| Matchup | Target Score | Sim Score | Target Winner | Sim Winner | Winner | Confidence | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI @ HOU | 4 - 3 | 4 - 3 | ARI | ARI | ARI wins 4-3 | 54% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| ATL @ PHI | 3 - 4 | 3 - 4 | PHI | PHI | PHI wins 4-3 | 55% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| BOS @ BAL | 4 - 3 | 4 - 3 | BOS | BOS | BOS wins 4-3 | 55% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| CHC @ MIA | 6 - 4 | 6 - 4 | CHC | CHC | CHC wins 6-4 | 58% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| DET @ CLE | 3 - 4 | 3 - 4 | CLE | CLE | CLE wins 4-3 | 52% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| LAA @ PIT | 3 - 5 | 3 - 5 | PIT | PIT | PIT wins 5-3 | 57% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| MIL @ CIN | 7 - 5 | 7 - 5 | MIL | MIL | MIL wins 7-5 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| MIN @ CHW | 4 - 6 | 4 - 6 | CHW | CHW | CHW wins 6-4 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| NYY @ SD | 4 - 3 | 4 - 3 | NYY | NYY | NYY wins 4-3 | 54% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| OAK @ SEA | 6 - 7 | 6 - 7 | SEA | SEA | SEA wins 7-6 | 54% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| SF @ NYM | 4 - 6 | 4 - 6 | NYM | NYM | NYM wins 6-4 | 52% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| STL @ COL | 5 - 4 | 5 - 4 | STL | STL | STL wins 5-4 | 56% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| TB @ TEX | 5 - 4 | 5 - 4 | TB | TB | TB wins 5-4 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| TOR @ KC | 5 - 4 | 5 - 4 | TOR | TOR | TOR wins 5-4 | 54% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| WAS @ LAD | 4 - 5 | 4 - 5 | LAD | LAD | LAD wins 5-4 | 53% | enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| HOU | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
Quality edge: -0.0257; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Geraldo Perdomo | SS | 138 | 496 | 124 | 0.250 | 9 | 48 | 0.357 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.241 | 0.336 | 0.331 | OK |
| Ketel Marte | 2B | 121 | 483 | 121 | 0.251 | 22 | 68 | 0.316 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.243 | 0.301 | 0.471 | OK |
| Gabriel Moreno | DH | 112 | 403 | 121 | 0.300 | 12 | 69 | 0.380 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.290 | 0.371 | 0.473 | OK |
| Nolan Arenado | 3B | 133 | 464 | 108 | 0.233 | 21 | 65 | 0.307 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.195 | 0.252 | 0.318 | OK |
| Corbin Carroll | RF | 139 | 520 | 124 | 0.238 | 19 | 61 | 0.334 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.193 | 0.267 | 0.371 | OK |
| Tommy Troy | LF | 23 | 75 | 18 | 0.240 | 3 | 5 | 0.321 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.240 | 0.315 | 0.421 | OK |
| James McCann | C | 35 | 115 | 34 | 0.296 | 4 | 21 | 0.325 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.268 | 0.295 | 0.384 | OK |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 1B | 115 | 407 | 103 | 0.253 | 9 | 66 | 0.292 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.213 | 0.249 | 0.315 | OK |
| Jordan Lawlar | CF | 19 | 59 | 16 | 0.271 | 2 | 7 | 0.348 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.260 | 0.294 | 0.400 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0.189 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jeremy Peña | SS | 92 | 369 | 101 | 0.274 | 17 | 46 | 0.327 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.213 | 0.253 | 0.352 | OK |
| Yordan Alvarez | DH | 140 | 500 | 159 | 0.318 | 37 | 94 | 0.436 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.275 | 0.401 | 0.485 | OK |
| Isaac Paredes | 3B | 135 | 490 | 125 | 0.255 | 18 | 79 | 0.355 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.261 | 0.338 | 0.415 | OK |
| Jose Altuve | 2B | 115 | 446 | 108 | 0.242 | 15 | 44 | 0.304 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.204 | 0.263 | 0.353 | OK |
| Christian Walker | 1B | 136 | 503 | 115 | 0.229 | 24 | 77 | 0.302 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.211 | 0.266 | 0.358 | OK |
| Nelson Velázquez | LF | 8 | 17 | 2 | 0.118 | 1 | 4 | 0.167 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.204 | 0.260 | 0.412 | OK |
| Daulton Varsho | CF | 28 | 107 | 19 | 0.178 | 3 | 12 | 0.241 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.209 | 0.267 | 0.333 | OK |
| Cam Smith | RF | 130 | 448 | 96 | 0.214 | 17 | 49 | 0.279 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.214 | 0.269 | 0.372 | OK |
| Christian Vázquez | C | 78 | 228 | 48 | 0.211 | 7 | 25 | 0.264 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.125 | 0.188 | 0.213 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 43 | 40 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Starter | 28 | 163.5 | 2.64 | 1.242 | 6.7 | 122 | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 109 | 6.0 | 5 | 2 |
| Brandyn Garcia | Closer | 36 | 26.8 | 2.01 | 0.784 | 12.1 | 36 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juan Morillo | Setup Man | 48 | 40.4 | 2.90 | 1.114 | 12.3 | 55 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 48 | 40.8 | 3.09 | 1.225 | 7.1 | 32 | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Peter Lambert | Starter | 24 | 128.7 | 3.78 | 1.282 | 9.2 | 131 | 5.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 89 | 5.1 | 6 | 2 |
| Josh Hader | Closer | 39 | 38.4 | 0.47 | 0.573 | 12.4 | 53 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryan Abreu | Setup Man | 56 | 49.4 | 4.19 | 1.498 | 12.6 | 69 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| AJ Blubaugh | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 55 | 83.1 | 3.25 | 1.239 | 9.6 | 89 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 62 | 57.8 | 4.98 | 1.367 | 9.5 | 61 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
ARI wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
Quality edge: -0.391; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Drake Baldwin | DH | 118 | 461 | 128 | 0.278 | 22 | 69 | 0.356 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.284 | 0.348 | 0.450 | OK |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | RF | 88 | 335 | 85 | 0.254 | 15 | 41 | 0.351 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.284 | 0.352 | 0.482 | OK |
| Matt Olson | 1B | 141 | 545 | 136 | 0.250 | 36 | 78 | 0.325 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.196 | 0.271 | 0.399 | OK |
| Michael Harris II | CF | 135 | 513 | 151 | 0.294 | 24 | 80 | 0.319 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.256 | 0.280 | 0.491 | OK |
| Mauricio Dubón | SS | 133 | 494 | 132 | 0.267 | 11 | 66 | 0.312 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.255 | 0.297 | 0.379 | OK |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 141 | 537 | 137 | 0.255 | 21 | 68 | 0.311 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.229 | 0.280 | 0.369 | OK |
| Sean Murphy | C | 19 | 64 | 15 | 0.234 | 3 | 8 | 0.300 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.244 | 0.317 | 0.467 | OK |
| Austin Riley | 3B | 139 | 494 | 111 | 0.225 | 16 | 65 | 0.296 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.283 | 0.399 | OK |
| Mike Yastrzemski | LF | 115 | 306 | 69 | 0.225 | 9 | 33 | 0.305 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.142 | 0.212 | 0.246 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Kyle Schwarber | DH | 134 | 506 | 121 | 0.239 | 40 | 84 | 0.353 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.238 | 0.345 | 0.505 | OK |
| Trea Turner | SS | 134 | 560 | 135 | 0.241 | 17 | 52 | 0.293 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.206 | 0.256 | 0.314 | OK |
| Bryce Harper | RF | 140 | 495 | 136 | 0.275 | 27 | 80 | 0.393 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.300 | 0.413 | 0.506 | OK |
| Luis Arraez | 2B | 28 | 115 | 34 | 0.296 | 2 | 12 | 0.311 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.307 | 0.337 | 0.411 | OK |
| Alec Bohm | 1B | 133 | 499 | 123 | 0.246 | 15 | 78 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.305 | 0.390 | OK |
| Bryson Stott | 3B | 134 | 466 | 118 | 0.253 | 10 | 60 | 0.329 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.232 | 0.302 | 0.380 | OK |
| Brandon Marsh | LF | 133 | 474 | 127 | 0.268 | 17 | 57 | 0.314 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.130 | 0.182 | 0.219 | OK |
| Justin Crawford | CF | 125 | 369 | 96 | 0.260 | 2 | 34 | 0.310 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.151 | 0.211 | 0.226 | OK |
| Garrett Stubbs | C | 18 | 51 | 8 | 0.157 | 0 | 3 | 0.214 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.143 | 0.179 | 0.190 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 38 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Tyler Mahle | Starter | 5 | 29.4 | 1.53 | 0.986 | 9.8 | 32 | 5.2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 110 | 5.2 | 4 | 2 |
| Dylan Lee | Setup Man | 64 | 53.3 | 2.70 | 0.957 | 12.5 | 74 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Didier Fuentes | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 50 | 57.3 | 2.51 | 1.187 | 12.4 | 79 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Aaron Nola | Starter | 28 | 144.5 | 5.04 | 1.433 | 9.8 | 157 | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 90 | 5.1 | 1 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | Closer | 52 | 50.4 | 1.25 | 0.992 | 12.5 | 70 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonathan Bowlan | Setup Man | 55 | 48.8 | 3.32 | 1.066 | 12.4 | 67 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Orion Kerkering | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 59 | 47.9 | 4.70 | 1.482 | 10.7 | 57 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Brooks Raley | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 10 | 6.5 | 4.15 | 1.231 | 11.1 | 8 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
PHI wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
Quality edge: -0.5547; margin adjustment: -0.233; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Roman Anthony | RF | 37 | 140 | 35 | 0.250 | 3 | 7 | 0.360 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.258 | 0.355 | 0.420 | OK |
| Mickey Gasper | 1B | 50 | 155 | 43 | 0.277 | 8 | 22 | 0.372 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.285 | 0.373 | 0.545 | OK |
| Adley Rutschman | C | 17 | 61 | 11 | 0.180 | 3 | 6 | 0.254 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.234 | 0.288 | 0.428 | OK |
| Trevor Story | SS | 47 | 190 | 45 | 0.237 | 3 | 23 | 0.269 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.288 | 0.311 | 0.395 | OK |
| Nick Sogard | 2B | 47 | 172 | 46 | 0.267 | 4 | 15 | 0.368 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.283 | 0.378 | 0.477 | OK |
| Caleb Durbin | 3B | 130 | 444 | 107 | 0.241 | 12 | 59 | 0.317 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.212 | 0.285 | 0.301 | OK |
| Jarren Duran | LF | 132 | 501 | 101 | 0.202 | 19 | 62 | 0.260 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.178 | 0.230 | 0.297 | OK |
| Andruw Monasterio | DH | 93 | 287 | 71 | 0.247 | 6 | 40 | 0.306 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.281 | 0.360 | OK |
| Eli White | CF | 18 | 46 | 12 | 0.261 | 0 | 8 | 0.292 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.247 | 0.282 | 0.399 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Blaze Alexander | 2B | 78 | 246 | 77 | 0.313 | 4 | 30 | 0.363 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.313 | 0.351 | 0.412 | OK |
| Pete Alonso | 1B | 140 | 524 | 140 | 0.267 | 33 | 94 | 0.358 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.220 | 0.313 | 0.410 | OK |
| Coby Mayo | DH | 107 | 339 | 76 | 0.224 | 19 | 55 | 0.288 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.232 | 0.284 | 0.442 | OK |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 3B | 40 | 134 | 34 | 0.254 | 7 | 28 | 0.299 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.259 | 0.300 | 0.461 | OK |
| Gunnar Henderson | SS | 138 | 552 | 122 | 0.221 | 21 | 56 | 0.305 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.219 | 0.298 | 0.377 | OK |
| Rece Hinds | LF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.129 | 0.158 | 0.224 | |
| Leody Taveras | RF | 118 | 388 | 84 | 0.216 | 8 | 52 | 0.287 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.189 | 0.262 | 0.309 | OK |
| Carlos Narváez | C | 22 | 57 | 5 | 0.088 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.128 | 0.195 | 0.183 | OK |
| Colton Cowser | CF | 111 | 292 | 64 | 0.219 | 12 | 34 | 0.304 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.226 | 0.304 | 0.369 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 37 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0.270 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Payton Tolle | Starter | 23 | 128.2 | 3.30 | 1.123 | 10.3 | 147 | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 88 | 6.0 | 7 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | Closer | 48 | 47.2 | 1.53 | 1.059 | 12.0 | 63 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Erik Miller | Setup Man | 12 | 12.1 | 0.74 | 1.074 | 16.4 | 22 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Garrett Whitlock | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 48 | 46.3 | 1.94 | 0.864 | 10.1 | 52 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kyle Bradish | Starter | 27 | 144.5 | 4.11 | 1.453 | 8.5 | 137 | 5.1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 90 | 5.1 | 5 | 3 |
| Andrew Kittredge | Closer | 50 | 39.8 | 3.62 | 1.533 | 8.4 | 37 | 2.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 2.1 | 0 | 1 |
| Rico Garcia | Setup Man | 66 | 52.3 | 2.93 | 1.033 | 10.7 | 62 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Yennier Cano | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 59 | 35.8 | 3.02 | 1.117 | 10.3 | 41 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
BOS wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Quality edge: -0.8414; margin adjustment: -0.3534; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CF | 141 | 543 | 153 | 0.282 | 39 | 94 | 0.377 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.261 | 0.335 | 0.513 | OK |
| Seiya Suzuki | RF | 124 | 472 | 129 | 0.273 | 24 | 80 | 0.371 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.235 | 0.339 | 0.403 | OK |
| Michael Busch | 1B | 139 | 532 | 127 | 0.239 | 17 | 68 | 0.346 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.667 | 0.218 | 0.305 | 0.398 | OK |
| Alex Bregman | 3B | 139 | 553 | 145 | 0.262 | 24 | 81 | 0.350 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.269 | 0.345 | 0.476 | OK |
| Ian Happ | LF | 134 | 490 | 109 | 0.222 | 23 | 64 | 0.325 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.238 | 0.324 | 0.397 | OK |
| Nico Hoerner | SS | 138 | 550 | 147 | 0.267 | 8 | 64 | 0.318 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.288 | 0.331 | 0.376 | OK |
| Pedro Ramirez | 2B | 60 | 179 | 49 | 0.274 | 4 | 26 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.226 | 0.291 | 0.382 | OK |
| Michael Conforto | DH | 93 | 221 | 53 | 0.240 | 14 | 37 | 0.325 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.304 | 0.383 | 0.640 | OK |
| Carson Kelly | C | 99 | 335 | 87 | 0.260 | 10 | 51 | 0.339 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.252 | 0.323 | 0.431 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 0.133 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Kyle Stowers | DH | 105 | 388 | 97 | 0.250 | 19 | 60 | 0.336 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.264 | 0.334 | 0.519 | OK |
| Griffin Conine | 1B | 71 | 215 | 55 | 0.256 | 15 | 33 | 0.352 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.252 | 0.345 | 0.468 | OK |
| Owen Caissie | RF | 99 | 277 | 61 | 0.220 | 13 | 53 | 0.281 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.189 | 0.242 | 0.331 | OK |
| Jakob Marsee | CF | 133 | 451 | 94 | 0.208 | 9 | 32 | 0.330 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.206 | 0.304 | 0.347 | OK |
| Heriberto Hernández | LF | 109 | 370 | 84 | 0.227 | 23 | 61 | 0.307 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.200 | 0.270 | 0.426 | OK |
| Joe Mack | C | 86 | 260 | 60 | 0.231 | 12 | 40 | 0.283 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.213 | 0.256 | 0.318 | OK |
| Otto Lopez | SS | 139 | 556 | 167 | 0.300 | 10 | 62 | 0.338 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.246 | 0.289 | 0.390 | OK |
| Graham Pauley | 3B | 44 | 118 | 23 | 0.195 | 2 | 18 | 0.232 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.171 | 0.212 | 0.381 | OK |
| Javier Sanoja | 2B | 114 | 384 | 110 | 0.286 | 7 | 53 | 0.321 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.299 | 0.335 | 0.443 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Clay Holmes | Starter | 5 | 28.3 | 1.59 | 1.025 | 5.7 | 18 | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 101 | 6.0 | 7 | 2 |
| Jacob Webb | Closer | 61 | 54.4 | 3.47 | 1.360 | 10.8 | 65 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Colin Rea | Setup Man | 29 | 124.9 | 4.61 | 1.393 | 7.0 | 97 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 |
| Trent Thornton | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 44 | 39.6 | 3.86 | 1.389 | 6.4 | 28 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Tyler Phillips | Starter | 33 | 106.6 | 3.55 | 1.379 | 7.6 | 90 | 5.0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 102 | 5.0 | 3 | 4 |
| Calvin Faucher | Closer | 61 | 52.4 | 4.29 | 1.527 | 11.2 | 65 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Tyler Zuber | Setup Man | 37 | 27.4 | 5.26 | 1.642 | 11.8 | 36 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Michael Petersen | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 57 | 50.8 | 3.72 | 1.280 | 11.9 | 67 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Victor Vodnik | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 11 | 11.4 | 4.74 | 1.316 | 7.9 | 10 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
CHC wins 6-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| CLE | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | x | 4 | 5 |
Quality edge: -0.1296; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Kevin McGonigle | 3B | 136 | 524 | 143 | 0.273 | 14 | 59 | 0.374 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.345 | 0.371 | OK |
| Hao-Yu Lee | 2B | 91 | 262 | 69 | 0.263 | 8 | 37 | 0.311 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.230 | 0.290 | 0.375 | OK |
| Colt Keith | 1B | 126 | 356 | 92 | 0.258 | 9 | 31 | 0.313 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.236 | 0.288 | 0.357 | OK |
| Riley Greene | DH | 119 | 436 | 120 | 0.275 | 18 | 60 | 0.366 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.265 | 0.347 | 0.475 | OK |
| Dillon Dingler | C | 130 | 494 | 123 | 0.249 | 26 | 83 | 0.311 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.214 | 0.249 | 0.367 | OK |
| Brett Callahan | LF | 15 | 35 | 9 | 0.257 | 1 | 6 | 0.308 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.000 | 0.146 | 0.196 | 0.286 | OK |
| Ben Malgeri | RF | 35 | 89 | 23 | 0.258 | 3 | 14 | 0.337 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.264 | 0.333 | 0.388 | OK |
| Max Clark | CF | 32 | 113 | 30 | 0.265 | 2 | 16 | 0.331 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.278 | 0.329 | 0.437 | OK |
| John Peck | SS | 4 | 15 | 4 | 0.267 | 0 | 3 | 0.353 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.236 | 0.284 | 0.365 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0.129 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Steven Kwan | DH | 128 | 461 | 124 | 0.269 | 2 | 27 | 0.367 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.253 | 0.345 | 0.309 | OK |
| Travis Bazzana | 2B | 104 | 379 | 91 | 0.240 | 10 | 45 | 0.330 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.227 | 0.309 | 0.385 | OK |
| Jo Adell | RF | 29 | 105 | 25 | 0.238 | 4 | 22 | 0.322 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.257 | 0.334 | OK |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 1B | 26 | 93 | 21 | 0.226 | 3 | 16 | 0.262 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.164 | 0.237 | 0.299 | OK |
| Angel Martínez | LF | 92 | 331 | 81 | 0.245 | 14 | 50 | 0.283 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.241 | 0.271 | 0.439 | OK |
| Angel Genao | 3B | 26 | 94 | 24 | 0.255 | 2 | 6 | 0.307 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.208 | 0.254 | 0.313 | OK |
| Patrick Bailey | C | 60 | 177 | 42 | 0.237 | 7 | 27 | 0.307 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.178 | 0.258 | 0.317 | OK |
| Petey Halpin | CF | 55 | 145 | 30 | 0.207 | 3 | 9 | 0.247 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.192 | 0.227 | 0.309 | OK |
| Brayan Rocchio | SS | 133 | 468 | 116 | 0.248 | 12 | 58 | 0.306 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.226 | 0.271 | 0.410 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 30 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0.179 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Jackson Jobe | Starter | 5 | 22.4 | 4.82 | 1.518 | 7.6 | 19 | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 83 | 5.0 | 3 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | Closer | 41 | 34.4 | 3.66 | 1.250 | 11.5 | 44 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Holton | Setup Man | 61 | 55.5 | 3.41 | 1.532 | 8.6 | 53 | 1.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1.1 | 0 | 3 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Gavin Williams | Starter | 28 | 159.5 | 3.89 | 1.116 | 12.2 | 217 | 5.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 89 | 5.1 | 9 | 2 |
| Cade Smith | Closer | 59 | 58.5 | 2.46 | 1.145 | 13.5 | 88 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Hunter Gaddis | Setup Man | 56 | 41.5 | 3.25 | 1.373 | 10.4 | 48 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Erik Sabrowski | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 50 | 32.7 | 3.30 | 1.376 | 18.2 | 66 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
CLE wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | x | 5 | 7 |
Quality edge: 0.7192; margin adjustment: 0.3021; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Zach Neto | SS | 137 | 547 | 130 | 0.238 | 23 | 67 | 0.317 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.239 | 0.295 | 0.390 | OK |
| Mike Trout | DH | 123 | 448 | 108 | 0.241 | 20 | 51 | 0.376 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.346 | 0.390 | OK |
| Wade Meckler | RF | 73 | 235 | 70 | 0.298 | 3 | 25 | 0.365 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.298 | 0.363 | 0.393 | OK |
| Vaughn Grissom | 3B | 96 | 350 | 87 | 0.249 | 10 | 58 | 0.307 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.250 | 0.291 | 0.409 | OK |
| Moisés Ballesteros | 1B | 28 | 106 | 19 | 0.179 | 1 | 7 | 0.230 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.263 | 0.319 | OK |
| Christian Moore | 2B | 19 | 68 | 11 | 0.162 | 1 | 6 | 0.227 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.166 | 0.218 | 0.307 | OK |
| Josh Lowe | CF | 91 | 267 | 56 | 0.210 | 11 | 28 | 0.271 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.201 | 0.274 | 0.355 | OK |
| Adam Frazier | LF | 50 | 116 | 28 | 0.241 | 1 | 10 | 0.307 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.232 | 0.275 | 0.349 | OK |
| Tyler Heineman | C | 27 | 74 | 15 | 0.203 | 0 | 3 | 0.253 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.121 | 0.147 | 0.175 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Konnor Griffin | SS | 60 | 232 | 62 | 0.267 | 5 | 25 | 0.323 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.249 | 0.293 | 0.367 | OK |
| Brandon Lowe | 2B | 130 | 509 | 128 | 0.251 | 29 | 83 | 0.320 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.198 | 0.279 | 0.407 | OK |
| Bryan Reynolds | LF | 140 | 519 | 140 | 0.270 | 16 | 67 | 0.376 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.338 | 0.419 | 0.562 | OK |
| Nick Gonzales | DH | 129 | 490 | 149 | 0.304 | 4 | 57 | 0.367 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.315 | 0.369 | 0.392 | OK |
| Oneil Cruz | CF | 79 | 307 | 82 | 0.267 | 17 | 58 | 0.359 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.287 | 0.374 | 0.436 | OK |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | RF | 65 | 217 | 50 | 0.230 | 13 | 37 | 0.346 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.223 | 0.334 | 0.460 | OK |
| Spencer Horwitz | 1B | 100 | 343 | 84 | 0.245 | 10 | 41 | 0.347 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.138 | 0.244 | 0.213 | OK |
| Jacob Gonzalez | 3B | 37 | 93 | 18 | 0.194 | 2 | 9 | 0.216 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.243 | 0.285 | 0.366 | OK |
| Henry Davis | C | 77 | 232 | 38 | 0.164 | 8 | 34 | 0.249 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.143 | 0.210 | 0.227 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 37 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0.226 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Walbert Ureña | Starter | 25 | 121.0 | 2.90 | 1.281 | 8.9 | 120 | 5.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 93 | 5.2 | 8 | 4 |
| Ben Joyce | Closer | 10 | 8.4 | 3.21 | 0.952 | 13.9 | 13 | 2.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 76 | 2.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Paul Skenes | Starter | 28 | 147.1 | 4.04 | 1.176 | 11.0 | 179 | 5.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 101 | 5.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Mason Montgomery | Closer | 59 | 51.2 | 2.99 | 1.172 | 16.0 | 91 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Luke Weaver | Setup Man | 10 | 8.4 | 6.43 | 1.667 | 11.8 | 11 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 |
| Gregory Soto | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 59 | 55.0 | 2.95 | 1.109 | 11.3 | 69 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
PIT wins 5-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| CIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
Quality edge: -1.4797; margin adjustment: -0.6215; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Sal Frelick | RF | 93 | 297 | 71 | 0.239 | 4 | 35 | 0.302 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.218 | 0.270 | 0.295 | OK |
| Christian Yelich | DH | 98 | 371 | 87 | 0.235 | 10 | 47 | 0.318 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.208 | 0.291 | 0.374 | OK |
| Jackson Chourio | LF | 106 | 442 | 127 | 0.287 | 21 | 59 | 0.345 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.277 | 0.323 | 0.481 | OK |
| Jake Bauers | 1B | 123 | 415 | 111 | 0.267 | 22 | 74 | 0.388 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.179 | 0.339 | 0.322 | OK |
| Garrett Mitchell | CF | 119 | 390 | 99 | 0.254 | 8 | 48 | 0.342 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.255 | 0.325 | 0.391 | OK |
| Brice Turang | 2B | 129 | 506 | 132 | 0.261 | 17 | 83 | 0.351 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.180 | 0.274 | 0.333 | OK |
| Cooper Pratt | SS | 53 | 168 | 46 | 0.274 | 3 | 27 | 0.338 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.294 | 0.360 | 0.436 | OK |
| Bo Naylor | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.211 | 0.254 | 0.358 | |
| David Hamilton | 3B | 100 | 304 | 75 | 0.247 | 4 | 25 | 0.310 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.281 | 0.331 | 0.398 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 39 | 36 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Dane Myers | CF | 88 | 239 | 62 | 0.259 | 5 | 21 | 0.344 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.246 | 0.317 | 0.358 | OK |
| Elly De La Cruz | DH | 120 | 473 | 133 | 0.281 | 22 | 62 | 0.361 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.297 | 0.376 | 0.493 | OK |
| Sal Stewart | 1B | 139 | 534 | 143 | 0.268 | 30 | 103 | 0.337 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.270 | 0.334 | 0.453 | OK |
| Tyler Stephenson | C | 109 | 354 | 88 | 0.249 | 15 | 50 | 0.328 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.229 | 0.305 | 0.470 | OK |
| Eugenio Suárez | 3B | 107 | 374 | 80 | 0.214 | 21 | 62 | 0.304 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.220 | 0.306 | 0.450 | OK |
| JJ Bleday | LF | 110 | 393 | 89 | 0.226 | 22 | 55 | 0.337 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.210 | 0.319 | 0.392 | OK |
| Matt McLain | SS | 112 | 383 | 73 | 0.191 | 15 | 39 | 0.283 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.181 | 0.257 | 0.355 | OK |
| Juan Brito | 2B | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0.143 | 1 | 4 | 0.222 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.175 | 0.240 | 0.307 | OK |
| Héctor Rodríguez | RF | 24 | 82 | 20 | 0.244 | 5 | 11 | 0.311 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.242 | 0.298 | 0.452 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 43 | 37 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 0.270 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kyle Harrison | Starter | 22 | 104.2 | 3.54 | 1.228 | 11.2 | 130 | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 96 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 |
| Trevor Megill | Closer | 54 | 53.4 | 1.52 | 0.805 | 10.4 | 62 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Abner Uribe | Setup Man | 51 | 46.6 | 2.12 | 1.073 | 9.8 | 51 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Aaron Ashby | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 67 | 72.0 | 3.50 | 1.486 | 13.6 | 109 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antonio Senzatela | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 14 | 11.8 | 5.34 | 1.695 | 6.1 | 8 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Brady Singer | Starter | 27 | 138.4 | 4.94 | 1.481 | 7.6 | 117 | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 101 | 5.0 | 5 | 5 |
| Emilio Pagán | Closer | 37 | 35.4 | 4.07 | 1.102 | 9.4 | 37 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Luis Mey | Setup Man | 19 | 23.6 | 4.19 | 1.568 | 14.1 | 37 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brock Burke | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 70 | 58.0 | 2.95 | 1.517 | 11.0 | 71 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Tony Santillan | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 39 | 34.1 | 6.07 | 1.672 | 8.7 | 33 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
MIL wins 7-5
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| CHW | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
Quality edge: 0.372; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Luke Keaschall | RF | 132 | 460 | 127 | 0.276 | 9 | 44 | 0.364 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.279 | 0.344 | 0.396 | OK |
| Brooks Lee | 3B | 133 | 509 | 126 | 0.248 | 22 | 77 | 0.295 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.235 | 0.269 | 0.365 | OK |
| Ryan Jeffers | C | 75 | 269 | 73 | 0.271 | 14 | 53 | 0.365 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.325 | 0.588 | OK |
| Josh Bell | DH | 136 | 501 | 130 | 0.259 | 18 | 84 | 0.323 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.289 | 0.343 | 0.447 | OK |
| Kody Clemens | 2B | 124 | 460 | 110 | 0.239 | 24 | 71 | 0.300 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.245 | 0.307 | 0.489 | OK |
| Royce Lewis | 1B | 107 | 394 | 93 | 0.236 | 14 | 51 | 0.304 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.240 | 0.304 | 0.417 | OK |
| Trevor Larnach | LF | 113 | 367 | 97 | 0.264 | 11 | 45 | 0.343 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.169 | 0.246 | 0.297 | OK |
| Kaelen Culpepper | SS | 24 | 88 | 27 | 0.307 | 3 | 10 | 0.361 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.271 | 0.316 | 0.404 | OK |
| Walker Jenkins | CF | 7 | 23 | 3 | 0.130 | 1 | 3 | 0.286 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.119 | 0.262 | 0.257 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Sam Antonacci | LF | 121 | 418 | 110 | 0.263 | 8 | 41 | 0.364 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.253 | 0.334 | 0.358 | OK |
| Miguel Vargas | 3B | 139 | 518 | 130 | 0.251 | 30 | 78 | 0.361 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.275 | 0.366 | 0.473 | OK |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1B | 107 | 384 | 81 | 0.211 | 30 | 61 | 0.350 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.199 | 0.332 | 0.449 | OK |
| Andrew Benintendi | DH | 125 | 382 | 92 | 0.241 | 14 | 70 | 0.303 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.196 | 0.265 | 0.351 | OK |
| Colson Montgomery | SS | 134 | 506 | 108 | 0.213 | 31 | 82 | 0.293 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.216 | 0.279 | 0.503 | OK |
| Braden Montgomery | RF | 73 | 266 | 59 | 0.222 | 6 | 36 | 0.311 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.214 | 0.295 | 0.352 | OK |
| Tristan Peters | CF | 130 | 385 | 108 | 0.281 | 12 | 52 | 0.342 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.282 | 0.332 | 0.455 | OK |
| Chase Meidroth | 2B | 135 | 505 | 137 | 0.271 | 12 | 51 | 0.342 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.258 | 0.319 | 0.363 | OK |
| Kyle Teel | C | 21 | 67 | 12 | 0.179 | 2 | 14 | 0.257 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.108 | 0.176 | 0.188 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 35 | 32 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0.219 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Bailey Ober | Starter | 21 | 111.7 | 4.43 | 1.253 | 6.4 | 79 | 5.1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 103 | 5.1 | 4 | 5 |
| Yoendrys Gómez | Closer | 48 | 38.2 | 2.83 | 1.387 | 10.1 | 43 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeff Hoffman | Setup Man | 12 | 9.6 | 3.75 | 1.667 | 15.0 | 16 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Minter | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 15 | 11.1 | 0.81 | 1.081 | 9.7 | 12 | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Bryan Hudson | Starter | 60 | 52.8 | 2.90 | 1.307 | 9.4 | 55 | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 88 | 5.0 | 5 | 0 |
| Grant Taylor | Closer | 41 | 51.9 | 2.60 | 1.118 | 13.2 | 76 | 1.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.2 | 2 | 3 |
| Sean Newcomb | Setup Man | 46 | 60.2 | 2.84 | 1.246 | 9.6 | 64 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 42 | 33.7 | 4.54 | 1.780 | 13.1 | 49 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
CHW wins 6-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
Quality edge: -0.776; margin adjustment: -0.3259; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ben Rice | DH | 133 | 500 | 131 | 0.262 | 35 | 84 | 0.358 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.375 | 0.443 | 0.598 | OK |
| Cody Bellinger | LF | 113 | 421 | 112 | 0.266 | 12 | 62 | 0.346 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.293 | 0.354 | 0.401 | OK |
| Luis García Jr. | 1B | 28 | 101 | 29 | 0.287 | 5 | 12 | 0.330 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.171 | 0.207 | 0.331 | OK |
| Spencer Jones | CF | 66 | 196 | 48 | 0.245 | 9 | 30 | 0.313 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.280 | 0.337 | 0.497 | OK |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 2B | 128 | 446 | 103 | 0.231 | 19 | 55 | 0.309 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.264 | 0.350 | 0.436 | OK |
| Jasson Domínguez | RF | 51 | 193 | 45 | 0.233 | 6 | 14 | 0.271 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.152 | 0.189 | 0.267 | OK |
| George Lombard Jr. | SS | 25 | 85 | 20 | 0.235 | 2 | 7 | 0.295 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.190 | 0.250 | 0.271 | OK |
| Ryan McMahon | 3B | 98 | 278 | 61 | 0.219 | 10 | 32 | 0.285 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.149 | 0.233 | 0.234 | OK |
| Austin Wells | C | 105 | 296 | 55 | 0.186 | 10 | 28 | 0.275 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.195 | 0.271 | 0.317 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 36 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | RF | 138 | 550 | 154 | 0.280 | 19 | 69 | 0.346 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.293 | 0.426 | OK |
| Jake Cronenworth | 2B | 89 | 307 | 65 | 0.212 | 4 | 26 | 0.299 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.146 | 0.224 | 0.216 | OK |
| Manny Machado | 3B | 138 | 512 | 113 | 0.221 | 25 | 76 | 0.309 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.244 | 0.336 | 0.429 | OK |
| Ty France | 1B | 110 | 373 | 109 | 0.292 | 20 | 62 | 0.361 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.323 | 0.447 | OK |
| Jackson Merrill | CF | 138 | 537 | 128 | 0.238 | 22 | 70 | 0.291 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.211 | 0.258 | 0.359 | OK |
| Luis Campusano | C | 56 | 162 | 45 | 0.278 | 6 | 25 | 0.378 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.221 | 0.306 | 0.393 | OK |
| Dustin Harris | LF | 6 | 19 | 8 | 0.421 | 0 | 1 | 0.421 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.204 | 0.259 | 0.303 | OK |
| Xander Bogaerts | SS | 135 | 460 | 101 | 0.220 | 11 | 52 | 0.320 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.218 | 0.314 | 0.299 | OK |
| Ethan Salas | DH | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.054 | 0.069 | 0.089 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0.182 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Gerrit Cole | Starter | 18 | 101.9 | 3.36 | 1.129 | 9.7 | 110 | 6.1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 96 | 6.1 | 5 | 3 |
| David Bednar | Closer | 57 | 57.6 | 2.81 | 1.094 | 10.8 | 69 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Brent Headrick | Setup Man | 72 | 57.8 | 2.34 | 1.436 | 13.9 | 89 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Michael King | Starter | 28 | 159.2 | 3.17 | 1.187 | 8.0 | 141 | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 99 | 6.0 | 5 | 2 |
| Mason Miller | Closer | 56 | 56.3 | 1.28 | 0.870 | 17.3 | 108 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Adrian Morejon | Setup Man | 65 | 66.8 | 3.10 | 1.213 | 12.5 | 93 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bradgley Rodriguez | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 58 | 54.7 | 2.14 | 1.170 | 11.2 | 68 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
NYY wins 4-3
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| SEA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | x | 7 | 6 |
Quality edge: 0.3524; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Henry Bolte | CF | 96 | 343 | 94 | 0.274 | 8 | 31 | 0.350 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.280 | 0.346 | 0.420 | OK |
| Jeff McNeil | 1B | 124 | 413 | 112 | 0.271 | 8 | 52 | 0.318 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.289 | 0.330 | 0.424 | OK |
| Zack Gelof | 3B | 88 | 323 | 84 | 0.260 | 17 | 42 | 0.325 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.261 | 0.310 | 0.512 | OK |
| Lawrence Butler | RF | 128 | 399 | 93 | 0.233 | 13 | 52 | 0.322 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.260 | 0.332 | 0.424 | OK |
| Carlos Cortes | LF | 104 | 297 | 77 | 0.259 | 8 | 38 | 0.326 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.263 | 0.314 | 0.386 | OK |
| Max Muncy | DH | 74 | 236 | 54 | 0.229 | 9 | 29 | 0.297 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.244 | 0.300 | 0.432 | OK |
| Donovan Walton | 2B | 37 | 86 | 19 | 0.221 | 2 | 10 | 0.391 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.322 | 0.456 | OK |
| Alika Williams | SS | 62 | 173 | 48 | 0.277 | 4 | 15 | 0.309 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.292 | 0.326 | 0.490 | OK |
| Brian Serven | C | 18 | 60 | 14 | 0.233 | 5 | 14 | 0.270 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.237 | 0.265 | 0.437 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 34 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 0.206 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Randy Arozarena | LF | 135 | 501 | 136 | 0.271 | 22 | 66 | 0.371 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.243 | 0.326 | 0.447 | OK |
| Dominic Canzone | RF | 125 | 401 | 102 | 0.254 | 21 | 64 | 0.325 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 | 0.251 | 0.318 | 0.474 | OK |
| Julio Rodríguez | CF | 131 | 524 | 126 | 0.240 | 20 | 61 | 0.300 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.196 | 0.243 | 0.314 | OK |
| Cal Raleigh | DH | 107 | 384 | 70 | 0.182 | 21 | 58 | 0.294 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.213 | 0.314 | 0.448 | OK |
| J.P. Crawford | SS | 97 | 338 | 76 | 0.225 | 10 | 32 | 0.349 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.295 | 0.422 | 0.394 | OK |
| Josh Naylor | 1B | 133 | 521 | 139 | 0.267 | 10 | 49 | 0.325 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.233 | 0.280 | 0.313 | OK |
| Weston Wilson | 3B | 33 | 90 | 17 | 0.189 | 3 | 8 | 0.270 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.186 | 0.272 | 0.272 | OK |
| Player-703197 | 2B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.249 | 0.310 | 0.388 | |
| Jhonny Pereda | C | 26 | 79 | 23 | 0.291 | 2 | 6 | 0.349 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.318 | 0.370 | 0.384 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0.200 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Gage Jump | Starter | 18 | 89.4 | 5.34 | 1.544 | 10.0 | 99 | 4.2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 94 | 4.2 | 2 | 4 |
| Elvis Alvarado | Closer | 47 | 40.7 | 4.86 | 1.450 | 12.2 | 55 | 1.2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 1.2 | 1 | 3 |
| Hogan Harris | Setup Man | 65 | 50.6 | 4.09 | 1.779 | 14.6 | 82 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Bryan Woo | Starter | 26 | 147.4 | 4.27 | 1.099 | 9.1 | 149 | 5.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 83 | 5.2 | 7 | 3 |
| Andrés Muñoz | Closer | 53 | 48.3 | 4.10 | 1.201 | 15.3 | 82 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| José A. Ferrer | Setup Man | 64 | 51.3 | 4.21 | 1.579 | 8.1 | 46 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eduard Bazardo | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 66 | 52.2 | 3.97 | 1.667 | 10.9 | 63 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 |
SEA wins 7-6
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| NYM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Quality edge: 0.0295; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Drew Gilbert | CF | 107 | 302 | 72 | 0.238 | 8 | 36 | 0.309 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.231 | 0.285 | 0.364 | OK |
| Rafael Devers | DH | 142 | 532 | 138 | 0.259 | 34 | 90 | 0.341 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.284 | 0.372 | 0.616 | OK |
| Bryce Eldridge | 1B | 97 | 344 | 90 | 0.262 | 15 | 45 | 0.360 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.267 | 0.380 | 0.456 | OK |
| Jonah Cox | 2B | 33 | 79 | 23 | 0.291 | 4 | 10 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.291 | 0.339 | 0.495 | OK |
| Jung Hoo Lee | RF | 127 | 485 | 137 | 0.282 | 8 | 49 | 0.325 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.203 | 0.243 | 0.293 | OK |
| Osleivis Basabe | 3B | 30 | 102 | 22 | 0.216 | 5 | 12 | 0.264 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.216 | 0.256 | 0.394 | OK |
| Grant McCray | LF | 21 | 56 | 8 | 0.143 | 2 | 3 | 0.250 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.162 | 0.259 | 0.329 | OK |
| Drew Cavanaugh | C | 43 | 115 | 28 | 0.243 | 0 | 9 | 0.326 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.255 | 0.326 | 0.315 | OK |
| Christian Koss | SS | 47 | 142 | 30 | 0.211 | 3 | 8 | 0.248 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.221 | 0.253 | 0.350 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0.100 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Francisco Lindor | SS | 83 | 329 | 76 | 0.231 | 16 | 38 | 0.311 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.220 | 0.280 | 0.418 | OK |
| Juan Soto | DH | 89 | 315 | 87 | 0.276 | 23 | 56 | 0.393 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.252 | 0.364 | 0.490 | OK |
| Bo Bichette | 3B | 136 | 541 | 144 | 0.266 | 15 | 68 | 0.313 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.266 | 0.315 | 0.436 | OK |
| Carson Benge | RF | 132 | 506 | 138 | 0.273 | 16 | 53 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.263 | 0.314 | 0.381 | OK |
| Mark Vientos | 1B | 75 | 246 | 54 | 0.220 | 13 | 39 | 0.257 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.252 | 0.287 | 0.534 | OK |
| Marcus Semien | 2B | 119 | 419 | 93 | 0.222 | 14 | 44 | 0.289 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.236 | 0.309 | 0.338 | OK |
| Nick Morabito | LF | 7 | 17 | 2 | 0.118 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.146 | 0.197 | 0.227 | OK |
| A.J. Ewing | CF | 99 | 361 | 87 | 0.241 | 8 | 30 | 0.316 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.240 | 0.320 | 0.369 | OK |
| Luis Torrens | C | 75 | 223 | 53 | 0.238 | 8 | 33 | 0.300 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.217 | 0.268 | 0.373 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 32 | 31 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0.226 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Cesar Perdomo | Starter | 1 | 4.0 | 2.25 | 1.000 | 9.0 | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 69 | 4.0 | 4 | 6 |
| Dylan Smith | Closer | 34 | 28.4 | 3.49 | 1.479 | 13.0 | 41 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Harris | Setup Man | 12 | 13.3 | 3.38 | 1.278 | 12.9 | 19 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Carson Seymour | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 15 | 20.0 | 4.95 | 1.700 | 7.6 | 17 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Christian Scott | Starter | 20 | 90.0 | 4.00 | 1.378 | 11.3 | 113 | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 85 | 5.0 | 3 | 3 |
| Kodai Senga | Closer | 25 | 53.2 | 7.61 | 1.711 | 11.0 | 65 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 |
| Daniel Duarte | Setup Man | 21 | 23.2 | 2.33 | 0.862 | 10.1 | 26 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Lavender | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 12 | 9.4 | 0.00 | 0.851 | 13.4 | 14 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
NYM wins 6-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| COL | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
Quality edge: -0.7287; margin adjustment: -0.3061; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Bryan Torres | 2B | 52 | 124 | 32 | 0.258 | 3 | 16 | 0.324 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.291 | 0.360 | 0.394 | OK |
| Iván Herrera | DH | 139 | 528 | 129 | 0.244 | 15 | 60 | 0.353 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.293 | 0.355 | 0.459 | OK |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 138 | 530 | 148 | 0.279 | 21 | 99 | 0.341 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.227 | 0.279 | 0.366 | OK |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 136 | 532 | 152 | 0.286 | 26 | 95 | 0.341 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.400 | 0.267 | 0.309 | 0.452 | OK |
| Leonardo Bernal | C | 5 | 20 | 7 | 0.350 | 1 | 4 | 0.409 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.309 | 0.360 | 0.476 | OK |
| Joshua Baez | LF | 20 | 66 | 16 | 0.242 | 7 | 15 | 0.292 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.266 | 0.297 | 0.640 | OK |
| Nolan Gorman | 3B | 71 | 227 | 43 | 0.189 | 8 | 29 | 0.267 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.182 | 0.253 | 0.314 | OK |
| Thomas Saggese | SS | 33 | 96 | 25 | 0.260 | 4 | 12 | 0.324 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.302 | 0.375 | 0.552 | OK |
| Nathan Church | CF | 110 | 366 | 90 | 0.246 | 10 | 46 | 0.287 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.279 | 0.315 | 0.371 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Jake McCarthy | LF | 121 | 466 | 135 | 0.290 | 14 | 71 | 0.333 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.268 | 0.312 | 0.435 | OK |
| Troy Johnston | RF | 113 | 359 | 103 | 0.287 | 4 | 47 | 0.352 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.280 | 0.344 | 0.419 | OK |
| Cole Carrigg | CF | 70 | 253 | 68 | 0.269 | 7 | 39 | 0.344 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.275 | 0.335 | 0.478 | OK |
| TJ Rumfield | 1B | 135 | 482 | 143 | 0.297 | 15 | 65 | 0.387 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.325 | 0.416 | 0.548 | OK |
| Mickey Moniak | DH | 99 | 352 | 87 | 0.247 | 21 | 60 | 0.284 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.333 | 0.231 | 0.264 | 0.436 | OK |
| Adael Amador | 2B | 9 | 25 | 10 | 0.400 | 2 | 9 | 0.483 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.356 | 0.427 | 0.565 | OK |
| Brett Sullivan | C | 64 | 190 | 46 | 0.242 | 7 | 31 | 0.283 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.174 | 0.228 | 0.292 | OK |
| Vimael Machín | 3B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.242 | 0.305 | 0.398 | |
| Ezequiel Tovar | SS | 126 | 413 | 89 | 0.215 | 10 | 41 | 0.262 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.256 | 0.297 | 0.373 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 30 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 0.100 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Kyle Leahy | Starter | 26 | 128.4 | 3.15 | 1.316 | 8.3 | 118 | 5.1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 73 | 5.1 | 6 | 3 |
| Riley O'Brien | Closer | 59 | 54.2 | 4.32 | 1.310 | 9.5 | 57 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 |
| George Soriano | Setup Man | 63 | 53.3 | 4.90 | 1.520 | 10.3 | 61 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Tanner Gordon | Starter | 20 | 87.5 | 5.25 | 1.417 | 7.4 | 72 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 96 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 |
| Jordan Romano | Closer | 21 | 18.5 | 2.92 | 1.189 | 9.2 | 19 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brennan Bernardino | Setup Man | 67 | 46.6 | 3.09 | 1.373 | 7.9 | 41 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Jimmy Herget | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 44 | 38.5 | 6.55 | 1.740 | 9.1 | 39 | 1.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 |
STL wins 5-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
Quality edge: -0.6881; margin adjustment: -0.289; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Yandy Díaz | DH | 136 | 539 | 165 | 0.306 | 21 | 76 | 0.375 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.400 | 0.319 | 0.373 | 0.484 | OK |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1B | 137 | 519 | 145 | 0.279 | 19 | 85 | 0.362 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.265 | 0.334 | 0.475 | OK |
| Junior Caminero | 3B | 141 | 541 | 152 | 0.281 | 38 | 91 | 0.365 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.278 | 0.341 | 0.503 | OK |
| Ryan Vilade | 2B | 76 | 204 | 53 | 0.260 | 11 | 38 | 0.320 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.258 | 0.316 | 0.466 | OK |
| Chandler Simpson | LF | 130 | 504 | 155 | 0.308 | 0 | 31 | 0.334 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.281 | 0.306 | 0.328 | OK |
| Jonny DeLuca | CF | 86 | 285 | 75 | 0.263 | 9 | 42 | 0.298 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.252 | 0.294 | 0.418 | OK |
| Jorge Mateo | SS | 12 | 35 | 5 | 0.143 | 1 | 5 | 0.205 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.119 | 0.173 | 0.199 | OK |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | RF | 53 | 173 | 38 | 0.220 | 10 | 23 | 0.280 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.228 | 0.283 | 0.390 | OK |
| Nick Fortes | C | 89 | 266 | 71 | 0.267 | 4 | 30 | 0.307 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.224 | 0.251 | 0.318 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Ezequiel Duran | CF | 132 | 468 | 128 | 0.274 | 17 | 77 | 0.334 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.267 | 0.332 | 0.465 | OK |
| Corey Seager | SS | 82 | 304 | 69 | 0.227 | 14 | 37 | 0.324 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.232 | 0.316 | 0.415 | OK |
| Justin Foscue | 2B | 79 | 192 | 51 | 0.266 | 11 | 29 | 0.314 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.203 | 0.245 | 0.431 | OK |
| Brandon Nimmo | RF | 137 | 522 | 138 | 0.264 | 14 | 58 | 0.330 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.247 | 0.306 | 0.381 | OK |
| Wyatt Langford | LF | 91 | 349 | 86 | 0.246 | 15 | 36 | 0.327 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.191 | 0.273 | 0.332 | OK |
| Jake Burger | 1B | 135 | 490 | 116 | 0.237 | 23 | 79 | 0.301 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.225 | 0.293 | 0.352 | OK |
| Logan O'Hoppe | DH | 7 | 11 | 3 | 0.273 | 0 | 1 | 0.250 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.198 | 0.243 | 0.297 | OK |
| Elias Díaz | C | 56 | 168 | 39 | 0.232 | 5 | 24 | 0.258 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.148 | 0.182 | 0.295 | OK |
| Cody Freeman | 3B | 27 | 77 | 20 | 0.260 | 1 | 6 | 0.329 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.204 | 0.266 | 0.293 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 33 | 29 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0.069 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Ian Seymour | Starter | 41 | 106.8 | 4.04 | 1.161 | 11.6 | 138 | 5.1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 75 | 5.1 | 4 | 3 |
| Bryan Baker | Closer | 56 | 53.6 | 1.51 | 0.896 | 10.1 | 60 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | Setup Man | 62 | 56.2 | 2.56 | 0.996 | 8.3 | 52 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Wells | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 12 | 15.3 | 1.76 | 0.719 | 9.4 | 16 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| MacKenzie Gore | Starter | 29 | 150.7 | 4.42 | 1.327 | 10.1 | 169 | 5.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 93 | 5.1 | 6 | 2 |
| Jacob Latz | Closer | 49 | 58.6 | 1.54 | 0.751 | 10.6 | 69 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakob Junis | Setup Man | 45 | 44.6 | 3.03 | 1.256 | 7.1 | 35 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 |
| Chase Silseth | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 16 | 11.1 | 4.05 | 1.892 | 11.4 | 14 | 0.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 0.2 | 2 | 3 |
| Tyler Alexander | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 64 | 52.8 | 3.75 | 1.515 | 9.2 | 54 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
TB wins 5-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
Quality edge: -0.6043; margin adjustment: -0.2538; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Brett Bateman | CF | 24 | 98 | 32 | 0.327 | 0 | 7 | 0.391 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.306 | 0.364 | 0.377 | OK |
| Nathan Lukes | RF | 104 | 352 | 95 | 0.270 | 10 | 36 | 0.320 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.279 | 0.310 | 0.396 | OK |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | DH | 127 | 482 | 126 | 0.261 | 8 | 54 | 0.328 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.273 | 0.335 | 0.382 | OK |
| Jesús Sánchez | LF | 95 | 263 | 69 | 0.262 | 8 | 35 | 0.321 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.200 | 0.257 | 0.299 | 0.404 | OK |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 3B | 136 | 503 | 117 | 0.233 | 28 | 81 | 0.305 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.263 | 0.321 | 0.471 | OK |
| Sean Keys | 1B | 14 | 42 | 9 | 0.214 | 2 | 7 | 0.233 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.226 | 0.251 | 0.396 | OK |
| Josh Smith | 2B | 15 | 33 | 8 | 0.242 | 3 | 4 | 0.375 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.143 | 0.263 | 0.308 | OK |
| Andrés Giménez | SS | 125 | 415 | 101 | 0.243 | 8 | 51 | 0.290 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.262 | 0.290 | 0.347 | OK |
| Brandon Valenzuela | C | 71 | 217 | 48 | 0.221 | 8 | 21 | 0.306 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.206 | 0.301 | 0.343 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 40 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0.250 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| John Rave | RF | 31 | 89 | 20 | 0.225 | 4 | 9 | 0.296 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.243 | 0.315 | 0.459 | OK |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | 123 | 481 | 136 | 0.283 | 17 | 50 | 0.357 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.247 | 0.321 | 0.429 | OK |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1B | 95 | 352 | 84 | 0.239 | 10 | 43 | 0.327 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.200 | 0.285 | 0.363 | OK |
| Salvador Perez | DH | 132 | 509 | 116 | 0.228 | 18 | 66 | 0.271 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 | 0.263 | 0.289 | 0.423 | OK |
| Josh Rojas | 3B | 34 | 93 | 23 | 0.247 | 2 | 13 | 0.271 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.230 | 0.255 | 0.368 | OK |
| Nick Loftin | 2B | 101 | 320 | 76 | 0.238 | 7 | 41 | 0.322 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.232 | 0.307 | 0.384 | OK |
| Isaac Collins | LF | 125 | 397 | 89 | 0.224 | 6 | 40 | 0.324 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.169 | 0.267 | 0.272 | OK |
| Luke Maile | C | 12 | 33 | 5 | 0.152 | 1 | 5 | 0.176 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.082 | 0.112 | 0.149 | OK |
| Kyle Isbel | CF | 80 | 245 | 56 | 0.229 | 6 | 24 | 0.277 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.127 | 0.171 | 0.202 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 34 | 32 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0.156 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Spencer Arrighetti | Starter | 3 | 10.3 | 6.99 | 1.456 | 8.7 | 10 | 5.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 83 | 5.0 | 4 | 4 |
| Louis Varland | Closer | 64 | 66.0 | 1.23 | 1.045 | 11.9 | 87 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Rogers | Setup Man | 66 | 59.0 | 1.98 | 1.288 | 5.3 | 35 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Spencer Miles | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 44 | 78.9 | 3.08 | 1.166 | 8.9 | 78 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Randy Dobnak | Starter | 11 | 56.5 | 2.71 | 1.416 | 6.4 | 40 | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 114 | 6.0 | 5 | 4 |
| Steven Cruz | Closer | 50 | 48.0 | 4.69 | 1.354 | 10.7 | 57 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Nate Pearson | Setup Man | 17 | 16.3 | 0.55 | 0.920 | 8.3 | 15 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 9 | 8.3 | 0.00 | 0.723 | 6.5 | 6 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
TOR wins 5-4
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | x | 5 | 6 |
Quality edge: 0.7893; margin adjustment: 0.3315; applied: True
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| James Wood | DH | 117 | 450 | 120 | 0.267 | 30 | 74 | 0.392 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.258 | 0.374 | 0.492 | OK |
| Dylan Crews | RF | 89 | 337 | 74 | 0.220 | 10 | 35 | 0.289 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.213 | 0.263 | 0.344 | OK |
| Andrés Chaparro | 1B | 63 | 157 | 40 | 0.255 | 9 | 34 | 0.346 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.224 | 0.295 | 0.389 | OK |
| CJ Abrams | 2B | 135 | 514 | 136 | 0.265 | 29 | 94 | 0.341 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.307 | 0.429 | OK |
| Brady House | 3B | 76 | 272 | 67 | 0.246 | 10 | 41 | 0.304 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.400 | 0.278 | 0.327 | 0.419 | OK |
| Daylen Lile | LF | 142 | 539 | 137 | 0.254 | 20 | 82 | 0.308 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.252 | 0.312 | 0.479 | OK |
| Harry Ford | C | 25 | 78 | 15 | 0.192 | 3 | 8 | 0.292 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.190 | 0.277 | 0.345 | OK |
| Jacob Young | CF | 113 | 378 | 94 | 0.249 | 10 | 42 | 0.310 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.229 | 0.288 | 0.345 | OK |
| Nasim Nuñez | SS | 124 | 404 | 86 | 0.213 | 1 | 35 | 0.292 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.196 | 0.265 | 0.235 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 41 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 0.235 | ||||||||||||
| Player | Pos | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | Deviation | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | AB | H | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | PA | AB | H | R | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| Tommy Edman | CF | 61 | 223 | 60 | 0.269 | 6 | 30 | 0.340 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.288 | 0.326 | 0.441 | OK |
| Mookie Betts | SS | 103 | 406 | 101 | 0.249 | 17 | 54 | 0.306 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.299 | 0.356 | 0.481 | OK |
| Will Smith | C | 55 | 187 | 44 | 0.235 | 6 | 25 | 0.318 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.160 | 0.248 | 0.269 | OK |
| Freddie Freeman | 1B | 136 | 510 | 154 | 0.302 | 16 | 64 | 0.381 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.250 | 0.283 | 0.383 | 0.459 | OK |
| Teoscar Hernández | LF | 104 | 370 | 95 | 0.257 | 12 | 50 | 0.320 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.284 | 0.345 | 0.430 | OK |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 130 | 466 | 105 | 0.225 | 12 | 59 | 0.321 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 | 0.206 | 0.317 | 0.353 | OK |
| Miguel Rojas | 2B | 81 | 191 | 52 | 0.272 | 3 | 20 | 0.301 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.221 | 0.255 | 0.384 | OK |
| Max Muncy | DH | 128 | 417 | 101 | 0.242 | 26 | 68 | 0.341 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.223 | 0.332 | 0.427 | OK |
| Enrique Hernández | 3B | 24 | 55 | 12 | 0.218 | 2 | 5 | 0.271 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.189 | 0.247 | 0.302 | OK |
| TEAM TOTALS | 31 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 0.207 | ||||||||||||
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Andrew Alvarez | Starter | 21 | 86.7 | 3.63 | 1.373 | 8.9 | 86 | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 84 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 |
| Clayton Beeter | Closer | 47 | 41.1 | 4.60 | 1.509 | 9.9 | 45 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Orlando Ribalta | Setup Man | 45 | 38.8 | 4.18 | 1.340 | 9.7 | 42 | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Erik Tolman | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 6 | 6.4 | 1.41 | 1.094 | 12.7 | 9 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pitcher | Role | Actual 2026 Season | Simulated Game | Model Prediction | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | SO | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P | IP | SO | ER | ||
| Justin Wrobleski | Starter | 22 | 126.7 | 3.69 | 1.121 | 7.4 | 104 | 5.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 101 | 5.1 | 7 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | Closer | 62 | 52.2 | 2.93 | 1.073 | 12.1 | 70 | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 |
| Edgardo Henriquez | Setup Man | 57 | 49.2 | 3.11 | 1.098 | 12.1 | 66 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brock Stewart | Middle Reliever (High Leverage) | 21 | 18.1 | 2.98 | 1.105 | 9.4 | 19 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
LAD wins 5-4