MLB Predictions — August 24, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BOS @ MIA	4 - 2	4 - 2	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-2	65%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ ARI	5 - 3	5 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ SF	4 - 2	4 - 2	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 4-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ LAA	4 - 2	4 - 2	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-2	65%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ WAS	3 - 4	3 - 4	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ OAK	4 - 3	4 - 3	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ SEA	7 - 3	7 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 7-3	86%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ SD	5 - 4	5 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ DET	5 - 4	5 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ CHW	4 - 5	4 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

BOS 72-59 (4.53 RPG / 3.76 RA)

4 - 2

MIA 67-65 (4.36 RPG / 4.21 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-2 TARGET: BOS 4 - 2 MIA (BOS) Confidence: 64.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	1	4	9
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	5

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff20

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

BOS Season Quality

Record71-59

Win%0.546

Run Diff99

RD/Game0.762

MIA Season Quality

Record67-64

Win%0.511

Run Diff21

RD/Game0.160

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6136; margin adjustment: -0.2577; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	SS	34	122	35	0.287	2	9	0.401	5	4	3	1	0	1	1	0.750	0.307	0.423	0.479	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	121	485	140	0.289	15	64	0.328	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.293	0.319	0.421	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	125	476	123	0.258	22	69	0.337	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.233	0.313	0.409	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	116	407	114	0.280	26	78	0.390	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.262	0.353	0.495	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	11	36	6	0.167	1	4	0.286	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.155	0.243	0.310	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	118	408	101	0.248	12	59	0.316	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.302	0.354	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	120	458	94	0.205	17	56	0.265	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.158	0.211	0.298	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	40	124	32	0.258	3	16	0.331	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.209	0.279	0.415	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	42	134	33	0.246	3	12	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.180	0.259	0.310	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	4	4	6	10	0.250

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	127	507	155	0.306	9	58	0.343	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.284	0.342	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	97	324	74	0.228	19	53	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.231	0.307	0.457	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	94	351	85	0.242	16	52	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.327	0.457	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	129	477	136	0.285	6	49	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.345	0.340	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	123	417	88	0.211	8	30	0.329	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.181	0.301	0.337	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	102	337	94	0.279	6	50	0.311	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.278	0.307	0.454	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	67	156	38	0.244	6	11	0.320	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.175	0.220	0.324	OK
Joe Mack	C	77	234	55	0.235	12	38	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.239	0.323	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	61	182	48	0.264	14	30	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.247	0.337	0.489	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	2	2	5	8	0.156

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	22	110.3	3.51	1.215	9.2	113	5.0	2	0	0	2	4	89	5.0	4	0
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	44	43.2	1.25	1.088	11.9	57	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	8	8.1	0.00	0.988	15.6	14	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	33	29.3	2.15	1.058	10.8	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	42.1	4.49	1.401	10.5	49	1.0	2	2	2	1	2	23	1.0	2	2

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	27	174.8	3.50	1.190	6.7	131	6.1	5	1	1	4	7	123	6.1	7	2
Pete Fairbanks	Closer	43	38.7	6.05	1.344	13.3	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Calvin Faucher	Setup Man	56	48.1	4.68	1.601	11.6	62	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	31	1.0	1	2
Tyler Zuber	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	30	22.1	4.07	1.584	12.2	30	0.2	2	2	2	2	0	22	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-2

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHC 75-56 (5.22 RPG / 4.34 RA)

5 - 3

ARI 69-62 (4.56 RPG / 4.5 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-3 TARGET: CHC 5 - 3 ARI (CHC) Confidence: 60.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5	6
ARI	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	2

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

CHC Season Quality

Record75-56

Win%0.573

Run Diff115

RD/Game0.878

ARI Season Quality

Record69-62

Win%0.527

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.069

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5524; margin adjustment: -0.232; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	129	491	139	0.283	33	83	0.382	5	3	1	1	2	2	0	0.333	0.280	0.356	0.660	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	112	425	116	0.273	22	74	0.367	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.255	0.347	0.426	OK
Michael Busch	1B	127	484	119	0.246	15	63	0.353	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.244	0.336	0.443	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	127	503	130	0.258	19	69	0.349	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.316	0.507	OK
Ian Happ	LF	123	452	99	0.219	22	57	0.326	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.320	0.487	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	126	503	133	0.264	7	58	0.320	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.312	0.355	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	51	148	43	0.291	3	20	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.336	0.448	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	84	200	44	0.220	11	30	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.287	0.448	OK
Carson Kelly	C	91	306	80	0.261	7	43	0.339	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.309	0.346	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	5	5	5	7	0.182

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	DH	14	43	8	0.186	1	5	0.314	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.323	0.354	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	127	475	120	0.253	18	58	0.350	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.299	0.378	0.532	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	102	366	112	0.306	10	64	0.384	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.270	0.358	0.484	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	126	455	112	0.246	9	44	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.330	0.335	OK
Max Kepler	LF	34	111	24	0.216	2	15	0.282	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.139	0.216	0.229	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	122	423	102	0.241	21	65	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.293	0.431	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	67	212	53	0.250	8	32	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.332	0.447	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	107	375	98	0.261	9	63	0.302	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.250	0.291	0.405	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	62	204	57	0.279	2	19	0.344	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.269	0.335	0.398	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	2	3	3	5	6	0.069

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	3	15.3	6.47	1.438	9.4	16	5.2	1	2	2	5	2	101	5.2	2	2
Jacob Webb	Closer	58	52.3	2.93	1.338	11.0	64	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	39	37.0	2.43	1.162	5.8	24	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	4.6	9.78	2.826	13.7	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Merrill Kelly	Starter	23	126.9	5.46	1.545	6.0	84	4.2	6	5	5	3	3	101	4.2	3	5
Juan Morillo	Closer	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brandyn Garcia	Setup Man	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	33	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-3

Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants

CIN 62-69 (4.1 RPG / 4.82 RA)

4 - 2

SF 53-78 (4.05 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 4-2 TARGET: CIN 4 - 2 SF (CIN) Confidence: 57.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	4	10
SF	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-17

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

CIN Season Quality

Record62-69

Win%0.473

Run Diff-94

RD/Game-0.718

SF Season Quality

Record52-78

Win%0.400

Run Diff-80

RD/Game-0.615

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0484; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	109	430	114	0.265	21	58	0.348	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.256	0.326	0.450	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	128	491	129	0.263	26	95	0.335	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.280	0.338	0.439	OK
Dane Myers	CF	80	209	52	0.249	4	20	0.340	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.245	0.325	0.343	OK
Tyler Stephenson	DH	99	319	78	0.245	12	43	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.314	0.396	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	98	342	72	0.211	18	53	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.213	0.324	0.391	OK
Matt McLain	2B	101	344	68	0.198	13	35	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.306	0.447	OK
JJ Bleday	RF	99	355	81	0.228	21	51	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.339	0.464	OK
Jose Trevino	C	34	106	25	0.236	4	12	0.243	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.142	0.153	0.234	OK
Ivan Johnson	LF	7	12	1	0.083	0	0	0.154	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.119	0.187	0.152	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	10	4	4	2	8	0.270

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	97	272	65	0.239	7	31	0.308	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.145	0.209	0.280	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	129	482	117	0.243	25	69	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.216	0.306	0.436	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	DH	117	447	130	0.291	8	44	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.271	0.303	0.387	OK
Turner Hill	LF	5	12	3	0.250	0	2	0.286	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.247	0.302	0.412	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	32	84	19	0.226	0	5	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.285	0.243	OK
Nate Furman	2B	3	6	0	0.000	0	0	0.143	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.103	0.216	0.207
Shay Whitcomb	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.170	0.180	0.397
Grant McCray	RF	15	37	3	0.081	1	2	0.209	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.100	0.218	0.186	OK
Christian Koss	SS	34	100	20	0.200	0	2	0.231	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.205	0.243	0.268	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	2	2	2	2	10	0.069

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	24	134.6	2.54	1.122	10.6	159	6.0	1	2	2	2	7	89	6.0	7	2
Emilio Pagán	Closer	30	28.4	4.44	1.127	9.8	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Setup Man	43	36.4	3.96	1.264	9.9	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	53.8	3.18	1.561	10.5	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Whisenhunt	Starter	7	30.6	7.35	1.928	6.8	23	4.1	7	4	4	2	8	91	4.1	8	4
Dylan Smith	Closer	29	24.3	3.33	1.358	13.0	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Sam Hentges	Setup Man	38	25.0	4.32	2.040	12.6	35	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	40	55.2	3.59	1.322	6.4	39	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	11	10.5	4.29	1.429	6.0	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 4-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels

CLE 65-66 (4.02 RPG / 4.09 RA)

4 - 2

LAA 52-79 (4.1 RPG / 4.63 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-2 TARGET: CLE 4 - 2 LAA (CLE) Confidence: 64.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	6
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	7

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CLE Season Quality

Record65-66

Win%0.496

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.069

LAA Season Quality

Record52-79

Win%0.397

Run Diff-70

RD/Game-0.534

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.426; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	116	412	108	0.262	2	25	0.366	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.249	0.349	0.301	OK
Jo Adell	DH	17	62	16	0.258	4	17	0.329	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.265	0.292	0.463	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	15	54	14	0.259	2	10	0.288	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.316	0.417	OK
Angel Genao	2B	15	59	17	0.288	1	3	0.333	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.314	0.384	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	83	302	74	0.245	12	45	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.286	0.427	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	49	133	27	0.203	3	9	0.241	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.135	0.174	0.250	OK
Austin Hedges	C	59	170	46	0.271	4	19	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.335	0.344	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	122	429	108	0.252	10	52	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.276	0.331	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	54	163	37	0.227	6	25	0.283	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.210	0.276	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	10	0.182

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	127	507	120	0.237	22	62	0.317	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.298	0.346	0.559	OK
Mike Trout	CF	112	406	97	0.239	20	46	0.380	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.225	0.337	0.369	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	85	307	76	0.248	7	50	0.306	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.288	0.357	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	18	69	12	0.174	0	3	0.230	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.233	0.288	0.342	OK
Jose Siri	RF	62	152	39	0.257	7	23	0.305	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.294	0.404	OK
Gustavo Campero	LF	2	7	3	0.429	0	1	0.429	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.385	0.393	0.531	OK
Christian Moore	2B	8	28	5	0.179	0	1	0.200	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.254	0.338	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	53	191	44	0.230	6	23	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.143	0.181	0.265	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	21	53	9	0.170	1	3	0.267	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.157	0.230	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	2	2	4	8	0.206

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	25	142.7	2.65	1.072	9.6	152	6.0	5	0	0	0	6	103	6.0	6	0
Cade Smith	Closer	55	54.5	2.48	1.174	13.4	81	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	50	36.2	3.73	1.519	10.7	43	1.0	2	2	2	2	2	27	1.0	2	2
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	42.3	1.91	1.017	9.8	46	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Klassen	Starter	5	21.2	3.82	1.651	8.9	21	4.1	4	2	2	0	4	79	4.1	4	2
Ben Joyce	Closer	7	6.2	0.00	0.806	13.1	9	1.0	2	2	2	1	2	23	1.0	2	2
Ryan Watson	Setup Man	6	4.4	0.00	0.909	16.4	8	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Blake Weiman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	6	6.3	1.43	1.746	11.4	8	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	41	37.6	3.59	1.463	12.4	52	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-2

Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals

COL 50-81 (4.73 RPG / 5.85 RA)

3 - 4

WAS 62-71 (5.23 RPG / 5.08 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 4-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 4 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	5
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	4	5

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak4L

COL Season Quality

Record50-80

Win%0.385

Run Diff-136

RD/Game-1.046

WAS Season Quality

Record61-71

Win%0.462

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.076

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7936; margin adjustment: 0.3333; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	109	415	122	0.294	13	67	0.333	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.289	0.334	0.455	OK
Mickey Moniak	RF	89	312	81	0.260	21	60	0.298	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.288	0.522	OK
Willi Castro	3B	111	398	105	0.264	14	53	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.272	0.336	0.438	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	123	443	128	0.289	13	59	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.176	0.263	0.276	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	103	334	95	0.284	3	44	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.289	0.346	0.419	OK
Connor Norby	2B	11	31	9	0.290	1	2	0.389	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.340	0.445	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	59	176	41	0.233	7	28	0.270	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.222	0.267	0.421	OK
Zac Veen	LF	9	22	5	0.227	2	7	0.261	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.235	0.386	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	116	386	80	0.207	9	38	0.256	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.178	0.240	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	3	3	1	8	0.156

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	DH	124	470	131	0.279	29	91	0.354	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.336	0.507	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	20	62	13	0.210	5	9	0.246	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.180	0.218	0.366	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	78	294	63	0.214	10	29	0.283	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.275	0.375	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	130	499	121	0.242	15	66	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.232	0.272	0.354	OK
Brady House	3B	67	238	56	0.235	9	31	0.296	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.302	0.387	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	83	275	77	0.280	8	43	0.319	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.318	0.358	0.479	OK
Jacob Young	CF	105	352	86	0.244	10	41	0.305	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.276	0.341	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	91	242	56	0.231	3	21	0.315	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.295	0.306	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	115	376	83	0.221	1	34	0.303	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.209	0.281	0.242	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	5	4	4	1	9	0.161

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	19	89.9	6.11	1.557	6.4	64	4.2	4	4	4	0	4	80	4.2	4	4
Jordan Romano	Closer	15	14.2	2.54	1.338	9.5	15	1.1	1	0	0	1	3	24	1.1	3	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	60	42.2	3.41	1.469	8.1	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	39	34.0	6.62	1.794	9.5	36	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	27	140.1	3.28	1.242	10.4	162	6.0	2	0	0	0	7	85	6.0	7	0
Orlando Ribalta	Setup Man	41	35.6	3.54	1.264	9.4	37	2.0	3	3	3	0	0	34	2.0	0	3
Will Dion	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	5	11.3	0.00	0.531	10.4	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 4-3

Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics

MIN 63-68 (4.58 RPG / 4.99 RA)

4 - 3

OAK 51-80 (4.34 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 4-3 TARGET: MIN 4 - 3 OAK (MIN) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	10
OAK	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	4

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

MIN Season Quality

Record63-68

Win%0.481

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.412

OAK Season Quality

Record51-80

Win%0.389

Run Diff-187

RD/Game-1.427

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6834; margin adjustment: -0.287; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	121	413	113	0.274	8	38	0.363	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.298	0.359	0.423	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	91	362	91	0.251	25	46	0.316	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.222	0.278	0.388	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	64	227	64	0.282	10	42	0.379	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.252	0.333	0.425	OK
Josh Bell	DH	126	464	117	0.252	17	77	0.317	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.292	0.398	OK
Kody Clemens	LF	113	421	100	0.238	21	64	0.293	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.307	0.481	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	96	351	82	0.234	13	45	0.304	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.196	0.256	0.337	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	13	45	13	0.289	2	3	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.285	0.315	0.444	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	122	461	114	0.247	20	68	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.306	0.519	OK
Ryan Kreidler	2B	71	203	46	0.227	5	25	0.273	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.214	0.262	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	4	4	3	8	0.270

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	84	293	79	0.270	6	26	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.276	0.335	0.375	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	112	362	95	0.262	6	43	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.272	0.310	0.375	OK
Zack Gelof	2B	76	275	71	0.258	14	36	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.291	0.406	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	116	355	78	0.220	11	38	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.344	0.409	OK
Tommy White	3B	32	122	32	0.262	2	6	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.271	0.344	OK
Donovan Walton	SS	28	64	15	0.234	1	6	0.402	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.289	0.367	0.462	OK
Max Muncy	LF	65	205	44	0.215	7	25	0.287	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.281	0.399	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	95	268	70	0.261	7	35	0.334	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.264	0.331	0.391	OK
Jonah Heim	C	69	235	47	0.200	10	32	0.261	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.156	0.227	0.288	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	3	3	3	5	0.129

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	17	95.5	5.18	1.351	7.6	81	5.0	4	3	3	3	4	90	5.0	4	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	44	34.8	2.07	1.293	10.1	39	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	8	7.2	5.00	1.944	12.5	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	53.1	4.24	1.507	9.5	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	23	110.4	6.20	1.522	7.3	89	4.0	6	4	4	2	6	76	4.0	6	4
Hogan Harris	Closer	60	46.4	4.46	1.853	14.5	75	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Elvis Alvarado	Setup Man	42	35.7	5.04	1.401	12.9	51	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	53.9	3.67	1.540	11.9	71	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	11	14.7	3.06	1.429	6.1	10	1.2	2	0	0	0	1	27	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-3

Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners

PHI 73-58 (4.57 RPG / 4.37 RA)

7 - 3

SEA 62-69 (3.92 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 7-3 TARGET: PHI 7 - 3 SEA (PHI) Confidence: 86.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	7	14
SEA	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	6

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff28

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak9W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed7.9

Run Diff-34

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

PHI Season Quality

Record73-58

Win%0.557

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.206

SEA Season Quality

Record62-69

Win%0.473

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.466

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9119; margin adjustment: -0.383; applied: True

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	123	464	113	0.244	38	77	0.357	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.234	0.327	0.549	OK
Trea Turner	SS	123	514	127	0.247	17	49	0.297	5	4	2	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.234	0.282	0.349	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	129	454	118	0.260	26	75	0.382	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.272	0.404	0.513	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	18	74	23	0.311	2	11	0.325	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.240	0.276	0.378	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	123	464	115	0.248	14	74	0.305	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.323	0.435	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	124	429	111	0.259	9	58	0.337	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.241	0.323	0.370	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	123	448	124	0.277	17	55	0.322	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.284	0.332	0.427	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	95	326	73	0.224	8	43	0.296	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.249	0.319	0.367	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	116	346	91	0.263	2	31	0.310	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.266	0.310	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	41	14	7	7	4	6	0.341

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	123	458	126	0.275	20	58	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.314	0.529	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	114	355	91	0.256	19	56	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.244	0.307	0.438	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	119	472	117	0.248	19	53	0.310	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.196	0.241	0.313	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	122	475	127	0.267	10	46	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.303	0.322	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	12	44	6	0.136	0	2	0.208	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.182	0.306	0.264	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	96	345	55	0.159	14	47	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.170	0.284	0.338	OK
Cole Young	2B	131	479	120	0.251	15	56	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.249	0.310	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	28	71	14	0.197	3	8	0.278	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.197	0.288	0.322	OK
Brock Rodden	SS	7	24	6	0.250	0	3	0.321	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.241	0.319	0.402	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	9	0.182

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	21	118.7	2.96	1.019	10.9	144	5.0	5	2	2	2	9	87	5.0	9	2
Jhoan Duran	Closer	48	45.4	1.39	0.991	12.9	65	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	49	42.7	3.16	1.124	12.2	58	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	45.4	3.96	1.388	10.9	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	25	146.6	3.44	1.037	9.6	157	6.0	8	3	3	4	6	116	6.0	6	3
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	49	45.0	4.20	1.222	15.0	75	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	58	47.8	4.14	1.506	8.3	44	1.0	4	3	3	0	0	22	1.0	0	3
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	62	49.9	3.61	1.523	10.6	59	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 7-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres

PIT 63-69 (4.95 RPG / 4.76 RA)

5 - 4

SD 71-60 (4.31 RPG / 4.18 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: PIT 5 - 4 SD (PIT) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	2	5	7
SD	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

PIT Season Quality

Record63-69

Win%0.477

Run Diff25

RD/Game0.189

SD Season Quality

Record71-60

Win%0.542

Run Diff16

RD/Game0.122

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.102; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Gonzales	DH	119	452	137	0.303	4	53	0.360	5	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.297	0.351	0.375	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	58	190	46	0.242	11	33	0.361	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.233	0.347	0.454	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	129	474	125	0.264	15	66	0.373	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.247	0.336	0.389	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	68	264	70	0.265	16	51	0.353	5	4	0	0	0	1	4	0.000	0.185	0.289	0.402	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	19	60	15	0.250	6	13	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.198	0.270	0.479	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	119	471	119	0.253	27	80	0.319	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.261	0.324	0.460	OK
Nick Yorke	3B	29	94	20	0.213	1	12	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.213	0.249	0.300	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	89	301	76	0.252	10	38	0.359	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.202	0.300	0.309	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	86	262	62	0.237	2	23	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.211	0.271	0.290	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	5	5	6	13	0.206

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	127	503	146	0.290	17	66	0.359	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.367	0.418	0.739	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	78	269	61	0.227	4	22	0.314	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.226	0.295	0.310	OK
Manny Machado	3B	128	476	103	0.216	24	72	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.325	0.406	OK
Ty France	1B	99	336	97	0.289	18	56	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.267	0.328	0.472	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	127	495	119	0.240	21	66	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.262	0.487	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	124	424	93	0.219	11	47	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.321	0.357	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	118	347	74	0.213	16	46	0.314	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.224	0.310	0.422	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	65	197	38	0.193	4	16	0.261	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.189	0.241	0.302	OK
Dustin Harris	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.216	0.294	0.322
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	4	4	5	10	0.182

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	25	147.0	3.80	1.102	9.7	159	6.1	5	3	3	4	8	123	6.1	8	3
Mason Montgomery	Closer	52	44.1	3.47	1.247	17.1	84	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	5	5.0	5.40	1.200	12.6	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	50.8	3.19	1.161	11.9	67	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.2	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	3	15.0	4.20	1.533	6.0	10	5.2	5	3	3	2	6	106	5.2	6	3
Mason Miller	Closer	52	51.3	0.88	0.838	17.4	99	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	59	60.6	3.12	1.221	12.5	84	1.1	0	0	0	3	3	34	1.1	3	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	49.4	2.37	1.215	11.1	61	1.0	2	2	2	1	2	23	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers

TB 78-53 (4.51 RPG / 4.15 RA)

5 - 4

DET 61-70 (4.49 RPG / 3.95 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-4 TARGET: TB 5 - 4 DET (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	5	8
DET	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7

TB Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

TB Season Quality

Record77-53

Win%0.592

Run Diff44

RD/Game0.338

DET Season Quality

Record61-69

Win%0.469

Run Diff73

RD/Game0.562

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0068; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	124	490	151	0.308	19	72	0.376	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.289	0.339	0.435	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	69	190	50	0.263	11	36	0.324	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.182	0.250	0.370	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	129	492	136	0.276	35	83	0.364	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.284	0.359	0.454	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	76	250	68	0.272	8	36	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.303	0.427	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	126	476	134	0.282	15	76	0.364	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.307	0.337	OK
Jorge Mateo	2B	4	13	2	0.154	1	3	0.154	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.220	0.253	0.372	OK
Nick Fortes	C	85	254	68	0.268	4	29	0.310	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.268	0.317	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	118	458	142	0.310	0	28	0.336	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.303	0.334	0.358	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	100	314	68	0.217	2	31	0.304	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.194	0.281	0.264	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	5	5	4	5	0.229

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colt Keith	DH	117	337	90	0.267	9	31	0.319	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.265	0.326	0.415	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	79	221	62	0.281	7	32	0.318	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.322	0.364	0.511	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	125	479	136	0.284	14	56	0.387	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.279	0.374	0.441	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	119	455	116	0.255	26	82	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.231	0.342	OK
Brett Callahan	LF	7	18	5	0.278	1	5	0.350	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.127	0.177	0.362	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	101	310	70	0.226	4	26	0.307	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.224	0.306	0.328	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	128	438	96	0.219	20	62	0.313	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.158	0.267	0.293	OK
Max Clark	CF	21	79	20	0.253	1	10	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.217	0.269	0.327	OK
Javier Báez	SS	41	143	37	0.259	2	14	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.265	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	4	4	2	10	0.206

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	24	133.4	3.04	0.952	9.3	138	6.0	4	3	3	2	7	108	6.0	7	3
Bryan Baker	Closer	52	49.6	1.63	0.887	10.2	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	25	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	56	50.8	2.48	1.004	8.3	47	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	9.1	2.97	1.099	8.9	9	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	25	136.1	4.43	1.425	7.3	111	6.0	4	1	1	2	2	96	6.0	2	1
Kenley Jansen	Closer	37	32.0	3.94	1.250	11.2	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	55	50.1	3.77	1.517	8.6	48	1.0	4	4	4	2	1	30	1.0	1	4
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	52	46.1	3.12	1.670	8.0	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-4

Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox

TEX 65-66 (3.98 RPG / 4.33 RA)

4 - 5

CHW 68-62 (4.75 RPG / 4.42 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-4 TARGET: TEX 4 - 5 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
CHW	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	x	5	6

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.4

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TEX Season Quality

Record65-66

Win%0.496

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.351

CHW Season Quality

Record68-62

Win%0.523

Run Diff43

RD/Game0.331

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5955; margin adjustment: 0.2501; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	117	336	79	0.235	22	46	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.136	0.231	0.257	OK
Corey Seager	SS	70	259	58	0.224	13	31	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.288	0.363	0.505	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	79	307	77	0.251	14	34	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.284	0.379	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	125	477	125	0.262	13	49	0.326	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.251	0.331	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	120	423	114	0.270	14	65	0.326	4	4	2	1	3	0	2	0.500	0.275	0.331	0.464	OK
Evan Carter	CF	110	317	62	0.196	8	31	0.293	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.152	0.231	0.246	OK
Jake Burger	1B	123	450	105	0.233	21	73	0.295	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.189	0.248	0.341	OK
Elias Díaz	C	46	141	33	0.234	4	17	0.247	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.220	0.382	OK
Cody Freeman	2B	15	35	10	0.286	0	2	0.359	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.345	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	4	4	0	4	0.182

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	109	377	101	0.268	8	37	0.365	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.322	0.356	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	95	341	76	0.223	29	58	0.359	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.335	0.469	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	127	473	116	0.245	29	74	0.356	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.297	0.424	0.573	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	115	350	86	0.246	13	65	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.316	0.411	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	62	224	52	0.232	5	32	0.324	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.232	0.318	0.383	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	123	465	99	0.213	27	72	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.255	0.375	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	124	464	125	0.269	12	49	0.341	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.285	0.323	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	118	347	94	0.271	9	45	0.331	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.278	0.333	0.506	OK
Drew Romo	C	51	160	23	0.144	7	16	0.225	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.171	0.239	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	5	5	1	5	0.200

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	24	117.5	4.60	1.438	8.3	109	5.0	5	4	4	1	3	91	5.0	3	4
Jacob Latz	Closer	46	56.2	1.28	0.730	10.4	65	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	40	39.6	3.18	1.187	7.3	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	12	8.7	3.10	1.494	10.3	10	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	11	0.2	1	1

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Urquidy	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	4	4	4	0	2	50	3.0	2	4
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Setup Man	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	21	2.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

BOS Recent Form

MIA Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

MIA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHC Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants

CIN Recent Form

SF Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels

CLE Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals

COL Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

COL Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics

MIN Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners

PHI Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

PHI Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres