MLB Predictions — August 4, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
CHW @ BOS	3 - 4	3 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ SEA	4 - 3	4 - 3	DET	DET	DET wins 4-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ BAL	2 - 7	2 - 7	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 7-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ CHC	4 - 2	4 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ ATL	3 - 5	3 - 5	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ KC	4 - 2	4 - 2	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ CLE	4 - 5	4 - 5	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 5-4	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ CIN	3 - 5	3 - 5	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 5-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ MIL	3 - 5	3 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ ARI	3 - 4	3 - 4	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ TEX	6 - 3	6 - 3	SF	SF	SF wins 6-3	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ NYY	3 - 5	3 - 5	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ COL	6 - 4	6 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 6-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ HOU	3 - 5	3 - 5	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ PHI	3 - 5	3 - 5	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

CHW 59-53 (4.76 RPG / 4.38 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 61-51 (4.36 RPG / 3.71 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: CHW 3 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
BOS	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	7

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak5W

CHW Season Quality

Record59-52

Win%0.532

Run Diff55

RD/Game0.495

BOS Season Quality

Record60-51

Win%0.541

Run Diff60

RD/Game0.541

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0586; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.268	0.320	0.428	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.202	0.275	0.462	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.254	0.309	0.359	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.375	0.564	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.141	0.212	0.323	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.219	0.311	0.408	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.255	0.306	0.436	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.295	0.353	0.453	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.223	0.281	0.450	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	3	3	6	15	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	15	50	12	0.240	0	3	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.346	0.322	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	103	406	117	0.288	14	55	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.319	0.340	0.671	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	107	411	103	0.251	17	54	0.323	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.212	0.277	0.429	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	100	352	99	0.281	23	67	0.389	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.213	0.323	0.446	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	72	219	56	0.256	4	21	0.325	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.299	0.354	0.456	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	100	337	79	0.234	10	42	0.305	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.264	0.325	0.372	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	102	394	78	0.198	14	51	0.257	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.223	0.271	0.385	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	67	201	52	0.259	6	23	0.315	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.286	0.332	0.499	OK
Connor Wong	C	49	138	36	0.261	2	17	0.352	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.146	0.229	0.280	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	7	4	4	4	9	0.233

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	3	1	1	3	8	97	6.0	8	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	14	0.0	0	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	2	0.3	90.00	20.000	30.0	1	0.0	3	2	2	0	0	18	0.0	0	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	4	18.3	3.44	1.639	9.8	20	4.2	6	3	3	3	8	101	4.2	8	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	38	37.2	0.97	1.102	12.1	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	29	1.0	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	42	40.3	2.01	0.893	9.6	43	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	19	1.0	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	33	23.3	5.41	1.588	13.9	36	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	16	0.2	1	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	26	22.1	2.85	1.267	12.2	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	45	36.9	4.39	1.328	10.0	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	11	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners

DET 54-58 (4.51 RPG / 3.95 RA)

4 - 3

SEA 55-58 (4.02 RPG / 3.99 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-3 TARGET: DET 4 - 3 SEA (DET) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	4	7
SEA	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	6

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs7.2

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff35

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

DET Season Quality

Record54-58

Win%0.482

Run Diff63

RD/Game0.562

SEA Season Quality

Record55-58

Win%0.487

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.027

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5291; margin adjustment: -0.2222; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	107	406	117	0.288	11	41	0.395	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.299	0.405	0.455	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	55	201	54	0.269	6	27	0.389	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.267	0.385	0.450	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	102	385	105	0.273	23	72	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.292	0.437	OK
Riley Greene	LF	109	394	109	0.277	15	53	0.370	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.208	0.307	0.363	OK
Colt Keith	DH	101	291	77	0.265	8	26	0.313	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.293	0.343	0.468	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	110	380	83	0.218	20	57	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.277	0.344	0.456	OK
Max Clark	CF	3	12	6	0.500	1	3	0.600	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.344	0.455	0.661	OK
Javier Báez	SS	28	97	28	0.289	2	11	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.297	0.391	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	83	263	56	0.213	4	23	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.290	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	4	4	3	7	0.206

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	113	413	111	0.269	14	51	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.330	0.364	0.478	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	105	386	109	0.282	14	49	0.378	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.336	0.457	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	96	284	73	0.257	18	49	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.315	0.484	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	101	401	102	0.254	16	47	0.315	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.293	0.366	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	106	414	109	0.263	8	40	0.326	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.322	0.343	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	80	296	48	0.162	12	43	0.266	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.146	0.236	0.322	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.228	0.361	0.314
Colt Emerson	SS	60	195	39	0.200	7	22	0.262	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.278	0.321	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	36	102	13	0.127	0	7	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.122	0.243	0.168	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	6	0.182

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	11	65.6	1.78	0.945	8.2	60	6.0	4	1	1	1	6	92	6.0	6	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	32	27.8	3.56	1.259	11.0	34	2.0	2	2	2	2	0	39	2.0	0	2
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	45	40.5	3.11	1.654	8.0	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	20	108.7	3.31	1.058	8.4	102	5.2	4	3	3	2	5	91	5.2	5	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	42	38.8	3.71	1.263	14.6	63	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	18	1.1	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	50	40.3	3.80	1.514	8.5	38	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	52	41.3	3.92	1.525	10.9	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles

LAA 43-70 (4.17 RPG / 4.84 RA)

2 - 7

BAL 55-58 (4.51 RPG / 4.81 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 7-2 TARGET: LAA 2 - 7 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	6
BAL	4	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	x	7	10

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-17

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

LAA Season Quality

Record43-69

Win%0.384

Run Diff-74

RD/Game-0.661

BAL Season Quality

Record54-58

Win%0.482

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.312

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4955; margin adjustment: 0.2081; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	109	430	99	0.230	19	47	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.192	0.266	0.325	OK
Mike Trout	CF	93	335	82	0.245	18	40	0.391	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.269	0.384	0.427	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	91	341	93	0.273	6	37	0.345	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.276	0.300	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	68	241	63	0.261	7	45	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.306	0.392	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	38	144	34	0.236	5	16	0.286	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.198	0.246	0.322	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.290	0.361
Travis d'Arnaud	C	15	40	7	0.175	1	3	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.181	0.235	0.333	OK
Jose Siri	LF	46	108	28	0.259	5	18	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.295	0.409	OK
Wade Meckler	RF	49	149	44	0.295	3	19	0.356	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.281	0.335	0.422	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	8	0.182

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Beavers	RF	54	170	43	0.253	2	17	0.326	6	5	2	1	0	1	1	0.400	0.246	0.312	0.352	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	109	408	103	0.252	23	69	0.347	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.256	0.335	0.463	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	108	445	97	0.218	17	46	0.290	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.200	0.267	0.348	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	LF	10	34	8	0.235	2	9	0.316	5	3	2	1	3	2	1	0.667	0.234	0.316	0.446	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	56	158	39	0.247	5	20	0.341	5	5	3	1	4	0	0	0.600	0.268	0.359	0.376	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	81	252	51	0.202	14	40	0.271	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.216	0.278	0.447	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	86	218	45	0.206	7	25	0.308	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.173	0.292	0.256	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.140	0.215	0.229
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	10	7	7	7	8	0.294

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	10	41.9	8.38	1.838	7.7	36	3.2	9	7	7	3	6	97	3.2	6	7
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	41	40.3	4.69	1.514	10.3	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	19	20.4	2.65	0.980	15.9	36	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	37	1.1	0	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	33	31.2	3.17	1.442	12.1	42	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	22	1.0	1	0
Mitch Farris	Middle Reliever	24	43.0	4.40	1.605	9.6	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Povich	Starter	4	18.4	5.38	1.413	5.9	12	4.2	4	2	2	1	5	88	4.2	5	2
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	37	27.6	4.57	1.667	9.1	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	48	30.9	2.33	1.003	9.3	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	41	23.3	5.79	1.760	13.9	36	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	51	41.5	3.47	0.988	10.6	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 7-2

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

LAD 69-44 (5.11 RPG / 3.82 RA)

4 - 2

CHC 64-49 (5.13 RPG / 4.3 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-2 TARGET: LAD 4 - 2 CHC (LAD) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2
CHC	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	7

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff28

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

LAD Season Quality

Record69-43

Win%0.616

Run Diff150

RD/Game1.339

CHC Season Quality

Record63-49

Win%0.562

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.795

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.625; margin adjustment: -0.2625; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	102	390	114	0.292	24	65	0.398	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.311	0.412	0.565	OK
Andy Pages	CF	110	429	116	0.270	18	73	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.287	0.336	0.439	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	109	413	128	0.310	15	52	0.386	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.362	0.417	0.497	OK
Max Muncy	3B	101	337	85	0.252	21	49	0.345	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.319	0.431	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	74	294	67	0.228	13	36	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.250	0.325	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	103	370	89	0.241	9	51	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.358	0.404	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	76	274	71	0.259	11	40	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.285	0.339	0.525	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	33	116	34	0.293	3	19	0.364	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.287	0.442	OK
Eliezer Alfonzo	C	12	27	5	0.185	0	4	0.185	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.202	0.212	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	2	4	4	4	9	0.069

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	111	414	118	0.285	24	64	0.386	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.359	0.505	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	95	358	99	0.277	19	63	0.369	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.339	0.462	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	109	431	107	0.248	11	47	0.342	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.256	0.342	0.400	OK
Michael Busch	1B	110	416	102	0.245	13	61	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.348	0.422	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	109	436	112	0.257	6	51	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.272	0.324	0.394	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.171	0.230	0.456
Dansby Swanson	SS	105	362	77	0.213	14	54	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.293	0.333	OK
Pedro Ramirez	3B	36	98	31	0.316	1	14	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.309	0.372	0.433	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	50	155	37	0.239	3	18	0.330	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.224	0.281	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	2	2	2	7	0.206

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	6.0	5	2	2	0	7	95	6.0	7	2
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	5.62	1.625	13.5	12	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	0	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	48	41.6	2.60	0.962	12.8	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	34	33.7	4.81	1.424	11.5	43	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	23	1.0	0	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Javier Assad	Starter	18	65.7	3.97	1.233	6.6	48	5.0	2	4	4	3	3	83	5.0	3	4
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	49	44.0	2.86	1.386	11.5	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	31	31.4	2.87	1.210	4.6	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	38	28.4	4.44	1.373	13.6	43	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	39	34.9	3.09	1.605	11.6	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-2

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

MIA 58-56 (4.37 RPG / 4.27 RA)

3 - 5

ATL 68-46 (4.87 RPG / 3.95 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-3 TARGET: MIA 3 - 5 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	9
ATL	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	x	5	6

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

MIA Season Quality

Record58-55

Win%0.513

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.115

ATL Season Quality

Record67-46

Win%0.593

Run Diff103

RD/Game0.912

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9159; margin adjustment: 0.3847; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	1B	88	329	77	0.234	16	48	0.319	5	5	1	0	0	0	4	0.200	0.217	0.292	0.484	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	44	126	34	0.270	10	21	0.352	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.262	0.339	0.534	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	109	436	140	0.321	9	51	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.295	0.383	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	79	221	52	0.235	12	50	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.252	0.445	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	80	263	61	0.232	16	43	0.298	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.191	0.258	0.402	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	106	361	71	0.197	6	28	0.317	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.135	0.247	0.275	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	44	122	25	0.205	2	9	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.188	0.245	0.307	OK
Joe Mack	C	64	196	48	0.245	11	33	0.299	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.298	0.510	OK
Javier Sanoja	2B	84	280	74	0.264	4	37	0.296	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.286	0.393	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	3	3	2	11	0.250

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	89	341	94	0.276	20	57	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.319	0.388	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	60	221	53	0.240	9	24	0.361	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.303	0.417	OK
Matt Olson	1B	112	434	115	0.265	31	69	0.340	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.335	0.608	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	106	405	117	0.289	20	64	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.248	0.404	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	112	434	115	0.265	18	62	0.314	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.274	0.318	0.408	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	92	250	58	0.232	8	31	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.298	0.515	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	81	232	62	0.267	8	41	0.311	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.287	0.339	0.489	OK
Austin Riley	3B	111	399	86	0.216	12	52	0.294	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.215	0.275	0.330	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	26	80	21	0.262	1	10	0.314	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.235	0.285	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	5	5	3	10	0.200

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	13	37.6	5.51	1.489	8.1	34	4.0	6	5	5	2	5	76	4.0	5	5
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	38	33.7	6.68	1.424	12.6	47	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	47	40.6	5.32	1.700	11.1	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	45	40.4	3.56	1.213	12.0	54	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	12	1.1	0	0
John King	Middle Reliever	44	36.3	2.98	0.964	7.9	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	22	101.2	4.18	1.443	7.9	89	5.0	6	3	3	2	6	89	5.0	6	3
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	39	38.6	2.33	1.088	10.3	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	52	44.7	2.42	0.828	12.5	62	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	38	42.1	2.78	1.259	12.6	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.1	2	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	44	33.2	4.88	1.446	10.3	38	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-3

Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals

MIN 56-57 (4.71 RPG / 4.96 RA)

4 - 2

KC 46-67 (4.13 RPG / 5.1 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 4-2 TARGET: MIN 4 - 2 KC (MIN) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	7
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

MIN Season Quality

Record56-57

Win%0.496

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.257

KC Season Quality

Record46-67

Win%0.407

Run Diff-109

RD/Game-0.965

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8407; margin adjustment: -0.3531; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	90	294	84	0.286	10	40	0.367	5	3	1	0	0	2	1	0.333	0.260	0.326	0.512	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	49	175	51	0.291	10	36	0.387	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.272	0.353	0.492	OK
Josh Bell	DH	108	397	97	0.244	13	63	0.304	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.244	0.296	0.370	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	97	361	86	0.238	19	53	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.284	0.473	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	78	281	62	0.221	12	37	0.300	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.311	0.449	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	105	398	97	0.244	16	57	0.299	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.206	0.256	0.364	OK
Alan Roden	RF	17	41	9	0.220	0	7	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.259	0.351	0.306	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	104	350	92	0.263	6	33	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.358	0.426	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	62	175	42	0.240	5	25	0.285	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.265	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	4	4	5	9	0.206

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	103	369	86	0.233	15	54	0.304	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.192	0.261	0.375	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	93	366	102	0.279	13	38	0.347	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.238	0.308	0.390	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	103	368	91	0.247	18	42	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.282	0.447	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	104	405	88	0.217	16	46	0.265	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.226	0.253	0.396	OK
Michael Massey	2B	89	278	73	0.263	8	37	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.264	0.355	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	73	226	57	0.252	5	35	0.329	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.244	0.312	0.384	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	98	314	76	0.242	6	34	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.233	0.320	0.389	OK
John Rave	RF	11	32	10	0.312	2	2	0.353	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.284	0.325	0.613	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	54	162	39	0.241	3	11	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.283	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	2	2	2	10	0.229

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joe Ryan	Starter	22	119.4	3.54	1.122	10.2	135	5.1	6	0	0	1	6	97	5.1	6	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	37	28.7	2.20	1.324	10.3	33	1.2	2	2	2	0	0	27	1.2	0	2
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	42	45.9	3.73	1.438	10.0	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	8	6.5	2.77	1.692	11.1	8	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	19	1.0	2	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Dobnak	Starter	5	25.3	1.07	1.225	5.0	14	5.2	5	2	2	3	6	101	5.2	6	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	43	40.7	6.86	1.695	10.4	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	45	40.1	2.24	1.047	7.6	34	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	27	1.1	0	2
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	38	35.8	4.78	1.369	11.8	47	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-2

New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians

NYM 48-66 (4.06 RPG / 4.54 RA)

4 - 5

CLE 57-57 (3.93 RPG / 4.11 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 5-4 TARGET: NYM 4 - 5 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 63.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	5
CLE	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5	9

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Season Quality

Record47-66

Win%0.416

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.513

CLE Season Quality

Record57-56

Win%0.504

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.142

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5044; margin adjustment: 0.2119; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	71	255	68	0.267	7	28	0.336	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.218	0.280	0.323	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	55	214	51	0.238	9	25	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.267	0.334	0.469	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	109	438	111	0.253	10	53	0.295	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.203	0.238	0.287	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	73	239	59	0.247	11	26	0.332	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.331	0.403	OK
Carson Benge	RF	105	400	105	0.262	11	41	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.317	0.378	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	34	122	24	0.197	4	12	0.285	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.183	0.256	0.285	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	92	327	71	0.217	12	35	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.220	0.274	0.347	OK
Jared Young	1B	59	175	43	0.246	6	16	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.215	0.273	0.347	OK
Luis Torrens	C	61	182	40	0.220	2	20	0.279	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.173	0.222	0.290	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	4	4	4	11	0.156

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	100	349	89	0.255	1	21	0.352	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.282	0.376	0.344	OK
Jo Adell	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.197	0.231	0.339
Chase DeLauter	DH	92	349	98	0.281	12	55	0.347	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.335	0.430	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	81	236	42	0.178	12	35	0.306	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.160	0.284	0.421	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	68	249	56	0.225	11	33	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.144	0.165	0.282	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	80	298	73	0.245	9	33	0.343	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.343	0.366	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	36	116	31	0.267	5	11	0.303	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.275	0.355	OK
Austin Hedges	C	51	148	41	0.277	4	17	0.335	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.295	0.360	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	108	379	99	0.261	9	50	0.320	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.255	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	9	5	5	0	4	0.257

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	23	88.4	4.58	1.391	9.0	88	5.2	5	3	3	0	4	90	5.2	4	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	40	35.1	4.10	1.595	13.1	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	8	11.5	1.57	0.783	9.4	12	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.1	0	0
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	13	42.1	9.19	1.876	11.3	53	0.0	4	2	2	0	0	4	0.0	0	2

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	23	111.1	3.97	1.485	10.0	124	5.0	4	4	4	3	9	97	5.0	9	4
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	48	48.3	2.61	1.159	13.2	71	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	43	30.6	4.12	1.569	10.0	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	42	37.6	1.68	0.904	10.1	42	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 5-4

Oakland Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds

OAK 45-68 (4.35 RPG / 5.72 RA)

3 - 5

CIN 54-58 (4.17 RPG / 4.72 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 5-3 TARGET: OAK 3 - 5 CIN (CIN) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	7
CIN	0	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	x	5	7

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-32

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

OAK Season Quality

Record45-67

Win%0.402

Run Diff-154

RD/Game-1.375

CIN Season Quality

Record53-58

Win%0.477

Run Diff-63

RD/Game-0.568

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.921; margin adjustment: 0.3868; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lawrence Butler	RF	97	285	60	0.211	6	29	0.300	5	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.254	0.331	0.407	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	71	288	79	0.274	7	34	0.307	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.277	0.349	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	100	363	88	0.242	17	50	0.335	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.217	0.291	0.389	OK
Jonah Heim	C	53	181	42	0.232	10	27	0.281	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.253	0.300	0.437	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	97	307	77	0.251	4	34	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.265	0.308	0.348	OK
Tommy White	3B	15	60	17	0.283	0	0	0.306	4	4	3	0	0	0	1	0.750	0.191	0.215	0.250	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	14	27	5	0.185	0	2	0.389	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.304	0.379	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	82	229	60	0.262	7	28	0.336	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.305	0.371	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	65	217	55	0.253	4	21	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.324	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	7	3	3	4	9	0.212

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	91	362	101	0.279	18	50	0.359	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.270	0.353	0.476	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	110	418	107	0.256	24	85	0.337	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.336	0.532	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	81	292	67	0.229	19	46	0.340	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.218	0.332	0.468	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	83	266	68	0.256	9	32	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.304	0.399	0.553	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	79	287	58	0.202	14	39	0.274	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.186	0.254	0.344	OK
Dane Myers	CF	65	158	44	0.278	3	16	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.305	0.385	0.409	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.314	0.418
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	48	152	22	0.145	4	7	0.202	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.173	0.220	0.380	OK
Matt McLain	2B	82	281	53	0.189	8	26	0.287	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.159	0.248	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	5	5	3	10	0.226

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	22	106.3	3.56	1.251	8.5	100	5.1	4	2	2	1	8	97	5.1	8	2
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	52	39.9	4.06	1.830	14.9	66	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	24	1.1	1	2
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	32	29.9	5.42	1.405	12.3	41	0.0	2	1	1	1	0	19	0.0	0	1
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	36	46.7	3.85	1.520	11.6	60	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	21	105.1	4.45	1.456	7.8	91	5.1	4	1	1	3	6	102	5.1	6	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	24	22.4	4.82	1.205	10.4	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	35	30.9	2.62	1.100	9.6	33	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	56	46.2	2.92	1.494	9.2	47	1.1	3	2	2	0	0	26	1.1	0	2

Game Summary

CIN wins 5-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

PIT 57-57 (5.11 RPG / 4.83 RA)

3 - 5

MIL 69-43 (4.98 RPG / 3.79 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-3 TARGET: PIT 3 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	3	5
MIL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

PIT Season Quality

Record57-57

Win%0.500

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.272

MIL Season Quality

Record69-43

Win%0.616

Run Diff134

RD/Game1.196

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0986; margin adjustment: 0.4614; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	LF	80	287	88	0.307	3	24	0.353	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.297	0.334	0.383	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	102	405	102	0.252	23	71	0.319	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.261	0.315	0.449	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	111	406	111	0.273	15	63	0.386	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.267	0.366	0.427	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	42	134	34	0.254	11	30	0.374	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.369	0.517	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	76	254	70	0.276	10	36	0.380	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.341	0.406	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	104	400	122	0.305	4	48	0.357	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.227	0.262	0.297	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	40	124	33	0.266	5	17	0.359	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.263	0.339	0.385	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	13	34	6	0.176	0	2	0.171	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.262	0.306	OK
Jhostynxon Garcia	CF	14	45	8	0.178	0	2	0.213	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.178	0.199	0.221	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	5	3	3	5	1	0.156

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	103	402	111	0.276	16	69	0.366	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.279	0.364	0.456	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	76	319	89	0.279	13	42	0.338	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.247	0.308	0.400	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	94	310	79	0.255	7	42	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.209	0.297	0.361	OK
William Contreras	C	102	395	105	0.266	10	56	0.330	4	2	1	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.229	0.289	0.356	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	72	280	63	0.225	7	35	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.210	0.289	0.334	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	63	182	55	0.302	4	29	0.383	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.327	0.434	OK
Luis Lara	RF	15	47	11	0.234	0	10	0.315	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.317	0.373	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	36	113	32	0.283	2	15	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.210	0.315	0.295	OK
David Hamilton	3B	74	221	52	0.235	3	15	0.307	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.208	0.289	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	31	7	5	5	6	6	0.226

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	11	51.3	3.86	1.033	10.2	58	5.2	3	2	2	3	6	92	5.2	6	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	47	44.4	3.24	1.059	11.4	56	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	46	39.0	3.92	1.359	16.6	72	0.0	2	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	46	54.4	3.31	1.489	11.4	69	0.1	2	3	3	1	0	23	0.1	0	3

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Henderson	Starter	9	43.3	2.70	0.924	11.2	54	5.2	4	2	2	4	1	99	5.2	1	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	42	41.1	1.97	0.900	10.9	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	45	40.6	2.44	1.133	9.8	44	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	15	1.1	0	1
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	52	56.6	4.13	1.590	13.7	86	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-3

San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks

SD 58-55 (4.19 RPG / 4.33 RA)

3 - 4

ARI 60-53 (4.54 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-3 TARGET: SD 3 - 4 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	6
ARI	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	x	4	8

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SD Season Quality

Record58-54

Win%0.518

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.107

ARI Season Quality

Record59-53

Win%0.527

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.018

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1384; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	110	435	122	0.280	8	48	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.291	0.336	OK
Luis Rengifo	DH	16	51	18	0.353	2	8	0.468	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.344	0.333	OK
Manny Machado	3B	110	408	85	0.208	23	65	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.174	0.248	0.329	OK
Ty France	1B	81	272	80	0.294	16	49	0.347	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.310	0.350	0.476	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	109	426	101	0.237	16	52	0.288	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	0.500	0.274	0.315	0.446	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	107	371	82	0.221	9	40	0.315	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.319	0.304	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	55	162	29	0.179	4	14	0.262	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.220	0.280	0.397	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	60	200	42	0.210	3	16	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.207	0.279	0.264	OK
Jase Bowen	LF	27	64	10	0.156	1	6	0.194	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.176	0.202	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	7	0.182

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.247	0.295	0.355	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.355	0.329	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.278	0.332	0.469	OK
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.154	0.251	0.226	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.284	0.362	0.463	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.232	0.293	0.356	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.291	0.368	0.563	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.308	0.402
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.280	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	4	4	5	6	0.250

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	21	91.5	4.62	1.530	6.3	64	4.2	7	4	4	4	4	96	4.2	4	4
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	45	44.3	0.81	0.858	17.9	88	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	52	52.3	3.44	1.224	12.0	70	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	25	20.4	4.41	1.373	12.4	28	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	1	0	0	1	5	95	6.2	5	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	0.2	1	1	1	1	1	20	0.2	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	4	2	2	0	0	14	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers

SF 49-65 (4.23 RPG / 4.61 RA)

6 - 3

TEX 55-58 (4.12 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 6-3 TARGET: SF 6 - 3 TEX (SF) Confidence: 61.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	1	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	6	8
TEX	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	9

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-11

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak6L

SF Season Quality

Record48-65

Win%0.425

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.425

TEX Season Quality

Record55-57

Win%0.491

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.321

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2028; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Osleivis Basabe	2B	5	12	4	0.333	2	6	0.357	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.316	0.326	0.810	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	101	382	118	0.309	7	41	0.346	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.311	0.340	0.592	OK
Willy Adames	SS	107	413	92	0.223	17	46	0.280	4	3	1	1	3	0	0	0.333	0.197	0.256	0.319	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	112	421	105	0.249	22	61	0.323	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.258	0.336	0.462	OK
Daniel Susac	C	44	133	34	0.256	3	22	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.299	0.500	OK
Buddy Kennedy	DH	5	7	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.098	0.152	0.179
Grant McCray	CF	10	23	3	0.130	1	2	0.231	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.121	0.216	0.200	OK
Christian Koss	3B	18	46	8	0.174	0	1	0.208	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.189	0.225	0.229	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	22	52	12	0.231	0	4	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.354	0.256	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	8	6	6	1	10	0.235

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	1B	101	297	75	0.253	20	42	0.338	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.335	0.510	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	61	246	66	0.268	13	31	0.316	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.222	0.272	0.432	OK
Corey Seager	DH	54	200	38	0.190	10	25	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.197	0.307	0.371	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	107	408	109	0.267	11	40	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.289	0.407	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	102	358	98	0.274	13	59	0.326	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.278	0.324	0.472	OK
Evan Carter	CF	93	265	54	0.204	8	30	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.225	0.326	0.334	OK
Elias Díaz	C	33	100	25	0.250	3	13	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.140	0.155	0.310	OK
Nicky Lopez	SS	55	161	46	0.286	1	18	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.286	0.278	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	55	129	33	0.256	7	19	0.302	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.105	0.151	0.242	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	3	3	1	8	0.250

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Blade Tidwell	Starter	8	12.0	3.00	1.083	7.5	10	3.0	8	3	3	1	5	66	3.0	5	3
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	22	17.1	3.16	1.404	12.1	23	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	39	33.3	3.51	1.321	8.4	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	30	20.1	3.13	1.891	12.5	28	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	28	2.0	1	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	33	48.8	3.32	1.270	6.6	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	23	120.1	4.87	1.282	10.2	136	5.1	7	5	5	0	4	91	5.1	4	5
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	39	47.2	1.33	0.614	9.7	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18	1.0	3	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	36	38.2	4.01	1.387	10.6	45	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	14	1.0	1	1
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	50	41.8	3.88	1.483	8.8	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	42	30.8	7.60	1.721	10.8	37	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	25	18.4	4.40	1.304	8.8	18	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0
Cal Quantrill	Reliever	23	62.8	3.73	1.242	6.2	43	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 6-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees

STL 56-58 (4.35 RPG / 4.46 RA)

3 - 5

NYY 64-50 (4.57 RPG / 3.84 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-3 TARGET: STL 3 - 5 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	8
NYY	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	x	5	9

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Season Quality

Record56-57

Win%0.496

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.088

NYY Season Quality

Record63-50

Win%0.558

Run Diff81

RD/Game0.717

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8982; margin adjustment: 0.3773; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	104	409	102	0.249	16	40	0.348	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.227	0.323	0.362	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	109	423	121	0.286	20	76	0.345	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.269	0.312	0.401	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	110	410	96	0.234	11	44	0.352	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.198	0.275	0.297	OK
José Fermín	3B	72	201	50	0.249	5	24	0.308	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.293	0.353	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	30	69	15	0.217	4	12	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.260	0.386	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	102	373	89	0.239	4	45	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.311	0.302	OK
Blaze Jordan	1B	38	127	31	0.244	1	22	0.265	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.184	0.215	0.316	OK
Nathan Church	CF	86	280	66	0.236	9	34	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.265	0.317	0.413	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	52	152	31	0.204	4	11	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.096	0.156	0.201	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	3	3	4	7	0.229

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	88	310	66	0.213	11	42	0.310	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.216	0.293	0.387	OK
Ben Rice	DH	105	394	104	0.264	30	69	0.355	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.327	0.489	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	1	4	2	0.500	1	2	0.500	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.304	0.330	0.659	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.296	0.387
Spencer Jones	RF	37	101	23	0.228	5	13	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.231	0.300	0.434	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	102	365	80	0.219	16	45	0.291	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.199	0.267	0.350	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	82	238	51	0.214	10	27	0.270	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.263	0.409	OK
Austin Wells	C	77	221	37	0.167	8	16	0.266	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.202	0.294	0.436	OK
José Caballero	SS	95	318	78	0.245	12	41	0.298	4	3	3	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.258	0.306	0.433	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	5	5	4	7	0.273

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Dobbins	Starter	7	32.5	3.88	1.385	8.9	32	5.0	6	4	4	1	5	88	5.0	5	4
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	45	42.8	3.57	1.238	9.9	47	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	17	1.0	1	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	51	42.9	4.20	1.352	10.1	48	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	27	1.2	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	48	36.9	5.37	1.707	11.5	47	0.1	1	0	0	2	1	16	0.1	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	21	110.8	4.14	1.291	10.2	126	5.1	5	3	3	3	3	94	5.1	3	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	45	45.3	2.78	1.126	10.7	54	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	53	35.5	3.80	1.803	15.2	60	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	57	46.5	1.74	1.333	13.2	68	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	40	54.6	2.31	1.154	7.9	48	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	9	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-3

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies

TB 66-46 (4.44 RPG / 4.12 RA)

6 - 4

COL 45-68 (4.84 RPG / 5.74 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-4 TARGET: TB 6 - 4 COL (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	6	9
COL	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	7

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TB Season Quality

Record65-46

Win%0.586

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.279

COL Season Quality

Record45-67

Win%0.402

Run Diff-98

RD/Game-0.875

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.43; margin adjustment: -0.6006; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	107	415	125	0.301	15	64	0.374	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.262	0.317	0.392	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	108	402	116	0.289	14	67	0.377	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.318	0.378	0.436	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	111	420	119	0.283	32	69	0.374	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.282	0.361	0.672	OK
Liam Hicks	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.274	0.346	0.366
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	40	128	26	0.203	8	17	0.280	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.250	0.334	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	101	386	115	0.298	0	22	0.327	5	4	3	1	2	1	1	0.750	0.353	0.380	0.422	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	94	328	67	0.204	13	35	0.281	5	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.229	0.285	0.392	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	79	231	53	0.229	5	32	0.325	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.225	0.308	0.404	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	83	262	56	0.214	0	23	0.303	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.208	0.288	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	36	9	6	6	6	7	0.250

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	DH	92	346	100	0.289	11	63	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.291	0.463	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	43	146	45	0.308	5	28	0.390	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.313	0.394	0.517	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	73	257	71	0.276	18	49	0.313	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.252	0.286	0.544	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	103	387	99	0.256	33	66	0.325	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.278	0.472	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	107	386	115	0.298	13	57	0.376	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.195	0.266	0.301	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	101	313	86	0.275	9	41	0.373	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.292	0.371	0.419	OK
Willi Castro	2B	95	340	90	0.265	12	46	0.336	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.281	0.345	0.498	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	29	82	15	0.183	1	10	0.227	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.191	0.237	0.320	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	101	347	71	0.205	9	36	0.249	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.276	0.377	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	4	4	2	10	0.206

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	4.1	3	1	1	1	6	95	4.1	6	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	45	42.4	1.49	0.873	9.8	46	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.2	2	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	47	44.0	2.45	0.955	8.6	42	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	38	29.5	3.66	1.356	14.0	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Casey Legumina	Middle Reliever	28	29.3	4.61	1.433	7.1	23	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	7	1.0	0	2

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gabriel Hughes	Starter	5	24.1	3.36	1.203	7.8	21	5.1	2	3	3	4	3	89	5.1	3	3
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	1.25	1.389	12.5	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	44	41.8	6.24	1.818	10.6	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	52	36.7	3.19	1.444	8.3	34	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	30	25.6	8.09	1.992	10.5	30	0.2	4	2	2	0	2	20	0.2	2	2
Zach Agnos	Middle Reliever	28	61.1	6.48	1.604	5.9	40	0.0	1	1	1	1	0	26	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

TB wins 6-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros

TOR 53-60 (3.91 RPG / 4.41 RA)

3 - 5

HOU 58-56 (4.64 RPG / 4.89 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-3 TARGET: TOR 3 - 5 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	8
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	x	5	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record52-60

Win%0.464

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.518

HOU Season Quality

Record58-55

Win%0.513

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.239

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3524; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	76	247	67	0.271	5	18	0.330	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.184	0.241	0.267	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	106	398	104	0.261	6	44	0.334	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.243	0.305	0.327	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	109	402	93	0.231	24	69	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.237	0.287	0.413	OK
George Springer	DH	82	318	76	0.239	12	36	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.252	0.314	0.400	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	38	131	31	0.237	4	15	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.315	0.393	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	75	221	60	0.271	7	30	0.312	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.279	0.383	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	110	424	122	0.288	8	36	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.254	0.348	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	101	330	76	0.230	7	40	0.274	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.249	0.319	OK
Myles Straw	CF	80	179	40	0.223	3	16	0.269	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.274	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	3	8	0.229

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	65	259	83	0.320	13	37	0.375	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.333	0.369	0.553	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	111	402	134	0.333	35	84	0.447	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.382	0.495	0.661	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	106	389	96	0.247	15	60	0.346	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.207	0.290	0.345	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	1	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.307	0.352	OK
Christian Walker	1B	109	405	97	0.240	22	64	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.294	0.423	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	89	348	82	0.236	12	31	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.300	0.346	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	53	148	35	0.236	5	16	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.317	0.396	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	52	203	53	0.261	8	25	0.286	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.309	0.330	0.477	OK
Cam Smith	RF	105	371	80	0.216	13	38	0.286	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.302	0.408	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	5	5	3	2	0.226

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trey Yesavage	Starter	17	88.4	3.87	1.199	9.3	91	5.0	2	0	0	1	2	91	5.0	2	0
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	51	52.7	1.20	1.101	12.5	73	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	52	46.5	1.74	1.161	5.2	27	1.0	3	4	4	2	0	26	1.0	0	4
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	31	66.4	3.39	1.190	9.4	69	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	4	1.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hayden Wesneski	Starter	1	5.2	5.19	1.731	6.9	4	4.2	6	2	2	2	6	95	4.2	6	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	24	22.3	0.81	0.762	13.7	34	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	55	47.4	2.66	1.013	10.8	57	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	42	35.7	5.04	1.569	12.9	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	49	44.8	5.02	1.362	10.0	50	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-3

Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies

WAS 55-60 (5.3 RPG / 5.23 RA)

3 - 5

PHI 61-53 (4.39 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-3 TARGET: WAS 3 - 5 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6
PHI	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	x	5	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

WAS Season Quality

Record55-59

Win%0.482

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.114

PHI Season Quality

Record60-53

Win%0.531

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.009

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0501; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Crews	RF	60	226	51	0.226	9	25	0.306	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.160	0.230	0.302	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	38	83	18	0.217	6	21	0.316	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.118	0.201	0.328	OK
Brady House	3B	51	187	43	0.230	7	26	0.282	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.147	0.197	0.279	OK
CJ Abrams	DH	110	412	117	0.284	28	85	0.360	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.268	0.341	0.531	OK
Harry Ford	C	8	24	4	0.167	1	4	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.093	0.216	0.192	OK
Jacob Young	CF	89	302	71	0.235	9	36	0.291	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.235	0.293	0.376	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	112	428	106	0.248	14	56	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.252	0.296	0.533	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	99	321	76	0.237	1	31	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.212	0.292	0.250	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	77	204	49	0.240	3	17	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.242	0.323	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	6	3	3	7	8	0.182

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	105	393	96	0.244	32	62	0.360	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.190	0.328	0.353	OK
Trea Turner	SS	107	448	112	0.250	16	43	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.259	0.298	0.434	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	111	396	101	0.255	24	68	0.360	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.262	0.364	0.538	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.292	0.323	0.381
Alec Bohm	1B	107	403	91	0.226	13	59	0.284	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.274	0.348	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	80	271	61	0.225	8	37	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.255	0.323	0.408	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	106	390	109	0.279	16	49	0.319	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.159	0.201	0.260	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	106	368	93	0.253	8	49	0.319	4	1	1	1	3	0	0	1.000	0.256	0.350	0.408	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	98	299	76	0.254	2	26	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.185	0.230	0.255	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	8	5	5	2	6	0.258

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Palmquist	Starter	10	14.6	8.01	1.781	9.2	15	3.2	5	3	3	2	4	81	3.2	4	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	34	29.5	3.97	1.356	10.4	34	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	26	2.0	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	35	29.4	3.98	1.361	9.8	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	8	5.8	4.66	1.724	7.8	5	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	22	125.4	3.66	1.220	11.3	157	6.0	2	0	0	5	5	114	6.0	5	0
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	39	36.4	1.48	0.907	13.6	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	46	38.1	3.78	1.417	11.3	48	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	28	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

CHW Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners

DET Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

DET Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles

LAA Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

LAD Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

MIA Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals

MIN Recent Form

KC Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians

NYM Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

NYM Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Oakland Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds