MLB Predictions — July 17, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
BAL @ HOU	5 - 2	5 - 2	BAL	BAL	BAL wins 5-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CHW @ TOR	2 - 1	2 - 1	CHW	CHW	CHW wins 2-1	51%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
CIN @ COL	2 - 5	2 - 5	COL	COL	COL wins 5-2	55%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
DET @ LAA	4 - 2	4 - 2	DET	DET	DET wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
LAD @ NYY	3 - 4	3 - 4	NYY	NYY	NYY wins 4-3	57%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIA @ MIL	2 - 4	2 - 4	MIL	MIL	MIL wins 4-2	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
MIN @ CHC	2 - 4	2 - 4	CHC	CHC	CHC wins 4-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
PIT @ CLE	4 - 3	4 - 3	PIT	PIT	PIT wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SD @ KC	4 - 3	4 - 3	SD	SD	SD wins 4-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
SF @ SEA	1 - 5	1 - 5	SEA	SEA	SEA wins 5-1	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
STL @ ARI	4 - 2	4 - 2	STL	STL	STL wins 4-2	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ BOS	2 - 3	2 - 3	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 3-2	65%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TB @ BOS	3 - 4	3 - 4	BOS	BOS	BOS wins 4-3	64%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
TEX @ ATL	2 - 6	2 - 6	ATL	ATL	ATL wins 6-2	63%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength
WAS @ OAK	5 - 3	5 - 3	WAS	WAS	WAS wins 5-3	66%	enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros

BAL 46-51 (4.61 RPG / 4.8 RA)

5 - 2

HOU 47-51 (4.58 RPG / 5.06 RA)

WINNER: BAL wins 5-2 TARGET: BAL 5 - 2 HOU (BAL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
BAL	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	5	7
HOU	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	9

BAL Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed3.0

Run Diff14.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

HOU Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed5.6

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

BAL Season Quality

Record46-51

Win%0.474

Run Diff-19

RD/Game-0.196

HOU Season Quality

Record47-51

Win%0.480

Run Diff-47

RD/Game-0.480

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2757; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Gunnar Henderson	SS	94	389	87	0.224	16	42	0.293	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.228	0.279	0.377	OK
Adley Rutschman	C	64	239	61	0.255	8	47	0.325	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.323	0.395	OK
Taylor Ward	LF	94	351	90	0.256	6	24	0.387	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.268	0.397	0.404	OK
Pete Alonso	1B	95	355	91	0.256	21	65	0.348	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.259	0.345	0.486	OK
Samuel Basallo	DH	80	273	68	0.249	16	46	0.305	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.240	0.294	0.475	OK
Dylan Beavers	RF	40	127	30	0.236	2	12	0.310	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.248	0.310	0.377	OK
Colton Cowser	CF	75	195	42	0.215	7	24	0.302	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.206	0.292	0.305	OK
Coby Mayo	3B	69	219	43	0.196	12	34	0.269	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.227	0.291	0.473	OK
Jackson Holliday	2B	42	118	25	0.212	5	15	0.307	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.247	0.343	0.378	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	7	5	5	2	12	0.212

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jeremy Peña	SS	50	195	56	0.287	6	22	0.347	5	4	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.261	0.307	0.363	OK
Yordan Alvarez	DH	95	345	111	0.322	31	70	0.430	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.288	0.389	0.578	OK
Isaac Paredes	3B	90	327	81	0.248	12	49	0.345	5	5	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.250	0.323	0.388	OK
Christian Walker	1B	95	355	85	0.239	20	58	0.316	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.220	0.284	0.396	OK
Jose Altuve	2B	74	285	67	0.235	11	27	0.307	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.232	0.295	0.422	OK
LaMonte Wade Jr.	LF	10	32	8	0.250	2	8	0.294	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.245	0.289	0.434	OK
Cam Smith	RF	93	321	70	0.218	12	33	0.292	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.213	0.284	0.368	OK
Christian Vázquez	C	58	173	38	0.220	5	22	0.273	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.229	0.282	0.366	OK
Brice Matthews	CF	71	204	39	0.191	7	21	0.242	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.197	0.253	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	9	2	2	2	9	0.257

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Dean Kremer	Starter	4	22.0	4.09	1.000	9.8	24	5.1	9	2	2	2	5	109	5.1	5	2
Andrew Kittredge	Middle Reliever	29	22.2	4.86	1.441	9.3	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0
Tyler Wells	Middle Reliever	35	41.4	3.26	1.111	10.0	46	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Rico Garcia	Middle Reliever	44	36.9	2.93	0.949	10.5	43	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Peter Lambert	Starter	15	83.9	3.22	1.144	8.7	81	5.2	4	3	3	2	6	95	5.2	6	3
Josh Hader	Middle Reliever	16	15.1	0.60	0.728	14.9	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Bryan King	Middle Reliever	40	38.1	3.31	1.470	7.8	33	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Steven Okert	Middle Reliever	46	39.9	2.71	0.977	10.6	47	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16	1.0	3	0
Bryan Abreu	Middle Reliever	33	28.2	6.38	1.773	12.8	40	0.1	2	2	2	0	1	15	0.1	1	2

Game Summary

BAL wins 5-2

Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

CHW 50-45 (4.78 RPG / 4.41 RA)

2 - 1

TOR 45-51 (4.08 RPG / 4.45 RA)

WINNER: CHW wins 2-1 TARGET: CHW 2 - 1 TOR (CHW) Confidence: 51.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3
TOR	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	7

CHW Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs0.3

Avg Allowed3.2

Run Diff-29.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TOR Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.2

Run Diff4.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CHW Season Quality

Record50-45

Win%0.526

Run Diff35

RD/Game0.368

TOR Season Quality

Record45-51

Win%0.469

Run Diff-35

RD/Game-0.365

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.8194; margin adjustment: -0.3441; applied: True

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Tristan Peters	CF	68	194	56	0.289	3	24	0.344	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.172	0.230	0.330	OK
Colson Montgomery	SS	74	271	59	0.218	20	45	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.208	0.278	0.442	OK
Chase Meidroth	2B	74	281	76	0.270	6	25	0.334	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.295	0.347	OK
Munetaka Murakami	IF	56	198	48	0.242	20	41	0.381	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.247	0.376	0.533	OK
Kyle Teel	C	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.310	0.405
Miguel Vargas	3B	75	275	65	0.236	16	44	0.350	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.222	0.315	0.385	OK
Braden Montgomery	OF	12	42	11	0.262	1	5	0.311	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.243	0.296	0.430	OK
Sam Antonacci	SS	58	199	58	0.291	4	22	0.391	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.281	0.341	0.467	OK
Andrew Benintendi	DH	69	214	50	0.234	9	37	0.292	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.217	0.276	0.452	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	3	2	2	4	8	0.100

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ernie Clement	SS	93	358	106	0.296	8	32	0.318	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.271	0.295	0.407	OK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	90	336	88	0.262	6	41	0.341	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.242	0.321	0.392	OK
Kazuma Okamoto	3B	92	339	81	0.239	22	62	0.319	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.243	0.314	0.467	OK
George Springer	LF	66	257	56	0.218	9	22	0.303	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.212	0.282	0.365	OK
Alejandro Kirk	C	25	89	18	0.202	2	9	0.265	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.222	0.285	0.342	OK
Daulton Varsho	CF	77	279	67	0.240	7	24	0.306	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.209	0.273	0.328	OK
Brandon Valenzuela	DH	54	162	39	0.241	7	20	0.322	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.227	0.306	0.348	OK
Luis Urías	2B	10	24	7	0.292	1	2	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.231	0.308	0.355	OK
Myles Straw	RF	67	146	34	0.233	3	15	0.283	3	3	1	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.188	0.237	0.282	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	34	7	1	1	1	7	0.206

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Davis Martin	Starter	14	79.8	3.38	1.216	9.4	83	6.0	5	0	0	0	5	94	6.0	5	0
Grant Taylor	Middle Reliever	6	6.1	1.48	1.311	11.8	8	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Sean Newcomb	Middle Reliever	1	2.1	8.57	1.905	4.3	1	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	8	0.2	0	0
Seranthony Domínguez	Middle Reliever	2	1.1	16.36	3.636	0.0	0	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16	1.0	1	1

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Spencer Miles	Starter	26	55.1	3.10	1.198	9.3	57	5.0	0	2	2	3	7	85	5.0	7	2
Louis Varland	Middle Reliever	44	45.5	1.19	1.055	13.3	67	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Tyler Rogers	Middle Reliever	45	40.4	1.78	1.213	4.9	22	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	24	1.1	1	0
Jeff Hoffman	Middle Reliever	44	36.9	5.12	1.572	15.6	64	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

CHW wins 2-1

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies

CIN 43-52 (4.16 RPG / 4.79 RA)

2 - 5

COL 39-59 (4.76 RPG / 5.66 RA)

WINNER: COL wins 5-2 TARGET: CIN 2 - 5 COL (COL) Confidence: 55.2% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	8
COL	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	5	7

CIN Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed3.5

Run Diff2.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

COL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.6

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff0.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CIN Season Quality

Record43-52

Win%0.453

Run Diff-60

RD/Game-0.632

COL Season Quality

Record39-59

Win%0.398

Run Diff-89

RD/Game-0.908

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.3586; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Elly De La Cruz	SS	75	299	83	0.278	15	44	0.351	5	5	3	1	2	0	1	0.600	0.265	0.336	0.496	OK
Sal Stewart	1B	94	359	93	0.259	19	65	0.341	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.255	0.327	0.490	OK
JJ Bleday	LF	66	237	58	0.245	16	43	0.351	5	4	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.257	0.353	0.519	OK
Spencer Steer	RF	89	314	78	0.248	14	37	0.328	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.274	0.341	0.422	OK
Eugenio Suárez	DH	66	238	50	0.210	11	35	0.284	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.225	0.297	0.428	OK
Tyler Stephenson	C	71	227	54	0.238	6	24	0.319	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	0.500	0.265	0.335	0.381	OK
TJ Friedl	CF	57	187	34	0.182	3	11	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.217	0.279	0.329	OK
Edwin Arroyo	2B	30	100	24	0.240	0	4	0.280	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.219	0.241	0.309	OK
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3B	39	126	18	0.143	2	5	0.200	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.167	0.215	0.255	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	35	8	2	2	4	10	0.229

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake McCarthy	CF	77	279	84	0.301	10	52	0.343	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.280	0.324	0.515	OK
Mickey Moniak	LF	60	206	57	0.277	15	38	0.320	5	4	2	1	3	1	1	0.500	0.272	0.304	0.495	OK
Hunter Goodman	C	90	338	86	0.254	27	51	0.324	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.268	0.338	0.465	OK
TJ Rumfield	1B	92	332	99	0.298	12	46	0.381	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.276	0.363	0.412	OK
Kyle Karros	3B	90	274	73	0.266	9	34	0.364	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.275	0.360	0.502	OK
Willi Castro	2B	81	288	75	0.260	7	37	0.331	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.291	0.369	OK
Troy Johnston	DH	83	272	82	0.301	3	38	0.367	4	3	0	1	0	1	2	0.000	0.246	0.314	0.363	OK
Tyler Freeman	RF	63	219	58	0.265	3	23	0.340	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.151	0.187	0.212	OK
Ezequiel Tovar	SS	89	311	63	0.203	8	32	0.246	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.190	0.235	0.331	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	33	7	5	5	5	6	0.212

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Brady Singer	Starter	18	87.8	4.82	1.503	7.8	76	5.0	5	2	2	4	3	94	5.0	3	2
Emilio Pagán	Middle Reliever	17	15.4	6.43	1.494	9.4	16	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	14	0.1	0	0
Tejay Antone	Middle Reliever	28	24.5	2.57	1.020	9.2	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Brock Burke	Middle Reliever	47	37.9	3.56	1.636	9.3	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14	1.0	2	0
Caleb Ferguson	Middle Reliever	19	14.0	3.21	1.857	10.9	17	0.2	2	3	3	1	1	16	0.2	1	3

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gabriel Hughes	Starter	2	9.0	3.00	1.000	8.0	8	4.2	3	1	1	3	9	81	4.2	9	1
Antonio Senzatela	Middle Reliever	30	44.1	3.67	1.361	8.6	42	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.1	0	0
Juan Mejia	Middle Reliever	38	36.5	6.66	1.808	10.8	44	1.1	2	0	0	0	1	23	1.1	1	0
Jordan Romano	Middle Reliever	4	3.2	2.81	2.500	14.1	5	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	23	1.0	0	0
Jimmy Herget	Middle Reliever	24	22.9	3.93	1.397	10.2	26	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	16	0.2	0	1

Game Summary

COL wins 5-2

Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels

DET 44-52 (4.24 RPG / 3.99 RA)

4 - 2

LAA 38-59 (4.43 RPG / 5.0 RA)

WINNER: DET wins 4-2 TARGET: DET 4 - 2 LAA (DET) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
DET	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6
LAA	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	5

DET Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.0

Avg Allowed2.7

Run Diff13.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

LAA Recent Form

Win%0.200

Avg Runs3.8

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff-8.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

DET Season Quality

Record44-52

Win%0.458

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.250

LAA Season Quality

Record38-59

Win%0.392

Run Diff-55

RD/Game-0.567

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.9169; margin adjustment: -0.3851; applied: True

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Matt Vierling	CF	73	234	46	0.197	5	29	0.253	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.151	0.217	0.257	OK
Kevin McGonigle	3B	92	345	98	0.284	8	34	0.395	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.263	0.361	0.420	OK
Dillon Dingler	C	86	321	85	0.265	19	60	0.325	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.288	0.424	OK
Spencer Torkelson	1B	94	321	66	0.206	16	42	0.304	4	4	1	1	2	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.288	0.422	OK
Riley Greene	LF	94	340	99	0.291	13	45	0.384	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.273	0.374	0.446	OK
Eduardo Valencia	DH	4	10	5	0.500	2	3	0.545	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.186	0.199	0.339	OK
Hao-Yu Lee	2B	53	149	38	0.255	4	15	0.288	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.258	0.291	0.395	OK
Ben Malgeri	RF	8	23	6	0.261	0	4	0.308	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.229	0.293	0.339	OK
Zach McKinstry	SS	68	215	43	0.200	4	19	0.278	4	3	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.285	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	32	6	4	4	2	5	0.188

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Zach Neto	SS	94	371	87	0.235	19	45	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.239	0.310	0.408	OK
Mike Trout	CF	78	283	67	0.237	18	39	0.390	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.242	0.365	0.453	OK
Nolan Schanuel	1B	76	287	79	0.275	6	35	0.344	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.282	0.341	0.398	OK
Jorge Soler	DH	74	271	58	0.214	11	42	0.300	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.206	0.282	0.351	OK
Josh Lowe	LF	56	173	36	0.208	8	21	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.212	0.257	0.370	OK
Jo Adell	RF	96	372	91	0.245	13	53	0.291	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.223	0.251	0.400	OK
Vaughn Grissom	2B	53	185	46	0.249	5	35	0.314	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.247	0.298	0.394	OK
Denzer Guzman	3B	27	107	28	0.262	4	14	0.307	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.228	0.271	0.363	OK
Logan O'Hoppe	C	64	212	45	0.212	4	23	0.276	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.172	0.230	0.258	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	5	2	2	1	9	0.156

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Troy Melton	Starter	8	48.4	1.86	0.826	7.6	41	6.0	5	2	2	1	6	95	6.0	6	2
Kenley Jansen	Middle Reliever	26	21.8	4.13	1.239	10.3	25	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Kyle Finnegan	Middle Reliever	39	37.9	1.90	1.557	7.6	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15	1.0	1	0
Tyler Holton	Middle Reliever	40	35.0	3.86	1.600	9.0	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Reid Detmers	Starter	19	105.4	4.53	1.176	10.5	123	5.2	5	4	4	1	5	92	5.2	5	4
Ryan Zeferjahn	Middle Reliever	38	39.8	4.30	1.357	13.8	61	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	19	1.0	0	0
Kirby Yates	Middle Reliever	23	19.6	2.76	1.020	12.9	28	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	15	1.1	0	0
Sam Bachman	Middle Reliever	35	36.9	4.63	1.436	10.2	42	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

DET wins 4-2

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees

LAD 62-36 (5.18 RPG / 3.65 RA)

3 - 4

NYY 54-43 (4.77 RPG / 3.85 RA)

WINNER: NYY wins 4-3 TARGET: LAD 3 - 4 NYY (NYY) Confidence: 56.7% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6
NYY	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	x	4	7

LAD Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed4.8

Run Diff-5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

NYY Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.3

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

LAD Season Quality

Record61-36

Win%0.629

Run Diff149

RD/Game1.536

NYY Season Quality

Record54-42

Win%0.562

Run Diff91

RD/Game0.948

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6877; margin adjustment: -0.2888; applied: True

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Shohei Ohtani	DH	88	335	98	0.293	22	58	0.403	4	4	1	1	1	0	0	0.250	0.266	0.364	0.551	OK
Andy Pages	CF	95	367	99	0.270	17	66	0.336	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.259	0.327	0.435	OK
Freddie Freeman	1B	94	355	103	0.290	15	49	0.375	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.263	0.335	0.423	OK
Mookie Betts	SS	59	238	56	0.235	11	31	0.291	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.227	0.279	0.353	OK
Max Muncy	3B	88	293	76	0.259	17	40	0.354	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.241	0.331	0.408	OK
Kyle Tucker	RF	89	328	80	0.244	7	47	0.332	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.234	0.312	0.354	OK
Teoscar Hernández	LF	62	222	54	0.243	8	36	0.316	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.198	0.271	0.319	OK
Dalton Rushing	C	58	181	46	0.254	10	30	0.330	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.237	0.299	0.412	OK
Tommy Edman	2B	19	67	23	0.343	1	11	0.413	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.261	0.327	0.410	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	6	3	3	3	7	0.182

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trent Grisham	CF	74	259	61	0.236	10	40	0.334	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.243	0.332	0.433	OK
Ben Rice	DH	90	337	94	0.279	29	67	0.373	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.279	0.367	0.608	OK
Paul Goldschmidt	1B	66	240	62	0.258	15	42	0.312	4	4	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.214	0.262	0.396	OK
Cody Bellinger	LF	94	347	88	0.254	11	51	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.337	0.394	OK
Jasson Domínguez	RF	35	132	31	0.235	5	11	0.273	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.284	0.420	OK
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	90	319	71	0.223	13	37	0.297	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.224	0.294	0.386	OK
José Caballero	SS	82	272	68	0.250	10	35	0.301	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.255	0.291	0.386	OK
Ryan McMahon	3B	71	206	44	0.214	9	26	0.274	3	3	1	1	0	0	0	0.333	0.228	0.287	0.408	OK
Austin Wells	C	66	194	30	0.155	6	13	0.247	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.188	0.269	0.345	OK
TEAM TOTALS									31	31	7	4	4	0	7	0.226

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Roki Sasaki	Starter	16	79.6	5.43	1.382	9.0	80	5.0	5	4	4	0	4	88	5.0	4	4
Tanner Scott	Middle Reliever	41	36.1	2.74	0.831	12.5	50	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	23	2.0	3	0
Alex Vesia	Middle Reliever	42	24.2	2.98	1.488	16.7	45	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17	1.0	0	0

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gerrit Cole	Starter	9	47.6	4.16	1.239	8.9	47	5.1	2	0	0	3	6	92	5.1	6	0
David Bednar	Middle Reliever	37	37.9	2.85	1.161	10.7	45	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	21	1.2	0	0
Fernando Cruz	Middle Reliever	44	28.8	3.12	1.701	15.6	50	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	19	1.0	0	1
Brent Headrick	Middle Reliever	47	37.0	1.95	1.486	12.9	53	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	19	1.0	1	2

Game Summary

NYY wins 4-3

Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers

MIA 52-45 (4.53 RPG / 4.28 RA)

2 - 4

MIL 59-37 (5.09 RPG / 3.78 RA)

WINNER: MIL wins 4-2 TARGET: MIA 2 - 4 MIL (MIL) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	7
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	x	4	10

MIA Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.0

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.1

Avg Allowed4.7

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIA Season Quality

Record52-45

Win%0.536

Run Diff24

RD/Game0.247

MIL Season Quality

Record59-37

Win%0.615

Run Diff126

RD/Game1.312

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1828; margin adjustment: 0.4968; applied: True

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Liam Hicks	DH	85	297	86	0.290	13	58	0.364	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.263	0.331	0.380	OK
Otto Lopez	SS	95	380	127	0.334	9	45	0.368	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.268	0.310	0.448	OK
Xavier Edwards	2B	96	353	107	0.303	6	37	0.385	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.359	0.391	OK
Kyle Stowers	1B	72	268	64	0.239	12	42	0.322	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.229	0.294	0.445	OK
Heriberto Hernández	LF	65	203	48	0.236	13	36	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.249	0.318	0.516	OK
Griffin Conine	RF	28	79	21	0.266	5	12	0.356	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.173	0.257	0.348	OK
Jakob Marsee	CF	93	325	64	0.197	5	25	0.319	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.220	0.328	0.325	OK
Joe Mack	C	52	155	38	0.245	7	23	0.308	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.223	0.278	0.391	OK
Javier Sanoja	3B	68	228	62	0.272	3	34	0.304	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.228	0.262	0.367	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	2	2	3	4	0.206

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Christian Yelich	DH	61	238	57	0.239	6	31	0.326	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.227	0.301	0.355	OK
Jackson Chourio	LF	62	261	74	0.284	13	37	0.336	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	0.250	0.251	0.296	0.420	OK
Brice Turang	2B	90	353	95	0.269	14	60	0.363	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.353	0.490	OK
William Contreras	C	88	344	97	0.282	9	53	0.342	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.231	0.288	0.332	OK
Jake Bauers	1B	85	292	79	0.271	18	59	0.372	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.260	0.370	0.520	OK
Garrett Mitchell	CF	81	266	72	0.271	7	38	0.354	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.271	0.344	0.439	OK
Cooper Pratt	SS	24	74	19	0.257	0	7	0.360	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.283	0.378	0.408	OK
Sal Frelick	RF	85	272	64	0.235	4	32	0.296	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.217	0.267	0.350	OK
Joey Ortiz	3B	72	213	48	0.225	3	22	0.288	4	4	2	1	4	0	1	0.500	0.230	0.291	0.335	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	34	10	4	4	4	9	0.294

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Sandy Alcantara	Starter	20	128.8	4.05	1.242	7.0	100	6.1	6	0	0	3	7	120	6.1	7	0
Pete Fairbanks	Middle Reliever	31	27.6	7.17	1.486	12.4	38	0.0	2	1	1	0	0	17	0.0	0	1
Michael Petersen	Middle Reliever	39	36.8	3.42	1.114	11.7	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0
Calvin Faucher	Middle Reliever	40	34.3	4.99	1.778	10.5	40	0.2	2	3	3	1	1	18	0.2	1	3

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Logan Henderson	Starter	6	28.1	3.20	0.996	10.9	34	5.0	4	0	0	3	4	87	5.0	4	0
Trevor Megill	Middle Reliever	36	36.0	2.00	0.917	11.5	46	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Abner Uribe	Middle Reliever	39	35.4	2.80	1.130	8.9	35	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2
Aaron Ashby	Middle Reliever	45	50.3	3.94	1.590	13.4	75	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Grant Anderson	Middle Reliever	38	34.4	4.45	1.424	8.4	32	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

Game Summary

MIL wins 4-2

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs

MIN 48-49 (4.86 RPG / 5.0 RA)

2 - 4

CHC 54-42 (5.04 RPG / 4.5 RA)

WINNER: CHC wins 4-2 TARGET: MIN 2 - 4 CHC (CHC) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	4
CHC	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	x	4	6

MIN Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs4.9

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff18.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

CHC Recent Form

Win%0.600

Avg Runs5.6

Avg Allowed3.8

Run Diff18.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

MIN Season Quality

Record48-49

Win%0.495

Run Diff-14

RD/Game-0.144

CHC Season Quality

Record54-42

Win%0.562

Run Diff52

RD/Game0.542

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.7875; margin adjustment: 0.3307; applied: True

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Trevor Larnach	LF	77	253	73	0.289	7	31	0.373	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.187	0.273	0.352	OK
Ryan Jeffers	C	37	130	38	0.292	7	28	0.396	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.272	0.370	0.509	OK
Josh Bell	DH	94	343	85	0.248	13	60	0.307	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.243	0.298	0.428	OK
Kody Clemens	2B	82	301	73	0.243	16	46	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.154	0.214	0.326	OK
Royce Lewis	1B	63	228	50	0.219	10	29	0.297	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.238	0.309	0.441	OK
Brooks Lee	3B	90	341	85	0.249	14	50	0.307	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.242	0.310	0.384	OK
Alan Roden	RF	5	14	3	0.214	0	3	0.312	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.251	0.336	0.343	OK
Luke Keaschall	CF	90	306	79	0.258	4	28	0.345	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.273	0.347	0.400	OK
Tristan Gray	SS	58	166	39	0.235	4	29	0.274	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.226	0.262	0.320	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	31	4	2	2	4	5	0.129

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CF	95	354	104	0.294	21	53	0.390	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0.250	0.273	0.365	0.524	OK
Seiya Suzuki	RF	80	302	81	0.268	15	48	0.347	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.272	0.338	0.485	OK
Michael Busch	1B	94	343	83	0.242	11	49	0.371	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.262	0.360	0.415	OK
Alex Bregman	3B	93	366	89	0.243	9	41	0.340	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	0.333	0.234	0.317	0.402	OK
Ian Happ	LF	90	337	75	0.223	17	42	0.331	4	3	0	0	0	1	3	0.000	0.237	0.332	0.395	OK
Nico Hoerner	2B	93	372	87	0.234	4	38	0.303	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.271	0.303	OK
Michael Conforto	DH	59	140	34	0.243	8	21	0.321	4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0.250	0.169	0.249	0.354	OK
Carson Kelly	C	67	220	60	0.273	6	31	0.360	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.239	0.324	0.415	OK
Dansby Swanson	SS	90	309	66	0.214	16	58	0.296	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0.333	0.221	0.292	0.391	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	30	6	4	4	3	8	0.200

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bailey Ober	Starter	13	70.5	4.47	1.206	6.5	51	5.2	4	3	3	2	5	98	5.2	5	3
Yoendrys Gómez	Middle Reliever	30	22.6	1.99	1.150	10.0	25	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Andrew Morris	Middle Reliever	35	39.7	3.85	1.461	10.9	48	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Colin Rea	Starter	19	90.7	4.96	1.510	6.9	70	5.0	2	1	1	2	3	85	5.0	3	1
Jacob Webb	Middle Reliever	42	36.9	3.41	1.436	11.7	48	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Trent Thornton	Middle Reliever	25	26.9	2.68	1.078	4.3	13	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0
Caleb Thielbar	Middle Reliever	31	22.3	4.84	1.525	14.1	35	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	10	1.0	0	1
Phil Maton	Middle Reliever	30	21.3	7.61	2.207	13.1	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

CHC wins 4-2

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians

PIT 50-47 (5.32 RPG / 4.87 RA)

4 - 3

CLE 51-46 (3.97 RPG / 3.99 RA)

WINNER: PIT wins 4-3 TARGET: PIT 4 - 3 CLE (PIT) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PIT	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	9
CLE	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7

PIT Recent Form

Win%0.700

Avg Runs6.8

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff22.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

CLE Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed1.5

Run Diff22.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

PIT Season Quality

Record50-47

Win%0.515

Run Diff44

RD/Game0.454

CLE Season Quality

Record51-46

Win%0.526

Run Diff-2

RD/Game-0.021

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.4588; margin adjustment: -0.1927; applied: True

PIT Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Jake Mangum	CF	67	229	71	0.310	2	19	0.359	5	5	3	1	0	0	1	0.600	0.299	0.338	0.435	OK
Jacob Gonzalez	SS	1	1	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	5	5	1	1	0	0	1	0.200	0.242	0.297	0.356
Brandon Lowe	2B	90	357	88	0.246	21	64	0.316	4	4	1	1	3	0	1	0.250	0.246	0.305	0.424	OK
Ryan O'Hearn	RF	80	306	88	0.288	16	63	0.347	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.257	0.311	0.428	OK
Henry Davis	C	53	163	27	0.166	8	27	0.263	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.222	0.302	0.400	OK
Nick Gonzales	3B	90	338	104	0.308	4	43	0.368	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.275	0.344	0.375	OK
Esmerlyn Valdez	OF	28	94	29	0.309	10	27	0.371	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.279	0.346	0.632	OK
Bryan Reynolds	LF	97	350	99	0.283	14	59	0.400	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.371	0.474	OK
Tyler Callihan	LF	28	78	19	0.244	3	15	0.326	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.149	0.227	0.287	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	4	4	2	8	0.250

CLE Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Petey Halpin	CF	26	61	11	0.180	0	1	0.206	5	5	2	1	0	0	1	0.400	0.135	0.169	0.219	OK
Brayan Rocchio	SS	93	318	88	0.277	8	44	0.340	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.272	0.317	0.448	OK
Travis Bazzana	2B	65	244	58	0.238	7	28	0.330	4	4	1	1	3	0	2	0.250	0.221	0.306	0.343	OK
Kyle Manzardo	1B	86	270	58	0.215	10	30	0.307	4	3	1	1	0	1	1	0.333	0.201	0.284	0.311	OK
Patrick Bailey	C	32	96	21	0.219	2	10	0.262	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.222	0.270	0.362	OK
Gabriel Arias	SS	27	89	22	0.247	5	10	0.280	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.248	0.280	0.416	OK
Kahlil Watson	LF	23	77	17	0.221	1	10	0.250	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.220	0.253	0.333	OK
Steven Kwan	CF	86	296	67	0.226	1	16	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.252	0.353	0.338	OK
Chase DeLauter	RF	78	296	83	0.280	11	46	0.345	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.253	0.323	0.470	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	3	3	2	10	0.206

PIT Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jared Jones	Starter	8	34.3	4.46	1.166	10.2	39	5.0	6	3	3	2	6	91	5.0	6	3
Gregory Soto	Middle Reliever	39	37.9	3.56	1.029	10.4	44	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	21	1.2	2	0
Mason Montgomery	Middle Reliever	37	30.7	4.40	1.498	16.1	55	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Yohan Ramírez	Middle Reliever	40	47.0	3.64	1.468	11.1	58	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	21	1.1	1	0

CLE Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gavin Williams	Starter	19	111.7	3.87	1.164	10.8	134	5.2	9	4	4	2	4	106	5.2	4	4
Cade Smith	Middle Reliever	42	42.0	3.00	1.167	13.5	63	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.1	1	0
Hunter Gaddis	Middle Reliever	35	26.0	2.77	1.423	10.0	29	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13	1.0	1	0
Colin Holderman	Middle Reliever	34	30.2	1.79	0.894	11.6	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

PIT wins 4-3

San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals

SD 48-48 (3.95 RPG / 4.4 RA)

4 - 3

KC 38-59 (4.24 RPG / 5.14 RA)

WINNER: SD wins 4-3 TARGET: SD 4 - 3 KC (SD) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	4	7
KC	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	9

SD Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed4.0

Run Diff-3.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

KC Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs4.7

Avg Allowed5.4

Run Diff-7.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

SD Season Quality

Record48-48

Win%0.500

Run Diff-43

RD/Game-0.448

KC Season Quality

Record38-59

Win%0.392

Run Diff-88

RD/Game-0.907

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.6217; margin adjustment: -0.2611; applied: True

SD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	94	372	103	0.277	5	34	0.341	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.250	0.309	0.353	OK
Jackson Merrill	CF	92	360	79	0.219	10	38	0.278	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.238	0.293	0.353	OK
Xander Bogaerts	SS	91	317	71	0.224	9	37	0.317	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.217	0.303	0.336	OK
Manny Machado	3B	93	340	69	0.203	19	55	0.290	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.258	0.338	0.455	OK
Gavin Sheets	LF	89	280	62	0.221	14	40	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.198	0.308	0.338	OK
Ty France	1B	64	206	55	0.267	11	33	0.322	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.270	0.310	0.469	OK
Jake Cronenworth	2B	45	143	28	0.196	3	12	0.286	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.242	0.305	0.340	OK
Miguel Andujar	DH	69	227	59	0.260	5	21	0.297	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.251	0.282	0.412	OK
Luis Campusano	C	26	70	21	0.300	4	11	0.395	4	4	1	1	2	0	2	0.250	0.274	0.367	0.501	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	34	7	4	4	3	6	0.206

KC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carter Jensen	C	87	308	73	0.237	13	49	0.304	5	5	2	1	1	0	1	0.400	0.199	0.267	0.345	OK
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	90	357	102	0.286	13	38	0.352	5	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.400	0.246	0.304	0.415	OK
Jac Caglianone	RF	89	316	81	0.256	15	35	0.316	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.169	0.218	0.320	OK
Lane Thomas	CF	77	231	54	0.234	7	30	0.331	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.251	0.331	0.438	OK
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	69	256	57	0.223	6	32	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.232	0.313	0.342	OK
Salvador Perez	DH	88	345	73	0.212	11	37	0.251	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0.500	0.216	0.242	0.345	OK
Michael Massey	2B	74	227	59	0.260	7	31	0.299	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.251	0.303	0.393	OK
Nick Loftin	3B	57	175	43	0.246	4	29	0.332	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.248	0.321	0.442	OK
Isaac Collins	LF	83	263	63	0.240	5	28	0.346	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.235	0.325	0.413	OK
TEAM TOTALS									38	36	9	3	3	2	7	0.250

SD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael King	Starter	19	106.0	3.48	1.179	7.8	92	5.2	7	3	3	1	2	99	5.2	2	3
Mason Miller	Middle Reliever	38	37.1	0.97	0.836	17.5	72	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20	1.0	2	0
Adrian Morejon	Middle Reliever	44	43.0	3.98	1.279	12.1	58	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20	1.1	2	0
Bradgley Rodriguez	Middle Reliever	37	34.5	2.61	1.304	9.7	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16	1.0	1	0

KC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Seth Lugo	Starter	19	102.8	4.64	1.459	7.5	86	5.0	4	2	2	2	4	93	5.0	4	2
Alex Lange	Middle Reliever	37	34.5	6.52	1.681	9.7	37	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	21	1.0	2	0
Daniel Lynch IV	Middle Reliever	39	33.9	2.65	1.062	8.8	33	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Lucas Erceg	Middle Reliever	37	34.9	4.64	1.576	7.0	27	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15	1.0	0	0
John Schreiber	Middle Reliever	40	30.5	4.13	1.574	8.3	28	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	19	1.0	0	2

Game Summary

SD wins 4-3

San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners

SF 42-55 (4.14 RPG / 4.75 RA)

1 - 5

SEA 48-49 (4.04 RPG / 3.88 RA)

WINNER: SEA wins 5-1 TARGET: SF 1 - 5 SEA (SEA) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4
SEA	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	x	5	9

SF Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.4

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-9.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

SEA Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs3.6

Avg Allowed3.1

Run Diff5.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

SF Season Quality

Record42-55

Win%0.433

Run Diff-59

RD/Game-0.608

SEA Season Quality

Record48-49

Win%0.495

Run Diff16

RD/Game0.165

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.866; margin adjustment: 0.3637; applied: True

SF Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Luis Arraez	2B	91	359	121	0.337	4	34	0.376	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.293	0.340	0.415	OK
Bryce Eldridge	DH	55	189	52	0.275	8	21	0.370	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.251	0.346	0.446	OK
Casey Schmitt	3B	87	347	97	0.280	19	49	0.308	4	3	2	1	1	0	1	0.667	0.260	0.284	0.477	OK
Rafael Devers	1B	96	362	91	0.251	19	52	0.323	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.253	0.336	0.484	OK
Heliot Ramos	LF	57	218	58	0.266	8	28	0.300	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.250	0.282	0.424	OK
Jung Hoo Lee	RF	87	327	100	0.306	5	33	0.337	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.266	0.359	OK
Willy Adames	SS	91	355	82	0.231	15	37	0.281	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.224	0.280	0.391	OK
Drew Gilbert	CF	68	189	45	0.238	4	20	0.300	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.223	0.276	0.364	OK
Drew Cavanaugh	C	12	32	7	0.219	0	2	0.324	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.332	0.300	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	31	4	1	1	5	7	0.129

SEA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
J.P. Crawford	3B	79	284	62	0.218	10	28	0.334	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.238	0.333	0.362	OK
Randy Arozarena	LF	89	325	93	0.286	11	45	0.380	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.260	0.339	0.470	OK
Dominic Canzone	DH	81	227	60	0.264	15	40	0.329	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	0.250	0.248	0.302	0.477	OK
Cal Raleigh	C	65	242	41	0.169	9	29	0.271	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.199	0.299	0.321	OK
Josh Naylor	1B	90	353	89	0.252	8	36	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.245	0.305	0.336	OK
Cole Young	2B	97	348	88	0.253	11	43	0.313	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.230	0.279	0.390	OK
Luke Raley	RF	80	236	54	0.229	14	36	0.288	4	4	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.226	0.263	0.391	OK
Victor Robles	CF	33	97	21	0.216	0	5	0.260	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.193	0.236	0.270	OK
Colt Emerson	SS	45	144	29	0.201	7	20	0.275	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.193	0.259	0.321	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	33	9	5	5	3	5	0.273

SF Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Landen Roupp	Starter	18	94.2	4.39	1.348	9.9	104	5.1	7	5	5	1	5	98	5.1	5	5
Caleb Kilian	Middle Reliever	37	33.1	4.62	1.480	12.8	47	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	15	0.0	0	0
Erik Miller	Middle Reliever	31	22.9	3.54	1.659	14.9	38	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	4	1.0	0	0
JT Brubaker	Middle Reliever	30	43.5	3.10	1.218	6.8	33	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	5	1.1	0	0
Keaton Winn	Middle Reliever	31	28.5	3.47	1.123	8.2	26	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	15	0.1	0	0
Sam Hentges	Middle Reliever	22	13.7	2.63	1.971	13.8	21	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	12	0.0	0	0

SEA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Bryce Miller	Starter	10	56.5	2.23	0.850	10.4	65	6.0	2	0	0	4	6	106	6.0	6	0
Andrés Muñoz	Middle Reliever	36	32.7	3.85	1.284	14.0	51	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
José A. Ferrer	Middle Reliever	43	35.0	3.34	1.514	8.7	34	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	16	1.0	0	1
Eduard Bazardo	Middle Reliever	44	34.8	2.84	1.466	10.3	40	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

SEA wins 5-1

St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks

STL 50-45 (4.52 RPG / 4.45 RA)

4 - 2

ARI 49-47 (4.33 RPG / 4.47 RA)

WINNER: STL wins 4-2 TARGET: STL 4 - 2 ARI (STL) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	4	9
ARI	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	5

STL Recent Form

Win%0.300

Avg Runs3.2

Avg Allowed3.6

Run Diff-4.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendaverage

Streak

ARI Recent Form

Win%0.900

Avg Runs3.7

Avg Allowed0.5

Run Diff32.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

STL Season Quality

Record50-45

Win%0.526

Run Diff6

RD/Game0.063

ARI Season Quality

Record49-47

Win%0.510

Run Diff-13

RD/Game-0.135

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2224; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

STL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
JJ Wetherholt	2B	88	346	90	0.260	13	35	0.357	5	5	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.227	0.298	0.344	OK
Iván Herrera	DH	94	343	84	0.245	11	39	0.376	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.219	0.301	0.329	OK
Alec Burleson	1B	93	355	96	0.270	15	66	0.333	5	4	1	0	0	1	3	0.250	0.246	0.302	0.441	OK
Jordan Walker	RF	92	352	104	0.295	21	71	0.356	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0.250	0.276	0.333	0.495	OK
Lars Nootbaar	LF	32	104	27	0.260	3	12	0.355	5	4	2	1	2	1	0	0.500	0.232	0.330	0.414	OK
Masyn Winn	SS	84	313	76	0.243	4	38	0.309	4	4	2	1	0	0	1	0.500	0.219	0.277	0.324	OK
Nathan Church	CF	71	237	56	0.236	8	27	0.278	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0.667	0.192	0.232	0.318	OK
José Fermín	3B	58	158	41	0.259	4	20	0.306	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.239	0.288	0.381	OK
Jimmy Crooks	C	23	61	10	0.164	2	8	0.250	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	0.333	0.200	0.267	0.352	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	36	9	4	4	5	13	0.250

ARI Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Ryan Waldschmidt	CF	32	112	29	0.259	0	8	0.314	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.153	0.207	0.276	OK
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	75	257	61	0.237	4	27	0.354	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.221	0.344	0.330	OK
Ketel Marte	2B	73	297	78	0.263	12	46	0.315	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.276	0.328	0.459	OK
Ildemaro Vargas	1B	62	230	60	0.261	7	37	0.299	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.199	0.254	0.311	OK
Gabriel Moreno	C	51	174	48	0.276	6	25	0.358	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.280	0.355	0.462	OK
Nolan Arenado	3B	73	247	59	0.239	8	32	0.315	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.293	0.344	OK
Corbin Carroll	RF	75	278	79	0.284	13	42	0.372	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.278	0.356	0.542	OK
Max Kepler	LF	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.244	0.309	0.402
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	30	112	23	0.205	1	13	0.260	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.198	0.245	0.282	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	32	5	2	2	5	9	0.156

STL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Michael McGreevy	Starter	18	100.5	3.04	1.114	5.9	66	5.2	4	2	2	4	9	103	5.2	9	2
Riley O'Brien	Middle Reliever	39	37.7	3.58	1.167	9.3	39	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
JoJo Romero	Middle Reliever	44	35.3	4.08	1.586	11.0	43	1.1	0	0	0	1	0	21	1.1	0	0
George Soriano	Middle Reliever	41	35.3	3.82	1.275	8.9	35	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0

ARI Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rodriguez	Starter	15	86.7	2.49	1.257	6.7	65	6.2	4	2	2	2	9	116	6.2	9	2
Paul Sewald	Middle Reliever	1	0.1	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20	1.0	1	0
Kevin Ginkel	Middle Reliever	1	1.0	9.00	2.000	0.0	0	0.1	4	2	2	2	1	24	0.1	1	2
Jonathan Loáisiga	Middle Reliever	2	2.1	0.00	0.476	8.6	2	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	28	1.0	2	0

Game Summary

STL wins 4-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox

TB 56-40 (4.46 RPG / 4.25 RA)

2 - 3

BOS 48-48 (4.17 RPG / 3.76 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 3-2 TARGET: TB 2 - 3 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 65.3% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	4
BOS	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	x	3	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed2.1

Run Diff27.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record56-38

Win%0.596

Run Diff32

RD/Game0.340

BOS Season Quality

Record46-48

Win%0.489

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.287

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2128; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	90	345	111	0.322	13	55	0.398	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.275	0.331	0.412	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	93	340	101	0.297	14	64	0.394	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.299	0.376	0.479	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	94	355	99	0.279	28	59	0.372	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.238	0.336	0.501	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	49	138	36	0.261	7	30	0.320	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.225	0.282	0.463	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	51	165	42	0.255	5	25	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.221	0.261	0.369	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	85	330	92	0.279	0	17	0.312	4	3	0	1	1	0	1	0.000	0.182	0.216	0.271	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	64	198	50	0.253	2	22	0.318	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.264	0.321	0.375	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	71	225	48	0.213	0	21	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.186	0.276	0.277	OK
Nick Fortes	C	68	206	53	0.257	2	19	0.300	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.235	0.261	0.336	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	30	4	2	2	3	8	0.133

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	22	74	19	0.257	2	6	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.144	0.225	0.281	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	88	342	96	0.281	8	39	0.328	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.255	0.292	0.400	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	92	353	92	0.261	11	43	0.332	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0.500	0.240	0.312	0.416	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	85	285	65	0.228	9	39	0.293	4	3	0	0	0	1	2	0.000	0.245	0.305	0.420	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	58	178	47	0.264	3	16	0.333	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	0.000	0.187	0.256	0.329	OK
Romy Gonzalez	1B	11	39	9	0.231	1	5	0.302	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.232	0.287	0.384	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	87	340	66	0.194	13	45	0.259	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.188	0.259	0.319	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	50	154	29	0.188	2	6	0.257	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0.500	0.187	0.244	0.272	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	9	27	8	0.296	0	4	0.355	3	3	1	1	1	0	2	0.333	0.256	0.328	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									35	32	8	3	3	3	10	0.250

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Griffin Jax	Starter	24	67.2	3.21	1.220	9.5	71	5.2	6	2	2	1	9	105	5.2	9	2
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	38	35.4	1.78	0.847	10.4	41	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	41	37.8	2.86	1.085	7.6	32	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	20	1.1	1	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	31	25.1	3.94	1.434	13.6	38	0.0	0	0	0	2	0	15	0.0	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Jake Bennett	Starter	8	46.5	2.71	0.968	6.8	35	6.1	2	1	1	1	5	96	6.1	5	1
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	29	28.2	1.28	1.099	11.5	36	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17	1.0	2	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	34	32.3	2.23	0.960	10.3	37	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13	1.0	0	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	26	17.9	7.04	1.955	15.6	31	0.2	1	1	1	2	1	19	0.2	1	1

Game Summary

BOS wins 3-2

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox

TB 56-40 (4.46 RPG / 4.25 RA)

3 - 4

BOS 48-48 (4.17 RPG / 3.76 RA)

WINNER: BOS wins 4-3 TARGET: TB 3 - 4 BOS (BOS) Confidence: 64.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	8
BOS	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	x	4	8

TB Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs3.9

Avg Allowed4.5

Run Diff-6.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendaverage

Streak

BOS Recent Form

Win%0.800

Avg Runs4.8

Avg Allowed2.1

Run Diff27.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendstrong

Streak

TB Season Quality

Record56-38

Win%0.596

Run Diff32

RD/Game0.340

BOS Season Quality

Record46-48

Win%0.489

Run Diff27

RD/Game0.287

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -0.2128; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

TB Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Yandy Díaz	DH	90	345	111	0.322	13	55	0.398	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	0.333	0.275	0.332	0.412	OK
Jonathan Aranda	1B	93	340	101	0.297	14	64	0.394	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.300	0.377	0.479	OK
Junior Caminero	3B	94	355	99	0.279	28	59	0.372	4	4	2	1	2	0	1	0.500	0.239	0.336	0.502	OK
Ryan Vilade	RF	49	138	36	0.261	7	30	0.320	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.225	0.282	0.463	OK
Jonny DeLuca	CF	51	165	42	0.255	5	25	0.293	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.221	0.261	0.369	OK
Chandler Simpson	LF	85	330	92	0.279	0	17	0.312	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.182	0.216	0.271	OK
Ben Williamson	2B	64	198	50	0.253	2	22	0.318	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.264	0.321	0.376	OK
Taylor Walls	SS	71	225	48	0.213	0	21	0.310	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.186	0.276	0.277	OK
Nick Fortes	C	68	206	53	0.257	2	19	0.300	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.235	0.261	0.337	OK
TEAM TOTALS									36	34	8	3	3	1	9	0.235

BOS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Anthony Seigler	2B	22	74	19	0.257	2	6	0.333	4	3	1	1	0	1	0	0.333	0.144	0.225	0.281	OK
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	88	342	96	0.281	8	39	0.328	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	0.250	0.255	0.292	0.401	OK
Wilyer Abreu	RF	92	353	92	0.261	11	43	0.332	4	4	3	1	1	0	1	0.750	0.240	0.313	0.416	OK
Caleb Durbin	3B	85	285	65	0.228	9	39	0.293	4	4	2	1	3	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.305	0.420	OK
Masataka Yoshida	DH	58	178	47	0.264	3	16	0.333	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.188	0.256	0.329	OK
Romy Gonzalez	1B	11	39	9	0.231	1	5	0.302	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.288	0.384	OK
Jarren Duran	LF	87	340	66	0.194	13	45	0.259	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.189	0.259	0.319	OK
Carlos Narváez	C	50	154	29	0.188	2	6	0.257	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.188	0.244	0.272	OK
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	9	27	8	0.296	0	4	0.355	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.257	0.328	0.356	OK
TEAM TOTALS									33	32	8	4	4	1	5	0.250

TB Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Drew Rasmussen	Starter	18	98.4	3.29	0.955	9.0	98	6.0	6	3	3	1	5	98	6.0	5	3
Bryan Baker	Middle Reliever	38	35.4	1.78	0.847	10.4	41	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14	1.0	0	0
Kevin Kelly	Middle Reliever	41	37.8	2.86	1.085	7.6	32	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	4	1.0	0	1
Garrett Cleavinger	Middle Reliever	31	25.1	3.94	1.434	13.6	38	0.0	1	0	0	0	0	13	0.0	0	0

BOS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Eduardo Rivera	Starter	2	6.3	0.00	0.635	8.6	6	3.1	6	3	3	1	5	64	3.1	5	3
Aroldis Chapman	Middle Reliever	29	28.2	1.28	1.099	11.5	36	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	2.0	1	0
Garrett Whitlock	Middle Reliever	34	32.3	2.23	0.960	10.3	37	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	24	1.2	2	0
Justin Slaten	Middle Reliever	26	17.9	7.04	1.955	15.6	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
Tyron Guerrero	Middle Reliever	19	14.9	3.02	1.342	13.9	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17	1.0	1	0

Game Summary

BOS wins 4-3

Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves

TEX 49-47 (4.16 RPG / 4.31 RA)

2 - 6

ATL 55-41 (4.81 RPG / 3.91 RA)

WINNER: ATL wins 6-2 TARGET: TEX 2 - 6 ATL (ATL) Confidence: 63.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	6
ATL	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	0	x	6	9

TEX Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs4.2

Avg Allowed5.7

Run Diff-15.0

Off Trendaverage

Def Trendweak

Streak

ATL Recent Form

Win%0.500

Avg Runs5.3

Avg Allowed4.6

Run Diff7.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendaverage

Streak

TEX Season Quality

Record49-47

Win%0.510

Run Diff-15

RD/Game-0.156

ATL Season Quality

Record55-41

Win%0.573

Run Diff87

RD/Game0.906

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 1.1562; margin adjustment: 0.4856; applied: True

TEX Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Justin Foscue	DH	42	105	30	0.286	7	19	0.339	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.183	0.243	0.387	OK
Wyatt Langford	LF	44	178	49	0.275	9	22	0.325	4	4	1	1	1	0	2	0.250	0.256	0.301	0.454	OK
Brandon Nimmo	RF	90	346	91	0.263	9	34	0.331	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.260	0.315	0.448	OK
Josh Jung	3B	87	336	100	0.298	9	34	0.367	4	3	3	0	0	1	0	1.000	0.270	0.337	0.432	OK
Jake Burger	1B	92	338	81	0.240	16	58	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.201	0.258	0.367	OK
Ezequiel Duran	SS	85	296	80	0.270	10	50	0.324	4	4	1	1	1	0	3	0.250	0.167	0.234	0.350	OK
Cameron Cauley	CF	9	21	5	0.238	0	0	0.304	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.244	0.307	0.398	OK
Elias Díaz	C	22	68	19	0.279	2	11	0.286	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.215	0.235	0.371	OK
Nicky Lopez	2B	38	111	36	0.324	1	12	0.359	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.168	0.200	0.228	OK
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	1	16	0.182

ATL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Drake Baldwin	C	73	280	72	0.257	16	47	0.347	5	4	2	1	1	1	0	0.500	0.250	0.328	0.390	OK
Ozzie Albies	2B	96	368	98	0.266	14	51	0.319	5	5	2	1	0	0	0	0.400	0.235	0.293	0.381	OK
Matt Olson	1B	96	372	99	0.266	25	58	0.338	5	5	0	1	1	0	0	0.000	0.239	0.309	0.486	OK
Michael Harris II	CF	89	335	100	0.299	16	53	0.329	4	4	1	1	0	0	2	0.250	0.263	0.288	0.427	OK
Mauricio Dubón	LF	92	344	92	0.267	10	52	0.321	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.232	0.279	0.392	OK
Dominic Smith	DH	72	209	55	0.263	6	33	0.302	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	0.000	0.236	0.289	0.345	OK
Austin Riley	3B	96	344	71	0.206	9	42	0.288	4	3	1	1	2	1	0	0.333	0.207	0.277	0.324	OK
Jim Jarvis	SS	10	30	9	0.300	1	3	0.323	4	3	1	1	2	0	1	0.333	0.276	0.301	0.470	OK
Brewer Hicklen	RF	1	4	2	0.500	0	1	0.500	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.239	0.247	0.550	OK
TEAM TOTALS									39	33	9	6	6	5	5	0.273

TEX Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cal Quantrill	Starter	19	44.7	3.22	1.186	5.6	28	5.0	7	3	3	4	4	102	5.0	4	3
Jacob Latz	Middle Reliever	34	42.1	1.07	0.618	9.8	46	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	20	1.1	1	0
Peyton Gray	Middle Reliever	27	29.7	3.94	1.380	11.2	37	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	20	1.0	0	2
Cole Winn	Middle Reliever	36	28.2	7.02	1.560	10.5	33	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	15	0.2	0	1

ATL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Chris Sale	Starter	17	96.6	2.24	1.128	10.9	117	6.0	5	2	2	1	12	102	6.0	12	2
Raisel Iglesias	Middle Reliever	31	31.4	2.29	1.115	10.3	36	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	17	1.1	0	0
Dylan Lee	Middle Reliever	44	37.4	1.68	0.749	12.8	53	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15	1.0	2	0
Tyler Kinley	Middle Reliever	38	29.7	3.94	1.347	10.6	35	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	14	0.2	2	0

Game Summary

ATL wins 6-2

Washington Nationals @ Oakland Athletics

WAS 48-49 (5.32 RPG / 5.25 RA)

5 - 3

OAK 41-55 (4.4 RPG / 5.5 RA)

WINNER: WAS wins 5-3 TARGET: WAS 5 - 3 OAK (WAS) Confidence: 66.0% enhanced_ml_savant_pitcher_quality_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
WAS	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	2	5	10
OAK	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	8

WAS Recent Form

Win%0.400

Avg Runs5.2

Avg Allowed5.3

Run Diff-1.0

Off Trendhot

Def Trendweak

Streak

OAK Recent Form

Win%0.100

Avg Runs2.8

Avg Allowed6.2

Run Diff-34.0

Off Trendcold

Def Trendweak

Streak

WAS Season Quality

Record48-49

Win%0.495

Run Diff7

RD/Game0.072

OAK Season Quality

Record41-55

Win%0.427

Run Diff-106

RD/Game-1.104

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: -1.278; margin adjustment: -0.5367; applied: True

WAS Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
James Wood	DH	97	369	103	0.279	28	64	0.410	5	4	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.318	0.442	0.707	OK
Curtis Mead	3B	80	259	64	0.247	17	44	0.341	5	4	1	1	1	1	0	0.250	0.199	0.293	0.411	OK
Andrés Chaparro	1B	25	54	9	0.167	1	7	0.262	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0.250	0.211	0.282	0.355	OK
CJ Abrams	SS	93	345	95	0.275	20	67	0.352	5	5	3	1	3	0	0	0.600	0.274	0.339	0.494	OK
Dylan Crews	RF	46	175	37	0.211	6	18	0.270	5	5	1	1	1	0	0	0.200	0.208	0.260	0.326	OK
Daylen Lile	LF	95	370	91	0.246	10	44	0.298	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.232	0.271	0.392	OK
Jacob Young	CF	78	268	60	0.224	8	31	0.273	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0.000	0.238	0.289	0.372	OK
Nasim Nuñez	2B	83	265	64	0.242	1	28	0.327	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.259	0.341	0.341	OK
Luis García Jr.	1B	90	303	86	0.284	20	68	0.317	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.191	0.235	0.383	OK
TEAM TOTALS									41	37	10	5	5	4	4	0.270

OAK Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Carlos Cortes	DH	71	204	57	0.279	6	23	0.354	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	0.200	0.184	0.248	0.302	OK
Jacob Wilson	SS	56	224	63	0.281	4	26	0.314	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.264	0.299	0.367	OK
Tyler Soderstrom	LF	84	299	72	0.241	14	42	0.343	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.230	0.325	0.446	OK
Shea Langeliers	C	86	350	90	0.257	21	46	0.324	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	0.333	0.218	0.273	0.412	OK
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	3B	12	45	19	0.422	0	1	0.435	4	4	1	1	3	0	0	0.250	0.300	0.306	0.453	OK
Lawrence Butler	RF	82	240	47	0.196	5	22	0.293	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	0.667	0.204	0.303	0.306	OK
Donovan Walton	2B	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.254	0.298	0.422
Henry Bolte	CF	51	176	46	0.261	3	16	0.337	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.196	0.248	0.290	OK
Jeff McNeil	2B	84	265	60	0.226	3	26	0.288	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.207	0.257	0.285	OK
TEAM TOTALS									37	35	8	3	3	2	5	0.229

WAS Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Cade Cavalli	Starter	20	96.1	3.93	1.384	10.3	110	5.0	4	2	2	2	3	84	5.0	3	2
Clayton Beeter	Middle Reliever	28	24.3	3.33	1.358	11.5	31	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16	1.0	0	0
PJ Poulin	Middle Reliever	35	30.6	3.24	1.569	7.4	25	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Orlando Ribalta	Middle Reliever	30	25.1	4.30	1.355	8.2	23	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.0	1	0
Justin Lawrence	Middle Reliever	7	4.7	5.74	2.979	11.5	6	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	10	1.0	1	1

OAK Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Gage Jump	Starter	9	47.5	3.60	1.326	9.1	48	5.1	6	3	3	3	2	97	5.1	2	3
Elvis Alvarado	Middle Reliever	25	23.6	5.72	1.314	13.3	35	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	18	1.0	0	0
Hogan Harris	Middle Reliever	45	33.6	4.29	1.935	15.0	56	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	19	1.0	0	0
Luis Medina	Middle Reliever	29	39.4	3.43	1.421	11.6	51	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18	1.1	1	0
Mark Leiter Jr.	Middle Reliever	35	29.4	4.90	1.429	11.0	36	0.1	4	2	2	0	1	16	0.1	1	2

Game Summary

WAS wins 5-3

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview

Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros

BAL Recent Form

HOU Recent Form

BAL Season Quality

HOU Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

BAL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

BAL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

HOU Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

CHW Recent Form

TOR Recent Form

CHW Season Quality

TOR Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CHW Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHW Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

TOR Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies

CIN Recent Form

COL Recent Form

CIN Season Quality

COL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

CIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

COL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels

DET Recent Form

LAA Recent Form

DET Season Quality

LAA Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

DET Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

DET Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees

LAD Recent Form

NYY Recent Form

LAD Season Quality

NYY Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

LAD Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

LAD Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

NYY Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers

MIA Recent Form

MIL Recent Form

MIA Season Quality

MIL Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIA Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIA Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs

MIN Recent Form

CHC Recent Form

MIN Season Quality

CHC Season Quality

Season Run Differential Signal

MIN Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

MIN Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

CHC Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Game Summary

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians