MLB Predictions — August 25, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ STL	4 - 6	4 - 6	STL	STL	STL wins 6-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ MIA	5 - 3	5 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-3	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ ARI	5 - 4	5 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ SF	4 - 5	4 - 5	SF	SF	SF wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ LAA	4 - 2	4 - 2	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ WAS	3 - 5	3 - 5	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ NYY	4 - 6	4 - 6	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ TOR	7 - 5	7 - 5	KC	KC	KC wins 7-5	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ ATL	5 - 4	5 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-4	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ NYM	6 - 4	6 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ OAK	7 - 5	7 - 5	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 7-5	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ SEA	8 - 4	8 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 8-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ SD	5 - 4	5 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ DET	5 - 4	5 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ CHW	4 - 3	4 - 3	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals

BAL 69-69 (4.55 RPG / 4.67 RA)

4 - 6

STL 68-70 (4.42 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 6-4 TARGET: BAL 4 - 6 STL (STL) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	10
STL	0	0	2	0	0	4	0	0	x	6	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff2

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

BAL Season Quality

Record63-68

Win%0.481

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.267

STL Season Quality

Record66-66

Win%0.500

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.015

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.209; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	81	260	58	0.223	6	27	0.299	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.204	0.279	0.324	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	135	507	137	0.270	32	91	0.361	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.295	0.361	0.541	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	133	534	119	0.223	21	56	0.306	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.232	0.305	0.372	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	104	330	73	0.221	19	55	0.287	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.212	0.268	0.443	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	35	118	29	0.246	6	26	0.291	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.168	0.210	0.329	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	93	315	73	0.232	17	49	0.293	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.204	0.255	0.416	OK
Christian Franklin	CF	14	34	5	0.147	0	0	0.293	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.319	0.235	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	78	238	60	0.252	6	31	0.327	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.309	0.465	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	115	377	84	0.223	8	52	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.281	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	10	4	4	3	7	0.278

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	126	495	120	0.242	17	47	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.324	0.400	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	49	132	24	0.182	5	14	0.248	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.176	0.229	0.287	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	133	509	146	0.287	21	97	0.351	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.293	0.345	0.450	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	131	509	145	0.285	25	92	0.343	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.310	0.502	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	15	50	9	0.180	5	10	0.222	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.168	0.244	0.497	OK
Nolan Gorman	DH	67	215	41	0.191	8	27	0.272	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.176	0.264	0.295	OK
Ramón Urías	3B	25	73	11	0.151	3	7	0.241	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.168	0.229	0.283	OK
Nathan Church	CF	105	348	84	0.241	10	45	0.285	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.173	0.217	0.280	OK
José Fermín	2B	94	269	66	0.245	6	34	0.310	3	1	1	1	0	2	0	1.000	0.267	0.329	0.418	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	6	6	3	8	0.250

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Bassitt	Starter	16	76.4	5.18	1.649	6.5	55	5.0	5	3	3	2	5	97	5.0	5	3
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	49	39.6	3.41	1.490	8.2	36	1.0	3	3	3	1	2	26	1.0	2	3
Yennier Cano	Setup Man	57	35.6	2.78	1.096	10.1	40	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	64	51.2	2.99	1.016	10.5	60	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	27	130.7	5.58	1.507	9.7	141	5.0	4	2	2	2	2	92	5.0	2	2
Riley O'Brien	Closer	56	52.1	4.15	1.286	9.3	54	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	61	51.3	4.74	1.462	10.2	58	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	45.4	4.96	1.586	11.1	56	1.0	3	2	2	0	2	22	1.0	2	2
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	59	55.6	4.05	1.619	7.1	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 6-4

Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

BOS 75-63 (4.48 RPG / 3.86 RA)

5 - 3

MIA 69-69 (4.33 RPG / 4.24 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-3 TARGET: BOS 5 - 3 MIA (BOS) Confidence: 59.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	5	5
MIA	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	7

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

BOS Season Quality

Record72-59

Win%0.550

Run Diff101

RD/Game0.771

MIA Season Quality

Record67-65

Win%0.508

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.144

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.569; margin adjustment: -0.239; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	3B	42	155	42	0.271	3	13	0.370	5	3	1	1	2	2	0	0.333	0.299	0.409	0.463	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	129	520	147	0.283	15	68	0.319	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.282	0.309	0.401	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	133	507	130	0.256	23	70	0.336	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.301	0.402	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	122	430	117	0.272	26	79	0.382	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.329	0.451	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	45	137	38	0.277	6	20	0.367	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.301	0.371	0.512	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	92	286	71	0.248	6	40	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.282	0.366	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	127	482	99	0.205	19	62	0.264	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.302	0.430	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	46	143	35	0.245	3	13	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.342	0.449	OK
Connor Wong	C	62	184	46	0.250	4	23	0.329	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.327	0.452	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	5	5	4	8	0.156

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	134	538	164	0.305	10	61	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.310	0.379	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	104	351	81	0.231	22	58	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.307	0.437	OK
Agustín Ramírez	DH	50	165	39	0.236	2	17	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.317	0.320	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	109	364	102	0.280	6	51	0.315	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.267	0.302	0.442	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	135	500	141	0.282	6	51	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.334	0.332	OK
Leo Jiménez	1B	61	166	33	0.199	2	14	0.291	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.212	0.269	0.274	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	66	199	50	0.251	14	30	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.142	0.240	0.294	OK
Esteury Ruiz	CF	72	168	40	0.238	6	11	0.325	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.217	0.260	0.376	OK
Brian Navarreto	C	18	41	5	0.122	1	2	0.196	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.113	0.166	0.225	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	2	8	0.206

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	23	128.2	3.30	1.123	10.3	147	6.0	2	1	1	1	7	96	6.0	7	1
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	46	45.2	1.19	1.062	11.9	60	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26	1.0	0	2
Erik Miller	Setup Man	11	11.1	0.81	0.991	16.2	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	37	32.6	2.76	1.196	9.9	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	32	101.6	3.72	1.417	7.6	86	5.1	2	2	2	2	6	93	5.1	6	2
Pete Fairbanks	Closer	43	38.7	6.05	1.344	13.3	57	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Setup Man	58	50.2	4.48	1.534	11.5	64	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	25	1.0	1	3
Tyler Zuber	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	34	25.3	4.62	1.542	12.1	34	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	37	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-3

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHC 78-60 (5.38 RPG / 4.36 RA)

5 - 4

ARI 73-66 (4.5 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-4 TARGET: CHC 5 - 4 ARI (CHC) Confidence: 56.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	5	7
ARI	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	4	6

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHC Season Quality

Record76-56

Win%0.576

Run Diff122

RD/Game0.924

ARI Season Quality

Record69-63

Win%0.523

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.015

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7546; margin adjustment: -0.3169; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	136	524	149	0.284	38	91	0.378	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.256	0.328	0.551	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	119	456	128	0.281	24	80	0.373	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.334	0.414	OK
Michael Busch	1B	134	512	123	0.240	16	66	0.349	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.332	0.406	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	134	535	139	0.260	23	77	0.347	4	3	2	1	3	1	0	0.667	0.246	0.322	0.501	OK
Ian Happ	LF	129	473	105	0.222	23	61	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.341	0.492	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	133	530	140	0.264	8	62	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.261	0.307	0.351	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	57	169	49	0.290	4	24	0.349	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.289	0.339	0.455	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	89	213	50	0.235	13	36	0.318	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.262	0.345	0.561	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	62	190	44	0.232	5	23	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.140	0.217	0.268	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	5	5	4	6	0.206

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	DH	20	61	14	0.230	3	11	0.338	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.312	0.349	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	135	504	123	0.244	19	61	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.348	0.479	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	108	389	118	0.303	11	67	0.382	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.332	0.405	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	134	483	123	0.255	9	47	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.228	0.322	0.325	OK
Max Kepler	LF	38	126	27	0.214	2	15	0.273	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.218	0.284	0.337	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	129	450	107	0.238	21	65	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.272	0.398	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	75	239	58	0.243	9	35	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.325	0.434	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	115	407	103	0.253	9	66	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.290	0.404	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	19	59	16	0.271	2	7	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.310	0.417	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	8	0.182

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Clay Holmes	Starter	5	28.3	1.59	1.025	5.7	18	6.0	3	3	3	3	5	106	6.0	5	3
Jacob Webb	Closer	60	54.3	3.15	1.344	10.8	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	42	39.2	3.67	1.301	6.0	26	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	7.7	7.01	1.948	10.5	9	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Pfaadt	Starter	24	100.8	3.66	1.190	6.4	72	6.1	4	3	3	2	3	111	6.1	3	3
Juan Morillo	Closer	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brandyn Garcia	Setup Man	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	0.2	2	1	1	1	1	18	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-4

Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants

CIN 65-73 (4.13 RPG / 4.95 RA)

4 - 5

SF 58-81 (4.13 RPG / 4.6 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-4 TARGET: CIN 4 - 5 SF (SF) Confidence: 53.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	4
SF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	8

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CIN Season Quality

Record62-70

Win%0.470

Run Diff-99

RD/Game-0.750

SF Season Quality

Record53-78

Win%0.405

Run Diff-75

RD/Game-0.573

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0841; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	116	457	125	0.274	21	60	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.269	0.339	0.468	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	135	519	138	0.266	30	102	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.328	0.404	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	106	379	84	0.222	21	52	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.327	0.443	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	106	344	87	0.253	14	49	0.331	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.248	0.322	0.382	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	105	367	77	0.210	20	59	0.301	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.332	0.366	OK
Matt McLain	2B	108	370	71	0.192	13	35	0.286	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.185	0.273	0.380	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	20	66	15	0.227	4	9	0.301	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.253	0.318	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	64	194	30	0.155	5	8	0.215	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.174	0.225	0.270	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	74	229	38	0.166	4	12	0.247	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.105	0.169	0.168	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	4	4	2	8	0.129

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	104	292	70	0.240	8	36	0.310	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.266	0.317	0.438	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	137	513	130	0.253	29	78	0.333	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.328	0.511	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	DH	123	468	136	0.291	8	47	0.333	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.270	0.302	0.381	OK
Turner Hill	LF	12	33	9	0.273	0	8	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.348	0.465	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	39	102	23	0.225	0	7	0.319	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.206	0.288	0.256	OK
Nate Furman	2B	10	19	3	0.158	0	0	0.238	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.131	0.218	0.208	OK
Shay Whitcomb	3B	8	27	2	0.074	1	3	0.074	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.151	0.161	0.310	OK
Grant McCray	RF	19	51	6	0.118	1	2	0.224	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.119	0.224	0.246	OK
Christian Koss	SS	42	123	24	0.195	1	4	0.233	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.261	0.288	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	5	5	5	5	0.250

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	27	138.4	4.94	1.481	7.6	117	5.0	5	2	2	2	5	94	5.0	5	2
Emilio Pagán	Closer	34	32.4	4.17	1.080	9.4	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Setup Man	45	38.6	3.73	1.244	10.0	43	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	68	56.0	3.05	1.536	10.8	67	1.0	2	3	3	1	0	23	1.0	0	3

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Adrian Houser	Starter	27	104.6	4.39	1.405	6.6	77	4.2	3	3	3	2	5	76	4.2	5	3
Dylan Smith	Closer	33	27.4	3.61	1.496	12.8	39	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Sam Hentges	Setup Man	39	26.0	4.15	2.000	12.1	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	13.0	4.85	1.769	8.3	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Trent Harris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	10.3	4.37	1.456	13.1	15	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	13	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

SF wins 5-4

Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels

CLE 69-68 (4.07 RPG / 4.08 RA)

4 - 2

LAA 53-85 (4.09 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-2 TARGET: CLE 4 - 2 LAA (CLE) Confidence: 63.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	4	5
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	8

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff23

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak5W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

CLE Season Quality

Record66-66

Win%0.500

Run Diff-7

RD/Game-0.053

LAA Season Quality

Record52-80

Win%0.394

Run Diff-72

RD/Game-0.545

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5915; margin adjustment: -0.2484; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	DH	122	438	120	0.274	2	27	0.373	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.268	0.376	0.323	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	99	368	87	0.236	9	41	0.325	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.255	0.325	0.344	OK
José Ramírez	3B	100	374	91	0.243	11	48	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.311	0.331	OK
Jo Adell	RF	23	85	21	0.247	4	21	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.268	0.299	0.447	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	21	76	18	0.237	3	15	0.262	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.248	0.308	0.405	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	87	318	78	0.245	13	48	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.277	0.300	0.420	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	56	167	39	0.234	6	25	0.303	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.299	0.397	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	53	142	30	0.211	3	9	0.252	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.257	0.352	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	128	452	113	0.250	10	53	0.307	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.222	0.264	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	5	4	4	3	11	0.143

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	133	530	125	0.236	23	66	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.295	0.346	0.538	OK
Mike Trout	CF	119	432	104	0.241	20	50	0.379	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.343	0.371	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	24	92	15	0.163	0	4	0.214	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.213	0.270	0.328	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	92	334	83	0.249	9	57	0.308	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.235	0.282	0.352	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	88	261	55	0.211	10	27	0.270	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.214	0.259	0.360	OK
Christian Moore	2B	15	53	10	0.189	1	4	0.267	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.187	0.216	0.288	OK
Gustavo Campero	LF	4	11	4	0.364	0	2	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.289	0.390	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	59	211	46	0.218	6	24	0.263	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.188	0.222	0.334	OK
Adam Frazier	DH	46	108	27	0.250	1	10	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.277	0.321	0.394	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	8	2	2	4	9	0.216

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	27	152.5	4.07	1.148	12.0	204	5.2	3	0	0	2	8	100	5.2	8	0
Cade Smith	Closer	58	57.5	2.50	1.148	13.5	86	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	25	1.1	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	53	38.4	3.52	1.484	10.5	45	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	27	1.0	0	1
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	44.4	2.43	1.081	10.1	50	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Matt Festa	Reliever	58	45.2	4.58	1.637	12.3	62	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.0	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Ureña	Starter	25	121.0	2.90	1.281	8.9	120	5.2	1	2	2	2	5	85	5.2	5	2
Ben Joyce	Closer	9	7.4	3.65	1.081	14.6	12	1.0	2	0	0	1	3	23	1.0	3	0
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	9	6.6	4.09	1.667	15.0	11	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	0.0	1	1
Blake Weiman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	9.3	2.90	1.720	9.7	10	2.1	1	1	1	0	2	32	2.1	2	1

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-2

Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals

COL 52-86 (4.67 RPG / 5.71 RA)

3 - 5

WAS 66-74 (5.19 RPG / 5.05 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 5 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 59.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	5
WAS	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	x	5	8

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed7.3

Run Diff-30

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak7L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-3

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Season Quality

Record50-81

Win%0.382

Run Diff-146

RD/Game-1.115

WAS Season Quality

Record62-71

Win%0.466

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.150

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0039; margin adjustment: 0.4216; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	117	450	130	0.289	14	69	0.328	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.269	0.309	0.392	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	66	235	61	0.260	6	36	0.341	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.258	0.335	0.427	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	118	440	112	0.255	36	73	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.292	0.490	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	131	466	136	0.292	13	60	0.384	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.342	0.367	OK
Willi Castro	3B	119	427	111	0.260	15	56	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.261	0.318	0.434	OK
Connor Norby	2B	19	61	18	0.295	2	10	0.386	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.272	0.346	0.460	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	96	341	86	0.252	21	60	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.291	0.522	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	46	131	27	0.206	1	11	0.261	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.203	0.272	0.311	OK
Ryan Ritter	SS	10	17	3	0.176	0	1	0.222	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.106	0.119	0.157	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	3	12	0.156

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	DH	131	498	133	0.267	29	92	0.343	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.273	0.338	0.514	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	27	87	19	0.218	5	10	0.261	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.188	0.235	0.367	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	85	322	71	0.220	10	34	0.289	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.276	0.342	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	138	526	135	0.257	20	80	0.309	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.274	0.310	0.443	OK
Brady House	3B	73	261	63	0.241	10	38	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.305	0.387	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	98	262	63	0.240	3	24	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.317	0.330	OK
Harry Ford	C	22	69	13	0.188	3	8	0.291	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.205	0.288	0.393	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	122	399	86	0.216	1	35	0.295	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.286	0.241	OK
Jacob Young	CF	112	374	92	0.246	10	41	0.308	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.234	0.285	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	8	5	5	0	8	0.250

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mason Adams	Starter	2	9.0	3.00	1.444	10.0	10	2.1	7	5	5	0	7	52	2.1	7	5
Jordan Romano	Closer	18	16.3	2.21	1.227	8.8	16	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	24	1.2	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	64	46.2	3.12	1.385	8.0	41	2.2	0	0	0	0	1	46	2.2	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	37.2	6.77	1.747	9.2	38	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Alvarez	Starter	21	86.7	3.63	1.373	8.9	86	5.0	3	3	3	1	7	88	5.0	7	3
Clayton Beeter	Closer	45	39.9	3.38	1.404	10.2	45	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	20	1.0	3	0
Orlando Ribalta	Setup Man	44	37.8	4.29	1.376	9.5	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Will Dion	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	16.5	2.18	0.909	9.3	17	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	32	1.1	0	0
Jake Bird	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	8	8.1	3.33	0.988	11.1	10	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-3

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees

HOU 70-68 (4.57 RPG / 4.86 RA)

4 - 6

NYY 78-60 (4.51 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-4 TARGET: HOU 4 - 6 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 56.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	6
NYY	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	6	11

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

HOU Season Quality

Record65-66

Win%0.496

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.336

NYY Season Quality

Record74-56

Win%0.569

Run Diff100

RD/Game0.769

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9617; margin adjustment: 0.4039; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	87	349	99	0.284	17	46	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.284	0.418	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	135	485	155	0.320	37	94	0.435	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.313	0.434	0.563	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	130	472	119	0.252	17	73	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.334	0.448	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	110	428	106	0.248	14	41	0.309	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.224	0.280	0.379	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	24	93	16	0.172	3	10	0.238	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.273	0.373	OK
Christian Walker	1B	131	486	112	0.230	24	76	0.306	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.222	0.283	0.374	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	38	100	21	0.210	3	17	0.319	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.187	0.294	0.287	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	69	256	67	0.262	10	32	0.293	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.167	0.198	0.264	OK
Taylor Trammell	RF	73	203	41	0.202	7	20	0.280	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.190	0.255	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	4	4	0	5	0.182

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	113	403	84	0.208	17	56	0.304	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.229	0.321	0.446	OK
Ben Rice	DH	129	483	122	0.253	34	82	0.350	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.235	0.319	0.454	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	24	89	26	0.292	5	12	0.340	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.317	0.536	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	109	402	105	0.261	12	59	0.346	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.293	0.376	0.437	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	23	79	20	0.253	2	6	0.310	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.290	0.350	0.386	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	62	181	43	0.238	8	25	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.256	0.326	0.471	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	125	435	100	0.230	18	54	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.336	0.477	OK
Austin Wells	C	101	285	52	0.182	10	26	0.272	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.191	0.271	0.301	OK
José Caballero	3B	112	368	88	0.239	13	47	0.292	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.208	0.260	0.339	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	11	6	6	2	5	0.306

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ethan Pecko	Starter	3	12.3	6.59	1.626	6.6	9	3.1	6	2	2	1	2	76	3.1	2	2
Josh Hader	Closer	36	35.4	0.51	0.621	12.2	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Setup Man	68	58.8	2.45	1.003	10.4	68	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26	1.0	0	2
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	4.38	1.543	12.9	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	56.5	5.10	1.363	9.4	59	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0
Bennett Sousa	Middle Reliever	23	16.7	7.54	2.156	11.9	22	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	21	1.0	0	2

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	27	129.1	4.39	1.448	9.3	133	4.2	5	3	3	0	2	74	4.2	2	3
David Bednar	Closer	55	55.6	2.91	1.097	10.5	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	70	55.6	2.43	1.493	13.9	86	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	8	1.1	0	1
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	40.2	4.25	1.816	15.0	67	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.2	1	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	68.5	1.84	1.153	8.1	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-4

Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays

KC 62-76 (4.28 RPG / 4.88 RA)

7 - 5

TOR 68-70 (3.97 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 7-5 TARGET: KC 7 - 5 TOR (KC) Confidence: 63.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	1	0	0	3	0	0	1	2	0	7	12
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	5	8

KC Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak8W

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

KC Season Quality

Record58-74

Win%0.439

Run Diff-91

RD/Game-0.689

TOR Season Quality

Record64-68

Win%0.485

Run Diff-55

RD/Game-0.417

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0444; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	126	446	99	0.222	19	61	0.309	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.138	0.239	0.297	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	118	464	132	0.284	16	48	0.358	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.283	0.354	0.475	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	90	332	82	0.247	9	41	0.337	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.269	0.350	0.462	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	127	490	110	0.224	17	62	0.268	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.275	0.303	0.449	OK
Michael Massey	2B	107	340	93	0.274	11	43	0.308	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.297	0.334	0.461	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	96	304	72	0.237	6	40	0.322	5	2	0	0	0	3	0	0.000	0.274	0.365	0.453	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	121	384	89	0.232	6	40	0.330	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.218	0.318	0.328	OK
John Rave	RF	29	83	18	0.217	3	8	0.278	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.264	0.443	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	75	231	54	0.234	6	24	0.284	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.273	0.306	0.457	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	39	12	7	7	4	7	0.308

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	19	78	26	0.333	0	7	0.384	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.307	0.391	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	99	329	87	0.264	10	32	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.206	0.251	0.358	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	122	462	119	0.258	7	48	0.327	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.258	0.316	0.340	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	132	486	111	0.228	28	78	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.289	0.440	OK
Jesús Sánchez	DH	92	258	68	0.264	8	34	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.318	0.413	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	134	510	141	0.276	9	43	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.301	0.364	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	121	402	97	0.241	8	51	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.256	0.325	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	70	214	48	0.224	8	21	0.304	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.152	0.230	0.259	OK
Myles Straw	LF	103	245	56	0.229	3	21	0.282	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.212	0.269	0.339	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	5	5	1	9	0.229

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	28	151.2	5.12	1.448	7.0	118	5.2	5	4	4	1	6	94	5.2	6	4
Steven Cruz	Closer	49	47.0	4.79	1.383	10.7	56	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	15	14.2	0.63	0.915	8.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	42.1	4.28	1.496	7.7	36	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Scherzer	Starter	13	55.6	6.31	1.421	7.4	46	4.1	8	4	4	3	5	95	4.1	5	4
Louis Varland	Closer	62	64.0	1.27	1.047	11.8	84	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	64	57.0	2.05	1.298	5.5	35	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	76.8	3.16	1.185	9.0	77	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	23	1.1	0	2
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	71	41.7	3.88	1.535	12.7	59	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	12	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

KC wins 7-5

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves

LAD 82-55 (4.89 RPG / 3.77 RA)

5 - 4

ATL 82-57 (4.61 RPG / 3.83 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-4 TARGET: LAD 5 - 4 ATL (LAD) Confidence: 55.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
LAD	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	5	9
ATL	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	4	7

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak6W

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAD Season Quality

Record80-51

Win%0.611

Run Diff151

RD/Game1.153

ATL Season Quality

Record76-55

Win%0.580

Run Diff110

RD/Game0.840

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5034; margin adjustment: -0.2114; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	126	488	136	0.279	30	78	0.379	5	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.272	0.383	0.527	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	132	499	152	0.305	15	61	0.379	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.297	0.368	0.426	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	98	386	93	0.241	16	47	0.295	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.232	0.280	0.389	OK
Max Muncy	3B	124	407	101	0.248	26	68	0.344	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.273	0.364	0.544	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	56	200	51	0.255	5	25	0.332	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.316	0.408	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	125	451	103	0.228	11	57	0.320	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.291	0.326	OK
Alex Call	LF	59	137	35	0.255	1	18	0.346	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.155	0.235	0.249	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	6	19	4	0.211	0	3	0.250	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.217	0.238	0.359	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	17	42	11	0.262	1	4	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.226	0.299	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	39	9	5	5	5	12	0.231

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	114	444	124	0.279	22	68	0.359	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.238	0.314	0.399	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	84	317	77	0.243	13	36	0.346	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.190	0.277	0.331	OK
Matt Olson	1B	137	529	135	0.255	36	78	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.285	0.411	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	130	482	130	0.270	10	64	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.284	0.327	0.398	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	131	500	150	0.300	23	78	0.324	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.274	0.291	0.488	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	137	520	134	0.258	20	67	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.300	0.362	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	114	301	67	0.223	9	33	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.143	0.248	0.274	OK
Austin Riley	3B	135	479	107	0.223	15	61	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.293	0.352	OK
Sean Murphy	C	17	58	13	0.224	2	4	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.166	0.174	0.232	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	7	4	4	1	7	0.189

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Glasnow	Starter	9	51.2	2.81	0.820	10.9	62	5.2	2	1	1	0	6	77	5.2	6	1
Tanner Scott	Closer	59	50.1	2.69	1.038	12.0	67	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	26	0.2	0	3
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	55	48.1	3.18	1.123	11.8	63	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	24	1.2	0	0
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	19	16.9	2.13	1.006	9.6	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Evan Phillips	Reliever	22	14.4	5.00	1.597	13.1	21	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8	0.0	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	26	146.2	4.19	1.293	7.4	121	5.2	3	2	2	2	7	100	5.2	7	2
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	50	48.9	2.94	1.227	9.6	52	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	24	1.0	2	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	64	53.3	2.70	0.957	12.5	74	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	35	1.1	0	1
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	54.3	2.65	1.234	12.6	76	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	38.2	2.36	1.021	10.6	45	0.2	3	2	2	1	2	21	0.0	2	2

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets

MIL 85-53 (4.97 RPG / 3.79 RA)

6 - 4

NYM 62-76 (4.09 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-4 TARGET: MIL 6 - 4 NYM (MIL) Confidence: 56.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	6	9
NYM	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	3

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff31

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Season Quality

Record81-50

Win%0.618

Run Diff161

RD/Game1.229

NYM Season Quality

Record59-72

Win%0.450

Run Diff-40

RD/Game-0.305

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.3361; margin adjustment: -0.5612; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	101	418	119	0.285	20	57	0.346	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.293	0.354	0.431	OK
Brice Turang	2B	124	488	127	0.260	17	79	0.351	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.316	0.360	OK
William Contreras	C	125	481	130	0.270	13	69	0.341	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.338	0.395	0.457	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	86	250	78	0.312	5	39	0.392	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.317	0.391	0.437	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	73	199	41	0.206	11	34	0.340	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.207	0.324	0.416	OK
Luis Lara	RF	38	124	34	0.274	1	19	0.336	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.273	0.329	0.396	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	116	381	97	0.255	8	48	0.345	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.322	0.394	0.537	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	98	297	74	0.249	7	37	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.253	0.320	0.402	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	49	153	41	0.268	3	21	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.139	0.216	0.202	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	6	6	6	6	0.250

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	79	310	72	0.232	14	34	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.295	0.376	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	132	526	139	0.264	14	66	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.286	0.429	OK
Carson Benge	RF	128	490	134	0.273	16	53	0.334	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.324	0.447	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	55	193	43	0.223	10	23	0.296	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.310	0.491	OK
Eric Wagaman	DH	21	45	9	0.200	2	5	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.257	0.332	OK
Jared Young	1B	83	262	70	0.267	7	32	0.325	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.257	0.345	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	115	408	91	0.223	14	43	0.285	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.276	0.314	OK
Luis Torrens	C	74	219	53	0.242	8	33	0.303	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.256	0.305	0.574	OK
A.J. Ewing	LF	96	351	85	0.242	7	28	0.314	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.208	0.285	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	4	4	1	6	0.100

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	22	104.2	3.54	1.228	11.2	130	5.1	1	3	3	0	6	70	5.1	6	3
Trevor Megill	Closer	52	51.4	1.58	0.817	10.0	57	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Setup Man	63	68.0	3.57	1.515	13.8	104	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.1	0	1
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	89.1	3.33	1.291	8.4	83	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zac Thornton	Starter	11	60.4	2.98	1.175	6.7	45	6.0	6	3	3	3	5	110	6.0	5	3
Kodai Senga	Closer	24	52.2	7.76	1.724	11.2	65	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	26	1.0	0	3
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	20	22.1	2.44	0.905	10.2	25	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	11	8.2	0.00	0.732	13.2	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-4

Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics

MIN 66-72 (4.62 RPG / 4.95 RA)

7 - 5

OAK 53-85 (4.33 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 7-5 TARGET: MIN 7 - 5 OAK (MIN) Confidence: 61.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	7	8
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	5	9

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIN Season Quality

Record64-68

Win%0.485

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.386

OAK Season Quality

Record51-81

Win%0.386

Run Diff-190

RD/Game-1.439

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7931; margin adjustment: -0.3331; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	128	441	122	0.277	9	41	0.366	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.299	0.360	0.437	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	93	370	94	0.254	25	46	0.319	5	5	2	1	3	0	2	0.400	0.249	0.304	0.424	OK
Ryan Jeffers	DH	71	251	69	0.275	12	46	0.373	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.288	0.383	0.485	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	103	377	87	0.231	13	46	0.298	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.196	0.253	0.326	OK
Kody Clemens	LF	120	446	106	0.238	23	69	0.294	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.267	0.309	0.485	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	20	70	22	0.314	3	6	0.372	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.383	0.406	0.523	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	129	492	122	0.248	22	75	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.297	0.470	OK
Victor Caratini	C	93	293	65	0.222	7	39	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.199	0.283	0.287	OK
Ryan Kreidler	2B	74	210	47	0.224	6	26	0.272	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.222	0.269	0.379	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	7	7	3	13	0.229

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	91	323	87	0.269	6	26	0.339	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.291	0.354	0.389	OK
Jeff McNeil	DH	119	391	103	0.263	6	47	0.310	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.280	0.316	0.389	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	83	301	76	0.252	14	38	0.318	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.275	0.381	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	123	378	87	0.230	12	45	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.275	0.362	0.411	OK
Tommy White	1B	39	149	38	0.255	2	8	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.274	0.333	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	33	76	17	0.224	1	8	0.392	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.330	0.424	OK
Alika Williams	SS	57	156	41	0.263	2	11	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.279	0.376	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	102	291	75	0.258	8	38	0.326	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.324	0.380	OK
Brian Serven	C	16	52	12	0.231	5	14	0.245	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.266	0.490	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	9	5	5	2	8	0.257

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	27	152.0	3.91	1.283	10.5	178	5.1	2	3	3	1	3	85	5.1	3	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	46	36.0	3.00	1.444	10.2	41	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	23	1.1	2	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	10	7.5	4.80	2.000	13.2	11	1.0	4	2	2	1	0	29	1.0	0	2
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	56.2	4.32	1.512	9.4	59	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	20	1.1	3	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gage Jump	Starter	18	89.4	5.34	1.544	10.0	99	4.2	5	4	4	1	5	90	4.2	5	4
Hogan Harris	Closer	62	47.6	4.35	1.870	14.6	77	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Elvis Alvarado	Setup Man	45	38.7	4.65	1.370	12.6	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	46	56.9	3.48	1.459	12.0	76	1.1	3	3	3	2	3	39	1.1	3	3
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	13	17.8	2.53	1.348	7.6	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 7-5

Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners

PHI 78-60 (4.52 RPG / 4.3 RA)

8 - 4

SEA 64-74 (3.9 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 8-4 TARGET: PHI 8 - 4 SEA (PHI) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	2	0	3	2	0	1	8	11
SEA	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	4	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff27

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed8.1

Run Diff-28

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

PHI Season Quality

Record73-59

Win%0.553

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.152

SEA Season Quality

Record63-69

Win%0.477

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.409

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7925; margin adjustment: -0.3328; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	130	492	119	0.242	39	81	0.355	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.230	0.333	0.511	OK
Trea Turner	SS	130	543	132	0.243	17	51	0.295	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.216	0.261	0.327	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	136	481	129	0.268	27	79	0.387	5	4	3	1	2	1	0	0.750	0.284	0.410	0.519	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	24	99	28	0.283	2	11	0.294	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.337	0.366	0.482	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	130	488	119	0.244	14	75	0.305	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.313	0.424	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	131	456	118	0.259	10	59	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.240	0.318	0.368	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	130	468	127	0.271	17	57	0.318	4	3	0	1	0	1	3	0.000	0.268	0.315	0.404	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	122	364	95	0.261	2	33	0.311	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.252	0.297	0.337	OK
Garrett Stubbs	C	18	51	8	0.157	0	3	0.214	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.113	0.155	0.143	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	11	8	8	3	12	0.297

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	130	482	132	0.274	21	62	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.341	0.535	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	120	380	97	0.255	20	61	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.298	0.427	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	126	501	122	0.244	20	57	0.304	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.266	0.384	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	128	498	133	0.267	10	47	0.328	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.284	0.333	0.355	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	103	368	63	0.171	20	54	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.329	0.619	OK
Cole Young	2B	137	500	122	0.244	16	57	0.306	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.203	0.252	0.366	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	19	66	8	0.121	0	4	0.227	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.159	0.306	0.241	OK
J.P. Crawford	3B	92	325	68	0.209	10	30	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.205	0.312	0.329	OK
Brock Rodden	SS	13	40	6	0.150	0	3	0.239	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.208	0.273	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	1	4	0.182

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Aaron Nola	Starter	28	144.5	5.04	1.433	9.8	157	5.1	2	2	2	0	2	76	5.1	2	2
Jhoan Duran	Closer	51	49.4	1.28	1.012	12.6	69	1.1	4	2	2	1	0	33	1.1	0	2
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	52	45.7	3.15	1.094	12.2	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	46.9	4.41	1.471	10.9	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	26	149.4	4.28	1.379	7.7	128	5.2	6	5	5	2	7	109	5.2	7	5
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	51	47.1	4.20	1.231	15.3	80	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	61	49.1	4.40	1.568	8.1	44	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	26	1.1	3	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	51.2	3.87	1.621	10.7	61	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

PHI wins 8-4

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres

PIT 67-71 (4.85 RPG / 4.66 RA)

5 - 4

SD 73-65 (4.26 RPG / 4.15 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: PIT 5 - 4 SD (PIT) Confidence: 53.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	5	10
SD	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	4	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

PIT Season Quality

Record64-69

Win%0.481

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.195

SD Season Quality

Record71-61

Win%0.538

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.114

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0987; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	95	324	80	0.247	10	38	0.349	5	5	2	1	4	0	1	0.400	0.216	0.297	0.320	OK
Brandon Lowe	DH	125	490	122	0.249	28	82	0.318	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.246	0.315	0.467	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	135	499	132	0.265	15	66	0.372	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.244	0.331	0.385	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	124	471	143	0.304	4	55	0.364	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.304	0.356	0.376	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	74	289	76	0.263	17	52	0.351	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.248	0.322	0.460	OK
Jake Mangum	RF	103	365	106	0.290	4	28	0.343	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.279	0.316	0.375	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	33	85	14	0.165	2	8	0.172	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.146	0.188	0.243	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	92	282	70	0.248	3	25	0.323	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.231	0.294	0.292	OK
Henry Davis	C	75	227	37	0.163	8	32	0.247	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.140	0.199	0.234	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	5	5	4	10	0.270

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	134	534	150	0.281	17	66	0.347	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.302	0.354	0.539	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	85	298	65	0.218	4	26	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.306	0.315	OK
Manny Machado	3B	135	504	111	0.220	24	74	0.307	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.216	0.312	0.357	OK
Ty France	1B	106	360	105	0.292	19	60	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.340	0.464	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	134	523	126	0.241	22	70	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.245	0.402	OK
Luis Rengifo	DH	38	127	37	0.291	4	17	0.375	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.315	0.331	OK
Luis Campusano	C	52	150	43	0.287	5	23	0.389	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.295	0.309	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	131	447	97	0.217	11	51	0.316	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.206	0.314	0.318	OK
Dustin Harris	LF	5	17	8	0.471	0	1	0.471	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.316	0.361	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	1	9	0.206

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	27	142.9	3.84	1.134	11.0	175	5.1	5	4	4	0	7	88	5.1	7	4
Mason Montgomery	Closer	56	48.2	3.17	1.183	16.6	89	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	8	7.2	5.00	1.528	12.5	10	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	58	54.8	2.96	1.113	11.2	68	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	28	159.2	3.17	1.187	8.0	141	6.0	5	1	1	2	7	103	6.0	7	1
Mason Miller	Closer	55	54.3	1.33	0.884	17.2	104	1.0	2	0	0	1	2	23	1.0	2	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	63	65.6	2.88	1.174	12.3	90	1.1	3	4	4	1	1	30	1.1	1	4
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	52.6	2.22	1.198	11.1	65	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers

TB 82-55 (4.51 RPG / 4.12 RA)

5 - 4

DET 63-74 (4.36 RPG / 3.96 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: TB 5 - 4 DET (TB) Confidence: 53.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	0	5	7
DET	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

TB Season Quality

Record78-53

Win%0.595

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.359

DET Season Quality

Record61-70

Win%0.466

Run Diff70

RD/Game0.534

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.144; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	131	519	157	0.303	20	75	0.370	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.296	0.348	0.423	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	133	503	140	0.278	17	79	0.361	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.321	0.394	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	136	518	146	0.282	37	87	0.369	5	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.291	0.370	0.451	OK
Liam Hicks	C	22	67	22	0.328	3	13	0.425	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.282	0.361	0.437	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	125	483	150	0.311	0	31	0.338	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.338	0.365	0.389	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	83	277	75	0.271	9	42	0.303	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.270	0.297	0.399	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	116	393	81	0.206	14	42	0.287	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.105	0.199	0.209	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	100	292	66	0.226	5	39	0.321	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	0.000	0.208	0.291	0.305	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	106	335	73	0.218	2	32	0.304	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.193	0.280	0.263	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	34	7	5	5	8	8	0.206

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	79	299	78	0.261	8	36	0.363	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.225	0.312	0.319	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	86	244	66	0.270	8	34	0.313	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.274	0.321	0.433	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	132	506	139	0.275	14	58	0.376	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.261	0.350	0.430	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	126	479	120	0.251	26	82	0.314	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.200	0.241	0.350	OK
Eduardo Valencia	DH	26	77	24	0.312	6	17	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.299	0.314	0.613	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	107	329	71	0.216	4	26	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.217	0.298	0.318	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	134	454	99	0.218	20	62	0.312	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.173	0.277	0.308	OK
Javier Báez	LF	46	157	40	0.255	2	14	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.265	0.351	OK
Max Clark	CF	28	98	23	0.235	2	13	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.267	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	8	4	4	2	5	0.235

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Legumina	Starter	38	41.9	3.65	1.313	7.9	37	5.0	5	2	2	1	2	83	5.0	2	2
Bryan Baker	Closer	55	52.6	1.54	0.875	10.3	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	59	54.1	2.33	0.998	8.3	50	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	9	11.1	2.43	0.901	9.7	12	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	35.4	4.83	1.497	13.7	54	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	12	0.2	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Jobe	Starter	5	22.4	4.82	1.518	7.6	19	4.2	1	1	1	5	5	94	4.2	5	1
Kenley Jansen	Closer	39	33.1	3.81	1.208	11.1	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	59	52.5	3.60	1.543	8.6	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	47.3	3.04	1.649	8.2	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jacob Waguespack	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	25	27.2	2.98	1.029	6.3	19	1.0	5	4	4	3	1	50	1.0	1	4
Drew Sommers	Middle Reliever	32	21.3	2.96	1.455	19.4	46	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4

Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox

TEX 68-70 (4.07 RPG / 4.39 RA)

4 - 3

CHW 72-65 (4.78 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-3 TARGET: TEX 4 - 3 CHW (TEX) Confidence: 55.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	4	6
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TEX Season Quality

Record66-66

Win%0.500

Run Diff-37

RD/Game-0.280

CHW Season Quality

Record68-63

Win%0.519

Run Diff34

RD/Game0.260

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2785; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Foscue	2B	74	180	47	0.261	10	26	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.271	0.405	OK
Corey Seager	SS	77	285	63	0.221	13	34	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.308	0.384	0.521	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	86	330	83	0.252	15	36	0.332	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.239	0.301	0.436	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	132	504	133	0.264	14	53	0.329	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.177	0.234	0.304	OK
Ezequiel Duran	CF	127	451	123	0.273	15	73	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.294	0.353	0.491	OK
Jake Burger	1B	130	475	113	0.238	23	78	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.292	0.427	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	DH	5	8	2	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.205	0.254	0.279	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	22	60	18	0.300	1	6	0.373	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.343	0.386	OK
Danny Jansen	C	47	146	24	0.164	5	16	0.261	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.130	0.203	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	5	0.182

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	DH	116	402	108	0.269	8	40	0.366	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.243	0.308	0.348	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	102	364	79	0.217	29	59	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.207	0.335	0.461	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	134	498	124	0.249	29	76	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.280	0.408	0.523	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	69	254	57	0.224	5	35	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.324	0.387	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	129	487	104	0.214	29	77	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.191	0.251	0.365	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	130	487	132	0.271	12	51	0.344	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.207	0.274	0.300	OK
Tristan Peters	LF	125	370	103	0.278	12	52	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.325	0.492	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	15	42	9	0.214	1	3	0.214	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.129	0.185	0.201	OK
Drew Romo	C	55	173	25	0.145	7	16	0.228	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.197	0.259	0.358	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	7	0.182

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	26	135.0	4.07	1.148	11.1	167	5.1	4	1	1	3	4	103	5.1	4	1
Jacob Latz	Closer	47	57.2	1.26	0.717	10.4	66	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	43	42.6	2.96	1.221	7.4	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	14	9.9	4.55	1.818	10.0	11	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	27	127.8	4.23	1.385	7.6	108	5.1	4	2	2	1	3	83	5.1	3	2
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	14	1.1	0	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	33.7	4.54	1.780	13.1	49	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	20	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals

BAL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

BOS Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHC Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants

CIN Recent Form

SF Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels

CLE Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals

COL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

COL Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees

HOU Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays