MLB Predictions — August 15, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ ATL	2 - 3	2 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ TB	3 - 6	3 - 6	TB	TB	TB wins 6-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ PIT	5 - 4	6 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ DET	3 - 5	3 - 5	DET	DET	DET wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ SF	3 - 2	4 - 2	COL	COL	COL wins 4-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ LAA	4 - 3	5 - 2	KC	KC	KC wins 5-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ CIN	3 - 2	4 - 1	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ LAD	5 - 3	5 - 3	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ TOR	4 - 2	4 - 1	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ MIN	6 - 4	6 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 6-4	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ CLE	6 - 1	6 - 1	SD	SD	SD wins 6-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ HOU	2 - 3	2 - 4	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ CHC	3 - 5	3 - 5	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ OAK	5 - 4	6 - 3	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ NYM	3 - 4	5 - 2	NYM	WAS	WAS wins 5-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

ARI 65-58 (4.5 RPG / 4.4 RA)

2 - 4

ATL 73-50 (4.82 RPG / 3.87 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-2 TARGET: ARI 2 - 3 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 51.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
ATL	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	x	4	6

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

ARI Season Quality

Record65-58

Win%0.528

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.106

ATL Season Quality

Record73-50

Win%0.593

Run Diff117

RD/Game0.951

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6788; margin adjustment: 0.2851; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	DH	9	27	4	0.148	0	1	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.202	0.320	0.301	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	119	448	110	0.246	18	57	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.237	0.311	0.509	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	118	425	107	0.252	9	42	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.314	0.399	0.433	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	94	336	102	0.304	8	54	0.381	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.285	0.347	0.436	OK
Max Kepler	LF	32	102	22	0.216	2	15	0.287	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.198	0.277	0.297	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	116	400	96	0.240	18	58	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.268	0.384	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	59	180	42	0.233	7	27	0.281	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.277	0.389	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	92	324	88	0.272	7	51	0.315	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.267	0.310	0.396	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	56	185	51	0.276	2	15	0.330	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.297	0.368	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	3	4	0.156

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	99	383	106	0.277	20	61	0.362	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.283	0.350	0.439	OK
Matt Olson	1B	122	472	123	0.261	35	74	0.336	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.238	0.309	0.527	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	122	465	119	0.256	20	64	0.312	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.280	0.379	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	116	442	129	0.292	20	67	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.306	0.433	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	116	432	115	0.266	10	61	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.265	0.305	0.387	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	5	11	2	0.182	1	2	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.313	0.414	OK
Austin Riley	3B	121	432	96	0.222	15	58	0.297	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.283	0.415	OK
Sean Murphy	C	8	28	4	0.143	0	0	0.143	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.195	0.204	0.289	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	34	101	22	0.218	1	11	0.269	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.206	0.251	0.298	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	6	4	4	2	7	0.200

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	24	140.3	2.76	1.254	6.5	101	6.0	5	3	3	2	7	99	6.0	7	3
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	7	1.0	0	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	24	113.2	3.74	1.387	7.6	96	5.0	3	2	2	3	3	84	5.0	3	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	44	42.8	3.15	1.238	10.3	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	57	48.8	2.21	0.840	12.5	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	43	47.3	2.66	1.184	12.7	67	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	48	36.4	4.70	1.484	10.1	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-2

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays

BAL 60-63 (4.5 RPG / 4.77 RA)

3 - 6

TB 74-48 (4.57 RPG / 4.07 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-3 TARGET: BAL 3 - 6 TB (TB) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	6
TB	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	x	6	7

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs7.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff30

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BAL Season Quality

Record59-63

Win%0.484

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.287

TB Season Quality

Record74-47

Win%0.612

Run Diff61

RD/Game0.504

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9441; margin adjustment: 0.3965; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tyler O'Neill	RF	75	203	45	0.222	10	21	0.316	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.240	0.323	0.443	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	119	446	117	0.262	26	77	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.314	0.391	0.559	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	66	195	46	0.236	6	22	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.301	0.342	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	90	281	60	0.214	15	45	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.271	0.432	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	118	477	105	0.220	19	50	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.330	0.479	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	20	62	14	0.226	3	12	0.279	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.273	0.393	OK
Christian Franklin	LF	6	14	2	0.143	0	0	0.294	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.148	0.277	0.271	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	99	321	71	0.221	7	43	0.295	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.201	0.258	0.360	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	9	25	3	0.120	0	0	0.185	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.143	0.203	0.220	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	7	0.182

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	115	454	138	0.304	17	69	0.372	4	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.306	0.347	0.475	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	117	441	126	0.286	15	75	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.349	0.389	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	120	456	126	0.276	35	78	0.369	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.239	0.331	0.505	OK
Liam Hicks	C	9	29	9	0.310	2	9	0.459	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.277	0.348	0.451	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	109	421	129	0.306	0	25	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.341	0.369	0.398	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	68	225	62	0.276	8	34	0.306	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.204	0.234	0.374	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	101	350	73	0.209	13	37	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.288	0.326	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	88	252	61	0.242	5	36	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.312	0.403	0.429	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	92	290	63	0.217	2	28	0.307	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.235	0.317	0.385	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	6	6	3	7	0.226

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	23	124.2	3.77	1.369	8.8	121	5.1	6	4	4	1	5	91	5.1	5	4
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	52	34.1	2.90	1.114	10.0	38	1.0	1	2	2	0	1	16	1.0	1	2
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	42	32.6	3.87	1.472	8.6	31	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	12	0.2	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	55	44.6	3.23	0.987	10.5	52	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	43	25.5	7.41	1.961	14.8	42	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	0.0	0	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ian Seymour	Starter	37	84.5	3.83	1.148	11.3	106	5.2	2	1	1	1	6	95	5.2	6	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	48	45.4	1.59	0.859	10.1	51	1.1	1	0	0	2	0	28	1.1	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	52	47.5	2.27	0.968	8.1	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	43	31.1	4.34	1.511	13.9	48	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

TB wins 6-3

Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

BOS 66-57 (4.44 RPG / 3.74 RA)

6 - 3

PIT 60-65 (5.0 RPG / 4.8 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 6-3 TARGET: BOS 5 - 4 PIT (BOS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	2	6	11
PIT	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	11

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

BOS Season Quality

Record65-57

Win%0.533

Run Diff82

RD/Game0.672

PIT Season Quality

Record60-64

Win%0.484

Run Diff29

RD/Game0.234

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4334; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masataka Yoshida	DH	81	253	67	0.265	4	27	0.332	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.286	0.344	0.394	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	113	449	129	0.287	15	61	0.326	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.285	0.307	0.435	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	3	11	1	0.091	0	0	0.286	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.219	0.304	0.352	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	109	381	106	0.278	24	72	0.388	5	3	2	1	2	2	0	0.667	0.224	0.315	0.430	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	117	444	114	0.257	21	64	0.334	5	3	1	1	2	2	1	0.333	0.253	0.336	0.490	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	110	378	92	0.243	12	57	0.312	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.298	0.403	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	113	435	87	0.200	16	55	0.262	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.203	0.266	0.336	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	78	237	64	0.270	6	33	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.296	0.364	0.438	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	26	93	24	0.258	0	5	0.369	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.270	0.379	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	38	11	6	6	5	8	0.289

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	84	282	74	0.262	10	37	0.367	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.218	0.303	0.320	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	112	444	110	0.248	26	77	0.314	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.290	0.479	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	121	443	118	0.266	15	63	0.378	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.248	0.350	0.407	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	LF	51	164	40	0.244	11	33	0.365	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.238	0.355	0.470	OK
Ronny Simon	RF	8	27	9	0.333	0	2	0.379	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.320	0.366	0.379	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	22	57	12	0.211	2	7	0.220	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.187	0.234	0.321	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	90	325	98	0.302	4	28	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.292	0.389	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	11	34	10	0.294	4	10	0.385	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.326	0.406	0.736	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	78	237	59	0.249	2	23	0.328	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.255	0.328	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	3	3	2	9	0.289

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	22	124.5	2.82	1.165	8.0	110	6.0	7	3	3	1	6	112	6.0	6	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	40	39.2	1.38	1.148	11.5	50	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	36	25.5	5.65	1.686	13.8	39	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	4	4.1	0.00	1.220	17.6	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	30	26.1	2.41	1.073	11.7	34	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	13	0.1	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	13	58.3	5.09	1.218	10.0	65	4.2	3	2	2	3	6	85	4.2	6	2
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	2	2.0	0.00	1.000	4.5	1	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	48	40.1	3.82	1.322	17.1	76	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	50	47.4	3.42	1.118	11.6	61	1.1	3	2	2	1	0	30	1.1	0	2
Camilo Doval	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	3.00	1.500	10.5	7	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

BOS wins 6-3

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

CHW 64-58 (4.81 RPG / 4.44 RA)

3 - 5

DET 60-63 (4.55 RPG / 3.86 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-3 TARGET: CHW 3 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	6
DET	0	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	x	5	8

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CHW Season Quality

Record63-58

Win%0.521

Run Diff44

RD/Game0.364

DET Season Quality

Record60-62

Win%0.492

Run Diff86

RD/Game0.705

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4065; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	100	349	97	0.278	8	35	0.368	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.280	0.334	0.405	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	86	306	72	0.235	27	55	0.370	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.224	0.354	0.522	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	118	444	106	0.239	27	71	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.276	0.352	0.627	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	107	326	80	0.245	12	59	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.294	0.397	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	54	194	46	0.237	4	27	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.323	0.373	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	115	435	91	0.209	26	68	0.290	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.181	0.242	0.351	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	115	428	120	0.280	12	49	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.289	0.353	0.454	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	109	321	86	0.268	7	42	0.327	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.284	0.338	0.477	OK
Jake Rogers	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.219	0.318	0.365
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	6	3	3	5	4	0.188

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	65	242	63	0.260	8	32	0.374	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.337	0.387	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	71	200	53	0.265	6	28	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.260	0.290	0.408	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	112	429	113	0.263	26	81	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.280	0.458	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	117	447	128	0.286	12	48	0.391	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.259	0.351	0.377	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	16	48	19	0.396	5	15	0.420	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.348	0.366	0.697	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	120	417	96	0.230	20	62	0.320	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.286	0.369	0.435	OK
Ben Malgeri	LF	21	53	15	0.283	3	10	0.361	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.356	0.513	OK
Javier Báez	CF	35	123	35	0.285	2	14	0.310	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.311	0.386	OK
Corey Julks	RF	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	2	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.056	0.071	0.092
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	8	5	5	2	9	0.258

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	24	112.5	4.08	1.387	7.5	94	5.1	7	4	4	2	6	98	5.1	6	4
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	43	55.0	3.11	1.291	9.8	60	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	13	78.6	1.49	0.916	7.9	69	6.0	4	1	1	3	4	100	6.0	4	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	35	30.8	3.51	1.234	10.8	37	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	48	42.7	3.16	1.639	7.8	37	0.2	1	1	1	1	0	15	0.2	0	1
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	52	47.9	3.19	1.420	8.3	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-3

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL 49-74 (4.74 RPG / 5.71 RA)

4 - 2

SF 52-72 (4.1 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: COL wins 4-2 TARGET: COL 3 - 2 SF (COL) Confidence: 53.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	8
SF	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	7

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

COL Season Quality

Record48-73

Win%0.397

Run Diff-116

RD/Game-0.959

SF Season Quality

Record51-71

Win%0.418

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.484

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2722; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	101	385	114	0.296	13	66	0.330	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.230	0.256	0.386	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	51	178	52	0.292	5	30	0.375	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.292	0.369	0.478	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	82	285	76	0.267	19	54	0.306	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.253	0.301	0.507	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	116	419	124	0.296	13	58	0.374	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.263	0.335	0.370	OK
Willi Castro	3B	103	370	97	0.262	13	50	0.331	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.262	0.325	0.423	OK
Zac Veen	RF	2	6	2	0.333	2	4	0.429	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.319	0.407	1.157	OK
Connor Norby	2B	3	7	0	0.000	0	0	0.364	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.182	0.289	0.283
Brett Sullivan	C	52	155	38	0.245	6	23	0.274	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.302	0.524	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	109	371	78	0.210	9	37	0.257	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.242	0.294	0.367	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	8	4	4	2	7	0.211

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	89	247	59	0.239	5	25	0.309	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.301	0.402	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	121	451	111	0.246	23	64	0.323	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.324	0.437	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	79	278	68	0.245	13	30	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.329	0.449	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	110	420	123	0.293	8	44	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.249	0.386	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	14	46	13	0.283	3	8	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.279	0.286	0.475	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	27	68	17	0.250	0	5	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.265	0.357	0.329	OK
Buddy Kennedy	3B	9	17	0	0.000	0	0	0.056	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.073	0.137	0.130
Christian Koss	SS	26	73	14	0.192	0	2	0.213	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.231	0.269	OK
Willy Adames	SS	115	440	99	0.225	18	47	0.285	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.300	0.405	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	7	2	2	1	10	0.189

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	25	107.8	7.10	1.948	6.8	81	3.2	6	2	2	1	5	88	3.2	5	2
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	3.21	1.607	11.2	14	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	48	44.1	6.33	1.859	10.2	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	58	41.1	3.50	1.509	8.1	37	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	6	2.0	2	0
Parker Mushinski	Reliever	5	3.4	2.65	2.647	0.0	0	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	2.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	21	132.3	3.61	1.088	7.0	103	6.1	2	2	2	1	5	97	6.1	5	2
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	26	20.3	3.55	1.478	12.0	27	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	43	35.1	3.59	1.368	8.5	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	38	53.0	3.57	1.264	6.5	38	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	18	1.1	0	2
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	34	22.4	3.21	1.964	12.5	31	0.0	2	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

COL wins 4-2 (Extra Innings - 10)

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels

KC 50-73 (4.15 RPG / 5.07 RA)

5 - 2

LAA 48-75 (4.11 RPG / 4.8 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 5-2 TARGET: KC 4 - 3 LAA (KC) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
KC	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	5	4
LAA	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

KC Season Quality

Record49-73

Win%0.402

Run Diff-114

RD/Game-0.934

LAA Season Quality

Record48-74

Win%0.393

Run Diff-83

RD/Game-0.680

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1642; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Loftin	3B	83	258	62	0.240	5	35	0.322	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.216	0.289	0.339	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	103	404	115	0.285	13	41	0.355	5	4	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.281	0.355	0.422	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	113	407	110	0.270	22	58	0.321	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.299	0.339	0.539	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	112	432	94	0.218	16	52	0.264	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.224	0.252	0.364	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	107	343	80	0.233	6	35	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.274	0.303	OK
Michael Massey	2B	99	314	83	0.264	10	41	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.312	0.469	OK
Starling Marte	RF	55	150	37	0.247	2	14	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.264	0.345	OK
Luke Maile	C	7	19	5	0.263	1	5	0.300	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.138	0.180	0.234	OK
Tyler Tolbert	CF	35	90	28	0.311	3	6	0.370	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.290	0.360	0.452	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	4	5	5	4	11	0.118

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wade Meckler	LF	60	190	57	0.300	3	20	0.361	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.296	0.356	0.386	OK
Mike Trout	CF	104	377	92	0.244	20	45	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.375	0.460	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	102	377	103	0.273	7	46	0.351	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.345	0.361	OK
Zach Neto	SS	119	472	106	0.225	20	53	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.207	0.279	0.359	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	11	40	6	0.150	0	0	0.209	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.204	0.273	0.310	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	74	218	45	0.206	9	25	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.273	0.384	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	45	166	40	0.241	5	18	0.288	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.239	0.280	0.334	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	40	95	21	0.221	1	8	0.288	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.281	0.335	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	18	49	12	0.245	0	2	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.222	0.251	0.296	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	5	2	2	2	16	0.147

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Dobnak	Starter	7	35.3	2.04	1.360	4.8	19	5.1	4	2	2	1	7	88	5.1	7	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	46	43.7	6.80	1.716	10.5	51	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	43	40.9	4.62	1.345	11.2	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	49	37.7	4.30	1.618	7.9	33	1.1	0	0	0	1	3	21	1.1	3	0
Jose Cuas	Reliever	10	9.6	1.88	1.667	12.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12	1.0	2	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	24	131.5	4.11	1.133	10.7	156	5.2	2	1	1	0	6	89	5.2	6	1
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	22	23.5	2.30	0.936	16.1	42	2.1	1	1	1	2	1	40	2.1	1	1
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	38	35.5	3.55	1.465	12.4	49	2.0	1	3	3	2	4	36	2.0	4	3

Game Summary

KC wins 5-2 (Extra Innings - 10)

Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds

MIA 63-61 (4.38 RPG / 4.27 RA)

4 - 1

CIN 59-63 (4.11 RPG / 4.76 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-1 TARGET: MIA 3 - 2 CIN (MIA) Confidence: 51.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	7
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIA Season Quality

Record62-61

Win%0.504

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.081

CIN Season Quality

Record59-62

Win%0.488

Run Diff-76

RD/Game-0.628

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4548; margin adjustment: -0.191; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	115	393	80	0.204	6	28	0.320	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.221	0.310	0.308	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	121	447	126	0.282	6	46	0.361	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.311	0.315	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	89	296	67	0.226	17	46	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.277	0.425	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	54	157	43	0.274	13	27	0.363	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.284	0.378	0.598	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	119	478	149	0.312	9	53	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.281	0.362	OK
Owen Caissie	DH	88	247	56	0.227	13	52	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.280	0.420	OK
Joe Mack	C	72	216	50	0.231	11	35	0.291	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.212	0.276	0.355	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	39	103	20	0.194	1	12	0.231	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.237	0.309	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	59	132	34	0.258	6	11	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.138	0.204	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	2	6	0.206

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	101	398	107	0.269	20	56	0.351	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.309	0.410	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	120	456	119	0.261	26	89	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.338	0.463	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	91	326	72	0.221	20	47	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.192	0.305	0.358	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	91	294	74	0.252	11	38	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.252	0.323	0.438	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	89	319	66	0.207	18	49	0.284	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.207	0.272	0.483	OK
Dane Myers	CF	73	186	47	0.253	3	18	0.344	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.304	0.306	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	56	184	36	0.196	6	15	0.232	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.234	0.303	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	56	172	25	0.145	4	7	0.197	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.105	0.145	0.173	OK
Matt McLain	2B	92	311	59	0.190	10	28	0.289	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.167	0.260	0.314	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	1	1	0	10	0.100

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	15	47.6	4.92	1.366	8.1	43	5.0	2	1	1	0	6	70	5.0	6	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	40	35.7	6.30	1.373	12.9	51	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	51	44.6	4.84	1.659	11.5	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	48	43.5	3.31	1.218	12.4	60	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	23	117.1	4.77	1.460	7.7	100	5.1	7	4	4	1	5	103	5.1	5	4
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	28	26.4	4.09	1.098	9.9	29	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	39	34.1	3.17	1.144	10.0	38	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	62	51.5	3.15	1.437	10.3	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-1

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MIL 76-48 (4.85 RPG / 3.79 RA)

5 - 3

LAD 74-50 (4.95 RPG / 3.82 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-3 TARGET: MIL 5 - 3 LAD (MIL) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
MIL	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	10
LAD	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	6

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIL Season Quality

Record75-47

Win%0.615

Run Diff131

RD/Game1.074

LAD Season Quality

Record73-49

Win%0.598

Run Diff141

RD/Game1.156

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0583; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	87	359	100	0.279	17	49	0.343	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.234	0.301	0.407	OK
Luis Lara	CF	24	74	17	0.230	0	11	0.310	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.237	0.309	0.352	OK
Andrew Vaughn	3B	73	214	64	0.299	5	34	0.382	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.289	0.365	0.440	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	106	363	97	0.267	20	66	0.372	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.370	0.454	OK
Gary Sánchez	1B	63	170	39	0.229	10	29	0.371	5	5	2	1	4	0	0	0.400	0.236	0.367	0.484	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	81	313	69	0.220	8	38	0.307	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.195	0.264	0.345	OK
William Contreras	C	112	430	109	0.253	11	58	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.270	0.280	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	85	251	61	0.243	5	30	0.312	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.281	0.356	0.392	OK
Jonathan Ornelas	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.183	0.245	0.217
TEAM TOTALS									42	40	10	5	5	2	6	0.250

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	112	430	124	0.288	27	72	0.390	5	5	1	0	0	0	4	0.200	0.280	0.371	0.530	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	118	444	135	0.304	15	55	0.381	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.276	0.357	0.389	OK
Andy Pages	CF	120	467	127	0.272	20	76	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.274	0.328	0.463	OK
Max Muncy	3B	111	368	91	0.247	23	59	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.308	0.459	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	84	328	79	0.241	15	40	0.292	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.277	0.323	0.491	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	43	152	41	0.270	4	21	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.291	0.418	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	86	301	75	0.249	11	41	0.312	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.212	0.274	0.329	OK
Alex Call	RF	55	126	31	0.246	1	17	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.316	0.341	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	7	18	4	0.222	1	1	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.270	0.389	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	6	3	3	2	10	0.167

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	22	132.3	1.77	0.741	13.9	204	6.0	4	1	1	2	9	96	6.0	9	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	48	47.3	1.71	0.803	10.3	54	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	23	1.1	0	2
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	56	59.8	3.91	1.589	14.3	95	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	5	2.5	14.40	2.400	10.8	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
DL Hall	Middle Reliever	29	32.7	2.75	1.376	10.2	37	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	5	0.2	0	0
Chad Patrick	Reliever	40	81.5	3.31	1.252	8.6	78	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	20	118.7	3.49	1.129	7.1	94	5.2	7	2	2	2	5	100	5.2	5	2
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	14	11.5	9.39	2.348	14.9	19	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	20	1.0	0	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	53	44.8	2.41	1.004	12.5	62	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	15	9.9	6.36	1.616	10.9	12	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	6	1.2	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	54	32.9	3.56	1.550	15.3	56	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-3 (Extra Innings - 10)

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays

NYY 68-55 (4.45 RPG / 3.76 RA)

4 - 1

TOR 61-64 (3.91 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-1 TARGET: NYY 4 - 2 TOR (NYY) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	4	11
TOR	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Season Quality

Record68-54

Win%0.557

Run Diff87

RD/Game0.713

TOR Season Quality

Record60-64

Win%0.484

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.476

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7563; margin adjustment: -0.3176; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	97	347	78	0.225	15	50	0.311	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.290	0.348	0.640	OK
Ben Rice	DH	114	425	108	0.254	31	72	0.351	5	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.196	0.289	0.403	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	9	28	2	0.071	0	0	0.212	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.156	0.205	0.280	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	9	35	8	0.229	1	2	0.270	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.239	0.268	0.444	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	46	131	28	0.214	5	18	0.299	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.207	0.287	0.386	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	110	390	85	0.218	17	48	0.294	5	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.213	0.291	0.357	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	9	32	8	0.250	2	2	0.314	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.297	0.347	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	91	262	58	0.221	10	31	0.283	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.236	0.302	0.375	OK
Austin Wells	C	85	241	43	0.178	8	17	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.294	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	11	4	4	4	5	0.297

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	7	31	9	0.290	0	3	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.252	0.284	0.342	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	86	287	76	0.265	6	21	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.218	0.257	0.301	OK
Alejandro Kirk	DH	46	160	43	0.269	5	21	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.275	0.341	0.409	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	84	240	63	0.262	8	32	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.286	0.384	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	118	436	99	0.227	24	71	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.269	0.330	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	64	197	45	0.228	8	21	0.305	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.211	0.282	0.338	OK
Josh Smith	2B	8	18	4	0.222	1	1	0.300	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.134	0.228	0.249	OK
Charles McAdoo	1B	13	37	7	0.189	2	5	0.244	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.258	0.351	OK
Myles Straw	RF	90	214	48	0.224	3	20	0.266	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.225	0.265	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	29	3	1	1	2	11	0.103

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	25	143.4	2.26	0.948	11.4	182	6.0	2	1	1	0	8	94	6.0	8	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	49	49.4	2.73	1.113	10.9	60	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	57	37.8	3.81	1.799	15.0	63	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	14	1.0	2	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	62	49.9	1.80	1.363	13.7	76	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braydon Fisher	Starter	58	53.3	4.05	1.407	9.6	57	5.0	6	3	3	3	3	97	5.0	3	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	57	58.9	1.38	1.053	11.6	76	1.2	2	1	1	1	0	31	1.2	0	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	58	52.6	1.71	1.236	4.8	28	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	36	70.7	3.44	1.231	9.2	72	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-1

Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins

PHI 66-58 (4.44 RPG / 4.39 RA)

6 - 4

MIN 60-64 (4.62 RPG / 4.99 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 6-4 TARGET: PHI 6 - 4 MIN (PHI) Confidence: 61.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	6	7
MIN	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	5

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PHI Season Quality

Record65-58

Win%0.528

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.008

MIN Season Quality

Record60-63

Win%0.488

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.309

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3164; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	115	430	107	0.249	36	71	0.367	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.275	0.379	0.703	OK
Trea Turner	SS	116	486	121	0.249	17	47	0.296	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.279	0.376	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	121	426	108	0.254	25	72	0.374	5	4	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.246	0.410	0.471	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	10	45	11	0.244	1	6	0.255	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.315	0.393	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	116	434	100	0.230	13	62	0.291	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.249	0.310	0.370	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	62	179	39	0.218	5	28	0.255	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.263	0.370	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	116	403	107	0.266	8	53	0.339	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.286	0.364	0.418	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	88	304	66	0.217	8	38	0.289	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.195	0.245	0.288	OK
Derek Hill	CF	28	79	20	0.253	5	14	0.280	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.178	0.213	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	6	6	6	10	0.206

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	LF	92	277	67	0.242	3	23	0.341	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.251	0.330	0.370	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	83	335	88	0.263	25	45	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.265	0.401	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	58	206	59	0.286	10	40	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.285	0.376	0.442	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	88	323	78	0.241	13	43	0.313	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.305	0.413	OK
Josh Bell	DH	118	435	110	0.253	16	72	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.261	0.326	0.439	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	113	380	101	0.266	7	36	0.360	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.360	0.403	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	114	433	106	0.245	17	61	0.299	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.284	0.387	OK
Ryan Kreidler	2B	69	199	46	0.231	5	25	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.265	0.349	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	5	17	3	0.176	1	2	0.286	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.252	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	4	4	3	10	0.156

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	24	140.4	3.40	1.168	11.3	176	6.1	3	2	2	0	8	102	6.1	8	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	44	41.4	1.30	0.942	12.8	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	51	42.2	4.27	1.445	11.1	52	1.0	1	1	1	3	0	28	1.0	0	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	46	39.7	2.95	1.033	12.0	53	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	14	0.2	1	1

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	16	81.5	4.86	1.337	9.7	88	5.1	1	0	0	4	6	89	5.1	6	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	2.25	1.500	13.5	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	41	31.8	2.26	1.352	10.5	37	1.0	4	4	4	0	2	25	1.0	2	4
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	46	49.1	3.48	1.426	9.9	54	1.0	2	2	2	2	1	27	1.0	1	2
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever	6	4.3	2.09	1.163	8.4	4	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 6-4

San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians

SD 66-58 (4.27 RPG / 4.29 RA)

6 - 1

CLE 60-64 (3.98 RPG / 4.2 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-1 TARGET: SD 6 - 1 CLE (SD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	6	11
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak6W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

SD Season Quality

Record66-57

Win%0.537

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.024

CLE Season Quality

Record59-64

Win%0.480

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.260

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.617; margin adjustment: -0.2591; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	119	471	132	0.280	13	55	0.352	5	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.254	0.317	0.545	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	70	239	53	0.222	3	19	0.309	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.259	0.317	0.326	OK
Manny Machado	3B	120	447	96	0.215	23	70	0.297	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.292	0.343	OK
Ty France	1B	91	309	92	0.298	17	51	0.351	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.318	0.355	0.513	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	119	465	114	0.245	19	63	0.295	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.265	0.308	0.483	OK
Luis Campusano	DH	43	126	40	0.317	5	23	0.407	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.332	0.407	0.539	OK
Austin Hays	LF	3	9	3	0.333	1	3	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.268	0.384	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	116	399	89	0.223	11	45	0.320	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.333	0.409	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	60	180	35	0.194	4	16	0.269	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.153	0.213	0.253	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	11	6	6	3	8	0.297

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	109	387	102	0.264	2	22	0.361	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.270	0.367	0.328	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	102	391	112	0.286	13	57	0.358	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.283	0.358	0.438	OK
Jo Adell	RF	10	34	5	0.147	2	4	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.116	0.171	0.299	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	8	27	8	0.296	2	8	0.310	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.285	0.342	0.507	OK
Angel Genao	SS	8	31	10	0.323	1	3	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.295	0.321	0.434	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	88	326	77	0.236	9	35	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.285	0.290	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	49	147	31	0.211	5	18	0.265	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.150	0.221	0.252	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	44	117	26	0.222	2	8	0.252	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.253	0.334	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	118	416	107	0.257	10	51	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.288	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	1	1	4	9	0.156

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Wandy Peralta	Starter	53	53.3	3.88	1.576	6.4	38	5.0	4	1	1	3	8	87	5.0	8	1
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	49	48.3	0.93	0.890	17.3	93	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	56	57.4	3.14	1.237	12.5	80	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	30	24.6	4.02	1.260	13.2	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	35	40.7	2.65	1.327	10.6	48	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	25	117.1	4.00	1.512	10.1	132	4.1	5	3	3	3	4	87	4.1	4	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	51	51.4	2.45	1.187	13.5	77	1.1	2	2	2	0	1	23	1.1	1	2
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	46	33.0	4.09	1.576	10.6	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	46	41.1	1.97	0.973	10.1	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	50	31.2	4.62	1.795	9.8	34	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

SD wins 6-1

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

SEA 58-66 (3.92 RPG / 4.11 RA)

2 - 4

HOU 63-61 (4.63 RPG / 4.86 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-2 TARGET: SEA 2 - 3 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 55.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
HOU	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	x	4	7

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.2

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-32

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

SEA Season Quality

Record57-65

Win%0.467

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.213

HOU Season Quality

Record62-60

Win%0.508

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.221

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3132; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	31	113	28	0.248	3	9	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.266	0.328	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	115	424	118	0.278	16	52	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.320	0.458	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	106	322	82	0.255	19	51	0.328	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.325	0.477	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	111	436	112	0.257	19	52	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.313	0.420	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	114	440	117	0.266	10	44	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.301	0.361	0.460	OK
Cole Young	2B	123	449	116	0.258	14	52	0.316	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.206	0.248	0.301	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	89	322	51	0.158	12	43	0.269	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.129	0.245	0.244	OK
Victor Robles	RF	40	121	31	0.256	0	7	0.295	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.292	0.317	0.363	OK
Brock Rodden	SS	1	4	1	0.250	0	2	0.200	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.253	0.480	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	2	2	0	12	0.156

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	74	298	86	0.289	13	39	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.279	0.369	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	120	435	142	0.326	36	88	0.441	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.321	0.421	0.609	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	115	423	106	0.251	15	65	0.344	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.240	0.300	0.346	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	10	36	5	0.139	1	3	0.262	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.214	0.283	0.347	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	96	376	91	0.242	13	35	0.303	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.306	0.364	OK
Christian Walker	1B	117	433	104	0.240	23	70	0.320	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.240	0.304	0.433	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	60	171	39	0.228	7	20	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.226	0.299	0.421	OK
Cam Smith	RF	112	396	89	0.225	16	44	0.294	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.248	0.303	0.455	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	70	206	44	0.214	5	23	0.266	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.265	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	4	4	2	7	0.226

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	22	118.9	3.41	1.135	8.4	111	5.1	5	3	3	1	5	97	5.1	5	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	46	42.0	4.29	1.262	15.0	70	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	54	44.4	3.85	1.486	8.3	41	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hayden Wesneski	Starter	3	18.2	3.96	1.209	5.9	12	5.2	5	2	2	0	7	86	5.2	7	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	29	28.3	0.64	0.671	12.7	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	60	52.5	2.40	0.990	10.5	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	46	39.8	4.97	1.533	12.9	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	54	50.1	4.85	1.337	9.5	53	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs

STL 62-61 (4.37 RPG / 4.37 RA)

3 - 5

CHC 72-52 (5.17 RPG / 4.31 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-3 TARGET: STL 3 - 5 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	7
CHC	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	1	x	5	10

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

STL Season Quality

Record61-61

Win%0.500

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.033

CHC Season Quality

Record72-51

Win%0.585

Run Diff111

RD/Game0.902

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7975; margin adjustment: 0.3349; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	113	441	107	0.243	16	44	0.348	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.330	0.347	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	119	450	110	0.244	12	49	0.353	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.259	0.319	0.385	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	116	448	127	0.283	21	79	0.344	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.243	0.303	0.402	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	118	452	129	0.285	19	83	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.327	0.477	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.307	0.394
Masyn Winn	SS	111	403	97	0.241	4	49	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.286	0.314	OK
José Fermín	LF	81	224	55	0.246	5	27	0.316	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.239	0.319	0.343	OK
Everson Pereira	CF	3	6	2	0.333	1	1	0.500	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.233	0.284	0.483	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	54	158	33	0.209	4	11	0.253	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.176	0.225	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	2	11	0.206

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	121	458	129	0.282	27	73	0.381	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.237	0.312	0.467	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	104	394	109	0.277	21	73	0.367	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.275	0.350	0.530	OK
Michael Busch	1B	120	457	113	0.247	13	61	0.354	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.350	0.376	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	119	471	120	0.255	16	61	0.347	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.273	0.360	0.536	OK
Ian Happ	LF	115	426	92	0.216	20	51	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.208	0.305	0.402	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	118	472	124	0.263	7	56	0.319	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.281	0.332	0.389	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	43	116	35	0.302	2	15	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.282	0.338	0.463	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	77	183	42	0.230	9	26	0.312	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.228	0.313	0.401	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	54	168	40	0.238	4	21	0.326	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.275	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	10	5	5	5	3	0.294

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	23	123.2	3.73	1.250	6.2	85	5.1	8	4	4	2	2	110	5.1	2	4
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	49	46.8	3.27	1.175	9.4	49	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	55	46.1	4.30	1.453	10.3	53	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	27	1.0	0	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	14	77.1	3.62	1.258	7.7	66	6.1	7	3	3	2	6	109	6.1	6	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	54	49.1	2.57	1.283	11.2	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	5	3.4	7.94	2.353	15.9	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	3	1.0	2	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	34	33.6	2.68	1.190	5.1	19	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-3

Texas Rangers @ Oakland Athletics

TEX 60-63 (4.07 RPG / 4.44 RA)

6 - 3

OAK 48-74 (4.36 RPG / 5.8 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 6-3 TARGET: TEX 5 - 4 OAK (TEX) Confidence: 52.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	6	9
OAK	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	3	11

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

TEX Season Quality

Record60-62

Win%0.492

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.336

OAK Season Quality

Record47-74

Win%0.388

Run Diff-180

RD/Game-1.488

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9669; margin adjustment: -0.4061; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	110	317	79	0.249	22	46	0.342	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.173	0.299	0.395	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	117	446	121	0.271	13	47	0.338	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.304	0.408	OK
Corey Seager	SS	63	232	46	0.198	12	29	0.304	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.210	0.311	0.411	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	71	277	69	0.249	13	31	0.314	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.163	0.242	0.296	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	112	395	106	0.268	13	64	0.323	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.318	0.421	OK
Evan Carter	CF	103	294	57	0.194	8	31	0.298	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.212	0.290	0.311	OK
Jake Burger	1B	117	428	100	0.234	20	71	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.291	0.406	OK
Austin Wynns	C	11	26	7	0.269	1	1	0.296	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.225	0.261	0.300	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	65	186	51	0.274	1	20	0.317	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.141	0.175	0.186	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	6	6	3	9	0.250

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	75	256	65	0.254	5	22	0.325	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.250	0.297	0.343	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	67	241	67	0.278	13	32	0.336	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.273	0.327	0.507	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	104	331	87	0.263	5	39	0.315	5	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.327	0.371	0.463	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	62	215	46	0.214	10	31	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.198	0.250	0.360	OK
Tommy White	1B	24	91	23	0.253	0	1	0.269	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.257	0.271	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	107	324	67	0.207	10	34	0.291	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.207	0.276	0.466	OK
Max Muncy	3B	57	179	38	0.212	5	21	0.280	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.100	0.156	0.200	OK
Brian Serven	C	9	27	5	0.185	2	5	0.214	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.193	0.223	0.364	OK
Alika Williams	SS	48	128	34	0.266	2	9	0.299	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.296	0.388	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	11	3	3	1	8	0.297

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	25	131.2	4.53	1.265	10.2	149	5.2	10	2	2	0	6	111	5.2	6	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	42	51.2	1.41	0.703	9.8	56	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	21	1.1	1	1
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	41	41.7	3.67	1.367	10.8	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	7	5.5	4.91	2.000	11.5	7	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	24	118.3	3.50	1.243	8.1	107	5.1	6	4	4	2	4	93	5.1	4	4
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	56	43.2	4.38	1.898	14.6	70	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	21	1.0	1	2
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	37	32.4	5.56	1.451	13.1	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	39	49.8	3.61	1.466	11.7	65	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.1	1	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever	6	8.5	3.18	1.529	3.2	3	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.1	1	0
Brady Basso	Middle Reliever	14	16.9	5.33	1.657	8.5	16	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	21	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 6-3

Washington Nationals @ New York Mets

WAS 60-65 (5.34 RPG / 5.18 RA)

5 - 2

NYM 55-69 (4.19 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-2 TARGET: WAS 3 - 4 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 57.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	8
NYM	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

WAS Season Quality

Record60-64

Win%0.484

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.161

NYM Season Quality

Record54-69

Win%0.439

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.358

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2761; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Crews	RF	70	267	58	0.217	10	27	0.289	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.143	0.196	0.290	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	46	106	24	0.226	6	28	0.322	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.222	0.292	0.405	OK
Brady House	3B	60	219	53	0.242	8	28	0.295	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.316	0.394	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	120	453	128	0.283	29	91	0.360	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.309	0.456	OK
Harry Ford	C	14	44	10	0.227	2	7	0.333	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.236	0.312	0.453	OK
Jacob Young	CF	98	331	82	0.248	10	41	0.306	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.283	0.325	0.460	OK
Daylen Lile	DH	122	466	116	0.249	15	65	0.298	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.260	0.296	0.410	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	108	351	80	0.228	1	34	0.314	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.182	0.278	0.218	OK
Andrew Pinckney	LF	4	8	2	0.250	1	2	0.300	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.175	0.260	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	5	5	3	9	0.229

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	81	294	76	0.259	7	28	0.330	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.315	0.366	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	65	254	61	0.240	12	31	0.328	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.266	0.343	0.519	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	119	478	125	0.262	12	62	0.306	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.256	0.310	0.411	OK
Carson Benge	RF	114	437	119	0.272	13	48	0.334	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.286	0.339	0.423	OK
Jared Young	1B	68	208	54	0.260	7	23	0.332	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.302	0.352	0.508	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	102	362	78	0.215	14	41	0.275	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.207	0.263	0.341	OK
Brett Baty	LF	102	336	73	0.217	8	38	0.280	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.205	0.261	0.333	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	34	124	17	0.137	2	5	0.195	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.152	0.209	0.288	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	82	270	65	0.241	12	28	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.220	0.305	0.389	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	2	2	3	9	0.229

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brad Lord	Starter	29	56.3	4.16	1.297	9.0	56	4.2	5	2	2	1	5	85	4.2	5	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	38	33.5	3.49	1.254	10.2	38	1.1	1	0	0	2	2	28	1.1	2	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	38	32.5	3.88	1.323	8.9	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	4	2.2	12.27	4.091	12.3	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	12	8.2	4.39	1.585	9.9	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	25	101.4	4.26	1.361	9.4	106	6.0	3	2	2	0	5	96	6.0	5	2
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	17	46.1	8.39	1.779	11.3	58	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	35	1.0	1	2
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	13	16.7	1.08	0.778	7.5	14	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	22	1.1	1	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever	4	3.3	0.00	0.909	13.6	5	0.2	2	1	1	2	2	22	0.2	2	1

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

ARI Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays

BAL Recent Form

TB Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

BOS Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

CHW Recent Form

DET Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL Recent Form

SF Recent Form

COL Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels

KC Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

KC Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds

MIA Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers