MLB Predictions — August 26, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ STL	6 - 3	6 - 3	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 6-3	62%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ MIA	5 - 3	5 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-3	62%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ ARI	5 - 4	5 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ SF	3 - 5	3 - 5	SF	SF	SF wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ LAA	5 - 4	5 - 4	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 5-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ WAS	5 - 6	5 - 6	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ NYY	4 - 6	4 - 6	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ TOR	4 - 3	4 - 3	KC	KC	KC wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ ATL	5 - 4	5 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ NYM	6 - 5	6 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ OAK	5 - 6	5 - 6	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 6-5	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ SEA	5 - 3	5 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ SD	5 - 4	5 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ DET	4 - 5	4 - 5	DET	DET	DET wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ CHW	4 - 5	4 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals

BAL 69-69 (4.55 RPG / 4.67 RA)

6 - 3

STL 68-70 (4.42 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 6-3 TARGET: BAL 6 - 3 STL (BAL) Confidence: 61.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	6	7
STL	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

BAL Season Quality

Record64-68

Win%0.485

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.174

STL Season Quality

Record66-67

Win%0.496

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.105

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0855; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	81	260	58	0.223	6	27	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.297	0.333	OK
Pete Alonso	DH	135	507	137	0.270	32	91	0.361	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.313	0.380	0.576	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	133	534	119	0.223	21	56	0.306	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.285	0.342	OK
Samuel Basallo	1B	93	315	73	0.232	17	49	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.211	0.262	0.413	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	35	118	29	0.246	6	26	0.291	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.215	0.247	0.432	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	78	238	60	0.252	6	31	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.323	0.458	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	115	377	84	0.223	8	52	0.295	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.287	0.341	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	108	282	63	0.223	12	34	0.308	4	4	2	1	3	0	2	0.500	0.269	0.338	0.471	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	19	51	4	0.078	0	0	0.175	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.123	0.178	0.182	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	6	6	1	11	0.206

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	126	495	120	0.242	17	47	0.343	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.268	0.339	0.404	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	134	505	121	0.240	13	53	0.351	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.211	0.296	0.313	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	133	509	146	0.287	21	97	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.299	0.351	0.463	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	131	509	145	0.285	25	92	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.247	0.299	0.481	OK
Nathan Church	CF	105	348	84	0.241	10	45	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.274	0.310	0.426	OK
José Fermín	2B	94	269	66	0.245	6	34	0.310	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.254	0.316	0.398	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	67	215	41	0.191	8	27	0.272	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.129	0.221	0.227	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	49	117	31	0.265	3	16	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.289	0.348	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	49	132	24	0.182	5	14	0.248	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.117	0.177	0.195	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	8	0.182

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	26	139.5	4.13	1.448	8.6	133	5.1	3	2	2	3	5	100	5.1	5	2
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	49	39.6	3.41	1.490	8.2	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Yennier Cano	Setup Man	57	35.6	2.78	1.096	10.1	40	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	51.2	2.99	1.016	10.5	60	1.1	2	1	1	1	1	33	1.1	1	1

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	26	139.3	3.94	1.278	6.3	98	5.1	3	2	2	1	7	87	5.1	7	2
Riley O'Brien	Closer	56	52.1	4.15	1.286	9.3	54	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
George Soriano	Setup Man	61	51.3	4.74	1.462	10.2	58	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	45.4	4.96	1.586	11.1	56	1.0	2	2	2	0	3	19	1.0	3	2

Game Summary

BAL wins 6-3

Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

BOS 75-63 (4.48 RPG / 3.86 RA)

5 - 3

MIA 69-69 (4.33 RPG / 4.24 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-3 TARGET: BOS 5 - 3 MIA (BOS) Confidence: 61.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	5	9
MIA	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BOS Season Quality

Record73-59

Win%0.553

Run Diff105

RD/Game0.795

MIA Season Quality

Record67-66

Win%0.504

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.113

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6934; margin adjustment: -0.2912; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	1B	42	155	42	0.271	3	13	0.370	5	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.283	0.398	0.434	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	129	520	147	0.283	15	68	0.319	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.280	0.306	0.394	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	133	507	130	0.256	23	70	0.336	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.283	0.373	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	126	431	106	0.246	12	59	0.319	5	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.180	0.242	0.273	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	45	137	38	0.277	6	20	0.367	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.367	0.444	0.851	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	92	286	71	0.248	6	40	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.270	0.346	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	127	482	99	0.205	19	62	0.264	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.277	0.440	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	46	143	35	0.245	3	13	0.329	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.248	0.342	0.418	OK
Connor Wong	C	62	184	46	0.250	4	23	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.307	0.420	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	5	5	2	10	0.250

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	DH	101	372	91	0.245	16	56	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.325	0.449	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	66	199	50	0.251	14	30	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.318	0.443	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	104	351	81	0.231	22	58	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.298	0.464	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	135	500	141	0.282	6	51	0.361	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.268	0.348	0.350	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	129	437	92	0.211	8	31	0.331	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.200	0.316	0.351	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	134	538	164	0.305	10	61	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.291	0.357	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	97	270	60	0.222	13	52	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.147	0.212	0.280	OK
Joe Mack	C	81	245	57	0.233	12	38	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.277	0.362	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	109	364	102	0.280	6	51	0.315	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.292	0.410	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	3	6	0.156

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	25	142.5	2.84	1.186	8.1	128	6.0	5	3	3	3	6	112	6.0	6	3
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	46	45.2	1.19	1.062	11.9	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	11	11.1	0.81	0.991	16.2	20	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	37	32.6	2.76	1.196	9.9	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	19	65.1	4.01	1.382	7.9	57	5.1	9	5	5	0	7	106	5.1	7	5
Calvin Faucher	Closer	58	50.2	4.48	1.534	11.5	64	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.1	2	0
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	34	25.3	4.62	1.542	12.1	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	49.8	3.80	1.305	11.9	66	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-3

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHC 78-60 (5.38 RPG / 4.36 RA)

5 - 4

ARI 73-66 (4.5 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-4 TARGET: CHC 5 - 4 ARI (CHC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	11
ARI	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	5

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CHC Season Quality

Record76-57

Win%0.571

Run Diff121

RD/Game0.910

ARI Season Quality

Record70-63

Win%0.526

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.023

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6823; margin adjustment: -0.2866; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	136	524	149	0.284	38	91	0.378	5	3	1	1	1	2	1	0.333	0.251	0.333	0.523	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	119	456	128	0.281	24	80	0.373	5	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.272	0.353	0.439	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	134	535	139	0.260	23	77	0.347	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.260	0.340	0.455	OK
Michael Busch	1B	134	512	123	0.240	16	66	0.349	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.262	0.366	0.450	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	133	530	140	0.264	8	62	0.317	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.255	0.301	0.344	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	15	44	18	0.409	1	4	0.469	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.239	0.304	0.408	OK
Pedro Ramirez	3B	57	169	49	0.290	4	24	0.349	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.301	0.353	0.459	OK
Carson Kelly	C	96	324	86	0.265	10	50	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.263	0.328	0.409	OK
Gabriel Arias	2B	3	6	2	0.333	0	2	0.429	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.242	0.275	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	11	5	5	5	8	0.297

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	115	407	103	0.253	9	66	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.284	0.398	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	135	504	123	0.244	19	61	0.341	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.260	0.341	0.462	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	134	483	123	0.255	9	47	0.362	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.354	0.358	OK
Nolan Arenado	DH	129	450	107	0.238	21	65	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.286	0.415	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	75	239	58	0.243	9	35	0.298	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.268	0.323	0.423	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	60	191	50	0.262	3	16	0.305	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.283	0.339	0.386	OK
James McCann	C	35	115	34	0.296	4	21	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.265	0.294	0.383	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	19	59	16	0.271	2	7	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.302	0.410	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	70	225	61	0.271	3	22	0.332	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.269	0.326	0.411	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	4	4	3	6	0.156

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	17	94.2	4.11	1.253	7.3	76	6.0	3	4	4	3	4	97	6.0	4	4
Jacob Webb	Closer	60	54.3	3.15	1.344	10.8	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	42	39.2	3.67	1.301	6.0	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	7.7	7.01	1.948	10.5	9	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	27	158.5	2.56	1.211	6.8	119	6.1	7	3	3	4	5	129	6.1	5	4
Juan Morillo	Closer	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brandyn Garcia	Setup Man	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	27	1.0	2	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	0.2	3	2	2	0	1	17	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-4

Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants

CIN 65-73 (4.13 RPG / 4.95 RA)

3 - 5

SF 58-81 (4.13 RPG / 4.6 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-3 TARGET: CIN 3 - 5 SF (SF) Confidence: 63.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	6
SF	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	0	x	5	7

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CIN Season Quality

Record62-71

Win%0.466

Run Diff-101

RD/Game-0.759

SF Season Quality

Record54-78

Win%0.409

Run Diff-73

RD/Game-0.553

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1513; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	20	66	15	0.227	4	9	0.301	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.258	0.322	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	116	457	125	0.274	21	60	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.337	0.474	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	135	519	138	0.266	30	102	0.336	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.326	0.461	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	106	379	84	0.222	21	52	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.220	0.312	0.414	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	105	367	77	0.210	20	59	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.309	0.338	OK
Dane Myers	CF	85	228	57	0.250	5	21	0.340	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.228	0.307	0.326	OK
Matt McLain	2B	108	370	71	0.192	13	35	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.150	0.239	0.314	OK
Jose Trevino	C	38	122	28	0.230	5	15	0.234	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.180	0.191	0.289	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	64	194	30	0.155	5	8	0.215	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.157	0.223	0.242	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	7	0.182

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	CF	28	63	18	0.286	4	9	0.318	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.119	0.127	0.311	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	137	513	130	0.253	29	78	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.247	0.333	0.570	OK
Osleivis Basabe	DH	27	92	19	0.207	4	9	0.245	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.227	0.340	OK
Buddy Kennedy	3B	15	33	4	0.121	0	1	0.194	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.111	0.176	0.178	OK
Turner Hill	LF	12	33	9	0.273	0	8	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.300	0.403	OK
Andrew Knizner	C	11	27	6	0.222	1	1	0.300	4	3	1	1	0	0	2	0.333	0.240	0.312	0.422	OK
Christian Koss	SS	42	123	24	0.195	1	4	0.233	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.261	0.281	OK
Grant McCray	RF	19	51	6	0.118	1	2	0.224	3	3	2	1	0	0	1	0.667	0.131	0.226	0.272	OK
Shay Whitcomb	2B	8	27	2	0.074	1	3	0.074	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.124	0.134	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	7	5	5	1	8	0.226

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	16	76.9	5.38	1.586	7.5	64	4.1	5	3	3	0	6	76	4.1	6	3
Emilio Pagán	Closer	34	32.4	4.17	1.080	9.4	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Setup Man	45	38.6	3.73	1.244	10.0	43	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	23	1.1	0	2
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	56.0	3.05	1.536	10.8	67	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	24	146.5	3.75	1.113	7.2	118	6.0	2	1	1	3	5	106	6.0	5	1
Dylan Smith	Closer	33	27.4	3.61	1.496	12.8	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	26	1.0	1	0
Sam Hentges	Setup Man	39	26.0	4.15	2.000	12.1	35	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	13.0	4.85	1.769	8.3	12	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 5-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels

CLE 69-68 (4.07 RPG / 4.08 RA)

5 - 4

LAA 53-85 (4.09 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 5-4 TARGET: CLE 5 - 4 LAA (CLE) Confidence: 58.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	10
LAA	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	5

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff27

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak6W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3L

CLE Season Quality

Record67-66

Win%0.504

Run Diff-5

RD/Game-0.038

LAA Season Quality

Record52-81

Win%0.391

Run Diff-74

RD/Game-0.556

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6754; margin adjustment: -0.2837; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	122	438	120	0.274	2	27	0.373	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.296	0.393	0.350	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	99	368	87	0.236	9	41	0.325	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.251	0.321	0.346	OK
José Ramírez	DH	100	374	91	0.243	11	48	0.339	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.250	0.334	0.395	OK
Jo Adell	RF	23	85	21	0.247	4	21	0.337	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.245	0.278	0.416	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	21	76	18	0.237	3	15	0.262	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.255	0.309	0.408	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	87	318	78	0.245	13	48	0.281	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.251	0.280	0.388	OK
Angel Genao	3B	20	74	19	0.257	1	3	0.312	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.241	0.288	0.335	OK
Austin Hedges	C	63	184	47	0.255	5	21	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.259	0.326	0.413	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	128	452	113	0.250	10	53	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.268	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	10	5	5	6	6	0.270

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	133	530	125	0.236	23	66	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.315	0.493	OK
Mike Trout	DH	119	432	104	0.241	20	50	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.363	0.413	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	92	334	83	0.249	9	57	0.308	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.281	0.399	OK
Christian Moore	2B	15	53	10	0.189	1	4	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.183	0.205	0.410	OK
Jose Siri	LF	68	169	39	0.231	7	23	0.284	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.279	0.385	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	88	261	55	0.211	10	27	0.270	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.209	0.261	0.347	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	59	211	46	0.218	6	24	0.263	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.193	0.227	0.321	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	26	71	14	0.197	0	3	0.250	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.113	0.141	0.164	OK
Bryce Teodosio	CF	19	49	10	0.204	0	2	0.250	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.204	0.237	0.262	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	4	4	1	9	0.156

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	28	133.3	3.78	1.485	9.8	145	4.2	4	4	4	1	6	75	4.2	6	4
Cade Smith	Closer	58	57.5	2.50	1.148	13.5	86	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	53	38.4	3.52	1.484	10.5	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	44.4	2.43	1.081	10.1	50	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.1	0	0
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	37.7	4.06	1.592	10.5	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	15	69.1	6.25	1.577	8.5	65	5.0	5	4	4	4	4	104	5.0	4	4
Ben Joyce	Closer	9	7.4	3.65	1.081	14.6	12	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	9	6.6	4.09	1.667	15.0	11	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Blake Weiman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	9.3	2.90	1.720	9.7	10	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	39.9	3.83	1.529	12.4	55	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	14	0.2	0	1

Game Summary

CLE wins 5-4

Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals

COL 52-86 (4.67 RPG / 5.71 RA)

5 - 6

WAS 66-74 (5.19 RPG / 5.05 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 6-5 TARGET: COL 5 - 6 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	8
WAS	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	6	12

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed7.2

Run Diff-31

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-2

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

COL Season Quality

Record51-81

Win%0.386

Run Diff-144

RD/Game-1.091

WAS Season Quality

Record62-72

Win%0.463

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.134

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9814; margin adjustment: 0.4122; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	117	450	130	0.289	14	69	0.328	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.254	0.291	0.371	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	66	235	61	0.260	6	36	0.341	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.247	0.324	0.407	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	118	440	112	0.255	36	73	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.283	0.533	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	131	466	136	0.292	13	60	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.313	0.329	OK
Willi Castro	3B	119	427	111	0.260	15	56	0.331	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.265	0.320	0.442	OK
Mickey Moniak	RF	96	341	86	0.252	21	60	0.290	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.276	0.487	OK
Connor Norby	2B	19	61	18	0.295	2	10	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.344	0.447	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	110	350	101	0.289	4	46	0.354	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.344	0.405	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	122	405	85	0.210	10	41	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.149	0.208	0.298	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	5	5	3	10	0.229

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	DH	131	498	133	0.267	29	92	0.343	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.269	0.334	0.507	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	27	87	19	0.218	5	10	0.261	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.265	0.391	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	85	322	71	0.220	10	34	0.289	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.220	0.278	0.346	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	138	526	135	0.257	20	80	0.309	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.293	0.335	0.541	OK
Andrés Chaparro	3B	59	146	36	0.247	9	33	0.341	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.327	0.523	OK
José Tena	2B	101	242	55	0.227	7	22	0.305	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.229	0.307	0.389	OK
Harry Ford	C	22	69	13	0.188	3	8	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.274	0.332	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	122	399	86	0.216	1	35	0.295	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.281	0.236	OK
Jacob Young	CF	112	374	92	0.246	10	41	0.308	4	4	3	1	3	0	1	0.750	0.237	0.288	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	12	6	6	3	5	0.316

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Gordon	Starter	20	87.5	5.25	1.417	7.4	72	4.0	7	4	4	1	2	87	4.0	2	4
Jordan Romano	Closer	18	16.3	2.21	1.227	8.8	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	64	46.2	3.12	1.385	8.0	41	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	37.2	6.77	1.747	9.2	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	36	23.2	6.59	2.112	12.4	32	1.2	2	2	2	2	0	27	1.0	0	2

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matt Waldron	Starter	2	5.0	0.00	1.600	1.8	1	3.2	4	4	4	3	5	82	3.2	5	4
Clayton Beeter	Closer	45	39.9	3.38	1.404	10.2	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Setup Man	44	37.8	4.29	1.376	9.5	40	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	39	2.0	1	0
Will Dion	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	16.5	2.18	0.909	9.3	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Jake Bird	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	8	8.1	3.33	0.988	11.1	10	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

WAS wins 6-5

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees

HOU 70-68 (4.57 RPG / 4.86 RA)

4 - 6

NYY 78-60 (4.51 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-4 TARGET: HOU 4 - 6 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 56.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	4	7
NYY	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

HOU Season Quality

Record66-66

Win%0.500

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.318

NYY Season Quality

Record74-57

Win%0.565

Run Diff98

RD/Game0.748

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9201; margin adjustment: 0.3864; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	87	349	99	0.284	17	46	0.337	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.282	0.431	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	135	485	155	0.320	37	94	0.435	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.350	0.452	0.599	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	130	472	119	0.252	17	73	0.353	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.266	0.351	0.441	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	110	428	106	0.248	14	41	0.309	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.238	0.291	0.368	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	24	93	16	0.172	3	10	0.238	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.283	0.368	OK
Christian Walker	1B	131	486	112	0.230	24	76	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.207	0.263	0.351	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	73	203	41	0.202	7	20	0.280	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.189	0.260	0.332	OK
Cam Smith	RF	125	434	93	0.214	17	49	0.279	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.113	0.177	0.252	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	77	225	48	0.213	7	25	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.203	0.263	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	7	4	4	2	11	0.189

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	113	403	84	0.208	17	56	0.304	5	3	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.204	0.310	0.409	OK
Ben Rice	DH	129	483	122	0.253	34	82	0.350	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.325	0.440	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	24	89	26	0.292	5	12	0.340	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.333	0.373	0.655	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	109	402	105	0.261	12	59	0.346	5	5	3	1	4	0	1	0.600	0.275	0.357	0.466	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	23	79	20	0.253	2	6	0.310	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.315	0.347	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	62	181	43	0.238	8	25	0.305	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.326	0.479	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	125	435	100	0.230	18	54	0.307	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.254	0.322	0.468	OK
Austin Wells	C	101	285	52	0.182	10	26	0.272	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.191	0.277	0.279	OK
José Caballero	3B	112	368	88	0.239	13	47	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.261	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	8	6	6	4	10	0.211

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	24	128.7	3.78	1.282	9.2	131	5.1	6	4	4	3	6	109	5.1	6	5
Josh Hader	Closer	36	35.4	0.51	0.621	12.2	48	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	13	1.0	1	1
Steven Okert	Setup Man	68	58.8	2.45	1.003	10.4	68	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	31	1.2	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	4.38	1.543	12.9	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.0	1	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	56.5	5.10	1.363	9.4	59	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	0.0	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Elmer Rodríguez	Starter	6	25.5	5.65	1.647	7.4	21	4.1	5	2	2	2	6	82	4.1	6	2
David Bednar	Closer	55	55.6	2.91	1.097	10.5	65	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	70	55.6	2.43	1.493	13.9	86	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	40.2	4.25	1.816	15.0	67	2.2	0	0	0	0	2	34	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-4

Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays

KC 62-76 (4.28 RPG / 4.88 RA)

4 - 3

TOR 68-70 (3.97 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 4-3 TARGET: KC 4 - 3 TOR (KC) Confidence: 58.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
KC	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	6
TOR	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	3

KC Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak9W

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

KC Season Quality

Record59-74

Win%0.444

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-0.669

TOR Season Quality

Record64-69

Win%0.481

Run Diff-57

RD/Game-0.429

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0492; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	126	446	99	0.222	19	61	0.309	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.199	0.276	0.365	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	118	464	132	0.284	16	48	0.358	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.279	0.356	0.462	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	125	454	128	0.282	23	66	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.288	0.323	0.452	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	127	490	110	0.224	17	62	0.268	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.263	0.291	0.405	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	90	332	82	0.247	9	41	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.272	0.360	0.444	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	96	304	72	0.237	6	40	0.322	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.333	0.421	OK
John Rave	LF	29	83	18	0.217	3	8	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.298	0.453	OK
Tyler Tolbert	2B	46	114	35	0.307	3	8	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.270	0.342	0.388	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	75	231	54	0.234	6	24	0.284	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.302	0.422	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	6	4	4	2	14	0.167

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	19	78	26	0.333	0	7	0.384	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.307	0.340	0.409	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	122	462	119	0.258	7	48	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.310	0.354	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	59	209	58	0.278	8	32	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.188	0.286	0.306	OK
George Springer	DH	103	390	99	0.254	14	44	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.184	0.252	0.291	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	92	258	68	0.264	8	34	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.249	0.310	0.405	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	132	486	111	0.228	28	78	0.304	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.219	0.282	0.423	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	99	329	87	0.264	10	32	0.318	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.289	0.403	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	134	510	141	0.276	9	43	0.301	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.260	0.287	0.353	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	121	402	97	0.241	8	51	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.273	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	3	3	3	4	7	0.091

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Dobnak	Starter	10	50.5	1.96	1.406	6.1	34	5.0	3	3	3	3	5	85	5.0	5	3
Steven Cruz	Closer	49	47.0	4.79	1.383	10.7	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	15	14.2	0.63	0.915	8.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	42.1	4.28	1.496	7.7	36	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0
Jose Cuas	Reliever	14	13.6	1.99	1.838	10.6	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Miles	Starter	42	76.8	3.16	1.185	9.0	77	5.0	2	1	1	2	9	89	5.0	9	1
Louis Varland	Closer	62	64.0	1.27	1.047	11.8	84	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	33	1.2	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	64	57.0	2.05	1.298	5.5	35	1.2	2	1	1	0	2	27	1.2	2	1
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	71	41.7	3.88	1.535	12.7	59	1.2	2	2	2	0	2	27	0.2	2	2

Game Summary

KC wins 4-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves

LAD 82-55 (4.89 RPG / 3.77 RA)

5 - 4

ATL 82-57 (4.61 RPG / 3.83 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-4 TARGET: LAD 5 - 4 ATL (LAD) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	5	6
ATL	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	4	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-11

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

LAD Season Quality

Record80-52

Win%0.606

Run Diff150

RD/Game1.136

ATL Season Quality

Record77-55

Win%0.583

Run Diff111

RD/Game0.841

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4298; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	126	488	136	0.279	30	78	0.379	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.380	0.521	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	132	499	152	0.305	15	61	0.379	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.252	0.318	0.382	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	98	386	93	0.241	16	47	0.295	5	5	1	1	3	0	1	0.200	0.242	0.287	0.391	OK
Max Muncy	3B	124	407	101	0.248	26	68	0.344	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.262	0.356	0.503	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	56	200	51	0.255	5	25	0.332	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.306	0.396	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	125	451	103	0.228	11	57	0.320	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.205	0.285	0.312	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	6	19	4	0.211	0	3	0.250	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.209	0.241	0.351	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	99	350	87	0.249	12	45	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.277	0.346	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	17	42	11	0.262	1	4	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.337	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	5	5	5	7	0.182

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	114	444	124	0.279	22	68	0.359	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.252	0.326	0.412	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	84	317	77	0.243	13	36	0.346	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.199	0.284	0.341	OK
Matt Olson	1B	137	529	135	0.255	36	78	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.314	0.454	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	130	482	130	0.270	10	64	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.283	0.326	0.396	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	131	500	150	0.300	23	78	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.275	0.292	0.472	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	137	520	134	0.258	20	67	0.313	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.320	0.384	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	114	301	67	0.223	9	33	0.304	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.178	0.269	0.301	OK
Austin Riley	3B	135	479	107	0.223	15	61	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.198	0.263	0.323	OK
Sean Murphy	C	17	58	13	0.224	2	4	0.262	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.136	0.162	0.206	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	4	4	3	10	0.182

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	23	117.0	4.69	1.359	9.0	117	5.2	3	1	1	3	5	100	5.2	5	1
Tanner Scott	Closer	59	50.1	2.69	1.038	12.0	67	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	22	1.0	1	3
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	55	48.1	3.18	1.123	11.8	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	16.9	2.13	1.006	9.6	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.1	3	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
AJ Smith-Shawver	Starter	3	13.2	6.14	1.667	6.8	10	4.0	2	2	2	4	3	83	4.0	3	2
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	50	48.9	2.94	1.227	9.6	52	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	64	53.3	2.70	0.957	12.5	74	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	22	1.0	1	3
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	54.3	2.65	1.234	12.6	76	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	38.2	2.36	1.021	10.6	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets

MIL 85-53 (4.97 RPG / 3.79 RA)

6 - 5

NYM 62-76 (4.09 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-5 TARGET: MIL 6 - 5 NYM (MIL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	1	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	7
NYM	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5	9

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff29

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

MIL Season Quality

Record81-51

Win%0.614

Run Diff160

RD/Game1.212

NYM Season Quality

Record60-72

Win%0.455

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.295

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2106; margin adjustment: -0.5085; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sal Frelick	LF	90	287	69	0.240	4	34	0.305	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.284	0.347	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	116	381	97	0.255	8	48	0.345	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.318	0.382	0.503	OK
Brice Turang	2B	124	488	127	0.260	17	79	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.293	0.343	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	93	355	82	0.231	9	45	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.189	0.279	0.313	OK
William Contreras	C	125	481	130	0.270	13	69	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.380	0.434	0.512	OK
Luis Lara	RF	38	124	34	0.274	1	19	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.270	0.325	0.389	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	86	250	78	0.312	5	39	0.392	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.313	0.387	0.439	OK
David Hamilton	3B	97	293	70	0.239	4	24	0.305	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.172	0.242	0.292	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	49	153	41	0.268	3	21	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.284	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	6	6	3	9	0.206

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	96	351	85	0.242	7	28	0.314	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.227	0.297	0.325	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	79	310	72	0.232	14	34	0.314	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.251	0.320	0.436	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	132	526	139	0.264	14	66	0.310	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.286	0.405	OK
Carson Benge	RF	128	490	134	0.273	16	53	0.334	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.296	0.346	0.463	OK
Jared Young	1B	83	262	70	0.267	7	32	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.293	0.405	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	DH	55	193	43	0.223	10	23	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.323	0.480	OK
Brett Baty	LF	114	364	82	0.225	8	40	0.290	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.233	0.299	0.367	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	115	408	91	0.223	14	43	0.285	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.274	0.320	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	92	304	69	0.227	12	32	0.314	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.128	0.220	0.247	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	5	5	3	6	0.257

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	5	19.2	6.56	1.562	7.5	16	5.1	6	3	3	0	3	88	5.1	3	3
Trevor Megill	Closer	52	51.4	1.58	0.817	10.0	57	1.1	2	0	0	1	1	27	1.1	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Setup Man	63	68.0	3.57	1.515	13.8	104	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	89.1	3.33	1.291	8.4	83	1.1	1	2	2	2	0	28	1.1	0	2

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Stock	Starter	6	25.3	6.05	1.779	8.9	25	4.0	5	2	2	1	3	74	4.0	3	3
Kodai Senga	Closer	24	52.2	7.76	1.724	11.2	65	1.0	2	2	2	2	2	27	1.0	2	2
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	20	22.1	2.44	0.905	10.2	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	11	8.2	0.00	0.732	13.2	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Pintaro	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	20.9	4.74	1.435	10.3	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jefry Yan	Middle Reliever	10	7.2	5.00	2.222	13.8	11	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	13	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-5

Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics

MIN 66-72 (4.62 RPG / 4.95 RA)

5 - 6

OAK 53-85 (4.33 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 6-5 TARGET: MIN 5 - 6 OAK (OAK) Confidence: 55.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	5	6
OAK	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	x	6	12

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

MIN Season Quality

Record64-69

Win%0.481

Run Diff-53

RD/Game-0.398

OAK Season Quality

Record52-81

Win%0.391

Run Diff-188

RD/Game-1.414

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7253; margin adjustment: -0.3046; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	CF	128	441	122	0.277	9	41	0.366	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.286	0.351	0.417	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	129	492	122	0.248	22	75	0.297	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.247	0.283	0.464	OK
Josh Bell	DH	132	487	123	0.253	17	83	0.315	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.226	0.286	0.376	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	71	251	69	0.275	12	46	0.373	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.341	0.418	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	120	446	106	0.238	23	69	0.294	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.253	0.293	0.464	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	103	377	87	0.231	13	46	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.277	0.351	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	109	358	95	0.265	11	44	0.342	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.126	0.203	0.225	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	20	70	22	0.314	3	6	0.372	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.334	0.357	0.483	OK
Alan Roden	RF	27	67	17	0.254	0	10	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.277	0.352	0.386	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	5	5	5	7	0.182

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	91	323	87	0.269	6	26	0.339	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.291	0.354	0.399	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	83	301	76	0.252	14	38	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.237	0.296	0.417	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	123	378	87	0.230	12	45	0.323	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.298	0.377	0.425	OK
Jonah Heim	C	75	254	53	0.209	11	33	0.267	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.171	0.233	0.293	OK
Tommy White	1B	39	149	38	0.255	2	8	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.276	0.345	OK
Michael Stefanic	2B	4	8	3	0.375	0	1	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.133	0.146	0.231	OK
Brian Serven	DH	16	52	12	0.231	5	14	0.245	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.223	0.243	0.472	OK
Alika Williams	SS	57	156	41	0.263	2	11	0.290	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.256	0.281	0.385	OK
Darell Hernaiz	3B	47	135	32	0.237	1	9	0.320	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.306	0.267	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	12	6	6	3	7	0.353

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	19	97.6	5.62	1.414	9.8	106	5.0	5	3	3	3	4	97	5.0	4	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	46	36.0	3.00	1.444	10.2	41	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	10	7.5	4.80	2.000	13.2	11	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	56.2	4.32	1.512	9.4	59	1.1	5	3	3	0	1	32	1.1	1	3

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	27	135.3	3.79	1.264	8.0	121	5.2	4	4	4	2	4	103	5.2	4	4
Hogan Harris	Closer	62	47.6	4.35	1.870	14.6	77	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Elvis Alvarado	Setup Man	45	38.7	4.65	1.370	12.6	54	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	56.9	3.48	1.459	12.0	76	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	23	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 6-5

Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners

PHI 78-60 (4.52 RPG / 4.3 RA)

5 - 3

SEA 64-74 (3.9 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-3 TARGET: PHI 5 - 3 SEA (PHI) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	8
SEA	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed7.2

Run Diff-22

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

PHI Season Quality

Record73-60

Win%0.549

Run Diff17

RD/Game0.128

SEA Season Quality

Record64-69

Win%0.481

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.383

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6153; margin adjustment: -0.2584; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	130	492	119	0.242	39	81	0.355	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.210	0.313	0.447	OK
Trea Turner	SS	130	543	132	0.243	17	51	0.295	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.252	0.312	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	136	481	129	0.268	27	79	0.387	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.288	0.408	0.519	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	24	99	28	0.283	2	11	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.320	0.349	0.437	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	130	488	119	0.244	14	75	0.305	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.260	0.311	0.407	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	131	456	118	0.259	10	59	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.243	0.321	0.369	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	130	468	127	0.271	17	57	0.318	4	4	2	1	3	0	2	0.500	0.260	0.308	0.397	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	100	343	77	0.224	10	45	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.255	0.316	0.412	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	122	364	95	0.261	2	33	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.298	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	8	5	5	2	10	0.235

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	RF	19	66	8	0.121	0	4	0.227	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.202	0.342	0.287	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	130	482	132	0.274	21	62	0.371	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.323	0.486	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	126	501	122	0.244	20	57	0.304	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.224	0.266	0.373	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	103	368	63	0.171	20	54	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.195	0.314	0.459	OK
Patrick Wisdom	1B	17	46	5	0.109	1	4	0.163	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.123	0.183	0.212	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	92	325	68	0.209	10	30	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.307	0.317	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	31	82	15	0.183	3	8	0.264	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.186	0.270	0.303	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	25	76	21	0.276	2	4	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.182	0.221	0.235	OK
Brock Rodden	2B	13	40	6	0.150	0	3	0.239	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.152	0.263	0.328	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	3	11	0.156

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	27	158.8	3.17	1.152	11.5	203	6.1	4	3	3	2	6	112	6.1	6	3
Jhoan Duran	Closer	51	49.4	1.28	1.012	12.6	69	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	52	45.7	3.15	1.094	12.2	62	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	46.9	4.41	1.471	10.9	57	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	12	0.2	2	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	25	141.4	4.39	1.103	9.0	142	5.2	5	2	2	2	7	106	5.2	7	2
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	51	47.1	4.20	1.231	15.3	80	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	61	49.1	4.40	1.568	8.1	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	51.2	3.87	1.621	10.7	61	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	45	31.8	3.11	1.321	9.3	33	0.1	2	2	2	0	1	10	0.1	1	2

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres

PIT 67-71 (4.85 RPG / 4.66 RA)

5 - 4

SD 73-65 (4.26 RPG / 4.15 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: PIT 5 - 4 SD (PIT) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	5	9
SD	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	4	5

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-2

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

PIT Season Quality

Record65-69

Win%0.485

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.201

SD Season Quality

Record71-62

Win%0.534

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.105

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0466; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	95	324	80	0.247	10	38	0.349	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.217	0.299	0.336	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	125	490	122	0.249	28	82	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.222	0.283	0.415	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	135	499	132	0.265	15	66	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.360	0.419	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	62	205	49	0.239	13	36	0.354	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.361	0.494	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	74	289	76	0.263	17	52	0.351	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.251	0.337	0.568	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	124	471	143	0.304	4	55	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.279	0.324	0.341	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	103	365	106	0.290	4	28	0.343	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.266	0.310	0.353	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	25	81	18	0.222	7	17	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.137	0.224	0.331	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	33	85	14	0.165	2	8	0.172	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.193	0.232	0.296	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	5	5	0	9	0.250

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	134	534	150	0.281	17	66	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.297	0.348	0.510	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	85	298	65	0.218	4	26	0.302	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.289	0.304	OK
Manny Machado	3B	135	504	111	0.220	24	74	0.307	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.298	0.347	OK
Ty France	1B	106	360	105	0.292	19	60	0.358	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.240	0.326	0.436	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	134	523	126	0.241	22	70	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.196	0.238	0.388	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	38	127	37	0.291	4	17	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.235	0.300	0.326	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	121	356	75	0.211	16	46	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.215	0.299	0.399	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	131	447	97	0.217	11	51	0.316	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.200	0.304	0.282	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	69	209	41	0.196	4	17	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.259	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	4	4	4	10	0.156

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	26	127.5	4.38	1.396	8.3	117	5.0	2	3	3	1	6	78	5.0	6	3
Mason Montgomery	Closer	56	48.2	3.17	1.183	16.6	89	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	8	7.2	5.00	1.528	12.5	10	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	54.8	2.96	1.113	11.2	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	66.6	3.38	1.396	11.6	86	1.0	2	1	1	2	2	27	1.0	2	1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	26	119.5	4.14	1.322	5.7	76	5.0	4	1	1	0	7	84	5.0	7	1
Mason Miller	Closer	55	54.3	1.33	0.884	17.2	104	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	63	65.6	2.88	1.174	12.3	90	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	52.6	2.22	1.198	11.1	65	1.0	4	4	4	0	1	25	1.0	1	4

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers

TB 82-55 (4.51 RPG / 4.12 RA)

4 - 5

DET 63-74 (4.36 RPG / 3.96 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-4 TARGET: TB 4 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	4	6
DET	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	x	5	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TB Season Quality

Record78-54

Win%0.591

Run Diff44

RD/Game0.333

DET Season Quality

Record62-70

Win%0.470

Run Diff73

RD/Game0.553

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0328; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	131	519	157	0.303	20	75	0.370	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.266	0.327	0.406	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	133	503	140	0.278	17	79	0.361	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.232	0.299	0.364	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	136	518	146	0.282	37	87	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.293	0.367	0.460	OK
Liam Hicks	C	22	67	22	0.328	3	13	0.425	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.295	0.367	0.463	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	125	483	150	0.311	0	31	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.316	0.350	0.369	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	83	277	75	0.271	9	42	0.303	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.277	0.303	0.411	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	100	292	66	0.226	5	39	0.321	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.186	0.266	0.284	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	9	26	5	0.192	1	5	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.261	0.367	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	116	393	81	0.206	14	42	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.163	0.254	0.267	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	4	4	3	6	0.188

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Callahan	LF	12	30	8	0.267	1	6	0.324	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.179	0.225	0.420	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	132	506	139	0.275	14	58	0.376	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.248	0.339	0.405	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	79	299	78	0.261	8	36	0.363	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.317	0.325	OK
Colt Keith	DH	123	352	90	0.256	9	31	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.321	0.401	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	126	479	120	0.251	26	82	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.248	0.353	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	107	329	71	0.216	4	26	0.295	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.287	0.310	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	134	454	99	0.218	20	62	0.312	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.314	0.366	OK
Max Clark	CF	28	98	23	0.235	2	13	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.265	0.391	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	86	244	66	0.270	8	34	0.313	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.273	0.314	0.428	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	5	5	2	5	0.250

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	5	26.4	5.80	1.174	6.8	20	5.0	4	2	2	0	3	77	5.0	3	2
Bryan Baker	Closer	55	52.6	1.54	0.875	10.3	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	59	54.1	2.33	0.998	8.3	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	11.1	2.43	0.901	9.7	12	1.0	3	3	3	2	1	30	1.0	1	3

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	16	94.9	1.90	1.033	7.6	80	6.0	3	1	1	2	5	93	6.0	5	1
Kenley Jansen	Closer	39	33.1	3.81	1.208	11.1	41	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	15	1.0	0	2
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	59	52.5	3.60	1.543	8.6	50	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	3.04	1.649	8.2	43	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-4

Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox

TEX 68-70 (4.07 RPG / 4.39 RA)

4 - 5

CHW 72-65 (4.78 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-4 TARGET: TEX 4 - 5 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 53.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	6
CHW	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	8

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

TEX Season Quality

Record66-67

Win%0.496

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.308

CHW Season Quality

Record69-63

Win%0.523

Run Diff38

RD/Game0.288

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3349; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	1B	124	352	82	0.233	24	49	0.324	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.210	0.305	0.408	OK
Corey Seager	DH	77	285	63	0.221	13	34	0.323	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.249	0.333	0.429	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	86	330	83	0.252	15	36	0.332	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.330	0.455	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	132	504	133	0.264	14	53	0.329	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.190	0.246	0.318	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	127	451	123	0.273	15	73	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.327	0.441	OK
Evan Carter	CF	116	334	64	0.192	8	33	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.302	0.337	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	74	180	47	0.261	10	26	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.293	0.336	0.628	OK
Elias Díaz	C	51	154	35	0.227	4	19	0.253	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.147	0.163	0.288	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	22	60	18	0.300	1	6	0.373	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.269	0.317	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	4	4	5	7	0.182

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Miguel Vargas	3B	134	498	124	0.249	29	76	0.362	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.308	0.423	0.565	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	102	364	79	0.217	29	59	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.203	0.334	0.454	OK
Randal Grichuk	DH	75	165	49	0.297	11	30	0.326	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.261	0.539	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	130	487	132	0.271	12	51	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.309	0.341	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	69	254	57	0.224	5	35	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.228	0.315	0.367	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	15	42	9	0.214	1	3	0.214	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.198	0.247	0.284	OK
Jake Rogers	C	5	17	2	0.118	1	2	0.211	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.275	0.350	OK
Tristan Peters	LF	125	370	103	0.278	12	52	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.326	0.493	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	72	190	44	0.232	1	12	0.267	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.138	0.175	0.177	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	5	5	3	9	0.250

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	28	145.6	4.51	1.312	10.2	165	5.2	6	4	4	3	6	113	5.2	6	5
Jacob Latz	Closer	47	57.2	1.26	0.717	10.4	66	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	43	42.6	2.96	1.221	7.4	35	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	9.9	4.55	1.818	10.0	11	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	27	145.5	3.40	1.182	10.0	161	5.2	5	2	2	2	6	106	5.2	6	2
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	2	2	2	0	32	1.1	0	2
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals

BAL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

BOS Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHC Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants

CIN Recent Form

SF Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels

CLE Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals

COL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

COL Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees

HOU Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays