MLB Predictions — August 12, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ MIN	2 - 3	2 - 4	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ TOR	5 - 4	6 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ WAS	4 - 3	4 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ CHW	4 - 5	3 - 6	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ DET	3 - 5	3 - 5	DET	DET	DET wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ ARI	3 - 4	3 - 4	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ SF	5 - 4	6 - 2	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 6-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ LAD	4 - 5	3 - 5	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ SD	1 - 3	1 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 3-1	51%	fallback_enhanced
NYM @ ATL	2 - 3	1 - 5	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ STL	5 - 4	6 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 6-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ MIA	2 - 5	2 - 5	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ NYY	1 - 2	1 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 2-1	65%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ OAK	2 - 4	4 - 2	OAK	TB	TB wins 4-2	51%	fallback_enhanced
TEX @ LAA	5 - 4	5 - 3	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins

BAL 58-63 (4.49 RPG / 4.79 RA)

2 - 4

MIN 60-62 (4.68 RPG / 4.94 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 4-2 TARGET: BAL 2 - 3 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6
MIN	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	x	4	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BAL Season Quality

Record58-62

Win%0.483

Run Diff-34

RD/Game-0.283

MIN Season Quality

Record59-62

Win%0.488

Run Diff-34

RD/Game-0.281

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0057; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	116	470	101	0.215	18	48	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.294	0.380	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	117	438	113	0.258	26	77	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.289	0.370	0.604	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	64	186	45	0.242	6	21	0.336	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.253	0.341	0.410	OK
Tyler O'Neill	DH	73	197	43	0.218	10	21	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.312	0.418	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	61	191	46	0.241	2	18	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.306	0.324	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	18	55	13	0.236	3	11	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.277	0.320	0.508	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	97	313	70	0.224	6	42	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.296	0.379	OK
Christian Franklin	CF	5	12	1	0.083	0	0	0.154	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.119	0.185	0.220	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	7	20	2	0.100	0	0	0.182	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.122	0.185	0.184	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	7	0.182

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	96	313	85	0.272	10	40	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.211	0.281	0.359	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	86	314	76	0.242	13	42	0.315	4	3	3	1	0	1	0	1.000	0.296	0.351	0.462	OK
Josh Bell	DH	116	427	107	0.251	16	71	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.331	0.471	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	104	388	89	0.229	20	55	0.287	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.210	0.262	0.422	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	112	425	104	0.245	17	61	0.300	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.296	0.421	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	111	374	99	0.265	6	34	0.360	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.276	0.363	0.383	OK
Victor Caratini	C	87	275	62	0.225	7	37	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.190	0.278	0.279	OK
Alan Roden	RF	22	52	10	0.192	0	9	0.279	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.192	0.282	0.256	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	68	195	46	0.236	5	25	0.280	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.263	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	8	4	4	2	4	0.258

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	23	132.6	3.87	1.357	8.1	120	6.0	5	3	3	2	4	99	6.0	4	3
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	51	33.9	2.12	1.003	9.8	37	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.2	0	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	41	31.6	3.99	1.487	8.5	30	0.1	3	1	1	0	0	13	0.1	0	1

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	15	85.3	5.28	1.348	7.7	73	5.0	5	2	2	2	6	92	5.0	6	2
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	3.00	1.333	15.0	5	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	40	30.8	2.05	1.331	10.8	37	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	7	1.1	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	45	48.1	3.56	1.455	9.7	52	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-2

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

BOS 64-56 (4.42 RPG / 3.77 RA)

6 - 3

TOR 59-63 (3.95 RPG / 4.39 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 6-3 TARGET: BOS 5 - 4 TOR (BOS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	6	10
TOR	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

BOS Season Quality

Record64-55

Win%0.538

Run Diff81

RD/Game0.681

TOR Season Quality

Record58-63

Win%0.479

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.463

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9543; margin adjustment: -0.4008; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masataka Yoshida	DH	78	241	63	0.261	4	25	0.331	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.281	0.340	0.412	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	111	441	126	0.286	15	61	0.324	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.286	0.309	0.530	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.600	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.251	0.336	0.404	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	106	371	103	0.278	23	70	0.387	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.300	0.382	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	114	433	111	0.256	21	64	0.333	5	4	1	1	3	1	0	0.250	0.241	0.334	0.513	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	107	366	87	0.238	11	51	0.307	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.236	0.293	0.366	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	110	424	85	0.200	16	54	0.260	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.205	0.261	0.372	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	75	228	61	0.268	6	31	0.327	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.284	0.349	0.431	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	23	81	21	0.259	0	3	0.381	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.357	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	10	6	6	5	7	0.270

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Charles McAdoo	3B	10	29	5	0.172	2	5	0.219	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.177	0.235	0.371	OK
Brett Bateman	RF	5	22	6	0.273	0	3	0.333	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.260	0.320	0.361	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	111	418	109	0.261	7	46	0.333	5	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.240	0.307	0.357	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	44	153	40	0.261	4	19	0.326	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.306	0.364	0.392	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	DH	115	427	96	0.225	24	70	0.299	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.207	0.272	0.372	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	118	455	128	0.281	9	40	0.305	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.219	0.239	0.326	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	82	235	63	0.268	8	32	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.301	0.409	OK
Myles Straw	CF	88	207	46	0.222	3	18	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.260	0.329	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	109	360	86	0.239	8	47	0.284	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.242	0.264	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	3	3	4	3	0.270

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	20	100.2	3.41	1.208	9.7	108	5.0	8	3	3	1	1	91	5.0	1	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	40	39.2	1.38	1.148	11.5	50	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	45	43.3	2.08	0.901	10.2	49	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	35	24.5	5.88	1.714	14.0	38	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	3	3.1	0.00	1.290	17.4	6	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	14	1.0	1	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	1	4.2	2.14	1.667	6.4	3	5.2	5	2	2	3	5	109	5.2	5	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	55	57.7	1.40	1.075	11.9	76	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	56	50.5	1.78	1.248	5.0	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	35	69.7	3.49	1.220	9.3	72	1.1	2	3	3	1	1	28	1.1	1	3

Game Summary

BOS wins 6-3

Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals

CHC 71-50 (5.24 RPG / 4.29 RA)

4 - 3

WAS 59-63 (5.37 RPG / 5.24 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-3 TARGET: CHC 4 - 3 WAS (CHC) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	4	8
WAS	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	8

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHC Season Quality

Record70-50

Win%0.583

Run Diff109

RD/Game0.908

WAS Season Quality

Record59-62

Win%0.488

Run Diff22

RD/Game0.182

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8176; margin adjustment: -0.3434; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	118	444	128	0.288	27	72	0.389	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.279	0.357	0.559	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	101	383	105	0.274	20	68	0.366	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.332	0.488	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	116	462	117	0.253	13	54	0.343	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.278	0.356	0.438	OK
Carson Kelly	C	84	280	74	0.264	7	42	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.329	0.363	OK
Michael Busch	1B	117	446	110	0.247	13	61	0.355	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.249	0.329	0.365	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	116	463	122	0.263	7	56	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.310	0.358	0.426	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	4	13	3	0.231	0	0	0.333	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.253	0.301	0.487	OK
Pedro Ramirez	3B	41	109	33	0.303	2	15	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.298	0.350	0.456	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	112	387	82	0.212	15	57	0.295	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.218	0.303	0.359	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	3	7	0.229

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Crews	RF	67	257	56	0.218	10	26	0.292	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.194	0.239	0.365	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	44	100	23	0.230	6	28	0.325	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.262	0.406	OK
Brady House	3B	57	207	49	0.237	8	27	0.290	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.247	0.297	0.416	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	117	444	127	0.286	29	91	0.358	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.246	0.295	0.489	OK
Harry Ford	C	13	39	8	0.205	2	6	0.326	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.211	0.307	0.438	OK
Andrew Pinckney	LF	2	4	1	0.250	1	1	0.250	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.189	0.201	0.399	OK
Jacob Young	CF	96	322	79	0.245	10	41	0.305	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.259	0.306	0.451	OK
Daylen Lile	DH	119	454	111	0.244	15	61	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.280	0.419	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	106	344	79	0.230	1	34	0.315	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.183	0.277	0.230	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	3	3	6	9	0.229

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	7	35.9	4.26	1.309	6.3	25	4.2	5	3	3	3	6	90	4.2	6	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	53	48.1	2.62	1.289	11.2	60	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	4	2.4	11.25	2.500	15.0	4	1.0	2	0	0	2	1	27	1.0	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	34	33.6	2.68	1.190	5.1	19	1.2	1	0	0	1	1	28	1.2	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zak Kent	Starter	8	10.2	7.06	1.569	7.9	9	3.0	8	4	4	2	4	70	3.0	4	4
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	37	32.5	3.60	1.292	10.2	37	2.0	0	0	0	1	1	27	2.0	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	38	32.5	3.88	1.323	8.9	32	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	3	2.1	4.29	2.857	12.9	3	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-3

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox

CIN 57-61 (4.13 RPG / 4.75 RA)

3 - 6

CHW 61-57 (4.75 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-3 TARGET: CIN 4 - 5 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	8
CHW	2	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	x	6	13

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CIN Season Quality

Record57-61

Win%0.483

Run Diff-73

RD/Game-0.619

CHW Season Quality

Record61-57

Win%0.517

Run Diff36

RD/Game0.305

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5523; margin adjustment: 0.232; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	98	387	106	0.274	20	56	0.355	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.232	0.312	0.466	OK
Sal Stewart	DH	117	445	114	0.256	25	87	0.333	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.253	0.321	0.464	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	88	315	71	0.225	20	47	0.337	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.197	0.311	0.404	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	86	308	64	0.208	17	44	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.298	0.479	OK
Michael Toglia	1B	1	2	1	0.500	0	0	0.500	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.108	0.122	0.171	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	6	17	2	0.118	0	0	0.211	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.143	0.223	0.222	OK
Jose Trevino	C	28	91	22	0.242	4	12	0.250	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.216	0.373	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	64	206	34	0.165	3	11	0.251	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.094	0.178	0.164	OK
Matt McLain	2B	89	302	59	0.195	10	28	0.293	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.211	0.296	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	3	3	4	7	0.229

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	2B	97	337	92	0.273	8	35	0.364	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.266	0.325	0.393	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	83	299	71	0.237	26	54	0.369	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.356	0.540	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	104	317	78	0.246	12	57	0.308	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.173	0.237	0.333	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	51	183	42	0.230	4	24	0.317	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.226	0.311	0.368	OK
Colson Montgomery	3B	112	422	90	0.213	26	68	0.294	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.212	0.275	0.430	OK
Chase Meidroth	SS	112	416	114	0.274	11	46	0.348	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.276	0.352	0.434	OK
Tristan Peters	LF	106	311	82	0.264	6	40	0.323	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.247	0.310	0.384	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	5	14	4	0.286	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.301	0.332	OK
Drew Romo	C	45	143	18	0.126	5	11	0.203	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.126	0.186	0.221	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	13	6	6	5	6	0.351

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	20	86.2	5.43	1.531	7.6	73	4.1	10	5	5	5	3	105	4.1	3	5
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	27	25.4	4.25	1.142	10.3	29	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	38	33.1	3.26	1.178	9.5	35	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	60	50.3	3.22	1.451	9.8	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	39	27.9	5.81	1.613	10.0	31	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.1	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Castillo	Starter	1	4.0	11.25	1.750	11.2	5	5.1	5	3	3	3	4	96	5.1	4	3
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	39	51.5	3.32	1.320	9.8	56	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers

CLE 59-62 (3.99 RPG / 4.21 RA)

3 - 5

DET 59-61 (4.58 RPG / 3.85 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-3 TARGET: CLE 3 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
DET	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	5	6

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs7.2

Avg Allowed2.1

Run Diff51

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

CLE Season Quality

Record58-62

Win%0.483

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.242

DET Season Quality

Record59-60

Win%0.496

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.748

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1804; margin adjustment: 0.4958; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	106	377	100	0.265	2	22	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.274	0.358	0.347	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	99	377	107	0.284	13	57	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.354	0.431	OK
Jo Adell	RF	7	24	4	0.167	1	2	0.344	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.185	0.233	0.363	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	74	272	64	0.235	12	42	0.269	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.268	0.417	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	87	250	45	0.180	13	37	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.124	0.244	0.282	OK
Angel Genao	2B	5	19	7	0.368	1	2	0.429	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.329	0.364	0.481	OK
Austin Hedges	C	54	156	42	0.269	4	18	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.274	0.328	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	115	404	103	0.255	9	50	0.317	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.251	0.290	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	43	114	25	0.219	2	7	0.250	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.222	0.244	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	3	3	1	7	0.182

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	DH	62	230	59	0.257	7	30	0.371	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.249	0.352	0.369	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	109	415	113	0.272	26	80	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.284	0.462	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	114	436	126	0.289	12	48	0.393	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.308	0.405	0.465	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	69	195	52	0.267	6	28	0.296	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.183	0.217	0.303	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	117	407	92	0.226	20	59	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.291	0.373	0.439	OK
Ben Malgeri	LF	18	45	12	0.267	1	7	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.360	0.404	OK
Max Clark	CF	10	41	12	0.293	1	7	0.370	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.261	0.311	0.412	OK
Javier Báez	SS	33	116	33	0.284	2	14	0.311	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.290	0.320	0.382	OK
Corey Julks	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.314	0.418
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	6	5	5	3	9	0.188

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	1	4.0	11.25	2.250	13.5	6	6.0	3	3	3	2	8	97	6.0	8	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	50	50.3	2.50	1.173	13.2	74	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	45	32.8	3.84	1.524	10.2	37	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	44	39.8	1.58	0.930	10.2	45	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	13	1.0	0	2

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	23	125.7	4.22	1.384	7.4	103	5.1	5	3	3	1	5	86	5.1	5	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	34	29.8	3.62	1.275	11.2	37	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	48	42.7	3.16	1.663	7.8	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	51	46.7	3.28	1.435	8.5	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-3

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks

COL 48-73 (4.77 RPG / 5.73 RA)

3 - 4

ARI 64-58 (4.52 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 4 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	4
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	x	4	10

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

COL Season Quality

Record46-73

Win%0.387

Run Diff-119

RD/Game-1.000

ARI Season Quality

Record64-56

Win%0.533

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.117

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9403; margin adjustment: 0.3949; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	99	376	114	0.303	13	66	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.322	0.351	0.549	OK
Cole Carrigg	SS	50	173	51	0.295	5	30	0.379	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.286	0.369	0.477	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	114	412	122	0.296	13	58	0.371	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.187	0.257	0.283	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	110	411	104	0.253	34	69	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.248	0.305	0.534	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	80	277	75	0.271	19	53	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.254	0.425	OK
Willi Castro	3B	101	363	95	0.262	13	48	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.317	0.421	OK
Zac Veen	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.306	0.408
Connor Norby	2B	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.199	0.284	0.307
Brett Sullivan	C	50	147	35	0.238	5	20	0.269	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.172	0.207	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	3	3	4	7	0.129

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	116	414	101	0.244	9	42	0.359	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.259	0.367	0.409	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	117	440	106	0.241	17	56	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.295	0.505	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	92	326	99	0.304	8	52	0.383	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.288	0.355	0.434	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	114	462	115	0.249	21	66	0.309	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.316	0.513	OK
Lars Nootbaar	DH	7	23	3	0.130	0	1	0.286	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.319	0.323	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	114	392	96	0.245	18	58	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.276	0.337	0.510	OK
Max Kepler	LF	31	98	20	0.204	2	15	0.273	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.177	0.255	0.285	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	57	174	41	0.236	6	26	0.284	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.307	0.397	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	54	179	51	0.285	2	15	0.333	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.262	0.309	0.423	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	10	4	4	1	5	0.294

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	17	79.9	5.86	1.489	6.6	59	4.2	10	4	4	1	5	93	4.2	5	4
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	11	10.2	3.53	1.667	12.4	14	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.2	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	47	44.0	6.14	1.818	10.0	49	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Merrill Kelly	Starter	21	117.9	4.96	1.493	6.1	80	5.1	4	3	3	4	2	105	5.1	2	3
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	13	1.0	3	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-3

Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants

HOU 62-60 (4.58 RPG / 4.8 RA)

6 - 2

SF 51-71 (4.1 RPG / 4.58 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 6-2 TARGET: HOU 5 - 4 SF (HOU) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	6	10
SF	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	5

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

HOU Season Quality

Record61-59

Win%0.508

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.208

SF Season Quality

Record50-70

Win%0.417

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.508

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4356; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	72	289	84	0.291	13	38	0.349	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.192	0.241	0.319	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	118	428	139	0.325	35	87	0.439	5	5	3	1	1	0	2	0.600	0.274	0.389	0.483	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	113	414	104	0.251	15	62	0.346	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.264	0.327	0.384	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	8	28	4	0.143	1	2	0.273	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.209	0.273	0.339	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	1B	28	75	17	0.227	2	15	0.348	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.253	0.359	0.385	OK
Cam Smith	RF	110	389	88	0.226	16	43	0.296	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.283	0.336	0.541	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	58	163	38	0.233	7	20	0.317	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.234	0.315	0.431	OK
Nick Allen	2B	46	108	27	0.250	1	11	0.297	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.251	0.298	0.319	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	68	202	43	0.213	5	23	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.259	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	6	6	3	8	0.270

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	108	411	123	0.299	8	44	0.336	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.231	0.260	0.402	OK
Willy Adames	SS	114	437	98	0.224	18	47	0.283	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.235	0.295	0.408	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	77	271	67	0.247	12	29	0.341	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	0.000	0.235	0.323	0.416	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	119	444	110	0.248	23	63	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.239	0.323	0.450	OK
Victor Bericoto	LF	22	62	17	0.274	4	9	0.286	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.268	0.285	0.487	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	88	244	60	0.246	5	25	0.314	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.306	0.398	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	12	39	11	0.282	3	8	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.281	0.505	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	26	66	16	0.242	0	5	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.321	0.289	OK
Christian Koss	3B	24	66	11	0.167	0	2	0.191	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.174	0.200	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	2	2	6	7	0.156

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan King	Starter	47	43.5	4.34	1.540	8.3	40	5.0	3	1	1	4	4	96	5.0	4	1
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	27	26.3	0.68	0.646	13.0	38	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	58	50.4	2.50	1.012	10.7	60	1.2	1	1	1	2	0	32	1.2	0	1
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	44	37.8	4.76	1.508	13.1	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Adrian Houser	Starter	24	92.4	4.97	1.483	6.5	67	4.0	8	5	5	3	3	98	4.0	3	5
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	26	20.3	3.55	1.478	12.0	27	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	42	33.9	3.45	1.386	8.8	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	37	52.0	3.63	1.288	6.4	37	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	27	1.2	1	1
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	33	22.3	3.23	1.928	12.5	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 6-2

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

KC 49-72 (4.14 RPG / 5.07 RA)

3 - 5

LAD 72-48 (5.02 RPG / 3.85 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-3 TARGET: KC 4 - 5 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
KC	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	8
LAD	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	6

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

KC Season Quality

Record49-71

Win%0.408

Run Diff-111

RD/Game-0.925

LAD Season Quality

Record71-48

Win%0.597

Run Diff139

RD/Game1.168

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.5413; margin adjustment: 0.6473; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Loftin	2B	81	249	61	0.245	5	35	0.329	6	4	1	1	1	2	2	0.250	0.227	0.309	0.368	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	101	396	112	0.283	13	41	0.352	6	5	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.259	0.325	0.387	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	111	399	106	0.266	21	53	0.318	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.289	0.330	0.544	OK
Salvador Perez	C	111	430	93	0.216	16	51	0.262	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.210	0.241	0.346	OK
Starling Marte	RF	54	147	36	0.245	2	14	0.302	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.245	0.328	OK
Carter Jensen	DH	110	392	88	0.224	16	55	0.302	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.200	0.291	0.384	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	105	336	79	0.235	6	35	0.334	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.135	0.228	0.240	OK
Tyler Tolbert	CF	34	88	28	0.318	3	6	0.371	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.293	0.353	0.455	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	26	68	16	0.235	1	8	0.257	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.126	0.158	0.194	OK
TEAM TOTALS									47	41	8	3	3	5	12	0.195

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	109	419	121	0.289	26	70	0.392	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.286	0.383	0.518	OK
Andy Pages	CF	117	455	123	0.270	19	75	0.337	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.280	0.340	0.448	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	116	439	134	0.305	15	55	0.380	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.263	0.334	0.379	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	110	394	95	0.241	11	54	0.333	5	3	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.220	0.309	0.414	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	81	320	76	0.238	14	38	0.288	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.264	0.309	0.456	OK
Max Muncy	3B	108	359	89	0.248	22	56	0.341	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.242	0.324	0.432	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	83	292	73	0.250	11	41	0.313	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.169	0.228	0.301	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	5	12	3	0.250	0	0	0.308	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.163	0.227	0.256	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	68	164	47	0.287	3	18	0.313	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.284	0.320	0.414	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	39	6	5	5	6	12	0.154

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Daniel Lynch IV	Starter	47	42.3	2.77	1.135	7.9	37	5.2	3	2	2	4	8	96	5.2	8	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	45	42.7	6.74	1.710	10.3	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	42	39.9	4.74	1.353	11.3	50	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	48	36.7	4.41	1.662	8.1	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	0.00	0.806	8.7	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Craig Kimbrel	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.1	1	2	2	1	1	20	0.1	1	2
Jose Cuas	Reliever	8	8.3	2.17	1.446	11.9	11	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	7	0.1	0	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eric Lauer	Starter	10	54.5	3.80	1.138	5.1	31	5.1	6	1	1	3	6	109	5.1	6	1
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	12	10.3	7.86	2.039	14.0	16	2.1	1	1	1	0	1	37	2.1	1	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	51	43.7	2.47	1.007	12.4	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	14	8.9	7.08	1.798	12.1	12	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	53	32.8	3.57	1.494	15.4	56	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Jack Dreyer	Middle Reliever	50	41.2	3.71	1.189	12.2	56	0.1	1	1	1	1	1	13	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-3 (Extra Innings - 11)

Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres

MIL 74-47 (4.89 RPG / 3.82 RA)

1 - 3

SD 65-57 (4.28 RPG / 4.27 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 3-1 TARGET: MIL 1 - 3 SD (SD) Confidence: 51.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	7
SD	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	x	3	5

MIL Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.493179433368311

Avg Allowed4.493179433368311

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

SD Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.493179433368311

Avg Allowed4.493179433368311

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

MIL Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

SD Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	84	346	98	0.283	17	48	0.346	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.255	0.333	0.507	OK
Brice Turang	2B	111	435	120	0.276	16	75	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.330	0.403	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	70	204	62	0.304	5	34	0.382	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.301	0.368	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	103	352	94	0.267	20	65	0.370	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.373	0.503	OK
William Contreras	DH	109	420	109	0.260	11	58	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.308	0.347	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	60	161	36	0.224	9	27	0.367	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.159	0.303	0.337	OK
Brandon Lockridge	CF	30	87	25	0.287	0	12	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.291	0.358	0.345	OK
David Hamilton	SS	82	245	57	0.233	3	16	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.305	0.332	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	82	242	57	0.236	5	28	0.301	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.311	0.388	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	1	1	2	9	0.206

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Rengifo	LF	24	81	26	0.321	3	12	0.415	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.310	0.349	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	68	230	50	0.217	3	18	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.272	0.267	OK
Manny Machado	3B	118	437	94	0.215	23	70	0.299	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.248	0.323	0.376	OK
Ty France	1B	89	301	88	0.292	17	51	0.343	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.290	0.332	0.477	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	117	458	113	0.247	19	62	0.295	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.307	0.342	0.567	OK
Austin Hays	RF	2	6	3	0.500	1	3	0.500	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.282	0.404	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	111	330	70	0.212	15	44	0.314	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.207	0.314	0.394	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	114	394	87	0.221	9	41	0.316	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.310	0.288	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	59	178	35	0.197	4	16	0.271	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.295	0.386	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	29	5	3	3	1	8	0.172

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	1	6.0	3.00	1.000	7.5	5	5.1	4	3	3	1	5	85	5.1	5	3
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	46	45.1	1.80	0.820	10.6	53	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	49	44.6	2.22	1.121	9.7	48	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	1	5.0	7.20	2.400	3.6	2	5.2	4	0	0	1	7	92	5.2	7	0
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	48	47.3	0.95	0.867	17.5	92	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	55	55.4	3.25	1.209	12.3	76	1.1	2	1	1	1	1	9	1.1	1	1
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	28	22.6	3.98	1.327	13.1	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	34	39.7	2.72	1.335	10.9	48	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	22	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 3-1

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves

NYM 53-69 (4.18 RPG / 4.57 RA)

1 - 5

ATL 73-49 (4.86 RPG / 3.89 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-1 TARGET: NYM 2 - 3 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	8
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	x	5	9

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

NYM Season Quality

Record53-68

Win%0.438

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.364

ATL Season Quality

Record72-49

Win%0.595

Run Diff116

RD/Game0.959

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0924; margin adjustment: 0.4588; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	79	287	75	0.261	7	28	0.332	5	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.217	0.282	0.330	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	63	247	60	0.243	11	30	0.330	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.262	0.342	0.458	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	117	470	123	0.262	11	60	0.307	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.236	0.293	0.345	OK
Carson Benge	RF	112	429	116	0.270	13	47	0.333	5	4	2	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.281	0.334	0.418	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	41	146	31	0.212	5	16	0.284	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.238	0.292	0.352	OK
Jared Young	1B	66	200	52	0.260	6	22	0.335	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.304	0.357	0.446	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	80	263	65	0.247	12	28	0.337	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.240	0.332	0.412	OK
Brett Baty	2B	101	334	73	0.219	8	38	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.199	0.258	0.336	OK
Luis Torrens	C	64	192	45	0.234	4	27	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.164	0.230	0.301	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	1	1	5	5	0.229

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	97	375	102	0.272	20	60	0.360	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.270	0.342	0.430	OK
Matt Olson	1B	120	464	123	0.265	35	74	0.341	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.324	0.630	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	120	458	119	0.260	20	64	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.306	0.440	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	114	435	128	0.294	20	67	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.293	0.319	0.436	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	114	425	114	0.268	10	61	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.288	0.330	0.416	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	4	9	1	0.111	0	1	0.200	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.229	0.314	0.384	OK
Austin Riley	3B	119	425	93	0.219	14	57	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.282	0.388	OK
Sean Murphy	C	7	25	3	0.120	0	0	0.120	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.157	0.166	0.266	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	33	99	22	0.222	1	11	0.274	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.217	0.265	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	5	5	2	4	0.273

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zach Thornton	Starter	7	38.4	2.58	1.094	6.3	27	5.2	2	0	0	2	4	85	5.2	4	0
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	16	45.1	8.58	1.796	11.4	57	1.0	5	4	4	0	0	26	1.0	0	4
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	12	15.7	1.15	0.828	7.5	13	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	1	6.0	0.00	0.833	13.5	9	5.2	6	0	0	4	3	105	5.2	3	0
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	43	41.8	3.01	1.196	10.6	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	56	47.8	2.26	0.837	12.6	67	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	42	46.3	2.72	1.188	12.8	66	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	19	1.1	1	1
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	47	35.4	4.58	1.441	10.2	40	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	13	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-1

Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals

PHI 64-58 (4.39 RPG / 4.44 RA)

6 - 3

STL 61-60 (4.37 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 6-3 TARGET: PHI 5 - 4 STL (PHI) Confidence: 51.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	6	10
STL	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	4

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Season Quality

Record64-57

Win%0.529

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.008

STL Season Quality

Record60-60

Win%0.500

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.058

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0789; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	113	421	105	0.249	34	68	0.370	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.289	0.413	0.555	OK
Trea Turner	SS	114	478	120	0.251	17	47	0.298	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.306	0.407	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	119	420	106	0.252	25	71	0.371	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.243	0.391	0.485	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	8	36	7	0.194	1	5	0.211	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.230	0.264	0.327	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	114	394	105	0.266	8	52	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.382	0.429	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	114	423	116	0.274	16	52	0.316	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.268	0.326	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	86	297	66	0.222	8	38	0.295	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.211	0.261	0.321	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	114	426	97	0.228	13	62	0.290	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.232	0.298	0.349	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	106	322	83	0.258	2	29	0.307	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.250	0.305	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	6	6	3	6	0.270

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	111	434	106	0.244	16	44	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.228	0.329	0.352	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	117	442	108	0.244	12	48	0.353	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.296	0.350	0.451	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	116	445	127	0.285	19	80	0.350	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.330	0.485	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	114	442	126	0.285	21	78	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.265	0.316	0.460	OK
Nathan Church	CF	92	303	73	0.241	9	36	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.186	0.235	0.275	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	109	396	97	0.245	4	49	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.268	0.332	0.364	OK
César Prieto	3B	10	26	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.128	0.139	0.180
José Fermín	LF	79	219	54	0.247	5	27	0.316	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.328	0.341	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	38	105	19	0.181	4	12	0.237	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.184	0.229	0.323	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	3	3	3	10	0.129

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	19	108.7	2.73	0.994	10.9	132	6.0	3	3	3	3	7	97	6.0	7	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	43	40.4	1.34	0.941	13.1	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	50	41.2	4.37	1.481	11.1	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	45	38.7	3.02	1.034	12.3	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	22	111.4	3.47	1.355	8.0	99	5.0	5	3	3	1	3	90	5.0	3	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	49	46.8	3.27	1.175	9.4	49	1.0	3	3	3	1	1	26	1.0	1	3
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	54	45.9	4.12	1.394	10.4	53	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	51	39.1	5.06	1.688	11.3	49	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	2	2.3	0.00	0.870	11.7	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 6-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins

PIT 58-64 (4.95 RPG / 4.84 RA)

2 - 5

MIA 62-59 (4.41 RPG / 4.22 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-2 TARGET: PIT 2 - 5 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
MIA	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	x	5	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-16

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

PIT Season Quality

Record58-63

Win%0.479

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.157

MIA Season Quality

Record61-59

Win%0.508

Run Diff17

RD/Game0.142

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2633; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	87	313	95	0.304	4	27	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.289	0.328	0.446	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	109	430	107	0.249	25	74	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.289	0.470	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	118	432	116	0.269	15	63	0.380	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.328	0.368	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	82	272	72	0.265	10	37	0.372	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.212	0.316	0.331	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	111	426	128	0.300	4	51	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.255	0.292	OK
Ronny Simon	DH	6	20	6	0.300	0	2	0.364	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.288	0.347	0.358	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	48	152	36	0.237	11	30	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.366	0.457	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	19	49	10	0.204	1	5	0.200	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.279	0.350	OK
Henry Davis	C	67	208	36	0.173	8	30	0.261	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.176	0.246	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	2	2	3	8	0.129

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	118	437	124	0.284	6	44	0.364	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.252	0.331	0.345	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	116	466	148	0.318	9	53	0.350	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.274	0.305	0.395	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	51	150	40	0.267	12	26	0.349	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.276	0.353	0.549	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	87	290	65	0.224	16	44	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.246	0.337	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	112	380	78	0.205	6	28	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.254	0.358	0.381	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	85	241	55	0.228	12	51	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.204	0.273	0.386	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	48	135	29	0.215	2	13	0.291	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.137	0.200	0.194	OK
Joe Mack	C	70	212	49	0.231	11	34	0.285	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.215	0.264	0.357	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	91	302	83	0.275	4	42	0.306	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.298	0.330	0.445	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	5	5	3	7	0.226

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carmen Mlodzinski	Starter	26	94.3	3.63	1.400	7.3	77	5.0	5	3	3	2	5	86	5.0	5	3
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.1	1	2	2	1	0	24	1.1	0	2
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	47	40.0	3.82	1.325	16.9	75	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	49	46.4	3.49	1.121	11.6	60	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	21	0.2	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	16	79.8	4.74	1.391	7.0	62	4.2	2	2	2	2	5	82	4.2	5	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	40	35.7	6.30	1.373	12.9	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	50	43.6	4.95	1.697	11.6	56	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	10	1.0	2	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	48	43.5	3.31	1.218	12.4	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	3	4.0	6.75	1.250	9.0	4	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	5	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-2

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees

SEA 56-64 (3.86 RPG / 4.04 RA)

1 - 2

NYY 67-52 (4.5 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 2-1 TARGET: SEA 1 - 2 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 65.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	6
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	5

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.3

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-25

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-2

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SEA Season Quality

Record56-64

Win%0.467

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.183

NYY Season Quality

Record67-52

Win%0.563

Run Diff85

RD/Game0.714

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8874; margin adjustment: 0.3727; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	DH	7	27	4	0.148	0	0	0.148	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.327	0.311	OK
Cole Young	2B	120	438	115	0.263	14	52	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.281	0.346	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	112	413	114	0.276	15	50	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.285	0.389	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	103	310	78	0.252	18	49	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.296	0.420	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	108	425	109	0.256	18	51	0.320	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.298	0.390	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	111	430	113	0.263	10	42	0.328	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.237	0.300	0.393	OK
Brendan Donovan	3B	28	100	26	0.260	3	8	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.270	0.324	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	86	314	50	0.159	12	43	0.264	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.134	0.231	0.252	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	67	217	42	0.194	8	23	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.182	0.228	0.290	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	6	1	1	1	5	0.188

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	94	334	72	0.216	12	45	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.304	0.426	OK
Ben Rice	DH	111	414	106	0.256	31	71	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.334	0.488	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	43	120	25	0.208	5	15	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.203	0.296	0.378	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	6	23	6	0.261	1	2	0.320	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.259	0.294	0.476	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	6	21	2	0.095	0	0	0.240	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.200	0.248	0.335	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	107	379	83	0.219	17	47	0.295	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.211	0.300	0.406	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	88	253	55	0.217	10	30	0.279	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.291	0.352	OK
Austin Wells	C	83	237	42	0.177	8	17	0.271	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.298	0.347	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	6	21	6	0.286	2	2	0.375	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.261	0.343	0.417	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	2	2	2	6	0.172

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	14	76.9	3.16	0.975	9.2	79	6.0	2	2	2	1	5	90	6.0	5	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	44	40.8	3.53	1.201	14.8	67	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	53	43.4	3.94	1.521	8.5	41	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.1	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	56	42.9	3.99	1.585	10.7	51	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	15	0.2	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	23	109.1	4.37	1.430	9.4	114	5.0	3	0	0	0	4	78	5.0	4	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	49	49.4	2.73	1.113	10.9	60	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	55	36.7	3.92	1.798	15.2	62	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	61	48.9	1.84	1.391	13.4	73	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	14	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 2-1

Tampa Bay Rays @ Oakland Athletics

TB 74-46 (4.58 RPG / 4.06 RA)

4 - 2

OAK 47-74 (4.33 RPG / 5.82 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-2 TARGET: TB 2 - 4 OAK (OAK) Confidence: 51.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	7
OAK	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

TB Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.491080797481637

Avg Allowed4.491080797481637

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

OAK Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.491080797481637

Avg Allowed4.491080797481637

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

TB Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

OAK Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	113	444	135	0.304	17	68	0.373	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.320	0.362	0.554	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	115	432	124	0.287	15	73	0.374	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.280	0.353	0.407	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	118	447	124	0.277	35	76	0.370	5	3	1	1	2	2	1	0.333	0.236	0.330	0.573	OK
Liam Hicks	C	7	21	5	0.238	1	6	0.407	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.248	0.323	0.370	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	46	151	33	0.219	10	21	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.296	0.530	OK
Jonny DeLuca	LF	66	218	59	0.271	8	34	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.287	0.315	0.472	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	99	343	70	0.204	13	36	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.207	0.274	0.331	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	86	245	58	0.237	5	34	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.280	0.384	0.410	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	90	284	61	0.215	2	28	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.321	0.493	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	4	4	6	6	0.206

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Donovan Walton	SS	19	37	7	0.189	0	4	0.388	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.253	0.331	0.402	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	DH	107	388	95	0.245	19	56	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.315	0.478	OK
Zack Gelof	2B	65	235	65	0.277	12	31	0.328	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.290	0.453	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	86	240	62	0.258	7	30	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.296	0.357	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	105	315	65	0.206	8	32	0.293	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.202	0.275	0.371	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	73	249	65	0.261	5	22	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.296	0.364	OK
Max Muncy	3B	55	174	38	0.218	5	21	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.110	0.169	0.215	OK
Tommy White	1B	22	86	21	0.244	0	1	0.261	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.223	0.242	0.256	OK
Brian Serven	C	8	23	5	0.217	2	5	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.240	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	2	2	1	8	0.156

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	22	123.4	2.77	0.916	9.5	130	6.1	4	2	2	0	6	97	6.1	6	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	48	45.4	1.59	0.859	10.1	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	51	47.3	2.28	0.951	8.2	43	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	42	31.0	3.77	1.419	13.9	48	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	28	72.0	7.50	1.542	11.5	92	4.0	5	4	4	5	3	85	4.0	3	4
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	55	42.2	4.48	1.943	14.9	70	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	36	32.2	5.59	1.429	12.9	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	38	48.7	3.70	1.478	11.6	63	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
José Suarez	Middle Reliever	33	33.8	5.59	1.479	9.6	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever	5	7.5	3.60	1.600	3.6	3	0.2	1	0	0	1	2	15	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-2

Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels

TEX 60-60 (4.12 RPG / 4.38 RA)

5 - 3

LAA 46-74 (4.07 RPG / 4.84 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-3 TARGET: TEX 5 - 4 LAA (TEX) Confidence: 52.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5	11
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	8

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TEX Season Quality

Record60-59

Win%0.504

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.252

LAA Season Quality

Record45-74

Win%0.378

Run Diff-94

RD/Game-0.790

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6041; margin adjustment: -0.2537; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	107	311	78	0.251	22	45	0.341	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.270	0.365	0.628	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	114	435	121	0.278	13	47	0.344	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.295	0.347	0.499	OK
Corey Seager	SS	60	224	43	0.192	11	28	0.293	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.195	0.278	0.361	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	109	383	104	0.272	13	64	0.327	5	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.268	0.329	0.428	OK
Jarred Kelenic	LF	5	9	2	0.222	0	1	0.364	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.230	0.317	0.313	OK
Jake Burger	1B	115	421	99	0.235	19	68	0.296	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.278	0.340	OK
Evan Carter	CF	100	284	54	0.190	8	31	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.149	0.241	0.240	OK
Elias Díaz	C	39	120	29	0.242	3	15	0.258	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.153	0.173	0.282	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	62	179	50	0.279	1	20	0.319	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.204	0.237	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	11	5	5	2	9	0.297

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wade Meckler	LF	57	177	54	0.305	3	20	0.363	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.295	0.349	0.402	OK
Mike Trout	CF	101	362	85	0.235	20	42	0.384	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.212	0.351	0.435	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	99	367	100	0.272	7	42	0.348	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.329	0.357	OK
Zach Neto	DH	117	466	105	0.225	20	52	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.271	0.381	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	8	29	4	0.138	0	0	0.167	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.189	0.251	0.284	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	75	268	68	0.254	7	46	0.312	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.287	0.366	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	71	208	42	0.202	8	22	0.261	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.198	0.276	0.320	OK
Oswald Peraza	SS	89	290	67	0.231	7	24	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.240	0.320	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	42	155	35	0.226	5	16	0.277	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.117	0.175	0.187	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	3	3	2	12	0.229

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	24	63.8	3.67	1.223	6.1	43	5.0	5	0	0	2	7	93	5.0	7	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	42	51.2	1.41	0.703	9.8	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	39	40.5	3.78	1.383	10.7	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	6	4.5	4.00	2.222	10.0	5	1.2	3	3	3	0	1	30	1.2	1	3

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Klassen	Starter	3	8.2	7.68	3.049	9.9	9	3.0	7	3	3	1	6	76	3.0	6	3
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	0.00	0.667	9.0	3	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	22	23.5	2.30	0.936	16.1	42	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	25	2.0	0	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	37	34.5	3.65	1.478	12.5	48	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	24	2.0	2	0
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever	5	4.4	4.09	2.045	8.2	4	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins

BAL Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

BOS Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TOR Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals

CHC Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox

CIN Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers

CLE Recent Form

DET Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks

COL Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

COL Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants

HOU Recent Form

SF Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Dodgers