MLB Predictions — August 28, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ SF	5 - 6	5 - 6	SF	SF	SF wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ OAK	6 - 5	6 - 5	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 6-5	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ NYY	4 - 6	4 - 6	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ MIN	5 - 6	5 - 6	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ CHC	5 - 7	5 - 7	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 7-5	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ ATL	3 - 8	3 - 8	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 8-3	85%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ NYM	3 - 4	3 - 4	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ CLE	4 - 5	4 - 5	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 5-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ DET	4 - 1	4 - 1	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-1	67%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ WAS	5 - 4	5 - 4	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ LAA	4 - 5	4 - 5	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 5-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ STL	5 - 3	5 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ TB	4 - 5	4 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ TOR	2 - 4	2 - 4	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ MIL	2 - 6	2 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-2	85%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

ARI 73-66 (4.5 RPG / 4.47 RA)

5 - 6

SF 58-81 (4.13 RPG / 4.6 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 6-5 TARGET: ARI 5 - 6 SF (SF) Confidence: 53.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	5	7
SF	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	x	6	8

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Season Quality

Record71-64

Win%0.526

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

SF Season Quality

Record55-79

Win%0.410

Run Diff-69

RD/Game-0.515

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4179; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	LF	20	61	14	0.230	3	11	0.338	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.212	0.302	0.342	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	135	504	123	0.244	19	61	0.341	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.294	0.403	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	108	389	118	0.303	11	67	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.292	0.381	0.486	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	134	483	123	0.255	9	47	0.362	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.311	0.402	0.402	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	129	450	107	0.238	21	65	0.312	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.213	0.276	0.399	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	75	239	58	0.243	9	35	0.298	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.233	0.301	0.362	OK
James McCann	C	35	115	34	0.296	4	21	0.325	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.296	0.395	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	115	407	103	0.253	9	66	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.275	0.377	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	19	59	16	0.271	2	7	0.348	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.302	0.415	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	5	5	4	5	0.206

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	CF	28	63	18	0.286	4	9	0.318	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.254	0.288	0.501	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	137	513	130	0.253	29	78	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.273	0.351	0.559	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	92	328	86	0.262	15	43	0.354	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.277	0.361	0.455	OK
Andrew Knizner	C	11	27	6	0.222	1	1	0.300	4	4	3	1	4	0	0	0.750	0.285	0.347	0.510	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	123	468	136	0.291	8	47	0.333	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.184	0.219	0.283	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	8	27	2	0.074	1	3	0.074	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.149	0.158	0.348	OK
Turner Hill	LF	12	33	9	0.273	0	8	0.350	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.296	0.364	0.453	OK
Christian Koss	SS	42	123	24	0.195	1	4	0.233	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.252	0.266	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	27	92	19	0.207	4	9	0.245	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.210	0.224	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	6	6	2	7	0.250

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kohl Drake	Starter	4	16.2	5.56	1.605	7.2	13	4.1	6	6	6	2	4	81	4.1	4	6
Juan Morillo	Closer	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Brandyn Garcia	Setup Man	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Blade Tidwell	Starter	13	36.5	4.68	1.260	7.6	31	5.0	1	1	1	1	4	72	5.0	4	1
Dylan Smith	Closer	33	27.4	3.61	1.496	12.8	39	1.0	2	2	2	3	1	31	1.0	1	2
Sam Hentges	Setup Man	39	26.0	4.15	2.000	12.1	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	13.0	4.85	1.769	8.3	12	1.0	4	2	2	0	0	25	1.0	0	2
Trent Harris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	10.3	4.37	1.456	13.1	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 6-5

Baltimore Orioles @ Oakland Athletics

BAL 69-69 (4.55 RPG / 4.67 RA)

6 - 5

OAK 53-85 (4.33 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 6-5 TARGET: BAL 6 - 5 OAK (BAL) Confidence: 54.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	6	5
OAK	0	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	5	11

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

BAL Season Quality

Record65-69

Win%0.485

Run Diff-24

RD/Game-0.179

OAK Season Quality

Record53-81

Win%0.396

Run Diff-185

RD/Game-1.381

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9243; margin adjustment: -0.3882; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Blaze Alexander	SS	73	228	70	0.307	4	29	0.361	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.328	0.370	0.461	OK
Pete Alonso	DH	135	507	137	0.270	32	91	0.361	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.297	0.367	0.566	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	81	260	58	0.223	6	27	0.299	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.298	0.354	OK
Coby Mayo	1B	104	330	73	0.221	19	55	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.275	0.467	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	35	118	29	0.246	6	26	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.314	0.341	0.532	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	115	377	84	0.223	8	52	0.295	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.225	0.280	0.361	OK
Christian Franklin	CF	14	34	5	0.147	0	0	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.320	0.280	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	78	238	60	0.252	6	31	0.327	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.348	0.443	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	19	51	4	0.078	0	0	0.175	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.149	0.202	0.234	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	6	6	4	6	0.156

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	91	323	87	0.269	6	26	0.339	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.278	0.336	0.383	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	119	391	103	0.263	6	47	0.310	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.215	0.255	0.322	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	83	301	76	0.252	14	38	0.318	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.198	0.254	0.338	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	123	378	87	0.230	12	45	0.323	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.291	0.380	0.474	OK
Tommy White	1B	39	149	38	0.255	2	8	0.273	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.296	0.365	OK
Max Muncy	DH	70	220	48	0.218	7	25	0.289	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.213	0.278	0.380	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	102	291	75	0.258	8	38	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.309	0.393	OK
Jonah Heim	C	75	254	53	0.209	11	33	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.207	0.267	0.329	OK
Alika Williams	SS	57	156	41	0.263	2	11	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.292	0.433	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	38	11	5	5	1	5	0.289

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	23	126.6	3.48	1.374	7.3	103	5.1	7	4	4	0	4	99	5.1	4	4
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	49	39.6	3.41	1.490	8.2	36	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Yennier Cano	Setup Man	57	35.6	2.78	1.096	10.1	40	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	51.2	2.99	1.016	10.5	60	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Lopez	Starter	22	96.2	4.96	1.507	9.0	96	5.0	4	6	6	4	4	99	5.0	4	6
Hogan Harris	Closer	62	47.6	4.35	1.870	14.6	77	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Elvis Alvarado	Setup Man	45	38.7	4.65	1.370	12.6	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	56.9	3.48	1.459	12.0	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	17.8	2.53	1.348	7.6	15	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 6-5

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS 75-63 (4.48 RPG / 3.86 RA)

4 - 6

NYY 78-60 (4.51 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-4 TARGET: BOS 4 - 6 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	8
NYY	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	6	9

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

BOS Season Quality

Record73-60

Win%0.549

Run Diff101

RD/Game0.759

NYY Season Quality

Record75-58

Win%0.564

Run Diff100

RD/Game0.752

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.007; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	SS	42	155	42	0.271	3	13	0.370	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.264	0.376	0.409	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	129	520	147	0.283	15	68	0.319	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.248	0.279	0.364	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	133	507	130	0.256	23	70	0.336	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.181	0.266	0.321	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	122	430	117	0.272	26	79	0.382	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.263	0.347	0.485	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	15	53	9	0.170	1	4	0.254	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.195	0.262	0.327	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	126	431	106	0.246	12	59	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.305	0.346	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	45	137	38	0.277	6	20	0.367	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.306	0.396	0.681	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	127	482	99	0.205	19	62	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.266	0.403	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	46	143	35	0.245	3	13	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.248	0.340	0.419	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	4	4	6	10	0.229

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	88	317	79	0.249	18	48	0.303	5	5	1	1	3	0	0	0.200	0.234	0.285	0.382	OK
Ben Rice	DH	129	483	122	0.253	34	82	0.350	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.263	0.357	0.512	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	109	402	105	0.261	12	59	0.346	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.333	0.433	OK
Heliot Ramos	RF	21	61	9	0.148	1	4	0.297	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.221	0.262	0.353	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	113	403	84	0.208	17	56	0.304	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.193	0.289	0.363	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	23	79	20	0.253	2	6	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.295	0.355	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	125	435	100	0.230	18	54	0.307	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.311	0.385	0.516	OK
José Caballero	3B	112	368	88	0.239	13	47	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.263	0.332	OK
Austin Wells	C	101	285	52	0.182	10	26	0.272	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.183	0.273	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	9	6	6	3	7	0.257

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	9	43.6	4.33	1.766	9.9	48	5.0	6	3	3	2	3	101	5.0	3	4
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	46	45.2	1.19	1.062	11.9	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	26	1.0	2	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	11	11.1	0.81	0.991	16.2	20	0.2	1	2	2	1	1	15	0.2	1	2
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	37	32.6	2.76	1.196	9.9	36	2.1	1	1	1	0	1	32	1.1	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	28	159.7	2.14	0.996	11.3	201	6.0	6	2	2	3	7	108	6.0	7	2
David Bednar	Closer	55	55.6	2.91	1.097	10.5	65	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	70	55.6	2.43	1.493	13.9	86	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	68.5	1.84	1.153	8.1	62	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-4

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins

CHW 72-65 (4.78 RPG / 4.48 RA)

5 - 6

MIN 66-72 (4.62 RPG / 4.95 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 6-5 TARGET: CHW 5 - 6 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
CHW	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	5	6
MIN	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	6	13

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

CHW Season Quality

Record70-63

Win%0.526

Run Diff44

RD/Game0.331

MIN Season Quality

Record64-70

Win%0.478

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.418

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6056; margin adjustment: -0.2544; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	116	402	108	0.269	8	40	0.366	5	4	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.278	0.344	0.408	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	102	364	79	0.217	29	59	0.360	5	4	3	1	3	1	0	0.750	0.204	0.343	0.451	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	134	498	124	0.249	29	76	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.337	0.457	0.519	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	120	368	91	0.247	14	69	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.323	0.415	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	69	254	57	0.224	5	35	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.318	0.380	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	129	487	104	0.214	29	77	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.268	0.396	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	130	487	132	0.271	12	51	0.344	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.329	0.381	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	125	370	103	0.278	12	52	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.367	0.416	0.753	OK
Drew Romo	C	55	173	25	0.145	7	16	0.228	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.184	0.255	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	6	5	5	2	6	0.167

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	128	441	122	0.277	9	41	0.366	6	5	1	0	0	1	1	0.200	0.264	0.329	0.388	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	129	492	122	0.248	22	75	0.297	6	6	2	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.251	0.288	0.515	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	71	251	69	0.275	12	46	0.373	6	5	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.249	0.332	0.408	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	120	446	106	0.238	23	69	0.294	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.248	0.293	0.444	OK
Josh Bell	DH	132	487	123	0.253	17	83	0.315	5	5	3	1	1	0	2	0.600	0.227	0.282	0.369	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	103	377	87	0.231	13	46	0.298	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.203	0.261	0.332	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	109	358	95	0.265	11	44	0.342	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.219	0.282	0.378	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	20	70	22	0.314	3	6	0.372	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.324	0.358	0.564	OK
Player-805805	CF	4	12	3	0.250	1	3	0.357	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.238	0.298	0.391	OK
TEAM TOTALS									48	43	13	6	6	5	10	0.302

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Castillo	Starter	5	21.4	6.73	1.729	8.4	20	5.0	5	2	2	4	7	106	5.0	7	2
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	26	1.1	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	13	0.0	1	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.2	3	2	2	0	1	42	0.1	1	2
José Urquidy	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	10	0.0	1	1

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	5	26.2	4.47	1.145	7.9	23	5.0	5	4	4	2	3	86	5.0	3	4
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	46	36.0	3.00	1.444	10.2	41	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	24	2.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	10	7.5	4.80	2.000	13.2	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	56.2	4.32	1.512	9.4	59	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
A.J. Minter	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	9.8	0.92	1.020	8.3	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-5

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN 65-73 (4.13 RPG / 4.95 RA)

5 - 7

CHC 78-60 (5.38 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 7-5 TARGET: CIN 5 - 7 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
CIN	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	5	10
CHC	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	2	7	13

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CIN Season Quality

Record63-71

Win%0.470

Run Diff-100

RD/Game-0.746

CHC Season Quality

Record76-58

Win%0.567

Run Diff119

RD/Game0.888

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2745; margin adjustment: 0.5353; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dane Myers	CF	85	228	57	0.250	5	21	0.340	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.271	0.343	0.361	OK
Elly De La Cruz	SS	116	457	125	0.274	21	60	0.356	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.305	0.362	0.497	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	135	519	138	0.266	30	102	0.336	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.255	0.318	0.430	OK
Tyler Stephenson	DH	106	344	87	0.253	14	49	0.331	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.329	0.401	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	105	367	77	0.210	20	59	0.301	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.299	0.403	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	106	379	84	0.222	21	52	0.333	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.207	0.314	0.400	OK
Matt McLain	2B	108	370	71	0.192	13	35	0.286	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.175	0.259	0.345	OK
Jose Trevino	C	38	122	28	0.230	5	15	0.234	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.207	0.217	0.311	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	20	66	15	0.227	4	9	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.284	0.456	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	40	10	5	5	3	9	0.250

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	136	524	149	0.284	38	91	0.378	6	6	2	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.260	0.336	0.532	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	119	456	128	0.281	24	80	0.373	6	5	2	1	2	1	2	0.400	0.249	0.348	0.412	OK
Michael Busch	1B	134	512	123	0.240	16	66	0.349	6	4	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.242	0.355	0.416	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	134	535	139	0.260	23	77	0.347	6	5	2	1	0	1	0	0.400	0.208	0.296	0.362	OK
Ian Happ	LF	129	473	105	0.222	23	61	0.325	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.168	0.269	0.387	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	133	530	140	0.264	8	62	0.317	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.253	0.299	0.342	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	57	169	49	0.290	4	24	0.349	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.285	0.335	0.463	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	89	213	50	0.235	13	36	0.318	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.268	0.344	0.550	OK
Carson Kelly	C	96	324	86	0.265	10	50	0.346	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.242	0.308	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									49	43	13	7	7	6	6	0.302

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	24	108.5	5.31	1.502	7.3	88	5.0	5	2	2	3	3	102	5.0	3	2
Emilio Pagán	Closer	34	32.4	4.17	1.080	9.4	34	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	0.1	1	0
Tejay Antone	Setup Man	45	38.6	3.73	1.244	10.0	43	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	56.0	3.05	1.536	10.8	67	1.1	4	3	3	1	1	45	1.1	1	3
Sam Moll	Reliever	62	44.6	5.65	1.771	10.9	54	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	0.0	1	2

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	11	53.0	4.08	1.415	7.8	46	4.2	8	4	4	1	5	99	4.2	5	4
Jacob Webb	Closer	60	54.3	3.15	1.344	10.8	65	1.2	1	1	1	0	0	33	1.2	0	1
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	42	39.2	3.67	1.301	6.0	26	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	7.7	7.01	1.948	10.5	9	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Daniel Palencia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	21	17.7	4.07	1.356	12.2	24	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17	0.0	3	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 7-5

Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves

COL 52-86 (4.67 RPG / 5.71 RA)

3 - 8

ATL 82-57 (4.61 RPG / 3.83 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 8-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 8 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 84.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	5
ATL	5	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	x	8	7

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-25

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

COL Season Quality

Record52-82

Win%0.388

Run Diff-138

RD/Game-1.030

ATL Season Quality

Record79-55

Win%0.590

Run Diff113

RD/Game0.843

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.5862; margin adjustment: 2.5379; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	117	450	130	0.289	14	69	0.328	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.256	0.343	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	66	235	61	0.260	6	36	0.341	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.311	0.406	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	118	440	112	0.255	36	73	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.159	0.224	0.406	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	131	466	136	0.292	13	60	0.384	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.381	0.378	OK
Willi Castro	3B	119	427	111	0.260	15	56	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.320	0.423	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	96	341	86	0.252	21	60	0.290	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.262	0.459	OK
Connor Norby	2B	19	61	18	0.295	2	10	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.337	0.436	OK
Zac Veen	RF	15	31	7	0.226	2	7	0.294	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.194	0.253	0.433	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	122	405	85	0.210	10	41	0.258	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.209	0.265	0.373	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	6	0.156

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	114	444	124	0.279	22	68	0.359	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.298	0.371	0.506	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	137	520	134	0.258	20	67	0.313	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.300	0.346	0.419	OK
Matt Olson	1B	137	529	135	0.255	36	78	0.331	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.256	0.331	0.506	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	84	317	77	0.243	13	36	0.346	4	4	2	1	7	0	1	0.500	0.193	0.276	0.315	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	131	500	150	0.300	23	78	0.324	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.293	0.317	0.502	OK
Mauricio Dubón	3B	130	482	130	0.270	10	64	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.293	0.336	0.408	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	114	301	67	0.223	9	33	0.304	4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.172	0.254	0.285	OK
Sean Murphy	C	17	58	13	0.224	2	4	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.282	0.303	0.446	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	29	86	7	0.081	0	5	0.177	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.156	0.240	0.198	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	8	8	4	8	0.226

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	24	122.4	5.37	1.397	5.5	75	5.1	7	8	8	4	5	109	5.1	5	8
Jordan Romano	Closer	18	16.3	2.21	1.227	8.8	16	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	64	46.2	3.12	1.385	8.0	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	36	23.2	6.59	2.112	12.4	32	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	27	127.4	3.96	1.405	7.4	105	5.0	5	3	3	2	2	86	5.0	2	3
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	50	48.9	2.94	1.227	9.6	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	64	53.3	2.70	0.957	12.5	74	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	54.3	2.65	1.234	12.6	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	12	1.1	2	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	38.2	2.36	1.021	10.6	45	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 8-3

Houston Astros @ New York Mets

HOU 70-68 (4.57 RPG / 4.86 RA)

3 - 4

NYM 62-76 (4.09 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 4-3 TARGET: HOU 3 - 4 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 54.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	5
NYM	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

HOU Season Quality

Record67-67

Win%0.500

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.328

NYM Season Quality

Record60-74

Win%0.448

Run Diff-52

RD/Game-0.388

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0379; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	87	349	99	0.284	17	46	0.337	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.247	0.280	0.476	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	135	485	155	0.320	37	94	0.435	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.298	0.402	0.531	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	130	472	119	0.252	17	73	0.353	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.348	0.403	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	110	428	106	0.248	14	41	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.221	0.282	0.363	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	24	93	16	0.172	3	10	0.238	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.238	0.287	0.413	OK
Christian Walker	1B	131	486	112	0.230	24	76	0.306	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.304	0.437	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	69	256	67	0.262	10	32	0.293	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.301	0.456	OK
Taylor Trammell	RF	73	203	41	0.202	7	20	0.280	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.200	0.269	0.336	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	6	14	1	0.071	1	2	0.071	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.193	0.243	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	3	3	0	11	0.156

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	96	351	85	0.242	7	28	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.231	0.296	0.330	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	79	310	72	0.232	14	34	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.294	0.396	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	132	526	139	0.264	14	66	0.310	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.288	0.410	OK
Carson Benge	RF	128	490	134	0.273	16	53	0.334	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.292	0.340	0.444	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	LF	55	193	43	0.223	10	23	0.296	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.252	0.333	0.471	OK
Jared Young	1B	83	262	70	0.267	7	32	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.298	0.405	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	115	408	91	0.223	14	43	0.285	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.221	0.283	0.335	OK
Brett Baty	DH	114	364	82	0.225	8	40	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.319	0.366	OK
Luis Torrens	C	74	219	53	0.242	8	33	0.303	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.247	0.295	0.495	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	8	4	4	2	9	0.242

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	15	78.2	3.45	1.343	9.9	86	5.1	6	3	3	2	6	105	5.1	6	3
Josh Hader	Closer	36	35.4	0.51	0.621	12.2	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Steven Okert	Setup Man	68	58.8	2.45	1.003	10.4	68	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	4.38	1.543	12.9	68	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	11	0.2	0	1

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Christian Scott	Starter	20	90.0	4.00	1.378	11.3	113	5.2	2	2	2	0	7	89	5.2	7	2
Kodai Senga	Closer	24	52.2	7.76	1.724	11.2	65	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	20	22.1	2.44	0.905	10.2	25	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	24	1.1	3	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	11	8.2	0.00	0.732	13.2	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 4-3

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians

KC 62-76 (4.28 RPG / 4.88 RA)

4 - 5

CLE 69-68 (4.07 RPG / 4.08 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 5-4 TARGET: KC 4 - 5 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 57.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	7
CLE	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	x	5	7

KC Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff30

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff23

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak7W

KC Season Quality

Record60-75

Win%0.444

Run Diff-81

RD/Game-0.600

CLE Season Quality

Record68-66

Win%0.507

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.030

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3452; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	126	446	99	0.222	19	61	0.309	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.234	0.331	0.449	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	118	464	132	0.284	16	48	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.293	0.367	0.450	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	125	454	128	0.282	23	66	0.330	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.310	0.339	0.527	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	127	490	110	0.224	17	62	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.233	0.262	0.378	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	90	332	82	0.247	9	41	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.339	0.444	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	96	304	72	0.237	6	40	0.322	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.240	0.327	0.396	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	121	384	89	0.232	6	40	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.305	0.313	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	31	85	21	0.247	2	13	0.273	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.214	0.248	0.285	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	75	231	54	0.234	6	24	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.293	0.392	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	10	0.206

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	122	438	120	0.274	2	27	0.373	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.349	0.423	0.404	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	111	417	123	0.295	13	59	0.366	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.307	0.384	0.484	OK
José Ramírez	3B	100	374	91	0.243	11	48	0.339	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.259	0.337	0.384	OK
Jo Adell	RF	23	85	21	0.247	4	21	0.337	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.222	0.260	0.383	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	21	76	18	0.237	3	15	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.322	0.403	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	99	368	87	0.236	9	41	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.339	0.364	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	56	167	39	0.234	6	25	0.303	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.148	0.253	0.270	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	53	142	30	0.211	3	9	0.252	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.160	0.207	0.273	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	128	452	113	0.250	10	53	0.307	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.248	0.287	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	5	5	4	8	0.226

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	27	168.1	3.37	1.112	7.3	136	6.0	5	2	2	3	7	115	6.0	7	2
Steven Cruz	Closer	49	47.0	4.79	1.383	10.7	56	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	23	1.0	1	3
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	15	14.2	0.63	0.915	8.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	28	159.3	3.95	1.180	7.2	128	6.0	3	2	2	1	7	101	6.0	7	2
Cade Smith	Closer	58	57.5	2.50	1.148	13.5	86	1.1	2	2	2	2	1	35	1.1	1	2
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	53	38.4	3.52	1.484	10.5	45	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	11	0.2	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	44.4	2.43	1.081	10.1	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 5-4

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers

LAD 82-55 (4.89 RPG / 3.77 RA)

4 - 1

DET 63-74 (4.36 RPG / 3.96 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-1 TARGET: LAD 4 - 1 DET (LAD) Confidence: 66.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	11
DET	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-15

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAD Season Quality

Record80-54

Win%0.597

Run Diff148

RD/Game1.104

DET Season Quality

Record62-71

Win%0.466

Run Diff70

RD/Game0.526

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.761; margin adjustment: -0.3196; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	126	488	136	0.279	30	78	0.379	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.275	0.374	0.527	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	132	499	152	0.305	15	61	0.379	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.303	0.367	0.440	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	98	386	93	0.241	16	47	0.295	5	5	3	0	0	0	1	0.600	0.255	0.302	0.384	OK
Max Muncy	3B	124	407	101	0.248	26	68	0.344	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.245	0.345	0.483	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	56	200	51	0.255	5	25	0.332	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.235	0.294	0.408	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	125	451	103	0.228	11	57	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.147	0.237	0.242	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	6	19	4	0.211	0	3	0.250	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.132	0.166	0.245	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	99	350	87	0.249	12	45	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.217	0.276	0.337	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	17	42	11	0.262	1	4	0.354	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.340	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	11	4	4	1	15	0.297

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	79	299	78	0.261	8	36	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.296	0.314	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	86	244	66	0.270	8	34	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.299	0.410	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	132	506	139	0.275	14	58	0.376	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.307	0.386	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	126	479	120	0.251	26	82	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.229	0.266	0.382	OK
Eduardo Valencia	DH	26	77	24	0.312	6	17	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.292	0.307	0.584	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	30	72	16	0.222	3	11	0.313	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.314	0.382	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	134	454	99	0.218	20	62	0.312	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.192	0.282	0.340	OK
Max Clark	CF	28	98	23	0.235	2	13	0.292	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.194	0.242	0.348	OK
Javier Báez	LF	46	157	40	0.255	2	14	0.285	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.265	0.374	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	1	1	2	4	0.100

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	5	30.0	3.00	1.033	11.1	37	6.0	2	1	1	2	4	90	6.0	4	1
Tanner Scott	Closer	59	50.1	2.69	1.038	12.0	67	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	55	48.1	3.18	1.123	11.8	63	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	16.9	2.13	1.006	9.6	18	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Anderson	Starter	45	78.3	4.25	1.456	11.0	96	4.1	4	1	1	1	10	83	4.1	10	1
Kenley Jansen	Closer	39	33.1	3.81	1.208	11.1	41	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	59	52.5	3.60	1.543	8.6	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	3.04	1.649	8.2	43	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1
Jacob Waguespack	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	25	27.2	2.98	1.029	6.3	19	1.1	3	2	2	0	3	29	1.1	3	2

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-1

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals

MIA 69-69 (4.33 RPG / 4.24 RA)

5 - 4

WAS 66-74 (5.19 RPG / 5.05 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-4 TARGET: MIA 5 - 4 WAS (MIA) Confidence: 55.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	6
WAS	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Season Quality

Record68-66

Win%0.507

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.142

WAS Season Quality

Record63-73

Win%0.463

Run Diff12

RD/Game0.088

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2011; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heriberto Hernández	LF	104	351	81	0.231	22	58	0.309	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.323	0.499	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	50	165	39	0.236	2	17	0.328	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.224	0.322	0.322	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	134	538	164	0.305	10	61	0.340	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.276	0.318	0.391	OK
Javier Sanoja	RF	109	364	102	0.280	6	51	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.288	0.322	0.427	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	135	500	141	0.282	6	51	0.361	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.351	0.357	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	101	372	91	0.245	16	56	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.330	0.463	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	61	166	33	0.199	2	14	0.291	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.274	0.255	OK
Esteury Ruiz	CF	72	168	40	0.238	6	11	0.325	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.229	0.281	0.392	OK
Joe Mack	C	81	245	57	0.233	12	38	0.288	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.274	0.374	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	6	5	5	0	5	0.188

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	SS	131	498	133	0.267	29	92	0.343	5	5	1	1	4	0	3	0.200	0.217	0.282	0.397	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	27	87	19	0.218	5	10	0.261	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.234	0.335	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	85	322	71	0.220	10	34	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.294	0.370	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	138	526	135	0.257	20	80	0.309	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.294	0.339	0.588	OK
Brady House	3B	73	261	63	0.241	10	38	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.282	0.363	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	98	262	63	0.240	3	24	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.330	0.314	OK
Harry Ford	C	22	69	13	0.188	3	8	0.291	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.185	0.267	0.341	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	59	146	36	0.247	9	33	0.341	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.261	0.329	0.539	OK
Jacob Young	CF	112	374	92	0.246	10	41	0.308	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.238	0.288	0.370	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	6	0.206

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	24	129.5	3.47	1.143	9.9	142	5.2	4	1	1	2	6	97	5.2	6	1
Calvin Faucher	Closer	58	50.2	4.48	1.534	11.5	64	1.1	2	3	3	1	0	27	1.1	0	3
Tyler Zuber	Setup Man	34	25.3	4.62	1.542	12.1	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	49.8	3.80	1.305	11.9	66	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Kent	Starter	4	18.4	5.87	1.793	8.3	17	3.2	3	3	3	0	1	61	3.2	1	3
Clayton Beeter	Closer	45	39.9	3.38	1.404	10.2	45	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Setup Man	44	37.8	4.29	1.376	9.5	40	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2
Will Dion	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	16.5	2.18	0.909	9.3	17	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	18	11.9	10.59	2.017	10.6	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels

PHI 78-60 (4.52 RPG / 4.3 RA)

4 - 5

LAA 53-85 (4.09 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 5-4 TARGET: PHI 4 - 5 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 56.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
PHI	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
LAA	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	10

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak4L

PHI Season Quality

Record74-60

Win%0.552

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.172

LAA Season Quality

Record52-82

Win%0.388

Run Diff-75

RD/Game-0.560

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8664; margin adjustment: -0.3639; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	130	492	119	0.242	39	81	0.355	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.252	0.342	0.576	OK
Trea Turner	SS	130	543	132	0.243	17	51	0.295	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.216	0.256	0.317	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	136	481	129	0.268	27	79	0.387	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.307	0.421	0.576	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	24	99	28	0.283	2	11	0.294	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.283	0.311	0.388	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	130	488	119	0.244	14	75	0.305	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.323	0.419	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	LF	18	45	15	0.333	2	11	0.373	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.346	0.378	0.536	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	131	456	118	0.259	10	59	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.341	0.400	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	100	343	77	0.224	10	45	0.297	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.266	0.324	0.427	OK
Derek Hill	CF	34	94	25	0.266	5	18	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.158	0.199	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	39	6	4	4	3	13	0.154

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	133	530	125	0.236	23	66	0.318	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.269	0.323	0.475	OK
Mike Trout	CF	119	432	104	0.241	20	50	0.379	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.361	0.397	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	69	218	64	0.294	3	22	0.366	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.257	0.324	0.338	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	92	334	83	0.249	9	57	0.308	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.239	0.281	0.399	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	24	92	15	0.163	0	4	0.214	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.270	0.324	OK
Christian Moore	2B	15	53	10	0.189	1	4	0.267	5	4	1	1	0	1	3	0.250	0.151	0.231	0.331	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	88	261	55	0.211	10	27	0.270	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.219	0.278	0.356	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	59	211	46	0.218	6	24	0.263	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.174	0.224	0.294	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	26	71	14	0.197	0	3	0.250	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.148	0.174	0.204	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	43	10	5	5	1	13	0.233

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	20	96.0	6.09	1.479	8.0	85	5.0	6	3	3	1	9	92	5.0	9	3
Jhoan Duran	Closer	51	49.4	1.28	1.012	12.6	69	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	52	45.7	3.15	1.094	12.2	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	46.9	4.41	1.471	10.9	57	0.2	3	1	1	0	1	17	0.1	1	1
José Alvarado	Reliever	57	43.6	6.40	1.766	12.6	61	2.2	1	1	1	0	1	37	0.0	1	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	27	151.5	3.62	1.096	10.3	174	5.2	5	3	3	3	7	108	5.2	7	3
Ben Joyce	Closer	9	7.4	3.65	1.081	14.6	12	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	9	6.6	4.09	1.667	15.0	11	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
José Fermin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	44	39.9	3.83	1.529	12.4	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	12	10.0	1.80	1.300	10.8	12	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	17	0.0	3	0
Tayler Saucedo	Middle Reliever	18	10.7	5.05	1.495	14.3	17	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 5-4

Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals

PIT 67-71 (4.85 RPG / 4.66 RA)

5 - 3

STL 68-70 (4.42 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-3 TARGET: PIT 5 - 3 STL (PIT) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	5	9
STL	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	3

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed7.1

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

PIT Season Quality

Record65-70

Win%0.481

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.178

STL Season Quality

Record67-68

Win%0.496

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.096

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2925; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jared Triolo	SS	92	282	70	0.248	3	25	0.323	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.194	0.258	0.259	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	62	205	49	0.239	13	36	0.354	5	5	2	1	3	0	2	0.400	0.248	0.362	0.498	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	135	499	132	0.265	15	66	0.372	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.269	0.362	0.418	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	74	289	76	0.263	17	52	0.351	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.228	0.311	0.488	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	124	471	143	0.304	4	55	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.293	0.347	0.363	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	1B	25	81	18	0.222	7	17	0.300	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.241	0.315	0.517	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	103	365	106	0.290	4	28	0.343	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.312	0.355	OK
Nick Yorke	3B	32	102	21	0.206	1	12	0.255	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.227	0.272	OK
Henry Davis	C	75	227	37	0.163	8	32	0.247	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.137	0.197	0.227	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	9	5	5	3	10	0.257

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	126	495	120	0.242	17	47	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.342	0.411	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	134	505	121	0.240	13	53	0.351	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.318	0.352	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	133	509	146	0.287	21	97	0.351	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.305	0.352	0.449	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	131	509	145	0.285	25	92	0.343	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.301	0.417	OK
José Fermín	2B	94	269	66	0.245	6	34	0.310	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.292	0.364	OK
Nathan Church	CF	105	348	84	0.241	10	45	0.285	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.322	0.435	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	15	50	9	0.180	5	10	0.222	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.176	0.230	0.453	OK
Nolan Gorman	3B	67	215	41	0.191	8	27	0.272	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.083	0.178	0.202	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	49	132	24	0.182	5	14	0.248	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.150	0.207	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	3	3	0	7	0.100

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	16	71.5	4.91	1.301	10.4	83	5.0	2	2	2	0	4	77	5.0	4	2
Mason Montgomery	Closer	56	48.2	3.17	1.183	16.6	89	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	8	7.2	5.00	1.528	12.5	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	54.8	2.96	1.113	11.2	68	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Quinn Mathews	Starter	4	19.2	5.16	1.615	9.4	20	4.1	4	2	2	1	7	83	4.1	7	2
Riley O'Brien	Closer	56	52.1	4.15	1.286	9.3	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	61	51.3	4.74	1.462	10.2	58	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	28	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	45.4	4.96	1.586	11.1	56	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	55.6	4.05	1.619	7.1	44	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	54	56.9	3.48	1.265	7.1	45	0.2	3	2	2	0	1	17	0.2	1	2

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-3

San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays

SD 73-65 (4.26 RPG / 4.15 RA)

4 - 5

TB 82-55 (4.51 RPG / 4.12 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: SD 4 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	8
TB	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10

SD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed2.0

Run Diff19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SD Season Quality

Record72-62

Win%0.537

Run Diff17

RD/Game0.127

TB Season Quality

Record79-54

Win%0.594

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.353

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0625; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	134	534	150	0.281	17	66	0.347	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.263	0.314	0.494	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	38	127	37	0.291	4	17	0.375	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.298	0.322	OK
Manny Machado	3B	135	504	111	0.220	24	74	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.202	0.296	0.335	OK
Ty France	1B	106	360	105	0.292	19	60	0.358	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.248	0.329	0.414	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	134	523	126	0.241	22	70	0.294	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.280	0.451	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	131	447	97	0.217	11	51	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.202	0.305	0.293	OK
Austin Hays	DH	10	28	6	0.214	1	3	0.214	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.252	0.342	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	69	209	41	0.196	4	17	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.273	0.325	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	85	298	65	0.218	4	26	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.305	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	4	4	1	7	0.229

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	131	519	157	0.303	20	75	0.370	5	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.260	0.319	0.405	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	133	503	140	0.278	17	79	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.268	0.336	0.419	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	136	518	146	0.282	37	87	0.369	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.306	0.378	0.472	OK
Liam Hicks	C	22	67	22	0.328	3	13	0.425	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.369	0.458	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	125	483	150	0.311	0	31	0.338	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.294	0.330	0.346	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	83	277	75	0.271	9	42	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.287	0.394	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	116	393	81	0.206	14	42	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.179	0.264	0.278	OK
Jorge Mateo	2B	9	26	5	0.192	1	5	0.267	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.219	0.269	0.381	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	106	335	73	0.218	2	32	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.172	0.266	0.241	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	10	5	5	2	8	0.294

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	5	22.3	6.46	1.570	4.4	11	5.0	5	2	2	2	4	91	5.0	4	2
Mason Miller	Closer	55	54.3	1.33	0.884	17.2	104	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	63	65.6	2.88	1.174	12.3	90	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	52.6	2.22	1.198	11.1	65	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	46.1	2.34	1.323	11.3	58	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	14	0.2	0	2

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	23	110.2	3.27	1.134	8.4	103	5.1	2	2	2	1	5	86	5.1	5	2
Bryan Baker	Closer	55	52.6	1.54	0.875	10.3	60	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	59	54.1	2.33	0.998	8.3	50	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	25	1.0	1	2
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	11.1	2.43	0.901	9.7	12	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4

Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays

SEA 64-74 (3.9 RPG / 4.43 RA)

2 - 4

TOR 68-70 (3.97 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 4-2 TARGET: SEA 2 - 4 TOR (TOR) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	6
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	4	7

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed7.3

Run Diff-33

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SEA Season Quality

Record64-70

Win%0.478

Run Diff-57

RD/Game-0.425

TOR Season Quality

Record65-70

Win%0.481

Run Diff-65

RD/Game-0.481

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0019; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	130	482	132	0.274	21	62	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.258	0.346	0.507	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	120	380	97	0.255	20	61	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.303	0.435	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	126	501	122	0.244	20	57	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.255	0.362	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	128	498	133	0.267	10	47	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.285	0.332	0.355	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	103	368	63	0.171	20	54	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.215	0.326	0.553	OK
Cole Young	2B	137	500	122	0.244	16	57	0.306	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.205	0.251	0.356	OK
Taylor Ward	RF	19	66	8	0.121	0	4	0.227	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.333	0.286	OK
J.P. Crawford	3B	92	325	68	0.209	10	30	0.327	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.201	0.309	0.319	OK
Brock Rodden	SS	13	40	6	0.150	0	3	0.239	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.184	0.285	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	1	9	0.182

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	19	78	26	0.333	0	7	0.384	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.294	0.329	0.391	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	99	329	87	0.264	10	32	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.304	0.434	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	122	462	119	0.258	7	48	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.299	0.314	OK
George Springer	DH	103	390	99	0.254	14	44	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.296	0.358	0.461	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	92	258	68	0.264	8	34	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.263	0.314	0.427	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	132	486	111	0.228	28	78	0.304	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.208	0.281	0.406	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	121	402	97	0.241	8	51	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.252	0.319	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	134	510	141	0.276	9	43	0.301	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.240	0.263	0.331	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	70	214	48	0.224	8	21	0.304	3	3	1	1	0	0	2	0.333	0.149	0.226	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	7	4	4	1	9	0.219

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	25	136.1	3.64	1.161	8.3	126	5.2	4	1	1	0	7	95	5.2	7	1
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	51	47.1	4.20	1.231	15.3	80	0.1	2	2	2	1	1	14	0.1	1	2
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	61	49.1	4.40	1.568	8.1	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	51.2	3.87	1.621	10.7	61	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	28	1.0	0	1

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	25	147.3	2.38	1.073	13.3	217	6.0	4	1	1	0	8	97	6.0	8	1
Louis Varland	Closer	62	64.0	1.27	1.047	11.8	84	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	64	57.0	2.05	1.298	5.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	76.8	3.16	1.185	9.0	77	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 4-2

Texas Rangers @ Milwaukee Brewers

TEX 68-70 (4.07 RPG / 4.39 RA)

2 - 6

MIL 85-53 (4.97 RPG / 3.79 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-2 TARGET: TEX 2 - 6 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 84.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3
MIL	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	x	6	7

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff41

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

TEX Season Quality

Record66-68

Win%0.493

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.351

MIL Season Quality

Record83-51

Win%0.619

Run Diff173

RD/Game1.291

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4849; margin adjustment: 0.6237; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	124	352	82	0.233	24	49	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.299	0.452	OK
Corey Seager	SS	77	285	63	0.221	13	34	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.313	0.399	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	86	330	83	0.252	15	36	0.332	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.285	0.371	0.464	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	132	504	133	0.264	14	53	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.184	0.241	0.310	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	127	451	123	0.273	15	73	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.336	0.444	OK
Evan Carter	CF	116	334	64	0.192	8	33	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.212	0.290	0.325	OK
Jake Burger	1B	130	475	113	0.238	23	78	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.166	0.246	0.362	OK
Cody Freeman	2B	22	60	18	0.300	1	6	0.373	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.262	0.327	0.326	OK
Danny Jansen	C	47	146	24	0.164	5	16	0.261	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.164	0.231	0.339	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	2	2	4	6	0.100

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	124	488	127	0.260	17	79	0.351	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.228	0.315	0.418	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	101	418	119	0.285	20	57	0.346	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.295	0.347	0.555	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	119	403	110	0.273	22	74	0.387	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.191	0.319	0.364	OK
William Contreras	C	125	481	130	0.270	13	69	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.296	0.355	0.421	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	93	355	82	0.231	9	45	0.315	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.262	0.327	0.401	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	98	297	74	0.249	7	37	0.313	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.335	0.417	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	116	381	97	0.255	8	48	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.324	0.386	0.514	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	90	287	69	0.240	4	34	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.287	0.367	OK
David Hamilton	3B	97	293	70	0.239	4	24	0.305	4	3	2	1	4	1	0	0.667	0.256	0.314	0.370	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	7	6	6	5	7	0.226

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cody Bradford	Starter	5	25.4	3.54	1.575	4.6	13	5.0	4	2	2	4	5	103	5.0	5	2
Jacob Latz	Closer	47	57.2	1.26	0.717	10.4	66	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	27	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	43	42.6	2.96	1.221	7.4	35	0.2	1	1	1	1	1	15	0.2	1	1
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	9.9	4.55	1.818	10.0	11	1.0	2	3	3	0	1	19	1.0	1	3

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Henderson	Starter	14	75.4	2.51	0.836	10.3	86	6.0	2	2	2	2	6	96	6.0	6	2
Trevor Megill	Closer	52	51.4	1.58	0.817	10.0	57	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Setup Man	63	68.0	3.57	1.515	13.8	104	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	89.1	3.33	1.291	8.4	83	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

ARI Recent Form

SF Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Oakland Athletics

BAL Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

BOS Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins

CHW Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

CIN Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves

COL Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

COL Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ New York Mets

HOU Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians