MLB Predictions — July 18, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ HOU	5 - 3	5 - 3	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 5-3	59%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ TOR	5 - 4	5 - 4	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 5-4	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ COL	4 - 2	4 - 2	CIN	CIN	CIN wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ LAA	6 - 1	6 - 1	DET	DET	DET wins 6-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ NYY	5 - 2	5 - 2	LAD	LAD	LAD wins 5-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ MIL	4 - 5	4 - 5	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 5-4	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ CHC	3 - 6	3 - 6	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 6-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
NYM @ PHI	1 - 3	1 - 3	PHI	PHI	PHI wins 3-1	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ CLE	4 - 2	4 - 2	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ CLE	4 - 3	4 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ KC	3 - 4	3 - 4	KC	KC	KC wins 4-3	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ SEA	3 - 4	3 - 4	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 4-3	60%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ ARI	3 - 4	3 - 4	ARI	ARI	ARI wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ BOS	3 - 4	3 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ ATL	0 - 7	0 - 7	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 7-0	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ OAK	6 - 4	6 - 4	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 6-4	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros

BAL 48-51 (4.59 RPG / 4.75 RA)

5 - 3

HOU 47-53 (4.53 RPG / 5.03 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 5-3 TARGET: BAL 5 - 3 HOU (BAL) Confidence: 59.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	9
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	6

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff9.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record46-51

Win%0.474

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.196

HOU Season Quality

Record47-51

Win%0.480

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.480

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2757; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Adley Rutschman	DH	65	241	62	0.257	8	47	0.331	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.249	0.329	0.402	OK
Gunnar Henderson	SS	95	393	87	0.221	16	42	0.290	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.226	0.277	0.378	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	95	354	91	0.257	7	26	0.389	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.263	0.395	0.447	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	96	358	91	0.254	21	66	0.347	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.255	0.346	0.462	OK
Samuel Basallo	C	81	277	68	0.245	16	46	0.301	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.230	0.283	0.464	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	41	130	30	0.231	2	12	0.303	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.246	0.306	0.372	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	76	199	43	0.216	7	24	0.301	4	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.204	0.284	0.302	OK
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.244	0.310	0.402
Jackson Holliday	2B	43	120	26	0.217	5	15	0.309	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.261	0.355	0.398	OK
TEAM TOTALS									42	36	9	5	5	6	5	0.250

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	51	198	58	0.293	6	22	0.357	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.263	0.320	0.365	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	96	348	113	0.325	31	71	0.435	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.306	0.412	0.608	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	91	330	82	0.248	12	50	0.345	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.253	0.331	0.392	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	75	289	67	0.232	11	27	0.303	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.224	0.285	0.397	OK
Christian Walker	1B	96	359	85	0.237	20	58	0.314	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.210	0.271	0.385	OK
Yainer Diaz	C	42	161	40	0.248	6	22	0.276	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.253	0.282	0.468	OK
Cam Smith	RF	94	325	70	0.215	12	33	0.289	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.197	0.266	0.350	OK
Zach Dezenzo	LF	26	57	13	0.228	1	3	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.311	0.375	OK
Lucas Spence	CF	1	3	1	0.333	0	0	0.500	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.243	0.408	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	8	0.182

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Trevor Rogers	Starter	17	87.3	4.64	1.352	7.1	69	5.2	3	1	1	1	6	89	5.2	6	1
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	30	23.2	4.66	1.422	9.3	24	1.1	2	2	2	1	0	24	1.1	0	2
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	36	42.4	3.18	1.132	10.0	47	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	17	1.0	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	44	36.9	2.93	0.949	10.5	43	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Arrighetti	Starter	15	81.3	4.54	1.341	9.0	81	5.1	7	5	5	2	4	96	5.1	4	5
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	16	15.1	0.60	0.728	14.9	25	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	21	1.0	0	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	41	39.1	3.68	1.483	7.8	34	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	47	40.9	2.64	0.954	10.8	49	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	33	28.2	6.38	1.773	12.8	40	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0
AJ Blubaugh	Middle Reliever	36	57.2	3.93	1.329	9.4	60	0.0	0	0	0	2	0	10	0.0	0	0
Kai-Wei Teng	Reliever	23	60.5	4.61	1.438	9.4	63	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-3

Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

CHW 51-46 (4.8 RPG / 4.37 RA)

5 - 4

TOR 46-52 (4.05 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 5-4 TARGET: CHW 5 - 4 TOR (CHW) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	6
TOR	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	4	7

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs0.3

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff-28.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-12.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record51-45

Win%0.531

Run Diff43

RD/Game0.448

TOR Season Quality

Record45-52

Win%0.464

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.443

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9922; margin adjustment: -0.4167; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.170	0.229	0.328	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.212	0.282	0.448	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.244	0.298	0.351	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.250	0.379	0.539	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.248	0.313	0.409
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.225	0.317	0.387	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.248	0.301	0.436	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.288	0.347	0.475	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.221	0.280	0.458	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	5	5	2	6	0.182

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ernie Clement	2B	94	362	108	0.298	8	32	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.265	0.289	0.396	OK
Nathan Lukes	RF	61	198	57	0.288	5	18	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.266	0.313	0.399	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	91	340	89	0.262	6	41	0.340	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.241	0.320	0.390	OK
George Springer	DH	67	261	57	0.218	10	24	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.210	0.279	0.386	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	93	342	81	0.237	22	62	0.320	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.232	0.310	0.457	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	78	283	67	0.237	7	24	0.302	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.204	0.267	0.326	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	26	91	19	0.209	2	9	0.284	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.229	0.310	0.341	OK
Andrés Giménez	SS	88	289	67	0.232	7	38	0.277	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.213	0.244	0.329	OK
Jonatan Clase	LF	7	18	6	0.333	2	6	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.152	0.233	0.255	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	7	4	4	2	3	0.206

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	4	2	2	2	1	96	6.0	1	2
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	11	1.2	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	1.0	0	1	1	0	0	3	1.0	0	1
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	0.1	3	1	1	0	1	16	0.1	1	1

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Bieber	Starter	4	16.5	8.18	2.182	7.1	13	4.1	6	5	5	2	1	88	4.1	1	5
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	44	45.5	1.19	1.055	13.3	67	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	45	40.4	1.78	1.213	4.9	22	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	14	1.0	3	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	44	36.9	5.12	1.572	15.6	64	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	5	1.0	0	0
Braydon Fisher	Middle Reliever	45	40.9	4.18	1.345	10.6	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Mason Fluharty	Middle Reliever	48	28.8	5.00	1.771	14.1	45	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	15	0.2	1	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 5-4

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies

CIN 44-53 (4.18 RPG / 4.81 RA)

4 - 2

COL 40-60 (4.78 RPG / 5.65 RA)

WINNER: CIN wins 4-2 TARGET: CIN 4 - 2 COL (CIN) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	4	8
COL	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	9

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed5.0

Run Diff-17.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record43-52

Win%0.453

Run Diff-60

RD/Game-0.632

COL Season Quality

Record39-59

Win%0.398

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-0.908

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3586; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	76	304	87	0.286	16	45	0.358	5	4	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.286	0.351	0.523	OK
Sal Stewart	3B	95	362	94	0.260	19	67	0.342	5	5	2	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.253	0.327	0.444	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	67	240	59	0.246	16	43	0.353	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.255	0.353	0.497	OK
Spencer Steer	1B	90	318	80	0.252	16	40	0.330	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.281	0.344	0.499	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	67	242	52	0.215	12	36	0.287	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.245	0.311	0.498	OK
Noelvi Marte	RF	39	128	25	0.195	6	13	0.243	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.220	0.265	0.399	OK
Dane Myers	CF	52	116	30	0.259	3	14	0.351	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.144	0.245	0.246	OK
Jose Trevino	C	21	67	16	0.239	1	8	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.240	0.255	0.374	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	31	104	24	0.231	0	4	0.270	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.210	0.232	0.292	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	8	4	4	6	4	0.229

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	LF	78	282	85	0.301	10	52	0.345	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.272	0.317	0.483	OK
Mickey Moniak	DH	61	209	57	0.273	15	38	0.316	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.250	0.283	0.452	OK
Cole Carrigg	CF	31	100	28	0.280	4	22	0.361	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.246	0.323	0.450	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	93	336	100	0.298	12	46	0.380	5	3	2	0	0	2	0	0.667	0.272	0.358	0.408	OK
Willi Castro	3B	82	292	77	0.264	8	38	0.333	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.241	0.297	0.426	OK
Troy Johnston	RF	84	275	83	0.302	3	39	0.366	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.308	0.367	OK
Edouard Julien	2B	75	208	45	0.216	3	20	0.326	4	3	2	0	0	1	0	0.667	0.224	0.327	0.379	OK
Brett Sullivan	C	41	122	27	0.221	4	15	0.254	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.218	0.253	0.359	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	90	314	63	0.201	8	32	0.244	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.180	0.226	0.309	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	9	2	2	5	5	0.257

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Rhett Lowder	Starter	16	67.1	5.10	1.595	7.9	59	4.0	5	2	2	2	4	85	4.0	4	2
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	17	15.4	6.43	1.494	9.4	16	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	29	25.5	2.47	1.020	9.2	26	2.0	1	0	0	2	1	37	2.0	1	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	48	38.9	3.47	1.620	9.3	40	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	19	14.0	3.21	1.857	10.9	17	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tomoyuki Sugano	Starter	16	82.0	4.94	1.354	5.3	48	5.1	5	3	3	5	3	102	5.1	3	3
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	30	44.1	3.67	1.361	8.6	42	1.1	2	0	0	1	0	25	1.1	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	38	36.5	6.66	1.808	10.8	44	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	4	3.2	2.81	2.500	14.1	5	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.0	0	1

Game Summary

CIN wins 4-2

Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels

DET 45-52 (4.22 RPG / 3.96 RA)

6 - 1

LAA 38-60 (4.4 RPG / 4.97 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 6-1 TARGET: DET 6 - 1 LAA (DET) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	9
LAA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

DET Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed2.6

Run Diff10.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record44-52

Win%0.458

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.250

LAA Season Quality

Record38-59

Win%0.392

Run Diff-55

RD/Game-0.567

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9169; margin adjustment: -0.3851; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Kevin McGonigle	SS	93	349	98	0.281	8	34	0.391	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.251	0.348	0.396	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	87	324	86	0.265	19	60	0.327	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.253	0.292	0.424	OK
Colt Keith	3B	86	252	61	0.242	8	21	0.293	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.231	0.276	0.430	OK
Riley Greene	LF	95	343	100	0.292	13	45	0.385	5	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.270	0.371	0.455	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	95	325	66	0.203	16	42	0.300	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	0.333	0.197	0.274	0.389	OK
Kerry Carpenter	DH	74	205	45	0.220	13	36	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.204	0.268	0.364	OK
Zach McKinstry	2B	69	218	43	0.197	4	19	0.275	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.215	0.286	0.350	OK
Matt Vierling	RF	74	238	48	0.202	5	29	0.257	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	0.667	0.161	0.225	0.261	OK
James Outman	CF	20	61	9	0.148	3	10	0.200	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.094	0.144	0.204	OK
TEAM TOTALS									40	35	9	6	6	3	8	0.257

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	95	375	89	0.237	19	45	0.328	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.240	0.310	0.398	OK
Mike Trout	CF	79	287	68	0.237	18	39	0.388	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.240	0.359	0.458	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	54	187	47	0.251	5	35	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.265	0.320	0.415	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	75	273	58	0.212	11	42	0.303	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.201	0.282	0.343	OK
Jo Adell	RF	97	376	91	0.242	13	53	0.288	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.208	0.235	0.336	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	77	289	79	0.273	6	35	0.346	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.283	0.352	0.403	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	28	111	28	0.252	4	14	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.228	0.269	0.364	OK
Jose Siri	LF	37	87	23	0.264	5	18	0.309	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.224	0.262	0.368	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	65	215	45	0.209	4	23	0.272	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.164	0.222	0.249	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	5	1	1	2	12	0.156

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Tarik Skubal	Starter	13	73.8	3.17	0.976	10.9	89	6.0	3	1	1	2	8	105	6.0	8	1
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	26	21.8	4.13	1.239	10.3	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	25	1.0	2	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	39	37.9	1.90	1.557	7.6	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	40	35.0	3.86	1.600	9.0	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Grayson Rodriguez	Starter	7	28.9	8.10	1.869	7.5	24	4.0	6	6	6	3	1	82	4.0	1	6
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	39	40.8	4.19	1.324	13.9	63	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	24	19.8	3.64	1.111	12.7	28	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	36	37.9	4.51	1.425	10.7	45	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0
Samy Natera Jr.	Middle Reliever	12	12.3	3.66	1.220	16.1	22	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.1	1	0
Chase Silseth	Middle Reliever	42	28.9	3.74	1.730	14.0	45	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	19	0.1	1	0
Brent Suter	Reliever	35	48.6	5.00	1.440	8.5	46	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

DET wins 6-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees

LAD 62-36 (5.18 RPG / 3.65 RA)

5 - 2

NYY 54-43 (4.77 RPG / 3.85 RA)

WINNER: LAD wins 5-2 TARGET: LAD 5 - 2 NYY (LAD) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5	9
NYY	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.3

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff-9.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff1.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record62-36

Win%0.633

Run Diff150

RD/Game1.531

NYY Season Quality

Record54-43

Win%0.557

Run Diff90

RD/Game0.928

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.7167; margin adjustment: -0.301; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Andy Pages	CF	96	371	100	0.270	17	66	0.335	5	5	2	1	1	0	2	0.400	0.268	0.335	0.440	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	60	241	56	0.232	11	31	0.290	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.221	0.279	0.346	OK
Tommy Edman	LF	20	70	24	0.343	1	11	0.410	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.286	0.348	0.443	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	95	359	103	0.287	15	49	0.371	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.249	0.322	0.411	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	59	184	46	0.250	10	30	0.325	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.248	0.308	0.432	OK
Max Muncy	3B	89	296	77	0.260	18	42	0.356	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.237	0.332	0.449	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	90	332	81	0.244	7	47	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.230	0.307	0.348	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	63	225	55	0.244	8	36	0.316	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.198	0.269	0.319	OK
Shohei Ohtani	TWP	89	339	98	0.289	22	58	0.400	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.346	0.497	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	5	5	2	9	0.250

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	75	261	61	0.234	10	40	0.337	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.233	0.334	0.413	OK
José Caballero	SS	83	276	68	0.246	10	35	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.275	0.369	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	91	323	72	0.223	13	37	0.296	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.218	0.285	0.378	OK
Ben Rice	1B	91	341	96	0.282	29	67	0.374	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.288	0.375	0.617	OK
Austin Wells	C	67	196	30	0.153	6	13	0.244	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.200	0.277	0.364	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	72	209	45	0.215	9	26	0.274	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.235	0.294	0.429	OK
Max Schuemann	SS	23	54	13	0.241	2	6	0.369	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.145	0.241	0.301	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	95	351	89	0.254	11	51	0.344	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.255	0.338	0.393	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	36	136	32	0.235	5	11	0.273	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.231	0.265	0.403	OK
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	5	2	2	0	12	0.156

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Emmet Sheehan	Starter	17	79.3	4.99	1.286	10.6	93	4.2	5	2	2	0	7	84	4.2	7	2
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	42	37.1	2.67	0.809	12.4	51	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	5	1.2	1	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	43	25.2	2.86	1.548	16.1	45	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.2	1	0
Evan Phillips	Middle Reliever	3	3.0	6.00	1.333	12.0	4	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Brock Stewart	Middle Reliever	10	9.2	2.93	1.087	9.8	10	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ryan Weathers	Starter	18	94.4	4.29	1.282	10.5	110	5.0	4	3	3	1	4	89	5.0	4	3
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	37	37.9	2.85	1.161	10.7	45	1.1	2	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	45	29.8	3.02	1.678	15.4	51	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	48	38.0	1.89	1.447	12.8	54	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Paul Blackburn	Middle Reliever	33	45.0	2.40	1.200	7.4	37	0.2	3	2	2	1	1	21	0.2	1	2

Game Summary

LAD wins 5-2

Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers

MIA 52-47 (4.51 RPG / 4.29 RA)

4 - 5

MIL 61-37 (5.09 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 5-4 TARGET: MIA 4 - 5 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
MIL	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	x	5	8

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff9.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.4

Run Diff-3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record52-46

Win%0.531

Run Diff23

RD/Game0.235

MIL Season Quality

Record60-37

Win%0.619

Run Diff127

RD/Game1.309

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.2065; margin adjustment: 0.5067; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Otto Lopez	SS	96	384	129	0.336	9	45	0.370	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.267	0.308	0.443	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	66	207	49	0.237	13	36	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.248	0.314	0.503	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	73	272	64	0.235	12	42	0.318	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.219	0.284	0.410	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	97	357	108	0.303	6	37	0.383	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.272	0.355	0.381	OK
Javier Sanoja	RF	69	231	63	0.273	3	34	0.305	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.243	0.275	0.375	OK
Liam Hicks	DH	86	301	87	0.289	13	58	0.362	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.276	0.346	0.396	OK
Leo Jiménez	3B	38	109	23	0.211	2	8	0.287	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.148	0.216	0.281	OK
Esteury Ruiz	CF	42	96	23	0.240	4	9	0.302	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.193	0.242	0.368	OK
Joe Mack	C	53	159	38	0.239	7	23	0.301	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	0.000	0.213	0.264	0.365	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	6	4	4	2	5	0.188

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	62	242	58	0.240	6	31	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.237	0.314	0.374	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	63	266	74	0.278	13	37	0.330	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.287	0.400	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	86	295	79	0.268	18	59	0.373	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.258	0.373	0.516	OK
William Contreras	C	89	346	97	0.280	9	53	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.231	0.302	0.333	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	82	270	74	0.274	7	39	0.358	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.276	0.353	0.442	OK
Luis Lara	RF	5	17	5	0.294	0	2	0.400	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.244	0.348	0.371	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	25	77	19	0.247	0	7	0.348	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.272	0.363	0.384	OK
Braden Shewmake	2B	1	2	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	2	1	0	0	1	0.667	0.131	0.160	0.238
Joey Ortiz	3B	73	217	50	0.230	4	23	0.292	3	3	1	1	2	0	0	0.333	0.237	0.296	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	32	8	5	5	2	9	0.250

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Max Meyer	Starter	19	106.6	2.62	1.126	9.8	116	6.0	3	1	1	1	9	95	6.0	9	1
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	32	28.6	6.92	1.503	12.6	40	0.2	5	4	4	1	0	27	0.2	0	4
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	40	37.8	3.33	1.138	11.9	50	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Shane Drohan	Starter	19	67.2	3.21	1.250	9.0	67	5.2	5	3	3	2	5	94	5.2	5	3
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	37	37.0	1.95	0.919	11.4	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	40	36.4	2.72	1.126	8.9	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	46	51.3	3.86	1.579	13.5	77	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	38	34.4	4.45	1.424	8.4	32	0.1	1	1	1	0	0	2	0.1	0	1

Game Summary

MIL wins 5-4

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs

MIN 49-50 (4.83 RPG / 4.98 RA)

3 - 6

CHC 55-43 (5.02 RPG / 4.48 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 6-3 TARGET: MIN 3 - 6 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	6
CHC	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	x	6	6

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.5

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff15.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff1.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record48-49

Win%0.495

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.144

CHC Season Quality

Record54-42

Win%0.562

Run Diff52

RD/Game0.542

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7875; margin adjustment: 0.3307; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Austin Martin	RF	73	230	57	0.248	2	20	0.345	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.283	0.378	0.381	OK
Ryan Jeffers	DH	38	134	39	0.291	8	31	0.392	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.369	0.545	OK
Josh Bell	1B	95	347	86	0.248	13	60	0.306	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.246	0.299	0.421	OK
Victor Caratini	C	69	221	53	0.240	7	35	0.331	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.250	0.322	0.386	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	91	345	86	0.249	14	50	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.238	0.301	0.377	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	83	305	73	0.239	16	46	0.299	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.135	0.193	0.295	OK
Ryan Kreidler	SS	48	131	34	0.260	5	24	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.241	0.300	0.379	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	91	309	81	0.262	4	28	0.349	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.288	0.358	0.394	OK
Trevor Larnach	LF	78	256	74	0.289	7	32	0.375	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.184	0.274	0.342	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	7	0.182

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	96	357	104	0.291	21	53	0.388	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.253	0.350	0.445	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	81	305	82	0.269	15	48	0.349	4	4	2	1	2	0	0	0.500	0.269	0.339	0.460	OK
Michael Busch	1B	95	347	84	0.242	11	50	0.370	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.259	0.355	0.401	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	94	369	89	0.241	9	41	0.339	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.235	0.322	0.406	OK
Ian Happ	LF	91	340	76	0.224	17	42	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.337	0.398	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	94	376	89	0.237	4	38	0.305	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.225	0.283	0.320	OK
Pedro Ramirez	DH	24	57	14	0.246	1	7	0.290	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.143	0.201	0.284	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	91	312	66	0.212	16	58	0.294	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.212	0.282	0.356	OK
Miguel Amaya	C	43	131	30	0.229	3	13	0.331	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.297	0.340	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	29	6	6	6	5	7	0.207

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Taj Bradley	Starter	18	100.8	3.66	1.240	10.5	118	6.0	6	4	4	5	5	114	6.0	5	4
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	31	23.6	1.91	1.144	9.9	26	0.2	0	2	2	0	2	14	0.2	2	2
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	36	40.7	3.76	1.425	10.6	48	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Tommy Nance	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	4.29	1.905	12.9	3	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	7	0.0	0	0

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Matthew Boyd	Starter	9	43.9	4.72	1.344	9.6	47	5.1	6	2	2	1	4	93	5.1	4	2
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	42	36.9	3.41	1.436	11.7	48	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	18	1.0	2	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	25	26.9	2.68	1.078	4.3	13	1.1	0	1	1	2	0	25	1.1	0	1
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	31	22.3	4.84	1.525	14.1	35	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 6-3

New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies

NYM 41-58 (4.07 RPG / 4.75 RA)

1 - 3

PHI 55-44 (4.35 RPG / 4.43 RA)

WINNER: PHI wins 3-1 TARGET: NYM 1 - 3 PHI (PHI) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
NYM	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	7

NYM Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-7.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

PHI Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.0

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-16.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYM Season Quality

Record41-57

Win%0.418

Run Diff-62

RD/Game-0.633

PHI Season Quality

Record54-44

Win%0.551

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.133

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.699; margin adjustment: 0.2936; applied: True

NYM Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Francisco Lindor	SS	40	157	33	0.210	5	12	0.291	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.214	0.277	0.366	OK
Juan Soto	DH	78	274	81	0.296	21	51	0.414	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.257	0.390	0.488	OK
Bo Bichette	3B	95	381	96	0.252	10	51	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.225	0.262	0.319	OK
Francisco Alvarez	C	63	211	54	0.256	11	24	0.322	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.264	0.323	0.471	OK
Carson Benge	RF	93	356	94	0.264	11	37	0.326	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.249	0.309	0.366	OK
Marcus Semien	2B	79	286	62	0.217	9	29	0.275	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.201	0.258	0.315	OK
Tyrone Taylor	LF	47	118	25	0.212	5	16	0.244	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.233	0.270	0.462	OK
A.J. Ewing	CF	58	201	55	0.274	7	25	0.347	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.315	0.416	OK
Eric Wagaman	1B	16	34	6	0.176	2	4	0.243	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.110	0.182	0.191	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	6	1	1	2	10	0.167

PHI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trea Turner	SS	92	386	92	0.238	11	34	0.283	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.216	0.266	0.347	OK
Kyle Schwarber	DH	92	352	89	0.253	31	58	0.361	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.249	0.340	0.456	OK
Bryce Harper	1B	96	341	89	0.261	20	57	0.368	4	3	0	1	1	0	3	0.000	0.235	0.345	0.408	OK
Alec Bohm	3B	92	343	73	0.213	11	46	0.276	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.195	0.246	0.313	OK
Edmundo Sosa	LF	51	147	32	0.218	5	25	0.253	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.138	0.170	0.247	OK
Brandon Marsh	RF	91	339	101	0.298	15	46	0.336	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.241	0.287	0.375	OK
J.T. Realmuto	C	67	231	48	0.208	7	33	0.286	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.236	0.292	0.409	OK
Derek Hill	CF	18	52	17	0.327	3	8	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.172	0.206	0.305	OK
Bryson Stott	2B	91	320	79	0.247	7	41	0.306	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.242	0.298	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	7	3	3	1	11	0.200

NYM Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sean Manaea	Starter	20	72.2	4.74	1.371	9.2	74	5.2	4	2	2	1	8	87	5.2	8	2
Devin Williams	Middle Reliever	35	30.1	4.49	1.661	13.5	45	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Luke Weaver	Middle Reliever	38	37.9	2.14	0.871	10.2	43	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	20	1.1	0	1
Brooks Raley	Middle Reliever	40	30.3	2.38	1.353	11.0	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Cionel Pérez	Reliever	15	17.9	6.03	1.620	11.6	23	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	15	0.2	0	0

PHI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jesús Luzardo	Starter	19	107.3	3.61	1.258	11.4	136	6.0	5	1	1	1	5	101	6.0	5	1
Jhoan Duran	Middle Reliever	33	32.2	0.84	0.839	14.0	50	2.0	0	0	0	1	2	29	2.0	2	0
Orion Kerkering	Middle Reliever	39	33.5	2.69	1.284	11.0	41	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Jonathan Bowlan	Middle Reliever	34	27.7	3.25	1.227	12.3	38	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15	1.0	3	0

Game Summary

PHI wins 3-1 (Extra Innings - 10)

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians

PIT 51-47 (5.34 RPG / 4.83 RA)

4 - 2

CLE 51-47 (3.94 RPG / 4.02 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-2 TARGET: PIT 4 - 2 CLE (PIT) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4	6
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	6

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.8

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff22.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed1.5

Run Diff22.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record50-47

Win%0.515

Run Diff44

RD/Game0.454

CLE Season Quality

Record51-46

Win%0.526

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.021

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4588; margin adjustment: -0.1927; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	67	229	71	0.310	2	19	0.359	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.302	0.341	0.439	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	90	357	88	0.246	21	64	0.316	5	5	1	1	2	0	1	0.200	0.246	0.305	0.423	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	97	350	99	0.283	14	59	0.400	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.271	0.372	0.484	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	28	94	29	0.309	10	27	0.371	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0.250	0.279	0.344	0.628	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	80	306	88	0.288	16	63	0.347	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.258	0.313	0.431	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	90	338	104	0.308	4	43	0.368	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.275	0.343	0.379	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	1B	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.302	0.366
Jared Triolo	SS	59	193	45	0.233	1	16	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.221	0.275	0.317	OK
Henry Davis	C	53	163	27	0.166	8	27	0.263	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.207	0.289	0.379	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	6	4	4	1	11	0.167

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	65	244	58	0.238	7	28	0.330	5	5	1	1	1	0	1	0.200	0.219	0.303	0.343	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	93	318	88	0.277	8	44	0.340	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.270	0.316	0.446	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	78	296	83	0.280	11	46	0.345	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.263	0.329	0.486	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	86	270	58	0.215	10	30	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.200	0.282	0.309	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	72	214	38	0.178	9	30	0.309	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.324	0.447	OK
Kahlil Watson	CF	23	77	17	0.221	1	10	0.250	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.220	0.252	0.331	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	27	89	22	0.247	5	10	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.247	0.278	0.414	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	32	96	21	0.219	2	10	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.257	0.343	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	86	296	67	0.226	1	16	0.328	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.249	0.350	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	6	2	2	2	5	0.167

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	8	34.3	4.46	1.166	10.2	39	5.0	2	0	0	2	3	77	5.0	3	0
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	39	37.9	3.56	1.029	10.4	44	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	6	2.0	2	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	37	30.7	4.40	1.498	16.1	55	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	40	47.0	3.64	1.468	11.1	58	1.1	1	1	1	0	0	12	1.1	0	1
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	41	38.0	5.68	1.447	8.8	37	0.2	3	1	1	0	0	18	0.2	0	1
Brandon Eisert	Reliever	2	1.1	0.00	2.727	0.0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	20	0.0	0	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	19	111.7	3.87	1.164	10.8	134	5.2	4	2	2	0	7	95	5.2	7	2
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	42	42.0	3.00	1.167	13.5	63	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	25	2.0	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	35	26.0	2.77	1.423	10.0	29	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	1.79	0.894	11.6	39	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	24	1.1	1	2

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-2 (Extra Innings - 10)

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians

PIT 51-47 (5.34 RPG / 4.83 RA)

4 - 3

CLE 51-47 (3.94 RPG / 4.02 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 4 - 3 CLE (PIT) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	10
CLE	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.8

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff22.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed1.5

Run Diff22.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record50-47

Win%0.515

Run Diff44

RD/Game0.454

CLE Season Quality

Record51-46

Win%0.526

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.021

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4588; margin adjustment: -0.1927; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	67	229	71	0.310	2	19	0.359	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.302	0.341	0.439	OK
Brandon Lowe	2B	90	357	88	0.246	21	64	0.316	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.246	0.306	0.423	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	97	350	99	0.283	14	59	0.400	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.272	0.373	0.484	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	RF	28	94	29	0.309	10	27	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.344	0.628	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	DH	80	306	88	0.288	16	63	0.347	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.258	0.313	0.431	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	90	338	104	0.308	4	43	0.368	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.275	0.343	0.379	OK
Tyler Callihan	1B	28	78	19	0.244	3	15	0.326	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.153	0.231	0.298	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.239	0.298	0.356
Henry Davis	C	53	163	27	0.166	8	27	0.263	4	4	0	1	1	0	2	0.000	0.207	0.289	0.379	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	37	10	4	4	2	10	0.270

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Travis Bazzana	2B	65	244	58	0.238	7	28	0.330	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.219	0.303	0.343	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	93	318	88	0.277	8	44	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.316	0.447	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	78	296	83	0.280	11	46	0.345	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.263	0.329	0.487	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	86	270	58	0.215	10	30	0.307	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.200	0.283	0.310	OK
Rhys Hoskins	DH	72	214	38	0.178	9	30	0.309	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.209	0.324	0.448	OK
Kahlil Watson	CF	23	77	17	0.221	1	10	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.220	0.252	0.331	OK
Gabriel Arias	3B	27	89	22	0.247	5	10	0.280	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.247	0.278	0.414	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	32	96	21	0.219	2	10	0.262	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.209	0.258	0.343	OK
Steven Kwan	LF	86	296	67	0.226	1	16	0.328	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.249	0.350	0.334	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	33	6	3	3	4	8	0.182

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Mason Montgomery	Starter	37	30.7	4.40	1.498	16.1	55	5.0	3	2	2	2	7	80	5.0	7	2
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	39	37.9	3.56	1.029	10.4	44	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20	1.0	0	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	40	47.0	3.64	1.468	11.1	58	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
Dennis Santana	Middle Reliever	41	38.0	5.68	1.447	8.8	37	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Carmen Mlodzinski	Middle Reliever	20	78.1	3.34	1.408	7.4	64	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	29	0.2	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	19	111.7	3.87	1.164	10.8	134	5.2	8	4	4	2	6	103	5.2	6	4
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	42	42.0	3.00	1.167	13.5	63	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1.0	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	35	26.0	2.77	1.423	10.0	29	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	19	1.0	2	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	1.79	0.894	11.6	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Shawn Armstrong	Middle Reliever	32	24.3	3.33	1.481	10.4	28	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	16	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals

SD 48-50 (3.94 RPG / 4.44 RA)

3 - 4

KC 40-59 (4.28 RPG / 5.11 RA)

WINNER: KC wins 4-3 TARGET: SD 3 - 4 KC (KC) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	8
KC	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	x	4	10

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.3

Run Diff-4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-2.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record48-48

Win%0.500

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.448

KC Season Quality

Record38-59

Win%0.392

Run Diff-88

RD/Game-0.907

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6217; margin adjustment: -0.2611; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	95	377	106	0.281	5	35	0.344	5	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.264	0.320	0.367	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	93	365	79	0.216	10	38	0.274	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.218	0.275	0.324	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	92	321	72	0.224	9	38	0.315	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.217	0.302	0.334	OK
Manny Machado	3B	94	344	69	0.201	19	55	0.289	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.249	0.330	0.434	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	90	284	62	0.218	14	40	0.319	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.194	0.304	0.333	OK
Ty France	1B	65	209	56	0.268	12	34	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.283	0.321	0.529	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	46	147	28	0.190	3	12	0.279	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.229	0.290	0.327	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	70	231	62	0.268	5	22	0.305	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.275	0.305	0.463	OK
Freddy Fermin	C	46	138	21	0.152	3	11	0.247	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.180	0.263	0.308	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	35	8	3	3	2	9	0.229

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	88	313	76	0.243	13	51	0.311	4	3	1	1	2	1	1	0.333	0.223	0.292	0.383	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	91	361	102	0.283	13	38	0.350	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.243	0.306	0.412	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	90	320	82	0.256	15	35	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.167	0.215	0.313	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	78	235	56	0.238	8	31	0.336	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.263	0.346	0.480	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	70	260	58	0.223	6	32	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.314	0.339	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	89	348	74	0.213	11	37	0.256	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.221	0.253	0.349	OK
Michael Massey	2B	75	232	62	0.267	7	33	0.305	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.266	0.311	0.401	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	58	180	44	0.244	4	29	0.329	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.240	0.310	0.398	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	84	268	64	0.239	5	29	0.344	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.233	0.321	0.399	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	10	4	4	2	7	0.294

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Canning	Starter	13	53.1	6.78	1.676	9.3	55	4.1	10	4	4	2	6	93	4.1	6	4
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	39	38.1	0.94	0.892	17.7	75	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	2.0	1	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	45	45.0	4.00	1.289	11.8	59	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Randy Dobnak	Starter	2	9.2	1.96	1.413	3.9	4	4.2	3	0	0	2	4	85	4.2	4	0
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	38	35.5	6.59	1.662	9.4	37	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	22	1.0	1	1
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	39	33.9	2.65	1.062	8.8	33	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17	1.1	2	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	38	35.9	4.76	1.588	6.8	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16	1.0	2	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	41	31.5	4.00	1.524	8.0	28	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

KC wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners

SF 43-55 (4.17 RPG / 4.7 RA)

3 - 4

SEA 48-50 (4.0 RPG / 3.91 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 4-3 TARGET: SF 3 - 4 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 60.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
SEA	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	x	4	8

SF Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff10.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.5

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff-3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record42-55

Win%0.433

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.608

SEA Season Quality

Record48-49

Win%0.495

Run Diff16

RD/Game0.165

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.866; margin adjustment: 0.3637; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	92	364	122	0.335	4	34	0.373	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.298	0.345	0.418	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	56	194	53	0.273	9	23	0.366	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.256	0.347	0.482	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	88	352	99	0.281	19	49	0.309	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.273	0.296	0.489	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	97	367	91	0.248	19	52	0.320	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.243	0.323	0.462	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	58	223	60	0.269	8	28	0.302	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.260	0.291	0.432	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	88	331	103	0.311	5	33	0.344	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.268	0.295	0.388	OK
Willy Adames	SS	92	360	83	0.231	16	41	0.280	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.281	0.428	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	69	193	45	0.233	4	20	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.220	0.267	0.358	OK
Daniel Susac	C	33	104	27	0.260	0	14	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.203	0.244	0.288	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	3	3	3	9	0.188

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	80	287	62	0.216	10	28	0.333	5	3	2	1	0	2	0	0.667	0.228	0.329	0.351	OK
Julio Rodríguez	DH	86	344	89	0.259	14	40	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.274	0.326	0.391	OK
Dominic Canzone	RF	82	230	60	0.261	15	40	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.245	0.304	0.472	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	90	329	93	0.283	11	45	0.376	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.252	0.331	0.460	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	91	356	90	0.253	8	36	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.246	0.303	0.336	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	66	245	41	0.167	9	29	0.271	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.190	0.297	0.309	OK
Cole Young	2B	98	351	88	0.251	11	43	0.311	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0.333	0.227	0.276	0.388	OK
Luke Raley	CF	81	239	55	0.230	14	36	0.288	4	4	2	1	3	0	2	0.500	0.224	0.258	0.376	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	46	147	29	0.197	7	20	0.270	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.191	0.257	0.324	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	8	4	4	5	10	0.250

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Webb	Starter	16	100.1	3.87	1.159	7.2	80	6.1	4	3	3	5	8	112	6.1	8	3
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	38	34.1	4.49	1.437	12.7	48	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	16	0.0	0	1
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	31	22.9	3.54	1.659	14.9	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	30	43.5	3.10	1.218	6.8	33	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	12	0.2	1	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	31	28.5	3.47	1.123	8.2	26	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	0.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryan Woo	Starter	18	103.4	4.26	1.083	8.9	102	5.2	5	3	3	3	6	104	5.2	6	3
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	36	32.7	3.85	1.284	14.0	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	44	35.1	3.33	1.538	8.7	34	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	44	34.8	2.84	1.466	10.3	40	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 4-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks

STL 51-46 (4.51 RPG / 4.45 RA)

3 - 4

ARI 50-48 (4.34 RPG / 4.46 RA)

WINNER: ARI wins 4-3 TARGET: STL 3 - 4 ARI (ARI) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	7
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	x	4	8

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.4

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed0.4

Run Diff33.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record50-45

Win%0.526

Run Diff6

RD/Game0.063

ARI Season Quality

Record49-47

Win%0.510

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.135

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2224; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	89	350	92	0.263	14	36	0.360	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.246	0.320	0.400	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	95	347	84	0.242	11	40	0.371	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.215	0.297	0.325	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	94	359	97	0.270	15	66	0.334	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.236	0.298	0.405	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	93	356	105	0.295	21	71	0.357	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.268	0.330	0.481	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	33	108	28	0.259	3	12	0.352	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.236	0.331	0.412	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	85	315	77	0.244	4	41	0.311	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.219	0.284	0.308	OK
Nathan Church	CF	72	241	56	0.232	8	27	0.273	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.184	0.224	0.297	OK
José Fermín	3B	59	162	43	0.265	4	20	0.310	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.256	0.302	0.392	OK
Pedro Pagés	C	48	146	31	0.212	4	11	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.186	0.217	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	2	6	0.206

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.151	0.205	0.274	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.222	0.345	0.331	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.274	0.326	0.457	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.199	0.255	0.312	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.279	0.355	0.462	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.292	0.343	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	1	1	2	0	3	0.250	0.279	0.357	0.542	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.244	0.309	0.402
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.667	0.199	0.246	0.289	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	4	4	3	8	0.250

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dustin May	Starter	18	90.9	4.65	1.287	8.8	89	4.2	3	0	0	1	5	87	4.2	5	0
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	40	38.7	3.49	1.189	9.3	40	1.0	2	2	2	2	2	27	1.0	2	2
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	42	35.5	3.80	1.268	9.1	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Ryne Stanek	Middle Reliever	40	30.6	5.29	1.732	11.8	40	1.1	2	2	2	0	1	23	1.1	1	2

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	2	0	0	0	5	95	6.2	5	0
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	2	3	3	2	0	19	0.1	0	3
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

ARI wins 4-3

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox

TB 56-41 (4.47 RPG / 4.28 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 49-48 (4.2 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: TB 3 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H
TB	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	9
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	7

TB Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.1

Avg Allowed4.9

Run Diff-18.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed1.3

Run Diff43.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record56-40

Win%0.583

Run Diff20

RD/Game0.208

BOS Season Quality

Record48-48

Win%0.500

Run Diff39

RD/Game0.406

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0729; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	92	353	111	0.314	13	55	0.391	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	0.200	0.242	0.298	0.374	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	53	173	44	0.254	5	27	0.291	5	5	2	1	0	0	2	0.400	0.223	0.262	0.369	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	96	363	102	0.281	29	60	0.372	5	3	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.249	0.341	0.499	OK
Ryan Vilade	1B	51	145	37	0.255	7	30	0.317	5	5	2	1	2	0	0	0.400	0.223	0.283	0.429	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	86	333	92	0.276	0	17	0.310	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.171	0.206	0.263	OK
Ben Williamson	SS	66	205	51	0.249	2	22	0.312	5	5	3	1	1	0	1	0.600	0.262	0.315	0.357	OK
Victor Mesa Jr.	RF	29	89	19	0.213	5	12	0.304	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.232	0.319	0.426	OK
Nick Fortes	C	70	209	53	0.254	2	19	0.299	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.232	0.258	0.339	OK
Richie Palacios	2B	67	198	47	0.237	3	27	0.333	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.147	0.243	0.277	OK
TEAM TOTALS									44	39	9	3	3	5	11	0.231

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	24	82	22	0.268	2	7	0.344	5	4	1	1	0	1	2	0.250	0.160	0.237	0.300	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	90	351	98	0.279	8	40	0.325	5	4	1	1	1	1	1	0.250	0.253	0.289	0.408	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	94	361	95	0.263	13	46	0.334	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.255	0.330	0.494	OK
Willson Contreras	1B	87	316	90	0.285	21	62	0.376	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.271	0.342	0.558	OK
Romy Gonzalez	DH	12	42	9	0.214	1	5	0.298	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.223	0.289	0.372	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	87	293	70	0.239	9	40	0.303	5	3	2	1	3	2	0	0.667	0.275	0.329	0.410	OK
Andruw Monasterio	SS	54	157	36	0.229	5	16	0.275	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.161	0.219	0.360	OK
Jahmai Jones	LF	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.091	0.154	0.154
Carlos Narváez	C	51	158	32	0.203	3	9	0.269	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.273	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	7	4	4	5	8	0.189

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Ian Seymour	Starter	32	59.3	4.25	1.180	11.4	75	5.0	2	0	0	4	5	85	5.0	5	0
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	38	35.4	1.78	0.847	10.4	41	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	41	37.8	2.86	1.085	7.6	32	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	31	25.1	3.94	1.434	13.6	38	1.0	1	2	2	0	1	16	1.0	1	2
Casey Legumina	Middle Reliever	22	23.7	3.42	1.308	7.2	19	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	18	0.2	0	0
Chris Roycroft	Reliever	4	8.0	6.75	1.375	10.1	9	0.2	3	2	2	0	1	22	0.2	1	2

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Patrick Sandoval	Starter	1	4.1	2.20	1.463	11.0	5	4.1	3	1	1	4	6	92	4.1	6	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	30	29.2	1.23	1.062	11.7	38	1.1	0	0	0	1	1	21	1.1	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	35	33.3	2.16	0.961	10.3	38	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	27	18.9	6.67	1.852	15.2	32	1.0	3	1	1	0	2	22	1.0	2	1
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	20	15.9	2.83	1.321	13.6	24	2.1	2	1	1	0	2	44	2.1	2	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3 (Extra Innings - 10)

Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves

TEX 50-48 (4.15 RPG / 4.44 RA)

0 - 7

ATL 56-42 (4.93 RPG / 3.91 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 7-0 TARGET: TEX 0 - 7 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
ATL	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	x	7	11

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed6.4

Run Diff-25.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs6.2

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff17.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record49-48

Win%0.505

Run Diff-29

RD/Game-0.299

ATL Season Quality

Record56-41

Win%0.577

Run Diff101

RD/Game1.041

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.4485; margin adjustment: 0.6084; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Joc Pederson	DH	87	251	59	0.235	15	34	0.332	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.144	0.253	0.320	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	45	181	49	0.271	9	22	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.238	0.284	0.426	OK
Josh Jung	3B	88	340	100	0.294	9	34	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.323	0.408	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	91	349	92	0.264	9	34	0.331	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.262	0.313	0.454	OK
Jake Burger	1B	93	342	81	0.237	16	58	0.301	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.201	0.257	0.366	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	86	299	80	0.268	10	50	0.321	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.158	0.226	0.343	OK
Evan Carter	CF	78	224	42	0.188	7	22	0.296	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.142	0.243	0.252	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	39	114	37	0.325	1	13	0.358	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.168	0.199	0.233	OK
Kyle Higashioka	C	50	159	35	0.220	7	17	0.299	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.138	0.215	0.270	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	31	4	0	0	2	7	0.129

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	DH	74	284	75	0.264	17	52	0.354	5	3	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.278	0.357	0.456	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	97	372	100	0.269	14	52	0.322	5	4	3	1	0	1	1	0.750	0.247	0.304	0.383	OK
Matt Olson	1B	97	375	101	0.269	26	59	0.344	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.256	0.333	0.521	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	90	341	102	0.299	16	56	0.329	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.266	0.291	0.432	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	93	349	94	0.269	10	53	0.322	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0.600	0.249	0.292	0.407	OK
Eli White	RF	48	115	26	0.226	4	15	0.274	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0.000	0.243	0.294	0.434	OK
Austin Riley	3B	97	349	73	0.209	10	43	0.289	4	3	2	1	5	1	1	0.667	0.226	0.291	0.377	OK
Joey Bart	C	12	31	4	0.129	2	6	0.229	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.210	0.237	0.386	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	11	35	11	0.314	1	4	0.333	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.297	0.465	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	35	11	7	7	6	6	0.314

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	20	102.9	4.72	1.312	10.1	115	5.1	6	2	2	4	6	113	5.1	6	2
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	34	42.1	1.07	0.618	9.8	46	1.1	1	2	2	1	0	24	1.1	0	2
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	27	29.7	3.94	1.380	11.2	37	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	36	28.2	7.02	1.560	10.5	33	0.0	2	2	2	0	0	15	0.0	0	2
Tyler Alexander	Middle Reliever	42	35.3	2.55	1.473	9.7	38	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	14	0.1	0	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Owen Murphy	Starter	2	4.0	2.25	0.250	9.0	4	3.0	2	0	0	1	6	56	3.0	6	0
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	31	31.4	2.29	1.115	10.3	36	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	44	37.4	1.68	0.749	12.8	53	1.1	1	0	0	1	0	24	1.1	0	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	38	29.7	3.94	1.347	10.6	35	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	28	2.0	1	0
Didier Fuentes	Middle Reliever	31	33.6	2.95	1.339	11.8	44	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 7-0

Washington Nationals @ Oakland Athletics

WAS 49-49 (5.5 RPG / 5.23 RA)

6 - 4

OAK 41-56 (4.39 RPG / 5.68 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 6-4 TARGET: WAS 6 - 4 OAK (WAS) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	4	0	0	1	1	0	0	6	11
OAK	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs6.5

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff9.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.000

Avg Runs2.5

Avg Allowed8.4

Run Diff-59.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record48-49

Win%0.495

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.072

OAK Season Quality

Record41-55

Win%0.427

Run Diff-106

RD/Game-1.104

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.278; margin adjustment: -0.5367; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	RF	98	374	104	0.278	28	66	0.409	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.309	0.434	0.658	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	90	303	86	0.284	20	68	0.317	5	4	2	1	0	1	2	0.500	0.202	0.246	0.406	OK
José Tena	DH	70	171	42	0.246	5	20	0.310	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	0.400	0.317	0.367	0.566	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	94	350	97	0.277	20	68	0.352	5	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.282	0.341	0.498	OK
Keibert Ruiz	C	61	200	55	0.275	7	35	0.302	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.273	0.298	0.471	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	96	376	93	0.247	11	48	0.298	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.248	0.286	0.438	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	84	271	67	0.247	1	28	0.330	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.275	0.353	0.356	OK
Jorbit Vivas	3B	68	182	43	0.236	3	16	0.316	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.223	0.303	0.326	OK
Dylan Crews	CF	47	180	38	0.211	6	19	0.272	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0.667	0.199	0.255	0.318	OK
TEAM TOTALS									43	37	11	6	6	4	4	0.297

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jacob Wilson	SS	57	227	64	0.282	4	26	0.314	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.269	0.300	0.370	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	85	302	73	0.242	15	44	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.235	0.325	0.487	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	87	354	91	0.257	22	47	0.323	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.226	0.279	0.455	OK
Carlos Cortes	RF	72	208	58	0.279	6	23	0.352	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.173	0.237	0.284	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	3B	13	49	21	0.429	0	1	0.440	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.298	0.304	0.461	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	1	3	0	0.000	0	0	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.243	0.297	0.413
Jonah Heim	DH	39	125	29	0.232	8	21	0.281	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.225	0.274	0.394	OK
Lawrence Butler	CF	83	244	48	0.197	5	22	0.292	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.199	0.297	0.294	OK
Jeff McNeil	1B	84	265	60	0.226	3	26	0.288	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.208	0.257	0.291	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	33	6	4	4	2	4	0.182

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Zack Littell	Starter	19	88.6	4.98	1.332	5.8	57	4.2	5	3	3	2	2	82	4.2	2	3
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	28	24.3	3.33	1.358	11.5	31	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	20	1.1	0	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	35	30.6	3.24	1.569	7.4	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	30	25.1	4.30	1.355	8.2	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Justin Lawrence	Middle Reliever	7	4.7	5.74	2.979	11.5	6	1.0	0	1	1	0	1	4	1.0	1	1

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
J.T. Ginn	Starter	21	100.2	3.77	1.287	8.4	93	5.1	3	4	4	4	2	93	5.1	2	4
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	25	23.6	5.72	1.314	13.3	35	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	22	1.0	0	1
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	45	33.6	4.29	1.935	15.0	56	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	29	39.4	3.43	1.421	11.6	51	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	25	1.1	1	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	35	29.4	4.90	1.429	11.0	36	0.1	2	0	0	0	1	13	0.1	1	0

Game Summary

WAS wins 6-4

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros

BAL Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

CHW Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

TOR Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies

CIN Recent Form

COL Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels

DET Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

DET Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees

LAD Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers

MIA Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs

MIN Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies