MLB Predictions — August 19, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ BOS	4 - 5	3 - 5	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ MIN	3 - 4	5 - 2	MIN	ATL	ATL wins 5-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ CHC	3 - 4	3 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ PIT	2 - 3	2 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 3-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ HOU	3 - 4	4 - 3	HOU	LAA	LAA wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ COL	5 - 4	5 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ PHI	2 - 3	2 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ BAL	4 - 3	4 - 3	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ KC	4 - 6	3 - 6	KC	KC	KC wins 6-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ NYM	5 - 4	5 - 4	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ MIL	2 - 4	2 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ CLE	2 - 3	2 - 3	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 3-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ CIN	4 - 3	4 - 3	STL	STL	STL wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ TB	4 - 6	3 - 6	TB	TB	TB wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ TEX	3 - 4	3 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox

ARI 67-61 (4.52 RPG / 4.49 RA)

3 - 5

BOS 68-59 (4.53 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-3 TARGET: ARI 4 - 5 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 55.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3
BOS	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	x	5	12

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

ARI Season Quality

Record66-61

Win%0.520

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.024

BOS Season Quality

Record68-58

Win%0.540

Run Diff96

RD/Game0.762

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5624; margin adjustment: 0.2362; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	103	359	95	0.265	9	60	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.285	0.409	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	123	459	113	0.246	18	57	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.347	0.497	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	98	351	108	0.308	10	60	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.304	0.368	0.538	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	122	439	108	0.246	9	43	0.356	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.337	0.365	OK
Nolan Arenado	DH	118	406	98	0.241	20	62	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.234	0.305	0.466	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	63	196	47	0.240	7	29	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.268	0.315	0.418	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	14	46	12	0.261	1	4	0.346	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.252	0.296	0.364	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	51	165	42	0.255	3	15	0.289	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.240	0.275	0.334	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	59	194	53	0.273	2	16	0.332	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.311	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	3	3	3	11	0.100

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	30	108	28	0.259	0	6	0.367	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.283	0.377	0.375	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	117	468	134	0.286	15	62	0.324	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.262	0.280	0.415	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	121	459	119	0.259	22	67	0.338	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.240	0.320	0.462	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	112	392	110	0.281	25	74	0.391	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.274	0.366	0.518	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	114	392	98	0.250	12	59	0.320	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.280	0.338	0.396	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	36	114	29	0.254	2	11	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.320	0.393	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	82	253	67	0.265	6	37	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.315	0.408	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	116	447	90	0.201	16	55	0.261	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.203	0.259	0.305	OK
Connor Wong	C	56	162	41	0.253	4	22	0.337	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.238	0.298	0.461	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	12	5	5	2	5	0.333

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Pfaadt	Starter	22	89.4	3.22	1.174	6.1	61	6.1	9	3	3	1	5	112	6.1	5	3
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	0.2	2	2	2	0	0	15	0.2	0	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	20	112.9	3.03	1.081	10.2	128	6.0	2	3	3	3	8	94	6.0	8	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	41	40.2	1.34	1.119	11.6	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	0.00	0.984	14.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	31	27.3	2.31	1.099	11.5	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-3

Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins

ATL 74-54 (4.75 RPG / 3.93 RA)

5 - 2

MIN 63-65 (4.62 RPG / 4.95 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-2 TARGET: ATL 3 - 4 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 59.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	1	5	10
MIN	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

ATL Season Quality

Record74-53

Win%0.583

Run Diff107

RD/Game0.843

MIN Season Quality

Record62-65

Win%0.488

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.339

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8584; margin adjustment: -0.3605; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	103	399	112	0.281	21	63	0.364	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.297	0.356	0.493	OK
Matt Olson	1B	126	486	127	0.261	36	77	0.337	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.320	0.520	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	120	457	134	0.293	20	68	0.319	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.304	0.322	0.443	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	89	248	65	0.262	8	42	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.169	0.213	0.260	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	126	480	121	0.252	20	64	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.269	0.341	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	104	276	62	0.225	9	33	0.308	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.164	0.253	0.337	OK
Austin Riley	3B	125	447	99	0.221	15	58	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.269	0.357	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	36	106	23	0.217	1	11	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.237	0.282	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	119	442	115	0.260	10	61	0.307	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.291	0.360	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	10	5	5	1	9	0.270

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	117	396	107	0.270	7	36	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.283	0.355	0.415	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	87	347	90	0.259	25	45	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.166	0.234	0.310	OK
Josh Bell	DH	122	450	116	0.258	17	76	0.320	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.274	0.330	0.447	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	109	407	95	0.233	21	58	0.291	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.287	0.445	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	92	337	81	0.240	13	45	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.289	0.357	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	100	329	89	0.271	10	41	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.211	0.286	0.329	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	118	447	109	0.244	18	65	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.277	0.408	OK
Victor Caratini	C	89	282	64	0.227	7	38	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.293	0.290	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	9	31	8	0.258	1	2	0.333	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.257	0.302	0.358	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	10	0.182

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
AJ Smith-Shawver	Starter	1	4.1	4.39	1.463	8.8	4	4.1	5	2	2	2	5	79	4.1	5	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	45	43.8	3.29	1.256	10.1	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	58	49.8	2.17	0.823	12.7	70	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	45	48.5	2.97	1.237	13.0	70	1.2	1	0	0	0	3	24	1.2	3	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever	36	34.8	2.59	0.977	10.6	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	24	133.8	4.04	1.308	10.2	151	5.2	9	4	4	1	6	102	5.2	6	4
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	43	33.8	2.13	1.331	10.1	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	49	52.1	3.80	1.478	9.7	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	3.00	1.667	10.5	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever	42	33.7	3.20	1.454	9.1	34	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	14	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-2

Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs

CHW 66-60 (4.8 RPG / 4.43 RA)

3 - 4

CHC 74-54 (5.12 RPG / 4.34 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-3 TARGET: CHW 3 - 4 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 51.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	5
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	4	7

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

CHW Season Quality

Record65-59

Win%0.524

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.363

CHC Season Quality

Record73-53

Win%0.579

Run Diff102

RD/Game0.810

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2965; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	104	362	99	0.273	8	36	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.325	0.378	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	90	321	75	0.234	29	58	0.372	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.231	0.372	0.568	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	122	460	110	0.239	28	72	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.252	0.339	0.524	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	111	337	83	0.246	13	62	0.308	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.312	0.425	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	58	210	49	0.233	4	28	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.321	0.363	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	118	447	97	0.217	26	71	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.236	0.286	0.398	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	119	444	122	0.275	12	49	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.309	0.375	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	113	332	91	0.274	7	43	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.318	0.364	0.491	OK
Jake Rogers	C	1	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.200	0.296	0.328
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	3	5	0.156

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	DH	125	475	135	0.284	31	79	0.383	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.282	0.371	0.604	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	108	411	112	0.273	22	74	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.317	0.478	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	123	487	126	0.259	16	63	0.350	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.301	0.373	0.436	OK
Michael Busch	1B	123	469	115	0.245	14	62	0.351	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.332	0.412	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	122	488	130	0.266	7	58	0.322	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.283	0.334	0.372	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	47	132	39	0.295	2	15	0.347	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.280	0.331	0.418	OK
Carson Kelly	C	88	293	77	0.263	7	42	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.175	0.252	0.263	OK
Ian Happ	LF	119	439	95	0.216	20	51	0.322	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.207	0.305	0.365	OK
Tyrone Taylor	CF	8	20	4	0.200	0	0	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.284	0.428	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	7	4	4	4	8	0.212

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Newcomb	Starter	45	58.2	2.94	1.254	9.9	64	6.0	4	1	1	0	7	100	6.0	7	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	1	1	3	0	34	1.1	0	1
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	0.0	1	1	1	1	0	15	0.0	0	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	15	0.2	1	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Clay Holmes	Starter	2	10.2	3.53	0.980	3.5	4	6.0	3	2	2	2	5	93	6.0	5	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	56	51.1	2.47	1.292	11.1	63	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	6	4.4	10.23	2.500	14.3	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	36	33.9	2.65	1.209	5.6	21	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-3

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

DET 61-66 (4.54 RPG / 3.9 RA)

2 - 3

PIT 63-66 (5.01 RPG / 4.77 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 3-2 TARGET: DET 2 - 3 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 53.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
PIT	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	x	3	6

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Season Quality

Record61-65

Win%0.484

Run Diff83

RD/Game0.659

PIT Season Quality

Record62-66

Win%0.484

Run Diff30

RD/Game0.234

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2616; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colt Keith	DH	113	328	88	0.268	9	31	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.279	0.320	0.446	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	69	259	70	0.270	8	33	0.380	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.282	0.372	0.391	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	121	464	131	0.282	13	50	0.386	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.343	0.405	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	116	443	115	0.260	26	82	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.127	0.185	0.274	OK
Brett Callahan	LF	3	9	4	0.444	1	5	0.444	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.340	0.349	0.771	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	97	300	67	0.223	4	25	0.303	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.306	0.328	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	124	428	96	0.224	20	62	0.314	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.205	0.289	0.348	OK
Max Clark	CF	17	66	17	0.258	1	9	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.265	0.354	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	75	208	57	0.274	6	30	0.308	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.286	0.331	0.419	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	3	10	0.156

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	86	288	75	0.260	10	38	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.313	0.326	OK
Brandon Lowe	DH	116	460	115	0.250	26	79	0.314	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.308	0.463	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	125	459	121	0.264	15	66	0.374	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.322	0.368	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	55	180	44	0.244	11	33	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.356	0.477	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	64	253	67	0.265	15	46	0.350	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.370	0.544	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	115	437	133	0.304	4	51	0.361	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.307	0.364	0.398	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	25	65	12	0.185	2	7	0.194	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.254	0.362	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	82	251	61	0.243	2	23	0.319	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.294	0.302	OK
Henry Davis	C	71	221	37	0.167	8	32	0.250	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.164	0.225	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	6	3	3	0	7	0.200

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Jobe	Starter	2	8.2	6.59	1.463	8.8	8	4.1	3	2	2	0	4	72	4.1	4	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	36	31.8	3.40	1.195	11.0	39	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	53	48.9	3.68	1.493	8.3	45	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	50	44.1	3.06	1.633	8.0	39	1.2	3	1	1	0	2	8	1.2	2	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	25	132.8	3.93	1.137	11.2	166	5.1	4	2	2	1	7	94	5.1	7	2
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	9.00	2.000	9.0	3	1.2	0	0	0	1	2	25	1.2	2	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	50	42.1	3.63	1.259	17.1	80	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	52	49.4	3.28	1.134	11.7	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 3-2

Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros

LAA 50-76 (4.05 RPG / 4.71 RA)

4 - 3

HOU 63-63 (4.58 RPG / 4.83 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 4-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 4 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 51.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	4
HOU	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

LAA Season Quality

Record49-76

Win%0.392

Run Diff-86

RD/Game-0.688

HOU Season Quality

Record63-62

Win%0.504

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.240

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.385; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wade Meckler	LF	63	200	58	0.290	3	20	0.352	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.273	0.336	0.359	OK
Mike Trout	CF	107	388	93	0.240	20	45	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.333	0.366	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	104	384	108	0.281	7	48	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.318	0.391	0.411	OK
Zach Neto	SS	122	483	108	0.224	20	54	0.309	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.195	0.266	0.333	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	13	47	6	0.128	0	0	0.196	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.175	0.247	0.267	OK
Vaughn Grissom	DH	80	288	71	0.247	7	46	0.302	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.275	0.348	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	77	228	46	0.202	10	26	0.256	4	2	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.205	0.253	0.386	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	48	176	41	0.233	5	18	0.278	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.249	0.290	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	91	294	67	0.228	7	24	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.111	0.147	0.196	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	4	4	4	6	8	0.133

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	77	310	88	0.284	14	40	0.339	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.214	0.255	0.385	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	123	446	143	0.321	36	88	0.435	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.369	0.510	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	118	432	110	0.255	16	67	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.331	0.412	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	99	386	95	0.246	13	36	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.317	0.396	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	31	81	18	0.222	2	15	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.338	0.323	OK
Cam Smith	RF	114	403	90	0.223	17	45	0.291	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.229	0.281	0.462	OK
Christian Walker	1B	120	445	104	0.234	23	71	0.312	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.199	0.261	0.374	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	63	178	39	0.219	7	20	0.302	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.197	0.268	0.366	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	71	208	45	0.216	6	24	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.263	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	3	3	2	8	0.229

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	22	105.8	2.72	1.276	8.7	102	6.0	7	3	3	1	6	101	6.0	6	3
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	0.00	0.333	12.0	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	22	23.5	2.30	0.936	16.1	42	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	8	1.1	0	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	39	35.6	3.79	1.517	12.4	49	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	18	0.2	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Player-814490	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.2	3	4	4	5	3	57	1.2	3	4
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	30	29.3	0.61	0.683	12.6	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	47	40.8	4.85	1.544	12.6	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	61	53.5	2.36	0.972	10.4	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	55	51.2	4.75	1.328	9.3	53	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0
Bennett Sousa	Middle Reliever	16	11.9	3.78	1.597	12.1	16	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Reliever	50	44.9	4.61	1.581	8.6	43	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 4-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD 76-51 (4.99 RPG / 3.87 RA)

5 - 4

COL 50-76 (4.82 RPG / 5.77 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-4 TARGET: LAD 5 - 4 COL (LAD) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
LAD	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	5	10
COL	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

LAD Season Quality

Record75-51

Win%0.595

Run Diff142

RD/Game1.127

COL Season Quality

Record50-75

Win%0.400

Run Diff-119

RD/Game-0.952

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6271; margin adjustment: -2.6034; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	116	448	131	0.292	30	78	0.390	6	5	3	1	1	1	0	0.600	0.309	0.392	0.616	OK
Andy Pages	CF	124	483	132	0.273	21	79	0.338	6	4	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.289	0.339	0.487	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	90	316	79	0.250	11	42	0.310	6	4	1	1	1	2	1	0.250	0.244	0.297	0.377	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	122	460	140	0.304	15	58	0.379	6	4	1	1	0	2	1	0.250	0.320	0.391	0.458	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	88	346	81	0.234	15	42	0.283	6	6	2	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.219	0.259	0.359	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	72	169	48	0.284	3	18	0.317	6	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.162	0.230	0.313	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	116	417	96	0.230	11	55	0.320	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.169	0.251	0.308	OK
Enrique Hernández	3B	13	28	6	0.214	1	2	0.241	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.223	0.256	0.392	OK
Ben Rortvedt	C	7	13	2	0.154	0	1	0.154	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.098	0.111	0.150	OK
TEAM TOTALS									51	43	10	5	5	7	8	0.233

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	RF	105	400	118	0.295	13	67	0.331	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.277	0.314	0.459	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	85	296	77	0.260	19	57	0.298	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.231	0.272	0.450	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	55	194	55	0.284	5	34	0.367	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.263	0.336	0.438	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	119	431	127	0.295	13	59	0.372	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.275	0.338	0.377	OK
Zac Veen	LF	6	15	5	0.333	2	7	0.375	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.200	0.252	0.357	OK
Connor Norby	3B	7	19	4	0.211	0	1	0.348	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.207	0.296	0.324	OK
Adael Amador	2B	4	6	2	0.333	1	4	0.556	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.111	0.368	0.218	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	56	165	40	0.242	7	27	0.277	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.147	0.195	0.340	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	113	379	79	0.208	9	38	0.256	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.174	0.236	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	39	6	4	4	3	12	0.154

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	21	108.9	4.55	1.313	8.9	108	5.2	5	3	3	3	6	103	5.2	6	3
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	54	45.9	2.55	1.024	12.2	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	56	34.0	3.71	1.559	14.8	56	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Middle Reliever	50	43.7	3.50	1.213	11.1	54	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Kyle Hurt	Reliever	38	37.1	4.61	1.482	11.9	49	1.2	1	1	1	0	2	24	1.2	2	1

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	22	117.4	6.44	1.482	7.5	98	4.2	6	3	3	4	3	105	4.2	3	3
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	13	12.2	2.95	1.557	10.3	14	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	58	41.1	3.50	1.509	8.1	37	1.1	1	1	1	2	0	28	1.1	0	1
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	37	31.8	6.79	1.792	10.2	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	49	45.1	6.78	1.929	10.0	50	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	25	1.2	0	0
Zach Agnos	Middle Reliever	32	69.1	5.73	1.491	6.0	46	1.0	2	0	0	1	3	28	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 11)

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies

MIA 64-64 (4.38 RPG / 4.27 RA)

2 - 4

PHI 70-58 (4.48 RPG / 4.37 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-2 TARGET: MIA 2 - 3 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
PHI	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

MIA Season Quality

Record64-63

Win%0.504

Run Diff17

RD/Game0.134

PHI Season Quality

Record69-58

Win%0.543

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.094

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0184; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	119	405	84	0.207	7	29	0.325	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.231	0.329	0.362	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	123	494	152	0.308	9	54	0.343	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.238	0.281	0.344	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	125	462	132	0.286	6	47	0.366	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.290	0.370	0.368	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	57	169	47	0.278	14	30	0.365	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.282	0.355	0.557	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	93	311	71	0.228	18	51	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.291	0.423	OK
Owen Caissie	DH	90	253	57	0.225	13	52	0.288	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.279	0.424	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	63	144	37	0.257	6	11	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.130	0.192	0.273	OK
Joe Mack	C	73	221	53	0.240	12	36	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.298	0.431	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	98	324	88	0.272	5	47	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.295	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	5	5	0.182

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	119	448	110	0.246	36	73	0.361	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.336	0.487	OK
Trea Turner	SS	119	497	123	0.247	17	48	0.298	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.205	0.261	0.325	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	125	440	114	0.259	25	72	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.410	0.476	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	14	62	17	0.274	1	9	0.292	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.313	0.343	0.400	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	120	451	110	0.244	14	70	0.303	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.281	0.327	0.447	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	120	417	111	0.266	9	58	0.345	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.360	0.417	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	119	437	119	0.272	17	54	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.280	0.367	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	112	337	89	0.264	2	30	0.311	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.297	0.334	0.404	OK
Garrett Stubbs	C	15	41	5	0.122	0	2	0.196	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.092	0.137	0.142	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	4	4	2	4	0.226

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	26	168.8	3.47	1.179	6.9	130	6.1	7	4	4	1	2	105	6.1	2	4
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	41	36.7	6.13	1.335	13.2	54	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	53	45.9	4.71	1.634	12.0	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	51	46.5	4.06	1.247	12.0	62	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	7	0.2	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	25	126.5	5.48	1.494	9.8	138	5.1	6	2	2	1	2	95	5.1	2	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	46	43.4	1.45	0.991	12.9	62	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	48	41.7	3.24	1.103	12.3	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	54	44.3	4.06	1.400	11.0	54	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	4.35	0.968	11.6	8	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-2

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

NYY 70-55 (4.43 RPG / 3.74 RA)

4 - 3

BAL 61-65 (4.52 RPG / 4.75 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-3 TARGET: NYY 4 - 3 BAL (NYY) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	9
BAL	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	4

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff5

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

NYY Season Quality

Record70-55

Win%0.560

Run Diff87

RD/Game0.696

BAL Season Quality

Record61-65

Win%0.484

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.230

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6858; margin adjustment: -0.288; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	100	358	80	0.223	16	53	0.310	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.254	0.320	0.538	OK
Ben Rice	DH	117	437	109	0.249	32	74	0.346	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.190	0.273	0.427	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	12	46	10	0.217	1	3	0.260	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.283	0.427	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	12	39	3	0.077	0	0	0.217	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.163	0.220	0.294	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	113	398	86	0.216	17	48	0.291	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.198	0.270	0.344	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	49	142	30	0.211	5	18	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.281	0.371	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	94	268	58	0.216	10	31	0.280	4	2	1	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.181	0.254	0.301	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	12	41	12	0.293	2	3	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.284	0.356	0.415	OK
Austin Wells	C	88	248	44	0.177	8	17	0.270	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.185	0.267	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	4	4	3	8	0.257

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	70	212	50	0.236	6	25	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.243	0.319	0.365	OK
Pete Alonso	DH	123	461	124	0.269	28	81	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.294	0.375	0.544	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	122	493	108	0.219	19	50	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.287	0.389	OK
Samuel Basallo	1B	83	281	68	0.242	16	46	0.302	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.218	0.274	0.417	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	94	295	64	0.217	17	47	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.276	0.478	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	66	204	49	0.240	3	23	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.230	0.289	0.343	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	103	334	76	0.228	7	44	0.300	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.296	0.360	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	98	249	54	0.217	10	30	0.309	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.152	0.237	0.346	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	12	33	3	0.091	0	0	0.189	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.126	0.188	0.196	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	3	3	2	9	0.129

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	24	113.1	4.62	1.468	9.3	117	4.2	3	2	2	2	5	82	4.2	5	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	51	51.6	2.62	1.085	11.0	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	64	51.1	1.94	1.429	13.7	78	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	58	37.9	3.80	1.794	15.0	63	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Bassitt	Starter	13	59.8	5.27	1.672	6.0	40	4.2	8	3	3	0	4	95	4.2	4	3
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	52	34.1	2.90	1.114	10.0	38	2.0	1	1	1	1	2	38	2.0	2	1
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	43	33.6	4.02	1.518	8.3	31	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	57	46.6	3.09	0.966	10.4	54	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3

Oakland Athletics @ Kansas City Royals

OAK 49-77 (4.35 RPG / 5.77 RA)

3 - 6

KC 53-74 (4.14 RPG / 4.98 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 6-3 TARGET: OAK 4 - 6 KC (KC) Confidence: 60.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	3	5
KC	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	x	6	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

OAK Season Quality

Record49-77

Win%0.389

Run Diff-179

RD/Game-1.421

KC Season Quality

Record53-74

Win%0.417

Run Diff-106

RD/Game-0.835

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4716; margin adjustment: 0.1981; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	79	273	73	0.267	6	25	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.322	0.401	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	108	344	90	0.262	6	41	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.291	0.329	0.449	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	71	256	70	0.273	14	34	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.326	0.480	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	111	337	71	0.211	11	36	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.313	0.446	OK
Tommy White	1B	28	105	28	0.267	2	4	0.294	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.272	0.304	0.380	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	90	251	65	0.259	7	35	0.332	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.254	0.320	0.408	OK
Jonah Heim	C	66	224	47	0.210	10	31	0.269	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.173	0.252	0.308	OK
Donovan Walton	SS	23	48	9	0.188	0	4	0.371	3	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.332	0.407	OK
Max Muncy	3B	60	188	40	0.213	5	22	0.284	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.242	0.301	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	7	0.156

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Loftin	2B	86	267	62	0.232	5	35	0.317	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.213	0.293	0.336	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	107	419	120	0.286	15	46	0.359	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.287	0.366	0.513	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	117	422	116	0.275	22	60	0.325	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.335	0.369	0.551	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	69	273	73	0.267	3	31	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.296	0.347	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	80	296	70	0.236	6	34	0.322	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.338	0.379	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	116	445	96	0.216	16	54	0.261	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.242	0.324	OK
Carter Jensen	C	116	412	91	0.221	16	56	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.187	0.276	0.331	OK
Tyler Tolbert	LF	37	93	29	0.312	3	8	0.369	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.304	0.373	0.460	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	66	199	45	0.226	4	16	0.278	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.257	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	11	6	6	2	3	0.314

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	22	105.2	6.33	1.521	7.5	88	4.0	8	4	4	2	2	82	4.0	2	4
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	58	44.4	4.66	1.937	14.6	72	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	39	32.7	5.50	1.498	13.2	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	3.47	1.484	11.6	67	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	5	1.1	0	1
Seth Johnson	Middle Reliever	4	4.2	6.43	2.143	12.9	6	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	20	0.0	0	1
Brady Basso	Middle Reliever	16	20.2	4.46	1.535	8.5	19	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.2	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	25	137.0	4.66	1.401	7.1	108	5.2	5	3	3	2	5	94	5.2	5	3
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	44	41.9	4.51	1.313	11.0	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	0.98	0.870	8.8	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	50	38.7	4.19	1.576	7.7	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	5	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

KC wins 6-3

San Diego Padres @ New York Mets

SD 68-60 (4.24 RPG / 4.22 RA)

5 - 4

NYM 58-70 (4.15 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: SD 5 - 4 NYM (SD) Confidence: 56.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
SD	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	10
NYM	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	4	8

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Season Quality

Record68-59

Win%0.535

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.039

NYM Season Quality

Record57-70

Win%0.449

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.346

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5046; margin adjustment: -0.2119; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	123	486	136	0.280	15	59	0.351	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.274	0.336	0.590	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	74	255	58	0.227	4	20	0.311	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.247	0.305	0.349	OK
Manny Machado	DH	124	461	100	0.217	24	71	0.302	5	5	1	1	2	0	3	0.200	0.232	0.317	0.417	OK
Ty France	1B	95	324	94	0.290	17	52	0.345	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.266	0.308	0.424	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	123	479	116	0.242	19	63	0.293	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.216	0.262	0.374	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	29	99	31	0.313	4	13	0.409	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.242	0.323	0.356	OK
Luis Campusano	C	45	131	40	0.305	5	23	0.401	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.272	0.363	0.469	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	120	411	90	0.219	11	46	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.180	0.296	0.303	OK
Sung-Mun Song	3B	44	111	23	0.207	1	15	0.296	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.128	0.213	0.181	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	40	10	5	5	3	9	0.250

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	85	308	77	0.250	7	28	0.326	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.215	0.298	0.323	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	69	268	64	0.239	12	32	0.331	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.311	0.402	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	123	493	132	0.268	12	63	0.312	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.315	0.356	0.446	OK
Carson Benge	RF	118	450	121	0.269	14	49	0.332	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.257	0.316	0.396	OK
Jared Young	1B	72	220	58	0.264	7	26	0.332	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.191	0.240	0.344	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	85	280	66	0.236	12	29	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.298	0.366	OK
Brett Baty	LF	104	342	74	0.216	8	38	0.282	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.198	0.267	0.333	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	105	371	79	0.213	14	41	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.253	0.320	OK
Luis Torrens	C	68	203	50	0.246	7	31	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.318	0.563	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	8	4	4	1	10	0.211

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	25	140.0	3.47	1.207	8.0	124	5.2	6	3	3	1	7	93	5.2	7	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	50	49.3	0.91	0.872	17.3	95	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	58	59.6	3.17	1.242	12.5	83	1.2	1	1	1	0	2	24	1.2	2	1
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	31	25.6	3.87	1.250	13.0	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hart	Reliever	34	46.9	4.41	1.194	9.4	49	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.2	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Stock	Starter	3	12.1	6.69	1.901	9.7	13	4.0	7	2	2	0	5	78	4.0	5	2
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	18	47.1	8.22	1.741	11.5	60	1.2	2	1	1	1	1	14	1.2	1	1
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	15	18.7	0.96	0.695	8.2	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever	6	3.7	0.00	0.811	14.6	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jefry Yan	Middle Reliever	6	3.8	2.37	2.632	16.6	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Dedniel Núñez	Middle Reliever	5	5.1	10.59	2.353	8.8	5	0.0	0	1	1	1	0	15	0.0	0	1
Jack Weisenburger	Reliever	3	4.1	2.20	1.220	8.8	4	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	26	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers

SEA 59-67 (3.88 RPG / 4.24 RA)

2 - 4

MIL 78-48 (5.0 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-2 TARGET: SEA 2 - 4 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
MIL	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	x	4	7

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-31

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

SEA Season Quality

Record59-67

Win%0.468

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.357

MIL Season Quality

Record78-48

Win%0.619

Run Diff158

RD/Game1.254

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.54; margin adjustment: 2.464; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	34	125	32	0.256	3	12	0.338	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.224	0.276	0.332	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	118	438	120	0.274	17	53	0.366	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.219	0.282	0.391	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	109	335	87	0.260	19	52	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.324	0.467	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	114	450	115	0.256	19	52	0.320	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.220	0.272	0.361	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	117	454	121	0.267	10	44	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.315	0.365	OK
Cole Young	2B	126	461	119	0.258	15	56	0.315	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.253	0.351	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	92	331	52	0.157	13	44	0.271	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.120	0.249	0.257	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	8	32	5	0.156	0	0	0.156	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.322	0.308	OK
Brock Rodden	SS	4	13	4	0.308	0	3	0.412	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.401	0.436	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	4	2	2	1	11	0.133

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	113	442	121	0.274	16	76	0.364	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.335	0.388	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	90	372	104	0.280	17	50	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.318	0.421	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	109	372	103	0.277	21	70	0.384	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.312	0.425	0.551	OK
William Contreras	C	115	442	114	0.258	12	62	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.315	0.384	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	83	322	71	0.220	9	42	0.304	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.213	0.277	0.379	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	76	223	68	0.305	5	36	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.317	0.355	OK
Luis Lara	CF	27	88	21	0.239	1	15	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.330	0.439	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	88	263	64	0.243	6	32	0.312	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.263	0.335	0.397	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	41	130	35	0.269	2	16	0.344	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.313	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	7	4	4	2	9	0.233

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	24	141.6	3.37	1.017	9.7	152	6.1	3	1	1	0	8	107	6.1	8	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	47	43.0	4.19	1.256	15.1	72	0.2	3	3	3	1	0	21	0.2	0	3
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	55	45.4	4.16	1.498	8.1	41	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	2	13.0	2.08	0.923	7.6	11	5.2	4	2	2	1	8	87	5.2	8	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	48	47.3	1.71	0.803	10.3	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	58	62.0	3.77	1.548	14.1	97	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever	41	81.6	3.31	1.275	8.6	78	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-2

San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians

SF 52-74 (4.1 RPG / 4.65 RA)

2 - 3

CLE 61-65 (3.98 RPG / 4.18 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 3-2 TARGET: SF 2 - 3 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
CLE	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	x	3	10

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SF Season Quality

Record52-74

Win%0.413

Run Diff-69

RD/Game-0.548

CLE Season Quality

Record61-65

Win%0.484

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.198

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4366; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	CF	17	35	10	0.286	1	3	0.286	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.245	0.253	0.452	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	124	465	114	0.245	24	68	0.320	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.304	0.458	OK
Willy Adames	SS	115	440	99	0.225	18	47	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.292	0.375	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	82	289	72	0.249	14	33	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.338	0.453	OK
Victor Bericoto	LF	25	74	19	0.257	4	10	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.241	0.254	0.420	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	112	428	126	0.294	8	44	0.331	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.222	0.254	0.338	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	17	56	15	0.268	3	8	0.300	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.258	0.277	0.432	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	29	76	19	0.250	0	5	0.352	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.338	0.301	OK
Christian Koss	3B	29	84	17	0.202	0	2	0.221	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.240	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	2	2	4	8	0.206

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	112	398	105	0.264	2	23	0.362	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.274	0.371	0.347	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	10	35	10	0.286	2	8	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.268	0.320	0.469	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	79	290	69	0.238	12	44	0.270	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.265	0.433	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	91	336	78	0.232	9	35	0.329	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.185	0.273	0.274	OK
Angel Genao	3B	10	37	12	0.324	1	3	0.390	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.333	0.414	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	46	122	27	0.221	2	8	0.250	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.149	0.171	0.237	OK
Austin Hedges	C	57	163	43	0.264	4	19	0.337	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.304	0.329	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	120	422	108	0.256	10	51	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.285	0.373	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	51	155	32	0.206	5	20	0.259	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.173	0.238	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	3	3	2	9	0.294

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matt Gage	Starter	33	19.4	7.42	2.268	10.2	22	4.0	6	3	3	1	7	72	4.0	7	3
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	27	21.3	3.38	1.408	11.8	28	2.0	3	0	0	1	1	33	2.0	1	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	35	23.5	3.83	2.000	12.3	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	38	53.0	3.57	1.264	6.5	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.0	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	24	136.5	2.70	1.077	9.4	142	6.0	5	2	2	3	6	104	6.0	6	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	52	51.5	2.45	1.184	13.5	77	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	47	34.1	3.96	1.525	10.8	41	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	47	41.3	1.96	0.969	10.0	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 3-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds

STL 65-62 (4.39 RPG / 4.31 RA)

4 - 3

CIN 60-66 (4.04 RPG / 4.75 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-3 TARGET: STL 4 - 3 CIN (STL) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	4	7
CIN	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-21

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Season Quality

Record65-62

Win%0.512

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.079

CIN Season Quality

Record60-66

Win%0.476

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-0.706

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8572; margin adjustment: -0.36; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	118	461	111	0.241	16	45	0.345	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.238	0.327	0.359	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	124	465	112	0.241	13	51	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.314	0.375	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	123	473	137	0.290	21	91	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.312	0.364	0.555	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	121	469	136	0.290	22	83	0.349	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.303	0.348	0.490	OK
Nathan Church	CF	96	317	75	0.237	9	39	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.151	0.199	0.230	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	116	423	102	0.241	5	51	0.312	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.269	0.329	0.416	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	42	101	23	0.228	3	13	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.299	0.355	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	48	162	40	0.247	2	25	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.281	0.395	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	41	113	21	0.186	4	12	0.250	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.135	0.190	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	4	4	1	7	0.206

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	106	417	109	0.261	20	57	0.344	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.200	0.280	0.371	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	125	476	124	0.261	26	91	0.335	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.251	0.311	0.402	OK
Dane Myers	CF	77	198	52	0.263	5	20	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.319	0.414	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	94	335	70	0.209	18	50	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.208	0.283	0.403	OK
Tyler Stephenson	DH	96	306	75	0.245	12	39	0.329	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.222	0.299	0.396	OK
Michael Toglia	RF	7	19	3	0.158	0	1	0.238	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.167	0.243	0.286	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	96	342	76	0.222	20	47	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.300	0.349	OK
Jose Trevino	C	31	99	24	0.242	4	12	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.190	0.202	0.326	OK
Matt McLain	2B	97	328	63	0.192	11	29	0.289	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.183	0.266	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	3	7	0.229

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	24	115.5	5.22	1.524	9.0	116	5.0	4	2	2	1	5	85	5.0	5	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	52	49.8	3.07	1.104	9.6	53	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	57	48.1	4.12	1.393	10.3	55	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	54	42.1	4.92	1.639	10.7	50	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever	55	50.4	3.93	1.587	7.3	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	23	129.6	2.50	1.103	10.5	151	6.0	4	3	3	0	6	97	6.0	6	3
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	29	27.4	3.94	1.095	10.2	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	41	34.4	4.19	1.279	9.9	38	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	63	52.6	3.25	1.464	10.6	62	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 4-3

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

TOR 62-65 (3.95 RPG / 4.36 RA)

3 - 6

TB 75-50 (4.57 RPG / 4.18 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-3 TARGET: TOR 4 - 6 TB (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	7
TB	2	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	x	6	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record62-65

Win%0.488

Run Diff-52

RD/Game-0.409

TB Season Quality

Record75-50

Win%0.600

Run Diff48

RD/Game0.384

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5996; margin adjustment: 0.2518; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	10	46	13	0.283	0	4	0.327	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.238	0.272	0.311	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	89	297	78	0.263	6	22	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.217	0.259	0.297	OK
Alejandro Kirk	DH	49	172	48	0.279	6	25	0.349	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.293	0.369	0.456	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	1B	121	449	102	0.227	25	72	0.299	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.221	0.279	0.414	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	86	244	64	0.262	8	33	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.314	0.400	OK
Josh Smith	2B	11	25	6	0.240	2	3	0.296	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.204	0.275	0.361	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	65	200	45	0.225	8	21	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.125	0.205	0.216	OK
Charles McAdoo	3B	15	44	11	0.250	2	7	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.302	0.404	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	115	382	92	0.241	8	48	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.271	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	7	3	3	2	8	0.212

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	113	439	136	0.310	0	25	0.335	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.324	0.350	0.380	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	124	473	130	0.275	35	79	0.365	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.242	0.317	0.429	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	121	460	132	0.287	15	76	0.370	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.328	0.360	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	119	470	145	0.309	18	70	0.377	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.334	0.385	0.503	OK
Liam Hicks	C	12	37	10	0.270	2	9	0.426	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.341	0.409	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	104	362	76	0.210	13	39	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.280	0.332	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	66	182	48	0.264	11	36	0.327	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.209	0.283	0.427	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	92	263	64	0.243	5	37	0.343	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.283	0.373	0.391	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	96	303	67	0.221	2	30	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.309	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	6	6	4	3	0.273

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Scherzer	Starter	10	39.6	6.82	1.515	7.0	31	4.1	8	6	6	4	1	98	4.1	1	6
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	58	59.9	1.35	1.035	11.9	79	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	59	53.6	1.68	1.231	4.9	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	38	72.7	3.34	1.210	9.0	73	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	23	128.4	2.80	0.919	9.3	133	6.0	5	2	2	2	6	109	6.0	6	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	50	47.6	1.51	0.903	10.4	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	53	48.5	2.23	0.990	8.2	44	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	44	31.2	4.62	1.571	13.8	48	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	11	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

TB wins 6-3

Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers

WAS 60-67 (5.28 RPG / 5.17 RA)

3 - 4

TEX 62-64 (4.06 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-3 TARGET: WAS 3 - 4 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	6
TEX	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	x	4	7

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

WAS Season Quality

Record60-66

Win%0.476

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.143

TEX Season Quality

Record61-64

Win%0.488

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.376

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3999; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	SS	123	465	130	0.280	29	91	0.355	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.308	0.441	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	15	43	12	0.279	5	9	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.259	0.280	0.542	OK
Jose F Miranda	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.315	0.405
Daylen Lile	RF	125	477	117	0.245	15	65	0.295	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.249	0.290	0.395	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	49	112	26	0.232	7	29	0.328	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.318	0.510	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	79	262	72	0.275	7	41	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.281	0.318	0.407	OK
Jacob Young	CF	101	341	85	0.249	10	41	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.251	0.290	0.381	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	86	228	55	0.241	3	19	0.328	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.324	0.313	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	110	359	82	0.228	1	34	0.313	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.199	0.282	0.233	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	3	3	1	6	0.182

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	1B	113	326	79	0.242	22	46	0.333	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.306	0.442	OK
Corey Seager	SS	65	240	50	0.208	12	30	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.339	0.454	OK
Wyatt Langford	DH	74	288	74	0.257	14	33	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.327	0.453	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	120	458	125	0.273	13	48	0.338	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.252	0.303	0.413	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	115	406	107	0.264	13	64	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.299	0.392	OK
Evan Carter	CF	106	305	59	0.193	8	31	0.294	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.201	0.278	0.320	OK
Jarred Kelenic	LF	9	16	4	0.250	0	2	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.313	0.315	OK
Elias Díaz	C	43	133	30	0.226	3	15	0.241	3	3	2	1	0	0	1	0.667	0.183	0.201	0.326	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	66	190	52	0.274	1	21	0.315	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.157	0.189	0.213	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	7	4	4	1	8	0.226

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	26	134.1	3.42	1.268	10.1	151	6.0	5	4	4	1	6	103	6.0	6	4
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	39	34.5	3.39	1.304	10.2	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	39	33.5	3.76	1.284	8.9	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	23	112.5	4.64	1.440	8.5	106	5.0	3	1	1	1	3	83	5.0	3	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	43	53.2	1.35	0.695	9.8	58	1.1	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.1	1	2
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	42	41.8	3.88	1.435	10.8	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	32	23.8	4.92	1.303	9.8	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	9	6.6	4.09	1.818	9.5	7	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox

ARI Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins

ATL Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs

CHW Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

DET Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

DET Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros

LAA Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD Recent Form

COL Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies

MIA Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

PHI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles