MLB Predictions — August 9, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ATL @ NYY	3 - 4	3 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BAL @ TEX	3 - 5	3 - 5	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 5-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ KC	4 - 2	4 - 2	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ WAS	2 - 4	2 - 4	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 4-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ CHW	2 - 3	2 - 3	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 3-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ STL	4 - 6	4 - 6	STL	STL	STL wins 6-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ SF	5 - 3	5 - 3	DET	DET	DET wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ SD	4 - 3	4 - 3	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ MIA	1 - 6	1 - 6	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 6-1	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ ARI	7 - 1	7 - 1	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 7-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ MIL	2 - 4	2 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ PIT	3 - 4	3 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ BOS	1 - 3	1 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 3-1	51%	fallback_enhanced
TB @ SEA	4 - 3	4 - 3	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ PHI	2 - 4	2 - 4	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees

ATL 71-48 (4.86 RPG / 3.89 RA)

3 - 4

NYY 66-52 (4.5 RPG / 3.81 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-3 TARGET: ATL 3 - 4 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	6
NYY	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	x	4	3

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff24

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

ATL Season Quality

Record70-48

Win%0.593

Run Diff114

RD/Game0.966

NYY Season Quality

Record66-51

Win%0.564

Run Diff83

RD/Game0.709

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3004; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	94	363	100	0.275	20	59	0.364	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.251	0.313	0.362	OK
Matt Olson	1B	117	452	120	0.265	33	71	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.261	0.332	0.584	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	111	423	124	0.293	20	66	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.274	0.297	0.445	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	117	449	117	0.261	19	63	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.231	0.289	0.384	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	112	418	113	0.270	10	58	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.318	0.386	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	DH	96	258	59	0.229	8	32	0.309	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.304	0.422	OK
Austin Riley	3B	116	416	92	0.221	14	57	0.297	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.230	0.288	0.415	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	30	91	22	0.242	1	11	0.289	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.251	0.306	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	65	243	60	0.247	12	28	0.358	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.342	0.479	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	13	0.182

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	92	326	68	0.209	11	42	0.302	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.191	0.269	0.344	OK
Ben Rice	DH	109	407	106	0.260	31	71	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.335	0.484	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	4	13	2	0.154	0	0	0.353	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.226	0.275	0.375	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	4	15	4	0.267	1	2	0.353	3	3	1	1	3	0	2	0.333	0.253	0.289	0.491	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	105	373	81	0.217	17	47	0.291	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.192	0.271	0.350	OK
Spencer Jones	RF	41	115	25	0.217	5	15	0.297	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.282	0.386	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	4	13	5	0.385	2	2	0.500	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.328	0.440	0.708	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	86	247	54	0.219	10	28	0.279	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.154	0.226	0.282	OK
Austin Wells	C	81	231	40	0.173	8	17	0.270	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.201	0.277	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	27	3	4	4	3	6	0.111

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	23	107.2	3.95	1.418	7.9	94	5.0	2	4	4	2	3	83	5.0	3	4
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	41	39.8	3.17	1.256	10.4	46	0.2	1	0	0	1	2	15	0.2	2	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	55	46.8	2.31	0.855	12.7	66	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	40	44.2	2.65	1.222	12.6	62	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cam Schlittler	Starter	24	136.4	2.31	0.975	11.3	171	6.0	3	2	2	1	10	105	6.0	10	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	48	48.4	2.79	1.116	10.8	58	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	55	36.7	3.92	1.798	15.2	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	60	47.9	1.88	1.420	13.3	71	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3

Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers

BAL 57-61 (4.47 RPG / 4.75 RA)

3 - 5

TEX 59-59 (4.14 RPG / 4.42 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 5-3 TARGET: BAL 3 - 5 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	7
TEX	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	x	5	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-27

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

BAL Season Quality

Record56-61

Win%0.479

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.325

TEX Season Quality

Record59-58

Win%0.504

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.239

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1239; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	113	458	98	0.214	17	46	0.294	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.194	0.295	0.334	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	114	427	106	0.248	23	71	0.341	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.242	0.320	0.411	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	61	173	41	0.237	6	21	0.335	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.207	0.304	0.305	OK
Tyler O'Neill	DH	70	184	41	0.223	9	19	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.325	0.465	OK
Dylan Beavers	LF	59	184	45	0.245	2	17	0.317	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.311	0.337	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	95	305	67	0.220	6	41	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.217	0.291	0.368	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	15	49	10	0.204	2	9	0.278	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.104	0.172	0.224	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	91	230	48	0.209	7	25	0.306	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.195	0.284	0.282	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	4	11	1	0.091	0	0	0.167	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.143	0.206	0.219	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	3	3	4	12	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	105	309	77	0.249	21	44	0.334	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.256	0.327	0.515	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	65	258	67	0.260	13	31	0.315	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.195	0.257	0.369	OK
Corey Seager	SS	57	211	42	0.199	11	28	0.305	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.235	0.336	0.400	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	111	423	116	0.274	12	43	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.281	0.340	0.499	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	106	371	102	0.275	13	63	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.287	0.340	0.479	OK
Evan Carter	CF	97	277	54	0.195	8	31	0.304	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.182	0.280	0.277	OK
Jake Burger	1B	112	410	97	0.237	19	66	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.219	0.272	0.361	OK
Austin Wynns	C	8	19	5	0.263	1	1	0.300	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.139	0.188	0.227	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	59	174	49	0.282	1	19	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.223	0.262	0.280	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	9	5	5	6	4	0.273

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Povich	Starter	5	24.4	4.06	1.393	7.0	19	5.0	6	5	5	5	2	101	5.0	2	5
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	50	32.9	2.19	0.973	9.8	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	39	29.6	4.26	1.588	8.8	29	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	54	43.6	3.30	0.986	10.7	52	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	42	24.3	6.67	1.811	14.4	39	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	21	104.5	4.22	1.378	8.4	98	5.1	2	1	1	1	10	96	5.1	10	1
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	41	50.2	1.43	0.697	9.9	55	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	24	1.2	0	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	38	39.5	3.87	1.418	10.7	47	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	4	3.3	5.45	2.424	8.2	3	1.0	4	2	2	1	2	29	1.0	2	2

Game Summary

TEX wins 5-3

Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals

CHC 69-50 (5.16 RPG / 4.26 RA)

4 - 2

KC 49-70 (4.13 RPG / 5.06 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-2 TARGET: CHC 4 - 2 KC (CHC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	7
KC	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	6

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CHC Season Quality

Record68-50

Win%0.576

Run Diff99

RD/Game0.839

KC Season Quality

Record49-69

Win%0.415

Run Diff-102

RD/Game-0.864

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.9449; margin adjustment: -0.8169; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	DH	116	434	126	0.290	26	70	0.391	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.316	0.410	0.596	OK
Michael Busch	1B	115	436	107	0.245	13	61	0.356	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.332	0.371	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	114	452	112	0.248	12	51	0.339	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.239	0.313	0.367	OK
Ian Happ	LF	110	409	87	0.213	19	49	0.320	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.200	0.288	0.398	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	74	173	40	0.231	9	23	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.313	0.437	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	114	457	118	0.258	7	54	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.309	0.381	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	110	381	81	0.213	15	56	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.214	0.286	0.377	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	52	160	38	0.238	3	18	0.330	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.213	0.277	0.314	OK
Tyrone Taylor	CF	3	8	2	0.250	0	0	0.400	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.258	0.309	0.509	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	8	0.206

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Loftin	3B	78	239	59	0.247	5	35	0.326	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.229	0.302	0.358	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	DH	98	385	110	0.286	13	41	0.353	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.282	0.350	0.436	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	108	387	101	0.261	20	49	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.300	0.331	0.594	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	108	418	91	0.218	16	49	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.249	0.371	OK
Starling Marte	LF	52	140	35	0.250	1	12	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.265	0.292	OK
Michael Massey	2B	94	297	77	0.259	9	39	0.292	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.243	0.353	OK
Tyler Tolbert	SS	32	83	27	0.325	3	6	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.304	0.394	OK
Luke Maile	C	5	15	4	0.267	1	5	0.312	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.234	0.282	0.426	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	59	176	41	0.233	3	13	0.283	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.197	0.237	0.269	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	1	9	0.182

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	13	70.1	3.72	1.270	8.1	63	6.1	4	1	1	1	6	96	6.1	6	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	52	47.0	2.68	1.298	11.1	58	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	7.50	0.833	15.0	2	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	33	32.6	2.76	1.227	4.7	17	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	13	0.2	1	1

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Dobnak	Starter	6	30.3	1.19	1.221	4.5	15	5.1	2	1	1	3	6	95	5.1	6	1
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	44	41.7	6.69	1.679	10.4	48	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	41	38.8	4.64	1.340	11.4	49	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	47	36.6	4.18	1.612	8.1	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Nate Pearson	Middle Reliever	6	5.2	0.00	0.962	6.9	4	0.2	2	2	2	0	1	16	0.2	1	2

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-2

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals

CIN 56-61 (4.12 RPG / 4.75 RA)

2 - 4

WAS 59-61 (5.36 RPG / 5.16 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 4-2 TARGET: CIN 2 - 4 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 57.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
WAS	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	x	4	5

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CIN Season Quality

Record56-60

Win%0.483

Run Diff-68

RD/Game-0.586

WAS Season Quality

Record58-61

Win%0.487

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.151

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7444; margin adjustment: 0.3127; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	96	379	105	0.277	20	54	0.360	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.252	0.339	0.511	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	115	436	112	0.257	25	87	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.318	0.465	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	86	308	70	0.227	20	47	0.339	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.198	0.309	0.423	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	86	278	69	0.248	10	33	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.314	0.428	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	84	302	62	0.205	16	43	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.212	0.294	0.495	OK
Héctor Rodríguez	RF	4	10	2	0.200	0	0	0.333	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.212	0.328	0.326	OK
Dane Myers	CF	69	173	46	0.266	3	17	0.357	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.345	0.350	OK
Matt McLain	2B	87	295	57	0.193	10	28	0.293	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.199	0.288	0.432	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	52	163	23	0.141	4	7	0.195	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.154	0.195	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	2	2	4	8	0.182

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	SS	115	434	125	0.288	28	89	0.361	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.272	0.324	0.471	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	7	19	4	0.211	1	3	0.250	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.201	0.245	0.382	OK
Jose F Miranda	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.312	0.422
Daylen Lile	LF	117	446	109	0.244	15	60	0.295	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.232	0.271	0.454	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	65	248	54	0.218	9	25	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.195	0.247	0.328	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	80	210	49	0.233	3	17	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.196	0.305	0.272	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	104	336	77	0.229	1	33	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.146	0.256	0.189	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	75	248	67	0.270	7	38	0.306	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.275	0.318	0.407	OK
Jacob Young	CF	94	316	77	0.244	9	38	0.305	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.316	0.394	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	5	4	4	5	7	0.172

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	22	111.1	4.78	1.458	7.9	97	5.0	3	2	2	3	4	101	5.0	4	2
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	26	24.4	4.43	1.189	10.3	28	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	36	31.1	2.60	1.093	9.5	33	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	58	48.3	3.17	1.470	9.5	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brad Lord	Starter	28	54.1	4.16	1.312	8.7	52	5.0	4	2	2	1	5	91	5.0	5	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	37	32.5	3.60	1.292	10.2	37	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	29	1.1	0	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	37	31.5	3.71	1.302	9.1	32	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Yovanny Cruz	Middle Reliever	3	2.1	4.29	2.857	12.9	3	1.1	1	0	0	2	2	28	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 4-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

CLE 58-61 (3.97 RPG / 4.2 RA)

2 - 3

CHW 61-56 (4.76 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 3-2 TARGET: CLE 2 - 3 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8
CHW	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	x	3	4

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Season Quality

Record58-60

Win%0.492

Run Diff-25

RD/Game-0.212

CHW Season Quality

Record60-56

Win%0.517

Run Diff35

RD/Game0.302

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5522; margin adjustment: 0.2319; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	104	368	96	0.261	2	22	0.356	5	4	2	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.286	0.365	0.376	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	97	369	104	0.282	12	56	0.354	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.328	0.367	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	3	12	4	0.333	1	5	0.385	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.280	0.346	0.493	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	84	312	76	0.244	9	35	0.340	5	4	3	0	0	1	0	0.750	0.235	0.324	0.334	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	113	396	102	0.258	9	50	0.320	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.225	0.281	0.317	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	43	114	25	0.219	2	7	0.250	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.174	0.197	0.245	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	46	138	31	0.225	5	18	0.267	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.143	0.195	0.254	OK
Angel Genao	3B	4	16	7	0.438	1	2	0.471	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.340	0.346	0.554	OK
José Ramírez	3B	84	314	74	0.236	10	35	0.334	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.224	0.324	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	34	8	2	2	7	5	0.235

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Chase Meidroth	2B	112	416	114	0.274	11	46	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.326	0.406	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	81	291	69	0.237	26	53	0.370	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.356	0.531	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	114	427	100	0.234	24	67	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.302	0.402	OK
Randal Grichuk	DH	63	138	38	0.275	9	22	0.310	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.184	0.216	0.358	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	110	415	89	0.214	25	65	0.295	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.268	0.362	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	4	9	2	0.222	0	0	0.222	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.148	0.219	0.213	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	49	176	42	0.239	4	24	0.325	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.323	0.385	OK
Edgar Quero	C	56	174	34	0.195	2	16	0.245	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.282	0.288	OK
Luisangel Acuña	LF	67	173	43	0.249	1	12	0.283	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.280	0.291	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	28	4	3	3	4	6	0.143

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	24	116.1	3.95	1.499	10.0	129	4.2	2	1	1	4	4	88	4.2	4	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	49	49.3	2.56	1.197	13.3	73	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	29	2.1	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	44	31.6	3.99	1.551	10.0	35	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	19	1.0	2	2

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	22	119.2	4.23	1.342	8.1	107	5.1	4	2	2	5	4	99	5.1	4	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	39	51.5	3.32	1.320	9.8	56	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	1.1	1	0
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	3.33	1.453	9.8	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	34	27.1	3.65	1.661	12.3	37	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0
Trevor Richards	Reliever	31	40.3	3.80	1.067	10.0	45	0.0	1	0	0	2	0	6	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 3-2

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals

COL 46-72 (4.81 RPG / 5.75 RA)

4 - 6

STL 59-59 (4.36 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 6-4 TARGET: COL 4 - 6 STL (STL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
COL	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	5
STL	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	11

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed5.9

Run Diff-8

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

COL Season Quality

Record45-71

Win%0.388

Run Diff-109

RD/Game-0.940

STL Season Quality

Record58-58

Win%0.500

Run Diff-9

RD/Game-0.078

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0302; margin adjustment: 0.4327; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	96	364	111	0.305	13	66	0.339	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.299	0.324	0.492	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	105	325	88	0.271	9	42	0.370	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.199	0.290	0.314	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	47	162	48	0.296	5	30	0.379	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.287	0.370	0.478	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	107	401	101	0.252	33	67	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.206	0.258	0.428	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	111	402	121	0.301	13	58	0.377	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.295	0.352	0.411	OK
Willi Castro	2B	98	353	93	0.263	13	48	0.332	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.320	0.495	OK
Jordan Beck	RF	33	95	19	0.200	1	10	0.238	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.252	0.379	OK
Tyler Freeman	DH	76	255	63	0.247	3	23	0.314	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.261	0.296	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	105	360	75	0.208	9	37	0.255	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.277	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	5	4	4	3	10	0.143

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	108	423	104	0.246	16	42	0.348	6	4	2	1	1	2	2	0.500	0.238	0.346	0.374	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	111	432	123	0.285	21	77	0.343	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.289	0.333	0.419	OK
Iván Herrera	C	114	428	102	0.238	12	47	0.351	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.230	0.308	0.372	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	113	434	123	0.283	18	76	0.347	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.261	0.329	0.524	OK
José Fermin	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.316	0.427
Masyn Winn	SS	106	385	92	0.239	4	46	0.314	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.239	0.319	0.319	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	41	137	35	0.255	1	22	0.274	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.269	0.296	0.395	OK
Nathan Church	CF	90	295	70	0.237	9	36	0.283	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.261	0.317	0.385	OK
Everson Pereira	LF	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.500	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.223	0.266	0.442
TEAM TOTALS									46	41	11	6	6	5	12	0.268

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	24	103.7	7.20	1.919	6.9	80	4.0	7	3	3	3	5	87	4.0	5	3
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	3.91	1.739	12.7	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	47	44.0	6.14	1.818	10.0	49	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	24	1.1	2	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	55	38.1	3.31	1.470	8.5	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	33	27.8	7.77	1.906	11.0	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Zach Agnos	Middle Reliever	29	63.1	6.28	1.553	6.0	42	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	19	1.0	1	1
Parker Mushinski	Reliever	3	3.1	0.00	1.290	0.0	0	0.1	2	2	2	0	1	18	0.1	1	2

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	22	118.0	3.66	1.220	6.2	81	5.1	4	3	3	2	5	88	5.1	5	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	47	44.8	3.42	1.228	9.6	48	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	24	1.1	1	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	52	43.9	4.10	1.344	10.5	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	50	38.1	5.20	1.732	11.6	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	2	2.3	0.00	0.870	11.7	3	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

STL wins 6-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants

DET 58-60 (4.57 RPG / 3.83 RA)

5 - 3

SF 50-69 (4.13 RPG / 4.62 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-3 TARGET: DET 5 - 3 SF (DET) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	5	9
SF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs8.6

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff60

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

DET Season Quality

Record57-60

Win%0.487

Run Diff85

RD/Game0.726

SF Season Quality

Record50-68

Win%0.424

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.475

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2962; margin adjustment: -0.5444; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	112	427	123	0.288	12	45	0.394	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.289	0.378	0.445	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	60	222	58	0.261	7	29	0.378	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.225	0.322	0.366	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	107	407	113	0.278	26	80	0.341	5	4	3	1	2	1	1	0.750	0.291	0.340	0.567	OK
Riley Greene	LF	114	414	115	0.278	16	54	0.371	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.256	0.342	0.431	OK
Colt Keith	3B	105	307	83	0.270	8	30	0.318	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.259	0.305	0.406	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	115	400	89	0.222	20	58	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.279	0.357	0.431	OK
Max Clark	CF	8	33	11	0.333	1	6	0.421	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.287	0.342	0.454	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	13	38	15	0.395	4	13	0.410	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.258	0.266	0.532	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	88	277	62	0.224	4	24	0.300	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.255	0.330	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	5	5	5	10	0.250

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Bryce Eldridge	DH	74	259	64	0.247	11	28	0.342	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.224	0.302	0.366	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	105	398	121	0.304	7	43	0.341	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.297	0.451	OK
Willy Adames	SS	111	427	95	0.222	18	47	0.279	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.199	0.257	0.358	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	116	435	108	0.248	23	63	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.295	0.416	OK
Osleivis Basabe	2B	9	27	8	0.296	3	8	0.310	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.275	0.284	0.580	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	85	234	56	0.239	4	21	0.309	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.219	0.285	0.304	OK
Daniel Susac	C	47	143	35	0.245	3	22	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.135	0.182	0.282	OK
Grant McCray	LF	13	30	3	0.100	1	2	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.116	0.257	0.219	OK
Christian Koss	3B	21	54	8	0.148	0	1	0.179	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.130	0.161	0.165	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	3	3	6	6	0.129

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	12	72.6	1.61	0.923	7.9	64	6.0	2	1	1	4	6	103	6.0	6	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	32	27.8	3.56	1.259	11.0	34	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	46	41.5	3.04	1.639	7.8	36	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	49	45.6	3.36	1.469	8.1	41	1.1	1	1	1	2	0	28	1.1	0	1

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	20	124.3	3.77	1.118	7.3	101	6.1	7	3	3	3	7	113	6.1	7	3
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	24	18.3	3.44	1.530	11.8	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	41	33.7	3.47	1.395	8.8	33	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	35	50.8	3.54	1.280	6.6	37	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	13	0.2	1	1
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	31	21.2	2.97	1.934	12.7	30	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-3

Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres

HOU 60-58 (4.64 RPG / 4.84 RA)

4 - 3

SD 61-57 (4.21 RPG / 4.34 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-3 TARGET: HOU 4 - 3 SD (HOU) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	10
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	6

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff22

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

HOU Season Quality

Record60-58

Win%0.508

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.195

SD Season Quality

Record61-57

Win%0.517

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.127

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0805; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	69	275	83	0.302	13	37	0.362	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.223	0.279	0.365	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	115	418	137	0.328	35	86	0.442	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.306	0.415	0.547	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	110	403	100	0.248	15	60	0.344	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.220	0.288	0.361	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	93	364	89	0.245	13	34	0.308	5	5	3	1	3	0	1	0.600	0.273	0.329	0.403	OK
Taylor Trammell	RF	56	157	37	0.236	7	20	0.314	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.235	0.312	0.447	OK
Christian Walker	1B	113	418	102	0.244	22	67	0.324	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.269	0.340	0.461	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	5	18	2	0.111	0	0	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.285	0.311	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	56	216	56	0.259	8	27	0.286	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.210	0.240	0.314	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	26	71	16	0.225	2	15	0.353	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.180	0.304	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	4	4	5	7	0.270

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	115	455	128	0.281	10	50	0.352	5	3	1	0	0	2	1	0.333	0.246	0.312	0.443	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	65	218	48	0.220	3	17	0.312	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.237	0.302	0.296	OK
Manny Machado	3B	115	425	90	0.212	23	70	0.298	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.204	0.293	0.343	OK
Ty France	1B	86	289	83	0.287	16	50	0.341	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.239	0.288	0.411	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	114	447	108	0.242	17	58	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.275	0.314	0.516	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	21	70	22	0.314	2	8	0.415	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.233	0.310	0.298	OK
Gavin Sheets	DH	108	325	69	0.212	14	43	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.307	0.358	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	112	386	86	0.223	9	41	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.312	0.288	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	57	171	32	0.187	4	16	0.266	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.293	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	3	3	5	13	0.182

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristian Javier	Starter	9	26.4	6.82	1.742	7.8	23	4.1	4	3	3	2	8	87	4.1	8	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	26	24.3	0.74	0.700	13.3	36	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	57	49.4	2.55	1.012	10.7	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	44	37.8	4.76	1.508	13.1	55	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	51	48.8	4.61	1.270	9.8	53	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	26	1.2	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	22	97.5	4.34	1.467	6.0	65	4.2	6	2	2	3	5	89	4.2	5	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	47	46.3	0.97	0.864	17.7	91	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	54	54.4	3.31	1.213	12.4	75	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	27	21.6	4.17	1.389	12.9	31	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	33	38.7	2.79	1.370	10.9	47	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	48	43.3	2.70	1.293	11.0	53	0.0	2	2	2	0	0	16	0.0	0	2

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-3

Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins

LAA 45-73 (4.1 RPG / 4.87 RA)

1 - 6

MIA 60-59 (4.4 RPG / 4.28 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 6-1 TARGET: LAA 1 - 6 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	8
MIA	0	0	3	1	0	1	0	1	x	6	10

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-15

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Season Quality

Record45-72

Win%0.385

Run Diff-82

RD/Game-0.701

MIA Season Quality

Record59-59

Win%0.500

Run Diff6

RD/Game0.051

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9248; margin adjustment: 0.3884; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wade Meckler	LF	54	167	51	0.305	3	20	0.363	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.301	0.354	0.416	OK
Mike Trout	DH	98	353	84	0.238	19	41	0.384	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.350	0.408	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	96	359	98	0.273	7	40	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.300	0.366	OK
Zach Neto	SS	114	452	102	0.226	20	50	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.182	0.244	0.341	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	C	5	18	3	0.167	0	0	0.211	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.203	0.266	0.309	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	40	150	35	0.233	5	16	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.197	0.252	0.305	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	69	203	41	0.202	8	22	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.204	0.282	0.334	OK
Jose Siri	CF	50	117	31	0.265	6	19	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.143	0.200	0.297	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	36	85	17	0.200	1	6	0.277	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.138	0.210	0.259	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	8	1	1	0	7	0.229

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	1B	93	347	83	0.239	16	50	0.325	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.249	0.328	0.443	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	116	429	123	0.287	6	44	0.367	5	3	0	1	2	1	1	0.000	0.278	0.353	0.374	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	114	457	145	0.317	9	53	0.350	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.289	0.321	0.404	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	49	143	37	0.259	10	23	0.338	4	3	2	1	3	1	0	0.667	0.253	0.324	0.473	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	85	281	64	0.228	16	44	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.198	0.260	0.413	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	83	234	53	0.226	12	50	0.285	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.187	0.252	0.386	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	110	373	76	0.204	6	28	0.324	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.252	0.356	0.411	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	89	295	80	0.271	4	39	0.303	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.281	0.316	0.443	OK
Joe Mack	C	68	207	48	0.232	11	34	0.284	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.225	0.267	0.416	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	10	6	6	5	4	0.303

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	11	48.9	7.55	1.656	7.7	42	4.2	5	4	4	4	4	92	4.2	4	4
Ben Joyce	Middle Reliever	2	2.0	0.00	1.000	9.0	2	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	20	21.5	2.51	0.977	15.9	38	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	27	1.1	0	1
José Fermin	Middle Reliever	35	33.2	3.80	1.476	12.2	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Luke Murphy	Middle Reliever	3	3.1	0.00	1.290	11.6	4	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	20	0.2	0	1

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Gusto	Starter	14	43.6	4.95	1.399	8.1	39	4.0	5	0	0	0	4	65	4.0	4	0
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	39	34.7	6.48	1.412	13.0	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	49	42.6	5.07	1.667	11.6	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	46	41.5	3.47	1.229	12.1	56	1.2	1	1	1	0	0	12	1.2	0	1
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	2	3.0	9.00	1.667	6.0	2	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 6-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

LAD 70-48 (5.01 RPG / 3.84 RA)

7 - 1

ARI 63-56 (4.51 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 7-1 TARGET: LAD 7 - 1 ARI (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	1	0	3	1	0	1	0	1	7	11
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAD Season Quality

Record69-47

Win%0.595

Run Diff139

RD/Game1.198

ARI Season Quality

Record62-55

Win%0.530

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.034

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2615; margin adjustment: -0.5298; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	106	406	119	0.293	26	69	0.398	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.309	0.407	0.580	OK
Andy Pages	CF	114	444	120	0.270	19	74	0.335	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.288	0.341	0.462	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	113	427	130	0.304	15	53	0.380	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.267	0.335	0.389	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	37	132	37	0.280	3	20	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.224	0.266	0.365	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	78	309	72	0.233	13	36	0.283	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.271	0.327	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	107	385	94	0.244	11	53	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.341	0.470	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	80	286	72	0.252	11	40	0.315	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.231	0.284	0.406	OK
Enrique Hernández	3B	9	19	5	0.263	1	2	0.263	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.254	0.472	OK
Ben Rortvedt	C	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.127	0.140	0.200
TEAM TOTALS									39	38	11	7	7	1	11	0.289

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	114	409	100	0.244	9	42	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.367	0.414	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	114	429	104	0.242	16	54	0.337	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.211	0.290	0.411	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	89	314	95	0.303	8	50	0.383	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.345	0.403	OK
Ketel Marte	DH	111	450	110	0.244	19	62	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.300	0.381	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	111	381	92	0.241	17	54	0.321	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.222	0.287	0.423	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	92	324	88	0.272	7	51	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.272	0.315	0.401	OK
Tim Tawa	CF	54	162	38	0.235	6	26	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.300	0.401	OK
Tyler Locklear	1B	10	29	8	0.276	1	6	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.305	0.367	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	LF	51	172	49	0.285	2	15	0.328	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.317	0.414	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	1	1	2	7	0.182

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	19	115.6	3.35	1.081	7.1	91	6.1	5	0	0	1	6	99	6.1	6	0
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	11	9.3	8.71	2.258	14.5	15	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	11	1.0	0	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	50	42.7	2.53	1.007	12.6	60	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	12	7.8	5.77	1.538	10.4	9	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	12	0.2	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	23	133.3	2.77	1.268	6.2	92	6.0	7	3	3	1	10	108	6.0	10	3
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	13	1.0	0	1
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	15	0.0	0	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 7-1

Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers

MIN 58-61 (4.65 RPG / 4.94 RA)

2 - 4

MIL 74-44 (4.96 RPG / 3.76 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-2 TARGET: MIN 2 - 4 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
MIL	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	x	4	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Season Quality

Record58-60

Win%0.492

Run Diff-34

RD/Game-0.288

MIL Season Quality

Record73-44

Win%0.624

Run Diff140

RD/Game1.197

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.6833; margin adjustment: 0.707; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	94	305	85	0.279	10	40	0.362	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.167	0.256	0.327	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	54	193	54	0.280	10	37	0.378	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.327	0.399	OK
Josh Bell	DH	113	415	105	0.253	15	68	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.285	0.342	0.468	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	102	381	88	0.231	19	53	0.286	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.206	0.247	0.397	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	83	301	72	0.239	13	41	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.298	0.350	0.511	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	109	412	98	0.238	16	59	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.176	0.228	0.312	OK
Alan Roden	RF	20	46	10	0.217	0	8	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.137	0.248	0.182	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	108	366	97	0.265	6	34	0.354	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.342	0.385	OK
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	2	5	1	0.200	1	1	0.500	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.179	0.298	0.433	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	2	2	2	5	0.156

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	77	299	67	0.224	7	36	0.312	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.222	0.286	0.332	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	81	337	94	0.279	16	46	0.341	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.324	0.505	OK
Brice Turang	2B	108	422	118	0.280	16	74	0.368	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.302	0.380	0.456	OK
William Contreras	C	106	410	109	0.266	11	58	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.305	0.385	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	67	196	60	0.306	5	34	0.387	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.293	0.373	0.510	OK
Luis Lara	RF	19	58	14	0.241	0	11	0.338	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.247	0.345	0.355	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	99	328	81	0.247	7	43	0.340	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.209	0.300	0.338	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	41	130	35	0.269	2	16	0.344	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.338	0.344	OK
David Hamilton	3B	79	235	55	0.234	3	15	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.142	0.229	0.217	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	4	4	4	5	0.250

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	15	76.5	4.82	1.333	9.5	81	5.1	6	4	4	2	4	93	5.1	4	4
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	3.00	1.333	15.0	5	0.0	1	0	0	2	0	18	0.0	0	0
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	39	30.7	2.05	1.270	10.6	36	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.2	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	44	47.9	3.57	1.420	9.8	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	21	126.3	1.64	0.736	13.9	195	6.0	5	2	2	2	5	99	6.0	5	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	45	44.1	1.84	0.839	10.4	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	48	43.6	2.27	1.101	9.9	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	54	58.6	3.99	1.553	14.0	91	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-2

New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates

NYM 52-67 (4.19 RPG / 4.55 RA)

3 - 4

PIT 58-62 (5.02 RPG / 4.84 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: NYM 3 - 4 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	3	7
PIT	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	x	4	8

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Season Quality

Record51-67

Win%0.432

Run Diff-53

RD/Game-0.449

PIT Season Quality

Record58-61

Win%0.487

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.261

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7924; margin adjustment: 0.3328; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	76	274	74	0.270	7	28	0.339	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.252	0.312	0.370	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	60	235	55	0.234	10	29	0.318	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.305	0.399	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	114	459	117	0.255	11	56	0.296	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.238	0.277	0.364	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	38	136	28	0.206	4	12	0.285	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.215	0.278	0.301	OK
Jared Young	1B	64	191	47	0.246	6	19	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.303	0.377	OK
Brett Baty	RF	99	326	72	0.221	7	34	0.283	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.211	0.264	0.337	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	97	344	75	0.218	14	40	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.287	0.425	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	32	118	16	0.136	2	5	0.190	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.135	0.186	0.263	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	77	254	62	0.244	11	27	0.330	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.218	0.308	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	3	3	5	8	0.206

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	85	305	93	0.305	3	26	0.353	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.306	0.347	0.413	OK
Ronny Simon	RF	4	14	4	0.286	0	2	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.280	0.328	0.367	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	116	425	115	0.271	15	63	0.383	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.264	0.367	0.418	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	109	419	128	0.305	4	51	0.357	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.287	0.324	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	LF	46	145	35	0.241	11	30	0.378	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.386	0.479	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	107	425	107	0.252	25	74	0.319	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.247	0.308	0.521	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	1B	8	22	5	0.227	1	2	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.218	0.354	0.379	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	75	227	56	0.247	1	20	0.324	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.169	0.241	0.228	OK
Henry Davis	C	65	202	35	0.173	8	30	0.263	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.189	0.264	0.289	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	4	4	2	8	0.250

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	24	94.4	4.48	1.430	9.1	95	5.2	3	2	2	1	6	93	5.2	6	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	41	36.1	4.49	1.662	12.7	51	1.2	4	1	1	1	0	37	1.2	0	1
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	15	44.1	8.78	1.814	11.2	55	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	11	0.2	2	1

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	12	55.3	4.07	1.121	10.1	62	5.0	4	1	1	3	5	87	5.0	5	1
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	24	1.0	1	2
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	46	39.0	3.92	1.359	16.6	72	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	48	45.4	3.37	1.101	11.7	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	48	58.5	3.08	1.419	11.4	74	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

Oakland Athletics @ Boston Red Sox

OAK 47-71 (4.32 RPG / 5.71 RA)

1 - 3

BOS 64-53 (4.47 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 3-1 TARGET: OAK 1 - 3 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 51.0% fallback_enhanced

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
BOS	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	x	3	9

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.48475935828877

Avg Allowed4.48475935828877

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.48475935828877

Avg Allowed4.48475935828877

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

OAK Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

BOS Season Quality

Record?-?

Win%?

Run Diff?

RD/Game?

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -; margin adjustment: -; applied: False

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Henry Bolte	CF	70	237	60	0.253	5	22	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.240	0.289	0.348	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	75	304	82	0.270	7	36	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.220	0.244	0.315	OK
Jonah Heim	C	58	200	45	0.225	10	30	0.273	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.199	0.243	0.338	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	DH	105	379	93	0.245	19	54	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.325	0.466	OK
Tommy White	1B	20	79	21	0.266	0	0	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.259	0.275	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	102	303	62	0.205	7	30	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.196	0.278	0.345	OK
Jonathan Ornelas	LF	5	11	2	0.182	0	0	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.183	0.247	0.216	OK
Max Muncy	3B	53	169	37	0.219	5	20	0.289	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.165	0.225	0.273	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	100	316	79	0.250	4	35	0.304	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.177	0.229	0.244	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	1	1	2	10	0.182

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	20	70	19	0.271	0	3	0.386	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.359	0.449	0.472	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	108	429	123	0.287	14	58	0.327	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.311	0.334	0.509	OK
Wilyer Abreu	DH	111	425	110	0.259	20	62	0.333	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.300	0.381	0.575	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	103	362	103	0.285	23	70	0.391	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	0.000	0.279	0.366	0.482	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	72	220	60	0.273	6	31	0.331	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.341	0.394	0.515	OK
Anthony Seigler	3B	38	125	30	0.240	3	12	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.319	0.413	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	107	414	83	0.200	16	54	0.260	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.230	0.282	0.419	OK
Eli White	RF	3	7	0	0.000	0	0	0.125	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.188	0.235	0.332
Jake Rogers	C	1	3	2	0.667	0	1	0.750	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.348	0.407	MODERATE
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	3	3	2	10	0.273

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	23	112.3	3.61	1.247	8.4	105	5.1	5	2	2	2	5	95	5.1	5	2
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	54	41.2	4.59	1.942	15.1	69	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	5.36	1.457	13.1	44	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	16	0.1	1	1
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	38	48.7	3.70	1.478	11.6	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Erik Miller	Starter	2	2.1	0.00	0.952	17.1	4	5.0	6	1	1	0	7	93	5.0	7	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	39	38.2	1.18	1.099	11.8	50	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	28	1.1	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	44	42.3	1.91	0.875	9.8	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	35	24.5	5.88	1.714	14.0	38	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	28	24.1	2.61	1.162	12.0	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 3-1

Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners

TB 71-46 (4.44 RPG / 4.04 RA)

4 - 3

SEA 56-63 (3.88 RPG / 4.04 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: TB 4 - 3 SEA (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	4
SEA	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	9

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-25

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

TB Season Quality

Record69-46

Win%0.600

Run Diff42

RD/Game0.365

SEA Season Quality

Record56-61

Win%0.479

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.128

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6755; margin adjustment: -0.2837; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	110	430	127	0.295	15	64	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.240	0.292	0.369	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	112	419	121	0.289	15	72	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.295	0.362	0.428	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	105	403	120	0.298	0	23	0.326	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.308	0.334	0.361	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	115	435	122	0.280	33	71	0.373	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.335	0.521	OK
Liam Hicks	C	4	12	3	0.250	1	4	0.438	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.163	0.260	0.283	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	44	141	31	0.220	9	19	0.288	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.231	0.292	0.467	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	97	335	69	0.206	13	35	0.283	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.281	0.343	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	83	238	55	0.231	5	34	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.338	0.365	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	87	272	57	0.210	0	23	0.304	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.118	0.225	0.186	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	4	4	4	3	8	0.133

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	RF	5	18	3	0.167	0	0	0.167	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.220	0.335	0.302	OK
Cole Young	2B	118	430	113	0.263	14	51	0.322	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.252	0.302	0.367	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	110	405	113	0.279	14	49	0.372	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.244	0.310	0.385	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	101	303	75	0.248	18	49	0.320	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.201	0.259	0.369	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	106	419	109	0.260	18	51	0.321	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.253	0.306	0.417	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	110	427	112	0.262	10	42	0.326	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.266	0.329	0.481	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	84	306	50	0.163	12	43	0.270	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.156	0.258	0.308	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	20	52	10	0.192	2	7	0.236	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.175	0.249	0.274	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	65	210	42	0.200	8	23	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.253	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	3	3	6	6	0.250

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ian Seymour	Starter	36	78.5	4.01	1.146	11.4	99	5.2	5	1	1	5	5	118	5.2	5	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	48	45.4	1.59	0.859	10.1	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	50	46.3	2.33	0.972	8.4	43	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	42	31.0	3.77	1.419	13.9	48	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.2	0	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	2	3.1	0.00	0.645	14.5	5	0.2	1	1	1	1	1	17	0.2	1	1

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emerson Hancock	Starter	21	114.7	3.37	1.090	8.5	108	5.2	2	2	2	1	6	90	5.2	6	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	44	40.8	3.53	1.201	14.8	67	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	51	41.3	3.70	1.501	8.3	38	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	54	41.5	4.12	1.542	11.1	51	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies

TOR 56-63 (3.94 RPG / 4.44 RA)

2 - 4

PHI 63-56 (4.44 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-2 TARGET: TOR 2 - 4 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5
PHI	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	x	4	10

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

TOR Season Quality

Record56-62

Win%0.475

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.492

PHI Season Quality

Record62-56

Win%0.525

Run Diff-1

RD/Game-0.008

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5593; margin adjustment: 0.2349; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brett Bateman	CF	2	8	1	0.125	0	0	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.126	0.227	0.228	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	DH	108	405	106	0.262	7	46	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.326	0.359	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	42	144	36	0.250	4	18	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.183	0.253	0.276	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	1B	114	423	95	0.225	24	70	0.298	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.212	0.272	0.384	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	115	445	127	0.285	9	38	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.272	0.371	OK
Myles Straw	RF	85	197	43	0.218	3	17	0.264	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.209	0.255	0.328	OK
Josh Smith	3B	5	11	3	0.273	1	1	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.296	0.313	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	50	111	16	0.144	3	12	0.278	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.076	0.237	0.189	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	106	348	83	0.239	8	44	0.283	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.255	0.282	0.396	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	2	2	2	7	0.156

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	110	412	100	0.243	32	63	0.358	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.246	0.350	0.413	OK
Trea Turner	SS	112	470	119	0.253	17	47	0.298	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.265	0.302	0.444	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	116	413	106	0.257	25	71	0.366	4	3	2	0	0	0	1	0.667	0.260	0.380	0.514	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	5	21	7	0.333	1	5	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.308	0.341	0.439	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	84	287	65	0.226	8	38	0.301	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.287	0.356	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	111	383	100	0.261	8	51	0.334	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.282	0.379	0.447	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	111	410	113	0.276	16	52	0.316	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.227	0.270	0.350	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	112	419	94	0.224	13	61	0.283	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.218	0.271	0.338	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	103	313	81	0.259	2	29	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.278	0.334	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	10	4	4	3	8	0.294

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Bieber	Starter	8	34.9	5.42	1.777	7.2	28	4.2	9	4	4	3	4	98	4.2	4	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	54	56.7	1.43	1.076	11.9	75	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	54	48.5	1.86	1.216	5.0	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	33	68.6	3.54	1.224	9.3	71	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	23	133.4	3.44	1.192	11.1	164	6.1	5	2	2	2	5	103	6.1	5	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	42	39.4	1.37	0.914	13.2	58	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	49	40.2	3.81	1.418	11.4	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	44	37.7	3.10	1.061	12.4	52	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees

ATL Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers

BAL Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals

CHC Recent Form

KC Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals

CIN Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

CLE Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals

COL Recent Form

STL Recent Form

COL Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants

DET Recent Form

SF Recent Form

DET Season Quality

SF Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres