MLB Predictions — July 21, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ BOS	1 - 4	1 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-1	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ TEX	5 - 1	5 - 1	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-1	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ SEA	4 - 2	4 - 2	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 4-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ CHC	5 - 2	5 - 2	DET	DET	DET wins 5-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ PHI	3 - 2	3 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 3-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ HOU	6 - 3	6 - 3	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 6-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ CLE	2 - 4	2 - 4	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ MIL	2 - 4	2 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ ARI	2 - 6	2 - 6	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 6-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ NYY	2 - 5	2 - 5	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 5-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ ATL	4 - 5	4 - 5	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ KC	3 - 4	3 - 4	KC	KC	KC wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ LAA	1 - 4	1 - 4	LAA	LAA	LAA wins 4-1	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ TOR	4 - 3	4 - 3	TB	TB	TB wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ COL	6 - 5	6 - 5	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 6-5	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

BAL 49-52 (4.59 RPG / 4.73 RA)

1 - 4

BOS 51-48 (4.23 RPG / 3.77 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-1 TARGET: BAL 1 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5
BOS	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	x	4	5

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff9.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed2.0

Run Diff30.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record49-52

Win%0.485

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.139

BOS Season Quality

Record51-48

Win%0.515

Run Diff46

RD/Game0.465

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6483; margin adjustment: 0.2723; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Colton Cowser	CF	78	205	43	0.210	7	24	0.296	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.196	0.275	0.294	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	98	407	91	0.224	16	43	0.292	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.275	0.373	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	46	126	26	0.206	5	15	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.330	0.346	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	99	368	92	0.250	21	66	0.349	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.314	0.382	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	83	281	68	0.242	16	46	0.302	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	0.500	0.210	0.267	0.396	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	73	231	46	0.199	13	35	0.268	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.221	0.273	0.453	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	44	138	34	0.246	2	13	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.303	0.387	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	98	365	92	0.252	7	26	0.387	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.215	0.363	0.368	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	58	158	33	0.209	6	15	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.237	0.310	0.424	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	5	1	1	3	6	0.156

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	93	363	102	0.281	8	42	0.326	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.260	0.291	0.402	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	12	36	10	0.278	0	5	0.341	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.336	0.363	OK
Anthony Seigler	2B	26	90	22	0.244	2	7	0.317	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.143	0.216	0.261	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	90	325	94	0.289	22	66	0.383	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.285	0.359	0.568	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	52	160	32	0.200	3	9	0.266	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.280	0.358	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	90	305	72	0.236	10	42	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.265	0.309	0.429	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	97	371	99	0.267	15	50	0.339	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.274	0.345	0.573	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	92	356	68	0.191	13	49	0.254	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.186	0.247	0.298	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	62	191	51	0.267	4	18	0.332	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.174	0.232	0.313	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	5	4	4	2	11	0.172

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Bradish	Starter	19	105.0	3.69	1.381	9.1	106	6.1	3	3	3	2	6	109	6.1	6	3
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	31	24.2	4.46	1.446	8.9	24	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	12	0.2	2	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	38	44.5	3.24	1.101	10.3	51	1.0	2	1	1	0	3	22	1.0	3	1

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rivera	Starter	3	8.4	3.21	1.071	9.6	9	3.0	4	1	1	0	5	56	3.0	5	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	32	31.2	1.15	1.122	11.5	40	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	21	2.0	0	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	37	35.3	2.04	0.907	9.9	39	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	27	18.9	6.67	1.852	15.2	32	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	21	17.0	3.18	1.353	14.3	27	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-1

Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers

CHW 53-46 (4.84 RPG / 4.31 RA)

5 - 1

TEX 50-50 (4.15 RPG / 4.53 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-1 TARGET: CHW 5 - 1 TEX (CHW) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	0	5	8
TEX	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs0.3

Avg Allowed2.1

Run Diff-18.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed7.4

Run Diff-31.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record52-46

Win%0.531

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.459

TEX Season Quality

Record50-49

Win%0.505

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.313

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8107; margin adjustment: -0.3405; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.171	0.230	0.330	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	3	1	1	0	0	1	0.333	0.210	0.281	0.450	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.298	0.352	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.249	0.379	0.535	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.312	0.410
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.316	0.382	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.297	0.432	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.345	0.473	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.221	0.280	0.457	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	5	5	0	8	0.229

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Wyatt Langford	DH	48	195	55	0.282	10	25	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.262	0.299	0.456	OK
Justin Foscue	2B	46	112	31	0.277	7	19	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.168	0.219	0.332	OK
Josh Jung	3B	91	352	103	0.293	9	35	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.259	0.326	0.396	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	94	361	94	0.260	9	37	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.310	0.415	OK
Jake Burger	1B	96	355	85	0.239	17	60	0.301	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.222	0.274	0.386	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	89	309	82	0.265	10	50	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.147	0.226	0.290	OK
Cameron Cauley	CF	12	26	7	0.269	0	0	0.345	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.249	0.322	0.454	OK
Elias Díaz	C	24	75	20	0.267	2	11	0.273	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.209	0.228	0.355	OK
Alejandro Osuna	LF	60	166	42	0.253	1	18	0.347	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.244	0.319	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	1	1	1	12	0.182

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	5	0	0	0	8	94	6.0	8	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	0	1	1	0	2	16	1.0	2	1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kumar Rocker	Starter	18	87.2	4.54	1.411	8.3	80	5.1	6	5	5	0	3	98	5.1	3	5
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	35	43.2	1.04	0.602	9.8	47	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	29	31.0	4.06	1.419	11.0	38	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	37	29.2	6.78	1.575	10.8	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-1

Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners

CIN 45-54 (4.18 RPG / 4.86 RA)

4 - 2

SEA 51-50 (4.06 RPG / 3.85 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 4-2 TARGET: CIN 4 - 2 SEA (CIN) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	7
SEA	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	6

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record45-53

Win%0.459

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.602

SEA Season Quality

Record50-50

Win%0.500

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.130

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7933; margin adjustment: 0.3332; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	79	315	89	0.283	16	45	0.356	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.333	0.481	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	98	375	95	0.253	20	70	0.334	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.223	0.296	0.434	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	70	252	61	0.242	16	43	0.348	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.236	0.334	0.420	OK
Eugenio Suárez	3B	70	253	53	0.209	12	36	0.280	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.213	0.271	0.425	OK
Nathaniel Lowe	DH	67	201	50	0.249	10	29	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.153	0.233	0.321	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	41	133	26	0.195	6	13	0.241	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.202	0.243	0.349	OK
Jose Trevino	C	22	71	19	0.268	3	10	0.278	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.271	0.455	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	59	193	34	0.176	3	11	0.259	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.267	0.282	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	33	108	26	0.241	0	4	0.284	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.210	0.241	0.290	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	2	11	0.206

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Cole Young	2B	101	362	92	0.254	13	48	0.314	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.249	0.296	0.448	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	93	338	96	0.284	11	45	0.381	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.257	0.328	0.430	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	84	238	62	0.261	15	40	0.328	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.244	0.308	0.436	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	69	257	42	0.163	10	34	0.266	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.185	0.279	0.329	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	94	368	93	0.253	8	37	0.317	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.251	0.310	0.334	OK
Luke Raley	RF	84	246	57	0.232	15	37	0.288	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.246	0.279	0.451	OK
Victor Robles	CF	35	104	25	0.240	0	5	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.237	0.271	0.311	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	49	157	31	0.197	7	21	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.201	0.257	0.325	OK
Weston Wilson	3B	9	22	5	0.227	1	5	0.227	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.219	0.280	0.368	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	6	2	2	5	5	0.182

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chase Burns	Starter	18	101.5	2.57	1.123	10.5	118	6.0	4	1	1	2	5	105	6.0	5	1
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	18	16.4	6.59	1.524	9.9	18	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	27	1.0	0	1
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	29	25.5	2.47	1.020	9.2	26	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	49	39.9	3.38	1.579	9.0	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luis Castillo	Starter	18	85.1	5.08	1.410	8.6	81	5.1	3	2	2	2	8	93	5.1	8	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	38	34.7	3.63	1.210	14.3	55	1.1	3	2	2	0	2	26	1.1	2	2
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	45	36.1	3.24	1.524	8.7	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	46	36.8	2.69	1.440	10.8	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

Game Summary

CIN wins 4-2

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs

DET 47-53 (4.26 RPG / 3.93 RA)

5 - 2

CHC 56-44 (5.08 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 5-2 TARGET: DET 5 - 2 CHC (DET) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	5	9
CHC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed2.5

Run Diff14.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.4

Run Diff19.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record46-53

Win%0.465

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.313

CHC Season Quality

Record56-43

Win%0.566

Run Diff62

RD/Game0.626

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4646; margin adjustment: 0.1952; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gleyber Torres	2B	44	160	46	0.288	4	18	0.405	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.273	0.381	0.411	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	96	361	102	0.283	9	35	0.393	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.249	0.355	0.422	OK
Dillon Dingler	DH	90	336	91	0.271	21	63	0.333	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.259	0.297	0.497	OK
Riley Greene	LF	98	354	103	0.291	15	50	0.383	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.352	0.476	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	98	338	69	0.204	18	48	0.298	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.205	0.277	0.434	OK
Matt Vierling	CF	77	245	48	0.196	5	29	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.131	0.188	0.223	OK
Jake Rogers	C	32	87	15	0.172	3	9	0.275	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.353	0.479	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	10	26	7	0.269	0	4	0.310	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.221	0.276	0.367	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	72	227	44	0.194	4	19	0.272	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.193	0.270	0.304	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	5	5	4	6	0.250

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	99	370	105	0.284	21	53	0.381	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.321	0.414	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	84	315	86	0.273	16	50	0.357	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.272	0.358	0.480	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	97	382	93	0.243	10	43	0.339	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.247	0.328	0.417	OK
Carson Kelly	C	70	228	61	0.268	6	32	0.355	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.240	0.323	0.391	OK
Michael Busch	1B	98	360	89	0.247	13	53	0.374	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.372	0.467	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	97	390	97	0.249	4	43	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.326	0.375	OK
Ian Happ	LF	94	350	77	0.220	18	44	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.211	0.325	0.399	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	94	324	69	0.213	16	58	0.294	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.217	0.290	0.377	OK
Miguel Amaya	DH	45	138	32	0.232	3	15	0.329	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.222	0.291	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	2	2	3	4	0.129

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Framber Valdez	Starter	19	106.5	4.14	1.333	7.4	87	6.0	2	1	1	3	3	94	6.0	3	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	28	23.8	3.78	1.303	11.0	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	41	39.1	2.30	1.560	7.8	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	42	37.1	3.64	1.590	9.0	37	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	9	1.0	0	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
David Peterson	Starter	3	13.4	8.73	1.716	4.7	7	4.1	6	4	4	2	3	90	4.1	3	4
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	44	38.9	3.24	1.465	11.6	50	1.2	1	1	1	2	1	32	1.2	1	1
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	26	27.9	2.58	1.075	4.2	13	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	33	23.4	5.00	1.496	14.2	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Ryan Rolison	Middle Reliever	34	30.3	3.27	1.584	11.0	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 5-2

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies

LAD 63-38 (5.19 RPG / 3.68 RA)

3 - 2

PHI 56-45 (4.38 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 3-2 TARGET: LAD 3 - 2 PHI (LAD) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	5
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	3

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-10.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record63-38

Win%0.624

Run Diff152

RD/Game1.505

PHI Season Quality

Record56-45

Win%0.554

Run Diff-10

RD/Game-0.099

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.7079; margin adjustment: -0.7173; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	92	352	101	0.287	22	60	0.396	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.265	0.361	0.508	OK
Andy Pages	CF	99	383	103	0.269	17	68	0.336	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.318	0.407	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	98	369	105	0.285	15	51	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.320	0.381	OK
Max Muncy	3B	92	304	80	0.263	18	43	0.360	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.262	0.361	0.490	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	63	253	60	0.237	13	34	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.294	0.427	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	92	341	82	0.240	7	47	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.223	0.297	0.335	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	23	79	28	0.354	2	14	0.433	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.286	0.338	0.470	OK
Alex Call	LF	48	114	29	0.254	1	16	0.351	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.143	0.245	0.227	OK
Eliezer Alfonzo	C	7	12	1	0.083	0	1	0.083	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.197	0.209	0.284	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	3	3	1	9	0.156

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	95	398	99	0.249	14	40	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.268	0.318	0.501	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	95	361	90	0.249	32	60	0.362	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.233	0.334	0.467	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	99	352	91	0.259	21	60	0.366	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.231	0.336	0.428	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	95	356	77	0.216	12	48	0.277	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.212	0.258	0.339	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	53	152	34	0.224	5	25	0.258	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.154	0.183	0.253	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	70	242	52	0.215	7	33	0.292	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.253	0.307	0.374	OK
Brandon Marsh	RF	94	351	103	0.293	16	47	0.332	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.273	0.382	OK
Derek Hill	CF	20	57	18	0.316	4	9	0.339	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.157	0.196	0.297	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	94	331	83	0.251	7	41	0.309	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.297	0.387	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	29	3	2	2	1	6	0.103

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Justin Wrobleski	Starter	16	99.4	2.72	1.026	6.6	73	6.1	0	0	0	1	6	92	6.1	6	0
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	42	37.1	2.67	0.809	12.4	51	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	18	1.0	0	1
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	45	26.4	3.41	1.553	16.7	49	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.2	0	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	6.75	1.750	11.2	5	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	4	1.0	0	1

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Wheeler	Starter	15	91.6	2.16	0.906	10.6	108	6.0	4	2	2	1	8	99	6.0	8	2
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	35	33.3	0.81	0.841	13.5	50	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	41	34.7	2.59	1.326	11.2	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12	1.0	1	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	35	28.7	3.45	1.220	11.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

LAD wins 3-2

Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros

MIA 52-49 (4.48 RPG / 4.32 RA)

6 - 3

HOU 48-54 (4.54 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 6-3 TARGET: MIA 6 - 3 HOU (MIA) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	6	11
HOU	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-9.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-7.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record52-48

Win%0.520

Run Diff19

RD/Game0.190

HOU Season Quality

Record47-54

Win%0.465

Run Diff-53

RD/Game-0.525

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7967; margin adjustment: -0.3346; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	97	388	130	0.335	9	46	0.368	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	0.600	0.273	0.309	0.445	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	76	283	65	0.230	12	42	0.315	5	4	2	1	3	1	0	0.500	0.198	0.271	0.357	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	69	220	52	0.236	13	37	0.305	5	4	0	0	0	1	4	0.000	0.246	0.307	0.435	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	100	368	109	0.296	6	37	0.379	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.259	0.343	0.364	OK
Liam Hicks	DH	89	313	90	0.288	14	60	0.360	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.269	0.332	0.420	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	32	91	25	0.275	7	16	0.353	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.184	0.254	0.404	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	96	335	65	0.194	5	25	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.204	0.306	0.291	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	72	243	66	0.272	3	34	0.302	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.241	0.270	0.370	OK
Joe Mack	C	55	165	40	0.242	8	26	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.282	0.419	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	38	11	6	6	3	8	0.289

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	53	204	60	0.294	7	26	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.323	0.410	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	99	360	118	0.328	33	75	0.435	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.314	0.417	0.620	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	94	342	86	0.251	12	50	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.330	0.389	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	78	302	71	0.235	12	29	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.285	0.429	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	14	41	8	0.195	2	8	0.327	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.337	0.364	OK
Christian Walker	1B	98	361	85	0.235	20	58	0.313	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.207	0.269	0.379	OK
Taylor Trammell	RF	43	118	27	0.229	3	12	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.127	0.177	0.234	OK
Lucas Spence	CF	4	14	3	0.214	0	0	0.312	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.228	0.317	0.312	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	59	175	38	0.217	5	22	0.270	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.217	0.269	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	3	3	2	6	0.206

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Phillips	Starter	25	72.2	3.61	1.440	7.0	56	5.0	7	2	2	1	4	88	5.0	4	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	33	28.7	7.84	1.603	12.9	41	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	18	1.0	1	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	41	38.9	3.24	1.105	11.8	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	42	35.5	5.83	1.887	10.4	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Cade Gibson	Middle Reliever	20	22.4	5.62	1.562	9.6	24	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tatsuya Imai	Starter	13	49.2	6.40	1.585	11.5	63	4.0	6	3	3	2	5	82	4.0	5	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	18	17.1	1.05	0.819	14.7	28	1.0	4	3	3	0	2	25	1.0	2	3
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	49	42.9	2.52	0.979	10.9	52	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	35	30.2	5.96	1.722	12.5	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	37	59.2	3.80	1.318	9.6	63	1.2	0	0	0	1	0	27	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

MIA wins 6-3

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

MIN 49-53 (4.75 RPG / 5.11 RA)

2 - 4

CLE 54-48 (4.02 RPG / 4.02 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-2 TARGET: MIN 2 - 4 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	3
CLE	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	x	4	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-15.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record49-52

Win%0.485

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.327

CLE Season Quality

Record53-48

Win%0.525

Run Diff-3

RD/Game-0.030

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3564; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	LF	76	238	58	0.244	2	20	0.341	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.243	0.336	0.331	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	76	309	85	0.275	25	45	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.299	0.461	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	40	139	40	0.288	8	31	0.394	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.256	0.362	0.491	OK
Josh Bell	DH	98	358	90	0.251	13	60	0.309	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.305	0.393	OK
Royce Lewis	3B	66	238	52	0.218	10	30	0.295	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.232	0.305	0.422	OK
Victor Caratini	1B	72	233	56	0.240	7	36	0.327	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.248	0.315	0.370	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	86	316	75	0.237	18	48	0.296	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.135	0.186	0.322	OK
Luke Keaschall	RF	93	315	83	0.263	4	28	0.351	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.292	0.366	0.381	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	51	142	35	0.246	5	24	0.301	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.222	0.272	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	3	2	2	2	9	0.100

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	90	309	74	0.239	1	17	0.340	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.292	0.376	0.368	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	97	335	91	0.272	9	46	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.295	0.426	OK
Chase DeLauter	DH	82	312	90	0.288	11	50	0.351	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.290	0.350	0.485	OK
Rhys Hoskins	1B	75	225	41	0.182	11	32	0.307	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.214	0.321	0.487	OK
David Fry	RF	59	133	26	0.195	6	13	0.291	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.188	0.276	0.341	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	69	260	64	0.246	9	32	0.337	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.249	0.335	0.457	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	30	96	23	0.240	5	10	0.277	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.247	0.286	0.388	OK
Austin Hedges	C	44	130	37	0.285	3	14	0.343	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.276	0.329	0.436	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	29	72	16	0.222	2	4	0.243	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.164	0.192	0.323	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	8	4	4	1	8	0.258

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kendry Rojas	Starter	8	19.1	2.83	1.623	10.4	22	4.0	4	2	2	1	6	74	4.0	6	2
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	31	23.6	1.91	1.144	9.9	26	1.2	1	1	1	0	1	24	1.2	1	1
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	36	40.7	3.76	1.425	10.6	48	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	3	3.1	5.81	2.581	14.5	5	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	21	1.0	0	1

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Parker Messick	Starter	19	107.8	2.84	1.113	9.2	110	6.1	1	0	0	2	7	94	6.1	7	0
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	43	43.0	2.93	1.140	13.6	65	1.2	2	2	2	0	0	27	1.2	0	2
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	36	27.0	2.67	1.407	10.0	30	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-2

New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers

NYM 42-59 (4.08 RPG / 4.74 RA)

2 - 4

MIL 63-37 (5.1 RPG / 3.74 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-2 TARGET: NYM 2 - 4 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
MIL	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record42-59

Win%0.416

Run Diff-67

RD/Game-0.663

MIL Season Quality

Record63-37

Win%0.630

Run Diff136

RD/Game1.360

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.3446; margin adjustment: 0.9847; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	LF	61	214	58	0.271	7	25	0.343	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.306	0.386	OK
Juan Soto	DH	81	286	83	0.290	21	52	0.409	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.360	0.411	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	98	392	100	0.255	10	51	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.235	0.286	0.337	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	43	168	37	0.220	6	16	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.294	0.411	OK
Carson Benge	RF	95	363	95	0.262	11	38	0.324	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.228	0.292	0.343	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	25	89	19	0.213	2	8	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.193	0.281	0.291	OK
Jared Young	1B	51	148	36	0.243	6	17	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.163	0.230	0.276	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	81	295	62	0.210	9	29	0.267	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.181	0.237	0.278	OK
Luis Torrens	C	56	166	37	0.223	2	19	0.283	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.147	0.204	0.253	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	2	2	2	6	0.129

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jackson Chourio	LF	66	274	76	0.277	13	39	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.250	0.315	0.400	OK
Brice Turang	2B	93	364	96	0.264	14	61	0.359	4	4	2	1	0	0	2	0.500	0.239	0.336	0.446	OK
William Contreras	DH	92	357	99	0.277	10	57	0.341	4	3	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.233	0.304	0.383	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	56	157	49	0.312	3	26	0.388	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.281	0.346	0.505	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	85	282	79	0.280	7	42	0.361	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.295	0.365	0.467	OK
Gary Sánchez	C	53	143	32	0.224	8	25	0.374	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.258	0.408	0.435	OK
Luis Lara	RF	7	22	6	0.273	0	2	0.385	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.359	0.373	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	27	86	23	0.267	1	8	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.351	0.415	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	76	225	51	0.227	5	26	0.295	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.228	0.305	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	7	4	4	3	8	0.219

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zach Thornton	Starter	3	17.1	2.63	0.936	7.9	15	5.1	3	2	2	2	4	96	5.1	4	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	35	30.1	4.49	1.661	13.5	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.0	0	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	38	37.9	2.14	0.871	10.2	43	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	27	1.0	3	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	40	30.3	2.38	1.353	11.0	37	0.2	2	2	2	0	1	14	0.2	1	2

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brandon Sproat	Starter	18	78.5	5.39	1.427	10.0	87	4.2	4	2	2	2	4	84	4.2	4	2
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	38	38.0	1.89	0.895	11.4	48	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	41	37.4	2.65	1.123	9.4	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	47	52.3	3.79	1.587	13.4	78	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	40	36.4	4.20	1.374	8.9	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-2

Oakland Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks

OAK 43-57 (4.48 RPG / 5.59 RA)

2 - 6

ARI 51-49 (4.35 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 6-2 TARGET: OAK 2 - 6 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	8
ARI	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	x	6	6

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-35.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed0.2

Run Diff35.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record42-57

Win%0.424

Run Diff-114

RD/Game-1.152

ARI Season Quality

Record51-48

Win%0.515

Run Diff-11

RD/Game-0.111

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1768; margin adjustment: 0.4942; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	60	243	71	0.292	6	30	0.322	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.277	0.303	0.427	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	88	316	78	0.247	16	47	0.345	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.324	0.481	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	90	365	95	0.260	22	50	0.329	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.243	0.308	0.468	OK
Jonah Heim	1B	42	139	32	0.230	8	22	0.275	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.220	0.263	0.364	OK
Tommy White	3B	3	11	5	0.455	0	0	0.500	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.325	0.426	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	54	186	48	0.258	3	17	0.330	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.256	0.312	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	86	252	50	0.198	5	23	0.294	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.204	0.291	0.295	OK
Alika Williams	2B	31	90	24	0.267	2	8	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.137	0.166	0.285	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	86	271	64	0.236	3	30	0.295	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.250	0.296	0.327	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	2	2	3	9	0.229

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.159	0.213	0.283	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.356	0.344	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.287	0.339	0.473	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	0.667	0.207	0.263	0.323	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.290	0.365	0.474	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.241	0.301	0.356	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	3	1	1	3	1	0	0.333	0.289	0.367	0.559	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.254	0.318	0.418
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.215	0.305	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	6	6	6	5	8	0.200

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Perkins	Starter	24	53.7	7.37	1.546	12.1	72	4.0	5	5	5	1	5	80	4.0	5	5
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	26	23.8	6.81	1.429	13.2	35	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	18	0.2	0	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	47	34.8	4.14	1.925	15.5	60	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	31	42.4	3.40	1.392	11.5	54	1.1	0	0	0	2	1	25	1.1	1	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	36	30.4	4.74	1.447	11.2	38	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	23	1.0	2	1

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	4	0	0	2	5	112	6.2	5	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	4	2	2	0	1	21	0.1	1	2
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 6-2

Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees

PIT 52-49 (5.33 RPG / 4.82 RA)

2 - 5

NYY 56-44 (4.75 RPG / 3.87 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 5-2 TARGET: PIT 2 - 5 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	7
NYY	0	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	x	5	9

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs6.3

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff18.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.3

Run Diff8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record52-49

Win%0.515

Run Diff51

RD/Game0.505

NYY Season Quality

Record56-44

Win%0.560

Run Diff88

RD/Game0.880

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4428; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	71	246	74	0.301	2	20	0.347	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.257	0.294	0.361	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	5	12	4	0.333	1	3	0.333	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.308	0.432	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	93	368	90	0.245	21	65	0.313	4	3	3	1	1	1	0	1.000	0.240	0.302	0.411	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	84	320	90	0.281	16	64	0.342	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.314	0.420	OK
Henry Davis	C	56	174	29	0.167	8	27	0.259	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.215	0.287	0.376	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	94	356	110	0.309	5	45	0.367	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.280	0.329	0.416	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	OF	32	108	33	0.306	13	34	0.377	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.268	0.351	0.653	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	101	365	103	0.282	14	59	0.399	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.256	0.365	0.426	OK
Tyler Callihan	LF	30	83	20	0.241	3	15	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.138	0.212	0.281	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	2	2	3	10	0.206

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	78	274	62	0.226	11	41	0.326	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.212	0.310	0.401	OK
José Caballero	SS	85	283	70	0.247	10	37	0.299	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.285	0.381	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	94	334	76	0.228	16	43	0.298	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.312	0.509	OK
Ben Rice	1B	94	352	99	0.281	29	67	0.373	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.286	0.366	0.550	OK
Austin Wells	C	69	202	32	0.158	6	13	0.253	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.217	0.303	0.325	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	75	217	47	0.217	9	26	0.274	4	3	2	1	0	0	1	0.667	0.239	0.288	0.400	OK
Max Schuemann	SS	24	57	13	0.228	2	6	0.353	4	4	2	1	2	0	2	0.500	0.148	0.240	0.301	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	98	361	92	0.255	11	52	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.263	0.349	0.397	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	39	148	34	0.230	5	11	0.265	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.221	0.250	0.359	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	5	5	2	10	0.273

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bubba Chandler	Starter	19	92.0	4.89	1.489	8.3	85	5.0	7	3	3	2	7	92	5.0	7	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	40	38.1	3.54	1.076	10.9	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	39	32.7	4.13	1.437	16.0	58	0.2	2	2	2	0	2	16	0.2	2	2
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	41	47.2	3.62	1.504	11.2	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.1	1	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Will Warren	Starter	19	94.6	4.19	1.416	9.1	96	5.0	5	2	2	2	5	86	5.0	5	2
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	38	39.1	2.76	1.151	10.8	47	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	47	31.0	3.19	1.710	16.0	55	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	12	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	50	41.0	1.76	1.341	13.0	59	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	34	47.1	2.29	1.189	7.3	38	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	18	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

NYY wins 5-2

San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves

SD 49-51 (4.07 RPG / 4.4 RA)

4 - 5

ATL 58-42 (4.94 RPG / 3.9 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-4 TARGET: SD 4 - 5 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
SD	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	8
ATL	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	6

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff11.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff14.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record49-51

Win%0.490

Run Diff-33

RD/Game-0.330

ATL Season Quality

Record58-42

Win%0.580

Run Diff104

RD/Game1.040

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.505; margin adjustment: 0.6321; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	98	387	109	0.282	7	40	0.347	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.256	0.322	0.417	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	48	155	30	0.194	3	12	0.277	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.229	0.284	0.327	OK
Manny Machado	3B	97	353	71	0.201	20	57	0.292	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.228	0.319	0.407	OK
Ty France	1B	68	222	62	0.279	15	40	0.335	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.281	0.323	0.605	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	96	379	83	0.219	12	42	0.275	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.211	0.260	0.369	OK
Luis Campusano	C	28	74	22	0.297	4	12	0.402	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.259	0.367	0.456	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	93	291	63	0.216	14	40	0.315	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.183	0.278	0.315	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	95	332	73	0.220	9	38	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.196	0.286	0.293	OK
Luis Rengifo	DH	3	9	5	0.556	0	0	0.600	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.168	0.243	0.226	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	8	4	4	4	7	0.216

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	77	298	82	0.275	19	55	0.360	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.306	0.375	0.531	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	100	385	102	0.265	15	54	0.316	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.247	0.297	0.404	OK
Matt Olson	1B	100	387	103	0.266	26	59	0.340	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.249	0.325	0.477	OK
Austin Riley	3B	100	358	77	0.215	12	47	0.296	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.252	0.315	0.473	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	93	353	107	0.303	18	59	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.281	0.305	0.495	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	96	360	96	0.267	10	54	0.318	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.285	0.379	OK
Mike Yastrzemski	DH	82	230	53	0.230	6	27	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.335	0.440	OK
Brewer Hicklen	RF	3	11	5	0.455	0	2	0.538	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.276	0.378	0.586	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	14	45	12	0.267	1	4	0.298	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.270	0.401	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	6	5	5	2	8	0.167

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walker Buehler	Starter	19	86.2	5.53	1.485	8.5	81	4.2	5	4	4	2	5	82	4.2	5	4
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	39	38.1	0.94	0.892	17.7	75	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	45	45.0	4.00	1.289	11.8	59	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Wandy Peralta	Middle Reliever	43	44.5	2.63	1.438	6.5	32	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Matt Waldron	Reliever	8	27.5	7.85	1.636	8.8	27	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	11	1.0	0	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reynaldo López	Starter	22	60.5	3.57	1.289	8.0	54	5.0	5	2	2	1	3	92	5.0	3	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	33	33.4	2.43	1.078	10.2	38	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	46	38.6	2.10	0.855	13.1	56	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	39	29.8	4.83	1.443	10.6	35	1.2	1	2	2	2	0	32	1.2	0	2
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	33	35.7	2.77	1.261	11.6	46	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-4 (Extra Innings - 10)

San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals

SF 43-58 (4.14 RPG / 4.7 RA)

3 - 4

KC 41-60 (4.26 RPG / 5.23 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 4-3 TARGET: SF 3 - 4 KC (KC) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	5
KC	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	x	4	7

SF Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff-4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed6.5

Run Diff-20.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record43-58

Win%0.426

Run Diff-57

RD/Game-0.564

KC Season Quality

Record41-60

Win%0.406

Run Diff-98

RD/Game-0.970

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4356; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Heliot Ramos	LF	61	235	63	0.268	9	30	0.300	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.265	0.292	0.442	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	59	204	56	0.275	10	24	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.261	0.359	0.490	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	91	364	100	0.275	19	49	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.271	0.410	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	100	379	93	0.245	20	53	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.294	0.422	OK
Willy Adames	SS	95	371	85	0.229	18	44	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.282	0.481	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	91	343	105	0.306	5	33	0.338	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.288	0.376	OK
Jesus Rodriguez	C	14	42	10	0.238	2	8	0.289	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.244	0.282	0.402	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	71	201	46	0.229	4	20	0.291	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.264	0.350	OK
Christian Koss	2B	9	19	2	0.105	0	0	0.105	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.122	0.134	0.209	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	2	10	0.156

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	91	325	79	0.243	13	51	0.310	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.237	0.306	0.395	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	81	246	60	0.244	9	33	0.339	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.285	0.367	0.513	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	93	332	85	0.256	16	37	0.313	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.167	0.214	0.332	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	92	358	77	0.215	13	41	0.261	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.231	0.267	0.413	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	72	266	59	0.222	6	32	0.313	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.309	0.325	OK
Starling Marte	LF	41	112	30	0.268	1	9	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.302	0.339	OK
Michael Massey	2B	78	240	64	0.267	7	33	0.306	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.317	0.409	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	61	190	46	0.242	4	30	0.323	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.233	0.297	0.382	OK
Tyler Tolbert	SS	23	58	20	0.345	2	5	0.381	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.191	0.239	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	7	4	4	3	7	0.233

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tyler Mahle	Starter	15	75.9	5.45	1.502	8.7	73	5.1	6	4	4	3	4	97	5.1	4	4
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	39	34.2	4.74	1.491	12.6	48	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	32	23.9	3.39	1.590	15.1	40	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	31	45.6	2.96	1.228	6.9	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.1	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Luinder Avila	Starter	18	55.5	5.19	1.658	8.1	50	4.2	4	3	3	1	4	76	4.2	4	3
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	39	36.5	6.90	1.671	9.6	39	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.1	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	41	36.9	2.44	1.057	8.3	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	39	36.0	5.00	1.667	6.8	27	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	17	1.0	3	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	41	31.5	4.00	1.524	8.0	28	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

KC wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels

STL 51-48 (4.51 RPG / 4.47 RA)

1 - 4

LAA 40-61 (4.33 RPG / 4.93 RA)

WINNER: LAA wins 4-1 TARGET: STL 1 - 4 LAA (LAA) Confidence: 59.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
LAA	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	x	4	9

STL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.7

Run Diff-1.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record51-47

Win%0.520

Run Diff4

RD/Game0.041

LAA Season Quality

Record39-61

Win%0.390

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-0.620

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8564; margin adjustment: -0.3597; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	92	364	95	0.261	14	37	0.356	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.241	0.312	0.373	OK
Iván Herrera	C	98	362	87	0.240	11	40	0.365	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.295	0.316	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	97	372	102	0.274	15	68	0.336	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.270	0.325	0.429	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	96	368	108	0.293	21	73	0.357	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.337	0.452	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	36	117	30	0.256	3	12	0.362	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.360	0.387	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	88	324	78	0.241	4	42	0.311	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.223	0.295	0.307	OK
Nathan Church	CF	75	251	58	0.231	8	28	0.271	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.199	0.233	0.310	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	25	84	21	0.250	1	18	0.264	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.279	0.403	OK
Bryan Torres	DH	25	64	11	0.172	3	6	0.221	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.184	0.228	0.355	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	1	1	2	7	0.182

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	98	387	91	0.235	19	46	0.325	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.227	0.298	0.374	OK
Mike Trout	CF	82	297	69	0.232	18	39	0.385	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.232	0.363	0.420	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	80	301	85	0.282	6	35	0.353	5	3	1	0	0	2	1	0.333	0.295	0.360	0.398	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	78	284	59	0.208	11	43	0.298	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.189	0.263	0.322	OK
Vaughn Grissom	3B	57	199	51	0.256	5	36	0.320	4	3	2	1	3	1	0	0.667	0.260	0.312	0.400	OK
Jo Adell	RF	100	387	93	0.240	14	55	0.287	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.214	0.236	0.379	OK
Oswald Peraza	2B	80	264	64	0.242	7	24	0.282	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	0.000	0.215	0.243	0.326	OK
Jose Siri	LF	38	89	23	0.258	5	18	0.302	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.262	0.369	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	67	219	47	0.215	4	23	0.279	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.191	0.253	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	33	9	4	4	7	6	0.273

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Liberatore	Starter	19	91.1	5.14	1.526	8.7	88	4.2	6	3	3	5	4	109	4.2	4	3
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	41	38.8	3.94	1.263	9.5	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	44	37.5	3.84	1.253	9.4	39	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	42	31.8	5.38	1.761	11.6	41	0.0	3	1	1	1	0	14	0.0	0	1
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	41	39.0	3.92	1.333	6.0	26	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	26	1.1	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Walbert Urena	Starter	17	79.7	2.94	1.343	8.8	78	5.2	5	1	1	1	5	99	5.2	5	1
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	40	41.8	4.31	1.316	13.6	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	24	19.8	3.64	1.111	12.7	28	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	37	38.9	4.40	1.388	10.4	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

LAA wins 4-1

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

TB 57-42 (4.46 RPG / 4.26 RA)

4 - 3

TOR 46-54 (3.98 RPG / 4.49 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 4-3 TARGET: TB 4 - 3 TOR (TB) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	7
TOR	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-12.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff0.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record57-42

Win%0.576

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.202

TOR Season Quality

Record46-54

Win%0.460

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.510

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8857; margin adjustment: -0.372; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	95	366	114	0.311	13	57	0.388	5	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.253	0.317	0.370	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	98	357	103	0.289	14	65	0.386	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.255	0.342	0.396	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	99	376	107	0.285	29	62	0.374	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.279	0.361	0.514	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	84	291	58	0.199	12	31	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.189	0.258	0.332	OK
Jonny DeLuca	RF	54	178	46	0.258	6	28	0.294	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.273	0.426	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	89	344	97	0.282	0	17	0.316	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.175	0.215	0.262	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	67	209	51	0.244	2	22	0.307	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.257	0.307	0.353	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	75	237	53	0.224	0	21	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.310	0.333	OK
Nick Fortes	C	72	217	56	0.258	3	21	0.302	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.246	0.267	0.389	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	2	8	0.206

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nathan Lukes	RF	64	210	61	0.290	5	18	0.342	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.306	0.391	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	94	351	91	0.259	6	41	0.338	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.303	0.341	OK
Ernie Clement	2B	97	373	111	0.298	8	32	0.322	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.268	0.295	0.402	OK
George Springer	DH	69	268	60	0.224	10	25	0.308	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.227	0.296	0.383	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	81	293	70	0.239	7	24	0.302	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.222	0.276	0.345	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	96	353	81	0.229	22	62	0.313	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.207	0.288	0.385	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	C	56	169	40	0.237	8	21	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.223	0.296	0.377	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	91	298	68	0.228	7	38	0.272	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.206	0.232	0.319	OK
Jonatan Clase	LF	9	22	6	0.273	2	6	0.360	4	2	0	1	1	2	0	0.000	0.148	0.249	0.257	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	3	3	6	6	0.229

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	18	98.4	3.29	0.955	9.0	98	6.0	7	3	3	3	5	112	6.0	5	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	39	36.4	1.73	0.879	10.1	41	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	42	39.8	2.71	1.055	7.7	34	1.1	0	0	0	2	0	25	1.1	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	32	25.2	4.29	1.508	13.6	38	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	16	0.2	1	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kevin Gausman	Starter	20	110.0	4.42	1.245	9.5	116	5.1	7	4	4	0	7	98	5.1	7	4
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	45	46.5	1.16	1.032	13.2	68	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	18	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	46	41.4	1.74	1.208	5.0	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	45	37.9	4.99	1.557	15.7	66	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	25	1.2	1	0

Game Summary

TB wins 4-3

Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies

WAS 51-50 (5.47 RPG / 5.28 RA)

6 - 5

COL 40-62 (4.77 RPG / 5.7 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 6-5 TARGET: WAS 6 - 5 COL (WAS) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	6	9
COL	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff8.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-12.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record50-50

Win%0.500

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.150

COL Season Quality

Record40-61

Win%0.396

Run Diff-90

RD/Game-0.891

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.197; margin adjustment: -0.5028; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	101	387	105	0.271	28	66	0.401	5	3	0	1	0	1	1	0.000	0.260	0.384	0.531	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	93	312	87	0.279	20	68	0.311	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.172	0.212	0.335	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	84	275	72	0.262	17	48	0.354	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.224	0.311	0.440	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	97	363	100	0.275	22	72	0.350	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.336	0.534	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	62	204	57	0.279	7	35	0.306	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.272	0.297	0.471	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	99	385	95	0.247	11	49	0.298	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.239	0.283	0.419	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	50	189	39	0.206	7	20	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.260	0.348	OK
Jacob Young	CF	81	279	65	0.233	9	33	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.306	0.420	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	87	280	69	0.246	1	28	0.329	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.334	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	6	6	3	6	0.250

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	81	295	90	0.305	10	54	0.347	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.287	0.325	0.490	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	33	108	31	0.287	4	23	0.367	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.269	0.344	0.461	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	93	349	89	0.255	30	56	0.325	4	3	1	1	3	0	0	0.333	0.258	0.321	0.546	OK
Willi Castro	2B	85	303	80	0.264	9	43	0.333	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.254	0.313	0.451	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	96	348	104	0.299	13	50	0.380	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.269	0.346	0.436	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	93	285	75	0.263	9	34	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.240	0.329	0.427	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	63	218	60	0.275	15	40	0.316	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.251	0.282	0.434	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	87	284	84	0.296	3	39	0.361	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.231	0.296	0.353	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	92	320	64	0.200	8	32	0.245	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.183	0.236	0.305	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	8	5	5	3	7	0.235

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Carson Palmquist	Starter	6	9.2	6.85	1.522	11.7	12	3.0	5	3	3	3	3	65	3.0	3	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	29	25.4	3.54	1.378	11.7	33	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	30	25.1	4.30	1.355	8.2	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Justin Lawrence	Middle Reliever	7	4.7	5.74	2.979	11.5	6	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Riley Cornelio	Middle Reliever	8	15.4	6.43	2.013	9.9	17	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	6	1.0	1	1
Tom Cosgrove	Middle Reliever	4	3.5	0.00	1.143	10.3	4	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	21	93.5	6.45	1.840	7.0	73	4.2	8	5	5	3	2	95	4.2	2	5
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	31	45.1	3.99	1.375	8.8	44	2.0	1	1	1	0	0	24	2.0	0	1
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	40	37.7	6.45	1.830	10.7	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	5	4.2	2.14	1.905	12.9	6	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 6-5

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

BAL Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers

CHW Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners

CIN Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs

DET Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies

LAD Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

PHI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros

MIA Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

MIN Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers