MLB Predictions — August 11, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ MIN	4 - 5	4 - 5	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 5-4	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ TOR	3 - 2	5 - 1	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ WAS	3 - 2	4 - 2	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ CHW	2 - 4	1 - 6	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ DET	2 - 6	2 - 6	DET	DET	DET wins 6-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ ARI	3 - 5	3 - 5	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ SF	7 - 2	7 - 2	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 7-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ LAD	5 - 6	5 - 6	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ SD	4 - 3	4 - 3	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ ATL	4 - 5	2 - 6	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ STL	5 - 2	5 - 2	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-2	61%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ MIA	2 - 3	2 - 4	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 4-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ NYY	2 - 3	1 - 5	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-1	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ OAK	5 - 1	5 - 1	TB	TB	TB wins 5-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ LAA	5 - 4	7 - 2	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 7-2	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins

BAL 57-62 (4.48 RPG / 4.79 RA)

4 - 5

MIN 59-61 (4.68 RPG / 4.94 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 5-4 TARGET: BAL 4 - 5 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	7
MIN	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	1	5	8

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Season Quality

Record57-62

Win%0.479

Run Diff-37

RD/Game-0.311

MIN Season Quality

Record59-61

Win%0.492

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.258

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1095; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	115	465	98	0.211	17	46	0.293	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.167	0.267	0.288	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	116	434	110	0.253	25	75	0.347	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.278	0.359	0.539	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	63	182	45	0.247	6	21	0.340	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.283	0.364	0.436	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	72	193	42	0.218	10	21	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.320	0.467	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	17	51	10	0.196	2	10	0.268	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.107	0.169	0.220	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	87	273	60	0.220	15	45	0.282	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.249	0.297	0.488	OK
Christian Franklin	CF	4	8	1	0.125	0	0	0.222	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.152	0.238	0.285	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	LF	71	220	51	0.232	6	32	0.260	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.205	0.242	0.314	OK
Yohel Pozo	C	4	9	2	0.222	1	2	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.136	0.144	0.244	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	4	4	4	10	0.206

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	95	308	85	0.276	10	40	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.216	0.295	0.372	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	56	198	56	0.283	10	40	0.384	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.354	0.431	OK
Josh Bell	DH	115	424	107	0.252	16	71	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.294	0.347	0.515	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	103	385	89	0.231	20	55	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.264	0.437	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	85	310	74	0.239	13	42	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.291	0.348	0.488	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	111	421	102	0.242	17	60	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.285	0.422	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	110	373	98	0.263	6	34	0.354	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.268	0.346	0.374	OK
Alan Roden	RF	21	48	10	0.208	0	8	0.298	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.174	0.276	0.242	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	3	9	1	0.111	1	2	0.308	3	3	2	1	3	0	0	0.667	0.204	0.274	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	8	5	5	1	7	0.235

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	19	104.4	3.53	1.351	7.7	89	6.0	6	3	3	0	4	106	6.0	4	3
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	50	32.9	2.19	0.973	9.8	36	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	40	30.6	4.12	1.536	8.5	29	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.1	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	54	43.6	3.30	0.986	10.7	52	0.2	1	1	1	1	1	15	0.2	1	1

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	17	91.6	4.52	1.234	6.2	63	5.1	2	1	1	1	7	95	5.1	7	1
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	3.00	1.333	15.0	5	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	26	1.2	1	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	40	30.8	2.05	1.331	10.8	37	1.0	3	3	3	3	2	34	1.0	2	3
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	45	48.1	3.56	1.455	9.7	52	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 5-4

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

BOS 64-55 (4.43 RPG / 3.75 RA)

5 - 1

TOR 58-63 (3.93 RPG / 4.4 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-1 TARGET: BOS 3 - 2 TOR (BOS) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	7
TOR	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs7.0

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff33

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BOS Season Quality

Record64-54

Win%0.542

Run Diff83

RD/Game0.703

TOR Season Quality

Record57-63

Win%0.475

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.483

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0555; margin adjustment: -0.4433; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	22	79	20	0.253	0	3	0.366	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.252	0.351	0.352	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	110	437	125	0.286	14	59	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.291	0.314	0.441	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	113	430	110	0.256	20	63	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.251	0.342	0.501	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	105	367	103	0.281	23	70	0.390	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.224	0.318	0.399	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.310	0.374
Masataka Yoshida	DH	77	236	62	0.263	4	25	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.275	0.344	0.411	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	106	362	87	0.240	11	51	0.310	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.255	0.313	0.390	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	109	421	84	0.200	16	54	0.258	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.189	0.244	0.353	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	74	225	60	0.267	6	31	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.183	0.248	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	5	5	3	12	0.206

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Charles McAdoo	3B	9	27	5	0.185	2	4	0.214	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.221	0.390	OK
Brett Bateman	CF	4	18	4	0.222	0	1	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.191	0.250	0.285	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	110	414	108	0.261	7	46	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.306	0.364	OK
George Springer	DH	87	337	79	0.234	12	36	0.317	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.221	0.294	0.334	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	43	150	38	0.253	4	19	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.305	0.330	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	117	451	128	0.284	9	39	0.307	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.158	0.181	0.264	OK
Myles Straw	LF	87	203	44	0.217	3	17	0.261	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.198	0.244	0.305	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	83	278	74	0.266	6	21	0.319	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.222	0.258	0.335	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	108	357	85	0.238	8	47	0.281	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.245	0.271	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	1	1	1	7	0.129

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	5	23.3	3.48	1.717	9.7	25	4.2	4	1	1	1	4	81	4.2	4	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	40	39.2	1.38	1.148	11.5	50	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.1	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	45	43.3	2.08	0.901	10.2	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	35	24.5	5.88	1.714	14.0	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	3	3.1	0.00	1.290	17.4	6	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	21	124.0	2.32	1.065	13.4	184	6.2	5	2	2	3	9	111	6.2	9	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	55	57.7	1.40	1.075	11.9	76	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	56	50.5	1.78	1.248	5.0	28	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	34	68.7	3.54	1.223	9.4	72	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	9	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-1

Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals

CHC 70-50 (5.18 RPG / 4.28 RA)

4 - 2

WAS 59-62 (5.36 RPG / 5.18 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-2 TARGET: CHC 3 - 2 WAS (CHC) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	7
WAS	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

CHC Season Quality

Record69-50

Win%0.580

Run Diff107

RD/Game0.899

WAS Season Quality

Record59-61

Win%0.492

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.200

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7434; margin adjustment: -0.3122; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	117	439	127	0.289	26	71	0.391	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.279	0.360	0.540	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	100	378	103	0.272	19	66	0.365	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.235	0.322	0.387	OK
Michael Busch	1B	116	441	110	0.249	13	61	0.358	5	5	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.364	0.412	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	115	458	115	0.251	12	53	0.341	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.260	0.323	0.377	OK
Ian Happ	LF	111	414	90	0.217	20	51	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.224	0.304	0.476	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	115	460	120	0.261	7	55	0.318	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.281	0.328	0.391	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	75	177	42	0.237	9	25	0.320	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.297	0.372	0.458	OK
Carson Kelly	C	83	275	73	0.265	7	41	0.348	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.352	0.411	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	111	385	82	0.213	15	56	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.206	0.283	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	4	4	4	5	0.206

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Crews	RF	66	252	55	0.218	9	25	0.294	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.197	0.245	0.312	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	43	98	23	0.235	6	28	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.191	0.262	0.371	OK
Brady House	3B	56	203	46	0.227	8	27	0.279	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.149	0.201	0.304	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	116	439	126	0.287	28	89	0.359	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.317	0.446	OK
Harry Ford	C	12	35	7	0.200	2	6	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.316	0.451	OK
Jacob Young	CF	95	319	77	0.241	9	40	0.302	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.253	0.311	0.407	OK
Daylen Lile	DH	118	450	111	0.247	15	61	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.284	0.423	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	105	340	78	0.229	1	33	0.316	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.172	0.272	0.229	OK
Andrew Pinckney	LF	1	2	1	0.500	1	1	0.500	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.171	0.184	0.476	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	4	2	2	5	8	0.133

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	23	130.1	3.67	1.115	8.6	125	6.0	4	2	2	4	6	107	6.0	6	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	52	47.0	2.68	1.298	11.1	58	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	3	2.2	4.09	0.909	16.4	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	33	32.6	2.76	1.227	4.7	17	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	41	29.6	6.08	1.554	13.4	44	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.0	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Irvin	Starter	13	61.3	5.43	1.305	9.1	62	4.1	2	2	2	2	0	90	4.1	0	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	37	32.5	3.60	1.292	10.2	37	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	37	31.5	3.71	1.302	9.1	32	1.1	2	1	1	0	2	23	1.1	2	1
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	3	2.1	4.29	2.857	12.9	3	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	24	1.0	1	1
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	10	7.9	3.42	1.266	8.0	7	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox

CIN 56-61 (4.12 RPG / 4.75 RA)

1 - 6

CHW 61-56 (4.76 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-1 TARGET: CIN 2 - 4 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 56.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3
CHW	1	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	x	6	10

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CIN Season Quality

Record56-61

Win%0.479

Run Diff-74

RD/Game-0.632

CHW Season Quality

Record61-56

Win%0.521

Run Diff37

RD/Game0.316

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6205; margin adjustment: 0.2606; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	97	383	105	0.274	20	54	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.323	0.486	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	116	440	113	0.257	25	87	0.335	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.317	0.445	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	87	312	71	0.228	20	47	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.199	0.306	0.409	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	87	282	70	0.248	10	33	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.230	0.310	0.426	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	85	304	62	0.204	16	43	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.277	0.461	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	5	13	2	0.154	0	0	0.267	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.171	0.270	0.265	OK
Dane Myers	CF	70	175	46	0.263	3	18	0.351	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.225	0.306	0.311	OK
Matt McLain	2B	88	298	58	0.195	10	28	0.293	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.206	0.293	0.419	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	53	165	23	0.139	4	7	0.193	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.128	0.170	0.233	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	1	1	2	13	0.100

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brenton Doyle	CF	5	14	4	0.286	0	0	0.286	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.238	0.288	0.314	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	82	295	70	0.237	26	54	0.370	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.232	0.359	0.534	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	115	430	101	0.235	24	67	0.341	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.218	0.323	0.416	OK
Randal Grichuk	LF	64	141	39	0.277	9	23	0.311	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.272	0.301	0.503	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	50	179	42	0.235	4	24	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.318	0.377	OK
Colson Montgomery	DH	111	418	90	0.215	26	68	0.296	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.215	0.281	0.435	OK
Edgar Quero	C	57	175	34	0.194	2	16	0.255	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.203	0.274	0.254	OK
Sam Antonacci	2B	94	328	91	0.277	8	34	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.319	0.399	OK
Luisangel Acuña	SS	68	177	43	0.243	1	12	0.277	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.198	0.226	0.245	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	10	6	6	3	4	0.303

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Lodolo	Starter	12	60.8	4.74	1.513	7.4	50	5.0	8	6	6	3	2	99	5.0	2	6
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	26	24.4	4.43	1.189	10.3	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	37	32.1	3.36	1.184	9.8	35	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	59	49.3	3.29	1.481	9.7	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	23	125.4	3.16	1.148	10.3	144	5.2	2	1	1	2	9	93	5.2	9	1
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	39	51.5	3.32	1.320	9.8	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-1

Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers

CLE 58-62 (3.98 RPG / 4.22 RA)

2 - 6

DET 59-60 (4.58 RPG / 3.83 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 6-2 TARGET: CLE 2 - 6 DET (DET) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8
DET	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	2	x	6	8

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs7.5

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff48

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

CLE Season Quality

Record58-61

Win%0.487

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.227

DET Season Quality

Record58-60

Win%0.492

Run Diff87

RD/Game0.737

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0451; margin adjustment: 0.4389; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	105	373	98	0.263	2	22	0.356	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.268	0.350	0.342	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	98	372	104	0.280	12	56	0.355	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.235	0.320	0.362	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	4	14	4	0.286	1	6	0.312	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	0.333	0.267	0.334	0.477	OK
Jo Adell	DH	6	22	3	0.136	0	0	0.296	5	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.244	0.337	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	85	315	76	0.241	9	35	0.339	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.205	0.295	0.299	OK
Angel Martínez	LF	73	268	63	0.235	12	42	0.270	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.267	0.415	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	47	140	31	0.221	5	18	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.175	0.238	0.303	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	114	400	103	0.258	9	50	0.320	4	4	4	0	0	0	0	1.000	0.210	0.260	0.295	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	43	114	25	0.219	2	7	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.224	0.246	0.311	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	8	2	2	6	9	0.235

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	113	432	124	0.287	12	45	0.392	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.291	0.391	0.441	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	61	226	58	0.257	7	29	0.373	5	1	1	1	0	2	0	1.000	0.208	0.308	0.313	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	108	411	113	0.275	26	80	0.338	5	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.260	0.304	0.501	OK
Riley Greene	LF	115	418	115	0.275	16	54	0.368	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.313	0.375	OK
Colt Keith	DH	106	310	83	0.268	8	30	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.285	0.328	0.435	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	116	404	91	0.225	20	58	0.314	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.294	0.367	0.437	OK
Max Clark	CF	9	37	11	0.297	1	7	0.381	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.277	0.372	OK
Javier Báez	SS	32	114	32	0.281	2	14	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.291	0.357	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	89	280	63	0.225	4	24	0.303	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.324	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	31	8	6	6	6	6	0.258

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	24	135.2	3.93	1.154	7.3	110	6.0	3	1	1	4	4	113	6.0	4	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	50	50.3	2.50	1.173	13.2	74	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	29	1.0	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	45	32.8	3.84	1.524	10.2	37	0.0	3	3	3	0	0	16	0.0	0	3
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	44	39.8	1.58	0.930	10.2	45	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Anderson	Starter	41	60.1	4.49	1.448	11.7	78	4.2	6	2	2	2	5	97	4.2	5	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	33	28.8	3.44	1.215	11.6	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	47	41.7	3.02	1.655	8.0	37	0.2	0	0	0	2	0	16	0.2	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	50	46.6	3.28	1.438	8.5	44	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Jacob Waguespack	Middle Reliever	17	17.7	2.03	1.017	7.6	15	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

DET wins 6-2

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks

COL 46-73 (4.77 RPG / 5.77 RA)

3 - 5

ARI 64-56 (4.55 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 5-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 5 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	6
ARI	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	x	5	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-6

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

COL Season Quality

Record46-72

Win%0.390

Run Diff-110

RD/Game-0.932

ARI Season Quality

Record63-56

Win%0.529

Run Diff5

RD/Game0.042

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9065; margin adjustment: 0.3807; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	98	372	114	0.306	13	66	0.341	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.354	0.380	0.608	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	107	333	89	0.267	9	42	0.365	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.236	0.317	0.352	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	49	169	49	0.290	5	30	0.377	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.272	0.361	0.457	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	109	407	103	0.253	34	69	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.285	0.491	OK
Willi Castro	1B	100	360	95	0.264	13	48	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.319	0.446	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	79	274	75	0.274	19	52	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.263	0.307	0.530	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	34	97	19	0.196	1	10	0.240	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.253	0.349	OK
Connor Norby	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.199	0.280	0.308
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	106	364	75	0.206	9	37	0.253	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.217	0.266	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	6	3	3	5	5	0.188

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	LF	6	20	3	0.150	0	1	0.320	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.203	0.310	0.321	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	116	436	105	0.241	16	55	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.217	0.293	0.420	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	91	322	98	0.304	8	52	0.385	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.323	0.398	0.493	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	113	458	113	0.247	20	65	0.308	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.244	0.305	0.426	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	113	388	94	0.242	18	58	0.322	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.241	0.308	0.477	OK
James McCann	C	31	102	31	0.304	4	21	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.328	0.357	0.519	OK
Tim Tawa	1B	56	170	39	0.229	6	26	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.242	0.297	0.388	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	SS	92	324	88	0.272	7	51	0.315	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.284	0.328	0.417	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	53	176	51	0.290	2	15	0.339	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.298	0.344	0.467	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	5	5	2	12	0.273

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	20	104.4	4.66	1.303	5.3	61	5.2	6	3	3	2	9	100	5.2	9	3
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	3.91	1.739	12.7	13	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	47	44.0	6.14	1.818	10.0	49	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.1	1	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	55	38.1	3.31	1.470	8.5	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Bratt	Starter	6	27.2	3.97	1.544	6.9	21	4.2	4	2	2	4	4	87	4.2	4	2
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.1	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-3

Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants

HOU 61-59 (4.63 RPG / 4.84 RA)

7 - 2

SF 50-70 (4.12 RPG / 4.63 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 7-2 TARGET: HOU 7 - 2 SF (HOU) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	1	0	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	7	9
SF	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-22

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

HOU Season Quality

Record60-59

Win%0.504

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.235

SF Season Quality

Record50-69

Win%0.420

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.487

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.579; margin adjustment: -0.2432; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	71	284	84	0.296	13	38	0.355	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.217	0.265	0.343	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	117	427	139	0.326	35	86	0.438	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.336	0.426	0.539	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	112	410	102	0.249	15	62	0.345	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.248	0.316	0.386	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	95	371	89	0.240	13	35	0.302	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.221	0.281	0.359	OK
Christian Walker	1B	115	424	102	0.241	22	67	0.321	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.325	0.410	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.275	0.419
Daulton Varsho	CF	7	25	3	0.120	1	2	0.241	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.207	0.272	0.343	OK
Cam Smith	RF	109	385	87	0.226	16	43	0.297	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.300	0.355	0.585	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	57	219	56	0.256	8	27	0.283	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.211	0.241	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	7	7	3	9	0.257

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	107	407	123	0.302	8	44	0.339	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.278	0.429	OK
Willy Adames	SS	113	433	96	0.222	18	47	0.281	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.200	0.265	0.366	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	76	267	66	0.247	11	28	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.322	0.389	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	118	442	110	0.249	23	63	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.318	0.455	OK
Victor Bericoto	LF	21	58	17	0.293	4	9	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.281	0.298	0.516	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	87	241	59	0.245	5	24	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.290	0.399	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	11	35	9	0.257	3	8	0.270	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.249	0.257	0.503	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	25	62	14	0.226	0	4	0.333	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.188	0.286	0.261	OK
Christian Koss	3B	23	62	10	0.161	0	1	0.188	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.161	0.188	0.207	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	2	2	4	3	0.156

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	11	56.8	3.64	1.285	10.0	63	5.2	3	2	2	3	2	104	5.2	2	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	27	26.3	0.68	0.646	13.0	38	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	58	50.4	2.50	1.012	10.7	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	44	37.8	4.76	1.508	13.1	55	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Whisenhunt	Starter	5	21.4	7.57	1.916	8.4	20	4.1	7	5	5	1	6	80	4.1	6	5
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	26	20.3	3.55	1.478	12.0	27	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	42	33.9	3.45	1.386	8.8	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	36	51.0	3.71	1.314	6.5	37	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	10	1.1	1	1
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	33	22.3	3.23	1.928	12.5	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Jason Foley	Middle Reliever	8	7.3	6.16	1.644	6.2	5	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	16	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 7-2

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

KC 49-71 (4.14 RPG / 5.07 RA)

5 - 6

LAD 71-48 (5.02 RPG / 3.85 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-5 TARGET: KC 5 - 6 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	13
LAD	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	1	x	6	9

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

KC Season Quality

Record49-70

Win%0.412

Run Diff-110

RD/Game-0.924

LAD Season Quality

Record70-48

Win%0.593

Run Diff138

RD/Game1.169

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4819; margin adjustment: 0.6224; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Loftin	3B	80	245	61	0.249	5	35	0.331	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.229	0.307	0.368	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	100	391	110	0.281	13	41	0.352	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.247	0.321	0.385	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	110	395	104	0.263	21	52	0.315	5	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.281	0.318	0.538	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	110	426	92	0.216	16	49	0.262	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.201	0.230	0.325	OK
Carter Jensen	C	109	389	88	0.226	16	55	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.167	0.258	0.359	OK
Michael Massey	2B	96	305	80	0.262	9	39	0.294	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.226	0.255	0.356	OK
Tyler Tolbert	LF	33	86	27	0.314	3	6	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.290	0.342	0.439	OK
John Rave	RF	16	42	11	0.262	2	2	0.326	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.153	0.226	0.359	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	61	182	42	0.231	4	15	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.195	0.242	0.330	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	39	13	5	5	0	4	0.333

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	108	414	121	0.292	26	70	0.396	4	3	2	1	0	0	1	0.667	0.305	0.400	0.574	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	115	435	134	0.308	15	55	0.382	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.330	0.388	0.446	OK
Andy Pages	CF	116	451	122	0.271	19	75	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.280	0.336	0.467	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	109	390	95	0.244	11	54	0.334	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.167	0.267	0.330	OK
Max Muncy	3B	107	355	87	0.245	22	55	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.227	0.309	0.449	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	80	316	73	0.231	13	36	0.282	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.240	0.290	0.350	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	39	140	38	0.271	3	20	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.267	0.351	OK
Alex Call	LF	54	122	30	0.246	1	16	0.338	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.118	0.207	0.197	OK
Ben Rortvedt	C	2	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.210	0.223	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	6	6	2	6	0.273

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	23	141.9	3.49	1.170	7.1	112	6.0	7	4	4	2	3	105	6.0	3	4
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	45	42.7	6.74	1.710	10.3	49	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	7	0.0	0	1
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	41	38.8	4.64	1.340	11.4	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	48	36.7	4.41	1.662	8.1	33	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Blake Snell	Starter	1	3.0	12.00	2.667	15.0	5	3.0	11	4	4	0	2	77	3.0	2	4
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	12	10.3	7.86	2.039	14.0	16	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.0	1	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	51	43.7	2.47	1.007	12.4	60	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	8	2.0	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	13	8.8	5.11	1.364	11.2	11	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	52	31.8	3.68	1.509	15.6	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Jack Dreyer	Middle Reliever	49	41.0	3.73	1.195	12.1	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-5

Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres

MIL 74-45 (4.93 RPG / 3.76 RA)

4 - 3

SD 63-57 (4.22 RPG / 4.3 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-3 TARGET: MIL 4 - 3 SD (MIL) Confidence: 51.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	8
SD	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

MIL Season Quality

Record74-44

Win%0.627

Run Diff141

RD/Game1.195

SD Season Quality

Record62-57

Win%0.521

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.084

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8802; margin adjustment: -0.3697; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	SS	110	430	119	0.277	16	74	0.365	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.284	0.369	0.454	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	83	344	98	0.285	17	47	0.348	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.283	0.355	0.552	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	101	333	82	0.246	7	43	0.342	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.214	0.301	0.361	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	102	349	94	0.269	20	65	0.372	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.288	0.388	0.522	OK
William Contreras	C	108	417	109	0.261	11	58	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.297	0.365	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	78	302	68	0.225	8	38	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.298	0.392	OK
Luis Lara	RF	21	65	15	0.231	0	11	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.231	0.320	0.325	OK
David Hamilton	3B	81	241	56	0.232	3	16	0.305	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.202	0.278	0.295	OK
Jihwan Bae	2B	1	1	1	1.000	0	0	1.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.842	0.845	0.878	LARGE
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	4	7	0.229

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	117	464	130	0.280	11	53	0.350	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.302	0.437	OK
Luis Rengifo	DH	23	76	24	0.316	2	8	0.416	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.236	0.313	0.294	OK
Manny Machado	3B	117	433	91	0.210	23	70	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.182	0.266	0.302	OK
Ty France	1B	88	296	86	0.291	17	51	0.343	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.280	0.325	0.507	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	116	454	111	0.244	19	61	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.308	0.573	OK
Austin Hays	LF	1	1	1	1.000	1	2	1.000	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.226	0.366	LARGE
Luis Campusano	C	40	115	34	0.296	4	16	0.391	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.333	0.397	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	113	390	86	0.221	9	41	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.197	0.292	0.264	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	67	226	49	0.217	3	17	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.217	0.285	0.285	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	9	0.182

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	18	86.8	2.90	1.060	11.5	111	5.2	5	3	3	2	7	94	5.2	7	3
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	46	45.1	1.80	0.820	10.6	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	49	44.6	2.22	1.121	9.7	48	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.1	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	55	59.6	3.93	1.560	14.2	94	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	23	104.6	5.25	1.511	8.2	95	4.1	5	2	2	4	6	86	4.1	6	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	48	47.3	0.95	0.867	17.5	92	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	55	55.4	3.25	1.209	12.3	76	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	28	22.6	3.98	1.327	13.1	33	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	22	1.2	1	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-3

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves

NYM 53-68 (4.19 RPG / 4.55 RA)

2 - 6

ATL 72-49 (4.85 RPG / 3.89 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-2 TARGET: NYM 4 - 5 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 56.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	8
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	x	6	8

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYM Season Quality

Record53-67

Win%0.442

Run Diff-40

RD/Game-0.333

ATL Season Quality

Record71-49

Win%0.592

Run Diff112

RD/Game0.933

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0452; margin adjustment: 0.439; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	78	283	75	0.265	7	28	0.336	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.223	0.288	0.340	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	62	244	59	0.242	11	30	0.327	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.334	0.492	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	116	467	123	0.263	11	60	0.308	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.310	0.375	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	40	142	30	0.211	5	16	0.285	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.163	0.231	0.266	OK
Carson Benge	RF	111	425	114	0.268	13	47	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.327	0.422	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	99	353	77	0.218	14	41	0.278	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.213	0.270	0.381	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	79	261	65	0.249	12	28	0.337	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.237	0.316	0.415	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	33	121	17	0.140	2	5	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.153	0.211	0.276	OK
Gabriel Arias	1B	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.276	0.370
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	2	2	2	6	0.229

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	96	372	102	0.274	20	60	0.361	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.265	0.323	0.385	OK
Matt Olson	1B	119	461	122	0.265	34	72	0.340	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.277	0.344	0.634	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	113	432	127	0.294	20	67	0.320	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.295	0.314	0.465	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	119	455	118	0.259	19	63	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.239	0.309	0.383	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	113	423	114	0.270	10	60	0.317	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.285	0.323	0.392	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	98	262	60	0.229	8	32	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.306	0.420	OK
Austin Riley	3B	118	422	93	0.220	14	57	0.297	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.226	0.291	0.405	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	32	96	22	0.229	1	11	0.282	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	0.500	0.195	0.246	0.291	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	67	251	61	0.243	12	29	0.354	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.340	0.468	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	8	6	6	7	7	0.250

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	23	128.8	3.56	1.180	10.9	156	5.2	3	2	2	4	4	105	5.2	4	2
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	16	45.1	8.58	1.796	11.4	57	1.0	5	4	4	3	1	44	1.0	1	4
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	12	15.7	1.15	0.828	7.5	13	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	22	1.1	2	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Martín Pérez	Starter	22	98.7	3.19	1.165	7.1	78	5.2	6	2	2	0	4	101	5.2	4	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	42	40.8	3.09	1.225	10.6	48	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	55	46.8	2.31	0.855	12.7	66	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	41	45.3	2.78	1.214	12.9	65	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-2

Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals

PHI 64-56 (4.45 RPG / 4.44 RA)

5 - 2

STL 59-60 (4.37 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-2 TARGET: PHI 5 - 2 STL (PHI) Confidence: 61.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	6
STL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	5

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.7

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff18

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PHI Season Quality

Record64-56

Win%0.533

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.008

STL Season Quality

Record59-60

Win%0.496

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.076

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.234; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	112	418	104	0.249	34	68	0.369	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.323	0.437	0.591	OK
Trea Turner	SS	113	476	119	0.250	17	47	0.294	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.263	0.374	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	118	418	106	0.254	25	71	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.397	0.508	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	7	32	7	0.219	1	5	0.235	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.284	0.349	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	85	293	66	0.225	8	38	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.277	0.335	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	113	391	104	0.266	8	52	0.340	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.295	0.388	0.447	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	113	419	115	0.274	16	52	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.223	0.276	0.336	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	113	423	96	0.227	13	62	0.288	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.230	0.293	0.348	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	105	319	83	0.260	2	29	0.310	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.266	0.320	0.390	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	5	5	4	8	0.182

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	110	430	106	0.247	16	44	0.351	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.342	0.373	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	116	438	108	0.247	12	48	0.356	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.306	0.357	0.441	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	113	440	126	0.286	21	78	0.344	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.272	0.313	0.431	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	115	442	126	0.285	19	80	0.350	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.258	0.331	0.513	OK
José Fermín	LF	78	216	53	0.245	5	27	0.315	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.223	0.311	0.316	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	108	393	95	0.242	4	48	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.242	0.311	0.331	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	41	137	35	0.255	1	22	0.274	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.288	0.383	OK
Everson Pereira	CF	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.500	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.210	0.265	0.420
Pedro Pagés	C	53	155	32	0.206	4	11	0.251	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.161	0.213	0.254	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	2	2	4	6	0.156

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	24	147.8	2.68	1.231	10.6	174	6.0	3	1	1	3	6	101	6.0	6	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	43	40.4	1.34	0.941	13.1	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	50	41.2	4.37	1.481	11.1	51	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	45	38.7	3.02	1.034	12.3	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	22	121.2	3.71	1.246	6.7	90	5.2	3	4	4	3	6	101	5.2	6	4
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	48	45.8	3.34	1.201	9.4	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	53	44.9	4.21	1.381	10.2	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	50	38.1	5.20	1.732	11.6	49	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	2	2.3	0.00	0.870	11.7	3	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	16	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-2

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins

PIT 58-63 (4.98 RPG / 4.82 RA)

2 - 4

MIA 61-59 (4.38 RPG / 4.24 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 4-2 TARGET: PIT 2 - 3 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	7
MIA	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	x	4	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

PIT Season Quality

Record58-62

Win%0.483

Run Diff21

RD/Game0.175

MIA Season Quality

Record60-59

Win%0.504

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.126

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1677; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	86	309	95	0.307	4	27	0.355	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.304	0.342	0.450	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	108	427	107	0.251	25	74	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.237	0.300	0.456	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	117	428	116	0.271	15	63	0.383	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.357	0.403	OK
Spencer Horwitz	1B	81	268	72	0.269	10	37	0.377	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.206	0.315	0.319	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	110	423	128	0.303	4	51	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.238	0.270	0.310	OK
Ronny Simon	DH	5	18	5	0.278	0	2	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.310	0.344	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	47	149	35	0.235	11	30	0.370	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.211	0.362	0.458	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	18	46	9	0.196	1	5	0.191	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.178	0.220	0.293	OK
Henry Davis	C	66	205	35	0.171	8	30	0.260	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.173	0.250	0.271	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	1	14	0.206

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	117	433	123	0.284	6	44	0.365	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.329	0.345	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	115	462	147	0.318	9	53	0.351	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.299	0.382	OK
Griffin Conine	1B	50	147	39	0.265	12	26	0.345	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.337	0.541	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	86	286	65	0.227	16	44	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.183	0.240	0.355	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	111	378	78	0.206	6	28	0.325	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.267	0.358	0.397	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	90	299	82	0.274	4	42	0.306	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.311	0.343	0.463	OK
Owen Caissie	DH	84	238	55	0.231	12	51	0.291	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.225	0.292	0.410	OK
Joe Mack	C	69	209	49	0.234	11	34	0.289	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.150	0.204	0.270	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	56	126	33	0.262	5	10	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.284	0.393	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	31	7	4	4	0	7	0.226

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	24	127.8	4.01	1.135	11.4	162	5.1	3	1	1	0	7	96	5.1	7	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.2	1	1	1	0	0	13	1.2	0	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	47	40.0	3.82	1.325	16.9	75	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	20	108.5	3.65	1.143	10.0	121	5.2	4	1	1	0	8	89	5.2	8	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	39	34.7	6.48	1.412	13.0	50	1.0	3	1	1	0	2	21	1.0	2	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	50	43.6	4.95	1.697	11.6	56	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	20	1.0	3	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	47	42.5	3.39	1.224	12.3	58	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 4-2

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees

SEA 56-63 (3.88 RPG / 4.04 RA)

1 - 5

NYY 66-52 (4.5 RPG / 3.81 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-1 TARGET: SEA 2 - 3 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3
NYY	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	x	5	8

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-26

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs2.6

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SEA Season Quality

Record56-63

Win%0.471

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.160

NYY Season Quality

Record66-52

Win%0.559

Run Diff82

RD/Game0.695

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7988; margin adjustment: 0.3355; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	RF	6	23	4	0.174	0	0	0.174	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.225	0.338	0.322	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	111	409	113	0.276	14	49	0.369	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.294	0.365	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	107	422	109	0.258	18	51	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.259	0.311	0.439	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	102	307	77	0.251	18	49	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.299	0.426	OK
Cole Young	2B	119	434	115	0.265	14	52	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.307	0.383	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	85	310	50	0.161	12	43	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.143	0.243	0.268	OK
Brendan Donovan	3B	27	97	25	0.258	3	8	0.354	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.207	0.266	0.329	OK
Weston Wilson	1B	21	55	10	0.182	2	7	0.237	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.190	0.268	0.303	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	66	214	42	0.196	8	23	0.253	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.200	0.246	0.327	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	3	1	1	5	8	0.100

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	93	330	70	0.212	12	43	0.304	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.217	0.287	0.410	OK
Ben Rice	DH	110	411	106	0.258	31	71	0.353	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.338	0.491	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	5	17	2	0.118	0	0	0.286	4	3	2	1	3	0	1	0.667	0.212	0.261	0.351	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	5	19	4	0.211	1	2	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.243	0.278	0.482	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	106	376	82	0.218	17	47	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.190	0.276	0.354	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	5	17	5	0.294	2	2	0.400	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.332	0.424	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	42	118	25	0.212	5	15	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.206	0.291	0.382	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	87	250	54	0.216	10	28	0.278	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.290	0.351	OK
Austin Wells	C	82	234	41	0.175	8	17	0.271	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.215	0.290	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	8	5	5	3	7	0.258

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	22	126.4	4.34	1.123	9.0	127	5.2	5	3	3	3	6	101	5.2	6	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	44	40.8	3.53	1.201	14.8	67	1.2	3	2	2	0	1	30	1.2	1	2
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	52	42.4	4.03	1.557	8.3	39	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	22	116.8	3.93	1.267	10.2	132	5.2	2	1	1	3	5	89	5.2	5	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	48	48.4	2.79	1.116	10.8	58	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	17	1.1	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	55	36.7	3.92	1.798	15.2	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	60	47.9	1.88	1.420	13.3	71	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-1

Tampa Bay Rays @ Oakland Athletics

TB 72-46 (4.48 RPG / 4.06 RA)

5 - 1

OAK 47-72 (4.34 RPG / 5.75 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-1 TARGET: TB 5 - 1 OAK (TB) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	9
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak7W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed7.5

Run Diff-39

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

TB Season Quality

Record71-46

Win%0.607

Run Diff46

RD/Game0.393

OAK Season Quality

Record47-71

Win%0.398

Run Diff-164

RD/Game-1.390

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.7823; margin adjustment: -2.8517; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	112	439	134	0.305	16	67	0.375	5	4	3	1	0	1	0	0.750	0.371	0.414	0.558	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	114	428	124	0.290	15	73	0.376	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.305	0.369	0.437	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	117	444	123	0.277	34	74	0.369	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.232	0.325	0.567	OK
Liam Hicks	C	6	18	5	0.278	1	6	0.409	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.194	0.284	0.302	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	107	413	126	0.305	0	24	0.332	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.349	0.372	0.405	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	45	146	31	0.212	9	19	0.280	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.271	0.439	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	98	338	70	0.207	13	36	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.161	0.240	0.273	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	85	241	56	0.232	5	34	0.333	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.167	0.283	0.288	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	89	280	59	0.211	0	25	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.308	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	5	5	2	10	0.250

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeff McNeil	1B	102	323	82	0.254	4	36	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.251	0.304	0.317	OK
Zack Gelof	LF	64	231	64	0.277	12	31	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.294	0.459	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	77	313	84	0.268	7	37	0.299	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.223	0.246	0.321	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	85	236	61	0.258	7	28	0.333	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.219	0.295	0.343	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	104	311	64	0.206	7	30	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.199	0.273	0.307	OK
Jonah Heim	C	60	208	46	0.221	10	31	0.268	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.243	0.336	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	72	246	64	0.260	5	22	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.297	0.366	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	18	34	6	0.176	0	4	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.188	0.276	0.324	OK
Tommy White	3B	21	83	21	0.253	0	1	0.271	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.223	0.250	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	1	1	3	5	0.129

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	22	126.2	2.71	1.125	5.2	73	6.0	3	1	1	3	4	97	6.0	4	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	48	45.4	1.59	0.859	10.1	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	51	47.3	2.28	0.951	8.2	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	42	31.0	3.77	1.419	13.9	48	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mason Barnett	Starter	16	32.6	5.80	1.442	9.9	36	4.1	8	5	5	1	6	95	4.1	6	5
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	55	42.2	4.48	1.943	14.9	70	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	35	31.2	5.19	1.410	13.0	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	38	48.7	3.70	1.478	11.6	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	27	1.1	1	0
José Suarez	Middle Reliever	33	33.8	5.59	1.479	9.6	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-1

Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels

TEX 60-59 (4.14 RPG / 4.39 RA)

7 - 2

LAA 45-74 (4.08 RPG / 4.87 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 7-2 TARGET: TEX 5 - 4 LAA (TEX) Confidence: 53.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	2	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	7	9
LAA	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-23

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

TEX Season Quality

Record59-59

Win%0.500

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.280

LAA Season Quality

Record45-73

Win%0.381

Run Diff-91

RD/Game-0.771

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5906; margin adjustment: -0.2481; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	106	310	77	0.248	21	44	0.333	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.169	0.257	0.395	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	67	263	68	0.259	13	31	0.323	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.180	0.266	0.345	OK
Corey Seager	SS	59	220	43	0.195	11	28	0.298	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.308	0.395	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	113	431	119	0.276	13	47	0.343	4	3	2	1	3	1	1	0.667	0.290	0.345	0.524	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	108	380	103	0.271	13	64	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.322	0.425	OK
Evan Carter	CF	99	280	54	0.193	8	31	0.302	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.111	0.216	0.193	OK
Jake Burger	1B	114	417	99	0.237	19	68	0.298	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.306	0.376	OK
Austin Wynns	C	9	20	5	0.250	1	1	0.286	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.115	0.159	0.171	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	61	176	50	0.284	1	20	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.159	0.195	0.238	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	36	9	7	7	3	4	0.250

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	116	462	103	0.223	20	51	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.179	0.236	0.337	OK
Mike Trout	CF	100	359	85	0.237	20	42	0.385	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.216	0.358	0.480	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	98	366	99	0.270	7	41	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.299	0.339	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	74	265	67	0.253	7	45	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.281	0.359	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	88	287	67	0.233	7	24	0.275	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.192	0.218	0.293	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	7	26	4	0.154	0	0	0.185	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.269	0.320	OK
Jose Siri	LF	52	125	33	0.264	7	20	0.311	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.305	0.504	OK
Wade Meckler	RF	56	174	53	0.305	3	20	0.363	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.297	0.351	0.406	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	16	45	10	0.222	0	2	0.271	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.120	0.156	0.187	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	5	2	2	0	7	0.161

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cody Bradford	Starter	1	4.1	0.00	1.707	11.0	5	4.1	5	2	2	0	4	70	4.1	4	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	42	51.2	1.41	0.703	9.8	56	2.2	0	0	0	0	1	31	2.2	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	39	40.5	3.78	1.383	10.7	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	5	3.5	5.14	2.857	7.7	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	13	49.5	7.27	1.636	6.9	38	4.0	7	6	6	1	2	78	4.0	2	6
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	0.00	0.667	9.0	3	1.0	1	1	1	2	0	6	1.0	0	1
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	21	22.5	2.40	0.978	16.0	40	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	12	1.1	1	0
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	36	33.4	3.77	1.527	12.1	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever	4	3.2	5.62	1.875	11.2	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Blake Weiman	Middle Reliever	3	2.2	0.00	1.818	12.3	3	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 7-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins

BAL Recent Form

MIN Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

MIN Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

BOS Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

TOR Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals

CHC Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox

CIN Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers

CLE Recent Form

DET Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

DET Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks

COL Recent Form

ARI Recent Form

COL Season Quality

ARI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants

HOU Recent Form

SF Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Dodgers