MLB Predictions — August 7, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ NYY	4 - 3	4 - 3	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ TEX	3 - 5	3 - 5	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ KC	5 - 2	5 - 2	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ WAS	2 - 4	2 - 4	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ CHW	5 - 4	5 - 4	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ STL	3 - 4	3 - 4	STL	STL	STL wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ SF	5 - 2	5 - 2	DET	DET	DET wins 5-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ SD	4 - 5	4 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ MIA	1 - 5	1 - 5	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ ARI	5 - 4	5 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-4	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ MIL	2 - 5	2 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ PIT	3 - 2	3 - 2	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 3-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ BOS	3 - 6	3 - 6	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 6-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ SEA	4 - 3	4 - 3	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ PHI	2 - 6	2 - 6	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 6-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees

ATL 70-46 (4.91 RPG / 3.91 RA)

4 - 3

NYY 64-51 (4.54 RPG / 3.83 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-3 TARGET: ATL 4 - 3 NYY (ATL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	6
NYY	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak8W

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-3

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ATL Season Quality

Record70-46

Win%0.603

Run Diff116

RD/Game1.000

NYY Season Quality

Record64-51

Win%0.557

Run Diff81

RD/Game0.704

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.366; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	92	354	97	0.274	20	59	0.365	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.343	0.425	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	115	442	116	0.262	19	63	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.153	0.217	0.293	OK
Matt Olson	1B	115	444	119	0.268	32	70	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.291	0.367	0.640	OK
Mauricio Dubón	CF	110	410	111	0.271	10	58	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.297	0.341	0.419	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	3	7	1	0.143	0	1	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.320	0.384	OK
Austin Riley	3B	114	409	90	0.220	13	56	0.295	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.286	0.396	OK
Sean Murphy	C	5	18	2	0.111	0	0	0.111	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.141	0.150	0.187	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	23	73	5	0.068	0	3	0.171	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.084	0.183	0.106	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	109	417	123	0.295	20	66	0.322	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.294	0.322	0.504	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	8	0.182

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	90	319	67	0.210	11	42	0.305	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.178	0.251	0.325	OK
Ben Rice	DH	107	398	104	0.261	30	69	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.221	0.335	0.456	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	2	7	1	0.143	0	0	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.270	0.354	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	3	11	3	0.273	1	2	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.282	0.507	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	104	370	81	0.219	17	47	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.173	0.253	0.353	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	39	108	23	0.213	5	13	0.286	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.263	0.375	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	2	6	2	0.333	1	1	0.429	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.274	0.358	0.592	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	84	243	52	0.214	10	27	0.274	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.248	0.338	OK
Austin Wells	C	79	225	38	0.169	8	16	0.266	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.192	0.280	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	10	0.156

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	5.1	5	3	3	2	10	91	5.1	10	3
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	40	39.6	2.73	1.162	10.0	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	54	45.8	2.36	0.830	12.6	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	39	43.2	2.71	1.227	12.7	61	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Fried	Starter	13	73.6	3.18	1.005	8.3	68	5.1	4	3	3	2	5	87	5.1	5	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	46	46.4	2.72	1.121	11.1	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	54	35.7	3.78	1.821	15.1	60	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	58	47.5	1.71	1.347	13.1	69	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	41	55.8	2.26	1.183	8.1	50	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	19	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-3

Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers

BAL 56-59 (4.49 RPG / 4.77 RA)

3 - 5

TEX 57-58 (4.15 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-3 TARGET: BAL 3 - 5 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 51.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	6
TEX	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	5	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

BAL Season Quality

Record56-59

Win%0.487

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.287

TEX Season Quality

Record57-58

Win%0.496

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.287

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.013; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colton Cowser	CF	89	225	46	0.204	7	25	0.304	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.208	0.321	0.302	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	111	451	98	0.217	17	46	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.287	0.382	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	59	166	39	0.235	5	20	0.333	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.236	0.335	0.357	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	112	419	105	0.251	23	71	0.344	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.323	0.454	OK
Yohel Pozo	C	4	9	2	0.222	1	2	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.244	0.280	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	84	260	54	0.208	15	41	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.284	0.477	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	93	297	65	0.219	6	41	0.298	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.205	0.277	0.345	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	57	177	44	0.249	2	17	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.313	0.348	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	68	180	40	0.222	9	19	0.307	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.308	0.484	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	3	3	0	13	0.182

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Evan Carter	CF	95	272	54	0.199	8	30	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.294	0.308	OK
Corey Seager	SS	55	204	41	0.201	10	25	0.310	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.222	0.327	0.393	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	57	169	49	0.290	1	19	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.299	0.297	OK
Jake Burger	1B	110	404	96	0.238	19	66	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.292	0.409	OK
Elias Díaz	C	35	107	26	0.243	3	14	0.261	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.251	0.418	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	104	366	101	0.276	13	63	0.328	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.286	0.334	0.482	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	109	416	114	0.274	12	43	0.342	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.293	0.358	0.489	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	63	253	67	0.265	13	31	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.240	0.300	0.456	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	103	302	76	0.252	20	42	0.338	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.163	0.251	0.328	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	8	5	5	3	10	0.242

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	22	124.6	3.97	1.413	8.0	111	5.2	5	2	2	2	9	95	5.2	9	2
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	39	29.6	4.56	1.622	8.8	29	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	50	32.9	2.19	0.973	9.8	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	41	23.3	5.79	1.760	13.9	36	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	15	0.2	0	1
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	53	42.6	3.38	1.009	10.6	50	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Josh Walker	Middle Reliever	10	10.1	4.46	1.584	8.9	10	0.0	1	2	2	1	0	11	0.0	0	2

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	21	126.4	4.34	1.218	9.6	135	5.2	5	3	3	0	8	93	5.2	8	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	40	48.2	1.49	0.664	9.7	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	37	38.3	3.99	1.384	10.8	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	51	43.0	3.77	1.442	9.2	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-3

Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals

CHC 67-49 (5.13 RPG / 4.27 RA)

5 - 2

KC 48-68 (4.14 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-2 TARGET: CHC 5 - 2 KC (CHC) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	5	4
KC	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CHC Season Quality

Record67-49

Win%0.578

Run Diff100

RD/Game0.862

KC Season Quality

Record48-68

Win%0.414

Run Diff-103

RD/Game-0.888

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9957; margin adjustment: -0.8382; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	114	428	125	0.292	26	69	0.389	5	3	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.331	0.399	0.586	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	98	369	101	0.274	19	64	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.353	0.447	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	112	444	111	0.250	12	50	0.341	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.261	0.329	0.438	OK
Michael Busch	1B	113	429	104	0.242	13	61	0.352	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.229	0.317	0.369	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	112	448	117	0.261	7	54	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.295	0.343	0.455	OK
Ian Happ	LF	108	401	85	0.212	18	48	0.321	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.174	0.277	0.318	OK
Carson Kelly	C	81	268	71	0.265	7	39	0.350	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.258	0.275	OK
Pedro Ramirez	DH	38	103	31	0.301	1	14	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.304	0.361	0.422	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	108	374	81	0.217	15	56	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.312	0.421	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	5	5	6	8	0.129

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	106	380	87	0.229	15	54	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.175	0.249	0.330	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	96	378	108	0.286	13	40	0.353	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.293	0.354	0.451	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	106	379	95	0.251	18	45	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.287	0.436	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	107	414	90	0.217	16	48	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.252	0.383	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	101	324	77	0.238	6	34	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.201	0.284	0.325	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	76	233	58	0.249	5	35	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.152	0.235	0.268	OK
Michael Massey	2B	92	289	76	0.263	9	39	0.297	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.219	0.253	0.380	OK
Starling Marte	RF	51	137	35	0.255	1	12	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.157	0.198	0.217	OK
Tyler Tolbert	CF	31	80	26	0.325	3	6	0.368	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.302	0.349	0.460	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	11	0.206

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	5.1	6	2	2	0	6	94	5.1	6	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	51	46.0	2.74	1.326	11.0	56	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	7.50	0.833	15.0	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	32	32.4	2.78	1.204	4.7	17	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	8	1.2	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Daniel Lynch IV	Starter	46	41.1	2.19	1.046	7.7	35	5.2	2	2	2	3	5	89	5.2	5	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	44	41.7	6.69	1.679	10.4	48	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	15	1.0	1	1
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	40	37.8	4.76	1.349	11.4	48	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	6	1.0	1	2
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	46	35.6	4.30	1.601	7.8	31	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	5	4.2	0.00	0.952	4.3	2	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	16	0.1	0	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	42	38.2	6.13	1.780	6.8	29	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals

CIN 56-58 (4.18 RPG / 4.7 RA)

2 - 4

WAS 56-61 (5.32 RPG / 5.24 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 4-2 TARGET: CIN 2 - 4 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	8
WAS	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	x	4	5

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CIN Season Quality

Record56-58

Win%0.491

Run Diff-60

RD/Game-0.526

WAS Season Quality

Record56-61

Win%0.479

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.085

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5929; margin adjustment: 0.249; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	94	373	104	0.279	19	53	0.359	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.266	0.341	0.483	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	113	428	111	0.259	25	87	0.339	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.268	0.348	0.537	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	84	301	70	0.233	20	47	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.349	0.489	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	85	274	69	0.252	10	33	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.260	0.351	0.487	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	82	295	60	0.203	14	40	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.197	0.282	0.350	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	CF	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.057	0.289	0.094
Noelvi Marte	RF	52	173	34	0.197	6	15	0.235	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.214	0.251	0.321	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	50	158	22	0.139	4	7	0.195	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.102	0.147	0.207	OK
Matt McLain	2B	85	290	55	0.190	9	27	0.287	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.166	0.251	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	2	2	2	13	0.229

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	DH	113	425	122	0.287	28	88	0.362	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.335	0.520	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	5	12	3	0.250	1	1	0.250	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.122	0.135	0.296	OK
Brady House	3B	54	197	45	0.228	8	27	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.258	0.382	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	115	438	106	0.242	14	56	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.151	0.201	0.310	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	63	240	53	0.221	9	25	0.300	4	2	1	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.199	0.252	0.329	OK
Harry Ford	C	11	32	6	0.188	1	4	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.191	0.310	0.371	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	102	331	77	0.233	1	33	0.317	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.213	0.301	0.251	OK
Jose F Miranda	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.311	0.389
Jacob Young	CF	92	310	75	0.242	9	37	0.303	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.267	0.332	0.411	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	28	5	4	4	2	9	0.179

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Petty	Starter	15	27.2	4.96	1.360	4.6	14	5.0	3	2	2	1	7	88	5.0	7	2
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	26	24.4	4.43	1.189	10.3	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	36	31.1	2.60	1.093	9.5	33	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	58	48.3	3.17	1.470	9.5	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	24	120.1	3.60	1.316	10.0	133	5.2	5	1	1	1	8	102	5.2	8	1
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	35	30.5	3.84	1.344	10.3	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	28	1.0	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	36	30.5	3.84	1.344	9.4	32	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	21	1.0	2	1
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	90.00	30.000	90.0	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	9	6.9	3.91	1.449	6.5	5	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	15	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 4-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

CLE 57-59 (3.96 RPG / 4.2 RA)

5 - 4

CHW 59-55 (4.77 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 5-4 TARGET: CLE 5 - 4 CHW (CLE) Confidence: 51.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	2	5	7
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	4	9

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

CLE Season Quality

Record57-59

Win%0.491

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.241

CHW Season Quality

Record59-55

Win%0.518

Run Diff38

RD/Game0.333

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.614; margin adjustment: 0.2579; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	102	358	92	0.257	1	21	0.355	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.276	0.370	0.336	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	95	359	101	0.281	12	56	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.274	0.367	0.436	OK
Jo Adell	RF	3	11	2	0.182	0	0	0.308	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.146	0.193	0.273	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	71	259	59	0.228	11	36	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.248	0.366	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	83	240	42	0.175	12	35	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.113	0.243	0.292	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	111	388	101	0.260	9	50	0.324	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.217	0.277	0.315	OK
Austin Hedges	C	52	151	41	0.272	4	17	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.140	0.211	0.247	OK
Angel Genao	2B	2	9	5	0.556	0	1	0.556	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.499	0.504	0.524	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	43	114	25	0.219	2	7	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.253	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	5	5	3	6	0.206

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	110	407	112	0.275	11	44	0.351	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.275	0.351	0.521	OK
Munetaka Murakami	DH	79	284	67	0.236	24	51	0.370	5	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.228	0.352	0.486	OK
Miguel Vargas	1B	112	420	99	0.236	24	67	0.340	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.225	0.323	0.447	OK
Randal Grichuk	LF	61	134	37	0.276	9	22	0.312	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.283	0.317	0.522	OK
Colson Montgomery	3B	108	407	88	0.216	25	65	0.298	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.216	0.289	0.418	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	3	5	2	0.400	0	0	0.400	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.230	0.297	0.310	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	47	171	39	0.228	3	22	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.293	0.337	OK
Edgar Quero	C	46	141	27	0.191	2	15	0.247	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.203	0.253	0.298	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	66	169	41	0.243	1	12	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.244	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	4	4	4	10	0.250

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	22	124.3	2.68	1.102	9.3	128	6.0	4	1	1	1	8	104	6.0	8	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	49	49.3	2.56	1.197	13.3	73	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	28	1.0	0	3
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	44	31.6	3.99	1.551	10.0	35	0.2	1	0	0	1	2	15	0.2	2	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	43	38.6	1.63	0.933	10.0	43	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	36	1.1	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Schultz	Starter	14	62.9	6.01	1.431	8.3	58	4.1	5	4	4	2	4	79	4.1	4	4
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	39	51.5	3.32	1.320	9.8	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

CLE wins 5-4

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals

COL 45-70 (4.82 RPG / 5.76 RA)

3 - 4

STL 57-58 (4.34 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 4 STL (STL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	9
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	4	7

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Season Quality

Record45-70

Win%0.391

Run Diff-108

RD/Game-0.939

STL Season Quality

Record57-58

Win%0.496

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.087

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0087; margin adjustment: 0.4237; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Carrigg	OF	45	153	46	0.301	5	28	0.387	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.299	0.389	0.497	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	103	354	74	0.209	9	37	0.253	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.235	0.275	0.377	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	83	230	47	0.204	3	20	0.320	5	3	1	1	1	2	1	0.333	0.186	0.308	0.271	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	109	395	116	0.294	13	57	0.371	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.280	0.340	0.433	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	105	393	100	0.254	33	66	0.323	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.250	0.308	0.528	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	103	321	88	0.274	9	41	0.372	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.288	0.371	0.428	OK
Jake McCarthy	CF	94	355	104	0.293	11	63	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.287	0.313	0.477	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	75	263	73	0.278	19	52	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.308	0.577	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	96	313	88	0.281	3	40	0.341	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.306	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	3	3	5	6	0.250

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Church	CF	88	288	69	0.240	9	34	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.311	0.397	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	104	378	90	0.238	4	45	0.313	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.313	0.315	OK
JJ Wetherholt	SS	106	415	103	0.248	16	42	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.343	0.374	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	111	427	123	0.288	18	76	0.350	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.304	0.366	0.542	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	35	94	18	0.191	4	11	0.255	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.208	0.256	0.387	OK
Blaze Jordan	1B	40	135	34	0.252	1	22	0.271	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.295	0.394	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	109	423	121	0.286	20	76	0.345	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.293	0.343	0.460	OK
Bryan Torres	OF	36	87	20	0.230	3	11	0.287	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.235	0.295	0.381	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	112	419	98	0.234	11	45	0.349	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.302	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	4	4	3	7	0.226

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	16	74.8	5.90	1.497	6.9	57	4.1	6	4	4	1	4	86	4.1	4	4
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	3.29	1.707	13.2	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	10	1.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	46	43.8	6.16	1.804	10.1	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	53	36.9	3.17	1.463	8.3	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	31	26.6	7.78	1.917	10.8	32	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	20	0.2	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	21	106.4	3.47	1.344	7.7	91	5.0	8	3	3	3	5	108	5.0	5	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	46	43.8	3.49	1.233	9.9	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	52	43.9	4.10	1.344	10.5	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	49	37.9	5.22	1.715	11.6	49	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	1	1.2	0.00	0.833	7.5	1	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 4-3

Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants

DET 56-59 (4.57 RPG / 3.88 RA)

5 - 2

SF 49-67 (4.19 RPG / 4.63 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-2 TARGET: DET 5 - 2 SF (DET) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9
SF	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs8.5

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff51

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

DET Season Quality

Record56-59

Win%0.487

Run Diff80

RD/Game0.696

SF Season Quality

Record49-67

Win%0.422

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.440

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2321; margin adjustment: -0.5175; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	110	417	119	0.285	12	44	0.393	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.292	0.401	0.462	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	58	213	57	0.268	7	29	0.385	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.248	0.356	0.420	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	105	399	112	0.281	26	78	0.342	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.311	0.342	0.574	OK
Riley Greene	LF	112	406	113	0.278	16	54	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.323	0.424	OK
Colt Keith	DH	104	304	83	0.273	8	30	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.309	0.353	0.465	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	113	393	85	0.216	20	57	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.315	0.393	OK
Max Clark	CF	6	24	8	0.333	1	4	0.448	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.274	0.353	0.437	OK
Javier Báez	SS	30	105	30	0.286	2	13	0.309	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.286	0.306	0.390	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	86	270	59	0.219	4	23	0.295	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.317	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	5	5	3	7	0.250

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bryce Eldridge	DH	72	252	64	0.254	11	28	0.348	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.312	0.385	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	103	392	120	0.306	7	41	0.342	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.267	0.290	0.447	OK
Willy Adames	SS	109	420	93	0.221	17	46	0.279	5	5	3	0	0	0	0	0.600	0.197	0.262	0.326	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	114	428	107	0.250	22	61	0.324	4	2	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.314	0.398	OK
Daniel Susac	C	45	137	35	0.255	3	22	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.284	0.463	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	83	228	56	0.246	4	21	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.157	0.228	0.237	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	7	21	6	0.286	3	8	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.272	0.282	0.682	OK
Grant McCray	LF	12	28	3	0.107	1	2	0.265	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.123	0.268	0.232	OK
Christian Koss	3B	19	48	8	0.167	0	1	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.174	0.209	0.212	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	6	2	2	5	6	0.188

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	24	112.6	3.28	1.030	6.5	81	5.1	5	2	2	4	5	100	5.1	5	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	32	27.8	3.56	1.259	11.0	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	46	41.5	3.04	1.639	7.8	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	48	43.6	3.51	1.537	8.1	39	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JT Brubaker	Starter	34	49.8	3.43	1.265	6.5	36	5.0	5	3	3	2	3	98	5.0	3	3
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	23	17.3	3.64	1.561	12.5	24	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	32	1.0	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	39	33.3	3.51	1.321	8.4	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	30	20.1	3.13	1.891	12.5	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	4.43	1.148	4.4	3	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

DET wins 5-2

Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres

HOU 59-57 (4.66 RPG / 4.87 RA)

4 - 5

SD 60-56 (4.23 RPG / 4.34 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: HOU 4 - 5 SD (SD) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	8
SD	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	x	5	7

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

HOU Season Quality

Record59-57

Win%0.509

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.216

SD Season Quality

Record59-56

Win%0.513

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.148

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0743; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	67	267	83	0.311	13	37	0.369	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.252	0.300	0.449	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	113	410	136	0.332	35	85	0.446	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.333	0.445	0.594	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	108	394	96	0.244	15	60	0.342	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.132	0.222	0.245	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	91	357	87	0.244	13	34	0.305	5	4	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.268	0.319	0.418	OK
Christian Walker	1B	111	413	100	0.242	22	65	0.317	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.312	0.450	OK
Daulton Varsho	LF	3	10	2	0.200	0	0	0.429	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.235	0.316	0.349	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	54	211	55	0.261	8	26	0.285	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.288	0.308	0.430	OK
Cam Smith	RF	106	374	81	0.217	13	39	0.288	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.200	0.260	0.327	OK
Jake Meyers	CF	43	136	27	0.199	3	11	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.171	0.228	0.280	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	8	4	4	5	5	0.235

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	113	447	125	0.280	9	49	0.351	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.302	0.397	OK
Jake Cronenworth	1B	63	211	46	0.218	3	17	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.226	0.294	0.297	OK
Manny Machado	3B	113	419	88	0.210	23	70	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.188	0.268	0.325	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	19	64	22	0.344	2	8	0.440	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.335	0.332	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	112	439	106	0.241	16	55	0.292	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.318	0.418	OK
Luis Campusano	C	38	109	33	0.303	4	16	0.392	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.275	0.349	0.420	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	106	321	68	0.212	14	43	0.311	4	2	0	1	1	2	2	0.000	0.200	0.292	0.351	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	110	379	86	0.227	9	41	0.323	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.353	0.325	OK
Sung-Mun Song	2B	41	106	22	0.208	1	15	0.300	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.201	0.288	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	5	5	5	6	0.226

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ronel Blanco	Starter	3	13.5	8.00	1.407	10.7	16	4.2	5	4	4	5	3	94	4.2	3	4
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	25	23.3	0.77	0.730	13.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	56	48.4	2.60	0.992	10.8	58	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	43	36.7	4.90	1.526	13.0	53	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	17	0.1	1	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	50	46.8	4.81	1.325	9.8	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	7	1.0	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	5.2	6	3	3	4	5	110	5.2	5	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	46	45.3	0.79	0.861	17.9	90	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	53	53.3	3.38	1.220	12.3	73	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	26	21.4	4.21	1.308	12.2	29	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4

Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins

LAA 44-71 (4.15 RPG / 4.81 RA)

1 - 5

MIA 58-58 (4.33 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-1 TARGET: LAA 1 - 5 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4
MIA	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	x	5	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

LAA Season Quality

Record44-71

Win%0.383

Run Diff-76

RD/Game-0.661

MIA Season Quality

Record58-58

Win%0.500

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.837; margin adjustment: 0.3515; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wade Meckler	LF	52	158	49	0.310	3	20	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.310	0.366	0.434	OK
Mike Trout	CF	96	347	83	0.239	18	40	0.384	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.223	0.335	0.355	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	94	352	96	0.273	6	38	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.284	0.319	OK
Zach Neto	SS	112	444	102	0.230	20	50	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.204	0.266	0.383	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	71	253	66	0.261	7	46	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.302	0.396	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	3	11	2	0.182	0	0	0.182	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.212	0.275	0.336	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	85	279	65	0.233	7	24	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.177	0.210	0.285	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	67	199	40	0.201	8	22	0.256	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.195	0.261	0.328	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	13	38	8	0.211	0	2	0.268	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.120	0.161	0.218	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	1	1	5	11	0.129

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	1B	91	340	79	0.232	16	48	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.221	0.296	0.438	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	112	449	143	0.318	9	51	0.351	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.273	0.300	0.401	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	47	136	35	0.257	10	22	0.340	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.256	0.331	0.506	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	114	420	121	0.288	6	41	0.369	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.281	0.363	0.376	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	81	228	52	0.228	12	50	0.285	4	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.194	0.256	0.433	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	46	129	27	0.209	2	11	0.290	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.194	0.259	0.292	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	108	367	73	0.199	6	28	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.138	0.249	0.278	OK
Joe Mack	C	66	200	48	0.240	11	34	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.268	0.424	OK
Esteury Ruiz	LF	55	124	32	0.258	5	10	0.321	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.272	0.312	0.460	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	8	5	5	3	8	0.250

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Klassen	Starter	2	4.2	12.86	4.048	12.9	6	3.0	7	5	5	2	5	75	3.0	5	5
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	1.000	9.0	1	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	20	21.5	2.51	0.977	15.9	38	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	34	32.2	3.63	1.429	12.6	45	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	28	86.3	3.65	1.402	6.9	66	5.0	4	1	1	3	5	90	5.0	5	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	38	33.7	6.68	1.424	12.6	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	48	41.6	5.19	1.707	11.5	53	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	45	40.4	3.56	1.213	12.0	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	2	3.0	9.00	1.667	6.0	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	22	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAD 69-46 (5.08 RPG / 3.86 RA)

5 - 4

ARI 61-55 (4.55 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-4 TARGET: LAD 5 - 4 ARI (LAD) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	7
ARI	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	4

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAD Season Quality

Record69-46

Win%0.600

Run Diff140

RD/Game1.217

ARI Season Quality

Record61-54

Win%0.530

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.061

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2609; margin adjustment: -0.5296; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	104	399	118	0.296	26	68	0.399	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.315	0.410	0.591	OK
Andy Pages	CF	112	437	117	0.268	18	73	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.302	0.418	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	111	419	130	0.310	15	52	0.387	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.321	0.387	0.438	OK
Max Muncy	3B	103	344	86	0.250	22	52	0.344	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.304	0.477	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	76	302	71	0.235	13	36	0.284	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.273	0.308	0.384	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	105	378	92	0.243	10	52	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.336	0.431	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	78	278	71	0.255	11	40	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.246	0.352	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	35	124	35	0.282	3	19	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.258	0.376	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.210	0.264	0.321
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	5	5	2	6	0.206

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	112	401	97	0.242	9	41	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.342	0.358	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	112	421	103	0.245	16	53	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.298	0.402	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	87	305	92	0.302	8	50	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.290	0.365	0.422	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	109	444	110	0.248	19	62	0.305	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.277	0.368	OK
Lars Nootbaar	DH	3	10	2	0.200	0	1	0.385	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.229	0.332	0.336	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	109	373	90	0.241	16	53	0.322	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.289	0.400	OK
Max Kepler	LF	29	91	20	0.220	2	15	0.284	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.201	0.274	0.318	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	52	155	36	0.232	6	26	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.290	0.420	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	49	164	48	0.293	1	13	0.333	3	2	1	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.290	0.323	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	4	4	3	11	0.129

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	19	96.9	4.74	1.331	9.4	101	5.1	4	3	3	3	7	100	5.1	7	3
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	6.59	1.951	14.3	13	1.1	0	1	1	0	1	19	1.1	1	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	48	41.6	2.60	0.962	12.8	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	11	7.7	5.84	1.558	10.5	9	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Merrill Kelly	Starter	20	112.7	5.11	1.508	6.1	76	4.2	6	4	4	1	4	90	4.2	4	4
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	2.0	0	0	0	1	0	11	2.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-4

Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers

MIN 57-59 (4.65 RPG / 4.95 RA)

2 - 5

MIL 72-43 (4.97 RPG / 3.74 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-2 TARGET: MIN 2 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
MIL	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	x	5	6

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

MIN Season Quality

Record57-59

Win%0.491

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.302

MIL Season Quality

Record72-43

Win%0.626

Run Diff141

RD/Game1.226

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.7299; margin adjustment: 0.7265; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	LF	88	263	62	0.236	2	21	0.336	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.217	0.306	0.292	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	52	185	52	0.281	10	36	0.377	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.158	0.257	0.287	OK
Royce Lewis	2B	81	292	68	0.233	13	38	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.257	0.318	0.473	OK
Josh Bell	DH	111	407	100	0.246	14	65	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.302	0.396	OK
Kody Clemens	RF	100	372	86	0.231	19	53	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.252	0.414	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	106	358	94	0.263	6	33	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.343	0.397	OK
Victor Caratini	1B	84	266	60	0.226	7	37	0.310	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.198	0.274	0.294	OK
Ryan Kreidler	3B	64	181	42	0.232	5	25	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.215	0.262	0.363	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	108	408	98	0.240	16	59	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.279	0.382	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	2	8	0.206

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	106	414	113	0.273	16	70	0.362	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.256	0.339	0.403	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	79	330	93	0.282	15	45	0.341	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.264	0.328	0.479	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	98	335	90	0.269	19	62	0.371	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.302	0.395	0.557	OK
William Contreras	C	104	402	108	0.269	11	57	0.333	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.251	0.313	0.418	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	97	320	80	0.250	7	42	0.343	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.207	0.296	0.349	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	75	292	65	0.223	7	36	0.310	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.207	0.277	0.327	OK
Luis Lara	RF	18	55	12	0.218	0	11	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.317	0.335	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	39	122	35	0.287	2	16	0.364	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.289	0.368	0.369	OK
David Hamilton	3B	77	230	53	0.230	3	15	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.175	0.260	0.251	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	6	5	5	6	11	0.200

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	14	80.3	5.27	1.320	7.7	69	5.0	6	5	5	4	4	105	5.0	4	5
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	0.000	18.0	2	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	18	0.1	1	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	38	29.7	2.12	1.313	10.6	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	43	46.9	3.65	1.407	10.0	52	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	19	1.0	2	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever	3	2.1	4.29	1.429	4.3	1	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	15	0.2	2	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	22	85.2	3.59	1.209	9.4	89	5.2	5	2	2	2	6	94	5.2	6	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	44	43.1	1.88	0.858	10.6	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	47	42.6	2.32	1.103	9.9	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	53	57.6	4.06	1.580	13.9	89	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	0.00	0.909	8.2	1	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-2

New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates

NYM 50-66 (4.16 RPG / 4.55 RA)

3 - 2

PIT 57-60 (5.03 RPG / 4.82 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 3-2 TARGET: NYM 3 - 2 PIT (NYM) Confidence: 52.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	7
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	8

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-17

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

NYM Season Quality

Record50-66

Win%0.431

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.397

PIT Season Quality

Record57-60

Win%0.487

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.205

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6859; margin adjustment: 0.2881; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	74	268	71	0.265	7	28	0.331	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.257	0.317	0.386	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	58	230	53	0.230	10	28	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.292	0.457	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	112	452	116	0.257	11	56	0.299	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.295	0.372	OK
Carson Benge	LF	108	415	110	0.265	13	44	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.323	0.441	OK
Jared Young	1B	62	184	46	0.250	6	19	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.208	0.284	0.355	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	95	337	74	0.220	13	37	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.309	0.422	OK
Brett Baty	RF	97	319	71	0.223	7	34	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.214	0.268	0.343	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	30	111	16	0.144	2	5	0.202	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.158	0.209	0.309	OK
Luis Torrens	C	63	189	45	0.238	4	27	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.320	0.461	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	8	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	83	297	90	0.303	3	24	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.278	0.324	0.378	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	105	416	105	0.252	24	72	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.308	0.515	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	114	417	112	0.269	15	63	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.336	0.369	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	44	141	34	0.241	11	30	0.363	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.212	0.352	0.478	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	79	262	71	0.271	10	37	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.329	0.378	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	107	410	125	0.305	4	48	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.292	0.326	0.354	OK
Ronny Simon	DH	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.167	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.056	0.194	0.093
Jared Triolo	SS	74	224	54	0.241	1	19	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.131	0.223	0.191	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	7	20	4	0.200	1	2	0.333	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.150	0.280	0.278	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	8	2	2	0	3	0.229

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zach Thornton	Starter	6	33.4	2.96	1.078	6.5	24	6.1	3	0	0	0	3	89	6.1	3	0
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	40	35.1	4.10	1.595	13.1	51	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	15	44.1	8.78	1.814	11.2	55	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	6	1.0	0	1
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	10	12.7	1.42	0.866	8.5	12	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	22	0.2	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carmen Mlodzinski	Starter	25	91.3	3.25	1.358	7.5	76	5.0	5	2	2	3	5	90	5.0	5	2
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	46	39.0	3.92	1.359	16.6	72	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	48	45.4	3.37	1.101	11.7	59	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	20	1.0	0	1
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	47	55.4	3.25	1.462	11.4	70	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 3-2

Oakland Athletics @ Boston Red Sox

OAK 45-71 (4.3 RPG / 5.76 RA)

3 - 6

BOS 64-51 (4.5 RPG / 3.72 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 6-3 TARGET: OAK 3 - 6 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	4
BOS	0	3	0	1	0	2	0	0	x	6	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-32

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak8L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff31

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak8W

OAK Season Quality

Record45-70

Win%0.391

Run Diff-157

RD/Game-1.365

BOS Season Quality

Record63-51

Win%0.553

Run Diff77

RD/Game0.675

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.2826; margin adjustment: 0.9587; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	68	228	59	0.259	4	21	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.307	0.355	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	73	296	80	0.270	7	36	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.234	0.297	OK
Jonah Heim	C	56	192	44	0.229	10	28	0.279	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.268	0.388	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	103	372	91	0.245	17	52	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.309	0.395	OK
Tommy White	1B	18	72	20	0.278	0	0	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.277	0.294	OK
Brian Serven	DH	6	16	4	0.250	2	4	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.280	0.560	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	100	297	62	0.209	7	30	0.298	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.293	0.376	OK
Max Muncy	3B	51	164	36	0.220	5	20	0.292	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.174	0.235	0.302	OK
Jonathan Ornelas	2B	4	8	2	0.250	0	0	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.310	0.267	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	3	3	1	9	0.129

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	1B	18	62	15	0.242	0	3	0.365	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.250	0.369	0.336	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	106	419	120	0.286	14	57	0.328	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.294	0.317	0.514	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	110	423	108	0.255	20	59	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.332	0.560	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	103	350	85	0.243	11	48	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.308	0.359	0.454	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	75	230	60	0.261	4	23	0.329	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.325	0.378	0.472	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	70	213	57	0.268	6	28	0.319	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.315	0.353	0.503	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	105	406	82	0.202	15	52	0.261	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.297	0.428	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	37	120	28	0.233	3	12	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.296	0.375	OK
Jake Rogers	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.126	0.244	0.261
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	11	6	6	1	7	0.314

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	27	69.0	7.17	1.493	11.6	89	4.1	7	4	4	0	5	91	4.1	5	4
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	53	40.1	4.49	1.895	15.0	67	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26	1.0	0	2
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	5.36	1.457	13.1	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	36	46.7	3.85	1.520	11.6	60	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	18	98.9	3.37	1.173	10.0	110	5.1	3	2	2	1	5	90	5.1	5	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	39	38.2	1.18	1.099	11.8	50	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	44	42.3	1.91	0.875	9.8	46	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	34	24.3	5.56	1.646	14.1	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 6-3

Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners

TB 68-46 (4.47 RPG / 4.11 RA)

4 - 3

SEA 56-60 (3.95 RPG / 4.07 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: TB 4 - 3 SEA (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	6
SEA	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	7

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-26

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TB Season Quality

Record68-46

Win%0.596

Run Diff41

RD/Game0.360

SEA Season Quality

Record56-60

Win%0.483

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.121

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6509; margin adjustment: -0.2734; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	108	420	127	0.302	15	64	0.376	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.274	0.327	0.402	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	110	411	118	0.287	14	71	0.375	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.275	0.347	0.380	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	113	429	122	0.284	33	71	0.374	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.279	0.357	0.622	OK
Liam Hicks	C	2	8	2	0.250	1	4	0.400	4	3	1	1	3	0	0	0.333	0.266	0.339	0.400	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	103	395	118	0.299	0	23	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.324	0.349	0.371	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	63	208	55	0.264	7	33	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.295	0.432	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	42	133	28	0.211	8	18	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.191	0.260	0.361	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	81	234	53	0.226	5	32	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.185	0.280	0.321	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	85	268	57	0.213	0	23	0.305	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.274	0.253	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	6	4	4	1	4	0.188

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	RF	3	10	2	0.200	0	0	0.200	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.229	0.351	0.314	OK
Cole Young	2B	116	422	111	0.263	14	51	0.323	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.262	0.314	0.392	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	108	397	113	0.285	14	49	0.379	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.351	0.450	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	99	295	75	0.254	18	49	0.327	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.231	0.294	0.425	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	104	411	106	0.258	17	50	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.332	0.422	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	108	420	109	0.260	8	40	0.323	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.227	0.289	0.296	OK
Brendan Donovan	3B	25	91	24	0.264	3	8	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.286	0.348	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	82	302	49	0.162	12	43	0.266	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.141	0.235	0.295	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	63	204	41	0.201	8	23	0.260	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.270	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	3	3	4	5	0.206

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	21	116.4	2.94	0.936	9.4	122	6.0	5	2	2	2	5	110	6.0	5	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	46	43.4	1.45	0.853	10.0	48	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	24	1.1	0	1
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	48	45.0	2.40	0.978	8.4	42	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	40	30.7	3.52	1.336	13.8	47	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	22	129.4	3.55	1.012	9.7	139	6.1	5	3	3	1	4	99	6.1	4	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	43	39.8	3.62	1.231	14.7	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	50	40.3	3.80	1.514	8.5	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	53	41.4	4.13	1.546	11.1	51	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	5	0.2	0	1
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	36	25.1	2.51	1.275	9.7	27	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies

TOR 54-62 (3.89 RPG / 4.41 RA)

2 - 6

PHI 62-54 (4.41 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 6-2 TARGET: TOR 2 - 6 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4
PHI	0	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	x	6	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Season Quality

Record54-62

Win%0.466

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.526

PHI Season Quality

Record62-54

Win%0.534

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.017

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6466; margin adjustment: 0.2716; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	79	261	68	0.261	5	18	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.168	0.210	0.233	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	41	141	36	0.255	4	16	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.312	0.364	0.417	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	78	228	61	0.268	8	32	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.282	0.409	OK
George Springer	DH	85	329	77	0.234	12	36	0.316	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.274	0.343	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	1B	112	415	95	0.229	24	70	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.290	0.412	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	113	436	125	0.287	9	38	0.311	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.252	0.272	0.397	OK
Josh Smith	3B	3	6	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.184	0.266	0.239
Myles Straw	RF	83	191	43	0.225	3	17	0.268	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.270	0.371	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	104	340	80	0.235	7	40	0.281	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.272	0.354	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	2	2	1	3	0.129

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	108	405	98	0.242	32	63	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.235	0.343	0.393	OK
Trea Turner	SS	110	461	117	0.254	16	45	0.298	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.298	0.408	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	114	404	103	0.255	24	68	0.365	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.257	0.382	0.529	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	3	13	5	0.385	1	4	0.385	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.317	0.345	0.467	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	110	414	94	0.227	13	61	0.285	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.284	0.357	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	109	403	113	0.280	16	51	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.284	0.370	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	83	283	64	0.226	8	38	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.233	0.293	0.354	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	109	377	98	0.260	8	51	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.280	0.374	0.444	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	101	307	79	0.257	2	28	0.303	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.265	0.301	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	6	6	2	9	0.273

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	5.2	6	4	4	1	6	93	5.2	6	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	53	54.7	1.48	1.097	12.2	74	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	53	47.5	1.71	1.158	5.1	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	32	68.4	3.29	1.184	9.3	71	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	14	0.1	1	1
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	58	34.7	4.67	1.671	13.7	53	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	12	0.0	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	18	103.6	2.52	0.927	10.9	126	6.0	3	1	1	1	3	89	6.0	3	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	41	38.4	1.41	0.911	13.4	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	48	40.1	3.82	1.421	11.4	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	43	36.7	3.19	1.090	12.5	51	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

PHI wins 6-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees

ATL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers

BAL Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals

CHC Recent Form

KC Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals

CIN Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

CLE Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals

COL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

COL Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants

DET Recent Form

SF Recent Form

DET Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres