MLB Predictions — July 26, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ WAS	4 - 2	4 - 2	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ BAL	5 - 4	5 - 4	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ PIT	7 - 4	7 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 7-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ STL	5 - 2	5 - 2	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 5-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ TB	2 - 5	2 - 5	TB	TB	TB wins 5-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ MIL	2 - 6	2 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ CHW	5 - 6	5 - 6	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 6-5	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ DET	2 - 5	2 - 5	DET	DET	DET wins 5-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ SF	3 - 6	3 - 6	SF	SF	SF wins 6-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ NYM	5 - 3	5 - 3	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ PHI	3 - 2	3 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ MIN	2 - 5	2 - 5	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 5-2	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ MIA	6 - 3	6 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 6-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ TEX	3 - 4	3 - 4	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ BOS	3 - 4	3 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals

ARI 55-51 (4.52 RPG / 4.55 RA)

4 - 2

WAS 54-52 (5.51 RPG / 5.23 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-2 TARGET: ARI 4 - 2 WAS (ARI) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	4	8
WAS	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

ARI Season Quality

Record55-50

Win%0.524

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

WAS Season Quality

Record53-52

Win%0.505

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.257

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2286; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.157	0.210	0.280	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.348	0.336	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.280	0.332	0.463	OK
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.218	0.304	0.337	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.284	0.360	0.467	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.235	0.295	0.348	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.284	0.362	0.551	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.314	0.411
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.190	0.248	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	4	4	2	5	0.229

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	105	405	109	0.269	28	69	0.394	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.353	0.463	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	31	72	16	0.222	4	18	0.309	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.247	0.317	0.493	OK
Dylan Crews	LF	53	197	43	0.218	8	23	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.316	0.426	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	101	379	111	0.293	25	79	0.364	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.320	0.372	0.632	OK
Jacob Young	CF	84	289	67	0.232	9	33	0.284	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.263	0.305	0.421	OK
Harry Ford	C	4	14	4	0.286	1	4	0.375	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.250	0.299	0.451	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	97	327	90	0.275	21	70	0.308	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.158	0.199	0.338	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	91	293	73	0.249	1	30	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.331	0.307	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	66	217	59	0.272	7	35	0.300	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.267	0.413	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	7	2	2	1	5	0.212

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	4	1	1	1	5	100	6.2	5	1
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	7	0.1	0	1

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Miles Mikolas	Starter	21	94.5	5.81	1.386	4.9	51	4.2	6	3	3	2	3	85	4.2	3	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	31	27.4	3.61	1.314	10.8	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	32	26.4	4.09	1.364	9.5	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	5	3.6	0.00	1.667	10.0	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Riley Cornelio	Middle Reliever	8	15.4	6.43	2.013	9.9	17	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-2

Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles

ATL 62-44 (4.92 RPG / 3.96 RA)

5 - 4

BAL 51-55 (4.56 RPG / 4.69 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-4 TARGET: ATL 5 - 4 BAL (ATL) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	5	8
BAL	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	8

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff17

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

ATL Season Quality

Record61-44

Win%0.581

Run Diff101

RD/Game0.962

BAL Season Quality

Record51-54

Win%0.486

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.124

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2286; margin adjustment: -0.516; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	81	311	86	0.277	20	56	0.367	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.277	0.360	0.506	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	104	403	107	0.266	17	57	0.316	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.246	0.293	0.432	OK
Matt Olson	1B	104	403	107	0.266	27	63	0.341	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.254	0.335	0.470	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	98	375	113	0.301	19	61	0.327	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.278	0.300	0.493	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	100	375	100	0.267	10	55	0.317	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.253	0.297	0.374	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	78	221	57	0.258	7	37	0.301	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.243	0.300	0.401	OK
Austin Riley	3B	104	375	81	0.216	12	49	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.294	0.380	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	86	237	54	0.228	6	27	0.311	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.230	0.298	0.357	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	19	59	16	0.271	1	8	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.279	0.419	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	5	5	5	5	0.229

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Beavers	LF	47	150	39	0.260	2	16	0.333	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.275	0.335	0.392	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	102	382	95	0.249	21	66	0.345	5	5	1	1	2	0	2	0.200	0.224	0.305	0.386	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	101	418	93	0.222	17	44	0.294	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.229	0.284	0.417	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	101	377	95	0.252	7	26	0.386	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.227	0.352	0.347	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	5	20	6	0.300	2	7	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.281	0.448	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	81	208	43	0.207	7	24	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.312	0.284	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	84	269	62	0.230	4	37	0.309	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.134	0.227	0.234	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	49	135	30	0.222	5	16	0.321	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.339	0.358	OK
Chadwick Tromp	C	4	13	3	0.231	0	1	0.231	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.128	0.138	0.190	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	4	4	4	10	0.229

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reynaldo López	Starter	23	64.6	4.04	1.393	8.4	60	4.1	4	2	2	4	6	94	4.1	6	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	35	34.6	2.60	1.127	10.9	42	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	2.44	0.862	13.1	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	35	38.9	3.01	1.311	11.8	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	42	31.1	5.21	1.479	10.7	37	0.2	2	1	1	0	1	14	0.2	1	1
Dylan Dodd	Middle Reliever	26	28.0	2.25	0.857	10.9	34	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	20	114.4	4.25	1.416	8.3	105	5.2	5	3	3	4	3	102	5.2	3	3
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	33	25.4	4.25	1.496	9.6	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	40	46.5	3.10	1.075	10.3	53	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	48	40.1	3.37	0.998	10.5	47	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Yennier Cano	Middle Reliever	45	27.9	2.58	1.111	9.4	29	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	11	0.1	0	1

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-4

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CHC 59-46 (5.15 RPG / 4.43 RA)

7 - 4

PIT 54-52 (5.22 RPG / 4.84 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 7-4 TARGET: CHC 7 - 4 PIT (CHC) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	2	7	7
PIT	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	4	11

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff31

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

CHC Season Quality

Record59-45

Win%0.567

Run Diff77

RD/Game0.740

PIT Season Quality

Record53-52

Win%0.505

Run Diff39

RD/Game0.371

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4628; margin adjustment: -0.1944; applied: True

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	102	380	112	0.295	23	59	0.393	5	4	0	1	2	0	0	0.000	0.294	0.384	0.562	OK
Seiya Suzuki	DH	87	326	88	0.270	17	56	0.361	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.341	0.447	OK
Michael Busch	1B	101	377	93	0.247	12	54	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.354	0.423	OK
Ian Happ	LF	97	360	80	0.222	18	45	0.334	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.240	0.347	0.434	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	100	403	99	0.246	4	43	0.307	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.254	0.303	0.341	OK
Michael Conforto	RF	66	153	36	0.235	9	23	0.312	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.141	0.224	0.331	OK
Carson Kelly	C	73	237	62	0.262	6	34	0.352	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.323	0.348	OK
Pedro Ramirez	3B	29	75	23	0.307	1	12	0.354	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.194	0.254	0.349	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	97	334	72	0.216	14	53	0.298	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.325	0.392	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	7	7	7	4	6	0.212

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	72	252	78	0.310	2	21	0.352	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.282	0.313	0.371	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	93	366	87	0.238	21	65	0.309	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.205	0.274	0.370	OK
Bryan Reynolds	DH	102	370	101	0.273	14	59	0.388	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.219	0.320	0.371	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	33	108	30	0.278	10	26	0.373	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.242	0.353	0.558	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	85	325	93	0.286	16	63	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.306	0.377	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	95	362	111	0.307	4	45	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.267	0.314	0.364	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	6	12	2	0.167	0	1	0.167	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.283	0.353	OK
Shawn Ross	C	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.106	0.120	0.169
Tyler Callihan	LF	32	85	20	0.235	3	15	0.312	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.130	0.203	0.271	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	4	4	2	9	0.289

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jameson Taillon	Starter	14	69.9	5.54	1.359	8.4	65	4.1	6	3	3	1	4	90	4.1	4	3
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	45	39.9	3.16	1.454	11.5	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	26	27.9	2.58	1.075	4.2	13	1.1	2	1	1	1	1	27	1.1	1	1
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	35	25.4	4.61	1.417	14.2	40	1.0	3	0	0	0	1	22	1.0	1	0
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	35	31.3	3.16	1.534	11.5	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	20	114.0	4.03	1.193	10.3	130	5.1	6	5	5	2	5	101	5.1	5	5
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	42	40.1	3.37	1.022	10.5	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	41	34.8	3.88	1.379	16.3	63	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	43	49.2	3.66	1.545	11.2	61	1.1	1	2	2	1	0	24	1.1	0	2

Game Summary

CHC wins 7-4

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

CIN 49-55 (4.15 RPG / 4.79 RA)

5 - 2

STL 53-52 (4.44 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 5-2 TARGET: CIN 5 - 2 STL (CIN) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	11
STL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-14

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CIN Season Quality

Record48-55

Win%0.466

Run Diff-68

RD/Game-0.660

STL Season Quality

Record53-51

Win%0.510

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.010

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7352; margin adjustment: 0.3088; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	83	329	92	0.280	17	46	0.358	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.329	0.445	OK
Spencer Steer	2B	95	336	81	0.241	16	40	0.320	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.274	0.364	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	74	266	64	0.241	17	44	0.346	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.225	0.321	0.414	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	73	265	56	0.211	14	39	0.281	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.221	0.279	0.441	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	70	214	53	0.248	11	30	0.324	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.161	0.233	0.333	OK
Dane Myers	CF	58	133	35	0.263	3	15	0.357	5	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.168	0.265	0.265	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	43	141	26	0.184	6	13	0.228	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.229	0.327	OK
Jose Trevino	C	23	75	20	0.267	3	10	0.276	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.260	0.418	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	43	140	20	0.143	2	5	0.195	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.167	0.208	0.241	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	38	11	5	5	2	7	0.289

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	96	379	97	0.256	15	39	0.352	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.303	0.364	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	101	373	88	0.236	10	41	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.289	0.315	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	100	384	112	0.292	20	72	0.353	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.311	0.420	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	101	388	111	0.286	15	69	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.295	0.346	0.448	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	93	341	80	0.235	4	42	0.306	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.211	0.280	0.288	OK
José Fermín	CF	64	173	45	0.260	4	20	0.321	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.317	0.344	OK
Nelson Velázquez	LF	27	64	14	0.219	4	12	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.206	0.272	0.376	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	30	102	25	0.245	1	22	0.257	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.233	0.255	0.365	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	50	149	31	0.208	4	11	0.245	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.214	0.280	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	3	9	0.156

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	21	108.9	3.97	1.423	7.4	90	5.1	2	1	1	2	5	103	5.1	5	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	21	19.4	5.57	1.289	9.7	21	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	31	27.6	2.61	1.051	8.8	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	52	42.1	3.21	1.568	8.8	41	1.1	2	1	1	1	3	27	1.1	3	1

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	19	94.4	3.62	1.367	7.5	79	5.0	6	3	3	2	2	96	5.0	2	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	42	39.8	3.84	1.281	9.9	44	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	46	39.5	4.10	1.266	9.3	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	43	32.8	5.21	1.707	11.8	43	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	19	1.0	2	2
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	43	42.0	3.86	1.381	6.9	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	21	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 5-2

Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays

CLE 54-53 (3.93 RPG / 4.09 RA)

2 - 5

TB 62-43 (4.51 RPG / 4.11 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 5-2 TARGET: CLE 2 - 5 TB (TB) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
TB	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	x	5	9

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak4L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

CLE Season Quality

Record54-52

Win%0.509

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.160

TB Season Quality

Record61-43

Win%0.587

Run Diff41

RD/Game0.394

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6703; margin adjustment: 0.2815; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	93	323	79	0.245	1	18	0.344	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.266	0.352	0.340	OK
José Ramírez	3B	74	277	67	0.242	10	35	0.341	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.316	0.365	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	85	324	93	0.287	11	50	0.351	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.272	0.336	0.431	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	101	353	97	0.275	9	49	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.295	0.384	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	73	273	66	0.242	9	32	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.319	0.355	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	64	234	54	0.231	11	33	0.267	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.136	0.161	0.277	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	93	290	62	0.214	11	32	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.290	0.394	OK
Austin Hedges	C	47	136	39	0.287	4	17	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.315	0.421	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	34	88	17	0.193	2	5	0.209	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.120	0.143	0.227	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	2	2	3	6	0.156

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	99	385	119	0.309	14	61	0.384	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.258	0.319	0.403	OK
Ryan Vilade	1B	52	146	38	0.260	8	32	0.325	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.247	0.313	0.501	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	103	392	112	0.286	29	63	0.376	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.272	0.359	0.452	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	56	187	51	0.273	6	32	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.278	0.314	0.451	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	94	362	106	0.293	0	20	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.211	0.252	0.288	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	71	223	56	0.251	2	24	0.313	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.264	0.317	0.356	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	88	307	62	0.202	12	32	0.281	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.280	0.383	OK
Nick Fortes	C	74	226	64	0.283	4	27	0.321	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.307	0.325	0.469	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	74	218	51	0.234	4	30	0.331	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.133	0.232	0.255	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	9	5	5	1	7	0.273

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	20	113.0	2.79	1.097	9.2	116	6.0	8	3	3	0	5	105	6.0	5	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	45	45.2	2.79	1.128	13.3	67	1.2	0	1	1	1	2	25	1.2	2	1
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	39	28.3	3.18	1.449	10.2	32	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	13	0.1	0	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	19	103.4	3.31	0.986	9.0	103	6.0	5	2	2	3	5	103	6.0	5	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	41	38.4	1.64	0.859	9.8	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	43	40.9	2.64	1.027	7.7	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.1	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	34	27.2	3.97	1.434	13.6	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	17	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 5-2

Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

COL 42-65 (4.74 RPG / 5.77 RA)

2 - 6

MIL 66-39 (5.1 RPG / 3.74 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-2 TARGET: COL 2 - 6 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	7
MIL	1	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	x	6	9

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-16

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-3

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

COL Season Quality

Record42-64

Win%0.396

Run Diff-101

RD/Game-0.953

MIL Season Quality

Record65-39

Win%0.625

Run Diff133

RD/Game1.279

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.5748; margin adjustment: 1.0814; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	RF	85	315	95	0.302	10	57	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.292	0.442	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	66	228	63	0.276	16	43	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.283	0.449	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	97	363	94	0.259	31	60	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.248	0.320	0.493	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	100	359	108	0.301	13	52	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.343	0.409	OK
Willi Castro	2B	89	320	82	0.256	9	43	0.323	4	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.216	0.272	0.350	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	97	297	80	0.269	9	37	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.268	0.369	0.419	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	37	125	36	0.288	4	25	0.363	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.252	0.325	0.435	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	89	291	85	0.292	3	40	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.214	0.277	0.321	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	95	330	66	0.200	8	32	0.246	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.190	0.242	0.290	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	1	11	0.206

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	66	257	60	0.233	7	35	0.323	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.319	0.421	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	68	285	80	0.281	13	39	0.340	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.255	0.312	0.401	OK
Brice Turang	2B	95	371	102	0.275	15	62	0.365	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.286	0.372	0.508	OK
William Contreras	C	95	367	100	0.272	10	56	0.337	4	4	3	1	3	0	1	0.750	0.240	0.303	0.351	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	57	163	51	0.313	3	26	0.389	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.292	0.360	0.501	OK
Luis Lara	RF	9	26	7	0.269	0	5	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.344	0.365	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	87	287	76	0.265	7	41	0.350	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.334	0.405	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	28	90	25	0.278	2	10	0.346	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.289	0.353	0.454	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	77	226	52	0.230	5	27	0.300	4	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.263	0.338	0.435	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	9	6	6	4	5	0.273

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	18	91.2	7.50	1.612	8.2	83	4.2	8	5	5	3	4	95	4.2	4	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	32	46.1	3.90	1.367	8.8	45	2.0	1	1	1	1	0	32	2.0	0	1
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	42	39.7	6.35	1.814	10.7	47	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	19	114.3	1.57	0.779	13.6	173	6.0	3	1	1	0	9	102	6.0	9	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	40	39.1	2.07	0.946	11.3	49	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	42	38.4	2.58	1.146	9.6	41	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	48	54.3	3.65	1.547	13.6	82	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	27	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-2

Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox

HOU 52-55 (4.57 RPG / 5.01 RA)

5 - 6

CHW 55-49 (4.82 RPG / 4.38 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 6-5 TARGET: HOU 5 - 6 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	5	10
CHW	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	x	6	5

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff14

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak5W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff11

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2L

HOU Season Quality

Record52-54

Win%0.491

Run Diff-38

RD/Game-0.358

CHW Season Quality

Record54-49

Win%0.524

Run Diff37

RD/Game0.359

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7683; margin adjustment: 0.3227; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	57	222	70	0.315	9	28	0.371	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.308	0.349	0.498	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	103	375	123	0.328	34	77	0.435	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.317	0.414	0.628	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	98	357	92	0.258	14	57	0.352	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.275	0.345	0.473	OK
Christian Walker	1B	102	376	88	0.234	20	61	0.310	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.271	0.365	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	81	315	74	0.235	12	30	0.301	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.239	0.292	0.398	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	18	53	10	0.189	2	10	0.317	5	5	1	1	2	0	0	0.200	0.215	0.333	0.347	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	47	181	42	0.232	6	22	0.262	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.247	0.351	OK
Cam Smith	RF	98	341	71	0.208	13	35	0.283	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.180	0.248	0.336	OK
Lucas Spence	CF	8	28	5	0.179	0	1	0.258	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.197	0.249	0.295	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	5	5	5	5	0.270

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.171	0.230	0.330	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	4	3	1	4	0	0	0.750	0.208	0.277	0.444	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.242	0.296	0.348	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.376	0.532	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	4	0	1	0	0	1	0.000	0.104	0.179	0.216	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.312	0.378	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.298	0.433	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.280	0.340	0.463	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	3	2	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.217	0.276	0.448	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	29	5	6	6	3	3	0.172

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ronel Blanco	Starter	1	4.2	8.57	1.190	17.1	8	4.1	3	4	4	2	2	86	4.1	2	4
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	21	19.3	0.93	0.777	15.4	33	2.1	0	0	0	0	1	7	2.1	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	51	44.9	2.41	0.958	10.4	52	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	22	1.1	0	2

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	3	0	0	2	2	106	6.0	2	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	4	3	3	2	1	33	1.0	1	3
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	28	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

CHW wins 6-5

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers

KC 45-62 (4.21 RPG / 5.1 RA)

2 - 5

DET 50-56 (4.2 RPG / 3.93 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-2 TARGET: KC 2 - 5 DET (DET) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	7
DET	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	x	5	8

KC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

KC Season Quality

Record44-62

Win%0.415

Run Diff-97

RD/Game-0.915

DET Season Quality

Record50-55

Win%0.476

Run Diff29

RD/Game0.276

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2829; margin adjustment: 0.5388; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Lane Thomas	CF	86	266	61	0.229	9	35	0.322	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.213	0.292	0.357	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	66	204	51	0.250	5	34	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.317	0.430	OK
Salvador Perez	1B	97	377	80	0.212	15	44	0.260	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.240	0.406	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	96	339	85	0.251	16	37	0.307	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.144	0.192	0.302	OK
Starling Marte	DH	45	123	32	0.260	1	9	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.245	0.285	0.324	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	92	293	71	0.242	6	34	0.343	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.318	0.394	OK
Tyler Tolbert	SS	25	63	20	0.317	2	5	0.353	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.153	0.198	0.232	OK
Luke Maile	C	3	10	2	0.200	1	3	0.273	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.219	0.285	0.358	OK
Andrew Velazquez	2B	3	9	1	0.111	0	0	0.111	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.212	0.223	0.301	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	2	2	2	9	0.206

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colt Keith	3B	94	274	69	0.252	8	23	0.297	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.287	0.379	OK
Kevin McGonigle	SS	100	376	105	0.279	9	35	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.246	0.342	0.376	OK
Gleyber Torres	DH	48	173	48	0.277	4	18	0.398	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.261	0.380	0.367	OK
Riley Greene	LF	103	371	107	0.288	15	51	0.377	4	2	1	1	0	2	1	0.500	0.258	0.342	0.440	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	95	350	96	0.274	22	66	0.339	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.278	0.326	0.531	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	80	229	48	0.210	13	36	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.209	0.258	0.354	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	103	352	71	0.202	19	49	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.205	0.288	0.420	OK
James Outman	CF	26	81	13	0.160	4	13	0.200	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.106	0.147	0.216	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	61	176	48	0.273	6	23	0.304	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.283	0.316	0.495	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	5	5	3	11	0.250

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luinder Avila	Starter	19	61.6	4.97	1.591	8.3	57	4.2	5	3	3	2	3	94	4.2	3	3
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	41	38.5	6.55	1.636	10.1	43	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	21	1.1	3	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	43	38.9	2.31	1.028	7.9	34	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	19	1.0	2	2
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	43	33.5	4.57	1.582	7.8	29	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	20	1.0	3	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	20	106.7	4.64	1.396	7.4	88	5.0	5	2	2	2	5	86	5.0	5	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	30	25.8	3.49	1.240	10.8	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	44	40.4	2.45	1.559	8.0	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	44	39.3	3.44	1.552	8.5	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Drew Anderson	Middle Reliever	37	53.5	4.71	1.477	12.4	74	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-2

Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants

LAA 42-64 (4.28 RPG / 4.9 RA)

3 - 6

SF 45-61 (4.18 RPG / 4.67 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 6-3 TARGET: LAA 3 - 6 SF (SF) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5
SF	0	0	0	4	0	1	1	0	x	6	5

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-15

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

LAA Season Quality

Record41-64

Win%0.390

Run Diff-66

RD/Game-0.629

SF Season Quality

Record45-60

Win%0.429

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.486

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	102	402	95	0.236	19	46	0.326	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.231	0.297	0.389	OK
Mike Trout	CF	86	308	73	0.237	18	40	0.392	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.242	0.378	0.395	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	61	216	55	0.255	6	40	0.317	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.297	0.409	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	81	298	61	0.205	11	45	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.190	0.258	0.321	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	84	316	89	0.282	6	36	0.353	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.275	0.343	0.368	OK
Jo Adell	RF	104	400	97	0.242	15	57	0.291	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.242	0.276	0.427	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	32	125	30	0.240	4	14	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.256	0.319	OK
Jose Siri	LF	40	96	27	0.281	5	18	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.254	0.299	0.420	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	69	227	49	0.216	4	23	0.278	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.206	0.261	0.290	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	3	3	5	10	0.156

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	97	383	126	0.329	4	37	0.367	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.287	0.325	0.398	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	65	252	64	0.254	9	31	0.287	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.251	0.391	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	62	214	56	0.262	10	23	0.361	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.338	0.415	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	103	390	98	0.251	21	59	0.322	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.255	0.326	0.502	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	94	375	101	0.269	21	54	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.261	0.456	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	74	209	50	0.239	4	21	0.304	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.251	0.304	0.365	OK
Willy Adames	SS	98	381	86	0.226	17	44	0.276	3	3	1	1	4	0	1	0.333	0.221	0.268	0.429	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	17	40	9	0.225	0	2	0.340	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.346	0.297	OK
Grant McCray	RF	2	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.105	0.119	0.168
TEAM TOTALS									33	29	5	6	6	3	5	0.172

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	21	115.9	3.49	1.277	9.5	122	5.1	4	5	5	3	4	97	5.1	4	5
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	42	43.8	4.11	1.301	13.8	67	1.2	1	1	1	0	0	24	1.2	0	1
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	27	22.8	3.55	1.140	11.8	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	18	112.3	4.01	1.131	7.1	89	6.0	2	2	2	3	4	102	6.0	4	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	41	36.2	4.48	1.409	12.2	49	1.0	1	0	0	2	3	24	1.0	3	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	34	25.9	3.13	1.583	14.6	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	31	45.6	2.96	1.228	6.9	35	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	25	1.0	1	1

Game Summary

SF wins 6-3

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets

LAD 67-39 (5.15 RPG / 3.69 RA)

5 - 3

NYM 44-62 (4.08 RPG / 4.66 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-3 TARGET: LAD 5 - 3 NYM (LAD) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	5	7
NYM	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff2

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-7

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

LAD Season Quality

Record67-38

Win%0.638

Run Diff160

RD/Game1.524

NYM Season Quality

Record43-62

Win%0.410

Run Diff-67

RD/Game-0.638

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.5048; margin adjustment: -1.052; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	95	364	102	0.280	22	59	0.388	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.246	0.341	0.438	OK
Andy Pages	CF	102	395	106	0.268	17	69	0.335	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.273	0.337	0.429	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	101	381	114	0.299	15	49	0.382	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.320	0.391	0.482	OK
Max Muncy	3B	94	313	80	0.256	20	47	0.349	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.238	0.321	0.498	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	66	264	62	0.235	13	34	0.290	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.252	0.302	0.445	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	95	348	84	0.241	9	51	0.328	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.235	0.319	0.430	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	68	243	60	0.247	8	36	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.318	0.374	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	26	90	29	0.322	2	15	0.396	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.257	0.306	0.427	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	63	200	49	0.245	11	33	0.315	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.220	0.274	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	5	5	4	11	0.206

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	64	228	61	0.268	7	25	0.339	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.214	0.277	0.330	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	101	405	103	0.254	10	52	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.229	0.277	0.323	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	47	183	41	0.224	6	16	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.300	0.367	OK
Carson Benge	RF	98	376	97	0.258	11	40	0.320	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.223	0.274	0.325	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	29	100	21	0.210	4	10	0.313	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.195	0.288	0.361	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	24	91	14	0.154	1	4	0.206	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.169	0.214	0.255	OK
Jared Young	1B	53	155	39	0.252	6	16	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.164	0.220	0.308	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	84	305	64	0.210	10	30	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.174	0.230	0.293	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	67	223	56	0.251	11	25	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.306	0.402	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	3	3	3	8	0.188

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	18	84.4	5.33	1.315	10.6	99	4.2	4	2	2	3	5	84	4.2	5	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	45	39.4	2.51	0.863	12.6	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	6.00	1.333	12.0	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	46	27.4	3.28	1.533	16.4	50	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	11	1.0	2	1
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever	13	12.4	2.18	0.806	10.2	14	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	21	105.7	5.19	1.514	9.4	110	4.2	2	2	2	2	7	96	4.2	7	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	36	31.1	4.34	1.640	13.0	45	1.0	3	2	2	2	1	30	1.0	1	2
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	39	38.9	2.08	0.848	9.9	43	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	42	32.3	2.51	1.362	10.6	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Huascar Brazobán	Middle Reliever	43	43.0	3.14	1.209	9.6	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-3

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

NYY 59-45 (4.65 RPG / 3.78 RA)

3 - 2

PHI 56-49 (4.28 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-2 TARGET: NYY 3 - 2 PHI (NYY) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	6
PHI	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	10

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak3W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

NYY Season Quality

Record59-45

Win%0.567

Run Diff91

RD/Game0.875

PHI Season Quality

Record56-49

Win%0.533

Run Diff-18

RD/Game-0.171

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0974; margin adjustment: -0.4609; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	72	262	68	0.260	16	43	0.311	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.296	0.446	OK
Ben Rice	DH	96	360	98	0.272	29	67	0.363	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.238	0.320	0.464	OK
Amed Rosario	3B	56	157	36	0.229	9	26	0.268	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.243	0.350	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	41	155	37	0.239	6	13	0.272	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.246	0.272	0.421	OK
Anthony Volpe	SS	47	146	35	0.240	1	14	0.335	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.324	0.327	OK
Trent Grisham	CF	80	280	61	0.218	10	40	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.194	0.293	0.338	OK
Max Schuemann	LF	24	57	13	0.228	2	6	0.353	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.145	0.237	0.298	OK
José Caballero	2B	88	294	71	0.241	10	37	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.263	0.325	OK
Ali Sánchez	C	18	40	9	0.225	0	4	0.273	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.176	0.200	0.256	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	6	3	3	4	6	0.188

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	99	413	101	0.245	14	40	0.293	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.233	0.280	0.418	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	99	377	94	0.249	32	60	0.357	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.226	0.313	0.420	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	103	366	92	0.251	21	61	0.357	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.214	0.316	0.409	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	98	362	104	0.287	16	47	0.326	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.218	0.256	0.377	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	99	371	82	0.221	13	52	0.281	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.226	0.272	0.372	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	98	345	85	0.246	7	41	0.303	5	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.236	0.284	0.375	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	74	253	58	0.229	7	34	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.274	0.327	0.387	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	26	77	13	0.169	2	7	0.207	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.185	0.206	0.306	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	91	275	68	0.247	2	21	0.295	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.218	0.259	0.316	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	2	2	5	10	0.270

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	20	94.8	4.18	1.435	9.2	97	5.0	7	2	2	2	5	102	5.0	5	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	41	42.1	2.57	1.116	10.5	49	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	48	31.1	3.47	1.833	15.9	55	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	23	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	52	42.2	1.71	1.327	13.2	62	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	36	51.1	2.11	1.135	7.2	41	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	22	1.0	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	21	130.8	2.75	1.208	10.4	151	6.0	2	1	1	1	6	104	6.0	6	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	36	34.3	0.79	0.816	13.9	53	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	42	34.9	3.09	1.404	11.3	44	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	44	33.1	7.07	1.813	13.9	51	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-2

Oakland Athletics @ Minnesota Twins

OAK 44-61 (4.46 RPG / 5.65 RA)

2 - 5

MIN 53-54 (4.78 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 5-2 TARGET: OAK 2 - 5 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	3
MIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	2	x	5	11

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-25

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-14

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

OAK Season Quality

Record44-60

Win%0.423

Run Diff-122

RD/Game-1.173

MIN Season Quality

Record52-54

Win%0.491

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.283

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9913; margin adjustment: 0.4163; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Kurtz	1B	93	338	89	0.263	20	66	0.401	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.204	0.322	0.369	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	64	259	73	0.282	7	32	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.248	0.273	0.404	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	92	330	82	0.248	16	49	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.336	0.438	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	93	376	99	0.263	23	51	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.258	0.317	0.474	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	8	16	2	0.125	0	0	0.417	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.332	0.429	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	45	150	35	0.233	8	24	0.278	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.274	0.370	OK
Tommy White	3B	7	27	8	0.296	0	0	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.261	0.309	0.393	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	89	261	52	0.199	5	25	0.293	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.222	0.309	0.328	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	58	196	49	0.250	3	17	0.323	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.195	0.249	0.275	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	2	2	4	6	0.100

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	LF	79	245	59	0.241	2	20	0.340	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.332	0.331	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	80	324	87	0.269	25	45	0.327	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.252	0.299	0.439	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	43	152	43	0.283	9	32	0.382	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.265	0.357	0.494	OK
Josh Bell	DH	103	378	92	0.243	13	62	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.223	0.283	0.364	OK
Royce Lewis	2B	71	255	54	0.212	10	30	0.297	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.214	0.307	0.369	OK
Victor Caratini	1B	76	246	58	0.236	7	36	0.319	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.240	0.301	0.350	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	97	327	85	0.260	4	29	0.355	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.350	0.342	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	98	374	92	0.246	15	55	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.271	0.386	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	56	156	36	0.231	5	24	0.281	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.204	0.249	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	11	5	5	1	6	0.314

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	20	100.1	6.11	1.459	7.7	86	4.1	7	4	4	0	4	88	4.1	4	4
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	49	36.8	3.91	1.848	14.9	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	28	25.8	6.28	1.434	12.6	36	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	22	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	33	43.5	3.52	1.448	11.8	57	1.2	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.2	1	1

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Connor Prielipp	Starter	13	66.2	5.03	1.375	9.7	71	5.1	2	1	1	4	4	90	5.1	4	1
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	34	26.6	2.03	1.165	10.2	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	39	43.7	3.71	1.442	10.5	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	5	5.1	3.53	1.765	10.6	6	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	43	29.0	5.90	2.000	10.2	33	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 5-2

San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins

SD 53-53 (4.17 RPG / 4.37 RA)

6 - 3

MIA 52-54 (4.38 RPG / 4.36 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-3 TARGET: SD 6 - 3 MIA (SD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	11
MIA	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

SD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff21

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.000

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed5.1

Run Diff-26

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak10L

SD Season Quality

Record52-53

Win%0.495

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.219

MIA Season Quality

Record52-53

Win%0.495

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.038

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2571; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	103	407	114	0.280	8	46	0.350	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.259	0.330	0.430	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	53	170	35	0.206	3	13	0.311	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0.200	0.250	0.346	0.341	OK
Manny Machado	DH	102	376	78	0.207	22	60	0.295	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.241	0.319	0.450	OK
Ty France	1B	73	244	69	0.283	16	46	0.333	5	5	2	1	4	0	2	0.400	0.283	0.317	0.540	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	101	396	90	0.227	14	45	0.282	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.256	0.302	0.470	OK
Luis Campusano	C	31	83	23	0.277	4	12	0.388	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.259	0.369	0.441	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	98	305	65	0.213	14	42	0.311	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.210	0.299	0.341	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	100	348	76	0.218	9	38	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.312	0.299	OK
Sung-Mun Song	3B	38	95	21	0.221	1	15	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.291	0.276	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	38	11	6	6	5	12	0.289

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	101	402	133	0.331	9	47	0.366	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.301	0.390	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	80	300	69	0.230	12	44	0.313	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.286	0.364	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	73	236	58	0.246	14	38	0.309	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.306	0.464	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	104	384	111	0.289	6	37	0.370	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.226	0.308	0.330	OK
Liam Hicks	DH	93	326	91	0.279	14	60	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.238	0.310	0.376	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	36	103	27	0.262	7	16	0.339	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.156	0.229	0.309	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	99	343	67	0.195	5	25	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.211	0.313	0.295	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	76	259	69	0.266	3	35	0.295	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.231	0.259	0.359	OK
Joe Mack	C	58	177	43	0.243	10	30	0.298	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.227	0.269	0.449	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	32	5	3	3	6	6	0.156

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	20	91.4	5.42	1.477	8.3	84	4.2	3	3	3	3	5	81	4.2	5	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	41	40.1	0.90	0.898	17.7	79	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	48	48.1	3.74	1.268	11.8	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	42	37.9	2.37	1.319	10.7	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Wandy Peralta	Middle Reliever	45	45.8	3.54	1.528	6.5	33	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	21	1.0	1	0
Randy Vásquez	Middle Reliever	20	87.3	4.85	1.558	6.5	63	0.0	1	0	0	1	0	32	0.0	0	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	13	67.6	5.19	1.376	6.8	51	5.0	9	5	5	2	6	98	5.0	6	5
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	33	28.7	7.84	1.603	12.9	41	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	18	1.0	1	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	42	39.1	3.22	1.151	11.7	51	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Cade Gibson	Middle Reliever	21	23.4	5.77	1.581	9.2	24	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	4	1.1	2	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	44	37.5	5.52	1.787	10.6	44	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	19	0.2	1	0
Lake Bachar	Middle Reliever	34	49.7	2.90	1.046	10.7	59	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	0.0	0	0
Tyler Zuber	Reliever	17	11.3	7.17	1.858	13.5	17	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 6-3

Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers

SEA 52-54 (4.02 RPG / 3.91 RA)

3 - 4

TEX 53-52 (4.22 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 4-3 TARGET: SEA 3 - 4 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 51.4% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	9
TEX	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	x	4	6

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

SEA Season Quality

Record51-54

Win%0.486

Run Diff10

RD/Game0.095

TEX Season Quality

Record53-51

Win%0.510

Run Diff-23

RD/Game-0.221

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2805; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	83	296	65	0.220	10	29	0.341	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.245	0.355	0.365	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	93	370	94	0.254	15	43	0.314	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.240	0.288	0.392	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	97	354	99	0.280	11	45	0.377	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.248	0.323	0.377	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	73	270	44	0.163	10	35	0.266	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.186	0.281	0.317	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	88	253	64	0.253	15	42	0.323	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.229	0.298	0.409	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	98	382	98	0.257	8	37	0.321	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.315	0.344	OK
Luke Raley	RF	88	255	59	0.231	15	39	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.240	0.271	0.405	OK
Cole Young	2B	105	379	95	0.251	13	48	0.308	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.268	0.346	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	53	170	34	0.200	7	21	0.266	4	3	2	1	3	1	0	0.667	0.208	0.265	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	3	3	6	7	0.250

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	92	271	68	0.251	17	36	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.198	0.280	0.399	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	52	210	61	0.290	12	29	0.335	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.273	0.312	0.504	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	93	326	88	0.270	10	53	0.323	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.181	0.239	0.341	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	98	376	101	0.269	10	39	0.336	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.271	0.325	0.445	OK
Jake Burger	1B	99	367	88	0.240	18	64	0.301	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.236	0.289	0.439	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	46	135	44	0.326	1	16	0.359	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.184	0.216	0.235	OK
Evan Carter	CF	84	240	46	0.192	8	26	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.138	0.253	0.251	OK
Josh Smith	3B	40	126	28	0.222	1	8	0.303	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.213	0.280	0.312	OK
Elias Díaz	C	27	86	23	0.267	2	11	0.273	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.214	0.230	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	29	6	4	4	4	5	0.207

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Gilbert	Starter	20	117.2	3.46	1.007	9.9	129	6.1	4	3	3	4	5	108	6.1	5	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	38	34.7	3.63	1.210	14.3	55	0.2	2	1	1	0	0	14	0.2	0	1
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	46	37.1	3.15	1.509	8.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	19	103.7	3.82	1.070	11.1	128	5.2	7	3	3	3	7	107	5.2	7	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	37	45.2	1.19	0.597	9.8	49	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	31	33.0	3.82	1.394	11.2	41	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	38	29.3	6.76	1.570	10.8	35	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	14	0.2	0	0
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	46	38.6	3.26	1.503	9.1	39	0.1	2	0	0	0	0	16	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 4-3

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

TOR 48-58 (3.92 RPG / 4.51 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 54-50 (4.21 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: TOR 3 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 54.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	6
BOS	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	x	4	4

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-23

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff15

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

TOR Season Quality

Record48-57

Win%0.457

Run Diff-57

RD/Game-0.543

BOS Season Quality

Record53-50

Win%0.515

Run Diff41

RD/Game0.398

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.027; margin adjustment: 0.4314; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	68	224	65	0.290	5	18	0.342	4	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.297	0.379	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	99	371	99	0.267	6	44	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.328	0.347	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	32	109	24	0.220	3	12	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.307	0.370	OK
George Springer	DH	74	288	66	0.229	11	30	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.299	0.393	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	85	308	76	0.247	7	25	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.295	0.359	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	101	371	84	0.226	23	65	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.202	0.268	0.380	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	102	393	117	0.298	8	33	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.259	0.282	0.376	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	94	308	70	0.227	7	38	0.270	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.198	0.222	0.296	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	44	102	15	0.147	3	12	0.267	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.156	0.262	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	3	3	2	4	0.182

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Masataka Yoshida	DH	64	195	49	0.251	3	18	0.323	4	3	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.154	0.229	0.256	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	95	371	103	0.278	9	43	0.322	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.279	0.400	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	99	379	98	0.259	15	50	0.330	4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.229	0.297	0.428	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	93	333	96	0.288	22	66	0.386	3	3	3	1	4	0	0	1.000	0.285	0.363	0.540	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	92	309	69	0.223	10	41	0.290	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.278	0.372	OK
Romy Gonzalez	2B	16	54	11	0.204	1	7	0.283	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.270	0.369	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	94	364	69	0.190	13	46	0.252	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.196	0.251	0.304	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	59	172	43	0.250	5	18	0.297	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.184	0.246	0.370	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	53	162	32	0.198	3	9	0.263	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.263	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									30	28	4	4	4	0	3	0.143

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	21	113.1	4.62	1.309	9.3	117	5.1	4	4	4	0	1	94	5.1	1	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	47	48.5	1.11	1.010	13.0	70	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	5	1.2	2	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	48	43.4	1.66	1.175	5.4	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12	1.0	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ranger Suarez	Starter	17	89.0	3.24	1.191	9.8	97	5.2	6	3	3	0	4	92	5.2	4	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	34	33.2	1.08	1.145	11.4	42	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	39	37.3	2.17	0.912	9.7	40	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	28	20.0	6.30	1.800	14.8	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals

ARI Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles

ATL Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CHC Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

CIN Recent Form

STL Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays

CLE Recent Form

TB Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

COL Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

COL Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox

HOU Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers