MLB Predictions — August 29, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ SF	7 - 6	7 - 6	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 7-6	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ARI @ SF	5 - 6	5 - 6	SF	SF	SF wins 6-5	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ OAK	7 - 6	7 - 6	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 7-6	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ NYY	5 - 4	5 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ NYY	3 - 4	3 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ MIN	7 - 5	7 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 7-5	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ CHC	5 - 7	5 - 7	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 7-5	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ ATL	2 - 7	2 - 7	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 7-2	73%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ NYM	4 - 5	4 - 5	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ CLE	5 - 4	5 - 4	KC	KC	KC wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ DET	4 - 2	4 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-2	67%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ WAS	2 - 3	2 - 3	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 3-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ LAA	6 - 3	6 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 6-3	67%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ STL	4 - 3	4 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ TB	4 - 5	4 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-4	62%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ TOR	4 - 5	4 - 5	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ MIL	3 - 7	3 - 7	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 7-3	73%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

ARI 73-66 (4.5 RPG / 4.47 RA)

7 - 6

SF 58-81 (4.13 RPG / 4.6 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 7-6 TARGET: ARI 7 - 6 SF (ARI) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	5	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	7	9
SF	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	2	x	6	7

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ARI Season Quality

Record72-64

Win%0.529

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.029

SF Season Quality

Record55-80

Win%0.407

Run Diff-73

RD/Game-0.541

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.547; margin adjustment: -0.2297; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	115	407	103	0.253	9	66	0.292	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.238	0.274	0.362	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	135	504	123	0.244	19	61	0.341	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.311	0.448	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	108	389	118	0.303	11	67	0.382	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.308	0.421	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	134	483	123	0.255	9	47	0.362	4	4	3	1	3	0	1	0.750	0.302	0.394	0.387	OK
Nolan Arenado	DH	129	450	107	0.238	21	65	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.298	0.429	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	75	239	58	0.243	9	35	0.298	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.261	0.324	0.476	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	60	191	50	0.262	3	16	0.305	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.289	0.346	0.394	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	19	59	16	0.271	2	7	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.283	0.315	0.421	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	70	225	61	0.271	3	22	0.332	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.322	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	7	7	2	7	0.250

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	104	292	70	0.240	8	36	0.310	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.169	0.229	0.340	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	137	513	130	0.253	29	78	0.333	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.272	0.347	0.546	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	92	328	86	0.262	15	43	0.354	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.283	0.358	0.515	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	123	468	136	0.291	8	47	0.333	4	3	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.283	0.348	OK
Turner Hill	LF	12	33	9	0.273	0	8	0.350	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.275	0.361	0.419	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	39	102	23	0.225	0	7	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.154	0.254	0.195	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	8	27	2	0.074	1	3	0.074	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.140	0.150	0.320	OK
Nate Furman	2B	10	19	3	0.158	0	0	0.238	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.072	0.129	0.119	OK
Christian Koss	SS	42	123	24	0.195	1	4	0.233	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.215	0.253	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	7	6	6	1	7	0.226

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Merrill Kelly	Starter	24	132.1	5.45	1.544	6.0	88	5.0	5	4	4	0	7	78	5.0	7	4
Juan Morillo	Closer	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	25	2.0	0	0
Brandyn Garcia	Setup Man	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	24	2.0	0	2

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matt Wilkinson	Starter	3	11.2	4.82	1.161	4.8	6	3.0	7	6	6	1	3	75	3.0	3	6
Dylan Smith	Closer	33	27.4	3.61	1.496	12.8	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Sam Hentges	Setup Man	39	26.0	4.15	2.000	12.1	35	1.2	1	1	1	1	1	35	1.2	1	1
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	13.0	4.85	1.769	8.3	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Trent Harris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	10.3	4.37	1.456	13.1	15	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Carson Seymour	Middle Reliever	12	18.5	4.86	1.568	7.8	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 7-6

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

ARI 73-66 (4.5 RPG / 4.47 RA)

5 - 6

SF 58-81 (4.13 RPG / 4.6 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 6-5 TARGET: ARI 5 - 6 SF (SF) Confidence: 51.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
ARI	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	5
SF	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	6	9

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ARI Season Quality

Record72-64

Win%0.529

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.029

SF Season Quality

Record55-80

Win%0.407

Run Diff-73

RD/Game-0.541

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.547; margin adjustment: -0.2297; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	115	407	103	0.253	9	66	0.292	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.274	0.362	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	135	504	123	0.244	19	61	0.341	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.310	0.448	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	108	389	118	0.303	11	67	0.382	5	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.228	0.308	0.421	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	134	483	123	0.255	9	47	0.362	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.301	0.394	0.386	OK
Nolan Arenado	DH	129	450	107	0.238	21	65	0.312	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.237	0.298	0.429	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	75	239	58	0.243	9	35	0.298	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.324	0.475	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	60	191	50	0.262	3	16	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.289	0.346	0.394	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	19	59	16	0.271	2	7	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.283	0.315	0.420	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	70	225	61	0.271	3	22	0.332	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.261	0.322	0.403	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	5	5	5	5	10	0.143

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	104	292	70	0.240	8	36	0.310	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.169	0.229	0.340	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	137	513	130	0.253	29	78	0.333	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.272	0.347	0.546	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	92	328	86	0.262	15	43	0.354	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.283	0.358	0.515	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	123	468	136	0.291	8	47	0.333	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.251	0.283	0.348	OK
Turner Hill	LF	12	33	9	0.273	0	8	0.350	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.275	0.361	0.419	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	39	102	23	0.225	0	7	0.319	5	4	1	1	0	1	3	0.250	0.154	0.254	0.195	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	8	27	2	0.074	1	3	0.074	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.140	0.150	0.320	OK
Nate Furman	2B	10	19	3	0.158	0	0	0.238	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.072	0.129	0.119	OK
Christian Koss	SS	42	123	24	0.195	1	4	0.233	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.252	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	39	9	6	6	2	10	0.231

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Bratt	Starter	9	39.2	4.59	1.582	6.4	28	4.2	4	2	2	2	6	79	4.2	6	2
Juan Morillo	Closer	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.2	1	1	1	0	3	22	1.1	3	1
Brandyn Garcia	Setup Man	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0
Gerardo Carrillo	Reliever	5	9.0	1.00	1.111	10.0	10	0.2	2	3	3	0	1	14	0.0	1	3

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yunior Marte	Starter	1	4.2	2.14	1.190	6.4	3	0.2	2	3	3	4	2	30	0.2	2	3
Dylan Smith	Closer	33	27.4	3.61	1.496	12.8	39	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	41	2.1	1	0
Sam Hentges	Setup Man	39	26.0	4.15	2.000	12.1	35	3.2	1	0	0	0	4	61	3.2	4	0
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	13.0	4.85	1.769	8.3	12	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Trent Harris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	10.3	4.37	1.456	13.1	15	2.0	1	2	2	1	2	39	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

SF wins 6-5

Baltimore Orioles @ Oakland Athletics

BAL 69-69 (4.55 RPG / 4.67 RA)

7 - 6

OAK 53-85 (4.33 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 7-6 TARGET: BAL 7 - 6 OAK (BAL) Confidence: 55.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
BAL	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7	10
OAK	0	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	6	7

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

BAL Season Quality

Record66-69

Win%0.489

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.170

OAK Season Quality

Record53-82

Win%0.393

Run Diff-186

RD/Game-1.378

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9655; margin adjustment: -0.4055; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	81	260	58	0.223	6	27	0.299	5	5	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.282	0.321	OK
Pete Alonso	DH	135	507	137	0.270	32	91	0.361	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.284	0.360	0.546	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	133	534	119	0.223	21	56	0.306	5	4	2	1	2	1	2	0.500	0.159	0.235	0.299	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	35	118	29	0.246	6	26	0.291	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.303	0.336	0.516	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	93	315	73	0.232	17	49	0.293	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.208	0.260	0.389	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	78	238	60	0.252	6	31	0.327	5	3	2	1	0	2	1	0.667	0.271	0.356	0.440	OK
Coby Mayo	1B	104	330	73	0.221	19	55	0.287	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.240	0.288	0.477	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	108	282	63	0.223	12	34	0.308	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.316	0.379	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	115	377	84	0.223	8	52	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.222	0.283	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	40	10	7	7	4	11	0.250

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	91	323	87	0.269	6	26	0.339	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.270	0.323	0.373	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	119	391	103	0.263	6	47	0.310	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.270	0.307	0.371	OK
Zack Gelof	2B	83	301	76	0.252	14	38	0.318	5	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.240	0.295	0.409	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	123	378	87	0.230	12	45	0.323	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.285	0.370	0.455	OK
Tommy White	3B	39	149	38	0.255	2	8	0.273	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.262	0.282	0.352	OK
Donovan Walton	SS	33	76	17	0.224	1	8	0.392	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.269	0.339	0.433	OK
Max Muncy	DH	70	220	48	0.218	7	25	0.289	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.226	0.283	0.387	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	102	291	75	0.258	8	38	0.326	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.243	0.302	0.386	OK
Jonah Heim	C	75	254	53	0.209	11	33	0.267	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.210	0.268	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	37	7	6	6	7	9	0.189

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	27	152.1	4.14	1.394	8.2	139	6.0	4	4	4	4	7	110	6.0	7	4
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	49	39.6	3.41	1.490	8.2	36	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Yennier Cano	Setup Man	57	35.6	2.78	1.096	10.1	40	1.2	1	0	0	1	2	28	1.0	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	51.2	2.99	1.016	10.5	60	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Cam Sanders	Reliever	11	11.6	3.88	1.121	11.6	15	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	8	0.0	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	32	90.2	6.78	1.574	10.9	109	4.0	5	5	5	3	4	86	4.0	4	6
Hogan Harris	Closer	62	47.6	4.35	1.870	14.6	77	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Elvis Alvarado	Setup Man	45	38.7	4.65	1.370	12.6	54	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	56.9	3.48	1.459	12.0	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	17.8	2.53	1.348	7.6	15	1.2	1	1	1	1	1	28	1.1	1	0
Chris Roycroft	Reliever	2	3.2	0.00	0.625	2.8	1	0.2	2	1	1	0	2	14	0.0	2	1

Game Summary

BAL wins 7-6

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS 75-63 (4.48 RPG / 3.86 RA)

5 - 4

NYY 78-60 (4.51 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-4 TARGET: BOS 5 - 4 NYY (BOS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	5	6
NYY	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	4	6

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

BOS Season Quality

Record73-61

Win%0.545

Run Diff100

RD/Game0.746

NYY Season Quality

Record76-58

Win%0.567

Run Diff101

RD/Game0.754

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0071; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jahmai Jones	DH	18	32	14	0.438	2	6	0.514	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.194	0.262	0.391	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	129	520	147	0.283	15	68	0.319	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.281	0.305	0.414	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	133	507	130	0.256	23	70	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.318	0.407	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	122	430	117	0.272	26	79	0.382	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.312	0.428	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	126	431	106	0.246	12	59	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.291	0.329	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	15	53	9	0.170	1	4	0.254	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.187	0.251	0.316	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	92	286	71	0.248	6	40	0.307	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.158	0.219	0.279	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	42	155	42	0.271	3	13	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.342	0.392	OK
Eli White	LF	13	31	7	0.226	0	3	0.273	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.270	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	5	5	3	6	0.182

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	88	317	79	0.249	18	48	0.303	5	5	1	1	3	0	1	0.200	0.241	0.289	0.451	OK
Ben Rice	DH	129	483	122	0.253	34	82	0.350	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.306	0.391	0.541	OK
Amed Rosario	2B	74	201	48	0.239	10	29	0.276	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.202	0.241	0.379	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	21	61	9	0.148	1	4	0.297	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.273	0.350	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	109	402	105	0.261	12	59	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.326	0.419	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	23	79	20	0.253	2	6	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.281	0.320	OK
José Caballero	3B	112	368	88	0.239	13	47	0.292	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.216	0.258	0.328	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	62	181	43	0.238	8	25	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.158	0.230	0.307	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	32	66	16	0.242	1	7	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.166	0.183	0.254	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	4	4	4	5	0.182

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	16	91.1	3.36	1.065	7.3	74	5.2	4	3	3	4	5	100	5.2	5	3
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	46	45.2	1.19	1.062	11.9	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	11	11.1	0.81	0.991	16.2	20	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	37	32.6	2.76	1.196	9.9	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	12	57.6	3.28	1.215	9.8	63	5.2	4	3	3	2	5	99	5.2	5	3
David Bednar	Closer	55	55.6	2.91	1.097	10.5	65	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	70	55.6	2.43	1.493	13.9	86	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	68.5	1.84	1.153	8.1	62	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-4

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS 75-63 (4.48 RPG / 3.86 RA)

3 - 4

NYY 78-60 (4.51 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-3 TARGET: BOS 3 - 4 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 53.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
BOS	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	4
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	4	5

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

BOS Season Quality

Record73-61

Win%0.545

Run Diff100

RD/Game0.746

NYY Season Quality

Record76-58

Win%0.567

Run Diff101

RD/Game0.754

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0071; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jahmai Jones	DH	18	32	14	0.438	2	6	0.514	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.262	0.391	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	129	520	147	0.283	15	68	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.281	0.305	0.414	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	133	507	130	0.256	23	70	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.240	0.318	0.407	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	122	430	117	0.272	26	79	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.312	0.428	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	126	431	106	0.246	12	59	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.231	0.291	0.329	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	15	53	9	0.170	1	4	0.254	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.187	0.251	0.317	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	92	286	71	0.248	6	40	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.158	0.219	0.279	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	42	155	42	0.271	3	13	0.370	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.233	0.342	0.392	OK
Eli White	LF	13	31	7	0.226	0	3	0.273	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.235	0.270	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	4	3	3	2	14	0.118

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	88	317	79	0.249	18	48	0.303	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.241	0.289	0.451	OK
Ben Rice	DH	129	483	122	0.253	34	82	0.350	5	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.306	0.391	0.541	OK
Amed Rosario	2B	74	201	48	0.239	10	29	0.276	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.202	0.241	0.379	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	21	61	9	0.148	1	4	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.217	0.273	0.350	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	109	402	105	0.261	12	59	0.346	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.244	0.326	0.419	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	23	79	20	0.253	2	6	0.310	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.281	0.320	OK
José Caballero	3B	112	368	88	0.239	13	47	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.258	0.328	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	62	181	43	0.238	8	25	0.305	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.158	0.230	0.307	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	32	66	16	0.242	1	7	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.166	0.183	0.254	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	5	4	4	3	6	0.147

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Alec Gamboa	Starter	14	22.6	1.19	0.973	6.4	16	5.0	1	2	2	0	3	73	5.0	3	2
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	46	45.2	1.19	1.062	11.9	60	1.1	2	2	2	0	1	23	1.1	1	2
Erik Miller	Setup Man	11	11.1	0.81	0.991	16.2	20	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	0.1	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	37	32.6	2.76	1.196	9.9	36	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Wyatt Olds	Reliever	6	5.3	0.00	1.321	13.6	8	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	20	0.0	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Fried	Starter	16	87.9	2.87	1.024	8.5	83	6.0	3	3	3	1	8	101	6.0	8	3
David Bednar	Closer	55	55.6	2.91	1.097	10.5	65	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	70	55.6	2.43	1.493	13.9	86	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	68.5	1.84	1.153	8.1	62	2.0	0	0	0	0	3	28	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins

CHW 72-65 (4.78 RPG / 4.48 RA)

7 - 5

MIN 66-72 (4.62 RPG / 4.95 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 7-5 TARGET: CHW 7 - 5 MIN (CHW) Confidence: 57.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	2	0	7	9
MIN	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	5	5

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

CHW Season Quality

Record71-63

Win%0.530

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.351

MIN Season Quality

Record64-71

Win%0.474

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.437

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7022; margin adjustment: -0.2949; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	116	402	108	0.269	8	40	0.366	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.272	0.340	0.400	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	102	364	79	0.217	29	59	0.360	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.354	0.470	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	134	498	124	0.249	29	76	0.362	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.302	0.410	0.481	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	120	368	91	0.247	14	69	0.307	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.272	0.330	0.447	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	69	254	57	0.224	5	35	0.312	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.235	0.321	0.368	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	129	487	104	0.214	29	77	0.294	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.222	0.279	0.460	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	130	487	132	0.271	12	51	0.344	4	2	1	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.270	0.333	0.381	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	125	370	103	0.278	12	52	0.341	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.330	0.378	0.646	OK
Jake Rogers	C	5	17	2	0.118	1	2	0.211	4	4	3	1	4	0	1	0.750	0.178	0.275	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	9	7	7	5	8	0.257

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	128	441	122	0.277	9	41	0.366	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.268	0.332	0.379	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	129	492	122	0.248	22	75	0.297	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.250	0.286	0.494	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	120	446	106	0.238	23	69	0.294	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.248	0.294	0.461	OK
Josh Bell	DH	132	487	123	0.253	17	83	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.292	0.388	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	103	377	87	0.231	13	46	0.298	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.264	0.337	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	109	358	95	0.265	11	44	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.312	0.415	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	20	70	22	0.314	3	6	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.315	0.358	0.493	OK
Victor Caratini	C	93	293	65	0.222	7	39	0.312	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.196	0.286	0.287	OK
Walker Jenkins	CF	4	12	3	0.250	1	3	0.357	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.264	0.425	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	5	5	1	12	0.156

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Erick Fedde	Starter	28	114.6	4.32	1.431	6.6	84	5.0	3	4	4	1	7	88	5.0	7	4
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	21	1.1	3	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	21	111.7	4.43	1.253	6.4	79	5.1	6	5	5	1	3	101	5.1	3	5
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	46	36.0	3.00	1.444	10.2	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	10	7.5	4.80	2.000	13.2	11	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	56.2	4.32	1.512	9.4	59	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	34	1.0	1	2
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	9.8	0.92	1.020	8.3	9	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	12	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 7-5

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN 65-73 (4.13 RPG / 4.95 RA)

5 - 7

CHC 78-60 (5.38 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 7-5 TARGET: CIN 5 - 7 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	5	5
CHC	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	7	12

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

CIN Season Quality

Record64-71

Win%0.474

Run Diff-98

RD/Game-0.726

CHC Season Quality

Record76-59

Win%0.563

Run Diff117

RD/Game0.867

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2563; margin adjustment: 0.5276; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	20	66	15	0.227	4	9	0.301	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.255	0.316	0.472	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	116	457	125	0.274	21	60	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.311	0.366	0.490	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	135	519	138	0.266	30	102	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.270	0.337	0.489	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	106	379	84	0.222	21	52	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.194	0.301	0.352	OK
Tyler Stephenson	DH	106	344	87	0.253	14	49	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.328	0.414	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	105	367	77	0.210	20	59	0.301	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.202	0.289	0.388	OK
Jose Trevino	C	38	122	28	0.230	5	15	0.234	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.224	0.234	0.385	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	74	229	38	0.166	4	12	0.247	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.125	0.187	0.272	OK
Matt McLain	2B	108	370	71	0.192	13	35	0.286	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.158	0.241	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	5	5	4	7	0.156

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	136	524	149	0.284	38	91	0.378	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.273	0.346	0.541	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	119	456	128	0.281	24	80	0.373	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.298	0.394	0.512	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	134	535	139	0.260	23	77	0.347	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.225	0.304	0.371	OK
Michael Busch	1B	134	512	123	0.240	16	66	0.349	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.248	0.363	0.457	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	133	530	140	0.264	8	62	0.317	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.266	0.310	0.350	OK
Matt Shaw	RF	51	135	34	0.252	5	21	0.320	5	4	0	1	2	1	0	0.000	0.178	0.250	0.321	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	15	44	18	0.409	1	4	0.469	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.285	0.340	0.459	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	57	169	49	0.290	4	24	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.285	0.335	0.559	OK
Carson Kelly	C	96	324	86	0.265	10	50	0.346	4	4	4	1	2	0	0	1.000	0.248	0.322	0.373	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	12	7	7	4	7	0.316

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	28	145.3	4.58	1.473	7.1	115	5.0	8	3	3	1	2	103	5.0	2	3
Emilio Pagán	Closer	34	32.4	4.17	1.080	9.4	34	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	7	0.1	1	1
Tejay Antone	Setup Man	45	38.6	3.73	1.244	10.0	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	56.0	3.05	1.536	10.8	67	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	28	1.0	2	1
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	32.2	5.59	1.646	9.5	34	1.1	2	2	2	3	1	26	0.2	1	2

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	5	27.3	5.27	1.245	9.6	29	5.2	3	2	2	3	4	100	5.2	4	2
Jacob Webb	Closer	60	54.3	3.15	1.344	10.8	65	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	42	39.2	3.67	1.301	6.0	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	7.7	7.01	1.948	10.5	9	1.0	1	2	2	1	2	20	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

CHC wins 7-5

Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves

COL 52-86 (4.67 RPG / 5.71 RA)

2 - 7

ATL 82-57 (4.61 RPG / 3.83 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 7-2 TARGET: COL 2 - 7 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 73.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	3
ATL	2	1	0	0	1	0	3	0	x	7	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak5W

COL Season Quality

Record52-83

Win%0.385

Run Diff-140

RD/Game-1.037

ATL Season Quality

Record80-55

Win%0.593

Run Diff115

RD/Game0.852

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.6442; margin adjustment: 2.6307; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	DH	117	450	130	0.289	14	69	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.303	0.427	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	66	235	61	0.260	6	36	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.232	0.305	0.399	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	118	440	112	0.255	36	73	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.314	0.509	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	131	466	136	0.292	13	60	0.384	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.386	0.369	OK
Connor Norby	2B	19	61	18	0.295	2	10	0.386	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.211	0.295	0.380	OK
Willi Castro	3B	119	427	111	0.260	15	56	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.319	0.416	OK
Mickey Moniak	RF	96	341	86	0.252	21	60	0.290	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.270	0.462	OK
Jordan Beck	LF	46	131	27	0.206	1	11	0.261	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.154	0.218	0.260	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	122	405	85	0.210	10	41	0.258	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.276	0.367	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	2	2	3	7	0.100

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	114	444	124	0.279	22	68	0.359	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.290	0.348	0.474	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	84	317	77	0.243	13	36	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.257	0.340	0.396	OK
Matt Olson	1B	137	529	135	0.255	36	78	0.331	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.320	0.480	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	130	482	130	0.270	10	64	0.315	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.300	0.341	0.414	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	131	500	150	0.300	23	78	0.324	4	2	1	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.326	0.348	0.594	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	137	520	134	0.258	20	67	0.313	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.291	0.339	0.397	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	114	301	67	0.223	9	33	0.304	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.189	0.270	0.316	OK
Austin Riley	3B	135	479	107	0.223	15	61	0.297	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.204	0.277	0.323	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	92	255	66	0.259	8	42	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.287	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	9	7	7	3	6	0.281

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zach Agnos	Starter	35	75.4	5.73	1.485	6.2	52	4.1	6	4	4	0	3	81	4.1	3	4
Jordan Romano	Closer	18	16.3	2.21	1.227	8.8	16	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	64	46.2	3.12	1.385	8.0	41	1.2	2	3	3	3	1	39	1.2	1	3
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	37.2	6.77	1.747	9.2	38	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.1	0	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	26	118.9	3.10	1.236	6.9	91	5.2	1	0	0	2	5	94	5.2	5	0
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	50	48.9	2.94	1.227	9.6	52	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	64	53.3	2.70	0.957	12.5	74	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	54.3	2.65	1.234	12.6	76	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	22	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 7-2

Houston Astros @ New York Mets

HOU 70-68 (4.57 RPG / 4.86 RA)

4 - 5

NYM 62-76 (4.09 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 5-4 TARGET: HOU 4 - 5 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	4
NYM	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	0	x	5	7

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

HOU Season Quality

Record68-67

Win%0.504

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.311

NYM Season Quality

Record60-75

Win%0.444

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.400

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1646; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	DH	87	349	99	0.284	17	46	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.281	0.322	0.493	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	135	485	155	0.320	37	94	0.435	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.317	0.433	0.582	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	130	472	119	0.252	17	73	0.353	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.241	0.350	0.397	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	110	428	106	0.248	14	41	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.240	0.303	0.381	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	24	93	16	0.172	3	10	0.238	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.247	0.295	0.403	OK
Christian Walker	1B	131	486	112	0.230	24	76	0.306	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.215	0.271	0.398	OK
Taylor Trammell	RF	73	203	41	0.202	7	20	0.280	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.199	0.265	0.334	OK
Nick Allen	SS	55	131	36	0.275	2	13	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.192	0.245	0.282	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	77	225	48	0.213	7	25	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.198	0.253	0.380	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	4	4	5	12	0.129

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	79	310	72	0.232	14	34	0.314	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.233	0.299	0.405	OK
Juan Soto	DH	85	298	85	0.285	22	54	0.404	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.264	0.398	0.485	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	132	526	139	0.264	14	66	0.310	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.280	0.388	OK
Carson Benge	RF	128	490	134	0.273	16	53	0.334	4	2	1	1	0	2	1	0.500	0.285	0.333	0.431	OK
Jared Young	1B	83	262	70	0.267	7	32	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.269	0.362	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	115	408	91	0.223	14	43	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.314	0.344	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	96	351	85	0.242	7	28	0.314	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.286	0.320	OK
Brett Baty	LF	114	364	82	0.225	8	40	0.290	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.296	0.346	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	92	304	69	0.227	12	32	0.314	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.186	0.261	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	31	7	5	5	8	7	0.226

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bennett Sousa	Starter	23	16.7	7.54	2.156	11.9	22	4.0	6	5	5	5	4	100	4.0	4	5
Josh Hader	Closer	36	35.4	0.51	0.621	12.2	48	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Steven Okert	Setup Man	68	58.8	2.45	1.003	10.4	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	4.38	1.543	12.9	68	1.2	1	0	0	2	0	41	1.2	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	27	153.8	3.10	1.138	10.1	172	5.2	3	1	1	2	8	100	5.2	8	1
Kodai Senga	Closer	24	52.2	7.76	1.724	11.2	65	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	13	1.0	1	1
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	20	22.1	2.44	0.905	10.2	25	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	26	1.0	1	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	11	8.2	0.00	0.732	13.2	12	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	20	1.0	1	2
Jonathan Pintaro	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	20.9	4.74	1.435	10.3	24	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 5-4

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians

KC 62-76 (4.28 RPG / 4.88 RA)

5 - 4

CLE 69-68 (4.07 RPG / 4.08 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 5-4 TARGET: KC 5 - 4 CLE (KC) Confidence: 55.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	8
CLE	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4	6

KC Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff29

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff25

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

KC Season Quality

Record61-75

Win%0.449

Run Diff-78

RD/Game-0.574

CLE Season Quality

Record68-67

Win%0.504

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.052

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3271; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	DH	126	446	99	0.222	19	61	0.309	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.335	0.448	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	118	464	132	0.284	16	48	0.358	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.341	0.411	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	125	454	128	0.282	23	66	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.312	0.343	0.496	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	127	490	110	0.224	17	62	0.268	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.259	0.364	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	96	304	72	0.237	6	40	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.229	0.304	0.380	OK
Tyler Tolbert	CF	46	114	35	0.307	3	8	0.375	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.286	0.347	0.398	OK
Isaac Collins	2B	121	384	89	0.232	6	40	0.330	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.241	0.334	0.358	OK
Matthew Lugo	LF	2	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.116	0.130	0.188	OK
Luke Maile	C	12	33	5	0.152	1	5	0.176	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.109	0.142	0.211	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	5	5	2	13	0.229

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	122	438	120	0.274	2	27	0.373	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.292	0.383	0.350	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	111	417	123	0.295	13	59	0.366	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.302	0.375	0.474	OK
José Ramírez	3B	100	374	91	0.243	11	48	0.339	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.233	0.315	0.355	OK
Jo Adell	RF	23	85	21	0.247	4	21	0.337	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.251	0.345	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	87	318	78	0.245	13	48	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.256	0.357	OK
David Fry	1B	67	145	27	0.186	6	13	0.289	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.162	0.267	0.296	OK
Angel Genao	2B	20	74	19	0.257	1	3	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.272	0.314	0.363	OK
Austin Hedges	C	63	184	47	0.255	5	21	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.307	0.384	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	128	452	113	0.250	10	53	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.281	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	4	4	4	8	0.182

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Daniel Lynch IV	Starter	51	55.6	3.40	1.169	7.4	46	5.0	4	3	3	4	5	93	5.0	5	3
Steven Cruz	Closer	49	47.0	4.79	1.383	10.7	56	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	15	14.2	0.63	0.915	8.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	42.1	4.28	1.496	7.7	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	48.7	6.28	1.622	10.0	54	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	5	25.0	3.96	1.360	8.3	23	5.2	4	2	2	1	9	91	5.2	9	2
Cade Smith	Closer	58	57.5	2.50	1.148	13.5	86	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	53	38.4	3.52	1.484	10.5	45	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	44.4	2.43	1.081	10.1	50	1.1	3	3	3	1	1	30	1.1	1	3

Game Summary

KC wins 5-4

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers

LAD 82-55 (4.89 RPG / 3.77 RA)

4 - 2

DET 63-74 (4.36 RPG / 3.96 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-2 TARGET: LAD 4 - 2 DET (LAD) Confidence: 66.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	9
DET	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	3

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

LAD Season Quality

Record81-54

Win%0.600

Run Diff149

RD/Game1.104

DET Season Quality

Record62-72

Win%0.463

Run Diff69

RD/Game0.515

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8316; margin adjustment: -0.3493; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	126	488	136	0.279	30	78	0.379	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.272	0.370	0.521	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	132	499	152	0.305	15	61	0.379	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.314	0.379	0.440	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	98	386	93	0.241	16	47	0.295	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.254	0.307	0.376	OK
Max Muncy	3B	124	407	101	0.248	26	68	0.344	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.335	0.441	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	56	200	51	0.255	5	25	0.332	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.303	0.423	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	125	451	103	0.228	11	57	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.297	0.307	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	99	350	87	0.249	12	45	0.311	4	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.254	0.314	0.370	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	17	42	11	0.262	1	4	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.327	0.377	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	6	19	4	0.211	0	3	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.186	0.217	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	4	4	2	12	0.250

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	79	299	78	0.261	8	36	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.242	0.325	0.341	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	86	244	66	0.270	8	34	0.313	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.249	0.296	0.385	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	132	506	139	0.275	14	58	0.376	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.306	0.380	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	126	479	120	0.251	26	82	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.234	0.276	0.419	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	26	77	24	0.312	6	17	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.282	0.508	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	134	454	99	0.218	20	62	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.188	0.275	0.329	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	30	72	16	0.222	3	11	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.295	0.358	OK
Javier Báez	LF	46	157	40	0.255	2	14	0.285	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.242	0.260	0.370	OK
Max Clark	CF	28	98	23	0.235	2	13	0.292	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.221	0.279	0.411	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	3	2	2	4	11	0.103

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Blake Snell	Starter	5	26.0	2.42	1.077	12.5	36	5.1	3	2	2	3	8	100	5.1	8	2
Tanner Scott	Closer	59	50.1	2.69	1.038	12.0	67	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	26	1.2	0	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	55	48.1	3.18	1.123	11.8	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	16.9	2.13	1.006	9.6	18	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	28	134.8	3.34	1.024	6.1	92	6.0	5	2	2	2	7	111	6.0	7	2
Kenley Jansen	Closer	39	33.1	3.81	1.208	11.1	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.0	2	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	59	52.5	3.60	1.543	8.6	50	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	19	1.0	2	2
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	3.04	1.649	8.2	43	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-2

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals

MIA 69-69 (4.33 RPG / 4.24 RA)

2 - 3

WAS 66-74 (5.19 RPG / 5.05 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 3-2 TARGET: MIA 2 - 3 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	6
WAS	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	3	6

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIA Season Quality

Record68-67

Win%0.504

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.089

WAS Season Quality

Record64-73

Win%0.467

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.139

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0681; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	1B	101	372	91	0.245	16	56	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.345	0.467	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	104	351	81	0.231	22	58	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.322	0.525	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	135	500	141	0.282	6	51	0.361	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.346	0.358	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	66	199	50	0.251	14	30	0.344	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.316	0.449	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	134	538	164	0.305	10	61	0.340	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.277	0.318	0.392	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	129	437	92	0.211	8	31	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.341	0.386	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	109	364	102	0.280	6	51	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.296	0.333	0.436	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	97	270	60	0.222	13	52	0.284	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.153	0.217	0.307	OK
Joe Mack	C	81	245	57	0.233	12	38	0.288	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.270	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	1	7	0.182

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	DH	131	498	133	0.267	29	92	0.343	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.322	0.463	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	27	87	19	0.218	5	10	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.264	0.370	OK
José Tena	LF	101	242	55	0.227	7	22	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.297	0.379	OK
Daylen Lile	RF	138	526	135	0.257	20	80	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.281	0.332	0.511	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	85	322	71	0.220	10	34	0.289	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.236	0.296	0.385	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	88	293	83	0.283	9	45	0.322	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.287	0.326	0.492	OK
Brady House	3B	73	261	63	0.241	10	38	0.301	3	3	1	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.221	0.287	0.411	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	98	262	63	0.240	3	24	0.331	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.238	0.327	0.315	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	122	399	86	0.216	1	35	0.295	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.272	0.228	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	6	3	3	1	5	0.200

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	29	187.8	3.50	1.198	6.7	140	6.1	6	3	3	1	5	102	6.1	5	3
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	34	25.3	4.62	1.542	12.1	34	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	29	150.1	3.18	1.219	10.6	177	6.0	6	2	2	1	7	102	6.0	7	2
Clayton Beeter	Closer	45	39.9	3.38	1.404	10.2	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Orlando Ribalta	Setup Man	44	37.8	4.29	1.376	9.5	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Will Dion	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	16.5	2.18	0.909	9.3	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 3-2

Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels

PHI 78-60 (4.52 RPG / 4.3 RA)

6 - 3

LAA 53-85 (4.09 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 6-3 TARGET: PHI 6 - 3 LAA (PHI) Confidence: 66.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	6	7
LAA	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	4

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

PHI Season Quality

Record75-60

Win%0.556

Run Diff25

RD/Game0.185

LAA Season Quality

Record52-83

Win%0.385

Run Diff-77

RD/Game-0.570

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.877; margin adjustment: -0.3683; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	130	492	119	0.242	39	81	0.355	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.255	0.344	0.526	OK
Trea Turner	SS	130	543	132	0.243	17	51	0.295	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.212	0.251	0.317	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	136	481	129	0.268	27	79	0.387	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.304	0.416	0.554	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	24	99	28	0.283	2	11	0.294	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.314	0.341	0.421	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	130	488	119	0.244	14	75	0.305	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.311	0.390	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	131	456	118	0.259	10	59	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.265	0.334	0.392	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	130	468	127	0.271	17	57	0.318	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.164	0.221	0.260	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	100	343	77	0.224	10	45	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.313	0.400	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	122	364	95	0.261	2	33	0.311	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.160	0.225	0.241	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	7	6	6	6	4	0.212

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	133	530	125	0.236	23	66	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.295	0.413	OK
Mike Trout	CF	119	432	104	0.241	20	50	0.379	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.246	0.363	0.390	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	92	334	83	0.249	9	57	0.308	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.234	0.276	0.396	OK
Jose Siri	LF	68	169	39	0.231	7	23	0.284	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.215	0.258	0.363	OK
Christian Moore	2B	15	53	10	0.189	1	4	0.267	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.201	0.270	0.385	OK
Oswald Peraza	DH	98	311	70	0.225	7	24	0.280	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.252	0.315	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	59	211	46	0.218	6	24	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.226	0.295	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	24	58	10	0.172	1	3	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.079	0.152	0.128	OK
Wade Meckler	RF	69	218	64	0.294	3	22	0.366	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.331	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	3	3	4	4	0.129

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	28	173.0	2.55	1.208	10.5	202	6.0	1	1	1	3	4	91	6.0	4	1
Jhoan Duran	Closer	51	49.4	1.28	1.012	12.6	69	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	52	45.7	3.15	1.094	12.2	62	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	46.9	4.41	1.471	10.9	57	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	17	70.7	5.60	1.457	6.6	52	5.1	3	3	3	3	4	90	5.1	4	3
Ben Joyce	Closer	9	7.4	3.65	1.081	14.6	12	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26	1.0	0	2
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	9	6.6	4.09	1.667	15.0	11	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	39.9	3.83	1.529	12.4	55	1.1	1	1	1	2	0	28	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

PHI wins 6-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals

PIT 67-71 (4.85 RPG / 4.66 RA)

4 - 3

STL 68-70 (4.42 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 4 - 3 STL (PIT) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	8
STL	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	5

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

PIT Season Quality

Record65-71

Win%0.478

Run Diff21

RD/Game0.154

STL Season Quality

Record68-68

Win%0.500

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.074

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1267; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	95	324	80	0.247	10	38	0.349	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.175	0.267	0.259	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	125	490	122	0.249	28	82	0.318	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.133	0.221	0.283	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	135	499	132	0.265	15	66	0.372	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.336	0.381	OK
Nick Gonzales	DH	124	471	143	0.304	4	55	0.364	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.294	0.352	0.363	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	74	289	76	0.263	17	52	0.351	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.346	0.506	OK
Jake Mangum	RF	103	365	106	0.290	4	28	0.343	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.298	0.334	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	25	81	18	0.222	7	17	0.300	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.182	0.250	0.374	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	33	85	14	0.165	2	8	0.172	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.109	0.150	0.181	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	92	282	70	0.248	3	25	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.267	0.324	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	1	9	0.229

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	126	495	120	0.242	17	47	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.320	0.386	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	134	505	121	0.240	13	53	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.313	0.321	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	133	509	146	0.287	21	97	0.351	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.273	0.323	0.419	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	131	509	145	0.285	25	92	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.291	0.339	0.464	OK
Nathan Church	CF	105	348	84	0.241	10	45	0.285	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.310	0.418	OK
José Fermín	2B	94	269	66	0.245	6	34	0.310	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.248	0.305	0.378	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	67	215	41	0.191	8	27	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.171	0.255	0.345	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	15	50	9	0.180	5	10	0.222	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.187	0.237	0.464	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	49	132	24	0.182	5	14	0.248	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.175	0.226	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	8	0.156

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lake Bachar	Starter	8	16.2	3.33	1.111	8.9	16	5.0	1	2	2	2	3	86	5.0	3	2
Mason Montgomery	Closer	56	48.2	3.17	1.183	16.6	89	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	8	7.2	5.00	1.528	12.5	10	1.2	2	0	0	0	2	27	1.2	2	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	54.8	2.96	1.113	11.2	68	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	26	128.4	3.15	1.316	8.3	118	5.2	5	3	3	1	5	102	5.2	5	3
Riley O'Brien	Closer	56	52.1	4.15	1.286	9.3	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	61	51.3	4.74	1.462	10.2	58	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	45.4	4.96	1.586	11.1	56	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	55.6	4.05	1.619	7.1	44	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	7	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays

SD 73-65 (4.26 RPG / 4.15 RA)

4 - 5

TB 82-55 (4.51 RPG / 4.12 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: SD 4 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 62.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	4	9
TB	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	5	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

SD Season Quality

Record72-63

Win%0.533

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.089

TB Season Quality

Record80-54

Win%0.597

Run Diff52

RD/Game0.388

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2146; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	134	534	150	0.281	17	66	0.347	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.259	0.312	0.489	OK
Jake Cronenworth	SS	85	298	65	0.218	4	26	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.303	0.303	OK
Manny Machado	3B	135	504	111	0.220	24	74	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.193	0.277	0.327	OK
Ty France	1B	106	360	105	0.292	19	60	0.358	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.325	0.400	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	134	523	126	0.241	22	70	0.294	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.293	0.502	OK
Luis Campusano	C	52	150	43	0.287	5	23	0.389	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.330	0.387	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	121	356	75	0.211	16	46	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.203	0.285	0.362	OK
Luis Rengifo	2B	38	127	37	0.291	4	17	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.295	0.304	OK
Dustin Harris	LF	5	17	8	0.471	0	1	0.471	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.162	0.236	0.268	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	4	4	1	7	0.250

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	131	519	157	0.303	20	75	0.370	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.279	0.333	0.477	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	133	503	140	0.278	17	79	0.361	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.256	0.325	0.399	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	136	518	146	0.282	37	87	0.369	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.294	0.367	0.453	OK
Liam Hicks	C	22	67	22	0.328	3	13	0.425	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.269	0.342	0.422	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	125	483	150	0.311	0	31	0.338	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.317	0.351	0.376	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	83	277	75	0.271	9	42	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.280	0.311	0.417	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	100	292	66	0.226	5	39	0.321	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.183	0.267	0.280	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	116	393	81	0.206	14	42	0.287	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.184	0.264	0.343	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	106	335	73	0.218	2	32	0.304	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.211	0.299	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	5	5	5	8	0.257

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	27	127.6	4.80	1.395	7.8	111	5.0	4	2	2	2	3	95	5.0	3	2
Mason Miller	Closer	55	54.3	1.33	0.884	17.2	104	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	25	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	63	65.6	2.88	1.174	12.3	90	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	7	0.1	1	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	52.6	2.22	1.198	11.1	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	25	1.0	2	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	46.1	2.34	1.323	11.3	58	1.1	3	3	3	2	1	25	0.2	1	3

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	26	150.4	3.05	1.124	5.4	91	6.0	8	3	3	0	5	106	6.0	5	3
Bryan Baker	Closer	55	52.6	1.54	0.875	10.3	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	59	54.1	2.33	0.998	8.3	50	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	11.1	2.43	0.901	9.7	12	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4

Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays

SEA 64-74 (3.9 RPG / 4.43 RA)

4 - 5

TOR 68-70 (3.97 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-4 TARGET: SEA 4 - 5 TOR (TOR) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	4	7
TOR	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	x	5	10

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed7.9

Run Diff-41

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SEA Season Quality

Record64-71

Win%0.474

Run Diff-64

RD/Game-0.474

TOR Season Quality

Record66-70

Win%0.485

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.426

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2197; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	130	482	132	0.274	21	62	0.371	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.239	0.342	0.435	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	120	380	97	0.255	20	61	0.325	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.256	0.317	0.466	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	126	501	122	0.244	20	57	0.304	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.260	0.358	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	128	498	133	0.267	10	47	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.295	0.314	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	103	368	63	0.171	20	54	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.186	0.302	0.510	OK
Cole Young	2B	137	500	122	0.244	16	57	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.241	0.340	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	19	66	8	0.121	0	4	0.227	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.160	0.296	0.249	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	92	325	68	0.209	10	30	0.327	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.183	0.290	0.283	OK
Brock Rodden	3B	13	40	6	0.150	0	3	0.239	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.173	0.269	0.288	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	2	10	0.206

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	RF	19	78	26	0.333	0	7	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.322	0.357	0.396	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	59	209	58	0.278	8	32	0.347	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.252	0.319	0.362	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	122	462	119	0.258	7	48	0.327	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.298	0.326	OK
George Springer	DH	103	390	99	0.254	14	44	0.330	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.368	0.419	0.603	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	132	486	111	0.228	28	78	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.310	0.497	OK
Charles McAdoo	2B	23	73	17	0.233	2	10	0.278	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.271	0.351	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	134	510	141	0.276	9	43	0.301	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.280	0.355	OK
Daz Cameron	LF	8	24	5	0.208	1	3	0.200	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.233	0.243	0.417	OK
Myles Straw	CF	103	245	56	0.229	3	21	0.282	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.163	0.224	0.285	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	10	5	5	1	7	0.303

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kade Anderson	Starter	2	9.3	4.84	1.398	7.7	8	5.0	7	2	2	0	7	96	5.0	7	2
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	51	47.1	4.20	1.231	15.3	80	0.2	3	3	3	1	0	21	0.2	0	3
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	61	49.1	4.40	1.568	8.1	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	51.2	3.87	1.621	10.7	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	5	27.4	4.27	1.423	7.2	22	5.1	5	3	3	1	6	98	5.1	6	3
Louis Varland	Closer	62	64.0	1.27	1.047	11.8	84	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	64	57.0	2.05	1.298	5.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	76.8	3.16	1.185	9.0	77	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	27	1.1	1	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	71	41.7	3.88	1.535	12.7	59	0.1	2	1	1	1	0	14	0.1	0	1

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-4

Texas Rangers @ Milwaukee Brewers

TEX 68-70 (4.07 RPG / 4.39 RA)

3 - 7

MIL 85-53 (4.97 RPG / 3.79 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 7-3 TARGET: TEX 3 - 7 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 73.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	3	5
MIL	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	7	10

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff42

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

TEX Season Quality

Record66-69

Win%0.489

Run Diff-52

RD/Game-0.385

MIL Season Quality

Record84-51

Win%0.622

Run Diff178

RD/Game1.319

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.5454; margin adjustment: 2.4726; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Foscue	2B	74	180	47	0.261	10	26	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.214	0.265	0.418	OK
Corey Seager	SS	77	285	63	0.221	13	34	0.323	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.225	0.304	0.376	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	86	330	83	0.252	15	36	0.332	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.252	0.336	0.429	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	132	504	133	0.264	14	53	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.184	0.243	0.310	OK
Ezequiel Duran	CF	127	451	123	0.273	15	73	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.334	0.443	OK
Jake Burger	1B	130	475	113	0.238	23	78	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.296	0.450	OK
Danny Jansen	C	47	146	24	0.164	5	16	0.261	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.179	0.241	0.394	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	DH	5	8	2	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.190	0.238	0.262	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	22	60	18	0.300	1	6	0.373	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.288	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	4	7	0.156

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	124	488	127	0.260	17	79	0.351	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.230	0.313	0.396	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	101	418	119	0.285	20	57	0.346	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.280	0.332	0.497	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	119	403	110	0.273	22	74	0.387	5	4	2	1	3	1	2	0.500	0.290	0.410	0.506	OK
William Contreras	C	125	481	130	0.270	13	69	0.341	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.310	0.367	0.419	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	116	381	97	0.255	8	48	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.302	0.366	0.461	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	93	355	82	0.231	9	45	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.321	0.378	0.470	OK
Luis Lara	RF	38	124	34	0.274	1	19	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.285	0.351	0.396	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	49	153	41	0.268	3	21	0.331	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.320	0.328	OK
David Hamilton	3B	97	293	70	0.239	4	24	0.305	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.292	0.346	0.403	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	10	7	7	5	10	0.303

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	28	87.8	3.08	1.128	7.0	68	5.2	6	3	3	4	8	117	5.2	8	4
Jacob Latz	Closer	47	57.2	1.26	0.717	10.4	66	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	1
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	43	42.6	2.96	1.221	7.4	35	1.0	4	4	4	1	2	29	1.0	2	2

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	27	107.3	3.86	1.333	9.2	110	5.1	4	1	1	2	6	87	5.1	6	1
Trevor Megill	Closer	52	51.4	1.58	0.817	10.0	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Setup Man	63	68.0	3.57	1.515	13.8	104	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	14	1.1	1	2
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	89.1	3.33	1.291	8.4	83	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 7-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

ARI Recent Form

SF Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

ARI Recent Form

SF Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Oakland Athletics

BAL Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins

CHW Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves