MLB Predictions — August 14, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ ATL	2 - 3	0 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-0	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ TB	2 - 6	2 - 6	TB	TB	TB wins 6-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ PIT	2 - 3	1 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 3-1	51%	fallback_enhanced
CHW @ DET	1 - 5	1 - 5	DET	DET	DET wins 5-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ SF	4 - 5	3 - 5	SF	SF	SF wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ LAA	4 - 5	3 - 5	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 5-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ CIN	2 - 3	2 - 3	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 3-2	51%	fallback_enhanced
MIL @ LAD	3 - 4	2 - 5	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ TOR	5 - 3	5 - 3	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ CLE	4 - 3	4 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 4-3	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ HOU	2 - 3	2 - 4	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ CHC	4 - 5	3 - 5	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ OAK	0 - 4	0 - 4	OAK	OAK	OAK wins 4-0	51%	fallback_enhanced
WAS @ NYM	3 - 2	5 - 1	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

ARI 65-58 (4.5 RPG / 4.4 RA)

0 - 4

ATL 73-50 (4.82 RPG / 3.87 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-0 TARGET: ARI 2 - 3 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
ATL	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	x	4	6

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

ARI Season Quality

Record64-58

Win%0.525

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.090

ATL Season Quality

Record73-49

Win%0.598

Run Diff119

RD/Game0.975

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7579; margin adjustment: 0.3183; applied: True

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	117	420	103	0.245	9	42	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.260	0.350	0.374	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	118	444	108	0.243	18	57	0.338	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.293	0.517	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	93	331	101	0.305	8	53	0.383	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.294	0.357	0.440	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	115	465	117	0.252	21	67	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.250	0.317	0.460	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	115	396	96	0.242	18	58	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.288	0.402	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	92	324	88	0.272	7	51	0.315	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.165	0.214	0.266	OK
Tim Tawa	CF	58	177	41	0.232	6	26	0.280	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.231	0.281	0.365	OK
Tyler Locklear	DH	13	34	10	0.294	1	6	0.375	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.282	0.351	0.456	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	55	182	51	0.280	2	15	0.335	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.319	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	0	0	2	10	0.100

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	98	379	105	0.277	20	61	0.363	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.296	0.357	0.432	OK
Matt Olson	1B	121	468	123	0.263	35	74	0.338	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.319	0.556	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	115	439	128	0.292	20	67	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.258	0.283	0.399	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	121	462	119	0.258	20	64	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.289	0.411	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	115	429	114	0.266	10	61	0.312	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.282	0.352	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	100	265	62	0.234	9	33	0.314	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.260	0.336	0.490	OK
Austin Riley	3B	120	429	96	0.224	15	58	0.299	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.260	0.314	0.468	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	33	99	22	0.222	1	11	0.274	3	2	1	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.193	0.242	0.293	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	69	258	63	0.244	12	30	0.354	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.249	0.342	0.446	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	6	4	4	4	11	0.207

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Pfaadt	Starter	21	82.4	3.50	1.250	5.9	54	6.1	4	2	2	2	9	100	6.1	9	2
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	2	2	2	2	0	17	1.0	0	2
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.2	2	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	21	121.6	2.22	1.036	11.2	151	6.0	2	0	0	2	7	93	6.0	7	0
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	44	42.8	3.15	1.238	10.3	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	57	48.8	2.21	0.840	12.5	68	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	42	46.3	2.72	1.188	12.8	66	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	5	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-0

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays

BAL 58-63 (4.49 RPG / 4.79 RA)

2 - 6

TB 74-46 (4.58 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-2 TARGET: BAL 2 - 6 TB (TB) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
TB	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	x	6	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff23

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak9W

BAL Season Quality

Record58-63

Win%0.479

Run Diff-36

RD/Game-0.298

TB Season Quality

Record74-46

Win%0.617

Run Diff62

RD/Game0.517

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0145; margin adjustment: 0.4261; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Alonso	1B	118	441	115	0.261	26	77	0.354	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.316	0.398	0.605	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	65	190	45	0.237	6	22	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.308	0.382	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	89	277	60	0.217	15	45	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.278	0.441	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	74	201	44	0.219	10	21	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.219	0.295	0.413	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	117	473	101	0.214	18	48	0.297	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.182	0.273	0.352	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	19	59	13	0.220	3	11	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.256	0.381	OK
Leody Taveras	LF	98	317	71	0.224	7	43	0.298	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.221	0.284	0.390	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	94	239	51	0.213	8	27	0.309	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.153	0.248	0.275	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	8	23	3	0.130	0	0	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.155	0.214	0.226	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	2	2	4	7	0.182

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	114	449	137	0.305	17	69	0.374	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.317	0.358	0.495	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	116	436	125	0.287	15	73	0.374	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.272	0.350	0.384	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	108	417	128	0.307	0	25	0.333	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.362	0.384	0.427	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	119	452	126	0.279	35	77	0.370	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.254	0.334	0.527	OK
Liam Hicks	C	8	26	8	0.308	2	9	0.438	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.340	0.444	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	47	155	33	0.213	10	21	0.281	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.207	0.268	0.460	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	100	348	72	0.207	13	37	0.285	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.283	0.336	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	87	248	59	0.238	5	35	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.373	0.384	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	91	287	62	0.216	2	28	0.305	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.239	0.316	0.398	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	6	6	2	5	0.273

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Bassitt	Starter	12	54.7	5.43	1.682	6.1	37	5.0	6	3	3	0	4	82	5.0	4	3
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	51	33.9	2.12	1.003	9.8	37	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	41	31.6	3.99	1.487	8.5	30	1.1	3	3	3	2	1	32	1.1	1	3

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Steven Matz	Starter	22	60.8	5.62	1.266	7.1	48	4.2	5	2	2	4	4	91	4.2	4	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	48	45.4	1.59	0.859	10.1	51	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	51	47.3	2.28	0.951	8.2	43	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	42	31.0	3.77	1.419	13.9	48	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 6-2

Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

BOS 65-57 (4.44 RPG / 3.77 RA)

1 - 3

PIT 60-64 (5.04 RPG / 4.81 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 3-1 TARGET: BOS 2 - 3 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 51.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	8
PIT	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	x	3	7

BOS Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.481902792140641

Avg Allowed4.481902792140641

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

PIT Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.481902792140641

Avg Allowed4.481902792140641

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

BOS Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

PIT Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	25	89	22	0.247	0	3	0.368	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.338	0.334	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	80	248	65	0.262	4	26	0.331	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.335	0.399	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	2	6	1	0.167	0	0	0.444	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.324	0.372	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	108	378	105	0.278	24	72	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.295	0.431	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	116	440	113	0.257	21	64	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.340	0.502	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	109	375	92	0.245	12	57	0.312	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.279	0.327	0.467	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	112	432	86	0.199	16	55	0.259	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.198	0.256	0.346	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	77	234	63	0.269	6	32	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.346	0.424	OK
Eli White	CF	4	11	3	0.273	0	1	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.293	0.397	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	1	1	2	4	0.229

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Gonzales	3B	113	433	132	0.305	4	51	0.357	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.260	0.303	0.335	OK
Ronny Simon	DH	7	24	8	0.333	0	2	0.385	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.321	0.370	0.383	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	120	439	116	0.264	15	63	0.377	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.199	0.308	0.335	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	50	160	39	0.244	11	31	0.367	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.364	0.463	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	111	440	109	0.248	25	74	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.276	0.398	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	1B	10	30	7	0.233	3	8	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.228	0.327	0.535	OK
Jake Mangum	CF	89	321	98	0.305	4	28	0.353	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.300	0.332	0.437	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	77	234	59	0.252	2	23	0.330	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.276	0.343	0.431	OK
Henry Davis	C	68	211	36	0.171	8	30	0.257	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.173	0.240	0.263	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	3	3	3	6	0.226

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	13	74.1	3.28	1.080	6.7	55	6.0	5	3	3	3	6	103	6.0	6	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	40	39.2	1.38	1.148	11.5	50	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.2	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	36	25.5	5.65	1.686	13.8	39	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.1	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	23	113.3	4.37	1.412	8.2	103	5.1	6	0	0	0	3	87	5.1	3	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	11	1.2	1	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	47	40.0	3.82	1.325	16.9	75	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	24	1.0	0	1
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	49	46.4	3.49	1.121	11.6	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 3-1

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

CHW 63-58 (4.82 RPG / 4.45 RA)

1 - 5

DET 60-62 (4.57 RPG / 3.86 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-1 TARGET: CHW 1 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
DET	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	x	5	10

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed2.0

Run Diff38

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CHW Season Quality

Record62-58

Win%0.517

Run Diff40

RD/Game0.333

DET Season Quality

Record60-61

Win%0.496

Run Diff90

RD/Game0.744

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5489; margin adjustment: 0.2305; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	99	347	97	0.280	8	35	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.275	0.329	0.399	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	85	303	71	0.234	26	54	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.221	0.349	0.507	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	117	439	102	0.232	25	68	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.188	0.281	0.399	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	106	322	79	0.245	12	59	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.187	0.246	0.333	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	53	189	43	0.228	4	24	0.323	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.314	0.337	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	114	430	91	0.212	26	68	0.293	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.194	0.255	0.358	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	114	423	118	0.279	12	49	0.354	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.293	0.369	0.506	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	108	316	83	0.263	6	40	0.323	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.161	0.237	0.292	OK
Drew Romo	C	46	147	20	0.136	6	13	0.210	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.135	0.193	0.265	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	30	3	1	1	1	13	0.100

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	64	238	61	0.256	8	31	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.208	0.310	0.349	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	111	424	113	0.267	26	81	0.329	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.213	0.254	0.400	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	116	443	127	0.287	12	48	0.392	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.349	0.371	OK
Eduardo Valencia	DH	15	44	17	0.386	5	14	0.413	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.365	0.385	0.777	OK
Colt Keith	3B	108	315	83	0.263	8	30	0.311	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.176	0.218	0.284	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	119	413	95	0.230	20	62	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.290	0.379	0.442	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	92	286	64	0.224	4	24	0.302	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.322	0.344	OK
Ben Malgeri	LF	20	49	13	0.265	1	7	0.351	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.264	0.344	0.370	OK
Max Clark	CF	12	49	13	0.265	1	7	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.270	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	5	5	2	4	0.294

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Newcomb	Starter	43	55.0	3.11	1.291	9.8	60	5.0	6	2	2	1	3	92	5.0	3	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.2	4	3	3	1	1	37	1.2	1	3

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jackson Jobe	Starter	1	5.0	0.00	0.400	7.2	4	5.0	2	0	0	0	9	71	5.0	9	0
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	35	30.8	3.51	1.234	10.8	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	48	42.7	3.16	1.639	7.8	37	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	23	1.1	1	1
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	52	47.9	3.19	1.420	8.3	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-1

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL 48-73 (4.77 RPG / 5.73 RA)

3 - 5

SF 51-71 (4.1 RPG / 4.58 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-3 TARGET: COL 4 - 5 SF (SF) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	6
SF	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	x	5	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-12

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

COL Season Quality

Record48-73

Win%0.397

Run Diff-116

RD/Game-0.959

SF Season Quality

Record51-71

Win%0.418

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.484

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2624; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	100	380	114	0.300	13	66	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.310	0.339	0.531	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	81	281	76	0.270	19	53	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.271	0.443	OK
Willi Castro	3B	102	366	97	0.265	13	49	0.335	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.269	0.332	0.437	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	115	416	123	0.296	13	58	0.372	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.336	0.376	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	98	318	90	0.283	3	42	0.342	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.274	0.322	0.374	OK
Connor Norby	2B	2	5	0	0.000	0	0	0.286	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.191	0.281	0.296
Zac Veen	RF	1	3	1	0.333	1	2	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.319	0.329	1.158	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	108	368	77	0.209	9	37	0.255	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.170	0.224	0.281	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	51	151	36	0.238	6	23	0.269	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.287	0.530	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	3	3	3	8	0.188

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jonah Cox	CF	14	26	7	0.269	1	3	0.269	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.127	0.138	0.295	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	120	447	110	0.246	23	63	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.324	0.434	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	78	274	67	0.245	12	29	0.340	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.238	0.328	0.421	OK
Victor Bericoto	LF	23	66	18	0.273	4	10	0.284	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.270	0.284	0.475	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	109	416	123	0.296	8	44	0.332	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.247	0.376	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	13	43	11	0.256	3	8	0.267	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.260	0.465	OK
Buddy Kennedy	3B	8	14	0	0.000	0	0	0.067	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.077	0.147	0.139
Andrew Knizner	C	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.118	0.131	0.191
Christian Koss	SS	25	70	13	0.186	0	2	0.208	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.223	0.246	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	5	5	3	6	0.273

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	21	109.4	6.83	1.545	7.9	96	4.2	7	5	5	2	1	94	4.2	1	5
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	12	11.2	3.21	1.607	11.2	14	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	48	44.1	6.33	1.859	10.2	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	57	40.1	3.37	1.471	8.3	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	23	119.7	4.36	1.337	9.2	123	5.1	6	3	3	2	7	96	5.1	7	3
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	26	20.3	3.55	1.478	12.0	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	43	35.1	3.59	1.368	8.5	33	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	37	52.0	3.63	1.288	6.4	37	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

SF wins 5-3

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels

KC 49-73 (4.12 RPG / 5.06 RA)

3 - 5

LAA 48-74 (4.1 RPG / 4.78 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 5-3 TARGET: KC 4 - 5 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10
LAA	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	x	5	10

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

KC Season Quality

Record49-73

Win%0.402

Run Diff-114

RD/Game-0.934

LAA Season Quality

Record47-74

Win%0.388

Run Diff-90

RD/Game-0.744

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1838; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	111	396	88	0.222	16	55	0.300	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.159	0.243	0.333	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	102	401	114	0.284	13	41	0.353	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.284	0.348	0.423	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	112	403	107	0.266	21	53	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.293	0.335	0.545	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	82	254	61	0.240	5	35	0.323	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.206	0.286	0.337	OK
Michael Massey	2B	98	310	80	0.258	9	39	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.152	0.188	0.285	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	106	339	79	0.233	6	35	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.188	0.280	0.307	OK
John Rave	RF	18	47	11	0.234	2	2	0.294	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.112	0.180	0.302	OK
Josh Rojas	DH	27	72	17	0.236	1	9	0.257	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.258	0.316	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	62	186	42	0.226	4	15	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.193	0.238	0.315	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	3	3	1	10	0.270

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wade Meckler	LF	59	185	56	0.303	3	20	0.365	5	4	3	1	1	1	1	0.750	0.304	0.368	0.397	OK
Mike Trout	CF	103	372	91	0.245	20	45	0.388	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.285	0.391	0.457	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	101	373	101	0.271	7	42	0.350	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.232	0.335	0.327	OK
Zach Neto	SS	118	469	105	0.224	20	52	0.309	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.196	0.265	0.342	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	10	36	6	0.167	0	0	0.231	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.284	0.323	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	77	277	69	0.249	7	46	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.262	0.343	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	73	214	44	0.206	8	24	0.263	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.274	0.349	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	44	162	39	0.241	5	18	0.289	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.285	0.332	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	17	47	10	0.213	0	2	0.260	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.171	0.203	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	10	5	5	3	9	0.294

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	24	132.8	4.47	1.393	7.0	104	6.0	6	4	4	2	6	102	6.0	6	4
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	45	42.7	6.74	1.710	10.3	49	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0.0	0	0
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	42	39.9	4.74	1.353	11.3	50	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	48	36.7	4.41	1.662	8.1	33	0.2	2	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	0.00	0.806	8.7	6	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	14	0.1	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	12	52.9	7.49	1.682	8.5	50	4.1	8	3	3	0	4	84	4.1	4	3
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	0.00	0.500	9.0	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	22	23.5	2.30	0.936	16.1	42	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.1	2	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	38	35.5	3.55	1.465	12.4	49	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever	5	4.4	4.09	2.045	8.2	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 5-3

Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds

MIA 62-61 (4.35 RPG / 4.27 RA)

2 - 3

CIN 59-62 (4.11 RPG / 4.74 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 3-2 TARGET: MIA 2 - 3 CIN (CIN) Confidence: 51.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	5
CIN	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	x	3	8

MIA Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.481902792140641

Avg Allowed4.481902792140641

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

CIN Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.481902792140641

Avg Allowed4.481902792140641

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

MIA Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

CIN Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	114	389	80	0.206	6	28	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.231	0.321	0.332	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	120	443	125	0.282	6	46	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.242	0.326	0.332	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	118	474	148	0.312	9	53	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.279	0.356	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	53	154	43	0.279	13	27	0.369	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.297	0.389	0.612	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	88	293	66	0.225	17	46	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.271	0.428	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	93	307	84	0.274	4	42	0.307	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.273	0.313	0.402	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	87	245	56	0.229	13	52	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.204	0.266	0.429	OK
Joe Mack	C	71	214	50	0.234	11	35	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.285	0.366	OK
Graham Pauley	1B	38	101	19	0.188	1	12	0.226	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.203	0.237	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	2	2	3	10	0.156

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	100	395	107	0.271	20	56	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.306	0.404	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	119	452	118	0.261	26	89	0.339	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.337	0.481	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	90	323	71	0.220	20	47	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.174	0.284	0.340	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	90	290	73	0.252	11	38	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.328	0.449	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	88	315	65	0.206	18	48	0.284	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.218	0.285	0.569	OK
Michael Toglia	1B	2	5	1	0.200	0	0	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.138	0.152	0.278	OK
Dane Myers	CF	72	182	47	0.258	3	18	0.351	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.221	0.311	0.303	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	55	181	36	0.199	6	15	0.236	3	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.145	0.182	0.234	OK
Matt McLain	2B	91	309	59	0.191	10	28	0.289	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.182	0.274	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	8	3	3	1	8	0.250

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	25	161.8	3.56	1.187	7.1	128	6.1	7	3	3	0	7	102	6.1	7	3
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	40	35.7	6.30	1.373	12.9	51	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	51	44.6	4.84	1.659	11.5	57	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	12	1.0	1	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	22	122.6	2.64	1.134	10.5	143	6.0	2	0	0	2	6	96	6.0	6	0
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	27	25.4	4.25	1.142	10.3	29	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	39	34.1	3.17	1.144	10.0	38	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	20	1.0	2	1
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	61	50.5	3.21	1.465	10.0	56	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 3-2

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MIL 75-47 (4.89 RPG / 3.82 RA)

2 - 5

LAD 73-49 (5.0 RPG / 3.84 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-2 TARGET: MIL 3 - 4 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
LAD	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	6

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Season Quality

Record74-47

Win%0.612

Run Diff130

RD/Game1.074

LAD Season Quality

Record73-48

Win%0.603

Run Diff142

RD/Game1.174

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0402; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	104	343	84	0.245	7	44	0.342	6	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.231	0.313	0.354	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	86	355	99	0.279	17	49	0.344	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.316	0.450	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	105	360	96	0.267	20	66	0.371	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.264	0.373	0.469	OK
Andrew Vaughn	3B	72	211	64	0.303	5	34	0.384	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.299	0.377	0.453	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	80	310	69	0.223	8	38	0.308	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.208	0.269	0.352	OK
William Contreras	C	111	427	109	0.255	11	58	0.326	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.184	0.264	0.281	OK
Luis Lara	RF	23	70	16	0.229	0	11	0.312	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.312	0.313	OK
David Hamilton	2B	84	252	58	0.230	3	17	0.305	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.298	0.310	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	84	248	60	0.242	5	29	0.313	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.267	0.344	0.368	OK
TEAM TOTALS									46	40	7	2	2	3	12	0.175

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	111	427	124	0.290	27	72	0.391	5	4	0	1	0	1	3	0.000	0.282	0.368	0.531	OK
Andy Pages	CF	119	463	124	0.268	19	75	0.333	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.237	0.293	0.369	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	85	298	74	0.248	11	41	0.310	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.212	0.267	0.347	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	83	324	78	0.241	15	39	0.292	5	5	2	1	4	0	2	0.400	0.192	0.250	0.382	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	42	148	39	0.264	3	20	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.214	0.262	0.341	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	112	401	95	0.237	11	54	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.183	0.278	0.343	OK
Max Muncy	3B	110	364	90	0.247	23	59	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.160	0.245	0.367	OK
Enrique Hernández	1B	11	24	6	0.250	1	2	0.280	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.157	0.196	0.306	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	6	15	4	0.267	1	1	0.312	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.241	0.297	0.421	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	6	5	5	3	14	0.162

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	13	64.9	4.71	1.263	8.5	61	5.2	5	2	2	1	7	90	5.2	7	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	48	47.3	1.71	0.803	10.3	54	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	49	44.6	2.22	1.121	9.7	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	56	59.8	3.91	1.589	14.3	95	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.2	1	0
Chad Patrick	Reliever	40	81.5	3.31	1.252	8.6	78	0.1	1	3	3	1	0	19	0.1	0	3
JoJo Romero	Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	21	137.7	2.68	0.901	8.3	127	6.2	4	1	1	2	6	115	6.2	6	1
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	13	10.5	10.29	2.381	15.4	18	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	52	43.8	2.47	1.005	12.3	60	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	14	8.9	7.08	1.798	12.1	12	2.1	0	0	0	1	2	33	2.1	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	54	32.9	3.56	1.550	15.3	56	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	15	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-2 (Extra Innings - 11)

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays

NYY 68-54 (4.48 RPG / 3.76 RA)

5 - 3

TOR 60-64 (3.91 RPG / 4.39 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-3 TARGET: NYY 5 - 3 TOR (NYY) Confidence: 57.8% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	5	7
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	8

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYY Season Quality

Record68-53

Win%0.562

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.736

TOR Season Quality

Record59-64

Win%0.480

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.496

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9073; margin adjustment: -0.3811; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	96	343	76	0.222	14	49	0.309	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.265	0.325	0.544	OK
Ben Rice	DH	113	421	108	0.257	31	72	0.354	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.237	0.338	0.497	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	45	127	27	0.213	5	18	0.301	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.212	0.297	0.393	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	8	31	8	0.258	1	2	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.302	0.470	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	8	25	2	0.080	0	0	0.233	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.111	0.164	0.212	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	109	386	84	0.218	17	48	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.197	0.280	0.349	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	90	259	57	0.220	10	31	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.291	0.363	OK
Austin Wells	C	84	239	43	0.180	8	17	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.159	0.238	0.301	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	8	29	8	0.276	2	2	0.344	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.315	0.391	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	5	5	4	10	0.206

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	6	27	7	0.259	0	3	0.310	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.202	0.239	0.298	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	85	284	76	0.268	6	21	0.319	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.245	0.276	0.349	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	113	427	112	0.262	7	46	0.333	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.249	0.309	0.342	OK
George Springer	DH	89	343	80	0.233	12	36	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.283	0.319	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	45	157	41	0.261	4	19	0.324	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.277	0.334	0.363	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	117	433	98	0.226	24	71	0.301	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.194	0.258	0.334	OK
Jesús Sánchez	LF	83	237	63	0.266	8	32	0.318	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.247	0.307	0.404	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	120	461	129	0.280	9	42	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.213	0.248	0.323	OK
Myles Straw	RF	90	214	48	0.224	3	20	0.266	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.223	0.263	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	3	3	3	7	0.235

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	14	78.8	3.43	1.104	9.9	87	6.0	4	0	0	2	7	96	6.0	7	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	49	49.4	2.73	1.113	10.9	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	57	37.8	3.81	1.799	15.0	63	1.0	4	3	3	1	0	29	1.0	0	3
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	62	49.9	1.80	1.363	13.7	76	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Bieber	Starter	9	40.1	5.84	1.771	7.2	32	5.0	5	3	3	2	6	98	5.0	6	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	56	57.9	1.40	1.071	11.8	76	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	57	51.5	1.75	1.243	4.9	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	36	70.7	3.44	1.231	9.2	72	1.1	2	2	2	1	1	35	1.1	1	2
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	61	36.8	4.40	1.576	13.5	55	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-3

San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians

SD 65-57 (4.28 RPG / 4.27 RA)

4 - 3

CLE 59-63 (3.96 RPG / 4.2 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-3 TARGET: SD 4 - 3 CLE (SD) Confidence: 61.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	4	7
CLE	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	3	5

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SD Season Quality

Record65-57

Win%0.533

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.008

CLE Season Quality

Record59-63

Win%0.484

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.246

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4567; margin adjustment: -0.1918; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	118	467	131	0.281	12	54	0.351	5	5	2	1	2	0	2	0.400	0.200	0.274	0.431	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	69	234	51	0.218	3	19	0.307	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.221	0.284	0.286	OK
Manny Machado	3B	119	442	94	0.213	23	70	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.282	0.342	OK
Ty France	1B	90	305	90	0.295	17	51	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.313	0.354	0.508	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	118	462	114	0.247	19	63	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.281	0.316	0.513	OK
Luis Campusano	C	42	121	38	0.314	5	20	0.407	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.317	0.377	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	112	332	70	0.211	15	44	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.319	0.397	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	115	398	88	0.221	10	42	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.298	0.322	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	25	85	27	0.318	3	12	0.414	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.248	0.326	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	4	4	2	9	0.206

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	DH	108	384	101	0.263	2	22	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.264	0.355	0.324	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	101	386	111	0.288	13	57	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.277	0.344	0.425	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	76	278	68	0.245	12	43	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.242	0.386	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	7	23	5	0.217	1	6	0.240	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.256	0.319	0.439	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	87	322	77	0.239	9	35	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.293	0.290	OK
Angel Genao	3B	7	27	8	0.296	1	3	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.197	0.230	0.366	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	43	114	25	0.219	2	7	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.168	0.191	0.245	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	48	143	31	0.217	5	18	0.272	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.113	0.188	0.189	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	117	412	105	0.255	9	50	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.217	0.264	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	4	8	0.156

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	24	134.0	3.43	1.194	8.1	120	5.2	3	2	2	3	4	96	5.2	4	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	49	48.3	0.93	0.890	17.3	93	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	18	1.0	2	1
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	56	57.4	3.14	1.237	12.5	80	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	29	23.6	3.81	1.271	13.0	34	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	24	142.1	3.61	1.056	11.7	185	6.0	2	0	0	1	9	94	6.0	9	0
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	51	51.4	2.45	1.187	13.5	77	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	22	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	46	33.0	4.09	1.576	10.6	39	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	45	40.9	1.54	0.929	10.1	46	1.0	4	4	4	0	0	9	1.0	0	4

Game Summary

SD wins 4-3

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

SEA 57-65 (3.84 RPG / 4.06 RA)

2 - 4

HOU 62-60 (4.58 RPG / 4.8 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-2 TARGET: SEA 2 - 3 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 51.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	7
HOU	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	x	4	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.2

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-28

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SEA Season Quality

Record57-65

Win%0.467

Run Diff-26

RD/Game-0.213

HOU Season Quality

Record62-60

Win%0.508

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.221

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2614; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	RF	8	32	5	0.156	0	0	0.156	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.329	0.318	OK
Cole Young	2B	122	443	116	0.262	14	52	0.320	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.174	0.225	0.282	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	114	420	116	0.276	16	52	0.370	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.229	0.304	0.423	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	105	318	80	0.252	19	50	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.289	0.436	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	110	432	111	0.257	19	52	0.322	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.238	0.305	0.412	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	113	436	115	0.264	10	43	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.334	0.420	OK
Brendan Donovan	3B	30	108	27	0.250	3	8	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.266	0.327	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	88	320	51	0.159	12	43	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.146	0.250	0.270	OK
Leo Rivas	SS	39	108	14	0.130	0	7	0.258	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.132	0.241	0.176	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	11	0.206

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	73	293	85	0.290	13	38	0.348	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.215	0.259	0.350	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	119	431	140	0.325	35	87	0.439	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.296	0.405	0.525	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	114	418	104	0.249	15	62	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.288	0.344	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	9	32	4	0.125	1	2	0.243	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.198	0.260	0.325	OK
Christian Walker	1B	116	428	102	0.238	22	67	0.319	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.151	0.239	0.278	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	95	371	89	0.240	13	35	0.302	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.197	0.264	0.325	OK
Taylor Trammell	LF	59	166	39	0.235	7	20	0.317	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.233	0.307	0.435	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	58	222	56	0.252	8	27	0.282	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.243	0.278	0.361	OK
Cam Smith	RF	111	392	88	0.224	16	43	0.294	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.319	0.497	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	6	4	4	4	5	0.200

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	22	129.9	3.74	1.293	7.8	112	5.2	6	4	4	4	5	105	5.2	5	4
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	45	41.8	3.44	1.172	14.9	69	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	2.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	54	44.4	3.85	1.486	8.3	41	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.1	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	20	111.1	3.16	1.179	9.0	111	5.2	6	2	2	1	7	101	5.2	7	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	28	27.3	0.66	0.623	12.5	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	13	1.0	3	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	59	51.5	2.45	0.990	10.5	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	45	38.8	4.64	1.469	13.2	57	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs

STL 61-61 (4.34 RPG / 4.37 RA)

3 - 5

CHC 72-51 (5.18 RPG / 4.28 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-3 TARGET: STL 4 - 5 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	6
CHC	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	x	5	11

STL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.4

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

STL Season Quality

Record61-60

Win%0.504

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.008

CHC Season Quality

Record71-51

Win%0.582

Run Diff108

RD/Game0.885

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7099; margin adjustment: 0.2982; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	112	437	107	0.245	16	44	0.350	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.337	0.354	OK
Iván Herrera	C	118	446	109	0.244	12	49	0.354	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.261	0.331	0.400	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	117	448	129	0.288	19	83	0.353	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.283	0.350	0.500	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	115	445	127	0.285	21	79	0.345	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.263	0.317	0.449	OK
Nathan Church	CF	93	306	74	0.242	9	38	0.285	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.253	0.295	0.369	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	110	400	97	0.242	4	49	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.298	0.316	OK
Bryan Torres	DH	40	95	21	0.221	3	12	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.276	0.339	OK
José Fermín	LF	80	222	54	0.243	5	27	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.226	0.311	0.323	OK
César Prieto	3B	11	28	1	0.036	0	0	0.036	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.152	0.162	0.203	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	3	3	3	8	0.182

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	120	454	129	0.284	27	73	0.383	5	4	3	1	0	1	1	0.750	0.242	0.322	0.461	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	103	390	107	0.274	20	70	0.366	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	0.250	0.280	0.362	0.489	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	118	468	120	0.256	16	61	0.348	5	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.278	0.359	0.587	OK
Michael Busch	1B	119	454	112	0.247	13	61	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.332	0.366	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	117	468	123	0.263	7	56	0.320	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.281	0.326	0.384	OK
Carson Kelly	C	85	284	74	0.261	7	42	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.306	0.337	OK
Ian Happ	LF	114	423	92	0.217	20	51	0.324	4	2	1	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.224	0.319	0.452	OK
Tyrone Taylor	RF	6	16	3	0.188	0	0	0.278	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.234	0.284	0.431	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	114	392	84	0.214	16	59	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.312	0.396	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	11	5	5	3	7	0.324

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	23	110.4	5.30	1.567	9.0	110	4.2	6	3	3	2	6	90	4.2	6	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	49	46.8	3.27	1.175	9.4	49	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	54	45.9	4.12	1.394	10.4	53	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	1
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	51	39.1	5.06	1.688	11.3	49	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Clay Holmes	Starter	1	4.0	9.00	2.000	2.2	1	5.2	5	3	3	3	5	98	5.2	5	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	53	48.1	2.62	1.289	11.2	60	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	4	2.4	11.25	2.500	15.0	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	10	1.0	2	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	34	33.6	2.68	1.190	5.1	19	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-3

Texas Rangers @ Oakland Athletics

TEX 60-62 (4.07 RPG / 4.41 RA)

0 - 4

OAK 47-74 (4.33 RPG / 5.82 RA)

WINNER: OAK wins 4-0 TARGET: TEX 0 - 4 OAK (OAK) Confidence: 51.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
OAK	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	9

TEX Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.47858617131063

Avg Allowed4.47858617131063

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

OAK Recent Form

Win%0

Avg Runs4.47858617131063

Avg Allowed4.47858617131063

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

TEX Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

OAK Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	LF	70	273	69	0.253	13	31	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.179	0.251	0.319	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	116	441	121	0.274	13	47	0.342	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.329	0.460	OK
Corey Seager	SS	62	230	46	0.200	12	29	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.302	0.418	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	111	391	104	0.266	13	64	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.317	0.419	OK
Jake Burger	1B	116	425	99	0.233	19	68	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.227	0.286	0.357	OK
Justin Foscue	DH	62	146	37	0.253	7	21	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.300	0.441	OK
Cody Freeman	2B	7	17	4	0.235	0	0	0.278	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.287	0.274	OK
Elias Díaz	C	41	125	30	0.240	3	15	0.256	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.143	0.163	0.258	OK
Evan Carter	CF	102	290	56	0.193	8	31	0.299	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.212	0.293	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	0	0	1	8	0.129

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeff McNeil	1B	103	326	83	0.255	4	36	0.308	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.253	0.306	0.320	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	78	316	85	0.269	7	37	0.299	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.243	0.267	0.350	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	108	392	96	0.245	19	56	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.315	0.490	OK
Zack Gelof	3B	66	239	67	0.280	13	32	0.331	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.293	0.494	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	106	319	66	0.207	9	33	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.284	0.420	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	87	244	63	0.258	7	32	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.305	0.382	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	20	40	8	0.200	0	4	0.396	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.224	0.299	0.368	OK
Jonah Heim	C	61	212	46	0.217	10	31	0.263	4	3	3	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.178	0.223	0.308	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	74	252	65	0.258	5	22	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.302	0.360	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	9	4	4	5	5	0.273

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	22	107.5	4.60	1.423	8.6	103	5.0	6	4	4	4	2	97	5.0	2	4
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	42	51.2	1.41	0.703	9.8	56	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	18	1.1	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	41	41.7	3.67	1.367	10.8	50	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	16	0.2	2	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	6	4.5	4.00	2.222	10.0	5	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gage Jump	Starter	14	70.1	4.62	1.512	10.8	84	4.2	2	0	0	1	6	91	4.2	6	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	55	42.2	4.48	1.943	14.9	70	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	36	32.2	5.59	1.429	12.9	46	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	6	1.2	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	38	48.7	3.70	1.478	11.6	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

OAK wins 4-0

Washington Nationals @ New York Mets

WAS 60-64 (5.35 RPG / 5.19 RA)

5 - 1

NYM 54-69 (4.18 RPG / 4.54 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-1 TARGET: WAS 3 - 2 NYM (WAS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	9
NYM	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

WAS Season Quality

Record60-63

Win%0.488

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.187

NYM Season Quality

Record53-69

Win%0.434

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.385

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3834; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	SS	119	451	128	0.284	29	91	0.357	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.249	0.306	0.451	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	11	30	10	0.333	4	8	0.355	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.342	0.365	0.713	OK
Brady House	DH	59	216	51	0.236	8	27	0.288	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.295	0.391	OK
Daylen Lile	RF	121	462	115	0.249	15	65	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.262	0.298	0.420	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	77	255	70	0.275	7	39	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.289	0.332	0.410	OK
Jose F Miranda	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.250	0.317	0.409
Nasim Nuñez	2B	107	348	80	0.230	1	34	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.193	0.281	0.239	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	83	218	53	0.243	3	19	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.344	0.312	OK
Jacob Young	CF	97	327	81	0.248	10	41	0.306	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.294	0.339	0.491	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	5	5	3	12	0.250

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	80	290	76	0.262	7	28	0.334	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.292	0.333	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	64	251	60	0.239	11	30	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.316	0.439	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	118	474	124	0.262	12	61	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.306	0.414	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	42	149	32	0.215	6	17	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.302	0.420	OK
Carson Benge	RF	113	433	118	0.273	13	47	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.292	0.346	0.431	OK
Francisco Alvarez	DH	81	267	65	0.243	12	28	0.332	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.324	0.412	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	101	358	77	0.215	14	41	0.275	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.131	0.200	0.253	OK
Jared Young	1B	67	204	53	0.260	6	22	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.293	0.344	0.441	OK
Luis Torrens	C	65	195	46	0.236	5	28	0.300	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.312	0.503	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	1	1	2	9	0.129

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Alvarez	Starter	17	66.3	3.94	1.463	8.8	65	5.0	3	1	1	2	3	89	5.0	3	1
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	38	33.5	3.49	1.254	10.2	38	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	28	2.0	2	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	38	32.5	3.88	1.323	8.9	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	4	2.2	12.27	4.091	12.3	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Stock	Starter	2	8.0	10.12	2.125	9.0	8	3.2	7	1	1	2	3	75	3.2	3	1
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	16	45.1	8.58	1.796	11.4	57	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	23	1.0	2	1
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	12	15.7	1.15	0.828	7.5	13	1.1	1	1	1	1	2	24	1.1	2	1
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever	3	3.1	0.00	0.968	14.5	5	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Dedniel Núñez	Middle Reliever	3	2.1	21.43	4.286	12.9	3	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	15	1.0	1	1
Jefry Yan	Middle Reliever	4	2.4	3.75	3.750	11.2	3	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	17	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-1

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

ARI Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays

BAL Recent Form

TB Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

BOS Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

CHW Recent Form

DET Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

COL Recent Form

SF Recent Form

COL Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels

KC Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

KC Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds

MIA Recent Form

CIN Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

CIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers