MLB Predictions — July 14, 2026 — Actual vs Predicted

Matchup	Target Score	Sim Score	Target Winner	Sim Winner	Winner	Confidence	Method
AL @ NL	2 - 3	2 - 3	NL	NL	NL wins 3-2	59%	enhanced_ml_pitcher_opponent_strength

AL @ NL

AL 0-0 (0 RPG / 0 RA)

2 - 3

NL 0-0 (0 RPG / 0 RA)

WINNER: NL wins 3-2 TARGET: AL 2 - 3 NL (NL) Confidence: 58.9% enhanced_ml_pitcher_opponent_strength

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
AL	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	6
NL	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	x	3	8

AL Recent Form

Win%?

Avg Runs?

Avg Allowed?

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

NL Recent Form

Win%?

Avg Runs?

Avg Allowed?

Run Diff?

Off Trend?

Def Trend?

Streak?

AL Season Quality

Record0-0

Win%0.500

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

NL Season Quality

Record0-0

Win%0.500

Run Diff0

RD/Game0.000

Season Run Differential Signal

Quality edge: 0.0; margin adjustment: 0.0; applied: False

AL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Player-generic_away_1	DH_generic_away_1	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_away_2	DH_generic_away_2	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_away_3	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.244	0.314	0.422
Player-generic_away_4	DH_generic_away_4	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_away_5	DH_generic_away_5	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_away_6	DH_generic_away_6	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_away_7	DH_generic_away_7	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_away_8	DH_generic_away_8	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0.333	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_away_9	DH_generic_away_9	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.333	0.245	0.309	0.404
TEAM TOTALS									34	33	6	2	2	1	10	0.182

NL Batting — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Player	Pos	Actual 2026 Season							Simulated Game								Model Prediction			Deviation
Player	Pos	G	AB	H	AVG	HR	RBI	OBP	PA	AB	H	R	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	AVG	OBP	SLG	Deviation
Player-generic_home_1	DH_generic_home_1	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_home_2	DH_generic_home_2	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_home_3	DH	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0.500	0.244	0.314	0.422
Player-generic_home_4	DH_generic_home_4	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	1	0	0	0	3	0.250	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_home_5	DH_generic_home_5	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_home_6	DH_generic_home_6	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_home_7	DH_generic_home_7	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0.667	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_home_8	DH_generic_home_8	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	2	1	2	0	1	0.667	0.245	0.309	0.404
Player-generic_home_9	DH_generic_home_9	0	0	0	0.000	0	0	0.000	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0.333	0.245	0.309	0.404
TEAM TOTALS									32	32	8	3	3	0	8	0.250

AL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Player-starter_1	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	8	3	3	0	8	113	3.0	8	3

NL Pitching — Actual Season Stats vs Simulation

Pitcher	Role	Actual 2026 Season						Simulated Game							Model Prediction
Pitcher	Role	G	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	SO	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P	IP	SO	ER
Player-starter_1	Starter	0	0	0.00	0.000	0.0	0	3.0	6	2	2	1	10	119	3.0	10	2

Game Summary

NL wins 3-2

MLB Predictions: Actual Data vs Predicted Data

All Games Overview