MLB Predictions — July 24, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
ARI @ WAS	5 - 2	5 - 2	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 5-2	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
ATL @ BAL	6 - 1	6 - 1	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-1	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHC @ PIT	3 - 4	3 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ STL	3 - 6	3 - 6	STL	STL	STL wins 6-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CLE @ TB	4 - 7	4 - 7	TB	TB	TB wins 7-4	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
COL @ MIL	1 - 6	1 - 6	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 6-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
HOU @ CHW	2 - 5	2 - 5	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
KC @ DET	1 - 7	1 - 7	DET	DET	DET wins 7-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAA @ SF	4 - 6	4 - 6	SF	SF	SF wins 6-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ NYM	6 - 1	6 - 1	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 6-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYY @ PHI	4 - 2	4 - 2	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ MIN	2 - 6	2 - 6	MIN	MIN	MIN wins 6-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ MIA	1 - 5	1 - 5	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-1	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SEA @ TEX	5 - 2	5 - 2	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 5-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TOR @ BOS	2 - 4	2 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals

ARI 55-49 (4.51 RPG / 4.49 RA)

5 - 2

WAS 52-52 (5.47 RPG / 5.23 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 5-2 TARGET: ARI 5 - 2 WAS (ARI) Confidence: 56.9% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ARI	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	5	11
WAS	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	8

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed0.0

Run Diff37.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff18.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Season Quality

Record54-49

Win%0.524

Run Diff1

RD/Game0.010

WAS Season Quality

Record52-51

Win%0.505

Run Diff26

RD/Game0.252

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.2136; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.161	0.214	0.289	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.228	0.351	0.338	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	5	5	2	1	2	0	1	0.400	0.283	0.334	0.469	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.205	0.260	0.319	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.287	0.363	0.474	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.239	0.299	0.352	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.287	0.365	0.555	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.315	0.413
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.215	0.304	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	38	11	5	5	5	6	0.289

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Young	CF	82	283	65	0.230	9	33	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.301	0.419	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	99	371	106	0.286	24	76	0.359	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.292	0.350	0.598	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	89	288	73	0.253	1	30	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.273	0.342	0.340	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	95	322	90	0.280	21	70	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.175	0.210	0.368	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	64	212	58	0.274	7	35	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.281	0.449	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	85	279	72	0.258	17	48	0.349	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.197	0.284	0.379	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	51	192	41	0.214	7	21	0.291	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.217	0.283	0.367	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	101	393	96	0.244	11	49	0.297	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.274	0.384	OK
James Wood	RF	103	396	107	0.270	28	69	0.397	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.233	0.353	0.462	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	35	8	2	2	1	12	0.229

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	2	0	0	1	9	95	6.2	9	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	3	1	1	0	2	17	1.0	2	1
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	21	0.1	1	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Palmquist	Starter	7	10.4	9.52	1.827	12.1	14	3.0	8	2	2	2	4	70	3.0	4	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	30	26.4	3.75	1.364	11.2	33	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	31	25.3	4.27	1.344	8.9	25	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	24	1.0	1	1
Riley Cornelio	Middle Reliever	8	15.4	6.43	2.013	9.9	17	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	24	1.0	0	1
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	4	3.5	0.00	1.143	10.3	4	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Matt Krook	Middle Reliever	5	3.5	5.14	2.000	10.3	4	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-2

Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles

ATL 60-43 (4.95 RPG / 3.97 RA)

6 - 1

BAL 50-53 (4.58 RPG / 4.71 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-1 TARGET: ATL 6 - 1 BAL (ATL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	6	11
BAL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff12.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff18.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

ATL Season Quality

Record60-43

Win%0.583

Run Diff101

RD/Game0.981

BAL Season Quality

Record50-53

Win%0.485

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.126

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.2524; margin adjustment: -0.526; applied: True

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	79	302	84	0.278	19	55	0.371	5	4	1	1	1	1	3	0.250	0.295	0.379	0.537	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	102	394	105	0.266	16	56	0.318	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.241	0.291	0.418	OK
Matt Olson	1B	102	395	105	0.266	26	60	0.342	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	0.250	0.251	0.332	0.442	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	96	366	110	0.301	19	61	0.327	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	0.200	0.274	0.298	0.501	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	98	367	98	0.267	10	53	0.319	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.237	0.284	0.371	OK
Austin Riley	3B	102	367	79	0.215	12	48	0.294	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.308	0.436	OK
Eli White	RF	51	120	27	0.225	5	17	0.271	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.275	0.426	OK
Joey Bart	C	15	36	5	0.139	2	7	0.279	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.201	0.253	0.346	OK
Jorge Mateo	SS	50	127	31	0.244	4	11	0.284	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.192	0.232	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	38	11	6	6	2	11	0.289

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Dylan Beavers	LF	45	142	36	0.254	2	15	0.323	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.268	0.319	0.402	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	100	373	93	0.249	21	66	0.347	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.217	0.312	0.386	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	99	410	92	0.224	16	43	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.224	0.275	0.385	OK
Taylor Ward	DH	99	369	93	0.252	7	26	0.387	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.229	0.360	0.377	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	79	206	43	0.209	7	24	0.301	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.199	0.294	0.297	OK
Leody Taveras	RF	82	263	62	0.236	4	37	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.142	0.225	0.249	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	47	129	27	0.209	5	15	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.228	0.335	0.353	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	3	12	3	0.250	1	2	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.219	0.228	0.351	OK
Chadwick Tromp	C	2	7	2	0.286	0	1	0.286	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.124	0.134	0.199	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	3	1	1	7	8	0.100

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grant Holmes	Starter	20	92.0	4.01	1.424	7.8	80	4.2	1	1	1	4	4	81	4.2	4	1
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	35	34.6	2.60	1.127	10.9	42	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	47	39.6	2.05	0.833	13.0	57	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	34	37.7	2.86	1.300	11.5	48	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	41	31.0	5.23	1.484	10.7	37	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.2	1	0

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	18	93.4	4.43	1.349	7.4	77	5.2	9	6	6	0	7	110	5.2	7	6
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	32	25.2	4.29	1.429	8.9	25	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	39	45.5	3.16	1.077	10.1	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	46	38.1	3.07	0.997	10.4	44	1.1	2	0	0	1	2	30	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-1

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CHC 58-45 (5.08 RPG / 4.44 RA)

3 - 4

PIT 53-51 (5.24 RPG / 4.76 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: CHC 3 - 4 PIT (PIT) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	8
PIT	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	x	4	9

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff15.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff12.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHC Season Quality

Record57-45

Win%0.559

Run Diff65

RD/Game0.637

PIT Season Quality

Record53-50

Win%0.515

Run Diff51

RD/Game0.495

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2085; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	100	371	106	0.286	21	55	0.386	5	4	2	1	1	1	1	0.500	0.238	0.334	0.417	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	95	326	69	0.212	14	51	0.295	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.312	0.398	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	98	395	97	0.246	4	43	0.308	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.268	0.316	0.367	OK
Michael Busch	1B	99	366	90	0.246	12	52	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.361	0.451	OK
Carson Kelly	C	72	234	62	0.265	6	34	0.356	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.235	0.325	0.362	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	99	390	94	0.241	10	44	0.337	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.240	0.320	0.386	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	85	317	87	0.274	17	53	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.376	0.513	OK
Ian Happ	LF	95	353	79	0.224	18	45	0.336	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.237	0.352	0.437	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	64	151	36	0.238	9	23	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.151	0.233	0.332	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	3	3	4	8	0.229

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	70	243	75	0.309	2	21	0.352	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.305	0.369	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	5	9	2	0.222	0	1	0.222	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.297	0.451	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	92	363	87	0.240	21	65	0.310	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.226	0.293	0.381	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	83	318	90	0.283	16	63	0.343	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.279	0.349	OK
Henry Davis	C	56	175	28	0.160	8	27	0.245	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.209	0.275	0.358	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	93	353	109	0.309	4	44	0.365	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.294	0.340	0.444	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	OF	31	101	29	0.287	10	26	0.381	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.262	0.371	0.637	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	100	362	101	0.279	14	59	0.395	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.229	0.334	0.392	OK
Tyler Callihan	LF	31	84	20	0.238	3	15	0.316	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.138	0.210	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	9	4	4	2	6	0.273

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	10	49.9	4.33	1.263	9.2	51	5.1	6	2	2	1	4	101	5.1	4	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	44	38.9	3.24	1.465	11.6	50	1.0	3	2	2	0	2	22	1.0	2	2
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	26	27.9	2.58	1.075	4.2	13	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	25	1.2	0	0

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	9	39.3	4.12	1.120	11.0	48	5.0	7	3	3	1	7	88	5.0	7	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	41	39.1	3.45	1.049	10.8	47	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	40	33.8	3.99	1.420	16.0	60	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	42	48.2	3.55	1.494	11.0	59	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	19	1.1	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	43	39.1	5.98	1.509	8.5	37	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

CIN 47-54 (4.19 RPG / 4.81 RA)

3 - 6

STL 52-50 (4.45 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 6-3 TARGET: CIN 3 - 6 STL (STL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4
STL	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	x	6	11

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-6

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak2W

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-7

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak1L

CIN Season Quality

Record47-54

Win%0.465

Run Diff-63

RD/Game-0.624

STL Season Quality

Record52-50

Win%0.510

Run Diff-4

RD/Game-0.039

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6512; margin adjustment: 0.2735; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	81	322	90	0.280	17	46	0.355	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.320	0.465	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	100	382	96	0.251	21	74	0.330	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.214	0.283	0.429	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	72	259	62	0.239	17	44	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.223	0.315	0.430	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	71	257	54	0.210	13	37	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.272	0.431	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	69	209	51	0.244	11	30	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.153	0.227	0.342	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	94	333	81	0.243	16	40	0.321	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.292	0.434	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	75	242	59	0.244	8	27	0.320	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.253	0.318	0.450	OK
Dane Myers	CF	57	129	35	0.271	3	15	0.367	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.160	0.266	0.260	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	35	114	29	0.254	0	4	0.301	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.234	0.272	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	3	3	4	5	0.129

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	94	374	97	0.259	15	39	0.351	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.298	0.368	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	98	376	110	0.293	20	72	0.355	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.259	0.319	0.428	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	99	380	108	0.284	15	68	0.345	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.287	0.338	0.441	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	99	366	86	0.235	10	39	0.360	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0.750	0.220	0.296	0.314	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	38	126	32	0.254	3	15	0.354	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.243	0.347	0.377	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	91	334	79	0.237	4	42	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.205	0.283	0.286	OK
Nathan Church	CF	77	254	59	0.232	8	28	0.271	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.252	0.330	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	28	95	23	0.242	1	18	0.255	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.230	0.253	0.366	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	27	71	13	0.183	3	9	0.266	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.214	0.282	0.381	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	11	6	6	4	5	0.314

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	17	69.2	5.98	1.705	7.9	61	4.0	8	6	6	2	3	82	4.0	3	6
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	20	18.4	5.87	1.359	9.3	19	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	30	26.6	2.71	1.053	8.8	26	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	15	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	51	41.1	3.28	1.606	8.8	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	21	15.2	5.33	2.105	11.8	20	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Pierce Johnson	Middle Reliever	33	22.7	6.74	1.762	10.3	26	0.1	1	0	0	1	0	15	0.1	0	0

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	19	95.9	4.88	1.345	8.9	95	4.2	1	0	0	3	3	89	4.2	3	0
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	42	39.8	3.84	1.281	9.9	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	45	38.5	3.74	1.221	9.4	40	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	42	31.8	5.38	1.761	11.6	41	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	42	40.0	4.05	1.375	6.3	28	1.1	2	2	2	0	0	23	1.1	0	2

Game Summary

STL wins 6-3

Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays

CLE 54-51 (4.0 RPG / 4.13 RA)

4 - 7

TB 60-43 (4.56 RPG / 4.19 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 7-4 TARGET: CLE 4 - 7 TB (TB) Confidence: 59.1% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CLE	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	4	5
TB	3	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	x	7	10

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff1.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Season Quality

Record54-50

Win%0.519

Run Diff-6

RD/Game-0.058

TB Season Quality

Record59-43

Win%0.578

Run Diff30

RD/Game0.294

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4406; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Angel Martínez	RF	62	226	54	0.239	11	33	0.276	5	5	1	1	1	0	2	0.200	0.159	0.186	0.325	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	84	321	92	0.287	11	50	0.349	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.275	0.337	0.445	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	76	227	40	0.176	11	32	0.304	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	0.000	0.194	0.304	0.438	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	99	345	95	0.275	9	48	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.300	0.405	OK
David Fry	LF	60	135	26	0.193	6	13	0.288	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.180	0.268	0.329	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	71	265	64	0.242	9	32	0.342	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.330	0.393	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	31	97	25	0.258	5	10	0.294	4	4	3	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.252	0.291	0.392	OK
Austin Hedges	C	45	132	37	0.280	3	15	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.252	0.312	0.407	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	32	82	17	0.207	2	5	0.224	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.140	0.163	0.283	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	32	5	4	4	6	8	0.156

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	97	377	117	0.310	14	61	0.386	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.307	0.389	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	100	368	105	0.285	14	65	0.379	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.248	0.326	0.382	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	101	383	110	0.287	29	62	0.379	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.285	0.378	0.488	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	86	299	60	0.201	12	31	0.283	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.276	0.347	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	55	183	49	0.268	6	31	0.302	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.286	0.440	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	92	354	102	0.288	0	19	0.322	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.198	0.243	0.271	OK
Ryan Vilade	2B	51	144	37	0.257	7	30	0.319	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.286	0.440	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	69	215	55	0.256	2	23	0.319	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.304	0.333	OK
Nick Fortes	C	73	222	60	0.270	4	25	0.309	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.266	0.285	0.424	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	10	7	7	4	5	0.294

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joey Cantillo	Starter	21	103.9	3.81	1.453	9.7	112	5.0	5	5	5	4	4	95	5.0	4	5
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	45	45.2	2.79	1.128	13.3	67	0.2	4	2	2	0	1	20	0.2	1	2
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	38	28.2	2.87	1.418	10.2	32	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	38	34.3	1.84	0.933	10.5	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane McClanahan	Starter	18	88.9	3.24	1.181	8.6	85	5.2	4	3	3	5	6	103	5.2	6	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	40	37.4	1.68	0.856	10.1	42	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	43	40.9	2.64	1.027	7.7	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	33	26.2	4.12	1.450	13.4	39	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Casey Legumina	Middle Reliever	25	27.7	3.57	1.336	7.1	22	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 7-4

Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

COL 42-63 (4.76 RPG / 5.7 RA)

1 - 6

MIL 64-39 (5.01 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 6-1 TARGET: COL 1 - 6 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
COL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5
MIL	0	3	0	0	2	1	0	0	x	6	8

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-19.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff1.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Season Quality

Record41-63

Win%0.394

Run Diff-101

RD/Game-0.971

MIL Season Quality

Record64-38

Win%0.627

Run Diff133

RD/Game1.304

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.6249; margin adjustment: 1.1025; applied: True

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Carrigg	OF	36	121	35	0.289	4	25	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.263	0.331	0.427	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	94	327	64	0.196	8	32	0.240	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.177	0.220	0.279	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	78	219	46	0.210	3	20	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.196	0.289	0.304	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	99	355	107	0.301	13	52	0.384	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.268	0.349	0.435	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	96	359	93	0.259	31	58	0.332	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.253	0.318	0.567	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	96	293	78	0.266	9	36	0.367	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.242	0.344	0.404	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	66	227	63	0.278	16	43	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.255	0.285	0.462	OK
Jake McCarthy	CF	84	309	94	0.304	10	55	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.296	0.441	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	89	291	85	0.292	3	40	0.355	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.295	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	1	1	2	12	0.156

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Garrett Mitchell	CF	86	283	76	0.269	7	41	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.281	0.352	0.446	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	27	87	22	0.253	1	7	0.330	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.278	0.348	0.416	OK
Brice Turang	2B	94	366	100	0.273	15	62	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.342	0.422	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	90	307	77	0.251	17	57	0.355	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.230	0.330	0.416	OK
William Contreras	C	94	362	98	0.271	10	56	0.336	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.231	0.296	0.374	OK
Joey Ortiz	SS	77	225	52	0.231	5	27	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.273	0.354	0.464	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	67	280	79	0.282	13	39	0.342	3	3	2	1	3	0	0	0.667	0.263	0.330	0.413	OK
Christian Yelich	DH	65	252	59	0.234	7	34	0.326	3	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.243	0.332	0.397	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	54	146	32	0.219	8	25	0.368	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.243	0.395	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	8	6	6	1	7	0.250

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	18	93.2	4.83	1.330	5.4	56	5.1	5	5	5	1	5	88	5.1	5	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	31	45.1	3.99	1.375	8.8	44	1.1	3	1	1	0	2	14	1.1	2	1
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	41	38.7	6.28	1.783	10.7	46	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	6	5.2	1.73	1.538	13.8	8	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	21	79.2	3.64	1.237	9.3	82	5.2	5	1	1	2	9	94	5.2	9	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	39	39.0	2.08	0.923	11.1	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	42	38.4	2.58	1.146	9.6	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	48	54.3	3.65	1.547	13.6	82	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	7	1.1	1	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	41	37.4	4.09	1.364	8.9	37	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 6-1

Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox

HOU 50-54 (4.55 RPG / 4.98 RA)

2 - 5

CHW 54-47 (4.78 RPG / 4.35 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-2 TARGET: HOU 2 - 5 CHW (CHW) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4
CHW	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	x	5	8

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs0.8

Avg Allowed2.0

Run Diff-12.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Season Quality

Record50-54

Win%0.481

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.433

CHW Season Quality

Record54-47

Win%0.535

Run Diff44

RD/Game0.436

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.9492; margin adjustment: 0.3986; applied: True

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Trammell	CF	44	121	28	0.231	3	12	0.285	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.139	0.187	0.237	OK
Jeremy Peña	SS	55	212	64	0.302	9	28	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.294	0.343	0.508	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	79	306	71	0.232	12	29	0.300	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.220	0.274	0.389	OK
Christian Walker	1B	100	368	87	0.236	20	58	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.211	0.267	0.362	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	46	177	42	0.237	6	22	0.267	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.227	0.261	0.375	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	96	350	90	0.257	14	54	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.344	0.480	OK
Cam Smith	RF	96	334	70	0.210	12	33	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.185	0.248	0.332	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	16	47	8	0.170	2	8	0.304	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.194	0.319	0.335	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	101	368	122	0.332	34	77	0.437	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.314	0.411	0.638	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	2	2	4	11	0.129

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.178	0.236	0.337	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	4	3	1	3	0	1	0.750	0.213	0.282	0.450	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.301	0.355	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.252	0.380	0.542	OK
Drew Romo	C	27	90	13	0.144	5	11	0.228	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.109	0.184	0.222	OK
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.228	0.319	0.392	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.302	0.438	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.292	0.350	0.480	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.226	0.285	0.464	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	5	5	5	7	0.250

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	16	86.3	4.38	1.321	9.1	87	5.0	5	4	4	4	6	105	5.0	6	4
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	19	18.1	0.99	0.829	14.4	29	1.2	1	1	1	1	1	28	1.2	1	1
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	50	43.9	2.46	0.957	10.7	52	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	36	31.2	5.77	1.667	12.4	43	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	18	0.1	0	0

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	2	0	0	3	8	95	6.0	8	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	0.2	2	1	1	1	1	33	0.2	1	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-2

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers

KC 43-62 (4.21 RPG / 5.14 RA)

1 - 7

DET 50-54 (4.22 RPG / 3.93 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 7-1 TARGET: KC 1 - 7 DET (DET) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4
DET	1	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	x	7	11

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-20.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

DET Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

KC Season Quality

Record43-61

Win%0.413

Run Diff-97

RD/Game-0.933

DET Season Quality

Record49-54

Win%0.476

Run Diff29

RD/Game0.282

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.3076; margin adjustment: 0.5492; applied: True

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	95	337	81	0.240	14	52	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.289	0.402	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	84	258	61	0.236	9	35	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.327	0.436	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	75	277	64	0.231	6	33	0.322	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.235	0.320	0.341	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	95	369	78	0.211	14	43	0.260	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.245	0.424	OK
Michael Massey	2B	81	252	69	0.274	7	33	0.311	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.306	0.407	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	90	286	70	0.245	6	34	0.347	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.334	0.385	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	19	49	13	0.265	1	6	0.265	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.159	0.168	0.256	OK
Nick Loftin	RF	64	198	49	0.247	4	32	0.324	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.247	0.307	0.377	OK
Andrew Velazquez	SS	2	7	1	0.143	0	0	0.143	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.237	0.248	0.344	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	1	1	2	6	0.129

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	99	372	105	0.282	9	35	0.390	5	3	1	1	0	2	0	0.333	0.265	0.361	0.433	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	46	168	47	0.280	4	18	0.394	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.260	0.369	0.375	OK
Colt Keith	3B	92	266	66	0.248	8	23	0.295	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.275	0.309	0.420	OK
Riley Greene	DH	101	365	105	0.288	15	50	0.377	5	5	3	1	4	0	0	0.600	0.255	0.343	0.481	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	93	346	96	0.277	22	66	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.288	0.329	0.575	OK
Kerry Carpenter	RF	79	226	47	0.208	13	36	0.278	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.194	0.247	0.342	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	101	348	71	0.204	19	49	0.299	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.304	0.486	OK
Zach McKinstry	LF	75	235	47	0.200	4	20	0.275	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.200	0.272	0.323	OK
James Outman	CF	26	81	13	0.160	4	13	0.200	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.099	0.141	0.185	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	11	7	7	5	4	0.314

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	20	123.7	3.71	1.188	7.3	101	6.1	7	4	4	3	3	113	6.1	3	4
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	40	37.5	6.72	1.653	9.8	41	0.0	0	2	2	1	0	18	0.0	0	2
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	42	37.9	2.37	1.029	8.1	34	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	39	36.0	5.00	1.667	6.8	27	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	17	0.2	0	0

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	14	80.8	2.90	0.953	10.9	98	6.0	1	0	0	1	6	90	6.0	6	0
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	29	24.8	3.63	1.290	10.9	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	43	40.3	2.23	1.514	7.8	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	43	38.3	3.52	1.567	8.7	37	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	10	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

DET wins 7-1

Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants

LAA 41-62 (4.29 RPG / 4.85 RA)

4 - 6

SF 43-60 (4.12 RPG / 4.69 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 6-4 TARGET: LAA 4 - 6 SF (SF) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAA	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	4	5
SF	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	x	6	11

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.7

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff-7

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak1L

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff9

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak5L

LAA Season Quality

Record41-62

Win%0.398

Run Diff-58

RD/Game-0.563

SF Season Quality

Record43-60

Win%0.417

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.573

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0194; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	100	395	94	0.238	19	46	0.326	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.236	0.304	0.387	OK
Mike Trout	CF	84	303	71	0.234	18	39	0.388	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.363	0.400	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	82	307	86	0.280	6	35	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.291	0.359	0.393	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	79	288	60	0.208	11	45	0.297	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.201	0.274	0.344	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	59	207	52	0.251	5	37	0.313	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.303	0.392	OK
Wade Meckler	LF	43	132	41	0.311	2	17	0.377	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.296	0.358	0.413	OK
Jo Adell	RF	102	394	95	0.241	15	57	0.288	3	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.222	0.250	0.404	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	30	118	29	0.246	4	14	0.288	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.256	0.342	OK
Tyler Heineman	C	8	25	6	0.240	0	0	0.296	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.237	0.274	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	4	4	1	9	0.156

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	95	374	121	0.324	4	36	0.363	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.257	0.301	0.377	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	63	242	63	0.260	9	31	0.294	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.233	0.260	0.409	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	60	208	55	0.264	10	23	0.358	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.248	0.342	0.453	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	101	382	93	0.243	19	52	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.225	0.298	0.433	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	92	367	99	0.270	20	50	0.301	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.234	0.265	0.430	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	92	347	106	0.305	4	32	0.340	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.292	0.384	OK
Willy Adames	SS	96	373	85	0.228	17	44	0.279	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.272	0.456	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	72	204	47	0.230	4	21	0.291	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.205	0.247	0.319	OK
Daniel Susac	C	36	112	29	0.259	0	14	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.203	0.240	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	11	6	6	3	8	0.324

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	8	32.9	8.75	1.884	7.4	27	3.2	7	4	4	3	6	86	3.2	6	4
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	41	42.8	4.21	1.308	13.9	66	1.1	2	1	1	0	0	23	1.1	0	1
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	25	20.8	3.46	1.106	13.0	30	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	37	38.9	4.40	1.388	10.4	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	15	15.3	2.94	1.046	16.5	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	17	106.3	3.89	1.119	7.2	85	6.1	3	2	2	0	8	92	6.1	8	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	40	35.2	4.60	1.420	12.3	48	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	20	1.0	0	2
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	33	24.9	3.25	1.566	14.8	41	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	31	45.6	2.96	1.228	6.9	35	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 6-4

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets

LAD 66-38 (5.18 RPG / 3.65 RA)

6 - 1

NYM 43-61 (4.05 RPG / 4.68 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 6-1 TARGET: LAD 6 - 1 NYM (LAD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	6	6
NYM	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff-3.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record65-38

Win%0.631

Run Diff157

RD/Game1.524

NYM Season Quality

Record43-60

Win%0.417

Run Diff-64

RD/Game-0.621

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -2.466; margin adjustment: -1.0357; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	93	355	100	0.282	22	58	0.392	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.337	0.440	OK
Andy Pages	CF	100	388	104	0.268	17	67	0.333	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.258	0.316	0.406	OK
Tommy Edman	3B	24	82	29	0.354	2	15	0.424	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.310	0.359	0.529	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	99	373	108	0.290	15	49	0.375	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.273	0.356	0.434	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	64	256	60	0.234	13	34	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.293	0.433	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	60	144	42	0.292	3	17	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.285	0.318	0.430	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	93	342	81	0.237	7	48	0.322	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.211	0.287	0.325	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	66	236	57	0.242	8	36	0.313	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.212	0.285	0.316	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	61	192	48	0.250	11	33	0.322	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.215	0.273	0.409	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	6	6	1	10	0.182

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	62	219	61	0.279	7	25	0.351	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.245	0.309	0.366	OK
Juan Soto	DH	82	290	83	0.286	21	52	0.406	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.361	0.395	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	99	396	101	0.255	10	51	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.236	0.291	0.334	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	45	176	41	0.233	6	16	0.315	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.321	0.423	OK
Carson Benge	RF	96	368	96	0.261	11	40	0.323	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.239	0.294	0.346	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	27	95	20	0.211	3	9	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.201	0.284	0.337	OK
Jared Young	1B	52	152	37	0.243	6	16	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.149	0.215	0.282	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	82	298	64	0.215	10	30	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.192	0.249	0.317	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	65	218	54	0.248	10	24	0.315	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.236	0.306	0.415	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	1	1	4	4	0.129

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	17	84.8	5.09	1.368	9.0	85	5.0	3	1	1	4	2	88	5.0	2	1
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	43	38.3	2.58	0.836	12.5	53	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	45	26.4	3.41	1.553	16.7	49	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	5	5.0	5.40	1.400	12.6	7	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.1	2	0
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever	12	11.4	2.37	0.877	9.5	12	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	21	76.4	4.95	1.414	9.5	81	5.2	5	4	4	0	8	94	5.2	8	4
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	36	31.1	4.34	1.640	13.0	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	39	38.9	2.08	0.848	9.9	43	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	24	1.1	1	2
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	41	31.3	2.30	1.310	10.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 6-1

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

NYY 58-45 (4.67 RPG / 3.81 RA)

4 - 2

PHI 56-48 (4.31 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-2 TARGET: NYY 4 - 2 PHI (NYY) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYY	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	6
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	8

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff15.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-7.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Season Quality

Record57-45

Win%0.559

Run Diff88

RD/Game0.863

PHI Season Quality

Record56-47

Win%0.544

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.146

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.0311; margin adjustment: -0.4331; applied: True

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	78	273	61	0.223	10	40	0.326	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.215	0.312	0.394	OK
José Caballero	SS	86	287	70	0.244	10	37	0.295	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.231	0.270	0.339	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	94	334	76	0.228	16	43	0.298	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.235	0.292	0.480	OK
Ben Rice	1B	94	352	98	0.278	29	67	0.370	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.338	0.524	OK
Austin Wells	C	70	203	33	0.163	6	13	0.263	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.325	0.347	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	75	217	47	0.217	9	26	0.274	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	0.667	0.231	0.279	0.398	OK
Max Schuemann	SS	24	57	13	0.228	2	6	0.353	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.149	0.241	0.302	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	98	360	93	0.258	11	52	0.349	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.357	0.401	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	39	147	35	0.238	5	12	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.225	0.260	0.366	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	4	4	3	10	0.182

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Crawford	CF	89	272	68	0.250	2	21	0.298	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.277	0.336	OK
Trea Turner	SS	97	406	100	0.246	14	40	0.294	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.253	0.306	0.465	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	96	338	85	0.251	7	41	0.309	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.306	0.407	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	101	359	92	0.256	21	60	0.364	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.226	0.331	0.427	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	72	247	54	0.219	7	34	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.255	0.307	0.384	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	97	364	82	0.225	13	52	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.251	0.291	0.419	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	25	75	13	0.173	2	7	0.203	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.200	0.222	0.336	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	96	356	104	0.292	16	47	0.331	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.230	0.272	0.389	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	97	369	91	0.247	32	60	0.357	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.205	0.311	0.406	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	2	2	2	10	0.229

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	20	94.8	4.18	1.435	9.2	97	5.0	2	0	0	1	6	79	5.0	6	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	39	40.1	2.69	1.172	10.8	48	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.1	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	48	31.1	3.47	1.833	15.9	55	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17	1.0	1	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	51	42.0	1.71	1.310	13.3	62	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19	1.0	1	1
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	35	49.1	2.20	1.161	7.5	41	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	21	0.2	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	20	112.3	3.53	1.238	11.5	143	6.0	5	4	4	2	6	99	6.0	6	4
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	35	33.3	0.81	0.841	13.5	50	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	42	34.9	3.09	1.404	11.3	44	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	18	1.0	3	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	36	29.7	3.33	1.178	11.8	39	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
José Alvarado	Middle Reliever	42	31.1	7.23	1.865	14.5	50	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-2

Oakland Athletics @ Minnesota Twins

OAK 43-59 (4.49 RPG / 5.69 RA)

2 - 6

MIN 51-53 (4.79 RPG / 5.08 RA)

WINNER: MIN wins 6-2 TARGET: OAK 2 - 6 MIN (MIN) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	4
MIN	0	0	0	0	3	2	1	0	x	6	8

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed7.8

Run Diff-42.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-11.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record43-59

Win%0.422

Run Diff-122

RD/Game-1.196

MIN Season Quality

Record51-53

Win%0.490

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.288

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.0108; margin adjustment: 0.4246; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	62	251	73	0.291	7	32	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.283	0.307	0.455	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	90	323	80	0.248	16	48	0.346	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.335	0.465	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	92	372	98	0.263	23	51	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.328	0.481	OK
Carlos Cortes	DH	76	218	60	0.275	7	25	0.348	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.165	0.227	0.313	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	6	11	2	0.182	0	0	0.500	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.346	0.444	OK
Tommy White	3B	5	19	7	0.368	0	0	0.429	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.267	0.332	0.388	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	88	277	66	0.238	4	31	0.296	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.269	0.313	0.394	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	88	259	52	0.201	5	24	0.296	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.217	0.307	0.327	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	56	191	48	0.251	3	17	0.322	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.193	0.240	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	31	4	2	2	1	10	0.129

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	LF	78	243	58	0.239	2	20	0.335	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.318	0.319	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	78	317	87	0.274	25	45	0.331	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.279	0.329	0.477	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	42	148	42	0.284	9	32	0.385	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.269	0.364	0.533	OK
Josh Bell	DH	101	372	92	0.247	13	62	0.304	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.251	0.302	0.404	OK
Royce Lewis	2B	69	249	53	0.213	10	30	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.312	0.392	OK
Victor Caratini	1B	74	239	56	0.234	7	36	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.238	0.301	0.357	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	96	326	85	0.261	4	29	0.351	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.264	0.344	0.349	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	96	367	92	0.251	15	55	0.305	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.241	0.290	0.408	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	54	150	35	0.233	5	24	0.286	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.202	0.250	0.323	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	6	6	3	4	0.250

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Lopez	Starter	15	57.1	6.94	1.804	7.7	49	4.0	5	3	3	2	3	73	4.0	3	3
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	48	35.8	4.02	1.899	15.1	60	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	20	1.0	0	2
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	27	24.8	6.53	1.452	13.1	36	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	24	1.2	0	1
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	32	42.5	3.60	1.482	11.6	55	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zebby Matthews	Starter	12	69.3	5.45	1.356	7.5	58	5.0	3	2	2	0	5	93	5.0	5	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	33	25.6	2.11	1.211	10.2	29	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	10	1.2	2	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	38	42.7	3.79	1.452	10.3	49	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	5	1.1	2	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	4	4.1	4.39	1.951	13.2	6	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIN wins 6-2

San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins

SD 50-53 (4.14 RPG / 4.43 RA)

1 - 5

MIA 52-51 (4.44 RPG / 4.33 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-1 TARGET: SD 1 - 5 MIA (MIA) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6
MIA	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	x	5	7

SD Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-16.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record50-53

Win%0.485

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.291

MIA Season Quality

Record52-51

Win%0.505

Run Diff11

RD/Game0.107

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4272; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Merrill	CF	99	388	87	0.224	14	44	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.297	0.467	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	98	342	75	0.219	9	38	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.310	0.324	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	51	165	34	0.206	3	12	0.296	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.304	0.335	OK
Ty France	1B	71	236	65	0.275	16	43	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.287	0.324	0.584	OK
Luis Campusano	C	30	81	23	0.284	4	12	0.389	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.358	0.444	OK
Manny Machado	3B	100	366	75	0.205	22	59	0.295	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.325	0.487	OK
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	101	399	114	0.286	8	46	0.353	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.278	0.355	0.505	OK
Gavin Sheets	1B	96	299	65	0.217	14	41	0.318	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.208	0.311	0.343	OK
Sung-Mun Song	3B	37	93	21	0.226	1	15	0.321	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.207	0.302	0.297	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	1	1	1	7	0.182

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jakob Marsee	CF	97	338	65	0.192	5	25	0.313	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.195	0.287	0.279	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	99	395	131	0.332	9	46	0.367	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.300	0.404	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	102	376	109	0.290	6	37	0.372	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.225	0.309	0.325	OK
Kyle Stowers	LF	78	292	67	0.229	12	43	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.277	0.360	OK
Joe Mack	C	57	173	42	0.243	9	29	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.281	0.443	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	74	251	69	0.275	3	35	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.249	0.277	0.391	OK
Griffin Conine	LF	34	97	26	0.268	7	16	0.349	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.171	0.248	0.364	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	71	228	56	0.246	13	37	0.311	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.251	0.310	0.428	OK
Liam Hicks	C	91	319	91	0.285	14	60	0.361	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.245	0.319	0.390	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	5	5	4	7	0.226

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Germán Márquez	Starter	10	44.2	5.29	1.561	6.1	30	4.1	6	5	5	3	4	97	4.1	4	5
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	40	39.1	0.92	0.921	18.0	78	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	25	1.2	0	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	47	47.0	3.83	1.277	11.7	61	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Wandy Peralta	Middle Reliever	44	44.6	3.43	1.525	6.5	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	18	1.0	2	0

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	22	141.8	4.06	1.248	7.0	110	6.1	4	0	0	0	4	100	6.1	4	0
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	33	28.7	7.84	1.603	12.9	41	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	18	1.0	1	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	41	38.9	3.24	1.105	11.8	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	43	36.5	5.67	1.836	10.6	43	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	19	0.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-1

Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers

SEA 51-52 (4.03 RPG / 3.86 RA)

5 - 2

TEX 51-51 (4.19 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 5-2 TARGET: SEA 5 - 2 TEX (SEA) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SEA	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	0	0	5	7
TEX	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	10

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-11.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-13.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

SEA Season Quality

Record51-52

Win%0.495

Run Diff17

RD/Game0.165

TEX Season Quality

Record51-51

Win%0.500

Run Diff-30

RD/Game-0.294

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4519; margin adjustment: -0.1898; applied: True

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Julio Rodríguez	CF	91	361	93	0.258	15	43	0.318	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.252	0.301	0.407	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	51	164	31	0.189	7	21	0.254	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.192	0.243	0.314	OK
Cole Young	2B	103	371	92	0.248	13	48	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.275	0.408	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	96	376	98	0.261	8	37	0.323	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.272	0.323	0.362	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	71	263	43	0.163	10	35	0.269	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.179	0.279	0.317	OK
J.P. Crawford	SS	82	293	63	0.215	10	28	0.338	4	3	2	1	4	1	0	0.667	0.227	0.349	0.346	OK
Luke Raley	RF	86	252	58	0.230	15	39	0.286	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.270	0.433	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	95	345	97	0.281	11	45	0.380	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.332	0.394	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	86	245	63	0.257	15	40	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.296	0.390	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	5	5	2	8	0.206

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Evan Carter	CF	82	235	45	0.191	8	25	0.298	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.151	0.247	0.283	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	44	129	42	0.326	1	14	0.356	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.217	0.253	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	91	318	85	0.267	10	51	0.322	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.173	0.239	0.333	OK
Jake Burger	1B	98	363	86	0.237	17	61	0.299	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.225	0.278	0.395	OK
Elias Díaz	C	26	82	21	0.256	2	11	0.262	5	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.215	0.231	0.361	OK
Josh Jung	3B	92	354	104	0.294	9	35	0.361	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.254	0.315	0.380	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	96	369	99	0.268	10	39	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.276	0.332	0.462	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	50	202	57	0.282	11	27	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.264	0.309	0.481	OK
Joc Pederson	DH	90	262	64	0.244	17	36	0.337	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.171	0.264	0.369	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	2	2	2	7	0.270

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	11	61.7	2.33	0.908	10.4	71	6.0	8	2	2	0	6	105	6.0	6	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	38	34.7	3.63	1.210	14.3	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	46	37.1	3.15	1.509	8.5	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	47	37.8	3.33	1.481	10.5	44	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	24	1.0	0	0
Gabe Speier	Middle Reliever	32	22.6	2.39	1.327	8.4	21	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	0.0	0	0

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	21	108.1	4.91	1.314	10.2	122	5.1	6	5	5	1	3	99	5.1	3	5
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	36	44.2	1.02	0.588	9.8	48	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	30	32.0	3.94	1.406	11.0	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	37	29.2	6.78	1.575	10.8	35	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

TOR 47-56 (3.93 RPG / 4.52 RA)

2 - 4

BOS 52-49 (4.22 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-2 TARGET: TOR 2 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TOR	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
BOS	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	x	4	9

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-24.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff23.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Season Quality

Record47-56

Win%0.456

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.592

BOS Season Quality

Record52-49

Win%0.515

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.446

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1256; margin adjustment: 0.4727; applied: True

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ernie Clement	SS	100	385	114	0.296	8	32	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.255	0.281	0.361	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	97	363	94	0.259	6	42	0.335	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.291	0.328	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	99	361	81	0.224	22	62	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.177	0.251	0.325	OK
George Springer	DH	72	279	64	0.229	10	27	0.312	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.310	0.387	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	31	105	23	0.219	3	12	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.303	0.373	OK
Davis Schneider	LF	43	100	15	0.150	3	12	0.271	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.171	0.279	0.320	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	83	300	71	0.237	7	25	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.216	0.269	0.337	OK
Luis Urías	2B	14	33	8	0.242	2	3	0.306	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.204	0.265	0.364	OK
Myles Straw	RF	73	160	35	0.219	3	15	0.270	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.168	0.225	0.239	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	2	2	2	5	0.182

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	26	89	21	0.236	2	7	0.310	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.137	0.211	0.262	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	93	362	101	0.279	8	41	0.324	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.254	0.285	0.391	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	97	371	98	0.264	15	50	0.335	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.329	0.559	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	91	327	95	0.291	22	66	0.386	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.292	0.364	0.588	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	62	190	49	0.258	3	18	0.324	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.156	0.215	0.253	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	90	304	69	0.227	10	41	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.293	0.405	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	92	357	67	0.188	13	46	0.251	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.177	0.238	0.289	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	57	166	41	0.247	5	17	0.298	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.188	0.258	0.395	OK
Connor Wong	C	42	119	33	0.277	1	15	0.374	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.151	0.247	0.234	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	9	4	4	1	6	0.281

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trey Yesavage	Starter	15	78.2	3.91	1.202	9.0	78	5.1	8	4	4	1	3	95	5.1	3	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	47	48.5	1.11	1.010	13.0	70	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	48	43.4	1.66	1.175	5.4	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	2	9.1	4.95	1.758	9.9	10	4.2	4	2	2	2	3	79	4.2	3	2
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	33	32.2	1.12	1.149	11.2	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11	1.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	38	36.3	1.98	0.882	9.7	39	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	28	20.0	6.30	1.800	14.8	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	21	17.0	3.18	1.353	14.3	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1.0	1	0
Greg Weissert	Middle Reliever	40	32.8	4.12	1.372	9.9	36	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	14	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals

ARI Recent Form

WAS Recent Form

ARI Season Quality

WAS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles

ATL Recent Form

BAL Recent Form

ATL Season Quality

BAL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

CHC Recent Form

PIT Recent Form

CHC Season Quality

PIT Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

CIN Recent Form

STL Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

STL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays

CLE Recent Form

TB Recent Form

CLE Season Quality

TB Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

COL Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

COL Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox

HOU Recent Form

CHW Recent Form

HOU Season Quality

CHW Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers