MLB Predictions — September 3, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BOS @ BAL	5 - 4	5 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ HOU	4 - 5	4 - 5	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ KC	5 - 4	5 - 4	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ CHC	7 - 6	7 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 7-6	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ SEA	4 - 6	4 - 6	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 6-4	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ PIT	5 - 6	5 - 6	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ LAD	4 - 5	4 - 5	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ TEX	5 - 4	5 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ CLE	4 - 3	4 - 3	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

BOS 76-65 (4.49 RPG / 3.94 RA)

5 - 4

BAL 69-72 (4.54 RPG / 4.69 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-4 TARGET: BOS 5 - 4 BAL (BOS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	5	4
BAL	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	5

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff-22

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BOS Season Quality

Record75-65

Win%0.536

Run Diff77

RD/Game0.550

BAL Season Quality

Record69-71

Win%0.493

Run Diff-20

RD/Game-0.143

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2541; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	DH	34	127	34	0.268	2	6	0.376	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.287	0.378	0.445	OK
Mickey Gasper	1B	47	145	41	0.283	7	21	0.371	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.289	0.372	0.544	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	15	53	9	0.170	1	4	0.254	5	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.213	0.267	0.336	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	135	516	135	0.262	23	70	0.339	5	4	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.308	0.370	0.507	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	44	162	43	0.265	3	13	0.362	4	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.337	0.405	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	128	438	107	0.244	12	59	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.292	0.314	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	129	490	100	0.204	19	62	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.188	0.236	0.358	OK
Eli White	CF	15	34	9	0.265	0	6	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.286	0.399	OK
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	SS	42	121	33	0.273	2	13	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.339	0.371	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	4	5	5	4	7	0.118

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blaze Alexander	2B	75	234	73	0.312	4	30	0.365	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.304	0.347	0.409	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	105	333	74	0.222	19	55	0.288	5	5	1	1	3	0	2	0.200	0.238	0.294	0.455	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	1	5	1	0.200	0	2	0.200	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.278	0.357	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	137	514	139	0.270	32	92	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.240	0.334	0.421	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	135	542	119	0.220	21	56	0.303	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.215	0.289	0.408	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	37	123	30	0.244	6	26	0.288	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.137	0.185	0.265	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	116	381	84	0.220	8	52	0.292	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.285	0.338	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	80	247	62	0.251	6	31	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.309	0.389	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	20	52	5	0.096	0	0	0.203	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.122	0.195	0.191	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	5	4	4	3	11	0.147

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	16	91.1	3.36	1.065	7.3	74	5.2	4	3	3	3	7	98	5.2	7	3
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	46	45.2	1.19	1.062	11.9	60	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	11	11.1	0.81	0.991	16.2	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	44.3	2.03	0.880	10.2	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Jovani Morán	Reliever	42	53.2	3.72	1.203	10.7	63	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	11	0.0	1	1

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	23	126.6	3.48	1.374	7.3	103	5.2	3	4	4	3	5	100	5.2	5	4
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	50	39.8	3.62	1.533	8.4	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Rico Garcia	Setup Man	65	52.2	2.93	1.015	10.5	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	35.7	2.77	1.092	10.1	40	2.0	1	1	1	1	1	32	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-4

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW 73-67 (4.73 RPG / 4.45 RA)

4 - 5

HOU 72-69 (4.53 RPG / 4.8 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-4 TARGET: CHW 4 - 5 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 55.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	4	8
HOU	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	1	5	13

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHW Season Quality

Record73-66

Win%0.525

Run Diff43

RD/Game0.309

HOU Season Quality

Record71-69

Win%0.507

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.300

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4151; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	118	408	108	0.265	8	40	0.365	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.259	0.337	0.378	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	104	372	80	0.215	29	59	0.357	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.199	0.352	0.430	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	136	506	126	0.249	29	76	0.362	5	3	2	1	1	2	0	0.667	0.244	0.346	0.396	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	122	376	92	0.245	14	70	0.304	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.240	0.290	0.424	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	70	256	57	0.223	5	35	0.313	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.212	0.296	0.331	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	131	494	106	0.215	29	79	0.296	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.293	0.415	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	132	494	134	0.271	12	51	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.257	0.327	0.366	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	127	376	105	0.279	12	52	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.293	0.349	0.493	OK
Jake Rogers	C	5	17	2	0.118	1	2	0.211	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.179	0.276	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	4	4	6	7	0.229

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	89	356	100	0.281	17	46	0.335	5	4	3	1	0	1	0	0.750	0.257	0.297	0.438	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	137	491	157	0.320	37	94	0.436	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.326	0.430	0.581	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	132	479	121	0.253	18	74	0.353	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.218	0.312	0.378	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	112	434	106	0.244	14	41	0.308	5	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.229	0.293	0.351	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	25	96	17	0.177	3	10	0.248	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.211	0.273	0.339	OK
Christian Walker	1B	133	492	112	0.228	24	76	0.303	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.135	0.200	0.269	OK
Taylor Trammell	RF	75	208	43	0.207	7	20	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.202	0.270	0.343	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	70	260	67	0.258	10	32	0.288	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.260	0.287	0.436	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	40	104	21	0.202	3	17	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.162	0.260	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	13	5	5	1	12	0.351

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Castillo	Starter	5	21.4	6.73	1.729	8.4	20	4.2	7	3	3	1	6	96	4.2	6	4
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	30	1.1	2	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	2	0	0	0	3	23	1.1	3	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.1	3	2	2	0	1	17	0.2	1	1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	15	78.2	3.45	1.343	9.9	86	5.2	6	3	3	4	3	117	5.2	3	3
Josh Hader	Closer	37	36.4	0.49	0.604	12.1	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Setup Man	68	58.8	2.45	1.003	10.4	68	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	4.38	1.543	12.9	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	22	1.0	1	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	80.9	3.23	1.236	9.6	86	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	11	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-4

Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals

MIA 71-69 (4.37 RPG / 4.24 RA)

5 - 4

KC 62-78 (4.28 RPG / 4.91 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-4 TARGET: MIA 5 - 4 KC (MIA) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	5	10
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	5

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

KC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

MIA Season Quality

Record71-69

Win%0.507

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.129

KC Season Quality

Record62-78

Win%0.443

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-0.636

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4839; margin adjustment: -0.2032; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heriberto Hernández	LF	106	358	83	0.232	22	60	0.312	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.232	0.309	0.472	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	103	381	94	0.247	18	59	0.331	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.337	0.553	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	136	546	166	0.304	10	62	0.338	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.266	0.297	0.414	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	68	205	52	0.254	14	31	0.346	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.228	0.315	0.392	OK
Javier Sanoja	2B	111	373	107	0.287	7	53	0.321	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.302	0.337	0.444	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	131	444	93	0.209	9	32	0.331	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.230	0.332	0.415	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	51	170	39	0.229	2	17	0.320	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.213	0.295	0.306	OK
Joe Mack	C	83	252	59	0.234	12	38	0.288	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.227	0.273	0.348	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	42	112	23	0.205	2	18	0.237	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.274	0.451	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	5	5	4	5	0.270

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	128	454	103	0.227	21	64	0.313	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.314	0.511	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	120	471	134	0.285	16	49	0.358	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.320	0.380	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	127	462	129	0.279	23	67	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.293	0.430	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	129	498	111	0.223	18	64	0.268	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.224	0.256	0.389	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	DH	92	340	82	0.241	9	41	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.325	0.377	OK
Michael Massey	2B	108	344	96	0.279	11	45	0.312	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.310	0.346	0.485	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	32	89	23	0.258	2	13	0.283	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.284	0.312	0.413	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	122	387	89	0.230	6	40	0.330	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.314	0.346	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	77	238	54	0.227	6	24	0.276	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.204	0.250	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	4	4	3	5	0.156

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	29	187.8	3.50	1.198	6.7	140	6.1	0	1	1	1	2	96	6.1	2	1
Calvin Faucher	Closer	60	52.2	4.31	1.494	11.0	64	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	35	26.3	4.79	1.559	11.6	34	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	50.8	3.72	1.280	11.9	67	0.2	3	2	2	1	2	21	0.2	2	2

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	27	168.1	3.37	1.112	7.3	136	6.1	8	3	3	2	5	119	6.1	5	3
Steven Cruz	Closer	49	47.0	4.79	1.383	10.7	56	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	16	15.2	0.59	0.987	8.3	14	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Craig Kimbrel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	7.1	0.00	0.563	5.1	4	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs

MIL 87-54 (5.0 RPG / 3.79 RA)

7 - 6

CHC 79-62 (5.34 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 7-6 TARGET: MIL 7 - 6 CHC (MIL) Confidence: 53.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	11
CHC	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	6	5

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs8.6

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff34

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

MIL Season Quality

Record87-53

Win%0.621

Run Diff172

RD/Game1.229

CHC Season Quality

Record78-62

Win%0.557

Run Diff132

RD/Game0.943

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1714; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	103	429	125	0.291	21	58	0.351	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.309	0.352	0.538	OK
Brice Turang	2B	126	496	129	0.260	17	80	0.350	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.225	0.305	0.370	OK
William Contreras	C	127	491	134	0.273	13	71	0.342	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.333	0.387	0.493	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	121	409	110	0.269	22	74	0.387	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.258	0.390	0.446	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	88	256	81	0.316	5	41	0.394	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.332	0.394	0.466	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	95	362	85	0.235	10	47	0.319	5	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.262	0.341	0.440	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	116	381	97	0.255	8	48	0.345	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.288	0.356	0.428	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	100	305	77	0.252	8	41	0.317	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.292	0.354	0.441	OK
David Hamilton	3B	97	293	70	0.239	4	24	0.305	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.241	0.296	0.343	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	38	11	7	7	5	9	0.289

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	138	531	150	0.282	38	91	0.378	5	5	0	1	0	0	2	0.000	0.275	0.348	0.613	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	121	461	128	0.278	24	80	0.374	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.254	0.360	0.473	OK
Michael Busch	1B	136	520	124	0.238	16	66	0.346	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.183	0.282	0.315	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	136	543	142	0.262	24	81	0.348	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.338	0.612	OK
Ian Happ	LF	131	479	106	0.221	23	61	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.314	0.413	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	135	538	141	0.262	8	62	0.315	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.305	0.358	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	57	169	49	0.290	4	24	0.349	4	2	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.265	0.327	0.442	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	90	214	50	0.234	13	36	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.176	0.254	0.401	OK
Carson Kelly	C	97	328	86	0.262	10	51	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.323	0.436	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	6	6	3	11	0.156

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Henderson	Starter	14	75.4	2.51	0.836	10.3	86	6.0	2	3	3	2	7	105	6.0	7	3
Trevor Megill	Closer	53	52.4	1.55	0.821	10.1	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Setup Man	51	46.6	2.12	1.073	9.8	51	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	70.0	3.47	1.471	13.5	105	1.0	1	1	1	0	3	21	1.0	3	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	5	27.3	5.27	1.245	9.6	29	5.2	6	4	4	4	7	117	5.2	7	5
Jacob Webb	Closer	61	54.4	3.47	1.360	10.8	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Colin Rea	Setup Man	29	124.9	4.61	1.393	7.0	97	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	29	1.1	0	1
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	39.4	3.65	1.371	6.4	28	1.0	5	3	3	1	1	32	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 7-6

Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners

OAK 54-86 (4.36 RPG / 5.75 RA)

4 - 6

SEA 66-74 (3.96 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 6-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 6 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 63.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	4	7
SEA	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	x	6	8

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

OAK Season Quality

Record54-86

Win%0.386

Run Diff-194

RD/Game-1.386

SEA Season Quality

Record66-74

Win%0.471

Run Diff-65

RD/Game-0.464

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6111; margin adjustment: 0.2567; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	93	332	91	0.274	8	30	0.347	5	4	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.282	0.333	0.421	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	85	309	79	0.256	15	39	0.324	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.246	0.313	0.437	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	125	386	89	0.231	12	47	0.322	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.359	0.404	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	77	264	56	0.212	12	34	0.268	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.222	0.276	0.406	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	121	400	107	0.268	7	49	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.313	0.384	OK
Michael Stefanic	2B	6	16	6	0.375	0	2	0.444	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.296	0.370	0.417	OK
Brian Serven	C	17	56	13	0.232	5	14	0.259	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.264	0.480	OK
Alika Williams	SS	59	162	44	0.272	3	14	0.302	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.273	0.301	0.458	OK
Max Muncy	3B	71	224	48	0.214	7	25	0.287	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.181	0.251	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	4	4	6	8	0.206

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	132	492	134	0.272	22	66	0.368	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.251	0.312	0.464	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	122	388	99	0.255	21	63	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.307	0.493	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	128	511	125	0.245	20	58	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.234	0.278	0.357	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	104	373	64	0.172	20	55	0.284	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.217	0.305	0.500	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	130	508	136	0.268	10	48	0.327	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.256	0.302	0.334	OK
Cole Young	2B	139	508	124	0.244	16	57	0.308	4	4	1	1	4	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.258	0.321	OK
Lazaro Montes	RF	1	4	2	0.500	1	2	0.600	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.290	0.407	0.571	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	94	331	73	0.221	10	31	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.296	0.393	0.395	OK
Brock Rodden	3B	14	43	8	0.186	0	4	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.192	0.297	0.289	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	6	6	4	3	0.250

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	32	90.2	6.78	1.574	10.9	109	4.0	5	3	3	1	2	69	4.0	2	3
Elvis Alvarado	Closer	45	38.7	4.65	1.370	12.6	54	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	25	1.1	1	0
Hogan Harris	Setup Man	63	48.6	4.26	1.831	14.6	79	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	26	1.0	0	3
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	57.9	3.58	1.468	12.0	77	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kade Anderson	Starter	2	9.3	4.84	1.398	7.7	8	4.1	5	3	3	0	4	82	4.1	4	3
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	52	47.3	4.19	1.226	15.4	81	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	63	50.3	4.29	1.590	8.1	45	0.2	0	1	1	4	1	24	0.2	1	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	51.2	3.87	1.621	10.7	61	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	45	31.8	3.11	1.321	9.3	33	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	26	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 6-4

San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates

SF 59-83 (4.18 RPG / 4.65 RA)

5 - 6

PIT 69-72 (4.9 RPG / 4.7 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 6-5 TARGET: SF 5 - 6 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	5	6
PIT	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	x	6	11

SF Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SF Season Quality

Record58-82

Win%0.414

Run Diff-70

RD/Game-0.500

PIT Season Quality

Record68-72

Win%0.486

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.186

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3866; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	RF	105	295	70	0.237	8	36	0.309	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.218	0.281	0.374	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	139	520	133	0.256	31	82	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.282	0.373	0.567	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	94	335	88	0.263	15	45	0.357	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.284	0.381	0.456	OK
Jonah Cox	CF	30	69	20	0.290	4	10	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.175	0.228	0.406	OK
Turner Hill	LF	14	42	14	0.333	0	11	0.392	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.323	0.392	0.445	OK
Andrew Knizner	C	11	27	6	0.222	1	1	0.300	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.177	0.231	0.353	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	10	34	4	0.118	1	3	0.118	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.161	0.169	0.310	OK
Nate Furman	2B	12	22	4	0.182	0	2	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.173	0.239	0.225	OK
Christian Koss	SS	44	132	27	0.205	1	5	0.239	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.205	0.234	0.271	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	5	5	4	7	0.182

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	97	335	83	0.248	10	41	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.294	0.324	OK
Brandon Lowe	DH	127	500	127	0.254	29	83	0.323	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.350	0.530	OK
Bryan Reynolds	RF	137	509	135	0.265	15	66	0.372	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.269	0.361	0.410	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	126	480	147	0.306	4	57	0.367	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.314	0.371	0.387	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	76	299	81	0.271	17	57	0.357	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.306	0.370	0.466	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	105	370	107	0.289	4	28	0.341	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.278	0.313	0.356	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	27	86	18	0.209	7	17	0.292	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.167	0.243	0.356	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	3B	35	88	17	0.193	2	9	0.217	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.236	0.280	0.363	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	94	288	71	0.247	3	26	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.313	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	11	6	6	1	12	0.324

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Blade Tidwell	Starter	13	36.5	4.68	1.260	7.6	31	5.0	5	2	2	0	8	90	5.0	8	2
Dylan Smith	Closer	34	28.4	3.49	1.479	13.0	41	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	26	1.1	2	0
Trent Harris	Setup Man	10	11.3	3.98	1.504	13.5	17	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	35	1.1	1	1
Carson Seymour	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	19.9	4.97	1.658	7.7	17	0.1	3	3	3	1	1	17	0.1	1	3

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lake Bachar	Starter	8	16.2	3.33	1.111	8.9	16	5.0	1	1	1	1	5	70	5.0	5	1
Mason Montgomery	Closer	57	49.2	3.11	1.199	16.3	89	1.2	4	4	4	3	1	43	1.2	1	4
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	9	7.4	7.30	1.892	12.2	10	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	55.0	2.95	1.109	11.3	69	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-5

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

STL 70-70 (4.51 RPG / 4.56 RA)

4 - 5

LAD 82-57 (4.92 RPG / 3.87 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-4 TARGET: STL 4 - 5 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	4	7
LAD	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed7.0

Run Diff-17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

STL Season Quality

Record70-70

Win%0.500

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.057

LAD Season Quality

Record82-57

Win%0.590

Run Diff146

RD/Game1.050

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8594; margin adjustment: 0.3609; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
José Fermín	2B	96	276	68	0.246	6	35	0.310	5	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.237	0.296	0.340	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	136	513	123	0.240	13	54	0.352	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.211	0.289	0.302	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	133	519	149	0.287	26	94	0.344	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.267	0.307	0.453	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	17	55	12	0.218	6	13	0.267	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.224	0.261	0.595	OK
Leonardo Bernal	1B	2	9	2	0.222	1	4	0.222	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.230	0.520	OK
Ramón Urías	3B	27	76	12	0.158	4	8	0.253	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.100	0.192	0.265	OK
Thomas Saggese	SS	30	88	21	0.239	4	10	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.320	0.495	OK
Nathan Church	CF	107	356	87	0.244	10	46	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.285	0.354	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	59	175	37	0.211	4	11	0.259	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.201	0.252	0.275	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	7	4	4	3	11	0.189

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tommy Edman	CF	58	210	55	0.262	5	27	0.338	5	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.307	0.387	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	100	395	97	0.246	17	53	0.301	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.265	0.315	0.444	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	101	360	91	0.253	12	45	0.313	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.281	0.328	0.433	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	134	503	154	0.306	16	64	0.384	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.319	0.417	0.531	OK
Will Smith	C	52	179	44	0.246	6	25	0.327	5	4	1	1	2	1	3	0.250	0.168	0.263	0.304	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	79	186	52	0.280	3	20	0.309	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.300	0.408	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	127	458	104	0.227	11	58	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.208	0.315	0.314	OK
Alex Call	DH	60	138	35	0.254	1	18	0.344	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.267	0.341	0.342	OK
Enrique Hernández	3B	21	47	11	0.234	2	5	0.280	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.291	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	8	5	5	4	9	0.216

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Quinn Mathews	Starter	4	19.2	5.16	1.615	9.4	20	4.2	6	3	3	1	3	91	4.2	3	3
Riley O'Brien	Closer	57	53.1	4.07	1.262	9.3	55	1.2	0	0	0	2	2	29	1.2	2	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	62	52.3	4.99	1.491	10.2	59	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	46.4	4.85	1.595	11.1	57	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	0.2	2	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	56.7	4.13	1.623	7.3	46	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Cade Winquest	Reliever	2	3.0	3.00	1.333	9.0	3	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	11	0.0	2	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	5	30.0	3.00	1.033	11.1	37	6.0	3	0	0	0	7	97	6.0	7	0
Tanner Scott	Closer	60	51.1	2.82	1.037	11.8	67	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.1	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	55	48.1	3.18	1.123	11.8	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	20	17.9	3.02	1.117	9.6	19	1.2	4	4	4	3	1	57	1.2	1	4

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers

TB 83-56 (4.52 RPG / 4.15 RA)

5 - 4

TEX 69-71 (4.09 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: TB 5 - 4 TEX (TB) Confidence: 53.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	8
TEX	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TB Season Quality

Record83-56

Win%0.597

Run Diff51

RD/Game0.367

TEX Season Quality

Record69-71

Win%0.493

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.343

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.654; margin adjustment: -0.2747; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	133	526	160	0.304	21	76	0.373	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.292	0.353	0.454	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	127	491	153	0.312	0	31	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.331	0.361	0.384	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	138	527	148	0.281	37	88	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.348	0.491	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	134	507	141	0.278	17	80	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.320	0.390	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	85	282	75	0.266	9	42	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.168	0.207	0.305	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	117	395	82	0.208	14	43	0.288	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.208	0.281	0.352	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	10	30	5	0.167	1	5	0.235	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.204	0.254	0.320	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	101	296	67	0.226	6	41	0.321	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.289	0.351	OK
Nick Fortes	C	88	264	70	0.265	4	30	0.306	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.266	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	5	5	1	4	0.229

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ezequiel Duran	CF	129	457	126	0.276	16	75	0.336	5	5	2	1	2	0	3	0.400	0.280	0.344	0.480	OK
Corey Seager	SS	79	292	65	0.223	13	35	0.324	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.328	0.372	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	88	338	85	0.251	15	36	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.214	0.304	0.371	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	134	511	138	0.270	14	58	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.318	0.374	0.494	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	76	186	48	0.258	11	27	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.299	0.582	OK
Jake Burger	1B	132	482	113	0.234	23	78	0.296	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.215	0.272	0.376	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	DH	6	9	2	0.222	0	1	0.200	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.124	0.173	0.200	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	24	68	20	0.294	1	6	0.360	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.282	0.332	0.399	OK
Elias Díaz	C	53	161	37	0.230	4	19	0.259	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.266	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	8	0.229

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	23	110.2	3.27	1.134	8.4	103	5.1	3	2	2	1	5	82	5.1	5	2
Bryan Baker	Closer	56	53.6	1.51	0.896	10.1	60	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	60	55.1	2.29	0.980	8.5	52	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	12.3	2.20	0.894	9.5	13	1.1	2	0	0	1	2	27	1.1	2	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	28	87.8	3.08	1.128	7.0	68	5.2	3	3	3	1	4	84	5.2	4	3
Jacob Latz	Closer	48	57.4	1.25	0.714	10.7	68	1.1	3	1	1	0	0	7	1.1	0	1
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	43	42.6	2.96	1.221	7.4	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	10.1	4.46	1.881	11.6	13	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians

TOR 70-71 (4.01 RPG / 4.3 RA)

4 - 3

CLE 70-70 (4.04 RPG / 4.12 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 4-3 TARGET: TOR 4 - 3 CLE (TOR) Confidence: 54.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	11
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	7

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record69-71

Win%0.493

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.314

CLE Season Quality

Record70-69

Win%0.504

Run Diff-8

RD/Game-0.058

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2137; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	21	86	27	0.314	0	7	0.368	6	6	2	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.276	0.334	0.357	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	101	338	89	0.263	10	33	0.316	6	6	3	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.249	0.286	0.384	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	124	470	123	0.262	8	53	0.330	6	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.261	0.318	0.394	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	94	260	68	0.262	8	34	0.321	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.253	0.300	0.409	OK
Sean Keys	DH	12	37	7	0.189	1	5	0.189	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.196	0.204	0.306	OK
Josh Smith	3B	13	30	8	0.267	3	4	0.333	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.234	0.310	0.383	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	123	407	99	0.243	8	51	0.289	5	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.289	0.362	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	136	517	142	0.275	9	43	0.300	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.204	0.232	0.289	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	70	214	48	0.224	8	21	0.304	5	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.195	0.275	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									48	43	11	4	4	2	9	0.256

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	124	445	121	0.272	2	27	0.370	5	5	4	1	1	0	0	0.800	0.272	0.357	0.333	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	113	425	126	0.296	13	59	0.366	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.328	0.382	0.474	OK
José Ramírez	DH	102	381	92	0.241	11	48	0.336	5	5	1	1	2	0	3	0.200	0.240	0.326	0.397	OK
Jo Adell	LF	25	92	23	0.250	4	21	0.333	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.294	0.408	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	23	83	18	0.217	3	15	0.250	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.204	0.268	0.397	OK
Angel Genao	3B	22	79	20	0.253	2	5	0.306	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.189	0.236	0.340	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	101	372	87	0.234	9	41	0.324	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.213	0.296	0.307	OK
Austin Hedges	C	63	184	47	0.255	5	21	0.322	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.154	0.223	0.260	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	129	455	113	0.248	10	53	0.305	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.235	0.275	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	40	7	3	3	5	12	0.175

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	5	27.4	4.27	1.423	7.2	22	6.0	3	0	0	2	10	105	6.0	10	0
Louis Varland	Closer	62	64.0	1.27	1.047	11.8	84	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Michael Lorenzen	Setup Man	2	3.0	9.00	2.000	6.0	2	1.0	4	3	3	2	1	33	1.0	1	3
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	57.0	2.05	1.298	5.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	77.8	3.12	1.183	8.9	77	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	37	0.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	28	159.3	3.95	1.180	7.2	128	6.0	7	2	2	1	9	113	6.0	9	3
Cade Smith	Closer	58	57.5	2.50	1.148	13.5	86	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	54	39.4	3.43	1.447	10.5	46	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	23	1.0	0	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	30.7	3.52	1.466	19.1	65	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	44.4	2.43	1.081	10.1	50	1.1	3	2	2	0	0	26	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

TOR wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

BOS Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals

MIA Recent Form

KC Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs

MIL Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners

OAK Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

OAK Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates

SF Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

SF Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

STL Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

STL Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers