MLB Predictions — August 23, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ MIL	3 - 5	3 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ SEA	4 - 3	4 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ ARI	3 - 4	3 - 4	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ COL	6 - 2	6 - 2	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 6-2	74%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ KC	1 - 2	1 - 2	KC	KC	KC wins 2-1	50%	fallback_enhanced
LAA @ TEX	3 - 4	3 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ SD	3 - 5	3 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ CHW	3 - 4	3 - 4	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ HOU	4 - 1	4 - 1	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 4-1	50%	fallback_enhanced
PIT @ LAD	3 - 4	3 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ BOS	2 - 5	2 - 5	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-2	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ PHI	4 - 5	4 - 5	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ BAL	1 - 2	1 - 2	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 2-1	50%	fallback_enhanced
TOR @ NYY	3 - 4	3 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ MIA	3 - 4	3 - 4	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers

ATL 75-56 (4.67 RPG / 3.89 RA)

3 - 5

MIL 81-49 (4.98 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-3 TARGET: ATL 3 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	3
MIL	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	x	5	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff32

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

ATL Season Quality

Record75-55

Win%0.577

Run Diff108

RD/Game0.831

MIL Season Quality

Record81-49

Win%0.623

Run Diff163

RD/Game1.254

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6966; margin adjustment: 0.2926; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Michael Harris II	CF	123	470	140	0.298	20	70	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.303	0.441	OK
Matt Olson	1B	129	497	129	0.260	35	75	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.297	0.420	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	129	490	125	0.255	20	65	0.311	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.239	0.286	0.342	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	106	410	110	0.268	21	63	0.354	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.245	0.321	0.411	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	10	22	4	0.182	1	3	0.250	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.147	0.237	0.276	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	122	452	122	0.270	10	61	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.315	0.382	OK
Austin Riley	3B	128	457	101	0.221	15	60	0.295	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.181	0.245	0.314	OK
Sean Murphy	C	11	38	5	0.132	0	0	0.132	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.171	0.179	0.240	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	38	111	23	0.207	1	11	0.267	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.188	0.249	0.272	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	3	3	3	3	8	0.100

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	94	386	109	0.282	17	50	0.347	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.330	0.397	OK
Brice Turang	2B	117	459	123	0.268	16	76	0.357	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.229	0.313	0.352	OK
William Contreras	C	118	454	120	0.264	12	64	0.335	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.336	0.398	0.450	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	113	386	105	0.272	22	72	0.381	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.278	0.391	0.519	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	79	231	71	0.307	5	37	0.389	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.310	0.386	0.440	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	86	332	73	0.220	9	42	0.305	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.289	0.362	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	92	277	68	0.245	7	37	0.310	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.269	0.334	0.430	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	109	358	92	0.257	8	47	0.349	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.327	0.417	OK
David Hamilton	3B	89	266	64	0.241	4	22	0.313	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.342	0.423	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	5	5	2	10	0.172

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	3	18.2	1.48	0.879	9.4	19	5.2	5	5	5	2	8	103	5.2	8	5
Raisel Iglesias	Closer	46	44.8	3.21	1.228	10.2	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Dylan Lee	Setup Man	60	51.0	2.29	0.863	12.7	72	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	25	97.3	3.98	1.285	9.2	99	5.1	1	1	1	2	5	87	5.1	5	1
Trevor Megill	Closer	50	49.3	1.64	0.791	10.2	56	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Aaron Ashby	Setup Man	60	65.0	3.60	1.538	14.0	101	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	43	84.7	3.19	1.263	8.7	82	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-3

Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners

CHC 74-56 (5.12 RPG / 4.36 RA)

4 - 3

SEA 62-68 (3.93 RPG / 4.27 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-3 TARGET: CHC 4 - 3 SEA (CHC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	4	8
SEA	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	7

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed7.0

Run Diff-22

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

CHC Season Quality

Record74-56

Win%0.569

Run Diff98

RD/Game0.754

SEA Season Quality

Record62-68

Win%0.477

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.338

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7692; margin adjustment: -0.3231; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	128	487	137	0.281	32	80	0.380	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.266	0.342	0.615	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	111	422	114	0.270	22	74	0.361	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.320	0.433	OK
Michael Busch	1B	126	481	118	0.245	15	63	0.349	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.227	0.308	0.429	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	126	500	130	0.260	19	67	0.349	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.284	0.353	0.614	OK
Ian Happ	LF	122	448	97	0.217	21	52	0.322	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.157	0.261	0.322	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	125	499	132	0.265	7	58	0.321	5	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.278	0.324	0.370	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	50	142	40	0.282	2	15	0.340	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.243	0.307	0.374	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	83	198	43	0.217	10	29	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.187	0.276	0.347	OK
Carson Kelly	C	90	301	79	0.262	7	42	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.314	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	40	8	4	4	2	8	0.200

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	122	454	125	0.275	19	57	0.369	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.254	0.319	0.542	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	113	352	90	0.256	19	56	0.327	5	4	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.292	0.421	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	118	468	117	0.250	19	53	0.312	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.217	0.263	0.335	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	95	341	54	0.158	14	47	0.273	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.156	0.274	0.349	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	121	471	125	0.265	10	46	0.328	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.289	0.305	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	27	67	13	0.194	3	8	0.280	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.218	0.316	0.373	OK
Cole Young	2B	130	475	120	0.253	15	56	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.263	0.321	OK
Victor Robles	RF	42	127	33	0.260	0	9	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.181	0.236	0.266	OK
Leo Rivas	SS	41	112	17	0.152	0	9	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.175	0.268	0.231	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	39	7	3	3	1	6	0.179

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	25	140.3	3.85	1.112	9.0	140	5.2	5	2	2	1	6	90	5.2	6	2
Jacob Webb	Closer	58	52.3	2.93	1.338	11.0	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	38	36.0	2.50	1.194	5.8	23	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.1	0	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	4.6	9.78	2.826	13.7	7	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Ryan Rolison	Reliever	47	39.8	3.62	1.608	10.9	48	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	0.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	16	87.1	3.82	1.068	9.0	87	5.2	2	1	1	0	5	78	5.2	5	1
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	49	45.0	4.20	1.222	15.0	75	1.1	4	2	2	1	2	33	1.1	2	2
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	57	46.6	4.06	1.481	8.5	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	61	48.9	3.68	1.554	10.7	58	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	41	27.7	3.25	1.444	9.7	30	1.2	1	1	1	0	0	24	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-3

Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CIN 62-68 (4.11 RPG / 4.82 RA)

3 - 4

ARI 68-62 (4.56 RPG / 4.51 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-3 TARGET: CIN 3 - 4 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5
ARI	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	x	4	7

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CIN Season Quality

Record62-68

Win%0.477

Run Diff-92

RD/Game-0.708

ARI Season Quality

Record68-62

Win%0.523

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.054

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5862; margin adjustment: 0.2462; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	108	425	113	0.266	21	58	0.349	4	3	2	1	2	0	1	0.667	0.273	0.344	0.494	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	127	486	127	0.261	26	94	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.334	0.444	OK
Dane Myers	CF	79	205	50	0.244	4	20	0.335	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.211	0.289	0.299	OK
Tyler Stephenson	DH	98	315	77	0.244	12	43	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.304	0.393	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	97	340	71	0.209	18	51	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.308	0.386	OK
Matt McLain	2B	100	341	68	0.199	13	35	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.291	0.446	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	98	352	81	0.230	21	51	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.255	0.344	0.459	OK
Will Banfield	C	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.118	0.132	0.190
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	13	37	6	0.162	1	3	0.262	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.179	0.252	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	3	8	0.156

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	106	371	96	0.259	9	61	0.301	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.282	0.373	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	126	472	118	0.250	18	57	0.349	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.274	0.354	0.483	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	101	365	112	0.307	10	63	0.383	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.309	0.382	0.486	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	125	452	111	0.246	9	44	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.226	0.316	0.323	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	121	419	102	0.243	21	65	0.322	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.253	0.319	0.520	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	66	208	51	0.245	8	32	0.295	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.274	0.327	0.477	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	16	53	15	0.283	2	7	0.356	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.280	0.318	0.433	OK
James McCann	C	35	115	34	0.296	4	21	0.325	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.271	0.300	0.388	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	62	204	57	0.279	2	19	0.344	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.284	0.350	0.397	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	7	4	4	5	3	0.226

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	26	136.3	4.16	1.431	7.1	108	5.2	6	3	3	2	2	103	5.2	2	3
Emilio Pagán	Closer	30	28.4	4.44	1.127	9.8	31	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	11	0.1	0	1
Tejay Antone	Setup Man	43	36.4	3.96	1.264	9.9	40	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	53.8	3.18	1.561	10.5	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Bratt	Starter	8	36.2	4.23	1.492	6.2	25	5.1	2	1	1	1	2	85	5.1	2	1
Juan Morillo	Closer	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Brandyn Garcia	Setup Man	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	1	1	1	2	2	24	1.0	2	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.1	2	1	1	0	3	23	1.1	3	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies

CLE 65-66 (4.02 RPG / 4.09 RA)

6 - 2

COL 50-80 (4.75 RPG / 5.79 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 6-2 TARGET: CLE 6 - 2 COL (CLE) Confidence: 74.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	1	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	6	8
COL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	4

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

CLE Season Quality

Record63-66

Win%0.488

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.116

COL Season Quality

Record50-78

Win%0.391

Run Diff-130

RD/Game-1.016

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8479; margin adjustment: -0.3561; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	115	407	106	0.260	2	25	0.365	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.264	0.390	0.323	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	105	399	114	0.286	13	56	0.359	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.303	0.370	0.446	OK
Jo Adell	RF	16	57	14	0.246	4	15	0.323	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.251	0.281	0.438	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	14	49	13	0.265	2	9	0.296	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.328	0.435	OK
Angel Genao	SS	14	54	17	0.315	1	3	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.316	0.357	0.443	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	94	350	84	0.240	9	38	0.329	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.273	0.341	0.369	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	54	163	37	0.227	6	25	0.283	4	3	1	1	4	1	2	0.333	0.235	0.291	0.405	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	49	133	27	0.203	3	9	0.241	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.257	0.393	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	121	426	108	0.254	10	51	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.254	0.300	0.387	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	6	6	3	5	0.229

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	108	412	121	0.294	13	67	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.269	0.317	0.436	OK
Mickey Moniak	RF	88	308	81	0.263	21	60	0.301	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.248	0.290	0.497	OK
Cole Carrigg	SS	58	205	57	0.278	5	34	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.343	0.443	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	122	441	128	0.290	13	59	0.371	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.260	0.338	0.369	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	110	342	91	0.266	10	44	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.329	0.401	OK
Willi Castro	2B	110	394	104	0.264	14	53	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.319	0.396	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	102	332	94	0.283	3	44	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.269	0.328	0.381	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	58	172	40	0.233	7	27	0.270	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.130	0.189	0.304	OK
Zac Veen	LF	9	22	5	0.227	2	7	0.261	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.135	0.177	0.267	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	2	2	3	11	0.129

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	3	15.0	4.20	1.400	9.0	15	5.2	2	1	1	3	6	95	5.2	6	1
Cade Smith	Closer	55	54.5	2.48	1.174	13.4	81	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	50	36.2	3.73	1.519	10.7	43	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	42.3	1.91	1.017	9.8	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	22	115.4	4.84	1.300	5.4	69	5.2	7	6	6	2	4	104	5.2	4	6
Jordan Romano	Closer	14	13.2	2.73	1.439	10.2	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	60	42.2	3.41	1.469	8.1	38	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	38	32.0	7.03	1.844	10.1	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 6-2

Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals

DET 61-69 (4.52 RPG / 3.95 RA)

1 - 2

KC 58-74 (4.24 RPG / 4.93 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 2-1 TARGET: DET 1 - 2 KC (KC) Confidence: 50.5% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	3
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	6

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.472289742343218

Avg Allowed4.472289742343218

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

KC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.472289742343218

Avg Allowed4.472289742343218

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

DET Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

KC Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	72	271	71	0.262	8	34	0.371	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.229	0.323	0.336	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	78	216	60	0.278	7	31	0.316	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.299	0.356	0.466	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	124	475	134	0.282	13	53	0.385	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.259	0.348	0.396	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	21	61	21	0.344	6	17	0.365	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.264	0.534	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	127	436	96	0.220	20	62	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.175	0.278	0.316	OK
Corey Julks	DH	2	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.258	0.477	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	26	60	15	0.250	3	10	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.324	0.412	OK
Max Clark	CF	20	76	19	0.250	1	9	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.256	0.329	OK
Javier Báez	LF	40	141	36	0.255	2	14	0.284	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.233	0.255	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	3	1	1	4	8	0.083

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Loftin	3B	90	278	64	0.230	5	36	0.321	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.305	0.333	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	111	435	125	0.287	16	47	0.360	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.273	0.345	0.457	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	84	310	76	0.245	8	37	0.330	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.272	0.350	0.460	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	120	460	102	0.222	17	57	0.267	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.250	0.278	0.425	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	114	361	82	0.227	6	38	0.329	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.200	0.309	0.299	OK
John Rave	RF	23	62	12	0.194	2	5	0.242	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.128	0.177	0.281	OK
Tyler Tolbert	2B	40	102	30	0.294	3	8	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.273	0.347	0.397	OK
Luke Maile	C	9	25	5	0.200	1	5	0.231	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.218	0.291	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	69	210	49	0.233	6	20	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.288	0.437	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	39	6	2	2	0	8	0.154

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Waguespack	Starter	21	23.0	2.35	1.000	6.3	16	5.0	2	0	0	0	7	69	5.0	7	0
Kenley Jansen	Closer	37	32.0	3.94	1.250	11.2	40	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.1	1	0
Tyler Holton	Setup Man	55	50.1	3.77	1.517	8.6	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	51	45.1	2.99	1.641	8.0	40	1.2	3	1	1	0	0	30	1.2	0	1
Drew Anderson	Reliever	44	74.1	4.49	1.417	11.1	91	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	4	0.0	0	1
Ty Madden	Reliever	16	34.3	3.15	1.108	9.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Daniel Lynch IV	Starter	49	48.4	3.16	1.136	7.6	41	5.0	0	0	0	2	4	71	5.0	4	0
Steven Cruz	Closer	46	44.0	4.70	1.341	10.6	52	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.1	0	0
Nate Pearson	Setup Man	12	11.2	0.80	0.893	8.0	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	52	39.9	4.51	1.579	7.7	34	2.2	3	1	1	0	2	37	2.2	2	1
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	46.7	6.36	1.606	10.2	53	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	0.0	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 2-1

Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

LAA 52-79 (4.1 RPG / 4.63 RA)

3 - 4

TEX 65-66 (3.98 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 4 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	7
TEX	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	x	4	9

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed2.1

Run Diff25

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.1

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-17

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAA Season Quality

Record52-78

Win%0.400

Run Diff-68

RD/Game-0.523

TEX Season Quality

Record64-66

Win%0.492

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.369

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0914; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	126	502	118	0.235	21	61	0.316	5	3	1	1	2	2	1	0.333	0.319	0.370	0.521	OK
Mike Trout	CF	111	402	96	0.239	20	46	0.380	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.229	0.338	0.365	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	84	303	75	0.248	7	50	0.306	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.244	0.294	0.358	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	17	64	10	0.156	0	3	0.217	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.211	0.269	0.314	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	81	240	50	0.208	10	26	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.269	0.376	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	52	190	44	0.232	6	23	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.256	0.378	OK
Christian Moore	2B	7	24	4	0.167	0	1	0.192	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.241	0.315	OK
Gustavo Campero	LF	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.333	4	4	3	1	0	0	1	0.750	0.314	0.324	0.346	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	22	59	13	0.220	0	3	0.270	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.128	0.157	0.200	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	3	3	6	8	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Foscue	DH	67	158	41	0.259	8	23	0.310	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.262	0.316	0.477	OK
Corey Seager	SS	69	256	56	0.219	13	31	0.315	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.251	0.331	0.476	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	78	304	75	0.247	14	34	0.312	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.264	0.355	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	124	474	125	0.264	13	48	0.329	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.209	0.262	0.338	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	119	420	113	0.269	13	64	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.274	0.333	0.438	OK
Jake Burger	1B	122	447	105	0.235	21	73	0.295	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.214	0.273	0.373	OK
Cody Freeman	2B	14	32	9	0.281	0	1	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.276	0.353	0.301	OK
Elias Díaz	C	45	139	32	0.230	3	15	0.245	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.144	0.161	0.247	OK
Evan Carter	CF	110	317	62	0.196	8	31	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.210	0.284	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	9	4	4	6	5	0.273

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yusei Kikuchi	Starter	7	30.3	5.94	1.617	9.8	33	4.1	6	3	3	4	3	89	4.1	3	4
Ben Joyce	Closer	7	6.2	0.00	0.806	13.1	9	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Ryan Watson		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	3	1	1	0	0	16	-	-	-
Blake Weiman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	6	6.3	1.43	1.746	11.4	8	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	40	36.6	3.69	1.503	12.3	50	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.0	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	26	75.8	3.21	1.174	6.4	54	5.2	3	1	1	5	7	100	5.2	7	2
Jacob Latz	Closer	45	55.2	1.30	0.707	10.3	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	1
Jakob Junis	Setup Man	40	39.6	3.18	1.187	7.3	32	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	11	8.6	3.14	1.512	10.5	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Alexander		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	-	-	-
Peyton Gray		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	2	2	2	0	0	16	-	-	-

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-3

Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres

MIN 63-68 (4.58 RPG / 4.99 RA)

3 - 5

SD 71-60 (4.31 RPG / 4.18 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-3 TARGET: MIN 3 - 5 SD (SD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
SD	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	x	5	10

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

MIN Season Quality

Record63-67

Win%0.485

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.362

SD Season Quality

Record70-60

Win%0.538

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.069

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5971; margin adjustment: 0.2508; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	120	409	112	0.274	8	38	0.364	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.289	0.354	0.417	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	90	359	90	0.251	25	46	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.198	0.257	0.356	OK
Josh Bell	DH	125	460	117	0.254	17	77	0.320	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.303	0.419	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	112	418	100	0.239	21	64	0.295	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.306	0.480	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	95	348	82	0.236	13	45	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.264	0.349	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	121	458	113	0.247	19	67	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.279	0.316	0.467	OK
Alan Roden	LF	25	61	14	0.230	0	10	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.316	0.304	OK
Victor Caratini	C	90	285	64	0.225	7	38	0.314	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.209	0.294	0.290	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	12	42	12	0.286	2	3	0.340	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.251	0.283	0.429	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	8	0.182

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	126	498	142	0.285	15	62	0.355	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.306	0.362	0.526	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	77	264	60	0.227	4	22	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.310	0.321	OK
Manny Machado	3B	127	472	102	0.216	24	72	0.302	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.253	0.337	0.413	OK
Ty France	1B	98	332	97	0.292	18	56	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.289	0.346	0.493	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	126	490	118	0.241	20	65	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.289	0.464	OK
Luis Campusano	C	47	135	41	0.304	5	23	0.405	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.201	0.313	0.353	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	118	347	74	0.213	16	46	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.226	0.312	0.426	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	123	421	92	0.219	11	46	0.317	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.213	0.307	0.322	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	32	111	34	0.306	4	14	0.394	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.316	0.325	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	10	5	5	3	8	0.294

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	19	101.7	4.69	1.268	6.3	71	5.1	6	2	2	2	6	98	5.1	6	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	44	34.8	2.07	1.293	10.1	39	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Setup Man	7	7.0	2.57	1.571	12.9	10	1.0	4	3	3	1	1	29	1.0	1	3

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	25	116.6	4.94	1.432	8.0	104	5.0	6	3	3	1	4	97	5.0	4	3
Mason Miller	Closer	52	51.3	0.88	0.838	17.4	99	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	59	60.6	3.12	1.221	12.5	84	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	53	49.4	2.37	1.215	11.1	61	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	32	25.8	4.19	1.357	12.9	37	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 5-3

New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox

NYM 59-72 (4.17 RPG / 4.47 RA)

3 - 4

CHW 68-62 (4.75 RPG / 4.42 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-3 TARGET: NYM 3 - 4 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	6
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	x	4	5

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYM Season Quality

Record59-71

Win%0.454

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.300

CHW Season Quality

Record67-62

Win%0.519

Run Diff42

RD/Game0.326

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4523; margin adjustment: 0.19; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	71	279	65	0.233	12	32	0.318	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.207	0.280	0.350	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	125	501	135	0.269	14	66	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.290	0.330	0.515	OK
Carson Benge	RF	120	459	125	0.272	16	52	0.334	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.282	0.329	0.450	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	LF	48	171	38	0.222	9	22	0.289	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.295	0.454	OK
Eric Wagaman	1B	19	42	9	0.214	2	5	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.169	0.222	0.239	OK
Christopher Morel	DH	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.500	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.180	0.237	0.233	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	107	381	84	0.220	14	43	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.298	0.348	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	88	320	79	0.247	7	28	0.322	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.227	0.303	0.330	OK
Luis Torrens	C	70	207	51	0.246	8	33	0.310	4	3	2	1	3	0	1	0.667	0.209	0.266	0.506	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	6	3	3	4	7	0.188

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	108	374	100	0.267	8	37	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.329	0.357	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	94	338	76	0.225	29	58	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.210	0.338	0.491	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	126	470	115	0.245	29	74	0.355	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.283	0.405	0.546	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	114	347	85	0.245	13	64	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.308	0.420	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	61	221	52	0.235	5	32	0.325	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.238	0.321	0.390	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	122	461	99	0.215	27	72	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.223	0.282	0.418	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	123	460	125	0.272	12	49	0.344	4	3	1	1	4	1	1	0.333	0.242	0.302	0.343	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	117	343	92	0.268	8	44	0.329	3	1	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.266	0.323	0.458	OK
Jake Rogers	C	3	10	1	0.100	0	0	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.144	0.255	0.247	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	5	4	4	4	10	0.172

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	25	140.8	3.39	1.172	10.4	162	5.2	5	3	3	4	8	102	5.2	8	3
Kodai Senga	Closer	20	49.1	8.07	1.772	11.4	62	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Daniel Duarte	Setup Man	17	19.9	0.90	0.653	9.0	20	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Newcomb	Starter	46	60.2	2.84	1.246	9.6	64	6.0	2	0	0	1	6	94	6.0	6	0
Grant Taylor	Closer	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Setup Man	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	1.0	1	2	2	2	0	24	1.0	0	2
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	0.2	2	1	1	1	0	18	0.2	0	1

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-3

Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros

OAK 51-80 (4.34 RPG / 5.76 RA)

4 - 1

HOU 65-66 (4.55 RPG / 4.89 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 4-1 TARGET: OAK 4 - 1 HOU (OAK) Confidence: 50.5% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	8
HOU	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.472289742343218

Avg Allowed4.472289742343218

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.472289742343218

Avg Allowed4.472289742343218

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

OAK Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

HOU Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	83	288	76	0.264	6	26	0.337	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.258	0.321	0.349	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	94	263	69	0.262	7	35	0.337	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.263	0.334	0.392	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	75	271	71	0.262	14	36	0.324	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.205	0.272	0.373	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	115	351	77	0.219	11	37	0.306	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.261	0.340	0.422	OK
Tommy White	1B	31	117	31	0.265	2	4	0.289	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.290	0.362	OK
Max Muncy	DH	64	201	43	0.214	6	24	0.288	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.210	0.281	0.366	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	27	61	14	0.230	1	6	0.397	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.263	0.348	0.456	OK
Darell Hernaiz	SS	44	127	30	0.236	1	7	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.288	0.264	OK
Brian Serven	C	12	39	8	0.205	3	8	0.225	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.197	0.221	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	8	4	4	5	6	0.235

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	79	315	89	0.283	14	41	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.288	0.430	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	127	457	147	0.322	36	90	0.436	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.305	0.412	0.591	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	122	446	114	0.256	16	68	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.269	0.345	0.407	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	103	400	98	0.245	13	37	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.297	0.357	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	16	60	10	0.167	2	4	0.242	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.249	0.298	0.414	OK
Christian Walker	1B	123	454	107	0.236	23	72	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.288	0.383	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	34	90	20	0.222	2	15	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.336	0.338	OK
Cam Smith	RF	118	416	90	0.216	17	47	0.282	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.182	0.234	0.386	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	73	214	47	0.220	7	25	0.273	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.310	0.462	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	2	1	1	4	13	0.069

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Basso	Starter	16	20.2	4.46	1.535	8.5	19	4.2	2	1	1	3	6	77	4.2	6	1
Hogan Harris	Closer	59	45.4	4.56	1.894	14.5	73	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	22	1.0	2	0
Elvis Alvarado	Setup Man	42	35.7	5.04	1.401	12.9	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	42	52.9	3.74	1.531	11.7	69	1.1	0	0	0	1	3	21	1.1	3	0
Scott Blewett	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	10	13.7	3.28	1.533	6.6	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristian Javier	Starter	11	35.4	6.61	1.723	7.6	30	4.0	4	3	3	3	4	78	4.0	4	3
Josh Hader	Closer	31	30.3	0.59	0.693	12.2	41	1.1	2	0	0	1	1	27	1.1	1	0
Steven Okert	Setup Man	63	55.5	2.27	0.955	10.4	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	50	44.0	4.50	1.523	12.9	63	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	27	1.2	0	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	56	52.2	4.66	1.303	9.1	53	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 4-1

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers

PIT 63-69 (4.95 RPG / 4.76 RA)

3 - 4

LAD 80-51 (4.98 RPG / 3.83 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 3 - 4 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	5
LAD	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	4	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff10

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

PIT Season Quality

Record63-68

Win%0.481

Run Diff29

RD/Game0.221

LAD Season Quality

Record79-51

Win%0.608

Run Diff147

RD/Game1.131

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7665; margin adjustment: 0.3219; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Gonzales	3B	118	449	137	0.305	4	53	0.361	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.273	0.323	0.342	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	57	187	46	0.246	11	33	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.242	0.352	0.472	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	128	471	125	0.265	15	66	0.374	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.255	0.344	0.403	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	118	468	118	0.252	27	80	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.326	0.461	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	18	56	15	0.268	6	13	0.349	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.217	0.293	0.525	OK
Nick Yorke	LF	28	90	20	0.222	1	12	0.276	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.262	0.306	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	88	298	75	0.252	10	38	0.357	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.211	0.300	0.314	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	85	260	62	0.238	2	23	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.215	0.274	0.298	OK
Billy Cook	CF	24	48	9	0.188	0	2	0.204	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.100	0.128	0.191	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	3	3	5	9	0.156

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	119	458	132	0.288	30	78	0.390	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.298	0.400	0.589	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	125	472	142	0.301	15	59	0.375	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.295	0.370	0.443	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	91	357	85	0.238	16	46	0.291	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.234	0.284	0.411	OK
Max Muncy	3B	118	388	99	0.255	26	66	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.303	0.387	0.612	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	49	174	46	0.264	4	22	0.330	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.311	0.411	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	119	430	99	0.230	11	57	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.189	0.268	0.309	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	93	328	81	0.247	11	43	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.292	0.366	OK
Alek Thomas	CF	1	4	1	0.250	0	1	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.191	0.214	0.348	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	12	31	7	0.226	1	1	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.322	0.405	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	7	4	4	6	5	0.212

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Lake Bachar	Starter	5	11.0	3.27	1.182	9.8	12	5.0	3	1	1	4	3	100	5.0	3	1
Mason Montgomery	Closer	52	44.1	3.47	1.247	17.1	84	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	5	5.0	5.40	1.200	12.6	7	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	54	50.8	3.19	1.161	11.9	67	1.2	2	2	2	1	1	27	1.0	1	2

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Blake Snell	Starter	3	15.0	3.60	1.133	12.0	20	5.0	3	0	0	1	5	88	5.0	5	0
Tanner Scott	Closer	56	47.9	2.44	0.981	12.0	64	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	25	1.1	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	51	44.9	3.41	1.180	11.2	56	1.0	1	2	2	2	1	24	1.0	1	2
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	16	14.7	2.45	0.748	10.4	17	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	57	35.0	4.11	1.571	14.9	58	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	11	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox

SF 53-78 (4.05 RPG / 4.62 RA)

2 - 5

BOS 71-59 (4.53 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-2 TARGET: SF 2 - 5 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 62.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	2
BOS	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	x	5	6

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-15

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SF Season Quality

Record52-76

Win%0.406

Run Diff-78

RD/Game-0.609

BOS Season Quality

Record69-59

Win%0.539

Run Diff97

RD/Game0.758

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.245; margin adjustment: 0.5229; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Victor Bericoto	LF	29	84	20	0.238	4	11	0.247	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.242	0.385	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	128	479	117	0.244	25	69	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.316	0.470	OK
Willy Adames	SS	119	456	105	0.230	20	50	0.289	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.283	0.411	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	86	303	75	0.248	14	34	0.344	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.330	0.424	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	21	72	17	0.236	3	8	0.263	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.237	0.362	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	116	443	130	0.293	8	44	0.331	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.249	0.285	0.376	OK
Christian Koss	3B	33	97	19	0.196	0	2	0.228	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.255	0.307	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	96	270	65	0.241	7	31	0.310	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.291	0.419	OK
Andrew Knizner	C	5	11	3	0.273	1	1	0.385	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.095	0.268	0.194	OK
TEAM TOTALS									29	29	2	2	2	0	7	0.069

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	33	119	33	0.277	1	8	0.392	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.289	0.386	0.421	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	120	481	137	0.285	15	62	0.324	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.267	0.286	0.392	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	124	472	123	0.261	22	69	0.340	4	3	1	1	3	1	2	0.333	0.289	0.370	0.498	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	115	403	114	0.283	26	78	0.393	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.283	0.380	0.581	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	10	35	6	0.171	1	4	0.293	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.327	0.425	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	117	404	101	0.250	12	59	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.322	0.385	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	119	457	94	0.206	17	56	0.265	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.272	0.319	0.432	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	85	264	67	0.254	6	38	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.297	0.376	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	39	122	31	0.254	3	15	0.328	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.318	0.430	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	29	6	5	5	3	5	0.207

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matt Wilkinson	Starter	1	2.0	0.00	0.500	0.0	0	2.1	2	3	3	3	1	47	2.1	1	3
Dylan Smith	Closer	29	24.3	3.33	1.358	13.0	35	3.0	1	0	0	0	1	33	3.0	1	0
Sam Hentges	Setup Man	37	23.8	4.54	2.143	12.5	33	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	39	54.0	3.50	1.278	6.5	39	1.1	2	1	1	0	2	24	1.1	2	1

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	14	78.1	3.57	1.101	7.0	61	5.2	2	2	2	0	5	83	5.2	5	2
Aroldis Chapman	Closer	43	42.2	1.28	1.114	11.9	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0
Erik Miller	Setup Man	8	8.1	0.00	0.988	15.6	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	32	28.3	2.23	1.060	11.1	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies

STL 66-66 (4.43 RPG / 4.45 RA)

4 - 5

PHI 73-58 (4.57 RPG / 4.37 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-4 TARGET: STL 4 - 5 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	1	4	5
PHI	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	5	11

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak8W

STL Season Quality

Record66-65

Win%0.504

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

PHI Season Quality

Record72-58

Win%0.554

Run Diff25

RD/Game0.192

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3852; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	121	476	116	0.244	17	46	0.347	5	4	1	1	3	1	3	0.250	0.251	0.319	0.413	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	127	479	114	0.238	13	51	0.350	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.276	0.298	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	124	482	139	0.288	25	91	0.348	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.297	0.505	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	126	482	139	0.288	21	91	0.353	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.328	0.448	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	8	28	5	0.179	4	9	0.250	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.182	0.264	0.546	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	51	174	42	0.241	2	25	0.261	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.228	0.255	0.340	OK
José Fermín	LF	87	241	61	0.253	5	32	0.323	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.264	0.333	0.389	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	57	167	36	0.216	4	11	0.265	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.157	0.215	0.234	OK
Nathan Church	CF	99	327	79	0.242	9	40	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.244	0.284	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	4	4	5	15	0.156

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	1B	122	459	112	0.244	37	75	0.359	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.240	0.344	0.505	OK
Trea Turner	SS	122	510	127	0.249	17	49	0.299	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.243	0.291	0.359	OK
Bryce Harper	DH	128	451	116	0.257	26	75	0.379	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.402	0.491	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	123	426	111	0.261	9	58	0.340	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.173	0.272	0.297	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	122	445	123	0.276	17	55	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.198	0.247	0.317	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	94	322	72	0.224	8	43	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.311	0.356	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	115	343	91	0.265	2	31	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.246	0.289	OK
Edmundo Sosa	3B	65	191	43	0.225	5	32	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.275	0.393	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	RF	14	35	12	0.343	2	10	0.390	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.277	0.315	0.405	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	11	5	5	1	8	0.297

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	24	121.4	3.26	1.318	8.2	111	5.2	3	1	1	1	6	96	5.2	6	2
Riley O'Brien	Closer	53	49.9	3.07	1.162	9.6	53	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
George Soriano	Setup Man	58	48.3	4.84	1.470	10.6	57	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	25	1.0	1	3
Ryne Stanek		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	4	2	2	0	0	13	-	-	-

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	26	159.8	2.53	1.233	10.5	187	6.0	3	2	2	2	10	107	6.0	10	3
Jhoan Duran	Closer	48	45.4	1.39	0.991	12.9	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Setup Man	49	42.7	3.16	1.124	12.2	58	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	55	45.4	3.96	1.388	10.9	55	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Brooks Raley		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	1	1	1	3	0	15	-	-	-

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles

TB 77-53 (4.52 RPG / 4.18 RA)

1 - 2

BAL 63-68 (4.45 RPG / 4.72 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 2-1 TARGET: TB 1 - 2 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 50.5% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.476642335766424

Avg Allowed4.476642335766424

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.476642335766424

Avg Allowed4.476642335766424

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

TB Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

BAL Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	123	486	150	0.309	19	72	0.377	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.299	0.346	0.442	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	125	472	133	0.282	15	76	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.305	0.335	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	128	489	135	0.276	35	82	0.363	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.283	0.349	0.450	OK
Liam Hicks	C	15	45	13	0.289	3	10	0.429	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.269	0.348	0.455	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	117	455	140	0.308	0	27	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.300	0.325	0.352	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	75	246	67	0.272	8	36	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.281	0.308	0.416	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	108	371	77	0.208	13	39	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.191	0.272	0.302	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	95	274	65	0.237	5	39	0.334	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.312	0.331	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	99	311	68	0.219	2	31	0.305	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.221	0.299	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	1	1	2	9	0.156

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	74	227	52	0.229	6	26	0.314	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.210	0.286	0.326	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	127	477	131	0.275	30	85	0.364	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.339	0.404	0.611	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	126	506	112	0.221	19	50	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.314	0.380	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	87	292	70	0.240	17	48	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.164	0.220	0.363	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	97	304	66	0.217	17	47	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.278	0.469	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	70	214	53	0.248	6	27	0.316	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.317	0.481	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	27	89	19	0.213	5	20	0.260	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.249	0.406	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	101	259	56	0.216	10	30	0.305	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.301	0.395	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	107	348	79	0.227	7	44	0.297	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.234	0.292	0.358	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	4	2	2	3	6	0.133

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	24	138.4	3.12	1.163	5.4	83	6.0	1	2	2	2	6	97	6.0	6	2
Bryan Baker	Closer	51	48.6	1.48	0.885	10.4	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Setup Man	55	49.8	2.53	1.024	8.3	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Tyler Wells		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	3	0	0	1	0	18	-	-	-

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	25	141.7	4.13	1.383	8.4	132	5.2	2	0	0	1	3	93	5.2	3	0
Andrew Kittredge	Closer	45	35.6	3.79	1.489	8.3	33	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Yennier Cano	Setup Man	53	34.2	2.89	1.140	10.0	38	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	14	0.2	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	49.6	2.90	0.927	10.3	57	1.0	3	1	1	0	2	12	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

BAL wins 2-1

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees

TOR 64-68 (3.95 RPG / 4.36 RA)

3 - 4

NYY 74-56 (4.45 RPG / 3.68 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-3 TARGET: TOR 3 - 4 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 54.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
TOR	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4
NYY	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record64-67

Win%0.489

Run Diff-50

RD/Game-0.382

NYY Season Quality

Record73-56

Win%0.566

Run Diff95

RD/Game0.736

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8106; margin adjustment: 0.3405; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	RF	13	56	18	0.321	0	4	0.367	5	4	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.304	0.348	0.403	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	115	435	115	0.264	7	46	0.334	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.265	0.320	0.345	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	53	187	53	0.283	7	28	0.360	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.279	0.358	0.446	OK
George Springer	DH	96	367	88	0.240	12	40	0.319	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.271	0.330	0.383	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	125	466	107	0.230	26	74	0.300	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.277	0.428	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	127	486	139	0.286	9	43	0.311	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.311	0.387	OK
Daz Cameron	LF	4	13	4	0.308	1	2	0.308	5	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.286	0.295	0.556	OK
Charles McAdoo	2B	19	61	16	0.262	2	10	0.292	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.248	0.281	0.370	OK
Myles Straw	CF	97	230	49	0.213	3	20	0.262	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.185	0.245	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	4	3	3	4	10	0.108

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	104	372	82	0.220	16	53	0.312	6	5	2	0	0	1	0	0.400	0.219	0.310	0.417	OK
Ben Rice	DH	121	451	112	0.248	33	76	0.347	6	5	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.308	0.444	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	16	59	15	0.254	3	6	0.297	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.270	0.305	0.546	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	100	367	96	0.262	11	53	0.352	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.299	0.383	0.441	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	16	55	15	0.273	2	5	0.339	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.252	0.319	0.356	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	53	156	35	0.224	7	21	0.301	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.303	0.445	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	117	411	90	0.219	17	49	0.294	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.245	0.318	0.400	OK
Austin Wells	C	92	260	46	0.177	8	18	0.269	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.193	0.274	0.292	OK
José Caballero	3B	103	336	79	0.235	12	44	0.293	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.220	0.276	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									47	42	9	4	4	5	5	0.214

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	3	15.4	2.92	1.429	5.3	9	5.2	5	2	2	4	5	102	5.2	5	3
Louis Varland	Closer	60	61.9	1.31	1.050	11.9	82	2.1	1	0	0	0	0	24	2.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Setup Man	61	55.6	1.94	1.223	5.0	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	40	73.8	3.29	1.192	8.9	73	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Brendon Little	Reliever	19	14.5	10.55	2.828	16.1	26	1.1	0	1	1	1	0	21	0.0	0	1
Paul Sewald		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	14	-	-	-

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	10	49.4	3.28	1.255	10.2	56	5.2	4	3	3	3	6	97	5.2	6	3
David Bednar	Closer	53	53.6	2.52	1.063	10.9	65	2.1	0	0	0	1	1	33	2.1	1	0
Brent Headrick	Setup Man	66	53.1	1.86	1.394	13.7	81	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	39.2	3.90	1.811	15.4	67	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.0	1	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	49	63.3	1.99	1.185	8.2	58	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	0.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3

Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins

WAS 61-71 (5.17 RPG / 5.09 RA)

3 - 4

MIA 67-64 (4.37 RPG / 4.21 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-3 TARGET: WAS 3 - 4 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 55.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5
MIA	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	4	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

WAS Season Quality

Record61-70

Win%0.466

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.107

MIA Season Quality

Record66-64

Win%0.508

Run Diff17

RD/Game0.131

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2091; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Daylen Lile	LF	129	495	120	0.242	15	66	0.290	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.222	0.257	0.332	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	DH	19	57	13	0.228	5	9	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.262	0.489	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	77	290	61	0.210	10	28	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.253	0.338	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	82	272	76	0.279	8	43	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.299	0.334	0.457	OK
Jose F Miranda	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.311	0.386
Jorbit Vivas	3B	90	238	55	0.231	3	20	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.118	0.200	0.174	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	52	123	30	0.244	8	32	0.336	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.318	0.496	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	114	372	83	0.223	1	34	0.305	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.210	0.282	0.243	OK
Jacob Young	CF	104	349	86	0.246	10	41	0.305	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.272	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	1	11	0.156

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	126	505	155	0.307	9	57	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.297	0.368	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	96	321	73	0.227	19	52	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.298	0.449	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	128	473	135	0.285	6	47	0.365	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.286	0.362	0.355	OK
Esteury Ruiz	CF	66	152	38	0.250	6	11	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.251	0.293	0.428	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	101	333	93	0.279	6	50	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.301	0.332	0.480	OK
Deyvison De Los Santos	1B	3	7	2	0.286	0	0	0.286	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.283	0.294	0.430	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	60	179	47	0.263	14	30	0.353	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.245	0.331	0.480	OK
Brian Navarreto	C	13	29	4	0.138	1	1	0.242	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.180	0.232	0.314	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	122	416	87	0.209	8	30	0.327	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.325	0.362	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	8	4	4	1	6	0.235

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Kent	Starter	2	7.2	10.00	2.639	11.2	9	3.2	6	3	3	0	3	81	3.2	3	3
Clayton Beeter	Closer	41	35.7	3.53	1.457	10.1	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Orlando Ribalta	Setup Man	41	35.6	3.54	1.264	9.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Will Dion	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	5	11.3	0.00	0.531	10.4	13	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	4	1.1	2	0
Jake Bird	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	6	6.1	4.43	1.148	11.8	8	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	3	0.2	1	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	15	10.3	6.99	1.748	9.6	11	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	14	0.1	0	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	18	90.8	4.46	1.388	6.5	66	5.1	2	1	1	1	6	81	5.1	6	1
Pete Fairbanks	Closer	42	37.7	6.21	1.353	13.4	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Calvin Faucher	Setup Man	55	47.1	4.59	1.592	11.7	61	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Tyler Zuber	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	30	22.1	4.07	1.584	12.2	30	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	11	1.1	1	1

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers

ATL Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners

CHC Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CIN Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies

CLE Recent Form

COL Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals

DET Recent Form

KC Recent Form

DET Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

LAA Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres

MIN Recent Form

SD Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox