MLB Predictions — August 3, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
LAD @ CHC	6 - 2	6 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ MIL	2 - 5	2 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ ARI	4 - 3	4 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ TEX	4 - 3	3 - 4	SF	TEX	TEX wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ NYY	4 - 5	4 - 5	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ COL	6 - 2	6 - 2	TB	TB	TB wins 6-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ HOU	3 - 4	3 - 4	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ PHI	2 - 5	2 - 5	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

LAD 69-43 (5.11 RPG / 3.77 RA)

6 - 2

CHC 63-49 (5.09 RPG / 4.29 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-2 TARGET: LAD 6 - 2 CHC (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	1	0	6	7
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff24

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

LAD Season Quality

Record69-43

Win%0.616

Run Diff150

RD/Game1.339

CHC Season Quality

Record63-49

Win%0.562

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.795

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.625; margin adjustment: -0.2625; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	101	386	112	0.290	24	65	0.397	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.313	0.417	0.587	OK
Andy Pages	CF	109	425	115	0.271	18	73	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.301	0.352	0.476	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	32	112	33	0.295	2	16	0.368	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.277	0.363	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	108	409	127	0.311	15	52	0.387	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.382	0.439	0.514	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	73	290	67	0.231	13	36	0.282	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.221	0.262	0.333	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	102	367	87	0.237	9	51	0.329	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.211	0.312	0.348	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	75	270	69	0.256	10	39	0.322	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.282	0.341	0.469	OK
Enrique Hernández	3B	6	13	5	0.385	1	2	0.385	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.351	0.360	0.690	OK
Eliezer Alfonzo	C	11	24	4	0.167	0	4	0.167	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.224	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	6	6	2	9	0.206

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	110	410	117	0.285	24	64	0.386	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.217	0.319	0.488	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	94	354	98	0.277	18	61	0.368	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.285	0.378	0.482	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	108	426	106	0.249	11	47	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.330	0.376	OK
Carson Kelly	C	78	258	67	0.260	6	36	0.346	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.158	0.243	0.227	OK
Michael Busch	1B	109	412	100	0.243	12	58	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.314	0.316	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	108	433	112	0.259	6	51	0.317	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.306	0.347	0.434	OK
Ian Happ	LF	105	392	85	0.217	18	48	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.194	0.291	0.350	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	104	359	75	0.209	14	54	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.177	0.251	0.293	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	35	94	30	0.319	1	14	0.375	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.315	0.379	0.448	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	2	2	2	7	0.129

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	18	111.5	2.91	1.031	7.0	87	6.2	3	2	2	1	6	97	6.2	6	2
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	5.62	1.625	13.5	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	47	41.4	2.61	0.918	12.4	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	34	33.7	4.81	1.424	11.5	43	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	15	0.1	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	12	63.9	3.52	1.236	8.5	60	6.0	6	4	4	2	4	102	6.0	4	4
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	49	44.0	2.86	1.386	11.5	56	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	14	1.0	1	1
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	30	30.3	2.97	1.254	4.5	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	38	28.4	4.44	1.373	13.6	43	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	39	34.9	3.09	1.605	11.6	45	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-2

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

PIT 56-57 (5.12 RPG / 4.85 RA)

2 - 5

MIL 69-42 (5.0 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-2 TARGET: PIT 2 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
MIL	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	x	5	10

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PIT Season Quality

Record56-57

Win%0.496

Run Diff30

RD/Game0.265

MIL Season Quality

Record69-42

Win%0.622

Run Diff135

RD/Game1.216

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1398; margin adjustment: 0.4787; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	79	282	87	0.309	3	23	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.331	0.444	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	101	400	101	0.252	23	71	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.271	0.330	0.490	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	110	401	109	0.272	15	63	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.348	0.405	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	41	133	34	0.256	11	30	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.346	0.513	OK
Spencer Horwitz	DH	75	250	69	0.276	10	33	0.381	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.357	0.427	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	103	396	122	0.308	4	48	0.360	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.240	0.274	0.305	OK
Endy Rodríguez	1B	39	120	30	0.250	5	17	0.348	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.238	0.329	0.396	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	12	30	6	0.200	0	2	0.194	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.280	0.328	OK
Henry Davis	C	62	192	33	0.172	8	30	0.259	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.172	0.236	0.299	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	8	0.129

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	102	399	111	0.278	16	69	0.367	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.323	0.396	0.504	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	75	316	89	0.282	13	42	0.337	5	5	2	1	3	0	2	0.400	0.273	0.320	0.412	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	71	276	63	0.228	7	35	0.320	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.215	0.291	0.344	OK
William Contreras	C	101	391	105	0.269	10	56	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.240	0.302	0.379	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	97	332	89	0.268	19	62	0.370	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.297	0.387	0.548	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	62	179	54	0.302	4	28	0.380	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.239	0.318	0.422	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	93	307	79	0.257	7	42	0.348	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.230	0.322	0.378	OK
David Hamilton	3B	73	219	51	0.233	3	15	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.299	0.313	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	80	237	54	0.228	5	27	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.305	0.400	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	10	5	5	5	8	0.294

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	21	102.1	4.67	1.450	8.2	93	5.0	10	5	5	1	5	97	5.0	5	5
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	46	43.3	3.33	1.039	11.0	53	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	45	38.0	4.03	1.368	16.3	69	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	0.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	46	54.4	3.31	1.489	11.4	69	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	26	1.1	1	0
Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	25	91.3	3.25	1.358	7.5	76	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	7	0.2	2	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	20	88.7	5.28	1.454	9.7	96	4.2	4	2	2	1	7	87	4.2	7	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	42	41.1	1.97	0.900	10.9	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	45	40.6	2.44	1.133	9.8	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	51	54.6	4.29	1.612	13.7	83	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	4	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	44	40.5	4.44	1.333	9.1	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-2

San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks

SD 58-54 (4.21 RPG / 4.32 RA)

4 - 3

ARI 59-53 (4.54 RPG / 4.52 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-3 TARGET: SD 4 - 3 ARI (SD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	11
ARI	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff5

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Season Quality

Record58-54

Win%0.518

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.107

ARI Season Quality

Record59-53

Win%0.527

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.018

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1384; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	109	431	122	0.283	8	48	0.355	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.270	0.342	0.385	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	59	196	42	0.214	3	16	0.306	5	4	3	1	0	1	0	0.750	0.226	0.290	0.302	OK
Manny Machado	DH	109	404	85	0.210	23	65	0.294	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.209	0.289	0.405	OK
Ty France	1B	80	269	80	0.297	16	49	0.348	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.352	0.383	0.536	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	108	422	100	0.237	16	52	0.289	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.287	0.331	0.514	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	15	47	17	0.362	2	8	0.483	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.249	0.344	0.332	OK
Luis Campusano	C	36	102	31	0.304	4	16	0.398	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.291	0.371	0.441	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	106	368	81	0.220	9	40	0.315	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.214	0.310	0.290	OK
Sung-Mun Song	3B	40	103	21	0.204	1	15	0.299	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.163	0.256	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	11	4	4	4	3	0.297

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.247	0.294	0.354	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.355	0.328	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.277	0.332	0.469	OK
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.154	0.250	0.226	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.284	0.361	0.463	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.293	0.356	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.291	0.368	0.562	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.307	0.401
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.280	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	7	0.156

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	22	123.0	3.44	1.195	8.0	109	5.2	4	3	3	2	3	94	5.2	3	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	45	44.3	0.81	0.858	17.9	88	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	52	52.3	3.44	1.224	12.0	70	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	6	1.1	2	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	24	20.2	4.46	1.386	12.5	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Pfaadt	Starter	2	10.2	7.06	1.471	4.4	5	5.0	8	2	2	1	2	91	5.0	2	2
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	20	1.0	0	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	16	1.0	0	1
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers

SF 48-65 (4.22 RPG / 4.65 RA)

3 - 4

TEX 55-57 (4.15 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-3 TARGET: SF 4 - 3 TEX (SF) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
TEX	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	4	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

SF Season Quality

Record48-65

Win%0.425

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.425

TEX Season Quality

Record55-57

Win%0.491

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.321

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2028; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nate Furman	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	3	0	0	0	0	0.600	0.241	0.309	0.416
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	100	378	115	0.304	5	38	0.342	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.304	0.395	OK
Willy Adames	SS	106	409	92	0.225	17	46	0.281	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.258	0.329	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	111	417	105	0.252	22	61	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.277	0.359	0.517	OK
Daniel Susac	C	43	130	34	0.262	3	22	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.179	0.222	0.397	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	80	222	54	0.243	4	21	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.319	0.359	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	4	9	3	0.333	2	5	0.400	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.314	0.324	0.954	OK
Grant McCray	LF	9	21	3	0.143	1	2	0.182	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.164	0.207	0.298	OK
Christian Koss	3B	17	42	7	0.167	0	1	0.205	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.185	0.224	0.228	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	7	3	3	3	10	0.212

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	100	293	74	0.253	20	42	0.339	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.266	0.346	0.541	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	60	243	66	0.272	13	31	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.263	0.440	OK
Corey Seager	SS	53	197	37	0.188	10	25	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.306	0.395	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	106	404	109	0.270	11	40	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.256	0.324	0.477	OK
Evan Carter	CF	92	261	54	0.207	8	30	0.318	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.247	0.350	0.358	OK
Jake Burger	1B	107	396	94	0.237	19	66	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.277	0.387	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	101	354	94	0.266	12	58	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.249	0.298	0.411	OK
Austin Wynns	C	6	14	2	0.143	1	1	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.088	0.139	0.179	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	54	158	46	0.291	1	18	0.335	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.129	0.187	0.170	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	8	4	4	3	8	0.235

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	19	118.3	3.96	1.124	7.1	93	6.0	4	1	1	2	6	109	6.0	6	1
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	37	28.0	2.89	1.500	14.5	45	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	19	1.0	2	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	44	39.2	4.13	1.403	12.2	53	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	15	0.0	0	0
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	22	17.1	3.16	1.404	12.1	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	38	33.1	3.53	1.299	8.2	30	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	15	0.0	0	1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	22	56.8	3.96	1.285	6.2	39	5.2	6	3	3	1	8	98	5.2	8	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	39	47.2	1.33	0.614	9.7	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	35	37.2	3.87	1.371	10.9	45	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	50	41.8	3.88	1.483	8.8	41	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees

STL 55-57 (4.31 RPG / 4.46 RA)

4 - 5

NYY 63-49 (4.57 RPG / 3.79 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-4 TARGET: STL 4 - 5 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	4	5
NYY	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	x	5	7

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

STL Season Quality

Record55-57

Win%0.491

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.143

NYY Season Quality

Record63-49

Win%0.562

Run Diff87

RD/Game0.777

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0268; margin adjustment: 0.4313; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	103	406	101	0.249	16	40	0.345	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.225	0.314	0.361	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	108	418	119	0.285	20	76	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.296	0.394	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	109	418	119	0.285	15	70	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.323	0.392	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	109	407	96	0.236	11	44	0.351	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.225	0.284	0.333	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	101	369	89	0.241	4	45	0.316	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.224	0.303	0.304	OK
Nathan Church	CF	85	277	64	0.231	8	30	0.274	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.269	0.322	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	37	125	30	0.240	1	22	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.262	0.345	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	33	79	19	0.241	3	11	0.286	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.250	0.291	0.408	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	33	86	15	0.174	3	9	0.245	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.176	0.230	0.293	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	4	4	5	7	0.156

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	87	305	64	0.210	10	41	0.309	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.189	0.276	0.307	OK
Ben Rice	DH	104	390	104	0.267	30	69	0.358	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.338	0.505	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.303	0.553
Spencer Jones	LF	36	97	23	0.237	5	13	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.319	0.470	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	49	188	44	0.234	6	14	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.240	0.335	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	101	361	80	0.222	16	45	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.214	0.284	0.370	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	81	234	49	0.209	9	26	0.266	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.240	0.316	OK
José Caballero	SS	94	315	77	0.244	11	40	0.295	3	2	2	1	0	1	0	1.000	0.253	0.298	0.415	OK
Austin Wells	C	76	217	35	0.161	7	14	0.262	3	2	1	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.157	0.256	0.271	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	7	5	5	3	7	0.233

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	21	113.9	3.63	1.220	6.0	76	5.1	4	2	2	3	4	91	5.1	4	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	45	42.8	3.57	1.238	9.9	47	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	21	1.0	1	3
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	50	42.7	4.00	1.335	9.9	47	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	23	133.4	2.09	0.930	11.1	165	6.1	3	2	2	3	7	105	6.1	7	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	45	45.3	2.78	1.126	10.7	54	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	52	34.5	3.91	1.855	15.1	58	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	57	46.5	1.74	1.333	13.2	68	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies

TB 65-46 (4.36 RPG / 4.08 RA)

6 - 2

COL 45-67 (4.8 RPG / 5.68 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-2 TARGET: TB 6 - 2 COL (TB) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	10
COL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	4

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-4

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak3W

TB Season Quality

Record65-46

Win%0.586

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.279

COL Season Quality

Record45-67

Win%0.402

Run Diff-98

RD/Game-0.875

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.43; margin adjustment: -0.6006; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	106	411	125	0.304	15	63	0.378	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.334	0.434	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	107	397	112	0.282	14	65	0.372	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.263	0.331	0.384	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	110	415	117	0.282	30	66	0.374	5	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.254	0.343	0.466	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	93	324	65	0.201	13	34	0.276	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.206	0.258	0.372	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	39	123	26	0.211	8	17	0.290	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.198	0.274	0.368	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	100	382	113	0.296	0	20	0.326	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.313	0.343	0.374	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	78	227	51	0.225	4	30	0.319	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.123	0.216	0.231	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	82	257	54	0.210	0	21	0.302	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.175	0.262	0.246	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	56	141	33	0.234	2	11	0.297	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.247	0.299	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	36	10	6	6	6	9	0.278

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	91	342	99	0.289	11	61	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.294	0.460	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	100	309	84	0.272	9	39	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.365	0.424	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	42	141	43	0.305	5	27	0.389	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.309	0.393	0.522	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	102	383	99	0.258	33	65	0.329	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.285	0.337	0.648	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	72	253	69	0.273	17	47	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.263	0.300	0.523	OK
Willi Castro	2B	94	335	88	0.263	12	46	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.288	0.355	0.538	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	72	247	62	0.251	3	23	0.320	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.245	0.278	OK
Troy Johnston	1B	94	307	87	0.283	3	40	0.344	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.306	0.345	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	100	343	67	0.195	8	35	0.241	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.157	0.209	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	12	0.129

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ian Seymour	Starter	35	72.5	4.10	1.145	11.2	90	5.1	2	1	1	1	10	84	5.1	10	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	45	42.4	1.49	0.873	9.8	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	46	43.9	2.46	0.957	8.6	42	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	38	29.5	3.66	1.356	14.0	46	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	23	100.7	6.79	1.877	7.1	80	4.1	6	5	5	4	5	89	4.1	5	5
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	1.25	1.389	12.5	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	11	1.0	1	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	34	46.5	4.06	1.462	8.9	46	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	44	41.8	6.24	1.818	10.6	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	52	36.7	3.19	1.444	8.3	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	32	32.5	4.98	1.785	7.2	26	0.1	2	0	0	0	1	20	0.1	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Reliever	30	25.6	8.09	1.992	10.5	30	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	20	0.1	0	1

Game Summary

TB wins 6-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros

TOR 52-60 (3.92 RPG / 4.44 RA)

3 - 4

HOU 58-55 (4.67 RPG / 4.91 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-3 TARGET: TOR 3 - 4 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	5
HOU	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	x	4	11

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak6W

TOR Season Quality

Record52-60

Win%0.464

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.518

HOU Season Quality

Record58-55

Win%0.513

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.239

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3524; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	75	243	67	0.276	5	18	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.158	0.228	0.244	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	105	394	104	0.264	6	44	0.337	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.311	0.347	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	108	398	91	0.229	24	69	0.304	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.226	0.279	0.434	OK
George Springer	DH	81	314	75	0.239	12	36	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.256	0.326	0.436	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	37	127	30	0.236	3	14	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.328	0.350	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	74	217	59	0.272	7	29	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.240	0.279	0.379	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	109	422	122	0.289	8	35	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.275	0.354	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	100	327	76	0.232	7	40	0.276	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.238	0.314	OK
Myles Straw	CF	79	176	38	0.216	3	16	0.263	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.254	0.311	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	5	0.156

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	64	255	82	0.322	13	36	0.375	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.363	0.394	0.630	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	110	399	133	0.333	35	84	0.445	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.402	0.493	0.679	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	105	385	96	0.249	15	60	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.305	0.388	OK
Christian Walker	1B	108	400	96	0.240	22	64	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.325	0.486	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	51	199	51	0.256	8	25	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.248	0.383	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	88	344	80	0.233	12	31	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.299	0.344	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	52	145	35	0.241	5	16	0.321	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.248	0.324	0.405	OK
Cam Smith	RF	104	367	78	0.213	13	38	0.284	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.233	0.282	0.378	OK
Lucas Spence	OF	12	37	6	0.162	0	3	0.244	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.171	0.232	0.217	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	11	4	4	1	8	0.324

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Bieber	Starter	7	29.7	6.06	1.717	6.7	22	4.1	11	4	4	1	6	99	4.1	6	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	51	52.7	1.20	1.101	12.5	73	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	51	45.5	1.78	1.187	5.3	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	51	43.1	4.39	1.531	15.7	75	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristian Javier	Starter	8	20.4	7.50	1.912	9.3	21	3.2	4	3	3	2	1	66	3.2	1	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	24	22.3	0.81	0.762	13.7	34	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.2	2	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	55	47.4	2.66	1.013	10.8	57	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	42	35.7	5.04	1.569	12.9	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	49	44.8	5.02	1.362	10.0	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-3

Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies

WAS 55-58 (5.37 RPG / 5.23 RA)

2 - 5

PHI 59-53 (4.38 RPG / 4.41 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-2 TARGET: WAS 2 - 5 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
PHI	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	x	5	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

WAS Season Quality

Record55-58

Win%0.487

Run Diff16

RD/Game0.142

PHI Season Quality

Record59-53

Win%0.527

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.036

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1172; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	113	433	115	0.266	30	73	0.394	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.389	0.506	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	111	424	105	0.248	13	54	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.297	0.474	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	60	226	51	0.226	9	25	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.224	0.283	0.388	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	109	408	117	0.287	28	85	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.306	0.485	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	71	234	61	0.261	7	36	0.293	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.267	0.369	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	1	2	1	0.500	0	0	0.500	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.242	0.918	OK
Jacob Young	CF	88	299	70	0.234	9	36	0.289	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.228	0.282	0.372	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	76	203	49	0.241	3	17	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.298	0.312	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	98	317	76	0.240	1	31	0.321	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.185	0.268	0.229	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	10	0.206

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	106	444	112	0.252	16	43	0.298	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.261	0.301	0.452	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	104	391	96	0.246	32	62	0.359	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.197	0.329	0.378	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	110	392	100	0.255	23	66	0.361	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.256	0.361	0.518	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	106	399	90	0.226	13	59	0.284	5	3	2	1	2	2	0	0.667	0.231	0.273	0.341	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	RF	8	20	9	0.450	2	6	0.435	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.407	0.435	0.719	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	105	365	92	0.252	8	49	0.318	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.243	0.331	0.405	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	59	173	36	0.208	5	25	0.239	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.206	0.225	0.317	OK
Derek Hill	CF	24	66	18	0.273	4	9	0.304	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.229	0.274	0.425	OK
Garrett Stubbs	C	12	31	5	0.161	0	2	0.229	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.143	0.174	0.207	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	32	8	5	5	6	11	0.250

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Alvarez	Starter	15	55.1	4.25	1.579	9.5	58	4.0	5	3	3	4	6	93	4.0	6	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	33	29.4	3.37	1.293	10.4	34	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	32	1.1	3	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	35	29.4	3.98	1.361	9.8	32	1.1	2	2	2	2	1	31	1.1	1	2
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	7	5.6	1.61	1.429	6.4	4	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	22	110.5	5.78	1.493	9.4	116	5.0	5	2	2	1	4	91	5.0	4	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	38	35.4	1.53	0.932	13.5	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	45	37.1	3.88	1.456	11.2	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	11	1.0	2	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	41	34.7	3.37	1.124	12.4	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	47	36.1	6.48	1.690	13.2	53	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

LAD Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

PIT Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

PIT Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks

SD Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

SD Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers

SF Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

SF Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees

STL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

STL Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies

TB Recent Form

COL Recent Form

TB Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros

TOR Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

TOR Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies