MLB Predictions — August 18, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ BOS	3 - 6	3 - 6	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 6-3	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ MIN	6 - 4	6 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ CHC	3 - 2	4 - 1	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 4-1	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ PIT	3 - 2	3 - 1	DET	DET	DET wins 3-1	51%	fallback_enhanced
LAA @ HOU	4 - 5	3 - 5	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ COL	6 - 4	8 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 8-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ PHI	2 - 4	2 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ BAL	1 - 3	1 - 3	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 3-1	51%	fallback_enhanced
OAK @ KC	3 - 4	3 - 4	KC	KC	KC wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ NYM	2 - 1	2 - 1	SD	SD	SD wins 2-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ MIL	2 - 4	2 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-2	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ CLE	3 - 4	3 - 4	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ CIN	6 - 3	6 - 3	STL	STL	STL wins 6-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ TB	2 - 3	1 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 4-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ TEX	5 - 4	6 - 2	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 6-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox

ARI 66-60 (4.51 RPG / 4.44 RA)

3 - 6

BOS 67-58 (4.48 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 6-3 TARGET: ARI 3 - 6 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 58.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
BOS	2	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	x	6	8

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Season Quality

Record66-60

Win%0.524

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.063

BOS Season Quality

Record67-58

Win%0.536

Run Diff91

RD/Game0.728

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3654; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	102	355	94	0.265	9	60	0.307	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.292	0.425	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	122	457	113	0.247	18	57	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.260	0.350	0.532	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	97	348	107	0.307	9	56	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.312	0.381	0.484	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	121	436	107	0.245	9	43	0.355	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.328	0.342	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	62	192	46	0.240	7	29	0.287	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.295	0.400	OK
Jordan Lawlar	CF	13	42	12	0.286	1	4	0.375	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.277	0.324	0.398	OK
James McCann	C	34	111	33	0.297	4	21	0.328	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.182	0.217	0.287	OK
Jose Fernandez	3B	51	165	42	0.255	3	15	0.289	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.278	0.337	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	58	191	52	0.272	2	16	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.307	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	6	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	29	105	26	0.248	0	6	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.327	0.334	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	116	463	133	0.287	15	62	0.325	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.287	0.306	0.436	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	120	455	119	0.262	22	67	0.339	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.290	0.369	0.521	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	111	388	108	0.278	25	73	0.389	4	3	1	1	2	1	2	0.333	0.259	0.353	0.545	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	6	22	3	0.136	0	1	0.296	4	3	2	1	3	0	0	0.667	0.206	0.287	0.334	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	113	389	97	0.249	12	58	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.305	0.360	0.439	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	115	442	89	0.201	16	55	0.262	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.207	0.267	0.328	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	81	249	65	0.261	6	36	0.319	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.302	0.375	OK
Mickey Gasper	DH	35	112	27	0.241	1	9	0.301	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.227	0.287	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	8	6	6	3	8	0.258

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Merrill Kelly	Starter	22	122.9	5.20	1.505	6.0	82	5.0	6	5	5	2	4	89	5.0	4	5
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	13	0.0	0	1
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.2	2	0
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	50	45.4	2.38	0.925	5.4	27	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.1	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	21	105.2	3.34	1.217	9.4	110	5.0	4	3	3	3	5	87	5.0	5	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	41	40.2	1.34	1.119	11.6	52	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	5	5.1	0.00	0.980	15.9	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	30	26.1	2.41	1.073	11.7	34	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	22	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 6-3

Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins

ATL 74-52 (4.79 RPG / 3.91 RA)

6 - 4

MIN 61-65 (4.62 RPG / 4.98 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-4 TARGET: ATL 6 - 4 MIN (ATL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	6	10
MIN	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	8

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

ATL Season Quality

Record74-51

Win%0.592

Run Diff112

RD/Game0.896

MIN Season Quality

Record60-65

Win%0.480

Run Diff-48

RD/Game-0.384

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.042; margin adjustment: -0.4376; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	102	395	110	0.278	20	62	0.363	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.354	0.409	OK
Matt Olson	1B	125	482	127	0.263	36	77	0.339	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.277	0.349	0.630	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	119	453	131	0.289	20	68	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.288	0.411	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	118	439	115	0.262	10	61	0.309	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.228	0.267	0.325	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	125	476	120	0.252	20	64	0.309	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.257	0.357	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	103	275	62	0.225	9	33	0.306	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.227	0.300	0.419	OK
Austin Riley	3B	124	443	99	0.223	15	58	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.298	0.436	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	36	106	23	0.217	1	11	0.265	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.190	0.236	0.283	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	73	274	67	0.245	13	34	0.349	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.254	0.341	0.471	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	6	6	0	7	0.270

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luke Keaschall	RF	116	392	105	0.268	7	36	0.361	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.269	0.354	0.401	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	86	346	89	0.257	25	45	0.320	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.191	0.243	0.372	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	61	215	60	0.279	10	40	0.381	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.179	0.291	0.315	OK
Josh Bell	DH	121	446	114	0.256	16	74	0.318	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.255	0.311	0.399	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	91	333	81	0.243	13	45	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.311	0.408	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	108	404	94	0.233	21	58	0.289	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.217	0.272	0.443	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	117	444	108	0.243	18	65	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.279	0.434	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	8	28	7	0.250	1	2	0.333	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.257	0.310	0.359	OK
Alan Roden	LF	24	58	14	0.241	0	10	0.324	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.237	0.329	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	4	4	4	9	0.229

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	2	12.0	0.75	0.750	12.0	16	5.2	5	3	3	3	4	98	5.2	4	3
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	45	43.8	3.29	1.256	10.1	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	58	49.8	2.17	0.823	12.7	70	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	44	48.3	2.80	1.180	12.9	69	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever	35	34.6	2.34	0.954	10.4	40	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	49	36.6	4.67	1.503	10.3	42	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.0	0	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	16	90.3	5.38	1.362	7.7	77	4.2	6	3	3	0	4	93	4.2	4	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	42	32.8	2.20	1.341	10.2	37	2.0	3	2	2	0	1	23	2.0	1	2
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	48	51.1	3.87	1.507	9.7	55	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	3.00	1.667	10.5	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-4

Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs

CHW 65-59 (4.83 RPG / 4.47 RA)

4 - 1

CHC 73-53 (5.17 RPG / 4.37 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 4-1 TARGET: CHW 3 - 2 CHC (CHW) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	8
CHC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak3W

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff1

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

CHW Season Quality

Record65-58

Win%0.528

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.382

CHC Season Quality

Record72-53

Win%0.576

Run Diff100

RD/Game0.800

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2774; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	118	440	121	0.275	12	49	0.349	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.257	0.332	0.431	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	89	317	74	0.233	28	57	0.371	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.228	0.355	0.549	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	121	456	109	0.239	28	72	0.343	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.238	0.325	0.575	OK
Randal Grichuk	DH	69	154	45	0.292	9	26	0.323	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.289	0.312	0.530	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	57	206	49	0.238	4	28	0.331	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.247	0.336	0.384	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	10	29	7	0.241	1	1	0.241	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.159	0.214	0.265	OK
Sam Antonacci	LF	103	359	98	0.273	8	36	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.289	0.336	0.422	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	70	183	44	0.240	1	12	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.208	0.234	0.247	OK
Jake Rogers	C	1	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.207	0.302	0.328
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	4	9	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	124	472	134	0.284	30	78	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.235	0.306	0.513	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	107	406	112	0.276	22	74	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.334	0.467	OK
Michael Busch	1B	122	466	114	0.245	13	61	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.335	0.354	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	122	482	124	0.257	16	61	0.349	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	0.667	0.233	0.328	0.468	OK
Ian Happ	LF	118	435	94	0.216	20	51	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.289	0.352	OK
Nico Hoerner	SS	121	484	129	0.267	7	58	0.323	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.268	0.320	0.364	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	46	128	38	0.297	2	15	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.289	0.338	0.452	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	80	190	43	0.226	10	29	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.292	0.414	OK
Carson Kelly	C	87	292	76	0.260	7	42	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.158	0.237	0.236	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	1	1	2	7	0.206

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	0	0	1	3	24	1.1	3	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	43	55.0	3.11	1.291	9.8	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Trevor Richards	Reliever	31	40.3	3.80	1.067	10.0	45	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	25	1.1	0	0
José Urquidy	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.1	4	1	1	0	1	36	2.1	1	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	2	11.2	6.43	1.161	8.8	11	5.1	5	1	1	2	5	99	5.1	5	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	55	50.1	2.51	1.297	11.3	63	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	6	4.4	10.23	2.500	14.3	7	1.0	3	3	3	1	2	26	1.0	2	3
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	36	33.9	2.65	1.209	5.6	21	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	43	30.8	6.43	1.558	13.4	46	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 4-1

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

DET 61-65 (4.56 RPG / 3.9 RA)

3 - 1

PIT 62-66 (5.02 RPG / 4.78 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 3-1 TARGET: DET 3 - 2 PIT (DET) Confidence: 51.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	3	7
PIT	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

DET Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.474397590361446

Avg Allowed4.474397590361446

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

PIT Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.474397590361446

Avg Allowed4.474397590361446

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

DET Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

PIT Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	68	255	69	0.271	8	33	0.382	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.275	0.369	0.385	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	120	460	130	0.283	13	50	0.387	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.373	0.416	OK
Colt Keith	DH	112	325	87	0.268	9	31	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.318	0.448	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	18	54	21	0.389	6	17	0.411	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.223	0.245	0.536	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	96	297	67	0.226	4	25	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.317	0.341	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	123	425	96	0.226	20	62	0.316	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.159	0.256	0.273	OK
Brett Callahan	LF	2	6	2	0.333	0	4	0.333	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.279	0.643	OK
Max Clark	CF	16	63	17	0.270	1	9	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.279	0.369	OK
Javier Báez	SS	38	134	35	0.261	2	14	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.247	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	2	8	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Spencer Horwitz	1B	85	285	74	0.260	10	37	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.307	0.317	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	115	456	115	0.252	26	79	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.319	0.451	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	124	455	120	0.264	15	65	0.375	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.251	0.351	0.409	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	115	437	133	0.304	4	51	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.298	0.356	0.388	OK
Oneil Cruz	CF	63	250	66	0.264	14	44	0.350	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.211	0.322	0.411	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	54	177	44	0.249	11	33	0.364	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.360	0.487	OK
Jake Mangum	LF	93	334	101	0.302	4	28	0.353	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.301	0.344	0.411	OK
Henry Davis	C	71	221	37	0.167	8	32	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.168	0.230	0.267	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	24	62	12	0.194	2	7	0.203	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.158	0.207	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	1	1	0	10	0.129

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	26	124.7	3.32	1.026	6.2	86	6.0	3	1	1	0	6	87	6.0	6	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	36	31.8	3.40	1.195	11.0	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	53	48.9	3.68	1.493	8.3	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	50	44.1	3.06	1.633	8.0	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	24	139.0	3.95	1.129	10.0	155	5.2	4	2	2	0	6	87	5.2	6	2
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	9.00	2.000	9.0	3	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	49	41.1	3.72	1.290	17.1	78	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	12	1.0	1	1
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	52	49.4	3.28	1.134	11.7	64	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 3-1

Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros

LAA 49-76 (4.06 RPG / 4.74 RA)

3 - 5

HOU 63-62 (4.61 RPG / 4.85 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-3 TARGET: LAA 4 - 5 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
HOU	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	x	5	7

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

LAA Season Quality

Record49-76

Win%0.392

Run Diff-86

RD/Game-0.688

HOU Season Quality

Record63-62

Win%0.504

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.240

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3962; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Mike Trout	CF	106	385	93	0.242	20	45	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.367	0.434	OK
Zach Neto	SS	121	479	106	0.221	20	53	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.289	0.381	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	79	284	70	0.246	7	46	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.274	0.352	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	103	380	106	0.279	7	47	0.356	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.297	0.381	0.409	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	12	43	6	0.140	0	0	0.213	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.199	0.275	0.303	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	47	172	40	0.233	5	18	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.274	0.342	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	76	224	45	0.201	9	25	0.256	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.253	0.354	OK
Wade Meckler	OF	62	196	57	0.291	3	20	0.353	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.271	0.337	0.358	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	91	294	67	0.228	7	24	0.274	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.209	0.241	0.314	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	3	3	1	6	0.206

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Daulton Varsho	CF	12	44	6	0.136	1	3	0.240	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.219	0.283	0.331	OK
Jeremy Peña	SS	76	306	88	0.288	14	40	0.343	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.307	0.452	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	98	383	94	0.245	13	36	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.258	0.316	0.407	OK
Christian Walker	1B	119	441	104	0.236	23	71	0.314	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.289	0.427	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	60	227	57	0.251	8	27	0.280	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.242	0.279	0.369	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	117	430	110	0.256	16	67	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.279	0.339	0.444	OK
Cam Smith	RF	113	400	89	0.222	16	44	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.293	0.433	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	62	175	39	0.223	7	20	0.306	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.207	0.286	0.388	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	122	442	143	0.324	36	88	0.438	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.295	0.410	0.545	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	5	5	5	6	0.226

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Klassen	Starter	4	14.2	5.70	2.183	8.9	14	3.2	6	3	3	3	2	79	3.2	2	3
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	0.00	0.400	10.8	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	22	23.5	2.30	0.936	16.1	42	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.1	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	38	35.5	3.55	1.465	12.4	49	0.2	1	2	2	1	1	18	0.2	1	2
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever	7	6.6	2.73	1.515	8.2	6	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristian Javier	Starter	10	31.4	6.88	1.752	7.2	25	4.0	7	3	3	1	2	75	4.0	2	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	30	29.3	0.61	0.683	12.6	41	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	5	1.2	2	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	47	40.8	4.85	1.544	12.6	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	61	53.5	2.36	0.972	10.4	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	54	50.1	4.85	1.337	9.5	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD 75-51 (4.98 RPG / 3.85 RA)

8 - 2

COL 50-75 (4.81 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 8-2 TARGET: LAD 6 - 4 COL (LAD) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	3	0	8	12
COL	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	9

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

LAD Season Quality

Record74-51

Win%0.592

Run Diff136

RD/Game1.088

COL Season Quality

Record50-74

Win%0.403

Run Diff-113

RD/Game-0.911

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.4906; margin adjustment: -0.6261; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	115	443	130	0.293	29	76	0.392	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.290	0.379	0.547	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	121	457	138	0.302	15	56	0.377	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.240	0.320	0.360	OK
Andy Pages	CF	123	478	131	0.274	21	79	0.340	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.260	0.316	0.503	OK
Max Muncy	3B	114	377	94	0.249	25	63	0.342	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.232	0.314	0.534	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	87	341	81	0.238	15	42	0.287	5	5	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.284	0.408	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	115	413	95	0.230	11	54	0.321	5	4	1	1	3	1	2	0.250	0.172	0.265	0.304	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	46	162	42	0.259	4	21	0.326	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.277	0.391	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	89	312	77	0.247	11	41	0.308	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.223	0.282	0.330	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	10	26	6	0.231	1	1	0.286	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.178	0.233	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	39	12	8	8	5	8	0.308

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	104	395	116	0.294	13	67	0.330	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.247	0.283	0.422	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	37	108	20	0.185	1	10	0.239	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.201	0.265	0.339	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	54	189	54	0.286	5	33	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.353	0.452	OK
Willi Castro	3B	106	382	100	0.262	13	50	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.316	0.397	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	118	426	125	0.293	13	58	0.372	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.248	0.318	0.354	OK
Connor Norby	2B	6	16	3	0.188	0	0	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.194	0.297	0.304	OK
Adael Amador	DH	3	5	2	0.400	1	4	0.625	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.435	0.685	1.610	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	55	164	40	0.244	7	27	0.278	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.284	0.515	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	112	377	79	0.210	9	38	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.157	0.211	0.249	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	2	2	1	6	0.250

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eric Lauer	Starter	11	60.6	3.56	1.122	5.5	37	5.1	8	1	1	1	3	95	5.1	3	1
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	15	12.5	10.80	2.480	13.7	19	2.1	1	1	1	0	2	13	2.1	2	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	53	44.8	2.41	1.004	12.5	62	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	56	34.0	3.71	1.559	14.8	56	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	18	84.9	5.72	1.519	6.5	61	4.1	8	5	5	5	4	99	4.1	4	5
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	3.21	1.607	11.2	14	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	58	41.1	3.50	1.509	8.1	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	36	30.8	7.01	1.851	10.2	35	1.0	4	3	3	0	2	23	1.0	2	3
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	49	45.1	6.78	1.929	10.0	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 8-2

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies

MIA 64-62 (4.4 RPG / 4.25 RA)

2 - 4

PHI 68-58 (4.48 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-2 TARGET: MIA 2 - 4 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	6
PHI	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	x	4	9

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

MIA Season Quality

Record64-62

Win%0.508

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.151

PHI Season Quality

Record68-58

Win%0.540

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.079

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0631; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	118	403	84	0.208	7	29	0.323	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.166	0.266	0.292	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	124	459	131	0.285	6	46	0.365	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.282	0.356	0.355	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	92	307	70	0.228	18	50	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.303	0.445	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	56	165	45	0.273	13	29	0.362	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.280	0.363	0.547	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	122	491	152	0.310	9	54	0.343	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.271	0.308	0.387	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	97	320	87	0.272	5	47	0.306	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.295	0.428	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	89	250	57	0.228	13	52	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.194	0.259	0.406	OK
Joe Mack	C	73	221	53	0.240	12	36	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.304	0.444	OK
Graham Pauley	1B	41	108	21	0.194	1	14	0.228	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.248	0.330	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	2	2	3	6	0.182

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	118	443	109	0.246	36	72	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.245	0.344	0.519	OK
Trea Turner	SS	118	493	123	0.249	17	48	0.299	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.280	0.337	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	124	438	114	0.260	25	72	0.380	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.278	0.412	0.488	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	13	58	14	0.241	1	9	0.262	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.301	0.364	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	119	447	108	0.242	14	68	0.301	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.276	0.323	0.439	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	119	414	110	0.266	9	56	0.343	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.267	0.354	0.413	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	118	433	118	0.273	17	54	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.272	0.359	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	91	313	68	0.217	8	40	0.290	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.197	0.259	0.293	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	111	333	87	0.261	2	29	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.312	0.383	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	4	4	3	3	0.273

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Gibson	Starter	29	29.0	6.52	1.793	9.0	29	4.0	9	4	4	2	3	85	4.0	3	4
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	41	36.7	6.13	1.335	13.2	54	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	52	45.7	4.73	1.619	11.6	59	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.2	0	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	50	45.5	3.36	1.187	12.3	62	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Zuber	Middle Reliever	27	20.6	3.93	1.505	12.7	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	20	113.7	2.93	1.011	10.8	137	5.1	4	0	0	2	6	90	5.1	6	0
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	46	43.4	1.45	0.991	12.9	62	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.2	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	48	41.7	3.24	1.103	12.3	57	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	6	1.0	0	2
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	53	43.3	4.16	1.409	11.0	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-2

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

NYY 69-55 (4.44 RPG / 3.76 RA)

1 - 3

BAL 61-64 (4.55 RPG / 4.77 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 3-1 TARGET: NYY 1 - 3 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 51.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3
BAL	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	x	3	6

NYY Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.474397590361446

Avg Allowed4.474397590361446

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

BAL Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.474397590361446

Avg Allowed4.474397590361446

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

NYY Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

BAL Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	99	354	78	0.220	15	50	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.297	0.491	OK
Ben Rice	DH	116	434	109	0.251	32	74	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.190	0.276	0.441	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	11	36	3	0.083	0	0	0.214	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.170	0.222	0.305	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	11	42	10	0.238	1	3	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.290	0.440	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	48	138	29	0.210	5	18	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.212	0.283	0.382	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	112	394	86	0.218	17	48	0.293	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.148	0.231	0.261	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	11	37	10	0.270	2	3	0.357	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.282	0.362	0.418	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	93	267	58	0.217	10	31	0.278	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.269	0.328	OK
Austin Wells	C	87	246	44	0.179	8	17	0.272	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.202	0.282	0.310	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	1	1	2	4	0.100

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Holliday	2B	69	208	50	0.240	6	25	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.317	0.360	OK
Pete Alonso	DH	122	457	123	0.269	28	81	0.362	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.300	0.384	0.554	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	77	213	48	0.225	10	22	0.315	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.239	0.314	0.383	OK
Coby Mayo	1B	93	292	63	0.216	16	46	0.279	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.214	0.269	0.434	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	121	489	108	0.221	19	50	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.227	0.304	0.401	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	23	77	19	0.247	5	20	0.289	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.293	0.525	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	102	330	74	0.224	7	44	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.158	0.230	0.297	OK
Christian Franklin	LF	9	20	4	0.200	0	0	0.333	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.188	0.311	0.285	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	11	31	3	0.097	0	0	0.200	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.136	0.198	0.206	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	6	3	3	4	6	0.200

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carlos Rodón	Starter	9	45.4	3.37	1.278	10.3	52	5.1	4	3	3	3	5	92	5.1	5	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	50	50.6	2.67	1.107	10.8	61	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	63	50.9	1.94	1.395	13.6	77	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.2	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	57	37.8	3.81	1.799	15.0	63	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	24	135.6	4.12	1.401	8.1	122	5.2	2	1	1	2	3	93	5.2	3	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	52	34.1	2.90	1.114	10.0	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	11	1.0	1	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	43	33.6	4.02	1.518	8.3	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	57	46.6	3.09	0.966	10.4	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 3-1

Oakland Athletics @ Kansas City Royals

OAK 49-76 (4.36 RPG / 5.78 RA)

3 - 4

KC 52-74 (4.14 RPG / 4.99 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 4-3 TARGET: OAK 3 - 4 KC (KC) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	5
KC	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	10

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed6.8

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

OAK Season Quality

Record49-76

Win%0.392

Run Diff-178

RD/Game-1.424

KC Season Quality

Record52-74

Win%0.413

Run Diff-107

RD/Game-0.849

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4582; margin adjustment: 0.1924; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	78	269	72	0.268	6	25	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.279	0.323	0.400	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	70	254	70	0.276	14	34	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.322	0.501	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	107	340	88	0.259	6	40	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.317	0.415	OK
Jonah Heim	C	65	221	47	0.213	10	31	0.270	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.110	0.193	0.228	OK
Tommy White	3B	27	101	27	0.267	2	3	0.295	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.264	0.295	0.439	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	110	334	70	0.210	11	36	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.306	0.482	OK
Max Muncy	DH	59	186	40	0.215	5	21	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.267	0.353	OK
Alika Williams	2B	51	139	37	0.266	2	9	0.297	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.266	0.294	0.414	OK
Darell Hernaiz	SS	42	120	29	0.242	1	7	0.321	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.286	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	4	0.156

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Loftin	LF	85	264	62	0.235	5	35	0.320	5	5	2	1	3	0	0	0.400	0.214	0.298	0.339	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	106	416	119	0.286	15	45	0.356	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.299	0.368	0.552	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	116	418	114	0.273	22	60	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.320	0.355	0.540	OK
Maikel Garcia	3B	68	269	72	0.268	3	31	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.293	0.344	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	79	292	68	0.233	6	33	0.319	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.256	0.334	0.366	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	115	442	96	0.217	16	54	0.263	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.259	0.345	OK
Michael Massey	2B	102	324	88	0.272	11	42	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.312	0.345	0.541	OK
Carter Jensen	C	115	410	90	0.220	16	56	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.179	0.256	0.325	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	65	196	45	0.230	4	16	0.282	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.227	0.272	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	10	4	4	2	6	0.286

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Basso	Starter	15	18.1	4.97	1.602	9.0	18	4.1	6	2	2	2	4	81	4.1	4	2
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	57	44.2	4.28	1.855	14.7	72	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	38	32.6	5.52	1.472	13.3	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	40	50.8	3.54	1.457	11.9	67	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.1	1	0
Seth Johnson	Middle Reliever	4	4.2	6.43	2.143	12.9	6	0.1	3	2	2	0	1	20	0.1	1	2

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Daniel Lynch IV	Starter	48	44.4	3.24	1.149	8.1	40	5.0	3	1	1	0	2	72	5.0	2	1
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	44	41.9	4.51	1.313	11.0	51	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	0.98	0.870	8.8	9	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.2	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	50	38.7	4.19	1.576	7.7	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 4-3

San Diego Padres @ New York Mets

SD 67-59 (4.25 RPG / 4.24 RA)

2 - 1

NYM 57-69 (4.17 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 2-1 TARGET: SD 2 - 1 NYM (SD) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	3
NYM	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

SD Season Quality

Record67-59

Win%0.532

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.016

NYM Season Quality

Record57-69

Win%0.452

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.325

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.344; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	122	481	134	0.279	13	56	0.351	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.247	0.319	0.474	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	28	97	31	0.320	4	13	0.405	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.334	0.407	OK
Manny Machado	3B	123	457	97	0.212	23	70	0.297	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.202	0.283	0.329	OK
Ty France	1B	94	319	93	0.292	17	51	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.286	0.331	0.453	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	122	475	116	0.244	19	63	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.243	0.289	0.416	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	119	407	90	0.221	11	46	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.205	0.320	0.373	OK
Austin Hays	DH	4	11	3	0.273	1	3	0.273	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.245	0.263	0.380	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	62	187	36	0.193	4	16	0.264	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.201	0.255	0.316	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	73	251	57	0.227	4	20	0.312	3	2	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.316	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	29	3	2	2	4	8	0.103

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	68	263	64	0.243	12	32	0.337	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.343	0.442	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	122	488	130	0.266	12	63	0.311	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.308	0.353	0.458	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	45	159	34	0.214	6	18	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.275	0.349	OK
Carson Benge	RF	117	446	121	0.271	14	49	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.276	0.334	0.425	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	84	277	66	0.238	12	29	0.327	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.216	0.300	0.373	OK
Christopher Morel	1B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.233	0.287
Marcus Semien	2B	104	368	79	0.215	14	41	0.275	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.202	0.261	0.342	OK
A.J. Ewing	LF	84	305	77	0.252	7	28	0.327	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.206	0.287	0.307	OK
Luis Torrens	C	67	200	48	0.240	6	30	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.300	0.506	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	1	1	5	5	0.156

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	2	9.0	6.00	1.889	6.0	6	5.1	5	1	1	2	4	101	5.1	4	1
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	49	48.3	0.93	0.890	17.3	93	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	57	58.4	3.08	1.216	12.3	80	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	31	25.6	3.87	1.250	13.0	37	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	25	1.1	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zach Thornton	Starter	8	44.4	2.84	1.126	5.9	29	6.0	1	1	1	2	6	87	6.0	6	1
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	18	47.1	8.22	1.741	11.5	60	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	28	1.0	0	1
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	15	18.7	0.96	0.695	8.2	17	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever	6	3.7	0.00	0.811	14.6	6	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	11	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

SD wins 2-1

Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers

SEA 59-66 (3.91 RPG / 4.1 RA)

2 - 5

MIL 77-48 (4.86 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-2 TARGET: SEA 2 - 4 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 61.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	4
MIL	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	x	5	8

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-20

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

SEA Season Quality

Record59-66

Win%0.472

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.184

MIL Season Quality

Record77-48

Win%0.616

Run Diff136

RD/Game1.088

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1086; margin adjustment: 0.4656; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Julio Rodríguez	CF	113	446	115	0.258	19	52	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.313	0.419	OK
Brock Rodden	2B	3	10	3	0.300	0	3	0.429	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.424	0.469	OK
Cole Young	2B	125	457	119	0.260	15	56	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.282	0.376	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	116	450	120	0.267	10	44	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.264	0.323	0.373	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	91	330	52	0.158	13	44	0.268	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.147	0.265	0.284	OK
Brendan Donovan	3B	33	122	31	0.254	3	12	0.338	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.238	0.290	0.355	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	8	32	5	0.156	0	0	0.156	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.323	0.310	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	117	434	120	0.276	17	53	0.369	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.327	0.457	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	108	331	86	0.260	19	52	0.332	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.292	0.351	0.489	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	2	2	2	9	0.129

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	106	347	84	0.242	7	44	0.338	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.232	0.325	0.355	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	87	259	62	0.239	6	32	0.307	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.254	0.327	0.396	OK
Brice Turang	2B	112	440	121	0.275	16	76	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.276	0.363	0.446	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	75	221	67	0.303	5	35	0.383	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.305	0.376	0.442	OK
William Contreras	C	114	438	112	0.256	12	60	0.327	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.241	0.323	0.367	OK
David Hamilton	3B	87	257	59	0.230	3	17	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.311	0.310	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	108	369	101	0.274	20	68	0.381	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.293	0.408	0.492	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	89	368	103	0.280	17	49	0.343	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.278	0.343	0.470	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	82	317	69	0.218	8	38	0.304	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.189	0.264	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	8	5	5	5	3	0.258

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	15	82.9	3.47	1.013	9.1	84	6.0	2	1	1	4	3	98	6.0	3	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	47	43.0	4.19	1.256	15.1	72	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	55	45.4	4.16	1.498	8.1	41	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26	1.0	0	2

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	19	91.0	3.56	1.154	11.3	114	5.0	3	1	1	0	6	83	5.0	6	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	48	47.3	1.71	0.803	10.3	54	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	58	62.0	3.77	1.548	14.1	97	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	17	1.0	0	1
Chad Patrick	Middle Reliever	41	81.6	3.31	1.275	8.6	78	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	6	3.5	10.29	1.714	7.7	3	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-2

San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians

SF 52-73 (4.13 RPG / 4.62 RA)

3 - 4

CLE 60-65 (3.95 RPG / 4.21 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-3 TARGET: SF 3 - 4 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 63.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	6
CLE	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	x	4	10

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-17

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SF Season Quality

Record52-73

Win%0.416

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-0.496

CLE Season Quality

Record60-65

Win%0.480

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.256

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.259; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	CF	16	31	8	0.258	1	3	0.258	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.121	0.131	0.334	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	123	461	114	0.247	24	68	0.322	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.319	0.471	OK
Victor Bericoto	RF	24	70	19	0.271	4	10	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.252	0.407	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	81	285	70	0.246	13	32	0.341	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.236	0.332	0.432	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	16	53	15	0.283	3	8	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.283	0.461	OK
Buddy Kennedy	3B	11	23	2	0.087	0	1	0.192	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.118	0.189	0.168	OK
Drew Gilbert	LF	91	256	63	0.246	6	29	0.316	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.318	0.410	OK
Andrew Knizner	C	2	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.250	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.131	0.318	0.219
Christian Koss	SS	28	81	16	0.198	0	2	0.217	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.229	0.264	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	3	3	5	5	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	111	395	104	0.263	2	23	0.359	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.261	0.358	0.329	OK
Jo Adell	RF	12	42	7	0.167	2	5	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.193	0.224	0.375	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	78	286	68	0.238	12	43	0.270	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.222	0.347	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	89	255	45	0.176	13	37	0.302	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.165	0.284	0.360	OK
Angel Genao	2B	9	34	10	0.294	1	3	0.351	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.273	0.318	0.390	OK
Travis Bazzana	DH	90	332	78	0.235	9	35	0.332	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.218	0.309	0.330	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	50	151	32	0.212	5	19	0.265	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.169	0.238	0.276	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	119	418	107	0.256	10	51	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.273	0.362	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	10	35	10	0.286	2	8	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.268	0.324	0.485	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	4	4	2	10	0.294

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Whisenhunt	Starter	6	26.6	6.43	1.805	7.4	22	4.2	5	3	3	2	6	87	4.2	6	3
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	27	21.3	3.38	1.408	11.8	28	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	35	23.5	3.83	2.000	12.3	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	18	1.0	3	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	38	53.0	3.57	1.264	6.5	38	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	23	1.0	1	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	2	9.0	6.00	1.556	9.0	9	5.2	3	1	1	4	4	96	5.2	4	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	52	51.5	2.45	1.184	13.5	77	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	47	34.1	3.96	1.525	10.8	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	47	41.3	1.96	0.969	10.0	46	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	16	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds

STL 64-62 (4.4 RPG / 4.35 RA)

6 - 3

CIN 60-65 (4.07 RPG / 4.76 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 6-3 TARGET: STL 6 - 3 CIN (STL) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	4	0	2	0	0	0	6	11
CIN	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	11

STL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-24

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

STL Season Quality

Record64-62

Win%0.508

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.056

CIN Season Quality

Record60-65

Win%0.480

Run Diff-86

RD/Game-0.688

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7807; margin adjustment: -0.3279; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	117	456	111	0.243	16	45	0.348	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.242	0.332	0.364	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	123	461	112	0.243	13	51	0.358	5	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.242	0.332	0.426	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	120	465	135	0.290	22	83	0.350	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.298	0.344	0.499	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	122	469	136	0.290	21	91	0.354	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.298	0.350	0.535	OK
Joshua Baez	LF	4	18	3	0.167	3	5	0.211	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.182	0.191	0.635	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	47	158	40	0.253	2	25	0.274	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.291	0.413	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	115	419	99	0.236	4	50	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.298	0.306	OK
José Fermín	LF	83	228	55	0.241	5	27	0.314	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.237	0.321	0.340	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	56	164	34	0.207	4	11	0.250	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.131	0.176	0.222	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	11	6	6	2	6	0.297

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	105	413	109	0.264	20	57	0.347	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.295	0.378	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	124	472	123	0.261	26	91	0.336	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.261	0.322	0.419	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	95	338	76	0.225	20	47	0.335	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.229	0.330	0.379	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	93	332	70	0.211	18	50	0.288	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.258	0.324	0.451	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	95	303	75	0.248	12	39	0.331	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.133	0.220	0.282	OK
Dane Myers	CF	76	195	51	0.262	5	20	0.348	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.186	0.271	0.343	OK
Matt McLain	2B	96	325	63	0.194	11	29	0.291	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.202	0.291	0.368	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	10	28	3	0.107	0	2	0.194	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.123	0.200	0.177	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	59	178	26	0.146	5	8	0.200	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.097	0.146	0.191	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	38	11	3	3	6	7	0.289

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	23	116.4	3.40	1.349	8.1	105	5.1	7	2	2	3	4	112	5.1	4	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	51	48.8	3.14	1.127	9.6	52	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	56	47.1	4.20	1.423	10.3	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	26	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	53	41.1	5.04	1.679	10.9	50	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever	55	50.4	3.93	1.587	7.3	41	0.2	2	1	1	2	0	22	0.2	0	1

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	25	130.2	4.22	1.452	7.1	102	5.0	7	4	4	1	5	94	5.0	5	4
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	29	27.4	3.94	1.095	10.2	31	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	6	1.0	0	2
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	41	34.4	4.19	1.279	9.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	63	52.6	3.25	1.464	10.6	62	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	42	29.1	5.57	1.581	10.2	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 6-3

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

TOR 61-65 (3.9 RPG / 4.36 RA)

1 - 4

TB 75-49 (4.56 RPG / 4.14 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-1 TARGET: TOR 2 - 3 TB (TB) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4
TB	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	x	4	6

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Season Quality

Record61-65

Win%0.484

Run Diff-57

RD/Game-0.452

TB Season Quality

Record75-49

Win%0.605

Run Diff53

RD/Game0.427

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7442; margin adjustment: 0.3126; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	9	40	11	0.275	0	3	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.267	0.301	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	88	292	77	0.264	6	22	0.316	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.171	0.218	0.248	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	48	166	45	0.271	5	22	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.301	0.379	0.426	OK
George Springer	DH	91	351	80	0.228	12	36	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.183	0.256	0.293	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	85	241	63	0.261	8	32	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.299	0.378	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	1B	120	444	101	0.227	24	71	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.226	0.288	0.403	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	123	469	132	0.281	9	43	0.306	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.282	0.353	OK
Josh Smith	3B	10	21	4	0.190	1	1	0.261	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.277	0.272	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	114	377	91	0.241	8	48	0.287	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	0.667	0.244	0.277	0.359	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	1	1	2	8	0.129

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chandler Simpson	LF	112	434	134	0.309	0	25	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.303	0.330	0.359	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	123	468	128	0.274	35	79	0.364	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.313	0.416	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	120	455	131	0.288	15	76	0.372	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.282	0.348	0.397	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	118	466	143	0.307	18	70	0.376	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.331	0.386	0.544	OK
Liam Hicks	C	11	33	9	0.273	2	9	0.442	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.244	0.336	0.395	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	49	159	34	0.214	10	22	0.280	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.136	0.204	0.293	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	103	359	75	0.209	13	38	0.284	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.279	0.333	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	91	260	63	0.242	5	36	0.344	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.279	0.377	0.388	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	95	299	66	0.221	2	28	0.308	3	3	1	1	0	0	2	0.333	0.190	0.272	0.278	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	4	4	3	10	0.200

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	2	10.2	1.76	1.275	6.2	7	5.2	4	3	3	3	9	107	5.2	9	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	58	59.9	1.35	1.035	11.9	79	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	59	53.6	1.68	1.231	4.9	29	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	23	135.2	2.80	1.109	5.2	78	6.1	1	0	0	0	4	84	6.1	4	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	50	47.6	1.51	0.903	10.4	55	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	53	48.5	2.23	0.990	8.2	44	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	20	1.0	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	44	31.2	4.62	1.571	13.8	48	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-1

Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers

WAS 60-66 (5.32 RPG / 5.17 RA)

6 - 2

TEX 61-64 (4.06 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 6-2 TARGET: WAS 5 - 4 TEX (WAS) Confidence: 52.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	6	9
TEX	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	6

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

WAS Season Quality

Record60-66

Win%0.476

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.143

TEX Season Quality

Record61-64

Win%0.488

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.376

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4293; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Young	CF	100	338	85	0.251	10	41	0.308	5	3	1	1	1	2	1	0.333	0.283	0.323	0.448	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	122	461	128	0.278	29	91	0.354	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.252	0.327	0.472	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	109	355	81	0.228	1	34	0.313	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.224	0.308	0.258	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	14	40	12	0.300	5	9	0.317	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.297	0.318	0.673	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	79	262	72	0.275	7	41	0.311	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.288	0.326	0.431	OK
Brady House	3B	62	226	54	0.239	9	31	0.294	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.247	0.291	0.413	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	72	275	58	0.211	10	27	0.281	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.203	0.249	0.345	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	124	473	116	0.245	15	65	0.295	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.252	0.293	0.400	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	85	225	55	0.244	3	19	0.332	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.263	0.351	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	36	9	6	6	7	11	0.250

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Evan Carter	CF	105	301	59	0.196	8	31	0.298	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.204	0.282	0.328	OK
Corey Seager	SS	64	236	48	0.203	12	30	0.307	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.219	0.316	0.410	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	66	190	52	0.274	1	21	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.281	0.299	OK
Jake Burger	1B	119	435	104	0.239	21	73	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.307	0.448	OK
Elias Díaz	C	43	133	30	0.226	3	15	0.241	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.211	0.228	0.347	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	114	403	106	0.263	13	64	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.289	0.386	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	119	454	123	0.271	13	47	0.337	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.254	0.310	0.405	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	73	284	72	0.254	14	33	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.310	0.443	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	112	324	79	0.244	22	46	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.142	0.246	0.306	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	5	7	0.182

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Kent	Starter	1	4.0	6.75	2.000	13.5	6	3.2	4	2	2	3	4	78	3.2	4	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	39	34.5	3.39	1.304	10.2	39	3.0	1	0	0	1	2	41	3.0	2	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	39	33.5	3.76	1.284	8.9	33	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	5	2.3	19.57	5.652	15.7	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	25	68.8	3.53	1.235	6.4	49	5.0	5	4	4	4	5	104	5.0	5	4
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	43	53.2	1.35	0.695	9.8	58	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	42	41.8	3.88	1.435	10.8	50	1.0	3	1	1	1	2	26	1.0	2	1
Robby Ahlstrom	Middle Reliever	31	23.6	4.96	1.229	9.2	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	9	6.6	4.09	1.818	9.5	7	0.2	1	1	1	1	1	15	0.2	1	1
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	56	45.5	3.96	1.516	9.1	46	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 6-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox

ARI Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins

ATL Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs

CHW Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

DET Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

DET Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros

LAA Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

LAD Recent Form

COL Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies

MIA Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

PHI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles