MLB Predictions — August 1, 2026

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ CLE	4 - 2	4 - 2	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-2	62%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ LAD	3 - 5	3 - 5	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ TB	5 - 4	5 - 8	CHW	TB	TB wins 8-5	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ OAK	5 - 3	5 - 3	DET	DET	DET wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ COL	4 - 3	4 - 3	KC	KC	KC wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ NYM	3 - 4	3 - 4	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ LAA	6 - 3	6 - 3	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ SEA	6 - 3	6 - 3	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 6-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ CHC	3 - 5	3 - 5	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ BAL	6 - 5	6 - 5	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ CIN	4 - 3	4 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ SD	3 - 4	3 - 4	SD	SD	SD wins 4-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ TOR	7 - 3	7 - 3	STL	STL	STL wins 7-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ HOU	6 - 4	6 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 6-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ ATL	3 - 6	3 - 6	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians

ARI 58-52 (4.51 RPG / 4.48 RA)

4 - 2

CLE 56-55 (3.9 RPG / 4.05 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-2 TARGET: ARI 4 - 2 CLE (ARI) Confidence: 62.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	6
CLE	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ARI Season Quality

Record58-52

Win%0.527

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.027

CLE Season Quality

Record56-55

Win%0.505

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.153

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2146; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.300	0.360	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.360	0.334	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.284	0.338	0.476	OK
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.158	0.254	0.229	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.290	0.368	0.470	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.237	0.298	0.361	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.298	0.375	0.570	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.313	0.408
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.230	0.285	0.357	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	4	4	1	7	0.182

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	CF	98	342	85	0.249	1	19	0.345	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.252	0.344	0.321	OK
José Ramírez	3B	79	298	71	0.238	10	35	0.335	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.199	0.295	0.314	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	90	340	95	0.279	11	51	0.347	4	2	1	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.256	0.337	0.397	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	80	234	41	0.175	11	33	0.305	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.153	0.281	0.329	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	67	244	54	0.221	11	33	0.257	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.194	0.216	0.364	OK
David Fry	LF	63	141	26	0.184	6	13	0.281	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.157	0.249	0.289	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	78	291	70	0.241	9	33	0.337	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.219	0.308	0.322	OK
Austin Hedges	C	50	145	40	0.276	4	17	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.299	0.436	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	106	372	99	0.266	9	50	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.266	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	5	2	2	5	5	0.161

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kohl Drake	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	4	1	1	4	2	66	3.0	2	1
Juan Morillo	Middle Reliever	2	1.2	15.00	3.333	7.5	1	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.2	0	1	1	1	0	25	1.2	0	1
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Taylor Clarke	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	360.00	30.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	21	120.2	2.70	1.082	9.1	122	6.1	5	3	3	1	6	99	6.1	6	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	47	47.2	2.67	1.144	13.3	70	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.2	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	41	30.3	2.97	1.452	10.1	34	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-2

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers

BOS 58-51 (4.25 RPG / 3.74 RA)

3 - 5

LAD 69-41 (5.15 RPG / 3.74 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-3 TARGET: BOS 3 - 5 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
LAD	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	x	5	10

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BOS Season Quality

Record57-51

Win%0.528

Run Diff50

RD/Game0.463

LAD Season Quality

Record69-40

Win%0.633

Run Diff160

RD/Game1.468

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1628; margin adjustment: 0.4884; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	32	108	26	0.241	3	9	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.156	0.233	0.287	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	101	397	113	0.285	11	52	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.294	0.315	0.504	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	105	403	101	0.251	16	53	0.322	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.185	0.252	0.363	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	98	330	78	0.236	10	41	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.334	0.423	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	70	212	54	0.255	3	19	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.323	0.360	OK
Nick Sogard	1B	13	44	12	0.273	0	3	0.373	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.353	0.355	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	65	194	50	0.258	6	23	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.275	0.329	0.472	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	100	387	76	0.196	13	50	0.256	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.221	0.268	0.336	OK
Connor Wong	C	48	135	36	0.267	2	17	0.359	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.220	0.296	0.377	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	6	3	3	2	6	0.188

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	99	380	110	0.289	24	65	0.394	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.297	0.392	0.570	OK
Andy Pages	CF	107	416	112	0.269	18	70	0.335	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.292	0.349	0.471	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	30	105	33	0.314	2	16	0.385	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.318	0.444	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	106	402	123	0.306	15	52	0.384	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.345	0.406	0.496	OK
Enrique Hernández	LF	4	9	5	0.556	1	2	0.556	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.489	0.497	0.960	OK
Teoscar Hernández	RF	73	262	65	0.248	9	37	0.317	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.252	0.316	0.405	OK
Max Muncy	3B	99	329	82	0.249	21	49	0.345	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.134	0.240	0.334	OK
Miguel Rojas	SS	63	152	42	0.276	3	18	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.286	0.364	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	67	212	55	0.259	12	36	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.292	0.337	0.541	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	5	5	1	6	0.294

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	17	92.9	3.39	1.130	10.0	103	5.1	8	3	3	1	6	105	5.1	6	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	37	36.2	0.99	1.133	12.2	49	1.1	0	1	1	0	0	17	1.1	0	1
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	41	39.3	2.06	0.891	9.6	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	31	22.2	5.68	1.667	14.2	35	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	13	0.1	0	1

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	19	124.5	2.75	0.908	8.5	118	6.2	5	3	3	2	6	107	6.2	6	3
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	5.62	1.625	13.5	12	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	47	41.4	2.61	0.918	12.4	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	8	6.4	7.03	1.562	12.7	9	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-3

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

CHW 58-52 (4.75 RPG / 4.32 RA)

5 - 8

TB 65-45 (4.39 RPG / 4.04 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 8-5 TARGET: CHW 5 - 4 TB (CHW) Confidence: 51.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	5	6
TB	0	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	x	8	10

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed2.2

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

CHW Season Quality

Record58-51

Win%0.532

Run Diff48

RD/Game0.440

TB Season Quality

Record64-45

Win%0.587

Run Diff38

RD/Game0.349

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0092; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.271	0.322	0.430	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.277	0.466	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.256	0.311	0.362	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.376	0.569	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.143	0.214	0.325	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.313	0.411	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.308	0.439	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.298	0.356	0.456	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.214	0.274	0.441	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	5	5	2	7	0.182

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	104	403	123	0.305	15	63	0.381	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.330	0.438	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	98	376	109	0.290	0	20	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.314	0.349	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	108	408	115	0.282	30	66	0.374	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.345	0.507	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	37	116	26	0.224	8	17	0.305	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.317	0.424	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	60	198	53	0.268	7	33	0.303	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.305	0.454	OK
Ryan Vilade	1B	56	156	40	0.256	9	34	0.318	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.252	0.313	0.510	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	75	232	59	0.254	2	24	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.308	0.332	OK
Nick Fortes	C	77	233	65	0.279	4	27	0.316	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.333	0.348	0.480	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	81	254	54	0.213	0	21	0.305	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.154	0.245	0.231	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	34	10	8	8	0	5	0.294

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jordan Hicks	Starter	2	0.3	90.00	20.000	30.0	1	3.0	9	6	6	0	4	65	3.0	4	6
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	2.0	1	1	1	0	0	28	2.0	0	1
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	5	1.0	0	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	20	110.4	3.10	0.942	9.1	112	6.0	2	1	1	1	5	86	6.0	5	1
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	44	41.4	1.52	0.894	9.8	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	45	42.9	2.52	0.979	8.4	40	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	37	29.4	3.67	1.361	13.8	45	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	11	1.0	1	3

Game Summary

TB wins 8-5

Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics

DET 52-58 (4.42 RPG / 3.96 RA)

5 - 3

OAK 45-65 (4.37 RPG / 5.65 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-3 TARGET: DET 5 - 3 OAK (DET) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	9
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	7

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-30

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

DET Season Quality

Record51-58

Win%0.468

Run Diff38

RD/Game0.349

OAK Season Quality

Record45-64

Win%0.413

Run Diff-129

RD/Game-1.183

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6147; margin adjustment: -0.6782; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	105	398	114	0.286	10	39	0.391	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.309	0.408	0.449	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	53	194	51	0.263	5	23	0.378	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.231	0.327	0.382	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	100	375	102	0.272	23	72	0.335	5	5	3	1	3	0	2	0.600	0.272	0.307	0.497	OK
Riley Greene	LF	108	390	108	0.277	15	52	0.369	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.202	0.297	0.383	OK
Colt Keith	DH	99	287	75	0.261	8	25	0.311	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.292	0.345	0.471	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	108	370	79	0.214	20	53	0.306	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.291	0.371	0.498	OK
Max Clark	CF	1	4	3	0.750	0	1	0.800	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.290	0.419	1.010	MODERATE
Javier Báez	SS	27	92	28	0.304	2	11	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.354	0.368	0.474	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	81	254	53	0.209	4	23	0.280	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.298	0.360	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	5	5	4	10	0.250

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	DH	70	283	78	0.276	7	33	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.285	0.376	OK
Jonah Heim	1B	51	173	41	0.237	10	27	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.290	0.461	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	98	354	85	0.240	17	50	0.335	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.191	0.276	0.380	OK
Tommy White	3B	13	52	14	0.269	0	0	0.296	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.205	0.247	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	95	277	57	0.206	6	28	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.322	0.417	OK
Alika Williams	SS	39	107	28	0.262	2	9	0.288	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.247	0.267	0.391	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	63	210	52	0.248	3	18	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.290	0.297	OK
Brian Serven	C	3	8	2	0.250	1	2	0.250	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.160	0.172	0.420	OK
Jonathan Ornelas	2B	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.053	0.067	0.088
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	1	4	0.206

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	21	111.7	4.59	1.397	7.4	92	5.1	2	1	1	1	0	85	5.1	0	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	31	26.8	3.36	1.231	10.7	32	1.1	3	2	2	0	2	25	1.1	2	2
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	44	40.4	2.45	1.559	8.0	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	46	41.4	3.70	1.570	8.3	38	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	26	63.9	6.90	1.455	11.3	80	4.0	8	5	5	0	5	87	4.0	5	5
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	51	38.9	4.16	1.825	15.0	65	1.2	0	0	0	2	1	41	1.2	1	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	31	28.8	5.62	1.424	12.5	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	35	45.7	3.94	1.510	11.6	59	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	27	1.1	1	0
José Suarez	Middle Reliever	29	32.4	4.44	1.358	9.7	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-3

Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies

KC 46-65 (4.14 RPG / 5.01 RA)

4 - 3

COL 43-67 (4.71 RPG / 5.72 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 4-3 TARGET: KC 4 - 3 COL (KC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
COL	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6

KC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff2

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-24

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

KC Season Quality

Record46-64

Win%0.418

Run Diff-94

RD/Game-0.855

COL Season Quality

Record42-67

Win%0.385

Run Diff-113

RD/Game-1.037

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2314; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	DH	101	361	85	0.235	15	54	0.306	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.225	0.303	0.423	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	91	283	65	0.230	10	36	0.322	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.226	0.302	0.379	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	101	359	89	0.248	17	40	0.305	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.242	0.293	0.439	OK
Salvador Perez	C	102	397	86	0.217	15	45	0.265	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.229	0.262	0.388	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	97	310	75	0.242	6	34	0.343	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.327	0.373	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	71	219	55	0.251	5	35	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.184	0.261	0.328	OK
Michael Massey	2B	88	275	72	0.262	8	36	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.273	0.393	OK
John Rave	RF	9	24	7	0.292	1	1	0.346	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.288	0.528	OK
Tyler Tolbert	SS	29	72	24	0.333	3	6	0.380	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.296	0.352	0.480	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	6	4	4	7	7	0.182

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	89	332	96	0.289	10	58	0.328	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.266	0.295	0.437	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	99	304	82	0.270	9	37	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.296	0.385	0.439	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	104	376	111	0.295	13	53	0.376	4	3	2	1	3	1	0	0.667	0.242	0.315	0.366	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	101	378	95	0.251	31	60	0.323	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.200	0.263	0.432	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	70	245	68	0.278	17	46	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.277	0.310	0.553	OK
Cole Carrigg	SS	40	135	40	0.296	5	26	0.373	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.302	0.373	0.522	OK
Willi Castro	2B	92	328	85	0.259	11	45	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.314	0.470	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	71	244	61	0.250	3	23	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.243	0.278	OK
Brenton Doyle	CF	39	114	24	0.211	1	5	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.204	0.270	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	8	0.182

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luinder Avila	Starter	20	65.7	4.93	1.613	8.1	59	4.2	4	2	2	3	5	87	4.2	5	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	42	38.7	6.98	1.705	10.2	44	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	45	40.1	2.24	1.047	7.6	34	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	23	1.1	1	1
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	37	34.8	4.91	1.408	11.9	46	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	15	68.8	5.89	1.497	7.1	54	4.2	6	4	4	4	5	93	4.2	5	4
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	8	7.2	1.25	1.389	12.5	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	34	46.5	4.06	1.462	8.9	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	43	40.8	6.40	1.838	10.6	48	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	10	1.0	0	0
Brennan Bernardino	Middle Reliever	52	36.7	3.19	1.444	8.3	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Victor Vodnik	Middle Reliever	31	31.5	5.14	1.810	7.1	25	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	20	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 4-3

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

MIA 57-55 (4.41 RPG / 4.31 RA)

3 - 4

NYM 47-65 (4.08 RPG / 4.58 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 4-3 TARGET: MIA 3 - 4 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4
NYM	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	4	9

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

MIA Season Quality

Record56-55

Win%0.505

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.063

NYM Season Quality

Record47-64

Win%0.423

Run Diff-52

RD/Game-0.468

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6532; margin adjustment: -0.2743; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	107	428	138	0.322	9	50	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.269	0.301	0.407	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	79	259	61	0.236	16	43	0.299	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.218	0.275	0.485	OK
Liam Hicks	C	99	347	97	0.280	14	60	0.358	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.321	0.369	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	110	405	118	0.291	6	40	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.291	0.371	0.379	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	43	119	25	0.210	2	9	0.291	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.130	0.199	0.233	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	86	321	76	0.237	16	48	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.298	0.550	OK
Javier Sanoja	RF	82	272	72	0.265	3	35	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.254	0.296	0.377	OK
Esteury Ruiz	CF	52	118	30	0.254	5	10	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.297	0.470	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	42	119	32	0.269	9	20	0.351	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.271	0.344	0.539	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	3	3	4	7	0.129

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	CF	69	246	67	0.272	7	28	0.343	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.266	0.340	0.393	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	53	206	48	0.233	9	25	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.350	0.574	OK
Bo Bichette	DH	107	430	110	0.256	10	53	0.298	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.249	0.287	0.347	OK
Carson Benge	RF	103	393	104	0.265	11	41	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.274	0.330	0.398	OK
Jared Young	1B	57	168	42	0.250	6	16	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.278	0.358	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	90	320	69	0.216	12	35	0.272	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.156	0.216	0.308	OK
Brett Baty	3B	95	313	70	0.224	6	33	0.288	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.188	0.248	0.305	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	56	139	33	0.237	8	25	0.289	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.299	0.497	OK
Luis Torrens	C	60	179	40	0.223	2	20	0.284	3	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.206	0.254	0.349	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	4	4	2	14	0.273

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	27	81.3	3.65	1.415	7.0	63	5.0	7	3	3	1	10	99	5.0	10	3
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	37	32.7	6.88	1.407	12.7	46	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	47	40.6	5.32	1.700	11.1	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.0	2	0
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	44	39.4	3.65	1.218	11.9	52	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zach Thornton	Starter	5	29.2	2.47	0.925	6.8	22	6.0	4	3	3	2	5	105	6.0	5	3
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	39	34.1	3.96	1.584	13.5	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	41	40.9	1.98	0.880	9.7	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	44	34.5	2.35	1.304	10.4	40	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 4-3

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels

MIL 68-41 (5.06 RPG / 3.82 RA)

6 - 3

LAA 42-68 (4.24 RPG / 4.92 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-3 TARGET: MIL 6 - 3 LAA (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	0	6	10
LAA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	6

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-13

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

MIL Season Quality

Record67-41

Win%0.620

Run Diff132

RD/Game1.222

LAA Season Quality

Record42-67

Win%0.385

Run Diff-71

RD/Game-0.651

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.2262; margin adjustment: -0.935; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	73	309	86	0.278	13	42	0.333	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.239	0.283	0.386	OK
Brice Turang	2B	100	391	109	0.279	16	68	0.369	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.323	0.405	0.587	OK
William Contreras	C	99	384	104	0.271	10	56	0.334	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.274	0.322	0.405	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	70	272	63	0.232	7	35	0.324	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.237	0.317	0.379	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	60	173	54	0.312	4	28	0.389	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.188	0.270	0.359	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	95	325	87	0.268	18	61	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.308	0.400	0.543	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	91	301	79	0.262	7	42	0.350	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.335	0.413	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	33	105	30	0.286	2	14	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.310	0.401	0.425	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	79	233	54	0.232	5	27	0.300	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.262	0.330	0.426	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	6	6	4	8	0.270

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	107	422	98	0.232	19	46	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.204	0.280	0.359	OK
Mike Trout	CF	91	328	79	0.241	18	40	0.389	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.235	0.353	0.392	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	89	333	93	0.279	6	37	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.294	0.313	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	85	312	64	0.205	12	48	0.294	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.194	0.268	0.360	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	66	235	62	0.264	7	45	0.326	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.309	0.427	OK
Jo Adell	RF	109	417	101	0.242	16	62	0.290	4	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.218	0.248	0.400	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	14	37	7	0.189	1	3	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.185	0.242	0.330	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	36	139	33	0.237	5	16	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.200	0.240	0.364	OK
Jose Siri	LF	44	104	27	0.260	5	18	0.310	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.243	0.296	0.413	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	2	11	0.182

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	11	55.7	4.85	1.203	8.4	52	5.1	3	1	1	2	7	97	5.1	7	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	41	40.1	2.02	0.923	11.2	50	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	44	39.6	2.50	1.162	9.5	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	51	54.6	4.29	1.612	13.7	83	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brent Suter	Starter	40	56.9	4.59	1.353	8.5	54	4.2	4	2	2	2	3	91	4.2	3	2
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	44	45.8	4.13	1.310	14.0	71	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	40	40.2	4.70	1.493	10.3	46	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	29	24.0	3.75	1.208	13.1	35	1.1	3	3	3	2	1	35	1.1	1	3
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	18	18.4	2.45	0.978	15.7	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-3

Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners

MIN 56-56 (4.7 RPG / 4.95 RA)

6 - 3

SEA 54-58 (3.99 RPG / 3.97 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 6-3 TARGET: MIN 6 - 3 SEA (MIN) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	6	9
SEA	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	7

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-20

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak3L

MIN Season Quality

Record55-55

Win%0.500

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.264

SEA Season Quality

Record53-57

Win%0.482

Run Diff3

RD/Game0.027

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2636; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	88	286	81	0.283	8	37	0.365	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.233	0.302	0.372	OK
Ryan Jeffers	DH	47	167	49	0.293	10	36	0.390	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.302	0.385	0.537	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	95	353	85	0.241	19	53	0.297	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.291	0.505	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	76	273	59	0.216	11	34	0.298	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.225	0.303	0.409	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	103	390	95	0.244	16	57	0.300	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.274	0.409	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	102	343	89	0.259	4	31	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.340	0.342	OK
Victor Caratini	C	80	256	60	0.234	7	36	0.315	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.175	0.238	0.259	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	60	169	41	0.243	5	25	0.289	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.195	0.238	0.357	OK
Austin Martin	RF	83	252	61	0.242	2	21	0.342	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.161	0.283	0.270	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	9	6	6	1	7	0.257

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	111	403	105	0.261	14	50	0.319	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.290	0.332	0.487	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	103	378	106	0.280	13	48	0.375	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.240	0.313	0.428	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	94	276	72	0.261	18	49	0.331	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	0.250	0.256	0.320	0.535	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	99	394	99	0.251	16	46	0.309	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.232	0.270	0.391	OK
Cal Raleigh	DH	78	286	47	0.164	11	39	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.166	0.271	0.322	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	104	406	106	0.261	8	38	0.324	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.232	0.289	0.317	OK
Mitch Garver	C	45	124	22	0.177	4	14	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.124	0.224	0.229	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	18	45	9	0.200	2	7	0.250	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.173	0.252	0.317	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	58	188	36	0.191	7	21	0.252	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.176	0.226	0.282	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	34	7	3	3	5	10	0.206

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	14	71.4	4.79	1.317	9.6	76	5.1	4	2	2	2	6	88	5.1	6	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	36	28.6	1.89	1.224	10.1	32	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	41	45.7	3.54	1.400	10.0	51	1.0	2	1	1	2	1	24	1.0	1	1
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	7	6.3	2.86	1.587	10.0	7	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	23	30.0	5.70	1.500	11.1	37	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	23	0.2	2	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	21	122.4	3.53	1.021	9.8	133	6.1	6	3	3	0	7	98	6.1	7	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	40	36.7	3.68	1.226	14.5	59	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	5	1.0	0	2
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	49	40.1	3.37	1.471	8.3	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	51	41.2	3.50	1.481	10.9	50	0.2	1	1	1	1	0	15	0.2	0	1
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	34	24.7	2.19	1.215	9.1	25	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-3

New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs

NYY 62-48 (4.62 RPG / 3.81 RA)

3 - 5

CHC 62-48 (5.13 RPG / 4.34 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 5-3 TARGET: NYY 3 - 5 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
CHC	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	x	5	8

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff27

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

NYY Season Quality

Record62-48

Win%0.564

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.809

CHC Season Quality

Record62-48

Win%0.564

Run Diff87

RD/Game0.791

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0182; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	78	287	72	0.251	16	44	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.194	0.252	0.347	OK
Ben Rice	DH	102	385	104	0.270	30	69	0.362	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.346	0.512	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	61	170	40	0.235	10	27	0.271	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.260	0.460	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	47	180	42	0.233	6	14	0.274	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.221	0.253	0.341	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	86	301	64	0.213	10	41	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.278	0.321	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	52	165	40	0.242	1	17	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.309	0.333	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	99	353	80	0.227	16	45	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.317	0.424	OK
José Caballero	LF	92	309	74	0.239	10	37	0.290	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.272	0.353	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	23	51	12	0.235	1	7	0.273	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.194	0.213	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	3	3	1	10	0.182

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	108	406	116	0.286	24	63	0.382	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.247	0.326	0.520	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	92	347	95	0.274	18	60	0.366	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.348	0.454	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	106	420	105	0.250	11	47	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.286	0.355	0.449	OK
Carson Kelly	C	77	254	66	0.260	6	36	0.347	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.244	0.313	0.341	OK
Michael Busch	1B	107	405	98	0.242	12	56	0.356	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.287	0.307	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	106	425	109	0.256	5	50	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.302	0.350	0.405	OK
Ian Happ	LF	103	385	85	0.221	18	48	0.330	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.330	0.411	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	102	352	75	0.213	14	54	0.294	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.216	0.292	0.352	OK
James Triantos	DH	2	2	1	0.500	0	0	0.500	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.444	0.452	0.479	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	5	5	2	8	0.250

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Fried	Starter	12	68.5	3.28	1.036	8.0	61	5.1	6	3	3	2	6	95	5.1	6	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	44	44.2	2.85	1.131	10.8	53	1.1	2	2	2	0	2	23	1.1	2	2
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	51	34.3	3.41	1.808	15.2	58	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	5	24.8	5.44	1.290	5.1	14	5.0	5	3	3	0	4	88	5.0	4	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	48	43.0	2.93	1.395	11.5	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	29	30.1	2.99	1.163	4.5	15	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	37	27.4	4.60	1.387	14.1	43	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	38	33.7	3.20	1.632	11.5	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 5-3

Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles

PHI 57-53 (4.34 RPG / 4.49 RA)

6 - 5

BAL 54-56 (4.61 RPG / 4.81 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 6-5 TARGET: PHI 6 - 5 BAL (PHI) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	6	7
BAL	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	5	9

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

PHI Season Quality

Record57-53

Win%0.518

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.155

BAL Season Quality

Record54-56

Win%0.491

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.200

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.0864; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	104	436	109	0.250	16	43	0.296	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.267	0.300	0.504	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	102	385	96	0.249	32	61	0.362	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.355	0.455	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	108	385	97	0.252	22	65	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.226	0.334	0.475	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	104	390	87	0.223	13	58	0.283	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.222	0.266	0.346	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	103	382	106	0.277	16	48	0.318	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.201	0.244	0.327	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	78	266	60	0.226	8	37	0.301	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.244	0.302	0.416	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	103	361	91	0.252	8	48	0.313	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.339	0.476	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	96	292	73	0.250	2	22	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.287	0.321	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	RF	6	14	8	0.571	1	2	0.562	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.497	0.528	0.738	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	6	6	2	12	0.206

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Coby Mayo	DH	80	249	51	0.205	14	40	0.274	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.220	0.283	0.456	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	106	395	98	0.248	7	29	0.384	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.222	0.359	0.338	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	106	440	96	0.218	17	46	0.290	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.262	0.362	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	107	402	102	0.254	23	69	0.349	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.285	0.364	0.550	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	64	172	36	0.209	7	16	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.284	0.410	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	8	30	8	0.267	2	9	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.272	0.395	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	89	288	64	0.222	5	39	0.301	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.184	0.259	0.318	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	54	152	39	0.257	5	20	0.352	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.342	0.431	0.481	OK
Jake Rogers	C	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.112	0.225	0.228
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	5	5	2	9	0.250

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	22	136.8	2.76	1.221	10.3	157	6.0	8	3	3	2	6	108	6.0	6	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	37	34.4	1.57	0.959	13.9	53	0.2	0	1	1	0	2	16	0.2	2	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	45	37.1	3.88	1.456	11.2	46	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	10	1.1	1	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	40	33.7	3.47	1.128	12.0	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	21	118.5	4.10	1.426	8.1	107	5.2	6	6	6	1	9	102	5.2	9	6
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	36	27.5	3.93	1.527	9.2	28	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	12	0.2	2	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	43	50.5	2.85	1.030	9.4	53	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	48	30.9	2.33	1.003	9.3	32	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 6-5

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds

PIT 55-56 (5.15 RPG / 4.84 RA)

4 - 3

CIN 52-57 (4.14 RPG / 4.76 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 4 - 3 CIN (PIT) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-16

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-1

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

PIT Season Quality

Record55-56

Win%0.495

Run Diff35

RD/Game0.315

CIN Season Quality

Record52-57

Win%0.477

Run Diff-68

RD/Game-0.624

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9668; margin adjustment: -0.4061; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	77	275	85	0.309	3	23	0.353	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.320	0.348	0.472	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	99	393	100	0.254	23	71	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.320	0.371	0.580	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	108	394	107	0.272	15	61	0.385	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.341	0.438	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	39	128	34	0.266	11	29	0.364	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.352	0.566	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	101	388	122	0.314	4	47	0.367	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.319	0.352	0.389	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	66	247	50	0.202	8	29	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.278	0.317	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	69	216	53	0.245	1	18	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.163	0.245	0.227	OK
Rafael Flores Jr.	1B	5	15	4	0.267	1	2	0.389	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.265	0.375	0.515	OK
Henry Davis	C	61	189	32	0.169	8	29	0.255	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.190	0.250	0.347	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	4	4	3	10	0.182

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	89	354	100	0.282	18	48	0.362	5	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.281	0.361	0.514	OK
Sal Stewart	DH	108	411	106	0.258	23	84	0.337	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.267	0.349	0.497	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	79	285	66	0.232	19	46	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.314	0.474	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	76	236	61	0.258	11	34	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.328	0.458	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	48	160	32	0.200	6	14	0.238	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.263	0.360	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	78	283	57	0.201	14	39	0.275	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.187	0.261	0.355	OK
Jose Trevino	C	25	81	20	0.247	3	10	0.256	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.247	0.421	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	62	202	34	0.168	3	11	0.256	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.145	0.233	0.221	OK
Matt McLain	2B	80	276	53	0.192	8	25	0.290	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.182	0.267	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	2	10	0.206

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	21	120.0	4.12	1.208	10.1	135	5.1	2	2	2	1	4	98	5.1	4	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	45	42.3	3.40	1.064	11.1	52	1.2	1	1	1	0	2	24	1.2	2	1
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	45	38.0	4.03	1.368	16.3	69	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	45	52.4	3.44	1.508	11.3	66	1.0	3	0	0	0	3	24	1.0	3	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	22	114.9	3.92	1.410	7.4	94	5.1	6	4	4	2	6	96	5.1	6	4
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	24	22.4	4.82	1.205	10.4	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	14	1.0	3	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	34	29.9	2.41	1.070	9.3	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	55	45.2	2.99	1.527	9.0	45	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	4	1.0	0	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	25	16.9	5.86	2.189	11.2	21	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	37	25.9	6.25	1.737	10.1	29	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres

SF 48-63 (4.22 RPG / 4.63 RA)

3 - 4

SD 56-54 (4.19 RPG / 4.32 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-3 TARGET: SF 3 - 4 SD (SD) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	7
SD	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	1	x	4	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SD Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff19

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SF Season Quality

Record48-62

Win%0.436

Run Diff-39

RD/Game-0.355

SD Season Quality

Record55-54

Win%0.505

Run Diff-21

RD/Game-0.193

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2642; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	103	408	135	0.331	4	42	0.368	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.318	0.349	0.410	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	68	237	59	0.249	11	26	0.349	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.210	0.303	0.405	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	71	276	71	0.257	9	34	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.274	0.380	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	109	410	102	0.249	21	60	0.322	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.219	0.301	0.403	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	98	370	112	0.303	5	38	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.295	0.415	OK
Willy Adames	SS	104	402	91	0.226	17	44	0.279	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.215	0.266	0.365	OK
Daniel Susac	C	41	125	32	0.256	3	22	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.257	0.297	0.605	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	78	216	52	0.241	4	21	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.157	0.223	0.241	OK
Christian Koss	3B	15	38	7	0.184	0	1	0.225	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.196	0.238	0.241	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	10	0.206

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	108	427	122	0.286	8	48	0.356	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.270	0.339	0.395	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	57	186	39	0.210	3	13	0.307	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.245	0.326	0.309	OK
Manny Machado	3B	107	397	85	0.214	23	65	0.297	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.310	0.446	OK
Ty France	1B	78	261	75	0.287	16	49	0.340	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.276	0.312	0.449	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	106	415	97	0.234	15	48	0.285	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.299	0.446	OK
Luis Rengifo	DH	13	42	16	0.381	2	8	0.469	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.338	0.348	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	104	362	79	0.218	9	40	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.304	0.310	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	54	159	27	0.170	3	11	0.256	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.192	0.255	0.302	OK
Jase Bowen	LF	25	60	10	0.167	1	6	0.206	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.187	0.214	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	4	4	3	4	0.250

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	17	86.9	5.07	1.438	8.3	80	5.1	6	3	3	2	3	93	5.1	3	3
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	36	27.9	2.90	1.505	14.5	45	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.2	0	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	43	38.2	4.24	1.414	12.0	51	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	20	15.9	2.83	1.258	12.5	22	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	21	96.5	5.32	1.461	8.5	91	4.2	4	2	2	2	5	85	4.2	5	2
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	44	43.1	0.84	0.835	17.7	85	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	50	50.1	3.59	1.277	11.5	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0
Jeremiah Estrada	Middle Reliever	22	19.1	3.77	1.257	12.3	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Yuki Matsui	Middle Reliever	31	35.6	2.78	1.376	11.4	45	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

SD wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays

STL 54-57 (4.31 RPG / 4.49 RA)

7 - 3

TOR 52-59 (3.95 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 7-3 TARGET: STL 7 - 3 TOR (STL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0	7	9
TOR	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-15

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

STL Season Quality

Record54-56

Win%0.491

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.145

TOR Season Quality

Record51-59

Win%0.464

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.527

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4227; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	102	402	101	0.251	16	40	0.347	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.240	0.323	0.386	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	106	408	115	0.282	20	74	0.344	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.246	0.302	0.390	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	107	410	117	0.285	15	70	0.347	5	4	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.313	0.401	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	107	399	95	0.238	11	44	0.355	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.231	0.293	0.350	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	46	149	35	0.235	3	15	0.339	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.213	0.310	0.336	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	99	363	88	0.242	4	44	0.315	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.326	0.343	OK
Nathan Church	CF	83	270	62	0.230	8	30	0.271	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.222	0.256	0.316	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	35	117	27	0.231	1	22	0.254	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.219	0.257	0.328	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	32	83	14	0.169	3	9	0.242	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.155	0.214	0.302	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	7	7	4	9	0.250

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Urías	2B	18	43	10	0.233	3	6	0.312	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.161	0.244	0.303	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	103	385	102	0.265	6	44	0.339	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.271	0.337	0.369	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	106	390	90	0.231	24	69	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.291	0.449	OK
George Springer	DH	79	306	72	0.235	12	34	0.319	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.344	0.431	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	35	121	28	0.231	3	12	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.323	0.368	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	90	327	80	0.245	7	26	0.305	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.243	0.299	0.368	OK
Ernie Clement	SS	107	414	121	0.292	8	35	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.301	0.402	OK
Myles Straw	RF	77	170	37	0.218	3	16	0.266	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.131	0.187	0.248	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	47	108	16	0.148	3	12	0.268	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.087	0.210	0.204	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	4	0.182

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Player-687273	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.1	4	3	3	3	1	54	2.1	1	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	44	41.8	3.66	1.244	9.9	46	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	49	41.7	3.88	1.319	9.9	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	46	35.8	4.78	1.648	11.3	45	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	45	44.3	3.86	1.400	6.9	34	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	24	1.1	0	0
Justin Bruihl	Middle Reliever	48	43.8	4.32	1.667	8.0	39	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	22	1.1	1	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	22	119.1	4.61	1.293	9.3	123	5.1	7	7	7	3	5	100	5.1	5	7
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	50	52.5	1.03	1.029	12.5	73	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	50	44.5	1.82	1.213	5.5	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	50	42.1	4.49	1.520	15.8	74	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Spencer Miles	Middle Reliever	30	64.4	3.49	1.196	9.5	68	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0.2	2	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	54	32.5	4.98	1.723	14.1	51	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	16	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 7-3

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros

TEX 55-55 (4.16 RPG / 4.45 RA)

6 - 4

HOU 56-55 (4.65 RPG / 4.94 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 6-4 TARGET: TEX 6 - 4 HOU (TEX) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	1	0	4	1	0	0	6	12
HOU	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	8

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

TEX Season Quality

Record55-54

Win%0.505

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.202

HOU Season Quality

Record55-55

Win%0.500

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.373

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1778; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	1B	98	287	73	0.254	20	42	0.342	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.265	0.346	0.576	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	58	235	65	0.277	12	30	0.320	5	3	1	0	0	2	2	0.333	0.239	0.277	0.424	OK
Corey Seager	SS	51	190	36	0.189	10	25	0.297	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.224	0.327	0.457	OK
Brandon Nimmo	DH	104	398	105	0.264	10	39	0.331	5	4	0	1	1	1	3	0.000	0.254	0.314	0.417	OK
Evan Carter	CF	90	256	53	0.207	8	29	0.315	5	3	1	1	3	2	1	0.333	0.260	0.344	0.373	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	99	346	93	0.269	12	57	0.323	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.263	0.312	0.446	OK
Alejandro Osuna	RF	67	186	48	0.258	1	23	0.346	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.248	0.307	0.300	OK
Elias Díaz	C	31	95	24	0.253	2	11	0.265	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.162	0.178	0.300	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	52	154	46	0.299	1	18	0.343	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.218	0.275	0.265	OK
TEAM TOTALS									45	39	12	6	6	6	13	0.308

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	62	246	78	0.317	12	34	0.370	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.338	0.370	0.595	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	108	391	128	0.327	35	82	0.440	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.350	0.463	0.666	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	103	377	95	0.252	15	60	0.349	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.239	0.314	0.438	OK
Christian Walker	1B	106	392	93	0.237	22	63	0.314	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.303	0.489	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	50	195	51	0.262	8	25	0.288	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.313	0.336	0.511	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	86	337	78	0.231	12	30	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.229	0.277	0.343	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	50	139	33	0.237	5	14	0.307	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.261	0.326	0.499	OK
Cam Smith	RF	102	358	74	0.207	13	37	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.188	0.242	0.345	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	22	63	11	0.175	2	12	0.325	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.181	0.326	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	4	4	4	8	0.229

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	20	108.7	3.73	1.086	10.9	132	5.2	6	3	3	2	7	97	5.2	7	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	39	47.2	1.33	0.614	9.7	51	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	34	36.2	3.98	1.381	10.9	44	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	18	1.1	0	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	48	39.7	3.63	1.537	9.1	40	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	40	30.5	7.08	1.607	10.6	36	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	13	0.1	0	1

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ronel Blanco	Starter	2	9.3	8.71	1.290	11.6	12	4.2	7	1	1	2	8	100	4.2	8	1
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	23	21.3	0.85	0.798	13.9	33	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	53	46.1	2.54	0.976	10.5	54	1.0	3	4	4	2	1	30	1.0	1	4
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	40	34.5	5.22	1.594	12.5	48	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	28	1.0	0	1
Enyel De Los Santos	Middle Reliever	48	44.6	4.84	1.345	9.9	49	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Bennett Sousa	Middle Reliever	9	6.6	2.73	1.212	9.5	7	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	14	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 6-4

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

WAS 55-56 (5.42 RPG / 5.22 RA)

3 - 6

ATL 65-46 (4.86 RPG / 3.99 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-3 TARGET: WAS 3 - 6 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	4
ATL	0	1	4	0	1	0	0	0	x	6	10

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

WAS Season Quality

Record55-56

Win%0.495

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.207

ATL Season Quality

Record65-46

Win%0.586

Run Diff96

RD/Game0.865

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7928; margin adjustment: 0.333; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	111	427	115	0.269	30	72	0.398	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.259	0.392	0.509	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	103	353	100	0.283	23	76	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.279	0.585	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	58	219	50	0.228	9	24	0.307	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.285	0.401	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	107	400	116	0.290	28	83	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.266	0.351	0.596	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	69	228	60	0.263	7	36	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.250	0.384	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	109	420	104	0.248	13	54	0.298	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.228	0.271	0.460	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	96	310	75	0.242	1	31	0.325	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.181	0.268	0.230	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	75	200	48	0.240	3	17	0.317	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.140	0.215	0.229	OK
Jacob Young	CF	87	297	70	0.236	9	36	0.288	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.281	0.375	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	3	3	2	8	0.129

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	87	334	93	0.278	20	56	0.370	5	3	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.262	0.330	0.428	OK
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	58	213	51	0.239	8	23	0.362	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.210	0.309	0.382	OK
Matt Olson	1B	110	427	112	0.262	29	67	0.338	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.229	0.304	0.548	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	104	398	117	0.294	20	64	0.321	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.262	0.285	0.469	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	110	427	113	0.265	18	62	0.314	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.288	0.332	0.449	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	80	229	61	0.266	7	39	0.308	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.295	0.341	0.446	OK
Austin Riley	3B	109	392	83	0.212	12	50	0.292	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.193	0.259	0.317	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	LF	90	244	55	0.225	7	29	0.309	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.192	0.269	0.375	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	24	73	20	0.274	1	10	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.278	0.333	0.421	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	34	10	6	6	7	7	0.294

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Miles Mikolas	Starter	22	98.5	5.85	1.381	4.8	52	5.0	7	5	5	4	4	100	5.0	4	5
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	33	29.4	3.37	1.293	10.4	34	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	34	28.4	4.12	1.373	9.8	31	0.0	1	1	1	2	0	17	0.0	0	1
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	7	5.6	1.61	1.429	6.4	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Eddy Yean	Middle Reliever	5	7.3	2.47	0.822	4.9	4	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	21	1.0	2	0
Riley Cornelio	Middle Reliever	10	18.4	5.87	1.848	9.3	19	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	10	0.0	0	0

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reynaldo López	Starter	24	69.8	3.74	1.375	8.5	66	5.0	3	2	2	2	6	80	5.0	6	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	38	37.6	2.39	1.090	10.3	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	51	43.7	2.47	0.824	12.6	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	37	40.1	2.92	1.322	12.3	55	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	19	1.1	0	1
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	44	33.2	4.88	1.446	10.3	38	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians

ARI Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers

BOS Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

CHW Recent Form

TB Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics

DET Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

DET Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies

KC Recent Form

COL Recent Form

KC Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

MIA Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels

MIL Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners