MLB Predictions — August 13, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BOS @ TOR	4 - 2	6 - 1	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 6-1	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ WAS	4 - 3	4 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ CHW	4 - 5	2 - 6	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ DET	3 - 5	3 - 5	DET	DET	DET wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ LAD	7 - 6	7 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 7-6	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ MIN	5 - 4	5 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ MIA	3 - 4	3 - 4	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ NYY	3 - 4	3 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ LAA	4 - 3	4 - 3	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

BOS 65-56 (4.45 RPG / 3.74 RA)

6 - 1

TOR 59-64 (3.92 RPG / 4.41 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 6-1 TARGET: BOS 4 - 2 TOR (BOS) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	1	6	10
TOR	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

BOS Season Quality

Record64-56

Win%0.533

Run Diff79

RD/Game0.658

TOR Season Quality

Record59-63

Win%0.484

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.443

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8047; margin adjustment: -0.338; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	24	85	22	0.259	0	3	0.376	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.264	0.364	0.385	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	112	445	127	0.285	15	61	0.323	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.271	0.293	0.453	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	115	437	112	0.256	21	64	0.332	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.252	0.334	0.510	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	107	374	104	0.278	24	71	0.388	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.286	0.424	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	79	245	63	0.257	4	25	0.326	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.257	0.320	0.399	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	108	370	89	0.241	11	52	0.309	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.249	0.302	0.374	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	111	428	86	0.201	16	55	0.260	4	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.248	0.351	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	76	230	62	0.270	6	32	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.275	0.346	0.419	OK
Connor Wong	C	54	155	39	0.252	3	19	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.278	0.390	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	6	6	5	5	0.270

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Charles McAdoo	LF	11	34	7	0.206	2	5	0.243	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.255	0.374	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	119	458	129	0.282	9	42	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.240	0.265	0.352	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	112	423	111	0.262	7	46	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.313	0.361	OK
George Springer	DH	88	340	80	0.235	12	36	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.179	0.265	0.283	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	116	430	98	0.228	24	71	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.280	0.353	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	63	194	45	0.232	8	21	0.309	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.165	0.242	0.263	OK
Myles Straw	CF	89	211	48	0.227	3	20	0.270	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.274	0.354	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	84	281	75	0.267	6	21	0.319	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.177	0.216	0.271	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	110	363	87	0.240	8	47	0.286	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.246	0.275	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	1	1	1	12	0.129

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	19	104.9	3.26	1.125	10.6	124	5.2	3	1	1	1	9	96	5.2	9	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	40	39.2	1.38	1.148	11.5	50	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	45	43.3	2.08	0.901	10.2	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	36	25.5	5.65	1.686	13.8	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Scherzer	Starter	9	34.6	7.54	1.590	7.0	27	4.0	7	5	5	4	4	87	4.0	4	5
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	56	57.9	1.40	1.071	11.8	76	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	28	2.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	57	51.5	1.75	1.243	4.9	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	35	69.7	3.49	1.220	9.3	72	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	23	1.1	0	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	61	36.8	4.40	1.576	13.5	55	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	14	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 6-1

Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals

CHC 71-51 (5.2 RPG / 4.31 RA)

4 - 3

WAS 60-63 (5.38 RPG / 5.2 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-3 TARGET: CHC 4 - 3 WAS (CHC) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	4	6
WAS	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	10

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

CHC Season Quality

Record71-50

Win%0.587

Run Diff115

RD/Game0.950

WAS Season Quality

Record59-63

Win%0.484

Run Diff16

RD/Game0.131

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9075; margin adjustment: -0.3811; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	119	450	129	0.287	27	73	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.345	0.531	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	102	387	107	0.276	20	70	0.368	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.280	0.355	0.476	OK
Michael Busch	1B	118	451	111	0.246	13	61	0.353	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.264	0.340	0.377	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	117	465	120	0.258	16	61	0.349	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.341	0.414	0.807	OK
Ian Happ	LF	113	420	92	0.219	20	51	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.312	0.434	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	42	113	35	0.310	2	15	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.304	0.359	0.512	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	113	391	84	0.215	16	59	0.298	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.318	0.424	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	76	180	42	0.233	9	26	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.335	0.422	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	53	165	40	0.242	4	21	0.332	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.263	0.320	0.450	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	1	5	0.182

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	SS	118	447	127	0.284	29	91	0.358	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.230	0.288	0.447	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	10	26	8	0.308	3	5	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.245	0.489	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	68	262	56	0.214	10	26	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.181	0.224	0.325	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	120	458	113	0.247	15	64	0.296	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.280	0.420	OK
Brady House	3B	58	212	50	0.236	8	27	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.283	0.374	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	82	215	52	0.242	3	18	0.328	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.242	0.333	0.321	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	45	102	23	0.225	6	28	0.325	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.230	0.303	0.464	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	76	251	70	0.279	7	39	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.308	0.352	0.441	OK
Andrew Pinckney	CF	3	6	2	0.333	1	1	0.429	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.310	0.397	0.734	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	37	10	3	3	0	5	0.270

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	1	7.0	2.57	0.714	5.1	4	5.2	9	3	3	0	2	98	5.2	2	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	53	48.1	2.62	1.289	11.2	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	4	2.4	11.25	2.500	15.0	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	34	33.6	2.68	1.190	5.1	19	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	5	1.1	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	25	126.1	3.64	1.324	10.1	141	5.2	5	3	3	1	4	90	5.2	4	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	37	32.5	3.60	1.292	10.2	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	8	1.1	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	38	32.5	3.88	1.323	8.9	32	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	4	2.2	12.27	4.091	12.3	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-3

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox

CIN 58-62 (4.13 RPG / 4.78 RA)

2 - 6

CHW 62-58 (4.78 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-2 TARGET: CIN 4 - 5 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 54.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	6
CHW	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	x	6	9

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CIN Season Quality

Record57-62

Win%0.479

Run Diff-78

RD/Game-0.655

CHW Season Quality

Record62-57

Win%0.521

Run Diff41

RD/Game0.345

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6798; margin adjustment: 0.2855; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	99	391	106	0.271	20	56	0.351	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.218	0.297	0.426	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	118	449	116	0.258	25	87	0.335	5	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.237	0.302	0.404	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	89	319	71	0.223	20	47	0.333	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.170	0.281	0.347	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	89	287	71	0.247	10	35	0.329	5	4	2	0	0	1	2	0.500	0.147	0.236	0.280	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	87	312	64	0.205	17	44	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.188	0.258	0.461	OK
Dane Myers	CF	71	179	46	0.257	3	18	0.345	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.153	0.238	0.231	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	7	18	2	0.111	0	0	0.238	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.140	0.245	0.218	OK
Matt McLain	2B	90	304	59	0.194	10	28	0.293	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.194	0.289	0.366	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	54	167	23	0.138	4	7	0.191	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.134	0.173	0.225	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	32	6	2	2	6	6	0.188

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	113	420	116	0.276	12	48	0.350	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.271	0.337	0.504	OK
Randal Grichuk	DH	66	146	40	0.274	9	23	0.307	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.182	0.212	0.383	OK
Miguel Vargas	1B	116	434	102	0.235	25	68	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.331	0.465	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	52	187	43	0.230	4	24	0.316	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.312	0.372	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	7	21	6	0.286	1	1	0.286	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.242	0.297	0.372	OK
Colson Montgomery	3B	113	425	91	0.214	26	68	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.277	0.423	OK
Edgar Quero	C	58	178	35	0.197	3	17	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.297	0.352	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	97	337	92	0.273	8	35	0.364	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.267	0.326	0.394	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	69	181	43	0.238	1	12	0.271	4	2	1	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.196	0.223	0.236	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	9	6	6	2	3	0.281

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	24	126.1	4.00	1.420	7.1	99	5.1	7	5	5	1	2	94	5.1	2	5
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	27	25.4	4.25	1.142	10.3	29	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	15	0.2	0	1
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	38	33.1	3.26	1.178	9.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	5	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	60	50.3	3.22	1.451	9.8	55	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	15	1.0	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	23	120.2	4.27	1.356	8.1	108	5.0	4	1	1	2	3	85	5.0	3	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	39	51.5	3.32	1.320	9.8	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.0	0	1	1	3	1	25	1.0	1	1
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	15	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers

CLE 59-63 (3.96 RPG / 4.2 RA)

3 - 5

DET 60-61 (4.56 RPG / 3.82 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-3 TARGET: CLE 3 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	10
DET	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	x	5	4

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff37

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CLE Season Quality

Record59-62

Win%0.488

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.223

DET Season Quality

Record59-61

Win%0.492

Run Diff87

RD/Game0.725

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9759; margin adjustment: 0.4099; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	107	380	101	0.266	2	22	0.362	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.369	0.351	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	100	382	109	0.285	13	57	0.358	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.285	0.349	0.447	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	6	19	5	0.263	1	6	0.286	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.196	0.266	0.363	OK
Jo Adell	LF	8	29	5	0.172	2	4	0.324	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.212	0.260	0.392	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	86	319	77	0.241	9	35	0.340	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.212	0.305	0.304	OK
Angel Genao	3B	6	24	8	0.333	1	3	0.385	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.246	0.371	OK
Austin Hedges	C	55	158	43	0.272	4	19	0.346	4	2	2	0	0	2	0	1.000	0.225	0.318	0.363	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	116	409	104	0.254	9	50	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.209	0.255	0.293	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	43	114	25	0.219	2	7	0.250	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.224	0.246	0.311	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	3	3	3	6	0.270

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	63	235	61	0.260	8	31	0.371	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.233	0.322	0.393	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	110	420	113	0.269	26	80	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.260	0.398	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	115	439	126	0.287	12	48	0.393	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.364	0.392	OK
Eduardo Valencia	DH	14	41	16	0.390	4	13	0.419	3	3	2	1	3	0	0	0.667	0.369	0.389	0.739	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	118	410	93	0.227	20	61	0.317	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.377	0.450	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	70	198	53	0.268	6	28	0.297	3	2	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.270	0.300	0.427	OK
Max Clark	CF	11	45	13	0.289	1	7	0.360	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.311	0.427	OK
Javier Báez	LF	34	120	34	0.283	2	14	0.310	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.290	0.316	0.383	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	19	47	12	0.255	1	7	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.338	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	27	4	5	5	2	10	0.148

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	23	131.3	2.67	1.081	9.3	136	6.0	3	3	3	2	7	94	6.0	7	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	51	51.4	2.45	1.187	13.5	77	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	4	1.0	2	1
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	46	33.0	4.09	1.576	10.6	39	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	4	0.0	0	1
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	45	40.9	1.54	0.929	10.1	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1.0	1	0
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	48	30.0	4.80	1.867	9.9	33	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	25	118.6	3.49	1.046	6.5	86	5.2	8	3	3	2	5	103	5.2	5	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	34	29.8	3.62	1.275	11.2	37	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	48	42.7	3.16	1.639	7.8	37	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	20	1.1	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	51	46.7	3.28	1.435	8.5	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MIL 74-47 (4.89 RPG / 3.82 RA)

7 - 6

LAD 73-48 (5.01 RPG / 3.83 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 7-6 TARGET: MIL 7 - 6 LAD (MIL) Confidence: 51.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	7	11
LAD	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	6	12

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

MIL Season Quality

Record74-47

Win%0.612

Run Diff130

RD/Game1.074

LAD Season Quality

Record72-48

Win%0.600

Run Diff140

RD/Game1.167

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0143; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	85	351	98	0.279	17	48	0.344	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.222	0.297	0.429	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	103	338	83	0.246	7	43	0.344	5	3	2	1	2	2	0	0.667	0.158	0.272	0.279	OK
Gary Sánchez	1B	61	165	38	0.230	10	29	0.373	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.243	0.370	0.508	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	104	356	95	0.267	20	65	0.371	5	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.373	0.491	OK
Andrew Vaughn	3B	71	208	62	0.298	5	34	0.376	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.286	0.353	0.442	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	79	305	68	0.223	8	38	0.309	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.201	0.268	0.349	OK
William Contreras	C	110	423	109	0.258	11	58	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.293	0.312	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	83	245	58	0.237	5	28	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.312	0.348	OK
David Hamilton	2B	83	249	57	0.229	3	16	0.302	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.291	0.307	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	11	7	7	3	6	0.289

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	110	423	123	0.291	27	72	0.392	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.283	0.372	0.526	OK
Andy Pages	CF	118	459	124	0.270	19	75	0.336	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.267	0.325	0.421	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	41	145	39	0.269	3	20	0.329	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.131	0.176	0.240	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	117	441	135	0.306	15	55	0.382	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.273	0.349	0.382	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	84	295	73	0.247	11	41	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.200	0.256	0.330	OK
Miguel Rojas	SS	69	166	48	0.289	3	18	0.319	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.294	0.339	0.426	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	111	397	95	0.239	11	54	0.332	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.205	0.305	0.395	OK
Enrique Hernández	3B	10	21	6	0.286	1	2	0.318	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.304	0.472	OK
Ben Rortvedt	C	3	6	1	0.167	0	0	0.167	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.164	0.177	0.243	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	39	12	6	6	1	7	0.308

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	23	90.2	3.99	1.286	9.3	93	5.2	7	3	3	1	3	108	5.2	3	3
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	47	46.3	1.75	0.821	10.3	53	1.0	3	2	2	0	2	22	1.0	2	2
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	49	44.6	2.22	1.121	9.7	48	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	56	59.8	3.91	1.589	14.3	95	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	20	102.9	4.64	1.302	9.3	106	5.2	5	4	4	3	4	106	5.2	4	4
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	12	10.3	7.86	2.039	14.0	16	1.1	5	3	3	0	0	32	1.1	0	3
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	51	43.7	2.47	1.007	12.4	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	14	8.9	7.08	1.798	12.1	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 7-6

Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins

PHI 64-58 (4.39 RPG / 4.44 RA)

5 - 3

MIN 60-62 (4.68 RPG / 4.94 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-3 TARGET: PHI 5 - 4 MIN (PHI) Confidence: 53.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	6
MIN	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Season Quality

Record64-58

Win%0.525

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.057

MIN Season Quality

Record60-62

Win%0.492

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.262

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2044; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	114	425	105	0.247	34	68	0.367	5	3	0	1	0	2	2	0.000	0.270	0.388	0.520	OK
Trea Turner	SS	115	482	120	0.249	17	47	0.295	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.225	0.273	0.361	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	120	422	107	0.254	25	71	0.374	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.402	0.495	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	9	40	8	0.200	1	6	0.214	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.276	0.352	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	115	398	106	0.266	8	52	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.294	0.377	0.433	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	115	429	99	0.231	13	62	0.292	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.249	0.314	0.362	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	115	425	116	0.273	16	52	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.266	0.327	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	87	300	66	0.220	8	38	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.268	0.324	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	107	325	84	0.258	2	29	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.314	0.380	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	5	5	5	7	0.182

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	97	318	86	0.270	10	41	0.352	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.214	0.281	0.351	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	82	331	87	0.263	25	45	0.320	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.216	0.263	0.400	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	57	203	57	0.281	10	40	0.380	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.343	0.407	OK
Josh Bell	DH	117	432	110	0.255	16	72	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.287	0.343	0.456	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	87	319	78	0.245	13	43	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.300	0.352	0.477	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	105	392	90	0.230	20	56	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.272	0.424	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	112	377	99	0.263	6	35	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.265	0.349	0.369	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	113	429	106	0.247	17	61	0.302	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.315	0.444	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	4	13	2	0.154	1	2	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.211	0.264	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	3	3	4	8	0.206

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	24	121.5	5.63	1.490	9.6	129	5.1	6	3	3	3	4	97	5.1	4	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	43	40.4	1.34	0.941	13.1	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	50	41.2	4.37	1.481	11.1	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	45	38.7	3.02	1.034	12.3	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	4.50	1.000	11.2	5	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	23	129.8	3.81	1.263	10.3	148	5.2	6	5	5	3	4	110	5.2	4	5
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	2.25	1.500	13.5	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	41	31.8	2.26	1.352	10.5	37	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	46	49.1	3.48	1.426	9.9	54	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins

PIT 59-64 (5.02 RPG / 4.81 RA)

3 - 4

MIA 62-60 (4.39 RPG / 4.3 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 3 - 4 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	8
MIA	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	x	4	8

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-25

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

PIT Season Quality

Record58-64

Win%0.475

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.107

MIA Season Quality

Record62-59

Win%0.512

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.190

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4278; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	83	276	72	0.261	10	37	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.314	0.326	OK
Brandon Lowe	DH	110	434	108	0.249	25	74	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.302	0.452	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	119	435	116	0.267	15	63	0.379	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.216	0.320	0.358	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	112	429	130	0.303	4	51	0.355	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.285	0.325	0.375	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	49	155	37	0.239	11	31	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.367	0.459	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	20	52	10	0.192	1	5	0.189	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.222	0.260	0.322	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	88	317	95	0.300	4	27	0.347	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.304	0.418	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	76	230	56	0.243	1	20	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.300	0.296	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	9	25	5	0.200	1	2	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.156	0.281	0.264	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	3	3	1	8	0.229

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	113	385	79	0.205	6	28	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.334	0.354	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	119	441	125	0.283	6	46	0.362	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.243	0.316	0.330	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	117	471	148	0.314	9	53	0.346	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.257	0.287	0.368	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	52	152	42	0.276	13	27	0.368	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.294	0.388	0.616	OK
Leo Jiménez	1B	49	138	29	0.210	2	14	0.290	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.218	0.273	0.287	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	86	242	55	0.227	12	51	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.262	0.359	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	92	304	84	0.276	4	42	0.309	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.241	0.283	0.383	OK
Esteury Ruiz	LF	57	128	34	0.266	6	11	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.346	0.529	OK
Joe Mack	C	71	214	50	0.234	11	35	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.293	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	8	4	4	3	5	0.267

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	23	130.0	4.15	1.177	10.0	145	5.1	7	2	2	2	3	102	5.1	3	2
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.2	1	2	2	1	1	28	1.2	1	2
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	47	40.0	3.82	1.325	16.9	75	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	29	90.3	3.59	1.406	7.0	70	5.0	7	2	2	0	4	84	5.0	4	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	40	35.7	6.30	1.373	12.9	51	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	51	44.6	4.84	1.659	11.5	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	48	43.5	3.31	1.218	12.4	60	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	4	5.0	5.40	1.400	9.0	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-3

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees

SEA 57-65 (3.84 RPG / 4.06 RA)

3 - 4

NYY 68-53 (4.5 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-3 TARGET: SEA 3 - 4 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 56.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	6
NYY	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	x	4	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-28

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

SEA Season Quality

Record56-65

Win%0.463

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.223

NYY Season Quality

Record68-52

Win%0.567

Run Diff90

RD/Game0.750

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9774; margin adjustment: 0.4105; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	113	417	115	0.276	16	52	0.369	5	5	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.276	0.407	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	109	428	110	0.257	19	52	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.313	0.472	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	104	315	80	0.254	19	50	0.325	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.301	0.447	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	87	316	51	0.161	12	43	0.270	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.154	0.265	0.278	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	112	432	114	0.264	10	43	0.331	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.260	0.329	0.421	OK
Brendan Donovan	2B	29	104	27	0.260	3	8	0.350	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.245	0.297	0.386	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	22	57	10	0.175	2	7	0.242	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.158	0.246	0.243	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	20	66	17	0.258	2	4	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.223	0.262	0.303	OK
Leo Rivas	SS	38	106	14	0.132	0	7	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.129	0.238	0.173	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	3	6	0.182

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	95	339	75	0.221	14	49	0.310	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.274	0.334	0.644	OK
Ben Rice	DH	112	418	108	0.258	31	72	0.355	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.340	0.505	OK
Spencer Jones	LF	44	124	27	0.218	5	18	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.309	0.411	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	7	27	6	0.222	1	2	0.276	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.270	0.453	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	7	25	8	0.320	2	2	0.393	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.289	0.356	0.442	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	108	382	84	0.220	17	48	0.297	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.211	0.307	0.350	OK
José Caballero	RF	97	322	78	0.242	12	41	0.296	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.251	0.308	0.430	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	89	257	57	0.222	10	31	0.282	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.325	0.410	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	26	57	15	0.263	1	7	0.295	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.154	0.172	0.261	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	30	6	4	4	0	8	0.200

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	23	135.6	3.52	1.025	9.6	145	6.1	5	3	3	0	6	96	6.1	6	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	44	40.8	3.53	1.201	14.8	67	1.2	1	1	1	0	2	22	1.2	2	1
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	53	43.4	3.94	1.521	8.5	41	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Fried	Starter	14	79.7	2.94	0.991	8.5	75	5.2	2	0	0	2	6	95	5.2	6	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	49	49.4	2.73	1.113	10.9	60	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	56	36.8	3.91	1.848	15.2	62	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	62	49.9	1.80	1.363	13.7	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3

Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels

TEX 60-61 (4.11 RPG / 4.39 RA)

4 - 3

LAA 47-74 (4.07 RPG / 4.82 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-3 TARGET: TEX 4 - 3 LAA (TEX) Confidence: 52.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	4	7
LAA	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	8

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

TEX Season Quality

Record60-60

Win%0.500

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.258

LAA Season Quality

Record46-74

Win%0.383

Run Diff-93

RD/Game-0.775

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5084; margin adjustment: -0.2135; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	1B	108	313	79	0.252	22	46	0.343	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.253	0.353	0.530	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	69	269	68	0.253	13	31	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.127	0.215	0.254	OK
Corey Seager	DH	61	228	46	0.202	12	29	0.300	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.212	0.295	0.414	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	115	439	121	0.276	13	47	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.323	0.460	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	110	387	104	0.269	13	64	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.320	0.420	OK
Evan Carter	CF	101	286	55	0.192	8	31	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.201	0.283	0.297	OK
Nicky Lopez	SS	63	181	50	0.276	1	20	0.320	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.280	0.312	OK
Austin Wynns	C	10	22	6	0.273	1	1	0.304	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.243	0.280	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	61	143	37	0.259	7	21	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.173	0.223	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	7	0.206

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wade Meckler	DH	58	181	55	0.304	3	20	0.364	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.301	0.360	0.405	OK
Mike Trout	CF	102	367	88	0.240	20	44	0.386	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.242	0.356	0.422	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	100	370	100	0.270	7	42	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.307	0.309	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	76	272	68	0.250	7	46	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.276	0.355	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	9	31	5	0.161	0	0	0.235	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.197	0.270	0.294	OK
Denzer Guzman	SS	43	158	36	0.228	5	17	0.278	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.216	0.263	0.328	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	72	210	42	0.200	8	22	0.259	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.197	0.264	0.318	OK
Jose Siri	LF	54	130	34	0.262	7	21	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.254	0.293	0.487	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	39	91	19	0.209	1	7	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.132	0.197	0.220	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	2	13	0.229

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	22	116.8	3.93	1.147	11.1	144	5.1	5	2	2	2	7	102	5.1	7	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	42	51.2	1.41	0.703	9.8	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.1	2	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	40	40.7	3.76	1.400	10.6	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	6	4.5	4.00	2.222	10.0	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	30	22.6	4.78	1.239	8.8	22	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	13	0.1	1	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	21	99.8	2.89	1.313	8.7	97	5.2	4	3	3	3	5	95	5.2	5	3
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	0.00	0.500	9.0	4	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	22	23.5	2.30	0.936	16.1	42	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	5	1.1	0	1
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	37	34.5	3.65	1.478	12.5	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever	5	4.4	4.09	2.045	8.2	4	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

BOS Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TOR Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals

CHC Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox

CIN Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers

CLE Recent Form

DET Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MIL Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins

PHI Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

PHI Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins

PIT Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

PIT Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees