MLB Predictions — August 20, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ CHW	3 - 6	3 - 6	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-3	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ HOU	3 - 4	3 - 4	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ BAL	3 - 2	3 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ KC	3 - 4	2 - 5	KC	KC	KC wins 5-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ MIL	2 - 4	1 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ CLE	3 - 4	2 - 5	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 5-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ CIN	5 - 4	6 - 4	STL	STL	STL wins 6-4	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ TB	3 - 5	3 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-3	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ TEX	3 - 2	5 - 1	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox

ATL 75-54 (4.73 RPG / 3.9 RA)

3 - 6

CHW 66-61 (4.76 RPG / 4.41 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-3 TARGET: ATL 3 - 6 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 61.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	9
CHW	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	x	6	8

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ATL Season Quality

Record74-54

Win%0.578

Run Diff105

RD/Game0.820

CHW Season Quality

Record66-60

Win%0.524

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.373

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1561; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	103	400	110	0.275	21	63	0.359	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.277	0.344	0.459	OK
Matt Olson	1B	126	485	127	0.262	35	75	0.339	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.258	0.333	0.523	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	126	479	122	0.255	20	65	0.310	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.225	0.278	0.358	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	8	18	4	0.222	1	3	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.314	0.424	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	120	458	135	0.295	20	68	0.319	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.289	0.309	0.432	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	119	440	115	0.261	10	61	0.309	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.242	0.287	0.354	OK
Austin Riley	3B	125	446	99	0.222	15	58	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.204	0.263	0.343	OK
Sean Murphy	C	10	34	4	0.118	0	0	0.118	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.156	0.164	0.230	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	37	108	23	0.213	1	11	0.274	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.199	0.261	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	3	3	2	5	0.250

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	105	365	99	0.271	8	36	0.367	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.255	0.333	0.373	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	91	326	75	0.230	29	58	0.367	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.218	0.355	0.523	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	123	463	112	0.242	28	72	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.366	0.519	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	112	339	84	0.248	13	63	0.311	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.247	0.316	0.426	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	59	214	51	0.238	4	30	0.328	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.320	0.363	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	119	451	98	0.217	26	71	0.294	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.286	0.399	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	120	448	123	0.275	12	49	0.348	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.234	0.300	0.349	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	114	335	91	0.272	7	43	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.267	0.323	0.415	OK
Drew Romo	C	49	158	22	0.139	7	16	0.213	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.151	0.211	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	6	6	4	7	0.250

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	25	116.4	4.10	1.426	7.7	99	5.0	3	2	2	3	4	86	5.0	4	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	45	43.8	3.29	1.256	10.1	49	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	18	0.1	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	59	50.0	2.34	0.880	12.6	70	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	44	48.3	2.98	1.222	12.9	69	1.2	4	4	4	0	1	33	1.2	1	4

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	25	117.6	4.13	1.386	7.5	98	5.1	7	2	2	2	2	96	5.1	2	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	45	58.2	2.94	1.254	9.9	64	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros

LAA 50-77 (4.03 RPG / 4.7 RA)

3 - 4

HOU 64-63 (4.57 RPG / 4.81 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 4 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 54.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	6
HOU	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	x	4	8

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-3

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Season Quality

Record50-76

Win%0.397

Run Diff-84

RD/Game-0.667

HOU Season Quality

Record63-63

Win%0.500

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.254

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3128; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wade Meckler	LF	64	203	58	0.286	3	20	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.323	0.345	OK
Mike Trout	CF	108	391	94	0.240	20	45	0.382	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.347	0.386	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	105	388	108	0.278	7	48	0.354	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.293	0.365	0.376	OK
Zach Neto	SS	123	487	109	0.224	20	54	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.288	0.363	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	14	50	6	0.120	0	0	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.172	0.244	0.260	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	81	291	71	0.244	7	46	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.276	0.339	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	78	230	48	0.209	10	26	0.265	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.215	0.268	0.393	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	20	55	12	0.218	0	2	0.271	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.173	0.201	0.246	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	41	98	23	0.235	1	8	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.251	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	3	3	0	7	0.182

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
LaMonte Wade Jr.	1B	32	84	19	0.226	2	15	0.343	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.346	0.355	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	124	450	144	0.320	36	88	0.433	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.377	0.518	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	119	435	111	0.255	16	67	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.287	0.359	0.438	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	100	390	96	0.246	13	37	0.308	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.264	0.321	0.402	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	13	48	6	0.125	1	3	0.222	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.143	0.208	0.242	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	64	181	39	0.215	7	20	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.264	0.352	OK
Cam Smith	RF	115	405	90	0.222	17	46	0.290	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.208	0.264	0.452	OK
Nick Allen	SS	49	115	29	0.252	2	13	0.294	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.179	0.223	0.289	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	72	210	46	0.219	7	25	0.273	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.215	0.278	0.440	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	8	4	4	1	6	0.250

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	13	56.9	7.43	1.652	8.7	55	4.2	6	4	4	1	4	84	4.2	4	4
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	0.00	0.333	12.0	8	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	10	2.0	1	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	22	23.5	2.30	0.936	16.1	42	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	39	35.6	3.79	1.517	12.4	49	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	21	116.1	3.18	1.180	9.1	117	5.2	5	3	3	0	6	95	5.2	6	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	31	30.3	0.59	0.693	12.2	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	48	41.8	4.74	1.507	12.7	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	6	1.1	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	62	54.5	2.31	0.972	10.6	64	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-3

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

NYY 71-55 (4.44 RPG / 3.73 RA)

3 - 2

BAL 61-66 (4.51 RPG / 4.76 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-2 TARGET: NYY 3 - 2 BAL (NYY) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	10
BAL	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff7

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

NYY Season Quality

Record71-55

Win%0.563

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.706

BAL Season Quality

Record61-66

Win%0.480

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.244

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7045; margin adjustment: -0.2959; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	101	362	81	0.224	16	53	0.311	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.258	0.327	0.509	OK
Ben Rice	DH	118	442	111	0.251	33	75	0.346	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.220	0.293	0.508	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	13	42	4	0.095	0	0	0.240	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.194	0.243	0.316	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	13	51	11	0.216	1	3	0.255	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.269	0.406	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	114	400	87	0.218	17	48	0.295	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.241	0.320	0.395	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	13	44	14	0.318	2	5	0.380	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.320	0.384	0.444	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	50	146	31	0.212	5	18	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.284	0.373	OK
Austin Wells	C	89	252	44	0.175	8	17	0.267	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.166	0.247	0.265	OK
José Caballero	3B	100	327	79	0.242	12	42	0.299	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.239	0.307	0.385	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	10	3	3	2	11	0.278

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	71	216	50	0.231	6	25	0.321	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.300	0.347	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	124	465	125	0.269	29	82	0.361	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.319	0.395	0.664	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	123	496	109	0.220	19	50	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.214	0.293	0.381	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	84	284	69	0.243	16	46	0.304	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.220	0.276	0.415	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	25	81	19	0.235	5	20	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.144	0.192	0.339	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	67	207	50	0.242	4	24	0.313	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.231	0.295	0.361	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	104	338	78	0.231	7	44	0.302	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.244	0.306	0.377	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	99	253	54	0.213	10	30	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.287	0.411	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	13	35	3	0.086	0	0	0.179	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.120	0.183	0.207	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	2	2	3	6	0.229

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	15	84.8	3.29	1.108	9.8	92	6.0	8	2	2	1	6	104	6.0	6	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	52	52.6	2.57	1.065	11.0	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	65	52.1	1.90	1.401	13.6	79	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	18	1.1	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	59	38.1	4.02	1.837	15.4	65	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	24	130.2	3.73	1.390	8.6	124	5.1	6	1	1	1	7	103	5.1	7	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	53	34.2	2.89	1.140	10.0	38	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	43	33.6	4.02	1.518	8.3	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	58	47.6	3.03	0.966	10.4	55	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	29	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-2

Oakland Athletics @ Kansas City Royals

OAK 49-79 (4.35 RPG / 5.8 RA)

2 - 5

KC 55-74 (4.19 RPG / 4.97 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 5-2 TARGET: OAK 3 - 4 KC (KC) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	4
KC	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	x	5	6

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

OAK Season Quality

Record49-78

Win%0.386

Run Diff-181

RD/Game-1.425

KC Season Quality

Record54-74

Win%0.422

Run Diff-104

RD/Game-0.812

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5566; margin adjustment: 0.2338; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	80	278	75	0.270	6	26	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.290	0.330	0.402	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	109	348	92	0.264	6	43	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.275	0.318	0.400	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	72	260	71	0.273	14	36	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.265	0.320	0.480	OK
Lawrence Butler	DH	112	341	73	0.214	11	36	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.232	0.314	0.391	OK
Max Muncy	3B	61	192	42	0.219	6	24	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.280	0.422	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	91	255	65	0.255	7	35	0.328	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.225	0.291	0.357	OK
Brian Serven	C	11	35	7	0.200	3	7	0.222	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.218	0.243	0.394	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	24	52	11	0.212	0	4	0.379	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.247	0.319	0.384	OK
Darell Hernaiz	SS	43	124	29	0.234	1	7	0.312	3	2	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.192	0.259	0.248	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	4	2	2	1	11	0.133

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Loftin	RF	87	269	62	0.230	5	35	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.302	0.337	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	108	423	120	0.284	15	46	0.357	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.264	0.338	0.481	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	70	278	75	0.270	3	32	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.310	0.380	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	117	448	97	0.217	16	55	0.263	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.219	0.251	0.356	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	DH	81	300	73	0.243	7	36	0.328	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.279	0.355	0.422	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	112	355	80	0.225	6	36	0.325	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.117	0.221	0.208	OK
Tyler Tolbert	CF	38	96	30	0.312	3	8	0.374	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.310	0.382	0.454	OK
Michael Massey	2B	103	327	89	0.272	11	42	0.306	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.306	0.344	0.517	OK
Luke Maile	C	8	21	5	0.238	1	5	0.273	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.251	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	6	5	5	6	5	0.200

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gage Jump	Starter	15	75.2	4.67	1.503	10.2	85	5.0	2	1	1	4	3	103	5.0	3	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	58	44.4	4.66	1.937	14.6	72	1.0	4	4	4	0	0	25	1.0	0	4
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	40	33.7	5.34	1.454	12.8	48	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.1	1	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	3.47	1.484	11.6	67	1.2	0	0	0	2	1	29	1.2	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Dobnak	Starter	8	40.5	1.78	1.333	5.6	25	5.2	2	1	1	0	6	89	5.2	6	1
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	45	42.9	4.83	1.329	10.7	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	0.98	0.870	8.8	9	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	15	1.0	1	1
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	50	38.7	4.19	1.576	7.7	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

KC wins 5-2

Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers

SEA 60-68 (3.91 RPG / 4.27 RA)

1 - 6

MIL 79-49 (5.02 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-1 TARGET: SEA 2 - 4 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5
MIL	0	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	x	6	10

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-28

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SEA Season Quality

Record60-67

Win%0.472

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.339

MIL Season Quality

Record78-49

Win%0.614

Run Diff156

RD/Game1.228

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4003; margin adjustment: 0.5881; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brendan Donovan	3B	35	128	34	0.266	3	12	0.354	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.321	0.371	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	119	442	121	0.274	17	53	0.366	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.291	0.410	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	110	339	89	0.263	19	54	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.340	0.490	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	115	454	115	0.253	19	53	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.269	0.340	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	118	459	124	0.270	10	46	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.288	0.334	0.390	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	9	36	6	0.167	0	2	0.167	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.326	0.316	OK
Cole Young	2B	127	465	119	0.256	15	56	0.314	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.255	0.353	OK
Jhonny Pereda	C	23	71	19	0.268	2	4	0.316	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.173	0.213	0.220	OK
Brock Rodden	SS	5	17	5	0.294	0	3	0.381	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.372	0.496	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	1	1	0	3	0.156

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	114	446	121	0.271	16	76	0.363	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.233	0.326	0.366	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	91	377	107	0.284	17	50	0.345	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.287	0.339	0.445	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	110	377	103	0.273	21	70	0.380	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.301	0.408	0.522	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	65	177	39	0.220	10	29	0.362	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.164	0.298	0.370	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	84	324	72	0.222	9	42	0.309	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.228	0.305	0.396	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	89	266	66	0.248	7	36	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.285	0.351	0.470	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	107	353	88	0.249	7	44	0.343	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.282	0.354	0.396	OK
David Hamilton	3B	88	262	62	0.237	4	21	0.310	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.284	0.354	0.427	OK
Luis Lara	RF	28	92	22	0.239	1	15	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.317	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	10	6	6	5	8	0.294

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	23	134.1	3.96	1.335	7.7	114	5.2	3	1	1	3	5	101	5.2	5	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	48	44.0	4.09	1.227	14.9	73	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	0.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	56	46.4	4.07	1.487	8.3	43	1.0	4	3	3	0	1	25	1.0	1	3
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	60	47.9	3.57	1.503	10.7	57	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	40	26.6	3.38	1.466	9.8	29	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.1	1	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	14	71.0	4.69	1.282	8.6	68	5.1	4	1	1	0	2	87	5.1	2	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	48	47.3	1.71	0.803	10.3	54	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	58	62.0	3.77	1.548	14.1	97	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever	41	81.6	3.31	1.275	8.6	78	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-1

San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians

SF 53-75 (4.06 RPG / 4.62 RA)

2 - 5

CLE 62-66 (3.96 RPG / 4.14 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 5-2 TARGET: SF 3 - 4 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
CLE	0	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	x	5	6

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-20

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SF Season Quality

Record53-74

Win%0.417

Run Diff-68

RD/Game-0.535

CLE Season Quality

Record61-66

Win%0.480

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.205

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3548; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drew Gilbert	CF	93	260	63	0.242	6	29	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.156	0.233	0.285	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	125	469	115	0.245	24	68	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.305	0.460	OK
Willy Adames	SS	116	444	102	0.230	18	47	0.288	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.324	0.408	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	83	293	72	0.246	14	33	0.339	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.240	0.330	0.446	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	113	432	128	0.296	8	44	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.269	0.298	0.394	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	18	60	15	0.250	3	8	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.261	0.406	OK
Turner Hill	LF	3	7	2	0.286	0	2	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.273	0.354	0.419	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	30	79	19	0.241	0	5	0.341	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.321	0.296	OK
Christian Koss	3B	30	87	17	0.195	0	2	0.213	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.196	0.215	0.278	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	2	2	3	5	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	112	396	104	0.263	2	23	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.365	0.322	OK
Travis Bazzana	DH	91	338	78	0.231	9	35	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.297	0.331	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	11	38	10	0.263	2	8	0.293	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.323	0.468	OK
Angel Genao	2B	11	41	14	0.341	1	3	0.400	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.325	0.372	0.450	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	80	294	71	0.241	12	44	0.273	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.246	0.264	0.420	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	51	152	32	0.211	5	20	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.122	0.185	0.212	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	46	122	25	0.205	2	8	0.234	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.226	0.300	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	120	422	107	0.254	10	50	0.315	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.235	0.281	0.375	OK
José Ramírez	3B	91	336	80	0.238	10	38	0.341	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.248	0.349	0.386	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	5	5	3	3	0.200

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	24	124.9	4.47	1.345	9.2	128	5.1	4	2	2	2	2	94	5.1	2	2
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	28	23.3	3.09	1.330	12.7	33	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	35	23.5	3.83	2.000	12.3	32	1.0	1	2	2	1	1	20	1.0	1	2
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	38	53.0	3.57	1.264	6.5	38	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	10	0.2	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	25	146.2	3.82	1.101	11.7	190	6.0	6	2	2	2	5	102	6.0	5	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	53	52.5	2.40	1.162	13.5	79	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	48	34.2	3.95	1.520	11.1	42	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	47	41.3	1.96	0.969	10.0	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 5-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds

STL 66-63 (4.43 RPG / 4.36 RA)

6 - 4

CIN 61-67 (4.09 RPG / 4.78 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 6-4 TARGET: STL 5 - 4 CIN (STL) Confidence: 54.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
STL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	6	15
CIN	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

STL Season Quality

Record65-63

Win%0.508

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.070

CIN Season Quality

Record61-66

Win%0.480

Run Diff-88

RD/Game-0.693

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7091; margin adjustment: -0.2978; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	118	463	113	0.244	16	45	0.348	6	6	2	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.255	0.333	0.370	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	124	467	112	0.240	13	51	0.352	6	6	2	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.226	0.305	0.373	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	123	473	136	0.288	21	89	0.352	6	5	2	1	0	1	1	0.400	0.288	0.345	0.514	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	121	469	135	0.288	23	85	0.348	6	6	1	0	0	0	2	0.167	0.275	0.325	0.510	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	5	18	4	0.222	3	6	0.250	5	5	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.271	0.676	OK
Nathan Church	CF	97	320	76	0.238	9	40	0.281	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.231	0.274	0.320	OK
Bryan Torres	2B	43	103	24	0.233	3	14	0.292	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.240	0.303	0.362	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	48	162	40	0.247	2	25	0.267	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.250	0.279	0.371	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	42	117	21	0.179	4	12	0.242	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.181	0.231	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									49	48	15	6	6	1	7	0.312

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	DH	105	412	108	0.262	20	57	0.345	6	5	2	1	1	1	2	0.400	0.236	0.318	0.418	OK
Sal Stewart	2B	124	472	122	0.258	26	91	0.333	6	5	1	1	0	1	1	0.200	0.255	0.322	0.453	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	95	339	76	0.224	20	47	0.334	6	5	1	0	0	1	0	0.200	0.210	0.309	0.363	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	96	307	75	0.244	12	39	0.326	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.199	0.265	0.382	OK
Matt McLain	SS	97	329	66	0.201	11	29	0.294	5	5	1	1	3	0	2	0.200	0.216	0.290	0.374	OK
Michael Toglia	1B	7	19	3	0.158	0	1	0.200	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.203	0.246	0.358	OK
Dane Myers	CF	76	194	49	0.253	4	20	0.341	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.247	0.320	0.367	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	11	31	3	0.097	0	2	0.176	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.117	0.190	0.169	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	59	179	27	0.151	5	8	0.204	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.116	0.164	0.214	OK
TEAM TOTALS									48	41	8	4	4	5	11	0.195

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	24	129.2	3.55	1.246	6.3	91	5.0	4	3	3	3	4	97	5.0	4	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	52	49.8	3.07	1.104	9.6	53	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	57	48.1	4.12	1.393	10.3	55	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	54	42.1	4.92	1.639	10.7	50	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever	56	51.4	4.20	1.654	7.4	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Luis Gastelum	Reliever	17	18.5	5.84	1.243	10.7	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Caleb Ferguson	Reliever	3	3.3	2.73	0.909	10.9	4	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	16	0.1	0	1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	24	123.1	4.75	1.470	7.6	104	5.1	6	1	1	1	5	98	5.1	5	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	30	28.4	4.44	1.127	9.8	31	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	41	34.4	4.19	1.279	9.9	38	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	64	53.6	3.19	1.474	10.4	62	2.1	2	1	1	0	1	24	2.1	1	1
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	42	29.1	5.57	1.581	10.2	33	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	22	1.0	1	3

Game Summary

STL wins 6-4 (Extra Innings - 11)

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

TOR 63-66 (3.98 RPG / 4.36 RA)

3 - 5

TB 76-51 (4.56 RPG / 4.2 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-3 TARGET: TOR 3 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 52.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
TOR	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	4
TB	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	2	5	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

TOR Season Quality

Record62-66

Win%0.484

Run Diff-53

RD/Game-0.414

TB Season Quality

Record76-50

Win%0.603

Run Diff49

RD/Game0.389

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6671; margin adjustment: 0.2802; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Charles McAdoo	3B	16	48	14	0.292	2	9	0.327	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.291	0.335	0.454	OK
Daz Cameron	LF	2	6	2	0.333	0	1	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.309	0.318	0.473	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	50	177	50	0.282	7	27	0.350	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.290	0.354	0.488	OK
George Springer	DH	93	356	83	0.233	12	37	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.148	0.230	0.253	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	1B	122	452	103	0.228	25	73	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.287	0.418	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	124	474	135	0.285	9	43	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.295	0.318	0.394	OK
Myles Straw	CF	94	219	48	0.219	3	20	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.115	0.184	0.199	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	90	301	78	0.259	6	23	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.209	0.255	0.288	OK
Brett Bateman	CF	11	48	13	0.271	0	4	0.314	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.262	0.304	0.315	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	4	3	3	3	14	0.118

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	114	443	137	0.309	0	26	0.335	6	6	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.314	0.339	0.372	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	125	477	131	0.275	35	80	0.364	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.265	0.337	0.454	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	122	464	132	0.284	15	76	0.368	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.251	0.317	0.353	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	120	473	146	0.309	19	72	0.378	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.336	0.394	0.585	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	105	364	76	0.209	13	39	0.286	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.213	0.283	0.319	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	72	235	64	0.272	8	36	0.305	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.164	0.204	0.286	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	93	267	65	0.243	5	39	0.342	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.265	0.354	0.374	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	2	6	2	0.333	1	3	0.333	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.231	0.265	0.418	OK
Nick Fortes	C	84	251	68	0.271	4	29	0.313	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.169	0.211	0.267	OK
TEAM TOTALS									46	39	9	5	5	7	7	0.231

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Bieber	Starter	10	46.1	5.27	1.649	7.2	37	5.0	5	3	3	4	4	106	5.0	4	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	58	59.9	1.35	1.035	11.9	79	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	31	1.1	0	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	60	54.6	1.65	1.227	4.8	29	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	38	72.7	3.34	1.210	9.0	73	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	65	39.1	4.14	1.483	12.9	56	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	11	0.1	0	1
Paul Sewald	Reliever	2	1.3	0.00	0.769	13.8	2	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ian Seymour	Starter	38	90.5	3.88	1.149	11.4	115	5.2	3	2	2	0	8	96	5.2	8	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	51	48.6	1.48	0.885	10.4	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	22	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	54	49.6	2.18	0.988	8.2	45	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	44	31.2	4.62	1.571	13.8	48	1.1	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.1	2	1
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	6	7.1	3.80	1.268	10.1	8	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	18	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-3 (Extra Innings - 10)

Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers

WAS 61-67 (5.28 RPG / 5.13 RA)

5 - 1

TEX 62-65 (4.03 RPG / 4.41 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-1 TARGET: WAS 3 - 2 TEX (WAS) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	10
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-20

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

WAS Season Quality

Record60-67

Win%0.472

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.102

TEX Season Quality

Record62-64

Win%0.492

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.333

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4405; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Daylen Lile	RF	126	482	117	0.243	15	65	0.292	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.275	0.370	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	DH	16	47	13	0.277	5	9	0.306	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.274	0.307	0.608	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	50	116	29	0.250	8	32	0.341	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.305	0.367	0.665	OK
Jose F Miranda	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.317	0.393
Brady House	3B	64	230	54	0.235	9	31	0.289	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.158	0.204	0.309	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	80	265	74	0.279	7	42	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.318	0.358	0.439	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	74	279	59	0.211	10	27	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.257	0.341	OK
Nasim Nuñez	SS	111	363	82	0.226	1	34	0.310	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.218	0.298	0.252	OK
Andrew Pinckney	LF	6	11	3	0.273	1	2	0.357	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.125	0.196	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	37	10	5	5	0	9	0.270

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	DH	75	292	74	0.253	14	33	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.315	0.440	OK
Corey Seager	SS	66	244	52	0.213	12	30	0.312	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.248	0.333	0.410	OK
Jake Burger	1B	120	439	105	0.239	21	73	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.260	0.319	0.468	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	121	462	125	0.271	13	48	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.290	0.395	OK
Ezequiel Duran	LF	116	410	107	0.261	13	64	0.316	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.240	0.293	0.384	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	65	152	39	0.257	8	23	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.303	0.480	OK
Danny Jansen	C	41	127	21	0.165	3	12	0.269	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.154	0.227	0.282	OK
Cody Freeman	3B	11	26	7	0.269	0	1	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.152	0.236	0.188	OK
Evan Carter	CF	107	307	60	0.195	8	31	0.295	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.207	0.284	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	1	1	4	7	0.129

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Alvarez	Starter	18	71.5	3.90	1.399	8.7	69	5.1	3	0	0	3	4	100	5.1	4	0
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	39	34.5	3.39	1.304	10.2	39	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	39	33.5	3.76	1.284	8.9	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	13	9.2	4.89	1.630	9.8	10	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	23	118.8	4.02	1.187	11.1	147	5.0	3	2	2	0	4	88	5.0	4	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	43	53.2	1.35	0.695	9.8	58	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	4	1.1	2	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	43	42.8	4.42	1.472	10.5	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	32	23.8	4.92	1.303	9.8	26	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	9	6.6	4.09	1.818	9.5	7	0.2	4	3	3	0	1	12	0.2	1	3

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox

ATL Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros

LAA Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

NYY Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

NYY Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Oakland Athletics @ Kansas City Royals

OAK Recent Form

KC Recent Form

OAK Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers

SEA Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

SEA Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians

SF Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

SF Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds

STL Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

STL Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays