Every player, club and KPI on the settled card scored against the real lines. Expectations are rescaled to the plate appearances or batters faced each player really had. Gain is how much closer the KPI line was than the line before it: positive, the KPI helped. Rolling ledger over 20 slates in 21 days.
| Reason | Hitter metric rows | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|
| playing time off the projection | 0 | 0 |
| KPI moved the wrong way | 0 | 0 |
| KPI gave no signal | 0 | 0 |
| surprise beyond the expectation | 0 | 0 |
| ordinary variance | 0 | 0 |
| workload off the projection | 0 | 0 |
| projected, did not pitch | 0 | 0 |
| pitched, not projected | 0 | 0 |
| Game | Club | Actual | Baseline | KPI alone | Blend | Pub | KPI run effect | Cause | Hitter gain H/SO/BB/HR | Opp. pitching gain | Card wrong | SP outs err | Pen share err | Wrong-way features |
|---|
| Game | Club | Hitter | PA | PA err | Metric | Before KPI | KPI | Actual | Gain | Direction | Why | Driver | Own KPI | Opp. SP KPI | SP mult | Pen mult |
|---|
| Game | Club | Pitcher | Role | Listed as | P(pitch) | Pitched | Proj BF | Actual BF | Workload err | KPI line/actual (gain) | Gain | Why |
|---|
| Metric | Side | KPI | Band | Rows | Days | Mean gain | Interval | Right way | Misleading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SO | pitcher | pitcher_strikeout_rate | elite | 226 | 12 | -0.0401 | (-0.06725, -0.01307) | 0.46 | yes |
| BB | pitcher | pitcher_walk_rate | poor | 83 | 7 | -0.0202 | - | 0.30 | no |
| HR | pitcher | pitcher_home_run_rate_allowed | poor | 259 | 12 | -0.0142 | (-0.01776, -0.01148) | 0.16 | yes |
| BB | pitcher | pitcher_walk_rate | weak | 162 | 7 | -0.0106 | (-0.01953, -0.00226) | 0.35 | yes |
| SO | batter | batter_strikeout_rate | average | 1032 | 14 | -0.0101 | (-0.01746, -0.00353) | 0.50 | yes |
| SO | batter | batter_strikeout_rate | weak | 325 | 12 | -0.0077 | (-0.01665, 0.00115) | 0.49 | no |
| SO | pitcher | pitcher_strikeout_rate | strong | 298 | 10 | -0.0065 | (-0.02015, 0.00862) | 0.55 | no |
| SO | batter | batter_strikeout_rate | strong | 381 | 14 | -0.0064 | (-0.01449, 0.00082) | 0.53 | no |
| H | batter | derived_batter_hit_rate | poor | 121 | 11 | -0.0050 | - | 0.45 | no |
| HR | pitcher | pitcher_home_run_rate_allowed | weak | 331 | 9 | -0.0049 | (-0.00669, -0.00313) | 0.18 | yes |
| SO | pitcher | pitcher_strikeout_rate | average | 910 | 14 | -0.0038 | (-0.00645, -0.00097) | 0.48 | yes |
| H | batter | derived_batter_hit_rate | elite | 184 | 11 | -0.0030 | (-0.0103, 0.00352) | 0.47 | no |
| H | pitcher | derived_pitcher_hit_rate_allowed | weak | 339 | 8 | -0.0027 | (-0.0073, 0.00047) | 0.51 | no |
| H | pitcher | derived_pitcher_hit_rate_allowed | strong | 302 | 10 | -0.0015 | (-0.00592, 0.00394) | 0.51 | no |
| BB | pitcher | pitcher_walk_rate | average | 957 | 14 | -0.0009 | (-0.00174, -0.0002) | 0.41 | yes |
| SO | pitcher | pitcher_strikeout_rate | poor | 139 | 8 | +0.0002 | - | 0.55 | no |
| H | batter | derived_batter_hit_rate | strong | 312 | 12 | +0.0003 | (-0.00389, 0.00429) | 0.52 | no |
| H | pitcher | derived_pitcher_hit_rate_allowed | average | 748 | 12 | +0.0004 | (-0.00058, 0.00154) | 0.53 | no |
| BB | batter | batter_walk_rate | elite | 204 | 13 | +0.0008 | (-0.00345, 0.0054) | 0.52 | no |
| H | batter | derived_batter_hit_rate | average | 828 | 12 | +0.0009 | (-0.00118, 0.00355) | 0.53 | no |
| HR | batter | batter_home_run_rate | poor | 156 | 14 | +0.0014 | (0.00022, 0.00284) | 0.60 | no |
| BB | batter | batter_walk_rate | average | 979 | 14 | +0.0017 | (-0.00033, 0.00403) | 0.52 | no |
| BB | batter | batter_walk_rate | poor | 153 | 13 | +0.0021 | (0.0002, 0.00467) | 0.55 | no |
| SO | pitcher | pitcher_strikeout_rate | weak | 471 | 12 | +0.0023 | (-0.00309, 0.00796) | 0.54 | no |
| BB | batter | batter_walk_rate | weak | 323 | 14 | +0.0024 | (0.00086, 0.00376) | 0.58 | no |
| HR | batter | batter_home_run_rate | average | 1061 | 14 | +0.0025 | (0.0012, 0.00439) | 0.62 | no |
| HR | batter | batter_home_run_rate | weak | 257 | 14 | +0.0026 | (0.00118, 0.00425) | 0.63 | no |
| H | pitcher | derived_pitcher_hit_rate_allowed | poor | 163 | 6 | +0.0027 | (-0.0054, 0.00978) | 0.53 | no |
| H | batter | derived_batter_hit_rate | weak | 217 | 12 | +0.0030 | (-0.00258, 0.00859) | 0.56 | no |
| BB | batter | batter_walk_rate | strong | 385 | 14 | +0.0032 | (-0.00134, 0.00693) | 0.54 | no |
| SO | batter | batter_strikeout_rate | poor | 125 | 13 | +0.0033 | - | 0.55 | no |
| HR | pitcher | pitcher_home_run_rate_allowed | average | 973 | 14 | +0.0041 | (0.00315, 0.00531) | 0.75 | no |
| HR | batter | batter_home_run_rate | strong | 365 | 14 | +0.0047 | (0.00141, 0.00839) | 0.64 | no |
| HR | batter | batter_home_run_rate | elite | 205 | 13 | +0.0049 | (0.00178, 0.00837) | 0.59 | no |
| BB | pitcher | pitcher_walk_rate | strong | 453 | 12 | +0.0075 | (0.00477, 0.01124) | 0.74 | no |
| H | pitcher | derived_pitcher_hit_rate_allowed | elite | 110 | 8 | +0.0087 | - | 0.56 | no |
| SO | batter | batter_strikeout_rate | elite | 181 | 13 | +0.0090 | (0.00095, 0.01607) | 0.55 | no |
| HR | pitcher | pitcher_home_run_rate_allowed | strong | 283 | 10 | +0.0125 | (0.01055, 0.01514) | 0.91 | no |
| BB | pitcher | pitcher_walk_rate | elite | 389 | 11 | +0.0129 | (0.00784, 0.01731) | 0.72 | no |
| HR | pitcher | pitcher_home_run_rate_allowed | elite | 198 | 12 | +0.0204 | (0.01685, 0.02506) | 0.91 | no |
| Club | Games | MAE baseline | MAE blend | Run bias | Causes | Card wrong / game | SP outs err | Pen share err | Recurring wrong-way features | Chronic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 8 | 4.14 | 3.38 | -0.24 | layer_refused 2, lineup 1, outlier_game 3, variance 2 | 0.88 | +0.1 | +0.009 | away_off_discipline x3, away_off_contact x3, away_x_fastball x2, away_off_power_spread x2 | no |
| ARI | 9 | 3.12 | 3.17 | -1.98 | layer_refused 1, variance 3, lineup 1, outlier_game 2, kpi_direction 2 | 1.11 | +2.2 | -0.016 | home_off_top3_contact x4, home_off_discipline x3, away_platoon_whiff x3, home_off_qualified_share x3 | yes |
| COL | 8 | 2.86 | 3.17 | +0.78 | layer_refused 1, variance 3, kpi_direction 3, outlier_game 1 | 0.88 | -0.4 | +0.025 | home_off_power_spread x3, home_sp_suppress x3, home_off_worst3_discipline x2, away_sp_velocity x2 | yes |
| HOU | 9 | 1.88 | 2.90 | -2.07 | layer_refused 2, kpi_direction 4, variance 3 | 0.67 | +0.3 | -0.080 | away_off_contact_spread x4, away_off_worst3_discipline x4, home_off_ground_spread x3, home_off_qualified_share x3 | yes |
| LAD | 11 | 2.30 | 2.78 | +1.51 | layer_refused 7, variance 3, outlier_game 1 | 0.55 | +2.7 | -0.125 | home_off_ground x3, home_pen_minus_sp x2, away_off_discipline_spread x2, away_off_contact x2 | yes |
| OAK | 7 | 2.80 | 2.75 | +0.67 | layer_refused 3, starter_length 2, variance 2 | 1.86 | +2.7 | -0.114 | away_sp_velocity x3, home_off_ground x3, home_pen_minus_sp x2, home_sp_ground x2 | no |
| CHW | 9 | 2.88 | 2.72 | -1.29 | layer_refused 1, lineup 5, variance 2, starter_length 1 | 3.33 | +4.2 | -0.119 | home_off_qualified_share x5, home_platoon_whiff x4, away_off_worst3_discipline x4, home_off_top3_contact x2 | no |
| TB | 8 | 2.86 | 2.71 | +0.14 | layer_refused 1, lineup 2, starter_length 2, variance 2, kpi_direction 1 | 1.12 | +1.7 | -0.054 | away_off_discipline x4, away_off_contact x3, away_off_power_spread x3, away_off_contact_spread x2 | no |
| KC | 8 | 2.86 | 2.71 | -1.22 | layer_refused 2, variance 3, outlier_game 1, starter_length 1, kpi_direction 1 | 1.00 | +3.9 | -0.103 | away_off_discipline_spread x4, away_off_contact x3, away_sp_velocity x3, home_sp_velocity x2 | no |
| NYY | 10 | 3.11 | 2.70 | -0.51 | layer_refused 1, variance 4, lineup 2, starter_length 1, outlier_game 1, bullpen_exposure 1 | 1.40 | +0.8 | -0.035 | home_platoon_whiff x4, home_sp_velocity x3, home_x_fastball x3, home_off_ground_spread x3 | no |
| SEA | 8 | 2.86 | 2.67 | +0.33 | layer_refused 1, outlier_game 1, starter_length 2, variance 4 | 0.62 | +2.0 | -0.070 | home_off_ground x5, away_off_contact_spread x3, away_off_power_spread x3, home_off_contact_spread x3 | no |
| CHC | 9 | 3.00 | 2.65 | +2.16 | layer_refused 1, starter_length 2, variance 3, lineup 1, bullpen_exposure 1, kpi_direction 1 | 1.22 | +0.0 | -0.066 | home_off_qualified_share x4, home_off_power x4, home_platoon_barrel x3, away_x_fastball x3 | no |
| ATL | 12 | 2.46 | 2.46 | +0.30 | layer_refused 2, variance 3, outlier_game 1, starter_length 4, kpi_direction 2 | 0.58 | +0.7 | -0.039 | home_platoon_barrel x4, home_off_qualified_share x3, away_off_contact_spread x3, home_sp_command x3 | yes |
| MIN | 9 | 2.75 | 2.35 | -0.70 | layer_refused 2, variance 3, outlier_game 1, lineup 1, kpi_direction 1, starter_length 1 | 0.89 | +2.0 | -0.046 | home_sp_suppress x3, away_sp_ground x3, away_off_discipline x3, home_off_qualified_share x3 | no |
| PHI | 9 | 2.38 | 2.29 | +0.94 | layer_refused 1, starter_length 3, variance 2, outlier_game 1, bullpen_exposure 1, kpi_direction 1 | 0.33 | +4.1 | -0.085 | home_off_ground_spread x4, home_off_power x3, home_off_contact_spread x3, away_off_power_spread x3 | no |
| BAL | 6 | 2.20 | 2.23 | -0.40 | layer_refused 1, starter_length 1, variance 2, kpi_direction 1, lineup 1 | 1.50 | +4.2 | -0.007 | away_off_contact x3, home_off_discipline x3, home_sp_velocity x2, home_off_power x2 | yes |
| BOS | 8 | 1.71 | 2.19 | +2.19 | layer_refused 1, lineup 2, variance 2, starter_length 2, kpi_direction 1 | 1.12 | +4.0 | -0.113 | away_off_ground x6, away_off_power_spread x4, away_x_suppress x3, away_off_top3_contact x3 | yes |
| PIT | 8 | 2.29 | 2.16 | +0.33 | layer_refused 1, kpi_direction 3, lineup 1, outlier_game 1, starter_length 1, variance 1 | 0.38 | +0.6 | +0.006 | home_off_ground_spread x3, away_pen_share x3, home_off_power_spread x3, home_platoon_barrel x3 | no |
| DET | 6 | 2.00 | 2.10 | +0.46 | layer_refused 1, variance 1, starter_length 3, kpi_direction 1 | 0.83 | +6.5 | -0.216 | away_off_ground x3, away_off_top3_contact x3, away_off_contact_spread x3, home_sp_command x2 | yes |
| WAS | 7 | 2.00 | 2.08 | -0.59 | layer_refused 1, kpi_direction 1, lineup 1, variance 2, starter_length 1, outlier_game 1 | 1.14 | +1.5 | -0.003 | away_off_contact_spread x4, home_platoon_whiff x3, home_off_ground_spread x2, away_sp_whiff x2 | yes |
| LAA | 9 | 2.14 | 2.06 | +0.05 | layer_refused 2, variance 4, kpi_direction 1, starter_length 1, bullpen_exposure 1 | 1.00 | +1.5 | -0.105 | home_platoon_whiff x3, away_off_discipline x3, away_off_worst3_discipline x3, away_off_power_spread x3 | no |
| SD | 12 | 2.09 | 2.00 | -1.44 | layer_refused 2, variance 2, kpi_direction 3, starter_length 2, bullpen_exposure 1, outlier_game 2 | 0.58 | +2.9 | -0.060 | home_off_top3_contact x5, away_off_discipline_spread x5, home_off_discipline_spread x5, home_off_qualified_share x4 | no |
| NYM | 7 | 2.33 | 1.98 | +0.22 | layer_refused 1, variance 4, starter_length 1, kpi_direction 1 | 0.29 | +2.5 | -0.089 | home_sp_suppress x4, home_platoon_whiff x3, away_off_contact x3, away_off_contact_spread x3 | no |
| SF | 9 | 1.75 | 1.86 | +1.05 | layer_refused 7, lineup 2 | 1.44 | +3.3 | -0.060 | home_off_qualified_share x1, away_off_power_spread x1, home_off_ground_spread x1, away_off_ground_spread x1 | yes |
| CIN | 8 | 2.14 | 1.86 | +0.74 | layer_refused 1, kpi_direction 2, lineup 3, starter_length 1, bullpen_exposure 1 | 1.38 | +2.6 | -0.072 | away_off_contact x4, away_sp_ground x4, home_off_power x3, home_platoon_barrel x3 | no |
| STL | 8 | 1.57 | 1.83 | +0.57 | layer_refused 1, kpi_direction 4, bullpen_exposure 1, starter_length 1, variance 1 | 1.25 | -0.7 | -0.018 | home_off_ground x3, home_off_power_spread x3, home_platoon_whiff x3, home_sp_suppress x3 | yes |
| MIA | 9 | 1.50 | 1.74 | +0.13 | layer_refused 1, starter_length 1, kpi_direction 2, lineup 1, variance 3, bullpen_exposure 1 | 1.00 | +0.4 | -0.034 | away_off_contact_spread x4, home_off_power_spread x4, home_platoon_barrel x3, home_off_qualified_share x3 | yes |
| TOR | 7 | 1.67 | 1.58 | +1.47 | layer_refused 1, starter_length 2, kpi_direction 1, lineup 1, variance 2 | 0.86 | +1.8 | +0.040 | away_off_discipline x3, home_platoon_whiff x3, home_off_power x2, away_sp_velocity x2 | no |
| MIL | 10 | 1.56 | 1.54 | +0.26 | layer_refused 2, variance 5, kpi_direction 3 | 0.90 | +1.7 | -0.026 | home_platoon_barrel x4, home_off_power_spread x3, away_off_qualified_share x3, home_off_discipline x3 | no |
| TEX | 8 | 1.71 | 1.38 | +0.43 | layer_refused 1, variance 6, lineup 1 | 0.75 | -0.1 | +0.120 | away_off_contact_spread x5, away_off_contact x3, home_off_discipline x3, home_off_top3_contact x2 | no |
| Scope | Subject | Finding | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| kpi | pitcher_strikeout_rate (elite) on SO | adjustments made SO worse over 226 hitter-games in 12 days, mean gain -0.0401, interval (-0.06725, -0.01307) | review this KPI's weight in the matchup multiplier; it is an operator change to the recipe |
| kpi | pitcher_home_run_rate_allowed (poor) on HR | adjustments made HR worse over 259 hitter-games in 12 days, mean gain -0.0142, interval (-0.01776, -0.01148) | review this KPI's weight in the matchup multiplier; it is an operator change to the recipe |
| kpi | pitcher_walk_rate (weak) on BB | adjustments made BB worse over 162 hitter-games in 7 days, mean gain -0.0106, interval (-0.01953, -0.00226) | review this KPI's weight in the matchup multiplier; it is an operator change to the recipe |
| kpi | batter_strikeout_rate (average) on SO | adjustments made SO worse over 1032 hitter-games in 14 days, mean gain -0.0101, interval (-0.01746, -0.00353) | review this KPI's weight in the matchup multiplier; it is an operator change to the recipe |
| kpi | pitcher_home_run_rate_allowed (weak) on HR | adjustments made HR worse over 331 hitter-games in 9 days, mean gain -0.0049, interval (-0.00669, -0.00313) | review this KPI's weight in the matchup multiplier; it is an operator change to the recipe |
| kpi | pitcher_strikeout_rate (average) on SO | adjustments made SO worse over 910 hitter-games in 14 days, mean gain -0.0038, interval (-0.00645, -0.00097) | review this KPI's weight in the matchup multiplier; it is an operator change to the recipe |
| kpi | pitcher_walk_rate (average) on BB | adjustments made BB worse over 957 hitter-games in 14 days, mean gain -0.0009, interval (-0.00174, -0.0002) | review this KPI's weight in the matchup multiplier; it is an operator change to the recipe |
| club | ATL | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 12 games (MAE 2.462 vs 2.455, bias +0.299) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | BAL | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 6 games (MAE 2.227 vs 2.2, bias -0.397) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | BOS | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 8 games (MAE 2.185 vs 1.714, bias +2.185) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | DET | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 6 games (MAE 2.099 vs 2.0, bias +0.464) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | HOU | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 9 games (MAE 2.902 vs 1.875, bias -2.073) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | LAD | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 11 games (MAE 2.776 vs 2.3, bias +1.513) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | MIA | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 9 games (MAE 1.74 vs 1.5, bias +0.134) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | ARI | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 9 games (MAE 3.175 vs 3.125, bias -1.975) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | WAS | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 7 games (MAE 2.081 vs 2.0, bias -0.588) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | COL | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 8 games (MAE 3.165 vs 2.857, bias +0.775) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | SF | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 9 games (MAE 1.861 vs 1.75, bias +1.054) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| club | STL | KPI blend worse than the baseline over 8 games (MAE 1.834 vs 1.571, bias +0.569) | check the wrong-way features listed for this club and its data coverage |
| player | Rafael Flores Jr. (PIT) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.79 over 6 games, bias +0.57), BB (gain -0.01 over 6 games, bias -0.02) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Yuki Matsui (SD) | KPI adjustments hurt BB (gain -0.72 over 7 games, bias +0.57), HR (gain -0.01 over 7 games, bias +0.16), H (gain -0.12 over 6 games, bias +0.44) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Jeremiah Jackson (BAL) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.69 over 6 games, bias -0.42) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Mike Trout (LAA) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.60 over 8 games, bias +0.35), BB (gain -0.31 over 8 games, bias -0.56), HR (gain -0.03 over 8 games, bias +0.04) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Shay Whitcomb (SF) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.57 over 6 games, bias +0.19) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Trea Turner (PHI) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.56 over 9 games, bias +0.38) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Jonny DeLuca (TB) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.55 over 6 games, bias +0.06) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Coby Mayo (BAL) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.55 over 6 games, bias +0.26), BB (gain -0.02 over 6 games, bias -0.16), H (gain -0.13 over 5 games, bias -0.20) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Calvin Faucher (MIA) | KPI adjustments hurt BB (gain -0.54 over 5 games, bias +0.48), HR (gain -0.01 over 5 games, bias +0.02) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Cade Smith (CLE) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.53 over 5 games, bias +0.82), HR (gain -0.03 over 5 games, bias +0.08) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.52 over 9 games, bias +0.93), BB (gain -0.05 over 9 games, bias -0.26) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Ty France (SD) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.52 over 11 games, bias +0.14) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Jordan Walker (STL) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.51 over 8 games, bias -0.22) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Christian Walker (HOU) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.46 over 9 games, bias +0.32) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Erik Sabrowski (CLE) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.45 over 5 games, bias -0.04), HR (gain -0.05 over 5 games, bias +0.12) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Christian Moore (LAA) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.45 over 8 games, bias +0.09), HR (gain -0.03 over 8 games, bias -0.02) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.44 over 7 games, bias -0.23), BB (gain -0.02 over 7 games, bias -0.02), H (gain -0.01 over 5 games, bias -0.23) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Drake Baldwin (ATL) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.43 over 11 games, bias +0.44) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Tim Tawa (ARI) | KPI adjustments hurt H (gain -0.42 over 7 games, bias +0.10) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Vaughn Grissom (LAA) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.41 over 9 games, bias +0.52), HR (gain -0.04 over 9 games, bias -0.07) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Ketel Marte (ARI) | KPI adjustments hurt H (gain -0.41 over 7 games, bias +0.05) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Ozzie Albies (ATL) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.40 over 12 games, bias -0.26), BB (gain -0.15 over 12 games, bias -0.03) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Colson Montgomery (CHW) | KPI adjustments hurt H (gain -0.28 over 6 games, bias +0.64), SO (gain -0.40 over 6 games, bias -0.66) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Trevor Megill (MIL) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.40 over 5 games, bias +1.21), BB (gain -0.04 over 5 games, bias +0.46) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |
| player | Trevor Story (BOS) | KPI adjustments hurt SO (gain -0.39 over 5 games, bias +0.13) | his KPI reading or its opponent pairing misleads; watch whether it persists before any change |