MLB Predictions — August 16, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ ATL	6 - 2	6 - 1	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 6-1	51%	fallback_enhanced
BAL @ TB	4 - 5	4 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ PIT	5 - 4	5 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ DET	5 - 4	6 - 3	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ SF	4 - 5	4 - 5	SF	SF	SF wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ LAA	5 - 4	6 - 4	KC	KC	KC wins 6-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ CIN	3 - 2	3 - 2	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 3-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ LAD	2 - 3	1 - 3	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 3-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ TOR	3 - 4	3 - 4	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ MIN	3 - 2	5 - 0	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-0	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ CLE	5 - 4	6 - 2	SD	SD	SD wins 6-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ HOU	2 - 3	1 - 4	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ CHC	4 - 5	4 - 5	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ OAK	5 - 4	5 - 3	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ NYM	2 - 4	2 - 4	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 4-2	62%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

ARI 66-59 (4.54 RPG / 4.39 RA)

6 - 1

ATL 74-51 (4.81 RPG / 3.91 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 6-1 TARGET: ARI 6 - 2 ATL (ARI) Confidence: 51.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	6	11
ATL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7

ARI Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.478083588175331

Avg Allowed4.478083588175331

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

ATL Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.478083588175331

Avg Allowed4.478083588175331

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

ARI Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

ATL Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	119	430	107	0.249	9	42	0.359	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.251	0.335	0.354	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	120	451	112	0.248	18	57	0.345	5	3	3	1	3	1	0	1.000	0.272	0.353	0.566	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	95	340	105	0.309	8	55	0.386	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.318	0.392	0.483	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	116	466	117	0.251	21	67	0.313	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.260	0.327	0.482	OK
Max Kepler	LF	33	107	23	0.215	2	15	0.283	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.200	0.266	0.301	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	117	404	98	0.243	20	62	0.322	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.298	0.551	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	60	185	44	0.238	7	28	0.284	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.288	0.398	OK
James McCann	C	32	106	31	0.292	4	21	0.324	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.260	0.292	0.418	OK
Jorge Barrosa	CF	51	125	24	0.192	2	10	0.263	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.149	0.225	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	38	11	6	6	4	8	0.289

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	100	387	107	0.276	20	61	0.361	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.270	0.329	0.387	OK
Matt Olson	1B	123	476	125	0.263	35	74	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.319	0.527	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	117	445	129	0.290	20	68	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.278	0.405	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	101	268	62	0.231	9	33	0.311	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.203	0.280	0.445	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	123	469	119	0.254	20	64	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.194	0.263	0.355	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	87	243	64	0.263	8	42	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.157	0.204	0.246	OK
Austin Riley	3B	122	435	96	0.221	15	58	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.270	0.388	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	34	101	22	0.218	1	11	0.269	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.169	0.216	0.268	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	117	436	115	0.264	10	61	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.293	0.368	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	1	1	2	10	0.206

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Soroka	Starter	16	84.7	2.98	1.122	8.8	83	5.2	5	1	1	2	7	100	5.2	7	1
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	23	129.1	4.11	1.278	7.5	108	5.2	8	4	4	3	6	107	5.2	6	4
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	44	42.8	3.15	1.238	10.3	49	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	57	48.8	2.21	0.840	12.5	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	43	47.3	2.66	1.184	12.7	67	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	6	1.0	1	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever	35	34.6	2.34	0.954	10.4	40	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	16	0.1	1	1
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	48	36.4	4.70	1.484	10.1	41	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 6-1

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays

BAL 61-63 (4.54 RPG / 4.75 RA)

4 - 5

TB 74-49 (4.54 RPG / 4.12 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: BAL 4 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	4	6
TB	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	1	5	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BAL Season Quality

Record60-63

Win%0.488

Run Diff-34

RD/Game-0.276

TB Season Quality

Record74-48

Win%0.607

Run Diff60

RD/Game0.492

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8531; margin adjustment: 0.3583; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	67	199	47	0.236	6	22	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.297	0.338	OK
Pete Alonso	DH	120	451	120	0.266	27	78	0.357	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.290	0.369	0.523	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	119	481	106	0.220	19	50	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.330	0.449	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	21	67	15	0.224	4	13	0.274	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.225	0.262	0.464	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	64	198	49	0.247	3	23	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.303	0.356	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	100	325	73	0.225	7	44	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.289	0.392	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	95	241	52	0.216	9	28	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.175	0.264	0.326	OK
Coby Mayo	1B	91	284	60	0.211	15	45	0.274	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.206	0.259	0.409	OK
Yohel Pozo	C	6	11	3	0.273	1	2	0.250	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.128	0.137	0.229	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	2	11	0.182

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	116	458	140	0.306	17	69	0.374	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.321	0.366	0.490	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	118	446	129	0.289	15	75	0.375	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.293	0.362	0.407	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	121	461	127	0.275	35	79	0.367	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.227	0.312	0.469	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	63	172	42	0.244	9	34	0.309	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.118	0.199	0.251	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	110	426	131	0.308	0	25	0.334	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.336	0.362	0.390	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	69	229	62	0.271	8	34	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.318	0.463	OK
Jorge Mateo	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.266	0.361
Nick Fortes	C	83	248	67	0.270	4	29	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.169	0.206	0.253	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	93	293	64	0.218	2	28	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.303	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	9	5	5	4	8	0.257

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	22	116.4	4.33	1.280	7.9	102	5.2	7	3	3	1	6	108	5.2	6	3
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	52	34.1	2.90	1.114	10.0	38	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	21	1.0	0	1
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	43	33.6	4.02	1.518	8.3	31	0.0	0	0	0	3	0	12	0.0	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	56	45.6	3.16	0.965	10.3	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	26	1.0	1	0
Josh Walker	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	3.91	1.478	10.2	13	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	15	0.1	1	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	2	9.2	9.78	1.848	7.8	8	4.2	6	4	4	2	7	92	4.2	7	4
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	49	46.4	1.55	0.905	10.3	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	52	47.5	2.27	0.968	8.1	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	43	31.1	4.34	1.511	13.9	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	4	5.1	0.00	0.980	14.1	8	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	9	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4

Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

BOS 66-58 (4.43 RPG / 3.77 RA)

5 - 4

PIT 61-65 (5.02 RPG / 4.79 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-4 TARGET: BOS 5 - 4 PIT (BOS) Confidence: 55.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
BOS	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	5	8
PIT	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	4	8

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BOS Season Quality

Record66-57

Win%0.537

Run Diff86

RD/Game0.699

PIT Season Quality

Record60-65

Win%0.480

Run Diff25

RD/Game0.200

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4916; margin adjustment: -0.2065; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	1B	27	96	24	0.250	0	5	0.365	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.251	0.366	0.325	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	114	454	130	0.286	15	61	0.325	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.276	0.296	0.440	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	118	448	117	0.261	22	65	0.337	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.299	0.372	0.598	OK
Adley Rutschman	DH	4	14	1	0.071	0	0	0.278	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.221	0.321	0.371	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	111	381	93	0.244	12	57	0.314	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.252	0.312	0.413	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	79	241	65	0.270	6	35	0.330	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.350	0.437	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	114	439	88	0.200	16	55	0.261	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.206	0.268	0.332	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	41	132	32	0.242	3	12	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.162	0.236	0.283	OK
Connor Wong	C	55	159	39	0.245	3	19	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.277	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	8	5	5	4	7	0.211

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jared Triolo	SS	79	240	59	0.246	2	23	0.325	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.238	0.311	0.359	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	52	168	42	0.250	11	33	0.368	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.253	0.361	0.479	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	122	447	118	0.264	15	63	0.375	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.240	0.343	0.393	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	113	448	111	0.248	26	77	0.313	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.229	0.290	0.440	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	1B	12	37	11	0.297	4	10	0.381	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.289	0.366	0.612	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	91	328	100	0.305	4	28	0.352	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.293	0.328	0.406	OK
Nick Yorke	3B	24	76	15	0.197	1	6	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.121	0.170	0.197	OK
Billy Cook	CF	23	45	9	0.200	0	2	0.200	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.120	0.129	0.248	OK
Henry Davis	C	69	214	36	0.168	8	30	0.254	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.171	0.237	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	8	4	4	3	12	0.211

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	6	29.3	3.38	1.741	8.9	29	5.0	6	2	2	2	6	90	5.0	6	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	41	40.2	1.34	1.119	11.6	52	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	36	25.5	5.65	1.686	13.8	39	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	19	1.0	2	2
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	5	5.1	0.00	0.980	15.9	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	30	26.1	2.41	1.073	11.7	34	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
Jovani Morán	Reliever	36	46.1	3.12	1.063	11.1	57	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lake Bachar	Starter	3	7.0	5.14	1.000	9.0	7	5.0	5	2	2	4	5	101	5.0	5	2
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	9.00	2.000	9.0	3	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	23	1.1	2	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	48	40.1	3.82	1.322	17.1	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	51	48.4	3.35	1.116	11.3	61	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	3.00	1.500	10.5	7	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	20	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

CHW 65-58 (4.83 RPG / 4.45 RA)

6 - 3

DET 60-64 (4.56 RPG / 3.89 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-3 TARGET: CHW 5 - 4 DET (CHW) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	1	0	2	3	0	0	0	6	9
DET	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	4

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

CHW Season Quality

Record64-58

Win%0.525

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.369

DET Season Quality

Record60-63

Win%0.488

Run Diff85

RD/Game0.691

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2142; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	101	352	98	0.278	8	35	0.367	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.287	0.334	0.419	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	87	310	73	0.235	27	55	0.370	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.226	0.357	0.527	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	119	448	107	0.239	27	71	0.342	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.238	0.329	0.528	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	108	330	82	0.248	12	60	0.310	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.276	0.330	0.420	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	55	198	47	0.237	4	28	0.327	4	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.239	0.324	0.378	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	116	439	92	0.210	26	70	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.246	0.348	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	116	432	121	0.280	12	49	0.354	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.277	0.346	0.440	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	110	325	88	0.271	7	42	0.329	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.290	0.339	0.464	OK
Drew Romo	C	47	151	20	0.132	6	13	0.210	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.137	0.198	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	6	6	3	9	0.250

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	66	246	66	0.268	8	33	0.379	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.362	0.397	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	118	450	128	0.284	12	48	0.390	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.278	0.379	0.409	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	113	433	113	0.261	26	81	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.179	0.217	0.336	OK
Colt Keith	DH	110	320	84	0.262	8	30	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.284	0.384	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	94	291	64	0.220	4	24	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.287	0.306	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	121	421	96	0.228	20	62	0.317	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.259	0.342	0.406	OK
Max Clark	CF	14	54	14	0.259	1	7	0.322	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.162	0.215	0.318	OK
Javier Báez	SS	36	126	35	0.278	2	14	0.303	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.296	0.370	OK
Trei Cruz	CF	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.056	0.071	0.093
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	3	3	1	5	0.129

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	24	132.4	3.06	1.110	10.3	152	5.2	2	3	3	1	5	94	5.2	5	3
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.1	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	43	55.0	3.11	1.291	9.8	60	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Anderson	Starter	42	64.1	4.35	1.451	11.5	82	4.2	7	6	6	2	5	100	4.2	5	6
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	35	30.8	3.51	1.234	10.8	37	1.2	0	0	0	1	2	25	1.2	2	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	52	47.9	3.19	1.420	8.3	44	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	25	1.2	2	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	49	43.9	3.08	1.595	7.8	38	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-3

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL 49-74 (4.74 RPG / 5.71 RA)

4 - 5

SF 52-72 (4.1 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-4 TARGET: COL 4 - 5 SF (SF) Confidence: 53.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	4	7
SF	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	1	5	13

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Season Quality

Record49-74

Win%0.398

Run Diff-119

RD/Game-0.967

SF Season Quality

Record52-72

Win%0.419

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.452

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3292; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	102	389	115	0.296	13	66	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.285	0.315	0.467	OK
Cole Carrigg	SS	52	182	53	0.291	5	31	0.373	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.361	0.458	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	83	288	76	0.264	19	54	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.291	0.481	OK
Willi Castro	3B	104	374	98	0.262	13	50	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.261	0.322	0.416	OK
Troy Johnston	1B	99	322	91	0.283	3	43	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.276	0.330	0.395	OK
Zac Veen	RF	3	9	2	0.222	2	4	0.300	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.229	0.301	0.800	OK
Jordan Beck	LF	35	100	20	0.200	1	10	0.243	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.268	0.375	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	53	158	38	0.241	6	23	0.269	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.278	0.485	OK
Adael Amador	2B	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.099	0.113	0.181
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	4	4	2	11	0.206

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	90	251	62	0.247	6	28	0.318	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.292	0.354	0.520	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	122	456	112	0.246	23	65	0.322	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.319	0.440	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	80	282	69	0.245	13	31	0.337	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.240	0.326	0.448	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	111	423	125	0.296	8	44	0.333	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.245	0.275	0.385	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	15	50	14	0.280	3	8	0.288	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.279	0.286	0.462	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	28	71	17	0.239	0	5	0.349	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.227	0.329	0.293	OK
Turner Hill	LF	1	3	0	0.000	0	1	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.050	0.063	0.083
Buddy Kennedy	3B	10	20	1	0.050	0	0	0.136	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.099	0.156	0.153	OK
Christian Koss	SS	27	77	15	0.195	0	2	0.215	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.212	0.233	0.270	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	13	5	5	3	7	0.351

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gabriel Hughes	Starter	7	33.2	5.69	1.295	8.4	31	5.0	7	3	3	2	3	97	5.0	3	3
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	3.21	1.607	11.2	14	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	20	1.0	3	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	58	41.1	3.50	1.509	8.1	37	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	35	29.8	7.25	1.879	10.3	34	0.0	2	1	1	1	0	19	0.0	0	1
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	48	44.1	6.33	1.859	10.2	50	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Blade Tidwell	Starter	10	22.2	2.84	1.126	7.7	19	5.0	4	3	3	2	6	85	5.0	6	3
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	27	21.3	3.38	1.408	11.8	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	34	22.4	3.21	1.964	12.5	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	38	53.0	3.57	1.264	6.5	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	23	1.0	2	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	43	35.1	3.59	1.368	8.5	33	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

SF wins 5-4

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels

KC 51-74 (4.1 RPG / 4.99 RA)

6 - 4

LAA 49-76 (4.06 RPG / 4.74 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 6-4 TARGET: KC 5 - 4 LAA (KC) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	6	11
LAA	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	5

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

KC Season Quality

Record50-73

Win%0.407

Run Diff-113

RD/Game-0.919

LAA Season Quality

Record48-75

Win%0.390

Run Diff-84

RD/Game-0.683

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2704; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	113	401	88	0.219	16	55	0.298	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.097	0.199	0.219	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	104	407	115	0.283	13	41	0.353	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.326	0.382	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	114	410	111	0.271	22	58	0.321	5	5	1	1	0	0	4	0.200	0.297	0.337	0.537	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	113	435	94	0.216	16	52	0.263	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.210	0.238	0.320	OK
Michael Massey	2B	100	317	84	0.265	10	41	0.296	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.264	0.291	0.431	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	84	262	62	0.237	5	35	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.193	0.267	0.314	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	108	346	80	0.231	6	35	0.330	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.182	0.270	0.290	OK
John Rave	RF	20	51	11	0.216	2	2	0.273	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.108	0.172	0.279	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	63	190	43	0.226	4	15	0.277	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.131	0.180	0.230	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	37	11	6	6	5	8	0.297

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	120	475	106	0.223	20	53	0.310	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.204	0.283	0.352	OK
Mike Trout	DH	105	381	93	0.244	20	45	0.385	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.260	0.378	0.448	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	78	281	69	0.246	7	46	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.280	0.359	OK
Jose Siri	CF	56	135	36	0.267	7	23	0.310	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.203	0.244	0.379	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	61	193	57	0.295	3	20	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.287	0.353	0.376	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	46	169	40	0.237	5	18	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.259	0.306	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	90	292	67	0.229	7	24	0.273	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.108	0.136	0.193	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	18	45	9	0.200	1	3	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.196	0.259	0.297	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	75	221	45	0.204	9	25	0.259	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.267	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	4	4	4	11	0.156

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	23	127.0	4.54	1.315	8.4	118	6.1	4	4	4	2	10	100	6.1	10	4
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	43	40.9	4.62	1.345	11.2	51	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	6	1.0	0	0
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	1.10	0.854	9.9	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	49	37.7	4.30	1.618	7.9	33	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	46	43.7	6.80	1.716	10.5	51	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	14	53.6	6.88	1.604	7.2	43	4.1	9	5	5	2	6	90	4.1	6	5
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	0.00	0.400	10.8	6	1.0	1	1	1	3	0	24	1.0	0	1
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	22	23.5	2.30	0.936	16.1	42	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	38	35.5	3.55	1.465	12.4	49	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 6-4

Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds

MIA 64-61 (4.4 RPG / 4.24 RA)

3 - 2

CIN 59-64 (4.08 RPG / 4.78 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 3-2 TARGET: MIA 3 - 2 CIN (MIA) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	6
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	5

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIA Season Quality

Record63-61

Win%0.508

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.113

CIN Season Quality

Record59-63

Win%0.484

Run Diff-80

RD/Game-0.656

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6271; margin adjustment: -0.2634; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	120	483	149	0.308	9	53	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.257	0.331	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	90	300	69	0.230	17	49	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.240	0.305	0.426	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	122	451	128	0.284	6	46	0.362	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.264	0.339	0.349	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	51	142	29	0.204	2	14	0.283	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.109	0.166	0.157	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	55	161	44	0.273	13	28	0.364	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.283	0.371	0.560	OK
Javier Sanoja	RF	95	311	84	0.270	4	42	0.303	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.305	0.389	OK
Esteury Ruiz	CF	60	135	34	0.252	6	11	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.314	0.478	OK
Joe Mack	C	73	221	53	0.240	12	36	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.315	0.451	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	116	397	84	0.212	7	29	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.327	0.354	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	6	0.182

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	102	402	107	0.266	20	56	0.348	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.208	0.293	0.391	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	121	460	121	0.263	26	91	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.285	0.348	0.471	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	92	330	73	0.221	20	47	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.194	0.303	0.362	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	90	323	66	0.204	18	49	0.281	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.195	0.258	0.440	OK
Michael Toglia	RF	4	8	2	0.250	0	0	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.320	0.376	OK
Matt McLain	2B	93	315	62	0.197	11	29	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.312	0.428	OK
Jose Trevino	C	29	93	22	0.237	4	12	0.245	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.173	0.185	0.335	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	65	208	34	0.163	3	11	0.249	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.082	0.159	0.140	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	57	175	26	0.149	5	8	0.199	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.171	0.207	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	2	2	3	8	0.156

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	21	115.5	3.43	1.117	10.0	128	6.0	3	0	0	3	6	97	6.0	6	0
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	41	36.7	6.13	1.335	13.2	54	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	14	1.0	1	2
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	52	45.7	4.73	1.619	11.6	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	49	44.5	3.24	1.191	12.3	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	13	64.8	5.00	1.497	7.6	55	5.0	6	3	3	1	4	90	5.0	4	3
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	28	26.4	4.09	1.098	9.9	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	40	34.2	3.95	1.170	10.0	38	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	62	51.5	3.15	1.437	10.3	59	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	23	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 3-2

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MIL 76-48 (4.85 RPG / 3.79 RA)

1 - 3

LAD 74-50 (4.95 RPG / 3.82 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 3-1 TARGET: MIL 2 - 3 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
LAD	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	x	3	5

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Season Quality

Record76-48

Win%0.613

Run Diff132

RD/Game1.065

LAD Season Quality

Record74-50

Win%0.597

Run Diff140

RD/Game1.129

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0472; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
William Contreras	DH	113	434	111	0.256	12	60	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.313	0.364	OK
Luis Lara	CF	25	78	18	0.231	0	11	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.306	0.347	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	88	363	100	0.275	17	49	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.279	0.373	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	107	365	97	0.266	20	66	0.374	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.246	0.367	0.386	OK
Andrew Vaughn	3B	74	217	65	0.300	5	34	0.382	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.296	0.370	0.440	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	64	172	39	0.227	10	29	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.352	0.449	OK
Brandon Lockridge	RF	31	89	25	0.281	0	12	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.344	0.331	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	86	255	62	0.243	6	32	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.333	0.438	OK
Jonathan Ornelas	2B	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.152	0.207	0.185
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	1	1	2	3	0.182

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	113	434	125	0.288	27	73	0.389	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.366	0.535	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	119	448	135	0.301	15	55	0.378	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.329	0.361	OK
Andy Pages	CF	121	471	127	0.270	20	76	0.334	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.298	0.417	OK
Max Muncy	3B	112	370	91	0.246	23	59	0.339	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.293	0.430	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	85	332	79	0.238	15	40	0.289	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.297	0.454	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	113	405	95	0.235	11	54	0.326	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.175	0.268	0.317	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	44	155	41	0.265	4	21	0.329	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.229	0.282	0.385	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	87	305	76	0.249	11	41	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.281	0.331	OK
Ben Rortvedt	C	4	9	2	0.222	0	1	0.222	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.166	0.178	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	3	3	2	7	0.172

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Henderson	Starter	11	55.4	2.92	0.921	11.2	69	6.0	3	3	3	2	6	93	6.0	6	3
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	48	47.3	1.71	0.803	10.3	54	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	6	1.2	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	57	61.8	3.79	1.553	14.1	97	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	18	0.1	1	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	2	11.0	4.09	1.091	9.8	12	6.1	4	0	0	0	3	92	6.1	3	0
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	9.39	2.348	14.9	19	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.1	0	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	53	44.8	2.41	1.004	12.5	62	0.2	1	0	0	2	0	19	0.2	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	54	32.9	3.56	1.550	15.3	56	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 3-1

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays

NYY 69-55 (4.44 RPG / 3.76 RA)

3 - 4

TOR 61-65 (3.9 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 4-3 TARGET: NYY 3 - 4 TOR (TOR) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	3
TOR	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	8

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff3

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak3L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

NYY Season Quality

Record68-55

Win%0.553

Run Diff84

RD/Game0.683

TOR Season Quality

Record61-64

Win%0.488

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.448

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7073; margin adjustment: -0.2971; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	1B	115	429	108	0.252	31	72	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.226	0.327	0.467	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	10	39	9	0.231	1	2	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.298	0.510	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	10	32	2	0.062	0	0	0.189	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.154	0.201	0.277	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	98	350	78	0.223	15	50	0.311	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.252	0.322	0.524	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	47	134	29	0.216	5	18	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.291	0.391	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	10	34	9	0.265	2	3	0.342	4	3	0	1	1	0	3	0.000	0.268	0.338	0.366	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	92	265	58	0.219	10	31	0.280	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.220	0.284	0.350	OK
Austin Wells	C	86	244	44	0.180	8	17	0.274	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.214	0.292	0.340	OK
José Caballero	2B	98	324	78	0.241	12	41	0.297	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.301	0.419	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	29	3	3	3	5	6	0.103

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	RF	8	35	11	0.314	0	3	0.368	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.305	0.355	0.374	OK
Charles McAdoo	1B	14	41	9	0.220	2	7	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.276	0.380	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	47	163	44	0.270	5	22	0.341	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.305	0.376	0.446	OK
George Springer	DH	90	347	80	0.231	12	36	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.265	0.291	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	122	466	132	0.283	9	42	0.309	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.209	0.244	0.294	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	119	440	100	0.227	24	71	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.271	0.336	OK
Daz Cameron	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.240	0.307	0.392
Myles Straw	CF	91	216	48	0.222	3	20	0.264	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.219	0.259	0.332	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	113	373	89	0.239	8	47	0.285	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.241	0.276	0.359	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	4	4	1	6	0.250

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	23	122.0	3.84	1.254	10.0	136	5.2	5	2	2	0	6	92	5.2	6	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	49	49.4	2.73	1.113	10.9	60	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	63	50.9	1.94	1.395	13.6	77	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	6	1.1	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	57	37.8	3.81	1.799	15.0	63	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	0.0	0	1

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	22	129.0	2.44	1.093	13.3	191	6.1	3	3	3	2	6	107	6.1	6	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	58	59.9	1.35	1.035	11.9	79	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	59	53.6	1.68	1.231	4.9	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	37	71.7	3.39	1.227	9.2	73	0.2	0	0	0	2	0	13	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 4-3

Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins

PHI 67-58 (4.46 RPG / 4.39 RA)

5 - 0

MIN 60-65 (4.62 RPG / 5.01 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-0 TARGET: PHI 3 - 2 MIN (PHI) Confidence: 55.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

PHI Season Quality

Record66-58

Win%0.532

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.056

MIN Season Quality

Record60-64

Win%0.484

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.371

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4342; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	116	435	107	0.246	36	71	0.363	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.342	0.511	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	117	406	108	0.266	9	56	0.342	5	4	1	0	0	1	3	0.250	0.283	0.369	0.439	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	122	430	110	0.256	25	72	0.376	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.262	0.409	0.483	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	11	49	12	0.245	1	7	0.269	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.266	0.300	0.369	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	117	439	105	0.239	13	63	0.299	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.280	0.337	0.424	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	116	427	118	0.276	17	54	0.321	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.257	0.317	0.419	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	89	307	67	0.218	8	40	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.201	0.249	0.294	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	109	330	85	0.258	2	29	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.164	0.213	0.253	OK
Edmundo Sosa	SS	63	183	40	0.219	5	30	0.259	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.231	0.265	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	5	5	4	8	0.250

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	98	323	88	0.272	10	41	0.353	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.294	0.364	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	84	338	88	0.260	25	45	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.264	0.398	OK
Josh Bell	DH	119	439	111	0.253	16	72	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.320	0.410	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	106	396	90	0.227	20	56	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.209	0.265	0.416	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	89	327	79	0.242	13	44	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.249	0.306	0.418	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	115	437	107	0.245	17	61	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.291	0.396	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	114	384	103	0.268	7	36	0.361	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.284	0.371	0.418	OK
Victor Caratini	C	88	279	64	0.229	7	38	0.316	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.220	0.302	0.306	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	6	21	5	0.238	1	2	0.320	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.259	0.294	0.372	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	0	0	0	10	0.156

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	17	78.0	6.46	1.577	8.0	69	4.1	5	0	0	0	6	76	4.1	6	0
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	44	41.4	1.30	0.942	12.8	59	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	6	2.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	46	39.7	2.95	1.033	12.0	53	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	51	42.2	4.27	1.445	11.1	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	2	12.0	1.50	0.583	6.8	9	5.0	6	3	3	2	4	94	5.0	4	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	41	31.8	2.26	1.352	10.5	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	47	50.1	3.41	1.437	9.9	55	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	3.60	1.600	10.8	6	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever	40	33.4	3.23	1.467	8.9	33	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	20	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-0

San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians

SD 66-58 (4.27 RPG / 4.29 RA)

6 - 2

CLE 60-64 (3.98 RPG / 4.2 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-2 TARGET: SD 5 - 4 CLE (SD) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	0	6	10
CLE	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SD Season Quality

Record66-58

Win%0.532

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.016

CLE Season Quality

Record60-64

Win%0.484

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.218

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3882; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	120	473	132	0.279	13	55	0.353	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.325	0.518	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	71	243	54	0.222	3	19	0.308	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.239	0.297	0.292	OK
Manny Machado	DH	121	451	96	0.213	23	70	0.294	5	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.294	0.380	OK
Ty France	1B	92	311	92	0.296	17	51	0.351	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.309	0.348	0.497	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	120	468	114	0.244	19	63	0.294	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.244	0.288	0.456	OK
Luis Rengifo	3B	26	89	28	0.315	3	12	0.408	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.325	0.335	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	114	338	71	0.210	15	44	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.199	0.300	0.359	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	117	402	89	0.221	11	45	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.312	0.376	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	61	183	35	0.191	4	16	0.265	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.251	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	6	6	3	9	0.270

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	110	391	104	0.266	2	23	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.268	0.366	0.336	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	103	395	114	0.289	13	57	0.359	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.302	0.358	0.441	OK
Jo Adell	LF	11	38	7	0.184	2	5	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.264	0.418	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	9	31	9	0.290	2	8	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.332	0.478	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	88	253	45	0.178	13	37	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.183	0.293	0.391	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	89	329	78	0.237	9	35	0.335	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.198	0.298	0.291	OK
Austin Hedges	C	56	160	43	0.269	4	19	0.343	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.297	0.303	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	118	416	107	0.257	10	51	0.317	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.288	0.381	OK
Angel Genao	3B	9	34	10	0.294	1	3	0.351	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.311	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	2	2	0	3	0.156

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	2	9.1	9.89	2.088	6.9	7	5.1	4	2	2	0	3	84	5.1	3	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	49	48.3	0.93	0.890	17.3	93	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	56	57.4	3.14	1.237	12.5	80	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.2	0	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	30	24.6	4.02	1.260	13.2	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	25	141.3	4.08	1.154	7.3	114	6.0	4	2	2	3	7	106	6.0	7	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	51	51.4	2.45	1.187	13.5	77	1.0	5	4	4	0	1	28	1.0	1	4
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	47	34.1	3.96	1.525	10.8	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	47	41.3	1.96	0.969	10.0	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 6-2

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

SEA 58-66 (3.92 RPG / 4.11 RA)

1 - 4

HOU 63-61 (4.63 RPG / 4.86 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-1 TARGET: SEA 2 - 3 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5
HOU	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	x	4	8

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-19

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SEA Season Quality

Record58-66

Win%0.468

Run Diff-24

RD/Game-0.194

HOU Season Quality

Record63-61

Win%0.508

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.234

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1811; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	32	118	31	0.263	3	12	0.343	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.270	0.324	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	116	429	118	0.275	16	52	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.225	0.292	0.411	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	107	327	84	0.257	19	51	0.329	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.261	0.329	0.478	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	112	441	114	0.259	19	52	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.315	0.427	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	115	445	119	0.267	10	44	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.285	0.342	0.389	OK
Cole Young	2B	124	454	119	0.262	15	56	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.242	0.279	0.385	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	90	327	51	0.156	12	43	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.123	0.230	0.221	OK
Weston Wilson	DH	23	59	11	0.186	3	8	0.262	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.197	0.287	0.353	OK
Brock Rodden	SS	2	8	2	0.250	0	3	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.324	0.481	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	1	1	3	9	0.156

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	75	302	87	0.288	13	39	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.274	0.362	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	121	438	142	0.324	36	88	0.439	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.315	0.428	0.596	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	116	427	109	0.255	16	67	0.347	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.295	0.351	0.454	OK
Jose Altuve	DH	97	380	93	0.245	13	36	0.305	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.256	0.309	0.405	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	11	40	6	0.150	1	3	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.273	0.314	OK
Christian Walker	1B	118	437	104	0.238	23	71	0.317	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.268	0.377	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	RF	30	78	17	0.218	2	15	0.337	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.225	0.328	0.348	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	59	223	56	0.251	8	27	0.281	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.149	0.191	0.247	OK
Nick Allen	2B	47	110	28	0.255	1	12	0.298	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.252	0.297	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	8	4	4	4	4	0.258

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	23	131.4	4.18	1.111	9.0	132	5.2	7	3	3	4	4	108	5.2	4	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	46	42.0	4.29	1.262	15.0	70	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	55	45.4	4.16	1.498	8.1	41	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	4	1.0	0	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	58	45.9	3.73	1.525	10.6	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	38	26.3	3.42	1.407	9.9	29	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.1	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	12	61.8	3.79	1.311	9.8	67	5.2	4	1	1	1	7	105	5.2	7	1
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	29	28.3	0.64	0.671	12.7	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	46	39.8	4.97	1.533	12.9	57	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	60	52.5	2.40	0.990	10.5	61	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-1

St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs

STL 63-61 (4.42 RPG / 4.36 RA)

4 - 5

CHC 72-53 (5.16 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-4 TARGET: STL 4 - 5 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	8
CHC	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	5	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Season Quality

Record62-61

Win%0.504

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

CHC Season Quality

Record72-52

Win%0.581

Run Diff107

RD/Game0.863

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6874; margin adjustment: 0.2887; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	114	445	107	0.240	16	44	0.346	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.213	0.316	0.329	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	120	452	110	0.243	12	49	0.355	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.246	0.318	0.374	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	119	455	130	0.286	20	85	0.352	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.282	0.347	0.529	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	117	452	127	0.281	21	79	0.341	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.290	0.383	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	1	4	3	0.750	3	5	0.750	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.656	0.660	2.530	OK
Nathan Church	CF	94	310	74	0.239	9	38	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.278	0.352	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	112	407	97	0.238	4	49	0.309	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.212	0.271	0.295	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	39	108	19	0.176	4	12	0.237	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.175	0.218	0.299	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	44	146	36	0.247	2	23	0.265	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.270	0.386	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	3	2	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	122	462	129	0.279	27	73	0.378	5	5	3	1	4	0	1	0.600	0.218	0.291	0.450	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	105	397	110	0.277	21	73	0.368	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.273	0.356	0.518	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	120	475	121	0.255	16	61	0.346	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.327	0.520	OK
Ian Happ	LF	116	429	92	0.214	20	51	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.187	0.290	0.350	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	119	476	124	0.261	7	56	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.268	0.315	0.367	OK
Pedro Ramirez	1B	44	120	37	0.308	2	15	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.305	0.357	0.458	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	115	395	85	0.215	16	59	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.325	0.417	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	78	185	43	0.232	10	29	0.314	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.312	0.483	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	55	171	41	0.240	4	21	0.326	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.288	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	8	5	5	3	7	0.235

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Dobbins	Starter	9	43.6	3.51	1.353	8.7	42	5.1	6	2	2	1	6	93	5.1	6	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	50	47.8	3.20	1.151	9.2	49	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	55	46.1	4.30	1.453	10.3	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	52	40.1	5.16	1.696	11.0	49	0.1	1	3	3	2	0	15	0.1	0	3

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Edward Cabrera	Starter	14	70.0	5.27	1.443	8.4	65	4.2	7	4	4	1	0	84	4.2	0	4
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	54	49.1	2.57	1.283	11.2	61	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.2	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	5	3.4	7.94	2.353	15.9	6	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	35	33.8	2.66	1.183	5.3	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	42	30.6	5.88	1.503	12.9	44	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-4

Texas Rangers @ Oakland Athletics

TEX 61-64 (4.06 RPG / 4.43 RA)

5 - 3

OAK 49-75 (4.35 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-3 TARGET: TEX 5 - 4 OAK (TEX) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0	5	9
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	5

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-22

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TEX Season Quality

Record60-63

Win%0.488

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.374

OAK Season Quality

Record48-74

Win%0.393

Run Diff-175

RD/Game-1.434

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9087; margin adjustment: -0.3817; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	LF	72	281	72	0.256	14	33	0.319	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.221	0.280	0.405	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	113	399	106	0.266	13	64	0.320	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.240	0.291	0.368	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	118	450	122	0.271	13	47	0.337	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.248	0.300	0.418	OK
Jake Burger	1B	118	431	101	0.234	20	71	0.297	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.228	0.293	0.398	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	63	148	37	0.250	7	21	0.296	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.217	0.263	0.371	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	8	19	4	0.211	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.171	0.246	0.235	OK
Elias Díaz	C	42	129	30	0.233	3	15	0.248	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.140	0.159	0.246	OK
Austin Wynns	DH	12	28	8	0.286	1	1	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.187	0.225	0.241	OK
Evan Carter	CF	104	298	58	0.195	8	31	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.218	0.294	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	5	5	3	10	0.250

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	76	261	68	0.261	6	25	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.305	0.382	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	68	245	67	0.273	13	32	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.316	0.488	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	78	316	85	0.269	7	37	0.299	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.232	0.311	OK
Jonah Heim	C	63	218	47	0.216	10	31	0.267	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.243	0.324	OK
Tommy White	1B	25	94	24	0.255	0	1	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.271	0.275	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	108	327	67	0.205	10	34	0.291	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.210	0.283	0.428	OK
Max Muncy	DH	58	183	38	0.208	5	21	0.275	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.190	0.239	0.323	OK
Alika Williams	2B	49	132	36	0.273	2	9	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.300	0.331	0.444	OK
Darell Hernaiz	3B	41	118	28	0.237	1	7	0.318	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.218	0.288	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	3	3	0	6	0.156

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cody Bradford	Starter	2	11.1	2.43	1.171	4.9	6	5.0	2	0	0	0	4	72	5.0	4	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	43	53.2	1.35	0.695	9.8	58	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	41	41.7	3.67	1.367	10.8	50	2.0	3	3	3	0	1	22	2.0	1	3

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Lopez	Starter	19	79.2	5.57	1.616	8.5	75	4.2	4	3	3	3	5	83	4.2	5	3
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	56	43.2	4.38	1.898	14.6	70	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.1	2	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	37	32.4	5.56	1.451	13.1	47	1.2	4	2	2	0	2	23	1.2	2	2
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	39	49.8	3.61	1.466	11.7	65	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	22	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-3

Washington Nationals @ New York Mets

WAS 60-66 (5.32 RPG / 5.17 RA)

2 - 4

NYM 56-69 (4.18 RPG / 4.52 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 4-2 TARGET: WAS 2 - 4 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 62.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	6
NYM	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	x	4	7

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

WAS Season Quality

Record60-65

Win%0.480

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.152

NYM Season Quality

Record55-69

Win%0.444

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.347

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2911; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	SS	121	457	128	0.280	29	91	0.357	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.219	0.290	0.429	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	13	36	11	0.306	4	8	0.324	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.256	0.454	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	71	271	58	0.214	10	27	0.285	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.197	0.238	0.342	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	123	470	116	0.247	15	65	0.295	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.230	0.265	0.364	OK
Brady House	3B	61	223	54	0.242	9	31	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.312	0.458	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	84	222	54	0.243	3	19	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.347	0.335	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	47	108	25	0.231	7	29	0.331	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.315	0.503	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	78	259	70	0.270	7	39	0.307	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.268	0.310	0.404	OK
Jacob Young	CF	99	335	84	0.251	10	41	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.306	0.345	0.476	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	5	7	0.182

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	82	298	76	0.255	7	28	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.310	0.357	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	66	258	63	0.244	12	32	0.332	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.285	0.361	0.516	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	120	482	126	0.261	12	62	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.297	0.377	OK
Carson Benge	RF	115	439	120	0.273	14	49	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.290	0.350	0.454	OK
Jared Young	1B	69	212	56	0.264	7	25	0.335	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.315	0.360	0.500	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	LF	43	153	33	0.216	6	17	0.288	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.229	0.295	0.385	OK
Brett Baty	2B	103	338	73	0.216	8	38	0.283	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.268	0.327	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	35	128	18	0.141	2	5	0.197	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.146	0.198	0.249	OK
Luis Torrens	C	66	197	47	0.239	5	28	0.306	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.249	0.315	0.480	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	7	4	4	3	7	0.233

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Irvin	Starter	14	64.4	5.87	1.335	9.2	66	4.1	6	3	3	3	4	85	4.1	4	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	39	34.5	3.39	1.304	10.2	39	2.1	1	1	1	0	1	23	2.1	1	1
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	39	33.5	3.76	1.284	8.9	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	5	2.3	19.57	5.652	15.7	4	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Christian Scott	Starter	17	74.6	3.62	1.367	11.8	98	5.1	2	0	0	2	5	88	5.1	5	0
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	17	46.1	8.39	1.779	11.3	58	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	24	1.0	0	1
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	13	16.7	1.08	0.778	7.5	14	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	22	1.1	1	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever	4	3.3	0.00	0.909	13.6	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Jefry Yan	Middle Reliever	5	3.6	2.50	2.500	15.0	6	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	18	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

NYM wins 4-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

ARI Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays

BAL Recent Form

TB Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

BOS Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

CHW Recent Form

DET Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL Recent Form

SF Recent Form

COL Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels

KC Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

KC Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds

MIA Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers