MLB Predictions — August 5, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
CHW @ BOS	2 - 6	2 - 6	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 6-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ SEA	5 - 2	5 - 2	DET	DET	DET wins 5-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ BAL	3 - 5	3 - 5	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ CHC	3 - 5	3 - 5	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ ATL	2 - 6	2 - 6	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ KC	4 - 3	4 - 3	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ CLE	2 - 1	2 - 1	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 2-1	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ CIN	2 - 7	2 - 7	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 7-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ MIL	2 - 4	2 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ ARI	5 - 4	5 - 4	SD	SD	SD wins 5-4	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ TEX	2 - 4	2 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ NYY	3 - 6	3 - 6	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ COL	6 - 4	6 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 6-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ HOU	3 - 4	3 - 4	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ PHI	3 - 5	3 - 5	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

CHW 59-54 (4.72 RPG / 4.37 RA)

2 - 6

BOS 62-51 (4.35 RPG / 3.68 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 6-2 TARGET: CHW 2 - 6 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	7
BOS	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	x	6	8

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak6W

CHW Season Quality

Record59-53

Win%0.527

Run Diff43

RD/Game0.384

BOS Season Quality

Record61-51

Win%0.545

Run Diff72

RD/Game0.643

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2857; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Sam Antonacci	LF	91	319	87	0.273	8	32	0.362	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.247	0.301	0.367	OK
Munetaka Murakami	1B	77	275	67	0.244	24	51	0.376	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.363	0.529	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	110	411	97	0.236	24	67	0.340	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.199	0.293	0.443	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	106	399	86	0.216	25	63	0.296	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.208	0.268	0.397	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	99	305	75	0.246	12	57	0.308	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.255	0.320	0.507	OK
Braden Montgomery	RF	45	162	38	0.235	3	21	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.291	0.342	OK
Tristan Peters	CF	102	302	80	0.265	6	38	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.150	0.215	0.253	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	108	399	109	0.273	9	40	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.337	0.385	OK
Drew Romo	C	42	134	18	0.134	5	11	0.215	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.149	0.213	0.246	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	2	2	2	7	0.206

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	16	54	14	0.259	0	3	0.375	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.258	0.368	0.358	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	104	409	118	0.289	14	57	0.329	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.319	0.341	0.599	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	108	415	105	0.253	19	56	0.325	4	3	1	1	3	0	0	0.333	0.247	0.314	0.587	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	101	356	101	0.284	23	69	0.390	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.253	0.348	0.479	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	73	223	58	0.260	4	22	0.328	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.307	0.355	0.439	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	101	340	81	0.238	11	46	0.310	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.338	0.463	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	103	398	80	0.201	15	52	0.259	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.250	0.295	0.448	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	68	205	54	0.263	6	25	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.287	0.333	0.464	OK
Connor Wong	C	50	142	36	0.254	2	17	0.344	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.199	0.273	0.319	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	8	6	6	4	8	0.258

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Burke	Starter	22	121.3	3.12	1.129	10.4	140	6.0	4	3	3	2	8	100	6.0	8	3
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	41	51.9	2.60	1.118	13.2	76	1.1	2	1	1	1	0	27	1.1	0	1
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	39	51.5	3.32	1.320	9.8	56	0.2	2	2	2	1	0	25	0.2	0	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	20	112.5	2.96	1.182	7.8	98	6.0	4	2	2	1	5	102	6.0	5	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	38	37.2	0.97	1.102	12.1	50	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	42	40.3	2.01	0.893	9.6	43	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	33	23.3	5.41	1.588	13.9	36	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	12	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 6-2

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners

DET 55-58 (4.54 RPG / 3.91 RA)

5 - 2

SEA 55-59 (3.98 RPG / 4.03 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-2 TARGET: DET 5 - 2 SEA (DET) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	10
SEA	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	6

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs7.6

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff42

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

DET Season Quality

Record54-58

Win%0.482

Run Diff63

RD/Game0.562

SEA Season Quality

Record55-58

Win%0.487

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.027

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5291; margin adjustment: -0.2222; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	108	410	117	0.285	11	42	0.393	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.242	0.349	0.406	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	56	206	55	0.267	7	29	0.386	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.249	0.354	0.454	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	103	390	107	0.274	24	73	0.336	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.274	0.312	0.510	OK
Riley Greene	LF	110	399	112	0.281	16	54	0.372	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.255	0.343	0.466	OK
Colt Keith	3B	102	295	80	0.271	8	28	0.321	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.358	0.401	0.535	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	111	385	84	0.218	20	57	0.307	4	3	2	1	3	0	0	0.667	0.242	0.310	0.403	OK
Max Clark	CF	4	16	6	0.375	1	3	0.500	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.299	0.402	0.557	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	10	31	14	0.452	4	11	0.469	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.424	0.429	0.763	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	84	266	59	0.222	4	23	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.255	0.319	0.381	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	5	5	3	6	0.270

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	114	415	111	0.267	14	51	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.303	0.352	0.479	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	106	390	110	0.282	14	49	0.377	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.269	0.344	0.462	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	97	288	74	0.257	18	49	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.313	0.473	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	102	404	103	0.255	16	47	0.317	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.295	0.365	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	107	417	109	0.261	8	40	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.304	0.311	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	81	300	49	0.163	12	43	0.266	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.151	0.234	0.297	OK
Brendan Donovan	3B	24	88	23	0.261	3	8	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.281	0.341	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.224	0.357	0.309
Colt Emerson	SS	61	198	39	0.197	7	22	0.258	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.261	0.299	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	7	0.182

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Anderson	Starter	40	56.9	4.75	1.459	12.3	78	5.0	5	2	2	2	5	91	5.0	5	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	32	27.8	3.56	1.259	11.0	34	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	45	40.5	3.11	1.654	8.0	36	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	47	41.6	3.68	1.611	8.2	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	21	119.4	4.60	1.156	9.2	122	5.2	7	5	5	1	3	100	5.2	3	5
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	42	38.8	3.71	1.263	14.6	63	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	25	1.1	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	50	40.3	3.80	1.514	8.5	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	52	41.3	3.92	1.525	10.9	50	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-2

Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles

LAA 43-71 (4.15 RPG / 4.84 RA)

3 - 5

BAL 56-58 (4.52 RPG / 4.78 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 5-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 5 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	7
BAL	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	x	5	7

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-20

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

LAA Season Quality

Record43-70

Win%0.381

Run Diff-76

RD/Game-0.673

BAL Season Quality

Record55-58

Win%0.487

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.292

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.5398; margin adjustment: 0.2267; applied: True

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	110	435	100	0.230	19	47	0.318	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.261	0.322	OK
Mike Trout	CF	94	339	83	0.245	18	40	0.390	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.262	0.373	0.400	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	92	345	95	0.275	6	37	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.290	0.332	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	69	245	64	0.261	7	46	0.324	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.256	0.308	0.404	OK
Moisés Ballesteros	DH	1	4	1	0.250	0	0	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.285	0.354	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	16	42	8	0.190	1	3	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.262	0.349	OK
Josh Lowe	RF	65	194	40	0.206	8	22	0.255	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.203	0.254	0.348	OK
Jose Siri	LF	47	110	28	0.255	5	18	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.285	0.398	OK
Adam Frazier	2B	35	82	17	0.207	1	6	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.095	0.173	0.205	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	6	0.206

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Franklin	CF	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.333	4	3	3	1	2	1	0	1.000	0.057	0.329	0.094
Pete Alonso	1B	110	412	104	0.252	23	71	0.346	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.267	0.341	0.488	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	109	448	97	0.217	17	46	0.290	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.204	0.274	0.346	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	66	176	38	0.216	8	17	0.303	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.168	0.247	0.359	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	82	255	52	0.204	14	40	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.274	0.441	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	11	38	8	0.211	2	9	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.285	0.430	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	57	161	39	0.242	5	20	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.344	0.380	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	LF	66	212	51	0.241	6	32	0.266	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.263	0.348	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.333	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.131	0.205	0.220
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	5	5	3	9	0.226

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	22	121.5	4.15	1.128	10.7	145	5.1	6	3	3	2	6	104	5.1	6	3
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	41	40.3	4.69	1.514	10.3	46	1.1	1	2	2	1	2	24	1.1	2	2
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	19	20.4	2.65	0.980	15.9	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	20	106.4	4.40	1.316	7.5	89	5.2	6	2	2	3	3	104	5.2	3	2
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	38	28.6	4.72	1.678	9.1	29	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	49	31.9	2.26	1.003	9.6	34	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Grant Wolfram	Middle Reliever	41	23.3	5.79	1.760	13.9	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

LAD 69-46 (5.08 RPG / 3.86 RA)

3 - 5

CHC 66-49 (5.15 RPG / 4.29 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-3 TARGET: LAD 3 - 5 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	8
CHC	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	x	5	8

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak5L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

LAD Season Quality

Record69-44

Win%0.611

Run Diff145

RD/Game1.283

CHC Season Quality

Record64-49

Win%0.566

Run Diff94

RD/Game0.832

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5177; margin adjustment: -0.2174; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Andy Pages	CF	111	433	116	0.268	18	73	0.332	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.322	0.432	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	75	297	67	0.226	13	36	0.276	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.209	0.252	0.354	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	34	119	34	0.286	3	19	0.356	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.311	0.416	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	110	416	129	0.310	15	52	0.387	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.336	0.401	0.487	OK
Max Muncy	3B	102	340	85	0.250	21	49	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.238	0.326	0.448	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	104	373	91	0.244	10	52	0.335	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.361	0.421	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	77	277	71	0.256	11	40	0.321	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.266	0.322	0.449	OK
Shohei Ohtani	TWP	103	394	115	0.292	24	65	0.397	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.304	0.402	0.549	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	64	155	43	0.277	3	18	0.302	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.255	0.284	0.374	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	3	6	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	112	418	120	0.287	24	65	0.387	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.279	0.377	0.521	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	106	366	80	0.219	15	55	0.298	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.307	0.411	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	110	440	114	0.259	7	53	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.274	0.328	0.408	OK
Michael Busch	1B	111	420	102	0.243	13	61	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.332	0.382	OK
Carson Kelly	C	79	262	68	0.260	7	39	0.347	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.259	0.337	0.378	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	110	435	108	0.248	11	47	0.341	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.254	0.336	0.396	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	96	360	100	0.278	19	64	0.372	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.287	0.389	0.501	OK
Ian Happ	LF	106	393	85	0.216	18	48	0.327	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.205	0.308	0.383	OK
Pedro Ramirez	2B	37	102	31	0.304	1	14	0.357	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.295	0.351	0.412	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	8	5	5	4	9	0.258

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eric Lauer	Starter	9	50.5	3.03	1.010	5.3	30	5.2	3	1	1	3	6	98	5.2	6	1
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	6.59	1.951	14.3	13	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	0.0	0	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	48	41.6	2.60	0.962	12.8	59	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kyle Hurt	Middle Reliever	34	33.7	4.81	1.424	11.5	43	1.1	3	3	3	0	2	26	1.1	2	3

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	22	125.1	3.74	1.095	8.6	119	6.0	3	0	0	1	5	94	6.0	5	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	50	45.0	2.80	1.356	11.2	56	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	31	31.4	2.87	1.210	4.6	16	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	38	28.4	4.44	1.373	13.6	43	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-3

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

MIA 58-57 (4.34 RPG / 4.27 RA)

2 - 6

ATL 69-46 (4.86 RPG / 3.92 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-2 TARGET: MIA 2 - 6 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	8
ATL	0	2	1	0	3	0	0	0	x	6	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak6W

MIA Season Quality

Record58-56

Win%0.509

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.096

ATL Season Quality

Record68-46

Win%0.596

Run Diff105

RD/Game0.921

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9561; margin adjustment: 0.4016; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Xavier Edwards	2B	112	414	119	0.287	6	41	0.367	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.176	0.264	0.257	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	89	332	78	0.235	16	48	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.311	0.494	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	110	440	142	0.323	9	51	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.282	0.311	0.409	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	45	129	34	0.264	10	21	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.316	0.478	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	81	266	63	0.237	16	43	0.304	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.224	0.294	0.445	OK
Owen Caissie	DH	80	225	52	0.231	12	50	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.273	0.448	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	107	365	72	0.197	6	28	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.203	0.301	0.334	OK
Joe Mack	C	65	198	48	0.242	11	33	0.296	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.273	0.441	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	85	283	75	0.265	4	37	0.296	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.230	0.263	0.389	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	2	2	2	10	0.229

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	90	345	94	0.272	20	57	0.365	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.341	0.420	OK
Matt Olson	1B	113	437	117	0.268	31	69	0.343	4	2	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.277	0.347	0.602	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	107	408	118	0.289	20	64	0.317	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0.500	0.261	0.288	0.452	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	113	438	116	0.265	19	63	0.313	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.297	0.485	OK
Mauricio Dubón	SS	108	402	105	0.261	10	55	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.300	0.375	OK
Lane Thomas	LF	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.311	0.371
Austin Riley	3B	112	402	88	0.219	13	54	0.296	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.294	0.419	OK
Sean Murphy	C	4	14	1	0.071	0	0	0.071	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.121	0.132	0.163	OK
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	23	73	5	0.068	0	3	0.171	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.082	0.181	0.098	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	31	7	6	6	3	7	0.226

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	19	103.5	3.48	1.111	9.7	112	6.0	5	3	3	3	6	103	6.0	6	3
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	38	33.7	6.68	1.424	12.6	47	0.0	1	2	2	0	0	15	0.0	0	2
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	47	40.6	5.32	1.700	11.1	50	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	15	1.0	0	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	45	40.4	3.56	1.213	12.0	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	21	117.1	3.92	1.272	7.8	101	5.1	5	1	1	1	6	88	5.1	6	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	40	39.6	2.73	1.162	10.0	44	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	53	45.7	2.36	0.832	12.6	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	38	42.1	2.78	1.259	12.6	59	1.2	3	1	1	0	2	30	1.2	2	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-2

Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals

MIN 56-59 (4.65 RPG / 4.97 RA)

4 - 3

KC 48-67 (4.15 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 4-3 TARGET: MIN 4 - 3 KC (MIN) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	7
KC	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIN Season Quality

Record56-58

Win%0.491

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.307

KC Season Quality

Record47-67

Win%0.412

Run Diff-103

RD/Game-0.904

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7149; margin adjustment: -0.3003; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	RF	86	258	61	0.236	2	21	0.336	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.126	0.234	0.195	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	50	180	51	0.283	10	36	0.378	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.256	0.330	0.452	OK
Josh Bell	DH	109	401	99	0.247	14	64	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.299	0.432	OK
Kody Clemens	CF	98	365	86	0.236	19	53	0.292	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.228	0.274	0.458	OK
Royce Lewis	2B	79	285	66	0.232	12	37	0.308	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.332	0.482	OK
Victor Caratini	1B	82	261	60	0.230	7	37	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.213	0.272	0.314	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	106	401	97	0.242	16	57	0.299	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.203	0.261	0.358	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	91	297	84	0.283	10	40	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.337	0.475	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	63	178	42	0.236	5	25	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.220	0.268	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	7	4	4	3	11	0.212

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	DH	104	372	86	0.231	15	54	0.305	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.212	0.300	0.405	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	94	371	105	0.283	13	40	0.350	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.290	0.350	0.472	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	104	372	93	0.250	18	43	0.305	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.246	0.290	0.456	OK
Salvador Perez	C	105	408	89	0.218	16	47	0.265	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.253	0.405	OK
Michael Massey	2B	90	282	74	0.262	8	38	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.265	0.367	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	99	317	76	0.240	6	34	0.341	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.229	0.323	0.389	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	74	229	57	0.249	5	35	0.328	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.225	0.302	0.378	OK
John Rave	RF	12	34	10	0.294	2	2	0.333	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.223	0.263	0.490	OK
Kyle Isbel	CF	55	166	41	0.247	3	12	0.300	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.258	0.303	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	8	3	3	5	9	0.235

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	4.2	5	3	3	5	6	94	4.2	6	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	37	28.7	2.20	1.324	10.3	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	42	45.9	3.73	1.438	10.0	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	6	1.0	2	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	8	6.5	2.77	1.692	11.1	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	25	30.3	6.24	1.617	11.3	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	46	31.1	5.79	2.090	9.8	34	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	17	0.1	0	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Noah Cameron	Starter	21	113.8	4.67	1.362	8.5	107	5.2	3	2	2	2	7	102	5.2	7	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	43	40.7	6.86	1.695	10.4	47	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	46	41.1	2.19	1.046	7.7	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	39	36.8	4.89	1.386	11.5	47	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	46	35.6	4.30	1.601	7.8	31	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	15	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

MIN wins 4-3

New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians

NYM 49-66 (4.08 RPG / 4.54 RA)

2 - 1

CLE 57-58 (3.94 RPG / 4.12 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 2-1 TARGET: NYM 2 - 1 CLE (NYM) Confidence: 59.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	6
CLE	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYM Season Quality

Record48-66

Win%0.421

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.474

CLE Season Quality

Record57-57

Win%0.500

Run Diff-20

RD/Game-0.175

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4167; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	72	260	70	0.269	7	28	0.337	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.316	0.376	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	56	219	51	0.233	9	25	0.317	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.236	0.302	0.425	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	110	442	113	0.256	11	54	0.297	5	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.265	0.360	OK
Carson Benge	RF	106	404	106	0.262	12	42	0.325	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.317	0.401	OK
Jared Young	1B	60	178	43	0.242	6	16	0.322	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.212	0.278	0.344	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	74	243	60	0.247	11	26	0.331	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.225	0.312	0.406	OK
Brett Baty	LF	96	316	70	0.222	6	33	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.206	0.264	0.309	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	29	107	14	0.131	1	4	0.191	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.119	0.181	0.180	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	93	330	71	0.215	12	35	0.274	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.200	0.263	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	6	2	2	4	10	0.171

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	101	353	90	0.255	1	21	0.353	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.309	0.396	0.375	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	93	351	99	0.282	12	55	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.358	0.439	OK
Jo Adell	RF	1	4	2	0.500	0	0	0.600	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.230	0.266	0.378	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.342	0.464
Travis Bazzana	2B	81	302	74	0.245	9	34	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.256	0.338	0.360	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	109	381	100	0.262	9	50	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.278	0.326	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	41	108	23	0.213	2	7	0.246	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.217	0.243	0.304	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	43	127	29	0.228	5	17	0.273	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.186	0.243	0.361	OK
Angel Genao	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.301	0.391
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	3	1	1	3	10	0.091

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Christian Scott	Starter	15	65.6	3.16	1.311	11.7	85	5.2	3	0	0	3	6	92	5.2	6	0
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	40	35.1	4.10	1.595	13.1	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	9	11.7	1.54	0.855	9.2	12	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	22	1.2	1	0
Kodai Senga	Middle Reliever	14	43.1	8.98	1.856	11.1	53	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	3	1.0	1	1
Nathan Lavender	Middle Reliever	1	1.1	0.00	0.909	8.2	1	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	19	0.2	2	0
Xzavion Curry	Reliever	5	10.3	3.50	1.262	5.2	6	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	0.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	23	130.0	3.88	1.169	6.9	100	6.0	3	0	0	3	5	109	6.0	5	0
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	48	48.3	2.61	1.159	13.2	71	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	18	1.0	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	43	30.6	4.12	1.569	10.0	34	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	42	37.6	1.68	0.904	10.1	42	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	27	1.2	2	0
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	45	27.6	4.89	1.848	9.5	29	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	13	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

NYM wins 2-1 (Extra Innings - 10)

Oakland Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds

OAK 45-69 (4.32 RPG / 5.69 RA)

2 - 7

CIN 55-58 (4.16 RPG / 4.7 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 7-2 TARGET: OAK 2 - 7 CIN (CIN) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
CIN	0	3	1	0	3	0	0	0	x	7	9

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-35

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak6L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

OAK Season Quality

Record45-68

Win%0.398

Run Diff-155

RD/Game-1.372

CIN Season Quality

Record54-58

Win%0.482

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-0.554

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.944; margin adjustment: 0.3965; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lawrence Butler	RF	98	289	60	0.208	6	29	0.299	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.299	0.344	OK
Jacob Wilson	DH	72	292	80	0.274	7	36	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.259	0.288	0.377	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	101	366	89	0.243	17	50	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.306	0.415	OK
Jonah Heim	C	54	185	42	0.227	10	27	0.275	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.259	0.376	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	98	311	79	0.254	4	35	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.308	0.340	OK
Tommy White	3B	16	64	17	0.266	0	0	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.198	0.220	0.236	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	15	28	5	0.179	0	2	0.395	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.271	0.320	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	66	221	58	0.262	4	21	0.340	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.273	0.332	0.381	OK
Alika Williams	SS	42	115	31	0.270	2	9	0.300	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.269	0.298	0.400	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	2	2	5	5	0.129

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	92	365	102	0.279	18	52	0.360	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.274	0.360	0.497	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	111	420	108	0.257	24	86	0.338	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.333	0.473	OK
Dane Myers	CF	66	162	44	0.272	3	16	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.284	0.360	0.378	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	80	290	59	0.203	14	39	0.277	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.211	0.286	0.391	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	50	167	32	0.192	6	14	0.233	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.195	0.234	0.307	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	82	295	68	0.231	19	46	0.342	4	3	2	1	3	1	1	0.667	0.217	0.339	0.445	OK
Jose Trevino	C	26	84	21	0.250	4	11	0.259	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.246	0.258	0.514	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	49	155	22	0.142	4	7	0.199	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.157	0.200	0.281	OK
Matt McLain	2B	83	284	54	0.190	8	26	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.169	0.256	0.290	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	7	7	4	5	0.273

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Lopez	Starter	17	67.2	6.03	1.741	8.2	61	4.0	8	7	7	3	2	98	4.0	2	7
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	53	40.1	4.49	1.895	15.0	67	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	33	30.0	5.40	1.400	12.6	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	36	46.7	3.85	1.520	11.6	60	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	26	1.2	1	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	19	80.2	5.61	1.571	7.9	70	4.1	4	2	2	4	3	95	4.1	3	2
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	25	23.4	4.62	1.239	10.4	27	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	35	30.9	2.62	1.100	9.6	33	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	56	46.2	2.92	1.494	9.2	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	37	25.9	6.25	1.737	10.1	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 7-2

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

PIT 57-58 (5.08 RPG / 4.83 RA)

2 - 4

MIL 70-43 (4.97 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-2 TARGET: PIT 2 - 4 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4
MIL	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	x	4	9

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PIT Season Quality

Record57-58

Win%0.496

Run Diff29

RD/Game0.252

MIL Season Quality

Record70-43

Win%0.619

Run Diff136

RD/Game1.204

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1371; margin adjustment: 0.4776; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	LF	81	290	89	0.307	3	24	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.296	0.339	0.382	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	103	409	104	0.254	23	71	0.320	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.271	0.324	0.465	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	112	410	111	0.271	15	63	0.383	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.263	0.362	0.420	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	43	138	34	0.246	11	30	0.365	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.353	0.488	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	105	404	122	0.302	4	48	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.251	0.286	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	41	127	34	0.268	6	18	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.348	0.467	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	72	221	54	0.244	1	19	0.324	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.212	0.301	0.278	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	1B	6	19	4	0.211	1	2	0.318	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.299	0.379	OK
Jhostynxon Garcia	CF	14	45	8	0.178	0	2	0.213	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.177	0.198	0.220	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	5	0.129

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	104	407	112	0.275	16	69	0.364	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.342	0.413	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	77	323	92	0.285	14	44	0.343	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.321	0.374	0.520	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	95	314	79	0.252	7	42	0.343	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.189	0.275	0.327	OK
William Contreras	C	103	399	107	0.268	10	56	0.331	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.266	0.323	0.376	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	73	284	63	0.222	7	35	0.312	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.185	0.261	0.316	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	64	185	56	0.303	5	30	0.385	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.263	0.348	0.524	OK
Luis Lara	RF	16	50	12	0.240	0	11	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.332	0.374	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	37	117	34	0.291	2	15	0.372	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.328	0.412	0.422	OK
David Hamilton	3B	75	225	53	0.236	3	15	0.306	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.309	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	9	4	4	2	7	0.281

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	23	122.8	3.96	1.132	11.4	156	5.1	7	3	3	2	7	97	5.1	7	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	47	44.4	3.24	1.059	11.4	56	2.1	1	0	0	0	0	28	2.1	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	46	39.0	3.92	1.359	16.6	72	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	17	0.1	0	1

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Harrison	Starter	17	81.8	3.08	1.100	11.1	101	5.2	4	2	2	1	5	87	5.2	5	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	43	42.1	1.92	0.879	10.7	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	46	41.6	2.38	1.130	10.2	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	52	56.6	4.13	1.590	13.7	86	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-2

San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks

SD 59-55 (4.23 RPG / 4.32 RA)

5 - 4

ARI 60-54 (4.54 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 5-4 TARGET: SD 5 - 4 ARI (SD) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H
SD	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	11
ARI	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6

SD Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Season Quality

Record58-55

Win%0.513

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.142

ARI Season Quality

Record60-53

Win%0.531

Run Diff6

RD/Game0.053

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2212; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	2B	111	439	123	0.280	8	48	0.351	6	5	1	0	0	1	2	0.200	0.267	0.338	0.380	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	17	56	19	0.339	2	8	0.448	6	6	2	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.242	0.329	0.310	OK
Manny Machado	3B	111	413	88	0.213	23	69	0.295	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.240	0.305	0.393	OK
Ty France	1B	82	277	80	0.289	16	49	0.341	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.270	0.310	0.429	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	110	431	104	0.241	16	54	0.292	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.306	0.344	0.472	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	108	374	84	0.225	9	41	0.319	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.341	0.327	OK
Luis Campusano	C	37	105	33	0.314	4	16	0.405	5	4	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.339	0.415	0.503	OK
Jake Cronenworth	DH	61	205	45	0.220	3	17	0.307	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.300	0.293	OK
Jase Bowen	RF	28	68	11	0.162	1	6	0.208	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.180	0.205	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									47	42	11	5	5	3	9	0.262

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	LF	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.500	6	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.196	0.307	0.308
Corbin Carroll	RF	110	414	100	0.242	16	52	0.337	6	5	1	1	0	1	0	0.200	0.180	0.264	0.378	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	110	392	96	0.245	9	41	0.361	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.311	0.401	0.446	OK
Gabriel Moreno	DH	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	5	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.282	0.360	0.461	OK
Tim Tawa	3B	50	147	32	0.218	5	24	0.269	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.215	0.266	0.369	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	2B	92	324	88	0.272	7	51	0.315	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.271	0.314	0.401	OK
James McCann	C	29	94	30	0.319	4	21	0.340	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.377	0.392	0.650	OK
Tyler Locklear	1B	9	25	6	0.240	1	6	0.355	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	0.000	0.149	0.257	0.265	OK
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	47	157	45	0.287	1	13	0.329	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.307	0.340	0.448	OK
TEAM TOTALS									47	39	6	4	4	6	10	0.154

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	6.0	4	3	3	2	6	96	6.0	6	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	45	44.3	0.81	0.858	17.9	88	2.1	0	0	0	1	1	18	2.1	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	52	52.3	3.44	1.224	12.0	70	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	25	20.4	4.41	1.373	12.4	28	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	13	0.2	2	1
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	32	36.7	2.70	1.390	11.5	47	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	22	0.2	0	0
Kyle Hart	Reliever	29	39.7	4.99	1.159	8.6	38	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	29	0.0	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Bratt	Starter	5	20.2	5.35	1.881	5.3	12	4.0	8	4	4	3	3	86	4.0	3	4
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	48	40.4	2.90	1.114	12.3	55	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Brandyn Garcia	Middle Reliever	36	26.8	2.01	0.784	12.1	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	48	40.8	3.09	1.225	7.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	50	42.9	3.36	1.235	9.0	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	43	35.4	5.59	1.073	11.2	44	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	7	2.0	1	0
Gerardo Carrillo	Reliever	5	9.0	1.00	1.111	10.0	10	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	26	0.1	0	1

Game Summary

SD wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 11)

San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers

SF 49-67 (4.19 RPG / 4.63 RA)

2 - 4

TEX 57-58 (4.15 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-2 TARGET: SF 2 - 4 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 57.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	7
TEX	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	x	4	9

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-16

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SF Season Quality

Record49-65

Win%0.430

Run Diff-44

RD/Game-0.386

TEX Season Quality

Record55-58

Win%0.487

Run Diff-40

RD/Game-0.354

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1173; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Grant McCray	CF	11	25	3	0.120	1	2	0.267	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.141	0.273	0.263	OK
Willy Adames	SS	108	417	93	0.223	17	46	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.275	0.367	OK
Christian Koss	2B	19	48	8	0.167	0	1	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.179	0.214	0.218	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	113	424	105	0.248	22	61	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.326	0.447	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	22	52	12	0.231	0	4	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.353	0.254	OK
Osleivis Basabe	SS	6	17	5	0.294	3	8	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.286	0.296	0.792	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	102	387	119	0.307	7	41	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.310	0.337	0.490	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	82	227	56	0.247	4	21	0.315	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.327	0.362	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	71	247	63	0.255	11	28	0.351	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.297	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	2	9	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Evan Carter	CF	94	269	54	0.201	8	30	0.310	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.205	0.302	0.323	OK
Corey Seager	SS	55	204	41	0.201	10	25	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.222	0.328	0.394	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	56	165	47	0.285	1	18	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.245	0.284	0.282	OK
Jake Burger	1B	109	401	95	0.237	19	66	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.283	0.406	OK
Elias Díaz	C	34	103	25	0.243	3	13	0.262	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.231	0.255	0.423	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	103	363	101	0.278	13	63	0.329	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.293	0.336	0.496	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	108	413	112	0.271	11	41	0.338	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.278	0.339	0.448	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	62	250	66	0.264	13	31	0.313	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.239	0.293	0.447	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	102	300	75	0.250	20	42	0.337	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.252	0.337	0.490	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	4	4	3	9	0.273

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Whisenhunt	Starter	4	18.3	6.89	1.803	7.9	16	4.2	7	4	4	2	4	100	4.2	4	4
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	23	17.3	3.64	1.561	12.5	24	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	39	33.3	3.51	1.321	8.4	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	30	20.1	3.13	1.891	12.5	28	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	31	1.1	2	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cody Bradford	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	5	2	2	2	5	61	3.0	5	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	40	48.2	1.49	0.664	9.7	52	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	2.1	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	37	38.3	3.99	1.384	10.8	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	50	41.8	3.88	1.483	8.8	41	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	42	30.8	7.60	1.721	10.8	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-2

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees

STL 56-58 (4.35 RPG / 4.46 RA)

3 - 6

NYY 64-50 (4.57 RPG / 3.84 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 6-3 TARGET: STL 3 - 6 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	7
NYY	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	x	6	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

STL Season Quality

Record56-58

Win%0.491

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.105

NYY Season Quality

Record64-50

Win%0.561

Run Diff83

RD/Game0.728

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9386; margin adjustment: 0.3942; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	SS	105	412	102	0.248	16	40	0.347	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.203	0.297	0.330	OK
Iván Herrera	C	111	414	97	0.234	11	44	0.351	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.295	0.333	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	110	423	122	0.288	18	76	0.350	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.291	0.495	OK
José Fermin	RF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.299	0.395
Nathan Church	CF	87	284	67	0.236	9	34	0.282	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.236	0.284	0.357	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	39	131	32	0.244	1	22	0.264	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.242	0.270	0.369	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	35	84	20	0.238	3	11	0.289	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.289	0.385	OK
Jimmy Crooks	DH	34	90	16	0.178	4	11	0.245	4	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.174	0.225	0.336	OK
César Prieto	2B	6	17	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	2	2	1	2	1	0	1.000	0.047	0.060	0.079
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	7	3	3	4	9	0.212

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	89	314	67	0.213	11	42	0.309	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.283	0.352	OK
Ben Rice	DH	106	396	104	0.263	30	69	0.356	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.240	0.333	0.490	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	2	8	3	0.375	1	2	0.375	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.286	0.311	0.599	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	1	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.279	0.365
Spencer Jones	RF	38	104	23	0.221	5	13	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.220	0.289	0.419	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	103	368	81	0.220	17	46	0.291	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.203	0.274	0.432	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	83	241	52	0.216	10	27	0.270	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.215	0.260	0.368	OK
George Lombard Jr.	SS	1	2	1	0.500	1	1	0.667	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.270	0.481	0.403	OK
Austin Wells	C	78	223	37	0.166	8	16	0.264	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.183	0.273	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	6	6	3	13	0.250

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	21	116.1	3.80	1.249	6.7	86	5.2	5	3	3	2	9	106	5.2	9	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	45	42.8	3.57	1.238	9.9	47	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	51	42.9	4.20	1.352	10.1	48	1.0	3	3	3	1	2	26	1.0	2	3

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	22	104.0	4.33	1.423	9.4	109	5.0	3	1	1	4	7	88	5.0	7	1
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	46	46.4	2.72	1.121	11.1	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	54	35.7	3.78	1.821	15.1	60	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	58	47.5	1.71	1.347	13.1	69	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	40	54.6	2.31	1.154	7.9	48	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Tim Hill	Middle Reliever	49	33.6	4.82	1.369	5.4	20	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 6-3

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies

TB 68-46 (4.47 RPG / 4.11 RA)

6 - 4

COL 45-70 (4.82 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 6-4 TARGET: TB 6 - 4 COL (TB) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	6	6
COL	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	4	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-3

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

TB Season Quality

Record66-46

Win%0.589

Run Diff35

RD/Game0.312

COL Season Quality

Record45-68

Win%0.398

Run Diff-102

RD/Game-0.903

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.5017; margin adjustment: -0.6307; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cedric Mullins	CF	95	330	68	0.206	13	35	0.282	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.225	0.287	0.402	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	84	265	57	0.215	0	23	0.306	5	4	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.303	0.278	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	80	232	53	0.228	5	32	0.326	5	2	1	1	0	3	1	0.500	0.228	0.319	0.369	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	109	407	117	0.287	14	70	0.376	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.298	0.371	0.433	OK
Nick Fortes	C	79	239	67	0.280	4	28	0.319	5	4	1	1	3	1	1	0.250	0.298	0.322	0.427	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	112	426	121	0.284	32	70	0.373	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.297	0.379	0.596	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	63	208	55	0.264	7	33	0.298	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.271	0.302	0.443	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	102	391	117	0.299	0	22	0.328	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.332	0.359	0.387	OK
Yandy Díaz	DH	108	420	127	0.302	15	64	0.376	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.296	0.355	0.464	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	32	6	6	6	9	8	0.188

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Carrigg	OF	44	150	46	0.307	5	28	0.390	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.300	0.387	0.500	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	102	351	73	0.208	9	37	0.252	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.223	0.264	0.366	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	82	227	47	0.207	3	20	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.186	0.300	0.272	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	108	391	116	0.297	13	57	0.374	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.288	0.348	0.445	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	104	392	100	0.255	33	66	0.323	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.246	0.309	0.520	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	102	317	86	0.271	9	41	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.272	0.359	0.414	OK
Jake McCarthy	CF	93	351	103	0.293	11	63	0.329	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.280	0.307	0.474	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	74	260	72	0.277	19	52	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.267	0.303	0.574	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	96	313	88	0.281	3	40	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.303	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	4	4	3	4	0.229

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	21	121.0	2.83	1.124	5.1	69	5.2	5	3	3	2	3	94	5.2	3	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	46	43.4	1.45	0.853	10.0	48	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.2	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	48	45.0	2.40	0.978	8.4	42	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	39	29.7	3.64	1.347	13.9	46	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	14	0.2	1	1

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	19	99.4	4.62	1.298	5.3	58	5.2	3	4	4	6	7	104	5.2	7	4
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	9	8.2	3.29	1.707	13.2	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	45	42.8	6.10	1.822	10.3	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	53	36.9	3.17	1.463	8.3	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	31	26.6	7.78	1.917	10.8	32	0.1	3	2	2	2	0	21	0.1	0	2
Zach Agnos	Middle Reliever	28	61.1	6.48	1.604	5.9	40	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 6-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros

TOR 54-61 (3.9 RPG / 4.43 RA)

3 - 4

HOU 59-57 (4.66 RPG / 4.87 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 4-3 TARGET: TOR 3 - 4 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	7
HOU	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

TOR Season Quality

Record53-60

Win%0.469

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.496

HOU Season Quality

Record58-56

Win%0.509

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.254

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3008; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Myles Straw	RF	81	182	42	0.231	3	17	0.276	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.282	0.384	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	102	333	77	0.231	7	40	0.275	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.258	0.339	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	111	427	122	0.286	8	36	0.310	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.256	0.283	0.369	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	107	401	104	0.259	6	44	0.333	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.246	0.314	0.330	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	39	135	32	0.237	4	15	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.317	0.370	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	110	406	93	0.229	24	69	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.224	0.280	0.414	OK
Jesús Sánchez	RF	76	223	60	0.269	7	30	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.271	0.376	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	77	251	67	0.267	5	18	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.283	0.325	OK
George Springer	DH	83	321	77	0.240	12	36	0.321	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.277	0.348	0.450	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	8	0.206

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Daulton Varsho	CF	2	6	1	0.167	0	0	0.444	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.314	0.349	OK
Jeremy Peña	SS	66	262	83	0.317	13	37	0.376	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.325	0.376	0.551	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	90	352	85	0.241	12	33	0.304	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.315	0.381	OK
Christian Walker	1B	110	409	98	0.240	22	64	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.312	0.474	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	53	207	55	0.266	8	26	0.290	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.295	0.318	0.463	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	107	393	96	0.244	15	60	0.343	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.231	0.315	0.389	OK
Cam Smith	RF	106	374	81	0.217	13	39	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.299	0.399	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	54	151	36	0.238	6	19	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.320	0.431	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	112	406	135	0.333	35	84	0.446	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.367	0.483	0.635	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	9	4	4	3	7	0.257

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jameson Taillon	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	4.1	6	4	4	2	5	88	4.1	5	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	51	52.7	1.20	1.101	12.5	73	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	52	46.5	1.74	1.161	5.2	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	31	66.4	3.39	1.190	9.4	69	1.1	2	0	0	1	0	37	1.1	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	10	50.8	3.54	1.339	9.7	55	5.1	6	3	3	2	4	93	5.1	4	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	24	22.3	0.81	0.762	13.7	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	55	47.4	2.66	1.013	10.8	57	1.1	1	0	0	0	3	20	1.1	3	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	42	35.7	5.04	1.569	12.9	51	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	19	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 4-3

Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies

WAS 55-60 (5.3 RPG / 5.23 RA)

3 - 5

PHI 61-53 (4.39 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 5-3 TARGET: WAS 3 - 5 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 52.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2
PHI	0	1	0	3	0	0	1	0	x	5	9

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak7L

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff20

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

WAS Season Quality

Record55-60

Win%0.478

Run Diff8

RD/Game0.070

PHI Season Quality

Record61-53

Win%0.535

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.035

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0508; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
CJ Abrams	SS	111	416	119	0.286	28	85	0.361	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.257	0.325	0.494	OK
Abimelec Ortiz	1B	3	6	2	0.333	1	1	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.117	0.130	0.498	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	61	230	51	0.222	9	25	0.301	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.259	0.361	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	113	431	106	0.246	14	56	0.297	4	3	0	1	0	1	3	0.000	0.223	0.268	0.430	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	72	238	63	0.265	7	36	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.244	0.278	0.364	OK
Jose F Miranda	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.309	0.417
Nasim Nuñez	2B	100	323	77	0.238	1	31	0.321	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.197	0.285	0.251	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	78	207	49	0.237	3	17	0.318	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.202	0.287	0.284	OK
Jacob Young	CF	90	305	71	0.233	9	36	0.289	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.198	0.259	0.328	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	29	2	3	3	3	8	0.069

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Schwarber	DH	106	397	96	0.242	32	62	0.357	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.184	0.317	0.352	OK
Trea Turner	SS	108	452	115	0.254	16	44	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.331	0.452	OK
Bryce Harper	RF	112	398	101	0.254	24	68	0.361	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.263	0.375	0.536	OK
Luis Arraez	2B	1	4	2	0.500	0	2	0.500	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.324	0.353	0.419	OK
Alec Bohm	1B	108	406	92	0.227	13	60	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.280	0.354	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	107	394	110	0.279	16	50	0.318	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.238	0.275	0.366	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	81	275	61	0.222	8	37	0.300	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.231	0.298	0.367	OK
Bryson Stott	3B	107	372	95	0.255	8	49	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.351	0.423	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	99	303	78	0.257	2	26	0.305	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.301	0.339	0.380	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	5	5	2	5	0.273

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Irvin	Starter	12	56.2	5.60	1.335	9.4	59	4.1	7	4	4	2	4	94	4.1	4	4
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	34	29.5	3.97	1.356	10.4	34	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	35	29.4	3.98	1.361	9.8	32	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	8	5.8	4.66	1.724	7.8	5	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	15	68.9	6.92	1.655	7.7	59	4.0	3	3	3	2	3	81	4.0	3	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	39	36.4	1.48	0.907	13.6	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	46	38.1	3.78	1.417	11.3	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	41	34.7	3.37	1.124	12.4	48	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	47	36.1	6.48	1.690	13.2	53	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

CHW Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners

DET Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

DET Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles

LAA Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

LAA Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

LAD Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

MIA Recent Form

ATL Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

ATL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals

MIN Recent Form

KC Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

KC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians

NYM Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

NYM Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Oakland Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds