MLB Predictions — September 1, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ WAS	7 - 5	7 - 5	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 7-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ COL	7 - 4	7 - 4	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 7-4	75%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ HOU	6 - 5	6 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ MIN	4 - 3	4 - 3	DET	DET	DET wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ KC	3 - 5	3 - 5	KC	KC	KC wins 5-3	65%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ CHC	6 - 8	6 - 8	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 8-6	70%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ TB	5 - 6	5 - 6	TB	TB	TB wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ LAA	6 - 4	6 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ TEX	4 - 5	4 - 5	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ ARI	4 - 3	4 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ CIN	7 - 4	7 - 4	SD	SD	SD wins 7-4	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ BOS	3 - 5	3 - 5	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ PIT	5 - 6	5 - 6	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 6-5	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ LAD	5 - 7	5 - 7	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 7-5	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ CLE	4 - 5	4 - 5	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals

ATL 82-58 (4.61 RPG / 3.87 RA)

7 - 5

WAS 67-74 (5.21 RPG / 5.05 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 7-5 TARGET: ATL 7 - 5 WAS (ATL) Confidence: 53.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	4	7	11
WAS	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5	11

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ATL Season Quality

Record82-56

Win%0.594

Run Diff113

RD/Game0.819

WAS Season Quality

Record66-74

Win%0.471

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.136

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6015; margin adjustment: -0.2526; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	114	444	124	0.279	22	68	0.359	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.303	0.357	0.466	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	84	317	77	0.243	13	36	0.346	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.265	0.352	0.404	OK
Matt Olson	1B	137	529	135	0.255	36	78	0.331	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.231	0.298	0.426	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	131	500	150	0.300	23	78	0.324	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.348	0.366	0.605	OK
Mauricio Dubón	2B	130	482	130	0.270	10	64	0.315	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.320	0.382	OK
Ozzie Albies	DH	137	520	134	0.258	20	67	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.318	0.401	OK
Austin Riley	3B	135	479	107	0.223	15	61	0.297	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.306	0.355	OK
Brewer Hicklen	LF	6	19	7	0.368	0	3	0.455	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.354	0.437	0.555	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	29	86	7	0.081	0	5	0.177	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.131	0.206	0.165	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	7	7	2	11	0.289

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	SS	131	498	133	0.267	29	92	0.343	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.195	0.261	0.362	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	85	322	71	0.220	10	34	0.289	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.238	0.281	0.355	OK
Brady House	3B	73	261	63	0.241	10	38	0.301	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.259	0.311	0.414	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	138	526	135	0.257	20	80	0.309	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.346	0.405	0.756	OK
Player-691002	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.240	0.311	0.411
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	27	87	19	0.218	5	10	0.261	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.195	0.241	0.329	OK
Harry Ford	C	22	69	13	0.188	3	8	0.291	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.182	0.270	0.376	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	98	262	63	0.240	3	24	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.341	0.338	OK
Jacob Young	CF	112	374	92	0.246	10	41	0.308	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.211	0.276	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	11	5	5	4	4	0.289

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
AJ Smith-Shawver	Starter	3	13.2	6.14	1.667	6.8	10	4.1	6	3	3	2	2	93	4.1	2	3
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	50	48.9	2.94	1.227	9.6	52	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	64	53.3	2.70	0.957	12.5	74	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	54.3	2.65	1.234	12.6	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	38.2	2.36	1.021	10.6	45	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Irvin	Starter	17	80.5	5.70	1.416	9.2	82	5.0	5	2	2	1	7	94	5.0	7	2
Clayton Beeter	Closer	45	39.9	3.38	1.404	10.2	45	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Orlando Ribalta	Setup Man	44	37.8	4.29	1.376	9.5	40	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Will Dion	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	16.5	2.18	0.909	9.3	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	18	11.9	10.59	2.017	10.6	14	0.2	3	4	4	1	0	21	0.2	0	4

Game Summary

ATL wins 7-5

Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies

BAL 69-69 (4.55 RPG / 4.67 RA)

7 - 4

COL 52-86 (4.67 RPG / 5.71 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 7-4 TARGET: BAL 7 - 4 COL (BAL) Confidence: 74.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	1	1	7	11
COL	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	4	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

BAL Season Quality

Record69-69

Win%0.500

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.123

COL Season Quality

Record52-86

Win%0.377

Run Diff-143

RD/Game-1.036

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0874; margin adjustment: -0.4567; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	81	260	58	0.223	6	27	0.299	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.199	0.261	0.309	OK
Pete Alonso	DH	135	507	137	0.270	32	91	0.361	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.265	0.350	0.489	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	133	534	119	0.223	21	56	0.306	5	5	3	1	2	0	2	0.600	0.260	0.328	0.481	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	35	118	29	0.246	6	26	0.291	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.155	0.206	0.288	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	78	238	60	0.252	6	31	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.269	0.348	0.420	OK
Samuel Basallo	1B	93	315	73	0.232	17	49	0.293	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.231	0.290	0.417	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	115	377	84	0.223	8	52	0.295	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.302	0.361	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	108	282	63	0.223	12	34	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.312	0.428	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	19	51	4	0.078	0	0	0.175	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.146	0.208	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	7	7	2	16	0.289

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	117	450	130	0.289	14	69	0.328	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.270	0.300	0.442	OK
Mickey Moniak	RF	96	341	86	0.252	21	60	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.270	0.453	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	118	440	112	0.255	36	73	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.252	0.317	0.514	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	131	466	136	0.292	13	60	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.374	0.368	OK
Cole Carrigg	SS	66	235	61	0.260	6	36	0.341	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.233	0.306	0.398	OK
Connor Norby	2B	19	61	18	0.295	2	10	0.386	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.238	0.319	0.378	OK
Willi Castro	3B	119	427	111	0.260	15	56	0.331	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.386	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	62	186	43	0.231	7	29	0.270	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.221	0.265	0.379	OK
Zac Veen	LF	15	31	7	0.226	2	7	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.103	0.184	0.221	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	8	4	4	2	5	0.235

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	26	139.5	4.13	1.448	8.6	133	5.1	6	3	3	2	2	100	5.1	2	3
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	49	39.6	3.41	1.490	8.2	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Yennier Cano	Setup Man	57	35.6	2.78	1.096	10.1	40	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	51.2	2.99	1.016	10.5	60	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gabriel Hughes	Starter	10	47.2	6.67	1.462	7.2	38	4.1	7	5	5	0	9	88	4.1	9	5
Jordan Romano	Closer	18	16.3	2.21	1.227	8.8	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	64	46.2	3.12	1.385	8.0	41	1.1	2	0	0	0	3	35	1.1	3	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	37.2	6.77	1.747	9.2	38	1.1	1	1	1	2	1	29	1.1	1	1
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	36	23.2	6.59	2.112	12.4	32	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

BAL wins 7-4

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW 72-65 (4.78 RPG / 4.48 RA)

6 - 5

HOU 70-68 (4.57 RPG / 4.86 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-5 TARGET: CHW 6 - 5 HOU (CHW) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	6	11
HOU	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0	5	9

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CHW Season Quality

Record72-65

Win%0.526

Run Diff41

RD/Game0.299

HOU Season Quality

Record70-68

Win%0.507

Run Diff-40

RD/Game-0.290

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.363; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	116	402	108	0.269	8	40	0.366	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.275	0.345	0.396	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	102	364	79	0.217	29	59	0.360	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.207	0.366	0.449	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	134	498	124	0.249	29	76	0.362	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.261	0.371	0.431	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	120	368	91	0.247	14	69	0.307	5	5	1	1	1	0	4	0.200	0.259	0.310	0.446	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	129	487	104	0.214	29	77	0.294	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.217	0.290	0.495	OK
Randal Grichuk	RF	75	165	49	0.297	11	30	0.326	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.302	0.324	0.613	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	125	370	103	0.278	12	52	0.341	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.294	0.348	0.540	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	130	487	132	0.271	12	51	0.344	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.253	0.327	0.373	OK
Drew Romo	C	55	173	25	0.145	7	16	0.228	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.266	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	11	6	6	4	9	0.289

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	87	349	99	0.284	17	46	0.337	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.273	0.311	0.482	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	135	485	155	0.320	37	94	0.435	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.297	0.407	0.554	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	130	472	119	0.252	17	73	0.353	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.209	0.308	0.332	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	110	428	106	0.248	14	41	0.309	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.236	0.294	0.355	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	38	100	21	0.210	3	17	0.319	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.145	0.248	0.299	OK
Christian Walker	1B	131	486	112	0.230	24	76	0.306	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.218	0.277	0.394	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	69	256	67	0.262	10	32	0.293	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.281	0.308	0.474	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	73	203	41	0.202	7	20	0.280	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.114	0.181	0.216	OK
Cam Smith	RF	125	434	93	0.214	17	49	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.182	0.235	0.358	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	9	5	5	2	7	0.257

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	27	145.5	3.40	1.182	10.0	161	5.0	7	4	4	1	4	91	5.0	4	4
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.1	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ronel Blanco	Starter	5	21.7	8.29	1.567	8.3	20	4.1	5	4	4	3	4	93	4.1	4	4
Josh Hader	Closer	36	35.4	0.51	0.621	12.2	48	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
Steven Okert	Setup Man	68	58.8	2.45	1.003	10.4	68	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	4.38	1.543	12.9	68	1.0	5	2	2	0	2	28	1.0	2	2
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	56.5	5.10	1.363	9.4	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-5

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins

DET 63-74 (4.36 RPG / 3.96 RA)

4 - 3

MIN 66-72 (4.62 RPG / 4.95 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-3 TARGET: DET 4 - 3 MIN (DET) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	4	5
MIN	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3

DET Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-27

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

DET Season Quality

Record63-74

Win%0.460

Run Diff55

RD/Game0.401

MIN Season Quality

Record66-72

Win%0.478

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.333

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2973; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	DH	132	506	139	0.275	14	58	0.376	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.350	0.384	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	79	299	78	0.261	8	36	0.363	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.318	0.342	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	126	479	120	0.251	26	82	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.252	0.368	OK
Riley Greene	LF	115	418	115	0.275	16	54	0.368	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.320	0.381	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	86	244	66	0.270	8	34	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.262	0.316	0.427	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	134	454	99	0.218	20	62	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.155	0.251	0.308	OK
Max Clark	CF	28	98	23	0.235	2	13	0.292	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.259	0.368	OK
Javier Báez	RF	46	157	40	0.255	2	14	0.285	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.273	0.374	OK
John Peck	SS	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.095	0.168	0.202
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	4	4	2	10	0.156

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	128	441	122	0.277	9	41	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.356	0.428	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	129	492	122	0.248	22	75	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.280	0.442	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	120	446	106	0.238	23	69	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.239	0.296	0.476	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	71	251	69	0.275	12	46	0.373	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.270	0.354	0.568	OK
Josh Bell	DH	132	487	123	0.253	17	83	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.293	0.363	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	109	358	95	0.265	11	44	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.255	0.317	0.428	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	103	377	87	0.231	13	46	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.250	0.309	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	20	70	22	0.314	3	6	0.372	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.281	0.333	0.462	OK
Walker Jenkins	CF	4	12	3	0.250	1	3	0.357	3	2	1	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.271	0.365	0.533	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	3	3	3	4	7	0.100

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	16	94.9	1.90	1.033	7.6	80	6.0	2	2	2	4	6	98	6.0	6	2
Kenley Jansen	Closer	39	33.1	3.81	1.208	11.1	41	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	15	1.0	0	1
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	59	52.5	3.60	1.543	8.6	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	3.04	1.649	8.2	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Morris	Starter	53	56.2	4.32	1.512	9.4	59	4.2	1	1	1	1	5	78	4.2	5	1
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	46	36.0	3.00	1.444	10.2	41	1.1	2	1	1	1	1	27	1.1	1	1
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	10	7.5	4.80	2.000	13.2	11	0.2	2	2	2	0	2	14	0.2	2	2
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	9.8	0.92	1.020	8.3	9	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0
Kody Funderburk	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	36.0	4.50	1.583	9.0	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-3

Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals

MIA 69-69 (4.33 RPG / 4.24 RA)

3 - 5

KC 62-76 (4.28 RPG / 4.88 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 5-3 TARGET: MIA 3 - 5 KC (KC) Confidence: 64.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	3	5
KC	0	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	x	5	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

MIA Season Quality

Record69-69

Win%0.500

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.087

KC Season Quality

Record62-76

Win%0.449

Run Diff-83

RD/Game-0.601

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2701; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	DH	101	372	91	0.245	16	56	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.342	0.454	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	66	199	50	0.251	14	30	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.312	0.440	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	104	351	81	0.231	22	58	0.309	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.317	0.492	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	129	437	92	0.211	8	31	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.338	0.360	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	97	270	60	0.222	13	52	0.284	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.198	0.258	0.368	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	134	538	164	0.305	10	61	0.340	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.291	0.322	0.440	OK
Joe Mack	C	81	245	57	0.233	12	38	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.170	0.222	0.287	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	41	108	21	0.194	1	14	0.228	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.145	0.180	0.250	OK
Javier Sanoja	2B	109	364	102	0.280	6	51	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.288	0.328	0.413	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	4	9	0.156

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	126	446	99	0.222	19	61	0.309	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.304	0.417	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	118	464	132	0.284	16	48	0.358	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.264	0.330	0.404	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	125	454	128	0.282	23	66	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.322	0.350	0.523	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	127	490	110	0.224	17	62	0.268	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.248	0.271	0.372	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	90	332	82	0.247	9	41	0.337	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.260	0.348	0.429	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	96	304	72	0.237	6	40	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.312	0.392	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	31	85	21	0.247	2	13	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.178	0.211	0.310	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	121	384	89	0.232	6	40	0.330	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.162	0.257	0.279	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	75	231	54	0.234	6	24	0.284	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	1.000	0.237	0.281	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	29	7	5	5	4	6	0.241

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	32	101.6	3.72	1.417	7.6	86	5.0	6	4	4	2	4	98	5.0	4	4
Calvin Faucher	Closer	58	50.2	4.48	1.534	11.5	64	2.0	1	1	1	2	1	36	2.0	1	1
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	34	25.3	4.62	1.542	12.1	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Dobnak	Starter	10	50.5	1.96	1.406	6.1	34	5.2	1	1	1	1	5	85	5.2	5	1
Steven Cruz	Closer	49	47.0	4.79	1.383	10.7	56	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	15	14.2	0.63	0.915	8.2	13	1.0	2	1	1	2	2	27	1.0	2	1
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	48.7	6.28	1.622	10.0	54	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 5-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs

MIL 85-53 (4.97 RPG / 3.79 RA)

6 - 8

CHC 78-60 (5.38 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 8-6 TARGET: MIL 6 - 8 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 69.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	6	8
CHC	1	0	3	0	1	0	3	0	x	8	13

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs8.6

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff41

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIL Season Quality

Record85-53

Win%0.616

Run Diff163

RD/Game1.181

CHC Season Quality

Record78-60

Win%0.565

Run Diff141

RD/Game1.022

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0089; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	101	418	119	0.285	20	57	0.346	5	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.281	0.333	0.521	OK
Brice Turang	2B	124	488	127	0.260	17	79	0.351	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.202	0.287	0.369	OK
William Contreras	C	125	481	130	0.270	13	69	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.324	0.388	0.472	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	119	403	110	0.273	22	74	0.387	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.279	0.405	0.470	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	86	250	78	0.312	5	39	0.392	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.227	0.305	0.330	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	93	355	82	0.231	9	45	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.270	0.343	0.409	OK
Luis Lara	CF	38	124	34	0.274	1	19	0.336	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.229	0.296	0.337	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	98	297	74	0.249	7	37	0.313	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.267	0.329	0.400	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	49	153	41	0.268	3	21	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.252	0.313	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	6	6	3	9	0.235

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	136	524	149	0.284	38	91	0.378	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.319	0.377	0.739	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	119	456	128	0.281	24	80	0.373	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.299	0.375	0.541	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	134	535	139	0.260	23	77	0.347	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.267	0.329	0.749	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	15	44	18	0.409	1	4	0.469	5	5	2	1	4	0	1	0.400	0.371	0.407	0.611	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	133	530	140	0.264	8	62	0.317	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.316	0.373	OK
Michael Busch	1B	134	512	123	0.240	16	66	0.349	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.302	0.362	OK
Carson Kelly	C	96	324	86	0.265	10	50	0.346	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.348	0.496	OK
Player-681230	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.313	0.415
Matt Shaw	2B	51	135	34	0.252	5	21	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.324	0.457	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	13	8	8	3	8	0.351

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	16	79.3	4.77	1.349	8.9	78	5.0	8	5	5	1	4	103	5.0	4	5
Trevor Megill	Closer	52	51.4	1.58	0.817	10.0	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Setup Man	63	68.0	3.57	1.515	13.8	104	0.2	4	3	3	1	1	24	0.2	1	3
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	89.1	3.33	1.291	8.4	83	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	26	1.1	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	17	94.2	4.11	1.253	7.3	76	6.0	3	3	3	3	8	109	6.0	8	4
Jacob Webb	Closer	60	54.3	3.15	1.344	10.8	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	1
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	42	39.2	3.67	1.301	6.0	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	7.7	7.01	1.948	10.5	9	1.0	4	3	3	0	0	25	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 8-6

New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays

NYM 62-77 (4.08 RPG / 4.48 RA)

5 - 6

TB 83-55 (4.52 RPG / 4.11 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-5 TARGET: NYM 5 - 6 TB (TB) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	5	8
TB	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	x	6	10

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYM Season Quality

Record62-76

Win%0.449

Run Diff-52

RD/Game-0.377

TB Season Quality

Record82-55

Win%0.599

Run Diff53

RD/Game0.387

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7945; margin adjustment: 0.3337; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	79	310	72	0.232	14	34	0.314	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.209	0.272	0.387	OK
Juan Soto	DH	85	298	85	0.285	22	54	0.404	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.254	0.379	0.488	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	132	526	139	0.264	14	66	0.310	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.238	0.286	0.381	OK
Carson Benge	RF	128	490	134	0.273	16	53	0.334	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.310	0.390	OK
Jared Young	1B	83	262	70	0.267	7	32	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.300	0.417	OK
Brett Baty	2B	114	364	82	0.225	8	40	0.290	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.235	0.295	0.350	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	92	304	69	0.227	12	32	0.314	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.195	0.259	0.312	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	96	351	85	0.242	7	28	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.223	0.288	0.325	OK
Nick Morabito	LF	4	11	0	0.000	0	0	0.083	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.049	0.063	0.081
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	5	5	3	8	0.229

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	131	519	157	0.303	20	75	0.370	5	4	3	1	2	1	0	0.750	0.269	0.320	0.412	OK
Ryan Vilade	1B	73	197	51	0.259	11	36	0.321	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.261	0.324	0.468	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	136	518	146	0.282	37	87	0.369	5	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.291	0.369	0.541	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	83	277	75	0.271	9	42	0.303	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.272	0.308	0.444	OK
Jorge Mateo	2B	9	26	5	0.192	1	5	0.267	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.291	0.373	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	125	483	150	0.311	0	31	0.338	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.332	0.364	0.393	OK
Nick Fortes	C	87	260	68	0.262	4	29	0.303	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.214	0.247	0.324	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	49	159	34	0.214	10	22	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.180	0.245	0.371	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	106	335	73	0.218	2	32	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.222	0.300	0.289	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	10	6	6	5	7	0.294

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	28	118.7	4.70	1.365	9.1	120	6.0	5	2	2	3	6	115	6.0	6	2
Kodai Senga	Closer	24	52.2	7.76	1.724	11.2	65	1.0	3	3	3	2	1	30	1.0	1	3
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	20	22.1	2.44	0.905	10.2	25	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	20	1.0	0	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	5	26.4	5.80	1.174	6.8	20	5.1	5	4	4	2	5	102	5.1	5	4
Bryan Baker	Closer	55	52.6	1.54	0.875	10.3	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	59	54.1	2.33	0.998	8.3	50	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	11.1	2.43	0.901	9.7	12	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	35.4	4.83	1.497	13.7	54	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	7	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 6-5

New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels

NYY 78-60 (4.51 RPG / 3.73 RA)

6 - 4

LAA 53-85 (4.09 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-4 TARGET: NYY 6 - 4 LAA (NYY) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	6	6
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	4	11

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Season Quality

Record78-60

Win%0.565

Run Diff108

RD/Game0.783

LAA Season Quality

Record53-85

Win%0.384

Run Diff-73

RD/Game-0.529

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2252; margin adjustment: -0.5146; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ben Rice	DH	129	483	122	0.253	34	82	0.350	5	5	2	1	3	0	3	0.400	0.264	0.338	0.451	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	109	402	105	0.261	12	59	0.346	5	3	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.283	0.351	0.428	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	24	89	26	0.292	5	12	0.340	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.268	0.305	0.481	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	62	181	43	0.238	8	25	0.305	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.258	0.316	0.457	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	125	435	100	0.230	18	54	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.280	0.360	0.428	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	113	403	84	0.208	17	56	0.304	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.152	0.253	0.298	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	95	271	59	0.218	10	32	0.280	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.220	0.283	0.331	OK
José Caballero	SS	112	368	88	0.239	13	47	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.244	0.282	0.387	OK
Austin Wells	C	101	285	52	0.182	10	26	0.272	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.285	0.410	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	6	6	6	7	13	0.182

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	133	530	125	0.236	23	66	0.318	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.224	0.293	0.439	OK
Mike Trout	CF	119	432	104	0.241	20	50	0.379	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.231	0.339	0.364	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	69	218	64	0.294	3	22	0.366	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.281	0.363	0.367	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	92	334	83	0.249	9	57	0.308	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.276	0.379	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	24	92	15	0.163	0	4	0.214	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.200	0.250	0.299	OK
Christian Moore	2B	15	53	10	0.189	1	4	0.267	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.200	0.262	0.319	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	88	261	55	0.211	10	27	0.270	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.201	0.271	0.319	OK
Oswald Peraza	3B	98	311	70	0.225	7	24	0.280	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.202	0.249	0.304	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	26	71	14	0.197	0	3	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.153	0.178	0.233	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	38	11	4	4	6	6	0.289

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	17	96.8	3.25	1.095	9.8	105	6.0	9	1	1	0	6	115	6.0	6	1
David Bednar	Closer	55	55.6	2.91	1.097	10.5	65	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	24	1.0	0	1
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	70	55.6	2.43	1.493	13.9	86	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	68.5	1.84	1.153	8.1	62	1.0	1	2	2	4	0	32	1.0	0	2

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	15	69.1	6.25	1.577	8.5	65	5.0	4	3	3	3	8	99	5.0	8	3
Ben Joyce	Closer	9	7.4	3.65	1.081	14.6	12	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	32	1.0	1	1
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	9	6.6	4.09	1.667	15.0	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	39.9	3.83	1.529	12.4	55	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	27	1.0	2	0
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	12	10.0	1.80	1.300	10.8	12	1.0	1	2	2	2	1	24	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-4

Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers

OAK 53-85 (4.33 RPG / 5.76 RA)

4 - 5

TEX 68-70 (4.07 RPG / 4.39 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 5 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	7
TEX	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	x	5	7

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

OAK Season Quality

Record53-85

Win%0.384

Run Diff-198

RD/Game-1.435

TEX Season Quality

Record68-70

Win%0.493

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.319

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9405; margin adjustment: 0.395; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	DH	91	323	87	0.269	6	26	0.339	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.307	0.353	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	83	301	76	0.252	14	38	0.318	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.291	0.391	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	123	378	87	0.230	12	45	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.282	0.375	0.444	OK
Jonah Heim	C	75	254	53	0.209	11	33	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.271	0.383	OK
Tommy White	1B	39	149	38	0.255	2	8	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.269	0.327	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	119	391	103	0.263	6	47	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.277	0.334	OK
Max Muncy	3B	70	220	48	0.218	7	25	0.289	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.275	0.357	OK
Alika Williams	SS	57	156	41	0.263	2	11	0.290	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.280	0.412	OK
Denzel Clarke	CF	21	53	9	0.170	0	6	0.228	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.117	0.179	0.169	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	9	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Foscue	DH	74	180	47	0.261	10	26	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.278	0.325	0.545	OK
Corey Seager	SS	77	285	63	0.221	13	34	0.323	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.339	0.388	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	86	330	83	0.252	15	36	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.323	0.387	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	132	504	133	0.264	14	53	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.286	0.341	0.477	OK
Ezequiel Duran	2B	127	451	123	0.273	15	73	0.331	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.345	0.472	OK
Jake Burger	1B	130	475	113	0.238	23	78	0.300	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.245	0.300	0.425	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	22	60	18	0.300	1	6	0.373	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.301	0.361	0.450	OK
Evan Carter	CF	116	334	64	0.192	8	33	0.287	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.126	0.209	0.220	OK
Elias Díaz	C	51	154	35	0.227	4	19	0.253	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.245	0.385	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	7	5	5	1	4	0.233

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Basso	Starter	20	25.2	5.00	1.548	7.9	22	4.1	5	4	4	0	4	70	4.1	4	4
Hogan Harris	Closer	62	47.6	4.35	1.870	14.6	77	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Elvis Alvarado	Setup Man	45	38.7	4.65	1.370	12.6	54	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	56.9	3.48	1.459	12.0	76	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.2	0	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	28	145.6	4.51	1.312	10.2	165	5.1	3	3	3	3	4	100	5.1	4	3
Jacob Latz	Closer	47	57.2	1.26	0.717	10.4	66	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	26	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	43	42.6	2.96	1.221	7.4	35	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	20	1.1	3	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	9.9	4.55	1.818	10.0	11	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks

PHI 78-60 (4.52 RPG / 4.3 RA)

4 - 3

ARI 73-66 (4.5 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-3 TARGET: PHI 4 - 3 ARI (PHI) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	9
ARI	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	8

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak5W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

PHI Season Quality

Record78-60

Win%0.565

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.225

ARI Season Quality

Record73-66

Win%0.525

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.029

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3931; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	130	492	119	0.242	39	81	0.355	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.253	0.348	0.488	OK
Trea Turner	SS	130	543	132	0.243	17	51	0.295	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.274	0.313	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	136	481	129	0.268	27	79	0.387	5	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.288	0.402	0.536	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	24	99	28	0.283	2	11	0.294	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.286	0.312	0.392	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	130	488	119	0.244	14	75	0.305	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.302	0.365	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	68	199	47	0.236	7	40	0.272	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.306	0.328	0.639	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	131	456	118	0.259	10	59	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.258	0.327	0.415	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	100	343	77	0.224	10	45	0.297	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.248	0.314	0.442	OK
Derek Hill	CF	34	94	25	0.266	5	18	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.309	0.423	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	4	4	2	4	0.250

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	134	483	123	0.255	9	47	0.362	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.361	0.358	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	135	504	123	0.244	19	61	0.341	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.297	0.437	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	108	389	118	0.303	11	67	0.382	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.271	0.344	0.441	OK
Ketel Marte	DH	118	472	118	0.250	21	67	0.314	5	4	1	0	0	1	3	0.250	0.256	0.333	0.453	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	129	450	107	0.238	21	65	0.312	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.206	0.259	0.331	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	115	407	103	0.253	9	66	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.272	0.356	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	75	239	58	0.243	9	35	0.298	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.293	0.401	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	19	59	16	0.271	2	7	0.348	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.268	0.301	0.417	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	70	225	61	0.271	3	22	0.332	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.256	0.309	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	3	3	5	12	0.229

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	27	158.8	3.17	1.152	11.5	203	6.2	5	1	1	4	9	127	6.2	9	1
Jhoan Duran	Closer	51	49.4	1.28	1.012	12.6	69	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	52	45.7	3.15	1.094	12.2	62	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	46.9	4.41	1.471	10.9	57	0.1	2	2	2	0	1	10	0.1	1	2

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	27	158.5	2.56	1.211	6.8	119	6.0	5	1	1	1	4	100	6.0	4	1
Juan Morillo	Closer	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brandyn Garcia	Setup Man	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-3

San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds

SD 73-66 (4.25 RPG / 4.15 RA)

7 - 4

CIN 66-73 (4.13 RPG / 4.94 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 7-4 TARGET: SD 7 - 4 CIN (SD) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	8
CIN	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	6

SD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed7.1

Run Diff-24

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SD Season Quality

Record73-65

Win%0.529

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.109

CIN Season Quality

Record65-73

Win%0.471

Run Diff-113

RD/Game-0.819

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8428; margin adjustment: -0.354; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	134	534	150	0.281	17	66	0.347	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.272	0.327	0.425	OK
Samad Taylor	LF	27	89	30	0.337	1	11	0.416	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.251	0.336	0.320	OK
Manny Machado	3B	135	504	111	0.220	24	74	0.307	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.275	0.348	0.399	OK
Ty France	1B	106	360	105	0.292	19	60	0.358	5	4	2	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.288	0.349	0.486	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	134	523	126	0.241	22	70	0.294	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.269	0.314	0.455	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	131	447	97	0.217	11	51	0.316	5	4	1	1	4	1	0	0.250	0.205	0.295	0.285	OK
Austin Hays	DH	10	28	6	0.214	1	3	0.214	4	2	0	1	0	2	2	0.000	0.227	0.241	0.328	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	69	209	41	0.196	4	17	0.264	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.204	0.260	0.315	OK
Jase Bowen	RF	37	80	13	0.162	2	7	0.202	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.187	0.208	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	8	7	7	7	9	0.229

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	20	66	15	0.227	4	9	0.301	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.295	0.453	OK
Elly De La Cruz	DH	116	457	125	0.274	21	60	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.291	0.372	0.488	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	135	519	138	0.266	30	102	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.281	0.342	0.535	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	106	379	84	0.222	21	52	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.316	0.368	OK
Matt McLain	SS	108	370	71	0.192	13	35	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.179	0.253	0.310	OK
Jose Trevino	C	38	122	28	0.230	5	15	0.234	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.214	0.223	0.372	OK
Juan Brito	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.178	0.236	0.268
TJ Friedl	CF	74	229	38	0.166	4	12	0.247	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.245	0.313	OK
Edwin Arroyo	3B	43	140	32	0.229	0	5	0.268	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.214	0.241	0.253	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	8	0.182

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	26	119.5	4.14	1.322	5.7	76	5.0	2	3	3	0	5	81	5.0	5	3
Mason Miller	Closer	55	54.3	1.33	0.884	17.2	104	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	63	65.6	2.88	1.174	12.3	90	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	27	1.1	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	52.6	2.22	1.198	11.1	65	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	46.1	2.34	1.323	11.3	58	0.2	3	1	1	0	2	17	0.2	2	1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	16	76.9	5.38	1.586	7.5	64	4.0	6	5	5	2	2	88	4.0	2	6
Emilio Pagán	Closer	34	32.4	4.17	1.080	9.4	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	22	1.0	2	0
Tejay Antone	Setup Man	45	38.6	3.73	1.244	10.0	43	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	56.0	3.05	1.536	10.8	67	1.0	0	0	0	3	3	37	1.0	3	1
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	32.2	5.59	1.646	9.5	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luis Mey	Middle Reliever	17	21.6	4.17	1.528	13.8	33	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0
Tony Santillan	Reliever	37	32.1	6.17	1.620	8.4	30	0.2	1	2	2	1	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 7-4

Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox

SEA 64-74 (3.9 RPG / 4.43 RA)

3 - 5

BOS 75-63 (4.48 RPG / 3.86 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-3 TARGET: SEA 3 - 5 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	9
BOS	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	5	9

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-27

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SEA Season Quality

Record64-74

Win%0.464

Run Diff-73

RD/Game-0.529

BOS Season Quality

Record75-63

Win%0.543

Run Diff85

RD/Game0.616

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9535; margin adjustment: 0.4005; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	130	482	132	0.274	21	62	0.371	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.357	0.523	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	120	380	97	0.255	20	61	0.325	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.239	0.296	0.456	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	126	501	122	0.244	20	57	0.304	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.201	0.250	0.329	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	103	368	63	0.171	20	54	0.285	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.195	0.288	0.488	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	128	498	133	0.267	10	47	0.328	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.219	0.272	0.288	OK
Cole Young	2B	137	500	122	0.244	16	57	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.174	0.229	0.292	OK
Player-703155	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.304	0.400
J.P. Crawford	SS	92	325	68	0.209	10	30	0.327	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.203	0.304	0.296	OK
Brock Rodden	3B	13	40	6	0.150	0	3	0.239	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.149	0.236	0.251	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	9	3	3	3	3	0.257

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Roman Anthony	RF	32	117	29	0.248	1	5	0.367	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.262	0.369	0.399	OK
Mickey Gasper	1B	45	137	38	0.277	6	20	0.367	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.304	0.399	0.580	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	129	520	147	0.283	15	68	0.319	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.281	0.306	0.406	OK
Wilyer Abreu	DH	133	507	130	0.256	23	70	0.336	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.259	0.332	0.478	OK
Nick Sogard	2B	42	155	42	0.271	3	13	0.370	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.347	0.430	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	126	431	106	0.246	12	59	0.319	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.232	0.315	0.328	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	127	482	99	0.205	19	62	0.264	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.252	0.393	OK
Trevor Story	SS	43	173	38	0.220	3	22	0.255	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.288	0.390	OK
Connor Wong	C	62	184	46	0.250	4	23	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.294	0.390	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	5	5	3	6	0.250

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	25	141.4	4.39	1.103	9.0	142	5.2	5	1	1	2	5	109	5.2	5	1
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	61	49.1	4.40	1.568	8.1	44	1.0	4	4	4	0	0	37	1.0	0	4
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	51.2	3.87	1.621	10.7	61	2.1	0	0	0	1	1	33	1.1	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jedixson Paez	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	6	2	2	2	2	74	3.0	2	2
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	46	45.2	1.19	1.062	11.9	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	11	11.1	0.81	0.991	16.2	20	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	37	32.6	2.76	1.196	9.9	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	43.5	4.34	1.402	10.8	52	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0
Jovani Morán	Middle Reliever	42	53.2	3.72	1.203	10.7	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Reliever	46	44.3	2.03	0.880	10.2	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-3

San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates

SF 58-81 (4.13 RPG / 4.6 RA)

5 - 6

PIT 67-71 (4.85 RPG / 4.66 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 6-5 TARGET: SF 5 - 6 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	5	6
PIT	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	6	11

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

SF Season Quality

Record57-81

Win%0.413

Run Diff-70

RD/Game-0.507

PIT Season Quality

Record67-71

Win%0.486

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.188

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4402; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	104	292	70	0.240	8	36	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.225	0.280	0.422	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	137	513	130	0.253	29	78	0.333	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.281	0.357	0.540	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	92	328	86	0.262	15	43	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.317	0.387	0.489	OK
Turner Hill	LF	12	33	9	0.273	0	8	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.269	0.359	0.423	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	123	468	136	0.291	8	47	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.301	0.362	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	27	92	19	0.207	4	9	0.245	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.198	0.220	0.347	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	39	102	23	0.225	0	7	0.319	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.121	0.217	0.168	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	8	27	2	0.074	1	3	0.074	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.076	0.086	0.194	OK
Christian Koss	SS	42	123	24	0.195	1	4	0.233	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.218	0.271	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	6	5	5	1	8	0.188

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	95	324	80	0.247	10	38	0.349	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.212	0.291	0.311	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	125	490	122	0.249	28	82	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.324	0.484	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	135	499	132	0.265	15	66	0.372	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.272	0.357	0.412	OK
Nick Gonzales	DH	124	471	143	0.304	4	55	0.364	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.309	0.369	0.385	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	74	289	76	0.263	17	52	0.351	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.279	0.353	0.493	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	62	205	49	0.239	13	36	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.344	0.501	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	33	85	14	0.165	2	8	0.172	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.194	0.229	0.283	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	92	282	70	0.248	3	25	0.323	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.266	0.325	0.356	OK
Henry Davis	C	75	227	37	0.163	8	32	0.247	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.144	0.201	0.247	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	11	6	6	1	9	0.306

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	24	146.5	3.75	1.113	7.2	118	6.0	6	2	2	0	8	106	6.0	8	2
Dylan Smith	Closer	33	27.4	3.61	1.496	12.8	39	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	30	1.0	1	2
Trent Harris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	10.3	4.37	1.456	13.1	15	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	27	142.9	3.84	1.134	11.0	175	5.1	2	1	1	0	6	78	5.1	6	1
Mason Montgomery	Closer	56	48.2	3.17	1.183	16.6	89	1.1	3	3	3	1	1	30	1.1	1	3
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	8	7.2	5.00	1.528	12.5	10	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	54.8	2.96	1.113	11.2	68	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 6-5

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

STL 68-70 (4.42 RPG / 4.53 RA)

5 - 7

LAD 82-55 (4.89 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 7-5 TARGET: STL 5 - 7 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
STL	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	7
LAD	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	7	12

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed7.2

Run Diff-24

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

STL Season Quality

Record68-70

Win%0.493

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.109

LAD Season Quality

Record82-55

Win%0.599

Run Diff153

RD/Game1.117

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1307; margin adjustment: 0.4749; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
José Fermín	2B	94	269	66	0.245	6	34	0.310	5	5	1	1	3	0	1	0.200	0.230	0.284	0.337	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	134	505	121	0.240	13	53	0.351	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.304	0.316	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	131	509	145	0.285	25	92	0.343	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.256	0.304	0.432	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	133	509	146	0.287	21	97	0.351	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.303	0.388	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	15	50	9	0.180	5	10	0.222	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.182	0.226	0.485	OK
Leonardo Bernal	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.286	0.373
Ramón Urías	3B	25	73	11	0.151	3	7	0.241	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.126	0.204	0.275	OK
Thomas Saggese	SS	28	81	17	0.210	1	4	0.264	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.229	0.282	0.347	OK
Nathan Church	CF	105	348	84	0.241	10	45	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.278	0.354	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	7	5	5	2	9	0.189

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	126	488	136	0.279	30	78	0.379	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.261	0.358	0.482	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	132	499	152	0.305	15	61	0.379	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.343	0.418	0.475	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	98	386	93	0.241	16	47	0.295	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.317	0.391	OK
Max Muncy	3B	124	407	101	0.248	26	68	0.344	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.165	0.277	0.326	OK
Will Smith	C	50	173	43	0.249	6	23	0.332	5	3	2	1	0	2	1	0.667	0.243	0.332	0.399	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	125	451	103	0.228	11	57	0.320	5	4	3	1	0	1	0	0.750	0.217	0.310	0.341	OK
Tommy Edman	CF	56	200	51	0.255	5	25	0.332	5	5	2	1	5	0	1	0.400	0.257	0.306	0.406	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	99	350	87	0.249	12	45	0.311	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.270	0.327	0.440	OK
Alex Freeland	2B	70	195	45	0.231	3	19	0.306	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.147	0.222	0.221	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	41	12	7	7	4	11	0.293

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	26	139.3	3.94	1.278	6.3	98	5.2	6	3	3	1	7	105	5.2	7	3
Riley O'Brien	Closer	56	52.1	4.15	1.286	9.3	54	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	61	51.3	4.74	1.462	10.2	58	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	25	1.1	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	45.4	4.96	1.586	11.1	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.0	1	0
Brycen Mautz	Reliever	2	6.0	9.00	2.000	15.0	10	0.1	4	4	4	2	0	28	0.0	0	4

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eric Lauer	Starter	13	67.6	3.86	1.169	5.9	44	5.1	6	5	5	2	2	105	5.1	2	5
Tanner Scott	Closer	59	50.1	2.69	1.038	12.0	67	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	55	48.1	3.18	1.123	11.8	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	16.9	2.13	1.006	9.6	18	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	38.1	3.78	1.496	13.9	59	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16	0.0	3	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 7-5

Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians

TOR 68-71 (3.95 RPG / 4.35 RA)

4 - 5

CLE 70-68 (4.08 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 5-4 TARGET: TOR 4 - 5 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 55.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	11
CLE	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	5	6

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

TOR Season Quality

Record68-70

Win%0.493

Run Diff-50

RD/Game-0.362

CLE Season Quality

Record69-68

Win%0.504

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.015

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4158; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	19	78	26	0.333	0	7	0.384	5	4	2	1	2	1	2	0.500	0.313	0.371	0.421	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	59	209	58	0.278	8	32	0.347	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.257	0.320	0.405	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	122	462	119	0.258	7	48	0.327	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.222	0.288	0.309	OK
George Springer	DH	103	390	99	0.254	14	44	0.330	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.346	0.404	0.551	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	99	329	87	0.264	10	32	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.255	0.297	0.445	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	132	486	111	0.228	28	78	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.297	0.499	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	121	402	97	0.241	8	51	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.259	0.334	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	134	510	141	0.276	9	43	0.301	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.132	0.159	0.217	OK
Myles Straw	LF	103	245	56	0.229	3	21	0.282	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.309	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	4	4	3	10	0.289

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	122	438	120	0.274	2	27	0.373	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.299	0.390	0.365	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	111	417	123	0.295	13	59	0.366	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.313	0.378	0.479	OK
José Ramírez	3B	100	374	91	0.243	11	48	0.339	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.269	0.352	0.445	OK
Jo Adell	RF	23	85	21	0.247	4	21	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.304	0.404	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	21	76	18	0.237	3	15	0.262	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.243	0.302	0.437	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	87	318	78	0.245	13	48	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.287	0.444	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	99	368	87	0.236	9	41	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.220	0.299	0.321	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	56	167	39	0.234	6	25	0.303	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.265	0.349	0.427	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	128	452	113	0.250	10	53	0.307	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.246	0.284	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	5	5	3	3	0.188

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Miles	Starter	42	76.8	3.16	1.185	9.0	77	5.0	3	2	2	3	2	96	5.0	2	2
Louis Varland	Closer	62	64.0	1.27	1.047	11.8	84	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	64	57.0	2.05	1.298	5.5	35	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	71	41.7	3.88	1.535	12.7	59	1.2	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	27	152.5	4.07	1.148	12.0	204	5.1	5	3	3	2	7	101	5.1	7	3
Cade Smith	Closer	58	57.5	2.50	1.148	13.5	86	1.1	3	1	1	0	2	26	1.1	2	1
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	53	38.4	3.52	1.484	10.5	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	44.4	2.43	1.081	10.1	50	1.1	2	0	0	1	0	27	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 5-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals

ATL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies

BAL Recent Form

COL Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

CHW Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins

DET Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

DET Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals

MIA Recent Form

KC Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs

MIL Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays

NYM Recent Form

TB Recent Form

NYM Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels