MLB Predictions — August 21, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ MIL	1 - 3	1 - 3	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 3-1	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ SEA	5 - 3	5 - 3	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-3	67%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ ARI	3 - 4	3 - 4	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ COL	4 - 3	4 - 3	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-3	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ KC	3 - 2	4 - 1	DET	DET	DET wins 4-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ TEX	6 - 3	6 - 3	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 6-3	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ SD	4 - 5	4 - 5	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ CHW	4 - 5	3 - 6	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-3	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ HOU	5 - 6	4 - 7	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 7-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ LAD	3 - 4	3 - 4	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ BOS	3 - 4	3 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ PHI	4 - 5	4 - 3	PHI	STL	STL wins 4-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ BAL	5 - 4	6 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 6-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ NYY	2 - 3	2 - 3	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ MIA	3 - 5	3 - 5	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-3	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers

ATL 75-55 (4.7 RPG / 3.88 RA)

1 - 3

MIL 80-49 (4.99 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 3-1 TARGET: ATL 1 - 3 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 58.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6
MIL	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	x	3	5

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ATL Season Quality

Record75-54

Win%0.581

Run Diff107

RD/Game0.829

MIL Season Quality

Record79-49

Win%0.617

Run Diff159

RD/Game1.242

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4824; margin adjustment: 0.2026; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	104	404	110	0.272	21	63	0.356	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.300	0.382	OK
Matt Olson	1B	127	489	127	0.260	35	75	0.336	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.231	0.309	0.475	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	121	462	136	0.294	20	68	0.319	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.278	0.297	0.432	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	127	483	123	0.255	20	65	0.310	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.220	0.274	0.345	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	120	444	118	0.266	10	61	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.254	0.298	0.364	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	90	250	65	0.260	8	42	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.260	0.327	OK
Austin Riley	3B	126	450	101	0.224	15	60	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.297	0.395	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	104	277	63	0.227	9	33	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.160	0.249	0.292	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	37	108	23	0.213	1	11	0.274	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.195	0.257	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	1	1	5	6	0.182

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	92	380	108	0.284	17	50	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.342	0.426	OK
Brice Turang	2B	115	451	122	0.271	16	76	0.361	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.255	0.338	0.389	OK
William Contreras	C	116	446	114	0.256	12	62	0.328	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.210	0.288	0.338	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	77	226	69	0.305	5	36	0.386	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.296	0.367	0.420	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	111	379	104	0.274	21	70	0.383	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.291	0.407	0.514	OK
Gary Sánchez	DH	66	181	40	0.221	10	31	0.360	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.215	0.335	0.430	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	90	270	67	0.248	7	37	0.314	3	3	1	1	2	0	2	0.333	0.265	0.332	0.417	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	42	134	35	0.261	2	16	0.335	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.305	0.320	OK
Luis Lara	CF	29	96	22	0.229	1	15	0.299	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.213	0.279	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	29	5	3	3	3	8	0.172

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	22	127.6	2.19	1.027	11.3	160	6.0	4	2	2	3	8	102	6.0	8	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	46	44.8	3.21	1.228	10.2	51	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	60	51.0	2.29	0.863	12.7	72	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	23	138.3	1.76	0.752	13.7	210	6.0	5	0	0	4	6	107	6.0	6	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	49	48.3	1.68	0.787	10.2	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	59	64.0	3.66	1.531	14.2	101	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	13	1.1	0	1
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever	42	83.7	3.23	1.266	8.8	82	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	22	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 3-1

Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners

CHC 74-54 (5.12 RPG / 4.34 RA)

5 - 3

SEA 60-68 (3.91 RPG / 4.27 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-3 TARGET: CHC 5 - 3 SEA (CHC) Confidence: 67.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	5	5
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	4

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed6.9

Run Diff-30

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHC Season Quality

Record74-54

Win%0.578

Run Diff100

RD/Game0.781

SEA Season Quality

Record60-68

Win%0.469

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.359

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0664; margin adjustment: -0.4479; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	126	479	135	0.282	31	79	0.380	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.254	0.328	0.586	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	109	413	112	0.271	22	74	0.364	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.321	0.459	OK
Michael Busch	1B	124	472	115	0.244	14	62	0.350	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.324	0.387	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	124	491	126	0.257	16	63	0.347	4	2	0	1	0	2	2	0.000	0.251	0.328	0.406	OK
Ian Happ	LF	120	442	95	0.215	20	51	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.301	0.351	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	123	491	130	0.265	7	58	0.320	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.283	0.333	0.371	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	48	134	39	0.291	2	15	0.347	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.278	0.337	0.420	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	82	194	43	0.222	10	29	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.130	0.230	0.299	OK
Carson Kelly	C	89	296	77	0.260	7	42	0.340	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.315	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	5	5	3	10	0.156

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	36	132	36	0.273	3	14	0.362	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.273	0.337	0.385	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	120	445	121	0.272	17	53	0.366	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.210	0.277	0.377	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	111	344	90	0.262	19	55	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.270	0.335	0.485	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	116	459	116	0.253	19	53	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.277	0.366	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	119	463	124	0.268	10	46	0.330	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.304	0.353	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	10	38	6	0.158	0	2	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.332	0.312	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	93	334	52	0.156	13	44	0.271	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.092	0.231	0.222	OK
Cole Young	2B	128	468	119	0.254	15	56	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.271	0.367	OK
Brock Rodden	SS	6	20	6	0.300	0	3	0.375	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.283	0.370	0.474	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	3	3	6	7	0.129

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	15	82.2	4.16	1.277	7.4	68	6.1	2	0	0	3	6	110	6.1	6	0
Jacob Webb	Closer	56	51.1	2.47	1.292	11.1	63	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Trent Thornton	Setup Man	37	34.9	2.58	1.203	5.7	22	1.0	1	3	3	2	0	24	1.0	0	3
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	6	4.4	10.23	2.500	14.3	7	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	20	0.2	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	23	125.9	3.36	1.128	8.5	119	5.2	3	3	3	3	8	94	5.2	8	3
Andrés Muñoz	Closer	48	44.0	4.09	1.227	14.9	73	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
José A. Ferrer	Setup Man	57	46.6	4.06	1.481	8.5	44	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	60	47.9	3.57	1.503	10.7	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-3

Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CIN 61-67 (4.09 RPG / 4.78 RA)

3 - 4

ARI 67-61 (4.52 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-3 TARGET: CIN 3 - 4 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	4	9

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CIN Season Quality

Record61-67

Win%0.477

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-0.695

ARI Season Quality

Record67-61

Win%0.523

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.031

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6384; margin adjustment: 0.2681; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	106	415	109	0.263	20	57	0.348	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.243	0.332	0.417	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	125	476	123	0.258	26	93	0.333	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.251	0.320	0.436	OK
Dane Myers	CF	77	197	49	0.249	4	20	0.339	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.242	0.318	0.366	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	95	335	71	0.212	18	51	0.292	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.198	0.285	0.360	OK
Matt McLain	2B	98	333	67	0.201	12	33	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.299	0.440	OK
JJ Bleday	RF	96	342	77	0.225	20	48	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.218	0.328	0.400	OK
Jose Trevino	C	32	102	25	0.245	4	12	0.252	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.207	0.218	0.316	OK
Michael Toglia	LF	8	23	3	0.130	0	1	0.167	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.143	0.179	0.241	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	60	182	28	0.154	5	8	0.206	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.187	0.231	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	10	0.206

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	104	364	96	0.264	9	60	0.305	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.255	0.291	0.416	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	124	463	114	0.246	18	57	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.335	0.486	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	99	355	109	0.307	10	62	0.385	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.307	0.376	0.517	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	123	442	108	0.244	9	43	0.355	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.198	0.309	0.303	OK
Nolan Arenado	DH	119	411	100	0.243	20	63	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.246	0.315	0.471	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	64	200	47	0.235	7	29	0.284	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.296	0.379	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	15	48	12	0.250	1	4	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.294	0.362	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	54	176	46	0.261	3	16	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.306	0.378	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	60	197	55	0.279	2	17	0.342	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.276	0.342	0.381	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	9	4	4	2	8	0.265

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	14	69.8	4.64	1.461	7.3	57	5.0	4	2	2	2	6	87	5.0	6	2
Emilio Pagán	Closer	30	28.4	4.44	1.127	9.8	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Setup Man	42	35.4	4.07	1.271	9.9	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	65	53.8	3.18	1.561	10.5	63	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	15	1.0	0	2

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	25	146.3	2.77	1.237	6.5	106	6.1	6	3	3	2	5	109	6.1	5	3
Juan Morillo	Closer	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brandyn Garcia	Setup Man	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	17	1.0	3	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies

CLE 62-66 (3.96 RPG / 4.14 RA)

4 - 3

COL 50-77 (4.81 RPG / 5.77 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-3 TARGET: CLE 4 - 3 COL (CLE) Confidence: 58.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	6
COL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	5

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

CLE Season Quality

Record62-66

Win%0.484

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.180

COL Season Quality

Record50-77

Win%0.394

Run Diff-122

RD/Game-0.961

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6534; margin adjustment: -0.2744; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	113	398	105	0.264	2	24	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.387	0.335	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	103	393	113	0.288	13	56	0.359	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.342	0.416	OK
Jo Adell	DH	14	48	10	0.208	3	11	0.304	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.247	0.280	0.445	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	12	41	10	0.244	2	9	0.267	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.313	0.457	OK
Angel Genao	SS	12	45	15	0.333	1	3	0.388	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.327	0.371	0.444	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	92	341	79	0.232	9	35	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.304	0.328	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	52	155	34	0.219	5	21	0.275	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.271	0.312	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	47	126	26	0.206	2	8	0.235	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.233	0.314	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	121	426	108	0.254	10	51	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.299	0.385	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	2	4	0.182

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	106	404	119	0.295	13	67	0.332	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.260	0.298	0.394	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	108	336	90	0.268	10	44	0.365	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.246	0.326	0.423	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	56	199	56	0.281	5	34	0.364	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.268	0.340	0.440	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	120	435	128	0.294	13	59	0.373	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.280	0.347	0.389	OK
Willi Castro	2B	108	386	102	0.264	14	52	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.171	0.251	0.309	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	39	112	20	0.179	1	10	0.238	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.175	0.244	0.300	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	86	301	80	0.266	20	59	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.291	0.503	OK
Braxton Fulford	C	34	65	12	0.185	1	7	0.257	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.188	0.248	0.296	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	114	382	79	0.207	9	38	0.254	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.174	0.229	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	2	10	0.156

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	26	123.1	3.87	1.470	10.2	139	4.2	3	1	1	1	6	91	4.2	6	1
Cade Smith	Closer	54	53.5	2.36	1.178	13.5	80	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.1	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Setup Man	49	35.2	3.84	1.534	10.7	42	1.1	2	2	2	1	1	27	1.1	1	2
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	47	41.3	1.96	0.969	10.0	46	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Gordon	Starter	17	70.4	5.62	1.463	7.9	62	4.1	3	2	2	2	2	72	4.1	2	2
Jordan Romano	Closer	14	13.2	2.73	1.439	10.2	15	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Setup Man	59	41.2	3.50	1.505	8.1	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	38	32.0	7.03	1.844	10.1	36	1.0	3	2	2	0	1	22	1.0	1	2
Jaden Hill	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	33	20.2	6.68	2.178	13.4	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3

Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals

DET 61-66 (4.54 RPG / 3.9 RA)

4 - 1

KC 55-74 (4.19 RPG / 4.97 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-1 TARGET: DET 3 - 2 KC (DET) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	5
KC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

DET Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

DET Season Quality

Record61-66

Win%0.480

Run Diff82

RD/Game0.646

KC Season Quality

Record55-74

Win%0.426

Run Diff-100

RD/Game-0.775

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8404; margin adjustment: -0.353; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	70	262	71	0.271	8	34	0.381	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.294	0.386	0.407	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	76	210	58	0.276	6	30	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.300	0.362	0.432	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	122	467	132	0.283	13	52	0.385	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.354	0.404	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	117	447	115	0.257	26	82	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.192	0.237	0.345	OK
Eduardo Valencia	DH	20	59	21	0.356	6	17	0.377	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.336	0.351	0.706	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	125	432	96	0.222	20	62	0.312	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.193	0.274	0.344	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	25	59	15	0.254	3	10	0.338	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.327	0.465	OK
Max Clark	CF	18	70	19	0.271	1	9	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.283	0.385	OK
Javier Báez	LF	39	137	35	0.255	2	14	0.285	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.262	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	4	4	5	9	0.156

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	117	415	92	0.222	16	56	0.304	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.191	0.270	0.319	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	109	427	122	0.286	16	47	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.358	0.544	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	118	423	117	0.277	22	60	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.336	0.376	0.516	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	118	453	100	0.221	16	56	0.267	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.270	0.296	0.386	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	82	303	74	0.244	7	36	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.359	0.417	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	88	273	63	0.231	5	36	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.199	0.290	0.330	OK
Michael Massey	2B	104	331	92	0.278	11	43	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.316	0.352	0.494	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	113	358	81	0.226	6	38	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.173	0.277	0.278	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	67	203	46	0.227	4	17	0.277	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.213	0.257	0.299	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	1	1	3	9	0.156

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	14	82.7	1.74	0.992	7.9	73	6.0	4	1	1	3	7	104	6.0	7	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	37	32.0	3.94	1.250	11.2	40	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	54	49.1	3.67	1.507	8.6	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	51	45.1	2.99	1.641	8.0	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	24	136.0	4.24	1.243	8.3	126	6.1	4	4	4	3	6	104	6.1	6	4
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	45	42.9	4.83	1.329	10.7	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	11	10.2	0.88	0.784	7.9	9	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	10	1.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	51	39.7	4.08	1.537	7.5	33	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-1

Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

LAA 51-77 (4.14 RPG / 4.69 RA)

6 - 3

TEX 63-65 (4.02 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 6-3 TARGET: LAA 6 - 3 TEX (LAA) Confidence: 54.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	6	8
TEX	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Season Quality

Record50-77

Win%0.394

Run Diff-85

RD/Game-0.669

TEX Season Quality

Record62-65

Win%0.488

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.378

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0393; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	124	493	114	0.231	21	61	0.314	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.284	0.337	0.461	OK
Mike Trout	CF	109	394	94	0.239	20	45	0.382	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.214	0.338	0.351	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	15	56	8	0.143	0	2	0.213	5	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.194	0.257	0.285	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	82	297	74	0.249	7	49	0.305	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.246	0.291	0.362	OK
Jose Siri	LF	59	141	36	0.255	7	23	0.303	5	3	0	1	2	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.291	0.432	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	50	182	43	0.236	6	22	0.280	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.155	0.194	0.278	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	79	235	50	0.213	10	26	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.274	0.384	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	19	48	9	0.188	1	3	0.278	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.127	0.191	0.209	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	93	298	68	0.228	7	24	0.276	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.139	0.183	0.236	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	33	8	6	6	5	7	0.242

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Foscue	DH	66	154	41	0.266	8	23	0.313	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.275	0.321	0.504	OK
Corey Seager	SS	67	248	54	0.218	13	31	0.315	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.272	0.349	0.490	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	76	295	74	0.251	14	33	0.318	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.224	0.293	0.387	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	122	466	125	0.268	13	48	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.235	0.284	0.376	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	117	412	109	0.265	13	64	0.322	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.248	0.312	0.406	OK
Jake Burger	1B	121	443	105	0.237	21	73	0.298	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.302	0.436	OK
Cody Freeman	2B	12	27	7	0.259	0	1	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.255	0.347	0.282	OK
Elias Díaz	C	44	136	31	0.228	3	15	0.243	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.195	0.211	0.318	OK
Evan Carter	CF	108	310	60	0.194	8	31	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.281	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	8	3	3	4	11	0.242

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	25	139.5	3.87	1.082	10.8	167	5.2	4	2	2	3	8	107	5.2	8	2
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	0.00	0.333	12.0	8	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	26	1.1	0	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	39	35.6	3.79	1.517	12.4	49	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	1
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever	8	6.8	2.65	1.471	7.9	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	26	136.4	4.55	1.290	10.2	154	5.2	6	4	4	3	5	101	5.2	5	4
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	44	54.2	1.33	0.701	10.1	61	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	14	1.1	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	43	42.8	4.42	1.472	10.5	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	32	23.8	4.92	1.303	9.8	26	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	10	7.6	3.55	1.579	10.7	9	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	13	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 6-3

Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres

MIN 63-65 (4.62 RPG / 4.95 RA)

4 - 5

SD 68-60 (4.24 RPG / 4.22 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: MIN 4 - 5 SD (SD) Confidence: 54.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
MIN	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	4
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	5	9

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

MIN Season Quality

Record63-65

Win%0.492

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.320

SD Season Quality

Record68-60

Win%0.531

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.023

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4421; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	118	401	109	0.272	7	36	0.362	5	5	1	1	4	0	1	0.200	0.282	0.351	0.393	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	88	351	90	0.256	25	46	0.320	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.207	0.271	0.380	OK
Josh Bell	DH	123	453	117	0.258	17	77	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.346	0.460	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	62	219	62	0.283	10	42	0.383	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.180	0.291	0.335	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	110	411	97	0.236	21	61	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.245	0.295	0.465	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	93	341	82	0.240	13	45	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.304	0.390	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	101	332	89	0.268	10	41	0.349	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.227	0.298	0.340	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	119	451	110	0.244	18	66	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.297	0.417	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	10	35	11	0.314	1	2	0.375	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.334	0.369	0.437	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	4	4	4	3	5	0.118

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	124	489	137	0.280	15	60	0.352	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.264	0.335	0.527	OK
Luis Rengifo	DH	30	103	32	0.311	4	13	0.403	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.330	0.351	OK
Manny Machado	3B	125	465	100	0.215	24	71	0.299	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.232	0.308	0.421	OK
Ty France	1B	96	327	95	0.291	17	52	0.347	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.269	0.314	0.443	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	124	483	116	0.240	19	63	0.290	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.203	0.247	0.362	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	121	413	91	0.220	11	46	0.320	5	3	2	1	2	2	0	0.667	0.205	0.309	0.317	OK
Austin Hays	LF	6	16	4	0.250	1	3	0.250	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.149	0.168	0.231	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	63	191	37	0.194	4	16	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.262	0.318	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	75	258	58	0.225	4	20	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.233	0.302	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	39	9	5	5	4	7	0.231

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	17	86.5	5.41	1.399	9.8	94	5.0	4	2	2	3	5	89	5.0	5	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Closer	44	34.8	2.07	1.293	10.1	39	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Andrew Morris	Setup Man	49	52.1	3.80	1.478	9.7	56	1.1	4	2	2	0	0	20	1.1	0	2
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	7	7.0	2.57	1.571	12.9	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.1	0	0
Taylor Rogers	Reliever	51	35.4	5.59	1.949	9.9	39	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	24	0.0	1	1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	24	107.5	4.44	1.423	5.9	71	4.2	4	4	4	2	3	79	4.2	3	4
Mason Miller	Closer	50	49.3	0.91	0.872	17.3	95	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	0.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Setup Man	58	59.6	3.17	1.242	12.5	83	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.2	0	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	32	25.8	4.19	1.357	12.9	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	52	48.4	2.42	1.240	11.2	60	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4

New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox

NYM 58-70 (4.15 RPG / 4.48 RA)

3 - 6

CHW 66-61 (4.76 RPG / 4.41 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-3 TARGET: NYM 4 - 5 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 62.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	6
CHW	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	x	6	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYM Season Quality

Record58-70

Win%0.453

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.328

CHW Season Quality

Record66-61

Win%0.520

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.354

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4329; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	86	311	78	0.251	7	28	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.314	0.336	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	69	270	65	0.241	12	32	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.313	0.395	OK
Bo Bichette	DH	123	492	132	0.268	12	64	0.314	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.339	0.428	OK
Carson Benge	RF	118	450	121	0.269	15	50	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.266	0.325	0.429	OK
Jared Young	1B	73	224	60	0.268	7	27	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.328	0.445	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	LF	46	163	35	0.215	7	19	0.282	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.286	0.390	OK
Brett Baty	3B	105	344	74	0.215	8	38	0.281	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.180	0.253	0.358	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	105	372	80	0.215	14	41	0.276	3	3	2	1	0	0	1	0.667	0.215	0.278	0.325	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	85	280	65	0.232	12	28	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.274	0.327	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	3	3	0	9	0.182

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	121	451	123	0.273	12	49	0.346	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.233	0.296	0.355	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	92	330	75	0.227	29	58	0.363	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.210	0.344	0.511	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	124	466	112	0.240	28	72	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.363	0.514	OK
Randal Grichuk	LF	73	161	47	0.292	10	29	0.321	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.284	0.307	0.577	OK
Colson Montgomery	DH	120	453	98	0.216	26	71	0.294	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.292	0.433	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	12	33	7	0.212	1	1	0.212	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.127	0.183	0.199	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	71	186	44	0.237	1	12	0.273	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.184	0.219	0.229	OK
Jake Rogers	C	3	10	1	0.100	0	0	0.250	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.136	0.248	0.239	OK
Tristan Peters	RF	114	335	91	0.272	7	43	0.332	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.285	0.345	0.448	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	7	6	6	2	6	0.226

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	26	107.5	4.35	1.358	9.5	113	6.0	4	2	2	1	3	97	6.0	3	2
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	19	48.1	8.23	1.767	11.2	60	0.2	3	4	4	1	2	26	0.2	2	4
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	16	19.7	0.91	0.660	8.7	19	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	25	136.5	3.23	1.136	10.2	154	5.2	4	2	2	0	7	92	5.2	7	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	6	1.1	0	1
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	45	58.2	2.94	1.254	9.9	64	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.1	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-3

Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros

OAK 49-79 (4.35 RPG / 5.8 RA)

4 - 7

HOU 64-64 (4.55 RPG / 4.91 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 7-4 TARGET: OAK 5 - 6 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	6
HOU	0	3	0	0	0	0	4	0	x	7	8

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed6.8

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-23

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

OAK Season Quality

Record49-79

Win%0.383

Run Diff-185

RD/Game-1.445

HOU Season Quality

Record64-63

Win%0.504

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.244

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9437; margin adjustment: 0.3964; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	81	283	76	0.269	6	26	0.334	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.278	0.317	0.370	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	110	353	92	0.261	6	43	0.310	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.258	0.294	0.391	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	73	264	71	0.269	14	36	0.330	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.293	0.421	OK
Carlos Cortes	LF	92	258	67	0.260	7	35	0.333	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.257	0.326	0.395	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	113	344	75	0.218	11	36	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.267	0.345	0.469	OK
Tommy White	1B	29	109	28	0.257	2	4	0.283	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.253	0.285	0.355	OK
Jonah Heim	C	67	228	47	0.206	10	31	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.172	0.243	0.306	OK
Donovan Walton	SS	25	55	12	0.218	0	5	0.386	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.347	0.425	OK
Max Muncy	DH	62	194	42	0.216	6	24	0.292	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.217	0.293	0.385	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	6	4	4	5	7	0.188

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jose Altuve	2B	101	392	96	0.245	13	37	0.307	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.316	0.387	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	125	451	145	0.322	36	88	0.435	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.314	0.420	0.585	OK
Isaac Paredes	DH	120	439	113	0.257	16	67	0.352	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.290	0.365	0.463	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	14	52	7	0.135	1	3	0.224	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.270	0.327	OK
Christian Walker	1B	121	448	104	0.232	23	71	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.264	0.394	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	62	232	59	0.254	8	27	0.283	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.186	0.221	0.267	OK
Cam Smith	RF	116	408	90	0.221	17	47	0.287	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.194	0.248	0.443	OK
Raynel Delgado	3B	13	35	9	0.257	1	4	0.278	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.261	0.289	0.387	OK
Nick Allen	SS	50	119	31	0.261	2	13	0.300	3	3	2	1	3	0	0	0.667	0.244	0.284	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	7	7	3	6	0.250

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	25	124.3	3.62	1.247	8.3	114	5.2	4	3	3	1	4	90	5.2	4	3
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	58	44.4	4.66	1.937	14.6	72	1.2	4	4	4	2	1	35	1.2	1	4
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	40	33.7	5.34	1.454	12.8	48	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hayden Wesneski	Starter	4	22.2	5.27	1.351	7.3	18	5.0	3	2	2	3	4	92	5.0	4	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	31	30.3	0.59	0.693	12.2	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	48	41.8	4.74	1.507	12.7	59	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	62	54.5	2.31	0.972	10.6	64	1.2	0	0	0	1	2	25	1.2	2	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 7-4

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers

PIT 63-66 (5.01 RPG / 4.77 RA)

3 - 4

LAD 77-51 (5.0 RPG / 3.87 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 3 - 4 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3	6
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	x	4	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

PIT Season Quality

Record63-66

Win%0.488

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.240

LAD Season Quality

Record77-51

Win%0.602

Run Diff145

RD/Game1.133

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7955; margin adjustment: 0.3341; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	87	293	75	0.256	10	38	0.362	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.298	0.318	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	117	463	116	0.251	27	80	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.323	0.494	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	126	463	122	0.263	15	66	0.373	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.223	0.316	0.357	OK
Nick Gonzales	DH	116	440	135	0.307	4	51	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.319	0.380	0.410	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	65	256	68	0.266	15	47	0.352	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.376	0.529	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	C	16	48	15	0.312	6	12	0.400	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.246	0.336	0.682	OK
Jake Mangum	RF	95	338	102	0.302	4	28	0.351	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.293	0.337	0.386	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	26	67	13	0.194	2	7	0.203	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.207	0.247	0.325	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	83	254	61	0.240	2	23	0.316	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.226	0.285	0.296	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	6	0.182

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	117	452	131	0.290	30	78	0.388	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.301	0.386	0.599	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	123	464	141	0.304	15	59	0.378	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.299	0.365	0.428	OK
Andy Pages	CF	125	488	133	0.273	21	79	0.337	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.253	0.304	0.418	OK
Max Muncy	3B	116	382	95	0.249	25	64	0.339	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.164	0.257	0.387	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	89	351	84	0.239	16	44	0.287	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.287	0.434	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	117	422	98	0.232	11	55	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.191	0.266	0.313	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	47	166	44	0.265	4	21	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.271	0.313	0.437	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	91	320	80	0.250	11	42	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.306	0.385	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	11	27	6	0.222	1	1	0.323	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.163	0.247	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	4	4	2	7	0.226

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	24	118.3	4.34	1.403	8.2	108	5.1	3	2	2	2	6	96	5.1	6	2
Mason Montgomery	Closer	51	43.1	3.55	1.276	17.1	82	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Luke Weaver	Setup Man	4	4.0	6.75	1.500	9.0	4	1.1	4	2	2	0	0	29	1.1	0	2

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	22	143.7	2.63	0.905	8.5	136	6.2	2	1	1	3	6	103	6.2	6	2
Tanner Scott	Closer	55	46.9	2.49	1.002	12.1	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Setup Man	50	43.7	3.50	1.213	11.1	54	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever (High Leverage)	15	14.5	2.48	0.759	9.9	16	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.1	0	0
Alex Vesia		0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	15	-	-	-

Game Summary

LAD wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox

SF 53-76 (4.06 RPG / 4.63 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 69-59 (4.54 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: SF 3 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	4	7

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-15

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SF Season Quality

Record53-75

Win%0.414

Run Diff-71

RD/Game-0.555

BOS Season Quality

Record68-59

Win%0.535

Run Diff95

RD/Game0.748

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1415; margin adjustment: 0.4794; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	94	263	63	0.240	6	29	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.284	0.374	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	126	472	116	0.246	24	68	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.313	0.452	OK
Willy Adames	SS	117	448	103	0.230	19	49	0.288	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.245	0.299	0.440	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	84	296	73	0.247	14	33	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.335	0.430	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	114	436	129	0.296	8	44	0.332	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.259	0.287	0.376	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	19	64	16	0.250	3	8	0.279	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.254	0.388	OK
Turner Hill	LF	4	9	2	0.222	0	2	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.292	0.341	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	31	81	19	0.235	0	5	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.198	0.292	0.239	OK
Christian Koss	3B	31	89	17	0.191	0	2	0.226	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.170	0.212	0.254	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	6	0.182

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	31	112	30	0.268	1	7	0.376	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.295	0.389	0.459	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	118	473	134	0.283	15	62	0.321	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.255	0.372	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	122	463	120	0.259	22	67	0.338	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.328	0.462	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	113	397	112	0.282	25	75	0.391	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.287	0.375	0.519	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	8	27	5	0.185	1	4	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.166	0.267	0.320	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	115	397	98	0.247	12	59	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.304	0.365	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	117	451	92	0.204	17	56	0.263	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.230	0.281	0.389	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	83	257	67	0.261	6	37	0.317	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.245	0.298	0.391	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	37	117	30	0.256	3	14	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.324	0.438	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	7	4	4	1	8	0.212

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	22	138.3	3.51	1.070	7.2	110	6.1	4	2	2	0	5	95	6.1	5	2
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	28	23.3	3.09	1.330	12.7	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	36	23.7	3.80	2.025	12.5	33	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	18	0.2	2	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	39	54.0	3.50	1.278	6.5	39	0.0	3	2	2	1	0	10	0.0	0	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	23	131.5	2.67	1.156	8.0	117	6.0	3	1	1	3	6	97	6.0	6	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	42	41.2	1.31	1.117	11.6	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	7	7.1	0.00	1.127	15.2	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	32	28.3	2.23	1.060	11.1	35	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	50	41.1	4.60	1.411	10.3	47	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	17	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies

STL 66-64 (4.45 RPG / 4.38 RA)

4 - 3

PHI 71-58 (4.5 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-3 TARGET: STL 4 - 5 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
STL	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	3
PHI	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak6W

STL Season Quality

Record66-63

Win%0.512

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.078

PHI Season Quality

Record70-58

Win%0.547

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.117

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.084; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	119	467	114	0.244	16	45	0.349	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.319	0.348	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	125	470	113	0.240	13	51	0.354	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.223	0.308	0.353	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	122	473	136	0.288	24	89	0.349	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.270	0.325	0.562	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	6	21	4	0.190	3	7	0.280	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.183	0.280	0.517	OK
Blaze Jordan	1B	49	166	40	0.241	2	25	0.261	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.262	0.363	OK
José Fermín	LF	85	232	59	0.254	5	30	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.279	0.367	0.408	OK
Everson Pereira	CF	6	11	3	0.273	1	1	0.429	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.281	0.464	OK
Bryan Torres	2B	44	106	25	0.236	3	14	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.239	0.301	0.356	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	56	165	35	0.212	4	11	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.145	0.198	0.217	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	3	4	4	4	5	0.094

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	120	452	110	0.243	36	73	0.358	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.222	0.317	0.420	OK
Trea Turner	SS	120	501	125	0.250	17	49	0.299	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.249	0.302	0.375	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	126	443	115	0.260	25	72	0.382	5	3	1	1	1	2	1	0.333	0.274	0.416	0.471	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	15	66	19	0.288	2	11	0.304	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.320	0.350	0.480	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	121	455	110	0.242	14	70	0.301	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.276	0.321	0.439	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	121	421	111	0.264	9	58	0.342	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.261	0.350	0.404	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	120	441	121	0.274	17	54	0.319	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.259	0.314	0.401	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	92	316	68	0.215	8	40	0.289	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.198	0.266	0.289	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	113	340	90	0.265	2	30	0.311	5	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.318	0.379	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	37	8	3	3	7	6	0.216

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Dobbins	Starter	10	48.6	3.52	1.337	9.1	49	5.1	3	1	1	5	6	96	5.1	6	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	53	49.9	3.07	1.162	9.6	53	1.2	2	1	1	1	0	8	1.2	0	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	58	48.3	4.84	1.470	10.6	57	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	55	42.3	5.32	1.678	11.1	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever	56	51.4	4.20	1.654	7.4	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	51	51.7	3.83	1.335	6.6	38	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	23	0.0	0	0
Caleb Ferguson	Reliever	3	3.3	2.73	0.909	10.9	4	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	25	146.6	3.32	1.180	11.4	185	6.1	2	3	3	4	5	102	6.1	5	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	47	44.4	1.42	0.991	12.8	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	49	42.7	3.16	1.124	12.2	58	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	54	44.3	4.06	1.400	11.0	54	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	11	1.1	0	1

Game Summary

STL wins 4-3 (Extra Innings - 10)

Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles

TB 76-52 (4.55 RPG / 4.21 RA)

6 - 4

BAL 62-67 (4.49 RPG / 4.75 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-4 TARGET: TB 5 - 4 BAL (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	6	11
BAL	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	7

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

TB Season Quality

Record76-51

Win%0.598

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.354

BAL Season Quality

Record61-67

Win%0.477

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.281

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5949; margin adjustment: -0.2499; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	121	477	148	0.310	19	72	0.379	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.342	0.393	0.554	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	73	239	64	0.268	8	36	0.300	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.262	0.296	0.421	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	126	481	132	0.274	35	81	0.363	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.259	0.331	0.432	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	67	185	48	0.259	11	36	0.322	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.271	0.335	0.532	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	115	447	138	0.309	0	26	0.334	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.317	0.343	0.376	OK
Jorge Mateo	2B	3	9	2	0.222	1	3	0.222	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.270	0.404	OK
Kenny Piper	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.236	0.298	0.389
Liam Hicks	1B	13	41	12	0.293	2	9	0.431	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.286	0.372	0.432	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	97	305	68	0.223	2	31	0.308	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.253	0.323	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	38	11	6	6	6	6	0.289

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	72	220	50	0.227	6	25	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.209	0.290	0.321	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	125	469	127	0.271	29	82	0.362	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.317	0.388	0.574	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	124	499	110	0.220	19	50	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.313	0.404	OK
Tyler O'Neill	DH	79	216	48	0.222	10	22	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.313	0.373	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	85	288	69	0.240	16	46	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.191	0.245	0.374	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	68	210	51	0.243	5	25	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.228	0.292	0.391	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	95	299	64	0.214	17	47	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.276	0.465	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	100	256	54	0.211	10	30	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.201	0.278	0.374	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	105	341	78	0.229	7	44	0.300	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.238	0.300	0.372	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	4	4	1	12	0.206

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	3	13.4	8.06	1.567	6.7	10	5.0	4	2	2	0	8	91	5.0	8	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	51	48.6	1.48	0.885	10.4	56	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	54	49.6	2.18	0.988	8.2	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	44	31.2	4.62	1.571	13.8	48	0.2	3	2	2	0	2	17	0.2	2	2
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	6	7.1	3.80	1.268	10.1	8	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.1	2	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	23	122.4	4.26	1.283	7.9	108	5.2	9	6	6	5	5	118	5.2	5	6
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	53	34.2	2.89	1.140	10.0	38	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	8	1.1	1	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	43	33.6	4.02	1.518	8.3	31	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	58	47.6	3.03	0.966	10.4	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 6-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees

TOR 63-66 (3.98 RPG / 4.36 RA)

2 - 3

NYY 72-55 (4.45 RPG / 3.71 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-2 TARGET: TOR 2 - 3 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	6
NYY	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	x	3	5

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed2.4

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

TOR Season Quality

Record63-66

Win%0.488

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.380

NYY Season Quality

Record72-55

Win%0.567

Run Diff94

RD/Game0.740

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7612; margin adjustment: 0.3197; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	11	48	13	0.271	0	4	0.314	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.208	0.253	0.274	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	91	305	79	0.259	7	24	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.246	0.320	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	51	181	51	0.282	7	27	0.351	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.273	0.340	0.435	OK
Jesús Sánchez	DH	87	246	64	0.260	8	33	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.232	0.306	0.381	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	125	477	136	0.285	9	43	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.317	0.389	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	123	457	105	0.230	26	74	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.236	0.291	0.478	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	1B	67	205	47	0.229	8	21	0.309	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.293	0.365	OK
Charles McAdoo	2B	17	53	15	0.283	2	9	0.316	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.287	0.322	0.429	OK
Myles Straw	LF	95	223	48	0.215	3	20	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.193	0.252	0.292	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	2	2	3	7	0.182

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	84	299	74	0.247	16	44	0.305	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.153	0.218	0.276	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	69	186	42	0.226	10	27	0.263	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.107	0.150	0.222	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	14	46	5	0.109	0	1	0.241	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.193	0.242	0.317	OK
Ben Rice	DH	119	446	112	0.251	33	76	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.303	0.474	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	14	48	14	0.292	2	5	0.352	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.255	0.317	0.359	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	102	366	82	0.224	16	53	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.261	0.339	0.480	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	51	150	34	0.227	6	19	0.301	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.297	0.412	OK
José Caballero	2B	101	331	79	0.239	12	43	0.296	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.226	0.292	0.367	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	29	61	16	0.262	1	7	0.292	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.126	0.143	0.200	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	29	5	3	3	4	7	0.172

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mason Fluharty	Starter	65	39.1	4.14	1.483	12.9	56	5.0	2	1	1	1	5	78	5.0	5	1
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	59	60.9	1.33	1.051	11.8	80	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	60	54.6	1.65	1.227	4.8	29	1.2	3	2	2	2	1	38	1.2	1	2

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	26	148.5	2.24	0.963	11.5	189	6.0	5	1	1	2	7	99	6.0	7	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	52	52.6	2.57	1.065	11.0	64	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	19	1.1	0	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	65	52.1	1.90	1.401	13.6	79	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	59	38.1	4.02	1.837	15.4	65	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-2

Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins

WAS 61-68 (5.24 RPG / 5.11 RA)

3 - 5

MIA 64-64 (4.38 RPG / 4.27 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-3 TARGET: WAS 3 - 5 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 60.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	8
MIA	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	x	5	7

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

WAS Season Quality

Record61-67

Win%0.477

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.148

MIA Season Quality

Record64-64

Win%0.500

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.109

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1165; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Daylen Lile	LF	127	486	117	0.241	15	65	0.290	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.193	0.233	0.306	OK
Jorbit Vivas	2B	88	232	55	0.237	3	20	0.323	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.313	0.303	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	51	120	29	0.242	8	32	0.331	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.257	0.321	0.559	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	17	50	13	0.260	5	9	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.261	0.490	OK
Brady House	3B	65	231	55	0.238	9	31	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.293	0.408	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	81	268	74	0.276	7	42	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.311	0.395	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	75	282	59	0.209	10	27	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.167	0.219	0.306	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	112	366	82	0.224	1	34	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.208	0.287	0.242	OK
Jacob Young	CF	102	344	86	0.250	10	41	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.291	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	3	3	2	7	0.229

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	120	409	84	0.205	7	29	0.322	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.220	0.315	0.334	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	91	257	57	0.222	13	52	0.284	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.198	0.259	0.411	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	58	173	47	0.272	14	30	0.357	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.276	0.349	0.549	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	126	466	134	0.288	6	47	0.367	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.299	0.378	0.371	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	124	497	153	0.308	9	54	0.344	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.263	0.311	0.373	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	94	315	72	0.229	18	51	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.238	0.308	0.436	OK
Joe Mack	C	74	225	53	0.236	12	36	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.227	0.283	0.411	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	54	150	31	0.207	2	14	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.128	0.192	0.181	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	99	327	91	0.278	6	48	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.298	0.332	0.473	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	5	5	5	5	0.226

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brad Lord	Starter	30	56.5	4.46	1.381	9.1	57	4.1	7	5	5	2	2	84	4.1	2	5
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	40	35.5	3.30	1.296	10.1	40	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	40	34.5	3.65	1.275	9.1	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Will Dion	Middle Reliever	4	8.3	0.00	0.361	9.8	9	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	13	1.1	0	0
Jake Bird	Middle Reliever	5	5.1	5.29	1.373	12.4	7	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	0.0	0	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	16	51.8	4.86	1.371	8.5	49	5.2	5	2	2	2	6	94	5.2	6	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	41	36.7	6.13	1.335	13.2	54	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	53	45.9	4.71	1.634	12.0	61	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tyler Zuber	Middle Reliever	28	21.7	3.73	1.475	12.4	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers

ATL Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners

CHC Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CIN Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies

CLE Recent Form

COL Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals

DET Recent Form

KC Recent Form

DET Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

LAA Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres

MIN Recent Form

SD Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

SD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox