MLB Predictions — September 5, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ HOU	5 - 4	5 - 4	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ PHI	5 - 4	5 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ BAL	5 - 4	5 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ MIA	6 - 3	6 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-3	74%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ CLE	3 - 4	3 - 4	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ PIT	4 - 6	4 - 6	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 6-4	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ CIN	8 - 5	8 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 8-5	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ CHW	6 - 5	6 - 5	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ SD	4 - 3	4 - 3	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ SEA	6 - 8	6 - 8	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 8-6	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ NYM	4 - 5	4 - 5	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ COL	7 - 6	7 - 6	STL	STL	STL wins 7-6	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ TEX	6 - 5	6 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ KC	7 - 5	7 - 5	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 7-5	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ LAD	3 - 4	3 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros

ARI 74-68 (4.43 RPG / 4.45 RA)

5 - 4

HOU 73-69 (4.52 RPG / 4.77 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 5-4 TARGET: ARI 5 - 4 HOU (ARI) Confidence: 51.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	8
HOU	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	5

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

ARI Season Quality

Record74-68

Win%0.521

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.021

HOU Season Quality

Record73-69

Win%0.514

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.254

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0333; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	DH	23	70	15	0.214	3	11	0.329	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.247	0.345	0.452	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	137	493	125	0.254	9	47	0.361	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.266	0.359	0.344	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	111	398	119	0.299	12	68	0.379	5	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.267	0.352	0.484	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	120	478	120	0.251	21	67	0.317	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.252	0.324	0.431	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	138	515	123	0.239	19	61	0.335	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.178	0.261	0.352	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	132	460	107	0.233	21	65	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.177	0.238	0.307	OK
Max Kepler	LF	38	126	27	0.214	2	15	0.273	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.200	0.255	0.294	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	78	249	59	0.237	9	35	0.293	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.199	0.263	0.334	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	72	230	62	0.270	3	22	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.308	0.373	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	5	5	5	10	0.229

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	91	364	101	0.277	17	46	0.331	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.235	0.276	0.387	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	139	497	159	0.320	37	94	0.437	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.321	0.431	0.537	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	134	485	123	0.254	18	76	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.242	0.331	0.411	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	114	441	107	0.243	15	44	0.305	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.277	0.367	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	27	103	18	0.175	3	12	0.241	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.198	0.258	0.323	OK
Christian Walker	1B	135	499	115	0.230	24	77	0.305	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.220	0.279	0.368	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	72	267	70	0.262	11	33	0.292	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.276	0.299	0.471	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	77	214	44	0.206	7	20	0.286	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.282	0.358	OK
Cam Smith	RF	129	444	94	0.212	17	49	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.138	0.200	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	4	4	2	11	0.156

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Pfaadt	Starter	25	106.8	3.62	1.180	6.2	73	6.1	3	4	4	0	8	97	6.1	8	4
Brandyn Garcia	Closer	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Juan Morillo	Setup Man	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ethan Pecko	Starter	3	12.3	6.59	1.626	6.6	9	4.0	6	4	4	2	5	88	4.0	5	4
Josh Hader	Closer	38	37.4	0.48	0.588	12.5	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Setup Man	56	49.4	4.19	1.498	12.6	69	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	81.9	3.19	1.233	9.6	87	1.1	2	1	1	1	1	29	1.1	1	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	56.6	5.09	1.396	9.4	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Bennett Sousa	Middle Reliever	25	18.8	6.70	2.074	12.0	25	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-4

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL 84-59 (4.63 RPG / 3.83 RA)

5 - 4

PHI 80-62 (4.49 RPG / 4.24 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-4 TARGET: ATL 5 - 4 PHI (ATL) Confidence: 53.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	7
PHI	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	4	11

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

ATL Season Quality

Record84-57

Win%0.596

Run Diff121

RD/Game0.858

PHI Season Quality

Record79-62

Win%0.560

Run Diff33

RD/Game0.234

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5452; margin adjustment: -0.229; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	117	457	126	0.276	22	69	0.355	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.270	0.325	0.417	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	87	331	83	0.251	14	40	0.349	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.284	0.358	0.439	OK
Matt Olson	1B	140	542	136	0.251	36	78	0.325	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.214	0.281	0.422	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	134	509	151	0.297	24	80	0.321	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.212	0.242	0.423	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	132	490	132	0.269	11	66	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.249	0.289	0.371	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	140	533	137	0.257	21	68	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.294	0.395	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	92	255	66	0.259	8	42	0.299	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.248	0.295	OK
Austin Riley	3B	138	491	110	0.224	15	64	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.282	0.335	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	32	94	11	0.117	0	6	0.210	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.176	0.251	0.218	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	5	5	4	3	0.206

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	133	503	119	0.237	39	82	0.349	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.193	0.298	0.379	OK
Trea Turner	SS	133	556	134	0.241	17	52	0.292	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.202	0.249	0.308	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	139	491	134	0.273	27	80	0.392	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.295	0.410	0.507	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	27	111	32	0.288	2	11	0.304	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.280	0.311	0.374	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	132	496	123	0.248	15	78	0.310	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.249	0.309	0.400	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	70	205	49	0.239	7	40	0.277	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.262	0.283	0.489	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	103	353	78	0.221	10	45	0.294	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.215	0.277	0.365	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	133	462	118	0.255	10	60	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.306	0.383	OK
Derek Hill	CF	36	99	26	0.263	5	18	0.291	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.253	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	11	4	4	4	3	0.289

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	26	118.9	3.10	1.236	6.9	91	5.2	4	2	2	3	3	98	5.2	3	2
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	51	49.9	2.89	1.202	9.7	54	1.0	3	1	1	1	0	26	1.0	0	1
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	64	53.3	2.70	0.957	12.5	74	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	57.3	2.51	1.187	12.4	79	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	23	128.7	3.36	1.103	10.8	154	5.1	5	3	3	4	3	98	5.1	3	3
Jhoan Duran	Closer	51	49.4	1.28	1.012	12.6	69	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	54	47.8	3.20	1.067	12.4	66	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.2	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	47.9	4.70	1.482	10.7	57	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-4

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

BOS 77-65 (4.46 RPG / 3.91 RA)

5 - 4

BAL 69-73 (4.51 RPG / 4.66 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-4 TARGET: BOS 5 - 4 BAL (BOS) Confidence: 53.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	5	8
BAL	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	4	6

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-26

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

BOS Season Quality

Record77-65

Win%0.542

Run Diff79

RD/Game0.556

BAL Season Quality

Record69-73

Win%0.486

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.155

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3549; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	DH	36	135	35	0.259	3	7	0.371	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.375	0.454	OK
Mickey Gasper	1B	49	152	43	0.283	8	22	0.371	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.293	0.370	0.568	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	137	522	135	0.259	23	70	0.338	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.242	0.320	0.444	OK
Trevor Story	SS	46	185	42	0.227	3	23	0.260	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.251	0.278	0.372	OK
Nick Sogard	3B	46	168	44	0.262	4	15	0.362	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.351	0.418	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	43	125	34	0.272	2	14	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.179	0.252	0.272	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	131	498	101	0.203	19	62	0.260	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.186	0.233	0.341	OK
Eli White	CF	17	42	11	0.262	0	6	0.295	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.282	0.406	OK
Connor Wong	C	64	191	46	0.241	4	23	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.266	0.323	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	5	5	3	8	0.229

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	DH	85	275	64	0.233	7	28	0.304	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.299	0.360	OK
Blaze Alexander	2B	77	242	77	0.318	4	30	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.322	0.363	0.424	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	137	550	121	0.220	21	56	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.278	0.355	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	139	521	140	0.269	33	94	0.359	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.207	0.301	0.414	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	97	323	74	0.229	17	50	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.128	0.210	0.239	OK
Heston Kjerstad	RF	2	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.054	0.069	0.089
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	39	130	33	0.254	7	28	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.277	0.319	0.481	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	81	250	62	0.248	6	31	0.323	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.214	0.289	0.354	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	110	291	63	0.216	12	34	0.300	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.148	0.227	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	2	6	0.182

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	25	142.5	2.84	1.186	8.1	128	6.0	4	3	3	2	6	96	6.0	6	3
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	48	47.2	1.53	1.059	12.0	63	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	12	12.1	0.74	1.074	16.4	22	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	46.3	1.94	0.864	10.1	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Bassitt	Starter	16	76.4	5.18	1.649	6.5	55	5.0	6	3	3	3	5	103	5.0	5	3
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	50	39.8	3.62	1.533	8.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Rico Garcia	Setup Man	65	52.2	2.93	1.015	10.5	61	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	35.8	3.02	1.117	10.3	41	1.2	1	1	1	0	0	24	1.2	0	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-4

Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins

CHC 81-62 (5.35 RPG / 4.38 RA)

6 - 3

MIA 71-72 (4.34 RPG / 4.29 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-3 TARGET: CHC 6 - 3 MIA (CHC) Confidence: 74.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	6	5
MIA	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	5

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs6.8

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

CHC Season Quality

Record80-62

Win%0.563

Run Diff138

RD/Game0.972

MIA Season Quality

Record71-71

Win%0.500

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.063

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7993; margin adjustment: -0.3357; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	140	539	152	0.282	39	93	0.377	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.278	0.353	0.567	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	123	469	128	0.273	24	80	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.245	0.336	0.424	OK
Michael Busch	1B	138	527	125	0.237	17	67	0.345	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.302	0.408	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	138	550	145	0.264	24	81	0.350	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.310	0.373	0.570	OK
Ian Happ	LF	133	486	107	0.220	23	62	0.323	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.305	0.380	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	137	545	144	0.264	8	63	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.272	0.319	0.375	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	59	174	49	0.282	4	26	0.342	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.309	0.414	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	92	218	51	0.234	13	36	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.343	0.506	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	63	192	44	0.229	5	23	0.324	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.262	0.292	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	6	6	2	7	0.156

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	DH	104	384	95	0.247	18	59	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.324	0.495	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	108	366	84	0.230	23	61	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.267	0.447	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	70	213	54	0.254	14	31	0.343	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.326	0.436	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	138	553	166	0.300	10	62	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.269	0.353	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	132	448	94	0.210	9	32	0.330	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.171	0.278	0.307	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	98	274	61	0.223	13	52	0.283	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.142	0.205	0.270	OK
Joe Mack	C	85	257	60	0.233	12	39	0.286	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.158	0.204	0.252	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	43	116	23	0.198	2	18	0.230	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.144	0.176	0.309	OK
Javier Sanoja	2B	113	380	109	0.287	7	53	0.322	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.304	0.340	0.449	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	7	0.156

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Javier Assad	Starter	22	78.9	3.65	1.166	6.3	55	5.0	3	2	2	2	4	86	5.0	4	2
Jacob Webb	Closer	61	54.4	3.47	1.360	10.8	65	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Colin Rea	Setup Man	29	124.9	4.61	1.393	7.0	97	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	39.4	3.65	1.371	6.4	28	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	12	8.9	8.09	1.910	11.1	11	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	19	65.1	4.01	1.382	7.9	57	4.1	5	6	6	1	6	84	4.1	6	6
Calvin Faucher	Closer	60	52.2	4.31	1.494	11.0	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	36	26.4	5.45	1.629	11.6	34	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	50.8	3.72	1.280	11.9	67	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	11.2	4.02	1.250	8.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-3

Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

DET 65-77 (4.4 RPG / 4.04 RA)

3 - 4

CLE 72-71 (4.03 RPG / 4.14 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-3 TARGET: DET 3 - 4 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	6
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	11

DET Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-25

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

DET Season Quality

Record64-77

Win%0.454

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.319

CLE Season Quality

Record72-70

Win%0.507

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.063

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0258; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	DH	82	310	83	0.268	8	36	0.369	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.272	0.362	0.375	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	90	259	69	0.266	8	37	0.309	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.256	0.304	0.408	OK
Riley Greene	LF	118	431	116	0.269	16	56	0.361	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.208	0.297	0.368	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	129	490	123	0.251	26	82	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.192	0.238	0.338	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	34	84	20	0.238	3	13	0.323	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.233	0.310	0.349	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	138	469	104	0.222	22	65	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.300	0.460	OK
John Peck	SS	3	12	2	0.167	0	3	0.231	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.156	0.166	0.308	OK
Zach McKinstry	CF	109	337	72	0.214	4	26	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.194	0.259	0.278	OK
Javier Báez	2B	49	165	41	0.248	2	17	0.277	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.234	0.260	0.360	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	7	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	127	457	124	0.271	2	27	0.370	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.265	0.352	0.319	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	91	327	80	0.245	14	50	0.283	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.251	0.282	0.461	OK
José Ramírez	3B	105	393	94	0.239	11	48	0.333	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.213	0.292	0.330	OK
Jo Adell	DH	28	103	25	0.243	4	22	0.322	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.235	0.277	0.377	OK
David Fry	1B	70	149	29	0.195	6	13	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.217	0.315	0.366	OK
Angel Genao	2B	25	91	23	0.253	2	6	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.294	0.367	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	54	143	30	0.210	3	9	0.250	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.135	0.178	0.226	OK
Austin Hedges	C	65	189	48	0.254	5	23	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.207	0.273	0.310	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	132	465	116	0.249	12	58	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.274	0.423	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	11	4	4	3	6	0.297

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	27	148.1	4.44	1.425	7.0	116	5.1	4	2	2	2	4	98	5.1	4	2
Kenley Jansen	Closer	41	34.4	3.66	1.250	11.5	44	0.2	4	2	2	0	0	20	0.2	0	2
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	61	55.5	3.41	1.532	8.6	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	49.4	3.83	1.721	8.4	46	1.2	3	0	0	1	1	26	1.0	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	27	154.7	2.56	1.060	9.4	161	6.0	5	3	3	2	6	111	6.0	6	3
Cade Smith	Closer	59	58.5	2.46	1.145	13.5	88	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	56	41.5	3.25	1.373	10.4	48	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	32.7	3.30	1.376	18.2	66	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates

LAA 54-88 (4.06 RPG / 4.6 RA)

4 - 6

PIT 70-73 (4.85 RPG / 4.67 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 6-4 TARGET: LAA 4 - 6 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 63.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
PIT	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	x	6	7

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-11

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

LAA Season Quality

Record53-88

Win%0.376

Run Diff-81

RD/Game-0.574

PIT Season Quality

Record70-72

Win%0.493

Run Diff30

RD/Game0.211

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9091; margin adjustment: 0.3818; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	136	542	127	0.234	23	66	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.268	0.392	OK
Mike Trout	CF	122	444	106	0.239	20	50	0.374	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.326	0.351	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	72	230	68	0.296	3	23	0.365	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.293	0.362	0.375	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	95	345	86	0.249	10	58	0.309	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.288	0.408	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	27	102	18	0.176	1	6	0.229	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.262	0.320	OK
Christian Moore	DH	18	64	11	0.172	1	6	0.239	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.175	0.233	0.294	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	90	263	55	0.209	10	27	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.194	0.270	0.315	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	59	211	46	0.218	6	24	0.263	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.123	0.174	0.219	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	49	113	27	0.239	1	10	0.306	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.165	0.213	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	0	13	0.182

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Konnor Griffin	SS	59	228	62	0.272	5	25	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.315	0.399	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	64	214	50	0.234	13	37	0.348	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.339	0.472	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	139	516	137	0.266	15	66	0.372	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.279	0.360	0.413	OK
Oneil Cruz	DH	78	303	81	0.267	17	58	0.360	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.285	0.382	0.479	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	128	486	148	0.305	4	57	0.368	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.322	0.379	0.395	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	28	90	19	0.211	7	17	0.290	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.183	0.258	0.372	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	95	291	71	0.244	3	28	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.319	0.341	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	107	374	109	0.291	4	30	0.346	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.289	0.330	0.370	OK
Nick Yorke	1B	33	103	22	0.214	1	12	0.261	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.224	0.257	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	6	6	3	8	0.226

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yusei Kikuchi	Starter	9	42.3	5.74	1.513	9.1	43	4.2	6	6	6	2	5	97	4.2	5	6
Ben Joyce	Closer	10	8.4	3.21	0.952	13.9	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tayler Saucedo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	11.7	4.62	1.453	13.8	18	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	45	40.9	3.74	1.491	12.5	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever	13	10.2	5.29	1.863	11.5	13	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	27	158.0	3.70	1.101	9.3	164	6.1	5	3	3	0	7	107	6.1	7	3
Mason Montgomery	Closer	59	51.2	2.99	1.172	16.0	91	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	10	8.4	6.43	1.667	11.8	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	25	1.0	2	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	55.0	2.95	1.109	11.3	69	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	11	0.2	2	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

MIL 88-54 (5.04 RPG / 3.81 RA)

8 - 5

CIN 67-74 (4.17 RPG / 4.96 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 8-5 TARGET: MIL 8 - 5 CIN (MIL) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	R	H
MIL	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	8	10
CIN	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	7

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed6.8

Run Diff-17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIL Season Quality

Record88-54

Win%0.620

Run Diff174

RD/Game1.225

CIN Season Quality

Record67-74

Win%0.475

Run Diff-111

RD/Game-0.787

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6661; margin adjustment: -2.6658; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	105	438	126	0.288	21	58	0.347	6	6	2	1	3	0	1	0.333	0.273	0.316	0.474	OK
Luis Lara	RF	41	134	36	0.269	1	20	0.336	6	6	1	1	1	0	1	0.167	0.280	0.343	0.381	OK
William Contreras	DH	129	499	135	0.271	13	72	0.340	6	6	1	1	0	0	2	0.167	0.289	0.358	0.437	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	89	260	82	0.315	6	42	0.392	6	6	1	1	0	0	1	0.167	0.339	0.398	0.537	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	118	386	99	0.256	8	48	0.345	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.283	0.356	0.426	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	101	308	78	0.253	8	41	0.317	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.280	0.343	0.425	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	52	165	45	0.273	3	27	0.339	5	4	2	1	0	1	2	0.500	0.294	0.359	0.428	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	74	200	41	0.205	11	35	0.342	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.162	0.291	0.373	OK
David Hamilton	2B	99	301	73	0.243	4	25	0.307	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.254	0.306	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									49	46	10	8	8	3	11	0.217

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	23	78	18	0.231	5	11	0.302	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.226	0.285	0.453	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	119	469	131	0.279	21	61	0.360	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.311	0.380	0.469	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	138	531	141	0.266	30	103	0.334	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.310	0.453	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	109	389	88	0.226	22	55	0.338	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.207	0.320	0.400	OK
Tyler Stephenson	DH	108	350	87	0.249	14	49	0.329	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.321	0.419	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	106	370	78	0.211	21	62	0.303	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.202	0.296	0.424	OK
Jose Trevino	C	39	126	29	0.230	5	16	0.234	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.220	0.228	0.342	OK
Carlos Jorge	CF	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.117	0.131	0.178
Matt McLain	2B	111	380	72	0.189	14	38	0.282	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.160	0.237	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	43	7	5	5	2	13	0.163

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	5	19.2	6.56	1.562	7.5	16	5.0	4	3	3	1	7	90	5.0	7	3
Trevor Megill	Closer	54	53.4	1.52	0.805	10.4	62	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	1	1
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	51	46.6	2.12	1.073	9.8	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	71.0	3.42	1.465	13.6	107	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
DL Hall	Reliever	38	43.8	2.47	1.142	10.5	51	3.0	1	1	1	1	2	45	0.0	2	1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	28	145.3	4.58	1.473	7.1	115	5.0	5	2	2	0	4	85	5.0	4	2
Emilio Pagán	Closer	36	34.4	4.19	1.047	9.4	36	2.1	1	2	2	1	1	36	0.2	1	2
Luis Mey	Setup Man	19	23.6	4.19	1.568	14.1	37	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	69	57.0	3.00	1.544	10.9	69	2.0	0	0	0	0	4	25	2.0	4	0
Tony Santillan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	38	33.1	5.98	1.601	8.4	31	1.1	3	4	4	1	1	30	0.0	1	4

Game Summary

MIL wins 8-5

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox

MIN 68-74 (4.68 RPG / 4.96 RA)

6 - 5

CHW 74-68 (4.72 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 6-5 TARGET: MIN 6 - 5 CHW (MIN) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	1	1	6	8
CHW	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	5	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Season Quality

Record67-74

Win%0.475

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.291

CHW Season Quality

Record74-67

Win%0.525

Run Diff42

RD/Game0.298

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4618; margin adjustment: 0.194; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	131	455	125	0.275	9	44	0.364	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.279	0.347	0.414	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	23	83	25	0.301	3	9	0.359	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.267	0.315	0.393	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	74	265	72	0.272	13	50	0.366	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.219	0.297	0.502	OK
Josh Bell	DH	135	497	128	0.258	18	84	0.322	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.281	0.338	0.439	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	106	391	93	0.238	14	51	0.304	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.251	0.308	0.423	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	123	457	110	0.241	24	70	0.300	4	3	2	1	2	0	1	0.667	0.271	0.326	0.519	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	132	505	125	0.248	22	76	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.274	0.365	OK
Gabriel Gonzalez	LF	3	5	1	0.200	0	0	0.429	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.208	0.403	0.243	OK
Ryan Kreidler	CF	76	212	47	0.222	6	26	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.203	0.265	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	6	6	4	10	0.229

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	120	416	110	0.264	8	41	0.363	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.262	0.334	0.374	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	138	514	129	0.251	30	77	0.362	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.366	0.488	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	106	380	80	0.211	29	59	0.351	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.194	0.338	0.421	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	124	380	92	0.242	14	70	0.304	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.203	0.272	0.349	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	133	502	107	0.213	30	81	0.294	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.220	0.289	0.500	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	72	262	59	0.225	6	36	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.225	0.308	0.366	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	134	501	136	0.271	12	51	0.343	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.329	0.367	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	129	381	107	0.281	12	52	0.343	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.298	0.354	0.481	OK
Jake Rogers	C	5	17	2	0.118	1	2	0.211	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.177	0.275	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	5	5	4	6	0.229

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	27	152.0	3.91	1.283	10.5	178	5.2	7	5	5	2	3	112	5.2	3	5
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	47	37.2	2.90	1.425	10.2	42	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	11	8.5	4.24	1.765	14.8	14	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	10.9	0.83	1.009	8.3	10	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	28	132.0	4.43	1.402	7.7	113	5.1	2	3	3	3	6	97	5.1	6	4
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.1	1	1
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.0	5	2	2	0	2	28	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-5

New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres

NYY 80-61 (4.52 RPG / 3.72 RA)

4 - 3

SD 74-67 (4.23 RPG / 4.16 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-3 TARGET: NYY 4 - 3 SD (NYY) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	8
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	8

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Season Quality

Record80-61

Win%0.567

Run Diff114

RD/Game0.809

SD Season Quality

Record74-67

Win%0.525

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.078

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7361; margin adjustment: -0.3092; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	90	321	81	0.252	18	48	0.305	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.189	0.238	0.355	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	112	416	111	0.267	12	60	0.348	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.279	0.345	0.399	OK
Amed Rosario	2B	75	206	49	0.238	10	30	0.274	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.256	0.294	0.418	OK
Ben Rice	DH	132	497	128	0.258	35	84	0.352	5	5	1	1	4	0	1	0.200	0.324	0.389	0.548	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	23	67	9	0.134	1	4	0.275	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.236	0.294	0.404	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	24	82	20	0.244	2	6	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.271	0.307	OK
Spencer Jones	CF	65	192	46	0.240	9	29	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.334	0.495	OK
José Caballero	3B	114	377	89	0.236	13	47	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.247	0.284	0.379	OK
Austin Wells	C	104	293	55	0.188	10	28	0.275	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.229	0.297	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	4	4	5	6	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	137	547	154	0.282	19	69	0.346	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.293	0.423	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	134	456	100	0.219	11	52	0.320	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.220	0.320	0.294	OK
Manny Machado	3B	137	510	112	0.220	24	75	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.322	0.360	OK
Ty France	1B	109	370	109	0.295	20	62	0.362	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.301	0.368	0.506	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	137	534	128	0.240	22	70	0.292	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.226	0.270	0.381	OK
Luis Campusano	DH	55	159	45	0.283	6	25	0.380	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.260	0.347	0.432	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	70	211	41	0.194	4	17	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.184	0.241	0.281	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	88	304	65	0.214	4	26	0.301	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.145	0.228	0.226	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	30	100	32	0.320	1	11	0.404	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.319	0.329	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	3	3	2	7	0.235

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	12	57.6	3.28	1.215	9.8	63	5.2	3	0	0	1	5	88	5.2	5	0
David Bednar	Closer	57	57.6	2.81	1.094	10.8	69	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	71	56.7	2.38	1.464	13.8	87	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	20	1.0	1	2
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	69.7	1.94	1.162	8.4	65	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	5	26.1	3.45	1.379	6.6	19	5.2	5	3	3	5	4	117	5.2	4	3
Mason Miller	Closer	56	56.3	1.28	0.870	17.3	108	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	65	66.8	3.10	1.213	12.5	93	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	54.7	2.14	1.170	11.2	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	48.1	2.25	1.310	11.4	61	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	7	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3

Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners

OAK 56-86 (4.4 RPG / 5.74 RA)

6 - 8

SEA 66-76 (3.98 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 8-6 TARGET: OAK 6 - 8 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	1	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6	12
SEA	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	2	8	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak3W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

OAK Season Quality

Record56-86

Win%0.394

Run Diff-190

RD/Game-1.338

SEA Season Quality

Record66-76

Win%0.465

Run Diff-69

RD/Game-0.486

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4783; margin adjustment: 0.2009; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	LF	95	339	93	0.274	8	30	0.351	5	5	1	1	4	0	1	0.200	0.275	0.341	0.411	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	123	409	111	0.271	8	52	0.318	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.282	0.323	0.418	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	87	319	83	0.260	17	42	0.326	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.261	0.312	0.526	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	127	395	92	0.233	12	50	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.337	0.383	OK
Jonah Heim	C	79	273	58	0.212	12	34	0.267	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.230	0.273	0.396	OK
Max Muncy	DH	73	232	52	0.224	8	27	0.293	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.294	0.398	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	36	82	18	0.220	2	9	0.396	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.223	0.315	0.428	OK
Alika Williams	SS	61	169	46	0.272	4	15	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.315	0.484	OK
Denzel Clarke	CF	23	59	10	0.169	0	6	0.234	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.125	0.195	0.174	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	39	12	6	6	0	7	0.308

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	134	498	135	0.271	22	66	0.370	5	4	2	1	4	1	0	0.500	0.234	0.310	0.447	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	124	397	101	0.254	21	63	0.326	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.254	0.309	0.465	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	130	520	126	0.242	20	61	0.302	5	4	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.205	0.251	0.322	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	106	380	67	0.176	21	58	0.290	5	5	0	0	0	0	5	0.000	0.232	0.329	0.561	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	132	517	139	0.269	10	49	0.327	5	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.318	0.362	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	96	335	75	0.224	10	32	0.347	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.284	0.414	0.384	OK
Taylor Ward	RF	22	74	8	0.108	0	4	0.205	5	5	1	1	2	0	3	0.200	0.202	0.322	0.281	OK
Cole Young	2B	141	517	127	0.246	16	58	0.308	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.284	0.360	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	32	86	17	0.198	3	8	0.281	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.208	0.296	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	36	11	8	8	6	12	0.306

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	25	118.8	6.59	1.549	7.4	98	4.0	5	4	4	3	6	89	4.0	6	5
Elvis Alvarado	Closer	46	39.7	4.76	1.411	12.2	54	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	8	0.2	2	0
Hogan Harris	Setup Man	65	50.6	4.09	1.779	14.6	82	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	36	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	59.0	3.51	1.475	12.2	80	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	32	1.1	2	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	21.0	3.00	1.429	9.4	22	1.1	4	4	4	1	2	32	1.0	2	3

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	26	149.4	4.28	1.379	7.7	128	5.1	10	6	6	0	3	97	5.1	3	6
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	53	48.3	4.10	1.201	15.3	82	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	64	51.3	4.21	1.579	8.1	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	66	52.2	3.97	1.667	10.9	63	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	32.8	3.02	1.280	9.6	35	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 8-6

San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets

SF 60-84 (4.22 RPG / 4.69 RA)

4 - 5

NYM 64-78 (4.17 RPG / 4.52 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 5-4 TARGET: SF 4 - 5 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 52.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	4	7
NYM	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	1	5	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-4

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

SF Season Quality

Record58-84

Win%0.408

Run Diff-77

RD/Game-0.542

NYM Season Quality

Record64-77

Win%0.454

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.326

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1833; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	CF	32	74	22	0.297	4	10	0.342	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.209	0.267	0.411	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	141	528	136	0.258	32	87	0.340	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.300	0.389	0.653	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	96	341	89	0.261	15	45	0.359	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.281	0.384	0.444	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	29	98	21	0.214	4	10	0.264	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.208	0.248	0.349	OK
Turner Hill	LF	16	48	16	0.333	0	12	0.417	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.326	0.406	0.432	OK
Andrew Knizner	C	13	31	6	0.194	1	1	0.265	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.144	0.194	0.287	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	10	34	4	0.118	1	3	0.118	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.089	0.098	0.201	OK
Grant McCray	RF	20	52	6	0.115	1	2	0.233	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.135	0.242	0.259	OK
Christian Koss	SS	46	138	28	0.203	1	5	0.241	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.237	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	2	7	0.206

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	82	324	76	0.235	16	38	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.297	0.473	OK
Juan Soto	LF	88	311	87	0.280	23	56	0.397	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.240	0.352	0.514	OK
Bo Bichette	DH	135	537	144	0.268	15	68	0.315	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.281	0.336	0.436	OK
Carson Benge	RF	131	502	138	0.275	16	53	0.335	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.325	0.393	OK
Jared Young	1B	86	271	71	0.262	7	32	0.323	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.154	0.211	0.279	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	118	416	92	0.221	14	44	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.291	0.322	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	98	359	86	0.240	7	28	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.303	0.335	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	94	312	71	0.228	14	34	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.275	0.477	OK
Brett Baty	3B	116	368	83	0.226	8	43	0.290	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.289	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	5	5	2	4	0.250

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Molina	Starter	2	9.1	2.97	0.879	6.9	7	3.0	3	2	2	1	2	57	3.0	2	2
Dylan Smith	Closer	34	28.4	3.49	1.479	13.0	41	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0
Trent Harris	Setup Man	11	12.3	3.66	1.463	13.2	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Carson Seymour	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	19.9	4.97	1.658	7.7	17	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	14.0	4.50	1.786	7.7	12	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Thornton	Starter	11	60.4	2.98	1.175	6.7	45	5.2	3	1	1	1	5	96	5.2	5	1
Kodai Senga	Closer	25	53.2	7.61	1.711	11.0	65	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	21	23.2	2.33	0.862	10.1	26	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	12	9.4	0.00	0.851	13.4	14	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	26	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 5-4

St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies

STL 71-71 (4.51 RPG / 4.56 RA)

7 - 6

COL 54-87 (4.69 RPG / 5.69 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 7-6 TARGET: STL 7 - 6 COL (STL) Confidence: 50.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7	9
COL	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	1	1	6	10

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Season Quality

Record71-71

Win%0.500

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.056

COL Season Quality

Record54-87

Win%0.383

Run Diff-141

RD/Game-1.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7359; margin adjustment: -0.3091; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bryan Torres	2B	51	122	31	0.254	3	16	0.316	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.284	0.347	0.388	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	138	523	127	0.243	14	57	0.353	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.286	0.351	0.425	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	137	525	147	0.280	21	99	0.343	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.217	0.272	0.356	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	135	527	152	0.288	26	95	0.344	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.282	0.323	0.478	OK
Leonardo Bernal	C	4	15	5	0.333	1	4	0.412	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.296	0.374	0.509	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	19	62	14	0.226	6	14	0.279	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.281	0.590	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	70	223	42	0.188	8	28	0.267	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.158	0.233	0.270	OK
Thomas Saggese	SS	32	94	23	0.245	4	11	0.308	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.285	0.351	0.519	OK
Nathan Church	CF	109	364	89	0.245	10	46	0.286	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.267	0.303	0.368	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	7	7	4	6	0.250

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	120	463	134	0.289	14	71	0.330	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.250	0.283	0.426	OK
Connor Norby	3B	22	74	20	0.270	2	10	0.349	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.222	0.297	0.338	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	121	452	113	0.250	36	74	0.317	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.271	0.434	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	134	478	142	0.297	15	64	0.388	5	3	1	0	0	2	1	0.333	0.348	0.438	0.584	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	69	249	66	0.265	7	38	0.342	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.262	0.324	0.469	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	48	135	27	0.200	1	11	0.253	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.205	0.254	0.299	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	112	355	102	0.287	4	46	0.353	4	1	1	1	2	1	0	1.000	0.294	0.361	0.432	OK
Adael Amador	2B	8	21	8	0.381	2	8	0.480	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.313	0.405	0.563	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	125	409	87	0.213	10	41	0.260	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.176	0.224	0.278	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	10	6	6	3	5	0.278

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	27	130.7	5.58	1.515	9.7	141	5.1	7	4	4	1	4	104	5.1	4	4
Riley O'Brien	Closer	59	54.2	4.32	1.310	9.5	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	63	53.3	4.90	1.520	10.3	61	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	47.4	4.75	1.561	11.0	58	1.2	1	1	1	1	0	29	1.2	0	1

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mason Adams	Starter	2	9.0	3.00	1.444	10.0	10	4.1	5	4	4	2	2	90	4.1	2	4
Jordan Romano	Closer	20	18.3	2.95	1.202	8.9	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	66	46.4	3.10	1.379	8.0	41	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	38.5	6.55	1.740	9.1	39	1.2	3	3	3	2	0	38	1.2	0	3
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	38	25.2	6.43	1.984	11.8	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

STL wins 7-6

Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers

TB 85-57 (4.51 RPG / 4.17 RA)

6 - 5

TEX 70-73 (4.1 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-5 TARGET: TB 6 - 5 TEX (TB) Confidence: 53.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	0	6	8
TEX	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	5	10

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TB Season Quality

Record84-57

Win%0.596

Run Diff46

RD/Game0.326

TEX Season Quality

Record70-72

Win%0.493

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.303

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5889; margin adjustment: -0.2473; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	135	535	165	0.308	21	76	0.376	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.330	0.378	0.493	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	136	514	143	0.278	18	82	0.361	5	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.254	0.326	0.447	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	140	536	150	0.280	37	90	0.365	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.271	0.335	0.449	OK
Liam Hicks	C	24	75	23	0.307	3	13	0.398	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.294	0.351	0.407	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	129	499	155	0.311	0	31	0.337	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.305	0.333	0.355	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	53	173	38	0.220	10	23	0.280	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.282	0.393	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	119	400	82	0.205	14	44	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.182	0.272	0.284	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	103	302	68	0.225	7	42	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.200	0.282	0.406	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	109	344	75	0.218	2	33	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.295	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	6	6	3	5	0.229

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	127	358	84	0.235	24	49	0.324	5	4	3	1	2	1	0	0.750	0.244	0.317	0.472	OK
Corey Seager	SS	81	300	68	0.227	14	37	0.325	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.229	0.317	0.414	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	90	345	86	0.249	15	36	0.331	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.195	0.282	0.336	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	136	518	138	0.266	14	58	0.332	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.265	0.323	0.405	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	131	464	128	0.276	17	77	0.337	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.277	0.346	0.477	OK
Jake Burger	1B	134	486	115	0.237	23	79	0.301	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.214	0.285	0.355	OK
Evan Carter	CF	120	343	67	0.195	8	34	0.290	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.203	0.284	0.316	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	26	73	20	0.274	1	6	0.346	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.292	0.322	OK
Danny Jansen	C	48	149	25	0.168	5	16	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.166	0.233	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	5	5	2	10	0.270

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	26	145.4	2.97	0.935	9.2	149	6.0	3	3	3	2	6	105	6.0	6	3
Bryan Baker	Closer	56	53.6	1.51	0.896	10.1	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	61	56.1	2.25	0.963	8.3	52	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	25	1.0	1	2
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	11	13.3	2.03	0.827	8.8	13	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	26	135.0	4.07	1.148	11.1	167	5.0	5	4	4	2	4	86	5.0	4	4
Jacob Latz	Closer	48	57.4	1.25	0.714	10.7	68	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	44	43.6	2.89	1.216	7.2	35	1.2	2	2	2	1	0	29	1.2	0	2
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	11.1	4.05	1.892	11.4	14	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 6-5

Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals

TOR 72-71 (4.05 RPG / 4.28 RA)

7 - 5

KC 63-80 (4.27 RPG / 4.92 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 7-5 TARGET: TOR 7 - 5 KC (TOR) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	7	10
KC	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	6

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record71-71

Win%0.500

Run Diff-34

RD/Game-0.239

KC Season Quality

Record63-79

Win%0.444

Run Diff-92

RD/Game-0.648

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4912; margin adjustment: -0.2063; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	23	94	31	0.330	0	7	0.390	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.315	0.373	0.405	OK
George Springer	DH	106	403	101	0.251	14	47	0.325	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.278	0.335	0.452	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	126	477	125	0.262	8	54	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.276	0.335	0.393	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	62	223	61	0.274	8	34	0.340	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.298	0.364	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	103	347	92	0.265	10	35	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.292	0.374	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	135	498	113	0.227	28	79	0.301	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.197	0.271	0.395	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	124	412	100	0.243	8	51	0.288	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.259	0.280	0.348	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	138	526	145	0.276	9	46	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.269	0.331	OK
Myles Straw	LF	107	254	60	0.236	3	23	0.292	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.340	0.389	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	37	10	7	7	0	10	0.270

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	130	462	107	0.232	22	67	0.316	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.278	0.348	0.587	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	122	477	135	0.283	17	50	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.240	0.319	0.418	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	129	470	131	0.279	23	69	0.327	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.288	0.425	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	131	505	114	0.226	18	65	0.270	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.279	0.399	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	94	348	84	0.241	10	43	0.330	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.218	0.302	0.396	OK
Michael Massey	2B	110	350	98	0.280	11	45	0.315	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.328	0.442	OK
John Rave	CF	30	86	19	0.221	3	8	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.217	0.283	0.382	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	33	91	23	0.253	2	13	0.277	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.250	0.279	0.386	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	124	394	89	0.226	6	40	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.177	0.267	0.285	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	5	5	3	6	0.182

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Scherzer	Starter	13	55.6	6.31	1.421	7.4	46	5.0	4	4	4	2	3	90	5.0	3	4
Louis Varland	Closer	63	65.0	1.25	1.062	11.9	86	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Michael Lorenzen	Setup Man	3	6.0	6.00	1.500	6.0	4	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	58.0	2.02	1.276	5.4	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	78.9	3.08	1.166	8.9	78	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	72	42.7	3.79	1.546	12.6	60	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	8	0.1	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	28	151.2	5.12	1.448	7.0	118	5.0	5	2	2	0	6	79	5.0	6	2
Steven Cruz	Closer	50	48.0	4.69	1.354	10.7	57	1.0	5	5	5	0	1	28	1.0	1	5
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	17	16.3	0.55	0.920	8.3	15	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	8	7.3	0.00	0.548	6.2	5	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 7-5

Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

WAS 67-76 (5.16 RPG / 5.08 RA)

3 - 4

LAD 84-57 (4.91 RPG / 3.85 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-3 TARGET: WAS 3 - 4 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 57.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	4
LAD	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	5

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

WAS Season Quality

Record67-76

Win%0.469

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.084

LAD Season Quality

Record84-57

Win%0.596

Run Diff149

RD/Game1.057

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.741; margin adjustment: 0.3112; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	116	446	119	0.267	30	74	0.392	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.353	0.453	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	141	534	135	0.253	20	80	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.177	0.251	0.398	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	30	96	20	0.208	5	11	0.248	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	0.500	0.139	0.184	0.230	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	134	510	135	0.265	29	94	0.341	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.196	0.258	0.363	OK
Brady House	3B	75	268	66	0.246	10	41	0.305	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.281	0.329	0.443	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	100	267	64	0.240	3	25	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.252	0.348	0.358	OK
José Tena	DH	102	243	56	0.230	7	22	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.185	0.259	0.323	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	89	294	83	0.282	9	45	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.269	0.307	0.456	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	88	333	72	0.216	10	34	0.287	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.273	0.343	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	3	3	4	14	0.129

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Edman	CF	60	219	59	0.269	5	27	0.342	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.282	0.321	0.409	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	135	507	154	0.304	16	64	0.382	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.312	0.404	0.491	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	102	402	99	0.246	17	54	0.304	4	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.278	0.338	0.447	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	129	463	105	0.227	12	59	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.327	0.375	OK
Teoscar Hernández	DH	103	366	94	0.257	12	49	0.321	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.288	0.352	0.454	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	19	47	12	0.255	1	4	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.320	0.378	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	74	202	45	0.223	3	19	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.106	0.194	0.172	OK
Alex Call	LF	62	142	36	0.254	1	18	0.345	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.291	0.289	OK
Enrique Hernández	3B	23	51	11	0.216	2	5	0.273	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.175	0.237	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	5	4	4	5	6	0.172

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	29	150.1	3.18	1.219	10.6	177	5.2	4	3	3	5	6	115	5.2	6	4
Clayton Beeter	Closer	46	40.9	3.96	1.443	9.9	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Erik Tolman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	5	6.2	0.00	0.806	11.6	8	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Glasnow	Starter	9	51.2	2.81	0.820	10.9	62	5.2	2	3	3	4	9	104	5.2	9	3
Tanner Scott	Closer	61	51.2	2.81	1.035	11.8	67	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	57	49.2	3.11	1.098	12.1	66	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	21	18.1	2.98	1.105	9.4	19	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros

ARI Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

PHI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

BOS Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins

CHC Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

DET Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates

LAA Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

MIL Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox