MLB Predictions — September 27, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ SD	6 - 4	6 - 4	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 6-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ MIA	4 - 5	4 - 5	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-4	50%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ NYY	5 - 6	5 - 6	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-5	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ BOS	4 - 3	4 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ TOR	4 - 5	4 - 5	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ KC	6 - 4	6 - 4	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 6-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ CHW	5 - 8	5 - 8	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 8-5	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ OAK	8 - 6	8 - 6	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 8-6	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ SEA	3 - 5	3 - 5	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ SF	6 - 3	6 - 3	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ WAS	7 - 5	7 - 5	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 7-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ DET	4 - 3	4 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	50%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ MIL	2 - 5	2 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ PHI	4 - 3	4 - 3	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ MIN	5 - 4	5 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

ARI 86-76 (4.56 RPG / 4.51 RA)

6 - 4

SD 91-71 (4.46 RPG / 4.2 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 6-4 TARGET: ARI 6 - 4 SD (ARI) Confidence: 51.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	6	11
SD	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	4	4

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Season Quality

Record86-75

Win%0.534

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.087

SD Season Quality

Record90-71

Win%0.559

Run Diff36

RD/Game0.224

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.218; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	LF	38	122	29	0.238	4	11	0.345	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.240	0.344	0.384	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	139	558	139	0.249	22	75	0.315	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.242	0.299	0.376	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	130	473	147	0.311	16	83	0.388	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.322	0.398	0.507	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	155	556	145	0.261	9	58	0.368	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.284	0.387	0.399	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	154	574	138	0.240	22	77	0.330	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.213	0.287	0.397	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	150	526	134	0.255	30	86	0.332	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.304	0.362	0.597	OK
Pavin Smith	1B	38	105	20	0.190	3	12	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.286	0.333	OK
James McCann	C	43	142	40	0.282	5	24	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.250	0.379	OK
Tim Tawa	CF	94	306	73	0.239	11	41	0.293	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.297	0.396	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	11	6	6	2	7	0.289

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dustin Harris	RF	24	85	27	0.318	0	14	0.355	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.276	0.324	0.381	OK
Manny Machado	3B	157	587	127	0.216	30	90	0.303	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.220	0.291	0.434	OK
Ty France	1B	126	436	128	0.294	21	71	0.359	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.254	0.307	0.411	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	122	361	76	0.211	16	47	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.283	0.371	OK
Austin Hays	LF	23	53	16	0.302	2	5	0.302	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.287	0.297	0.415	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	107	375	85	0.227	7	40	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.294	0.343	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	77	228	45	0.197	4	21	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.152	0.212	0.245	OK
Sung-Mun Song	SS	54	128	25	0.195	1	17	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.204	0.279	0.260	OK
Jase Bowen	CF	46	93	14	0.151	2	7	0.186	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.072	0.094	0.162	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	4	4	4	9	0.129

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Soroka	Starter	21	109.0	3.39	1.110	9.1	110	5.1	3	3	3	3	5	100	5.1	5	3
Brandyn Garcia	Closer	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Juan Morillo	Setup Man	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	31	130.0	4.15	1.346	5.9	85	5.0	5	1	1	1	3	88	5.0	3	1
Mason Miller	Closer	66	66.5	1.76	0.947	17.5	129	1.1	2	3	3	1	2	27	1.1	2	3
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	76	76.2	3.19	1.220	12.6	107	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	64.9	1.94	1.109	11.2	81	1.2	3	2	2	0	1	30	1.2	1	2

Game Summary

ARI wins 6-4

Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins

ATL 94-69 (4.56 RPG / 3.88 RA)

4 - 5

MIA 80-82 (4.41 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-4 TARGET: ATL 4 - 5 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 50.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	4	7
MIA	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	x	5	10

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ATL Season Quality

Record94-67

Win%0.584

Run Diff118

RD/Game0.733

MIA Season Quality

Record79-82

Win%0.491

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.006

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6486; margin adjustment: -0.2724; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mauricio Dubón	LF	151	561	155	0.276	11	71	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.278	0.316	0.375	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	160	606	146	0.241	22	73	0.297	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.201	0.245	0.308	OK
Matt Olson	1B	160	617	155	0.251	40	91	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.314	0.475	OK
Austin Riley	3B	157	556	123	0.221	19	72	0.292	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.208	0.261	0.395	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	DH	131	352	80	0.227	12	40	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.227	0.303	0.404	OK
Sean Murphy	C	32	106	18	0.170	3	10	0.248	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.149	0.236	0.245	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	44	127	15	0.118	0	9	0.211	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.131	0.215	0.188	OK
Brewer Hicklen	RF	12	35	9	0.257	0	3	0.366	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.164	0.278	0.333	OK
DaShawn Keirsey Jr.	CF	1	1	1	1.000	0	0	1.000	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.141	0.154	0.233	LARGE
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	4	4	1	6	0.206

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Griffin Conine	RF	89	280	74	0.264	18	41	0.346	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.273	0.331	0.475	OK
Javier Sanoja	SS	132	457	136	0.298	11	69	0.332	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.303	0.338	0.469	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	127	444	100	0.225	24	66	0.307	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.209	0.281	0.356	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	67	222	53	0.239	5	24	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.319	0.374	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	52	138	29	0.210	4	25	0.257	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.195	0.239	0.395	OK
Esteury Ruiz	CF	88	210	45	0.214	6	16	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.196	0.254	0.326	OK
Deyvison De Los Santos	1B	15	38	5	0.132	0	0	0.154	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.137	0.147	0.202	OK
Jared Serna	2B	12	26	4	0.154	0	2	0.207	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.163	0.221	0.252	OK
Brian Navarreto	C	23	50	7	0.140	1	3	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.149	0.182	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	5	5	2	6	0.294

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JR Ritchie	Starter	16	65.8	4.92	1.505	9.0	66	4.2	6	3	3	2	4	95	4.2	4	3
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	59	57.9	2.64	1.123	9.9	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	70	58.6	3.23	1.041	11.8	77	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	67.3	2.67	1.189	12.2	91	1.2	2	2	2	0	1	27	1.2	1	2

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	25	116.2	4.41	1.343	6.5	84	4.2	3	3	3	0	3	68	4.2	3	3
Calvin Faucher	Closer	68	59.4	3.79	1.465	10.8	71	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Michael Petersen	Setup Man	64	57.1	3.47	1.278	12.8	81	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	20.8	4.76	1.442	7.8	18	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	13	1.1	0	0
Josh Ekness	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	28	26.4	2.73	1.553	7.8	23	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-4

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

BAL 79-82 (4.46 RPG / 4.59 RA)

5 - 6

NYY 93-68 (4.59 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-5 TARGET: BAL 5 - 6 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	7
NYY	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	x	6	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Season Quality

Record79-82

Win%0.491

Run Diff-21

RD/Game-0.130

NYY Season Quality

Record93-68

Win%0.578

Run Diff138

RD/Game0.857

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6441; margin adjustment: 0.2705; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colton Cowser	CF	125	334	76	0.228	12	37	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.327	0.369	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	154	611	138	0.226	23	59	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.303	0.418	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	88	273	58	0.212	9	38	0.241	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.198	0.231	0.345	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	158	591	159	0.269	43	113	0.364	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.357	0.598	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	30	77	8	0.104	0	0	0.198	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.153	0.212	0.211	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	55	191	51	0.267	10	37	0.311	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.300	0.493	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	130	426	93	0.218	8	56	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.281	0.342	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	99	321	74	0.231	9	43	0.303	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.209	0.284	0.367	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	125	408	94	0.230	24	63	0.298	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.228	0.293	0.437	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	34	7	5	5	0	7	0.206

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Jones	CF	82	258	63	0.244	11	40	0.310	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.235	0.294	0.409	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	41	149	36	0.242	7	22	0.290	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.247	0.290	0.450	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	133	463	108	0.233	19	55	0.311	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.248	0.328	0.398	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	42	158	42	0.266	7	16	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.255	0.294	0.458	OK
Austin Wells	C	119	333	62	0.186	14	32	0.291	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.208	0.328	0.411	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	111	321	69	0.215	11	41	0.277	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.284	0.382	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	129	486	129	0.265	17	73	0.339	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.250	0.324	0.417	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	37	114	22	0.193	4	12	0.306	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.305	0.422	OK
Ben Rice	DH	150	560	149	0.266	40	93	0.368	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.283	0.384	0.544	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	9	6	6	4	13	0.273

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	31	173.6	4.25	1.394	8.0	154	5.2	9	6	6	4	10	126	5.2	10	6
Rico Garcia	Setup Man	74	57.2	2.99	1.066	10.7	68	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	29	1.2	2	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	39.4	2.74	1.168	10.3	45	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Elmer Rodríguez	Starter	6	25.5	5.65	1.647	7.4	21	4.2	5	5	5	0	4	74	4.2	4	5
David Bednar	Closer	64	64.9	2.63	1.109	10.5	76	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	81	62.7	2.73	1.515	14.1	98	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	75.9	1.90	1.225	8.2	69	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.1	1	0
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	47.0	5.17	1.340	4.8	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-5

Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox

CHC 89-73 (5.25 RPG / 4.34 RA)

4 - 3

BOS 87-75 (4.25 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-3 TARGET: CHC 4 - 3 BOS (CHC) Confidence: 50.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	4	8
BOS	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	5

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.2

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

CHC Season Quality

Record88-73

Win%0.547

Run Diff143

RD/Game0.888

BOS Season Quality

Record87-74

Win%0.540

Run Diff82

RD/Game0.509

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2607; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	159	617	173	0.280	45	107	0.373	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.224	0.306	0.427	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	153	600	157	0.262	26	89	0.352	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.258	0.340	0.471	OK
Michael Busch	1B	157	590	144	0.244	19	75	0.354	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.280	0.371	0.407	OK
Ian Happ	LF	149	534	118	0.221	24	68	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.306	0.403	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	107	266	63	0.237	15	43	0.320	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.301	0.445	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	156	620	164	0.265	8	72	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.287	0.309	OK
Pedro Ramirez	3B	75	234	61	0.261	6	32	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.312	0.389	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	121	417	89	0.213	17	62	0.298	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.214	0.293	0.381	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	70	211	49	0.232	6	28	0.324	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.210	0.270	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	4	6	0.229

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	54	210	52	0.248	5	15	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.356	0.452	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	31	115	25	0.217	4	12	0.268	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.262	0.311	0.404	OK
Willson Contreras	DH	125	437	121	0.277	27	81	0.389	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.268	0.353	0.500	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	153	581	146	0.251	23	75	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.215	0.283	0.368	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	132	525	148	0.282	15	67	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.295	0.376	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	63	232	58	0.250	5	18	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.255	0.326	0.364	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	146	493	119	0.241	13	61	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.208	0.281	0.307	OK
Trevor Story	SS	63	249	59	0.237	5	29	0.270	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.243	0.341	OK
Andruw Monasterio	1B	100	306	72	0.235	6	40	0.294	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.270	0.335	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	4	5	0.156

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	31	170.3	3.81	1.116	9.0	171	5.2	2	1	1	3	5	94	5.2	5	1
Jacob Webb	Closer	67	59.0	3.81	1.424	11.0	72	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Setup Man	20	14.5	5.59	1.862	11.8	19	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	27	1.1	0	1
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	31	27.1	3.65	1.218	10.0	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Houck	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	8	4	4	4	3	53	1.0	3	4
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	52	51.2	1.41	1.055	12.5	71	3.2	0	0	0	0	0	57	3.2	0	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	19	18.2	3.46	1.429	14.3	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	50.7	1.78	0.927	10.5	59	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	51.1	3.70	1.409	10.6	60	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-3

Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays

CIN 75-87 (4.11 RPG / 5.1 RA)

4 - 5

TOR 79-83 (4.0 RPG / 4.28 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-4 TARGET: CIN 4 - 5 TOR (TOR) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	6
TOR	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	5	8

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Season Quality

Record75-86

Win%0.466

Run Diff-156

RD/Game-0.969

TOR Season Quality

Record78-83

Win%0.484

Run Diff-50

RD/Game-0.311

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3033; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Jorge	CF	15	42	8	0.190	1	1	0.261	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.293	0.372	OK
Elly De La Cruz	DH	139	542	155	0.286	30	79	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.273	0.367	0.524	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	158	608	161	0.265	31	108	0.331	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.294	0.370	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	128	453	99	0.219	24	58	0.325	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.203	0.298	0.399	OK
Juan Brito	3B	15	51	17	0.333	3	11	0.364	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.257	0.302	0.407	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	40	140	33	0.236	6	17	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.273	0.437	OK
Matt McLain	2B	127	432	81	0.188	15	40	0.274	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.195	0.264	0.322	OK
Will Banfield	C	8	17	3	0.176	0	1	0.167	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.153	0.164	0.258	OK
Oswaldo Cabrera	SS	3	11	2	0.182	0	0	0.182	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.127	0.137	0.197	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	8	0.182

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
George Springer	DH	122	460	114	0.248	15	53	0.321	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.215	0.274	0.338	OK
Brett Bateman	RF	40	154	50	0.325	2	11	0.400	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.316	0.396	0.419	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	154	566	132	0.233	33	92	0.310	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.208	0.284	0.368	OK
Charles McAdoo	1B	33	94	24	0.255	2	12	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.261	0.313	0.375	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	57	121	18	0.149	5	15	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.152	0.311	0.396	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	77	237	53	0.224	8	22	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.151	0.241	0.242	OK
Myles Straw	CF	122	292	71	0.243	3	25	0.299	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.289	0.340	0.377	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	140	466	114	0.245	9	58	0.291	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.273	0.351	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	156	587	153	0.261	9	47	0.287	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.188	0.215	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	8	5	5	2	12	0.235

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Williamson	Starter	11	47.8	5.08	1.464	6.2	33	4.1	3	1	1	1	5	80	4.1	5	1
Emilio Pagán	Closer	44	41.5	3.47	1.060	9.8	45	1.0	1	2	2	1	2	22	1.0	2	2
Luis Mey	Setup Man	28	31.1	6.95	1.833	13.9	48	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	11	0.2	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	77	65.0	2.63	1.446	10.2	74	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	25	1.0	3	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	48.0	3.00	1.188	10.7	57	1.2	3	2	2	0	2	22	1.0	2	2

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Scherzer	Starter	17	75.8	6.29	1.398	7.2	61	5.0	6	4	4	2	4	93	5.0	4	4
Louis Varland	Closer	71	72.4	1.37	1.077	12.1	97	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	74	66.1	1.91	1.256	5.4	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	88.9	2.83	1.181	9.4	93	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	80	46.5	3.87	1.570	12.6	65	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-4

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE 85-77 (4.19 RPG / 4.12 RA)

6 - 4

KC 69-93 (4.26 RPG / 5.0 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 6-4 TARGET: CLE 6 - 4 KC (CLE) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0	0	6	8
KC	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	5

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed7.6

Run Diff-25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

CLE Season Quality

Record85-76

Win%0.528

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.075

KC Season Quality

Record68-93

Win%0.422

Run Diff-121

RD/Game-0.752

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0963; margin adjustment: -0.4604; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Angel Martínez	LF	106	385	99	0.257	18	62	0.293	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.296	0.499	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	120	436	106	0.243	15	55	0.333	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.269	0.336	0.437	OK
Jo Adell	RF	46	174	41	0.236	6	30	0.316	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.227	0.275	0.355	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	38	125	28	0.224	5	26	0.273	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.254	0.310	0.407	OK
David Fry	C	80	178	35	0.197	8	20	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.287	0.391	OK
Angel Genao	SS	35	119	24	0.202	2	6	0.258	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.192	0.246	0.266	OK
Austin Hedges	DH	73	213	53	0.249	6	25	0.328	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.251	0.343	0.405	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	85	258	53	0.205	6	29	0.273	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.208	0.271	0.308	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	63	170	37	0.218	4	13	0.256	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.175	0.207	0.271	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	6	6	5	6	0.229

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Maikel Garcia	3B	79	304	82	0.270	3	38	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.333	0.368	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	141	551	156	0.283	18	53	0.360	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.288	0.352	0.422	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	141	505	144	0.285	23	75	0.336	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.304	0.341	0.461	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	150	573	132	0.230	21	77	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.259	0.422	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	112	412	102	0.248	15	61	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.323	0.441	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	141	435	92	0.211	6	40	0.319	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.153	0.256	0.244	OK
Tyler Tolbert	2B	54	126	37	0.294	3	8	0.357	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.326	0.367	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	94	288	63	0.219	6	24	0.263	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.256	0.292	OK
Luke Maile	C	15	41	7	0.171	1	5	0.244	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.098	0.179	0.192	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	4	4	2	8	0.156

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	31	176.8	2.65	1.080	9.7	191	6.1	4	3	3	1	8	96	6.1	8	3
Cade Smith	Closer	69	69.1	2.08	1.027	13.9	107	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	67	51.0	3.35	1.431	10.1	57	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Daniel Lynch IV	Starter	55	74.6	4.46	1.233	6.5	54	5.1	3	1	1	3	5	88	5.1	5	1
Nate Pearson	Closer	25	23.7	4.94	1.435	9.5	25	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Alex Lange	Setup Man	59	55.8	7.26	1.756	9.7	60	1.0	4	3	3	2	0	22	1.0	0	3
Connor Thomas	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	15.2	2.96	1.316	7.7	13	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	13	1.0	1	1
Anthony Gose	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	10.4	0.87	1.250	6.1	7	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 6-4

Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox

COL 58-104 (4.64 RPG / 5.83 RA)

5 - 8

CHW 84-78 (4.79 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 8-5 TARGET: COL 5 - 8 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9
CHW	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	1	8	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-26

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

COL Season Quality

Record58-103

Win%0.360

Run Diff-190

RD/Game-1.180

CHW Season Quality

Record83-78

Win%0.516

Run Diff54

RD/Game0.335

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4935; margin adjustment: 0.6273; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	140	544	159	0.292	15	82	0.334	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.248	0.279	0.380	OK
Connor Norby	DH	39	127	38	0.299	3	17	0.384	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.236	0.317	0.364	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	137	515	127	0.247	41	88	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.295	0.550	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	89	329	92	0.280	11	52	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.288	0.334	0.471	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	126	403	103	0.256	13	49	0.351	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.197	0.290	0.362	OK
Adael Amador	2B	25	80	22	0.275	4	16	0.348	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.313	0.396	OK
Troy Johnston	1B	122	389	109	0.280	4	49	0.345	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.255	0.304	0.368	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	60	162	32	0.198	1	11	0.256	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.196	0.252	0.289	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	140	458	101	0.221	13	44	0.266	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.271	0.435	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	5	5	2	7	0.250

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randal Grichuk	LF	99	231	69	0.299	14	42	0.328	5	5	1	1	3	0	3	0.200	0.303	0.334	0.575	OK
Tommy Pham	DH	7	13	3	0.231	1	3	0.412	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.151	0.266	0.277	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	126	450	93	0.207	35	77	0.348	5	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.232	0.356	0.547	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	32	89	23	0.258	4	9	0.258	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.268	0.304	0.462	OK
Sam Antonacci	2B	135	464	125	0.269	8	48	0.364	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.285	0.336	0.403	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	91	319	72	0.226	6	38	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.337	0.392	OK
Colson Montgomery	3B	152	564	112	0.199	31	87	0.284	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.185	0.250	0.368	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	79	205	46	0.224	1	12	0.261	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.108	0.153	0.145	OK
Drew Romo	C	57	177	25	0.141	7	16	0.235	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.154	0.254	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	9	8	8	4	9	0.265

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	25	127.6	6.77	1.560	7.5	106	4.1	6	6	6	1	7	89	4.1	7	5
Jordan Romano	Closer	27	24.5	4.41	1.265	9.9	27	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.0	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	73	52.8	2.90	1.326	8.4	49	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	36	1.0	1	1
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	46.9	6.52	1.706	9.0	47	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	31.2	5.19	1.699	11.0	38	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	11	0.2	0	1

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	32	148.1	4.68	1.418	7.6	125	4.2	5	3	3	1	4	85	4.2	4	3
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	53	73.6	3.18	1.277	9.5	78	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	57.4	2.98	1.324	9.3	59	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	0.2	3	2	2	1	0	21	0.2	0	2

Game Summary

CHW wins 8-5

Houston Astros @ Oakland Athletics

HOU 81-81 (4.53 RPG / 4.73 RA)

8 - 6

OAK 64-98 (4.31 RPG / 5.78 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 8-6 TARGET: HOU 8 - 6 OAK (HOU) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	1	3	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	8
OAK	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	11

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed6.7

Run Diff-25

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

HOU Season Quality

Record80-81

Win%0.497

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.255

OAK Season Quality

Record64-97

Win%0.398

Run Diff-229

RD/Game-1.422

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0519; margin adjustment: -0.4418; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	109	442	122	0.276	22	55	0.325	5	4	3	1	4	1	0	0.750	0.299	0.324	0.548	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	156	559	178	0.318	42	105	0.435	5	5	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.332	0.428	0.639	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	153	555	144	0.259	25	94	0.358	5	4	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.292	0.366	0.582	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	133	519	130	0.250	16	49	0.306	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.265	0.310	0.382	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	91	335	95	0.284	14	43	0.312	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.315	0.333	0.496	OK
Christian Walker	1B	153	564	127	0.225	28	86	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.288	0.482	OK
Lucas Spence	CF	16	53	11	0.208	4	10	0.276	4	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.280	0.517	OK
Cam Smith	RF	147	506	105	0.208	21	54	0.275	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.188	0.262	0.372	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	89	252	49	0.194	8	22	0.280	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.155	0.244	0.310	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	8	8	3	9	0.229

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	114	411	115	0.280	11	38	0.359	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.290	0.350	0.433	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	146	468	110	0.235	17	62	0.321	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.261	0.328	0.407	OK
Shea Langeliers	DH	105	422	110	0.261	23	58	0.325	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.251	0.305	0.438	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	106	390	101	0.259	22	55	0.325	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.326	0.540	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	141	474	126	0.266	9	59	0.312	5	3	2	1	3	2	1	0.667	0.260	0.312	0.382	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	55	137	31	0.226	6	20	0.365	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.212	0.296	0.399	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	SS	20	67	25	0.373	1	4	0.400	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.149	0.181	0.299	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	120	341	86	0.252	10	43	0.317	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.302	0.416	OK
Brian Serven	C	24	78	14	0.179	5	14	0.220	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.150	0.186	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	38	11	6	6	4	10	0.289

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	28	149.0	3.99	1.295	9.2	153	5.1	7	4	4	3	6	107	5.1	6	4
Josh Hader	Closer	44	43.5	0.83	0.713	11.4	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Logan VanWey	Setup Man	9	11.2	1.61	0.982	7.2	9	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	55.9	4.19	1.485	12.9	80	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	89.7	3.91	1.315	9.4	94	0.1	3	2	2	0	1	13	0.1	1	2

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Johnson	Starter	10	14.5	4.97	1.448	11.2	18	4.0	8	8	8	1	5	90	4.0	5	7
Elvis Alvarado	Closer	54	47.7	4.34	1.426	11.7	62	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Hogan Harris	Setup Man	74	58.9	3.97	1.732	13.4	88	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	66.7	3.10	1.439	12.5	93	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	24	29.8	3.32	1.544	9.7	32	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	23	1.1	0	0
Brady Basso	Middle Reliever	25	38.5	5.84	1.740	7.0	30	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 8-6

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

LAA 62-100 (4.04 RPG / 4.64 RA)

3 - 5

SEA 76-86 (4.1 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 5-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 5 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	9
SEA	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	x	5	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Season Quality

Record62-99

Win%0.385

Run Diff-93

RD/Game-0.578

SEA Season Quality

Record75-86

Win%0.466

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-0.385

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3159; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	DH	156	616	148	0.240	27	77	0.329	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.243	0.339	0.441	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	91	298	90	0.302	3	27	0.372	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.311	0.373	0.404	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	115	419	102	0.243	13	70	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.298	0.395	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	44	158	32	0.203	3	12	0.260	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.269	0.302	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	78	279	61	0.219	8	33	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.215	0.266	0.332	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	106	307	64	0.208	12	29	0.271	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.205	0.253	0.354	OK
Oswald Peraza	SS	108	337	76	0.226	7	25	0.278	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.228	0.259	0.322	OK
Christian Moore	2B	37	131	25	0.191	2	18	0.252	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.300	0.389	OK
Bryce Teodosio	CF	25	66	13	0.197	0	6	0.243	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.242	0.237	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	3	3	0	11	0.250

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	SS	114	409	90	0.220	14	40	0.335	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.220	0.305	0.366	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	153	569	160	0.281	26	77	0.380	4	4	3	1	4	0	0	0.750	0.283	0.358	0.449	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	143	473	125	0.264	23	77	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.278	0.345	0.495	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	124	446	79	0.177	23	68	0.292	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.162	0.289	0.337	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	148	591	147	0.249	22	71	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.311	0.420	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	151	593	155	0.261	10	56	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.177	0.236	0.238	OK
Cole Young	2B	158	575	141	0.245	17	66	0.310	3	2	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.309	0.347	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	29	87	25	0.287	2	8	0.351	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.286	0.355	0.372	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	44	121	24	0.198	3	10	0.271	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.118	0.204	0.178	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	8	5	5	1	9	0.250

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yusei Kikuchi	Starter	13	61.5	4.98	1.577	8.8	60	5.0	6	4	4	1	8	93	5.0	8	4
Mitch Farris	Closer	33	57.2	4.25	1.556	9.9	63	2.0	2	1	1	0	0	31	2.0	0	1
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	18	14.0	2.57	1.286	14.1	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	31	177.8	3.90	1.130	10.0	197	5.2	4	0	0	0	10	95	5.2	10	0
José A. Ferrer	Closer	72	54.4	4.96	1.728	8.9	54	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	27	1.1	0	1
Eduard Bazardo	Setup Man	71	55.6	4.53	1.691	10.8	67	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	39.0	3.46	1.282	10.4	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants

LAD 100-62 (4.94 RPG / 3.7 RA)

6 - 3

SF 66-97 (4.15 RPG / 4.67 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-3 TARGET: LAD 6 - 3 SF (LAD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	6	8
SF	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

LAD Season Quality

Record99-62

Win%0.615

Run Diff197

RD/Game1.224

SF Season Quality

Record65-96

Win%0.404

Run Diff-87

RD/Game-0.540

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6311; margin adjustment: -2.6098; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	133	515	141	0.274	30	79	0.377	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.364	0.477	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	120	473	123	0.260	23	69	0.325	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.271	0.336	0.485	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	151	572	166	0.290	16	68	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.287	0.347	0.387	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	149	530	124	0.234	17	70	0.327	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.340	0.408	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	122	435	117	0.269	16	63	0.335	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.281	0.334	0.444	OK
Max Muncy	3B	146	481	119	0.247	29	76	0.341	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.225	0.296	0.414	OK
Andy Pages	CF	131	504	138	0.274	22	80	0.342	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.290	0.353	0.485	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	28	72	15	0.208	1	7	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.132	0.237	0.205	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	79	284	68	0.239	8	40	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.282	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	6	6	1	9	0.229

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	2B	50	146	38	0.260	4	16	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.282	0.356	OK
Bo Davidson	RF	5	16	6	0.375	0	1	0.389	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.332	0.371	0.360	OK
Victor Bericoto	DH	37	110	26	0.236	5	15	0.257	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.242	0.380	OK
Marcelo Mayer	3B	4	11	0	0.000	0	0	0.154	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.180	0.243	0.263
Shay Whitcomb	1B	26	87	20	0.230	2	8	0.239	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.213	0.228	0.328	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	54	137	33	0.241	1	12	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.158	0.236	0.264	OK
Scott Bandura	LF	11	26	5	0.192	0	0	0.222	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.209	0.272	OK
Christian Koss	SS	64	196	44	0.224	4	12	0.262	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.185	0.216	0.259	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	120	330	81	0.245	11	43	0.313	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.239	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	3	8	0.156

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Dreyer	Starter	66	53.1	3.73	1.299	12.0	71	5.0	3	1	1	2	7	84	5.0	7	1
Tanner Scott	Closer	69	58.3	2.93	1.081	12.7	82	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brock Stewart	Setup Man	27	24.1	2.61	1.079	9.3	25	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	71	46.5	3.29	1.333	14.1	73	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Seymour	Starter	24	27.4	5.26	1.715	7.2	22	4.0	6	4	4	1	6	76	4.0	6	4
Dylan Smith	Closer	41	34.0	4.50	1.647	11.6	44	3.0	0	0	0	0	3	38	3.0	3	0
Trent Harris	Setup Man	21	20.7	2.61	1.208	11.7	27	2.0	2	2	2	0	0	31	2.0	0	2

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-3

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals

NYM 74-88 (4.31 RPG / 4.51 RA)

7 - 5

WAS 77-85 (5.07 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 7-5 TARGET: NYM 7 - 5 WAS (NYM) Confidence: 53.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	4	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	7	13
WAS	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	x	5	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYM Season Quality

Record74-87

Win%0.460

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.186

WAS Season Quality

Record76-85

Win%0.472

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.025

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.155; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	102	412	92	0.223	20	48	0.304	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.201	0.265	0.333	OK
Juan Soto	LF	108	392	110	0.281	27	68	0.396	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.313	0.413	0.517	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	155	622	163	0.262	18	78	0.313	5	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.242	0.297	0.381	OK
Carson Benge	RF	151	581	161	0.277	20	63	0.342	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.295	0.355	0.463	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	135	480	105	0.219	15	49	0.286	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.185	0.247	0.305	OK
Brett Baty	1B	134	411	99	0.241	11	56	0.309	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.262	0.332	0.421	OK
Luis Torrens	C	83	249	60	0.241	9	41	0.296	5	5	0	1	0	0	3	0.000	0.216	0.256	0.356	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	118	429	110	0.256	11	43	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.324	0.379	OK
Ronny Mauricio	DH	19	56	11	0.196	3	6	0.224	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.205	0.227	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	40	13	7	7	2	11	0.325

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	134	510	136	0.267	30	77	0.389	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.385	0.477	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	75	194	50	0.258	11	37	0.342	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.270	0.338	0.467	OK
Brady House	3B	91	317	78	0.246	10	45	0.307	4	3	2	1	4	0	0	0.667	0.279	0.336	0.410	OK
CJ Abrams	2B	151	575	150	0.261	33	105	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.334	0.517	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	106	400	89	0.222	13	44	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.276	0.384	OK
Jacob Young	CF	126	417	105	0.252	10	46	0.310	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.280	0.323	0.404	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	159	598	148	0.247	22	89	0.298	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.264	0.384	OK
Harry Ford	C	33	97	18	0.186	3	10	0.301	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.188	0.296	0.315	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	135	427	89	0.208	1	36	0.292	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.201	0.287	0.232	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	5	5	2	9	0.226

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	32	140.0	4.82	1.343	9.1	141	5.2	7	4	4	2	6	100	5.2	6	4
Kodai Senga	Closer	31	58.3	7.72	1.732	11.6	75	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	13	1.0	1	1
Nathan Lavender	Setup Man	21	17.0	2.12	0.941	13.8	26	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Pintaro	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	22	28.1	5.77	1.495	9.6	30	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1.0	1	0
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	38.1	4.25	1.575	12.3	52	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
DJ Herz	Starter	1	4.0	9.00	1.750	9.0	4	3.2	7	5	5	1	6	83	3.2	6	4
Erik Tolman	Closer	14	11.9	3.78	1.681	11.3	15	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Brad Lord	Setup Man	40	75.4	4.18	1.353	9.2	77	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	8.1	8.89	2.593	10.0	9	1.0	2	2	2	0	3	19	1.0	3	2
Will Dion	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	25.2	3.57	1.190	10.0	28	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Jack Sinclair	Middle Reliever	10	8.7	3.10	1.149	7.2	7	0.2	2	0	0	1	0	18	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 7-5

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers

PIT 82-80 (4.73 RPG / 4.56 RA)

4 - 3

DET 76-86 (4.46 RPG / 4.02 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 4 - 3 DET (PIT) Confidence: 50.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	4	8
DET	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

PIT Season Quality

Record81-80

Win%0.503

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.161

DET Season Quality

Record76-85

Win%0.472

Run Diff73

RD/Game0.453

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0363; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	78	308	83	0.269	5	31	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.274	0.309	0.392	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	104	394	108	0.274	18	75	0.336	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.280	0.337	0.444	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	157	582	153	0.263	17	72	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.332	0.395	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	43	144	39	0.271	11	25	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.265	0.328	0.560	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	113	382	94	0.246	10	49	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.232	0.325	0.342	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	142	536	160	0.299	4	59	0.362	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.289	0.344	0.364	OK
Jake Mangum	RF	121	424	117	0.276	5	32	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.290	0.335	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	3B	45	112	22	0.196	3	10	0.222	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.220	0.264	0.358	OK
Billy Cook	CF	27	52	9	0.173	0	2	0.189	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.088	0.116	0.174	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	4	4	1	12	0.229

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Max Clark	CF	49	172	46	0.267	3	21	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.314	0.365	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	106	322	87	0.270	10	46	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.308	0.366	0.464	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	153	593	164	0.277	17	71	0.376	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.276	0.371	0.416	OK
Riley Greene	DH	137	503	143	0.284	21	75	0.374	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.369	0.456	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	40	125	43	0.344	7	20	0.383	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.329	0.365	0.637	OK
Brett Callahan	LF	29	69	15	0.217	1	8	0.276	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.196	0.252	0.321	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	155	520	118	0.227	25	75	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.317	0.481	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	120	365	74	0.203	4	26	0.285	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.110	0.201	0.191	OK
John Peck	SS	19	65	11	0.169	0	7	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.164	0.261	0.215	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	1	7	0.206

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	20	96.5	3.92	1.130	11.0	118	5.2	3	1	1	1	7	87	5.2	7	1
Mason Montgomery	Closer	68	59.5	3.03	1.160	15.6	103	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	18	14.7	5.51	1.497	12.2	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	60.7	3.56	1.219	11.7	79	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
River Ryan	Starter	1	3.0	0.00	1.000	9.0	3	3.0	3	1	1	1	8	63	3.0	8	1
Kenley Jansen	Closer	49	41.5	3.04	1.084	11.1	51	2.0	3	2	2	0	1	34	2.0	1	2
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	67	60.8	3.26	1.480	8.1	55	2.0	1	1	1	0	1	28	2.0	1	1
Drew Sommers	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	30.8	3.80	1.429	18.1	62	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	33	2.0	2	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers

STL 77-85 (4.44 RPG / 4.62 RA)

2 - 5

MIL 103-59 (5.14 RPG / 3.81 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-2 TARGET: STL 2 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	3
MIL	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	x	5	9

STL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-21

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

STL Season Quality

Record77-84

Win%0.478

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.168

MIL Season Quality

Record102-59

Win%0.634

Run Diff212

RD/Game1.317

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4859; margin adjustment: 0.6241; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jordan Walker	RF	154	592	160	0.270	27	96	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.264	0.370	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	156	593	142	0.239	18	67	0.347	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.182	0.248	0.340	OK
Leonardo Bernal	1B	23	93	26	0.280	4	18	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.287	0.394	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	82	258	49	0.190	9	33	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.191	0.292	0.281	OK
Thomas Saggese	SS	50	158	37	0.234	4	14	0.295	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.244	0.283	OK
Nathan Church	CF	128	426	107	0.251	10	49	0.294	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.254	0.319	OK
José Fermín	LF	112	317	81	0.256	6	41	0.315	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.172	0.236	0.258	OK
César Prieto	2B	14	34	1	0.029	0	0	0.029	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.065	0.076	0.091	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	64	186	40	0.215	4	12	0.264	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.237	0.258	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	2	2	0	6	0.100

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	136	447	115	0.257	10	58	0.344	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.184	0.269	0.307	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	137	464	123	0.265	25	84	0.386	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.259	0.371	0.443	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	124	512	149	0.291	25	73	0.352	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.315	0.379	0.508	OK
Brice Turang	2B	146	567	156	0.275	21	100	0.370	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.304	0.393	0.571	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	82	221	46	0.208	11	36	0.346	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.339	0.355	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	113	423	97	0.229	12	56	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.159	0.253	0.285	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	69	218	61	0.280	3	33	0.347	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.299	0.374	0.372	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	105	329	77	0.234	4	38	0.296	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.204	0.278	0.284	OK
David Hamilton	3B	111	334	81	0.243	4	26	0.307	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.240	0.298	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	9	5	5	6	3	0.281

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	28	154.2	3.68	1.265	6.2	106	5.1	6	4	4	5	2	115	5.1	2	4
Riley O'Brien	Closer	66	61.2	4.26	1.340	9.4	64	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	69	53.8	4.52	1.524	10.9	65	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	70	62.6	4.46	1.613	7.6	53	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	11	0.2	0	1

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	29	168.4	1.87	0.808	13.2	247	6.0	2	2	2	0	6	82	6.0	6	2
Trevor Megill	Closer	62	60.5	2.08	0.876	10.3	69	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	61	54.9	2.13	1.111	10.2	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	75	82.1	3.40	1.425	12.7	116	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies

TB 98-64 (4.54 RPG / 4.01 RA)

4 - 3

PHI 88-74 (4.4 RPG / 4.31 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: TB 4 - 3 PHI (TB) Confidence: 57.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	4	4
PHI	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	9

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-17

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

TB Season Quality

Record98-63

Win%0.609

Run Diff90

RD/Game0.559

PHI Season Quality

Record87-74

Win%0.540

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.068

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6306; margin adjustment: -0.2649; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Victor Mesa Jr.	LF	70	231	60	0.260	14	33	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.275	0.338	0.516	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	153	575	158	0.275	22	92	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.314	0.406	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	160	610	169	0.277	42	101	0.362	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.287	0.361	0.517	OK
Liam Hicks	DH	40	121	34	0.281	4	20	0.376	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.275	0.353	0.401	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	117	341	81	0.238	10	57	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.357	0.395	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	102	342	91	0.266	9	48	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.303	0.383	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	132	435	89	0.205	15	48	0.284	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.278	0.349	OK
Nick Fortes	C	99	292	77	0.264	6	35	0.308	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.259	0.295	0.443	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	26	75	10	0.133	1	7	0.175	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.104	0.141	0.176	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	4	4	2	3	0.129

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	153	636	154	0.242	19	58	0.296	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.237	0.285	0.338	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	153	575	132	0.230	44	94	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.169	0.289	0.340	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	159	568	153	0.269	28	86	0.382	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.257	0.369	0.434	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	153	529	133	0.251	10	65	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.269	0.352	0.418	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	151	565	141	0.250	15	87	0.314	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.237	0.296	0.355	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	151	518	135	0.261	18	61	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.264	0.373	OK
Edmundo Sosa	3B	81	227	55	0.242	8	43	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.265	0.435	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	142	417	108	0.259	3	40	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.287	0.330	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	120	410	84	0.205	11	50	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.138	0.214	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	3	3	1	5	0.250

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	30	173.6	3.01	1.089	5.6	108	6.0	8	3	3	0	4	100	6.0	4	3
Bryan Baker	Closer	63	60.7	1.33	0.890	9.3	63	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	71	62.7	2.87	1.053	9.0	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Cam Booser	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.3	2.43	0.931	12.2	45	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	8	1.0	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	27	153.9	3.10	1.072	11.0	188	6.0	3	3	3	2	3	93	6.0	3	3
Jhoan Duran	Closer	59	57.4	1.57	0.976	12.9	82	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	59	51.2	3.69	1.133	12.8	73	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.1	0	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	9.0	8.00	2.000	11.0	11	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	11	0.2	0	1

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins

TEX 80-82 (4.15 RPG / 4.44 RA)

5 - 4

MIN 77-85 (4.56 RPG / 4.92 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-4 TARGET: TEX 5 - 4 MIN (TEX) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5	8
MIN	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	4

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

TEX Season Quality

Record80-81

Win%0.497

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.273

MIN Season Quality

Record76-85

Win%0.472

Run Diff-60

RD/Game-0.373

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0204; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brandon Nimmo	RF	154	589	153	0.260	14	62	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.285	0.356	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	109	407	97	0.238	17	44	0.334	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.307	0.343	OK
Corey Seager	SS	100	380	86	0.226	19	49	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.272	0.377	OK
Jake Burger	1B	153	552	127	0.230	28	90	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.278	0.406	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	150	535	140	0.262	17	83	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.243	0.304	0.380	OK
Alejandro Osuna	DH	75	202	53	0.262	1	25	0.346	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.272	0.322	0.325	OK
Danny Jansen	C	64	194	39	0.201	7	25	0.295	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.216	0.282	0.377	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	87	230	63	0.274	1	23	0.325	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.258	0.273	OK
Evan Carter	CF	136	390	76	0.195	9	40	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.287	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	8	5	5	1	7	0.235

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	150	526	149	0.283	10	52	0.371	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.307	0.367	0.486	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	32	112	31	0.277	3	11	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.280	0.342	OK
Josh Bell	DH	153	566	144	0.254	20	93	0.318	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.303	0.362	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	87	314	79	0.252	14	55	0.342	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.283	0.351	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	142	527	126	0.239	27	80	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.283	0.429	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	124	459	103	0.224	14	56	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.191	0.240	0.304	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	152	582	147	0.253	24	82	0.299	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.305	0.422	OK
Austin Martin	LF	99	299	69	0.231	3	24	0.329	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.215	0.291	0.303	OK
Walker Jenkins	CF	23	80	17	0.212	4	10	0.284	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.291	0.408	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	4	4	2	7	0.129

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	33	166.7	4.70	1.374	9.4	174	4.2	3	4	4	2	6	79	4.2	6	4
Jacob Latz	Closer	57	67.1	1.88	0.805	11.1	83	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	51	49.8	3.07	1.265	6.7	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	24	15.8	5.13	1.899	14.2	25	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	73	62.2	3.76	1.447	8.7	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	9	46.4	3.88	1.099	8.5	44	5.0	4	2	2	0	5	86	5.0	5	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	56	42.9	4.20	1.585	10.9	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
A.J. Minter	Setup Man	23	17.7	2.03	1.243	10.7	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	64.5	4.74	1.535	9.5	68	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	1	1
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	40.5	4.67	1.704	10.9	49	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	18	0.2	1	2

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

ARI Recent Form

SD Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins

ATL Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

BAL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox

CHC Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays

CIN Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

TOR Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

CLE Recent Form

KC Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox

COL Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

COL Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Oakland Athletics