MLB Predictions — September 17, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BOS @ TEX	3 - 4	3 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ CHW	5 - 4	5 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ HOU	4 - 5	4 - 5	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ CIN	9 - 5	9 - 5	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 9-5	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ PIT	6 - 4	6 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ LAA	4 - 3	4 - 3	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ TB	4 - 7	4 - 7	TB	TB	TB wins 7-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ NYM	3 - 4	3 - 4	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ COL	8 - 5	8 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 8-5	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers

BOS 82-70 (4.39 RPG / 3.86 RA)

3 - 4

TEX 76-76 (4.18 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-3 TARGET: BOS 3 - 4 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	4
TEX	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	8

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff3

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff5

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

BOS Season Quality

Record82-70

Win%0.539

Run Diff82

RD/Game0.539

TEX Season Quality

Record76-76

Win%0.500

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.250

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4844; margin adjustment: -0.2034; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	LF	46	178	42	0.236	4	10	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.303	0.340	OK
Jahmai Jones	DH	25	44	17	0.386	3	8	0.438	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.157	0.214	0.298	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	145	551	141	0.256	23	73	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.286	0.379	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	124	434	120	0.276	27	81	0.388	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.355	0.520	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	24	87	16	0.184	4	10	0.253	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.212	0.276	0.372	OK
Trevor Story	SS	56	224	54	0.241	3	25	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.281	0.353	OK
Jarren Duran	CF	140	524	106	0.202	20	63	0.260	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.193	0.242	0.334	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	138	466	113	0.242	13	61	0.325	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.308	0.373	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	54	195	51	0.262	5	18	0.358	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.173	0.272	0.315	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	3	3	2	3	0.129

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ezequiel Duran	3B	141	503	136	0.270	17	82	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.314	0.397	OK
Corey Seager	SS	91	342	80	0.234	18	46	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.241	0.313	0.435	OK
Josh Jung	DH	96	372	111	0.298	9	37	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.301	0.353	0.438	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	146	559	147	0.263	14	61	0.327	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.254	0.306	0.386	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	100	380	91	0.239	17	40	0.326	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.214	0.291	0.390	OK
Jake Burger	1B	144	521	122	0.234	26	84	0.304	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.225	0.303	0.407	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	80	213	59	0.277	1	23	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.155	0.191	0.192	OK
Danny Jansen	C	56	170	33	0.194	6	21	0.283	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.288	0.366	OK
Evan Carter	CF	129	367	71	0.193	9	35	0.288	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.131	0.226	0.227	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	4	4	3	5	0.250

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	27	155.5	2.78	1.177	8.1	140	6.0	6	2	2	1	5	101	6.0	5	2
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	51	50.2	1.43	1.076	12.2	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	48.5	1.86	0.845	10.8	58	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	27	1.0	0	2

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Alexander	Starter	68	57.8	3.89	1.471	8.9	57	5.0	3	1	1	0	1	72	5.0	1	1
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	48	47.6	2.84	1.239	7.0	37	2.0	1	2	2	2	1	30	2.0	1	2
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	13.3	5.41	1.805	12.2	18	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-3

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET 72-80 (4.49 RPG / 3.99 RA)

5 - 4

CHW 77-75 (4.68 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-4 TARGET: DET 5 - 4 CHW (DET) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	5	5
CHW	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	8

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

DET Season Quality

Record72-80

Win%0.474

Run Diff76

RD/Game0.500

CHW Season Quality

Record77-75

Win%0.507

Run Diff34

RD/Game0.224

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4415; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	145	557	153	0.275	17	65	0.377	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.289	0.394	0.465	OK
Gleyber Torres	DH	89	334	88	0.263	8	37	0.364	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.262	0.357	0.364	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	136	517	126	0.244	27	88	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.251	0.396	OK
Riley Greene	LF	129	475	136	0.286	20	73	0.372	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.294	0.365	0.477	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	147	494	110	0.223	23	70	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.349	0.487	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	116	359	74	0.206	4	26	0.288	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.181	0.261	0.257	OK
Max Clark	CF	41	144	38	0.264	3	20	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.260	0.317	0.401	OK
John Peck	SS	12	41	9	0.220	0	7	0.340	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.208	0.307	0.271	OK
Javier Báez	2B	50	169	41	0.243	2	17	0.271	3	2	2	1	4	1	0	1.000	0.230	0.253	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	5	5	3	6	0.156

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	145	539	146	0.271	14	56	0.345	5	4	0	1	1	0	3	0.000	0.267	0.330	0.384	OK
Tommy Pham	DH	2	5	1	0.200	1	3	0.200	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.094	0.107	0.265	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	149	558	139	0.249	31	84	0.356	5	5	3	0	0	0	0	0.600	0.247	0.336	0.436	OK
Randal Grichuk	LF	92	207	63	0.304	13	37	0.332	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.299	0.326	0.577	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	116	415	84	0.202	31	65	0.344	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.181	0.319	0.406	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	25	65	15	0.231	2	7	0.231	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.224	0.265	0.342	OK
Jake Rogers	C	12	36	4	0.111	1	3	0.200	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.143	0.237	0.256	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	76	200	46	0.230	1	12	0.268	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.163	0.202	0.217	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	82	290	61	0.210	6	37	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.181	0.279	0.293	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	8	4	4	5	12	0.242

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	29	161.1	4.08	1.384	6.8	121	6.0	5	3	3	5	8	123	6.0	8	3
Kenley Jansen	Closer	46	38.5	3.27	1.169	11.2	48	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	28	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	65	60.6	3.27	1.436	8.2	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	29	1.1	2	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	52.5	4.29	1.752	8.1	47	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	14	0.2	1	1

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Erick Fedde	Starter	31	129.7	4.09	1.380	6.3	91	4.2	5	5	5	2	3	84	4.2	3	5
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	53	73.6	3.18	1.277	9.5	78	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	52.8	2.90	1.307	9.4	55	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-4

Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros

KC 67-86 (4.2 RPG / 4.84 RA)

4 - 5

HOU 77-76 (4.45 RPG / 4.78 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-4 TARGET: KC 4 - 5 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	5
HOU	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	x	5	10

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

KC Season Quality

Record67-85

Win%0.441

Run Diff-93

RD/Game-0.612

HOU Season Quality

Record76-76

Win%0.500

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.355

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1181; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	139	494	115	0.233	24	74	0.320	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.314	0.468	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	132	515	143	0.278	18	53	0.357	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.249	0.333	0.390	OK
Jac Caglianone	DH	134	479	132	0.276	23	70	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.293	0.438	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	72	282	76	0.270	3	32	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.320	0.393	OK
Michael Massey	2B	119	386	109	0.282	12	46	0.316	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.289	0.319	0.443	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	141	543	125	0.230	19	72	0.275	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.269	0.371	OK
John Rave	RF	39	114	25	0.219	6	13	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.304	0.474	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	88	269	59	0.219	6	24	0.266	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.134	0.176	0.197	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	134	417	92	0.221	6	40	0.328	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.316	0.285	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	4	4	2	6	0.156

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	101	404	112	0.277	19	49	0.329	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.309	0.343	0.530	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	147	525	164	0.312	39	98	0.431	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.289	0.401	0.575	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	144	522	132	0.253	21	86	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.304	0.454	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	124	482	117	0.243	15	44	0.302	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.225	0.275	0.337	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	82	299	83	0.278	12	37	0.310	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.299	0.330	0.464	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	37	140	25	0.179	4	13	0.233	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.200	0.248	0.311	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	84	235	48	0.204	7	21	0.286	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.184	0.266	0.322	OK
Cam Smith	RF	139	478	102	0.213	20	53	0.277	4	4	3	1	5	0	0	0.750	0.182	0.236	0.356	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	1B	46	114	23	0.202	3	18	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.283	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	10	5	5	2	9	0.294

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	30	161.2	5.08	1.476	7.0	126	5.0	5	1	1	1	5	94	5.0	5	1
Steven Cruz	Closer	54	52.0	4.50	1.365	10.7	62	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	22	22.3	1.61	1.031	8.9	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	11.4	3.95	1.491	6.3	8	1.0	3	2	2	0	2	27	1.0	2	2

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Miguel Ullola	Starter	6	8.0	3.38	0.750	11.2	10	3.0	5	4	4	1	5	57	3.0	5	4
Josh Hader	Closer	42	41.4	0.65	0.604	12.0	55	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	25	2.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Setup Man	61	53.5	4.21	1.458	13.0	77	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	85.4	3.48	1.288	9.6	91	2.0	0	0	0	1	0	22	2.0	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-4

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds

LAD 93-60 (4.96 RPG / 3.79 RA)

9 - 5

CIN 71-82 (4.14 RPG / 5.14 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 9-5 TARGET: LAD 9 - 5 CIN (LAD) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	1	3	1	0	0	4	0	0	9	11
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	1	5	11

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed7.7

Run Diff-39

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

LAD Season Quality

Record92-60

Win%0.605

Run Diff173

RD/Game1.138

CIN Season Quality

Record71-81

Win%0.467

Run Diff-148

RD/Game-0.974

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9288; margin adjustment: -3.0861; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Edman	CF	71	256	63	0.246	6	33	0.328	6	6	1	1	1	0	1	0.167	0.232	0.289	0.348	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	143	539	158	0.293	16	64	0.371	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.259	0.325	0.384	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	140	499	113	0.226	15	66	0.322	5	4	2	1	6	1	0	0.500	0.220	0.319	0.408	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	113	399	105	0.263	15	61	0.333	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.250	0.326	0.463	OK
Max Muncy	3B	138	453	112	0.247	28	71	0.345	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.182	0.271	0.401	OK
Josue De Paula	DH	5	14	2	0.143	1	3	0.368	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.171	0.367	0.443	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	24	62	15	0.242	1	7	0.347	5	4	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.333	0.358	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	83	226	53	0.235	4	21	0.314	5	3	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.213	0.299	0.331	OK
Miguel Rojas	SS	89	206	55	0.267	3	20	0.298	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.268	0.309	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									46	38	11	9	9	8	9	0.289

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	95	265	69	0.260	6	25	0.344	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.245	0.305	0.353	OK
Elly De La Cruz	DH	130	511	148	0.290	28	74	0.369	5	5	3	0	0	0	1	0.600	0.290	0.366	0.565	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	149	572	154	0.269	30	105	0.337	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.272	0.332	0.407	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	119	382	95	0.249	15	53	0.330	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.293	0.363	OK
Juan Brito	2B	10	32	13	0.406	2	9	0.429	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.316	0.424	OK
Matt McLain	SS	119	405	76	0.188	15	39	0.277	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.173	0.243	0.321	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	33	116	26	0.224	5	12	0.274	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.202	0.242	0.332	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	69	210	31	0.148	5	8	0.204	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.091	0.141	0.156	OK
TJ Friedl	LF	78	235	39	0.166	4	13	0.248	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.162	0.228	0.246	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	5	5	1	9	0.289

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	24	131.7	3.83	1.169	7.6	111	5.0	6	3	3	1	4	97	5.0	4	3
Tanner Scott	Closer	65	54.3	3.15	1.123	12.6	76	1.2	2	1	1	0	2	33	1.2	2	1
Brock Stewart	Setup Man	24	21.1	2.56	1.137	9.0	21	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	43.5	3.52	1.402	13.9	67	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	29	147.4	5.50	1.547	7.6	125	4.2	7	5	5	4	8	108	4.2	8	4
Emilio Pagán	Closer	41	38.5	3.74	1.065	9.8	42	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Luis Mey	Setup Man	24	27.8	6.80	1.799	14.2	44	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	74	62.0	2.76	1.468	10.5	72	1.0	2	4	4	2	0	37	1.0	0	4
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	37.1	6.06	1.671	8.7	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	53	44.0	3.27	1.205	10.8	53	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 9-5

Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MIL 95-58 (5.18 RPG / 3.89 RA)

6 - 4

PIT 76-77 (4.77 RPG / 4.61 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-4 TARGET: MIL 6 - 4 PIT (MIL) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	6	10
PIT	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	10

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs7.3

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff26

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIL Season Quality

Record95-57

Win%0.625

Run Diff200

RD/Game1.316

PIT Season Quality

Record75-77

Win%0.493

Run Diff21

RD/Game0.138

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.1696; margin adjustment: -0.4912; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	138	533	145	0.272	19	94	0.371	5	3	2	1	1	2	1	0.667	0.333	0.438	0.570	OK
Luis Lara	CF	48	162	42	0.259	1	24	0.318	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.262	0.310	0.351	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	115	483	141	0.292	23	67	0.348	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.318	0.432	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	96	277	88	0.318	6	43	0.394	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.335	0.395	0.478	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	78	209	43	0.206	11	35	0.348	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.209	0.356	0.416	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	109	337	90	0.267	9	45	0.324	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.317	0.367	0.466	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	99	315	73	0.232	4	35	0.292	5	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.153	0.207	0.225	OK
Bo Naylor	C	1	4	1	0.250	0	1	0.250	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.132	0.180	0.227	OK
David Hamilton	3B	104	317	76	0.240	4	25	0.303	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.313	0.343	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	36	10	6	6	6	11	0.278

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	69	271	71	0.262	5	27	0.315	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.285	0.363	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	88	340	93	0.274	19	64	0.363	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.266	0.344	0.471	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	149	553	146	0.264	17	71	0.368	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.235	0.319	0.399	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	1B	37	124	34	0.274	9	20	0.328	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.287	0.333	0.516	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	138	538	139	0.258	31	88	0.328	5	5	4	1	2	0	0	0.800	0.276	0.340	0.527	OK
Nick Gonzales	DH	135	511	155	0.303	4	58	0.366	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.293	0.346	0.376	OK
Ronny Simon	RF	12	37	12	0.324	0	2	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.306	0.341	0.377	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	103	305	74	0.243	3	28	0.316	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.213	0.272	0.274	OK
Henry Davis	C	81	242	39	0.161	9	35	0.249	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.142	0.219	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	4	4	5	9	0.270

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	23	107.4	3.77	1.313	11.2	134	5.0	4	2	2	4	5	103	5.0	5	3
Trevor Megill	Closer	58	56.5	1.91	0.885	10.4	65	1.0	2	0	0	1	2	23	1.0	2	0
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	57	50.9	2.30	1.120	9.9	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	71	76.1	3.43	1.498	13.1	111	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	25	1.0	0	1
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	14.3	7.55	1.888	7.6	12	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	25	1.0	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Wilber Dotel	Starter	18	33.7	3.47	1.246	9.6	36	5.0	4	1	1	3	6	99	5.0	6	1
Mason Montgomery	Closer	63	55.2	2.77	1.123	15.5	95	1.0	1	1	1	0	3	16	1.0	3	1
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	13	11.4	5.53	1.491	11.1	14	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	63	57.3	3.77	1.204	11.6	74	1.0	5	4	4	0	1	35	1.0	1	4
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	72.2	3.37	1.357	11.7	94	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-4

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels

MIN 71-81 (4.55 RPG / 5.03 RA)

4 - 3

LAA 58-94 (4.04 RPG / 4.55 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 4-3 TARGET: MIN 4 - 3 LAA (MIN) Confidence: 51.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	8
LAA	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-34

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIN Season Quality

Record71-81

Win%0.467

Run Diff-73

RD/Game-0.480

LAA Season Quality

Record58-94

Win%0.382

Run Diff-78

RD/Game-0.513

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0786; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	142	494	138	0.279	9	45	0.371	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.299	0.375	0.393	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	143	544	134	0.246	23	78	0.296	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.202	0.255	0.335	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	134	498	120	0.241	26	76	0.302	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.229	0.281	0.416	OK
Josh Bell	DH	145	534	135	0.253	20	88	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.278	0.392	OK
Emmanuel Rodriguez	LF	5	19	5	0.263	1	4	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.261	0.300	0.552	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	116	425	97	0.228	14	54	0.293	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.210	0.269	0.339	OK
Victor Caratini	C	99	308	68	0.221	7	41	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.139	0.213	0.207	OK
Walker Jenkins	CF	14	45	4	0.089	1	5	0.212	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.090	0.189	0.174	OK
Ben Ross	SS	4	6	1	0.167	0	0	0.167	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.186	0.198	0.413	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	6	0.229

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	147	585	142	0.243	26	74	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.343	0.481	OK
Mike Trout	DH	133	481	116	0.241	21	52	0.379	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.233	0.379	0.409	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	82	260	76	0.292	3	26	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.287	0.363	0.377	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	1B	36	129	29	0.225	3	11	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.257	0.328	0.405	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	70	248	57	0.230	7	28	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.267	0.303	0.379	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	98	284	60	0.211	12	29	0.276	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.278	0.398	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	103	327	73	0.223	7	24	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.246	0.299	OK
Jose Siri	CF	80	200	46	0.230	8	28	0.279	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.242	0.286	0.413	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	32	89	17	0.191	0	3	0.234	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.158	0.181	0.217	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	1	9	0.182

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	29	163.0	3.87	1.264	10.5	190	6.0	5	3	3	1	6	107	6.0	6	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	52	40.5	3.78	1.531	10.7	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	17	13.8	2.61	1.232	15.7	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	15.3	1.76	1.242	10.6	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Ureña	Starter	27	135.0	2.93	1.259	8.7	131	5.2	3	1	1	2	5	88	5.2	5	1
Ben Joyce	Closer	14	12.4	3.63	1.210	10.9	15	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	23	1.0	1	2
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	16	12.0	2.25	1.167	12.8	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tayler Saucedo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	23	14.0	3.86	1.357	13.5	21	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-3

Oakland Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays

OAK 61-92 (4.32 RPG / 5.72 RA)

4 - 7

TB 93-59 (4.59 RPG / 4.07 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 7-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 7 TB (TB) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	4	5
TB	0	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	7	10

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak5W

OAK Season Quality

Record61-91

Win%0.401

Run Diff-205

RD/Game-1.349

TB Season Quality

Record92-59

Win%0.609

Run Diff71

RD/Game0.470

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.6832; margin adjustment: 2.6931; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	LF	105	375	103	0.275	11	34	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.323	0.399	OK
Jeff McNeil	DH	132	445	120	0.270	8	54	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.301	0.367	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	137	434	99	0.228	16	58	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.292	0.431	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	97	356	88	0.247	18	46	0.313	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.190	0.243	0.357	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	46	114	25	0.219	4	13	0.373	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.224	0.302	0.409	OK
Tommy White	1B	45	166	43	0.259	3	9	0.275	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.270	0.352	OK
Alika Williams	SS	69	196	51	0.260	4	15	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.272	0.403	OK
Jonah Heim	C	85	294	60	0.204	12	34	0.258	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.179	0.224	0.300	OK
Denzel Clarke	CF	25	65	10	0.154	0	6	0.214	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.109	0.171	0.155	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	5	4	4	3	10	0.161

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	145	578	173	0.299	22	81	0.364	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.240	0.288	0.366	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	145	547	153	0.280	21	89	0.362	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.300	0.366	0.548	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	150	574	160	0.279	41	96	0.363	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.274	0.342	0.549	OK
Liam Hicks	C	33	97	28	0.289	4	17	0.381	5	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.160	0.244	0.269	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	92	308	83	0.269	9	44	0.301	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.286	0.317	0.428	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	139	539	167	0.310	0	34	0.337	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.364	0.389	0.426	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	80	215	56	0.260	11	39	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.325	0.417	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	111	323	75	0.232	10	50	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.181	0.272	0.350	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	110	346	75	0.217	2	33	0.304	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.208	0.293	0.288	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	10	7	7	3	6	0.286

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	27	130.8	6.12	1.498	7.2	105	4.2	6	5	5	3	6	101	4.2	6	4
Seth Johnson	Reliever	7	10.3	4.37	1.262	13.1	15	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Chris Roycroft	Reliever	5	7.4	1.22	1.486	4.9	4	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Hogan Harris	Reliever	71	55.9	4.03	1.717	13.7	85	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Reliever	53	62.5	3.31	1.440	12.7	88	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	7	0.1	0	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	28	159.4	2.82	0.922	9.0	160	6.0	3	2	2	1	8	97	6.0	8	2
Bryan Baker	Closer	60	57.7	1.40	0.867	9.7	62	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	67	60.5	2.98	1.058	9.1	61	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Cam Booser	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	38	31.0	2.61	0.968	12.2	42	1.0	1	2	2	1	2	20	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

TB wins 7-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

PHI 85-68 (4.47 RPG / 4.25 RA)

3 - 4

NYM 69-84 (4.25 RPG / 4.55 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 4-3 TARGET: PHI 3 - 4 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 54.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4
NYM	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	x	4	8

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

PHI Season Quality

Record84-68

Win%0.553

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.204

NYM Season Quality

Record69-83

Win%0.454

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.283

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3119; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	144	546	129	0.236	44	94	0.348	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.210	0.308	0.463	OK
Trea Turner	SS	144	601	145	0.241	19	57	0.292	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.235	0.280	0.363	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	150	533	144	0.270	28	83	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.266	0.373	0.492	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	38	150	44	0.293	2	17	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.310	0.359	0.422	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	142	530	133	0.251	15	83	0.317	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.266	0.338	0.400	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	144	498	123	0.247	10	63	0.325	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.235	0.317	0.358	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	142	497	130	0.262	17	58	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.188	0.230	0.301	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	134	394	103	0.261	3	36	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.279	0.330	0.418	OK
Garrett Stubbs	C	19	54	9	0.167	0	3	0.220	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.111	0.147	0.138	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	4	3	3	5	9	0.129

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	93	373	86	0.231	20	47	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.285	0.418	OK
Juan Soto	DH	99	358	98	0.274	25	61	0.388	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.374	0.498	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	146	585	155	0.265	16	74	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.291	0.351	OK
Carson Benge	RF	142	546	146	0.267	18	57	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.314	0.409	OK
Jared Young	1B	96	304	81	0.266	8	36	0.330	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.330	0.429	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	109	398	103	0.259	10	38	0.330	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.272	0.343	0.411	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	101	339	75	0.221	14	35	0.304	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.256	0.327	OK
Brett Baty	2B	125	392	91	0.232	10	50	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.307	0.394	OK
Nick Morabito	LF	11	29	5	0.172	0	4	0.294	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.185	0.260	0.239	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	4	4	3	3	0.250

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	30	157.6	4.80	1.402	9.4	165	6.0	6	4	4	1	3	110	6.0	3	4
Jhoan Duran	Closer	56	54.4	1.49	0.974	12.7	77	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	51.0	3.71	1.118	12.5	71	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	29	164.8	3.28	1.189	10.0	184	6.0	4	2	2	3	6	112	6.0	6	2
Kodai Senga	Closer	29	57.2	7.40	1.678	11.5	73	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	17	1.0	1	1
Nathan Lavender	Setup Man	17	12.8	2.11	1.172	15.5	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Pintaro	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	27.9	4.84	1.362	9.7	30	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 4-3

San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies

SD 84-69 (4.37 RPG / 4.17 RA)

8 - 5

COL 56-97 (4.69 RPG / 5.84 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 8-5 TARGET: SD 8 - 5 COL (SD) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	8	11
COL	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed7.6

Run Diff-32

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SD Season Quality

Record83-69

Win%0.546

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.151

COL Season Quality

Record56-96

Win%0.368

Run Diff-170

RD/Game-1.118

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.5039; margin adjustment: -2.4062; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	148	591	169	0.286	23	77	0.353	5	5	2	1	2	0	3	0.400	0.295	0.353	0.535	OK
Dustin Harris	CF	15	49	17	0.347	0	8	0.377	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.301	0.360	0.417	OK
Manny Machado	3B	148	551	122	0.221	28	83	0.311	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.244	0.326	0.453	OK
Ty France	1B	117	401	118	0.294	20	66	0.359	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.306	0.353	0.483	OK
Jackson Merrill	DH	148	579	148	0.256	25	83	0.304	5	4	2	1	5	1	0	0.500	0.309	0.350	0.514	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	145	495	110	0.222	11	54	0.323	4	4	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.342	0.325	OK
Luis Campusano	C	65	198	54	0.273	8	29	0.366	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.258	0.328	0.440	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	98	342	74	0.216	5	30	0.298	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.308	0.317	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	38	125	39	0.312	1	13	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.360	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	8	8	3	12	0.289

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	131	508	150	0.295	15	79	0.338	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.282	0.316	0.464	OK
Connor Norby	2B	31	102	30	0.294	3	14	0.385	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.324	0.398	OK
Cole Carrigg	SS	80	293	78	0.266	10	45	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.307	0.474	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	143	513	155	0.302	15	68	0.393	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.317	0.389	0.437	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	118	373	98	0.263	12	47	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.324	0.443	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	106	378	91	0.241	22	64	0.278	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.189	0.223	0.365	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	118	379	107	0.282	4	49	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.310	0.375	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	69	204	47	0.230	7	32	0.269	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.202	0.241	0.333	OK
Zac Veen	RF	26	52	13	0.250	2	12	0.328	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.313	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	5	5	1	7	0.250

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	30	172.2	3.08	1.167	7.7	148	6.1	6	3	3	1	6	114	6.1	6	3
Mason Miller	Closer	61	61.3	1.17	0.897	17.5	119	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	71	72.8	3.21	1.195	12.4	100	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	58.9	2.14	1.138	11.3	74	0.2	2	2	2	0	0	14	0.2	0	2

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Gordon	Starter	22	95.7	5.64	1.505	7.6	81	5.0	5	6	6	1	5	94	5.0	5	6
Jordan Romano	Closer	23	20.5	3.51	1.220	9.2	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	68	48.6	2.96	1.358	8.0	43	1.0	1	0	0	2	2	34	1.0	2	1
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	43.7	6.59	1.693	8.9	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	41	28.2	5.74	1.879	11.8	37	1.0	4	2	2	0	2	25	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

SD wins 8-5

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers

BOS Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

DET Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros

KC Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

KC Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds

LAD Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MIL Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels

MIN Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Oakland Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays

OAK Recent Form

TB Recent Form

OAK Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets