MLB Predictions — August 2, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ CLE	5 - 2	5 - 2	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 5-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ LAD	5 - 4	5 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ TB	3 - 4	3 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ OAK	5 - 4	5 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 5-4	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ COL	5 - 2	5 - 2	KC	KC	KC wins 5-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ NYM	6 - 3	6 - 3	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ LAA	5 - 1	5 - 1	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-1	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ SEA	5 - 4	5 - 4	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ CHC	5 - 4	5 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ BAL	4 - 3	4 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 4-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ CIN	3 - 5	5 - 4	CIN	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ SD	3 - 4	3 - 4	SD	SD	SD wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ TOR	3 - 5	3 - 5	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ HOU	3 - 5	3 - 5	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ ATL	3 - 6	3 - 6	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians

ARI 59-53 (4.54 RPG / 4.52 RA)

5 - 2

CLE 57-56 (3.95 RPG / 4.09 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 5-2 TARGET: ARI 5 - 2 CLE (ARI) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	5	5
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	9

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.7

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff20

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-21

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

ARI Season Quality

Record59-52

Win%0.532

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.063

CLE Season Quality

Record56-56

Win%0.500

Run Diff-21

RD/Game-0.188

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2979; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.254	0.301	0.361	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.231	0.361	0.335	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.285	0.339	0.477	OK
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.158	0.255	0.230	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	2	1	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.291	0.369	0.471	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.238	0.299	0.362	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.299	0.376	0.571	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.314	0.409
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.286	0.358	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	5	5	5	5	9	0.156

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	99	347	88	0.254	1	21	0.348	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.330	0.406	0.395	OK
José Ramírez	DH	80	302	71	0.235	10	35	0.333	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.221	0.318	0.355	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	91	345	96	0.278	12	52	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.207	0.275	0.370	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	79	296	72	0.243	9	33	0.338	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.236	0.312	0.339	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	99	304	66	0.217	13	38	0.308	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.204	0.290	0.421	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	107	375	99	0.264	9	50	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.202	0.248	0.296	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	35	112	31	0.277	5	11	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.308	0.390	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	42	124	28	0.226	4	16	0.272	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.117	0.180	0.219	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	40	105	22	0.210	2	7	0.243	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.194	0.221	0.289	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	2	2	2	6	0.250

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Merrill Kelly	Starter	12	68.5	5.91	1.533	5.5	42	5.0	7	2	2	1	3	92	5.0	3	2
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	27	2.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	22	131.7	3.76	1.086	11.5	168	6.1	2	1	1	3	8	109	6.1	8	1
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	47	47.2	2.67	1.144	13.3	70	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	42	30.5	4.13	1.541	10.0	34	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	42	37.6	1.68	0.904	10.1	42	1.0	2	4	4	2	1	27	1.0	1	4

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-2

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers

BOS 59-51 (4.24 RPG / 3.73 RA)

5 - 4

LAD 69-42 (5.12 RPG / 3.73 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-4 TARGET: BOS 5 - 4 LAD (BOS) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	9
LAD	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	3

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak4W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

BOS Season Quality

Record58-51

Win%0.532

Run Diff55

RD/Game0.505

LAD Season Quality

Record69-41

Win%0.627

Run Diff155

RD/Game1.409

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0472; margin adjustment: 0.4398; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	14	46	12	0.261	0	3	0.370	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.247	0.351	0.340	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	102	401	115	0.287	13	54	0.327	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.304	0.327	0.685	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	106	407	101	0.248	16	53	0.319	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.180	0.245	0.349	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	99	347	99	0.285	23	67	0.394	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.195	0.316	0.416	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	71	215	54	0.251	3	19	0.319	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.295	0.325	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	99	334	78	0.234	10	41	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.241	0.298	0.355	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	66	197	51	0.259	6	23	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.310	0.462	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	101	390	77	0.197	13	50	0.257	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.274	0.324	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	57	169	32	0.189	3	10	0.259	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.142	0.205	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	36	9	5	5	1	7	0.250

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	100	383	111	0.290	24	65	0.395	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.305	0.403	0.580	OK
Andy Pages	CF	108	420	113	0.269	18	70	0.335	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.292	0.345	0.472	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	31	108	33	0.306	2	16	0.380	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.306	0.406	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	107	406	126	0.310	15	52	0.387	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.393	0.448	0.529	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	72	286	67	0.234	13	36	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.156	0.205	0.257	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	101	365	86	0.236	9	51	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.121	0.230	0.238	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	74	266	68	0.256	10	39	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.287	0.346	0.491	OK
Max Muncy	3B	100	333	83	0.249	21	49	0.344	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.227	0.314	0.449	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	68	215	55	0.256	12	36	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.256	0.303	0.483	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	29	3	4	4	7	7	0.103

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	11	63.8	2.82	1.003	6.5	46	6.1	3	3	3	5	5	109	6.1	5	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	38	37.2	0.97	1.102	12.1	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	41	39.3	2.06	0.891	9.6	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	32	23.2	5.43	1.595	14.0	36	0.2	1	1	1	1	0	15	0.2	0	1
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	25	21.1	2.56	1.232	12.4	29	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	16	0.0	0	0

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	19	89.4	5.13	1.298	10.5	104	5.0	8	5	5	0	2	87	5.0	2	5
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	5.62	1.625	13.5	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1.0	1	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	47	41.4	2.61	0.918	12.4	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	7.03	1.562	12.7	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	49	29.6	3.34	1.486	16.1	53	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	15	0.2	1	0
Edgardo Henriquez	Middle Reliever	42	38.1	3.07	1.181	10.2	43	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	8	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-4

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

CHW 59-52 (4.78 RPG / 4.29 RA)

3 - 4

TB 65-46 (4.36 RPG / 4.08 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: CHW 3 - 4 TB (TB) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	5
TB	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	x	4	11

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed2.0

Run Diff9

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CHW Season Quality

Record58-52

Win%0.527

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.427

TB Season Quality

Record65-45

Win%0.591

Run Diff39

RD/Game0.355

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0227; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.270	0.322	0.430	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.277	0.466	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.310	0.361	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.243	0.376	0.568	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.142	0.213	0.325	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.221	0.313	0.411	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.308	0.438	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.297	0.355	0.456	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.195	0.255	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	6	0.156

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	105	407	125	0.307	15	63	0.382	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.305	0.362	0.468	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	106	392	111	0.283	14	65	0.374	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.261	0.333	0.384	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	109	411	115	0.280	30	66	0.373	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.238	0.334	0.468	OK
Ryan Vilade	2B	57	159	40	0.252	9	34	0.312	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.241	0.297	0.475	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	99	379	110	0.290	0	20	0.321	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.283	0.314	0.344	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	61	201	54	0.269	7	33	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.271	0.425	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	76	235	59	0.251	2	24	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.254	0.303	0.325	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	92	320	65	0.203	13	34	0.279	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.155	0.217	0.319	OK
Nick Fortes	C	78	236	66	0.280	4	28	0.316	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.325	0.341	0.464	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	11	4	4	5	10	0.314

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Anthony Kay	Starter	15	68.0	4.76	1.485	7.3	55	5.0	6	2	2	4	6	97	5.0	6	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	0.2	2	1	1	1	1	22	0.2	1	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Jordan Hicks	Middle Reliever	2	0.3	90.00	20.000	30.0	1	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	18	0.0	0	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	27	83.4	3.56	1.235	9.9	92	5.0	4	3	3	1	5	85	5.0	5	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	45	42.4	1.49	0.873	9.8	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	46	43.9	2.46	0.957	8.6	42	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	38	29.5	3.66	1.356	14.0	46	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics

DET 53-58 (4.45 RPG / 3.98 RA)

5 - 4

OAK 45-66 (4.39 RPG / 5.68 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-4 TARGET: DET 5 - 4 OAK (DET) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5	8
OAK	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	6

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.6

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff28

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-31

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

DET Season Quality

Record52-58

Win%0.473

Run Diff50

RD/Game0.455

OAK Season Quality

Record45-65

Win%0.409

Run Diff-141

RD/Game-1.282

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.8318; margin adjustment: -0.7694; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	54	199	53	0.266	6	25	0.378	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.279	0.360	0.468	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	101	380	103	0.271	23	72	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.272	0.313	0.501	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	106	402	117	0.291	11	41	0.396	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.331	0.420	0.544	OK
Eduardo Valencia	C	9	26	12	0.462	4	7	0.481	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.364	0.372	0.617	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	109	375	81	0.216	20	54	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.299	0.366	0.488	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	3B	65	186	50	0.269	6	26	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.322	0.477	OK
Max Clark	CF	2	9	5	0.556	1	3	0.600	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.394	0.440	0.835	OK
Ben Malgeri	LF	15	39	11	0.282	1	7	0.341	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.290	0.356	0.435	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	82	258	54	0.209	4	23	0.280	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.302	0.376	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	5	5	2	9	0.229

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Donovan Walton	2B	13	23	5	0.217	0	2	0.438	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.289	0.364	0.450	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	99	359	87	0.242	17	50	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.213	0.284	0.380	OK
Jonah Heim	C	52	178	41	0.230	10	27	0.276	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.275	0.417	OK
Tommy White	3B	14	56	17	0.304	0	0	0.328	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.294	0.329	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	96	282	59	0.209	6	29	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.253	0.327	0.412	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	81	227	60	0.264	7	28	0.336	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.291	0.367	OK
Alika Williams	SS	40	109	29	0.266	2	9	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.250	0.281	0.388	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	96	303	75	0.248	4	34	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.294	0.333	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	64	214	55	0.257	4	21	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.318	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	4	4	4	10	0.182

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Keider Montero	Starter	23	106.6	3.46	1.051	6.7	79	5.0	3	1	1	0	5	84	5.0	5	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	32	27.8	3.56	1.259	11.0	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	45	40.5	3.11	1.654	8.0	36	2.0	3	3	3	2	3	54	2.0	3	3
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	46	41.4	3.70	1.570	8.3	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gage Jump	Starter	12	60.9	4.14	1.445	10.0	68	5.0	5	3	3	2	6	90	5.0	6	3
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	51	38.9	4.16	1.825	15.0	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	31	28.8	5.62	1.424	12.5	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	36	46.7	3.85	1.520	11.6	60	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	7	1.1	1	0
José Suarez	Middle Reliever	30	33.5	4.57	1.343	9.4	35	0.2	2	2	2	0	1	16	0.2	1	2

Game Summary

DET wins 5-4

Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies

KC 46-67 (4.13 RPG / 5.1 RA)

5 - 2

COL 45-67 (4.8 RPG / 5.68 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 5-2 TARGET: KC 5 - 2 COL (KC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	5	11
COL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	6

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed6.1

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

KC Season Quality

Record46-65

Win%0.414

Run Diff-96

RD/Game-0.865

COL Season Quality

Record43-67

Win%0.391

Run Diff-111

RD/Game-1.009

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1795; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	DH	102	365	86	0.236	15	54	0.307	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.225	0.304	0.428	OK
Nick Loftin	2B	72	223	57	0.256	5	35	0.331	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.271	0.339	0.430	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	102	364	90	0.247	18	42	0.304	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.270	0.457	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	103	401	87	0.217	16	46	0.265	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.261	0.412	OK
Starling Marte	LF	49	132	33	0.250	1	10	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.274	0.289	OK
John Rave	CF	10	28	9	0.321	2	2	0.367	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.312	0.354	0.689	OK
Tyler Tolbert	SS	30	76	26	0.342	3	6	0.386	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.332	0.382	0.513	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	23	59	14	0.237	1	6	0.250	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.222	0.243	0.324	OK
Luke Maile	C	4	12	3	0.250	1	4	0.308	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.300	0.451	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	38	11	5	5	1	3	0.289

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	DH	90	337	98	0.291	10	58	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.304	0.452	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	71	249	69	0.277	17	47	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.271	0.300	0.522	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	41	137	40	0.292	5	26	0.380	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.298	0.389	0.514	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	105	381	114	0.299	13	56	0.378	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.301	0.363	0.427	OK
Willi Castro	3B	93	332	87	0.262	12	46	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.337	0.477	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	93	303	86	0.284	3	40	0.345	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.206	0.261	0.308	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	81	226	47	0.208	3	20	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.129	0.227	0.257	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	46	136	31	0.228	4	16	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.281	0.418	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	99	340	67	0.197	8	34	0.244	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.126	0.186	0.226	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	2	2	3	11	0.182

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	22	121.8	4.29	1.388	7.1	96	5.2	2	1	1	3	11	99	5.2	11	1
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	43	40.7	6.86	1.695	10.4	47	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	45	40.1	2.24	1.047	7.6	34	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	37	34.8	4.91	1.408	11.9	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	19	96.3	7.57	1.599	7.9	85	4.2	9	4	4	0	3	86	4.2	3	4
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	1.25	1.389	12.5	10	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.2	0	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	34	46.5	4.06	1.462	8.9	46	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	44	41.8	6.24	1.818	10.6	49	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

KC wins 5-2

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

MIA 58-55 (4.39 RPG / 4.27 RA)

6 - 3

NYM 47-66 (4.04 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 6-3 TARGET: MIA 6 - 3 NYM (MIA) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	8
NYM	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	8

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

MIA Season Quality

Record57-55

Win%0.509

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.098

NYM Season Quality

Record47-65

Win%0.420

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.500

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7321; margin adjustment: -0.3075; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	100	350	99	0.283	14	62	0.364	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.369	0.416	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	87	325	77	0.237	16	48	0.322	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.236	0.314	0.576	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	108	432	139	0.322	9	51	0.355	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.261	0.291	0.385	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	111	410	118	0.288	6	40	0.368	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.274	0.350	0.359	OK
Griffin Conine	LF	43	122	34	0.279	10	21	0.362	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.286	0.366	0.579	OK
Owen Caissie	RF	78	218	52	0.239	12	50	0.294	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.253	0.455	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	106	361	71	0.197	6	28	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.139	0.251	0.277	OK
Joe Mack	C	63	193	46	0.238	10	32	0.293	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.248	0.291	0.426	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	83	277	74	0.267	4	37	0.299	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.303	0.450	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	6	6	3	7	0.229

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	70	250	68	0.272	7	28	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.328	0.373	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	54	210	50	0.238	9	25	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.338	0.464	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	108	434	111	0.256	10	53	0.298	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.222	0.257	0.310	OK
Carson Benge	RF	104	397	105	0.264	11	41	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.273	0.321	0.394	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	33	118	23	0.195	4	12	0.286	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.182	0.262	0.297	OK
Jared Young	1B	58	172	42	0.244	6	16	0.319	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.269	0.341	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	91	324	70	0.216	12	35	0.272	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.210	0.258	0.359	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	28	104	14	0.135	1	4	0.189	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.115	0.164	0.190	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	72	236	58	0.246	11	26	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.222	0.326	0.412	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	8	3	3	0	5	0.235

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	23	148.8	3.87	1.223	7.0	115	6.1	5	2	2	0	5	101	6.1	5	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	37	32.7	6.88	1.407	12.7	46	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	5	1.0	0	1
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	47	40.6	5.32	1.700	11.1	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	4	1.0	0	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	44	39.4	3.65	1.218	11.9	52	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	9	0.2	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Stock	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.0	7	6	6	2	4	54	2.0	4	6
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	39	34.1	3.96	1.584	13.5	51	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.2	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	41	40.9	1.98	0.880	9.7	44	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	44	34.5	2.35	1.304	10.4	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	45	44.2	3.05	1.176	9.6	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Daniel Duarte	Middle Reliever	8	11.5	1.57	0.783	9.4	12	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	14	1.1	1	0
Kevin Herget	Reliever	1	1.0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 6-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels

MIL 69-42 (5.0 RPG / 3.78 RA)

5 - 1

LAA 43-69 (4.2 RPG / 4.86 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-1 TARGET: MIL 5 - 1 LAA (MIL) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	5	7
LAA	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-16

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak5L

MIL Season Quality

Record68-41

Win%0.624

Run Diff136

RD/Game1.248

LAA Season Quality

Record42-68

Win%0.382

Run Diff-75

RD/Game-0.682

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.2926; margin adjustment: -0.9629; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	101	395	110	0.278	16	69	0.368	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.311	0.385	0.501	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	74	313	87	0.278	13	42	0.332	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.295	0.403	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	92	303	79	0.261	7	42	0.352	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.248	0.337	0.406	OK
William Contreras	C	100	388	105	0.271	10	56	0.333	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.265	0.317	0.393	OK
Jake Bauers	DH	96	329	88	0.267	19	62	0.368	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.303	0.392	0.563	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	61	175	54	0.309	4	28	0.388	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.330	0.447	OK
Luis Lara	RF	14	43	11	0.256	0	10	0.340	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.266	0.351	0.419	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	34	108	31	0.287	2	15	0.375	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.310	0.408	0.421	OK
David Hamilton	3B	72	218	51	0.234	3	15	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.234	0.296	0.326	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	5	5	6	9	0.206

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	108	426	98	0.230	19	46	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.186	0.263	0.320	OK
Mike Trout	DH	92	331	81	0.245	18	40	0.392	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.368	0.415	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	90	337	93	0.276	6	37	0.348	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.216	0.280	0.305	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	67	238	62	0.261	7	45	0.325	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.300	0.412	OK
Jo Adell	RF	110	421	101	0.240	16	62	0.287	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.191	0.220	0.321	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	48	146	43	0.295	2	17	0.356	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.322	0.366	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	37	142	34	0.239	5	16	0.285	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.250	0.339	OK
Josh Lowe	CF	63	190	38	0.200	8	22	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.182	0.239	0.311	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	11	34	8	0.235	0	2	0.297	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.147	0.190	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	1	1	2	11	0.129

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	20	119.3	1.58	0.754	14.0	185	6.1	3	1	1	0	9	94	6.1	9	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	42	41.1	1.97	0.900	10.9	50	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	45	40.6	2.44	1.133	9.8	44	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	51	54.6	4.29	1.612	13.7	83	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	18	0.2	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	19	91.7	2.75	1.287	8.6	88	6.0	1	0	0	5	6	99	6.0	6	0
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	44	45.8	4.13	1.310	14.0	71	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	40	40.2	4.70	1.493	10.3	46	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	30	25.0	3.96	1.240	13.0	36	1.0	4	4	4	1	3	24	1.0	3	4
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	19	20.4	2.65	0.980	15.9	36	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-1

Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners

MIN 56-56 (4.7 RPG / 4.95 RA)

5 - 4

SEA 54-58 (3.99 RPG / 3.97 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 5-4 TARGET: MIN 5 - 4 SEA (MIN) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	5	6
SEA	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

MIN Season Quality

Record56-56

Win%0.500

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.250

SEA Season Quality

Record54-58

Win%0.482

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.018

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2411; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	89	289	82	0.284	9	38	0.367	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.239	0.316	0.442	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	48	171	50	0.292	10	36	0.387	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.282	0.359	0.478	OK
Josh Bell	DH	107	392	95	0.242	13	63	0.303	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.288	0.366	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	96	356	85	0.239	19	53	0.296	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.284	0.476	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	77	277	60	0.217	11	34	0.297	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.227	0.303	0.419	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	104	394	97	0.246	16	57	0.302	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.241	0.291	0.422	OK
Alan Roden	RF	16	39	8	0.205	0	7	0.289	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.221	0.304	0.275	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	103	346	90	0.260	5	32	0.351	4	4	1	1	4	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.342	0.375	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	61	172	42	0.244	5	25	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.253	0.292	0.415	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	6	5	5	4	8	0.182

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	112	408	107	0.262	14	50	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.289	0.325	0.448	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	104	382	108	0.283	14	49	0.378	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.284	0.352	0.507	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	95	279	72	0.258	18	49	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.327	0.542	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	100	397	100	0.252	16	47	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.290	0.418	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	105	410	107	0.261	8	38	0.323	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.316	0.337	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	79	291	47	0.162	11	40	0.267	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.143	0.235	0.280	OK
Victor Robles	RF	38	111	27	0.243	0	5	0.286	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.271	0.300	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	59	191	37	0.194	7	21	0.254	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.192	0.241	0.287	OK
Leo Rivas	3B	35	99	13	0.131	0	7	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.080	0.199	0.133	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	4	4	1	7	0.229

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	21	118.8	3.71	1.229	10.5	139	6.0	8	4	4	1	5	104	6.0	5	4
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	36	28.6	1.89	1.224	10.1	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	42	45.9	3.73	1.438	10.0	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.0	0	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	8	6.5	2.77	1.692	11.1	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12	1.0	2	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	20	117.9	4.05	1.323	8.2	107	6.0	4	5	5	4	5	107	6.0	5	5
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	41	37.8	3.57	1.217	14.5	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	49	40.1	3.37	1.471	8.3	37	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	51	41.2	3.50	1.481	10.9	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 5-4

New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs

NYY 63-49 (4.57 RPG / 3.79 RA)

5 - 4

CHC 63-49 (5.09 RPG / 4.29 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-4 TARGET: NYY 5 - 4 CHC (NYY) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	5	8
CHC	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	9

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff21

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

NYY Season Quality

Record62-49

Win%0.559

Run Diff86

RD/Game0.775

CHC Season Quality

Record63-48

Win%0.568

Run Diff90

RD/Game0.811

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0495; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	86	301	64	0.213	10	41	0.312	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.154	0.257	0.284	OK
Ben Rice	1B	103	386	104	0.269	30	69	0.361	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.145	0.247	0.329	OK
Amed Rosario	DH	62	174	41	0.236	10	27	0.270	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.239	0.272	0.451	OK
Spencer Jones	LF	35	93	23	0.247	5	13	0.327	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.260	0.332	0.497	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	48	184	43	0.234	6	14	0.273	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.211	0.244	0.348	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	100	357	80	0.224	16	45	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.292	0.388	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	80	230	48	0.209	9	26	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.117	0.169	0.242	OK
José Caballero	SS	93	312	75	0.240	10	38	0.292	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.220	0.269	0.313	OK
Austin Wells	C	75	216	35	0.162	7	14	0.260	4	3	1	1	3	1	1	0.333	0.139	0.235	0.262	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	5	5	6	8	0.229

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	109	409	117	0.286	24	64	0.383	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.265	0.343	0.565	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	93	350	96	0.274	18	61	0.367	5	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.346	0.442	OK
Michael Busch	1B	108	409	99	0.242	12	57	0.355	5	4	2	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.227	0.312	0.339	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	107	422	106	0.251	11	47	0.346	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.357	0.417	OK
Ian Happ	LF	104	389	85	0.219	18	48	0.327	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.315	0.391	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	107	429	111	0.259	6	51	0.317	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.308	0.353	0.461	OK
Pedro Ramirez	DH	34	91	30	0.330	1	14	0.380	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.334	0.388	0.471	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	103	355	75	0.211	14	54	0.292	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.196	0.274	0.314	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	49	152	37	0.243	3	18	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.294	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	9	4	4	6	8	0.257

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	12	66.6	3.65	1.111	9.9	73	6.0	7	3	3	3	7	121	6.0	7	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	44	44.2	2.85	1.131	10.8	53	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	52	34.5	3.91	1.855	15.1	58	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	56	45.4	1.78	1.366	12.9	65	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	24	1.0	1	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	22	107.7	4.85	1.448	6.9	83	5.1	5	4	4	4	5	102	5.1	5	4
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	49	44.0	2.86	1.386	11.5	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	30	30.3	2.97	1.254	4.5	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	38	28.4	4.44	1.373	13.6	43	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	23	1.0	0	1
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	38	33.7	3.20	1.632	11.5	43	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	18	0.2	1	0
Tyler Ferguson	Middle Reliever	14	11.7	4.62	0.940	12.3	16	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-4

Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles

PHI 59-53 (4.38 RPG / 4.41 RA)

4 - 3

BAL 54-58 (4.53 RPG / 4.84 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 4-3 TARGET: PHI 4 - 3 BAL (PHI) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	4	5
BAL	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

PHI Season Quality

Record58-53

Win%0.523

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.108

BAL Season Quality

Record54-57

Win%0.486

Run Diff-27

RD/Game-0.243

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1892; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	105	441	111	0.252	16	43	0.297	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.279	0.411	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	103	389	96	0.247	32	61	0.360	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.337	0.406	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	109	389	99	0.254	22	65	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.373	0.509	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	105	395	88	0.223	13	59	0.282	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.220	0.262	0.326	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	104	386	108	0.280	16	49	0.320	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.263	0.341	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	79	269	60	0.223	8	37	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.221	0.283	0.380	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	104	364	92	0.253	8	48	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.329	0.426	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	97	296	74	0.250	2	24	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.285	0.318	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	RF	7	18	9	0.500	1	3	0.500	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.440	0.468	0.635	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	4	4	1	9	0.156

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Beavers	LF	53	167	42	0.251	2	17	0.326	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.254	0.322	0.357	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	108	406	102	0.251	23	69	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.252	0.327	0.478	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	107	443	97	0.219	17	46	0.291	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.226	0.291	0.374	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	107	398	98	0.246	7	29	0.383	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.368	0.319	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	55	156	39	0.250	5	20	0.344	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.330	0.410	0.447	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	9	32	8	0.250	2	9	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.314	0.378	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	90	292	64	0.219	5	39	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.202	0.279	0.325	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	85	216	45	0.208	7	25	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.324	0.321	OK
Jake Rogers	C	2	4	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.152	0.257	0.301
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	3	3	3	8	0.156

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	17	101.6	2.57	0.935	10.9	123	6.0	5	3	3	1	8	105	6.0	8	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	38	35.4	1.53	0.932	13.5	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	45	37.1	3.88	1.456	11.2	46	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	41	34.7	3.37	1.124	12.4	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	21	115.2	3.83	1.398	8.9	114	5.2	4	3	3	1	7	102	5.2	7	3
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	37	27.6	4.57	1.667	9.1	28	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	13	0.2	2	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	43	50.5	2.85	1.030	9.4	53	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	48	30.9	2.33	1.003	9.3	32	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

PHI wins 4-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds

PIT 56-57 (5.12 RPG / 4.85 RA)

5 - 4

CIN 53-58 (4.16 RPG / 4.73 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: PIT 3 - 5 CIN (CIN) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	5	7
CIN	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	4	6

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-15

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-6

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

PIT Season Quality

Record56-56

Win%0.500

Run Diff38

RD/Game0.339

CIN Season Quality

Record52-58

Win%0.473

Run Diff-71

RD/Game-0.645

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0256; margin adjustment: -0.4308; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	LF	78	280	87	0.311	3	23	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.314	0.345	0.405	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	100	397	101	0.254	23	71	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.297	0.353	0.536	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	109	398	108	0.271	15	62	0.385	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.369	0.444	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	40	130	34	0.262	11	30	0.368	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.359	0.550	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	102	392	122	0.311	4	48	0.364	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.277	0.309	0.338	OK
Endy Rodríguez	C	38	116	30	0.259	5	17	0.358	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.336	0.411	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	11	27	4	0.148	0	2	0.143	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.218	0.263	0.305	OK
Jhostynxon Garcia	CF	13	42	8	0.190	0	2	0.227	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.195	0.219	0.241	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	70	218	53	0.243	1	18	0.321	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.243	0.325	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	5	5	1	8	0.206

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	90	358	100	0.279	18	48	0.358	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.326	0.458	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	109	413	106	0.257	23	84	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.312	0.424	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	80	289	66	0.228	19	46	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.191	0.295	0.422	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	82	262	66	0.252	8	30	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.293	0.388	0.458	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	77	240	62	0.258	11	34	0.328	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.317	0.436	OK
Dane Myers	CF	64	154	43	0.279	3	15	0.371	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.299	0.374	0.398	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	49	164	32	0.195	6	14	0.233	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.203	0.233	0.320	OK
Matt McLain	2B	81	278	53	0.191	8	25	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.175	0.265	0.289	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	47	149	21	0.141	3	6	0.195	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.085	0.137	0.169	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	2	7	0.182

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Keller	Starter	21	111.8	4.91	1.333	7.0	87	5.1	4	3	3	0	6	91	5.1	6	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	46	43.3	3.33	1.039	11.0	53	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	45	38.0	4.03	1.368	16.3	69	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	45	52.4	3.44	1.508	11.3	66	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	20	111.5	2.42	1.130	10.3	128	6.0	0	2	2	1	6	96	6.0	6	2
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	24	22.4	4.82	1.205	10.4	26	1.0	6	3	3	0	1	9	1.0	1	3
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	34	29.9	2.41	1.070	9.3	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	55	45.2	2.99	1.527	9.0	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres

SF 48-64 (4.22 RPG / 4.64 RA)

3 - 4

SD 57-54 (4.21 RPG / 4.32 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-3 TARGET: SF 3 - 4 SD (SD) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10
SD	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	x	4	5

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

SF Season Quality

Record48-63

Win%0.432

Run Diff-46

RD/Game-0.414

SD Season Quality

Record56-54

Win%0.509

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.127

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4021; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	103	408	135	0.331	4	42	0.368	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.322	0.353	0.422	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	69	242	61	0.252	11	26	0.350	5	5	2	0	0	0	2	0.400	0.240	0.322	0.436	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	72	280	72	0.257	9	34	0.296	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.253	0.295	0.384	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	110	414	104	0.251	21	60	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.347	0.451	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	99	375	113	0.301	5	38	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.276	0.360	OK
Willy Adames	SS	105	405	91	0.225	17	45	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.198	0.261	0.337	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	21	49	12	0.245	0	3	0.373	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.365	0.341	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	79	220	54	0.245	4	21	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.266	0.319	0.368	OK
Osleivis Basabe	3B	3	6	2	0.333	1	4	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.309	0.320	0.859	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	37	10	3	3	0	8	0.270

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Rengifo	LF	14	44	16	0.364	2	8	0.472	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.335	0.333	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	58	191	41	0.215	3	14	0.309	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.254	0.321	0.324	OK
Manny Machado	DH	108	400	85	0.212	23	65	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.308	0.424	OK
Ty France	1B	79	265	78	0.294	16	49	0.346	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.332	0.365	0.526	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	107	419	98	0.234	15	50	0.284	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.252	0.290	0.414	OK
Luis Campusano	C	35	98	30	0.306	4	15	0.404	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.319	0.399	0.484	OK
Gavin Sheets	RF	103	314	67	0.213	14	43	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.311	0.368	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	105	366	81	0.221	9	40	0.314	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.237	0.321	0.315	OK
Sung-Mun Song	3B	39	99	21	0.212	1	15	0.310	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.130	0.232	0.191	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	4	4	2	7	0.172

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	21	110.4	4.24	1.295	9.3	114	5.1	4	3	3	2	6	96	5.1	6	3
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	36	27.9	2.90	1.505	14.5	45	2.1	1	1	1	0	1	23	2.1	1	1
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	44	39.2	4.13	1.403	12.2	53	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.1	0	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Hart	Starter	28	36.7	5.40	1.226	8.8	36	5.0	7	3	3	0	5	90	5.0	5	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	45	44.3	0.81	0.858	17.9	88	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	51	51.2	3.52	1.250	11.8	67	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	23	19.2	4.69	1.406	12.7	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	31	35.6	2.78	1.376	11.4	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays

STL 55-57 (4.31 RPG / 4.46 RA)

3 - 5

TOR 52-60 (3.92 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 5-3 TARGET: STL 3 - 5 TOR (TOR) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	10
TOR	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	x	5	6

STL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-20

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

STL Season Quality

Record54-57

Win%0.486

Run Diff-20

RD/Game-0.180

TOR Season Quality

Record52-59

Win%0.468

Run Diff-54

RD/Game-0.486

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3333; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lars Nootbaar	RF	47	153	36	0.235	3	15	0.337	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.223	0.322	0.328	OK
Jordan Walker	DH	107	413	117	0.283	20	74	0.344	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.265	0.318	0.434	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	108	414	119	0.287	15	70	0.349	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	0.750	0.286	0.348	0.445	OK
Iván Herrera	C	108	403	96	0.238	11	44	0.354	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.233	0.302	0.364	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	100	366	89	0.243	4	45	0.316	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.317	0.324	OK
Bryan Torres	LF	32	75	18	0.240	3	11	0.288	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.297	0.424	OK
José Fermín	2B	70	192	47	0.245	5	22	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.281	0.347	OK
Nathan Church	CF	84	274	63	0.230	8	30	0.271	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.260	0.321	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	36	121	29	0.240	1	22	0.262	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.233	0.267	0.351	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	37	10	3	3	2	11	0.270

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Urías	2B	19	45	11	0.244	3	7	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.321	0.414	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	DH	104	390	104	0.267	6	44	0.340	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.334	0.364	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	1B	107	394	90	0.228	24	69	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.293	0.459	OK
George Springer	LF	80	310	74	0.239	12	36	0.321	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.252	0.330	0.425	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	36	123	29	0.236	3	14	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.340	0.370	OK
Ernie Clement	3B	108	418	122	0.292	8	35	0.317	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.276	0.302	0.398	OK
Myles Straw	RF	78	174	38	0.218	3	16	0.266	3	2	1	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.212	0.258	0.320	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	91	330	81	0.245	7	26	0.307	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.300	0.371	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	99	324	75	0.231	7	40	0.276	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.147	0.171	0.235	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	5	5	2	6	0.200

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	21	99.4	5.43	1.610	9.1	100	5.0	5	4	4	2	4	86	5.0	4	4
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	44	41.8	3.66	1.244	9.9	46	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	13	1.2	1	1
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	49	41.7	3.88	1.319	9.9	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	46	35.8	4.78	1.648	11.3	45	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Scherzer	Starter	7	23.5	9.96	1.915	6.9	18	4.0	8	3	3	2	5	82	4.0	5	3
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	50	52.5	1.03	1.029	12.5	73	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	51	45.5	1.78	1.187	5.3	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	51	43.1	4.39	1.531	15.7	75	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	30	64.4	3.49	1.196	9.5	68	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	31	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 5-3

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros

TEX 55-57 (4.15 RPG / 4.47 RA)

3 - 5

HOU 58-55 (4.67 RPG / 4.91 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-3 TARGET: TEX 3 - 5 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	9
HOU	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	1	x	5	11

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

TEX Season Quality

Record55-56

Win%0.495

Run Diff-32

RD/Game-0.288

HOU Season Quality

Record57-55

Win%0.509

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.277

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0317; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	99	290	74	0.255	20	42	0.342	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.293	0.371	0.585	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	59	240	66	0.275	13	31	0.318	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.230	0.267	0.452	OK
Corey Seager	SS	52	193	37	0.192	10	25	0.301	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.224	0.334	0.427	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	105	401	107	0.267	10	39	0.335	5	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.227	0.291	0.375	OK
Jake Burger	1B	106	392	92	0.235	19	66	0.294	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.140	0.196	0.271	OK
Evan Carter	CF	91	258	53	0.205	8	29	0.318	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.343	0.350	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	100	350	93	0.266	12	57	0.319	5	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.247	0.296	0.412	OK
Elias Díaz	C	32	98	25	0.255	3	13	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.246	0.466	OK
Cameron Cauley	2B	19	44	10	0.227	1	1	0.306	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.278	0.397	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	36	9	3	3	4	8	0.250

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	DH	63	251	80	0.319	12	34	0.371	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.332	0.368	0.558	OK
Yordan Alvarez	LF	109	394	129	0.327	35	82	0.442	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.335	0.455	0.637	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	104	380	96	0.253	15	60	0.351	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.251	0.333	0.434	OK
Christian Walker	1B	107	396	95	0.240	22	64	0.317	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.329	0.489	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	51	143	34	0.238	5	16	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.305	0.430	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	87	339	78	0.230	12	30	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.290	0.340	OK
Cam Smith	RF	103	362	75	0.207	13	37	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.252	0.346	OK
Nick Allen	SS	42	98	26	0.265	1	11	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.213	0.256	0.282	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	65	194	42	0.216	5	23	0.268	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.268	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	11	5	5	1	4	0.324

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	20	99.4	4.16	1.328	8.4	93	5.1	8	4	4	0	4	97	5.1	4	4
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	39	47.2	1.33	0.614	9.7	51	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	28	2.0	0	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	35	37.2	3.87	1.371	10.9	45	0.2	2	1	1	1	0	18	0.2	0	1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	18	100.9	3.12	1.169	8.9	100	5.2	6	1	1	3	6	109	5.2	6	1
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	24	22.3	0.81	0.762	13.7	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	54	47.2	2.48	0.975	10.7	56	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	41	35.5	5.07	1.549	12.4	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	49	44.8	5.02	1.362	10.0	50	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	16	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-3

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

WAS 55-58 (5.37 RPG / 5.23 RA)

3 - 6

ATL 67-46 (4.88 RPG / 3.96 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-3 TARGET: WAS 3 - 6 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	6
ATL	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	2	x	6	11

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

WAS Season Quality

Record55-57

Win%0.491

Run Diff18

RD/Game0.161

ATL Season Quality

Record66-46

Win%0.589

Run Diff101

RD/Game0.902

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8884; margin adjustment: 0.3731; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	112	430	115	0.267	30	72	0.397	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.208	0.343	0.431	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	104	357	101	0.283	23	76	0.313	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.268	0.294	0.544	OK
José Tena	DH	79	194	48	0.247	5	20	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.170	0.223	0.301	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	108	404	117	0.290	28	85	0.366	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.330	0.504	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	59	223	51	0.229	9	25	0.306	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.293	0.406	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	110	421	104	0.247	13	54	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.165	0.215	0.346	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	97	313	75	0.240	1	31	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.170	0.255	0.214	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	75	200	48	0.240	3	17	0.317	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.139	0.215	0.222	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	70	232	60	0.259	7	36	0.289	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.200	0.230	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	3	3	1	8	0.182

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	88	338	94	0.278	20	57	0.370	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.264	0.334	0.436	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	DH	59	217	52	0.240	9	24	0.363	5	5	3	1	4	0	0	0.600	0.234	0.344	0.429	OK
Matt Olson	1B	111	430	113	0.263	30	68	0.339	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.244	0.317	0.598	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	105	402	117	0.291	20	64	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.275	0.462	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	111	431	114	0.265	18	62	0.314	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.308	0.410	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	106	397	104	0.262	10	55	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.262	0.302	0.370	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	91	248	57	0.230	7	29	0.312	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.312	0.420	OK
Austin Riley	3B	110	396	85	0.215	12	52	0.293	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.218	0.278	0.336	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	25	77	21	0.273	1	10	0.325	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.272	0.319	0.396	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	11	6	6	3	10	0.314

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	23	114.1	3.63	1.323	10.3	130	5.1	4	1	1	2	7	99	5.1	7	1
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	33	29.4	3.37	1.293	10.4	34	2.0	4	3	3	1	1	53	2.0	1	3
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	34	28.4	4.12	1.373	9.8	31	0.2	3	2	2	0	2	22	0.2	2	2

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JR Ritchie	Starter	13	52.6	4.62	1.445	8.4	49	4.1	3	1	1	1	5	80	4.1	5	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	38	37.6	2.39	1.090	10.3	43	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	51	43.7	2.47	0.824	12.6	61	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	37	40.1	2.92	1.322	12.3	55	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	23	1.1	0	2

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians

ARI Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers

BOS Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

CHW Recent Form

TB Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics

DET Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

DET Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies

KC Recent Form

COL Recent Form

KC Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

MIA Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels

MIL Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners