MLB Predictions — August 8, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ NYY	5 - 2	5 - 2	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ TEX	3 - 4	3 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ KC	5 - 2	5 - 2	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ WAS	4 - 3	4 - 3	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ CHW	3 - 4	3 - 4	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-3	70%	fallback_enhanced
COL @ STL	1 - 5	1 - 5	STL	STL	STL wins 5-1	70%	fallback_enhanced
DET @ SF	4 - 3	4 - 3	DET	DET	DET wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ SD	5 - 4	5 - 4	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ MIA	1 - 4	1 - 4	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-1	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ ARI	5 - 4	5 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-4	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ MIL	1 - 6	1 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ PIT	3 - 2	2 - 3	NYM	PIT	PIT wins 3-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ BOS	2 - 5	2 - 5	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ SEA	6 - 1	6 - 1	TB	TB	TB wins 6-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ PHI	3 - 5	3 - 5	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees

ATL 70-48 (4.88 RPG / 3.92 RA)

5 - 2

NYY 66-51 (4.53 RPG / 3.82 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-2 TARGET: ATL 5 - 2 NYY (ATL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	5	8
NYY	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed2.3

Run Diff24

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

ATL Season Quality

Record70-47

Win%0.598

Run Diff115

RD/Game0.983

NYY Season Quality

Record65-51

Win%0.560

Run Diff82

RD/Game0.707

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3329; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	93	358	99	0.277	20	59	0.366	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.257	0.324	0.371	OK
Matt Olson	1B	116	448	120	0.268	33	71	0.345	5	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.297	0.364	0.686	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	110	419	123	0.294	20	66	0.320	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.268	0.426	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	116	445	116	0.261	19	63	0.313	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.226	0.287	0.386	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	111	414	112	0.271	10	58	0.319	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.299	0.338	0.401	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	95	255	58	0.227	8	31	0.307	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.235	0.300	0.429	OK
Austin Riley	3B	115	412	91	0.221	14	57	0.297	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.235	0.294	0.456	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	29	88	21	0.239	1	10	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.129	0.177	0.221	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	64	239	59	0.247	11	27	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.343	0.455	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	35	8	5	5	6	5	0.229

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	83	296	73	0.247	16	44	0.302	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.131	0.187	0.251	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	3	9	2	0.222	0	0	0.462	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.242	0.293	0.384	OK
Ben Rice	DH	108	403	105	0.261	30	70	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.329	0.453	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	64	179	42	0.235	10	27	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.136	0.183	0.275	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	91	322	67	0.208	11	42	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.170	0.252	0.315	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	3	10	3	0.300	1	1	0.417	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.372	0.483	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	40	112	23	0.205	5	13	0.282	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.186	0.257	0.345	OK
José Caballero	2B	96	319	78	0.245	12	41	0.297	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.297	0.421	OK
Austin Wells	C	80	229	39	0.170	8	17	0.265	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.283	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	2	2	1	8	0.156

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	20	115.6	2.10	1.029	11.1	143	6.0	2	1	1	1	7	92	6.0	7	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	41	39.8	3.17	1.256	10.4	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	55	46.8	2.31	0.855	12.7	66	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	40	44.2	2.65	1.222	12.6	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	13	71.8	3.51	1.128	9.8	78	6.0	6	3	3	5	5	114	6.0	5	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	47	47.4	2.66	1.097	10.8	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	55	36.7	3.92	1.798	15.2	62	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	59	47.7	1.70	1.384	13.4	71	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	41	55.8	2.26	1.183	8.1	50	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0.0	0	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	51	34.8	4.91	1.351	5.2	20	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-2

Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers

BAL 56-61 (4.43 RPG / 4.75 RA)

3 - 4

TEX 59-58 (4.14 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-3 TARGET: BAL 3 - 4 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 53.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	6
TEX	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	x	4	7

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-20

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-11

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

BAL Season Quality

Record56-59

Win%0.487

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.287

TEX Season Quality

Record57-58

Win%0.496

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.287

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.013; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	112	454	98	0.216	17	46	0.297	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.195	0.297	0.335	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	113	423	105	0.248	23	71	0.342	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.321	0.413	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	60	170	39	0.229	5	20	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.302	0.303	OK
Tyler O'Neill	DH	69	182	40	0.220	9	19	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.327	0.467	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	58	180	45	0.250	2	17	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.313	0.339	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	94	301	67	0.223	6	41	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.293	0.370	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	14	45	9	0.200	2	9	0.280	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.104	0.173	0.225	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	90	227	47	0.207	7	25	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.197	0.286	0.283	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	3	8	1	0.125	0	0	0.222	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.146	0.208	0.228	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	1	7	0.182

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	104	306	77	0.252	21	44	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.325	0.512	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	64	256	67	0.262	13	31	0.313	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.194	0.256	0.368	OK
Corey Seager	SS	56	207	41	0.198	10	25	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.335	0.394	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	110	419	115	0.274	12	43	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.281	0.340	0.503	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	105	368	101	0.274	13	63	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.286	0.339	0.478	OK
Evan Carter	CF	96	274	54	0.197	8	30	0.307	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.181	0.279	0.276	OK
Jake Burger	1B	111	407	96	0.236	19	66	0.295	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.218	0.271	0.360	OK
Austin Wynns	C	7	16	3	0.188	1	1	0.235	3	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.139	0.187	0.227	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	58	171	49	0.287	1	19	0.328	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.216	0.255	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	7	4	4	1	8	0.226

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	22	118.2	3.88	1.396	8.9	117	5.2	4	2	2	0	7	93	5.2	7	2
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	50	32.9	2.19	0.973	9.8	36	1.2	2	2	2	1	0	31	1.2	0	2
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	39	29.6	4.26	1.588	8.8	29	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	21	111.8	4.03	1.163	10.9	135	5.1	3	0	0	0	5	92	5.1	5	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	41	50.2	1.43	0.697	9.9	55	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	16	1.1	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	37	38.3	3.99	1.384	10.8	46	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	3	2.2	8.18	2.727	12.3	3	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-3

Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals

CHC 68-50 (5.12 RPG / 4.28 RA)

5 - 2

KC 49-69 (4.15 RPG / 5.02 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-2 TARGET: CHC 5 - 2 KC (CHC) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	8
KC	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak5W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CHC Season Quality

Record67-49

Win%0.578

Run Diff100

RD/Game0.862

KC Season Quality

Record48-68

Win%0.414

Run Diff-103

RD/Game-0.888

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9957; margin adjustment: -0.8382; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	DH	115	431	126	0.292	26	70	0.391	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.323	0.409	0.609	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	99	374	103	0.275	19	66	0.369	5	4	3	1	2	1	1	0.750	0.278	0.360	0.452	OK
Michael Busch	1B	114	432	106	0.245	13	61	0.357	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.263	0.351	0.412	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	113	448	112	0.250	12	51	0.342	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.325	0.390	OK
Ian Happ	LF	109	405	85	0.210	18	48	0.318	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.164	0.260	0.308	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	113	453	117	0.258	7	54	0.315	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.255	0.301	0.384	OK
Carson Kelly	C	82	272	72	0.265	7	39	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.330	0.377	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	109	377	81	0.215	15	56	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.298	0.399	OK
Tyrone Taylor	CF	2	6	1	0.167	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.297	0.503	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	5	5	4	11	0.229

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	107	383	88	0.230	16	55	0.304	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.189	0.266	0.387	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	97	382	109	0.285	13	41	0.352	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.283	0.343	0.420	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	107	383	97	0.253	18	45	0.307	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.255	0.297	0.442	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	102	327	78	0.239	6	35	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.306	0.343	OK
Michael Massey	2B	93	293	76	0.259	9	39	0.293	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.207	0.239	0.374	OK
John Rave	RF	15	39	10	0.256	2	2	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.132	0.191	0.346	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	77	237	58	0.245	5	35	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.193	0.271	0.324	OK
Josh Rojas	DH	25	64	15	0.234	1	6	0.258	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.252	0.315	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	58	172	41	0.238	3	13	0.289	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.129	0.179	0.192	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	2	2	2	11	0.250

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Clay Holmes	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	6.0	6	2	2	2	7	111	6.0	7	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	52	47.0	2.68	1.298	11.1	58	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	7.50	0.833	15.0	2	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	33	32.6	2.76	1.227	4.7	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	23	126.8	4.47	1.412	7.0	99	5.1	6	4	4	3	9	97	5.1	9	4
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	44	41.7	6.69	1.679	10.4	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	40	37.8	4.76	1.349	11.4	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	46	35.6	4.30	1.601	7.8	31	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	5	4.2	0.00	0.952	4.3	2	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	16	0.2	1	1
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	43	39.2	5.97	1.760	6.7	29	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals

CIN 56-60 (4.15 RPG / 4.73 RA)

4 - 3

WAS 58-61 (5.34 RPG / 5.19 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 4-3 TARGET: CIN 4 - 3 WAS (CIN) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	5
WAS	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	5

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-19

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CIN Season Quality

Record56-59

Win%0.487

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-0.539

WAS Season Quality

Record57-61

Win%0.483

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.102

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.635; margin adjustment: 0.2667; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	95	375	105	0.280	20	54	0.363	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.280	0.373	0.582	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	114	432	111	0.257	25	87	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.241	0.318	0.467	OK
Dane Myers	CF	68	169	45	0.266	3	17	0.359	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.339	0.356	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	83	299	61	0.204	15	41	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.205	0.279	0.433	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	85	304	70	0.230	20	47	0.343	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.340	0.459	OK
Matt McLain	2B	86	293	57	0.195	10	28	0.290	4	2	1	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.216	0.292	0.483	OK
Jose Trevino	C	27	87	22	0.253	4	12	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.264	0.466	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	53	177	35	0.198	6	15	0.235	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.208	0.245	0.305	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	51	161	23	0.143	4	7	0.198	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.164	0.205	0.315	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	4	4	4	8	0.156

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	SS	114	429	123	0.287	28	88	0.361	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.260	0.318	0.456	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	6	15	3	0.200	1	1	0.250	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.170	0.224	0.376	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	64	244	53	0.217	9	25	0.295	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.184	0.238	0.314	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	116	442	108	0.244	15	59	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.266	0.480	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	74	244	66	0.270	7	38	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.281	0.324	0.415	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	79	208	49	0.236	3	17	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.147	0.246	0.222	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	103	334	77	0.231	1	33	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.143	0.238	0.180	OK
Jose F Miranda	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.309	0.419
Jacob Young	CF	93	313	76	0.243	9	37	0.303	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.262	0.323	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	2	5	0.156

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	21	117.5	2.37	1.106	10.5	137	6.0	4	1	1	2	5	96	6.0	5	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	26	24.4	4.43	1.189	10.3	28	1.0	1	2	2	0	0	16	1.0	0	2
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	36	31.1	2.60	1.093	9.5	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	58	48.3	3.17	1.470	9.5	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Alvarez	Starter	16	61.2	4.12	1.520	9.3	63	4.2	3	2	2	3	7	88	4.2	7	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	36	31.5	3.71	1.302	10.3	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	37	31.5	3.71	1.302	9.1	32	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	8.18	3.636	16.4	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	9	6.9	3.91	1.449	6.5	5	1.0	1	2	2	0	0	16	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

CIN wins 4-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

CLE 58-59 (3.99 RPG / 4.18 RA)

3 - 4

CHW 59-56 (4.75 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-3 TARGET: CLE 3 - 4 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 70.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	8
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	4	7

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.501084010840108

Avg Allowed4.501084010840108

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.501084010840108

Avg Allowed4.501084010840108

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

CLE Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

CHW Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	103	363	95	0.262	2	22	0.358	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.275	0.369	0.336	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	96	364	103	0.283	12	56	0.356	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.274	0.367	0.436	OK
Jo Adell	RF	4	14	2	0.143	0	0	0.333	5	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.146	0.193	0.273	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	72	264	61	0.231	12	42	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.248	0.366	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	84	244	43	0.176	12	35	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.113	0.243	0.292	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	112	392	101	0.258	9	50	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.217	0.277	0.315	OK
Austin Hedges	C	53	154	42	0.273	4	18	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.140	0.211	0.247	OK
Angel Genao	2B	3	13	5	0.385	0	1	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.499	0.504	0.523	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	43	114	25	0.219	2	7	0.250	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.231	0.253	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	3	3	4	7	0.229

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	111	412	113	0.274	11	44	0.349	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.351	0.521	OK
Munetaka Murakami	DH	80	288	68	0.236	25	52	0.369	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.228	0.352	0.485	OK
Miguel Vargas	1B	113	423	99	0.234	24	67	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.323	0.447	OK
Randal Grichuk	LF	61	134	37	0.276	9	22	0.312	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.283	0.316	0.521	OK
Colson Montgomery	3B	109	411	88	0.214	25	65	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.288	0.417	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	3	5	2	0.400	0	0	0.400	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.297	0.310	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	48	174	41	0.236	4	23	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.216	0.292	0.337	OK
Edgar Quero	C	46	141	27	0.191	2	15	0.247	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.253	0.298	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	66	169	41	0.243	1	12	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.216	0.244	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	7	4	4	4	10	0.212

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	23	136.9	3.62	1.059	11.7	178	6.1	4	1	1	3	9	104	6.1	9	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	49	49.3	2.56	1.197	13.3	73	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.2	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	44	31.6	3.99	1.551	10.0	35	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	43	38.6	1.63	0.933	10.0	43	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	16	1.0	1	3

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	23	106.5	4.14	1.399	7.6	90	5.0	3	2	2	2	4	87	5.0	4	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	39	51.5	3.32	1.320	9.8	56	1.1	3	1	1	1	0	30	1.1	0	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	15	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-3

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals

COL 45-71 (4.79 RPG / 5.73 RA)

1 - 5

STL 58-58 (4.33 RPG / 4.41 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 5-1 TARGET: COL 1 - 5 STL (STL) Confidence: 70.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4
STL	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	x	5	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.484400215169446

Avg Allowed4.484400215169446

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.484400215169446

Avg Allowed4.484400215169446

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

COL Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

STL Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	95	359	107	0.298	11	63	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.299	0.325	0.492	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	104	323	88	0.272	9	41	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.290	0.314	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	46	157	46	0.293	5	28	0.378	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.288	0.370	0.478	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	106	397	100	0.252	33	66	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.258	0.427	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	110	399	119	0.298	13	57	0.374	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.296	0.354	0.413	OK
Willi Castro	2B	97	349	93	0.266	13	48	0.336	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.268	0.322	0.496	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	32	91	18	0.198	1	10	0.237	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.252	0.379	OK
Tyler Freeman	DH	75	253	63	0.249	3	23	0.317	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.261	0.296	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	104	357	74	0.207	9	37	0.253	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.277	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	4	1	1	0	4	0.133

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	107	418	103	0.246	16	42	0.349	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.346	0.374	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	110	427	122	0.286	20	76	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.288	0.332	0.418	OK
Iván Herrera	C	113	423	99	0.234	12	46	0.349	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.308	0.373	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	112	430	123	0.286	18	76	0.349	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.329	0.525	OK
José Fermin	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.248	0.316	0.427
Masyn Winn	SS	105	381	91	0.239	4	45	0.315	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.319	0.320	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	40	135	34	0.252	1	22	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.297	0.395	OK
Nathan Church	CF	89	290	69	0.238	9	35	0.284	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.317	0.385	OK
Everson Pereira	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	2	1	2	0	1	0.667	0.223	0.267	0.442
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	5	5	2	8	0.273

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	20	105.3	7.01	1.529	7.9	93	4.2	7	5	5	1	4	89	4.2	4	5
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	3.29	1.707	13.2	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	5	1.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	46	43.8	6.16	1.804	10.1	49	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	54	37.1	3.15	1.482	8.5	35	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	32	27.6	7.50	1.848	11.1	34	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	0.1	1	0
Zach Agnos	Middle Reliever	29	63.1	6.28	1.553	6.0	42	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	4	1.0	1	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	22	105.4	5.12	1.537	9.1	107	4.2	4	1	1	0	2	79	4.2	2	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	47	44.8	3.42	1.228	9.6	48	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	12	2.1	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	52	43.9	4.10	1.344	10.5	51	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0

Game Summary

STL wins 5-1

Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants

DET 57-60 (4.58 RPG / 3.85 RA)

4 - 3

SF 50-68 (4.16 RPG / 4.64 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-3 TARGET: DET 4 - 3 SF (DET) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	6
SF	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	5

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs8.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff49

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

DET Season Quality

Record56-59

Win%0.487

Run Diff80

RD/Game0.696

SF Season Quality

Record49-67

Win%0.422

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.440

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2321; margin adjustment: -0.5175; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	111	421	122	0.290	12	44	0.397	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.297	0.406	0.453	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	59	218	58	0.266	7	29	0.382	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.231	0.333	0.383	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	106	403	112	0.278	26	79	0.341	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.286	0.325	0.549	OK
Riley Greene	LF	113	410	114	0.278	16	54	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.330	0.434	OK
Colt Keith	DH	105	307	83	0.270	8	30	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.295	0.338	0.450	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	114	397	88	0.222	20	57	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.283	0.348	0.436	OK
Max Clark	CF	7	28	9	0.321	1	4	0.424	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.273	0.349	0.407	OK
Javier Báez	SS	31	109	30	0.275	2	13	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.288	0.359	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	87	273	61	0.223	4	24	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.330	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	2	8	0.182

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bryce Eldridge	DH	73	255	64	0.251	11	28	0.347	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.323	0.392	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	104	395	121	0.306	7	43	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.282	0.312	0.460	OK
Willy Adames	SS	110	424	94	0.222	18	47	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.205	0.261	0.372	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	115	432	108	0.250	23	63	0.324	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.242	0.318	0.481	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	8	24	8	0.333	3	8	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.308	0.316	0.661	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	84	231	56	0.242	4	21	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.293	0.313	OK
Eddys Leonard	LF	2	5	1	0.200	0	0	0.200	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.204	0.216	0.394	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	23	56	14	0.250	0	4	0.364	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.340	0.291	OK
Christian Koss	3B	20	51	8	0.157	0	1	0.189	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.161	0.194	0.198	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	4	8	0.156

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Jobe	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	1	1	1	2	4	55	3.0	4	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	32	27.8	3.56	1.259	11.0	34	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	46	41.5	3.04	1.639	7.8	36	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	48	43.6	3.51	1.537	8.1	39	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Jacob Waguespack	Middle Reliever	17	17.7	2.03	1.017	7.6	15	1.2	3	1	1	1	1	34	1.2	1	1

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	22	114.6	4.48	1.335	9.4	120	5.2	5	4	4	2	6	97	5.2	6	4
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	24	18.3	3.44	1.530	11.8	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	40	33.5	3.49	1.373	8.3	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	35	50.8	3.54	1.280	6.6	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	24	1.1	1	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	31	21.2	2.97	1.934	12.7	30	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-3

Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres

HOU 60-58 (4.64 RPG / 4.84 RA)

5 - 4

SD 61-57 (4.21 RPG / 4.34 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-4 TARGET: HOU 5 - 4 SD (HOU) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	0	0	5	9
SD	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	7

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

HOU Season Quality

Record59-57

Win%0.509

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.216

SD Season Quality

Record60-56

Win%0.517

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.112

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1164; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	68	271	83	0.306	13	37	0.367	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.234	0.289	0.386	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	114	414	137	0.331	35	86	0.446	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.343	0.450	0.580	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	109	399	99	0.248	15	60	0.345	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.229	0.292	0.348	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	92	360	88	0.244	13	34	0.309	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.285	0.341	0.427	OK
Christian Walker	1B	112	416	101	0.243	22	67	0.320	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.261	0.328	0.452	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	4	14	2	0.143	0	0	0.333	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.286	0.313	OK
Cam Smith	RF	107	378	84	0.222	15	41	0.293	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.281	0.331	0.539	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	55	155	36	0.232	6	19	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.234	0.310	0.413	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	66	197	43	0.218	5	23	0.269	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.226	0.277	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	5	5	6	6	0.250

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	114	452	127	0.281	10	50	0.351	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.312	0.448	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	64	214	47	0.220	3	17	0.313	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.223	0.294	0.296	OK
Manny Machado	3B	114	421	89	0.211	23	70	0.298	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.201	0.296	0.346	OK
Ty France	1B	85	287	83	0.289	16	50	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.231	0.328	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	113	443	107	0.242	16	56	0.292	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.253	0.293	0.390	OK
Luis Campusano	C	39	111	34	0.306	4	16	0.403	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.268	0.353	0.417	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	107	322	68	0.211	14	43	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.301	0.350	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	111	383	86	0.225	9	41	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.325	0.309	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	20	68	22	0.324	2	8	0.418	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.317	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	4	4	2	7	0.206

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	19	106.1	3.14	1.159	9.2	108	5.2	6	3	3	2	6	97	5.2	6	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	26	24.3	0.74	0.700	13.3	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	57	49.4	2.55	1.012	10.7	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	44	37.8	4.76	1.508	13.1	55	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	15	1.1	0	1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	23	128.0	3.52	1.219	8.0	114	5.2	7	3	3	4	3	108	5.2	3	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	46	45.3	0.79	0.861	17.9	90	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	53	53.3	3.38	1.220	12.3	73	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	26	21.4	4.21	1.308	12.2	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	33	38.7	2.79	1.370	10.9	47	0.1	0	0	0	2	1	16	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-4

Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins

LAA 45-72 (4.11 RPG / 4.81 RA)

1 - 4

MIA 59-59 (4.34 RPG / 4.29 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-1 TARGET: LAA 1 - 4 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
MIA	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	x	4	4

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

LAA Season Quality

Record45-71

Win%0.388

Run Diff-75

RD/Game-0.647

MIA Season Quality

Record58-59

Win%0.496

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.009

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7997; margin adjustment: 0.3359; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wade Meckler	LF	53	163	49	0.301	3	20	0.360	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.290	0.345	0.409	OK
Mike Trout	CF	97	350	84	0.240	19	41	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.331	0.422	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	95	355	97	0.273	7	40	0.345	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.289	0.370	OK
Zach Neto	SS	113	448	102	0.228	20	50	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.257	0.365	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	72	257	65	0.253	7	45	0.313	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.224	0.268	0.362	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	4	14	3	0.214	0	0	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.284	0.340	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	39	147	34	0.231	5	16	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.117	0.177	0.206	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	68	201	41	0.204	8	22	0.261	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.206	0.276	0.337	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	14	41	9	0.220	0	2	0.273	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.169	0.204	0.237	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	1	1	1	9	0.182

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	109	369	75	0.203	6	28	0.323	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.269	0.367	0.410	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	115	425	121	0.285	6	41	0.366	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.335	0.339	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	92	344	83	0.241	16	50	0.326	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.279	0.352	0.498	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	113	454	143	0.315	9	51	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.241	0.269	0.376	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	48	139	35	0.252	10	22	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.212	0.288	0.427	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	84	277	63	0.227	16	43	0.293	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.144	0.217	0.303	OK
Owen Caissie	DH	82	230	52	0.226	12	50	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.279	0.428	OK
Joe Mack	C	67	204	48	0.235	11	34	0.288	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.266	0.419	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	88	292	79	0.271	4	39	0.301	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.239	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	28	4	4	4	4	8	0.143

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	20	97.7	2.58	1.269	8.8	95	6.0	2	2	2	4	6	104	6.0	6	2
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	2	2.0	0.00	1.000	9.0	2	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	16	0.2	1	1
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	20	21.5	2.51	0.977	15.9	38	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	24	154.8	3.72	1.214	7.0	120	6.1	5	1	1	1	5	102	6.1	5	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	38	33.7	6.68	1.424	12.6	47	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	49	42.6	5.07	1.667	11.6	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	46	41.5	3.47	1.229	12.1	56	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	18	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAD 69-47 (5.06 RPG / 3.86 RA)

5 - 4

ARI 62-55 (4.55 RPG / 4.51 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-4 TARGET: LAD 5 - 4 ARI (LAD) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	5	7
ARI	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	4	8

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak7L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAD Season Quality

Record69-46

Win%0.600

Run Diff140

RD/Game1.217

ARI Season Quality

Record61-55

Win%0.526

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.026

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.3027; margin adjustment: -0.5471; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	105	401	118	0.294	26	68	0.400	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.312	0.415	0.590	OK
Andy Pages	CF	113	440	118	0.268	19	74	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.280	0.330	0.478	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	112	423	130	0.307	15	53	0.383	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.288	0.357	0.415	OK
Max Muncy	3B	104	347	86	0.248	22	52	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.291	0.412	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	77	306	72	0.235	13	36	0.284	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.234	0.270	0.345	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	106	381	93	0.244	10	52	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.264	0.356	0.421	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	36	128	37	0.289	3	20	0.355	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.283	0.396	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	79	282	71	0.252	11	40	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.286	0.418	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	2	5	1	0.200	0	0	0.200	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.276	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	5	5	3	13	0.206

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	113	405	99	0.244	9	42	0.357	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.286	0.371	0.417	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	113	425	103	0.242	16	53	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.290	0.402	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	88	309	93	0.301	8	50	0.383	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.369	0.428	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	110	447	110	0.246	19	62	0.304	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.202	0.267	0.336	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	4	13	3	0.231	0	1	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.329	0.346	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	110	377	91	0.241	17	54	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.211	0.280	0.434	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	53	158	37	0.234	6	26	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.301	0.424	OK
James McCann	C	30	99	30	0.303	4	21	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.325	0.340	0.533	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	50	168	49	0.292	2	15	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.308	0.338	0.465	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	7	0.229

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	20	132.5	2.78	0.891	8.2	121	6.2	4	2	2	1	6	100	6.2	6	2
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	10	8.3	8.67	2.169	15.2	14	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	10	1.0	0	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	49	42.6	2.54	1.009	12.7	60	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	11	7.7	5.84	1.558	10.5	9	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	14	0.1	1	1

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Pfaadt	Starter	20	75.4	3.82	1.313	6.2	52	6.0	5	4	4	2	9	111	6.0	9	4
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	15	1.0	1	1
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	23	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-4

Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers

MIN 58-60 (4.66 RPG / 4.95 RA)

1 - 6

MIL 73-44 (4.97 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-1 TARGET: MIN 1 - 6 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	7
MIL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	x	6	9

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIN Season Quality

Record58-59

Win%0.496

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.282

MIL Season Quality

Record72-44

Win%0.621

Run Diff139

RD/Game1.198

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.6678; margin adjustment: 0.7005; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	LF	89	267	63	0.236	2	22	0.337	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.222	0.312	0.304	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	53	189	53	0.280	10	36	0.377	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.326	0.417	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	82	297	70	0.236	13	39	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.306	0.360	0.545	OK
Josh Bell	DH	112	412	104	0.252	15	68	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.303	0.352	0.484	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	101	377	87	0.231	19	53	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.207	0.248	0.402	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	107	362	95	0.262	6	34	0.353	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.337	0.384	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	1	4	1	0.250	1	1	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.265	0.273	0.382	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	108	408	98	0.240	16	59	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.198	0.253	0.333	OK
Ryan Kreidler	CF	65	185	44	0.238	5	25	0.284	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.277	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	1	1	1	6	0.206

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	107	418	115	0.275	16	72	0.365	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.277	0.359	0.429	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	80	334	94	0.281	16	46	0.342	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.260	0.325	0.536	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	99	338	90	0.266	19	63	0.369	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.286	0.386	0.526	OK
William Contreras	C	105	407	108	0.265	11	57	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.227	0.285	0.358	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	98	324	81	0.250	7	43	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.303	0.347	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	66	192	58	0.302	5	33	0.385	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.264	0.349	0.453	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	76	295	66	0.224	7	36	0.312	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.213	0.286	0.333	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	40	126	35	0.278	2	16	0.354	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.289	0.364	0.372	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	81	241	57	0.237	5	28	0.302	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.253	0.317	0.390	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	9	6	6	6	6	0.281

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	22	124.8	3.75	1.258	10.2	141	6.0	4	1	1	3	5	100	6.0	5	1
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	2	2.0	0.00	1.000	18.0	4	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	39	30.7	2.05	1.270	10.6	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	44	47.9	3.57	1.420	9.8	52	1.0	4	5	5	3	0	37	1.0	0	5

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	12	60.7	4.60	1.203	8.6	58	5.1	6	1	1	0	5	85	5.1	5	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	44	43.1	1.88	0.858	10.6	51	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	47	42.6	2.32	1.103	9.9	47	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	9	1.2	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	53	57.6	4.06	1.580	13.9	89	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-1

New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates

NYM 51-67 (4.14 RPG / 4.58 RA)

2 - 3

PIT 58-61 (5.05 RPG / 4.79 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 3-2 TARGET: NYM 3 - 2 PIT (NYM) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	7
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	x	3	10

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

NYM Season Quality

Record51-66

Win%0.436

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.376

PIT Season Quality

Record57-61

Win%0.483

Run Diff22

RD/Game0.186

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6332; margin adjustment: 0.266; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	75	271	74	0.273	7	28	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.284	0.333	0.408	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	59	233	54	0.232	10	29	0.317	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.319	0.437	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	113	457	117	0.256	11	56	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.264	0.344	OK
Jared Young	1B	63	188	47	0.250	6	19	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.272	0.342	0.421	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	37	133	27	0.203	4	12	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.268	0.306	OK
Brett Baty	RF	98	323	72	0.223	7	34	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.214	0.268	0.341	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	96	341	75	0.220	14	40	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.301	0.440	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	31	115	16	0.139	2	5	0.195	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.149	0.199	0.271	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	76	251	61	0.243	11	27	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.308	0.358	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	1	9	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	84	300	90	0.300	3	25	0.350	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.271	0.318	0.355	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	106	421	106	0.252	24	73	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.301	0.438	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	115	422	114	0.270	15	63	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.358	0.417	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	80	266	72	0.271	10	37	0.373	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.320	0.368	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	108	414	127	0.307	4	48	0.359	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.302	0.339	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	44	135	36	0.267	7	20	0.357	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.185	0.276	0.362	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	LF	45	143	34	0.238	11	30	0.366	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.208	0.356	0.470	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	17	41	8	0.195	1	4	0.190	3	3	2	0	0	0	1	0.667	0.172	0.215	0.284	OK
Ronny Simon	RF	3	9	2	0.222	0	0	0.300	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.226	0.298	0.258	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	34	10	3	3	0	6	0.294

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Stock	Starter	1	5.0	1.80	0.600	7.2	4	5.0	4	0	0	0	5	75	5.0	5	0
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	41	36.1	4.49	1.662	12.7	51	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	15	44.1	8.78	1.814	11.2	55	0.2	4	2	2	0	0	15	0.2	0	2
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	11	13.7	1.31	0.876	8.5	13	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	22	107.3	4.61	1.454	8.2	98	5.0	3	0	0	0	4	87	5.0	4	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	46	39.0	3.92	1.359	16.6	72	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	48	45.4	3.37	1.101	11.7	59	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	48	58.5	3.08	1.419	11.4	74	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	11	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 3-2

Oakland Athletics @ Boston Red Sox

OAK 46-71 (4.32 RPG / 5.74 RA)

2 - 5

BOS 64-52 (4.48 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-2 TARGET: OAK 2 - 5 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
BOS	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	5	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed7.1

Run Diff-42

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak9L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs7.5

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff41

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak9W

OAK Season Quality

Record45-71

Win%0.388

Run Diff-169

RD/Game-1.457

BOS Season Quality

Record64-51

Win%0.557

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.774

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.4837; margin adjustment: 1.0432; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	69	232	59	0.254	4	21	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.287	0.319	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	74	299	80	0.268	7	36	0.299	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.197	0.227	0.289	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	57	195	44	0.226	10	28	0.275	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.266	0.384	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	104	375	92	0.245	18	53	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.311	0.448	OK
Tommy White	1B	19	75	20	0.267	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.261	0.277	OK
Brian Serven	C	7	19	4	0.211	2	4	0.250	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.240	0.494	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	101	300	62	0.207	7	30	0.295	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.206	0.284	0.367	OK
Max Muncy	3B	52	167	37	0.222	5	20	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.194	0.253	0.310	OK
Alika Williams	2B	45	123	31	0.252	2	9	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.124	0.152	0.231	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	2	2	4	9	0.156

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jahmai Jones	DH	10	15	6	0.400	2	5	0.471	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.161	0.234	0.330	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	107	424	122	0.288	14	58	0.329	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.317	0.339	0.506	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	104	354	86	0.243	11	50	0.312	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.308	0.363	0.475	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	102	357	102	0.286	23	70	0.393	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.241	0.340	0.438	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	71	217	59	0.272	6	29	0.325	5	4	1	1	3	1	0	0.250	0.340	0.384	0.525	OK
Eli White	RF	2	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.153	0.195	0.270
Nick Sogard	2B	19	66	16	0.242	0	3	0.367	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.226	0.348	0.333	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	106	410	83	0.202	16	54	0.262	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.260	0.310	0.480	OK
Connor Wong	C	52	148	38	0.257	3	19	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.303	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	11	5	5	3	7	0.306

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gage Jump	Starter	13	64.1	4.77	1.529	10.2	73	4.2	7	1	1	2	3	101	4.2	3	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	53	40.1	4.49	1.895	15.0	67	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	5.36	1.457	13.1	44	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	37	47.7	3.77	1.509	11.7	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	24	1.1	1	0
José Suarez	Middle Reliever	32	33.7	4.54	1.365	9.3	35	0.1	3	4	4	1	0	17	0.1	0	4

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	12	69.0	3.00	1.043	6.5	50	6.1	4	2	2	4	5	115	6.1	5	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	39	38.2	1.18	1.099	11.8	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	44	42.3	1.91	0.875	9.8	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	34	24.3	5.56	1.646	14.1	38	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners

TB 69-46 (4.45 RPG / 4.09 RA)

6 - 1

SEA 56-61 (3.92 RPG / 4.05 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-1 TARGET: TB 6 - 1 SEA (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	0	0	6	9
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-23

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

TB Season Quality

Record68-46

Win%0.596

Run Diff41

RD/Game0.360

SEA Season Quality

Record56-60

Win%0.483

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.121

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6509; margin adjustment: -0.2734; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	109	425	127	0.299	15	64	0.372	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.242	0.298	0.369	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	111	415	120	0.289	15	72	0.376	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.304	0.372	0.461	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	114	431	122	0.283	33	71	0.376	5	5	2	1	4	0	3	0.400	0.258	0.353	0.558	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	43	137	30	0.219	8	18	0.289	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.236	0.297	0.416	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	104	399	118	0.296	0	23	0.324	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.314	0.340	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	96	333	68	0.204	13	35	0.280	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.207	0.267	0.336	OK
Nick Fortes	C	80	241	67	0.278	4	28	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.305	0.432	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	82	235	53	0.226	5	32	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.162	0.282	0.305	OK
Carson Williams	SS	9	30	3	0.100	0	3	0.156	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.114	0.170	0.182	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	6	6	4	5	0.250

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	RF	4	14	2	0.143	0	0	0.143	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.341	0.305	OK
Cole Young	2B	117	426	112	0.263	14	51	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.316	0.390	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	109	401	113	0.282	14	49	0.376	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.246	0.316	0.386	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	100	299	75	0.251	18	49	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.284	0.427	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	105	415	108	0.260	18	51	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.328	0.469	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	109	423	109	0.258	8	40	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.281	0.285	OK
Brendan Donovan	3B	26	93	24	0.258	3	8	0.358	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.197	0.259	0.323	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	83	304	49	0.161	12	43	0.267	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.132	0.229	0.273	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	64	207	42	0.203	8	23	0.261	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.265	0.346	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	1	1	5	6	0.156

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Legumina	Starter	29	31.3	4.31	1.342	6.9	24	4.2	3	0	0	5	4	97	4.2	4	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	47	44.4	1.62	0.856	10.3	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	49	45.2	2.39	0.973	8.6	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	41	30.8	3.51	1.364	13.7	47	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	1	1.1	0.00	0.909	32.7	4	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	21	124.9	3.82	1.297	7.9	110	6.0	7	4	4	1	4	101	6.0	4	4
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	43	39.8	3.62	1.231	14.7	65	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	51	41.3	3.70	1.501	8.3	38	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	18	1.0	0	2
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	54	41.5	4.12	1.542	11.1	51	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	36	25.1	2.51	1.275	9.7	27	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	13	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 6-1

Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies

TOR 55-62 (3.9 RPG / 4.41 RA)

3 - 5

PHI 62-55 (4.41 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-3 TARGET: TOR 3 - 5 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	7
PHI	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	5	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record55-62

Win%0.470

Run Diff-60

RD/Game-0.513

PHI Season Quality

Record62-55

Win%0.530

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.009

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6111; margin adjustment: 0.2567; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	80	266	70	0.263	5	19	0.318	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.197	0.235	0.261	OK
Brett Bateman	CF	1	2	1	0.500	0	0	0.750	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.572	0.959	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	107	401	104	0.259	6	44	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.303	0.314	OK
Jesús Sánchez	DH	79	229	62	0.271	8	32	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.313	0.438	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	114	440	125	0.284	9	38	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.247	0.358	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	61	187	44	0.235	8	21	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.153	0.229	0.244	OK
Josh Smith	3B	4	10	3	0.300	1	1	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.292	0.315	OK
Myles Straw	LF	84	193	43	0.223	3	17	0.266	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.230	0.268	0.368	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	105	344	81	0.235	8	41	0.281	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.239	0.266	0.372	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	3	3	1	7	0.206

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	1B	109	409	99	0.242	32	63	0.357	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.227	0.344	0.459	OK
Trea Turner	SS	111	465	117	0.252	16	46	0.297	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.232	0.272	0.373	OK
Bryce Harper	DH	115	408	105	0.257	24	70	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.385	0.510	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	4	17	5	0.294	1	4	0.333	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.283	0.318	0.424	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	110	379	98	0.259	8	51	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.272	0.370	0.429	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	110	406	113	0.278	16	51	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.284	0.360	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	102	309	80	0.259	2	28	0.308	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.288	0.337	0.373	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	RF	9	21	9	0.429	2	6	0.481	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.177	0.244	0.391	OK
Garrett Stubbs	C	13	34	5	0.147	0	2	0.211	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.108	0.137	0.149	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	5	5	4	5	0.226

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Scherzer	Starter	8	29.5	8.24	1.695	7.0	23	4.0	6	4	4	2	4	76	4.0	4	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	53	54.7	1.48	1.097	12.2	74	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	54	48.5	1.86	1.216	5.0	27	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	32	68.4	3.29	1.184	9.3	71	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	37	1.1	0	1

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	23	116.5	5.72	1.485	9.3	121	5.1	5	3	3	1	5	91	5.1	5	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	41	38.4	1.41	0.911	13.4	57	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	48	40.1	3.82	1.421	11.4	51	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.2	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	43	36.7	3.19	1.090	12.5	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees

ATL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers

BAL Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals

CHC Recent Form

KC Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals

CIN Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

CLE Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals

COL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

COL Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants

DET Recent Form

SF Recent Form

DET Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres