MLB Predictions — July 25, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ WAS	5 - 7	5 - 7	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 7-5	54%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ BAL	4 - 3	4 - 3	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ PIT	3 - 4	3 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ STL	5 - 6	5 - 6	STL	STL	STL wins 6-5	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ TB	2 - 4	2 - 4	TB	TB	TB wins 4-2	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ MIL	3 - 5	3 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-3	56%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ CHW	3 - 5	3 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ DET	3 - 4	3 - 4	DET	DET	DET wins 4-3	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ SF	1 - 5	1 - 5	SF	SF	SF wins 5-1	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ NYM	5 - 2	5 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ PHI	3 - 2	3 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 3-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ MIN	4 - 5	4 - 5	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 5-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ MIA	6 - 4	6 - 4	SD	SD	SD wins 6-4	53%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ TEX	4 - 2	4 - 2	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ BOS	2 - 5	2 - 5	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 5-2	58%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals

ARI 55-50 (4.5 RPG / 4.5 RA)

5 - 7

WAS 53-52 (5.47 RPG / 5.21 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 7-5 TARGET: ARI 5 - 7 WAS (WAS) Confidence: 53.6% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	5	10
WAS	0	2	2	0	3	0	0	0	x	7	8

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs6.7

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff24

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff12

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

ARI Season Quality

Record55-49

Win%0.529

Run Diff2

RD/Game0.019

WAS Season Quality

Record52-52

Win%0.500

Run Diff25

RD/Game0.240

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.1779; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.154	0.208	0.278	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.228	0.352	0.339	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.283	0.336	0.468	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.204	0.260	0.320	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.288	0.364	0.472	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.299	0.353	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.284	0.362	0.552	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.252	0.316	0.414
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.208	0.299	0.325	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	5	5	4	12	0.270

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	LF	104	400	108	0.270	28	69	0.395	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.239	0.352	0.471	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	86	281	72	0.256	17	48	0.351	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.194	0.282	0.376	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	30	69	15	0.217	4	18	0.308	4	3	0	1	0	1	0	0.000	0.249	0.327	0.529	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	100	375	108	0.288	24	76	0.361	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.290	0.350	0.598	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	52	196	43	0.219	8	23	0.295	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.217	0.283	0.365	OK
Jacob Young	CF	83	285	65	0.228	9	33	0.281	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.297	0.412	OK
Harry Ford	C	4	14	4	0.286	1	4	0.375	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.300	0.462	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	96	325	90	0.277	21	70	0.310	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.159	0.195	0.342	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	90	291	73	0.251	1	30	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.326	0.317	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	8	7	7	4	6	0.250

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	7	3	3	4	5	121	6.2	5	3
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	2	2	0	0	13	1.0	0	2
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.0	0	1	1	0	0	3	0.0	0	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	0.1	1	1	1	0	1	16	0.1	1	1

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Foster Griffin	Starter	20	116.4	2.71	1.040	8.6	111	6.1	5	2	2	4	9	114	6.1	9	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	30	26.4	3.75	1.364	11.2	33	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	22	1.0	0	2
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	32	26.4	4.09	1.364	9.5	28	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19	1.0	2	1
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	5	3.6	0.00	1.667	10.0	4	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 7-5

Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles

ATL 61-43 (4.97 RPG / 3.99 RA)

4 - 3

BAL 50-54 (4.6 RPG / 4.73 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 4-3 TARGET: ATL 4 - 3 BAL (ATL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	6
BAL	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	8

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff13

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff18

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

ATL Season Quality

Record61-43

Win%0.587

Run Diff102

RD/Game0.981

BAL Season Quality

Record50-54

Win%0.481

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.135

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.274; margin adjustment: -0.5351; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	80	307	85	0.277	20	56	0.368	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.273	0.358	0.510	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	103	399	106	0.266	16	56	0.317	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.298	0.428	OK
Matt Olson	1B	103	400	107	0.268	27	63	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.256	0.332	0.475	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	97	371	112	0.302	19	61	0.328	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.281	0.303	0.515	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	99	371	99	0.267	10	54	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.250	0.295	0.386	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	77	218	57	0.261	7	37	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.296	0.425	OK
Austin Riley	3B	103	371	81	0.218	12	49	0.296	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.246	0.304	0.393	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	85	235	53	0.226	6	27	0.309	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.226	0.297	0.367	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	18	56	16	0.286	1	8	0.322	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.257	0.287	0.437	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	33	6	4	4	0	3	0.182

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Beavers	RF	46	146	37	0.253	2	15	0.325	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.272	0.327	0.401	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	101	378	95	0.251	21	66	0.348	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.227	0.315	0.394	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	100	414	92	0.222	16	43	0.294	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.220	0.275	0.382	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	100	374	94	0.251	7	26	0.385	4	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.345	0.343	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	4	16	5	0.312	2	6	0.353	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.286	0.474	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	83	266	62	0.233	4	37	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.142	0.229	0.247	OK
Tyler O'Neill	DH	60	161	35	0.217	6	15	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.338	0.460	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	48	132	28	0.212	5	16	0.310	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.223	0.328	0.346	OK
Chadwick Tromp	C	3	10	3	0.300	0	1	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.135	0.145	0.207	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	3	8	0.229

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	19	106.1	4.16	1.263	7.6	90	5.1	5	1	1	2	5	90	5.1	5	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	35	34.6	2.60	1.127	10.9	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	48	40.6	2.44	0.862	13.1	59	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	34	37.7	2.86	1.300	11.5	48	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	42	31.1	5.21	1.479	10.7	37	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	12	0.1	0	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Young	Starter	16	89.0	3.34	1.348	7.5	74	5.2	5	4	4	0	2	93	5.2	2	4
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	33	25.4	4.25	1.496	9.6	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	40	46.5	3.10	1.075	10.3	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	47	39.1	3.22	0.997	10.6	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 4-3

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CHC 58-45 (5.08 RPG / 4.44 RA)

3 - 4

PIT 53-51 (5.24 RPG / 4.76 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: CHC 3 - 4 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	6
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	x	4	9

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff16

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

CHC Season Quality

Record58-45

Win%0.563

Run Diff66

RD/Game0.641

PIT Season Quality

Record53-51

Win%0.510

Run Diff50

RD/Game0.481

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2402; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	101	375	108	0.288	22	56	0.389	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.257	0.352	0.484	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	86	321	87	0.271	17	54	0.361	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.351	0.473	OK
Michael Busch	1B	100	371	90	0.243	12	52	0.364	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.253	0.346	0.418	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	100	393	94	0.239	10	44	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.320	0.389	OK
Ian Happ	LF	96	357	80	0.224	18	45	0.335	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.349	0.441	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	99	399	98	0.246	4	43	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.304	0.353	OK
Pedro Ramirez	DH	28	71	21	0.296	1	11	0.338	4	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.195	0.248	0.359	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	96	330	70	0.212	14	52	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.229	0.307	0.374	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	45	138	32	0.232	3	15	0.329	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.293	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	6	3	3	4	4	0.188

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	71	248	77	0.310	2	21	0.353	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.283	0.315	0.381	OK
Nick Gonzales	2B	94	358	110	0.307	4	45	0.363	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.271	0.315	0.374	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	101	367	101	0.275	14	59	0.391	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.230	0.336	0.396	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	32	105	29	0.276	10	26	0.369	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.242	0.348	0.568	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	84	322	92	0.286	16	63	0.345	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.254	0.311	0.416	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	63	237	48	0.203	8	28	0.284	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.290	0.354	OK
Jared Triolo	3B	63	204	51	0.250	1	18	0.320	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.324	0.363	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	5	9	2	0.222	0	1	0.222	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.291	0.364	OK
Henry Davis	C	57	178	30	0.169	8	28	0.255	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.198	0.262	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	9	4	4	4	11	0.273

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shota Imanaga	Starter	20	112.9	3.99	1.134	8.7	109	5.2	4	0	0	3	9	103	5.2	9	0
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	45	39.9	3.16	1.454	11.5	51	1.1	5	4	4	1	1	36	1.1	1	4
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	26	27.9	2.58	1.075	4.2	13	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	35	25.4	4.61	1.417	14.2	40	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Paul Skenes	Starter	21	113.7	3.48	1.055	10.9	138	5.2	5	3	3	3	4	99	5.2	4	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	42	40.1	3.37	1.022	10.5	47	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	41	34.8	3.88	1.379	16.3	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	43	49.2	3.66	1.545	11.2	61	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	22	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

CIN 48-54 (4.19 RPG / 4.78 RA)

5 - 6

STL 52-51 (4.43 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 6-5 TARGET: CIN 5 - 6 STL (STL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	6
STL	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	x	6	9

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-7

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Season Quality

Record47-54

Win%0.465

Run Diff-63

RD/Game-0.624

STL Season Quality

Record52-50

Win%0.510

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.039

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6512; margin adjustment: 0.2735; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	82	326	91	0.279	17	46	0.356	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.246	0.326	0.461	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	101	387	98	0.253	21	75	0.331	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.298	0.445	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	73	264	63	0.239	17	44	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.224	0.312	0.424	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	72	261	56	0.215	14	39	0.285	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.224	0.284	0.450	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	76	245	61	0.249	8	28	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.270	0.331	0.480	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	42	137	26	0.190	6	13	0.234	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.202	0.242	0.348	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	60	195	34	0.174	3	11	0.264	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.196	0.283	0.289	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	36	118	30	0.254	0	4	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.288	0.329	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	42	137	20	0.146	2	5	0.199	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.173	0.215	0.256	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	5	5	3	7	0.182

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	95	376	97	0.258	15	39	0.353	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.300	0.370	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	99	380	110	0.289	20	72	0.352	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.247	0.304	0.413	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	100	384	108	0.281	15	68	0.342	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.318	0.420	OK
Iván Herrera	C	100	369	86	0.233	10	39	0.359	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.292	0.315	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	39	130	32	0.246	3	15	0.344	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.228	0.330	0.362	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	92	337	79	0.234	4	42	0.307	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.201	0.273	0.285	OK
Bryan Torres	DH	26	62	13	0.210	3	8	0.269	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.223	0.281	0.402	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	29	98	24	0.245	1	20	0.257	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.249	0.367	OK
Nathan Church	CF	78	255	59	0.231	8	28	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.216	0.258	0.328	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	9	6	6	3	4	0.281

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Greene	Starter	3	16.1	6.15	1.180	14.5	26	4.2	7	4	4	2	3	96	4.2	3	4
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	21	19.4	5.57	1.289	9.7	21	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	31	27.6	2.61	1.051	8.8	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	52	42.1	3.21	1.568	8.8	41	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	23	1.0	0	2

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andre Pallante	Starter	19	103.0	4.11	1.291	6.6	75	5.2	4	3	3	1	4	98	5.2	4	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	42	39.8	3.84	1.281	9.9	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	46	39.5	4.10	1.266	9.3	41	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	23	1.0	1	2
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	43	32.8	5.21	1.707	11.8	43	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

STL wins 6-5

Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays

CLE 54-51 (4.0 RPG / 4.13 RA)

2 - 4

TB 60-43 (4.56 RPG / 4.19 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-2 TARGET: CLE 2 - 4 TB (TB) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5
TB	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	x	4	6

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

TB Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

CLE Season Quality

Record54-51

Win%0.514

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.133

TB Season Quality

Record60-43

Win%0.583

Run Diff38

RD/Game0.369

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6046; margin adjustment: 0.2539; applied: True

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	92	319	78	0.245	1	18	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.362	0.353	OK
José Ramírez	3B	73	273	66	0.242	10	35	0.342	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.226	0.316	0.369	OK
Travis Bazzana	DH	72	269	64	0.238	9	32	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.318	0.382	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	100	349	97	0.278	9	49	0.336	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.304	0.418	OK
Angel Martínez	RF	63	230	54	0.235	11	33	0.272	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.149	0.174	0.296	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	92	287	62	0.216	11	32	0.304	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.294	0.401	OK
Gabriel Arias	2B	32	101	27	0.267	5	10	0.302	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.301	0.395	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	37	113	28	0.248	4	14	0.295	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.242	0.296	0.417	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	33	86	17	0.198	2	5	0.213	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.137	0.159	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	2	2	0	6	0.156

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	98	381	117	0.307	14	61	0.383	4	4	3	1	0	0	0	0.750	0.250	0.311	0.392	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	101	372	106	0.285	14	65	0.380	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.323	0.377	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	102	388	111	0.286	29	62	0.377	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.282	0.372	0.468	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	87	304	62	0.204	12	31	0.284	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.280	0.383	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	93	358	104	0.291	0	20	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.248	0.286	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	34	107	24	0.224	8	17	0.306	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.316	0.494	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	73	215	50	0.233	4	30	0.328	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.138	0.233	0.266	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	70	220	56	0.255	2	24	0.317	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.305	0.349	OK
Hunter Feduccia	C	52	131	30	0.229	2	10	0.297	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.150	0.219	0.273	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	6	4	4	1	6	0.200

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	21	116.9	3.93	1.172	7.1	92	5.2	4	3	3	0	3	86	5.2	3	3
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	45	45.2	2.79	1.128	13.3	67	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	23	2.0	2	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	39	28.3	3.18	1.449	10.2	32	0.1	2	1	1	1	1	14	0.1	1	1

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	19	109.0	2.64	1.147	5.1	62	6.0	5	2	2	0	4	99	6.0	4	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	40	37.4	1.68	0.856	10.1	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	43	40.9	2.64	1.027	7.7	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	33	26.2	4.12	1.450	13.4	39	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-2

Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

COL 42-63 (4.76 RPG / 5.7 RA)

3 - 5

MIL 64-39 (5.01 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-3 TARGET: COL 3 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 56.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	11
MIL	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	1	x	5	5

COL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-12

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak1W

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

COL Season Quality

Record42-63

Win%0.400

Run Diff-98

RD/Game-0.933

MIL Season Quality

Record64-39

Win%0.621

Run Diff130

RD/Game1.262

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.5275; margin adjustment: 1.0616; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	84	310	94	0.303	10	55	0.343	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	0.500	0.270	0.301	0.461	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	96	293	78	0.266	9	36	0.367	5	4	3	1	0	1	1	0.750	0.258	0.353	0.414	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	36	121	35	0.289	4	25	0.362	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.258	0.325	0.438	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	96	359	93	0.259	31	58	0.332	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.265	0.338	0.587	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	99	356	108	0.303	13	52	0.385	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.267	0.348	0.429	OK
Willi Castro	2B	88	316	82	0.259	9	43	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.284	0.400	OK
Braxton Fulford	C	31	59	11	0.186	1	7	0.265	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.112	0.183	0.227	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	67	233	59	0.253	3	23	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.132	0.165	0.190	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	94	328	65	0.198	8	32	0.242	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.181	0.226	0.286	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	3	3	3	12	0.289

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	65	253	59	0.233	7	34	0.325	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.319	0.417	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	67	280	79	0.282	13	39	0.342	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.258	0.316	0.410	OK
Brice Turang	2B	94	367	100	0.272	15	62	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.360	0.491	OK
William Contreras	C	94	363	99	0.273	10	56	0.337	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.301	0.375	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	90	308	78	0.253	17	57	0.357	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.235	0.332	0.407	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	86	284	76	0.268	7	41	0.351	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.250	0.331	0.420	OK
Luis Lara	RF	8	24	5	0.208	0	2	0.296	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.216	0.296	0.302	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	27	87	22	0.253	1	7	0.330	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.259	0.327	0.391	OK
David Hamilton	3B	68	205	48	0.234	3	15	0.302	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.244	0.305	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	29	5	5	5	5	5	0.172

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Feltner	Starter	14	63.8	5.64	1.458	7.1	50	4.2	4	4	4	4	3	87	4.2	3	4
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	32	46.1	3.90	1.367	8.8	45	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.1	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	41	38.7	6.28	1.783	10.7	46	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	7	6.2	1.45	1.613	13.1	9	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	27	24.3	5.93	1.687	10.4	28	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robert Gasser	Starter	10	49.7	5.07	1.247	8.7	48	5.1	7	2	2	1	8	104	5.1	8	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	39	39.0	2.08	0.923	11.1	48	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	42	38.4	2.58	1.146	9.6	41	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	48	54.3	3.65	1.547	13.6	82	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	41	37.4	4.09	1.364	8.9	37	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	17	0.1	1	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-3

Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox

HOU 51-54 (4.59 RPG / 4.98 RA)

3 - 5

CHW 54-48 (4.78 RPG / 4.39 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-3 TARGET: HOU 3 - 5 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	6
CHW	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	x	5	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak4W

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.8

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff27

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

HOU Season Quality

Record51-54

Win%0.486

Run Diff-41

RD/Game-0.390

CHW Season Quality

Record54-48

Win%0.529

Run Diff40

RD/Game0.392

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.8482; margin adjustment: 0.3562; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	56	218	67	0.307	9	28	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.291	0.334	0.486	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	102	372	123	0.331	34	77	0.436	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.322	0.414	0.647	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	97	353	90	0.255	14	54	0.350	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.265	0.337	0.471	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	80	311	74	0.238	12	30	0.304	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.241	0.293	0.402	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	17	50	9	0.180	2	10	0.317	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.207	0.330	0.345	OK
Christian Walker	1B	101	373	88	0.236	20	61	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.273	0.383	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	46	177	42	0.237	6	22	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.262	0.379	OK
Lucas Spence	CF	7	24	5	0.208	0	1	0.296	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.204	0.262	0.321	OK
Cam Smith	RF	97	338	71	0.210	13	35	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.188	0.255	0.364	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	3	3	3	9	0.188

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.175	0.234	0.340	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.279	0.450	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.244	0.298	0.355	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.379	0.540	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.107	0.182	0.225	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.316	0.387	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.246	0.299	0.441	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.285	0.345	0.473	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	3	2	1	1	2	1	1	0.500	0.223	0.282	0.461	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	8	5	5	3	8	0.258

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	8	38.6	4.20	1.503	10.0	43	4.2	4	3	3	2	4	92	4.2	4	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	20	19.1	0.94	0.785	14.6	31	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	51	44.9	2.41	0.958	10.4	52	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	37	32.2	5.59	1.646	12.6	45	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	15	1.0	1	2

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	4	2	2	3	5	100	6.0	5	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Bryan Hudson	Middle Reliever	24	20.9	1.72	1.483	9.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-3

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers

KC 44-62 (4.2 RPG / 5.11 RA)

3 - 4

DET 50-55 (4.2 RPG / 3.92 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-3 TARGET: KC 3 - 4 DET (DET) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
DET	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	x	4	8

KC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed5.5

Run Diff-21

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff-1

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

KC Season Quality

Record43-62

Win%0.410

Run Diff-98

RD/Game-0.933

DET Season Quality

Record50-54

Win%0.481

Run Diff30

RD/Game0.288

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.3287; margin adjustment: 0.558; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	95	340	81	0.238	14	52	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.275	0.385	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	85	262	61	0.233	9	35	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.304	0.376	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	95	335	85	0.254	16	37	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.155	0.202	0.330	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	96	373	79	0.212	14	43	0.260	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.204	0.239	0.401	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	76	281	64	0.228	6	33	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.318	0.342	OK
Michael Massey	2B	82	254	70	0.276	7	33	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.305	0.410	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	65	201	50	0.249	4	33	0.328	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.254	0.318	0.397	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	91	289	71	0.246	6	34	0.347	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.332	0.416	OK
Andrew Velazquez	SS	2	7	1	0.143	0	0	0.143	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.212	0.221	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	3	3	1	10	0.206

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	99	372	105	0.282	9	35	0.390	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.353	0.425	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	47	170	48	0.282	4	18	0.401	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.382	0.379	OK
Colt Keith	3B	93	270	67	0.248	8	23	0.294	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.279	0.374	OK
Riley Greene	LF	102	368	105	0.285	15	51	0.374	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.249	0.330	0.447	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	94	349	96	0.275	22	66	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.297	0.343	0.591	OK
Kerry Carpenter	DH	79	226	47	0.208	13	36	0.278	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.253	0.352	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	102	351	71	0.202	19	49	0.297	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.205	0.287	0.415	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	76	238	48	0.202	4	20	0.275	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.286	0.329	OK
James Outman	CF	26	81	13	0.160	4	13	0.200	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.102	0.144	0.225	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	4	4	2	6	0.250

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	20	123.7	3.71	1.188	7.3	101	6.1	6	4	4	2	4	106	6.1	4	4
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	40	37.5	6.72	1.653	9.8	41	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	18	0.1	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	42	37.9	2.37	1.029	8.1	34	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	19	1.1	2	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Casey Mize	Starter	15	76.7	2.93	1.082	9.6	82	5.2	6	3	3	1	6	99	5.2	6	3
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	30	25.8	3.49	1.240	10.8	31	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	43	40.3	2.23	1.514	7.8	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	43	38.3	3.52	1.567	8.7	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-3

Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants

LAA 41-64 (4.29 RPG / 4.91 RA)

1 - 5

SF 45-60 (4.19 RPG / 4.68 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-1 TARGET: LAA 1 - 5 SF (SF) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4
SF	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	x	5	10

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-7

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak5L

LAA Season Quality

Record41-62

Win%0.398

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.563

SF Season Quality

Record43-60

Win%0.417

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.573

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0194; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	101	399	95	0.238	19	46	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.309	0.406	OK
Mike Trout	CF	85	305	71	0.233	18	40	0.388	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.220	0.359	0.382	OK
Vaughn Grissom	1B	60	212	54	0.255	6	39	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.299	0.425	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	80	293	61	0.208	11	45	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.272	0.341	OK
Jo Adell	RF	103	398	96	0.241	15	57	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.254	0.408	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	31	121	30	0.248	4	14	0.295	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.232	0.279	0.367	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	82	271	65	0.240	7	24	0.281	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.225	0.261	0.341	OK
Jose Siri	LF	39	93	25	0.269	5	18	0.310	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.242	0.277	0.401	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	68	223	47	0.211	4	23	0.275	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.191	0.252	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	1	1	2	6	0.129

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	96	379	124	0.327	4	36	0.365	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.277	0.318	0.393	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	61	211	56	0.265	10	23	0.363	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.239	0.338	0.441	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	64	247	63	0.255	9	31	0.288	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.249	0.399	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	102	386	95	0.246	20	55	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.233	0.308	0.452	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	93	371	100	0.270	21	53	0.300	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.261	0.456	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	93	351	106	0.302	4	32	0.336	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.255	0.286	0.378	OK
Willy Adames	SS	97	377	85	0.225	17	44	0.277	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.209	0.263	0.415	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	73	206	49	0.238	4	21	0.301	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.279	0.346	OK
Daniel Susac	C	37	114	29	0.254	0	15	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.197	0.233	0.291	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	10	5	5	4	5	0.294

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Johnson	Starter	10	38.1	6.14	1.444	7.1	30	4.2	6	3	3	3	3	97	4.2	3	3
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	42	43.8	4.11	1.301	13.8	67	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	20	1.0	1	1
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	26	21.8	3.72	1.101	12.4	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	37	38.9	4.40	1.388	10.4	45	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	16	0.1	1	1
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	16	16.3	2.76	0.982	16.0	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Robbie Ray	Starter	20	108.1	3.41	1.332	8.0	96	6.0	2	0	0	1	6	94	6.0	6	0
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	41	36.2	4.48	1.409	12.2	49	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	34	25.9	3.13	1.583	14.6	42	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	31	45.6	2.96	1.228	6.9	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 5-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets

LAD 66-38 (5.18 RPG / 3.65 RA)

5 - 2

NYM 43-61 (4.05 RPG / 4.68 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-2 TARGET: LAD 5 - 2 NYM (LAD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	5	9
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	6

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-5

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3W

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-10

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

LAD Season Quality

Record66-38

Win%0.635

Run Diff159

RD/Game1.529

NYM Season Quality

Record43-61

Win%0.413

Run Diff-66

RD/Game-0.635

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.4952; margin adjustment: -1.048; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	94	359	102	0.284	22	59	0.392	5	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.254	0.349	0.455	OK
Andy Pages	CF	101	391	105	0.269	17	67	0.336	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.266	0.332	0.427	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	100	377	111	0.294	15	49	0.379	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.301	0.378	0.469	OK
Max Muncy	3B	93	309	80	0.259	20	47	0.353	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.254	0.341	0.552	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	65	260	61	0.235	13	34	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.298	0.442	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	25	87	29	0.333	2	15	0.402	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.285	0.334	0.491	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	94	345	83	0.241	8	50	0.327	4	3	3	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.229	0.308	0.386	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	67	240	59	0.246	8	36	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.302	0.354	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	62	196	48	0.245	11	33	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.214	0.272	0.412	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	5	5	4	8	0.257

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	63	223	61	0.274	7	25	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.295	0.353	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	46	180	41	0.228	6	16	0.308	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.309	0.413	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	100	400	101	0.252	10	51	0.299	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.227	0.278	0.326	OK
Carson Benge	RF	97	372	96	0.258	11	40	0.319	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.276	0.330	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	28	98	21	0.214	4	10	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.199	0.279	0.368	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	23	87	14	0.161	1	4	0.215	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.175	0.222	0.268	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	83	301	64	0.213	10	30	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.189	0.244	0.322	OK
Brett Baty	1B	90	300	68	0.227	6	33	0.291	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.264	0.374	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	66	221	55	0.249	11	25	0.316	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.235	0.302	0.454	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	1	5	0.182

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Starter	18	118.5	2.81	0.886	8.6	113	6.2	4	2	2	1	5	100	6.2	5	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	44	39.3	2.52	0.814	12.4	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	6	6.0	6.00	1.333	12.0	8	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	5	1.0	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	45	26.4	3.41	1.553	16.7	49	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.1	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nolan McLean	Starter	20	111.7	3.38	1.110	10.9	135	6.0	4	1	1	1	7	98	6.0	7	1
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	36	31.1	4.34	1.640	13.0	45	1.0	4	4	4	2	0	33	1.0	0	4
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	39	38.9	2.08	0.848	9.9	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	42	32.3	2.51	1.362	10.6	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-2

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

NYY 58-45 (4.67 RPG / 3.81 RA)

3 - 2

PHI 56-48 (4.31 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 3-2 TARGET: NYY 3 - 2 PHI (NYY) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
PHI	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff4

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak2W

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak3L

NYY Season Quality

Record58-45

Win%0.563

Run Diff89

RD/Game0.864

PHI Season Quality

Record56-48

Win%0.538

Run Diff-16

RD/Game-0.154

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0549; margin adjustment: -0.4431; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	79	276	61	0.221	10	40	0.323	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.196	0.296	0.346	OK
Ben Rice	DH	95	356	98	0.275	29	67	0.367	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.254	0.335	0.488	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	71	258	66	0.256	16	43	0.308	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.283	0.439	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	99	363	94	0.259	11	52	0.351	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.277	0.366	0.414	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	94	334	76	0.228	16	43	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.249	0.308	0.499	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	40	151	36	0.238	5	12	0.272	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.277	0.401	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	75	217	47	0.217	9	26	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.291	0.414	OK
Austin Wells	C	70	203	33	0.163	6	13	0.263	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.225	0.322	0.338	OK
José Caballero	SS	87	290	70	0.241	10	37	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.216	0.258	0.325	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	3	3	2	9	0.188

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	98	410	100	0.244	14	40	0.291	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.230	0.279	0.425	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	98	373	92	0.247	32	60	0.356	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.210	0.303	0.403	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	102	363	92	0.253	21	60	0.360	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.215	0.318	0.413	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	98	368	82	0.223	13	52	0.281	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.276	0.404	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	56	161	35	0.217	5	25	0.250	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.141	0.165	0.234	OK
Bryan De La Cruz	RF	1	2	1	0.500	1	1	0.667	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.457	0.438	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	73	250	56	0.224	7	34	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.255	0.303	0.374	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	97	341	85	0.249	7	41	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.292	0.380	OK
Derek Hill	CF	22	62	18	0.290	4	9	0.323	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.134	0.183	0.261	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	2	2	2	10	0.206

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	19	98.6	4.56	1.318	10.5	115	5.0	6	2	2	2	4	90	5.0	4	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	40	41.1	2.63	1.144	10.7	49	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	48	31.1	3.47	1.833	15.9	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	52	42.2	1.71	1.327	13.2	62	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	35	49.1	2.20	1.161	7.5	41	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tim Mayza	Starter	39	41.5	4.34	1.253	9.5	44	5.0	5	3	3	2	5	86	5.0	5	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	35	33.3	0.81	0.841	13.5	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	42	34.9	3.09	1.404	11.3	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	43	32.1	7.01	1.807	14.0	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	37	30.7	3.22	1.140	12.3	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 3-2

Oakland Athletics @ Minnesota Twins

OAK 44-59 (4.47 RPG / 5.63 RA)

4 - 5

MIN 51-54 (4.74 RPG / 5.05 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 5-4 TARGET: OAK 4 - 5 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	10
MIN	0	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	x	5	6

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed8.0

Run Diff-41

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2L

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.2

Run Diff-13

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak2W

OAK Season Quality

Record43-59

Win%0.422

Run Diff-122

RD/Game-1.196

MIN Season Quality

Record51-53

Win%0.490

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.288

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0108; margin adjustment: 0.4246; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	63	255	73	0.286	7	32	0.317	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.263	0.288	0.425	OK
Nick Kurtz	DH	92	334	89	0.266	20	66	0.405	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.207	0.328	0.380	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	91	326	81	0.248	16	49	0.347	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.251	0.333	0.441	OK
Jonah Heim	C	44	146	35	0.240	8	24	0.285	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.281	0.385	OK
Tommy White	3B	6	23	8	0.348	0	0	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.269	0.324	0.411	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	7	12	2	0.167	0	0	0.500	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.250	0.347	0.455	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	89	279	66	0.237	4	31	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.322	0.399	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	57	194	49	0.253	3	17	0.323	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.206	0.252	0.298	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	89	261	52	0.199	5	25	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.223	0.310	0.335	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	10	4	4	2	9	0.270

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	83	272	80	0.294	8	37	0.377	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.209	0.290	0.379	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	79	320	87	0.272	25	45	0.330	4	4	2	1	3	0	2	0.500	0.264	0.311	0.455	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	89	330	79	0.239	18	48	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.152	0.199	0.317	OK
Josh Bell	DH	102	375	92	0.245	13	62	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.238	0.291	0.388	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	70	251	53	0.211	10	30	0.297	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.216	0.312	0.366	OK
Victor Caratini	C	75	243	56	0.230	7	36	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.289	0.347	OK
Alan Roden	RF	11	28	6	0.214	0	5	0.303	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.344	0.348	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	97	371	92	0.248	15	55	0.302	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.237	0.285	0.407	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	55	153	35	0.229	5	24	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.196	0.243	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	30	6	5	5	6	11	0.200

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Basso	Starter	7	6.7	8.06	2.388	9.4	7	3.0	3	3	3	3	7	71	3.0	7	3
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	49	36.8	3.91	1.848	14.9	61	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	28	25.8	6.28	1.434	12.6	36	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	32	42.5	3.60	1.482	11.6	55	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	27	1.1	1	2
José Suarez	Middle Reliever	26	31.2	3.75	1.282	9.8	34	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	35	1.1	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mike Paredes	Starter	9	32.7	4.95	1.498	5.2	19	4.1	4	3	3	2	6	75	4.1	6	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	33	25.6	2.11	1.211	10.2	29	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	38	42.7	3.79	1.452	10.3	49	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.1	1	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	4	4.1	4.39	1.951	13.2	6	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0
Taylor Rogers	Middle Reliever	42	27.0	6.33	2.074	10.3	31	1.0	4	1	1	0	0	11	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

MIN wins 5-4

San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins

SD 51-53 (4.13 RPG / 4.4 RA)

6 - 4

MIA 52-52 (4.41 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 6-4 TARGET: SD 6 - 4 MIA (SD) Confidence: 53.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	6	6
MIA	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4	6

SD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.4

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff17

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak1W

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.000

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-22

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak10L

SD Season Quality

Record51-53

Win%0.490

Run Diff-28

RD/Game-0.269

MIA Season Quality

Record52-52

Win%0.500

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.087

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3702; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	DH	102	403	114	0.283	8	46	0.352	5	5	1	1	3	0	0	0.200	0.262	0.334	0.439	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	52	167	34	0.204	3	12	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.323	0.334	OK
Manny Machado	3B	101	371	77	0.208	22	60	0.296	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.247	0.324	0.475	OK
Ty France	1B	72	240	67	0.279	16	43	0.331	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.283	0.317	0.573	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	100	392	87	0.222	14	45	0.277	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.282	0.432	OK
Luis Rengifo	LF	7	23	10	0.435	2	7	0.480	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.259	0.311	OK
Gavin Sheets	RF	97	303	65	0.215	14	41	0.314	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.210	0.305	0.348	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	99	344	75	0.218	9	38	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.203	0.310	0.301	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	50	148	24	0.162	3	11	0.250	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.270	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	6	6	3	4	0.182

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	100	400	132	0.330	9	46	0.365	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.258	0.300	0.404	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	79	297	68	0.229	12	43	0.310	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.209	0.275	0.365	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	72	232	58	0.250	14	38	0.314	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.271	0.322	0.496	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	103	380	111	0.292	6	37	0.373	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.318	0.345	OK
Liam Hicks	C	92	322	91	0.283	14	60	0.359	4	4	2	1	4	0	2	0.500	0.241	0.313	0.388	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	75	255	69	0.271	3	35	0.300	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.246	0.273	0.385	OK
Griffin Conine	DH	35	100	27	0.270	7	16	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.164	0.238	0.327	OK
Esteury Ruiz	RF	48	108	26	0.241	5	10	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.187	0.227	0.401	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	98	341	66	0.194	5	25	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.188	0.286	0.278	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	4	4	3	10	0.182

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Vásquez	Starter	19	85.1	4.86	1.563	6.7	63	4.1	6	4	4	3	5	89	4.1	5	4
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	41	40.1	0.90	0.898	17.7	79	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.1	3	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	48	48.1	3.74	1.268	11.8	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.1	2	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	42	37.9	2.37	1.319	10.7	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Wandy Peralta	Middle Reliever	45	45.8	3.54	1.528	6.5	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eury Pérez	Starter	17	90.5	3.58	1.127	10.3	104	5.2	2	2	2	1	4	88	5.2	4	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	33	28.7	7.84	1.603	12.9	41	1.0	4	4	4	2	0	19	1.0	0	4
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	42	39.1	3.22	1.151	11.7	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Cade Gibson	Middle Reliever	21	23.4	5.77	1.581	9.2	24	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

SD wins 6-4

Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers

SEA 51-53 (4.03 RPG / 3.88 RA)

4 - 2

TEX 52-51 (4.19 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-2 TARGET: SEA 4 - 2 TEX (SEA) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	8
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-7

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2L

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed6.6

Run Diff-15

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

SEA Season Quality

Record51-52

Win%0.495

Run Diff17

RD/Game0.165

TEX Season Quality

Record51-51

Win%0.500

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.294

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4519; margin adjustment: -0.1898; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	104	375	95	0.253	13	48	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.285	0.400	OK
Julio Rodríguez	DH	92	366	94	0.257	15	43	0.317	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.254	0.304	0.409	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	87	249	64	0.257	15	42	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.315	0.439	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	96	350	98	0.280	11	45	0.378	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.249	0.325	0.384	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	97	379	98	0.259	8	37	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.269	0.323	0.360	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	72	267	44	0.165	10	35	0.269	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.186	0.284	0.325	OK
Luke Raley	CF	87	253	58	0.229	15	39	0.285	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.241	0.273	0.451	OK
J.P. Crawford	3B	82	293	63	0.215	10	28	0.338	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.220	0.345	0.341	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	52	167	33	0.198	7	21	0.265	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.205	0.263	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	4	4	1	8	0.229

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	1B	91	266	65	0.244	17	36	0.336	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.182	0.267	0.387	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	51	206	58	0.282	12	28	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.262	0.303	0.509	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	92	322	86	0.267	10	51	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.169	0.230	0.317	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	97	373	101	0.271	10	39	0.337	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.275	0.329	0.455	OK
Evan Carter	CF	83	238	45	0.189	8	25	0.297	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.143	0.244	0.272	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	45	132	43	0.326	1	15	0.355	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.196	0.219	0.255	OK
Alejandro Osuna	DH	63	175	46	0.263	1	21	0.352	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.267	0.325	0.350	OK
Austin Wynns	C	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.150	0.193	0.211
Jake Burger	1B	99	367	88	0.240	18	64	0.301	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.227	0.282	0.429	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	2	2	3	6	0.156

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	19	109.4	4.20	1.097	9.0	109	5.2	4	2	2	2	6	93	5.2	6	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	38	34.7	3.63	1.210	14.3	55	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	46	37.1	3.15	1.509	8.5	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	48	38.0	3.32	1.526	10.7	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nathan Eovaldi	Starter	19	114.4	4.25	1.215	9.6	122	5.2	5	2	2	1	7	91	5.2	7	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	37	45.2	1.19	0.597	9.8	49	1.1	3	2	2	0	0	24	1.1	0	2
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	31	33.0	3.82	1.394	11.2	41	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	38	29.3	6.76	1.570	10.8	35	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	14	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

TOR 48-57 (3.95 RPG / 4.5 RA)

2 - 5

BOS 53-50 (4.19 RPG / 3.8 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 5-2 TARGET: TOR 2 - 5 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 58.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	5
BOS	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	x	5	8

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed5.8

Run Diff-30

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak1L

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed2.9

Run Diff25

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak1W

TOR Season Quality

Record47-57

Win%0.452

Run Diff-63

RD/Game-0.606

BOS Season Quality

Record53-49

Win%0.520

Run Diff47

RD/Game0.461

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1681; margin adjustment: 0.4906; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	67	219	63	0.288	5	18	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.298	0.365	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	98	367	96	0.262	6	42	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.234	0.303	0.335	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	100	366	83	0.227	23	65	0.308	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.191	0.261	0.376	OK
George Springer	DH	73	283	64	0.226	10	27	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.302	0.375	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	84	304	74	0.243	7	25	0.304	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.233	0.282	0.349	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	101	389	114	0.293	8	32	0.319	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.242	0.267	0.354	OK
Yohendrick Pinango	LF	52	158	42	0.266	5	19	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.274	0.365	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	93	304	68	0.224	7	38	0.267	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.185	0.210	0.294	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	57	172	40	0.233	8	21	0.314	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.203	0.283	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	2	2	2	6	0.156

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	27	94	25	0.266	3	9	0.333	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.170	0.239	0.348	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	94	367	103	0.281	9	43	0.325	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.259	0.288	0.421	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	98	375	98	0.261	15	50	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.319	0.500	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	92	331	96	0.290	22	66	0.387	4	4	3	1	2	0	1	0.750	0.289	0.363	0.558	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	63	192	49	0.255	3	18	0.327	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.160	0.236	0.263	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	91	307	69	0.225	10	41	0.290	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.222	0.275	0.388	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	93	361	69	0.191	13	46	0.254	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.200	0.256	0.313	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	58	169	42	0.249	5	18	0.297	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.189	0.258	0.376	OK
Connor Wong	C	43	122	34	0.279	1	15	0.373	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.161	0.249	0.248	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	8	5	5	3	11	0.258

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	18	102.0	2.74	1.167	13.7	155	6.0	4	2	2	1	10	113	6.0	10	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	47	48.5	1.11	1.010	13.0	70	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	24	1.0	1	1
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	48	43.4	1.66	1.175	5.4	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	47	39.1	4.83	1.611	15.4	67	0.0	2	2	2	2	0	20	0.0	0	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sonny Gray	Starter	18	100.5	2.51	1.134	8.1	90	6.0	4	2	2	2	6	96	6.0	6	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	34	33.2	1.08	1.145	11.4	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	39	37.3	2.17	0.912	9.7	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	28	20.0	6.30	1.800	14.8	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 5-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals

ARI Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles

ATL Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CHC Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

CIN Recent Form

STL Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays

CLE Recent Form

TB Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

COL Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

COL Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox

HOU Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers