MLB Predictions — September 2, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ WAS	5 - 4	5 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ COL	7 - 5	7 - 5	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 7-5	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ HOU	5 - 6	5 - 6	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ MIN	4 - 5	4 - 5	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ KC	5 - 4	5 - 4	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ CHC	6 - 4	6 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ TB	3 - 4	3 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ LAA	4 - 2	4 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ TEX	4 - 5	4 - 5	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ ARI	5 - 4	5 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ CIN	5 - 4	5 - 4	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ BOS	4 - 5	4 - 5	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ PIT	5 - 6	5 - 6	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 6-5	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ LAD	4 - 5	4 - 5	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ CLE	2 - 3	2 - 3	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 3-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals

ATL 83-58 (4.65 RPG / 3.84 RA)

5 - 4

WAS 67-75 (5.18 RPG / 5.08 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-4 TARGET: ATL 5 - 4 WAS (ATL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	10
WAS	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	4	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

ATL Season Quality

Record82-57

Win%0.590

Run Diff109

RD/Game0.784

WAS Season Quality

Record67-74

Win%0.475

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.163

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4764; margin adjustment: -0.2001; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	115	448	125	0.279	22	69	0.358	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.300	0.362	0.476	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	85	321	77	0.240	13	36	0.342	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.254	0.343	0.379	OK
Matt Olson	1B	138	533	136	0.255	36	78	0.330	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.247	0.313	0.473	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	138	524	135	0.258	21	68	0.313	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.245	0.294	0.408	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	132	504	151	0.300	24	80	0.323	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.309	0.327	0.607	OK
Sean Murphy	C	17	58	13	0.224	2	4	0.262	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.291	0.331	0.500	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	114	301	67	0.223	9	33	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.164	0.239	0.273	OK
Austin Riley	3B	136	483	107	0.222	15	61	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.273	0.329	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	30	89	10	0.112	0	5	0.202	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.289	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	5	5	2	7	0.270

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	114	437	116	0.265	30	73	0.393	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.241	0.362	0.459	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	DH	28	90	19	0.211	5	10	0.253	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.211	0.255	0.387	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	86	326	71	0.218	10	34	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.277	0.355	OK
CJ Abrams	2B	132	502	135	0.269	29	94	0.346	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.248	0.318	0.449	OK
Andrés Chaparro	3B	60	148	37	0.250	9	34	0.343	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.320	0.466	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	139	529	135	0.255	20	80	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.347	0.547	OK
Yohandy Morales	1B	1	5	3	0.600	1	1	0.600	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.290	0.297	0.648	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	88	293	83	0.283	9	45	0.322	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.306	0.342	0.474	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	122	399	86	0.216	1	35	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.204	0.273	0.244	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	4	4	4	10	0.156

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	27	127.4	3.96	1.405	7.4	105	5.0	2	2	2	1	4	85	5.0	4	2
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	50	48.9	2.94	1.227	9.6	52	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	64	53.3	2.70	0.957	12.5	74	1.1	0	0	0	2	2	25	1.1	2	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	54.3	2.65	1.234	12.6	76	1.1	2	2	2	1	3	31	1.1	3	2

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brad Lord	Starter	33	62.9	4.15	1.320	9.2	64	5.0	4	3	3	1	5	91	5.0	5	3
Clayton Beeter	Closer	46	40.9	3.96	1.443	9.9	45	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Orlando Ribalta	Setup Man	45	38.8	4.18	1.340	9.7	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Will Dion	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	16.5	2.18	0.909	9.3	17	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	18	11.9	10.59	2.017	10.6	14	0.2	3	1	1	1	1	21	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-4

Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies

BAL 69-71 (4.54 RPG / 4.68 RA)

7 - 5

COL 54-86 (4.68 RPG / 5.68 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 7-5 TARGET: BAL 7 - 5 COL (BAL) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	4	0	7	7
COL	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	5	6

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Season Quality

Record69-70

Win%0.496

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.137

COL Season Quality

Record53-86

Win%0.381

Run Diff-141

RD/Game-1.014

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9515; margin adjustment: -0.3996; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	DH	82	265	62	0.234	7	28	0.308	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.250	0.314	0.385	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	136	510	138	0.271	32	91	0.362	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.250	0.341	0.440	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	134	538	119	0.221	21	56	0.304	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.236	0.305	0.466	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	0.500	0.230	0.304	0.413
Samuel Basallo	C	94	317	73	0.230	17	49	0.295	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.218	0.284	0.387	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	104	330	73	0.221	19	55	0.287	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.323	0.502	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	79	242	61	0.252	6	31	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.326	0.406	OK
Blaze Alexander	2B	74	229	70	0.306	4	29	0.360	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.314	0.361	0.424	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	109	286	63	0.220	12	34	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.307	0.405	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	7	7	5	4	0.206

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	118	455	132	0.290	14	70	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.286	0.422	OK
Connor Norby	3B	20	65	18	0.277	2	10	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.303	0.342	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	119	444	112	0.252	36	73	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.293	0.441	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	132	469	137	0.292	14	62	0.384	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.271	0.379	0.466	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	67	239	61	0.255	6	36	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.298	0.391	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	47	132	27	0.205	1	11	0.259	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.216	0.268	0.311	OK
Adael Amador	DH	6	14	5	0.357	2	7	0.471	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.331	0.435	0.761	OK
Ryan Ritter	2B	10	17	3	0.176	0	1	0.222	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.188	0.236	0.219	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	123	406	86	0.212	10	41	0.260	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.159	0.208	0.260	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	5	5	1	6	0.182

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	25	134.4	4.49	1.280	8.1	121	5.2	5	5	5	1	4	95	5.2	4	5
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	49	39.6	3.41	1.490	8.2	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Yennier Cano	Setup Man	57	35.6	2.78	1.096	10.1	40	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	51.2	2.99	1.016	10.5	60	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	24	122.4	5.37	1.397	5.5	75	4.2	4	3	3	1	3	76	4.2	3	3
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	65	46.3	3.11	1.382	8.0	41	2.0	3	4	4	2	1	42	2.0	1	4
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	37.2	6.77	1.747	9.2	38	2.1	0	0	0	2	0	37	2.1	0	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 7-5

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW 73-65 (4.78 RPG / 4.46 RA)

5 - 6

HOU 70-69 (4.54 RPG / 4.86 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 6-5 TARGET: CHW 5 - 6 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	5	9
HOU	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	1	6	9

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHW Season Quality

Record73-65

Win%0.529

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.326

HOU Season Quality

Record70-69

Win%0.504

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.317

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4845; margin adjustment: -0.2035; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	117	405	108	0.267	8	40	0.366	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.263	0.339	0.383	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	103	368	79	0.215	29	59	0.358	5	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.205	0.360	0.444	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	135	502	126	0.251	29	76	0.364	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.387	0.436	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	121	373	92	0.247	14	70	0.306	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.270	0.318	0.452	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	69	254	57	0.224	5	35	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.217	0.294	0.340	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	130	491	106	0.216	29	79	0.296	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.256	0.327	0.508	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	131	491	134	0.273	12	51	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.283	0.352	0.403	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	126	373	103	0.276	12	52	0.340	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.336	0.475	OK
Drew Romo	C	56	175	25	0.143	7	16	0.234	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.162	0.253	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	5	5	4	5	0.257

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	88	352	99	0.281	17	46	0.336	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.257	0.303	0.454	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	136	487	155	0.318	37	94	0.436	5	5	2	1	3	0	2	0.400	0.275	0.401	0.551	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	131	476	120	0.252	18	74	0.352	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.203	0.296	0.372	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	111	431	106	0.246	14	41	0.309	4	3	1	1	0	0	2	0.333	0.225	0.287	0.354	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	24	93	16	0.172	3	10	0.238	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.199	0.256	0.342	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	74	206	43	0.209	7	20	0.288	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.206	0.273	0.346	OK
Cam Smith	RF	126	438	93	0.212	17	49	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.185	0.237	0.360	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	1B	39	102	21	0.206	3	17	0.314	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.197	0.292	0.344	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	77	225	48	0.213	7	25	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.253	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	9	6	6	5	11	0.273

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	24	122.2	4.42	1.358	8.2	111	5.0	4	4	4	3	7	99	5.0	7	5
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	36	1.1	2	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	2	1	1	1	2	37	1.1	2	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	10	0.1	0	1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hayden Wesneski	Starter	6	32.2	3.91	1.211	7.8	28	5.1	5	3	3	1	3	98	5.1	3	3
Josh Hader	Closer	36	35.4	0.51	0.621	12.2	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Steven Okert	Setup Man	68	58.8	2.45	1.003	10.4	68	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	4.38	1.543	12.9	68	1.0	2	1	1	2	1	31	1.0	1	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	56.5	5.10	1.363	9.4	59	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 6-5

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins

DET 63-75 (4.34 RPG / 4.04 RA)

4 - 5

MIN 67-72 (4.69 RPG / 4.93 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 5-4 TARGET: DET 4 - 5 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 55.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	4	8
MIN	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	1	5	9

DET Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.0

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-37

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

DET Season Quality

Record63-75

Win%0.457

Run Diff42

RD/Game0.304

MIN Season Quality

Record67-72

Win%0.482

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.237

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0017; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	133	509	140	0.275	14	58	0.376	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.255	0.350	0.385	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	87	248	67	0.270	8	35	0.312	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.283	0.330	0.482	OK
Colt Keith	1B	123	352	90	0.256	9	31	0.312	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.281	0.348	OK
Riley Greene	DH	116	422	115	0.273	16	55	0.365	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.251	0.342	0.412	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	26	77	24	0.312	6	17	0.329	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.173	0.188	0.399	OK
Brett Callahan	LF	13	32	9	0.281	1	6	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.246	0.345	OK
Max Clark	CF	29	101	24	0.238	2	13	0.300	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.278	0.392	OK
John Peck	SS	1	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.148	0.158	0.211
Zach McKinstry	RF	107	329	71	0.216	4	26	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.181	0.250	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	4	4	4	10	0.229

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	129	446	124	0.278	9	43	0.366	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.300	0.368	0.449	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	130	495	122	0.246	22	76	0.295	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.228	0.264	0.398	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	121	449	107	0.238	24	70	0.296	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.242	0.300	0.501	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	72	255	71	0.278	13	49	0.375	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.352	0.616	OK
Josh Bell	DH	133	490	124	0.253	17	83	0.317	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.308	0.378	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	110	360	96	0.267	11	44	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.257	0.327	0.411	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	104	381	90	0.236	14	49	0.304	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.252	0.313	0.449	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	21	75	24	0.320	3	9	0.373	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.293	0.335	0.440	OK
Walker Jenkins	CF	5	16	3	0.188	1	3	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.316	0.407	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	9	5	5	3	4	0.265

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Anderson	Starter	45	78.3	4.25	1.456	11.0	96	4.1	6	4	4	3	2	95	4.1	2	4
Kenley Jansen	Closer	39	33.1	3.81	1.208	11.1	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	59	52.5	3.60	1.543	8.6	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	47.4	3.99	1.751	8.2	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jacob Waguespack	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	26	28.2	3.19	1.099	6.4	20	1.1	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	5	26.2	4.47	1.145	7.9	23	5.0	7	2	2	2	5	104	5.0	5	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	46	36.0	3.00	1.444	10.2	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	10	7.5	4.80	2.000	13.2	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	57.2	4.41	1.521	9.3	59	1.0	1	2	2	1	3	20	1.0	3	2
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	9.8	0.92	1.020	8.3	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 5-4

Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals

MIA 70-69 (4.34 RPG / 4.23 RA)

5 - 4

KC 62-77 (4.27 RPG / 4.88 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-4 TARGET: MIA 5 - 4 KC (MIA) Confidence: 55.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	5	11
KC	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	6

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIA Season Quality

Record70-69

Win%0.504

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.108

KC Season Quality

Record62-77

Win%0.446

Run Diff-86

RD/Game-0.619

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3828; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heriberto Hernández	LF	105	354	81	0.229	22	58	0.308	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.204	0.290	0.479	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	135	541	165	0.305	10	61	0.340	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.272	0.303	0.413	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	102	376	92	0.245	17	57	0.330	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.250	0.323	0.494	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	50	165	39	0.236	2	17	0.328	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.240	0.327	0.340	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	110	368	104	0.283	6	52	0.317	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.291	0.327	0.406	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	130	440	92	0.209	8	31	0.330	5	5	1	1	2	0	3	0.200	0.221	0.321	0.340	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	72	168	40	0.238	6	11	0.325	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.191	0.260	0.330	OK
Jared Serna	2B	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.055	0.070	0.091
Joe Mack	C	82	248	58	0.234	12	38	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.289	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	11	5	5	4	13	0.289

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	127	450	101	0.224	19	62	0.311	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.224	0.307	0.449	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	119	467	133	0.285	16	49	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.336	0.407	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	126	457	128	0.280	23	66	0.329	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.285	0.320	0.473	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	128	494	110	0.223	17	62	0.266	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.224	0.249	0.361	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	91	335	82	0.245	9	41	0.336	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.236	0.330	0.401	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	97	308	73	0.237	7	41	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.302	0.438	OK
Michael Massey	2B	107	340	93	0.274	11	43	0.308	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.327	0.467	OK
John Rave	LF	29	83	18	0.217	3	8	0.278	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.280	0.390	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	76	234	54	0.231	6	24	0.281	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.267	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	4	4	0	9	0.182

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	24	129.5	3.47	1.143	9.9	142	5.1	2	2	2	0	7	73	5.1	7	2
Calvin Faucher	Closer	59	51.2	4.39	1.523	11.2	64	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	35	26.3	4.79	1.559	11.6	34	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	49.8	3.80	1.305	11.9	66	1.0	3	1	1	0	2	18	1.0	2	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	26	147.0	4.04	1.238	8.0	131	6.1	3	0	0	4	11	117	6.1	11	0
Steven Cruz	Closer	49	47.0	4.79	1.383	10.7	56	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	3
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	15	14.2	0.63	0.915	8.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	48.7	6.28	1.622	10.0	54	0.2	6	3	3	0	1	26	0.2	1	2

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs

MIL 86-53 (5.0 RPG / 3.79 RA)

6 - 4

CHC 78-61 (5.37 RPG / 4.39 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-4 TARGET: MIL 6 - 4 CHC (MIL) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	6	13
CHC	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	4	10

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs8.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff37

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Season Quality

Record86-53

Win%0.619

Run Diff168

RD/Game1.209

CHC Season Quality

Record78-61

Win%0.561

Run Diff136

RD/Game0.978

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1064; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	102	423	121	0.286	20	57	0.347	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.257	0.306	0.441	OK
Brice Turang	2B	125	492	129	0.262	17	79	0.353	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.257	0.334	0.409	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	87	253	79	0.312	5	40	0.391	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.319	0.382	0.453	OK
William Contreras	C	126	486	132	0.272	13	70	0.341	5	5	4	1	0	0	1	0.800	0.338	0.395	0.491	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	120	405	110	0.272	22	74	0.389	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.417	0.469	OK
Luis Lara	CF	39	128	35	0.273	1	19	0.333	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.314	0.368	0.426	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	73	199	41	0.206	11	34	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.192	0.307	0.408	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	99	301	76	0.252	8	39	0.315	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.272	0.331	0.425	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	50	157	42	0.268	3	22	0.330	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.273	0.331	0.386	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	40	13	6	6	2	10	0.325

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	137	528	149	0.282	38	91	0.376	5	3	1	0	0	2	1	0.333	0.261	0.325	0.586	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	120	458	128	0.279	24	80	0.374	5	5	2	1	0	0	3	0.400	0.296	0.390	0.527	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	135	539	140	0.260	23	77	0.347	5	5	2	1	2	0	3	0.400	0.260	0.327	0.552	OK
Michael Busch	1B	135	516	124	0.240	16	66	0.349	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.204	0.302	0.371	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	134	534	141	0.264	8	62	0.317	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.273	0.320	0.377	OK
Ian Happ	LF	130	475	105	0.221	23	61	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.156	0.253	0.333	OK
Matt Shaw	2B	52	138	35	0.254	5	21	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.331	0.475	OK
Tyrone Taylor	RF	16	46	19	0.413	1	6	0.471	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.322	0.363	0.550	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	62	190	44	0.232	5	23	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.201	0.271	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	10	4	4	2	9	0.278

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	25	150.3	1.74	0.758	13.3	222	6.0	7	2	2	1	8	111	6.0	8	2
Trevor Megill	Closer	52	51.4	1.58	0.817	10.0	57	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	20	1.0	1	2
Aaron Ashby	Setup Man	64	69.0	3.52	1.493	13.7	105	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	89.1	3.33	1.291	8.4	83	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	11	53.0	4.08	1.415	7.8	46	4.0	11	6	6	2	7	93	4.0	7	6
Jacob Webb	Closer	60	54.3	3.15	1.344	10.8	65	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	42	39.2	3.67	1.301	6.0	26	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	11	7.9	9.11	2.152	11.4	10	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-4

New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays

NYM 63-77 (4.12 RPG / 4.48 RA)

3 - 4

TB 83-56 (4.52 RPG / 4.15 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: NYM 3 - 4 TB (TB) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1
TB	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	x	4	8

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

NYM Season Quality

Record62-77

Win%0.446

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.403

TB Season Quality

Record83-55

Win%0.601

Run Diff57

RD/Game0.413

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9101; margin adjustment: 0.3822; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	80	313	73	0.233	15	36	0.316	4	4	0	1	0	0	4	0.000	0.229	0.300	0.460	OK
Juan Soto	LF	86	302	85	0.281	22	54	0.400	3	3	1	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.206	0.325	0.435	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	133	530	140	0.264	14	66	0.310	3	3	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.288	0.375	OK
Carson Benge	RF	129	494	135	0.273	16	53	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.312	0.391	OK
Mark Vientos	DH	73	241	51	0.212	12	36	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.198	0.237	0.399	OK
Christopher Morel	1B	7	14	3	0.214	0	1	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.193	0.251	0.275	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	116	409	91	0.222	14	43	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.142	0.223	0.213	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	97	354	85	0.240	7	28	0.313	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.291	0.322	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	93	308	69	0.224	12	32	0.310	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.188	0.253	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									28	28	1	3	3	0	14	0.036

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	132	523	159	0.304	21	76	0.372	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.294	0.347	0.504	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	133	503	140	0.278	17	79	0.361	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.255	0.330	0.425	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	137	523	148	0.283	37	88	0.370	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.298	0.370	0.519	OK
Liam Hicks	C	22	67	22	0.328	3	13	0.425	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.322	0.378	0.429	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	126	487	151	0.310	0	31	0.337	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.314	0.346	0.369	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	50	163	37	0.227	10	22	0.291	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.256	0.314	0.464	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	116	393	81	0.206	14	42	0.287	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.208	0.279	0.347	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	100	292	66	0.226	5	39	0.321	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.183	0.270	0.271	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	107	337	74	0.220	2	33	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.317	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	8	4	4	4	6	0.250

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Hagenman	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	3	1	1	2	3	63	3.0	3	1
Kodai Senga	Closer	24	52.2	7.76	1.724	11.2	65	3.1	1	1	1	1	2	61	3.1	2	1
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	20	22.1	2.44	0.905	10.2	25	1.2	4	2	2	1	1	37	1.2	1	2

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	28	88.4	3.46	1.210	10.2	100	5.0	0	2	2	0	10	75	5.0	10	2
Bryan Baker	Closer	55	52.6	1.54	0.875	10.3	60	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	26	1.2	1	1
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	60	55.1	2.29	0.980	8.5	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	12.3	2.20	0.894	9.5	13	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels

NYY 79-60 (4.53 RPG / 3.73 RA)

4 - 2

LAA 53-86 (4.09 RPG / 4.64 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-2 TARGET: NYY 4 - 2 LAA (NYY) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	9
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	5

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYY Season Quality

Record79-60

Win%0.568

Run Diff112

RD/Game0.806

LAA Season Quality

Record53-86

Win%0.381

Run Diff-77

RD/Game-0.554

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.3336; margin adjustment: -0.5601; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	88	317	79	0.249	18	48	0.303	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.187	0.239	0.373	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	110	407	108	0.265	12	59	0.348	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.300	0.360	0.425	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	21	61	9	0.148	1	4	0.297	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.256	0.331	0.441	OK
Ben Rice	DH	130	488	123	0.252	34	82	0.349	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.247	0.320	0.443	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	74	201	48	0.239	10	29	0.276	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.282	0.321	0.419	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	63	184	45	0.245	9	28	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.336	0.399	0.634	OK
José Caballero	SS	113	373	88	0.236	13	47	0.288	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.261	0.298	0.396	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	126	440	103	0.234	19	55	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.321	0.389	0.539	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	32	66	16	0.242	1	7	0.271	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.107	0.124	0.179	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	4	4	3	6	0.257

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	134	534	127	0.238	23	66	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.249	0.313	0.447	OK
Mike Trout	CF	120	436	104	0.239	20	50	0.376	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.325	0.361	OK
Wade Meckler	RF	70	222	67	0.302	3	23	0.372	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.295	0.371	0.380	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	93	338	83	0.246	9	57	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.266	0.368	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	25	96	16	0.167	0	4	0.216	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.212	0.262	0.301	OK
Christian Moore	2B	16	57	11	0.193	1	6	0.266	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.273	0.374	OK
Jose Siri	LF	69	171	39	0.228	7	23	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.191	0.239	0.328	OK
Oswald Peraza	3B	99	314	71	0.226	7	24	0.280	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.210	0.252	0.311	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	24	58	10	0.172	1	3	0.262	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.159	0.224	0.241	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	2	2	2	6	0.156

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	28	159.7	2.14	0.996	11.3	201	6.1	0	0	0	0	6	82	6.1	6	0
David Bednar	Closer	55	55.6	2.91	1.097	10.5	65	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	71	56.7	2.38	1.464	13.8	87	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	69.6	1.81	1.149	8.3	64	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	15	0.2	0	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	27	151.5	3.62	1.096	10.3	174	6.0	6	2	2	1	6	106	6.0	6	2
Ben Joyce	Closer	9	7.4	3.65	1.081	14.6	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	9	6.6	4.09	1.667	15.0	11	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
José Fermin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	39.9	3.83	1.529	12.4	55	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	24	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-2

Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers

OAK 54-86 (4.36 RPG / 5.75 RA)

4 - 5

TEX 69-71 (4.09 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 5 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	4	3
TEX	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	1	5	9

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff4

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

OAK Season Quality

Record53-86

Win%0.381

Run Diff-201

RD/Game-1.446

TEX Season Quality

Record69-70

Win%0.496

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.295

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9752; margin adjustment: 0.4096; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	RF	92	328	88	0.268	6	26	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.277	0.320	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	84	304	77	0.253	14	38	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.311	0.398	OK
Lawrence Butler	DH	124	382	88	0.230	12	47	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.342	0.380	OK
Jonah Heim	1B	76	259	55	0.212	11	33	0.270	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.276	0.393	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	120	395	105	0.266	7	49	0.313	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.262	0.299	0.413	OK
Michael Stefanic	3B	5	11	5	0.455	0	2	0.538	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.403	0.484	0.508	OK
Alika Williams	SS	58	158	42	0.266	2	11	0.293	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.263	0.284	0.412	OK
Brian Serven	C	16	52	12	0.231	5	14	0.245	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.263	0.279	0.531	OK
Denzel Clarke	CF	22	55	9	0.164	0	6	0.220	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.164	0.222	0.229	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	4	4	3	10	0.100

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ezequiel Duran	CF	128	453	123	0.272	15	74	0.333	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.274	0.340	0.458	OK
Corey Seager	SS	78	288	65	0.226	13	35	0.327	5	2	0	0	0	3	1	0.000	0.271	0.373	0.434	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	87	335	85	0.254	15	36	0.333	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.225	0.305	0.379	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	133	509	137	0.269	14	58	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.334	0.378	0.501	OK
Jake Burger	1B	131	478	113	0.236	23	78	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.282	0.403	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	75	182	47	0.258	10	26	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.311	0.497	OK
Elias Díaz	DH	52	157	36	0.229	4	19	0.259	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.236	0.277	0.415	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	23	64	19	0.297	1	6	0.366	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.305	0.359	0.452	OK
Danny Jansen	C	47	146	24	0.164	5	16	0.261	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.163	0.233	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	9	5	5	5	7	0.265

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Lopez	Starter	22	96.2	4.96	1.507	9.0	96	5.0	4	1	1	3	5	99	5.0	5	1
Hogan Harris	Closer	62	47.6	4.35	1.870	14.6	77	1.1	3	3	3	1	0	37	1.1	0	3
Elvis Alvarado	Setup Man	45	38.7	4.65	1.370	12.6	54	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.2	2	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	57.9	3.58	1.468	12.0	77	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cody Bradford	Starter	5	25.4	3.54	1.575	4.6	13	5.0	2	3	3	1	8	88	5.0	8	3
Jacob Latz	Closer	48	57.4	1.25	0.714	10.7	68	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	43	42.6	2.96	1.221	7.4	35	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	24	1.1	0	1
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	10.1	4.46	1.881	11.6	13	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks

PHI 79-61 (4.51 RPG / 4.25 RA)

5 - 4

ARI 74-67 (4.45 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-4 TARGET: PHI 5 - 4 ARI (PHI) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	5	6
ARI	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	3

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak6W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

PHI Season Quality

Record79-60

Win%0.568

Run Diff37

RD/Game0.266

ARI Season Quality

Record73-67

Win%0.521

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.014

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4815; margin adjustment: -0.2022; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	1B	131	495	119	0.240	39	82	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.352	0.498	OK
Trea Turner	SS	131	548	133	0.243	17	52	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.280	0.325	OK
Bryce Harper	DH	137	485	133	0.274	27	80	0.393	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.311	0.424	0.541	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	25	103	30	0.291	2	11	0.308	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.306	0.336	0.401	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	132	459	118	0.257	10	60	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.318	0.398	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	131	470	127	0.270	17	57	0.317	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.159	0.217	0.260	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	123	365	96	0.263	2	34	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.187	0.250	0.258	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	101	348	78	0.224	10	45	0.296	4	4	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.300	0.391	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	RF	18	45	15	0.333	2	11	0.373	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.246	0.280	0.373	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	5	5	3	11	0.182

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	LF	21	63	14	0.222	3	11	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.345	0.444	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	136	508	123	0.242	19	61	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.287	0.409	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	109	393	118	0.300	11	67	0.379	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.284	0.363	0.448	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	135	487	123	0.253	9	47	0.360	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.357	0.338	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	130	454	107	0.236	21	65	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.200	0.254	0.333	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	76	243	59	0.243	9	35	0.297	3	2	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.295	0.410	OK
James McCann	C	35	115	34	0.296	4	21	0.325	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.271	0.299	0.392	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	115	407	103	0.253	9	66	0.292	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.271	0.356	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	19	59	16	0.271	2	7	0.348	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.306	0.411	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	4	4	2	10	0.100

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	20	96.0	6.09	1.479	8.0	85	5.0	3	4	4	2	7	90	5.0	7	4
Jhoan Duran	Closer	51	49.4	1.28	1.012	12.6	69	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	53	46.8	3.08	1.068	12.3	64	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	46.9	4.41	1.471	10.9	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taylor Clarke	Starter	62	55.1	2.94	0.998	6.0	37	6.0	1	2	2	2	8	99	6.0	8	2
Brandyn Garcia	Closer	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Juan Morillo	Setup Man	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	4	3	3	0	0	25	1.0	0	3

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-4

San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds

SD 73-67 (4.24 RPG / 4.17 RA)

5 - 4

CIN 67-73 (4.15 RPG / 4.92 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: SD 5 - 4 CIN (SD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	5	6
CIN	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	4	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SD Season Quality

Record73-66

Win%0.525

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.101

CIN Season Quality

Record66-73

Win%0.475

Run Diff-112

RD/Game-0.806

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6789; margin adjustment: -0.2851; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	135	539	152	0.282	19	68	0.348	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.275	0.328	0.467	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	28	93	32	0.344	1	11	0.425	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.325	0.386	0.425	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	135	527	128	0.243	22	70	0.295	5	3	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.263	0.307	0.455	OK
Ty France	1B	107	364	105	0.288	19	60	0.354	5	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.321	0.433	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	132	449	97	0.216	11	51	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.306	0.290	OK
Player-806956	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.296	0.389
Austin Hays	RF	11	30	6	0.200	1	3	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.231	0.310	OK
Luis Campusano	DH	53	151	43	0.285	5	23	0.386	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.263	0.358	0.411	OK
Jake Cronenworth	3B	86	299	65	0.217	4	26	0.301	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.203	0.272	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	32	6	5	5	6	7	0.188

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	21	70	17	0.243	4	10	0.312	5	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.249	0.307	0.460	OK
Elly De La Cruz	DH	117	460	126	0.274	21	60	0.357	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.293	0.380	0.486	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	136	523	140	0.268	30	102	0.337	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.304	0.362	0.573	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	107	383	85	0.222	21	53	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.312	0.385	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	106	344	87	0.253	14	49	0.331	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.282	0.348	0.508	OK
Dane Myers	CF	86	230	57	0.248	5	21	0.337	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.191	0.279	0.297	OK
Juan Brito	2B	1	3	0	0.000	0	1	0.000	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.168	0.224	0.251
Matt McLain	SS	109	373	71	0.190	13	35	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.256	0.306	OK
Edwin Arroyo	3B	44	142	33	0.232	0	5	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.255	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	4	4	3	10	0.250

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	5	22.3	6.46	1.570	4.4	11	5.0	3	3	3	2	5	86	5.0	5	3
Mason Miller	Closer	55	54.3	1.33	0.884	17.2	104	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	64	65.8	3.15	1.231	12.3	90	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	53.7	2.18	1.192	11.2	67	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	47.1	2.29	1.316	11.5	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Williamson	Starter	6	26.6	6.43	1.729	6.4	19	4.1	4	3	3	5	3	95	4.1	3	3
Emilio Pagán	Closer	35	33.4	4.31	1.078	9.4	35	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Setup Man	45	38.6	3.73	1.244	10.0	43	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	69	57.0	3.00	1.544	10.9	69	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	32.2	5.59	1.646	9.5	34	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4

Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox

SEA 66-74 (3.96 RPG / 4.43 RA)

4 - 5

BOS 75-65 (4.48 RPG / 3.93 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-4 TARGET: SEA 4 - 5 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
BOS	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	5	8

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-25

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SEA Season Quality

Record65-74

Win%0.468

Run Diff-70

RD/Game-0.504

BOS Season Quality

Record75-64

Win%0.540

Run Diff82

RD/Game0.590

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8523; margin adjustment: 0.358; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	131	487	133	0.273	22	65	0.369	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.239	0.313	0.511	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	121	385	98	0.255	21	62	0.323	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.283	0.494	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	127	506	123	0.243	20	57	0.303	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.193	0.239	0.314	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	129	503	135	0.268	10	47	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.286	0.309	OK
Taylor Ward	RF	19	66	8	0.121	0	4	0.227	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.200	0.329	0.278	OK
Cole Young	2B	138	504	124	0.246	16	57	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.263	0.328	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	31	82	15	0.183	3	8	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.183	0.269	0.294	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	93	328	70	0.213	10	31	0.331	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.236	0.335	0.332	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	25	76	21	0.276	2	4	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.269	0.314	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	4	4	3	6	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	DH	33	122	31	0.254	1	5	0.368	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.270	0.367	0.400	OK
Mickey Gasper	1B	46	140	39	0.279	7	21	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.293	0.385	0.588	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	130	523	147	0.281	15	68	0.317	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.273	0.369	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	134	512	132	0.258	23	70	0.336	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.264	0.327	0.462	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	43	158	43	0.272	3	13	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.290	0.374	0.461	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	127	435	106	0.244	12	59	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.286	0.306	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	128	486	100	0.206	19	62	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.241	0.367	OK
Trevor Story	SS	44	177	40	0.226	3	22	0.261	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.267	0.295	0.406	OK
Connor Wong	C	63	187	46	0.246	4	23	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.288	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	5	5	2	10	0.229

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	17	91.2	4.24	1.118	9.1	92	5.1	3	2	2	2	8	96	5.1	8	2
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	52	47.3	4.19	1.226	15.4	81	0.1	3	2	2	0	1	13	0.1	1	2
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	62	50.2	4.30	1.574	8.1	45	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	51.2	3.87	1.621	10.7	61	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	28	1.1	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	9	43.6	4.33	1.766	9.9	48	5.0	6	4	4	2	2	101	5.0	2	4
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	46	45.2	1.19	1.062	11.9	60	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	11	11.1	0.81	0.991	16.2	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	44.5	4.25	1.416	10.7	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	53.2	3.72	1.203	10.7	63	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-4

San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates

SF 59-82 (4.19 RPG / 4.65 RA)

5 - 6

PIT 68-72 (4.9 RPG / 4.71 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 6-5 TARGET: SF 5 - 6 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 54.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	10
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	6	11

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

SF Season Quality

Record57-82

Win%0.410

Run Diff-71

RD/Game-0.511

PIT Season Quality

Record68-71

Win%0.489

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.194

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4514; margin adjustment: 0.1896; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	104	292	70	0.240	8	36	0.310	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.229	0.283	0.422	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	138	517	131	0.253	30	81	0.334	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.283	0.366	0.593	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	93	332	87	0.262	15	43	0.356	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.304	0.385	0.481	OK
Turner Hill	LF	13	38	13	0.342	0	9	0.413	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.327	0.400	0.460	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	124	473	136	0.288	8	48	0.331	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.233	0.282	0.327	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	40	107	26	0.243	0	9	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.268	0.338	0.341	OK
Nate Furman	2B	11	20	4	0.200	0	2	0.273	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.137	0.210	0.182	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	9	30	3	0.100	1	3	0.100	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.147	0.156	0.306	OK
Christian Koss	SS	43	128	26	0.203	1	5	0.239	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.204	0.233	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	5	5	1	12	0.270

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	96	330	82	0.248	10	40	0.349	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.218	0.291	0.312	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	126	496	126	0.254	29	83	0.322	5	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.339	0.397	0.644	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	136	504	133	0.264	15	66	0.372	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.267	0.360	0.404	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	125	476	146	0.307	4	56	0.367	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.306	0.355	0.374	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	75	295	80	0.271	17	56	0.356	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.307	0.367	0.480	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	63	210	50	0.238	13	36	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.234	0.338	0.488	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	26	82	18	0.220	7	17	0.297	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.114	0.195	0.300	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	104	366	106	0.290	4	28	0.342	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.275	0.311	0.354	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	93	286	71	0.248	3	26	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.337	0.377	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	11	6	6	3	10	0.297

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	26	135.0	4.40	1.356	8.9	133	5.1	6	1	1	2	6	105	5.1	6	1
Dylan Smith	Closer	33	27.4	3.61	1.496	12.8	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	22	1.0	2	0
Jason Foley	Setup Man	15	13.0	4.85	1.769	8.3	12	0.1	3	2	2	1	1	17	0.1	1	2
Trent Harris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	11.3	3.98	1.504	13.5	17	2.0	2	3	3	0	1	35	1.1	1	3

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	26	127.5	4.38	1.396	8.3	117	5.0	8	4	4	0	4	99	5.0	4	4
Mason Montgomery	Closer	57	49.2	3.11	1.199	16.3	89	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	9	7.4	7.30	1.892	12.2	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	55.0	2.95	1.109	11.3	69	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	29	1.0	2	1
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	66.8	3.64	1.452	11.7	87	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-5

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

STL 69-70 (4.48 RPG / 4.55 RA)

4 - 5

LAD 82-56 (4.91 RPG / 3.84 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-4 TARGET: STL 4 - 5 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
LAD	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed7.1

Run Diff-20

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Season Quality

Record69-70

Win%0.496

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.072

LAD Season Quality

Record82-56

Win%0.594

Run Diff148

RD/Game1.072

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9876; margin adjustment: 0.4148; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bryan Torres	LF	49	117	31	0.265	3	16	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.284	0.340	0.389	OK
Iván Herrera	C	135	509	123	0.242	13	54	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.318	0.341	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	134	514	146	0.284	21	97	0.348	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.284	0.374	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	132	514	148	0.288	26	94	0.346	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.285	0.325	0.491	OK
Leonardo Bernal	DH	1	5	1	0.200	0	2	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.200	0.208	0.222	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	68	217	41	0.189	8	27	0.269	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.101	0.189	0.203	OK
José Fermín	2B	95	273	67	0.245	6	35	0.308	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.287	0.339	OK
Nathan Church	CF	106	352	85	0.241	10	46	0.284	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.234	0.276	0.345	OK
Thomas Saggese	SS	29	84	19	0.226	3	7	0.283	3	3	1	1	0	0	2	0.333	0.250	0.311	0.446	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	4	4	0	9	0.182

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	127	490	137	0.280	30	78	0.382	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.262	0.362	0.478	OK
Tommy Edman	CF	57	205	54	0.263	5	26	0.338	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.268	0.312	0.394	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	99	389	95	0.244	16	51	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.347	0.426	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	133	501	152	0.303	15	61	0.379	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.266	0.354	0.390	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	78	183	51	0.279	3	20	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.171	0.215	0.285	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	126	454	103	0.227	11	58	0.319	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.201	0.303	0.312	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	100	355	88	0.248	12	45	0.309	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.296	0.385	OK
Max Muncy	3B	125	410	101	0.246	26	68	0.342	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.212	0.315	0.411	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	18	43	11	0.256	1	4	0.347	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.169	0.256	0.261	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	5	5	4	4	0.235

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brycen Mautz	Starter	2	6.0	9.00	2.000	15.0	10	3.0	3	2	2	2	1	67	3.0	1	2
Riley O'Brien	Closer	56	52.1	4.15	1.286	9.3	54	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	61	51.3	4.74	1.462	10.2	58	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	45.4	4.96	1.586	11.1	56	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	55.7	4.20	1.634	7.3	45	2.1	4	3	3	1	0	37	1.2	0	3

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	24	155.9	2.60	0.904	8.8	153	6.2	4	3	3	0	7	108	6.2	7	3
Tanner Scott	Closer	59	50.1	2.69	1.038	12.0	67	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	55	48.1	3.18	1.123	11.8	63	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	16.9	2.13	1.006	9.6	18	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	7	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians

TOR 69-71 (4.0 RPG / 4.31 RA)

2 - 3

CLE 70-69 (4.05 RPG / 4.11 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 3-2 TARGET: TOR 2 - 3 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 58.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
CLE	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	x	3	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

TOR Season Quality

Record68-71

Win%0.489

Run Diff-55

RD/Game-0.396

CLE Season Quality

Record70-68

Win%0.507

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.022

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5563; margin adjustment: 0.2336; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	20	82	26	0.317	0	7	0.367	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.262	0.317	0.360	OK
George Springer	DH	104	394	99	0.251	14	44	0.327	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.310	0.369	0.517	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	123	466	120	0.258	7	48	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.287	0.311	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	60	213	59	0.277	8	32	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.248	0.308	0.373	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	133	489	112	0.229	28	78	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.294	0.466	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	100	333	87	0.261	10	32	0.315	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.272	0.389	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	135	512	141	0.275	9	43	0.301	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.193	0.223	0.292	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	122	404	97	0.240	8	51	0.287	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.215	0.237	0.310	OK
Myles Straw	LF	104	247	56	0.227	3	21	0.280	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.304	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	6	0.129

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	123	442	121	0.274	2	27	0.372	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.284	0.371	0.349	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	112	421	123	0.292	13	59	0.363	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.301	0.367	0.464	OK
José Ramírez	3B	101	378	92	0.243	11	48	0.338	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.259	0.342	0.418	OK
Jo Adell	RF	24	89	23	0.258	4	21	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.313	0.412	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	22	79	18	0.228	3	15	0.261	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.308	0.430	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	88	321	80	0.249	14	50	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.279	0.310	0.515	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	100	369	87	0.236	9	41	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.304	0.333	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	57	170	40	0.235	7	27	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.342	0.496	OK
Angel Genao	SS	21	76	20	0.263	2	5	0.317	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.298	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	3	3	3	3	0.226

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	25	147.3	2.38	1.073	13.3	217	6.0	6	2	2	1	3	98	6.0	3	2
Louis Varland	Closer	62	64.0	1.27	1.047	11.8	84	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	64	57.0	2.05	1.298	5.5	35	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	19	1.0	0	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	28	133.3	3.78	1.485	9.8	145	5.0	4	2	2	2	2	83	5.0	2	2
Cade Smith	Closer	58	57.5	2.50	1.148	13.5	86	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	54	39.4	3.43	1.447	10.5	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	44.4	2.43	1.081	10.1	50	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals

ATL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies

BAL Recent Form

COL Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins

DET Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

DET Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals

MIA Recent Form

KC Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs

MIL Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays

NYM Recent Form

TB Recent Form

NYM Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels