MLB Predictions — July 31, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ CLE	7 - 5	7 - 5	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 7-5	62%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
BOS @ LAD	3 - 6	3 - 6	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ TB	2 - 5	2 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ OAK	5 - 3	5 - 3	DET	DET	DET wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ COL	6 - 1	6 - 1	KC	KC	KC wins 6-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ NYM	4 - 6	4 - 6	NYM	NYM	NYM wins 6-4	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIL @ LAA	7 - 2	7 - 2	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 7-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ SEA	1 - 4	1 - 4	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ CHC	2 - 6	2 - 6	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PHI @ BAL	3 - 6	3 - 6	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 6-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ CIN	5 - 3	5 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ SD	3 - 6	3 - 6	SD	SD	SD wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ TOR	1 - 3	1 - 3	TOR	TOR	TOR wins 3-1	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ HOU	2 - 5	2 - 5	HOU	HOU	HOU wins 5-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ ATL	2 - 4	2 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians

ARI 57-52 (4.51 RPG / 4.51 RA)

7 - 5

CLE 56-54 (3.93 RPG / 4.05 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 7-5 TARGET: ARI 7 - 5 CLE (ARI) Confidence: 62.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	10
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	5	9

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.9

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff11

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Season Quality

Record57-52

Win%0.523

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

CLE Season Quality

Record56-54

Win%0.509

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.127

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.148; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	6	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.298	0.358	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	6	5	1	1	0	1	0	0.200	0.228	0.358	0.332	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	6	5	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.281	0.336	0.473	OK
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	6	4	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.156	0.253	0.228	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	6	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.288	0.365	0.467	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	6	6	1	1	1	0	3	0.167	0.235	0.296	0.359	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	6	6	3	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.295	0.372	0.566	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	6	6	1	1	1	0	3	0.167	0.247	0.311	0.405
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	6	5	2	1	1	1	0	0.400	0.228	0.283	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									54	45	10	7	7	6	11	0.222

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Angel Martínez	RF	66	241	54	0.224	11	33	0.260	6	6	1	1	1	0	1	0.167	0.200	0.222	0.373	OK
José Ramírez	3B	78	296	71	0.240	10	35	0.333	6	6	1	1	2	0	2	0.167	0.221	0.293	0.327	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	89	336	95	0.283	11	51	0.351	6	5	1	0	0	1	1	0.200	0.270	0.355	0.421	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	79	233	40	0.172	11	32	0.300	6	5	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.123	0.246	0.305	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	105	368	99	0.269	9	50	0.327	6	6	3	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.221	0.263	0.325	OK
David Fry	LF	62	140	26	0.186	6	13	0.278	6	4	1	1	0	2	1	0.250	0.160	0.246	0.293	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	77	287	70	0.244	9	33	0.341	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.256	0.338	0.370	OK
Austin Hedges	C	49	142	40	0.282	4	17	0.342	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.259	0.323	0.417	OK
Steven Kwan	CF	97	340	83	0.244	1	19	0.340	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.244	0.332	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									51	45	9	5	5	6	11	0.200

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mitch Bratt	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	3	1	1	1	7	51	3.0	7	1
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	2.2	1	0	0	0	0	37	2.2	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.2	1	2	2	1	1	28	1.2	1	2
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	1.2	2	1	1	1	1	31	1.2	1	1
Brandon Pfaadt	Reliever	2	10.2	7.06	1.471	4.4	5	3.0	2	1	1	3	2	75	3.0	2	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	22	122.9	3.95	1.204	7.1	97	5.2	6	3	3	4	6	105	5.2	6	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	47	47.2	2.67	1.144	13.3	70	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	41	30.3	2.97	1.452	10.1	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	41	36.4	1.73	0.879	10.1	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Tim Herrin	Middle Reliever	43	25.5	4.59	1.804	9.9	28	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.1	3	0
Erik Sabrowski	Middle Reliever	38	24.0	4.50	1.542	19.5	52	1.2	1	1	1	1	0	28	1.2	0	1
Will Dion	Reliever	10	17.2	4.71	1.512	12.6	24	0.0	2	2	2	1	0	29	0.0	0	2

Game Summary

ARI wins 7-5 (Extra Innings - 12)

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers

BOS 57-51 (4.2 RPG / 3.74 RA)

3 - 6

LAD 69-40 (5.16 RPG / 3.69 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-3 TARGET: BOS 3 - 6 LAD (LAD) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BOS	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	5
LAD	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6	7

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff4

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

BOS Season Quality

Record56-51

Win%0.523

Run Diff49

RD/Game0.458

LAD Season Quality

Record68-40

Win%0.630

Run Diff156

RD/Game1.444

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1459; margin adjustment: 0.4813; applied: True

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Sogard	2B	12	40	11	0.275	0	3	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.259	0.333	0.365	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	100	392	110	0.281	10	50	0.322	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.271	0.294	0.440	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	104	399	100	0.251	16	53	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.187	0.248	0.385	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	98	346	99	0.286	23	67	0.393	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.364	0.509	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	69	207	52	0.251	3	18	0.322	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.239	0.299	0.336	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	97	326	76	0.233	10	41	0.300	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.251	0.303	0.391	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	64	189	49	0.259	6	21	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.278	0.338	0.516	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	99	383	74	0.193	13	48	0.252	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.179	0.226	0.274	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	56	166	32	0.193	3	9	0.261	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.109	0.175	0.194	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	3	3	2	9	0.156

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	98	375	108	0.288	23	63	0.394	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.295	0.392	0.545	OK
Andy Pages	CF	106	412	111	0.269	18	70	0.335	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.282	0.333	0.471	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	62	148	42	0.284	3	18	0.309	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.150	0.185	0.264	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	105	398	120	0.302	15	51	0.381	5	3	1	1	0	2	1	0.333	0.313	0.378	0.455	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	70	281	66	0.235	13	36	0.287	5	4	2	1	4	1	1	0.500	0.244	0.284	0.399	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	72	258	65	0.252	9	37	0.322	4	3	0	1	1	0	3	0.000	0.264	0.331	0.446	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	99	361	85	0.235	9	51	0.325	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.192	0.284	0.371	OK
Enrique Hernández	3B	3	7	4	0.571	1	2	0.571	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.503	0.511	1.097	OK
Eliezer Alfonzo	C	9	16	3	0.188	0	2	0.188	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.226	0.404	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	32	7	6	6	8	9	0.219

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	18	93.0	3.10	1.183	10.0	103	5.2	3	2	2	4	7	108	5.2	7	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	37	36.2	0.99	1.133	12.2	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	28	1.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	41	39.3	2.06	0.891	9.6	42	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.0	0	1
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	31	22.2	5.68	1.667	14.2	35	0.0	1	0	0	2	0	13	0.0	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	24	20.1	2.69	1.244	13.0	29	0.1	1	3	3	2	1	16	0.1	1	3

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Edgardo Henriquez	Starter	41	37.1	3.15	1.186	10.2	42	5.0	4	2	2	2	7	83	5.0	7	2
Edwin Díaz	Middle Reliever	8	8.0	5.62	1.625	13.5	12	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	47	41.4	2.61	0.918	12.4	57	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.2	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	7.26	1.452	13.1	9	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-3

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

CHW 57-51 (4.78 RPG / 4.38 RA)

2 - 5

TB 64-44 (4.45 RPG / 4.06 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-2 TARGET: CHW 2 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3
TB	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	x	5	8

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

TB Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed1.7

Run Diff29

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

CHW Season Quality

Record57-51

Win%0.528

Run Diff43

RD/Game0.398

TB Season Quality

Record64-44

Win%0.593

Run Diff43

RD/Game0.398

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0972; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.269	0.321	0.429	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.203	0.276	0.464	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.255	0.309	0.360	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.242	0.375	0.567	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.142	0.213	0.324	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.312	0.410	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.307	0.437	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.296	0.354	0.455	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.202	0.262	0.428	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	29	3	2	2	6	8	0.103

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	103	399	122	0.306	15	63	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.292	0.351	0.467	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	105	388	111	0.286	14	65	0.377	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.277	0.351	0.399	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	107	406	114	0.281	29	64	0.370	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.260	0.347	0.454	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	91	317	64	0.202	13	34	0.279	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.198	0.255	0.379	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	97	372	108	0.290	0	20	0.322	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.282	0.316	0.351	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	37	116	26	0.224	8	17	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.230	0.310	0.411	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	76	222	51	0.230	4	30	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.206	0.297	0.359	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	80	251	54	0.215	0	21	0.308	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.187	0.274	0.293	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	55	138	32	0.232	2	11	0.296	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.274	0.350	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	5	5	2	9	0.250

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Erick Fedde	Starter	15	68.1	4.63	1.439	6.3	48	5.1	4	3	3	2	7	87	5.1	7	3
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.2	2	1	1	0	2	27	1.2	2	1
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	32	1.0	0	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	20	115.0	2.50	1.122	5.2	67	6.0	2	2	2	6	4	106	6.0	4	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	44	41.4	1.52	0.894	9.8	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	45	42.9	2.52	0.979	8.4	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	37	29.4	3.67	1.361	13.8	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Casey Legumina	Middle Reliever	27	29.1	3.40	1.306	7.1	23	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-2

Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics

DET 51-58 (4.34 RPG / 3.99 RA)

5 - 3

OAK 45-64 (4.4 RPG / 5.59 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-3 TARGET: DET 5 - 3 OAK (DET) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	5	10
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	8

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff7

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

DET Season Quality

Record51-58

Win%0.468

Run Diff38

RD/Game0.349

OAK Season Quality

Record45-63

Win%0.417

Run Diff-128

RD/Game-1.185

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.6106; margin adjustment: -0.6765; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	3B	104	395	113	0.286	9	37	0.390	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.301	0.394	0.424	OK
Gleyber Torres	DH	52	189	51	0.270	5	23	0.383	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.264	0.368	0.402	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	99	369	100	0.271	22	68	0.335	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.257	0.297	0.449	OK
Riley Greene	LF	107	386	108	0.280	15	52	0.371	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.322	0.414	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	64	184	50	0.272	6	26	0.303	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.294	0.329	0.528	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	107	366	76	0.208	20	53	0.300	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.327	0.472	OK
Javier Báez	SS	26	87	25	0.287	2	8	0.308	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.309	0.325	0.452	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	14	35	10	0.286	0	5	0.333	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.288	0.344	0.361	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	80	253	53	0.209	4	23	0.281	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.233	0.298	0.359	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	5	5	3	4	0.270

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	97	350	90	0.257	21	69	0.395	5	3	1	1	1	2	1	0.333	0.166	0.303	0.375	OK
Jacob Wilson	DH	69	280	77	0.275	7	33	0.306	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.253	0.278	0.380	OK
Jonah Heim	C	50	170	40	0.235	10	26	0.279	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.266	0.304	0.465	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	97	350	85	0.243	17	50	0.338	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.286	0.387	OK
Tommy White	3B	12	48	14	0.292	0	0	0.320	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.199	0.229	0.265	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	94	273	57	0.209	6	28	0.302	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	0.333	0.282	0.365	0.488	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	62	208	51	0.245	3	18	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.224	0.289	0.292	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	94	298	74	0.248	4	33	0.304	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.303	0.345	0.425	OK
Alika Williams	SS	38	106	28	0.264	2	9	0.291	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.270	0.395	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	35	8	3	3	6	5	0.229

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Holton	Starter	45	39.4	3.65	1.599	8.5	37	5.0	2	0	0	4	4	88	5.0	4	0
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	31	26.8	3.36	1.231	10.7	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	44	40.4	2.45	1.559	8.0	36	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	26	1.0	1	2
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	39	55.8	4.84	1.470	12.3	76	1.1	3	1	1	1	0	30	1.1	0	1
Drew Sommers	Middle Reliever	21	9.3	4.84	2.151	20.3	21	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	21	101.2	6.40	1.492	7.6	86	4.0	8	4	4	3	3	93	4.0	3	4
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	51	38.9	4.16	1.825	15.0	65	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	24	1.2	0	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	31	28.8	5.62	1.424	12.5	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	35	45.7	3.94	1.510	11.6	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	0
José Suarez	Middle Reliever	29	32.4	4.44	1.358	9.7	35	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

DET wins 5-3

Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies

KC 46-64 (4.17 RPG / 5.03 RA)

6 - 1

COL 42-67 (4.72 RPG / 5.76 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 6-1 TARGET: KC 6 - 1 COL (KC) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	6	8
COL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	8

KC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed2.8

Run Diff5

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-19

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

KC Season Quality

Record46-64

Win%0.418

Run Diff-94

RD/Game-0.855

COL Season Quality

Record42-67

Win%0.385

Run Diff-113

RD/Game-1.037

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2314; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	100	357	84	0.235	14	53	0.307	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.200	0.272	0.342	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	90	280	64	0.229	10	36	0.320	5	4	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.145	0.232	0.292	OK
Jac Caglianone	1B	100	355	89	0.251	17	40	0.308	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.248	0.300	0.449	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	101	393	84	0.214	15	45	0.263	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.211	0.242	0.400	OK
Michael Massey	2B	87	271	72	0.266	8	36	0.302	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.280	0.402	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	96	306	74	0.242	6	34	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.223	0.320	0.339	OK
John Rave	RF	8	21	6	0.286	1	1	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.309	0.608	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	22	56	14	0.250	1	6	0.263	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.260	0.339	OK
Andrew Velazquez	SS	4	13	1	0.077	0	0	0.077	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.125	0.136	0.224	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	6	6	3	7	0.229

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	88	328	96	0.293	10	58	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.303	0.456	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	69	241	67	0.278	17	46	0.317	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.308	0.543	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	100	374	95	0.254	31	60	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.217	0.284	0.435	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	103	372	110	0.296	13	52	0.377	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.264	0.332	0.396	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	98	301	80	0.266	9	37	0.366	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.205	0.311	0.342	OK
Tyler Freeman	2B	70	241	61	0.253	3	23	0.323	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.243	0.269	0.307	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	92	300	86	0.287	3	40	0.348	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.163	0.223	0.254	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	97	335	67	0.200	8	34	0.247	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.183	0.240	0.308	OK
Cole Carrigg	OF	40	135	40	0.296	5	26	0.373	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.301	0.371	0.521	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	35	8	1	1	0	7	0.229

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	21	130.7	3.65	1.186	7.2	104	6.1	6	1	1	0	5	98	6.1	5	1
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	42	38.7	6.98	1.705	10.2	44	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	45	40.1	2.24	1.047	7.6	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Steven Cruz	Middle Reliever	37	34.8	4.91	1.408	11.9	46	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	13	0.2	1	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	18	93.2	4.83	1.330	5.4	56	5.1	5	4	4	1	4	91	5.1	4	4
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	33	46.3	4.08	1.447	8.7	45	1.2	2	2	2	2	1	35	1.2	1	2
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	43	40.8	6.40	1.838	10.6	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	1.45	1.613	13.1	9	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 6-1

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

MIA 55-55 (4.39 RPG / 4.35 RA)

4 - 6

NYM 47-63 (4.12 RPG / 4.56 RA)

WINNER: NYM wins 6-4 TARGET: MIA 4 - 6 NYM (NYM) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	9
NYM	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	x	6	9

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

MIA Season Quality

Record55-55

Win%0.500

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.036

NYM Season Quality

Record47-63

Win%0.427

Run Diff-49

RD/Game-0.445

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.5909; margin adjustment: -0.2482; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	98	343	97	0.283	14	60	0.362	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.283	0.358	0.420	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	109	401	117	0.292	6	39	0.373	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.294	0.377	0.392	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	106	424	138	0.325	9	50	0.359	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.251	0.285	0.382	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	85	317	74	0.233	15	47	0.319	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.239	0.316	0.550	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	41	116	31	0.267	9	20	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.335	0.532	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	78	256	61	0.238	16	43	0.300	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.206	0.262	0.465	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	104	355	70	0.197	6	27	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.205	0.316	0.367	OK
Joe Mack	C	62	189	44	0.233	10	30	0.289	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.207	0.255	0.402	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	81	269	71	0.264	3	35	0.297	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.152	0.201	0.266	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	4	4	4	11	0.250

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	68	242	66	0.273	7	27	0.344	5	3	2	1	3	2	0	0.667	0.248	0.320	0.354	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	52	203	46	0.227	8	24	0.314	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.231	0.309	0.451	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	106	426	110	0.258	10	53	0.301	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.277	0.313	0.365	OK
Carson Benge	RF	102	389	101	0.260	11	41	0.323	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.315	0.374	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	32	114	23	0.202	4	12	0.295	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.201	0.280	0.331	OK
Jared Young	1B	56	164	41	0.250	6	16	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.174	0.235	0.290	OK
Brett Baty	2B	94	311	70	0.225	6	33	0.290	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.220	0.280	0.342	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	27	100	14	0.140	1	4	0.196	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.121	0.177	0.206	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	71	233	58	0.249	11	26	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.324	0.386	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	9	6	6	4	6	0.281

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	14	71.8	5.01	1.393	7.1	57	5.0	6	4	4	4	4	109	5.0	4	4
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	36	31.7	7.10	1.451	12.8	45	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	44	39.4	3.65	1.218	11.9	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Cade Gibson	Middle Reliever	23	24.5	6.61	1.673	9.2	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kodai Senga	Starter	12	38.1	9.45	1.969	11.6	49	4.0	8	4	4	3	4	98	4.0	4	4
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	39	34.1	3.96	1.584	13.5	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	41	40.9	1.98	0.880	9.7	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	44	34.5	2.35	1.304	10.4	40	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	45	44.2	3.05	1.176	9.6	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Cionel Pérez	Middle Reliever	20	23.1	4.68	1.429	12.5	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

NYM wins 6-4

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels

MIL 67-41 (5.06 RPG / 3.83 RA)

7 - 2

LAA 42-67 (4.26 RPG / 4.91 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 7-2 TARGET: MIL 7 - 2 LAA (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	0	0	3	0	3	0	0	1	0	7	11
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	5

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-8

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

MIL Season Quality

Record67-41

Win%0.620

Run Diff132

RD/Game1.222

LAA Season Quality

Record42-67

Win%0.385

Run Diff-71

RD/Game-0.651

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.2262; margin adjustment: -0.935; applied: True

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Brice Turang	2B	99	388	108	0.278	15	66	0.366	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.323	0.388	0.472	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	72	304	85	0.280	13	42	0.335	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.236	0.281	0.372	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	69	267	62	0.232	7	35	0.326	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.233	0.325	0.406	OK
William Contreras	C	98	380	103	0.271	10	56	0.333	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.270	0.318	0.402	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	94	321	85	0.265	17	58	0.366	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.329	0.413	0.515	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	90	297	77	0.259	7	42	0.346	5	5	3	1	4	0	1	0.600	0.227	0.307	0.373	OK
Luis Lara	RF	13	39	11	0.282	0	10	0.356	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.294	0.370	0.462	OK
David Hamilton	3B	71	213	51	0.239	3	15	0.308	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.309	0.370	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	32	103	29	0.282	2	13	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.317	0.393	0.474	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	11	7	7	4	7	0.297

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	106	418	97	0.232	19	46	0.324	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.195	0.274	0.350	OK
Mike Trout	CF	90	324	79	0.244	18	40	0.393	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.259	0.374	0.405	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	88	329	92	0.280	6	37	0.353	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.238	0.309	0.329	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	84	308	64	0.208	12	48	0.297	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.205	0.281	0.389	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	65	231	61	0.264	7	45	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.332	0.447	OK
Jo Adell	RF	108	414	101	0.244	16	62	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.274	0.417	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	35	136	32	0.235	4	14	0.283	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.196	0.239	0.296	OK
Travis d'Arnaud	C	13	35	7	0.200	1	3	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.213	0.271	0.419	OK
Jose Siri	LF	43	103	27	0.262	5	18	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.253	0.294	0.428	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	5	2	2	6	5	0.156

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	21	79.2	3.64	1.237	9.3	82	5.2	3	1	1	3	3	104	5.2	3	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	40	39.1	2.07	0.946	11.3	49	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	24	1.1	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	43	39.4	2.51	1.168	9.4	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	51	54.6	4.29	1.612	13.7	83	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	27	1.0	0	1

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	11	41.2	7.43	1.553	7.4	34	4.0	9	6	6	3	4	96	4.0	4	6
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	44	45.8	4.13	1.310	14.0	71	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	29	24.0	3.75	1.208	13.1	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	39	39.2	4.82	1.480	10.6	46	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23	1.0	1	1
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	18	18.4	2.45	0.978	15.7	32	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 7-2

Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners

MIN 55-55 (4.71 RPG / 4.97 RA)

1 - 4

SEA 53-57 (4.0 RPG / 3.97 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-1 TARGET: MIN 1 - 4 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5
SEA	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	x	4	10

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-10

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

MIN Season Quality

Record55-55

Win%0.500

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.264

SEA Season Quality

Record53-56

Win%0.486

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.064

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3072; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	87	282	81	0.287	8	37	0.370	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.177	0.262	0.300	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	46	163	48	0.294	9	35	0.393	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.287	0.371	0.470	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	94	349	85	0.244	19	53	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.296	0.511	OK
Josh Bell	DH	106	388	94	0.242	13	63	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.287	0.343	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	75	269	58	0.216	10	33	0.298	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.304	0.384	OK
Alan Roden	RF	15	37	7	0.189	0	7	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.147	0.222	0.179	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	102	386	94	0.244	15	55	0.301	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.201	0.265	0.357	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	101	340	87	0.256	4	30	0.348	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.327	0.316	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	59	168	39	0.232	4	29	0.271	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.152	0.192	0.237	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	1	1	2	12	0.156

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	110	399	104	0.261	13	49	0.320	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.295	0.337	0.428	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	102	375	106	0.283	13	48	0.376	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.278	0.339	0.462	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	93	272	71	0.261	18	49	0.332	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.272	0.334	0.586	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	98	390	98	0.251	16	46	0.309	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.230	0.268	0.381	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	103	403	106	0.263	8	38	0.324	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.282	0.328	0.370	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	77	283	46	0.163	11	37	0.268	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.157	0.256	0.306	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	17	42	9	0.214	2	7	0.250	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.200	0.268	0.361	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	57	184	36	0.196	7	21	0.257	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.193	0.243	0.317	OK
Victor Robles	RF	37	109	27	0.248	0	5	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.187	0.221	0.242	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	10	4	4	4	9	0.294

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	13	75.3	5.26	1.328	7.1	59	5.0	8	4	4	3	5	99	5.0	5	4
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	35	27.6	1.96	1.196	10.1	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	40	44.7	3.62	1.432	10.3	51	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	2.95	1.639	8.9	6	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	0.1	1	0
Travis Adams	Middle Reliever	23	30.0	5.70	1.500	11.1	37	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	7	0.2	2	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	12	66.8	2.83	0.943	9.6	71	6.0	4	1	1	1	7	104	6.0	7	1
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	40	36.7	3.68	1.226	14.5	59	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.0	2	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	48	39.1	2.99	1.458	8.3	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	50	40.0	3.38	1.475	10.6	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-1

New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs

NYY 62-48 (4.62 RPG / 3.81 RA)

2 - 6

CHC 62-48 (5.13 RPG / 4.34 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-2 TARGET: NYY 2 - 6 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 57.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6
CHC	0	1	0	2	0	3	0	0	x	6	6

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff27

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

NYY Season Quality

Record61-48

Win%0.560

Run Diff87

RD/Game0.798

CHC Season Quality

Record62-47

Win%0.569

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.817

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0321; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	77	283	72	0.254	16	44	0.312	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.271	0.363	OK
Ben Rice	DH	101	381	103	0.270	30	69	0.363	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.348	0.531	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	60	167	39	0.234	9	26	0.270	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.133	0.173	0.258	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	46	177	42	0.237	6	14	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.247	0.339	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	85	297	64	0.215	10	41	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.310	0.343	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	51	162	39	0.241	1	17	0.332	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.233	0.317	0.352	OK
Spencer Jones	LF	33	87	20	0.230	3	11	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.301	0.385	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	22	49	12	0.245	1	7	0.283	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.139	0.160	0.264	OK
José Caballero	2B	91	306	73	0.239	10	37	0.289	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.224	0.267	0.348	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	4	0.182

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	107	402	116	0.289	24	63	0.385	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.330	0.524	OK
Pedro Ramirez	3B	33	87	28	0.322	1	14	0.375	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.330	0.390	0.478	OK
Michael Busch	1B	106	401	98	0.244	12	56	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.303	0.334	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	105	416	104	0.250	11	47	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.354	0.444	OK
Ian Happ	LF	102	382	84	0.220	18	48	0.330	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.208	0.302	0.374	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	105	422	109	0.258	5	50	0.318	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.340	0.380	0.441	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	70	165	39	0.236	9	23	0.323	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.324	0.447	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	101	349	75	0.215	14	54	0.296	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.242	0.319	0.405	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	48	149	36	0.242	3	18	0.335	3	2	1	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.246	0.304	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	6	6	6	4	6	0.200

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	21	97.8	4.60	1.472	9.4	102	4.1	4	3	3	2	2	77	4.1	2	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	43	43.2	2.92	1.134	11.0	53	1.1	2	3	3	2	2	30	1.1	2	3
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	51	34.3	3.41	1.808	15.2	58	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	55	45.3	1.59	1.325	12.9	65	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	21	118.9	3.78	1.119	8.6	113	5.2	5	2	2	2	4	94	5.2	4	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	48	43.0	2.93	1.395	11.5	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	29	30.1	2.99	1.163	4.5	15	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.1	0	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	37	27.4	4.60	1.387	14.1	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-2

Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles

PHI 57-52 (4.34 RPG / 4.48 RA)

3 - 6

BAL 53-56 (4.6 RPG / 4.82 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 6-3 TARGET: PHI 3 - 6 BAL (BAL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	8
BAL	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	x	6	10

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-8

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

PHI Season Quality

Record57-52

Win%0.523

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.138

BAL Season Quality

Record53-56

Win%0.486

Run Diff-24

RD/Game-0.220

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1376; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	103	432	106	0.245	15	42	0.292	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.271	0.431	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	101	383	96	0.251	32	61	0.361	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.264	0.354	0.464	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	107	381	96	0.252	22	64	0.358	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.332	0.446	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	103	386	87	0.225	13	58	0.286	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.237	0.284	0.355	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	102	378	106	0.280	16	47	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.202	0.245	0.326	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	77	262	59	0.225	7	36	0.302	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.252	0.312	0.367	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	102	358	91	0.254	8	48	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.278	0.340	0.471	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	28	82	14	0.171	2	7	0.207	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.171	0.191	0.283	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	95	288	72	0.250	2	22	0.300	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.251	0.295	0.330	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	3	3	3	11	0.235

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Beavers	LF	51	163	40	0.245	2	17	0.319	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.247	0.314	0.344	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	106	399	100	0.251	22	67	0.346	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.254	0.330	0.440	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	105	436	95	0.218	17	44	0.290	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.206	0.260	0.372	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	105	393	98	0.249	7	29	0.383	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.242	0.369	0.333	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	88	284	64	0.225	5	39	0.305	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.213	0.298	0.339	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	53	149	38	0.255	5	20	0.349	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.331	0.420	0.444	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	79	246	51	0.207	14	40	0.277	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.291	0.470	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	84	214	45	0.210	7	25	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.152	0.272	0.234	OK
Yohel Pozo	C	2	4	1	0.250	0	1	0.200	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.144	0.153	0.229	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	10	6	6	4	7	0.303

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Painter	Starter	13	60.9	6.65	1.626	7.4	50	5.0	9	6	6	4	4	106	5.0	4	6
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	37	34.4	1.57	0.959	13.9	53	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	44	36.9	2.93	1.382	10.7	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	46	35.1	6.67	1.738	13.6	53	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	40	33.7	3.47	1.128	12.0	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	17	95.1	3.22	1.325	7.6	80	6.0	5	3	3	2	7	101	6.0	7	3
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	36	27.5	3.93	1.527	9.2	28	0.2	2	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	42	49.5	2.91	1.051	9.6	53	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	50	41.3	3.49	0.993	10.7	49	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 6-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds

PIT 55-55 (5.14 RPG / 4.81 RA)

5 - 3

CIN 51-57 (4.1 RPG / 4.74 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-3 TARGET: PIT 5 - 3 CIN (PIT) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	7
CIN	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-18

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PIT Season Quality

Record55-55

Win%0.500

Run Diff36

RD/Game0.327

CIN Season Quality

Record51-57

Win%0.472

Run Diff-69

RD/Game-0.639

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0078; margin adjustment: -0.4233; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	76	271	83	0.306	2	21	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.290	0.315	0.367	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	98	388	97	0.250	23	70	0.318	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.283	0.336	0.573	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	107	389	105	0.270	15	61	0.385	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.232	0.334	0.417	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	38	125	34	0.272	11	28	0.370	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.266	0.364	0.606	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	90	345	96	0.278	17	68	0.338	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.320	0.455	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	100	384	120	0.312	4	45	0.365	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.310	0.342	0.380	OK
Endy Rodríguez	1B	37	111	29	0.261	5	17	0.364	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.259	0.356	0.436	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	10	24	4	0.167	0	2	0.160	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.263	0.325	OK
Henry Davis	C	60	185	31	0.168	8	28	0.255	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.167	0.230	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	5	5	1	9	0.206

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	88	351	99	0.282	18	48	0.359	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.299	0.365	0.524	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	107	406	104	0.256	22	80	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.347	0.475	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	78	282	65	0.230	18	45	0.336	4	2	2	1	1	2	0	1.000	0.189	0.295	0.394	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	81	259	65	0.251	8	29	0.333	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.346	0.418	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	75	231	59	0.255	11	33	0.328	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.336	0.463	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	77	280	57	0.204	14	39	0.275	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.188	0.256	0.357	OK
Dane Myers	CF	63	150	42	0.280	3	15	0.374	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.296	0.375	0.392	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	47	156	29	0.186	6	14	0.226	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.175	0.211	0.289	OK
Matt McLain	2B	79	272	52	0.191	8	25	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.159	0.248	0.279	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	3	6	0.206

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	22	118.8	3.71	1.077	11.3	149	5.2	4	2	2	2	6	98	5.2	6	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	45	42.3	3.40	1.064	11.1	52	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	44	37.8	4.05	1.349	16.2	68	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	45	52.4	3.44	1.508	11.3	66	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Greene	Starter	4	21.2	7.22	1.368	12.3	29	4.2	6	5	5	1	3	91	4.2	3	5
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	23	21.4	5.05	1.262	10.5	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	4	1.0	1	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	34	29.9	2.41	1.070	9.3	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	9	1.0	2	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	55	45.2	2.99	1.527	9.0	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	24	16.8	4.82	2.083	11.2	21	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	36	25.7	5.95	1.634	9.8	28	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-3

San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres

SF 48-62 (4.25 RPG / 4.61 RA)

3 - 6

SD 55-54 (4.17 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-3 TARGET: SF 3 - 6 SD (SD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4
SD	0	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	x	6	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

SD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

SF Season Quality

Record47-62

Win%0.431

Run Diff-42

RD/Game-0.385

SD Season Quality

Record55-53

Win%0.509

Run Diff-18

RD/Game-0.167

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3358; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	102	405	134	0.331	4	42	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.301	0.331	0.399	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	70	273	71	0.260	9	34	0.298	4	3	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.251	0.289	0.382	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	67	234	59	0.252	11	26	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.316	0.426	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	108	408	102	0.250	21	60	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.270	0.341	0.458	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	97	367	112	0.305	5	38	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.267	0.302	0.417	OK
Willy Adames	SS	103	399	91	0.228	17	44	0.281	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.228	0.276	0.391	OK
Grant McCray	CF	7	17	3	0.176	1	2	0.222	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.179	0.227	0.317	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	20	46	12	0.261	0	3	0.393	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.176	0.322	0.227	OK
Christian Koss	3B	14	35	6	0.171	0	1	0.216	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0.500	0.186	0.234	0.234	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	3	3	4	7	0.129

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	107	424	121	0.285	8	48	0.354	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.265	0.326	0.385	OK
Luis Rengifo	2B	12	39	15	0.385	2	8	0.455	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.253	0.329	0.349	OK
Manny Machado	3B	106	393	84	0.214	23	64	0.298	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.235	0.304	0.448	OK
Ty France	1B	77	259	73	0.282	16	46	0.335	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.298	0.461	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	105	411	97	0.236	15	48	0.287	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.292	0.330	0.471	OK
Luis Campusano	DH	34	94	27	0.287	4	14	0.391	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.279	0.376	0.466	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	103	358	78	0.218	9	40	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.304	0.299	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	53	155	26	0.168	3	11	0.256	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.188	0.253	0.302	OK
Jase Bowen	LF	24	56	8	0.143	0	5	0.186	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.156	0.186	0.206	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	6	6	3	5	0.250

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Whisenhunt	Starter	3	15.2	4.74	1.447	7.7	13	5.0	5	4	4	2	2	95	5.0	2	4
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	36	27.9	2.90	1.505	14.5	45	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	43	38.2	4.24	1.414	12.0	51	0.1	2	2	2	0	0	15	0.1	0	2
Dylan Smith	Middle Reliever	20	15.9	2.83	1.258	12.5	22	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bradgley Rodriguez	Starter	44	39.1	2.76	1.381	10.8	47	5.0	1	0	0	1	6	82	5.0	6	0
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	44	43.1	0.84	0.835	17.7	85	2.0	2	1	1	2	0	39	2.0	0	1
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	50	50.1	3.59	1.277	11.5	64	2.0	1	2	2	1	1	35	2.0	1	2

Game Summary

SD wins 6-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays

STL 54-55 (4.37 RPG / 4.5 RA)

1 - 3

TOR 50-59 (3.94 RPG / 4.5 RA)

WINNER: TOR wins 3-1 TARGET: STL 1 - 3 TOR (TOR) Confidence: 52.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6
TOR	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	x	3	9

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-17

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-15

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

STL Season Quality

Record54-55

Win%0.495

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.128

TOR Season Quality

Record50-59

Win%0.459

Run Diff-60

RD/Game-0.550

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4771; margin adjustment: -0.2004; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	101	399	101	0.253	16	40	0.348	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.241	0.318	0.387	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	105	404	114	0.282	20	73	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.277	0.365	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	106	407	116	0.285	15	70	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.320	0.399	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	106	395	95	0.241	11	44	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.317	0.407	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	45	145	35	0.241	3	15	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.229	0.334	0.360	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	98	360	87	0.242	4	44	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.257	0.322	0.351	OK
Nathan Church	CF	82	266	60	0.226	8	30	0.268	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.176	0.219	0.274	OK
José Fermín	3B	69	188	47	0.250	5	22	0.312	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.234	0.304	0.367	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	31	80	14	0.175	3	9	0.250	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.117	0.183	0.226	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	1	1	0	8	0.182

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	72	238	67	0.282	5	18	0.338	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.298	0.347	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	102	381	101	0.265	6	44	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.273	0.342	0.355	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	105	386	89	0.231	24	68	0.308	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.233	0.285	0.426	OK
George Springer	DH	78	303	71	0.234	12	34	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.322	0.439	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	89	324	80	0.247	7	26	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.296	0.364	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	106	411	121	0.294	8	35	0.319	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.282	0.299	0.389	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	59	180	41	0.228	8	21	0.307	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.212	0.282	0.361	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	97	320	73	0.228	7	40	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.240	0.337	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	35	121	28	0.231	3	12	0.304	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.239	0.312	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	9	3	3	3	4	0.281

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	20	100.4	3.59	1.355	7.9	88	5.0	5	2	2	3	4	101	5.0	4	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	44	41.8	3.66	1.244	9.9	46	1.1	2	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	49	41.7	3.88	1.319	9.9	46	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	46	35.8	4.78	1.648	11.3	45	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	19	111.0	2.51	1.108	13.5	167	6.2	6	1	1	0	8	106	6.2	8	1
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	49	51.5	1.05	1.029	12.8	73	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.1	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	50	44.5	1.82	1.213	5.5	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TOR wins 3-1

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros

TEX 55-54 (4.18 RPG / 4.39 RA)

2 - 5

HOU 55-55 (4.59 RPG / 4.96 RA)

WINNER: HOU wins 5-2 TARGET: TEX 2 - 5 HOU (HOU) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
HOU	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	x	5	7

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff9

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

TEX Season Quality

Record55-54

Win%0.505

Run Diff-22

RD/Game-0.202

HOU Season Quality

Record55-55

Win%0.500

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.373

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.1778; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	97	286	72	0.252	19	41	0.336	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.195	0.269	0.443	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	57	231	64	0.277	12	30	0.321	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.234	0.273	0.406	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	103	394	105	0.266	10	39	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.294	0.406	OK
Ezequiel Duran	3B	98	342	92	0.269	12	57	0.324	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.317	0.470	OK
Evan Carter	CF	89	252	51	0.202	8	28	0.313	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.151	0.261	0.251	OK
Jake Burger	1B	104	386	91	0.236	19	66	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.269	0.406	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	51	150	46	0.307	1	18	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.298	0.301	OK
Austin Wynns	C	4	11	2	0.182	1	1	0.250	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.128	0.180	0.221	OK
Elias Díaz	C	30	94	24	0.255	2	11	0.268	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.254	0.397	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	2	2	3	7	0.182

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	61	241	75	0.311	12	31	0.364	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.304	0.338	0.584	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	107	388	126	0.325	35	80	0.436	4	4	2	1	4	0	0	0.500	0.286	0.398	0.580	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	102	374	93	0.249	14	58	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.282	0.352	OK
Christian Walker	1B	105	387	92	0.238	21	62	0.315	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.311	0.429	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	85	333	78	0.234	12	30	0.297	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.277	0.335	OK
Taylor Trammell	CF	49	134	32	0.239	5	14	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.326	0.473	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	49	190	47	0.247	7	24	0.275	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.268	0.294	0.434	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	21	60	10	0.167	2	11	0.315	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.111	0.266	0.185	OK
Cam Smith	RF	101	353	72	0.204	13	37	0.279	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.167	0.227	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	7	5	5	3	4	0.226

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	20	121.4	4.08	1.178	9.6	130	6.0	4	4	4	3	4	100	6.0	4	4
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	39	47.2	1.33	0.614	9.7	51	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	9	1.0	0	1
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	34	36.2	3.98	1.381	10.9	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	40	30.5	7.08	1.607	10.6	36	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	9	45.6	3.55	1.316	9.9	50	5.1	5	2	2	3	5	94	5.1	5	2
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	23	21.3	0.85	0.798	13.9	33	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.2	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	53	46.1	2.54	0.976	10.5	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	40	34.5	5.22	1.594	12.5	48	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

HOU wins 5-2

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

WAS 55-55 (5.45 RPG / 5.21 RA)

2 - 4

ATL 64-46 (4.85 RPG / 4.01 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-2 TARGET: WAS 2 - 4 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
ATL	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	x	4	12

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

WAS Season Quality

Record55-55

Win%0.500

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.245

ATL Season Quality

Record64-46

Win%0.582

Run Diff92

RD/Game0.836

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7136; margin adjustment: 0.2997; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	110	422	114	0.270	30	72	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.268	0.405	0.550	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	102	350	100	0.286	23	76	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.301	0.325	0.584	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	57	214	48	0.224	9	24	0.305	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.290	0.417	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	106	398	115	0.289	27	82	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.311	0.530	OK
Brady House	3B	47	176	41	0.233	7	26	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.185	0.238	0.323	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	108	416	103	0.248	13	54	0.299	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.290	0.519	OK
Harry Ford	C	6	20	4	0.200	1	4	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.103	0.210	0.195	OK
José Tena	2B	77	189	47	0.249	5	20	0.311	3	1	1	1	0	1	0	1.000	0.263	0.311	0.409	OK
Jacob Young	CF	86	295	70	0.237	9	36	0.290	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.276	0.363	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	1	8	0.129

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	57	209	51	0.244	8	23	0.365	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.221	0.321	0.426	OK
Drake Baldwin	DH	86	329	93	0.283	20	56	0.375	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.301	0.389	0.496	OK
Matt Olson	1B	109	423	110	0.260	28	66	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.292	0.437	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	109	423	111	0.262	18	62	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.307	0.423	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	103	394	115	0.292	19	61	0.319	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.241	0.266	0.403	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	105	393	102	0.260	10	55	0.310	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.207	0.256	0.316	OK
Austin Riley	3B	108	389	82	0.211	12	50	0.290	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.169	0.230	0.279	OK
Joey Bart	C	18	45	9	0.200	2	7	0.321	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.248	0.287	0.385	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	23	70	17	0.243	1	8	0.293	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.184	0.235	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	12	4	4	1	6	0.343

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	21	122.6	2.79	1.044	8.3	113	6.1	9	2	2	0	5	109	6.1	5	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	33	29.4	3.37	1.293	10.4	34	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	34	28.4	4.12	1.373	9.8	31	0.0	2	1	1	1	0	17	0.0	0	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	20	111.1	4.05	1.278	7.9	98	5.1	4	2	2	0	5	82	5.1	5	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	38	37.6	2.39	1.090	10.3	43	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	51	43.7	2.47	0.824	12.6	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	37	40.1	2.92	1.322	12.3	55	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians

ARI Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers

BOS Recent Form

LAD Recent Form

BOS Season Quality

LAD Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

CHW Recent Form

TB Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics

DET Recent Form

OAK Recent Form

DET Season Quality

OAK Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies

KC Recent Form

COL Recent Form

KC Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

MIA Recent Form

NYM Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

NYM Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels

MIL Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

MIL Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners