.989 1.00000013 1.0 0 0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Michael KingStarter 28159.23.17 1.1878.0141 6.05222599 6.0 5 2
Mason MillerCloser 5656.31.28 0.87017.3108 1.00000113 1.0 1 0
Adrian MorejonSetup Man 6566.83.10 1.21312.593 1.00000113 1.0 1 0
Bradgley RodriguezMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 5854.72.14 1.17011.268 1.01221017 1.0 0 2

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3


Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners

OAK 57-87 (4.38 RPG / 5.69 RA)
6 - 7
SEA 67-77 (3.95 RPG / 4.44 RA)
WINNER: SEA wins 7-6 TARGET: OAK 6 - 7 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 54.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
OAK20000200267
SEA20002030x76

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs5.3
Avg Allowed5.1
Run Diff2
Off Trendhot
Def Trendweak
Streak4W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.200
Avg Runs4.1
Avg Allowed6.3
Run Diff-22
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendweak
Streak3L

OAK Season Quality

Record57-86
Win%0.399
Run Diff-186
RD/Game-1.301

SEA Season Quality

Record66-77
Win%0.462
Run Diff-73
RD/Game-0.510

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3524; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Henry BolteCF 9634394 0.274 8310.350 44111 01 0.250 0.280 0.346 0.420 OK
Jeff McNeil1B 124413112 0.271 8520.318 44213 00 0.500 0.289 0.330 0.424 OK
Zack Gelof3B 8832384 0.260 17420.325 44210 00 0.500 0.261 0.310 0.512 OK
Lawrence ButlerRF 12839993 0.233 13520.322 44010 02 0.000 0.260 0.332 0.424 OK
Carlos CortesLF 10429777 0.259 8380.326 44112 02 0.250 0.263 0.314 0.386 OK
Max MuncyDH 7423654 0.229 9290.297 44110 00 0.250 0.244 0.300 0.432 OK
Donovan Walton2B 378619 0.221 2100.391 44000 02 0.000 0.239 0.322 0.456 OK
Alika WilliamsSS 6217348 0.277 4150.309 33000 02 0.000 0.292 0.326 0.490 OK
Brian ServenC 186014 0.233 5140.270 33000 01 0.000 0.237 0.265 0.437 OK
TEAM TOTALS 34347 66 010 0.206

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Randy ArozarenaLF 135501136 0.271 22660.371 43112 10 0.333 0.243 0.326 0.447 OK
Dominic CanzoneRF 125401102 0.254 21640.325 44313 00 0.750 0.251 0.318 0.474 OK
Julio RodríguezCF 131524126 0.240 20610.300 44010 01 0.000 0.196 0.243 0.314 OK
Cal RaleighDH 10738470 0.182 21580.294 43010 11 0.000 0.213 0.314 0.448 OK
J.P. CrawfordSS 9733876 0.225 10320.349 44110 00 0.250 0.295 0.422 0.394 OK
Josh Naylor1B 133521139 0.267 10490.325 44000 01 0.000 0.233 0.280 0.313 OK
Weston Wilson3B 339017 0.189 380.270 43010 11 0.000 0.186 0.272 0.272 OK
Player-7031972B 000 0.000 000.000 32112 10 0.500 0.249 0.310 0.388
Jhonny PeredaC 267923 0.291 260.349 33000 00 0.000 0.318 0.370 0.384 OK
TEAM TOTALS 34306 77 44 0.200

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Gage JumpStarter 1889.45.34 1.54410.099 4.25442294 4.2 2 4
Elvis AlvaradoCloser 4740.74.86 1.45012.255 1.21332132 1.2 1 3
Hogan HarrisSetup Man 6550.64.09 1.77914.682 1.20000129 1.2 1 0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Bryan WooStarter 26147.44.27 1.0999.1149 5.24330783 5.2 7 3
Andrés MuñozCloser 5348.34.10 1.20115.382 1.11110114 1.1 1 1
José A. FerrerSetup Man 6451.34.21 1.5798.146 1.00000013 1.0 0 0
Eduard BazardoMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 6652.23.97 1.66710.963 1.02220219 1.0 2 2

Game Summary

SEA wins 7-6


San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets

SF 60-85 (4.21 RPG / 4.69 RA)
4 - 6
NYM 65-78 (4.17 RPG / 4.5 RA)
WINNER: NYM wins 6-4 TARGET: SF 4 - 6 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 51.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
SF40000000043
NYM20003000167

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs6.1
Avg Allowed6.0
Run Diff1
Off Trendhot
Def Trendweak
Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400
Avg Runs4.3
Avg Allowed5.4
Run Diff-11
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendweak
Streak1L

SF Season Quality

Record59-84
Win%0.413
Run Diff-73
RD/Game-0.510

NYM Season Quality

Record64-78
Win%0.451
Run Diff-50
RD/Game-0.352

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0295; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Drew GilbertCF 10730272 0.238 8360.309 42010 11 0.000 0.231 0.285 0.364 OK
Rafael DeversDH 142532138 0.259 34900.341 44111 00 0.250 0.284 0.372 0.616 OK
Bryce Eldridge1B 9734490 0.262 15450.360 44110 00 0.250 0.267 0.380 0.456 OK
Jonah Cox2B 337923 0.291 4100.333 44113 01 0.250 0.291 0.339 0.495 OK
Jung Hoo LeeRF 127485137 0.282 8490.325 43000 10 0.000 0.203 0.243 0.293 OK
Osleivis Basabe3B 3010222 0.216 5120.264 44000 02 0.000 0.216 0.256 0.394 OK
Grant McCrayLF 21568 0.143 230.250 43000 10 0.000 0.162 0.259 0.329 OK
Drew CavanaughC 4311528 0.243 090.326 33000 00 0.000 0.255 0.326 0.315 OK
Christian KossSS 4714230 0.211 380.248 33000 00 0.000 0.221 0.253 0.350 OK
TEAM TOTALS 34303 44 34 0.100

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Francisco LindorSS 8332976 0.231 16380.311 44214 00 0.500 0.220 0.280 0.418 OK
Juan SotoDH 8931587 0.276 23560.393 44210 00 0.500 0.252 0.364 0.490 OK
Bo Bichette3B 136541144 0.266 15680.313 44010 01 0.000 0.266 0.315 0.436 OK
Carson BengeRF 132506138 0.273 16530.333 44000 01 0.000 0.263 0.314 0.381 OK
Mark Vientos1B 7524654 0.220 13390.257 44211 01 0.500 0.252 0.287 0.534 OK
Marcus Semien2B 11941993 0.222 14440.289 33000 00 0.000 0.236 0.309 0.338 OK
Nick MorabitoLF 7172 0.118 030.250 33000 02 0.000 0.146 0.197 0.227 OK
A.J. EwingCF 9936187 0.241 8300.316 33111 00 0.333 0.240 0.320 0.369 OK
Luis TorrensC 7522353 0.238 8330.300 32010 11 0.000 0.217 0.268 0.373 OK
TEAM TOTALS 32317 66 16 0.226

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Cesar PerdomoStarter 14.02.25 1.0009.04 4.05551469 4.0 4 6
Dylan SmithCloser 3428.43.49 1.47913.041 1.10000017 1.1 0 0
Trent HarrisSetup Man 1213.33.38 1.27812.919 1.10000117 1.1 1 0
Carson SeymourMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 1520.04.95 1.7007.617 1.12110123 1.1 1 0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Christian ScottStarter 2090.04.00 1.37811.3113 5.03333385 5.0 3 3
Kodai SengaCloser 2553.27.61 1.71111.065 1.10110117 1.1 1 1
Daniel DuarteSetup Man 2123.22.33 0.86210.126 1.10000017 1.1 0 0
Nathan LavenderMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 129.40.00 0.85113.414 1.10000017 1.1 0 0

Game Summary

NYM wins 6-4


St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies

STL 72-72 (4.56 RPG / 4.62 RA)
5 - 4
COL 55-88 (4.75 RPG / 5.73 RA)
WINNER: STL wins 5-4 TARGET: STL 5 - 4 COL (STL) Confidence: 55.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
STL00020000359
COL03000001043

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs6.1
Avg Allowed5.8
Run Diff3
Off Trendhot
Def Trendweak
Streak1L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400
Avg Runs4.8
Avg Allowed4.2
Run Diff6
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak1W

STL Season Quality

Record71-72
Win%0.497
Run Diff-11
RD/Game-0.077

COL Season Quality

Record55-87
Win%0.387
Run Diff-138
RD/Game-0.972

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7287; margin adjustment: -0.3061; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Bryan Torres2B 5212432 0.258 3160.324 53000 11 0.000 0.291 0.360 0.394 OK
Iván HerreraDH 139528129 0.244 15600.353 55110 02 0.200 0.293 0.355 0.459 OK
Alec Burleson1B 138530148 0.279 21990.341 55212 01 0.400 0.227 0.279 0.366 OK
Jordan WalkerRF 136532152 0.286 26950.341 55211 01 0.400 0.267 0.309 0.452 OK
Leonardo BernalC 5207 0.350 140.409 55000 02 0.000 0.309 0.360 0.476 OK
Joshua BaezLF 206616 0.242 7150.292 43000 10 0.000 0.266 0.297 0.640 OK
Nolan Gorman3B 7122743 0.189 8290.267 44100 00 0.250 0.182 0.253 0.314 OK
Thomas SaggeseSS 339625 0.260 4120.324 43110 10 0.333 0.302 0.375 0.552 OK
Nathan ChurchCF 11036690 0.246 10460.287 43212 00 0.667 0.279 0.315 0.371 OK
TEAM TOTALS 41369 55 37 0.250

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Jake McCarthyLF 121466135 0.290 14710.333 44010 01 0.000 0.268 0.312 0.435 OK
Troy JohnstonRF 113359103 0.287 4470.352 44000 01 0.000 0.280 0.344 0.419 OK
Cole CarriggCF 7025368 0.269 7390.344 44000 01 0.000 0.275 0.335 0.478 OK
TJ Rumfield1B 135482143 0.297 15650.387 33113 01 0.333 0.325 0.416 0.548 OK
Mickey MoniakDH 9935287 0.247 21600.284 33110 02 0.333 0.231 0.264 0.436 OK
Adael Amador2B 92510 0.400 290.483 33000 01 0.000 0.356 0.427 0.565 OK
Brett SullivanC 6419046 0.242 7310.283 33000 00 0.000 0.174 0.228 0.292 OK
Vimael Machín3B 000 0.000 000.000 33111 01 0.333 0.242 0.305 0.398
Ezequiel TovarSS 12641389 0.215 10410.262 33000 00 0.000 0.256 0.297 0.373 OK
TEAM TOTALS 30303 44 08 0.100

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Kyle LeahyStarter 26128.43.15 1.3168.3118 5.12330673 5.1 6 3
Riley O'BrienCloser 5954.24.32 1.3109.557 2.00000118 2.0 1 0
George SorianoSetup Man 6353.34.90 1.52010.361 1.21110124 1.2 1 1

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Tanner GordonStarter 2087.55.25 1.4177.472 5.04223596 5.0 5 2
Jordan RomanoCloser 2118.52.92 1.1899.219 1.10000017 1.1 0 0
Brennan BernardinoSetup Man 6746.63.09 1.3737.941 1.21000224 1.2 2 0
Jimmy HergetMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 4438.56.55 1.7409.139 1.04330025 1.0 0 3

Game Summary

STL wins 5-4


Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers

TB 85-58 (4.52 RPG / 4.2 RA)
5 - 4
TEX 71-73 (4.13 RPG / 4.44 RA)
WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: TB 5 - 4 TEX (TB) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
TB11000003059
TEX00000004042

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700
Avg Runs4.9
Avg Allowed4.4
Run Diff5
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak2W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400
Avg Runs4.8
Avg Allowed5.3
Run Diff-5
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendweak
Streak2L

TB Season Quality

Record85-57
Win%0.599
Run Diff49
RD/Game0.345

TEX Season Quality

Record70-73
Win%0.490
Run Diff-46
RD/Game-0.322

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6881; margin adjustment: -0.289; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Yandy DíazDH 136539165 0.306 21760.375 55211 03 0.400 0.319 0.373 0.484 OK
Jonathan Aranda1B 137519145 0.279 19850.362 55110 02 0.200 0.265 0.334 0.475 OK
Junior Caminero3B 141541152 0.281 38910.365 54110 10 0.250 0.278 0.341 0.503 OK
Ryan Vilade2B 7620453 0.260 11380.320 55100 01 0.200 0.258 0.316 0.466 OK
Chandler SimpsonLF 130504155 0.308 0310.334 43100 01 0.333 0.281 0.306 0.328 OK
Jonny DeLucaCF 8628575 0.263 9420.298 43000 10 0.000 0.252 0.294 0.418 OK
Jorge MateoSS 12355 0.143 150.205 43113 11 0.333 0.119 0.173 0.199 OK
Victor Mesa Jr.RF 5317338 0.220 10230.280 44000 02 0.000 0.228 0.283 0.390 OK
Nick FortesC 8926671 0.267 4300.307 44211 01 0.500 0.224 0.251 0.318 OK
TEAM TOTALS 40369 55 311 0.250

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Ezequiel DuranCF 132468128 0.274 17770.334 44000 00 0.000 0.267 0.332 0.465 OK
Corey SeagerSS 8230469 0.227 14370.324 42010 20 0.000 0.232 0.316 0.415 OK
Justin Foscue2B 7919251 0.266 11290.314 43010 10 0.000 0.203 0.245 0.431 OK
Brandon NimmoRF 137522138 0.264 14580.330 44000 01 0.000 0.247 0.306 0.381 OK
Wyatt LangfordLF 9134986 0.246 15360.327 44114 00 0.250 0.191 0.273 0.332 OK
Jake Burger1B 135490116 0.237 23790.301 44000 01 0.000 0.225 0.293 0.352 OK
Logan O'HoppeDH 7113 0.273 010.250 33000 00 0.000 0.198 0.243 0.297 OK
Elias DíazC 5616839 0.232 5240.258 33000 02 0.000 0.148 0.182 0.295 OK
Cody Freeman3B 277720 0.260 160.329 32110 10 0.500 0.204 0.266 0.293 OK
TEAM TOTALS 33292 44 44 0.069

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Ian SeymourStarter 41106.84.04 1.16111.6138 5.10332475 5.1 4 3
Bryan BakerCloser 5653.61.51 0.89610.160 1.10001021 1.1 0 0
Kevin KellySetup Man 6256.22.56 0.9968.352 1.01000016 1.0 0 0
Tyler WellsMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 1215.31.76 0.7199.416 1.11111016 1.1 0 1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
MacKenzie GoreStarter 29150.74.42 1.32710.1169 5.12222693 5.1 6 2
Jacob LatzCloser 4958.61.54 0.75110.669 1.01000023 1.0 0 0
Jakob JunisSetup Man 4544.63.03 1.2567.135 1.01000316 1.0 3 0
Chase SilsethMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 1611.14.05 1.89211.414 0.24331224 0.2 2 3
Tyler AlexanderMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 6452.83.75 1.5159.254 1.01000016 1.0 0 0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4


Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals

TOR 72-72 (4.03 RPG / 4.29 RA)
5 - 4
KC 64-80 (4.28 RPG / 4.9 RA)
WINNER: TOR wins 5-4 TARGET: TOR 5 - 4 KC (TOR) Confidence: 53.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
TOR20001100159
KC00040000045

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.800
Avg Runs5.5
Avg Allowed3.1
Run Diff24
Off Trendhot
Def Trendstrong
Streak4W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400
Avg Runs4.6
Avg Allowed5.0
Run Diff-4
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak2L

TOR Season Quality

Record72-71
Win%0.503
Run Diff-33
RD/Game-0.231

KC Season Quality

Record63-80
Win%0.441
Run Diff-93
RD/Game-0.650

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6043; margin adjustment: -0.2538; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Brett BatemanCF 249832 0.327 070.391 55210 02 0.400 0.306 0.364 0.377 OK
Nathan LukesRF 10435295 0.270 10360.320 54213 10 0.500 0.279 0.310 0.396 OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.DH 127482126 0.261 8540.328 54000 12 0.000 0.273 0.335 0.382 OK
Jesús SánchezLF 9526369 0.262 8350.321 55100 02 0.200 0.257 0.299 0.404 OK
Kazuma Okamoto3B 136503117 0.233 28810.305 43011 11 0.000 0.263 0.321 0.471 OK
Sean Keys1B 14429 0.214 270.233 44000 01 0.000 0.226 0.251 0.396 OK
Josh Smith2B 15338 0.242 340.375 44211 00 0.500 0.143 0.263 0.308 OK
Andrés GiménezSS 125415101 0.243 8510.290 43000 00 0.000 0.262 0.290 0.347 OK
Brandon ValenzuelaC 7121748 0.221 8210.306 44210 00 0.500 0.206 0.301 0.343 OK
TEAM TOTALS 40369 55 38 0.250

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
John RaveRF 318920 0.225 490.296 44113 00 0.250 0.243 0.315 0.459 OK
Bobby Witt Jr.SS 123481136 0.283 17500.357 43110 11 0.333 0.247 0.321 0.429 OK
Vinnie Pasquantino1B 9535284 0.239 10430.327 43000 13 0.000 0.200 0.285 0.363 OK
Salvador PerezDH 132509116 0.228 18660.271 44211 01 0.500 0.263 0.289 0.423 OK
Josh Rojas3B 349323 0.247 2130.271 44110 00 0.250 0.230 0.255 0.368 OK
Nick Loftin2B 10132076 0.238 7410.322 44000 00 0.000 0.232 0.307 0.384 OK
Isaac CollinsLF 12539789 0.224 6400.324 44000 01 0.000 0.169 0.267 0.272 OK
Luke MaileC 12335 0.152 150.176 33000 00 0.000 0.082 0.112 0.149 OK
Kyle IsbelCF 8024556 0.229 6240.277 33000 01 0.000 0.127 0.171 0.202 OK
TEAM TOTALS 34325 44 27 0.156

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Spencer ArrighettiStarter 310.36.99 1.4568.710 5.04442483 5.0 4 4
Louis VarlandCloser 6466.01.23 1.04511.987 1.10000117 1.1 1 0
Tyler RogersSetup Man 6659.01.98 1.2885.335 1.00000113 1.0 1 0
Spencer MilesMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 4478.93.08 1.1668.978 1.21000122 1.2 1 0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Randy DobnakStarter 1156.52.71 1.4166.440 6.063325114 6.0 5 4
Steven CruzCloser 5048.04.69 1.35410.757 1.01110116 1.0 1 1
Nate PearsonSetup Man 1716.30.55 0.9208.315 1.00001117 1.0 1 0
Craig KimbrelMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 98.30.00 0.7236.56 1.02110130 1.0 1 0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-4


Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

WAS 67-77 (5.16 RPG / 5.08 RA)
4 - 5
LAD 85-57 (4.92 RPG / 3.86 RA)
WINNER: LAD wins 5-4 TARGET: WAS 4 - 5 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
123456789RH
WAS00001012048
LAD01001030x56

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs4.7
Avg Allowed5.4
Run Diff-7
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendweak
Streak3L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500
Avg Runs4.2
Avg Allowed4.2
Run Diff0
Off Trendaverage
Def Trendaverage
Streak3W

WAS Season Quality

Record67-77
Win%0.465
Run Diff11
RD/Game0.076

LAD Season Quality

Record85-57
Win%0.599
Run Diff150
RD/Game1.056

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7893; margin adjustment: 0.3315; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
James WoodDH 117450120 0.267 30740.392 53000 20 0.000 0.258 0.374 0.492 OK
Dylan CrewsRF 8933774 0.220 10350.289 55212 02 0.400 0.213 0.263 0.344 OK
Andrés Chaparro1B 6315740 0.255 9340.346 55100 01 0.200 0.224 0.295 0.389 OK
CJ Abrams2B 135514136 0.265 29940.341 54000 12 0.000 0.239 0.307 0.429 OK
Brady House3B 7627267 0.246 10410.304 55210 02 0.400 0.278 0.327 0.419 OK
Daylen LileLF 142539137 0.254 20820.308 43111 10 0.333 0.252 0.312 0.479 OK
Harry FordC 257815 0.192 380.292 42211 10 1.000 0.190 0.277 0.345 OK
Jacob YoungCF 11337894 0.249 10420.310 44000 01 0.000 0.229 0.288 0.345 OK
Nasim NuñezSS 12440486 0.213 1350.292 43000 11 0.000 0.196 0.265 0.235 OK
TEAM TOTALS 41348 44 69 0.235

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PlayerPos Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction Deviation
GABHAVGHRRBIOBP PAABHRRBIBBSOAVG AVGOBPSLG
Tommy EdmanCF 6122360 0.269 6300.340 44111 00 0.250 0.288 0.326 0.441 OK
Mookie BettsSS 103406101 0.249 17540.306 44000 02 0.000 0.299 0.356 0.481 OK
Will SmithC 5518744 0.235 6250.318 44000 00 0.000 0.160 0.248 0.269 OK
Freddie Freeman1B 136510154 0.302 16640.381 44110 03 0.250 0.283 0.383 0.459 OK
Teoscar HernándezLF 10437095 0.257 12500.320 33100 01 0.333 0.284 0.345 0.430 OK
Kyle TuckerRF 130466105 0.225 12590.321 33211 00 0.667 0.206 0.317 0.353 OK
Miguel Rojas2B 8119152 0.272 3200.301 32011 01 0.000 0.221 0.255 0.384 OK
Max MuncyDH 128417101 0.242 26680.341 32112 10 0.500 0.223 0.332 0.427 OK
Enrique Hernández3B 245512 0.218 250.271 33000 01 0.000 0.189 0.247 0.302 OK
TEAM TOTALS 31296 55 18 0.207

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Andrew AlvarezStarter 2186.73.63 1.3738.986 5.03221584 5.0 5 2
Clayton BeeterCloser 4741.14.60 1.5099.945 0.2000018 0.2 1 0
Orlando RibaltaSetup Man 4538.84.18 1.3409.742 1.03330022 1.0 0 3
Erik TolmanMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 66.41.41 1.09412.79 1.10000217 1.1 2 0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PitcherRole Actual 2026 Season Simulated Game Model Prediction
GIPERAWHIPK/9SO IPHRERBBSOP IPSOER
Justin WrobleskiStarter 22126.73.69 1.1217.4104 5.121147101 5.1 7 1
Tanner ScottCloser 6252.22.93 1.07312.170 1.13111030 1.1 0 1
Edgardo HenriquezSetup Man 5749.23.11 1.09812.166 1.02221023 1.0 0 2
Brock StewartMiddle Reliever (High Leverage) 2118.12.98 1.1059.419 1.11000221 1.1 2 0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-4