MLB Predictions — September 30, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BOS @ NYY	3 - 4	3 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ SD	4 - 5	4 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ HOU	6 - 5	6 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-5	50%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ ATL	3 - 4	3 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS 87-75 (4.25 RPG / 3.77 RA)

3 - 4

NYY 93-68 (4.59 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-3 TARGET: BOS 3 - 4 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	7
NYY	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	x	4	11

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.1

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BOS Season Quality

Record87-75

Win%0.537

Run Diff78

RD/Game0.481

NYY Season Quality

Record93-68

Win%0.578

Run Diff138

RD/Game0.857

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3398; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jahmai Jones	DH	32	62	20	0.323	4	9	0.382	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.119	0.185	0.227	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	33	121	27	0.223	5	13	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.307	0.418	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	127	443	121	0.273	27	81	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.318	0.453	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	155	587	147	0.250	23	75	0.330	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.205	0.280	0.347	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	134	530	149	0.281	15	67	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.278	0.352	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	148	500	120	0.240	13	61	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.273	0.304	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	65	238	59	0.248	5	18	0.336	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.217	0.298	0.314	OK
Trevor Story	SS	65	254	60	0.236	5	29	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.191	0.228	0.318	OK
Nate Eaton	LF	20	50	8	0.160	1	5	0.288	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.140	0.255	0.214	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	7	3	3	1	5	0.212

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	151	565	153	0.271	42	99	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.349	0.424	0.756	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	130	490	130	0.265	17	73	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.295	0.383	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	43	159	42	0.264	7	16	0.302	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.145	0.191	0.291	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	83	261	64	0.245	11	40	0.312	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.299	0.404	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	42	153	39	0.255	7	22	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.285	0.320	0.497	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	133	463	108	0.233	19	55	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.324	0.370	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	115	409	86	0.210	17	58	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.114	0.218	0.217	OK
Austin Wells	C	120	336	64	0.190	14	34	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.328	0.398	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	112	322	69	0.214	11	41	0.278	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.151	0.222	0.285	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	11	4	4	0	4	0.314

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	29	167.6	2.74	1.158	8.0	149	6.0	10	3	3	0	4	106	6.0	4	3
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	52	51.2	1.41	1.055	12.5	71	2.0	1	1	1	0	0	19	2.0	0	1

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Fried	Starter	20	109.4	2.88	1.024	8.6	104	6.0	2	0	0	1	5	86	6.0	5	0
David Bednar	Closer	64	64.9	2.63	1.109	10.5	76	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	81	62.7	2.73	1.515	14.1	98	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	9	1.0	0	2
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	77.1	1.87	1.219	8.1	69	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres

CHC 89-73 (5.25 RPG / 4.34 RA)

4 - 5

SD 91-71 (4.46 RPG / 4.2 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: CHC 4 - 5 SD (SD) Confidence: 51.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	4	7
SD	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	x	5	9

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CHC Season Quality

Record89-73

Win%0.549

Run Diff147

RD/Game0.907

SD Season Quality

Record91-71

Win%0.562

Run Diff41

RD/Game0.253

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2355; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	161	621	174	0.280	45	107	0.374	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.254	0.343	0.447	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	155	608	161	0.265	28	93	0.355	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.266	0.350	0.499	OK
Michael Busch	1B	159	596	144	0.242	19	75	0.352	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.248	0.347	0.382	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	142	543	148	0.273	26	86	0.370	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.288	0.376	0.474	OK
Ian Happ	LF	151	542	118	0.218	24	68	0.322	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.187	0.278	0.354	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	158	626	166	0.265	8	72	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.267	0.307	0.339	OK
Matt Shaw	3B	65	171	41	0.240	5	22	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.309	0.390	OK
Carson Kelly	C	116	383	98	0.256	10	57	0.333	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.215	0.276	0.306	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	123	423	89	0.210	17	62	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.191	0.278	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	4	4	5	11	0.206

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	158	629	183	0.291	26	83	0.359	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.337	0.395	0.570	OK
Dustin Harris	LF	26	92	30	0.326	0	14	0.360	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.245	0.291	0.353	OK
Manny Machado	3B	159	592	130	0.220	31	93	0.306	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.313	0.483	OK
Ty France	1B	128	444	132	0.297	21	72	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.337	0.431	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	158	617	158	0.256	26	89	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.293	0.331	0.429	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	154	524	122	0.233	14	58	0.333	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.292	0.390	0.508	OK
Ethan Salas	C	16	39	10	0.256	2	5	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.343	0.364	0.497	OK
Austin Hays	DH	25	61	18	0.295	2	7	0.306	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.295	0.315	0.410	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	109	381	86	0.226	7	41	0.308	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.233	0.299	0.339	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	5	5	2	10	0.273

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	9	48.7	4.99	1.273	10.5	57	5.2	7	3	3	0	9	104	5.2	9	4
Jacob Webb	Closer	69	61.1	3.68	1.408	10.8	73	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	27	1.0	0	0
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	31	27.1	3.65	1.218	10.0	30	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	27	1.1	1	1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Pivetta	Starter	8	34.2	2.89	1.023	11.1	42	5.0	5	2	2	4	5	106	5.0	5	2
Mason Miller	Closer	66	66.5	1.76	0.947	17.5	129	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	76	76.2	3.19	1.220	12.6	107	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	64.9	1.94	1.109	11.2	81	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	29	1.1	2	0
Jason Adam	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	38	32.0	2.81	1.250	6.2	22	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	11	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW 84-78 (4.79 RPG / 4.44 RA)

6 - 5

HOU 81-81 (4.53 RPG / 4.73 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-5 TARGET: CHW 6 - 5 HOU (CHW) Confidence: 50.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	0	0	6	9
HOU	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	1	5	12

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CHW Season Quality

Record84-78

Win%0.519

Run Diff56

RD/Game0.346

HOU Season Quality

Record81-81

Win%0.500

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.198

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4495; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	140	483	134	0.277	8	50	0.372	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.307	0.364	0.417	OK
Kyle Teel	C	39	124	26	0.210	5	26	0.322	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.263	0.339	0.406	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	159	592	147	0.248	33	93	0.361	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.232	0.347	0.419	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	128	457	95	0.208	35	78	0.348	5	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.348	0.505	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	142	422	101	0.239	15	78	0.303	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.178	0.267	0.348	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	148	441	117	0.265	12	56	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.269	0.342	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	154	570	158	0.277	16	64	0.350	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.345	0.401	0.509	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	93	327	75	0.229	6	38	0.314	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.264	0.330	0.381	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	154	571	113	0.198	32	88	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.168	0.230	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	9	6	6	3	7	0.257

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	111	451	125	0.277	22	56	0.324	5	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.269	0.296	0.464	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	158	567	180	0.317	42	106	0.434	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.307	0.403	0.548	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	155	562	145	0.258	25	94	0.357	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.263	0.342	0.500	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	135	528	131	0.248	16	50	0.303	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.221	0.268	0.321	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	93	344	97	0.282	14	44	0.310	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.268	0.287	0.408	OK
Christian Walker	1B	155	569	129	0.227	29	87	0.302	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.231	0.311	0.494	OK
Lucas Spence	CF	18	59	13	0.220	4	12	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.311	0.525	OK
Cam Smith	RF	149	514	108	0.210	21	55	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.216	0.285	0.390	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	90	255	49	0.192	8	22	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.126	0.220	0.243	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	39	12	5	5	3	11	0.308

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	32	167.9	3.43	1.227	9.9	185	5.0	8	2	2	1	5	98	5.0	5	2
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	2	2	2	1	3	27	1.1	3	2
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	53	73.6	3.18	1.277	9.5	78	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	57.4	2.98	1.324	9.3	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	0.1	1	1	1	1	1	11	0.1	1	1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	20	104.3	3.28	1.304	10.7	124	5.2	7	3	3	2	7	102	5.2	7	3
Josh Hader	Closer	45	44.5	0.81	0.719	11.3	56	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Logan VanWey	Setup Man	11	12.3	1.46	0.976	6.6	9	1.0	1	3	3	1	0	20	1.0	0	3
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	56.9	4.11	1.459	12.8	81	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	89.9	3.90	1.346	9.4	94	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-5

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

PHI 88-74 (4.4 RPG / 4.31 RA)

3 - 4

ATL 94-69 (4.56 RPG / 3.88 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-3 TARGET: PHI 3 - 4 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 51.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	6
ATL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	12

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-16

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PHI Season Quality

Record88-74

Win%0.543

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.093

ATL Season Quality

Record94-68

Win%0.580

Run Diff116

RD/Game0.716

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.559; margin adjustment: 0.2348; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	155	644	156	0.242	19	58	0.297	5	4	1	1	2	1	3	0.250	0.233	0.278	0.342	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	155	582	135	0.232	44	96	0.352	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.349	0.415	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	161	577	154	0.267	29	87	0.378	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.354	0.445	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	153	571	142	0.249	15	88	0.315	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.225	0.291	0.345	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	155	536	137	0.256	10	66	0.334	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.292	0.363	0.432	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	153	521	136	0.261	18	62	0.306	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.142	0.199	0.240	OK
Edmundo Sosa	3B	83	233	58	0.249	9	44	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.251	0.269	0.465	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	144	422	109	0.258	3	40	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.153	0.196	0.229	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	122	417	86	0.206	11	53	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.169	0.234	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	6	3	3	4	11	0.167

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	107	408	104	0.255	20	55	0.345	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.301	0.401	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	138	545	154	0.283	25	79	0.357	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.281	0.341	0.454	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	162	610	147	0.241	22	74	0.299	5	4	3	1	0	1	0	0.750	0.205	0.260	0.328	OK
Matt Olson	1B	162	623	155	0.249	40	91	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.214	0.278	0.399	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	153	569	158	0.278	12	73	0.322	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.295	0.330	0.438	OK
Austin Riley	3B	159	562	124	0.221	20	75	0.293	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.200	0.263	0.452	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	155	592	178	0.301	26	87	0.325	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.383	0.402	0.540	OK
Sean Murphy	C	33	110	20	0.182	3	10	0.256	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.182	0.252	0.270	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	46	131	15	0.115	0	9	0.216	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.101	0.207	0.152	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	40	12	4	4	1	5	0.300

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	33	204.2	2.95	1.219	10.2	231	6.1	5	1	1	1	5	101	6.1	5	2
Jhoan Duran	Closer	61	60.4	1.94	0.960	12.7	85	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	24	1.2	0	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	59	51.2	3.69	1.133	12.8	73	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0
Tim Mayza	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	61.5	3.80	1.236	9.4	64	1.0	5	3	3	0	0	28	0.0	0	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	9	53.4	2.02	0.974	8.1	48	6.0	2	0	0	2	8	102	6.0	8	0
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	60	58.9	2.60	1.121	9.8	64	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	0.0	2	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	71	59.6	3.17	1.023	11.8	78	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	67.5	2.67	1.200	12.1	91	2.0	1	1	1	2	0	40	2.0	0	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres

CHC Recent Form

SD Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

PHI Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

PHI Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary