MLB Predictions — July 20, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ BOS	3 - 4	3 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ TEX	0 - 3	0 - 3	TEX	TEX	TEX wins 3-0	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ SEA	3 - 2	3 - 2	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 3-2	52%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ CHC	2 - 6	2 - 6	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-2	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ PHI	5 - 3	5 - 3	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ HOU	5 - 3	5 - 3	MIA	MIA	MIA wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ CLE	2 - 4	2 - 4	CLE	CLE	CLE wins 4-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ MIL	1 - 5	1 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
OAK @ ARI	3 - 5	3 - 5	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ NYY	5 - 4	5 - 4	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 5-4	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ ATL	3 - 5	3 - 5	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ KC	5 - 3	5 - 3	SF	SF	SF wins 5-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ LAA	7 - 1	7 - 1	STL	STL	STL wins 7-1	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ TOR	3 - 2	3 - 2	TB	TB	TB wins 3-2	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ COL	4 - 2	4 - 2	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 4-2	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

BAL 49-51 (4.59 RPG / 4.72 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 50-48 (4.21 RPG / 3.76 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: BAL 3 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	10
BOS	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	x	4	6

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed1.5

Run Diff37.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record49-51

Win%0.490

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.130

BOS Season Quality

Record50-48

Win%0.510

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.459

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.6195; margin adjustment: 0.2602; applied: True

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Taylor Ward	LF	97	360	91	0.253	7	26	0.389	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.225	0.366	0.401	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	98	364	91	0.250	21	66	0.348	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.217	0.312	0.409	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	97	402	88	0.219	16	43	0.288	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.210	0.258	0.351	OK
Tyler O'Neill	RF	57	153	31	0.203	6	13	0.299	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.241	0.314	0.467	OK
Coby Mayo	DH	72	228	46	0.202	13	35	0.271	5	5	0	0	0	0	5	0.000	0.230	0.285	0.471	OK
Leody Taveras	CF	80	256	61	0.238	4	37	0.312	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.153	0.234	0.292	OK
Jeremiah Jackson	2B	62	202	50	0.248	6	30	0.267	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.228	0.252	0.353	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	1	5	1	0.200	0	0	0.200	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.206	0.213	0.292	OK
Sam Huff	C	9	26	4	0.154	0	1	0.185	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.195	0.231	0.333	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	37	10	3	3	5	13	0.270

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	25	86	22	0.256	2	7	0.330	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.150	0.225	0.271	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	92	359	101	0.281	8	41	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.291	0.415	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	96	367	97	0.264	15	49	0.337	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.325	0.541	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	89	321	91	0.283	22	64	0.379	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.267	0.346	0.549	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	61	187	50	0.267	4	18	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.185	0.247	0.358	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	89	301	71	0.236	9	41	0.299	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.263	0.313	0.397	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	91	353	67	0.190	13	48	0.254	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.192	0.251	0.305	OK
Connor Wong	C	41	116	32	0.276	1	15	0.375	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.158	0.257	0.243	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	11	33	10	0.303	0	5	0.368	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.337	0.346	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	30	6	4	4	2	9	0.200

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Baz	Starter	19	108.4	4.32	1.430	8.2	99	6.0	4	4	4	2	7	103	6.0	7	4
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	31	24.2	4.46	1.446	8.9	24	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	37	43.4	3.11	1.106	10.0	48	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Payton Tolle	Starter	15	82.6	3.16	1.090	9.5	87	5.2	3	1	1	5	6	102	5.2	6	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	31	30.2	1.19	1.093	11.3	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	36	34.3	2.10	0.933	10.0	38	1.0	2	0	0	0	3	19	1.0	3	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	27	18.9	6.67	1.852	15.2	32	1.0	4	2	2	0	2	25	1.0	2	2
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	20	15.9	2.83	1.321	13.6	24	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers

CHW 52-46 (4.79 RPG / 4.33 RA)

0 - 3

TEX 50-49 (4.16 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: TEX wins 3-0 TARGET: CHW 0 - 3 TEX (TEX) Confidence: 59.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	x	3	6

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs0.3

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff-23.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed7.0

Run Diff-27.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record52-46

Win%0.531

Run Diff45

RD/Game0.459

TEX Season Quality

Record50-49

Win%0.505

Run Diff-31

RD/Game-0.313

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8107; margin adjustment: -0.3405; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.173	0.232	0.331	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.208	0.277	0.444	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.242	0.296	0.348	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.248	0.376	0.533	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.312	0.408
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.316	0.386	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.247	0.300	0.435	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.285	0.344	0.472	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.220	0.279	0.456	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	30	3	0	0	5	8	0.100

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	89	259	63	0.243	16	35	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.180	0.275	0.376	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	47	191	54	0.283	10	25	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.266	0.305	0.472	OK
Josh Jung	3B	90	349	102	0.292	9	35	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.251	0.315	0.386	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	93	357	94	0.263	9	37	0.332	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.260	0.318	0.426	OK
Jake Burger	1B	95	352	84	0.239	16	59	0.301	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.217	0.270	0.358	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	88	306	81	0.265	10	50	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.153	0.231	0.336	OK
Evan Carter	CF	80	230	44	0.191	8	24	0.300	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.150	0.249	0.282	OK
Elias Díaz	C	23	71	20	0.282	2	11	0.288	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.219	0.238	0.375	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	41	122	40	0.328	1	13	0.359	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.173	0.199	0.223	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	30	6	3	3	3	8	0.200

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	2	2	2	3	7	94	6.0	7	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	24	1.2	0	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	14	0.1	1	1

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob deGrom	Starter	18	99.5	3.53	1.025	11.0	122	5.2	2	0	0	4	7	105	5.2	7	0
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	35	43.2	1.04	0.602	9.8	47	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	28	29.9	4.21	1.438	11.4	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	37	29.2	6.78	1.575	10.8	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

TEX wins 3-0

Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners

CIN 45-53 (4.22 RPG / 4.83 RA)

3 - 2

SEA 50-50 (4.02 RPG / 3.89 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 3-2 TARGET: CIN 3 - 2 SEA (CIN) Confidence: 52.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	3	6
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	7

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-10.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record45-53

Win%0.459

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.602

SEA Season Quality

Record50-50

Win%0.500

Run Diff13

RD/Game0.130

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7933; margin adjustment: 0.3332; applied: True

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	78	312	89	0.285	16	45	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.273	0.338	0.489	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	97	371	95	0.256	20	70	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.232	0.303	0.443	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	69	248	61	0.246	16	43	0.353	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.341	0.447	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	92	327	81	0.248	16	40	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.247	0.307	0.453	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	69	250	53	0.212	12	36	0.283	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.292	0.470	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	73	235	58	0.247	8	27	0.325	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.277	0.343	0.469	OK
Dane Myers	CF	54	121	32	0.264	3	14	0.366	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.163	0.280	0.277	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	32	106	25	0.236	0	4	0.274	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.213	0.234	0.293	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	40	130	18	0.138	2	5	0.194	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.159	0.203	0.237	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	12	0.182

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Randy Arozarena	LF	92	335	94	0.281	11	45	0.376	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.313	0.414	OK
Julio Rodríguez	CF	88	352	90	0.256	14	41	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.261	0.316	0.376	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	83	234	61	0.261	15	40	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.305	0.462	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	68	252	41	0.163	9	29	0.267	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.187	0.288	0.292	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	93	363	92	0.253	8	37	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.254	0.313	0.340	OK
Cole Young	2B	100	359	92	0.256	13	48	0.315	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.255	0.298	0.457	OK
Victor Robles	RF	34	100	21	0.210	0	5	0.252	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.194	0.232	0.270	OK
Buddy Kennedy	3B	3	7	1	0.143	0	0	0.250	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.107	0.168	0.224	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	48	154	30	0.195	7	20	0.265	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.193	0.253	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	2	2	2	8	0.206

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Abbott	Starter	20	102.9	4.20	1.448	7.3	84	5.0	0	0	0	1	7	96	5.0	7	0
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	18	16.4	6.59	1.524	9.9	18	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	29	25.5	2.47	1.020	9.2	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	49	39.9	3.38	1.579	9.0	40	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	20	15.0	4.20	1.867	11.4	19	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	7	1.0	0	2

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
George Kirby	Starter	18	107.9	3.84	1.344	8.2	98	6.1	4	2	2	2	8	112	6.1	8	2
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	38	34.7	3.63	1.210	14.3	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	22	1.0	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	45	36.1	3.24	1.524	8.7	35	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	46	36.8	2.69	1.440	10.8	44	0.2	1	1	1	0	2	15	0.2	2	1

Game Summary

CIN wins 3-2

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs

DET 46-53 (4.22 RPG / 3.91 RA)

2 - 6

CHC 56-43 (5.07 RPG / 4.44 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-2 TARGET: DET 2 - 6 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 59.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	7
CHC	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	4	x	6	11

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed2.2

Run Diff16.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff26.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record46-53

Win%0.465

Run Diff31

RD/Game0.313

CHC Season Quality

Record56-43

Win%0.566

Run Diff62

RD/Game0.626

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.4646; margin adjustment: 0.1952; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	95	357	101	0.283	9	35	0.392	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.250	0.344	0.412	OK
Gleyber Torres	2B	43	157	44	0.280	4	18	0.395	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.272	0.371	0.417	OK
Colt Keith	3B	88	258	65	0.252	8	23	0.300	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.265	0.306	0.409	OK
Riley Greene	LF	97	349	101	0.289	14	47	0.382	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.253	0.351	0.455	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	89	331	87	0.263	19	60	0.327	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.273	0.405	OK
Kerry Carpenter	DH	76	213	45	0.211	13	36	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.187	0.242	0.333	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	97	333	68	0.204	18	46	0.299	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.199	0.275	0.434	OK
Zach McKinstry	RF	71	222	44	0.198	4	19	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.199	0.277	0.312	OK
James Outman	CF	22	68	11	0.162	3	10	0.208	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.097	0.142	0.196	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	2	2	1	8	0.206

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	98	366	105	0.287	21	53	0.383	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.238	0.328	0.423	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	83	311	85	0.273	15	48	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.269	0.351	0.435	OK
Michael Busch	1B	97	356	88	0.247	12	52	0.373	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.282	0.377	0.451	OK
Alex Bregman	DH	96	377	91	0.241	10	43	0.339	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.242	0.326	0.435	OK
Ian Happ	LF	93	346	76	0.220	17	42	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.211	0.321	0.363	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	96	385	95	0.247	4	43	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.266	0.319	0.367	OK
Pedro Ramirez	3B	26	64	18	0.281	1	10	0.329	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.181	0.245	0.337	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	93	320	67	0.209	16	58	0.290	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.201	0.272	0.355	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	44	135	31	0.230	3	15	0.329	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.217	0.287	0.338	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	11	6	6	2	5	0.333

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jack Flaherty	Starter	18	79.3	4.65	1.463	11.1	98	4.2	6	2	2	1	2	87	4.2	2	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	27	22.8	3.95	1.228	10.7	27	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	40	38.0	1.89	1.553	7.6	32	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	41	36.1	3.74	1.579	9.2	37	1.0	4	4	4	1	1	21	1.0	1	4

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jameson Taillon	Starter	13	65.8	5.33	1.337	8.1	59	4.2	5	2	2	1	5	86	4.2	5	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	43	37.9	3.32	1.478	11.6	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	26	27.9	2.58	1.075	4.2	13	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	5	1.1	2	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	32	23.3	5.02	1.502	14.3	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	31	22.3	7.67	2.242	12.5	31	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-2

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies

LAD 63-37 (5.17 RPG / 3.62 RA)

5 - 3

PHI 55-45 (4.32 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-3 TARGET: LAD 5 - 3 PHI (LAD) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	7
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	8

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-11.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs2.9

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-18.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record63-37

Win%0.630

Run Diff155

RD/Game1.550

PHI Season Quality

Record55-45

Win%0.550

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.130

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.8; margin adjustment: -0.756; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	91	348	101	0.290	22	60	0.398	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.278	0.368	0.522	OK
Andy Pages	CF	98	379	101	0.266	17	67	0.333	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.247	0.308	0.401	OK
Tommy Edman	3B	22	76	27	0.355	2	14	0.424	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.304	0.357	0.500	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	97	365	104	0.285	15	51	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.321	0.386	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	62	248	56	0.226	11	31	0.288	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.201	0.269	0.324	OK
Miguel Rojas	2B	58	140	41	0.293	3	17	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.292	0.324	0.448	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	65	232	56	0.241	8	37	0.312	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.283	0.335	OK
Alex Call	RF	47	112	28	0.250	1	16	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.133	0.238	0.218	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	60	186	46	0.247	10	30	0.332	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.213	0.299	0.380	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	7	5	5	2	3	0.212

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	94	393	96	0.244	12	35	0.291	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.243	0.298	0.413	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	94	358	90	0.251	32	60	0.363	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.234	0.333	0.463	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	98	349	90	0.258	20	59	0.365	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.229	0.332	0.393	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	94	352	77	0.219	12	48	0.280	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.215	0.260	0.345	OK
Brandon Marsh	LF	93	347	102	0.294	15	46	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.273	0.348	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	93	327	81	0.248	7	41	0.307	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.249	0.305	0.388	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	69	238	51	0.214	7	33	0.292	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.250	0.305	0.387	OK
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	RF	23	72	12	0.167	2	6	0.197	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.183	0.206	0.307	OK
Justin Crawford	CF	88	269	67	0.249	2	20	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.276	0.341	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	8	3	3	5	8	0.229

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	17	79.3	4.99	1.286	10.6	93	5.0	6	3	3	4	4	109	5.0	4	3
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	42	37.1	2.67	0.809	12.4	51	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	23	1.1	2	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	44	26.2	2.75	1.489	16.5	48	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	4	4.0	6.75	1.750	11.2	5	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cristopher Sánchez	Starter	20	125.7	2.65	1.201	10.3	144	6.0	5	3	3	2	3	99	6.0	3	3
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	34	33.2	0.81	0.843	13.6	50	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1.0	0	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	40	34.5	2.61	1.246	11.0	42	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17	1.0	0	1
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	34	27.7	3.25	1.227	12.3	38	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-3

Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros

MIA 52-48 (4.47 RPG / 4.28 RA)

5 - 3

HOU 47-54 (4.5 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: MIA wins 5-3 TARGET: MIA 5 - 3 HOU (MIA) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	1	5	9
HOU	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed4.1

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-7.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record39-46

Win%0.459

Run Diff-34

RD/Game-0.400

HOU Season Quality

Record43-49

Win%0.467

Run Diff-61

RD/Game-0.663

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2502; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kyle Stowers	1B	75	279	64	0.229	12	42	0.313	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.203	0.272	0.375	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	68	215	51	0.237	13	36	0.307	5	5	2	1	1	0	3	0.400	0.256	0.318	0.470	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	99	365	109	0.299	6	37	0.379	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.270	0.344	0.377	OK
Liam Hicks	DH	88	308	88	0.286	13	58	0.360	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.339	0.387	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	31	87	24	0.276	7	16	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.187	0.259	0.412	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	95	332	65	0.196	5	25	0.316	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.317	0.310	OK
Joe Mack	C	54	163	39	0.239	7	24	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.235	0.284	0.375	OK
Graham Pauley	3B	33	91	16	0.176	1	11	0.219	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.171	0.212	0.302	OK
Javier Sanoja	SS	71	239	64	0.268	3	34	0.299	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.225	0.255	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	9	5	5	4	11	0.250

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	52	200	59	0.295	6	22	0.359	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.268	0.322	0.367	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	98	356	115	0.323	31	73	0.433	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.297	0.406	0.556	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	93	339	85	0.251	12	50	0.345	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.257	0.329	0.387	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	77	298	70	0.235	12	28	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.230	0.286	0.430	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	1B	13	39	8	0.205	2	8	0.326	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.223	0.333	0.394	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	44	170	41	0.241	6	22	0.268	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.234	0.262	0.415	OK
Taylor Trammell	RF	42	114	26	0.228	3	11	0.285	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.127	0.181	0.237	OK
Zach Dezenzo	LF	26	57	13	0.228	1	3	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.238	0.311	0.367	OK
Lucas Spence	CF	3	11	3	0.273	0	0	0.333	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.230	0.291	0.312	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	5	3	3	3	8	0.156

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Janson Junk	Starter	12	63.6	4.67	1.336	6.8	48	5.1	4	2	2	3	5	91	5.1	5	2
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	33	28.7	7.84	1.603	12.9	41	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	18	1.0	1	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	41	38.9	3.24	1.105	11.8	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	42	35.5	5.83	1.887	10.4	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Cade Gibson	Middle Reliever	20	22.4	5.62	1.562	9.6	24	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	3	0.2	1	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Hunter Brown	Starter	8	38.6	4.20	1.503	10.0	43	4.2	3	1	1	2	9	99	4.2	9	1
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	17	16.1	0.56	0.683	15.7	28	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	42	40.1	3.82	1.471	7.9	35	1.0	5	3	3	0	1	28	1.0	1	3
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	48	41.9	2.58	0.955	10.7	50	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	34	29.2	6.16	1.712	12.3	40	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

MIA wins 5-3

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

MIN 49-51 (4.79 RPG / 5.03 RA)

2 - 4

CLE 52-48 (3.92 RPG / 4.04 RA)

WINNER: CLE wins 4-2 TARGET: MIN 2 - 4 CLE (CLE) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	4
CLE	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	x	4	8

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record49-51

Win%0.490

Run Diff-24

RD/Game-0.240

CLE Season Quality

Record52-48

Win%0.520

Run Diff-12

RD/Game-0.120

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.165; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	79	259	74	0.286	7	32	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.188	0.278	0.349	OK
Byron Buxton	CF	75	306	83	0.271	25	45	0.328	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.252	0.297	0.473	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	85	311	75	0.241	18	48	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.144	0.199	0.342	OK
Josh Bell	DH	97	354	88	0.249	13	60	0.307	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.243	0.300	0.386	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	65	235	51	0.217	10	30	0.292	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.298	0.419	OK
Victor Caratini	C	71	229	55	0.240	7	35	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.317	0.362	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	93	353	88	0.249	14	50	0.305	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.237	0.295	0.361	OK
Alan Roden	RF	8	19	4	0.211	0	3	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.237	0.306	0.325	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	50	138	35	0.254	5	24	0.309	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.282	0.358	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	31	4	2	2	2	9	0.129

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Steven Kwan	LF	89	306	74	0.242	1	17	0.341	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.297	0.375	0.380	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	68	255	61	0.239	8	31	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.307	0.392	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	81	307	86	0.280	11	47	0.344	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.257	0.325	0.448	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	96	330	90	0.273	8	44	0.334	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.258	0.300	0.399	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	74	220	39	0.177	9	30	0.306	4	2	0	1	1	1	1	0.000	0.202	0.315	0.422	OK
Daniel Schneemann	3B	77	242	51	0.211	6	28	0.279	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.216	0.280	0.327	OK
David Fry	1B	58	128	26	0.203	6	13	0.301	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	0.333	0.193	0.285	0.350	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	35	104	22	0.212	2	10	0.252	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.206	0.250	0.313	OK
Petey Halpin	CF	28	67	13	0.194	0	1	0.217	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.138	0.169	0.224	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	8	4	4	3	5	0.258

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Joe Ryan	Starter	20	109.4	2.88	1.060	10.5	128	5.2	5	1	1	1	5	98	5.2	5	1
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	31	23.6	1.91	1.144	9.9	26	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	36	40.7	3.76	1.425	10.6	48	1.1	3	3	3	2	0	33	1.1	0	3

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tanner Bibee	Starter	20	110.9	3.98	1.172	7.1	87	5.2	4	2	2	1	4	98	5.2	4	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	43	43.0	2.93	1.140	13.6	65	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	36	27.0	2.67	1.407	10.0	30	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	17	1.1	3	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	35	31.2	1.73	0.897	11.5	40	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CLE wins 4-2

New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers

NYM 42-58 (4.09 RPG / 4.71 RA)

1 - 5

MIL 62-37 (5.07 RPG / 3.75 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-1 TARGET: NYM 1 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3
MIL	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	x	5	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff0.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff1.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record42-58

Win%0.420

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-0.620

MIL Season Quality

Record62-37

Win%0.626

Run Diff131

RD/Game1.323

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 2.2526; margin adjustment: 0.9461; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
A.J. Ewing	RF	60	210	58	0.276	7	25	0.346	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.246	0.303	0.385	OK
Juan Soto	LF	80	283	83	0.293	21	52	0.411	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	0.500	0.236	0.363	0.426	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	97	389	98	0.252	10	51	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.218	0.264	0.309	OK
Francisco Lindor	SS	42	164	36	0.220	6	15	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.220	0.295	0.413	OK
Jorge Polanco	DH	20	77	13	0.169	1	3	0.229	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.188	0.239	0.294	OK
Jared Young	1B	50	144	35	0.243	6	17	0.323	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.166	0.234	0.293	OK
Luis Robert Jr.	CF	24	85	19	0.224	2	8	0.327	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.295	0.305	OK
Brett Baty	2B	89	295	67	0.227	5	32	0.295	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.284	0.375	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	64	214	54	0.252	11	24	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.236	0.302	0.417	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	30	3	1	1	6	4	0.100

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	64	248	59	0.238	6	33	0.331	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.239	0.328	0.374	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	65	272	76	0.279	13	39	0.337	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.248	0.300	0.394	OK
Brice Turang	2B	92	360	95	0.264	14	60	0.360	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.232	0.335	0.430	OK
William Contreras	C	91	353	99	0.280	10	57	0.344	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.322	0.405	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	84	278	77	0.277	7	41	0.359	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.291	0.361	0.455	OK
Andrew Vaughn	1B	55	153	47	0.307	2	24	0.385	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.261	0.330	0.413	OK
Jake Bauers	RF	88	302	79	0.262	18	59	0.365	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.350	0.425	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	26	82	20	0.244	0	7	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.342	0.361	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	75	221	50	0.226	4	23	0.296	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.244	0.321	0.389	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	7	5	5	4	10	0.226

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Freddy Peralta	Starter	20	100.6	4.83	1.491	9.3	104	4.1	6	5	5	3	6	97	4.1	6	5
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	35	30.1	4.49	1.661	13.5	45	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	38	37.9	2.14	0.871	10.2	43	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	40	30.3	2.38	1.353	11.0	37	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jacob Misiorowski	Starter	18	110.3	1.63	0.762	13.6	167	6.2	3	1	1	4	4	109	6.2	4	1
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	38	38.0	1.89	0.895	11.4	48	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	41	37.4	2.65	1.123	9.4	39	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	47	52.3	3.79	1.587	13.4	78	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	10	0.1	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-1

Oakland Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks

OAK 42-57 (4.47 RPG / 5.63 RA)

3 - 5

ARI 51-48 (4.37 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 5-3 TARGET: OAK 3 - 5 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
OAK	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	7
ARI	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	x	5	8

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed7.2

Run Diff-38.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed0.4

Run Diff33.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

OAK Season Quality

Record42-57

Win%0.424

Run Diff-114

RD/Game-1.152

ARI Season Quality

Record51-48

Win%0.515

Run Diff-11

RD/Game-0.111

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1768; margin adjustment: 0.4942; applied: True

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	59	238	69	0.290	5	29	0.320	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.300	0.399	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	87	311	76	0.244	16	47	0.344	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.320	0.496	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	89	361	94	0.260	22	50	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.233	0.293	0.458	OK
Colby Thomas	RF	44	102	21	0.206	4	11	0.236	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.207	0.235	0.339	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	3B	15	57	23	0.404	0	3	0.424	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.291	0.308	0.450	OK
Jonah Heim	DH	41	134	31	0.231	8	22	0.278	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.216	0.261	0.364	OK
Tommy White	1B	2	6	1	0.167	0	0	0.286	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.334	0.474	OK
Alika Williams	2B	30	88	24	0.273	2	8	0.297	3	3	2	1	2	0	0	0.667	0.141	0.171	0.290	OK
Henry Bolte	CF	53	183	48	0.262	3	17	0.335	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.202	0.250	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	34	7	3	3	0	12	0.206

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.161	0.215	0.285	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.353	0.342	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.289	0.340	0.476	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.209	0.264	0.324	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.294	0.369	0.482	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.303	0.358	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.295	0.372	0.565	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.257	0.321	0.420
Tim Tawa	LF	14	36	5	0.139	0	2	0.238	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	0.500	0.217	0.308	0.335	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	8	5	5	2	7	0.258

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jeffrey Springs	Starter	19	95.1	6.25	1.462	7.9	84	4.1	7	5	5	2	2	89	4.1	2	5
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	26	23.8	6.81	1.429	13.2	35	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	18	0.1	1	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	46	33.8	4.26	1.923	15.2	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	12	1.0	3	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	30	40.4	3.56	1.436	11.6	52	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1.1	0	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	36	30.4	4.74	1.447	11.2	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	5	2	2	0	9	99	6.2	9	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	19	0.1	0	1
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 5-3

Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees

PIT 52-48 (5.33 RPG / 4.79 RA)

5 - 4

NYY 55-44 (4.72 RPG / 3.86 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 5-4 TARGET: PIT 5 - 4 NYY (PIT) Confidence: 56.5% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	7
NYY	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	9

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.7

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff25.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record52-48

Win%0.520

Run Diff54

RD/Game0.540

NYY Season Quality

Record55-44

Win%0.556

Run Diff85

RD/Game0.859

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.3719; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Nick Gonzales	3B	93	351	109	0.311	5	44	0.369	5	5	1	1	0	0	2	0.200	0.281	0.329	0.419	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	92	363	90	0.248	21	65	0.317	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.252	0.312	0.422	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	100	362	102	0.282	14	59	0.398	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.268	0.367	0.452	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	31	105	32	0.305	12	32	0.373	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.264	0.337	0.625	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	1B	83	316	88	0.278	16	64	0.340	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.240	0.308	0.409	OK
Marcell Ozuna	DH	60	228	47	0.206	8	28	0.285	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.232	0.307	0.369	OK
Jared Triolo	SS	61	199	48	0.241	1	16	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.317	0.348	OK
Henry Davis	C	55	171	28	0.164	8	27	0.258	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.200	0.274	0.358	OK
Billy Cook	CF	19	39	9	0.231	0	2	0.231	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0.500	0.187	0.195	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	7	5	5	4	9	0.206

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	77	270	62	0.230	11	41	0.330	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.225	0.320	0.435	OK
Ben Rice	DH	93	349	98	0.281	29	67	0.372	5	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.288	0.366	0.561	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	68	247	64	0.259	15	42	0.313	5	4	1	1	2	1	0	0.250	0.242	0.293	0.436	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	97	357	91	0.255	11	52	0.345	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.266	0.350	0.404	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	93	330	74	0.224	14	38	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.236	0.298	0.421	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	38	144	33	0.229	5	11	0.265	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.231	0.262	0.375	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	74	213	46	0.216	9	26	0.274	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.237	0.294	0.438	OK
Austin Wells	C	68	198	30	0.152	6	13	0.249	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.195	0.287	0.339	OK
José Caballero	SS	84	279	68	0.244	10	35	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.226	0.270	0.353	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	4	4	3	9	0.257

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Braxton Ashcraft	Starter	19	111.0	3.57	1.135	10.4	128	5.2	7	3	3	1	8	108	5.2	8	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	40	38.1	3.54	1.076	10.9	46	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	39	32.7	4.13	1.437	16.0	58	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	41	47.2	3.62	1.504	11.2	59	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	23	1.1	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	18	94.4	4.29	1.282	10.5	110	5.0	5	3	3	3	6	90	5.0	6	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	38	39.1	2.76	1.151	10.8	47	1.1	1	1	1	1	0	21	1.1	0	1
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	46	29.9	3.31	1.773	15.7	52	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	49	40.0	1.80	1.375	12.8	57	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	34	47.1	2.29	1.189	7.3	38	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	18	1.0	2	1

Game Summary

PIT wins 5-4

San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves

SD 49-50 (4.09 RPG / 4.41 RA)

3 - 5

ATL 57-42 (4.96 RPG / 3.92 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 5-3 TARGET: SD 3 - 5 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	7
ATL	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	x	5	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.1

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff4.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.5

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff12.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record42-42

Win%0.500

Run Diff-17

RD/Game-0.202

ATL Season Quality

Record49-34

Win%0.590

Run Diff82

RD/Game0.988

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.3259; margin adjustment: 0.5569; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	97	384	109	0.284	7	40	0.348	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.258	0.322	0.415	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	95	375	83	0.221	12	42	0.277	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.229	0.279	0.388	OK
Manny Machado	3B	96	349	69	0.198	19	56	0.290	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.219	0.314	0.373	OK
Ty France	1B	67	218	60	0.275	14	39	0.332	4	4	3	0	0	0	0	0.750	0.281	0.324	0.597	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	92	289	63	0.218	14	40	0.317	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.191	0.292	0.324	OK
Xander Bogaerts	DH	94	328	73	0.223	9	38	0.316	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.208	0.305	0.309	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	47	151	30	0.199	3	12	0.284	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.240	0.298	0.340	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	48	143	22	0.154	3	11	0.245	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.178	0.255	0.305	OK
Sung-Mun Song	SS	34	88	21	0.239	1	15	0.337	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.214	0.312	0.303	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	7	3	3	0	11	0.212

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	76	294	82	0.279	19	55	0.364	5	4	1	0	0	1	2	0.250	0.320	0.388	0.549	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	99	381	100	0.262	14	53	0.315	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.232	0.284	0.357	OK
Matt Olson	1B	99	384	103	0.268	26	59	0.343	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.258	0.332	0.500	OK
Austin Riley	3B	99	356	77	0.216	12	47	0.296	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.252	0.309	0.465	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	92	350	106	0.303	17	58	0.331	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.283	0.307	0.466	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	95	358	96	0.268	10	54	0.319	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.249	0.291	0.405	OK
Joey Bart	C	13	32	4	0.125	2	6	0.263	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.211	0.251	0.384	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	13	42	12	0.286	1	4	0.318	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.260	0.281	0.416	OK
Eli White	RF	50	120	27	0.225	5	17	0.271	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.227	0.278	0.428	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	9	5	5	5	4	0.273

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
JP Sears	Starter	4	18.5	5.35	1.514	8.3	17	5.0	7	4	4	2	3	103	5.0	3	4
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	39	38.1	0.94	0.892	17.7	75	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	45	45.0	4.00	1.289	11.8	59	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	38	35.5	2.54	1.324	9.6	38	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20	1.0	0	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Elder	Starter	18	100.1	4.23	1.279	7.7	86	5.1	6	3	3	0	7	97	5.1	7	3
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	33	33.4	2.43	1.078	10.2	38	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	24	1.2	1	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	46	38.6	2.10	0.855	13.1	56	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	39	29.8	4.83	1.443	10.6	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 5-3

San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals

SF 43-57 (4.15 RPG / 4.71 RA)

5 - 3

KC 40-60 (4.26 RPG / 5.25 RA)

WINNER: SF wins 5-3 TARGET: SF 5 - 3 KC (SF) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	5	7
KC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.4

Avg Allowed6.3

Run Diff-9.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record43-57

Win%0.430

Run Diff-56

RD/Game-0.560

KC Season Quality

Record40-60

Win%0.400

Run Diff-99

RD/Game-0.990

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.475; margin adjustment: -0.1995; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	94	372	124	0.333	4	35	0.373	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.283	0.329	0.404	OK
Bryce Eldridge	1B	58	201	56	0.279	10	24	0.373	5	5	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.271	0.361	0.503	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	90	360	100	0.278	19	49	0.307	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.255	0.279	0.439	OK
Rafael Devers	DH	99	376	92	0.245	20	53	0.315	4	2	1	1	0	2	1	0.500	0.214	0.288	0.419	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	60	231	62	0.268	8	29	0.300	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.274	0.302	0.440	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	90	339	104	0.307	5	33	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.260	0.287	0.373	OK
Willy Adames	SS	94	367	84	0.229	17	42	0.279	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.231	0.283	0.447	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	70	197	46	0.234	4	20	0.296	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.233	0.278	0.371	OK
Daniel Susac	C	34	108	27	0.250	0	14	0.297	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.198	0.236	0.282	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	34	7	5	5	5	9	0.206

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	90	320	79	0.247	13	51	0.315	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.242	0.312	0.403	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	92	365	102	0.279	13	38	0.346	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.236	0.297	0.383	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	92	328	85	0.259	16	37	0.317	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.177	0.224	0.343	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	80	242	58	0.240	9	33	0.337	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.272	0.357	0.514	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	71	264	59	0.223	6	32	0.310	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.231	0.312	0.337	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	91	355	76	0.214	12	39	0.258	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.269	0.392	OK
Michael Massey	2B	77	236	63	0.267	7	33	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.320	0.402	OK
Josh Rojas	3B	16	39	9	0.231	1	5	0.231	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.148	0.157	0.249	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	86	275	66	0.240	5	31	0.343	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.229	0.313	0.370	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	8	3	3	2	3	0.235

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor McDonald	Starter	13	64.0	5.20	1.344	7.6	54	5.0	7	2	2	1	1	88	5.0	1	2
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	38	34.1	4.49	1.437	12.7	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	32	23.9	3.39	1.590	15.1	40	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	7	1.0	0	1
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	30	43.5	3.10	1.218	6.8	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	1.1	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	32	28.6	3.46	1.119	8.2	26	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	17	0.2	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael Wacha	Starter	19	117.7	3.82	1.206	7.3	96	6.1	4	4	4	2	8	112	6.1	8	4
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	38	35.5	6.59	1.662	9.4	37	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	27	1.0	0	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	40	35.9	2.51	1.058	8.3	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	39	36.0	5.00	1.667	6.8	27	0.2	2	1	1	1	1	18	0.2	1	1
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	41	31.5	4.00	1.524	8.0	28	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

SF wins 5-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels

STL 51-47 (4.53 RPG / 4.49 RA)

7 - 1

LAA 39-61 (4.34 RPG / 4.96 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 7-1 TARGET: STL 7 - 1 LAA (STL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	7	10
LAA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.9

Run Diff0.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record45-41

Win%0.523

Run Diff9

RD/Game0.105

LAA Season Quality

Record31-49

Win%0.388

Run Diff-51

RD/Game-0.637

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9458; margin adjustment: -0.3972; applied: True

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	91	361	95	0.263	14	37	0.357	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.241	0.306	0.369	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	97	358	87	0.243	11	40	0.369	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.228	0.304	0.336	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	96	368	102	0.277	15	68	0.339	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.271	0.326	0.432	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	95	365	107	0.293	21	73	0.356	5	5	2	1	4	0	1	0.400	0.272	0.333	0.454	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	35	113	29	0.257	3	12	0.366	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.248	0.370	0.425	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	87	321	78	0.243	4	42	0.314	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.234	0.305	0.323	OK
Nathan Church	CF	74	248	56	0.226	8	27	0.266	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.183	0.218	0.296	OK
Blaze Jordan	3B	24	81	21	0.259	1	17	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.256	0.284	0.411	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	25	65	12	0.185	3	9	0.274	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.230	0.305	0.444	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	36	10	7	7	3	7	0.278

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	97	383	90	0.235	19	46	0.326	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.302	0.388	OK
Mike Trout	CF	81	293	69	0.235	18	39	0.390	5	5	3	0	0	0	0	0.600	0.247	0.374	0.444	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	79	298	83	0.279	6	35	0.348	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.281	0.343	0.386	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	77	281	59	0.210	11	43	0.298	4	4	2	0	0	0	2	0.500	0.196	0.276	0.332	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	56	195	50	0.256	5	35	0.321	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.264	0.316	0.416	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	58	177	36	0.203	8	22	0.249	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.201	0.250	0.364	OK
Jo Adell	RF	99	384	91	0.237	13	53	0.282	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.204	0.230	0.332	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	29	115	29	0.252	4	14	0.295	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.259	0.348	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	66	217	47	0.217	4	23	0.282	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.193	0.258	0.278	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	1	1	4	8	0.229

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Leahy	Starter	18	88.4	3.77	1.425	7.6	75	5.0	7	1	1	3	4	96	5.0	4	1
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	40	38.7	3.49	1.189	9.3	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	43	36.5	3.95	1.260	9.4	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	41	30.8	5.55	1.786	11.7	40	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Gordon Graceffo	Middle Reliever	41	39.0	3.92	1.333	6.0	26	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
José Soriano	Starter	20	108.9	3.55	1.313	9.5	115	5.1	9	4	4	3	3	106	5.1	3	4
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	40	41.8	4.31	1.316	13.6	63	1.0	0	2	2	0	1	18	1.0	1	2
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	24	19.8	3.64	1.111	12.7	28	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	37	38.9	4.40	1.388	10.4	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	13	13.3	3.38	1.128	16.2	24	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	5	0.2	1	1
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	43	29.9	3.61	1.706	13.5	45	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

STL wins 7-1

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

TB 56-42 (4.44 RPG / 4.3 RA)

3 - 2

TOR 46-53 (4.01 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: TB wins 3-2 TARGET: TB 3 - 2 TOR (TB) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	6
TOR	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-16.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record56-42

Win%0.571

Run Diff14

RD/Game0.143

TOR Season Quality

Record46-53

Win%0.465

Run Diff-45

RD/Game-0.455

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7576; margin adjustment: -0.3182; applied: True

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	94	361	112	0.310	13	56	0.388	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0.200	0.254	0.317	0.381	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	97	352	102	0.290	14	64	0.388	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.254	0.342	0.420	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	98	372	104	0.280	29	60	0.369	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.252	0.334	0.468	OK
Cedric Mullins	CF	83	286	57	0.199	11	30	0.280	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.192	0.264	0.321	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	88	341	96	0.282	0	17	0.314	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.177	0.211	0.264	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	31	97	21	0.216	7	14	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.241	0.319	0.488	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	69	204	49	0.240	3	27	0.339	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.160	0.267	0.294	OK
Nick Fortes	C	71	213	54	0.254	2	20	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.261	0.338	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	74	234	51	0.218	0	21	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.204	0.292	0.294	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	3	3	0.182

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ernie Clement	2B	96	369	109	0.295	8	32	0.320	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.259	0.288	0.387	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	63	206	59	0.286	5	18	0.339	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.254	0.291	0.381	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	93	347	91	0.262	6	41	0.341	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.323	0.380	OK
George Springer	DH	68	265	58	0.219	10	25	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.213	0.280	0.385	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	95	350	81	0.231	22	62	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.209	0.285	0.388	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	80	289	69	0.239	7	24	0.303	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.214	0.273	0.339	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	28	94	19	0.202	2	9	0.283	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.232	0.318	0.346	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	90	294	68	0.231	7	38	0.275	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.244	0.331	OK
Myles Straw	LF	69	151	34	0.225	3	15	0.274	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.180	0.228	0.271	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	2	2	2	10	0.250

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Nick Martinez	Starter	18	103.0	2.71	1.146	5.4	62	6.0	8	2	2	1	8	104	6.0	8	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	38	35.4	1.78	0.847	10.4	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14	1.0	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	42	39.8	2.71	1.055	7.7	34	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	32	25.2	4.29	1.508	13.6	38	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	16	0.2	0	0

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dylan Cease	Starter	17	96.0	2.62	1.156	13.9	148	6.0	1	2	2	3	3	101	6.0	3	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	45	46.5	1.16	1.032	13.2	68	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	46	41.4	1.74	1.208	5.0	23	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	6	1.0	0	1
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	45	37.9	4.99	1.557	15.7	66	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

TB wins 3-2

Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies

WAS 50-50 (5.45 RPG / 5.3 RA)

4 - 2

COL 40-61 (4.79 RPG / 5.68 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 4-2 TARGET: WAS 4 - 2 COL (WAS) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	9
COL	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs6.1

Avg Allowed6.0

Run Diff1.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-11.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record50-50

Win%0.500

Run Diff15

RD/Game0.150

COL Season Quality

Record40-61

Win%0.396

Run Diff-90

RD/Game-0.891

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.197; margin adjustment: -0.5028; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	100	383	104	0.272	28	66	0.401	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.266	0.385	0.559	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	83	270	69	0.256	17	48	0.350	5	5	1	1	1	0	3	0.200	0.221	0.314	0.454	OK
Andrés Chaparro	DH	27	62	13	0.210	3	15	0.310	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	0.500	0.265	0.347	0.505	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	96	358	99	0.277	21	70	0.352	4	4	3	1	2	0	0	0.750	0.279	0.339	0.506	OK
Dylan Crews	LF	49	186	39	0.210	7	20	0.279	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.209	0.265	0.375	OK
Jacob Young	CF	80	275	62	0.225	8	32	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.239	0.296	0.374	OK
Harry Ford	C	2	8	3	0.375	1	4	0.500	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.345	0.544	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	92	308	86	0.279	20	68	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.159	0.200	0.319	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	86	276	68	0.246	1	28	0.330	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.256	0.337	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	4	4	2	8	0.250

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	80	291	88	0.302	10	54	0.345	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.277	0.315	0.476	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	92	282	74	0.262	9	34	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.253	0.332	0.448	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	32	104	30	0.288	4	23	0.371	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.265	0.346	0.460	OK
Hunter Goodman	DH	92	346	89	0.257	30	56	0.326	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.274	0.338	0.562	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	95	345	104	0.301	13	50	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.271	0.345	0.437	OK
Willi Castro	2B	84	300	79	0.263	9	40	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.304	0.441	OK
Braxton Fulford	C	30	57	11	0.193	1	7	0.273	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.119	0.192	0.231	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	65	227	58	0.256	3	23	0.329	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.139	0.174	0.198	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	91	317	64	0.202	8	32	0.247	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.194	0.246	0.322	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	2	2	4	8	0.182

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Andrew Alvarez	Starter	13	46.9	4.22	1.514	10.2	53	4.1	4	0	0	3	6	79	4.1	6	0
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	29	25.4	3.54	1.378	11.7	33	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	30	25.1	4.30	1.355	8.2	23	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Justin Lawrence	Middle Reliever	7	4.7	5.74	2.979	11.5	6	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	21	1.0	1	1
Riley Cornelio	Middle Reliever	7	14.2	6.97	2.042	10.8	17	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	36	1.0	1	1

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Kyle Freeland	Starter	17	85.2	7.61	1.620	8.3	79	4.2	8	4	4	1	4	93	4.2	4	4
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	30	44.1	3.67	1.361	8.6	42	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	39	36.7	6.62	1.853	10.8	44	1.1	0	0	0	1	2	21	1.1	2	0
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	5	4.2	2.14	1.905	12.9	6	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 4-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

BAL Recent Form

BOS Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

BOS Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers

CHW Recent Form

TEX Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

TEX Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners

CIN Recent Form

SEA Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

SEA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs

DET Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

DET Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies

LAD Recent Form

PHI Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

PHI Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros

MIA Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

MIN Recent Form

CLE Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

CLE Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers